A randomised-controlled trial of 1-year adjuvant chemotherapy with oral tegafur-uracil versus surgery alone in stage II colon cancer: SACURA trial. Eur J Cancer. 2018;96:54-63. [PMID: 29677641 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejca.2018.03.009]

Final analyses of the prospective controlled trial on the efficacy of uracil and tegafur/leucovorin as an adjuvant treatment for stage II colon cancer with risk factors for recurrence using propensity score-based methods (JFMC46-1201)

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) has not been well established. Using propensity score matching, we previously reported that the 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate was significantly higher in patients treated with uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) against surgery alone. We report the final results, including updated 5-year overall survival (OS) rates and risk factor analysis outcomes.

METHODS

In total, 1902 high-risk stage II CC patients with T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, and/or < 12 dissected lymph nodes were enrolled in this prospective, non-randomized controlled study based on their self-selected treatment. Oral UFT/LV therapy was administered for six months after surgery.

RESULTS

Of the 1880 eligible patients, 402 in Group A (surgery alone) and 804 in Group B (UFT/LV) were propensity score-matched. The 5-year DFS rate was significantly higher in Group B than in Group A (P = 0.0008). The 5-year OS rates were not significantly different between groups. The inverse probability of treatment weighting revealed significantly higher 5-year DFS (P = 0.0006) and 5-year OS (P = 0.0122) rates in group B than in group A. Multivariate analyses revealed that male sex, age ≥ 70 years, T4, < 12 dissected lymph nodes, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were significant risk factors for DFS and/or OS.

CONCLUSION

The follow-up data from our prospective non-randomized controlled study revealed a considerable survival advantage in DFS offered by adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT/LV administered for six months over surgery alone in individuals with high-risk stage II CC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Japan Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCTs031180155 (date of registration: 25/02/2019), UMIN Clinical Trials Registry: UMIN000007783 (date of registration: 18/04/2012).

Using oral tegafur/uracil (UFT) plus leucovorin as adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer: a propensity score matching study from Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Early-stage colorectal cancer had excellent outcomes after curative resection, typically. However, a perplexing survival paradox between stage II and stage III was noted. This paradox could be influenced by the administration of routine postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and the presence of high-risk factors in stage II CRC. The objective of the study was to investigate the influence of high-risk factors on patients with stage II CRC and assess the efficacy of oral tegafur/uracil (UFT) plus leucovorin as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II CRC patients.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted using propensity score matching at a single medical institution. A total of 1544 patients with stage II colorectal cancer who underwent radical surgery between January 2004 and January 2009 were included. The intervention used was tegafur/uracil plus leucovorin as adjuvant chemotherapy. The main outcome measures were disease-free survival and overall survival.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, 261 patients were included in three groups: no-treatment, half-year treatment, and one-year treatment. The clinical characteristics of each group tended to be more consistent. The Cox proportional hazard models showed that tegafur/uracil treatment or not was a significant independent factor for oncological outcome. Kaplan-Meier analysis also showed significantly better disease-free survival and overall survival. Further investigation revealed that tegafur/uracil duration was an independent factor for oncological outcome. While the survival curve did not reach statistical significance, the one-year UFT treatment group demonstrated the best treatment trend.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that tegafur/uracil plus leucovorin is a feasible adjuvant chemotherapy regimen for patients with stage II colorectal cancer after curative surgical treatment. Prolonged tegafur/uracil plus leucovorin treatment for 12 months showed a trend towards better outcomes in patients with stage II colorectal cancer.

Interaction analysis of high-risk pathological features on adjuvant chemotherapy survival benefit in stage II colon cancer patients: a multi-center, retrospective study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to analyze the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk stage II colon cancer patients and the impact of high-risk factors on the prognostic effect of adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

This study is a multi-center, retrospective study, A total of 931 patients with stage II colon cancer who underwent curative surgery in 8 tertiary hospitals in China between 2016 and 2017 were enrolled in the study. Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the risk factors of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) and to test the multiplicative interaction of pathological factors and adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT). The additive interaction was presented using the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI). The Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot (STEPP) was utilized to assess the interaction of continuous variables on the ACT effect.

RESULTS

A total of 931 stage II colon cancer patients were enrolled in this study, the median age was 63 years old (interquartile range: 54-72 years) and 565 (60.7%) patients were male. Younger patients (median age, 58 years vs 65 years; P < 0.001) and patients with the following high-risk features, such as T4 tumors (30.8% vs 7.8%; P < 0.001), grade 3 lesions (36.0% vs 22.7%; P < 0.001), lymphovascular invasion (22.1% vs 6.8%; P < 0.001) and perineural invasion (19.4% vs 13.6%; P = 0.031) were more likely to receive ACT. Patients with perineural invasion showed a worse OS and marginally worse DFS (hazardous ratio [HR] 2.166, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.282-3.660, P = 0.004; HR 1.583, 95% CI 0.985-2.545, P = 0.058, respectively). Computing the interaction on a multiplicative and additive scale revealed that there was a significant interaction between PNI and ACT in terms of DFS (HR for multiplicative interaction 0.196, p = 0.038; RERI, -1.996; 95%CI, -3.600 to -0.392) and OS (HR for multiplicative interaction 0.112, p = 0.042; RERI, -2.842; 95%CI, -4.959 to -0.725).

CONCLUSIONS

Perineural invasion had prognostic value, and it could also influence the effect of ACT after curative surgery. However, other high-risk features showed no implication of efficacy for ACT in our study.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03794193 (04/01/2019).

Efficacy and Safety of Intraoperative Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Colon Cancer: A Phase 3 Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Peritoneal metastasis in patients with locally advanced colon cancer (T4 stage) is estimated to recur at a rate of approximately 25% at 3 years from surgical resection and is associated with poor prognosis. There is controversy regarding the clinical benefit of prophylactic hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) in these patients.

Objective

To assess the efficacy and safety of intraoperative HIPEC in patients with locally advanced colon cancer.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This open-label, phase 3 randomized clinical trial was conducted in 17 Spanish centers from November 15, 2015, to March 9, 2021. Enrolled patients were aged 18 to 75 years with locally advanced primary colon cancer diagnosed preoperatively (cT4N02M0).

Interventions

Patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to receive cytoreduction plus HIPEC with mitomycin C (30 mg/m2 over 60 minutes; investigational group) or cytoreduction alone (comparator group), both followed by systemic adjuvant chemotherapy. Randomization of the intention-to-treat population was done via a web-based system, with stratification by treatment center and sex.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was 3-year locoregional control (LC) rate, defined as the proportion of patients without peritoneal disease recurrence analyzed by intention to treat. Secondary end points were disease-free survival, overall survival, morbidity, and rate of toxic effects.

Results

A total of 184 patients were recruited and randomized (investigational group, n = 89; comparator group, n = 95). The mean (SD) age was 61.5 (9.2) years, and 111 (60.3%) were male. Median duration of follow-up was 36 months (IQR, 27-36 months). Demographic and clinical characteristics were similar between groups. The 3-year LC rate was higher in the investigational group (97.6%) than in the comparator group (87.6%) (log-rank P = .03; hazard ratio [HR], 0.21; 95% CI, 0.05-0.95). No differences were observed in disease-free survival (investigational, 81.2%; comparator, 78.0%; log-rank P = .22; HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.41-1.22) or overall survival (investigational, 91.7%; comparator, 92.9%; log-rank P = .68; HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.26-2.37). The definitive subgroup with pT4 disease showed a pronounced benefit in 3-year LC rate after investigational treatment (investigational: 98.3%; comparator: 82.1%; log-rank P = .003; HR, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.01-0.70). No differences in morbidity or toxic effects between groups were observed.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this randomized clinical trial, the addition of HIPEC to complete surgical resection for locally advanced colon cancer improved the 3-year LC rate compared with surgery alone. This approach should be considered for patients with locally advanced colorectal cancer.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02614534.

Predictive modelling for high-risk stage II colon cancer using auto-artificial intelligence

BACKGROUND

Recently, stratification of high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) and the need for adjuvant chemotherapy have been the focus of attention. The aim of this retrospective study was to define high-risk factors for recurrent stage II CC using Prediction One auto-artificial intelligence (AI) software and develop a new predictive model for high-risk stage II CC.

