Age estimation

Applicability of Moorrees, Fanning, and Hunt Method for Age Estimation in Gandhinagar, India: An Orthopantomogram (OPG)-Based Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Age estimation is crucial for human identification in forensic investigations and humanitarian efforts. Tooth development provides one of the most accurate ways to determine age, showing remarkable consistency regardless of external conditions. The Moorrees, Fanning, and Hunt (MFH) technique assesses dental growth by examining the formation of crowns, roots, and apex completion. This method has proven reliable through numerous studies spanning different ethnic and geographic groups. Its systematic approach and scientific foundation make it an invaluable tool in modern forensic odontology, enhancing the accuracy of age estimation practices.

AIM

The study aims to evaluate the applicability of the MFH methods to estimate dental age and to compare it with the chronological age of the children in the population of Gandhinagar in the state of Gujarat, India.

MATERIALS AND METHODOLOGY

A retrospective study was carried out to assess the dental age of the patients visiting the Karnavati School of Dentistry, Gandhinagar, for dental check-ups. Panoramic radiographs were obtained from the archives of the database that have been taken from January 2020 till August 2023 for study purposes and were examined to fit into inclusion criteria. The sample included 388 orthopantomograms (OPGs) of children aged two to 12 years. Each child's tooth was assessed based on developmental stages outlined in the MFH method. Statistical analysis was done using IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 27 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY). Simple linear regression was used to formulate a regression model to determine the correlation between chronological age and dental age.

RESULTS

The MFH method consistently underestimated dental age (DA) compared to chronological age (CA) across both genders. Analysis of 388 subjects showed male individuals (n = 233) had a mean DA of 6.822 years versus CA of 7.559 years (underestimation: 0.74 years, p<0.001), while female individuals (n = 155) had a mean DA of 6.337 years versus CA of 7.049 years (underestimation: 0.71 years, p = 0.011). Both genders showed strong positive correlations (male individuals: ρ = 0.974, female individuals: ρ = 0.980) and linear relationships (male slope (b) = 1.026, female slope (b) = 1.029) with chronological age, where female participants demonstrated slightly earlier dental maturation patterns.

CONCLUSION

The MFH method consistently underestimates dental age when compared to chronological age, indicating that it may lack accuracy in dental age assessment in the Gandhinagar population.

The current state of forensic imaging - post mortem imaging

Over the last few decades, forensic imaging has become an essential part of current forensic practice. The aim of this 4-part review is to provide a comprehensive overview of forensic imaging over the first 25 years of this century. After a brief historic review, this first part details the advantages and limitations of post-mortem imaging for the indications most frequently encountered in daily practice.

Magnetic resonance imaging for multi-factorial age estimation using Bayes' rule: a validation study in two independent samples

OBJECTIVES

Multi-factorial age estimation (MFA) models have been developed based on Bayes' rule, combining MRI data of the third molars (T), left wrist (W) and/or both clavicles (C). Internal cross-validated performance was reported, but external validation is needed before bringing the approach into practice. This study aimed to validate these MFA models in two independent samples.

METHODS

In the Ghent sample, W + C MRI was prospectively conducted in 108 healthy Caucasian volunteers (52 males, 56 females) aged 16 to 21 years. In the Graz sample, T + W + C MRI was prospectively conducted in 335 healthy Caucasian males aged 13 to 24 years. Development was staged and checked for intra-observer reliability, and age estimation performances were tested.

RESULTS

Staging clavicles was most prone to intra-observer variability. Applying the W + C model to Ghent males rendered a mean absolute error of 1.55 years, a root mean square error of 1.90 years, 70.6% correctly categorised adults and 94.4% correctly categorised minors. In females, the results were 1.49 years, 1.83 years, 92.1% and 66.7%, respectively. Regarding the Graz sample, the W + C results were 1.66 years, 2.08 years, 94.7% and 80.7%, respectively. For the T + W + C model, the results were 1.41 years, 1.80 years, 95.2% and 81.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The T + W + C and W + C models rendered a similar accuracy of the point prediction of age in both validation samples. However, they bared a larger risk of wrongfully categorising a minor as an adult than reported for internal validation, stressing the importance of the prediction interval for age estimation in practice.

Automatic detection of developmental stages of molar teeth with deep learning

BACKGROUND

The aim was to fully automate molar teeth developmental staging and to comprehensively analyze a wide range of deep learning models' performances for molar tooth germ detection on panoramic radiographs.

METHODS

The dataset consisted of 210 panoramic radiographies. The data were obtained from patients aged between 5 and 25 years. The stages of development of molar teeth were divided into 4 classes such as M1, M2, M3 and M4. 9 different convolutional neural network models, which were Cascade R-CNN, YOLOv3, Hybrid Task Cascade(HTC), DetectorRS, SSD, EfficientNet, NAS-FPN, Deformable DETR and Probabilistic Anchor Assignment(PAA), were used for automatic detection of these classes. Performances were evaluated by mAP for detection localization performance and confusion matrices, giving metrics of accuracy, precision, recall and F1-scores for classification part.

RESULTS

Localization performance of the models varied between 0.70 and 0.86 while average accuracy for all classes was between 0.71 and 0.82. The Deformable DETR model provided the best performance with mAP, accuracy, recall and F1-score as 0.86, 0.82, 0.86 and 0.86 respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Molar teeth were automatically detected and categorized by modern artificial intelligence techniques. Findings demonstrated that detection and classification ability of deep learning models were promising for molar teeth development staging. Automated systems have a potential to alleviate the burden and assist dentists.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This is retrospectively registered with the number 2023-1216 by the university ethical committee.

Estimation of the post-mortem interval: a review

Determination of the time of death and post-mortem interval (PMI) is a major task for Legal and Forensic Medicine, given the implications it entails. In this respect, depending on the proximity to the moment of death, this PMI estimation will be simpler or more complex. Traditionally, the estimation of the PMI has centred upon the analysis of corporeal rigidity, body temperature and the concentration of potassium within the vitreous humour. However, in recent years, innovative methodologies that facilitate an increasingly precise prediction of the PMI have been developed. Therefore, this article aims to compile and present a comprehensive overview of these PMI estimation techniques, in order to serve as a basic guide and reference point to understand the latest advances in this area, as well as to identify their limitations and to explore the potential future directions of this discipline.

Exploring optimal methods for age-at-death estimation using pulp/tooth area ratios: a South African study

Age-at-death estimation is pivotal in the identification of unknown human decedents in forensic medicine. The pulp/tooth area ratio (PAR) method, assessing pulp cavity size as a marker of secondary dentine apposition, is widely utilised for adult age estimation. Despite extensive evaluation of this technique, the influence of image type and enamel area inclusion on method accuracy is insufficiently explored. The present study evaluated the PAR method's applicability using maxillary canines from a South African cadaveric sample, examining reliability, sex bias, and accuracy across different image types and enamel area considerations. An observational, cross-sectional study design was followed. Fifty-two adult maxillary canines were radiographed, sectioned, and analysed using stereomicroscopy. Labiolingual and mesiodistal periapical radiographs, alongside labiolingual stereomicroscopic tooth section images, were analysed using ImageJ to calculate PARs. Age estimation linear regression models were developed for each image type, with and without enamel area inclusion. Models were compared for performance and accuracy using best-subsets regression and cross-validation analyses. Results indicated that the PAR method is a reliable, sex-independent technique, providing relatively accurate age-at-death estimates for South African adults. Image type significantly influenced accuracy, with tooth section images exhibiting the best/lowest error values, followed by labiolingual and mesiodistal radiographs, respectively. Exclusion of enamel area consistently enhanced model performance across all image types. This study contributes valuable data to the underexplored field of dental age estimation techniques for South African adults, highlighting optimal approaches when applying the PAR method to maxillary canines. Additionally, it introduces a refined stereomicroscopic technique, augmenting and enhancing existing practices.

