The predictive value of C-reactive protein (CRP) in acute pancreatitis - is interval change in CRP an additional indicator of severity?

Pinocembrin's protective effect against acute pancreatitis in a rat model: The correlation between TLR4/NF-κB/NLRP3 and miR-34a-5p/SIRT1/Nrf2/HO-1 pathways

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (APS) is a prevalent acute pancreatic inflammation, where oxidative stress, inflammatory signaling pathways, and apoptosis activation contribute to pancreatic injury.

METHODS

Pinocembrin, the predominant flavonoid in propolis, was explored for its likely shielding effect against APS provoked by two intraperitoneal doses of L-arginine (250 mg / 100 g) in a rat model.

RESULTS

Pinocembrin ameliorated the histological and immunohistochemical changes in pancreatic tissues and lowered the activities of pancreatic amylase and lipase that were markedly elevated with L-arginine administration. Moreover, pinocembrin reinstated the oxidant/antioxidant equilibrium, which was perturbed by L-arginine, and boosted the pancreatic levels of nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) and heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1). Pinocembrin markedly reduced the elevation in serum C-reactive protein (CRP) level induced by L-arginine. Additionally, it decreased the expression of high motility group box protein 1 (HMGB1), toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), and NOD-like receptor (NLR) Family Pyrin Domain Containing 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome in the pancreas. Furthermore, it also reduced myeloperoxidase (MPO) activity. Pinocembrin markedly downregulated miR-34a-5p expression and upregulated the protein levels of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha (PPAR-α) and Sirtuin 1 (SIRT1) and the gene expression level of the inhibitor protein of NF-κB (IκB-α), along with normalizing the Bax/Bcl-2 ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

Pinocembrin notably improved L-arginine-induced APS by its antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, and anti-apoptotic activities. Pinocembrin exhibited a protective role in APS by suppressing inflammatory signaling via the TLR4/NF-κB/NLRP3 pathway and enhancing cytoprotective signaling via the miR-34a-5p/SIRT1/Nrf2/HO-1 pathway.

Chaiqin Chengqi Decoction as an adjuvant treatment for mild/moderately severe hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Hypertriglyceridemia is the third leading cause of acute pancreatitis (AP), and its incidence is increasing. Due to its relatively insidious etiology, it is easy to be ignored in the early stages. In China, Chaiqin Chengqi Decoction (CQCQD) has long been employed for treating AP.

AIM

To evaluate the effectiveness of CQCQD in patients diagnosed with mild/ moderately severe hypertriglyceridemic AP (HTG-AP).

METHODS

In this study, the clinical data of 39 patients with HTG-AP admitted from January 2019 to November 2022 were collected. The changes of blood lipids, gastrointestinal symptoms, and abdominal pain before and after treatment were analyzed and compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Twenty patients were treated with the conventional HTG-AP regimen, and 19 patients were additionally treated with CQCQD. After receiving treatment, the triglycerides (TG) level of the CQCQD group was lower than that of the CQCQD group (3.14 ± 0.25 mmol/L vs 4.96 ± 0.47 mmol/L, P < 0.01). After 3 d of treatment, the patients in the CQCQD group had more bowel movements than the control group (2.51 ± 0.25 times vs 1.00 ± 0.17 times, P = 0.01). The gastrointestinal function of most patients returned to normal, and the acute gastrointestinal injury score was significantly lower than that of the control group (0.11 ± 0.07 vs 0.42 ± 0.11, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

In patients with HTG-AP, CQCQD can significantly reduce the TG level, shorten the recovery time of defecation, significantly improve the gastrointestinal function.

Potential Predictors of Severe and Recurrent Pancreatitis in Children: A Single-Center Experience

OBJECTIVES

Severe pancreatitis often requires intensive care; therefore, early detection is important. This study aimed to evaluate the possible predictors of pancreatitis severity in children. Furthermore, we evaluated the prevalence of pancreatitis recurrence and related factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of patients aged younger than 18 years who were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis between January 2017 and June 2022. Acute pancreatitis was diagnosed and classified based on the revised Atlanta criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 64 patients were enrolled, and severe pancreatitis was observed in 10 (15.6%) patients. Patients with severe pancreatitis were younger and had higher C-reactive protein levels than those with mild pancreatitis. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of C-reactive protein levels at admission and 48 hours after diagnosis were 0.612 (95% confidence interval, 0.379-0.844) and 0.873 (95% confidence interval, 0.537-0.983), respectively. Fourteen patients (21.9%) experienced further episodes of recurrent pancreatitis. Patients with recurrent pancreatitis were older (13.7 vs 11.4 years, P = 0.022) and prominently boys (85.7 vs 52%, P = 0.022) compared with those without recurrence. Obesity was observed in 4 (0.6%) patients, which was confirmed in all recurrence groups and was statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the feasibility of C-reactive protein in the early risk assessment of patients with acute pancreatitis and highlighted the potential risk of recurrence in patients with obesity.

The red cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio: A simple index has high predictive accuracy for clinical outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Ongoing research is seeking to identify the best prognostic marker for acute pancreatitis (AP). The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of the red blood cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio (RAR) in the prognosis of AP.

METHODS

This 18-month prospective cohort study was conducted between June 2021 and December 2022 with patients diagnosed with AP. The patients were divided into two groups: severe AP (SAP) and non-severe AP. Factors associated with SAP within the first 48 h of admission were determined. In addition, RAR values at admission and at 48 h (RAR-48th) were calculated, and their ability to predict clinical outcomes was assessed. The primary outcomes were severe disease and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Fifty (13.7 %) of 365 patients had SAP. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome, blood urea nitrogen, calcium, and RAR at 48 h after admission were independent predictors of SAP. When RAR-48th was >4.35, the risk of SAP increased approximately 18-fold (OR: 18.59; 95 % CI: 8.58-40.27), whereas no patients with a RAR-48th value of <4.6 died. For in-hospital mortality, the area under the curve (AUC) value of RAR-48th was 0.960 (95 % CI: 0.931-0.989), significantly higher than the AUC values of existing scoring systems. The results of RAR-48th were comparable to those of the other scoring systems with regard to the remaining clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

RAR-48th successfully predicted clinical outcomes, particularly in-hospital mortality. Being simple and readily calculable, RAR-48th is a promising alternative to burdensome and complex scoring systems for the prediction of clinical outcomes in AP.

Multidrug-Resistant Sepsis: A Critical Healthcare Challenge

Sepsis globally accounts for an alarming annual toll of 48.9 million cases, resulting in 11 million deaths, and inflicts an economic burden of approximately USD 38 billion on the United States healthcare system. The rise of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) has elevated the urgency surrounding the management of multidrug-resistant (MDR) sepsis, evolving into a critical global health concern. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the current epidemiology of (MDR) sepsis and its associated healthcare challenges, particularly in critically ill hospitalized patients. Highlighted findings demonstrated the complex nature of (MDR) sepsis pathophysiology and the resulting immune responses, which significantly hinder sepsis treatment. Studies also revealed that aging, antibiotic overuse or abuse, inadequate empiric antibiotic therapy, and underlying comorbidities contribute significantly to recurrent sepsis, thereby leading to septic shock, multi-organ failure, and ultimately immune paralysis, which all contribute to high mortality rates among sepsis patients. Moreover, studies confirmed a correlation between elevated readmission rates and an increased risk of cognitive and organ dysfunction among sepsis patients, amplifying hospital-associated costs. To mitigate the impact of sepsis burden, researchers have directed their efforts towards innovative diagnostic methods like point-of-care testing (POCT) devices for rapid, accurate, and particularly bedside detection of sepsis; however, these methods are currently limited to detecting only a few resistance biomarkers, thus warranting further exploration. Numerous interventions have also been introduced to treat MDR sepsis, including combination therapy with antibiotics from two different classes and precision therapy, which involves personalized treatment strategies tailored to individual needs. Finally, addressing MDR-associated healthcare challenges at regional levels based on local pathogen resistance patterns emerges as a critical strategy for effective sepsis treatment and minimizing adverse effects.

Multi-dimensional metabolomic profiling reveals dysregulated ornithine metabolism hallmarks associated with a severe acute pancreatitis phenotype

To reveal dysregulated metabolism hallmark that was associated with a severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) phenotype. In this study, LC-MS/MS-based targeted metabolomics was used to analyze plasma samples from 106 acute pancreatitis (AP) patients (34 mild, 38 moderate, and 34 severe) admitted within 48 hours from abdominal pain onset and 41 healthy controls. Temporal metabolic profiling was performed on days 1, 3, and 7 after admission. A random forest (RF) was performed to significantly determine metabolite differences between SAP and non-SAP (NSAP) groups. Mass spectrometry imaging (MSI) and immunohistochemistry were conducted for the examination of pancreatic metabolite and metabolic enzyme alterations, respectively, on necrosis and paracancerous tissues. Simultaneously determination of serum and pancreatic tissue metabolic alterations using an L-ornithine-induced AP model to discover metabolic commonalities. Twenty-two significant differential metabolites screened by RF were selected to build an accurate model for the prediction of SAP from NSAP (AUC = 0.955). Six of 22 markers were found by MSI with significant alterations in pancreatic lesions, reduced ornithine-related metabolites were also identified. The abnormally expressed arginase2 and ornithine transcarboxylase were further discovered in combination with time-course metabolic profiling in the SAP animal models, the decreased ornithine catabolites were found at a late stage of inflammation, but ornithine-associated metabolic enzymes were activated during the inflammatory process. The plasma metabolome of AP patients is distinctive, which shows promise for early SAP diagnosis. AP aggravation is linked to the activated ornithine metabolic pathway and its inadequate levels of catabolites in in-situ lesion.