METHODS

The study included 259 consecutive pathological stage II CC patients undergoing curative resection at our institution between January 2000 and December 2016. Prediction One software with five-fold cross-validation was used to create a predictive model and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Predictive accuracy of AI was evaluated using the area under the ROC curve (AUC). We also evaluated the importance of variables (IOV) using a method based on permutation feature importance (IOV > 0.01 defined high-risk factors) to evaluate disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

The median observation period was 6.1 (range = 0.3-15.8) years. Thirty-seven patients had recurrence (14.3%); the AUC of the AI model was 0.775. Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen > 5.0 ng/mL (IOV = 0.047), venous invasion (IOV = 0.014), and obstruction (IOV = 0.012) were high-risk factors contributing to cancer recurrence. Patients with 2-3 high-risk factors had lower 5-year DFS than those with 0-1 factor (87.4% vs 62.7%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a new predictive model that could predict recurrent high-risk stage II CC with high probability using auto-AI Prediction One software. Patients with ≥ 2 of the aforementioned factors are considered to have high risks for recurrent stage II CC and may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Estimation of the physiologic ability and surgical stress scoring system as a useful predictor of postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II colorectal cancer: a multicenter study

PURPOSE

We determined the usefulness of the estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS), initially reported as a predictive factor for postoperative morbidity and mortality, as a prognostic indicator in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

Overall, 739 patients who underwent proctocolectomy for CRC at Tottori University Hospital and affiliated hospitals and histologically diagnosed with stage II CRC were included in the current study.

RESULTS

A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of the five-year recurrence-free survival indicated that the comprehensive risk score (CRS) of E-PASS predicted postoperative recurrence. A multivariate analysis revealed that the presence of preoperative perforation, T4, v ≥ 2, and CRS^High (≥ 0.2267) were independent predictors of postoperative recurrence. Patients were assigned a score using these factors, as follows: the presence of perforation = 1, the absence of preoperative perforation = 0, T4 = 1, T3 = 0, v2/3 = 1, v0/1 = 0, CRS^High = 1, and CRS^Low = 0 (total score: 0-4). Accordingly, the respective 5-year relapse-free survival rates were 91.0%, 83.6%, 70.3%, and 52.0% among those with scores of 0, 1, 2, and both 3 and 4 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The CRS predicts postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC.

Combination Chemotherapy of Multidrug-resistant Early-stage Colon Cancer: Determining Optimal Dose Schedules by High-performance Computer Simulation

The goal of this project was to utilize mechanistic simulation to demonstrate a methodology that could determine drug combination dose schedules and dose intensities that would be most effective in eliminating multidrug resistant cancer cells in early-stage colon cancer. An agent-based model of cell dynamics in human colon crypts was calibrated using measurements of human biopsy specimens. Mutant cancer cells were simulated as cells that were resistant to each of two drugs when the drugs were used separately. The drugs, 5-flurouracil and sulindac, have different mechanisms of action. An artificial neural network was used to generate nearly two hundred thousand two-drug dose schedules. A high-performance computer simulated each dose schedule as a in silico clinical trial and evaluated each dose schedule for its efficiency to cure (eliminate) multidrug resistant cancer cells and its toxicity to the host, as indicated by continued crypt function. Among the dose schedules that were generated, 2430 dose schedules were found to cure all multidrug resistant mutants in each of the 50 simulated trials and retained colon crypt function. One dose schedule was optimal; it eliminated multidrug resistant cancer cells with the minimum toxicity and had a time schedule that would be practical for implementation in the clinic. These results demonstrate a procedure to identify which combination drug dose schedules could be most effective in eliminating drug resistant cancer cells. This was accomplished using a calibrated agent-based model of a human tissue, and a high-performance computer simulation of clinical trials.

Adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival in high-risk stage II colon cancer: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The survival advantage of postoperative chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) patients remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose was to evaluate the survival of high-risk stage II CC cases treated with chemotherapy and to construct survival prediction models to predict the survival benefit from chemotherapy.

DESIGN

The study is a retrospective observational cohort study.

METHODS

Data on patients with stage II CC diagnosed from 2005 to 2019 who underwent radical surgery were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to obtain two cohorts, chemotherapy versus no chemotherapy. A chi-square analysis was used to assess the differences before and after PSM in the above two groups. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression were applied to investigate the 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) and cancer cause-specific survival (CSS). The predictive power of the constructed models was assessed by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves.

RESULTS

Of the 37,050 cases, 14,744 (39.8%) stage II CC were at high-risk and 29.2% of them received chemotherapy. Age, T stage, marital status, histologic grade, gender, and site independently influenced the reception of chemotherapy. The survival advantage of chemotherapy in the high-risk patients remained positive before and after PSM. The estimated 3, 5, and 10 years OS rates of chemotherapy group were 9.3, 10.7, and 15.6% higher than the nonchemotherapy group, respectively. Four nomograms predicting OS and CSS were established, with great discrimination (C-index between 0.627 and 0.691) and excellent calibration.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative chemotherapy is beneficial for high-risk stage II CC patients, including the elderly patients (over 65 years of age). Our study developed nomograms to quantify the survival benefit of chemotherapy among high-risk stage II CC patients to develop personalized treatment recommendations and guide management decisions.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen and Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Levels for Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Stage II Colorectal Cancer: A Nationwide Multicenter Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVES

Adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colorectal cancer patients with high-risk factors for recurrence can be useful; however, its advantage in prognosis remains to be controversial. Thus, in this study, we aimed to assess whether a combination of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels can predict the prognosis and advantage of adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

Using a Japanese nationwide database, in total, 3,688 patients with curative resected stage II colorectal cancer were registered retrospectively between 2008 and 2012 in 24 referral institutions. Patients were classified into three groups as follows: Group A (both non-high levels of CEA and CA19-9), Group B (either high levels of CEA or CA19-9), and Group C (both high levels of CEA and CA19-9).

RESULTS

Multivariable Cox regression analysis, adjusting the depth of tumor invasion, number of dissected lymph nodes, tumor differentiation, lymphatic and venous invasion, and other covariates, showed that the 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival were shorter in Group C than in Groups A and B. Furthermore, in Group C, the 5-year disease-free survival rate was improved in the surgery-plus-AC group compared to the surgery-alone group.

CONCLUSIONS

As with existing high-risk factors for recurrence, the combination assessment of preoperative serum CEA and CA19-9 can predict the prognosis for colorectal cancer. Adjuvant chemotherapy may provide a prolonged disease-free survival advantage in stage II colorectal cancer patients with high levels of both tumor markers.

CD4 and FOXP3 as predictive markers for the recurrence of T3/T4a stage II colorectal cancer: applying a novel discrete Bayes decision rule

Background

We recently reported the relapse-free survival (RFS) significance of the combination of CD4⁺ and forkhead box P3⁺ (FOXP3) T-cell densities identified by immunohistochemistry in patients with stage I, II, and III colorectal cancer (CRC) who underwent curative resections. This study was designed to determine the optimal combination of markers that predict recurrence in patients with T factors of T3/T4a stage II CRC by applying a novel Bayes decision rule.

Methods

Using 137 cancer tissue specimens from T3/T4a stage II patients, 12 clinicopathologic and immune factors were analysed as predictive candidates for recurrence.

Results

Our study showed that the combination of low CD4⁺ and low FOXP3⁺ T-cell densities resulted in extremely poor RFS.

Conclusions

Adjuvant chemotherapy may be considered for patients with a combination of low CD4⁺ and low FOXP3⁺ T-cell densities. The discovery of this new prognostic indicator is important for the appropriate management of patients undergoing curative resection for T3/T4a stage II CRC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-10181-7.

Risk factors for recurrence in elderly patients with stage II colorectal cancer: a multicenter retrospective study

Background

Adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) is considered appropriate for patients with risk factors for recurrence, rather than for all patients uniformly. However, the risk factors for recurrence remain controversial, and there is limited information, especially for elderly patients. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) is widely used as a simple nutritional screening tool in the elderly and is associated with cancer prognosis and recurrence. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for recurrence in the elderly with stage II CRC, focusing on the GNRI.

