Utility of a modified age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index in predicting cause-specific survival among patients with gastric cancer

Long-term outcomes after endoscopic submucosal dissection for relative indication early gastric cancer in nonsurgical candidates

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is effective in treating early gastric cancer (EGC). Its role in patients with comorbidities along with more advanced disease is unknown. We sought to evaluate this in a large Western cohort.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent ESD for EGC in a single tertiary Western endoscopy center over 10 years were prospectively analyzed. The primary outcomes were long-term overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) up to 5 years. Secondary outcomes were efficacy and serious adverse events (SAEs).

RESULTS

ESD for 157 cases of EGC in 149 patients was performed in an elderly and comorbid cohort with a mean age of 73.7 years and age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index of 4.2. Over a median follow-up of 51.6 months, no significant differences were found in 5-year OS (88.9% vs 77.9%, P = .290) and DFS (83.2% vs 75.1%, P = .593) between absolute indication (AI) EGC and relative indication (RI) EGC. The AI EGC cohort achieved higher en-bloc (96.3% vs 87.5%, P = .069) and R0 resection rates (93.6% vs 62.5%, P < .001) when compared with RI EGC. No significant differences were found in SAEs (7.3% vs 12.5%, P = .363). No mortality or surgical resection ensued from adverse events from ESD.

CONCLUSIONS

ESD safely confers DFS in poor surgical candidates with RI EGC in a large Western cohort. Patients who are elderly and/or with comorbidities or decline surgical resection may benefit from ESD and avoid the risks of surgery and its long-term sequelae. (Clinical trial registration number: NCT02306707.).

Creatinine-Based Definition of Kidney Disease in the Charlson Comorbidity Index May Underestimate Prognosis in Males Compared to an Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Definition

(1) Background: The Charlson comorbidity index allocates two points for chronic kidney disease (CKD) if serum creatinine is above 3.0 mg/dL (270 µmol/L). However, contemporary CKD staging is based on the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) derived from population-based equations. The aim of this study was to determine the correlation between eGFR and the creatinine threshold of the Charlson comorbidity index for defining CKD. (2) Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of 664 patients with established CKD attending general nephrology clinics over 6 months. Dialysis patients and kidney transplant recipients were excluded. (3) Results: The median age was 68 years, and 58% of the participants were male. By modeling with fractional polynomial regression, we estimated that a creatinine of 270 µmol/L corresponded with an eGFR of 14.8 mL/min/1.73 m2 for females and 19.4 mL/min/m2 for males. We also estimated that an eGFR of 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 (threshold which defines Stage 5 CKD) corresponded to a serum creatinine of 275 µmol/L for females and 342 µmol/L for males. After applying these sex-specific creatinine thresholds, 39% of males and 3% of females in our CKD study population who scored points for CKD in the Charlson comorbidity index had not yet reached Stage 5 CKD. (4) Conclusions: There is a significant difference in the creatinine threshold to define Stage 5 CKD between males and females, with a bias for greater allocation of Charlson index points for CKD to males despite similar eGFR levels between the sexes. Further research could examine if replacing creatinine with eGFR improves the performance of the Charlson comorbidity index as a prognostic tool.

Effectiveness and Safety of Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Colorectal Neoplasm in Patients with High Charlson Comorbidity Index Score: A HASID Multicenter Study

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is an effective method for removing early colorectal lesions. However, research on the safety and efficacy of ESD in patients with various underlying conditions remains limited. This study retrospectively examined ESD outcomes in colorectal neoplasm patients from five tertiary medical centers. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and age-adjusted CCI (ACCI) were analyzed, and the differences in complete resection and complication rates were analyzed. The CCI, ACCI, and complication rates tended to gradually increase proportionally, and the complication resection rate increased from CCI 2 to ACCI 4 as the starting point, followed by a decreasing trend. Of these, 140 patients (9.7%) had a CCI score of 3 or higher. The high CCI group was older (70.6% vs. 64.7%, p < 0.01) and had a higher proportion of men (70.7% vs. 58.7%, p < 0.01) than the low CCI group. The high CCI group had a higher incidence of cancer than the low CCI group (77.9% vs. 65.2%, p < 0.01). The en bloc resection rate (90.0% vs. 89.3%, p = 0.79) and complete resection rate (75.7% vs. 81.2%, p = 0.12) were not significantly different between the two groups. Colorectal ESD can be safely and effectively performed in patients with various underlying medical conditions.

Association of high-risk comorbidity with overall survival among patients with gastric cancer and its sex-specific differences in China: a retrospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Concomitant diseases often occur in cancer patients and are important in decision-making regarding treatments. However, information regarding the prognostic relevance of comorbidities for mortality risk is still limited among Chinese gastric cancer (GC) patients. This study aimed to investigate the association between comorbidities and 3-year mortality risk.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 376 GC patients undergoing radical gastrectomy at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University from January 2011 to December 2019. Demographic and clinicopathological information and treatment outcomes were collected. Patients were divided into low-, moderate- and high-risk comorbidity groups based on their Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and age-adjusted CCI (ACCI) scores. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression analyses were used to examine 3-year overall survival (OS) and mortality risk for each group.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 43.5 months, and 40.2% (151/376) of GC patients had died at the last follow-up. There were significant differences in OS rates between ACCI-based comorbidity groups (76.56; 64.51; 54.55%, log-rank P = 0.011) but not between CCI-based comorbidity groups (log-rank P = 0.16). The high-risk comorbidity group based on the ACCI remained a significant prognostic factor for 3-year OS in multivariate analysis, with an increased mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.99; 95% CI, 1.15-3.44). Subgroup analysis revealed that this pattern only held for male GC patients but not for female patients.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggested that high-risk comorbidities were significantly associated with a higher mortality risk, particularly in Chinese male GC patients. Moreover, the ACCI score was an independent prognostic factor of long-term mortality.

Predictive Ability of Comorbidity Indices for Surgical Morbidity and Mortality: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Several contemporary risk stratification tools are now being used since the development of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) in 1987. The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to compare the utility of commonly used co-morbidity indices in predicting surgical outcomes.

METHODS

A comprehensive review was performed to identify studies reporting an association between a pre-operative co-morbidity measurement and an outcome (30-day/in-hospital morbidity/mortality, 90-day morbidity/mortality, and severe complications). Meta-analysis was performed on the pooled data.

RESULTS

A total of 111 included studies were included with a total cohort size 25,011,834 patients. The studies reporting the 5-item Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) demonstrated a statistical association with an increase in the odds of in-hospital/30-day mortality (OR:1.97,95%CI: 1.55-2.49, p < 0.01). The pooled CCI results demonstrated an increase in the odds for in-hospital/30-day mortality (OR:1.44,95%CI: 1.27-1.64, p < 0.01). Pooled results for co-morbidity indices utilizing a scale-based continuous predictor were significantly associated with an increase in the odds of in-hospital/30-day morbidity (OR:1.32, 95% CI: 1.20-1.46, p < 0.01). On pooled analysis, the categorical results showed a higher odd for in-hospital/30-day morbidity (OR:1.74,95% CI: 1.50-2.02, p < 0.01). The mFI-5 was significantly associated with severe complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥ III) (OR:3.31,95% CI:1.13-9.67, p < 0.04). Pooled results for CCI showed a positive trend toward severe complications but were not significant.

CONCLUSION

The contemporary frailty-based index, mFI-5, outperformed the CCI in predicting short-term mortality and severe complications post-surgically. Risk stratification instruments that include a measure of frailty may be more predictive of surgical outcomes compared to traditional indices like the CCI.

Clinical characteristics and changing trajectories of esophageal cancer and gastric cancer in China from 2010 to 2019: An analysis of a hospital-based database of 24,327 patients

Purpose

This analysis aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and changing trajectories of gastric cancer (GC) and esophageal cancer (EC).

Methods

We collected data from a large cancer hospital in Beijing, China, from 2010 to 2019. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trends of histological characteristics and comorbidities.

Results

From 2010 to 2019, there were a total of 10,083 EC patients and 14,244 GC patients. Patients were mainly men and diagnosed at 55-64 years old. Metabolic comorbidity was the most common comorbidity, with hypertension being predominant. The percentages of stage I showed significant increases for EC [average annual percent change (AAPC): 10.5%] and GC (AAPC: 9.7%) patients. We also observed an increasing trend of EC and GC patients over 65 years old. For EC patients, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (93.1%) remained as the prioritized subtype, and the middle third of the esophagus was the most common site. EC patients with three or more comorbidities increased from 0.1% to 2.2% (AAPC, 27.7%; 95% CI, 14.7% to 42.2%). For GC patients, adenocarcinoma accounts for 86.9% of the total cases, and cardia was the most common site. The ulcerative comorbidity rate decreased from 2.0% to 1.2% (AAPC, −6.1%; 95% CI, −11.6% to −0.3%).

Conclusion

ESCC remained as the prioritized histological subtype, and the middle third of the esophagus was the most common site of EC. The majority of GC patients had adenocarcinoma, and the cardia was the most common site. There was an increasing trend of patients diagnosed at stage I. These findings provide scientific evidence to guide future treatment.

Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index predicts postoperative mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: A prospective cohort

Background

This study aimed to evaluate the clinical association between the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) and postoperative mortality in elderly patients.

Materials and methods

Elderly patients with hip fractures were screened from January 2015 to September 2019. After demographic and clinical characteristics were collected, linear and non-linear multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify the association between the aCCI and mortality. All analyses were performed using EmpowerStats and R software.

Results

A total of 2,657 patients were included in the study, and the mean follow-up duration was of 38.97 months. The mean aCCI score was 4.24 ± 1.09, and 977 (34.14%) died of all-cause mortality. The fully-adjusted linear multivariate Cox regression models showed the aCCI to be associated with mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.21-1.41, P < 0.0001]. Patients in Q2 showed greater mortality (HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.23-2.09; P = 0.0005) than those in Q1; patients in Q3 showed greater mortality (HR = 2.18, 95% CI: 1.66-2.87; P < 0.001) than those in Q1. In addition, the P-value for the trend also showed a linear association in the three models (P < 0.0001). In the sensitivity analysis, propensity score matching was used, and the results were stable.

Conclusion

The mortality risk of hip fractures increased by 31% when the aCCI increased by one unit. aCCI score was shown to be a good predictor of three-year mortality following hip fracture.

Clinical trial registration

http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=152919, identifier ChiCTR2200057323.

Effect of the Age-Adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index on the Survival of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients after Radical Esophagectomy

We aimed to investigate whether the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) can predict the postoperative overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Between 1 July 2015 and 31 July 2021, a retrospective cohort study was conducted among patients with primary ESCC who underwent radical esophagectomy. A total of 352 patients were included, with median age of 63.00 (IQR (interquartile range) 56.00-68.00). The patients were divided into low (n = 300) and high (n = 52) ACCI groups based on the optimal cut-off value of 5 points. Chronic pulmonary disease (38.4%) was the most common comorbidity. The results of the multivariate Cox regression showed that the ACCI (HR = 1.63, 95%CI: 1.04-2.56), tumor size (HR = 1.67, 95%CI: 1.05-2.66), pTNM (II vs. I, HR = 4.74, 95%CI: 1.82-12.32; III vs. I, HR = 6.08, 95%CI: 2.37-15.60), and postoperative chemotherapy (HR = 0.60, 95%CI: 0.40-0.91) were significantly associated with the OS. Furthermore, the ACCI, tumor size, pTNM, and postoperative chemotherapy were also significantly associated with the CSS. Interactions were identified between the ACCI and postoperative chemotherapy, pTNM stage, and tumor size in relation to the OS and CSS. In conclusion, the ACCI may be an independent prognostic factor affecting the long-term prognosis of patients after radical esophagectomy.

A predictive model for early death in elderly patients with gastric cancer: A population-based study

Background

The mean age of gastric cancer (GC) patients has increased due to the aging society. Elderly GC patients with poor physical status tend to develop complications during the treatment courses, which cause early death. This study aimed to identify risk factors and establish nomograms for predicting total early death and cancer-specific early death in elderly GC patients.

Methods

Data for elderly GC patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. These patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort and a validation cohort. The univariate logistic regression model and backward stepwise logistic regression model were used to identify independent risk factors for early death. Nomograms were constructed to predict the overall risk of early death and their performance was validated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, decision curve analyses (DCA), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) in both training and validation cohorts.

Results

Among the 3102 enrolled patients, 1114 patients died within three months from the first diagnosis and 956 of them died due to cancer-specific causes. Non-Asian or Pacific Islander (API) race, non-cardia/fundus or lesser/greater curvature, higher AJCC stage, no surgery and no chemotherapy were all related to a high risk of both all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death. Higher T stage and N0 stage were only positively related to total early mortality, while liver metastasis was only positively related to cancer-specific early mortality. Based on these identified factors, two nomograms were developed for predicting the risk of all-cause and cancer-specific early death, which showed good performance with the AUC of the nomograms were 0.775 and 0.766, respectively. The calibration curves, DCAs, NRI, and IDI also confirmed the value of these nomograms.

Conclusions

These nomogram models were considered a practical tool to identify the early death of elderly GC patients and help provide a more individualized treatment strategy.

The Age-Adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index Predicts Prognosis in Elderly Cancer Patients

Purpose

The age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) is a useful measure of comorbidity to standardize the evaluation of elderly patients and has been reported to predict mortality in various cancers. To our best knowledge, no studies have examined the relationship between the ACCI and survival of elderly patients with cancer. Therefore, the primary objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between the ACCI and survival of elderly patients with cancer.

Patients and Methods

A total of 64 elderly patients (>80 years) with cancer between 2011 and 2021 were enrolled in this study. According to the ACCI, the age-adjusted comorbidity index was calculated by weighting individual comorbidities; patients with ACCI<11 were considered the low-ACCI group, whereas those with ACCI≥11 were considered the high-ACCI group. The correlations between the ACCI score and survival outcomes were statistically analyzed.

Results

There was a significant difference in overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) between the high-ACCI group and the low-ACCI group (P<0.001). The median OS time of the high-ACCI group and the low-ACCI group were 13.9 (10.5–22.0) months and 51.9 (34.1–84.0) months, respectively. The 2-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of the high-ACCI group were 28.1%, 18.8%, and 4.2%, respectively, whereas the 2-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of the low-ACCI group were 77.3%, 66.4%, and 39.1%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that ACCI was independently associated with OS (HR=1.402, 95% CI: 1.226–1.604, P < 0.05) and PFS (HR=1.353, 95% CI: 1.085–1.688, P = 0.0073).

Conclusion

The ACCI score is a significant independent predictor of prognosis in elderly patients with cancer.

Advantages of a robotic approach compared with laparoscopy gastrectomy for patients with high visceral fat area

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer surgery for obese patients is regarded as a technically challenging procedure. The morbidity after gastrectomy has been reported to be significantly higher in patients with high visceral fat area (VFA). Robotic gastrectomy (RG) is expected to be advantageous for complicated operations. However, whether RG is superior to conventional laparoscopic gastrectomy (LG) for patients with visceral fat obesity remains unclear. The present study aimed to clarify the impact of RG on the short- and long-term outcomes of patients with high VFAs.

METHODS

This study included 1306 patients with clinical stage I/II gastric cancer who underwent minimally invasive gastrectomy between January 2012 and December 2020. The patients were subclassified according to VFA. The short- and long-term outcomes of RG were compared with those of LG in two VFA categories.

RESULTS

This study included 394 (high-VFA, 151; low-VFA, 243) and 882 patients (high-VFA, 366; low-VFA, 516) in the RG and LG groups, respectively. RG was associated with a significantly longer operative time than LG (high-VFA, P < 0.001; low-VFA, P < 0.001). The incidence rates of overall and intra-abdominal infectious complications in the high-VFA patients were lower in the RG group than in the LG group (P = 0.019 and P = 0.048, respectively) but not significantly different from those in the low-VFA patients. In the multivariate analysis, LG was identified as the only independent risk factor of overall (odds ratio [OR] 3.281; P = 0.012) and intra-abdominal infectious complications (OR 3.462; P = 0.021) in the high-VFA patients. The overall survival of high-VFA patients was significantly better in the RG group than in the LG group (P = 0.045).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with visceral fat obesity, RG appears to be advantageous to LG in terms of reducing the risk of complications and better long-term survival.

Comparisons of surgical outcomes between robotic and laparoscopic total gastrectomy in patients with clinical stage I/IIA gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The robotic approach is especially promising for challenging surgeries, such as total gastrectomy. However, it remains unclear whether robotic total gastrectomy (RTG) is superior to conventional laparoscopic total gastrectomy (LTG). The present study aimed to clarify the impact of RTG on short- and long-term outcomes for patients with clinical stage I/IIA gastric cancer.

METHODS

This study included 98 patients with clinical stage I/IIA gastric cancer who underwent minimally invasive total gastrectomy from October 2013 to December 2020 at the Shizuoka Cancer Center. The short- and long-term outcomes of RTG were compared with those of LTG.

RESULTS

This study included 36 RTG and 58 LTG patients. RTG was associated with a significantly longer operative time than LTG (p = 0.023). All complications tended to be lower in the RTG group than in the LTG group (2.8% and 15.5%, respectively; p = 0.083). There were no patients with anastomotic leakage in the RTG group. The multivariate analysis identified LTG as the only independent risk factor for postoperative complications (odds ratio, 6.620; 95% confidence interval, 1.132-126.4; p = 0.034). The survival of the RTG and LTG groups was equivalent.

CONCLUSIONS

RTG reduced the risk of complications compared to LTG. Patients treated using the two approaches showed equivalent survival.