Establishment and validation of early prediction model for hypertriglyceridemic severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of hypertriglyceridaemia-induced acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) is increasing due to improvements in living standards and dietary changes. However, currently, there is no clinical multifactor scoring system specific to HTG-AP. This study aimed to screen the predictors of HTG-SAP and combine several indicators to establish and validate a visual model for the early prediction of HTG-SAP.

METHODS

The clinical data of 266 patients with HTG-SAP were analysed. Patients were classified into severe (N = 42) and non-severe (N = 224) groups according to the Atlanta classification criteria. Several statistical analyses, including one-way analysis, least absolute shrinkage with selection operator (LASSO) regression model, and binary logistic regression analysis, were used to evaluate the data.

RESULTS

The univariate analysis showed that several factors showed no statistically significant differences, including the number of episodes of pancreatitis, abdominal pain score, and several blood diagnostic markers, such as lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), serum calcium (Ca2+), C-reactive protein (CRP), and the incidence of pleural effusion, between the two groups (P < 0.000). LASSO regression analysis identified six candidate predictors: CRP, LDH, Ca2+, procalcitonin (PCT), ascites, and Balthazar computed tomography grade. Binary logistic regression multivariate analysis showed that CRP, LDH, Ca2+, and ascites were independent predictors of HTG-SAP, and the area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.886, 0.893, 0.872, and 0.850, respectively. The AUC of the newly established HTG-SAP model was 0.960 (95% confidence interval: 0.936-0.983), which was higher than that of the bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score, modified CT severity index, Ranson score, and Japanese severity score (JSS) CT grade (AUC: 0.794, 0.796, 0.894 and 0.764, respectively). The differences were significant (P < 0.01), except for the JSS prognostic indicators (P = 0.130). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the predictive results of the model were highly consistent with the actual situation (P > 0.05). The decision curve analysis plot suggested that clinical intervention can benefit patients when the model predicts that they are at risk for developing HTG-SAP.

CONCLUSIONS

CRP, LDH, Ca2+, and ascites are independent predictors of HTG-SAP. The prediction model constructed based on these indicators has a high accuracy, sensitivity, consistency, and practicability in predicting HTG-SAP.

The clinical characteristics of focal acute pancreatitis based on imaging diagnosis: comparison with non-localized acute pancreatitis- a preliminary result

BACKGROUND

Focal acute pancreatitis is a special type of acute pancreatitis, which diagnosis is based on image showing a focal mass formation in the pancreas. For acute pancreatitis with or without focal inflammatory enlargement, little is known on differences between them. Our purpose was to find differences between focal acute pancreatitis and non-localized acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of a total of 24 patients diagnosed with focal acute pancreatitis by imaging and clinical diagnosis, and 27 cases of acute pancreatitis which manifest non-localized pancreas inflammation were selected as the control group. The differences of the two groups were compared to describe their clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

Differences in bloating (4.2% VS 29.6%,P = 0.026), abdominal tenderness (58.3% VS 85.2%,P = 0.032), peripheral blood neutrophil ratio (60.1 ± 23.3VS 75.9 ± 12.6,P = 0.004), serum D-Dimer (0.40(0.25,0.98) VS 1.59(0.49,4.63),P = 0.008), serum GGT (40(25,91) VS120(22,383),P = 0.046), serum amylase(435(241,718) VS 591(394,1333),P = 0.044) and lipase(988(648,1067) VS 1686(525,2675),P = 0.027) between focal acute pancreatitis and non-localized acute pancreatitis groups were statistically significant. However, difference of the severity of two groups was not statistically significant (P = 1.000).

CONCLUSION

Compared with non-localized acute pancreatitis, changes in symptoms, signs and laboratory indicators of focal acute pancreatitis are non-obvious, however, there was no significant difference in the severity of two groups, indicating that we should pay more attention to diagnosis of focal acute pancreatitis in clinical practice.

Prognostic value of C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio in acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common disorder and although most of the cases are mild, the mortality risk is high when it comes to severe AP. It is therefore important to determine the severity of AP as early as possible. This review aimed to determine the prognostic value of C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CRP/alb ratio) in patients with AP. Methods: We performed a systematic search on the electronic databases PubMed, Science Direct, and Cochrane Library up to January 2023. Studies reporting CRP/alb ratio on admission and its association with severity or mortality in AP patients were included. We calculated pooled mean difference (MD) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) using a random-effects model. Quality assessment of the included studies was appraised using a Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Results: A total of six studies comprising 2244 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Severe AP had higher CRP/alb ratio on admission than mild-moderate AP (pooled MD: 3.59; 95% CI: 2.51-4.68; p<0.00001). CRP/alb ratio was also significantly higher on non-survivor AP patients compared to survivor AP patients (pooled MD: 2.12; 95% CI: 0.43-3.8; p < 0.01). Conclusion: High CRP/alb ratio can be used as an early predictor of poor prognosis in patients with AP.

Decreased HDL-C Levels as a Predictor of Organ Failure in Acute Pancreatitis in the Emergency Department

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is reported as a biomarker of systemic inflammation and multi-organ failure (MOF), which has been rarely investigated in acute pancreatitis (AP), a frequent condition in the emergency department (ED). The objective was to study the predictive capacity of the decrease in HDL-C to the progression of MOF in AP in the ED; analyzing 114 patients with AP for one year in a longitudinal and prospective study, AP severity was obtained by the Atlanta classification, in relation to modified Marshall and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) scores, and clinical and laboratory parameters in a 48 h hospital stay. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to estimate the validity of the predictor and define optimal cut-off points. It was found that AP was classified as severe in 24.5%, mainly for biliary etiology (78.9%) and female sex (73.6%). As a biomarker, HDL-C decreased from 31.6 to 29.5 mg/dL in a 48 h stay (p < 0.001), correlating negatively with the increase in severity index > 2 and the modified Marshall (p < 0.032) and BISAP (p < 0.009) scores, finding an area under the ROC curve with a predictive capacity of 0.756 (95% CI, 0.614-0.898; p < 0.004) and a cut-off point of 28.5 mg/dL (sensitivity: 79%, specificity: 78%), demonstrating that the decrease in HDL-C levels serves as a useful indicator with a predictive capacity for MOF in mild to severe AP, during a 48 h hospital stay in the ED.

Antibiotic Utilization in Acute Pancreatitis: A Narrative Review

Acute pancreatitis is a complex inflammatory disease with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite advances in its management, the role of antibiotics in the prophylaxis and treatment of acute pancreatitis remains controversial. The aim of this comprehensive review is to analyze current evidence on the use of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis, focusing on prophylactic and therapeutic strategies. Prophylactic use aims to prevent local and systemic infections. However, recent studies have questioned the routine use of antibiotics for prophylaxis and highlighted the potential risks of antibiotic resistance and adverse effects. In selected high-risk cases, such as infected necrotizing pancreatitis, prophylactic antibiotic therapy may still be beneficial. As for therapeutic use, antibiotics are usually used to treat infected pancreatic necrosis and extrapancreatic infections. When selecting an antibiotic, the microbiologic profile and local resistance patterns should be considered. Combination therapy with broad-spectrum antibiotics is often recommended to cover both Gram-positive and Gram-negative pathogens. Recent research has highlighted the importance of individualized approaches to antibiotic use in acute pancreatitis and underscored the need for a tailored approach based on patient-specific factors. This review also highlights the potential role of new antimicrobial agents and alternative strategies, such as probiotics, in the management of acute pancreatitis.