Methods

We enrolled 348 elderly patients (≥ 75 years) with stage II CRC who underwent curative resection at the Department of Surgery, Tottori University and our 10 affiliated institutions. The patients were divided into GNRI^high (≥ 93.465) and GNRI^low (< 93.465) groups.

Results

The GNRI^low group showed a significantly worse overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and relapse-free survival (RFS) (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, GNRI^low (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.244, P < 0.001), pathologic T4 stage (HR: 1.658, P = 0.014), and moderate to severe lymphatic or venous invasion (HR: 1.460, P = 0.033) were independent factors affecting RFS. By using these three factors to score the risk of recurrence from 0 to 3 points, the prognosis was significantly stratified in terms of OS, CSS, and RFS (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). The recurrence rate for each score was as follows: 0 points, 9.8%; 1 point, 22.0%; 2 points, 37.3%; and 3 points, 61.9%.

Conclusions

GNRI^low, pathologic T4 stage, and moderate to severe lymphatic or venous invasion are high-risk factors for recurrence in the elderly with stage II CRC. The scoring system using these three factors appropriately predicted their recurrence and outcome.

Does adjuvant chemotherapy improve outcomes in elderly patients with colorectal cancer? A systematic review and meta-analysis of real-world studies

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients are frequently excluded from randomized trials. It is unclear if adjuvant chemotherapy improves outcomes of colorectal cancer in such patients. The current study aimed to review evidence on the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in elderly patients with stage II/III colorectal cancer by pooling data from real-world studies.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, ScienceDirect, CENTRAL, and Google Scholar databases were searched for observational studies reporting adjusted data on OS and DFS in elderly (≥70 years) colorectal cancer patients based on receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies included. The meta-analysis demonstrated statistically significant improved OS in elderly patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy (p < 0.00001). Results were similar for sub-group analysis based on cancer stage and definition of elderly. Improvement in OS was noted in only Western population studies with no difference in Asian patients. The meta-analysis also revealed no statistically significant difference in DFS in elderly patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy vs surgery alone (p = 0.14).

CONCLUSION

Real-world evidence indicates that adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved OS but not DFS in elderly colorectal cancer patients. Scarce evidence suggests a limited role of adjuvant chemotherapy in Asian patients which needs confirmation by further studies.

Prospective observational study of the efficacy of oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin for stage II colon cancer with risk factors for recurrence using propensity score matching (JFMC46-1201)

Background

The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) has not been well established. We compared the effects of surgery with and without oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) in patients with high-risk stage II CC, adjusting for potential risk factors.

Methods

We enrolled patients with histologically confirmed stage II colon adenocarcinoma with at least one of the following conditions: T4 disease, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, or < 12 dissected lymph nodes. Patients chose to be non-randomized or randomized to undergo surgery alone (NR-Group S or R-Group S) or surgery followed by 6 months of UFT/LV (NR-Group U or R-Group U). The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS) after adjusting for previously reported risk factors using propensity score matching (1:2) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) in the non-randomized arm.

Results

Overall, 1,902 (98%) and 36 (2%) patients were enrolled in the non-randomized and randomized arms, respectively. There were too few patients in the randomized arm and these were therefore excluded from the analysis. Of the 1,902 patients, 402 in NR-Group S and 804 in NR-Group U were propensity score-matched. The 3-year DFS rate (95% confidence interval) was significantly higher in NR-Group U (80.9% [77.9%–83.4%]) than in NR-Group S (74.0% [69.3%–78.0%]) (hazard ratio, 0.64 [0.50–0.83]; P = 0.0006). The 3-year overall survival rate was not significantly different between NR-Group S and NR-Group U. Significantly higher 3-year DFS (P = 0.0013) and overall survival (P = 0.0315) rates were observed in NR-Group U compared with NR-Group S using IPTW.

Conclusions

Adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT/LV showed a significant survival benefit over surgery alone in patients with high-risk stage II CC characterized by at least one of the following conditions: T4 disease, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, or < 12 dissected lymph nodes.

Trial registration

Japan Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCTs031180155 (date of registration: 25/02/2019) (UMIN Clinical Trials Registry: UMIN000007783, date of registration: 18/04/2012).

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09267-z.

Chronotherapy of Early Colon Cancer: Advantage of Morning Dose Schedules

Colon adenomas with proliferating mutant cells may progress to invasive carcinomas. Proliferation of cells in human colorectal tissue is circadian, greater in the interval 4 to 12 hours after midnight than 16 to 24 hours after midnight. We have tested the hypothesis that chemotherapy administered during the time of greater cell proliferation will be more effective than chemotherapy administered during the time of lesser proliferation. An agent-based computer model of cell proliferation in colon crypts was calibrated with measurements of cell numbers in human biopsy specimens. It was used to simulate cytotoxic chemotherapy of an early stage of colon cancer, adenomas with about 20% of mutant cells. Chemotherapy doses were scheduled at different 4-hour intervals during the 24-hour day, and repeated at weekly intervals. Chemotherapy administered at 4 to 8 hours after midnight cured mutant cells in 100% of 50 trials with an average time to cure of 7.82 days (s.e.m. = 0.99). In contrast, chemotherapy administered at 20 to 24 hours after midnight cured only 18% of 50 trials, with the average time to cure of 23.51 days (s.e.m. = 2.42). These simulation results suggest that clinical chemotherapy of early colon cancer may be more effective when given in the morning than later in the day.

The preoperative pan-immune-inflammation value is a novel prognostic predictor for with stage I-III colorectal cancer patients undergoing surgery

PURPOSE

The pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) is useful for stratifying outcomes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. However, it is unclear whether preoperative PIV can predict the surgical outcomes of patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer who receive surgery.

METHODS

The records of 758 patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer who received surgical treatment were retrospectively reviewed. The preoperative PIV was calculated as follows: (neutrophil count × platelet count × monocyte count)/lymphocyte count. The cut-off value was determined using a receiver operating characteristic curve for overall survival.

RESULTS

The cut-off value of the preoperative PIV was 376. Five hundred sixty-eight patients (74.9%) had low values (≤ 376), and 190 (25.1%) had high values (> 376). Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that the PIV (> 376/ ≤ 376) (HR 2.485; 95% CI 1.552-3.981, P < 0.001) was significantly associated with overall survival, as well as age (> 60/ ≤ 60, years) (HR 1.988; 95% CI 1.038-3.807, P = 0.038), globulin-to-albumin ratio (> 0.83/ ≤ 0.83) (HR 2.013; 95% CI 1.231-3.290, P = 0.005) and postoperative complication (C-D grade III-V/0-II) (HR 1.991; 95% CI 1.154-3.438, P = 0.013). The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test showed significant differences in overall survival between patients with stage I-III disease with high (> 376) and low (≤ 376) PIVs.

CONCLUSION

The preoperative PIV is useful for predicting surgical outcomes in patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer.

Sustainable Clinical Development of Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Colon Cancer

Numerous clinical studies in an adjuvant setting have been conducted and the combination therapy of 5-fluorouracil and oxaliplatin has been established as the standard treatment for Stage III and as an option for high-risk Stage II patients. Biologics such as bevacizumab and antiepidermal growth factor receptor antibodies have failed to show additional survival benefits. The indication of adjuvant chemotherapy has been determined according to the pathological stage. Nevertheless, a pathological diagnosis does not necessarily result in selection of the optimal treatment. To improve treatment decisions, many trials have aimed to stratify patients into treatment groups using genomic testing. Recently, gene signature, Immunoscore, and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assays have been reported and among them, ctDNA was shown to be a promising accurate predictive marker for recurrence. Treatment of ctDNA-positive patients with aggressive chemotherapy may reduce recurrence rates. The ultimate goal is to accurately predict the risk of recurrence and to prevent recurrence in colon cancer patients. In this review we focus on the clinical development of adjuvant chemotherapy and stratification of patients according to risk of recurrence and the future direction of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Adjuvant Therapy for Stage II Colon Cancer: ASCO Guideline Update

PURPOSE

To develop recommendations for adjuvant therapy for patients with resected stage II colon cancer.