Bridging gaps in age estimation: a cross-sectional comparative study of skeletal maturation using Fishman method and dental development using Nolla method among Egyptians

Estimating the chronological age of humans is a prevalent need in forensic practice. Comparing the accuracy of different age identification methods helps provide the most reliable method for a specific population. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of age assessments using skeletal maturation and dental mineralization in a sample of Egyptians and to assess if combining both methods yields more precise age prediction. A cross-sectional study included 176 Egyptian children and adolescents aged between 8 and 16 who underwent orthopantomograms and hand-wrist radiographs. All radiographs were scored independently for skeletal maturation using the Fishman method and dental development using the Nolla method. While Fishman and Nolla methods were valid and reliable age predictors with variable sex and age group accuracy in Egyptians, the Nolla method showed superior performance. The Nolla method slightly underestimated the chronological age, while the Fishman method slightly over-estimated it, showing median differences of -0.21 and 0.17, respectively. Correlating the estimated age using the Fishman and Nolla methods and the chronological age showed intraclass correlation coefficients of (0.854 and 0.660) and (0.973 and 0.977) for females and males, respectively (P < 0.001). The model adopting the Nolla score exhibited the highest R² (0.973 and 0.968) and the lowest Akaike information criteria (96 and 106) for females and males, respectively, which is comparable to the model adopting both Nolla scores and skeletal maturation indicators. Therefore, we recommend adopting the model incorporating only the Nolla scores for age estimation without the need for further hand and wrist radiography.

CT-assisted age estimation from the medial clavicular epiphysis in the Greek population according to Schmeling and Kellinghaus classification

Examining the clavicle by macroscopic or radiologic techniques is a well-established method in forensic age estimation in living and dead individuals. The present study examined 196 CT (computed tomography scan) images of native patients from the archive of the medical imaging laboratory of the University Hospital in Heraklion, Crete, in Greece. The ossification of the medial clavicular epiphysis was classified according to Schmeling et al. and the extended amplified staging system of Kellinghaus et al. Next, a stage transition analysis was carried out according to the Bayesian model. Probability density functions were calculated using informative priors for age distribution in the total population, deceased and violently deceased individuals. Our study showed that when the medial clavicular epiphysis' ossification is sorted in stages 4 and 5 in Greek males and females, the cumulative probability of adulthood (≥18 years) is nearly 1. As far as Greek males are concerned, in stage 3c, the cumulative probability of adulthood (≥18 years) is 0.86, and in Greek females in stage 3c, the cumulative probability of adulthood (≥18 years) is 0.97. This is the first study of age estimation based on the ossification of the sternal clavicular end using CT in a Greek population.

Age estimation by radiomics analysis of mandibular condylar cone beam computed tomography images

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to estimate the legal age using the parameters obtained from radiomic analysis of the mandibular condyle in cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) images.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study group consisted of 300 mandibular condyles, which were categorized into six groups based on the age of the patients: 8-11 years, 12-14 years, 15-17 years, 18-20 years, 21-23 years, and over 24 years. Each patient's condyle was segmented individually using the 3D Slicer program. Radiomic features were extracted from the segmented images using the SlicerRadiomics plugin. Subsequently, three distinct models were developed with reference to three specific subgroups of the 12-14 age group, 15-17 age group, 18-20 age group and the efficacy of radiomic features in predicting the age of the patient was evaluated.

RESULTS

The ROC analysis of the three radiomics scores (RS) yielded AUC values of 0.927, 0.860, and 0.769 for RS12-14, RS15-17, and RS18-20, respectively. The RS12-14 model exhibited the highest sensitivity and specificity values among the models, with 88% and 84.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Among the radiomic features extracted from the mandibular condyle in CBCT images, the most significant features, identified based on developed models and their respective coefficients, can be applied to estimate patients' ages. Future studies hold substantial potential for advancing this method, particularly in automating both the segmentation process and the derivation of formulae for age estimation. The use of radiomic features for age prediction presents a promising alternative method for developing fully automated systems in clinical practice.

Evaluation of Images Marked as Child Abuse by Digital Systems in Terms of Forensic Age Determination: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

The utilization of children in digital recordings with explicit content is subject to significant penalties on a global scale. In the context of legal proceedings, it is of significant legal and social importance to correctly determine whether the images examined belong to a child or an adult.

AIM

It is aimed to reveal the problems encountered in the expert witnessing process, to reveal the methods that can be used in age determination, and to contribute to the improvement of the expert witnessing process with the data examined in age determination from digital images.

METHODS

The decisions of forensic medicine experts on the digital images dated between 01/01/2015 and 31/12/2022, in which opinions were expressed as to whether the images included children and, if so, the age range of the children, were evaluated retrospectively.

RESULTS

Over the specified period, 349 digital materials were examined from 69 perpetrators as part of 67 different court cases. It was observed that 67.9% (n = 237) of the potential victims were female and 81.2% (n = 56) of the suspect were male. In cases where only limited image data were available, the age range could be determined in only 20% of cases. In contrast, when the majority of body parts were visible, the age range was determined in 70.8% of cases.

CONCLUSION

In light of the discrepancies between our findings and those of intelligent systems, it is evident that novel methodologies and studies are required, particularly for adolescent populations. It is an inevitable consequence of erroneous opinion that problems will be created for both the victim and the suspect.

Time is encoded by methylation changes at clustered CpG sites

Age-dependent changes in DNA methylation allow chronological and biological age inference, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Using ultra-deep sequencing of >300 blood samples from healthy individuals, we show that age-dependent DNA methylation changes are regional and occur at multiple adjacent CpG sites, either stochastically or in a coordinated block-like manner. Deep learning analysis of single-molecule patterns in two genomic loci achieved accurate age prediction with a median error of 1.46-1.7 years on held-out human blood samples, dramatically improving current epigenetic clocks. Factors such as gender, BMI, smoking and other measures of biological aging do not affect chronological age inference. Longitudinal 10-year samples revealed that early deviations from epigenetic age are maintained throughout life and subsequent changes faithfully record time. Lastly, the model inferred chronological age from as few as 50 DNA molecules, suggesting that age is encoded by individual cells. Overall, DNA methylation changes in clustered CpG sites illuminate the principles of time measurement by cells and tissues, and facilitate medical and forensic applications.

Dental age estimation in adults using the Lamendin criteria: Validation of a bayesian model in the Brazilian population

Age estimation provides information for biological profile, which is used as an important data during the process of to aid in the identification of bodies of deceased persons. Lamendin et al. proposed a simplified dental age estimation technique for adults based on the analysis of periodontal recession height, root height, and root translucency height. These characteristics were used to build a multi-population database that served in the development of a Bayesian model, known as the Forensic International Dental Database (FIDB). However, before this research, this model did not incorporate dental information from the Brazilian population. The aim of this article was to validate the application of the FIDB Bayesian statistical model for estimating dental age in samples from the Brazilian population and compare it to Lamendin's technique. A cross-sectional study was conducted using 230 dental elements extracted for therapeutic reasons and stored in a biobank. Two independent and calibrated examiners collected the data, considering the randomization of dental samples. Intra- and inter-examiner reliability analysis included the re-evaluation of 20 % (n = 40) of the sample. For statistical analyses, the data were organized in Microsoft© Excel© 365 version 2204 (Microsoft Corp., Redmond, WA, USA) spreadsheets, and R version 4.0.2 (R Foundation, Vienna, Austria) and IBM® SPSS® version 23.0 (SPSS Inc., IBM, Chicago, IL, USA) software were used. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, the final sample comprised 200 intact dental elements from 84 male and 116 female individuals. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the data did not show a normal distribution, and the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient indicated that intra- and inter-examiner agreements were adequate. Through the Mann-Whitney U test, statistically significant differences between sexes were not observed. In terms of overall accuracy, the Bayesian model and the original Lamendin´s technique showed a mean absolute error of 9.39 years and 9.95, respectively. Regarding bias, it was generally 0.15 years for the Bayesian model and 5.62 years for the original Lamendin´s technique. The Wilcoxon classification test revealed no statistically significant difference between chronological and estimated ages, but only for the Bayesian model. It can be concluded that the developed Bayesian statistical model was able to estimate the age of Brazilian adults satisfactorily, and overall, the error rates were acceptable.

An investigation of the validity of the Bedek models and Cameriere-European formula used in dental age prediction in Turkish children

BACKGROUND

Dental age estimation is one of the most reliable methods for determining age, commonly used for forensic, criminal, and anthropological purposes. The purpose of this study was to assess and compare the precision of the Bedek models and the Cameriere-European Formula (CF) in determinating dental age in a sample of Turkish individuals.

