FIB-4 Predicts MACE and Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Sex and Race-Ethnic Disparities in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: An Analysis of 40,166 Individuals

BACKGROUND

To overcome the limitations of the term "non-alcoholic fatty liver disease" (NAFLD), the term metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was introduced. While epidemiologic studies have been conducted on MASLD, there is limited evidence on its associated sex and ethnic variations.

AIMS

This study assesses the differences across sex and race-ethnicity on the prevalence, associated risk factors and adverse outcomes in individuals with MASLD.

METHODS

Data retrieved from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1999 to 2018 was analyzed. Prevalence, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were evaluated according to sex and race-ethnicity. Adverse outcomes and mortality events were analyzed using multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Of 40,166 individuals included, 37.63% had MASLD. There was a significant increase in MASLD prevalence from 1999 to 2018 among Mexican Americans (Annual Percentage Change [APC] + 1.889%, p < 0.001), other Hispanics (APC + 1.661%, p = 0.013), NH Whites (APC + 1.084%, p = 0.018), NH Blacks (APC + 1.108%, p = 0.007), and females (APC + 0.879%, p = 0.030), but not males. Females with MASLD were at lower risk of all-cause (HR: 0.766, 95%CI 0.711 to 0.825, p < 0.001), cardiovascular disease-related (CVD) (SHR: 0.802, 95% CI 0.698 to 0.922, p = 0.002) and cancer-related mortality (SHR: 0.760, 95% CI 0.662 to 0.873, p < 0.001). Significantly, NH Blacks have the highest risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality followed by NH Whites then Mexican Americans.

CONCLUSION

There has been an increase in prevalence in most race-ethnicities over time. While the change in definition shows no significant differences in previous associations found in NAFLD, the increased mortality in NH Whites relative to Mexican Americans remains to be explored.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiometabolic outcomes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease population

The metabolic syndrome, characterized by type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and obesity, collectively increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a prominent manifestation, affecting over a third of the global population with a concerning annual increase in prevalence. Nearly 70 % of overweight individuals have NAFLD, and NAFLD-related deaths are predicted to rise, especially among young adults. The association of T2DM and NAFLD has led to the proposal of "metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease" (MASLD) terminology, encompassing individuals with T2DM, overweight/obesity, hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, or low HDL-cholesterol. Patients with MASLD will likely have double the risk of developing T2DM, and the combination of insulin resistance, overweight/obesity, and MASLD significantly elevates the risk of T2DM. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of mortality in the MASLD and T2DM population, with MASLD directly associated with coronary artery disease, compounded by coexisting insulin resistance and T2DM. Urgency lies in early detection of subclinical cardiovascular diseases among patients with T2DM and MASLD. Novel strategies targeting multiple pathways offer hope for effectively improving cardiometabolic health. Understanding and addressing the intertwined factors contributing to these disorders can pave the way towards better management and prevention of cardiometabolic complications.

Association between FIB-4, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular disease risk among diabetic individuals: NHANES 1999-2008

Background

Diabetes is prevalent worldwide and is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Furthermore, due to the insulin resistance, diabetic populations are vulnerable to liver fibrosis, which increases the risk of CVD. Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4)-a non-invasive biomarker for liver fibrosis-is crucial in predicting CVD among patients with liver diseases. However, the association between FIB-4, death, and CVD in the US diabetic population has not yet been investigated.

Method

We conducted a cross-sectional study using the data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2008. The mortality status was obtained from the National Death Index through December 31, 2015. Participants were divided into survivor and mortality group to compare the basic characteristics. The association between FIB-4, death, and CVD was analyzed using the restricted cubic spline method and Cox proportional hazards models. In stratified analysis, Participants were stratified based on age, sex, BMI, hypertension, or eGFR respectively.

Results

The participants (N = 3,471) were divided into survivor (N = 1,785) and mortality groups (N = 1,632), with the mortality group exhibiting significantly higher FIB-4 values. Moreover, the risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.24; 95% CI, 1.17-1.32) and CVD mortality (HR 1.17; 95% CI, 1.04-1.31) increased with each FIB-4 SD increase after adjusting for all covariates. However, except for myocardial infarction, FIB-4 had no significant effect on the incidence of the other three CVD subtypes (congestive heart failure, coronary heart disease, and angina pectoris). In stratified analysis, we found that the effect of FIB-4 on CVD mortality was influenced by age, and FIB-4 is a risk factor for people older than 60 years (HR 1.14; 95% CI, 1.01-1.29).

Conclusion

Using data from NHANES 1999-2008, FIB-4 was found to be associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in the diabetic population, and this association was significantly affected by age. However, FIB-4 only affected the incidence of myocardial infarction. Future work should investigate the association between FIB-4 and CVD in the diabetic population.

Fibrosis-4 Index Score Predicts Concomitant Coronary Artery Diseases Across the Spectrum of Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

25% of US adults have nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The independent association between hepatic fibrosis and cardiovascular disease remains controversial. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) precisely characterizes hepatic steatosis.

AIM

We aimed to determine if degree of hepatic fibrosis, with differing metabolic risk factors, is associated with presence of coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

Retrospective review of patients with hepatic steatosis at a single center from January 2016-October 2020 was performed. MAFLD diagnosis was based on presence of fatty liver disease and metabolic factors. Descriptive statistics and stepwise multivariable logistic regression were performed.

RESULTS

5288 patients with hepatic steatosis were included. 2821 patients with steatosis and metabolic risks were classified as NAFLD-MAFLD. 1245 patients with steatosis without metabolic risks were classified as non-MAFLD NAFLD. 812 patients with metabolic risks and other liver disease and were classified as non-NAFLD MAFLD. On Multivariate analysis, Fib-4 ≥ 2.67 was an independent risk factor for CAD in the overall fatty liver disease and NAFLD-MAFLD groups. Fib-4 as a continuous variable showed linear association with CAD risk in the overall fatty liver disease, Non-MAFLD NAFLD and NAFLD-MAFLD groups, at Fib-4 values below 2.67.

CONCLUSION

Fib-4 ≥ 2.67 is independently predicts concomitant CAD in patients with hepatic steatosis. Fib-4, at levels below 2.67, is significantly associated with concomitant CAD in the all fatty liver disease, Non-MAFLD NAFLD, and NAFLD-MAFLD groups. Emphasizing clinical phenotypes and Fib-4 levels may help target those with an increased risk for CAD.

The Spectrum and Impact of Metabolic Dysfunction in MAFLD: A Longitudinal Cohort Analysis of 32,683 Overweight and Obese Individuals

BACKGROUND

Metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) was recently proposed as an alternative name change for better encapsulation of disease. However, there exists a spectrum of MAFLD where both metabolically healthy (MH) and metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals are included. In view of limited evidence, we sought to examine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and differences in outcomes of MH-MAFLD at the population level.

METHODS

Data were used from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2018. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to obtain odds ratios for the estimation of events. Survival analysis was conducted with Cox regression and the Fine-Gray subdistribution model.

RESULTS

There were 32,683 overweight and obese individuals included in the analysis. In MAFLD patients, the prevalence of MH-MAFLD was 6.92% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.58%-7.27%), and 93.08% (95% CI, 92.73%-93.42%) were considered as MU-MAFLD. Multivariate analysis found a significantly higher risk of MACE (odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28-1.49; P < .01), all-cause (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.17-1.32; P < .01), cardiovascular disease (SHR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02-1.42; P = .03), and cancer mortality (SHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.44; P < .01) in MU-MAFLD relative to non-MAFLD. However, MH-MAFLD individuals were not associated with a statistically significant increased risk of these adverse outcomes compared with non-MAFLD. MU-MAFLD diabetics were also at a higher risk of adverse events compared with non-diabetics.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reports on the heterogeneity and spectrum of metabolic dysfunction that exists in overweight and obese MAFLD. Although MAFLD may potentially be advantageous in improving awareness and patient outcomes, there remains substantial heterogeneity within patients included in MAFLD on the basis of the underlying metabolic burden.

Mortality, Cardiovascular, and Medication Outcomes in Patients With Myocardial Infarction and Underweight in a Meta-Analysis of 6.3 Million Patients