METHODS

ASCO convened an Expert Panel to conduct a systematic review of relevant studies and develop recommendations for clinical practice.

RESULTS

Twenty-one observational studies and six randomized controlled trials met the systematic review inclusion criteria.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) is not routinely recommended for patients with stage II colon cancer who are not in a high-risk subgroup. Patients with T4 tumors are at higher risk of recurrence and should be offered ACT, whereas patients with other high-risk factors, including sampling of fewer than 12 lymph nodes in the surgical specimen, perineural or lymphatic invasion, poorly or undifferentiated tumor grade, intestinal obstruction, tumor perforation, or grade BD3 tumor budding, may be offered ACT. The addition of oxaliplatin to fluoropyrimidine-based ACT is not routinely recommended, but may be offered as a result of shared decision making. Patients with mismatch repair deficiency/microsatellite instability tumors should not be routinely offered ACT; if the combination of mismatch repair deficiency/microsatellite instability and high-risk factors results in a decision to offer ACT, oxaliplatin-containing chemotherapy is recommended. Duration of oxaliplatin-containing chemotherapy is also addressed, with recommendations for 3 or 6 months of treatment with capecitabine and oxaliplatin or fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin, with decision making informed by key evidence of 5-year disease-free survival in each treatment subgroup and the rate of adverse events, including peripheral neuropathy.Additional information is available at www.asco.org/gastrointestinal-cancer-guidelines.

Optimization assisted Kalman filter for cancer chemotherapy dosage estimation

Cancer is regarded to be the earth's most deadly disease, with one of the highest mortality rates among people. "Surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, hormone therapy, and immunotherapy" were all options for treat cancer. Chemotherapy is a medication that is most often deployed for treating cancer, as cancer cells develop and proliferate faster than other cells in the body. Even though chemotherapy is an effective method to treatment various kinds of cancers, the treatment includes risk as it causes side effects due to improper drug usage. The application of a controller-based strategy for determining the optimal rate of drug injection during treatment has risen dramatically in recent years. Thereby, this work develops a robust controller for controlling the dosage of drugs that is carried out under parameter estimation. In addition, a Modified Regularized Error Function-based Extended Kalman filter (MREF-EKF) is introduced for estimating the tumor cells and it can be exploited for diverse conditions. Moreover, the overfitting issue that occurs during drug dosage estimation is also solved using this approach. Further, to improve the performance of the developed approach, the initial state of EKF is fine-tuned via Mean fitness-based Particle Swarm Update (MF-PSU), which is the enhanced version of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). At last, the supremacy of the presented approach is proved with respect to convergence analysis and error analysis. For instance, our method outperforms existing GWO + e_k + m, AGWO + e_k + m, and PSO + e_k + m approaches in convergence analysis at noise level 0.41 by 0.009%, 0.002%, and 4.9% respectively. In error analysis, the error values for tumor cells have reached a minimum error value of zero for all noise levels (0.41, 0.43, and 0.55). The findings of this study can help for a better understanding of our presented robust controller's effectiveness in controlling the dosage of drugs.

Completeness and accuracy of the registration of recurrences in the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry (SCRCR) and an update of recurrence risk in colon cancer

BACKGROUND

The completeness and accuracy of the registration of synchronous metastases and recurrences in the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry has not been investigated. Knowing how accurate these parameters are in the registry is a prerequisite to adequately measure the current recurrence risk.

METHODS

All charts for patients diagnosed with stage I-III colorectal cancer (CRC) in two regions were reviewed. In one of the regions, all registrations of synchronous metastases were similarly investigated. After the database had been corrected, recurrence risk in colon cancer was calculated stratified by risk group as suggested by ESMO in 2020.

RESULTS

In patients operated upon more than five years ago (N = 1235), there were 20 (1.6%) recurrences not reported. In more recent patients, more recurrences were unreported (4.0%). Few synchronous metastases were wrongly registered (3.6%) and, likewise, few synchronous metastases were not registered (about 1%). The five-year recurrence risk in stage II was 6% for low-risk, 11% for intermediate risk, and 23% for high-risk colon cancer patients. In stage III, it was 25% in low- and 45% in high-risk patients. Incorporation of risk factors in stage III modified the risks substantially even if this is not considered by ESMO. Adjuvant chemotherapy lowered the risk in stage III but not to any relevant extent in stage II.

CONCLUSION

The registration of recurrences in the registry after 5 years is accurate to between 1 and 2% but less accurate earlier. A small number of unreported recurrences and falsely reported recurrences were discovered in the chart review. The recurrence risk in this validated and updated patient series matches what has been recently reported, except for the risk of recurrence in stage II low risk colon cancers which seem to be even a few percentage points lower (6 vs. 9%).

ELF3 Overexpression as Prognostic Biomarker for Recurrence of Stage II Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND/AIM

Adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk Stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) is weakly recommended; however, no consensus exists on "high-risk" definition. Prognostic biomarker identification is important for selecting patients with poor prognosis who may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using Microarray data analyses, ELF3 was identified as a candidate gene highly expressed in Stage II CRC with distant recurrences. ELF3 mRNA expression in 168 Stage II CRC patients was subjected to quantitative RT-PCR analysis and ELF3 protein expression in 185 patients was quantified by immunohistochemical analysis. The relationship between mRNA and protein expression levels and patient characteristics were also investigated.

RESULTS

The overall recurrence rate and relapse-free survival were significantly poorer in the ELF3 high-expression than the low-expression group at the mRNA and protein levels. High ELF3 mRNA and protein expression levels were independent poor prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

High ELF3 expression was associated with recurrence of Stage II.

The Combination of Prognostic Nutritional Indicator and Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen is Useful in Predicting Postoperative Recurrence in Stage II Colorectal Cancer

Background

The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients has not been clearly demonstrated. Therefore, identification of robust prognostic factors is crucial for the assessment of recurrence risk in stage II CRC and appropriate adjuvant treatment, in clinical practice.

Methods

We enrolled 135 colorectal adenocarcinoma patients who underwent proctocolectomies and had histologically diagnosed stage II CRC.

Results

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, to evaluate the predictive ability of certain serum factors for CRC recurrence, indicated that the prognostic nutritional indicator (PNI), followed by serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, were the strongest predictive metrics. Based on cutoff values from ROC analyses, patients were divided as follows; CEA^High (≥ 4.55 ng/mL), CEA^Low (< 4.55 ng/mL), PNI^High (≥ 47.72), and PNI^Low (< 47.72). The recurrence rates of patients with CEA^High and PNI^Low, CEA^High and PNI^High, CEA^Low and PNI^Low, and CEA^Low and PNI^High were 34.3%, 0%, 6.8%, and 2.6%, respectively (a significant difference at P < 0.0001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the combination of serum CEA level and PNI was an independent predictive indicator of tumor recurrence after operation in stage II CRC patients. The 5-year disease specific survival rates of patients with CEA^LowPNI^High, CEA^HighPNI^High, CEA^LowPNI^Low, CEA^HighPNI^Low were 100%, 100%, 97.4%, and 77.5%, respectively (P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

The combination of CEA and PNI was useful in predicting postoperative recurrence in stage II CRC patients.

Association of chemotherapy with survival in stage II colon cancer patients who received radical surgery: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

It remains controversial whether patients with Stage II colon cancer would benefit from chemotherapy after radical surgery. This study aims to assess the real effectiveness of chemotherapy in patients with stage II colon cancer undergoing radical surgery and to construct survival prediction models to predict the survival benefits of chemotherapy.

METHODS

Data for stage II colon cancer patients with radical surgery were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed according to receive or not receive chemotherapy. Competitive risk regression models were used to assess colon cancer cause-specific death (CSD) and non-colon cancer cause-specific death (NCSD). Survival prediction nomograms were constructed to predict overall survival (OS) and colon cancer cause-specific survival (CSS). The predictive abilities of the constructed models were evaluated by the concordance indexes (C-indexes) and calibration curves.