Robust Acute Pancreatitis Identification and Diagnosis: RAPIDx

The occurrence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing significantly worldwide. However, current diagnostic methods of AP do not provide a clear clinical stratification of severity, and the prediction of complications in AP is still limited. Here, we present a robust AP identification and diagnosis (RAPIDx) method by the proteomic fingerprinting of intact nanoscale extracellular vesicles (EVs) from clinical samples. By tracking analysis of circulating biological nanoparticles released by cells (i.e., EVs) via bottom-up proteomics, we obtain close phenotype connections between EVs, cell types, and multiple tissues based on their specific proteomes and identify the serum amyloid A (SAA) proteins on EVs as potential biomarkers that are differentially expressed from AP patients significantly. We accomplish the quantitative analysis of EVs fingerprints using MALDI-TOF MS and find the SAA proteins (SAA1-1, desR-SAA1-2, SAA2, SAA1-2) with areas under the curve (AUCs) from 0.92 to 0.97, which allows us to detect AP within 30 min. We further realize that SAA1-1 and SAA2, combined with two protein peaks (5290.19, 14032.33 m/z), can achieve an AUC of 0.83 for classifying the severity of AP. The RAPIDx platform will facilitate timely diagnosis and treatment of AP before severity development and persistent organ failure and promote precision diagnostics and the early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer.

Comparing Prognostic Scores and Inflammatory Markers in Predicting the Severity and Mortality of Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is an emergency gastrointestinal condition for which severity prediction is crucial during hospitalization. This study aimed to compare the diagnostic accuracy of inflammatory markers with gold standard scoring systems in predicting pancreatitis severity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A prospective, hospital-based, cohort study was conducted, including 249 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis via clinical examination. Laboratory investigations and radiological investigations were conducted. The diagnostic accuracy of the inflammatory markers neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR), red cell distribution width (RDW), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) was compared with gold standard prognostic scores, namely, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS), in predicting primary and secondary outcomes. All values were analyzed using mean and standard deviation (SD). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for mortality prediction were calculated for NLR, LMR, RDW, and PNI.

RESULTS

Of 249 patients with acute pancreatitis (mean age: 39-43 years), 94 were classified as mild acute, 74 as moderately severe acute, and 81 as severe acute. The most common etiology was alcohol use (40.2%), followed by gallstones (29.7%), hypertriglyceridemia (6.4%), steroid use (4%), diabetic ketoacidosis (2.8%), hypercalcemia (2.8%), and complication of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (2%). On day 1, mean values of NLR, LMR, RDW, and PNI were 8.23±5.11, 2.63±1.76, 15.93±3.64, and 32.84±8.13, respectively. Compared to APACHE II, SAPS II, BISAP, and SIRS on day 1, day 3, day 7, and day 14, the cutoff values for NLR were 4.06, 10.75, 8.75, and 13.75, respectively. Similarly, on day 1, the cutoff value of LMR was 1.95, and on day 1 and day 3, the cutoff values of RDW were 14.75% and 15%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The results indicate that inflammatory biomarkers NLR, LMR, RDW, and PNI are comparable with gold standard scoring systems for predicting the severity and mortality of acute pancreatitis. NLR on day 7 was significantly associated with higher severity of illness. NLR on days 3, 7, and 14, LMR on day 1, and RDW on days 1 and 3 were significantly associated with mortality.

Causal associations between modifiable risk factors and pancreatitis: A comprehensive Mendelian randomization study

Background

The pathogenesis of pancreatitis involves diverse environmental risk factors, some of which have not yet been clearly elucidated. This study systematically investigated the causal effects of genetically predicted modifiable risk factors on pancreatitis using the Mendelian randomization (MR) approach.

Methods

Genetic variants associated with 30 exposure factors were obtained from genome-wide association studies. Summary-level statistical data for acute pancreatitis (AP), chronic pancreatitis (CP), alcohol-induced AP (AAP) and alcohol-induced CP (ACP) were obtained from FinnGen consortia. Univariable and multivariable MR analyses were performed to identify causal risk factors for pancreatitis.

Results

Genetic predisposition to smoking (OR = 1.314, P = 0.021), cholelithiasis (OR = 1.365, P = 1.307E-19) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) (OR = 1.063, P = 0.008) as well as higher triglycerides (OR = 1.189, P = 0.016), body mass index (BMI) (OR = 1.335, P = 3.077E-04), whole body fat mass (OR = 1.291, P = 0.004) and waist circumference (OR = 1.466, P = 0.011) were associated with increased risk of AP. The effect of obesity traits on AP was attenuated after correcting for cholelithiasis. Genetically-driven smoking (OR = 1.595, P = 0.005), alcohol consumption (OR = 3.142, P = 0.020), cholelithiasis (OR = 1.180, P = 0.001), autoimmune diseases (OR = 1.123, P = 0.008), IBD (OR = 1.066, P = 0.042), type 2 diabetes (OR = 1.121, P = 0.029), and higher serum calcium (OR = 1.933, P = 0.018), triglycerides (OR = 1.222, P = 0.021) and waist-to-hip ratio (OR = 1.632, P = 0.023) increased the risk of CP. Cholelithiasis, triglycerides and the waist-to-hip ratio remained significant predictors in the multivariable MR. Genetically predicted alcohol drinking was associated with increased risk of AAP (OR = 15.045, P = 0.001) and ACP (OR = 6.042, P = 0.014). After adjustment of alcohol drinking, genetic liability to IBD had a similar significant causal effect on AAP (OR = 1.137, P = 0.049), while testosterone (OR = 0.270, P = 0.002) a triglyceride (OR = 1.610, P = 0.001) and hip circumference (OR = 0.648, P = 0.040) were significantly associated with ACP. Genetically predicted higher education and household income levels could lower the risk of pancreatitis.

Conclusions

This MR study provides evidence of complex causal associations between modifiable risk factors and pancreatitis. These findings provide new insights into potential therapeutic and prevention strategies.

Deep Learning Models for Severity Prediction of Acute Pancreatitis in the Early Phase From Abdominal Nonenhanced Computed Tomography Images

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate deep learning (DL) models for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) by using abdominal nonenhanced computed tomography (CT) images.

METHODS

The study included 978 AP patients admitted within 72 hours after onset and performed abdominal CT on admission. The image DL model was built by the convolutional neural networks. The combined model was developed by integrating CT images and clinical markers. The performance of the models was evaluated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

The clinical, Image DL, and the combined DL models were developed in 783 AP patients and validated in 195 AP patients. The combined models possessed the predictive accuracy of 90.0%, 32.4%, and 74.2% for mild, moderately severe, and severe AP. The combined DL model outperformed clinical and image DL models with 0.820 (95% confidence interval, 0.759-0.871), the sensitivity of 84.76% and the specificity of 66.67% for predicting mild AP and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.920 (95% confidence interval, 0.873-0.954), the sensitivity of 90.32%, and the specificity of 82.93% for predicting severe AP.

CONCLUSIONS

The DL technology allows nonenhanced CT images as a novel tool for predicting the severity of AP.

Clinical Value of Neutrophil CD64 Index, PCT, and CRP in Acute Pancreatitis Complicated with Abdominal Infection

Objective: To study the clinical diagnostic value of neutrophil CD64 index, PCT, and CRP in patients with acute pancreatitis with abdominal infection. Methods: A number of patients with acute pancreatitis (n = 234) participated in the study. According to the infection and health conditions, they were further divided into the non-infection group (n = 122), infection group (n = 78), and sepsis group (n = 34), and 40 healthy subjects were selected in the control group (n = 40). Expression levels of infection indexes, such as CD64 index, PCT, and CRP, were detected and compared. ROC curves were drawn to compare the efficacy of each index in the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis with abdominal infection and sepsis. The study was retrospectively registered under the China Clinical Trial Registry as a trial number ChiCTR2100054308. Results: All indexes were significantly higher in three clinical groups than the healthy control group (p < 0.05). The CD64 index, CD64 positive rate, and PCT in the infected group were significantly higher than those in the uninfected group (ALL p < 0.05). The PCT of patients infected with Gram-negative bacteria was significantly higher than that of Gram-positive bacteria-infected patients (p < 0.05). CD64 index had the best diagnostic efficiency for acute pancreatitis infection, with 82.14% sensitivity, 88.51% specificity, and 0.707 Youden indexes. The CD64 Youden index (0.780) for sepsis diagnosis was the highest, while the AUC of PCT was the highest (0.897). Conclusion: CD64 index combined with PCT has good sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing acute pancreatitis infection and sepsis.

Management of Necrotizing Pancreatitis

Necrotizing pancreatitis affects 10% to 15% of all patients with acute pancreatitis. Despite improved understanding of this complex disease, it is still attended by up to 15% mortality. Necrotizing pancreatitis provides the clinical challenges of working in a multi-disciplinary group, determining proper timing for intervention, and identifying appropriate intervention approaches. The step-up approach consists of supportive care initially. When there is documented infected necrosis, treatment begins with antibiotics, progressing to minimally invasive mechanical necrosis intervention, and reserving surgery as the final treatment modality. However, treatment must be tailored to the individual patient. This article provides an overview of necrotizing pancreatitis.

The course of acute pancreatitis in children and potential simple laboratory markers of severity - a single centre retrospective study

AIM

To evaluate the usefulness of routinely measured biochemical and complete blood count parameters as potential markers of the severity of pediatric acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

The retrospective study included children with acute pancreatitis hospitalised over a 3-year period. Demographic, clinical and laboratory data were collected.