Although most of the current evidence on myocardial infarction focuses on obesity, there is growing evidence that patients who are underweight have unfavorable prognosis. This study aimed to explore the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and prognosis of this population at risk. Embase and Medline were searched for studies reporting outcomes in populations who were underweight with myocardial infarction. Underweight and normal weight were defined according to the World Health Organization criteria. A single-arm meta-analysis of proportions was used to estimate the prevalence of underweight in patients with myocardial infarction, whereas a meta-analysis of proportions was used to estimate the odds ratio of all-cause mortality, medications prescribed, and cardiovascular outcomes. Twenty-one studies involving 6,368,225 patients were included, of whom 47,866 were underweight. The prevalence of underweight in patients with myocardial infarction was 2.96% (95% confidence interval 1.96% to 4.47%). Despite having fewer classical cardiovascular risk factors, patients who were underweight had 66% greater hazard for mortality (hazard ratio 1.66, 95% confidence interval 1.44 to 1.92, p <0.0001). The mortality of patients who were underweight increased from 14.1% at 30 days to 52.6% at 5 years. Nevertheless, they were less likely to receive guideline-directed medical therapy. Relative to subjects with normal weight, Asian populations who were underweight had greater mortality risks than those of their Caucasian counterparts (p = 0.0062). In conclusion, in patients with myocardial infarction, those who were underweight tend to have poorer prognostic outcomes. A lower body mass index is an independent predictor of mortality, which calls for global efforts in addressing this modifiable risk factor in clinical practice guidelines.

Hepatic steatosis and advanced hepatic fibrosis are independent predictors of long-term mortality in acute myocardial infarction

AIM

To examine the prevalence and prognosis of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis in post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients.

METHODS

Patients presenting with AMI to a tertiary hospital were examined from 2014 to 2021. Hepatic steatosis and advanced hepatic fibrosis were determined using the Hepatic Steatosis Index and fibrosis-4 index, respectively. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Cox regression models identified determinants of mortality after adjustments and Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed for all-cause mortality, stratified by hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

Of 5765 patients included, 24.8% had hepatic steatosis, of whom 41.7% were diagnosed with advanced fibrosis. The median follow-up duration was 2.7 years. Patients with hepatic steatosis tended to be younger, female, with elevated body mass index and an increased metabolic burden of diabetes, hypertension and hyperlipidaemia. Patients with hepatic steatosis (24.6% vs. 20.9% mortality, P < .001) and advanced fibrosis (45.6% vs. 32.9% mortality, P < .001) had higher all-cause mortality rates compared with their respective counterparts. Hepatic steatosis (adjusted hazard ratio 1.364, 95% CI 1.145-1.625, P = .001) was associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for confounders. Survival curves showed excess mortality in patients with hepatic steatosis compared with those without (P = .002).

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis have a substantial prevalence among patients with AMI. Both are associated with mortality, with an incrementally higher risk when advanced fibrosis ensues. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis could help risk stratification of AMI patients beyond conventional risk factors.

The global syndemic of metabolic diseases in the young adult population: A consortium of trends and projections from the Global Burden of Disease 2000-2019

BACKGROUND

A significant proportion of premature deaths globally are related to metabolic diseases in young adults. We examined the global trends and mortality of metabolic diseases in individuals aged below 40 years using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019.

METHODS

From 2000 to 2019, global estimates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were described for metabolic diseases (type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM], hyperlipidemia, hypertension, obesity, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD]). Subgroup analyses were performed based on sex, geographical regions and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Age-standardised death and DALYs were presented per 100,000 population with 95 % uncertainty intervals (UI). Projections of mortality and DALYs were estimated using regression models based on the GBD 2019 data and combining them with Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projection counts for years up to 2050.

RESULTS

In 2019, the highest age-standardised death rates were observed in hypertension (133·88 [121·25-155·73]), followed by obesity (62·59 [39·92-89·13]), hyperlipidemia (56·51 [41·83-73·62]), T2DM (18·49 [17·18-19·66]) and NAFLD (2·09 [1·61-2·60]). Similarly, obesity (1932·54 [1276·61-2639·74]) had the highest age-standardised DALYs, followed by hypertension (2885·57 [2580·75-3201·05]), hyperlipidemia (1207·15 [975·07-1461·11]), T2DM (801·55 [670·58-954·43]) and NAFLD (53·33 [40·73-68·29]). Mortality rates decreased over time in hyperlipidemia (-0·6 %), hypertension (-0·47 %), NAFLD (-0·31 %) and T2DM (-0·20 %), but not in obesity (1·07 % increase). The highest metabolic-related mortality was observed in Eastern Mediterranean and low SDI countries. By 2050, obesity is projected to contribute to the largest number of deaths (102·8 % increase from 2019), followed by hypertension (61·4 % increase), hyperlipidemia (60·8 % increase), T2DM (158·6 % increase) and NAFLD (158·4 % increase), with males continuing to bear the greatest burden across all metabolic diseases.

CONCLUSION

The growing burden of metabolic diseases, increasing obesity-related mortality trends, and the sex-regional-socioeconomic disparities evident in young adulthood, underlie the concerning growing global burden of metabolic diseases now and in future.

The global burden of metabolic disease: Data from 2000 to 2019

Global estimates of prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 were examined for metabolic diseases (type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM], hypertension, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD]). For metabolic risk factors (hyperlipidemia and obesity), estimates were limited to mortality and DALYs. From 2000 to 2019, prevalence rates increased for all metabolic diseases, with the greatest increase in high socio-demographic index (SDI) countries. Mortality rates decreased over time in hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and NAFLD, but not in T2DM and obesity. The highest mortality was found in the World Health Organization Eastern Mediterranean region, and low to low-middle SDI countries. The global prevalence of metabolic diseases has risen over the past two decades regardless of SDI. Urgent attention is needed to address the unchanging mortality rates attributed to metabolic disease and the entrenched sex-regional-socioeconomic disparities in mortality.

Impact of advanced liver fibrosis on atrial fibrillation recurrence after ablation in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients

Aim

Advanced liver fibrosis is independently associated with new onset of atrial fibrillation (AF). Non-invasive liver fibrosis scores are considered an effective strategy for assessing liver fibrosis. This study aimed to investigate the association between advanced liver fibrosis and AF recurrence after ablation in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Materials and methods

A total of 345 AF patients with NAFLD who underwent de novo ablation between 2019 and 2020 at two large hospitals in China were included in this study. AF recurrence was defined as the occurrence of atrial arrhythmia for more than 30 s by electrocardiogram or 24 h Holter monitoring after the first 3 months of ablation. Predictive values of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores for AF burden and recurrence after ablation were assessed.

Results

At the 1 year follow-up after ablation, 38.8% of patients showed recurrence. Patients with recurrence who had higher FIB-4 and NFS scores were more likely to have persistent AF and a duration of AF ≥ 3 years. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with intermediate and high NFS and FIB-4 risk categories had a higher risk of AF recurrence. Compared to patients with the low risk, intermediate and high NFS, and FIB-4 risk were independently associated with AF recurrence in multivariate Cox regression analysis (high risk: NFS, hazard ratio (HR): 3.11, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.68∼5.76, p < 0.001; FIB-4, HR: 3.91, 95% CI: 2.19∼6.98, p < 0.001; intermediate risk: NFS, HR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.10∼3.10, p = 0.020; FIB-4, HR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.27∼3.41, p = 0.003).

Conclusion

NFS and FIB-4 scores for advanced liver fibrosis are associated with AF burden. Advanced liver fibrosis is independently associated with AF recurrence following ablation. Advanced liver fibrosis might be meaningful in risk classification for patients after AF ablation.

Depression in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is associated with an increased risk of complications and mortality

Background and aims

The global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is expected to rise continuously. Furthermore, emerging evidence has also shown the potential for concomitant depression in NAFLD. This study aims to examine the prevalence, risk factors, and adverse events of depression in NAFLD and evaluate whether treated depression can reverse the increased risks of adverse outcomes.

Materials and methods

This study analyses the 2000–2018 cycles of NHANES that examined liver steatosis with fatty liver index (FLI). The relationship between NAFLD and depression was assessed with a generalized linear mix model and a sensitivity analysis was conducted in the no depression, treated depression, and untreated depression groups. Survival analysis was conducted with cox regression and fine gray sub-distribution model.

Results

A total of 21,414 patients were included and 6,726 were diagnosed with NAFLD. The risk of depression in NAFLD was 12% higher compared to non-NAFLD individuals (RR: 1.12, CI: 1.00–1.26, p = 0.04). NAFLD individuals with depression were more likely to be older, females, Hispanics or Caucasians, diabetic, and have higher BMI. Individuals with depression have high risk for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) (RR: 1.40, CI: 1.25–1.58, p < 0.01), stroke (RR: 1.71, CI: 1.27–2.23, p < 0.01), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.50, CI: 1.25–1.81, p < 0.01), and cancer-related mortality (SHR: 1.43, CI: 1.14–1.80, p = 0.002) compared to NAFLD individuals without depression. The risk of CVD, stroke, all-cause mortality, and cancer-related mortality in NAFLD individuals with treated depression and depression with untreated treatment was higher compared to individuals without depression.

Conclusion

This study shows that concomitant depression in NAFLD patients can increase the risk of adverse outcomes. Early screening of depression in high-risk individuals should be encouraged to improve the wellbeing of NAFLD patients.