RESULTS

A total of 25,110 patients were identified, 21.7% received chemotherapy, and 78.3% were without chemotherapy. A total of 10,916 patients were extracted after propensity score matching. The estimated 3-year overall survival rates of chemotherapy were 0.7% higher than non- chemotherapy. The estimated 5-year and 10-year overall survival rates of non-chemotherapy were 1.3 and 2.1% higher than chemotherapy, respectively. Survival prediction models showed good discrimination (the C-indexes between 0.582 and 0.757) and excellent calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

Chemotherapy improves the short-term (43 months) survival benefit of stage II colon cancer patients who received radical surgery. Survival prediction models can be used to predict OS and CSS of patients receiving chemotherapy as well as OS and CSS of patients not receiving chemotherapy and to make individualized treatment recommendations for stage II colon cancer patients who received radical surgery.

Prognostic value of desmoplastic reaction characterisation in stage II colon cancer: prospective validation in a Phase 3 study (SACURA Trial)

BACKGROUND

The characterisation of desmoplastic reaction (DR) has emerged as a new, independent prognostic determinant in colorectal cancer. Herein, we report the validation of its prognostic value in a randomised controlled study (SACURA trial).

METHODS

The study included 991 stage II colon cancer patients. DR was classified by the central review as Mature, Intermediate or Immature based on the presence of hyalinised collagen bundles and myxoid stroma at the desmoplastic front. All clinical and pathological data, including DR characterisations, were prospectively recorded and analysed 5 years after the completion of the registration.

RESULTS

The five-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rate was the highest in the Mature group (N = 638), followed by the Intermediate (N = 294) and Immature groups (N = 59). Multivariate analysis revealed that DR classification was an independent prognostic factor, and based on Harrell's C-index, the Cox model for predicting RFS was significantly improved by including DR. In the conditional inference tree analysis, DR categorisation was the first split factor for predicting RFS, followed by T-stage, microsatellite instability status and budding.

CONCLUSIONS

Histological categorisation of DR provides important prognostic information that could contribute to the efficient selection of stage II colon cancer patients who would benefit from postoperative adjuvant therapy.

Associations of P Score With Real-World Survival Improvement Offered by Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Stage II Colon Cancer: A Large Population-Based Longitudinal Cohort Study

Background

Based on a prognostic scoring system (P score) proposed by us recently, this retrospective large population-based and propensity score-matched (PSM) study focused on predicting the survival benefit of adjuvant CT in stage II disease.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with stage II colon cancer (N = 73397) were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between January 1, 1988 and December 31, 2005 and divided into the CT and non-CT groups. PSM balanced the patient characteristics between the CT and non-CT groups.

Results

The magnitude of CSS improvement among patients treated with adjuvant CT was significantly associated with the P score, score 8 [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.580, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.323–1.040, P = 0.067] was associated with a much higher increased CSS benefit among patients treated with adjuvant CT as compared to score 2* (*, including scores 0, 1, and 2; HR = 1.338, 95% CI = 1.089–1.644, P = 0.006).

Conclusions

High P scores were demonstrated to be associated with superior survival benefit of adjuvant CT. Therapy decisions of adjuvant CT in stage II colon cancer could be tailored on the basis of tumor biology, patient characteristics and the P score.

Staging Paradox and Discrepancy in Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients with T4N0, T1-2N1, and T3N1 Colon Cancer

BACKGROUND

A survival paradox between T4N0 (stage IIB/C) and T3N1 (stage IIIB) colon cancer has been rarely reported. The indication and regimen of adjuvant chemotherapy are separately described in the guidelines. This study aimed to elucidate the prognostic factors and investigate proper adjuvant treatment in colon cancer patients at these stages.

METHODS

Patients who underwent R0 resection for pathological T4N0 (n = 49), T1-2N1 (n = 31), or T3N1 (n = 82) colon cancer between 2008 and 2016 at a single institute were retrospectively reviewed. The clinicopathological characteristics, status of adjuvant chemotherapy, and oncologic outcomes of patients with T4N0 tumors were compared with those of patients with T1-2N1 and T3N1 tumors.

RESULTS

The biological characteristics of T4N0 tumors were more aggressive compared with the characteristics of T1-2N1 tumors and were similar to those of T3N1 tumors. The usage rate of oxaliplatin as an adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly lower in T4N0 patients than in T1-2N1 and T3N1 patients. The rate of local recurrence was the highest in patients with T4N0 tumors, and the survival outcomes for patients with T4N0 tumors were significantly worse compared with those of T1-2N1 patients and were similar to those of T3N1 patients. A multivariate analysis revealed that lack of adequate use of oxaliplatin for adjuvant chemotherapy was the only prognostic factor.

CONCLUSIONS

T4N0 colon cancer had similar oncological characteristics and survival outcomes to T3N1 colon cancer. Systematic adjuvant chemotherapy, including oxaliplatin, should be incorporated into the therapy for T4N0 patients as well as T3N1 patients.

Regularized error function-based extended Kalman filter for estimating the cancer chemotherapy dosage: impact of improved grey wolf optimization

Objectives

The main aim of this work is to introduce a robust controller for controlling the drug dosage.

Methods

The presented work establishes a novel robust controller that controls the drug dosage and it also carried out parameters estimation. Along with this, a Regularized Error Function-based EKF (REF-EKF) is introduced for estimating the tumor cells that could be adapted for different conditions. It also assists in solving the overfitting problems, which occur during the drug dosage estimation. Moreover, the performance of the adopted controller is compared over other conventional schemes, and the attained outcomes reveal the appropriate impact of drug dosage injection on immune, normal, and tumor cells. It is also ensured that the presented controller does a robust performance on the parameter uncertainties. Moreover, to enhance the performance of the proposed system and for fast convergence, it is aimed to fine-tune the initial state of EKF optimally using a new Improved Gray Wolf Optimization (GWO) termed as Adaptive GWO (AGWO). Finally, analysis is held to validate the betterment of the presented model.

Results

The outcomes, the proposed method has accomplished a minimal value of error with an increase in time, when evaluated over the compared models.

Conclusions

Thus, the improvement of the proposed REF-EKF-AGWO model is proved from the attained results.

Optimal Criteria for G3 (Poorly Differentiated) Stage II Colon Cancer: Prospective Validation in a Randomized Controlled Study (SACURA Trial)

Grade 3 (G3, poorly differentiated) is an important treatment-decision factor in stage II colon cancer, but no unified diagnostic criteria are established. According to previous studies, an intratumoural poorly differentiated area with no glandular formation (POR) that fills the microscopic field of a ×40 objective lens was an essential factor that defined G3. We aimed to prospectively validate this in a randomized controlled study of adjuvant chemotherapy (SACURA trial). We enrolled 991 patients with stage II colon cancer. POR was graded according to the ×40 objective lens rule and the intensity of poorly differentiated clusters (Grade), and its prognostic power was compared with that of the conventional tumor grade on the basis of predominant histology rule (Grade). According to Grade, 313, 526, and 152 tumors were classified as G1, G2, and G3, respectively, and the 5-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rates were 91.1%, 82.9%, and 74.7%, respectively (P<0.0001). When G3 and G3 were alternatively added to the prognostic model consisting of 8 conventional factors, only G3 was a significant factor for RFS (P=0.040, Wald test). The adverse impact of G3 on RFS was greater in the microsatellite stable/microsatellite instability-low subset than that in the full analysis set. In the microsatellite stable/microsatellite instability-low subset, the 5-year RFS rate of patients with G3 tumors in the chemotherapy group achieved greater improvement (9.1%) than the surgery-alone group. The least differentiation policy with the ×40 objective lens rule may be highlighted as the diagnostic criterion for G3 because of its validated prognostic value.

Recurrence Risk after Radical Colorectal Cancer Surgery-Less Than before, But How High Is It?

Simple Summary

Evidence indicates that recurrence risk after colon cancer today is less than it was when trials performed decades ago showed that adjuvant chemotherapy reduces the risk and prolong disease-free and overall survival. After rectal cancer surgery, local recurrence rates have decreased but it is unclear if systemic recurrences have. After a systematic review of available literature reporting recurrence risks after curative colorectal cancer surgery we report that the risks are lower today than they were in the past and that this risk reduction is not solely ascribed to the use of adjuvant therapy. Adjuvant therapy always means overtreatment of many patients, already cured by the surgery. Fewer recurrences mean that progress in the care of these patients has happened but also that the present guidelines giving recommendations based upon old data must be adjusted. The relative gains from adding chemotherapy are not altered, but the absolute number of patients gaining is less.