RESULTS

55 patients were enrolled in the study. Mild acute pancreatitis was diagnosed in 45 children (82%), moderately severe in 7 (13%), and severe in 3 patients (5%). Together 10 children (18%) were categorized into a single severe group. Children with severe acute pancreatitis had higher white blood cell and platelet counts on admission as well as a C-reactive protein concentration after 48 hours. The C-reactive protein concentration after 48 hours (cut-off: 127,2 mg/l) and the white blood cell count on admission (cut-off: 13,5x10³ /μl) were found to be statistically significant markers in predicting the severity of the disease. The C-reactive protein concentration after 48 hours was demonstrated as an independent predictor.

CONCLUSION

Severe acute pancreatitis is observed in a quite significant percentage of children. The white blood cell count on admission and the C-reactive protein concentration after 48 hours (as an independent predictor) may be potential simple laboratory markers of the severity of the disease.

Red cell distribution width to serum albumin ratio as an early prognostic marker for severe acute pancreatitis: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

The ability to predict severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) at an early stage is crucial for reducing the associated complications and mortality. In this study, we compared the ratio of red cell distribution width to albumin (RDW-to-ALB) using predictive scoring systems, such as the Ranson score, BISAP, and MCTSI, to develop a simple and accurate method of predicting SAP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We included 212 patients with mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) and 89 with SAP between January 2013 and December 2018. The differences in the general characteristics and biochemical analysis as well as the various predictive scores were compared between the two groups. We evaluated the sensitivity and specificity between the RDW-to-ALB ratio, RDW, ALB, and multiple predictive scores in patients with early acute pancreatitis (AP) by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

The RDW-to-ALB ratio (%) of patients with SAP was higher than that of patients with MAP (0.43 ± 0.08 vs. 0.32 ± 0.04, p < 0.001). Patients with SAP had higher Ranson, BISAP, and MCTSI scores than those with MAP. The ROC curve revealed that, when the RDW-to-ALB ratio (%) was >0.36, the sensitivity and specificity of the predicted SAP were 80.0% and 80.7%, respectively. Further statistical analysis found that the RDW-to-ALB ratio and Ranson, BISAP, and MCTSI scores were consistent in predicting SAP effectiveness (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The RDW-to-ALB ratio has a promising predictive power for SAP, and its effectiveness is comparable with those of Ranson, BISAP, and MCTSI scores.

The predictive value of procalcitonin combined with C-reactive protein and D dimer in moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to investigate the predictive value of a parametric model constructed by using procalcitonin, C-reactive protein (CRP) and D dimer within 48 h after admission in moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

A total of 238 patients were enrolled, of which 170 patients were moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP+SAP). The concentrations of procalcitonin, CRP and D dimer within 48 h after admission were obtained. The predictive value of the parametric model, modified computed tomography severity index (MCTSI), bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), Ranson score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, modified Marshall score and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) score of all patients was calculated and compared.

RESULTS

The area under receiver operator characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, Youden index and critical value of the parametric model for predicting MSAP+SAP were 0.853 (95% CI, 0.804-0.903), 84.71%, 70.59%, 55.30% and 0.2833, respectively. The sensitivity of the parametric model was higher than that of MCTSI (84.00%), Ranson score (73.53%), BISAP (56.47%), APACHE II score (27.65%), modified Marshall score (17.06%) and SIRS score (78.24%); the specificity of it were higher than that of MCTSI (52.94%) and Ranson score (67.65%), but lower than BISAP (73.53%), APACHE II score (76.47%), modified Marshall score (100%)and SIRS score (100.00%).

CONCLUSION

The parametric model constructed by using procalcitonin 48 h, CRP 48 h and D dimer 48 h can be regarded as an evaluation model for predicting moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis.

Baseline Serum Estradiol Level Is Associated with Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Moderately Severe and Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Background. Sexual dimorphism with critical diseases has been documented. However, the role of serum sex hormones for the presence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in moderately or severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP and SAP) patients remains controversial. Here we set out to evaluate whether early (first 48 h) serum estradiol level is associated with AKI in patients with MSAP and SAP. Patients and Methods. We retrospectively collected data from patients with preliminary diagnosis of MSAP and SAP from the Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University between January 2014 and June 2018. Serum sex hormones were extracted for further assessment within first 48 h following admission. Logistic regression analysis and the receiving operating characteristic (ROC) curve were applied to evaluate the association and correlation between serum sex hormones and AKI. Results. Data from a total of 122 patients with MSAP or SAP were enrolled in this study. There were no differences in the incidence of AKI between males and females. However, comparing with patients without AKI, those with AKI saw higher estradiol level ( $p\le 0.01$ ) and slight higher progesterone level ( $p=0.014$ ) but similar testosterone level ( $p=0.668$ ). Interestingly, during both the manual selection and the stepwise backward logistic regression analysis, serum estradiol level was independently associated with AKI in patients with MSAP and SAP (OR 4.699, CI 1.783-12.386, and $p=0.002$ ). Additionally, area under the curve of ROC (AUCROC) showed that serum estradiol level was a proper predictor for AKI (area under the curve 0.875). Specifically, the serum estradiol level of 223.15 pg/mL demonstrated a 92.3% sensitive and a 79.3% specificity in predicting AKI of MSAP and SAP patients, respectively. Conclusions. High baseline serum estradiol level appears to be an independent risk factor for AKI in patients with MSAP and SAP. It also tends to be an appropriate indicator for AKI.

New insights into the etiology, risk factors, and pathogenesis of pancreatitis in dogs: Potential impacts on clinical practice

While most cases of pancreatitis in dogs are thought to be idiopathic, potential risk factors are identified. In this article we provide a state‐of‐the‐art overview of suspected risk factors for pancreatitis in dogs, allowing for improved awareness and detection of potential dog‐specific risk factors, which might guide the development of disease prevention strategies. Additionally, we review important advances in our understanding of the pathophysiology of pancreatitis and potential areas for therapeutic manipulation based thereof. The outcome of pathophysiologic mechanisms and the development of clinical disease is dependent on the balance between stressors and protective mechanisms, which can be evaluated using the critical threshold theory.

Development and Evaluation of a Nomogram to Predict the Eventual Severity of the First Episode of Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this research was to establish a nomogram for early prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

A total of 1860 AP patients from 2013 to 2020 were included in this study. According to the 2012 revised Atlanta classification, patients were divided into nonsevere AP group and severe AP (SAP) group. The baseline characteristics and first laboratory indicators after admission between the 2 groups were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis in training set. R language was used for establishing a predictive nomogram and further verified in validation set.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training set showed red blood cell distribution width, d -dimer, apolipoprotein A1, and albumin were independent factors for SAP. A predictive nomogram was accordingly established based on the 4 indicators. Validation on this predictive nomogram showed high internal validation concordance index of 0.940 (95% confidence interval, 0.922-0.958) and high external validation concordance index of 0.943 (95% confidence interval, 0.920-0.966). The calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis all showed that the nomogram had good predictive ability.

CONCLUSIONS

This nomogram may be an effective clinical tool for predicting the first episode of SAP.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Hypertriglyceridemic Pancreatitis Predicts Persistent Organ Failure

Background

The neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a surrogate marker of inflammation with prognostic value in various diseases. Our objective was to investigate the predictive value of the NLR as an indicator of persistent organ failure (POF) in patients with hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP).

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the data from patients with HTGP between 2016 and 2019. The NLR was obtained at admission. The diagnostic performance of the NLR for POF was evaluated by the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUROC). Multivariate logistic regression determined whether elevated NLR was independently associated with POF.

Results

Of the 446 patients enrolled, 89 (20.0%) developed POF. Patients with POF showed a significantly higher NLR than those without POF (P < 0.001). A positive trend for the association across increasing NLR quartiles and the incidence of POF was observed (P_trend < 0.001). The AUROC of NLR to predict POF was 0.673 (95% confidence interval, 0.627-0.716). With a cut-off of NLR > 6.56, the sensitivity and specificity were 73.0% and 55.7%, respectively. Multivariate analysis suggested that high NLR (>6.56) was independently associated with POF (odds ratio, 2.580; 95% confidence interval, 1.439-4.626; P = 0.001). Patients with a high NLR (>6.56) had a worse overall clinical course in HTGP.

Conclusion

Elevated NLR was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing POF and could be an early independent predictor of POF in patients with HTGP.

Growth differentiation factor 15 is an early predictor for persistent organ failure and mortality in acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Early prediction of persistent organ failure (POF) is crucial for patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), also known as macrophage inhibitory cytokine 1 (MIC-1), is associated with inflammatory responses. We investigated changes in plasma GDF15 and assessed its predictive value in AP.

METHODS

The study included 290 consecutive patients with AP admitted within 36 h after symptoms onset. Clinical data obtained during hospitalization were collected. Plasma GDF15 levels were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The predictive value of GDF15 for POF was analyzed.

RESULTS

There were 105 mild, 111 moderately severe, and 74 severe AP patients. Plasma GDF15 peak level were measured on admission, and significantly declined on the 3rd and 7th day. Admission GDF15 predicted POF and mortality with areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.847 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.798-0.895) and 0.934 (95% CI 0.887-0.980), respectively. Admission GDF15, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis, and hematocrit were independent factors for POF by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and the nomogram built on these variables showed good performance (optimism-corrected c-statistic = 0.921). The combined predictive model increased the POF accuracy with an AUC 0.925 (95% CI 0.894-0.956), a net reclassification improvement of 0.3024 (95% CI: 0.1482-0.4565, P < 0.001), and an integrated discrimination index of 0.11 (95% CI 0.0497-0.1703; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma GDF15 measured within 48 h of symptom onset could help predict POF and mortality in AP patients.

Preoperative serum C-reactive protein concentration can be used to detect gallbladder rupture in dogs with gallbladder mucocele

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether serum C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration could be used to detect gallbladder rupture (GBR) prior to surgery in dogs undergoing cholecystectomy for treatment of gallbladder mucocele (GBM).

ANIMALS

45 dogs that underwent cholecystectomy because of GBM at a companion animal referral hospital from 2017 to 2020.

PROCEDURES

Electronic medical records were reviewed, and dogs were included if serum CRP concentration had been measured within 24 hours prior to cholecystectomy. Dogs were grouped as to whether the gallbladder was found to be ruptured or intact during surgery. Accuracy of using preoperative CRP concentration to predict GBR was compared with accuracy of abdominal ultrasonography and other preoperative blood tests.

RESULTS

GBR was present in 15 dogs at the time of surgery. Median preoperative CRP concentration was significantly higher in dogs with GBR (15.1 mg/dL; interquartile range, 7.4 to 16.8 mg/dL) than in dogs with an intact gallbladder (2.65 mg/dL; interquartile range, 0.97 to 13.4 mg/dL). Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of using preoperative CRP concentration to predict GBR were 100%, 67%, and 78%, respectively.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Measurement of preoperative CRP concentration provided excellent sensitivity and moderate specificity for detection of GBR in dogs undergoing cholecystectomy because of GBM. Accuracy of using preoperative CRP concentration for detection of GBR was not superior to the accuracy of preoperative abdominal ultrasonography. However, when CRP concentration was combined with results of ultrasonography, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for detection of GBR were 100%, 93%, and 96%, respectively.

C-REACTIVE PROTEIN AS A MARKER OF CLINICAL AND LABORATORY REMISSION IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE NECROTIZING PANCREATITIS

OBJECTIVE

The aim: To estimate the role of C-reactive protein levels as a marker of clinical and laboratory remission in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Materials and methods: A single-center retrospective non-randomized study of 68 patients (37 (54%) men, 31 (46%) women) was carried out in the period from September 2019 to October 2020. The patients were divided into two groups: group 1 included 9 (13.2%) patients rehospitalized within a month of observation after being discharged from hospital with improvement, group 2 consisted of 59 (86.8%) patients not readmitted within the observation period. A standard package of Microsoft Excel, program MedStat v.5.2, W-test Wilcoxon and the Fisher transform was used to record, calculate and compare data.

RESULTS

Results: Patients in groups 1 and 2 did not statistically differ in age (p = 0.727), gender (p = 0.202), body mass index (BMI) (p = 0.447), length of hospital stay (p = 0.913), volume of pancreatic lesion according to СTSI (p = 0.313) and severity of disease (p = 0.205). Incidence of pancreatic necrosis infection was 88.8% (p = 0.007) in group 1 versus 35.6% in group 2. In the group of rehospitalized patients, the level of C-reactive protein upon discharge was significantly higher (Me ± m 80.8± 9.734 (66) -88), CI 95%) compared with the patients from the group without readmission (Me ± m 21.36± 2.285 (16.1-31.1) CI 95%) p <0.001. As the "critical" CRP level for group 1, indicating readmission for infectious complications of AP, was chosen the value of the left limit of 95% CI (confidence interval), which made up ≥64.5 mg / ml.

CONCLUSION

Conclusions: According to the results of our study, the risk of readmission in patients with CRP level ≥64.5 mg / L prior to being discharged exceeded 41 times the risk of readmission in those with lower CRP values (RR 41.5 ± 1.008 (95% CI 5.75-299, p = 0.04)). For each patient with CRP levels ≥64.5 mg / L, the risk of readmission within the first month after being discharged was 71% (95% CI 40.7-88.6, p = 0.03).

Early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis using machine learning

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common causes of gastrointestinal-related hospitalizations in the United States. Severe AP (SAP) is associated with a mortality rate of nearly 30% and is distinguished from milder forms of AP. Risk stratification to identify SAP cases needing inpatient treatment is an important aspect of AP diagnosis.

METHODS

We developed machine learning algorithms to predict which patients presenting with AP would require treatment for SAP. Three models were developed using logistic regression, neural networks, and XGBoost. Models were assessed in terms of area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) and compared to the Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS) and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) scores for AP risk stratification.

RESULTS

61,894 patients were used to train and test the machine learning models. With an AUROC value of 0.921, the model developed using XGBoost outperformed the logistic regression and neural network-based models. The XGBoost model also achieved a higher AUROC than both HAPS and BISAP for identifying patients who would be diagnosed with SAP.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning may be able to improve the accuracy of AP risk stratification methods and allow for more timely treatment and initiation of interventions.

Nomogram for Predicting Persistent Organ Failure With Acute Pancreatitis in Pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) with persistent organ failure (POF) poses a high risk of death for mother and fetus. This study sought to create a nomogram model for early prediction of POF with APIP patients.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study on APIP patients with organ failure (OF) between January 2012 and March 2021. 131 patients were collected. Their clinical courses and pregnancy outcomes were obtained. Risk factors for POF were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Prediction models with POF were built and nomogram was plotted. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by using a bootstrapped-concordance index and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Hypertriglyceridemia was the most common etiology in this group of APIP patients, which accounted for 50% of transient organ failure (TOF) and 72.3% of POF. All in-hospital maternal death was in the POF group (P<0.05), which also had a significantly higher perinatal mortality rate than the TOF group (P<0.05). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis determined that lactate dehydrogenase, triglycerides, serum creatinine, and procalcitonin were independent risk factors for predicting POF in APIP. A nomogram for POF was created by using the four indicators. The area under the curve was 0.875 (95%CI: 0.80-0.95). The nomogram had a bootstrapped-concordance index of 0.85 and was well-calibrated.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypertriglyceridemia was the leading cause of organ failure-related APIP. Lactate dehydrogenase, triglycerides, serum creatinine, and procalcitonin were the independent risk factors of POF in APIP. Our nomogram model showed an effective prediction of POF with the four indicators in APIP patients.

Chemokine receptor 8 expression may be linked to disease severity and elevated interleukin 6 secretion in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease, which presents with epigastric pain and is clinically diagnosed by amylase and lipase three times the upper limit of normal. The 2012 Atlanta classification stratifies the severity of AP as one of three risk categories namely, mild AP (MAP), moderately severe AP (MSAP), and severe AP (SAP). Challenges in stratifying AP upon diagnosis suggest that a better understanding of the underlying complex pathophysiology may be beneficial.

AIM

To identify the role of the chemokine receptor 8 (CCR8), expressed by T-helper type-2 Lymphocytes and peritoneal macrophages, and its possible association to Interleukin (IL)-6 and AP stratification.

METHODS

This study was a prospective case-control study. A total of 40 patients were recruited from the Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital and the Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital. Bioassays were performed on 29 patients (14 MAP, 11 MSAP, and 4 SAP) and 6 healthy controls as part of a preliminary study. A total of 12 mL of blood samples were collected at Day (D) 1, 3, 5, and 7 post epigastric pain. Using multiplex immunoassay panels, real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) arrays, and multicolour flow cytometry analysis, immune response-related proteins, genes, and cells were profiled respectively. GraphPad Prism™ software and fold change (FC) analysis was used to determine differences between the groups. P<0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The concentration of IL-6 was significantly different at D3 post epigastric pain in both the MAP group and MSAP group with P = 0.001 and P = 0.013 respectively, in a multiplex assay. When a FC of 2 was applied to identify differentially expressed genes using RT² Profiler, CCR8 was shown to increase steadily with disease severity from MAP (1.33), MSAP (38.28) to SAP (1172.45) median FC. Further verification studies using RT-PCR showed fold change increases of CCR8 in MSAP and SAP ranging from 1000 to 1000000 times when represented as Log₁₀, compared to healthy control respectively at D3. The findings also showed differing lymphocyte and monocyte cell frequency between the groups. With monocyte population frequency as high as 70% in MSAP at D3.

CONCLUSION

The higher levels of CCR8 and IL-6 in the severe patients and immune cell differences compared to MAP and controls provide an avenue for exploring AP stratification to improve management.

The Prognostic Value of Different Levels of Cortisol and High-sensitivity C-reactive Protein in Early Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) ranges in severity from mild to severe with high mortality. Severe AP, similar to other critical illnesses, is associated with changes in cortisol level. Early increase of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) as an inflammatory marker could be an indicator of AP progression. We aimed to assess the level of cortisol and hs-CRP on initial diagnosis of AP and identify their prognostic value.

METHODS

This case-control study included patients with AP and a control group of healthy subjects. Laboratory tests such as liver profile, kidney functions, blood picture, lactate dehydrogenase, blood glucose, and lipogram were evaluated, the severity of AP was determined, the duration of hospitalization, complications, and outcomes were identified, and the serum levels of cortisol and hs-CRP were assessed.

RESULTS

There were 90 patients with AP and 60 controls with a higher percent of females in both groups. Serum cortisol and hs-CRP were significantly higher in AP relative to controls and were higher in severe AP relative to mild AP. Significant positive correlation was present between high cortisol and severity of AP (r=0.520 and p<0.001) and negatively with pancreatic necrosis (r= - 0.303 and p= 0.007) and morality (r= - 0.432, p= 0.005) while hs-CRP did not show significant correlation.

CONCLUSIONS

Different levels of serum cortisol in early AP should be considered on initial diagnosis. High cortisol level was a good prognostic indicator for AP with low mortality. This could have further implications on the appropriate initiation of steroid therapy to prevent necrotizing pancreatitis and lower the mortality. Meanwhile, hs-CRP has a low prognostic value in early AP.

Diagnostic Challenges in Sepsis

Purpose of Review

Sepsis is a leading cause of death worldwide. Groundbreaking international collaborative efforts have culminated in the widely accepted surviving sepsis guidelines, with iterative improvements in management strategies and definitions providing important advances in care for patients. Key to the diagnosis of sepsis is identification of infection, and whilst the diagnostic criteria for sepsis is now clear, the diagnosis of infection remains a challenge and there is often discordance between clinician assessments for infection.

Recent Findings

We review the utility of common biochemical, microbiological and radiological tools employed by clinicians to diagnose infection and explore the difficulty of making a diagnosis of infection in severe inflammatory states through illustrative case reports. Finally, we discuss some of the novel and emerging approaches in diagnosis of infection and sepsis.

Summary

While prompt diagnosis and treatment of sepsis is essential to improve outcomes in sepsis, there remains no single tool to reliably identify or exclude infection. This contributes to unnecessary antimicrobial use that is harmful to individuals and populations. There is therefore a pressing need for novel solutions. Machine learning approaches using multiple diagnostic and clinical inputs may offer a potential solution but as yet these approaches remain experimental.

Cytokine Profile Elevations on Admission Can Determine Risks of Severe Acute Pancreatitis in Children

OBJECTIVES

To utilize a Luminex platform to examine multiple cytokines simultaneously as well as clinical laboratory testing to identify markers that predict acute pancreatitis severity in the pediatric population on admission.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients (<19 years of age) prospectively enrolled over a 4-year period in a single institution acute pancreatitis database were included in separate derivation and validation cohorts. Plasma samples were obtained within 48 hours of admission and stored for analysis. Samples from mild acute pancreatitis and severe acute pancreatitis (moderately severe and severe combined) were analyzed using Luminex panels and C-reactive protein (CRP) testing.

RESULTS

The derivation cohort examined 62 cytokines in 66 subject samples (20 control, 36 mild acute pancreatitis, 10 severe acute pancreatitis) and identified interleukin 6 (IL-6) (P = .02) and monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1) (P = .02) as cytokines that were differentially expressed between mild and severe acute pancreatitis. Our validation cohort analyzed 76 cytokines between 10 controls, 19 mild acute pancreatitis, and 6 severe acute pancreatitis subjects. IL-6 (P = .02) and MCP-1 (P = .007) were again found to differentiate mild acute pancreatitis from severe acute pancreatitis. CRP values were obtained from 53 of the subjects, revealing a strong association between elevated CRP values and progression to severe disease (P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified and validated IL-6 and MCP-1 as predictors of severe acute pancreatitis using 2 distinct cohorts and showed that CRP elevation is a marker of progression to severe acute pancreatitis. These biomarkers have not been extensively studied in the pediatric acute pancreatitis population. Our data allows for risk-stratification of patients with acute pancreatitis, and represent novel insight into the immunologic response in severe acute pancreatitis.

C-Reactive Protein as a Predictor of Complicated Acute Pancreatitis: Reality or a Myth?

Introduction C-reactive protein (CRP) has been reported as a predictor of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). However, there is conflicting evidence in the literature. The proposed cut-off values and intervals for best prediction include an absolute value of 150 at 48 hours; an absolute value of 190 at 48 hours; and the interval change in CRP of 90 at 48 hours. The current study assesses the value of CRP at different intervals and cut-offs in predicting complicated acute pancreatitis (CAP) and compares its performance against other available predictors like neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR); Glasgow scoring system and modified CT severity index (MCTSI).  Methods Analysis of prospectively maintained data for index episodes of acute pancreatitis managed in 225 patients over a period of five years (2014-2018) was done. CAP was defined by using revised Atlanta classification and included all the AP patients with local and or systemic complications. It was used as a gold standard. Diagnostic and predictive performance of different biochemical markers and multifactorial scoring systems were determined by analyzing receiving operating curves (ROCs), the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values (positive and negative).  Results Out of 225 patients, 122 were female while 103 patients were male. CAP developed in 47 patients (20.9%) while 178 (79.1%) patients had mild AP. Overall, in-hospital mortality rate was 1.8% (n=4). ROC analysis demonstrated that CRP at admission had low discriminatory value (AUC= 0.54, p-value=0.74). CRP at 48 hours had AUC of 0.70 (p-value=0.007). At a cut-off of 150, the positive predictive value (PPV) of 150 was 30 %. The PPV of CRP at 48 hours at a cut-off of 190 was 28%. Interval change in CRP at 48 hours greater than 90 had a PPV of 26 %. Further comparison of CRP with other scoring systems like Glasgow scoring system (AUC= 0.65), NL ratio (AUC=0.54), and MCTSI was performed. Among the single predictors, although, NL ratio showed good sensitivity at a cut-off value of 4.7 (87.23%), however, its discriminatory power was negligible (AUC=0.542, p-value=0.513). The overall best performance was achieved by the MCTSI scoring system at a cut-off of 3 (AUC=0.90, sensitivity=83.33 %, specificity=100%, diagnostic accuracy=94.49%).  Conclusion CRP measured at admission or at 48 hours has a very limited role in the prediction of CAP. Along with other scoring systems, its negative predictive value should be used to predict cases with mild AP which can help in clinical decision making for early discharge or management of such patients on ambulatory care basis. MCTSI scoring system can be used in cases with high suspicion of CAP.

Inflammatory Markers and Mortality in Diabetic Versus Idiopathic Gastroparesis

INTRODUCTION

Markers of systemic inflammation have been shown to be elevated in patients with gastroparesis (Gp). We hypothesized the presence of elevated markers of inflammation and/or coagulation can predict death in gastroparesis.

METHODS

Retrospective evaluation of 396 patients with symptoms of gastroparesis with baseline measures of inflammation and coagulation, using a database of patients from 2001 through 2011 followed for an additional 5 plus years. Patients were divided into two groups; diabetic (DM; n=137) and non-diabetic (non-DM; n=259). Inflammation, evaluated by C-reactive protein (CRP), and coagulation by fibrinogen by factor VIII assays, was compared to patient mortality, reported as death during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

Six DM and 13 non-DM patients died during the study period. DM patients had higher fibrinogen, CRP, and factor VIII levels of 454.0±135.2, 4.0±6.3, and 168±63.5, versus non-DM whose levels were 410.4±127.9, 2.6±4.9, 140.4±127.9, p=0.03, 0.001, and <0.001 respectively. Hypercoagulability risk differed by DM status (37% Vs. 29%, p=0.08). Compared to living non-DM, deceased non-DM/idiopathic patients had lower factor VIII (142.3±51.2 vs 117.7±40.3, p=0.07). The majority of deceased non-DM patients had abnormal fibrinogen (62%) but CRP and factor VIII were normal (80% and 85% respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In this sample of 396 patients with symptoms of gastroparesis, systemic inflammation and coagulopathy appear related to diabetes mellitus. Patients who died had markers of inflammation and coagulation that differed from those still alive. Further analysis may suggest a link between inflammation, hypercoagulability, and the mechanism for mortality in gastroparesis or as a marker of disease severity.

Tubo-ovarian abscess: A proposed new scoring system to guide clinical management

OBJECTIVE

To create a risk scoring system comprised of clinical and radiological characteristics that can predict the likelihood of antibiotic treatment failure of tubo-ovarian abscesses. The score should guide clinicians in identifying patients to whom early intervention should be offered instead of a prolonged trial of antibiotics.

