Prothrombin induced by vitamin K Absence-II versus alpha-fetoprotein in detection of both resectable hepatocellular carcinoma and early recurrence after curative liver resection: A retrospective cohort study

Prognostic Value of the ASAP Score for Patients Undergoing Hepatic Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Analysis of 1,239 Patients

Background and aims

The ASAP score, which incorporates age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and protein induced by vitamin K absence-II, has demonstrated promise for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, its prognostic value after HCC treatment remains unknown. The current study sought to evaluate the prognostic value of the ASAP score to predict recurrence and survival following curative hepatic resection for HCC.

Methods

This study using prospectively collected data included HCC patients who underwent curative-intent hepatic resection. The ASAP score was calculated preoperatively, and X-tile analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff value. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors associated with recurrence and overall survival (OS).

Results

Among 1239 patients in the analytic cohort, the optimal ASAP score cutoff was 4.8; patients were divided into low (n = 749) and high (n = 490) ASAP score subgroups. Patients with high ASAP scores had a higher incidence of 5-year recurrence (73.9% vs 51.0%, P < 0.001) and worse OS (31.7% vs 60.1%, P < 0.001) versus individuals with low scores. Multivariate analysis identified ASAP score ≥4.8 as an independent risk factor of both recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.976, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.633-2.390, P < 0.001) and OS (HR 1.407, 95% CI 1.170-1.691, P < 0.001) after controlling for established clinicopathological factors.

Conclusion

Preoperative ASAP score was independently associated with recurrence and survival after HCC resection. The clinical utility of the ASAP score may be applicable to both diagnosis and prognosis, potentially improving postoperative surveillance and management strategies for HCC patients.

Trajectories of postoperative hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA and HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes

BACKGROUND

Preoperative hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level has been shown to correlate with the prognosis of patients with HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver resection, but its dynamic changes have not been reported. The aim of this longitudinal multicenter retrospective observational study was to describe the trajectory of HBV DNA after R0 liver resection in patients receiving antiviral therapy and to investigate its impact on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

This study included patients with HBV-related HCC from nine hospitals in China who received antiviral therapy and R0 hepatectomy between 2015 and 2016. A latent class growth mixed model (LCGMM) was applied to group the trajectories of HBV DNA changes. The relative importance of each variable to predict survival was evaluated using the χ2.

RESULTS

Six hundred and eighty-four patients with HCC who met the inclusion exclusion criteria were included. Patients were divided into 5 trajectories of HBV DNA changes using LCGMM. By combining subgroups with similar survival characteristics, patients were reclassified into three groups: slow decline, slow zeroing, and fast zeroing group, the 5-year OS rates are 34.5 %, 53.0 %, 70.9 %, respectively. Multifactorial COX regression results showed that ALBI grade, HBV reactivation, cirrhosis, maximum tumor diameter, microvascular invasion, and HBV DNA trajectory groups were independent risk factors for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV DNA trajectories were associated with OS for patients with HBV-related HCC after R0 liver resection, and it is necessary to receive antiviral therapy and to monitor HBV status regularly.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: Revising the surgical approach in light of the concept of multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy

The clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is strongly influenced by several prognostic factors, mainly tumor stage, patient's health, liver function and specific characteristics of each intervention. The interplay between these factors should be carefully evaluated by a multidisciplinary tumor board. To support this, the novel "multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy" (MTH) concept has been recently proposed. This review will present the main features of available surgical treatments for HCC (liver transplantation, liver resection, ablation). Strengths and weaknesses are reported in the light of clinical decision making and of treatment allocation, with a special focus on the collocation of each treatment in the MTH framework and on how MTH may be useful in supporting clinical decision. Sequential treatments and their role to allow further surgical treatments will also be analyzed.

Prognosis prediction of α-FAtE score for locoregional immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose

The α-FAtE score, composed of alpha-fetoprotein, alkaline phosphatase, and eosinophil levels, has been reported as a predictor of prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. This study aimed to investigate the predictive ability of α-FAtE score for the efficacy and safety of locoregional immunotherapy as the treatment of HCC patients.

Methods and patients

We conducted a retrospective study of 446 HCC patients at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from January 1st 2019 to January 1st 2023. The predictive performance was evaluated by the concordance index, the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, the Kaplan-Meier curve and multiple Cox regression analysis.

Results

446 patients were divided into the α-FAtE 0-1 group (n=211) and α-FAtE 2-3 group (n=235). The median progression-free survival(PFS) of the α-FAtE 0-1 group and 2-3 group was 7.3 months (95%CI 6.6-8.7 months), and 12.3 months (95% CI 10.4-14.1 months; P<0.001), respectively. The median overall survival (OS) of the α-FAtE 0-1 group and 2-3 group was 16.3 months (95%CI 13.7-21.5 months) and 34.1 months (95% CI 27.6-NA months; P<0.001), respectively. HCC patients in the α-FAtE 2-3 group had higher complete response (CR) rate and experienced less drug-related adverse events than those in the α-FAtE 0-1 group. Moreover, a lower α-FAtE score was identified as an independent prognostic indicator for both OS and PFS of advanced HCC patients receiving locoregional immunotherapy.

Conclusion

The α-FAtE score is a superior predictor of prognosis in HCC patients receiving locoregional immunotherapy, offering a valuable tool for patient stratification and treatment planning.

Comparative Validation of Prediction Models for HCC Outcomes in Living Donor Liver Transplantation: Superiority of Tumor Markers to Imaging Study

BACKGROUND

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) offers timely curative treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aims to validate and compare previous prediction models for HCC outcomes in 488 LDLT recipients.