Abstract

Adjuvant chemotherapy aims at eradicating tumour cells sometimes present after radical surgery for a colorectal cancer (CRC) and thereby diminish the recurrence rate and prolong time to recurrence (TTR). Remaining tumour cells will lead to recurrent disease that is usually fatal. Adjuvant therapy is administered based upon the estimated recurrence risk, which in turn defines the need for this treatment. This systematic overview aims at describing whether the need has decreased since trials showing that adjuvant chemotherapy provides benefits in colon cancer were performed decades ago. Thanks to other improvements than the administration of adjuvant chemotherapy, such as better staging, improved surgery, the use of radiotherapy and more careful pathology, recurrence risks have decreased. Methodological difficulties including intertrial comparisons decades apart and the present selective use of adjuvant therapy prevent an accurate estimate of the magnitude of the decreased need. Furthermore, most trials do not report recurrence rates or TTR, only disease-free and overall survival (DFS/OS). Fewer colon cancer patients, particularly in stage II but also in stage III, today display a sufficient need for adjuvant treatment considering the burden of treatment, especially when oxaliplatin is added. In rectal cancer, neo-adjuvant treatment will be increasingly used, diminishing the need for adjuvant treatment.

Precision medicine for adjuvant chemotherapy of resected colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer death in Japan. Surgical resection is the only curative option for localized disease. However, undetectable micrometastases remaining after curative surgery may cause disease recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy aims to eradicate these micrometastases to improve the cure rate. Unfortunately, few reliable prognostic and predictive markers are available that identify patients at high risk for CRC during early-stage disease. However, promising biomarkers may become available in the near future. Such biomarkers provide information for stratifying a patient's risk and for selecting the optimal treatment. Here, we provide an overview of current relevant prognostic and predictive biomarkers applicable to adjuvant treatment of early-stage CRC and focus on the future of this field.

Metronomic chemotherapy with tegafur-uracil following radical resection in stage II colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Stage II colorectal cancer has a relatively good prognosis. Adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery is the standard treatment for stage III colorectal cancer but is not routinely recommended for all stage II colorectal cancer patients. We aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes, treatment results, and prognostic factors in stage II colorectal cancer patients who underwent curative surgery with/without oral tegafur-uracil (UFT).

METHODS

We included stage II colorectal cancer patients who underwent curative surgery and were followed up for at least 5 years after surgery at the National Taiwan University Hospital between January 2008 and December 2012. Excluding patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy, adjuvant therapy other than UFT, and those lost follow-up, patients treated with UFT (UFT group) and those without adjuvant therapy (surgery alone group) were analyzed for their clinical outcomes and prognostic factors.

RESULTS

A total of 233 patients were recruited. Of these, 104 (44.64%) underwent only surgery while 129 (55.36%) received adjuvant chemotherapy with oral UFT following surgery. Recurrence or death occurred within 5 years in 60 patients (25.75%), with a significant difference between the surgery alone (36/104, 34.62%) and UFT groups (24/129, 18.61%) (p = 0.007). The UFT group demonstrated significantly superior 5-year disease-free (p = 0.003) and overall survival rates (p = 0.001), respectively. Patient age of ≤35.3 or ˃72.7 years, UFT duration of <486.8 days, 7.1 cm < tumor size ≤13.2 cm, number of harvested lymph nodes ≤13.5, and mucinous adenocarcinoma were associated with poorer 5-year overall survival.

CONCLUSION

The present data suggest that UFT following curative surgery may be associated with lower recurrence and improved survival in patients with stage II colorectal cancer.

Robust controller for cancer chemotherapy dosage using nonlinear kernel-based error function

It is well-known that chemotherapy is the most significant method on curing the most death-causing disease like cancer. These days, the use of controller-based approach for finding the optimal rate of drug injection throughout the treatment has increased a lot. Under these circumstances, this paper establishes a novel robust controller that influences the drug dosage along with parameter estimation. A new nonlinear error function-based extended Kalman filter (EKF) with improved scaling factor (NEF-EKF-ISF) is introduced in this research work. In fact, in the traditional schemes, the error is computed using the conventional difference function and it is deployed for the updating process of EKF. In our previous work, it has been converted to the nonlinear error function. Here, the updating process is based on the prior error function, though scaled to a nonlinear environment. In addition, a scaling factor is introduced here, which considers the historical error improvement, for the updating process. Finally, the performance of the proposed controller is evaluated over other traditional approaches, which implies the appropriate impact of drug dosage injection on normal, immune and tumor cells. Moreover, it is observed that the proposed NEF-EKF-ISF has the ability to evaluate the tumor cells with a better accuracy rate.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy without Radiation in Colorectal Cancer

In colon cancer, primary surgery followed by postoperative chemotherapy represents the standard of care. In rectal cancer, the standard of care is preoperative radiotherapy or chemoradiation, which significantly reduces local recurrence but has no impact on subsequent metastatic disease or overall survival. The administration of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) before surgery can increase the chance of a curative resection and improves long-term outcomes in patients with liver metastases. Hence, NACT is being explored in both primary rectal and colon cancers as an alternative strategy to shrink the tumor, facilitate a curative resection, and simultaneously counter the risk of metastases. Yet, this lack of clarity regarding the precise aims of NACT (downstaging, maximizing response, or improving survival) is hindering progress. The appropriate cytotoxic agents, the optimal regimen, the number of cycles, or duration of NACT prior to surgery or in the postoperative setting remains undefined. Several potential strategies for integrating NACT are discussed with their advantages and disadvantages.

Patient Selection for Adjuvant Chemotherapy in High-Risk Stage II Colon Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) are recommended to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT). However, whether such patients can benefit from ACT remains unclear. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the clinicopathologic parameters that are important for selecting patients for ACT in high-risk stage II CC.

METHODS

We systematically retrieved articles from PubMed, the Cochrane Library, and Embase that were published up to September 13, 2018. We analyzed overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) based on hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

A total of 23 cohort studies and 1 randomized controlled trial were included in our study. Overall analyses showed that ACT improved OS (HR=0.64, 95% CI=0.51-0.80, P<0.001) and DFS (HR=0.46, 95% CI=0.28-0.76, P=0.002) in patients with high-risk stage II CC. Subgroup analyses showed that ACT improved OS in patients with localized intestinal perforation and obstruction and pT4 lesions and improved OS and DFS in patients with <12 sampled lymph nodes. However, ACT had no significant effect on OS in patients with lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, or poorly differentiated histology.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that not all high-risk factors (lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, poorly differentiated histology) show a benefit from ACT. Randomized controlled trials selectively targeting high-risk patients will need to be conducted in the future.

Challenges of improving treatment outcomes for colorectal and anal cancers in Japan: the Colorectal Cancer Study Group (CCSG) of the Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG)

Colorectal cancer is a major public health concern in Japan. While early-stage colorectal adenocarcinoma treatment entails radical resection of the primary tumor, the importance of perioperative treatment is growing as physicians seek to further improve treatment outcomes. For anal squamous cell carcinoma, definitive chemoradiotherapy is superior to radical surgery in terms of improved patient quality of life. The Colorectal Cancer Study Group of the Japanese Clinical Oncology Group was established in 2001 and has worked to provide answers to common clinical questions and improve treatment outcomes for colorectal and anal cancers through 15 large-scale prospective clinical trials. Here, we discuss the current state of perioperative treatment for early-stage colon, rectal and anal cancers in Japan and approaches taken by the Colorectal Cancer Study Group/the Japanese Clinical Oncology Group to improve treatment outcomes for these cancers.