METHODS

A multicenter, retrospective cohort study carried out between January 1, 2013 and September 30, 2019, identified consecutive patients with tubo-ovarian abscess. Using a chronological split, patients were allocated to two groups for the development and subsequent validation of the postulated scoring system. Univariate and bivariate analyses were performed to identify statistically significant variables for the failure of intravenous antibiotic treatment.

RESULTS

In total, 214 consecutive patients with tubo-ovarian abscesses were identified. Data from the first 150 patients were used for the development of the postulated scoring system; data from the subsequent 64 patients were used for validation. Statistically significant clinical features between those having successful and unsuccessful management were: temperature (median = 37.1℃ vs 38.2℃, P = 0.0001), C-reactive protein (151 mg/L vs 243 mg/L, P = 0.0001), and tubo-ovarian abscess diameter (6.0 cm vs 8.0 cm, P = 0.0001). These parameters were used to create a risk prediction score. A score of four or more was predictive of requiring surgical/radiological intervention of tubo-ovarian abscess (P < 0.001). The score had a sensitivity of 69% and a specificity of 88%, with area under the curve (AUC) = 0.859.

CONCLUSION

Currently, there is no guidance for clinicians on when to operate on a tubo-ovarian abscess. Our prediction score is simple, using only three easily obtained clinical characteristics.

THE ACCEPTANCE OF CHANGES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF PATIENTS WITH ACUTE PANCREATITIS AFTER THE REVISED ATLANTA CLASSIFICATION

BACKGROUND

New recommendations for the management of patients with acute pancreatitis were set after the Atlanta Classification was revised in 2012.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present systematic review is to assess whether these recommendations have already been accepted and implemented in daily medical practices.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was carried out in studies conducted with humans and published in English and Portuguese language from 10/25/2012 to 11/30/2018. The search was conducted in databases such as PubMed/Medline, Cochrane and SciELO, based on the following descriptors/Boolean operator: "Acute pancreatitis" AND "Atlanta". Only Randomized Clinical Trials comprising some recommendations released after the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012 were included in the study.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine studies were selected and considered valid after inclusion, exclusion and qualitative evaluation criteria application. These studies were stratified as to whether, or not, they applied the recommendations suggested after the Atlanta Classification revision. Based on the results, 68.5% of the studies applied the recommendations, with emphasis on the application of severity classification (mild, moderately severe, severe); 16.4% of them were North-American and 14.7% were Chinese. The remaining 31.5% just focused on comparing or validating the severity classification.

CONCLUSION

Few studies have disclosed any form of acceptance or practice of these recommendations, despite the US and Chinese efforts. The lack of incorporation of these recommendations didn't enable harnessing the benefits of their application in the clinical practice (particularly the improvement of the communication among health professionals and directly association with the worst prognoses); thus, it is necessary mobilizing the international medical community in order to change this scenario.

Acute necrotising pancreatitis: measurements of necrosis volume and mean CT attenuation help early prediction of organ failure and need for intervention

OBJECTIVES

This study explored the early predictive value of volume and mean CT density of necrosis for adverse outcomes in patients with acute necrotising pancreatitis (ANP).

METHODS

A total of 155 patients with ANP who underwent CECT within 7 days of symptom onset were included. The necrosis volume, mean CT density, and modified CT severity index (mCTSI) were calculated. C-reactive protein (CRP) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels both 48 h after symptom onset were reviewed. Adverse outcomes were recorded. The predictive value of each indicator was assessed using ROC curve analysis.

RESULTS

There were significant associations between necrosis volume and mean CT density and organ failure (OF), persistent OF (POF), and need for intervention (p < 0.001 for all). For predicting OF, the area under the curve (AUC) was significantly higher for necrosis volume than for mCTSI and BUN (AUC: 0.84 vs 0.67, p = 0.0011; 0.84 vs 0.71, p = 0.0193, respectively). For predicting POF and need for intervention, the AUCs for necrosis volume were significantly higher than those for mCTSI (AUC: 0.79 vs 0.66, p = 0.0045; 0.77 vs 0.61, p = 0.0019, respectively), but did not significantly differ from those for CRP and BUN. For predicting OF, a significantly better predictive value was achieved with mean CT density than with mCTSI (AUC: 0.79 vs 0.67, p = 0.0163). There were no significant differences in predictive value between mean CT density, CRP, and BUN.

CONCLUSIONS

The volume and mean CT density of necrosis based on CECT can provide early prediction of OF, POF, and need for intervention.

KEY POINTS

• Compared to mCTSI, necrosis volume might be used to more accurately diagnose organ failure and persistent organ failure and might be better associated with the need for intervention. • Necrosis volume and mean CT density based on CECT are reliable quantitative predictors for organ failure, persistent organ failure, and intervention in acute pancreatitis.

The association of parameters of body composition and laboratory markers with the severity of hypertriglyceridemia-induced pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Hypertriglyceridemia has arisen as the third leading cause of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed at exploring the association between the severity of hypertriglyceridemia-induced pancreatitis (HTGP) and computed tomography (CT)-based body composition parameters and laboratory markers.

METHODS

Laboratory and clinical parameters were collected from 242 patients with HTGP between 2017 and 2020. Severity of HTGP was evaluated by original or modified CT severity index. Body composition parameters such as area and radiodensity of muscle, subcutaneous adipose tissue and visceral adipose tissue were calculated by CT at the level of third lumbar vertebra. Parameters were compared between mild and moderately severe to severe HTGP. Uni-variate and multi-variate Logistic regression analyses were employed to assess the risk factors of the severity of HTGP.

RESULTS

Seventy patients (28.9%) presented with mild HTGP. Body mass index, waist circumference and all CT-based body composition parameters differed between male and female patients. None was associated with the severity of HTGP, neither in males nor in females. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that areas under the curves of apolipoprotein A-I and albumin to predict the severity of HTGP were 0.786 and 0.759, respectively (all P < 0.001). Uni-variate and further multi-variate Logistic regression analysis confirmed that low serum albumin (< 35 g/L, P = 0.004, OR = 3.362, 95%CI = 1.492-8.823) and apolipoprotein A-I (< 1.1 g/L, P < 0.001, OR = 5.126, 95%CI = 2.348-11.195), as well as high C-reactive protein (> 90 mg/L, P = 0.005, OR = 3.061, 95%CI = 1.407-6.659) and lipase (P = 0.033, OR = 2.283, 95%CI = 1.070-4.873) were risk factors of moderately severe to severe HTGP. Levels of albumin, apolipoprotein A-I, C-reactive protein and lipase were also associated with the length of hospital stay (all P < 0.05). Besides, low serum albumin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high radiodensity of subcutaneous adipose tissue were significant risk factors of pancreatic necrosis in patients with HTGP (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Low serum albumin and apolipoprotein A-I, and high C-reactive protein and lipase upon admission were associated with a more severe type of HTGP and longer hospital stay for these patients. Albumin and apolipoprotein A-I may serve as novel biomarkers for the severity of HTGP. However, none of the body composition parameters was associated with the severity of HTGP.

Acute Pancreatitis: A Review

IMPORTANCE

In the United States, acute pancreatitis is one of the leading causes of hospital admission from gastrointestinal diseases, with approximately 300 000 emergency department visits each year. Outcomes from acute pancreatitis are influenced by risk stratification, fluid and nutritional management, and follow-up care and risk-reduction strategies, which are the subject of this review.

OBSERVATIONS

MEDLINE was searched via PubMed as was the Cochrane databases for English-language studies published between January 2009 and August 2020 for current recommendations for predictive scoring tools, fluid management and nutrition, and follow-up and risk-reduction strategies for acute pancreatitis. Several scoring systems, such as the Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II tools, have good predictive capabilities for disease severity (mild, moderately severe, and severe per the revised Atlanta classification) and mortality, but no one tool works well for all forms of acute pancreatitis. Early and aggressive fluid resuscitation and early enteral nutrition are associated with lower rates of mortality and infectious complications, yet the optimal type and rate of fluid resuscitation have yet to be determined. The underlying etiology of acute pancreatitis should be sought in all patients, and risk-reduction strategies, such as cholecystectomy and alcohol cessation counseling, should be used during and after hospitalization for acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Acute pancreatitis is a complex disease that varies in severity and course. Prompt diagnosis and stratification of severity influence proper management. Scoring systems are useful adjuncts but should not supersede clinical judgment. Fluid management and nutrition are very important aspects of care for acute pancreatitis.

Open Abdomen Treatment in Acute Pancreatitis

Background: Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a heterogeneous and life-threatening disease. While recent guidelines recommend a stepwise approach starting with non-surgical techniques, emergency laparotomy remains inevitable in certain situations. Open abdomen treatment (OAT) may follow, potentially resulting in additional risks for severe morbidity. Causative factors and clinical impact of OAT in SAP are poorly understood and therefore issue of the present study. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis of patients admitted to the Department of General, Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery at University of Bonn suffering from acute pancreatitis (ICD K.85) between 2005 and 2020 was performed. Medical records were screened for demographic, clinical and outcome parameters. Patients who received primary fascial closure (PFC) were compared to those patients requiring OAT. SAP-specific scores were calculated, and data statistically analyzed (P = 0.05). Results: Among 430 patients included, 54 patients (13%) had to undergo emergency laparotomy for SAP. Patients were dominantly male (72%) with a median age of 51 years. Indications for surgery were infected necrosis (40%), suspected bowel perforation (7%), abdominal compartment syndrome (5%), and acute intra-abdominal hemorrhage (3%). While 22 patients (40%) had PFC within initial surgery, 33 patients (60%) required OAT including a median of 12 subsequent operations (SD: 6, range: 1-24). Compared to patients with PFC, patients in the OAT group had significantly fewer biliary SAP (P = 0.031), higher preoperative leukocyte counts (P = 0.017), higher rates of colon resections (P = 0.048), prolonged ICU stays (P = 0.0001), and higher morbidity according to Clavien-Dindo Classification (P = 0.002). Additionally, BISAP score correlated positively with the number of days spent at ICU and morbidity (P = 0.001 and P = 0.000002). Both groups had equal mortality rates. Discussion: Our data suggest that preoperative factors in surgically treated SAP may indicate the need for OAT. The procedure itself appears safe with equal hospitalization days and mortality rates compared to patients with PFC. However, OAT may significantly increase morbidity through longer ICU stays and more bowel resections. Thus, minimally invasive options should be promoted for an uncomplicated and rapid recovery in this severe disease. Emergency laparotomy will remain ultima ratio in SAP while patient selection seems to be crucial for improved clinical outcomes.

Can Inflammatory Markers Foretell Aetiology and Prolonged Hospitalisation in Acute Pancreatitis?

Introduction

Acute pancreatitis (AP) causes a cascade of complex inflammatory responses following an initial insult. Hence, the scoring systems include white blood cell count (WBC) as a marker of severity of acute pancreatitis. C-reactive protein (CRP) was also shown to be useful in predicting the course of pancreatitis. This study analyses role of inflammatory markers in predicting gallstone aetiology of AP and length of hospital stay (LOS).

Materials and methods

A total of 143 patients with acute pancreatitis between October 2016 and 2017 were included in this study and relevant parameters were collected from the electronic patient database. The parameters were WBC, CRP, and LOS.

Results

Among 143 patients with AP, 50 patients had gallstone pancreatitis (GP) and remaining of 93 patients suffered nongallstone pancreatitis (NGP). The WBC count at admission, 24 hours and 72 hours in GP versus NGP were 11.6± 5 versus 13.7±17; P = 0.24; 12.6±20 versus 10.1±17; P = 0.21; and 13.2±22 versus 9.2±4.7; P = 0.15, respectively. Similarly, the serum CRP levels at admission, 24 hours and 72 hours were 30.4± 73 versus 47.6±79; P = 0.25; 71.9±20 versus 92.2±97; P = 0.35; and 89±106 versus 122.7±107; P = 0.05, respectively. More number of patients with elevated WBC in GP arm compared to NGP (12/50±7/93; P = 0.0008) was noted.

In GP arm, patients with elevated CRP at admission (10.5±8.67 versus 5.4±5.8 days; P = 0.02) and 24 hours (9.8±8.3 versus 4.2±4.7 days; P = 0.001) had long LOS. However, patients with elevated CRP at 72 hours (89±106 versus 122.7±107; P = 0.05) had longer LOS in NGP.

Conclusion

Significantly high CRP level at 72 hours was associated with NGP and longer length of hospital stay. In GP, patients with elevated CRP level at admission and 24 hours predicts long LOS.

THE EFFICIENCY OF PROGNOSTIC SCALES IN STRATIFICATION OF ACUTE PANCREATITIS. LITERATURE REVIEW

The work carried out by analyzes of the literature data on assessing the severity of acute pancreatitis and predicting its course and mortality. A comparison of traditional point scales for assessing the severity of AP was made.As a result of a comparative analysis, it was found that the most objective instrumental method for diagnosing acute pancreatitis and its complications was MSCT with the determination of the CT index of severity. Balthazar scale allows assessing the severity of the disease and forming a prognosis for the development of complications. However, computed or magnetic resonance imaging with intravenous contrast enhancement allows an accurate assessment of the severity of the disease not earlier than 72 hours and has some contraindications.Estimating and predictive systems Ranson, APACHE, Krasnorogov, Bozhenkov systems, Pugaeva and Achkasova, BISAP and HAPS allow identyfying the severity of the clinical course of acute pancreatitis, have a high sensitivity, but at the same time require significant time and resources for execution. Glasgow-Imrie, SAPS, MODS, and SOFA scales mainly calculate mortality and degree of multiple organ failure in critically ill patients; these severity assessment systems are not specific for patients with acute pancreatitis.The optimal scale for assessing the severity of AP should allow assessing the patient's condition and prognosis from the moment of admission to the outcome of the disease. The practicing surgeon will be interested in an affordable, inexpensive, easy-to-use system for determining the severity of acute pancreatitis. For surgeons, the time factor plays a key role in determining tactics, and, therefore, improves the prognosis of the disease.

Use of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis: ten major concerns

Acute pancreatitis is one of the most common gastrointestinal causes for hospitalization. In 15-20% it evolves into severe necrotizing pancreatitis. Recent studies have shown no association between the initiation of antibiotic therapy in acute pancreatitis and severe outcomes such as organ failure, infection of pancreatic necrosis, extrapancreatic infections or mortality. Specific subgroups with predicted severe acute pancreatitis or both extensive sterile necrosis and persistent organ failure may benefit from prophylactic antibiotics. Local infection develops in 30% of patients with pancreatic necrosis and results in morbidity and mortality. Contrast enhanced computed tomography should be performed in all patients with acute pancreatitis who develop sepsis, organ failure or fail to improve. C-reactive protein is an independent predictor of severe acute pancreatitis. Procalcitonin is the most sensitive laboratory test for detection of pancreatic infection. Antibiotics do however play a large role in patients with suspected or confirmed infected pancreatic necrosis and extrapancreatic infections. In clinical practice most clinicians prescribe antibiotics in the first 3 days of acute pancreatitis which in turns lead to excessive, unjustified use of antibiotics. Deep knowledge of the recent guidelines combined with an individualized management based on right clinical judgment is a rationale approach of patients with acute pancreatitis.

Atherogenic Index of Plasma Is a Potential Biomarker for Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Observational Study

BACKGROUND

The atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) reflects the levels of triglycerides (TG) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. The purpose of this study was to assess the relationship between the AIP and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) were prospectively enrolled from March 2015 to June 2019. The severity of AP was classified according to the 2012 revised Atlanta classification. Mild and moderately severe AP were categorized as non-SAP. The AIP is calculated as log(TG/HDL).

RESULTS

A total of 323 patients were enrolled. The etiologies of AP were gallstone in 171 patients (52.9%), alcohol in 122 patients (37.8%), and hypertriglyceridemia in 30 patients (9.3%). Twenty-four patients (7.4%) were classified as SAP. The AIP was significantly higher in the SAP group compared to the non-SAP group (p < 0.001). The AIP was positively correlated with the Atlanta classification (R = 0.256, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, the AIP was found to be an independent predictive factor for SAP (OR = 4.571; CI = 1.913-10.922; p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The AIP is a potential biomarker for the prediction of SAP in clinical practice. This result provides that impaired lipid metabolism is associated with the severity of pancreatitis.

Overview and prospect of serum markers for early prediction of severity of acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common and potentially fatal emergencies of the digestive system. Aseptic inflammation of the pancreas caused by self-digestion of trypsin is considered to be the main pathogenesis of AP. The clinical course and prognosis of AP with different degrees of severity vary greatly, so early prediction of the severity of AP is of great significance to the diagnosis and treatment of this disease. In recent years, great progress has been made in the early risk assessment and severity stratification of AP patients with serum markers. This article gives an overview and discuss the prospects of serum markers for early prediction of the severity of AP.

Recent Advances in Diagnosis and Severity Assessment of Acute Pancreatitis

The incidence and prevalence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing over time. The diagnosis of acute pancreatitis is established by revised Atlanta criteria (2012). Multiple criteria and scoring systems have been used for assessment of severity of AP. Majority of acute pancreatitis cases (80%) are mild, the challenge remains in early diagnosis, severity assessment and treatment of severe AP and its complications. Assessment of severity of AP is important part of management because line of treatment depends on aetiology and severity of acute pancreatitis. In this article a comprehensive review of recent advances in diagnosis and severity assessment of acute pancreatitis has been described.