METHODS

For 488 patients who underwent LDLT for HCC, pretransplant imaging studies assessed by modified RECSIT criteria, tumor markers such as alpha feto-protein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA II), and explant pathology were recruited. C-index of models for the HCC outcomes was compared, followed by further investigation for the predictive performances of the best model.

RESULTS

We found MoRAL (11√PIVKA-II + 2√AFP) demonstrated a higher C-index for HCC recurrence than other models that included radiologically viable tumor number and/or size (MoRAL: 0.709, Milan: 0.537, UCSF: 0.575, Up-to-7: 0.572, French AFP: 0.634, Pre-MORAL: 0.637, HALT-HCC: 0.626, Metroticket2.0: 0.629) and also had the highest C-index for HCC-specific deaths (0.706). Five-year HCC recurrence was well stratified upon dividing the patients into three groups by MoRAL cutoffs (11.9% for MoRAL < 100, 29.6% for MoRAL 100-200, and 48.6% for MoRAL > 200, p < 0.001). However, patients with major vessel invasion or portal vein tumor thrombus showed similarly high HCC recurrence regardless of this grouping (p = 0.612).

CONCLUSION

The MoRAL, based on tumor markers, showed the best predictive performance for HCC recurrence and HCC-specific death among the validated models, except in cases with major vessel invasion or portal vein tumor thrombus.

Prognostic significance of early alpha fetoprotein and des-gamma carboxy prothrombin responses in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing triple combination therapy

Background

Recent advancements in combination therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) have shown promise, but reliable serological prognostic indicators are currently lacking for patients undergoing triple combination therapy of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT), immunotherapy, and targeted therapy. We aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of early alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) responses in these patients.

Methods

This retrospective research included 115 uHCC patients treated with SBRT in combination with immunotherapy and targeted therapy (triple therapy) at our institution from April 2021 to December 2022. Participants were categorized into high AFP and high DCP cohorts based on baseline levels. AFP and DCP responses were defined as decreases from baseline of over 50% and 70%, respectively, according to ROC curve analysis. Differences in overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and objective response rate (ORR) were assessed between the tumor biomarker response and non-response groups.

Results

Multivariate analysis indicated that AFP or DCP response at 6-8 weeks post-therapy significantly influenced ORR (high AFP cohort: odds ratio [OR] 5.50, 95% CI 2.04-14.83, p=0.001; high DCP cohort: OR 7.99, 95%CI 2.82-22.60, p<0.001). The median PFS was notably longer in tumor biomarker response groups (high AFP cohort: 13.7 vs 6.2 months, hazard ratio [HR] 0.36, 95% CI 0.20-0.62, p<0.001; high DCP cohort: 15.6 vs 9.3 months, HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.26-0.74, p=0.002). AFP or DCP response was associated with prolonged OS (high AFP cohort: not reached vs. 21.9 months, HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.22-0.99, p=0.047; high DCP cohort: not reached vs. 20.6 months, HR 0.35, 95% CI 0.14-0.86, p=0.022).

Conclusion

AFP or DCP response at 6-8 weeks post-therapy predicts better oncological outcomes in patients with uHCC treated with triple therapy.

Prognostic significance of postoperative serological incomplete conversion of AFP and PIVKA-II after hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter analysis of 1755 patients

BACKGROUND

The value of serum biomarkers, particularly alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), gains increasing attention in prognostic evaluation and recurrence monitoring for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study investigated the implications of serological incomplete conversion (SIC) of these 2 biomarkers as prognostic indicators for long-term outcomes after HCC resection.

METHODS

A multicenter observational study was conducted on a cohort of HCC patients presenting with AFP (>20 ng/mL) or PIVKA-II (>40 mAU/mL) positivity who underwent curative-intent resection. Based on their postoperative AFP and PIVKA-II levels at first postoperative follow-up (4~8 weeks after surgery), these patients were stratified into the serological incomplete conversion (SIC) and serological complete conversion (SCC) groups. The study endpoints were recurrence and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among 1755 patients, 379 and 1376 were categorized as having SIC and SCC, respectively. The SIC group exhibited 1- and 5-year OS rates of 67.5% and 26.3%, with the corresponding recurrence rates of 53.2% and 79.0%, respectively; while the SCC group displayed 1- and 5-year OS rates of 95.8% and 62.5%, with the corresponding recurrence rates of 16.8% and 48.8%, respectively (both P < .001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that postoperative SIC was an independent risk factor for both increased recurrence (HR: 2.40, 95% CI, 2.04-2.81, P < .001) and decreased OS (HR: 2.69, 95% CI, 2.24-3.24, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The results emphasize that postoperative incomplete conversion of either AFP or PIVKA-II is a significant prognostic marker, indicating a higher risk for adverse oncologic outcomes following HCC resection. This revelation has crucial implications for refining postoperative adjuvant therapy and surveillance strategies for HCC patients.

Carvacrol potentiates immunity and sorafenib anti-cancer efficacy by targeting HIF-1α/STAT3/ FGL1 pathway: in silico and in vivo study

Hypoxia and tumor cell immunological escape greatly hinder the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment efficiency. This study is designed to investigate the capability of carvacrol (CVR) to enhance sorafenib (SOR) anti-cancer efficacy and modulate anti-HCC immunity. CVR target and biological activities were predicted using Swiss Target Prediction website and PASS web server. UALCAN and LinkedOmics databases were used to examine hypoxia-inducible factor 1-alpha (HIF-1α) expression and the relationship between studied genes and tumor clinical features. Kaplan-Meier plotter (KM plotter) and TISIDB databases were used to illustrate correlation of HIF-1α with HCC prognosis and immune infiltration. The binding affinities of CVR to p300, KAT2B, CREBBP, and Hsp90 were demonstrated by molecular docking. In vivo analysis was performed in male Sprague-Dawley rats. The STAT3, JAK2, and fibrinogen-like protein 1 (FGL1) expressions were assessed by qRT-PCR. FGL1 was determined by ELISA. CD8+ T cell number was counted by flow cytometry. HIF-1α was determined by immunohistochemistry. CVR showed an HIF-1α inhibitory potential, which is highly expressed in HCC tissues. Also, elevated HIF-1α expression has been found to be correlated with clinicopathological characteristics, poor survival in HCC patients, and tumor immune cell infiltration. CVR/SOR enhanced liver functions and decreased AFP level. CVR/SOR hindered HCC progression by downregulating STAT3, JAK2, and FGL1. CVR/SOR induced tumor immunity via increasing CD8+ T cells. CVR/SOR is a powerful combination for tumor repression and enhancing SOR efficiency in HCC by modulating FGL1. Moreover, CVR/SOR might exert the aforementioned effects through HIF-1α/STAT3/FGL1 pathway.

Management Consensus Guidelines for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: 2023 Update on Surveillance, Diagnosis, Systemic Treatment, and Posttreatment Monitoring by the Taiwan Liver Cancer Association and the Gastroenterological Society of Taiwan

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality in Taiwan. The Taiwan Liver Cancer Association and the Gastroenterological Society of Taiwan established HCC management consensus guidelines in 2016 and updated them in 2023. Current recommendations focus on addressing critical issues in HCC management, including surveillance, diagnosis, systemic treatment, and posttreatment monitoring. For surveillance and diagnosis, we updated the guidelines to include the role of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) and gadoxetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in detecting HCCs. For systemic treatment, the updated guidelines summarize the multiple choices available for targeted therapy, immune checkpoint inhibitors, and a combination of both, especially for those carcinomas refractory to or unsuitable for transarterial chemoembolization. We have added a new section, posttreatment monitoring, that describes the important roles of PIVKA-II and EOB-MRI after HCC therapy, including surgery, locoregional therapy, and systemic treatment. Through this update of the management consensus guidelines, patients with HCC may benefit from optimal diagnosis, therapeutic modalities, and posttreatment monitoring.

Myosteatosis and muscle loss impact liver transplant outcomes in male patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia is associated with unfavourable long-term survival in patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the impact of myosteatosis and muscle loss on patient prognosis has not been investigated.

METHODS

Seven hundred fifty-six HCC patients who received LT at 3 transplant centres were included. Computed tomography (CT) images of recipients were collected to measure skeletal muscle index (SMI) and skeletal muscle radiodensity (SMRA). The impact of myosteatosis on the prognosis of sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients was studied separately. Muscle status was evaluated based on the presence of sarcopenia and myosteatosis. The muscle loss of 342 males was calculated as the relative change of SMI between pre- and post-LT evaluations. Cox regression models were used to identify predictors of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

The study comprised 673 males and 83 females. The median follow-up time was 31 months (interquartile range, 19-43 months). Prior to LT, 267 (39.7%) and 187 (27.8%) males were defined as sarcopenic (low-SMI) and myosteatotic (low-SMRA), respectively. For sarcopenic recipients, the presence of myosteatosis was followed by a 23.6% decrease in 5 year OS (P < 0.001) and a 15.0% decrease in 5 year RFS (P = 0.014). Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that muscle status was an independent predictor of OS [hazard ratio (HR), 1.569; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.317-1.869; P < 0.001] and RFS (HR, 1.369; 95% CI, 1.182-1.586; P < 0.001). Postoperatively, a muscle loss >14.2% was an independent risk factor for poor OS (HR, 2.286; 95% CI, 1.358-3.849; P = 0.002) and RFS (HR, 2.219; 95% CI, 1.418-3.471; P < 0.001) in non-sarcopenic recipients (N = 209).

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-transplant myosteatosis aggravated the adverse impact of sarcopenia on liver transplant outcomes in male HCC patients. Post-transplant muscle loss might assist in prognostic stratification of recipients without pre-existing sarcopenia, intriguing new insights into individualized management.

Early identification of hepatocellular carcinoma patients at high-risk of recurrence using the ADV score: a multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative recurrence is a vital reason for poor 5-year overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The ADV score is considered a parameter that can quantify HCC aggressiveness. This study aimed to identify HCC patients at high-risk of recurrence early using the ADV score.

METHODS

The medical data of consecutive HCC patients undergoing hepatectomy from The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (TFAHNJMU) and Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital (NJDTH) were retrospectively reviewed. Based on the status of microvascular invasion and the Edmondson-Steiner grade, HCC patients were divided into three groups: low-risk group (group 1: no risk factor exists), medium-risk group (group 2: one risk factor exists), and high-risk group (group 3: coexistence of two risk factors). In the training cohort (TFAHNJMU), the R package nnet was used to establish a multi-categorical unordered logistic regression model based on the ADV score to predict three risk groups. The Welch's T-test was used to compare differences in clinical variables in three predicted risk groups. NJDTH served as an external validation center. At last, the confusion matrix was developed using the R package caret to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the model.

RESULTS

350 and 405 patients from TFAHNJMU and NJDTH were included. HCC patients in different risk groups had significantly different liver function and inflammation levels. Density maps demonstrated that the ADV score could best differentiate between the three risk groups. The probability curve was plotted according to the predicted results of the multi-categorical unordered logistic regression model, and the best cut-off values of the ADV score were as follows: low-risk ≤ 3.4 log, 3.4 log < medium-risk ≤ 5.7 log, and high-risk > 5.7 log. The sensitivities of the ADV score predicting the high-risk group (group 3) were 70.2% (99/141) and 78.8% (63/80) in the training and external validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The ADV score might become a valuable marker for screening patients at high-risk of HCC recurrence with a cut-off value of 5.7 log, which might help surgeons, pathologists, and HCC patients make appropriate clinical decisions.

An inflammatory liquid fingerprint predicting tumor recurrence after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Tumor recurrence is a life-threatening complication after liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Precise recurrence risk stratification before transplantation is essential for the management of recipients. Here, we aimed to establish an inflammation-related prediction model for posttransplant HCC recurrence based on pretransplant peripheral cytokine profiling. Two hundred and ninety-three patients who underwent LT in two independent medical centers were enrolled, and their pretransplant plasma samples were sent for cytokine profiling. We identified four independent risk factors, including alpha-fetoprotein, systemic immune-inflammation index, interleukin 6, and osteocalcin in the training cohort (n = 190) by COX regression analysis. A prediction model named inflammatory fingerprint (IFP) was established based on the above factors. The IFP effectively predicted posttransplant recurrence (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.792, C-index: 0.736). The high IFP group recipients had significantly worse 3-year recurrence-free survival rates (37.9 vs. 86.9%, p < 0.001). Simultaneous T-cell profiling revealed that recipients with high IFP were characterized by impaired T cell function. The IFP also performed well in the validation cohort (n = 103, AUROC: 0.807, C-index: 0.681). In conclusion, the IFP efficiently predicted posttransplant HCC recurrence and helped to refine pretransplant risk stratification. Impaired T cell function might be the intrinsic mechanism for the high recurrence risk of recipients in the high IFP group.

Stratifying risk of failure to achieve textbook outcomes among patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter score validation study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The concept of textbook outcomes (TOs) has gained increased attention as a critical metric to assess the quality and success of outcomes following complex surgery. A simple yet effective scoring system was developed and validated to predict risk of not achieving textbook outcomes (non-TOs) following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Using a multicenter prospectively collected database, risk factors associated with non-TO among patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC were identified. A predictive scoring system based on factors identified from multivariate regression analysis was used to risk stratify patients relative to non-TO. The score was developed using 70 % of the overall cohort and validated in the remaining 30 %.

RESULTS

Among 3681 patients, 1458 (39.6 %) failied to experience a TO. Based on the derivation cohort, obesity, American Society of Anaesthesiologists score(ASA score), Child-Pugh grade, tumor size, and extent of hepatectomy were identified as independent predictors of non-TO. The scoring system ranged from 0 to 10 points. Patients were categorized into low (0-3 points), intermediate (4-6 points), and high risk (7-10 points) of non-TO. In the validation cohort, the predicted risk of developing non-TOs was 39.0 %, which closely matched the observed risk of 39.9 %. There were no differences among the predicted and observed risks within the different risk categories.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel scoring system was able to predict risk of non-TO accurately following hepatectomy for HCC. The score may enable early identification of individuals at risk of adverse outcomes and inform surgical decision-making, and quality improvement initiatives.

Emerging Prognostic Markers in Patients Undergoing Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Narrative Review

In patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver resection is potentially curative. Nevertheless, post-operative recurrence is common, occurring in up to 70% of patients. Factors traditionally recognized to predict recurrence and survival after liver resection for HCC include pathologic factors (i.e., microvascular and capsular invasion) and an increase in alpha-fetoprotein level. During the past decade, many new markers have been reported to correlate with prognosis after resection of HCC: liquid biopsy markers, gene signatures, inflammation markers, and other biomarkers, including PIVKA-II, immune checkpoint molecules, and proteins in urinary exosomes. However, not all of these new markers are readily available in clinical practice, and their reproducibility is unclear. Liquid biopsy is a powerful and established tool for predicting long-term outcomes after resection of HCC; the main limitation of liquid biopsy is represented by the cost related to its technical implementation. Numerous patterns of genetic expression capable of predicting survival after curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC have been identified, but published findings regarding these markers are heterogenous. Inflammation markers in the form of prognostic nutritional index and different blood cell ratios seem more easily reproducible and more affordable on a large scale than other emerging markers. To select the most effective treatment for patients with HCC, it is crucial that the scientific community validate new predictive markers for recurrence and survival after resection that are reliable and widely reproducible. More reports from Western countries are necessary to corroborate the evidence.

Prognostic implications of preoperative, postoperative, and dynamic changes of alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma (γ)-carboxy prothrombin expression pattern for hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection: a multicenter observational study

Background

The utility of pre- and post-operative alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma (γ)-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) expression patterns and their dynamic changes as predictors of the outcome of hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has yet to be well elucidated.

Methods

From a multicenter database, AFP and DCP data during the week prior to surgery and the first post-discharge outpatient visit (within 1-2 months after surgery) were collected from patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy. AFP-DCP expression patterns were categorized according to the number of positive tumor markers (AFP ≥ 20ng/mL, DCP ≥ 40mAU/mL), including double-negative, single-positive, and double-positive. Changes in the AFP-DCP expression patterns were delineated based on variations in the number of positive tumor markers when comparing pre- and post-operative patterns.

Results

Preoperatively, 53 patients (8.3%), 337 patients (52.8%), and 248 patients (38.9%) exhibited double-negative, single-positive, and double-positive AFP-DCP expression patterns, respectively. Postoperatively, 463 patients (72.6%), 130 patients (20.4%), and 45 patients (7.0%) showed double-negative, single-positive, and double-positive AFP-DCP expression patterns, respectively. Survival analysis showed a progressive decrease in recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) as the number of postoperative positive tumor markers increased (both P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that postoperative AFP-DCP expression pattern, but not preoperative AFP-DCP expression pattern, was an independent risk factor for RFS and OS. Further analysis showed that for patients with positive preoperative markers, prognosis gradually improves as positive markers decrease postoperatively. In particular, when all postoperative markers turned negative, the prognosis was consistent with that of preoperative double-negative patients, regardless of the initial number of positive markers.

Conclusions

AFP-DCP expression patterns, particularly postoperative patterns, serve as vital sources of information for prognostic evaluation following hepatectomy for HCC. Moreover, changes in AFP-DCP expression patterns from pre- to post-operation enable dynamic prognostic risk stratification postoperatively, aiding the development of individualized follow-up strategies.

Research progress of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common pathologic type of primary liver cancer. Liver transplantation (LT) is a radical strategy for treating patients with early-stage HCC, which may lead to a better prognosis compared to hepatectomy and ablation. However, survival of patients who develop HCC recurrence after LT is short, and early recurrence is the most common cause of death. Thus, efficient biomarkers are also needed in LT to guide precision therapy to improve patient prognosis and 5-year survival. Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) is an abnormal prothrombin that cannot activate coagulation, and it is significantly increased in patients with HCC, obstructive jaundice, and those taking vitamin K antagonists. Over the past decades, substantial progress has been made in the study of PIVKA-II in diagnosing, surveilling, and treating HCC, but its role in LT still needs to be elaborated. In this review, we focused on the role of PIVKA-II as a biomarker in LT for HCC, especially its relationship with clinicopathologic features, early recurrence, long-term survival, and donor-recipient selection.

Role of protein induced by vitamin-K absence-II in transplanted patients with HCC not producing alpha-fetoprotein

Elevated Protein Induced by Vitamin-K Absence-II (PIVKA-II) has been shown to be an adverse prognostic factor in HCC patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT). No definitive data are available about the impact of PIVKA-II concerning post-LT recurrence in patients not secreting (≤ 20 ng/mL) alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). An observational retrospective study of the East-West HCC-LT consortium is reported. Between 2000 and 2019, 639 HCC patients were enrolled in 5 collaborative European and Japanese centers. To minimize the initial selection bias, an inverse probability therapy weighting method was adopted to analyze the data. In the post-inverse probability therapy weighting population, PIVKA-II (HR = 2.00; 95% CI: 1.52-2.64; p < 0.001) and AFP (HR=1.82; 95% CI: 1.48-2.24; p < 0.001) were the most relevant independent risk factors for post-LT recurrence. A sub-analysis focusing only on patients who are AFP non-secreting confirmed the negative role of PIVKA-II (HR=2.06, 95% CI: 1.26-3.35; p =0.004). When categorizing the entire population into 4 groups according to the AFP levels (≤ or > 20 ng/mL) and PIVKA (≤ or > 300 mUA/mL) at the time of LT, the lowest recurrence rates were observed in the low AFP-PIVKA-II group (5-year recurrence rate = 8.0%). Conversely, the high AFP-PIVKA-II group had the worst outcome (5-year recurrence rate = 35.1%). PIVKA-II secretion is a relevant risk factor for post-LT HCC recurrence. The role of this marker is independent of the AFP status. Combining both tumor markers, especially in the setting of LT, should be of great relevance for adding information about predicting the post-LT risk of tumor recurrence and selecting these patients for transplantation.

Merits and boundaries of the BCLC staging and treatment algorithm: Learning from the past to improve the future with a novel proposal

In this Expert Opinion, we thoroughly analyse the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging and treatment algorithm for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that, since 1999, has standardised HCC management, offering a structured approach for the prognostic evaluation and treatment of patients with HCC. The first part of the article presents the strengths and evolutionary improvements of the BCLC staging system. Nevertheless, both patient characteristics and available treatments have changed in the last two decades, limiting the role of the BCLC criteria for treatment allocation in a growing number of patients. As therapeutic options expand and become more effective, the stage-linked treatment decision-making algorithm may lead to undertreatment and suboptimal outcomes for patients with disease beyond early-stage HCC. Consequently, strict adherence to BCLC criteria is limited in expert centres, particularly for patients diagnosed beyond early-stage HCC. Although the BCLC system remains the benchmark against which other therapeutic frameworks must be judged, the era of precision medicine calls for patient-tailored therapeutic decision-making (by a multidisciplinary tumour board) rather than stage-dictated treatment allocation. Acknowledging this conceptual difference in clinical management, the second part of the article describes a novel "multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy", which integrates a comprehensive assessment of clinical factors, biomarkers, technical feasibility, and resource availability. Lastly, considering the increasing efficacy of locoregional and systemic treatments, the concept of "converse therapeutic hierarchy" is introduced. These treatments can increase the feasibility (conversion approach) and effectiveness (adjuvant approach of systemic therapy) of potentially curative approaches to greatly improve clinical outcomes.

Proteomic Analysis Identifies GSN as a Noninvasive Circulating Serum Biomarker for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is susceptible to early recurrence, but it lacks effective predictive biomarkers. In this study, we retrospectively selected 179 individuals as a discovery cohort (126 HCC patients and 53 liver cirrhosis (LC) patients) for screening candidate serum biomarkers of early recurrence based on data independent acquisition-mass spectrometry strategy. And then, the candidate biomarkers were validated in an additional independent cohort with 192 individuals (142 HCC patients and 50 LC patients) using parallel reaction monitoring targeted quantitative techniques (PXD047852). Eventually, we validated that gelsolin (GSN) concentrations were significantly lower in HCC than in LC (p < 0.0001), patients with low GSN concentrations had a poor prognosis (p < 0.0001), and GSN concentrations were significantly lower in early recurrence HCC than in late recurrence HCC (p < 0.0001). These trends were also observed in alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative HCC patients. The area under the curve of machine-learning-based predictive model (GSN and microvascular invasion) for predicting early recurrence risk reached 0.803 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.786-0.820) and maintained the same efficacy in AFP-negative patients. In conclusion, GSN is a novel serum biomarker for early recurrence of HCC. The model could provide timely warning to HCC patients at high risk of recurrence.

Prediction of Non-Transplantable Recurrence After Liver Resection for Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

Using a combination model of preoperative imaging and clinical factors to predict non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) after liver resection and assist solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in the selection of early treatment options.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 253 solitary HCC patients who underwent radical resection and had preoperative MRI. NTR patients were defined as those exceeding the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) criteria at the time of recurrence. Cox regression analysis was employed to identify preoperative factors associated with NTR based on clinical and tumor imaging characteristics. A risk scoring model (NTRScore) was developed and validated.

Results

Among the 253 patients, 86 (33.9%) experienced recurrence, and among those with recurrence, 34 patients (39.5%) developed NTR. In multivariate analysis, factors associated with NTR included alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) [>10 ng/mL] [HR: 3.42, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.54-7.63, P: 0.003], arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) [HR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.03-4.81, P: 0.041], washout[HR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.15-0.84, P: 0.019], and capsule [HR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.22-0.88, P: 0.021]. The β-coefficients of these variables were utilized to develop the weighted NTRScore(c-index 0.72, 95% CI: 0.65-0.79). The NTR occurrence increased across the three categories (low: 5.6%, medium: 13.6%, high: 35.1%, p < 0.001), and the Kaplan-Meier curves of recurrence-free survival(RFS) and overall survival(OS) show significant differences (p = 0.004 and p<0.001). Furthermore, the higher NTR categories may be associated with an increased risk of extrahepatic recurrence.

Conclusion

The NTRScore demonstrated strong discriminatory ability and may serve as a clinically useful tool to assist in risk stratification and potential to guide treatment and optimal surveillance for patients of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma within UCSF criteria.

PIVKA-II combined with tumor burden score to predict long-term outcomes of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma patients after liver resection

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to establish a simple prognostic scoring model based on tumor burden score (TBS) and PIVKA-II to predict long-term outcomes of α-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS

511 patients were divided into the training cohort (n = 305) and the validation cohort (n = 206) at a ratio of 6:4. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were established to identify cutoff values of TBS and PIVKA-II. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze survival outcomes. The multivariable Cox regression was used to identify variables independently associated with survival outcomes. The predictive performance of the TBS-PIVKA II score (TPS) model was compared with Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC TNM) stage.

RESULTS

The present study established the TPS model using a simple scoring system (0, 1 for low/high TBS [cutoff value: 4.1]; 0, 1 for low/high PIVKA-II [cutoff value: 239 mAU/mL]). The TPS scoring model was divided into three levels according to the summation of TBS score and PIVKA-II score: TPS 0, TPS 1, and TPS 2. The TPS scoring model was able to stratify OS (training: p < 0.001, validation: p < 0.001) and early recurrence (training: p < 0.001; validation: p = 0.001) in the training cohort and the validation cohort. The TPS score was independently associated with OS (TPS 1 vs. 0, HR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.01-5.17; TPS 2 vs. 0, HR: 4.21, 95% CI: 2.01-8.84) and early recurrence (TPS 1 vs. 0, HR: 3.50, 95% CI: 1.71-7.16; TPS 2 vs. 0, HR: 3.79, 95% CI: 1.86-7.75) in the training cohort. The TPS scoring model outperformed BCLC stage and AJCC TNM stage in predicting OS and early recurrence in the training cohort and the validation cohort. But the TPS scoring model was unable to stratify the late recurrence in the training cohort (p = 0.872) and the validation cohort (p = 0.458).

CONCLUSIONS

The TPS model outperformed the BCLC stage and AJCC TNM stage in predicting OS and early recurrence of AFP-negative HCC patients after liver resection, which might better assist surgeons in screening AFP-negative HCC patients who may benefit from liver resection.

Incorporation of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II into transplant criteria expands beneficiaries of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective cohort study in China

INTRODUCTION

In order to maximize the utilization of precious donor liver, precisely determining potential hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) candidates who will benefit from liver transplantation (LT) is essential. As a crucial diagnostic biomarker for HCC, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) has become one of the key indicators for assessing tumor recurrence risk after LT. This study aims to investigate the role of PIVKA-II in recipient selection and prognostic stratification.

METHODS

The clinicopathologic data of HCC patients undergoing LT from 2015 to 2020 in six Chinese transplant centers were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine risk factors for disease free survival (DFS). Based on these risk factors, survival analysis was made by Kaplan-Meier method and their value in prognostic stratification was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 522 eligible HCC patients with pre-LT PIVKA-II records were finally included in this study. Tumor burden>8 cm, α-fetoprotein>400 ng/ml, histopathologic grade III and PIVKA-II>240 mAU/ml were identified as independent risk factors for DFS. DFS of patients with PIVKA-II≤240 mAU/ml ( N =288) were significantly higher than those with PIVKA-II>240 mAU/ml ( N =234) (1-year, 3-year, and 5-year DFS: 83.2, 77.3, and 75.9% vs. 75.1, 58.5, and 50.5%; P <0.001). Compared with Hangzhou criteria ( N =305), incorporating PIVKA-II into Hangzhou criteria (including tumor burden, α-fetoprotein, and histopathologic grade) increased the number of patients with eligibility for LT by 21.6% but achieved comparable DFS and overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporating PIVKA-II into existing LT criteria could increase the number of eligible HCC patients without compromising post-LT outcomes.

Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II: Experience to date and future directions

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer with high mortality. The realization of precision medicine in HCC relies upon efficient biomarkers. Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) is an immature prothrombin with insufficient coagulation activity, overexpressing in HCC cells. Previous evidence confirmed the role of PIVKA-II in screening and diagnosing HCC. However, the increased PIVKA-II was observed not only in HCC, but also in non-HCC individuals such as vitamin K deficiency. The joint detection of PIVKA-II and other biomarkers could significantly improve diagnostic accuracy in HCC. Furthermore, PIVKA-II serves as a valuable prognostic predictor, transplantation eligibility, resectability, tumor recurrence, therapeutic efficacy, and malignant tumor behaviors. Additionally, PIVKA-II represents a potential target for agent development to establish new therapeutic strategies. Besides HCC, PIVKA-II also serves as a biomarker of vitamin K status. In this review, we assess the role of PIVKA-II in diagnosis, prediction, and treatment. Over the past decades, substantial progress has been achieved in the application of PIVKA-II. Exploration and innovation are required for further advances in the field of PIVKA-II investigation.

Emerging biomolecules for practical theranostics of liver hepatocellular carcinoma

Most cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are able to be diagnosed through regular surveillance in an identifiable patient population with chronic hepatitis B or cirrhosis. Nevertheless, 50% of global cases might present incidentally owing to symptomatic advanced-stage HCC after worsening of liver dysfunction. A systematic search based on PUBMED was performed to identify relevant outcomes, covering newer surveillance modalities including secretory proteins, DNA methylation, miRNAs, and genome sequencing analysis which proposed molecular expression signatures as ideal tools in the early-stage HCC detection. In the face of low accuracy without harmonization on the analytical approaches and data interpretation for liquid biopsy, a more accurate incidence of HCC will be unveiled by using deep machine learning system and multiplex immunohistochemistry analysis. A combination of molecular-secretory biomarkers, high-definition imaging and bedside clinical indexes in a surveillance setting offers a comprehensive range of HCC potential indicators. In addition, the sequential use of numerous lines of systemic anti-HCC therapies will simultaneously benefit more patients in survival. This review provides an overview on the most recent developments in HCC theranostic platform.

Attenuation of binuclear hepatocytes in the paracancerous liver tissue is associated with short-term recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma post-radical surgery

Short-term recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radical resection leads to dismal outcomes. To screen high-recurrence risk patients to provide adjuvant treatment is necessary. Herein, based on our previous research, we further focused on the changes in the abundance of binuclear hepatocytes (ABH) in the paracancerous liver tissue to discuss the relationship between the attenuation of binuclear hepatocytes and postoperative short-term recurrence, by combining with the assessment of the value of a reported independent early recurrence risk factor in HCC, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II). A cohort of 142 paracancerous liver tissues from HCC patients who received radical resection was collected. Binuclear hepatocytes were reduced in the paracancerous liver tissues, compared with the liver tissues from normal donors. ABH was negatively correlated with clinical features such as tumor size, TNM stages, tumor microsatellite formation, venous invasion, and Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, as well as the expression of E2F7 and Anillin, which are two critical regulators concerning the hepatocyte polyploidization. According to the short-term recurrence information, ABH value was laminated, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression was performed to analyze the relationship between paracancerous ABH and short-term tumor relapse. Simultaneously, the predictive effectiveness of the ABH value was compared with the preoperative PIVKA-II value. As observed, the paracancerous ABH value below 1.5% was found to be an independent risk factor for recurrence. In conclusion, the paracancerous ABH is a credible indicator of short-term recurrence of HCC patients after radical resection, and regular assessment of ABH might help to prevent short-term HCC recurrence.

A Novel Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Edmondson-Steiner Grade III-IV in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

Background

Edmondson-Steiner (E-S) grade is a pathological indicator of the degree of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) differentiation, and E-S grade III-IV is a poor prognostic factor for HCC patients. Predicting poorly differentiated HCC has essential significance for clinical decision-making. Although some studies have developed predictive models based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and radiomics, radiomic features that require specific software for analysis are impractical for clinical work. This study aims to develop a novel and user-friendly nomogram model to predict E-S grade III-IV.

Patients and Methods

Medical data on patients meeting the inclusion criteria were obtained from the Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital HCC database (January 2020 to December 2022). Univariate analysis was used to screen for risk factors associated with E-S grade III-IV. A novel nomogram was established based on the subsequent multivariate logistic regression analysis. The performance of the established model was evaluated through diagnostic ability, calibration, and clinical benefits.

Results

Overall, 240 HCC patients were included in this study. Among them, 103 were highly differentiated (E-S grade I-II) HCC and 137 were poorly differentiated (E-S grade III-IV) HCC. A nomogram model that integrated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis C virus antibodies (HCVAb), aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI), and macrovascular invasion was established. The novel model had a good diagnostic performance with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.763. Meanwhile, the model had a diagnostic accuracy of 72.5%, a sensitivity of 78.1%, and a specificity of 65.1%. The calibration curve showed good calibration of the nomogram model (mean absolute error = 0.043), and the decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the clinical benefit was provided.

Conclusion

Our developed nomogram model could successfully predict E-S grade III-IV in HCC patients, which may be helpful in clinical decision-making.

Personalised management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy concept

Advances in the surgical and systemic therapeutic landscape of hepatocellular carcinoma have increased the complexity of patient management. A dynamic adaptation of the available staging-based algorithms is required to allow flexible therapeutic allocation. In particular, real-world hepatocellular carcinoma management increasingly relies on factors independent of oncological staging, including patients' frailty, comorbid burden, critical tumour location, multiple liver functional parameters, and specific technical contraindications impacting the delivery of treatment and resource availability. In this Policy Review we critically appraise how treatment allocation strictly based on pretreatment staging features has shifted towards a more personalised treatment approach, in which expert tumour boards assume a central role. We propose an evidence-based framework for hepatocellular carcinoma treatment based on the novel concept of multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy, in which different therapeutic options are ordered according to their survival benefit (ie, from surgery to systemic therapy). Moreover, we introduce the concept of converse therapeutic hierarchy, in which therapies are ordered according to their conversion abilities or adjuvant abilities (ie, from systemic therapy to surgery).

Circulating biomarkers for diagnosis and management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer, but the prognosis of HCC patients is poor due to the difficulty of early diagnosis and high recurrence rate. Therefore, it is particularly important to seek effective methods for early diagnosis and early recurrence monitoring after treatment. Circulating biomarkers play an important role in the diagnosis, progression monitoring, and prognosis evaluation of HCC. In recent years, with the discovery of a variety of new biomarkers, the development of biomarkers-related models, and the emergence of liquid biopsy technology, the diagnosis and treatment of HCC have been greatly improved. This article reviews the latest research advances of biomarkers in the diagnosis and treatment of HCC, aiming to provide new ideas for improving the prognosis of HCC patients.

Current status and prospect of treatments for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma

Owing to its heterogeneous and highly aggressive nature, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high recurrence rate, which is a non-negligible problem despite the increasing number of available treatment options. Recent clinical trials have attempted to reduce the recurrence and develop innovative treatment options for patients with recurrent HCC. In the event of liver remnant recurrence, the currently available treatment options include repeat hepatectomy, salvage liver transplantation, tumor ablation, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, stereotactic body radiotherapy, systemic therapies, and combination therapy. In this review, we summarize the strategies to reduce the recurrence of high-risk tumors and aggressive therapies for recurrent HCC. Additionally, we discuss methods to prevent HCC recurrence and prognostic models constructed based on predictors of recurrence to develop an appropriate surveillance program.

Role of exosomes in hepatocellular carcinoma and the regulation of traditional Chinese medicine

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually occurs on the basis of chronic liver inflammatory diseases and cirrhosis. The liver microenvironment plays a vital role in the tumor initiation and progression. Exosomes, which are nanometer-sized membrane vesicles are secreted by a number of cell types. Exosomes carry multiple proteins, DNAs and various forms of RNA, and are mediators of cell-cell communication and regulate the tumor microenvironment. In the recent decade, many studies have demonstrated that exosomes are involved in the communication between HCC cells and the stromal cells, including endothelial cells, macrophages, hepatic stellate cells and the immune cells, and serve as a regulator in the tumor proliferation and metastasis, immune evasion and immunotherapy. In addition, exosomes can also be used for the diagnosis and treatment HCC. They can potentially serve as specific biomarkers for early diagnosis and drug delivery vehicles of HCC. Chinese herbal medicine, which is widely used in the prevention and treatment of HCC in China, may regulate the release of exosomes and exosomes-mediated intercellular communication. In this review, we summarized the latest progresses on the role of the exosomes in the initiation, progression and treatment of HCC and the potential value of Traditional Chinese medicine in exosomes-mediated biological behaviors of HCC.

An overview: Management of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has constituted a significant health burden worldwide, and patients with advanced HCC, which is stage C as defined by the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system, have a poor overall survival of 6-8 months. Studies have indicated the significant survival benefit of treatment based on sorafenib, lenvatinib, or atezolizumab-bevacizumab with reliable safety. In addition, the combination of two or more molecularly targeted therapies (first- plus second-line) has become a hot topic recently and is now being extensively investigated in patients with advanced HCC. In addition, a few biomarkers have been investigated and found to predict drug susceptibility and prognosis, which provides an opportunity to evaluate the clinical benefits of current therapies. In addition, many therapies other than tyrosine kinase inhibitors that might have additional survival benefits when combined with other therapeutic modalities, including immunotherapy, transarterial chemoembolization, radiofrequency ablation, hepatectomy, and chemotherapy, have also been examined. This review provides an overview on the current understanding of disease management and summarizes current challenges with and future perspectives on advanced HCC.