Real-world evidence on adjuvant chemotherapy in older adults with stage II/III colon cancer

Colon cancer represents one of the most common cancers diagnosed in older adults worldwide. The standard of care in resected stage II and stage III colon cancer continues to evolve. While there is unequivocal evidence to suggest both disease free and overall survival benefits with the use of combination chemotherapy in patients with stage III colon cancer, data regarding its use in patients with stage II colon cancer are less clear. Further, although colon cancer is a disease that affects older adults, there is considerable debate on the value of adjuvant chemotherapy in the aging population. In particular, many older patients are undertreated when compared to their younger counterparts. In this review, we will describe the clinical trials that contributed to the current adjuvant chemotherapy approach in colon cancer, discuss representation of older adults in trials and the specific challenges associated with the management of this sub-population, and highlight the role of comprehensive geriatric assessments. We will also review how real-world evidence complements the data gaps from clinical trials of early stage colon cancer.

Prevention of Colon Cancer Recurrence From Minimal Residual Disease: Computer Optimized Dose Schedules of Intermittent Apoptotic Adjuvant Therapy

PURPOSE

Adjuvant chemotherapy is used after surgery for stages II and III colorectal cancer to reduce recurrence. Nevertheless, recurrence may occur years later with the emergence of initially undetected minimal residual disease (MRD). Attempts to reduce recurrence by increasing the dose intensity and increasing the time of adjuvant therapy have been limited by the adverse effects of the recommended cytotoxic agents. The goals of this study were to suggest an alternative to the recommended cytotoxic agents and to determine optimal adjuvant therapy dose schedules that would reduce the percentage of recurrence at 5 years while retaining colon crypt function.

METHODS

A total of 84,400 dose schedules with different duration, interval between doses, and intensity of treatment were simulated with a high-performance computer. Simulated treatments used the drug sulindac, which had previously been used in primary prevention. With appropriate dose schedules, it can induce apoptosis at the crypt lumen surface while retaining crypt function. We used a computer model of cell dynamics in colon crypts that had been calibrated with measurements of human biopsy specimens. Proliferating mutant cells were assumed to emerge from MRD within crypts. Simulated outcomes included the recurrence percentage at 5 years and the retention of crypt function.

RESULTS

Optimal dose schedules were determined for adjuvant treatment of MRD that reduced the percentage of recurrence at 5 years of stages I, II, and III colon cancer to zero.

CONCLUSION

A new adjuvant therapy for colon cancer based upon optimum dose schedules of intermittent apoptotic treatment may prevent the recurrence of colon cancer from MRD and avoid the adverse effects of cytotoxic treatments.

Advanced Age Is a Risk Factor for Recurrence After Resection in Stage II Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND/AIM

The number of older patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasing. Stage II CRC is a heterogeneous group of cancers with different prognoses. We aimed to examine older patients in relation to clinical outcome following curative resection in stage II CRC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed data for 329 consecutive patients with stage II CRC following curative resection. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between older patients ≥75 years of age and those <75 years. Cox proportional hazards model was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) controlling for potential confounders.

RESULTS

In the multivariable analyses, patients ≥75 years were independently associated with shorter RFS (multivariable HR=2.56, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.55-4.31, p<0.001) and OS (multivariable HR=4.36, 95%CI=2.08-9.97, p<0.001) in stage II CRC.

CONCLUSION

Older patients were independently associated with shorter RFS and OS following curative resection in stage II CRC.

Tumour budding in preoperative biopsy specimens is a useful prognostic index for identifying high-risk patients in early-stage (pN0) colon cancer

Background/aim

Tumour budding (BD) is considered a valuable prognostic factor in colon cancer (CC), but its use in daily practice is uncertain. We investigated the prognostic effect of BD using preoperative biopsy specimens in a fairly homogeneous population.

Materials and methods

Eighty-two (pN0) CC patients who underwent surgery after preoperative biopsy between 1997 and 2013 were included in the study. Model A (using the ‘deeply invasive blocks & hot-spot area & invasive margin) and method 1 (using the ‘20× objective & immunohistochemistry staining & quantitive counting’) were used as standard methods.

Results

High BD was significantly associated with poor prognostic factors (lymphatic invasion [P = 0.008], perineural invasion [P = 0.041], advanced pT [P = 0.015], invasive margin [P = 0.008], and margin involvement [P = 0.019]). Moreover, correlations between different BD estimates (r = 0.613–0.696), reproducibility of study (Κappa = 0.68–0.73), and usefulness of cut-off value (area of under ROC = 0.746 [0.663–0.829]) were well. In univariate analysis, 5-year survival was poor in patients with high BD (relaps-free survival [RFS]: 71 %, P < 0.001; overall survival [OS]: 73 %, P = 0.004, local recurrence [LR]: 18 %, P = 0.032). Multivariate analyses confirmed that high BD is an independent worse survival parameter for RFS (Hazard ratio [HR]: 1.53 [1.14–2.80], P = 0.015), OS (HR: 1.44 [1.17–2.75], P = 0.032, and LR (HR: 1.59 [1.05–2.76], P = 0.045).

Conclusion

Our data show that BD provides valuable prognostic information for early-stage (pN0) CC in preoperative biopsy specimens and that adding BD to current risk classification may contribute to better patient selection.

Guidelines for time-to-event end-point definitions in adjuvant randomised trials for patients with localised colon cancer: Results of the DATECAN initiative

BACKGROUND

The variability of definitions for time-to-event (TTE) end-points impacts the conclusions of randomised clinical trials (RCTs). The Definition for the Assessment of Time-to-event Endpoints in CANcer (DATECAN) initiative aims to provide consensus definitions for TTE end-points used in RCTs. Here, we formulate guidelines for adjuvant colon cancer RCTs.

METHODS

We performed a literature review to identify TTE end-points and events included in their definition in RCT publications. Then, a consensus was reached among a panel of international experts, using a formal modified Delphi method, with 2 rounds of questionnaires and an in-person meeting.

RESULTS

Twenty-four experts scored 72 events involved in 6 TTE end-points. Consensus was reached for 24%, 57% and 100% events after the first round, second round and in-person meeting. For RCTs not using overall survival as their primary end-point, the experts recommend using disease-free survival (DFS) rather than recurrence-free survival (RFS) or time to recurrence (TTR) as the primary end-point. The consensus definition of DFS includes all causes of death, second primary colorectal cancers (CRCs), anastomotic relapse and metastatic relapse as an event, but not second primary non-CRCs. Events included in the RFS definition are the same as for DFS with the exception of second primary CRCs. The consensus definition of TTR includes anastomotic or metastatic relapse, death with evidence of recurrence and death from CC cause.

CONCLUSION

Standardised definitions of TTE end-points ensure the reproducibility of the end-points between RCTs and facilitate cross-trial comparisons. These definitions should be integrated in standard practice for the design, reporting and interpretation of adjuvant CC RCTs.

Quality of life assessment and reporting in colorectal cancer: A systematic review of phase III trials published between 2012 and 2018

BACKGROUND

In this study, our aim was to describe quality of life (QoL) prevalence and heterogeneity in QoL reporting in colorectal cancer phase III trials.

METHODS

We included all phase III trials evaluating anticancer drugs in colorectal cancer patients published between 2012 and 2018 by 11 major journals.

RESULTS

Out of the 67 publications identified, in 41 (61.2 %) QoL was not listed among endpoints. Out of 26 primary publications of trials including QoL among endpoints, QoL results were not reported in 10 (38.5 %). Overall, no QoL data were available in 51/67 (76.1 %) primary publications. In particular, in the metastatic setting, QoL data were not available in 12/18 (66.7 %) trials with primary endpoint overall survival, and in 20/29 (69.0 %) trials with other primary endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

QoL was absent in a high proportion of recently published phase III trials in colorectal cancer, even in trials of second or further lines, where attention to QoL should be particularly high.

Predictive Impact of Mucinous Tumors on the Clinical Outcome in Patients with Poorly Differentiated, Stage II Colon Cancer: A TOSCA Subgroup Analysis

BACKGROUND

Although American Society of Clinical Oncology and European Society for Medical Oncology guidelines have identified the negative prognostic factors that clinicians have to consider when treating their patients with stage II colon cancer (CC), the role of histological subtype is controversial.