METHODS

Retrospective panoramic radiographs of 1018 subjects (497 boys and 521 girls) aged 5-14 years were evaluated using the Bedek models and the CF. The differences between calculated dental age (DA) and chronological age (CA) for each sex and age group were analyzed using the paired sample t-test and the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The accuracy of the methods used to estimate dental age was determined by calculating the mean absolute error (MAE) based on the proximity of the dental age to the chronological age.

RESULTS

The CF method overestimated CA by 0.1 year in the entire sample. Conversely, the Bedek models tended to overestimate CA, with the three-, four-, and seven-tooth models exhibiting the most significant difference. There was a statistically significant difference between boys and girls in the DA-CA calculation using the CF method in the entire sample. Among the Bedek models, the three- and four-tooth models had the lowest MAE in the entire sample, while the single-tooth model had the highest MAE.

CONCLUSION

The CF method showed higher accuracy in predicting the age of children living in eastern Turkey compared to the Bedek Models.

Evaluation of age estimation using alveolar bone images

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to examine the time-related changes of alveolar bone in 2D images quantitatively and to estimate age groups based on the change index.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The 238 panoramic X-ray images and 140 CT panoramic reconstructed images of the permanent dentition period were used to examine age-related changes. Comparisons between the younger age group and each of the other age groups were calculated using the landmark method of Procrustes analysis. As aging changes were observed in each age group, age estimation was performed using antemortem panoramic X-ray images and postmortem CT images so that they could be used in practice. The CT images used in the age estimation were performed using forty-two postmortem CT panoramic reconstructed images of known age submitted to the judicial autopsy.

RESULTS

Both panoramic and CT images showed changes in the alveolar bone over time. Age estimation using postmortem CT images provided a certain assessment.

CONCLUSION

In this study, clinically observed changes in alveolar bone over time were quantified on the images. Furthermore, the possibility of age estimation by alveolar bone was also suggested. The use of an updatable clinical database that can be stored in coordinate values offers the potential for age estimation in line with the times.

A Comparison of Two Methods of Dental Age Estimation in a Population of Saudi Children and Adolescents

This study aimed to compare and evaluate the accuracy of the Demirjian (DE) and the London Atlas (LAE) dental age estimation methods in a Saudi population sample. This retrospective cross-sectional study used digital radiographs from electronic health records in three different dental institutes. In total, 357 male and 354 female (ages 5-15 years) digital orthopantomograms were selected for age estimation. The mean difference between the chronological age (CA) and age estimation method among males and females was 0.03 ± 0.34 and 0.00 ± 0.34, respectively, for LAE and 0.55 ± 0.84 and 0.76 ± 0.51, respectively, for DE. The mean difference between the LAE and DE methods among males and females was 0.52 ± 0.89 and -0.76 ± 0.57, respectively. No statistically significant difference between CA and LAE was found in either males (p = 0.079) or females (p = 0.872). A statistically significant difference was found between CA and DE in both genders (p < 0.001). A statistically significant difference was found between the LAE and DE groups (p < 0.001) in both genders. An overestimation of dental age was observed with DE compared with that in CA. LAE showed higher accuracy than CA, with no clinically significant difference. Although the difference between the LAE and DE methods was insignificant, the LAE method proved to be more accurate.

An interdisciplinary forensic approach in a mummified child with evidence of abuse and neglect

Mummification of corpses with partial skeletonization is not an uncommon occurrence in daily forensic work. Cooperation between different forensic fields is important in these cases in terms of obtaining the most accurate and forensically relevant results, especially when child abuse and neglect is suspected. In Central Europe, up to 21% of children are exposed to physical and psychological harm, which is mostly perpetrated by family members. This report describes a case of subadult female mummified remains in which interdisciplinary forensic pathology, forensic anthropology, and entomology input was needed to obtain legally relevant results. Entomological analysis of the fly and beetle species present served primarily to estimate the postmortem interval. External examination confirmed advanced postmortem decomposition of the body. The anthropological findings based on radiographs and analysis of selected bones confirmed various antemortem fractures and post-traumatic changes involving the ribs, the distal portion of the humerus, the nasal bones, and the anterior portions of the maxilla and mandible. Furthermore, non-specific findings of growth arrest (Harris) lines in the distal metaphysis of the right tibia indicated growth retardation and, overall, child neglect. The autopsy findings confirmed subdural blood coagulum, part of which formed a clearly moulded plaster mass that had originally been attached to the cranial vault up to the internal lamina. The findings indicated a post-traumatic condition as the underlying cause of death in this child. Interdisciplinary forensic analyses confirmed that the child had been repeatedly exposed to violent assaults throughout her lifetime.

Key points

If mummified remains with partial skeletonization of a subadult are found, collaboration among forensic experts is requiredIn this case, dried subdural blood coagulum indicated post-traumatic, non-spontaneous subdural haemorrhagePeriosteal reaction present on the facial bones and distal portion of the humerus was a suspicious findingAnalyses of female subadult remains based on an interdisciplinary approach revealed a syndrome of child abuse and neglect.

A common framework to situate digital and physical traces in time

In this article, three main approaches to situate forensic traces in time were revisited under the prism of the Sydney Declaration and adapted to be applicable to a large range of physical and digital traces. The first approach is based on time tags which are time-based characteristics produced as the result of an activity at a specific time. They can either be directly related to time (i.e., time stamps) or indirectly (i.e., time indicators). While relatively straightforward, time tags require scientific knowledge to be correctly interpreted and to account for the risks of desynchronisation, anomalies and manipulation. The second approach is based on time dynamics and aim at measuring changes that occur as a function of time, such as caesium pulsation (i.e., on which international atomic time is based) or body cooling after death (i.e., from which time since death can be inferred). However, time dynamics phenomena are generally also influenced by other case-specific factors (e.g., environmental factors), and thus more difficult to reliably implement in practice. Finally, the third approach relies on relative sequences, using information unrelated to time, such as relative positions or dynamics of traces at the scene. As each approach has its potential and limitations, a combination of traces from different (both material and digital) sources and approaches is recommended to answer time questions in practice (When? How long? In which succession?) and enhance the reliability of the dating endeavours. It is strongly recommended to consider the principles of the Sydney Declaration when implementing or developing dating methods, as they point at potential issues that are often forgotten in forensic research and practice, such as uncertainties linked to the concept of trace, scene investigation, the asymmetry of time, the importance of context and the multiplicity of purposes. Future research should focus on improving the reliability of these dating approaches by combining and systematising their usage in investigative practice, as well as in broader intelligence processes.

Demystifying the Radiography of Age Estimation in Criminal Jurisprudence: A Pictorial Review

Skeletal radiographs along with dental examination are frequently used for age estimation in medicolegal cases where documentary evidence pertaining to age is not available. Wrist and hand radiographs are the most common skeletal radiograph considered for age estimation. Other parts imaged are elbow, shoulder, knee, and hip according to suspected age categories. Age estimation by wrist radiographs is usually done by the Tanner-Whitehouse method where the maturity level of each bone is categorized into stages and a final total score is calculated that is then transformed into the bone age. Careful assessment and interpretation at multiple joints are needed to minimize the error and categorize into age-group. In this article, we aimed to summarize a suitable radiographic examination and interpretation for bone age estimation in living children, adolescents, young adults, and adults for medicolegal purposes.

Radiological assessment of periodontal ligament space visibility on third molars for forensic age assessment - a comparison study of three different staging scales

Various staging scales have been proposed for the assessment of the visibility of the periodontal ligament space of mandibular third molars on dental panoramic radiographs (PANs) for forensic age assessment in living individuals. However, up to now, there has been no systematic comparison between these staging scales available. We directly compared the 2010 staging scale proposed by Olze et al. with the 2017 staging by Lucas et al. and the 2020 staging by Guo et al. in a German study population. We evaluated 233 PANs from 115 females and 118 males aged 20.0 to 40.9 years using three independent examiners, with one examiner conducting two assessments. We examined the correlation between age and stage, as well as the inter- and intra-rater reliabilities. While the point estimates for the correlation coefficient and the reliability measures were lowest for the Guo scale and highest for the Olze scale, confidence intervals showed a large overlap, particularly for the scales of Olze et al. and Lucas et al. The correlation coefficients between stage and age were consistently lower in females than in males across all methods. In summary, we showed that the staging scales of Olze et al. and Lucas et al. were very similar. The Olze method showed higher point estimates across all analyses, and because there are more reference data available for this method, we argue that it should be preferred as the method of choice for further studies in the field. However, Guo method could be considered for instances, in which the inter-radicular periodontal ligament is not evaluable.

Assessment of dental age estimation using dentinal translucency in ground sections of single rooted teeth: a digital image analysis

Human dentition is unique to individuals and helps in identification of individuals in forensic odontology. This study proposes to study the manually ground sections of single rooted teeth using digital methods for dental age estimation. To assess the dentinal translucency from the scanned digital images of manually ground section of teeth using commercially available image edition software. Corroborating the root dentinal translucency length and region of interest (ROI) of translucency zone in pixels (as a marker of dental age) with the chronological age of the subject, as stratified by different age groups. Twenty single-rooted extracted teeth from 20 patients each from 6 groups divided as per age. Manual sectioning of the teeth followed by scanning the sections was done. Root area in pixels and ROI of translucency zone were measured. From the observed values, translucency length percentage (TLP) and percentage of ROI in pixels (TPP) was calculated and tabulated. Pearson's correlation coefficients were obtained for age with TLP and TPP. Positive correlation existed between age and TLP and also between age and TPP. With the obtained data, multilinear regression equations for specific age groups based on 10-year intervals were derived. By a step-down analysis method, age was estimated with an average error of around ±7.9 years. This study gives a novel method for age-estimation that can be applied in real-time forensic sciences.

Applicability of Cameriere's third molar maturity index on orthopantomograms and computed tomography scans from a French population

Cameriere developed a method on orthopantomograms (OPG) to assess adult age of 18 years based on the relationship between age and the third molar maturity index I3M. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether Cameriere's method could be applied to computed-tomography scans (CT-scans) from a population of French juveniles and young adults and compare the results obtained from OPG of the same individuals. Our sample comprised 200 examinations that had been performed at the radiological department of a French University hospital between 2007 and 2020. Each patient had received an OPG and a cranial CT scan for medical purposes, and we used a similar adaptation of I3M based on OPG to determine the I3M based on CT scans. Due to exclusion criteria, our final sample comprised 71 OPGs and 63 CT scans. Based on the 71 OPGs, there was concordance between chronological age and estimated age, with a sensitivity of 78.57%, a specificity of 89.47%, and a misclassified rate of 18.03% based on tooth 38, and a sensitivity of 78.79%, a specificity of 91.67%, and a misclassified rate of 17.78% based on tooth 48. Our results based on CT scans presented concordance between chronological age and estimated age for tooth 38 described by a sensitivity of 77.78%, a specificity of 94.12%, and a misclassified rate of 16.98%. The concordance between chronological age and estimated age based on 48 had a sensitivity of 75.00%, a specificity of 93.75%, and a misclassified rate of 19.23%. The > 90% ICC indicate an excellent similarity between measurements of teeth 38 and 48 based on OPGs and CT scans. This study has revealed the applicability of the Cameriere's method to calculate the I3M based on CT scans from a French population. The results based on CT scans are similar to results based on OPGs from the same individuals.

Evaluation of data collection bias of third molar stages of mineralisation for age estimation in the living

Age assessment of the living is a fundamental procedure in the process of human identification, in order to guarantee fair treatment of individuals, which has ethical, civil, legal, and medical repercussions. The careful selection of the appropriate methods requires evaluation of several parameters: accuracy, precision of the method, as well as its reproducibility. The approach proposed by Mincer et al. adapted from Demirjian et al. exploring third molar mineralisation, is one of the most frequently considered for age estimation of the living. Thus, this work aims to assess potential bias in the data collection when applying the classification stages for dental mineralisation adapted by Mincer et al. A total of 102 orthopantomographs, of clinical origin, belonging to individuals aged between 12 and 25 years ([Formula: see text] = 20.12 years, SD = 3.49 years; 65 females, 37 males, all of Portuguese nationality) were included and a retrospective analysis performed by five observers with different levels of experience (high, average, and basic). The performance and agreement between five observers were evaluated using Weighted Cohen's Kappa and the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient. To access the influence of impaction on third molar classification, variables were tested using ordinal logistic regression Generalised Linear Model. It was observed that there were variations in the number of teeth identified among the observers, but the agreement levels ranged from moderate to substantial (0.4-0.8). Upon closer examination of the results, it was observed that although there were discernible differences between highly experienced observers and those with less experience, the gap was not as significant as initially hypothesised, and a greater disparity between the classifications of the upper (0.24-0.49) and lower third molars (>0.55) was observed. When bone superimposition is present, the classification process is not significantly influenced; however, variation in teeth angulation affects the assessment. The results suggest that with an efficient preparation, the level of experience as a factor can be overcome. Mincer and colleague's classification system can be replicated with ease and consistency, even though the classification of upper and lower third molars presents distinct challenges.

OPG-based dental age estimation using a data-technical exploration of deep learning techniques

Dental age estimation, a cornerstone in forensic age assessment, has been extensively tried and tested, yet manual methods are impeded by tedium and interobserver variability. Automated approaches using deep transfer learning encounter challenges like data scarcity, suboptimal training, and fine-tuning complexities, necessitating robust training methods. This study explores the impact of convolutional neural network hyperparameters, model complexity, training batch size, and sample quantity on age estimation. EfficientNet-B4, DenseNet-201, and MobileNet V3 models underwent cross-validation on a dataset of 3896 orthopantomograms (OPGs) with batch sizes escalating from 10 to 160 in a doubling progression, as well as random subsets of this training dataset. Results demonstrate the EfficientNet-B4 model, trained on the complete dataset with a batch size of 160, as the top performer with a mean absolute error of 0.562 years on the test set, notably surpassing the MAE of 1.01 at a batch size of 10. Increasing batch size consistently improved performance for EfficientNet-B4 and DenseNet-201, whereas MobileNet V3 performance peaked at batch size 40. Similar trends emerged in training with reduced sample sizes, though they were outperformed by the complete models. This underscores the critical role of hyperparameter optimization in adopting deep learning for age estimation from complete OPGs. The findings not only highlight the nuanced interplay of hyperparameters and performance but also underscore the potential for accurate age estimation models through optimization. This study contributes to advancing the application of deep learning in forensic age estimation, emphasizing the significance of tailored training methodologies for optimal outcomes.

Age Estimation Based on Computed Tomography Analysis of the Scapula

Background and Objectives: Age estimation from skeletal remains and in living individuals is an important issue for human identification, and also plays a critical role in judicial proceedings for migrants. Forensic analysis of ossification centers is the main evaluation method for age estimation, and ossification degree can be determined using computed tomography analysis. The purpose of this study is to investigate the applicability of CT (computed tomography) in the analysis of left scapula ossification centers, for forensic age estimation in Turkish society. Materials and Methods: We analyzed six ossification centers of the left scapula and these ossification centers are the coracoid, subcoracoid, coracoid apex, acromial, glenoid, and inferior angle ossification centers. A pediatric radiologist analyzed these six ossification centers of the scapula by using a staging method defined by Schmeling et al. in 2004. Two months after the first assessment, 20 randomly selected cases was reanalyzed by the first observer and by another pediatric radiologist. Correlation between the age and ossification stage was assessed using Spearman's nonparametric correlation test. Linear regression analysis was performed using a backwards model. Cohen's kappa coefficient was used for evaluating interobserver and intraobserver variability. Results: In this retrospective study, 397 (248 male and 149 female) cases were evaluated. Ages ranged between 7.1 and 30.9. The mean age was 19.83 ± 6.49. We determined a positive significant correlation between the age and the ossification stages of ossification centers analyzed in both sexes. In each ossification center, except inferior angle, all of the stage 1 and 2 cases in both sexes were under 18 years old. Intraobserver and interobserver evaluations showed that reproducibility and consistency of the method was relatively good. Conclusions: The present study indicated that CT analysis of scapula ossification centers might be helpful in forensic age assessment of living individuals and dry bones.

Age Estimation in Brazilian Adults Using the Pulp/Tooth Ratio of the Maxillary Canine and Mandibular Second Premolar

(1) Background/Objectives: Accurate determination of chronological age is crucial in legal dental identification. This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of different formulas in estimating the age of a Brazilian subpopulation by analyzing the pulp/tooth ratio of the maxillary canine and mandibular second premolar in panoramic and periapical radiographs. (2) Methods: The sample consisted of panoramic and periapical radiographs of 247 individuals. The file of each radiograph was opened in the Adobe Photoshop CS4® program to outline and obtain values in pixels for calculating the pulp/tooth ratio. Statistical analysis was conducted using the SPSS program, with a significance level set at 5%. (3) Results: The interclass correlation coefficient demonstrated excellent intra-observer agreement (0.990-0.999). The determination coefficients (R2) suggested that only 30-35% of the actual age results could be explained by the pulp/tooth ratio. The smallest differences were observed with Cameriere's formula for the mandibular second premolar on panoramic radiographs (+4.1 years). The greatest differences were found with the formulas for the mandibular second premolar in panoramic radiographs of the Korean (+12.5 years) and Portuguese (-12.1 years) populations. (4) Conclusions: The equations employed showed little agreement between the actual age and the estimated age.

Resolving the non-uniformity in the feature space of age estimation: A deep learning model based on feature clusters of panoramic images

Age estimation is important in forensics, and numerous techniques have been investigated to estimate age based on various parts of the body. Among them, dental tissue is considered reliable for estimating age as it is less influenced by external factors. The advancement in deep learning has led to the development of automatic estimation of age using dental panoramic images. Typically, most of the medical datasets used for model learning are non-uniform in the feature space. This causes the model to be highly influenced by dense feature areas, resulting in adequate estimations; however, relatively poor estimations are observed in other areas. An effective solution to address this issue can be pre-dividing the data by age feature and training each regressor to estimate the age for individual features. In this study, we divide the data based on feature clusters obtained from unsupervised learning. The developed model comprises a classification head and multi-regression head, wherein the former predicts the cluster to which the data belong and the latter estimates the age within the predicted cluster. The visualization results show that the model can focus on a clinically meaningful area in each cluster for estimating age. The proposed model outperforms the models without feature clusters by focusing on the differences within the area. The performance improvement is particularly noticeable in the growth and aging periods. Furthermore, the model can adequately estimate the age even for samples with a high probability of classification error as they are located at the border of two feature clusters.

Evidence of Age Estimation Procedures in Forensic Dentistry: Results from an Umbrella Review

Background and objective: Age estimation is an important tool when dealing with human remains or undocumented minors. Although the skull, the skeleton or the hand-wrist are used in age estimation as maturity indicators, they often present a lack of good conditions for a correct identification or estimation. Few systematic reviews (SRs) have been recently published; therefore, this umbrella review critically assesses their level of evidence and provides a general, comprehensive view. Materials and methods: Considering the review question "What is the current evidence on age determination approaches in Forensic Dentistry?" an electronic database search was conducted in four databases (PubMed, Cochrane, WoS, LILACS) up to December 2022, focusing on SRs of age estimation through forensic dentistry procedures. The methodological quality was analyzed using the measurement tool to assess SRs criteria (AMSTAR2). Results: Eighteen SRs were included: five of critically low quality, six of low quality, three of moderate quality and four of high quality. The SRs posited that Willems' method is more accurate and less prone to overestimation; most methods seem to be geographically sensitive; and 3D-imaging and artificial intelligence tools demonstrate high potential. Conclusions: The quality of evidence on age estimation using dental approaches was rated as low to moderate. Well-designed clinical trials and high-standard systematic reviews are essential to corroborate the accuracy of the different procedures for age estimation in forensic dentistry.

Accuracy of Age Estimation Using Three Dental Age Estimation Methods in a Young, Large, and Multiethnic Patient Sample

European countries have become host countries for migrants and unaccompanied minors. However, many migrants arrive without identity documents. Many methods exist to estimate age; among them, several methods using dental age have been proposed. Our objective was to evaluate the accuracy of biological age determination in a multiethnic sample using dental age estimated using three methods: Nolla, Demirjian, and the London Atlas. Orthopantomograms collected for 324 patients of various ethnicities aged from 4 to 20 years old were included. Then, for each orthopantomogram, a blind trained examiner used the three methods of age estimation. For each method, the estimated mean age was greater than the real mean age (p < 0.0001). The accuracy after 18 years old with a 1-year margin was under 50%. Demirjian's method gave a less accurate estimated age than Nolla's method (p < 0.0001) or the London Atlas (p < 0.001). The most accurate methods were those of Nolla and the London Atlas, with average absolute deviations of 1.3 and 1.2 years, respectively. Demirjian's method was much less accurate, with a deviation of around 2 years. The evaluated methods are unable to provide reliable information to determine if an individual is a minor.

Estimating chronological age through learning local and global features of panoramic radiographs in the Korean population

This study suggests a hybrid method based on ResNet50 and vision transformer (ViT) in an age estimation model. To this end, panoramic radiographs are used for learning by considering both local features and global information, which is important in estimating age. Transverse and longitudinal panoramic images of 9663 patients were selected (4774 males and 4889 females with a mean age of 39 years and 3 months). To compare ResNet50, ViT, and the hybrid model, the mean absolute error, mean square error, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination (R2) were used as metrics. The results confirmed that the age estimation model designed using the hybrid method performed better than those using only ResNet50 or ViT. The estimation is highly accurate for young people at an age with distinct growth characteristics. When examining the basis for age estimation in the hybrid model through attention rollout, the proposed model used logical and important factors rather than relying on unclear elements as the basis for age estimation.

Third Molar Eruption in Dental Panoramic Radiographs as a Feature for Forensic Age Assessment-Presentation of a New Non-Staging Method Based on Measurements

The evaluation of third molar eruption in dental panoramic radiographs (DPRs) constitutes an evidence-based approach for forensic age assessment in living individuals. Existing methodologies involve staging morphological radiographic findings and comparing them to reference populations. Conversely, the existing literature presents an alternative method where the distance between third molars and the occlusal plane is measured on dental plaster models. The aim of this study was to adapt this measurement principle for DPRs and to determine correlation between eruption and chronological age. A total of 423 DPRs, encompassing 220 females and 203 males aged 15 to 25 years, were examined, including teeth 38 [FDI] and 48. Two independent examiners conducted the measurements, with one examiner providing dual assessments. Ultimately, a quotient was derived by comparing orthogonal distances from the mesial cementoenamel junctions of the second and third molars to a simplified radiological occlusal plane. This quotient was subsequently correlated with the individual's age. We estimated correlations between age and quotients, as well as inter- and intra-rater reliability. Correlation coefficients (Spearman's rho) between measurements and individuals' ages ranged from 0.555 to 0.597, conditional on sex and tooth. Intra-rater agreement (Krippendorf's alpha) ranged from 0.932 to 0.991, varying according to the tooth and sex. Inter-rater agreement ranged from 0.984 to 0.992, with distinctions drawn for different teeth and sex. Notably, all observer agreement values fell within the "very good" range. In summary, assessing the distance of third molars from a simplified occlusal plane in DPRs emerges as a new and promising method for evaluating eruption status in forensic age assessment. Subsequent reference studies should validate these findings.

Skeletal age estimation of living adolescents and young adults: A pilot study on conventional radiography versus magnetic resonance imaging and staging technique versus atlas method

OBJECTIVE

To compare conventional radiography (CR) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the left hand/wrist and both clavicles for forensic age estimation of adolescents and young adults.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

CR and MRI were prospectively conducted in 108 healthy Caucasian volunteers (52 males, 56 females) aged 16 to 21 years. Skeletal development was assessed by allocating stages (wrist, clavicles) and atlas standards (hand/wrist). Inter- and intra-observer agreements were quantified using linear weighted Cohen's kappa, and descriptive statistics regarding within-stage/standard age distributions were reported.

RESULTS

Inter- and intra-observer agreements for hand/wrist CR (staging technique: 0.840-0.871 and 0.877-0.897, respectively; atlas method: 0.636-0.947 and 0.853-0.987, respectively) and MRI (staging technique: 0.890-0.932 and 0.897-0.952, respectively; atlas method: 0.854-0.941 and 0.775-0.978, respectively) were rather similar. The CR atlas method was less reproducible than the staging technique. Inter- and intra-observer agreements for clavicle CR (0.590-0.643 and 0.656-0.770, respectively) were lower than those for MRI (0.844-0.852 and 0.866-0.931, respectively). Furthermore, although shifted, wrist CR and MRI within-stage age distribution spread were similar, as were those between staging techniques and atlas methods. The possibility to apply (profound) substages to clavicle MRI rendered a more gradual increase of age distributions with increasing stages, compared to CR.

CONCLUSIONS

For age estimation based on the left hand/wrist and both clavicles, reference data should be considered anatomical structure- and imaging modality-specific. Moreover, CR is adequate for hand/wrist evaluation and a wrist staging technique seems to be more useful than an atlas method. By contrast, MRI is of added value for clavicle evaluation.

Getting the chronological age out of DNA: using insights of age-dependent DNA methylation for forensic DNA applications

BACKGROUND

DNA analysis for forensic investigations has a long tradition with important developments and optimizations since its first application. Traditionally, short tandem repeats analysis has been the most powerful method for the identification of individuals. However, in addition, epigenetic changes, i.e., DNA methylation, came into focus of forensic DNA research. Chronological age prediction is one promising application to allow for narrowing the pool of possible individuals who caused a trace, as well as to support the identification of unknown bodies and for age verification of living individuals.

OBJECTIVE

This review aims to provide an overview of the current knowledge, possibilities, and (current) limitations about DNA methylation-based chronological age prediction with emphasis on forensic application.

METHODS

The development, implementation and application of age prediction tools requires a deep understanding about the biological background, the analysis methods, the age-dependent DNA methylation markers, as well as the mathematical models for age prediction and their evaluation. Furthermore, additional influences can have an impact. Therefore, the literature was evaluated in respect to these diverse topics.

CONCLUSION

The numerous research efforts in recent years have led to a rapid change in our understanding of the application of DNA methylation for chronological age prediction, which is now on the way to implementation and validation. Knowledge of the various aspects leads to a better understanding and allows a more informed interpretation of DNAm quantification results, as well as the obtained results by the age prediction tools.

Dental age estimation in Indonesian adults: An investigation of the maxillary canine pulp-to-tooth volume ratio using cone-beam computed tomography

Purpose

This study was performed to develop a linear regression model using the pulp-to-tooth volume ratio (PTVR) ratio of the maxillary canine, assessed through cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) images, to predict chronological age (CA) in Indonesian adults.

Materials and Methods

A sample of 99 maxillary canines was collected from patients between 20 and 49.99 years old. These samples were obtained from CBCT scans taken at the Universitas Padjadjaran Dental Hospital in Indonesia between 2018 and 2022. Pulp volume (PV) and tooth volume (TV) were measured using ITK-SNAP, while PTVR was calculated from the PV/TV ratio. Using RStudio, a linear regression was performed to predict CA using PTVR. Additionally, correlation and observer agreement were assessed.

Results

The PTVR method demonstrated excellent reproducibility, and a significant correlation was found between the PTVR of the maxillary canine and CA (r=-0.74, P<0.01). The linear regression analysis showed an R2 of 0.58, a root mean square error of 5.85, and a mean absolute error of 4.31.

Conclusion

Linear regression using the PTVR can be effectively applied to predict CA in Indonesian adults between 20 and 49.99 years of age. As models of this type can be population-specific, recalibration for each population is encouraged. Additionally, future research should explore the use of other teeth, such as molars.

Forensic Age Estimation: A Multifactorial Approach in a Retrospective Population Study

Objectives: The objective of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of forensic age estimation in a German population by combining clavicle and wisdom teeth assessments based on cone beam computed tomography (CT) data. The study aimed to determine the reliability of this approach in predicting biological age. Material and Methods: A total of 161 CT data sets from 120 males and 41 females with known exact ages were evaluated by three raters. The clavicle was assessed according to stages 1-5 (including substages 2a-c and 3a-c), and the Demirjian stage's classification method was used for the wisdom teeth. Inter-class correlation (ICC) was calculated to assess the agreement among the three raters. Additionally, ordinary least square regressions were performed to predict chronological age using the clavicle or one of the four teeth. Finally, age prediction models using multiple indicators were developed. Results: The ICCs ranged from 0.82 for the clavicle to 0.86 and 0.88 for the wisdom teeth. Linear estimation tended to overestimate chronological age, especially in subjects over 18 years old. The clavicle showed the strongest overestimation. Combining age estimation from the clavicle with the upper and lower wisdom teeth improved the predictive power, resulting in a 14% and 15% increase in R² for the upper and lower wisdom teeth, respectively. Adding more than one tooth to the prediction did not improve the predictive power (all ΔR² < 1%). Conclusions: Age estimation using CT can be significantly improved by combining information from the analysis of wisdom teeth with age estimation based on the clavicle.

Forensic age estimation: comparison and validation of the Iscan method in 3D reconstructions using a surface scanner in a Spanish population

When investigating a death, post-mortem identification provides with results of great legal and humanitarian significance. The effectiveness of the methods used to estimate age depends on the reference population, considering variables such as sex and ancestry. The aim of this study was to validate the Iscan method to estimate age in a Spanish forensic population, comparing the estimates obtained in dry bones and 3D reconstructions created with a surface scanner. We carried out a cross-sectional study on 109 autopsied corpses (67% male), scanning the sternal end of the right fourth rib in a 3D mesh, using an EinScan-Pro® surface scanner (precision: 0.05 mm). Two observers estimated the phases in dry bones and 3D images according to the Iscan method and to the sex of the subject. The mean age was 57.73 years (SD = 19.12 years;18-93 years). The intra-observer agreement was almost perfect in bones (κ = 0.877-0.960) and 3D images (κ = 0.954), while the inter-observer agreement was almost perfect in bones (κ = 0.813) and substantial in 3D images (κ = 0.727). The correlation with the Iscan phases was very strong in bones (Rho = 0.794-0.820; p < 0.001) and strong in 3D images (Rho = 0.690-0.691; p < 0.001). Both sex-adjusted linear regression models were significant (dry bones: R2 = 0.65; SEE =  ± 11.264 years; 3D images: R2 = 0.50; SEE =  ± 13.537 years) from phase 4 onwards. An overestimation of age was observed in the first phases, and an underestimation in the later ones. Virtual analysis using a surface scanner in the fourth rib is a valid means of estimating age. However, the error values and confidence intervals were considerable, so the joint use of different methods and anatomical sites is recommended.

Chronology of permanent teeth mineralization in Brazilian individuals: age estimation tables

BACKGROUND

Age is important in forming the uniqueness of individuals. When chronological age is not available, age estimation is required, particularly in court cases. The mineralization chronology of permanent teeth is a valuable tool for age estimation of subadults. This study aimed to evaluate the mineralization stages of permanent teeth of Brazilian subjects from imaging exams, using the classification by Moorrees et al. modified by the authors, to verify the existence of correlation between the chronology of mineralization stages and sex and to prepare numerical tables of the chronology of dental mineralization stages for Brazilian individuals.

METHODS

Digital panoramic radiographs of 1100 living Brazilian individuals of both sexes, aged between 2 and 25 years, born between 1990 and 2018, from the image bank of a Dental Radiographs and Documentations clinic located in the city of Araraquara, SP, Brazil. The images were evaluated according to the level of crown and root development and classified according to the stages proposed by Moorrees et al. (Am J Phys Anthropol 21: 205-213, 1963) adapted by the authors. All analyses were performed in the R software. Descriptive and exploratory analyses were performed on all data. For intra- and inter-examiner analyses, the rate of agreement and Kappa statistics at a 95% confidence interval were used. Kappa was interpreted according to Landis and Koch.

RESULTS

Only upper and lower canines showed significant differences between the sexes (p < 0.05), with higher average ages for men. The findings were presented in tables, as well as age estimates with 95% confidence intervals for each mineralization stage and each tooth.

CONCLUSION

In the present study, we evaluated the mineralization stages of permanent teeth of Brazilian subjects from digital panoramic radiographs and found no correlation between the chronology of mineralization stages and sex, except for canines. From the obtained results, numerical tables of the chronology of dental mineralization stages were prepared.

Third molar eruption in orthopantomograms as a feature for forensic age assessment-a comparison study of different classification systems

Evaluation of third molar eruption represents an established method for age assessment of living individuals. Different classification systems are available for the radiological assessment of third molar eruption. The aim of this study was to identify the most accurate and reliable classification system for the mandibular third molar eruption on orthopantomograms (OPG). We compared the method of Olze et al. (2012) with the method of Willmot et al. (2018) and a newly derived classification system using OPGs from 211 individuals aged 15-25 years. The assessments were performed by three experienced examiners. One examiner evaluated all radiographs twice. The correlation between age and stage was investigated and the inter- and intra-rater reliability was estimated for all three methods. Correlation between stage and age was similar between classification systems, although higher in the data from males (Spearman's rho ranging from 0.568 to 0.583) than from females (0.440 to 0.446). Inter- and intra-rater reliability measures were similar across methods and invariant on sex, with overlapping confidence intervals, although the highest point estimates for both intra- and inter-rater reliability were for the method by Olze et al. with Krippendorf's alpha values of 0.904 (95% confidence interval 0.854, 0.954) and 0.797 (95% confidence interval 0.744, 0.850). It was concluded that the method of Olze et al. from 2012 is a reliable method for practical application and future studies.

Reference and target sample age distribution impacts between model types in dental developmental age estimation

The performance of age estimation methods may vary due to a combination of method- and sample-related factors. Method development and evaluation necessitates understanding what influences these factors have on age estimation outcomes. In the specific context of juvenile dental age estimation, we used a single dataset and complete factorial design to systematically test four potential sources of difference: age distributions of reference and target sample (uniform, unimodal, U-shaped), Bayesian (multivariate Bayesian cumulative probit) vs. classical regression modeling (multivariate adaptive regression splines i.e. MARS), and model selection bias. The dataset consisted of 850 sets of left mandibular molar scores from London children 5-18 years old. True age and estimated age intervals in target samples were compared for bias, root-mean-squared error, precision, and accuracy using locally weighted smoothing of performance measures across the age range and means of performance metrics between factor-level combinations. We found interactions of model type, reference distribution, and target distribution. MARS models showed consistent evidence of age mimicry. Central tendency of the reference sample corresponded with increased bias while central tendency of the target sample corresponded with reduced RMSE and reduced precision for both model types. We found evidence of model selection bias, mitigated through averaging model metrics. We conclude that reference and target sample distribution influences and model selection bias are sufficient to cause difference in model performance within a single population. We suggest using Bayesian modeling, drawing uniform reference and target samples, and calculating test error on a hold-out sample to mitigate these challenges in method development.

The Cameriere, Haavikko, Demirjian, and Willems methods for the assessment of dental age in Croatian children

AIM

This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy and precision of the Cameriere European formula, Demirjian, Haavikko, and Willems methods for estimating dental age in a sample of children with permanent dentition in Croatia.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study consisted of a sample of 1576 panoramic radiographs; a sub-sample of 84 OPGs, in which all first seven mandibular teeth were maturated, was excluded from the study. A final sample of 1492 (704 males and 788 females) aged 6.0 to 13.9 years was evaluated. Seven mandibular teeth from the left side of the mandible were analyzed, and dental age (DA) was determined by the Cameriere European formula, Demirjian method from 1976, Haavikko, and Willems methods and compared to chronological age (CA). In addition, the mean age difference (DA-CA), the mean absolute error (MAE) between dental and chronological age, the percentage of the individuals of dental age within ± 0.25 to ± 2 years of chronological age, and intra-observer and inter-observer statistics were calculated.

RESULTS

The Cameriere European formula estimated the best dental age compared to the chronological age; the mean underestimation was - 0.4 years for both sexes, Haavikko underestimated by - 0.17 years, while Demirjian and Willems overestimated by 1.02 years and 0.48 years, respectively. The most significant difference showed the Demirjian method in 11-year-old and 12-year-old females. The MAE were 0.50 years, 1.01 years, 0.61 years, and 0.78 years in males and 0.51 years, 1.18 years, 0.61 years, and 0.70 years in females for the Cameriere European formula, Haavikko, Willems, and Demirjian methods, respectively. Furthermore, the Cameriere European formula showed the highest proportions of individuals with DA within ± 0.5 year difference of the CA, 61.5% in males and 59.6% in females. In addition, the Cameriere method showed the best intra-observer and inter-observer agreements.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the Demirjian method was used previously in Croatian children for legal, medical, and clinical purposes, the Cameriere European formula, Haavikko, and Willems were more accurate in the tested sample. According to our findings, the Cameriere European formula showed the best accuracy and precision in dental age assessment in Croatian children following Haavikko, and we recommend it as the method of the first choice in forensic and clinical analyses.

Forensic Dental Age Estimation: Development of New Algorithm Based on the Minimal Necessary Databases

Objectives Dental age determination relies on the presence of wisdom teeth, which can be assigned to specific age ranges according to their stage of development. The purpose of this study is to highlight the applicability of the Demirjian staging of layman compared to expert, as well as the inclusion of all four wisdom teeth in the overall assessment, in order to emphasize and critically highlight a precise age estimation in clinical practice, especially in the case of agenesis or the presence of less than all four wisdom teeth. Material and Methods: In this study, dental age determination is performed and compared by a trained layperson and an expert using 385 orthopantomograms. The radiographs of known chronological age from male patients in the age range of 11−22 years were acquired from the University Medical Center Mainz. All four wisdom teeth were radiologically viewed if present. Demirjian staging with stages A−H was applied, and regression analysis was performed. Results: The relationship between mineralization of wisdom teeth (18, 28, 38 and 48) and age was linear for all teeth (p < 0.01), except for tooth 18 (p = 0.02). Comparing the prediction of the four teeth individually revealed that the lower teeth gave better predictions than the upper ones (R2 ≥ 0.50 vs. R2 < 0.50). Conclusions: For clinical use, the mandibular wisdom teeth should be preferred when performing dental age estimation using the Demirjian staging method. As a result of the present analysis, two ways of determining dental age by wisdom teeth can be suggested. One is to take only tooth 38, with the formula: age = 3.3 + 0.73 × mineralization of tooth_38. The second recommendation would be to take tooth_48. If both are unavailable, the formula would be age = −0.5 + 0.94 × mineralization tooth_28. Utilizing tooth 18 would not lead to more precise results.

Accuracy of age estimation and assessment of the 18-year threshold based on second and third molar maturity in Koreans and Japanese

This study aimed to validate Lee’s age estimation method and assess the 18-year threshold in Korean and Japanese populations. We evaluated the maxillary and mandibular second (M2) and third molars (M3) in 2657 orthopantomograms of the Korean and Japanese populations aged 15–23 years (19.47±2.62 years for Koreans, 19.31±2.60 years for Japanese), using Demirjian’s criteria. Dental age was estimated, and correlations between chronological and dental ages were analyzed. Classification performance was calculated based on the 18-year threshold. The relationship between developmental stage and chronologic age was analyzed using multiple linear regression. Our results revealed that Lee’s method was appropriate for estimation in the Korean population. When the Lee’s method was applied to the Japanese population, a lower value of correlation coefficients between estimated and chronological age, and lower specificity were observed. Population differences were observed predominantly in the stages of root development (stages F and G) of M2s and M3s in both jaws and more frequently in females than in males. In the multiple linear regression between developmental stage and chronological age, lower values of adjusted r² were observed in the Japanese population than in the Koreans. In conclusion, the Lee’s method derived from the Korean population data might be unsuitable for Japanese juveniles and adolescents. To support the findings of this study, future studies with samples from multiple institutions should be conducted. Future studies with larger sample sizes are also warranted to improve the accuracy of dental age estimation and confirm the developmental pattern of teeth in the Japanese population.

Age group prediction with panoramic radiomorphometric parameters using machine learning algorithms

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship of 18 radiomorphometric parameters of panoramic radiographs based on age, and to estimate the age group of people with permanent dentition in a non-invasive, comprehensive, and accurate manner using five machine learning algorithms. For the study population (209 men and 262 women; mean age, 32.12 ± 18.71 years), 471 digital panoramic radiographs of Korean individuals were applied. The participants were divided into three groups (with a 20-year age gap) and six groups (with a 10-year age gap), and each age group was estimated using the following five machine learning models: a linear discriminant analysis, logistic regression, kernelized support vector machines, multilayer perceptron, and extreme gradient boosting. Finally, a Fisher discriminant analysis was used to visualize the data configuration. In the prediction of the three age-group classification, the areas under the curve (AUCs) obtained for classifying young ages (10-19 years) ranged from 0.85 to 0.88 for five different machine learning models. The AUC values of the older age group (50-69 years) ranged from 0.82 to 0.88, and those of adults (20-49 years) were approximately 0.73. In the six age-group classification, the best scores were also found in age groups 1 (10-19 years) and 6 (60-69 years), with mean AUCs ranging from 0.85 to 0.87 and 80 to 0.90, respectively. A feature analysis based on LDA weights showed that the L-Pulp Area was important for discriminating young ages (10-49 years), and L-Crown, U-Crown, L-Implant, U-Implant, and Periodontitis were used as predictors for discriminating older ages (50-69 years). We established acceptable linear and nonlinear machine learning models for a dental age group estimation using multiple maxillary and mandibular radiomorphometric parameters. Since certain radiomorphological characteristics of young and the elderly were linearly related to age, young and old groups could be easily distinguished from other age groups with automated machine learning models.

Application of Third Molar Maturity Index (I3M) for Assessing Adult Age of 18 Years in a Southern Italian Population Sample

OBJECTIVE

 Age estimation of living or dead individuals has a strategic importance in medicine, anthropology, and forensic science, in the context of mass disasters and in civil or criminal matters such as adoption or asylum. Teeth play a major role in this context in particular, the third molars are useful for determining whether an individual has reached the legal age of 18 years because they are still in development from the age of 14.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

 In this study, a sample of 307 panoramic radiographs performed on healthy subjects aged between 13 and 23 was analyzed to consider the correlation between the maturity index of the third molar (I3M) and age to verify the reliability of the cutoff 0.08 indicated by Cameriere et al in a sample of Italian subjects living in the Province of Messina (Sicily, South Italy) to discern the adult subjects from the minors.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

 The analysis of 307 panoramic radiographs resulted in a sensitivity of 89.2% with a confidence interval of 95%, a specificity of 96.5% with a confidence interval of 95%, and a positive predictive value of 96.7%.

RESULTS

 The method proved itself reliable in estimating adulthood in the population of the Messina- Sicily, but the I3M should not be used as the sole indicator to determine whether a person is younger or older than 18 years because age estimation based on dental methods alone has limitations as the third molars suffer from many variations related to their morphology, their location, and their development.

CONCLUSION

 We recommend a combination of several methods that are available to increase accuracy of age estimation, depending on the different legal requirements in civil or criminal cases.

Dental age estimation with fewer than mandibular seven teeth: An accuracy study of Bedek models in Turkish children

OBJECTIVES

One or more missing teeth, such as hypodontia, make it difficult to obtain accurate results in age estimation methods. This paper aims to test the accuracy of the models developed by Bedek et al. that can estimate age with fewer than seven teeth for Turkish children.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Panoramic radiographs of 1118 children (540 girls and 578 boys) aged between 6 and 16 years were evaluated using the Willems method and Bedek models for the entire sample and for different ages and sexes. Differences between dental age (DA) and chronological age (CA) calculated for all methods for each sex and all age groups were analyzed the paired sample t-test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. The accuracy of the DA estimation methods was determined by the proximity of DA to CA by calculating mean absolute error (MAE).

RESULTS

While all Bedek models underestimated CA by 0.2 to 0.1 years, the Willems method overestimated CA by 0.3 years. DA-CA difference in the total sample and girls was statistically significant in all methods. In the total sample, the seven- and four-teeth models had the lowest MAE, while the one-tooth model had the highest MAE.

CONCLUSIONS

Seven- and four-teeth models were the most suitable for age estimation, and all models except the one-tooth model were found to be more accurate than the Willems method in northwestern Turkish children.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Especially in children with hypodontia, it may be possible to estimate DA with the use of Bedek models.

Validity of the Demirjian Method for Dental Age Estimation in Romanian Children

Dental age assessment is useful in various medical fields. The Demirjian method for dental age estimation is one of the most widely used in the field of pediatric dentistry. The aim of this study was to verify the accuracy of the Demirjian method in determining age in a sample of girls and boys from Oradea, Romania. This retrospective and radiographic study was based on the evaluation of 1006 panoramic radiographs, belonging to 1006 patients (431 boys and 575 girls) with ages between 3 and 13.9 years from the city of Oradea, Romania. They were collected from three private dental practices from Oradea and were analyzed between 1 September 2021, and 10 November 2021. The patients were distributed into 11 age groups, each group spanning over one year (e.g., 3−3.9, 4−4.9). For the assessment of dental age, the Demirjian method was used, which is based on the evaluation of the developmental stages of the lower left permanent teeth. The mean chronological age of the patients was 9.496 ± 2.218 years, and the mean dental age was 10.934 ± 2.585 years. The overestimation of dental age was obtained in all age groups for the entire sample. As such, dental age was higher than chronological age, with values varying from 0.34 years in the 3−3.9 years age group to 1.7 years in the 10−10.9 years age group. In girls, dental age was higher than chronological age, with values varying from 0.46 years in the 3−3.9 years age group to 1.73 years in the 11−11.9 years age group, while in boys, the values varied from 0.15 years in the first age group to 2.02 years in the 10−10.9 years age group. The comparison of the differences between chronological age and dental age according to the gender of the patients revealed that the distribution of the differences was nonparametric in both groups according to the Shapiro−Wilk test (p < 0.05). The differences between the groups were not significant according to the Mann−Whitney U test. However, larger differences were identified for boys (1.46 years) than girls (1.417 years), with an overestimation of the dental age. The Demirjian method overestimated the age of the children included in the investigated sample, with different values for the different age groups investigated, and requires adaptations.

Circular RNA as a Potential Biomarker for Forensic Age Prediction

In forensic science, accurate estimation of the age of a victim or suspect can facilitate the investigators to narrow a search and aid in solving a crime. Aging is a complex process associated with various molecular regulations on DNA or RNA levels. Recent studies have shown that circular RNAs (circRNAs) upregulate globally during aging in multiple organisms such as mice and C.elegans because of their ability to resist degradation by exoribonucleases. In the current study, we attempted to investigate circRNAs’ potential capability of age prediction. Here, we identified more than 40,000 circRNAs in the blood of thirteen Chinese unrelated healthy individuals with ages of 20–62 years according to their circRNA-seq profiles. Three methods were applied to select age-related circRNA candidates including the false discovery rate, lasso regression, and support vector machine. The analysis uncovered a strong bias for circRNA upregulation during aging in human blood. A total of 28 circRNAs were chosen for further validation in 30 healthy unrelated subjects by RT-qPCR, and finally, 5 age-related circRNAs were chosen for final age prediction models using 100 samples of 19–73 years old. Several different algorithms including multivariate linear regression (MLR), regression tree, bagging regression, random forest regression (RFR), and support vector regression (SVR) were compared based on root mean square error (RMSE) and mean average error (MAE) values. Among five modeling methods, regression tree and RFR performed better than the others with MAE values of 8.767 years (S.rho = 0.6983) and 9.126 years (S.rho = 0.660), respectively. Sex effect analysis showed age prediction models significantly yielded smaller prediction MAE values for males than females (MAE = 6.133 years for males, while 10.923 years for females in the regression tree model). In the current study, we first used circRNAs as additional novel age-related biomarkers for developing forensic age estimation models. We propose that the use of circRNAs to obtain additional clues for forensic investigations and serve as aging indicators for age prediction would become a promising field of interest.

Age Estimation in Children by the Measurement of Open Apices in Teeth: A Study in the Western Indian Population

In forensic sphere and clinical dentistry, age estimation is a topic of utmost importance. Various techniques are employed in children to determine age; however, dental development has proven to be an appropriate method because of its low variability. Cameriere's method is a widely accepted method of age estimation in children, which is carried out by measuring the projections of open apices and also the heights of developing permanent teeth seen on panoramic radiographs. The aim of this study is to establish a new formula for age estimation in the Western Indian population by measuring the open apices of mandibular teeth using Cameriere's European formula. For this study, we included 311 panoramic radiographs of healthy children living in Western India (Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Goa) aged 4–15 years which were analysed by two independent researchers. Seven left permanent mandibular teeth were assessed for length and width of open apices. Dental maturity was evaluated using measurements of the left seven permanent mandibular teeth (x_i = A_i/L_i, i = 1,…, 7), the sum of the normalized open apices (s), and the number (N0) of teeth with complete root formation. A linear relationship between open apices, N0, age, and other factors was evaluated with the aid of a stepwise multiple regression model. A stepwise linear regression showed that all parameters, gender, s, N0, and x₅, were significantly associated with age (R = 85%). No statistically significant difference was found between the predicted and actual chronological age of children in the age group of 4–13 years using the regression equation for the Western Indian population. The present research suggests that the new regression formula developed will be more accurate for age assessment in the Western Indian population.