SUBJECTS, MATERIALS, AND METHODS

The randomized, multicenter, phase III TOSCA trial compared 3 versus 6 months of fluoropyrimidine-oxaliplatin adjuvant chemotherapy in 3,759 patients with high-risk stage II or stage III CC. The objective of this substudy was to evaluate the influence of histological subtypes on the impact of the treatment duration of adjuvant chemotherapy in terms of relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in 85 mucinous adenocarcinoma (MUC) and 389 nonmucinous adenocarcinoma (NMUC) patients with high-risk stage II, grade 3 CC.

RESULTS

A significant interaction between treatment duration and histology was observed in both RFS (p = .027) and OS (p = .017). In the subgroup of patients with MUC, worse RFS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 3.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-15.17; p = .045) and OS (HR, 9.56; 95% CI, 1.14-79.98; p = .037) were detected for patients treated in the 3-month arm. No statistically significant differences were found in the subgroup of patients with NMUC.

CONCLUSION

Patients with MUC, grade 3, stage II CC require special attention and may need 6 months of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy. Larger studies are required to assess the combined use of histology and other prognostic/predictive factors to define the administration of chemotherapy in patients with stage II CC and to improve their prognosis.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Although ASCO and ESMO guidelines define the prognostic factors for patients with stage II colon cancer to establish the use of adjuvant chemotherapy, the influence of histological subtypes is controversial in this population. This study underscores that patients with grade 3 mucinous adenocarcinomas may need adjuvant chemotherapy with oxaliplatin and fluoropyrimidines for a duration of 6 months rather than 3 months.

Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum (JSCCR) guidelines 2019 for the treatment of colorectal cancer

The number of deaths from colorectal cancer in Japan continues to increase. Colorectal cancer deaths exceeded 50,000 in 2016. In the 2019 edition, revision of all aspects of treatments was performed, with corrections and additions made based on knowledge acquired since the 2016 version (drug therapy) and the 2014 version (other treatments). The Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines 2019 for the treatment of colorectal cancer (JSCCR guidelines 2019) have been prepared to show standard treatment strategies for colorectal cancer, to eliminate disparities among institutions in terms of treatment, to eliminate unnecessary treatment and insufficient treatment and to deepen mutual understanding between healthcare professionals and patients by making these guidelines available to the general public. These guidelines have been prepared by consensuses reached by the JSCCR Guideline Committee, based on a careful review of the evidence retrieved by literature searches and in view of the medical health insurance system and actual clinical practice settings in Japan. Therefore, these guidelines can be used as a tool for treating colorectal cancer in actual clinical practice settings. More specifically, they can be used as a guide to obtaining informed consent from patients and choosing the method of treatment for each patient. Controversial issues were selected as clinical questions, and recommendations were made. Each recommendation is accompanied by a classification of the evidence and a classification of recommendation categories based on the consensus reached by the Guideline Committee members. Here, we present the English version of the JSCCR guidelines 2019.

Lymph Node Positivity in One-Step Nucleic Acid Amplification is a Prognostic Factor for Postoperative Cancer Recurrence in Patients with Stage II Colorectal Cancer: A Prospective, Multicenter Study

Background

For colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, the standard histological lymph node (LN) evaluation has low sensitivity. Our previously developed one-step nucleic acid amplification (OSNA™) assay measures cytokeratin 19 gene expression in whole LNs. We recently showed that 17.6% of pN0 stage II CRC patients were OSNA positive, suggesting a correlation between OSNA results and disease recurrence. This multicenter, prospective study investigateed the prognostic value of the OSNA assay for pStage II CRC patients.

Methods

We examined 204 CRC patients who were preoperatively diagnosed as cN0 and cN1 and surgically treated at 11 medical institutions across Japan. Nine patients were excluded, and 195 patients (Stage I: n = 50, Stage II: n = 70, Stage III: n = 75) were examined. All LNs, harvested from patients, were examined histopathologically using one-slice hematoxylin–eosin staining. Furthermore, half of the LNs was examined by the OSNA assay. Patients were classified according to the UICC staging criteria and OSNA results, and the 3-year, disease-free survival (DFS) of each cohort was analyzed.

Results

Average 21.2 LNs/patient were subject to pathological examination. Approximately half of all harvested LNs (average, 9.4 LNs/patient) were suitable for the OSNA assay. Significantly lower 3-year DFS rates were observed in pStage (pathological Stage) II OSNA-positive patients than in OSNA-negative patients (p = 0.005). Among all assessed clinical and pathological parameters, only the OSNA result significantly affected 3-year DFS rates in pStage II CRC patients (p = 0.027).

Conclusions

This study shows that OSNA positivity is a risk factor for recurrence of the patients with pStage II CRC.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1245/s10434-019-07971-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

JOIN trial: treatment outcome and recovery status of peripheral sensory neuropathy during a 3-year follow-up in patients receiving modified FOLFOX6 as adjuvant treatment for stage II/III colon cancer

Purpose

Adjuvant FOLFOX therapy is an established standard-of-care for resected colon cancer. Peripheral sensory neuropathy (PSN) is regarded as the major toxicity issue related to FOLFOX therapy. There have been a few reports on the recovery status from PSN thereafter. JOIN trial investigated the tolerability and efficacy of adjuvant modified FOLFOX6 (mFOLFOX6) in Japanese patients with stage II/III colon cancer.

Methods

Twelve cycles of mFOLFOX6 were given to patients with stage II/III curatively resected colon cancer. Treatment outcomes, including disease-free survival (DFS), relapse-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and recovery status of PSN during 3-year follow-up, were investigated.

Results

Of the 882 patients enrolled from 2010 to 2012, 864 were eligible for the efficacy analyses. Three-year DFS, RFS, and OS were favorable in 92.1, 92.8, and 97.4% of stage II patients; 76.4, 77.9, and 93.8% of stage IIIA/B; and 61.6, 62.7, and 85.9% of stage IIIC, respectively. The cumulative incidence of PSN during treatment was 47.8% in grade 1 (G1), 30.3% in G2, and 5.8% in G3. For those with G3 PSN during treatment, there was gradual recovery in 1.1% of patients at 12 months after enrollment, 0.5% at 24 months, and 0.2% at 36 months. However, G1 or G2 residual PSN after 3 years was observed in 21.0% (18.7%, G1; 2.3%, G2).

Conclusions

Adjuvant mFOLFOX6 therapy was effective and well tolerated in patients with stage II/III colon cancer. Most patients recovered from G3 PSN related to oxaliplatin, but approximately 20% of patients had G1 or G2 PSN at 3-year follow-up.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00280-019-03957-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Prospective Multicenter Study on the Prognostic and Predictive Impact of Tumor Budding in Stage II Colon Cancer: Results From the SACURA Trial

PURPOSE

The International Union Against Cancer highlighted tumor budding as a tumor-related prognostic factor. International assessment criteria for tumor budding were recently defined by the 2016 International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC2016). This study aimed to clarify the prognostic and predictive values of tumor budding in a randomized controlled trial evaluating the superiority of adjuvant chemotherapy with oral tegafur-uracil over surgery alone for stage II colon cancer (SACURA trial; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00392899).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 2006 and 2010, we enrolled 991 patients from 123 institutions with stage II colon cancer. Tumor budding was diagnosed by central review on the basis of the criteria adopted in the ITBCC2016. We prospectively recorded all clinical and pathologic data, including the budding grade, and performed prognostic analyses after 5 years of completing the patients’ registration.

RESULTS

Of 991 tumors, 376, 331, and 284 were classified as BD1, BD2, and BD3, respectively; the 5-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rate was 90.9%, 85.1%, and 74.4%, respectively (P < .001), and ranged widely in T4 tumors (86.6% to 53.3%). The budding grade significantly correlated with recurrence in the liver, lungs, lymph nodes, and peritoneum (P < .001 to .01). Multivariable analysis revealed that budding and T stage exerted an independent impact on RFS, and on the basis of the Harrell concordance index, these two factors substantially contributed to the improvement of the Cox model for predicting RFS. Both the BD2 and BD3 groups demonstrated greater improvement in the 5-year recurrence rate in the adjuvant chemotherapy group than the surgery-alone group by approximately 5%, but the difference was statistically nonsignificant.

CONCLUSION

Tumor budding grade on the basis of the ITBCC2016 criteria should be routinely evaluated in pathologic practice and could improve the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer.