Preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Validation of the Geriatrics at Risk Score (GeRi-Score) on 120-day follow-up, the influence of preoperative geriatric visits, and the time to surgery on the outcome of hip fracture patients: an analysis from the Registry for Geriatric Trauma (ATR-DGU)

A validation of the GeRi-Score on 120-day mortality, the impact of a pre-operative visit by a geriatrician, and timing of surgery on the outcome was conducted. The score has predictive value for 120-day mortality. No advantage was found for surgery within 24 h or a preoperative geriatric visit.

PURPOSE

Numerous tools predict mortality among patients with hip fractures, but they include many variables, require time-consuming assessment, and are difficult to calculate. The GeRi-Score provides a quick method of pre-operative assessment. The aim of this study is to validate the score in the 120-day follow-up and determine the impact of a pre-operative visit by a geriatrician and timing of surgery on the patient outcome.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the AltersTraumaRegister DGU® from 2017 to 2021 was conducted, including all proximal femur fractures. The patients were divided into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups based on the GeRi-Score. Mortality was analyzed using logistic regression. To determine the influence of the time to surgery and the preoperative visit by a geriatrician, matching was performed using the exact GeRi-Score, preoperative walking ability, type of fracture, and the time to surgery.

RESULTS

The study included 38,570 patients, divided into 12,673 low-risk, 18,338 moderate-risk, and 7,559 high-risk patients. The moderate-risk group had three times the mortality risk of the low-risk group (OR 3.19 (95% CI 2.68-3.79; p<0.001)), while the high-risk group had almost eight times the mortality risk than the low-risk group (OR 7.82 (95% CI 6.51-9.93; p<0.001)). No advantage was found for surgery within the first 24 h across all groups. There was a correlation of a preoperative geriatric visit and mortality showing an increase in the moderate and high-risk group on in-house mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The GeRi-Score has predictive value for 120-day mortality. No advantage was found for surgery within 24 h. The analysis did not demonstrate a benefit of the preoperative geriatric visit, but more data are needed.

Validation of the Charlson Comorbidity Index for the prediction of 30-day and 1-year mortality among patients who underwent hip fracture surgery

INTRODUCTION

The aim of our study was to validate the original Charlson Comorbidity Index (1987) (CCI) and adjusted CCI (2011) as a prediction model for 30-day and 1-year mortality after hip fracture surgery. The secondary aim of this study was to verify each variable of the CCI as a factor associated with 30-day and 1-year mortality.

METHODS

A prospective database of two-level II trauma teaching hospitals in the Netherlands was used. The original CCI from 1987 and the adjusted CCI were calculated based on medical history. To validate the original CCI and the adjusted CCI, the CCI was plotted against the observed 30-day and 1-year mortality, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 3523 patients were included in this cohort study. The mean of the original CCI in this cohort was 5.1 (SD ± 2.0) and 4.6 (SD ± 1.9) for the adjusted CCI. The AUCs of the prediction models were 0.674 and 0.696 for 30-day mortality for the original and adjusted CCIs, respectively. The AUCs for 1-year mortality were 0.705 and 0.717 for the original and adjusted CCIs, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher original and adjusted CCI is associated with a higher mortality rate. The AUC was relatively low for 30-day and 1-year mortality for both the original and adjusted CCIs compared to other prediction models for hip fracture patients in our cohort. The CCI is not recommended for the prediction of 30-day and 1-year mortality in hip fracture patients.

Strategies to improve end-of-life decision-making and palliative care following hip fracture in frail older adults: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Although surgery is the gold standard following a hip fracture, the potential for rehabilitation and survival rates are low in frail older patients. Some patients may derive more benefit from palliative care. The objectives of this review were to identify the available strategies to improve end-of-life decision-making and palliative care for frail patients with hip fractures and to synthetise their level of support.

METHODS

We conducted a scoping review of the scientific and grey literature, searching seven databases and websites of associations. We included all study designs, expert opinion articles and clinical practice guidelines (CPGs). Data were synthetised according to the Approach to Patient with Limited Life Expectancy and Hip Fracture framework. The number of research items and their level of evidence were tabulated for each of the recommended strategies.

RESULTS

Of the 10 591 items identified, 34 were eligible. The majority of included articles were original research studies (n = 15). Half of the articles and CPGs focused on intervention categories (55%) such as goals of care discussion and comfort care, followed by factors to consider in the end-of-life decision-making process (25%) and prognosis assessments (20%), mainly through the estimation of life expectancy. The level of evidence for these strategies remains low, given the limited number of prospective studies supporting them.

CONCLUSIONS

This scoping review highlighted that end-of-life care in frail older patients with a hip fracture remains understudied. The strategies identified could be prioritised for future research to improve the well-being of the target population while promoting sustainable resource management.

Identification and validation of miR-29b-3p and LIN7A as important diagnostic markers for bone non-union by WGCNA

Bone non-union is a common fracture complication that can severely impact patient outcomes, yet its mechanism is not fully understood. This study used differential analysis and weighted co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) to identify susceptibility modules and hub genes associated with fracture healing. Two datasets, GSE125289 and GSE213891, were downloaded from the GEO website, and differentially expressed miRNAs and genes were analysed and used to construct the WGCNA network. Gene ontology (GO) analysis of the differentially expressed genes showed enrichment in cytokine and inflammatory factor secretion, phagocytosis, and trans-Golgi network regulation pathways. Using bioinformatic site prediction and crossover gene search, miR-29b-3p was identified as a regulator of LIN7A expression that may negatively affect fracture healing. Potential miRNA-mRNA interactions in the bone non-union mechanism were explored, and miRNA-29-3p and LIN7A were identified as biomarkers of skeletal non-union. The expression of miRNA-29b-3p and LIN7A was verified in blood samples from patients with fracture non-union using qRT-PCR and ELISA. Overall, this study identified characteristic modules and key genes associated with fracture non-union and provided insight into its molecular mechanisms. Downregulated miRNA-29b-3p was found to downregulate LIN7A protein expression, which may affect the healing process after fracture in patients with bone non-union. These findings may serve as a prognostic biomarker and potential therapeutic target for bone non-union.

Preoperative inflammatory biomarkers reveal renal involvement in postsurgical mortality in hip fracture patients: an exploratory study

Background

Hip fractures in frail patients result in excess mortality not accounted for by age or comorbidities. The mechanisms behind the high risk of mortality remain undetermined but are hypothesized to be related to the inflammatory status of frail patients.

Methods

In a prospective observational exploratory cohort study of hospitalized frail hip fracture patients, 92 inflammatory markers were tested in pre-operative serum samples and markers were tested against 6-month survival post-hip fracture surgery and incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). After correcting for multiple testing, adjustments for comorbidities and demographics were performed on the statistically significant markers.

Results

Of the 92 markers tested, circulating levels of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) and interleukin-15 receptor alpha (IL15RA), both involved in renal disease, were significantly correlated with 6-month mortality (27.5% overall) after correcting for multiple testing. The incidence of postoperative AKI (25.4%) was strongly associated with 6-month mortality, odds ratio = 10.57; 95% CI [2.76-40.51], and with both markers plus estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)- cystatin C (CYSC) but not eGFR-CRE. The effect of these markers on mortality was significantly mediated by their effect on postoperative AKI.

Conclusion

High postoperative mortality in frail hip fracture patients is highly correlated with preoperative biomarkers of renal function in this pilot study. The effect of preoperative circulating levels of FGF-23, IL15RA, and eGFR-CYSC on 6-month mortality is in part mediated by their effect on postoperative AKI. Creatinine-derived preoperative renal function measures were very poorly correlated with postoperative outcomes in this group.

The Quality of Dying in Frail Institutionalized Older Patients After Nonoperative and Operative Management of a Proximal Femoral Fracture: An In-Depth Analysis

Proximal femoral fractures in frail patients have a poor prognosis. Despite the high mortality, little is known about the quality of dying (QoD) while this is an integral part of palliative care and could influence decision making on nonoperative- (NOM) or operative management (OM). To identify the QoD in frail patients with a proximal femoral fracture. Data from the prospective FRAIL-HIP study, that studied the outcomes of NOM and OM in institutionalized older patients ≥70 years with a limited life expectancy who sustained a proximal femoral fracture, was analyzed. This study included patients who died within the 6-month study period and whose proxies evaluated the QoD. The QoD was evaluated with the Quality of Dying and Death (QODD) questionnaire resulting in an overall score and 4 subcategory scores (Symptom control, Preparation, Connectedness, and Transcendence). In total 52 (64% of NOM) and 21 (53% of OM) of the proxies responded to the QODD. The overall QODD score was 6.8 (P25-P75 5.7-7.7) (intermediate), with 34 (47%) of the proxies rating the QODD 'good to almost perfect'. Significant differences in the QODD scores between groups were not noted (NOM; 7.0 (P25-P75 5.7-7.8) vs OM; 6.6 (P25-P75 6.1-7.2), P = .73). Symptom control was the lowest rated subcategory in both groups. The QoD in frail older nursing home patients with a proximal femoral fracture is good and humane. QODD scores after NOM are at least as good as OM. Improving symptom control would further increase the QoD.

Should patients with exceptional longevity be treated for osteoporosis after a hip fracture?

BACKGROUND

There are no studies focusing on treatment for osteoporosis in patients with exceptional longevity after suffering a hip fracture.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the advisability of initiating treatment for osteoporosis after a hip fracture according to the incidence of new fragility fractures after discharge, risk factors for mortality and long-term survival.

DESIGN

Retrospective review.

SETTING

A tertiary university hospital serving a population of ~425 000 inhabitants in Barcelona.

SUBJECTS

All patients >95 years old admitted with a fragility hip fracture between December 2009 and September 2015 who survived admission were analysed until the present time.

METHODS

Pre-fracture ambulation ability and new fragility fractures after discharge were recorded. Risk factors for 1-year and all post-discharge mortality were calculated with multivariate Cox regression. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analyses were performed.

RESULTS

One hundred and seventy-five patients were included. Median survival time was 1.32 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.065-1.834], with a maximum of 9.2 years. Male sex [hazard ratio (HR) 2.488, 95% CI 1.420-4.358] and worse previous ability to ambulate (HR 2.291, 95% CI 1.417-3.703) were predictors of mortality. After discharge and up to death or the present time, 10 (5.7%) patients had a new fragility fracture, half of them during the first 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Few new fragility fractures occurred after discharge and half of these took place in the first 6 months. The decision to start treatment of osteoporosis should be individualised, bearing in mind that women and patients with better previous ambulation ability will have a better chance of survival.

Variation in care and outcome for fragile hip fracture patients: a European multicentre study benchmarking fulfilment of established quality indicators

PURPOSE

Despite the availability of clinical guidelines for hip fracture patients, adherence to these guidelines is challenging, potentially resulting in suboptimal patient care. The goal of this study was (1) to evaluate and benchmark the adherence to recently established quality indicators (QIs), and (2) to study clinical outcomes, in fragile hip fracture patients from different European countries.

METHODS

This observational, cross-sectional multicenter study was performed in 10 hospitals from 9 European countries including data of 298 consecutive patients.

RESULTS

A large variation both within and between hospitals were seen regarding adherence to the individual QIs. QIs with the lowest overall adherence rates were the administration of systemic steroids (5.4%) and tranexamic acid (20.1%). Indicators with the highest adherence rates (above 95%) were pre-operative (99.3%) and post-operative haemoglobin level assessment (100%). The overall median time to surgery was 22.6 h (range 15.7-42.5 h). The median LOS was 9.0 days (range 5.0-19.0 days). The most common complications were delirium (23.2%) and postsurgical constipation (25.2%).

CONCLUSION

The present study shows large variation in the care for fragile patients with hip fractures indicating room for improvement. Therefore, hospitals should invest in benchmarking and knowledge-sharing. Large quality improvement initiatives with longitudinal follow up of both process and outcome indicators should be initiated.

The Clinical Frailty Scale is a Strong Predictor of 1-Year Mortality in Surgically Managed Hip Periprosthetic Fracture: An Analysis From a High-Volume Institution

BACKGROUND

Hip periprosthetic fractures (PPFs) after primary total hip arthroplasty are increasing with the number of primary implants and aging population. Mortality has been reported up to 34% at 1-year. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and 1-year mortality, complication rate, and length of stay (LOS) in surgically managed hip PPFs.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data from January 2008 to January 2021. A total of 282 surgically managed hip PPFs were identified. Mean age was 79 years (range, 42 to 106). Preoperative scores were analyzed through linear regression to identify significant association with mortality, complication and LOS. Receiver operating characteristic curve and Area Under the Curve (AUC) were generated to evaluate the quality of the models and the discriminatory ability of each clinical score. Significance was considered at P values < .05.

RESULTS

Mortality was 7.8% at 3-months and 15.7% at 1-year. Complication rate requiring surgery was 19.5% and mean LOS was 8.9 ± 7 days. The CFS was significantly associated with 3-month (odds ratio 2.23, P < .001) and 1-year mortality (odds ratio 2.01, P < .001). The receiver operating characteristic curve test for 1-year mortality showed a greater AUC for the CFS when compared with American Society for Anesthesiologists score and age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (AUC 0.80 versus 0.68 versus 0.72, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is a syndrome with increased risk of mortality after surgically managed PPF. The CFS can be easily assessed at the time of admission and could be considered as a strong and reliable predictor of 1-year mortality with a greater AUC than the conventionally used American Society for Anesthesiologists score.

Retrospective Analysis of Risk Factors in Geriatric Hip Fracture Patients Predictive of Surgical Intensive Care Unit Admission

INTRODUCTION

Although numerous risk factors and prediction models affecting morbidity and mortality in geriatric hip fracture patients have been previously identified, there are scant published data on predictors for perioperative Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU) admission in this patient population. Determining if a patient will need an SICU admission would not only allow for the appropriate allocation of resources and personnel but also permit targeted clinical management of these patients with the goal of improving morbidity and mortality outcomes. The purpose of this study was to identify specific risk factors predictive of SICU admission in a population of geriatric hip fracture patients. Unlike previous studies which have investigated predominantly demographic, comorbidity, and laboratory data, the present study also considered a frailty index and length of time from injury to presentation in the Emergency Department (ED).

METHODS

A total of 501 geriatric hip fracture patients admitted to a Level 1 trauma center were included in this retrospective, single-center, quantitative study from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2022. Using a logistical regression analysis, more than 25 different variables were included in the regression model to identify values predictive of SICU admission. Predictive models of planned versus unplanned SICU admissions were also estimated. The discriminative ability of variables in the final models to predict SICU admission was assessed with receiver operating characteristic curves' area under the curve estimates.

RESULTS

 Frailty, serum lactate > 2, and presentation to the ED > 12 hours after injury were significant predictors of SICU admission overall (P = 0.03, 0.038, and 0.05 respectively). Additionally, the predictive model for planned SICU admission had no common significant predictors with unplanned SICU admission. Planned SICU admission significant predictors included an Injury Severity Score (ISS) of 15 and greater, a higher total serum protein, serum sodium <135, systolic blood pressure (BP) under 100, increased heart rate on admission to ED, thrombocytopenia (<120), and higher Anesthesia Society Association physical status classification (ASA) score (P = 0.007, 0.04, 0.05, 0.002, 0.041, 0.05, and 0.005 respectively). Each SICU prediction model (overall, planned, and unplanned) demonstrated sufficient discriminative ability with the area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.869, 0.601, and 0.866 respectively. Finally, mean hospital Length of Stay (LOS) and mortality were increased in SICU admissions when compared to non-SICU admissions.

CONCLUSION

Of the three risk factors predictive of SICU admission identified in this study, two have not been extensively studied previously in this patient population. Frailty has been associated with increased mortality and postoperative complications in hip fracture patients, but this is the first study to date to use a novel frailty index specifically designed and validated for use in hip fracture patients. The other risk factor, time from injury to presentation to the ED serves as an indicator for time a hip fracture patient spent without receiving medical attention. This risk factor has not been investigated heavily in the past as a predictor of SICU admissions in this patient population.

Predictors of long-term mortality in older patients with hip fractures managed by hemiarthroplasty: a 10-year study based on a population registry in Saxony, Germany

BACKGROUND

Mortality of patients with a femoral neck fracture is high, especially within the first year after surgery, but also remains elevated thereafter. The aim of this study was to identify factors potentially associated with long-term mortality in patients homogeneously treated with hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was performed at a single level 1 national trauma center at the university hospital of Leipzig (Saxony, Germany). The study time-window was January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020. Primary outcome measure was mortality depending on individual patient-related characteristics and perioperative risk factors. Inclusion criteria was a low-energy femoral neck fracture (Garden I-IV) in geriatric patients 60 years of age or older that were primarily treated with bipolar hemiarthroplasty. Date of death or actual residence of patients alive was obtained from the population register of the eastern German state of Saxony, Germany. The outcome was tested using the log-rank test and plotted using Kaplan-Meier curves. Unadjusted and adjusted for other risk factors such as sex and age, hazard ratios were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models and presented with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

The 458 included patients had a median age of 83 (IQR 77-89) years, 346 (75%) were female and 113 (25%) male patients. Mortality rates after 30 days, 1, 5 and 10 years were 13%, 25%, 60% and 80%, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis revealed age (HR = 1.1; p < 0.001), male gender (HR = 1.6; p < 0.001), ASA-Score 3-4 vs. 1-2 (HR = 1.3; p < 0.001), dementia (HR = 1.9; p < 0.001) and a history of malignancy (HR = 1.6; p = 0.002) as independent predictors for a higher long-term mortality risk. Perioperative factors such as preoperative waiting time, early surgical complications, or experience of the surgeon were not associated with a higher overall mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In the present study based on data from the population registry from Saxony, Germany the 10-year mortality of older patients above 60 years of age managed with hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture was 80%. Independent risk factors for increased long-term mortality were higher patient age, male gender, severe comorbidity, a history of cancer and in particular dementia. Perioperative factors did not affect long-term mortality.

The Impact of Hospital Transfers on Surgical Delay and Associated Postoperative Outcomes for Hip Fracture Patients in Scotland: A Cohort Study

Background/Objectives: Hip fractures exert a substantial burden on hospital systems. Within Scotland 20% of the population resides rurally, warranting investigation of how this impacts prompt access to surgical care. This study aims to determine whether indirect hospital admission via hospital transfer affects the likelihood of surgical management within 36 h for hip fracture patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed. This used Scottish Hip Fracture Audit data including patients aged ≥50 split into two propensity matched groups based on their transfer status. Descriptive analysis compared patient characteristics. Regression assessed achieving surgery within 36 h of admission in the unmatched and matched cohorts. Secondary outcomes included time to surgery, mortality, mobilization, returning to residence and length of stay. A sensitivity analysis was undertaken to assess for residual confounding effects. Results: The unmatched analysis included 20,132 patients. Transfer patients were younger (p = 0.007) and less-comorbid (p < 0.001). In the matched population, 711 (63.6%) transfer patients had surgery with 36 h of presentation to hospital, compared to 852 (75.3%) non-transfer patients. Transfer patients had 43% reduced odds of timely surgery (OR (95% CI) 0.57 (0.48 to 0.69); p < 0.001). No disparities emerged in mortality, mobilisation or returning to residence., Transfer patients experienced a significant increase in length of stay in hospital (median (IQR) 16 (8 to 33) vs. 13 (8 to 30); p = 0.024). Conclusions: Hospital transfer is associated with significantly reduced odds of timely surgery, a longer time to surgery and longer length of stay. Development of structured network pathways that minimize delay to transfer are required to potentially optimize outcomes and reduce associated cost.

Association between inflammation-based prognostic markers and mortality after hip replacement

We aimed to evaluate the association between inflammation-based prognostic markers and mortality after hip replacement. From March 2010 to June 2020, we identified 5,369 consecutive adult patients undergoing hip replacement with C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and complete blood count measured within six months before surgery. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to evaluate predictabilities and estimate thresholds of CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). Patients were divided according to threshold, and mortality risk was compared. The primary outcome was one-year mortality, and overall mortality was also analyzed. One-year mortality was 2.9%. Receiver operating characteristics analysis revealed areas under the curve of 0.838, 0.832, 0.701, and 0.732 for CAR, NLR, PLR, and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, respectively. The estimated thresholds were 2.10, 3.16, and 11.77 for CAR, NLR, and PLR, respectively. According to the estimated threshold, high CAR and NLR were associated with higher one-year mortality after adjustment (1.0% vs. 11.7%; HR = 2.16; 95% CI 1.32-3.52; p = 0.002 for CAR and 0.8% vs. 9.6%; HR = 2.05; 95% CI 1.24-3.39; p = 0.01 for NLR), but PLR did not show a significant mortality increase (1.4% vs. 7.4%; HR = 1.12; 95% CI 0.77-1.63; p = 0.57). Our study demonstrated associations of preoperative levels of CAR and NLR with postoperative mortality in patients undergoing hip replacement. Our findings may be helpful in predicting mortality in patients undergoing hip replacement.

Effect of inflammatory response on joint function after hip fracture in elderly patients: A clinical study

BACKGROUND

Excellent hip joint function facilitates limb recovery and improves the quality of survival. This study aimed to investigate the potential risk factors affecting postoperative joint functional activity and outcomes in elderly hip fractures patients and to provide evidence for patient rehabilitation and clinical management.

AIM

To explore the relationship between inflammatory factors and hip function and the interaction between inflammation and health after hip fracture in elderly patients.

METHODS

The elderly patients who had hip fracture surgery at our hospital between January 1, 2021, and December 31, 2022 were chosen for this retrospective clinical investigation. Patients with excellent and fair postoperative hip function had their clinical information and characteristics gathered and compared. Age, gender, fracture site, surgical technique, laboratory indices, and other variables that could have an impact on postoperative joint function were all included in a univariate study. To further identify independent risk factors affecting postoperative joint function in hip fractures, risk factors that showed statistical significance in the univariate analysis were then included in a multiple logistic regression analysis. In addition to this, we also compared other outcome variables such as visual analogue scale and length of hospital stay between the two groups.

RESULTS

A total of 119 elderly patients with hip fractures were included in this study, of whom 37 were male and 82 were female. The results of univariate logistic regression analysis after excluding the interaction of various factors showed that there was a statistically significant difference in interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, IL-10, C-reactive protein (CRP), and complement C1q (C1q) between the fair and excellent joint function groups (P < 0.05). The results of multiple logistic regression analysis showed that IL-6 > 20 pg/mL [(Odds ratio (OR) 3.070, 95%CI: 1.243-7.579], IL-8 > 21.4 pg/ mL (OR 3.827, 95%CI: 1.498-9.773), CRP > 10 mg/L (OR 2.142, 95%CI: 1.020-4.498) and C1q > 233 mg/L (OR 2.339, 95%CI: 1.094-5.004) were independent risk factors for poor joint function after hip fracture surgery (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

After hip fractures in older patients, inflammatory variables are risk factors for fair joint function; therefore, early intervention to address these markers is essential to enhance joint function and avoid consequences.

Dysphagia is associated with increased mortality risk after hip fracture surgery

PURPOSE

This study aims to explore the prevalence of dysphagia, as well as mortality associated with dysphagia in the elderly population receiving surgical treatment for a hip fracture.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was completed at an academic level 1 tertiary care center. Patients older than or equal to 65 admitted with a hip fracture diagnosis from January 2015 to December 2020 (n = 617) were included. The main outcome was the prevalence of dysphagia and association with mortality. Secondary analysis included timing of dysphagia and contributions to mortality.

RESULTS

Fifty-six percent of patients had dysphagia, and the mortality rates were higher in patients with dysphagia (8.9%) versus those without dysphagia (2.6%), chi-square p = 0.001, and odds ratio 3.69 (CI 1.6-8.5). Mortality rates in patients with acute dysphagia were also higher (12.4%) than those with chronic dysphagia (5%) and chi-squared p = 0.02. Mortality rates in patients with a perioperative dysphagic event (13.9%) were higher than those with non-perioperative dysphagia (4%) and chi-squared p = 0.001. Mortality rates in patients who had acute perioperative dysphagia (21.2%) were higher than those with chronic dysphagia that presented perioperatively (6.8%) and chi-squared p = 0.006.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates high rates of dysphagia in the elderly hip fracture population and a significant association between dysphagia and mortality. Timing and chronicity of dysphagia were relevant, as patients with acute perioperative dysphagia had the highest mortality rate. Unlike other identified risk factors, dysphagia may be at least partially modifiable. More research is needed to determine whether formal evaluation and treatment of dysphagia lowers mortality risk.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of preoperative predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery

Hip fractures are a global health problem with a high postoperative mortality rate. Preoperative predictors for early mortality could be used to optimise and personalise healthcare strategies. This study aimed to identify predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery. Cohort studies examining independent preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery were identified through a systematic search on Scopus and PubMed. Predictors for 30-day mortality were the primary outcome, and predictors for mortality within 1 year were secondary outcomes. Primary outcomes were analysed with random-effects meta-analyses. Confidence in the cumulative evidence was assessed using the GRADE criteria. Secondary outcomes were synthesised narratively. Thirty-three cohort studies involving 462,699 patients were meta-analysed. Five high-quality evidence predictors for 30-day mortality were identified: age per year (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.07), ASA score ≥ 3 (OR: 2.69, 95% CI: 2.12-3.42), male gender (OR: 2.00, 95% CI: 1.85-2.18), institutional residence (OR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.31-2.49), and metastatic cancer (OR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.58-3.10). Additionally, six moderate-quality evidence predictors were identified: chronic renal failure, dementia, diabetes, low haemoglobin, heart failures, and a history of any malignancy. Weak evidence was found for non-metastatic cancer. This review found relevant preoperative predictors which could be used to identify patients who are at high risk of 30-day mortality following hip fracture surgery. For some predictors, the prognostic value could be increased by further subcategorising the conditions by severity.

Risk Factors for 30-Days Mortality After Proximal Femoral Fracture Surgery, a Cohort Study

Purpose

The primary objective of this study was to identify new risk factors and to confirm previously reported risk factors associated with 30-day mortality after hip fracture surgery.

Patients and methods

A prospective hip fracture database was used to obtain data. In total, 3523 patients who underwent hip fracture surgery between 2011 and 2021 were included. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression was used to screen and identify candidate risk factors. Twenty-seven baseline factors and 16 peri-operative factors were included in the univariable analysis and 28 of those factors were included in multivariable analysis.

Results

8.6% of the patients who underwent hip fracture surgery died within 30 days after surgery. Prognostic factors associated with 30-day mortality after hip fracture surgery were as follows: age 90-100 years (OR = 4.7, 95% CI: 1.07-19.98, p = 0.041) and above 100 years (OR = 11.3, 95% CI: 1.28-100.26, p = 0.029), male gender (OR = 2.6, 95% CI: 1.97-3.33, p < 0.001), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) 3 and ASA 4 (OR = 2.1, 95% CI: 1.44-3.14, p < 0.001), medical history of dementia (OR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.25-2.36, p = 0.001), decreased albumin level (OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.92-0.97, p < 0.001), decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR) (OR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.98-0.99, p < 0.001), residential status of nursing home (OR = 2.1, 95% CI: 1.44-2.87, p < 0.001), higher Katz Index of Independence in Activities of Daily Living (KATZ-ADL) score (OR = 1.1, 95% CI: 1.01-1.16, p=0.018) and postoperative pneumonia (OR = 2.4, 95% CI: 1.72-3.38, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

A high mortality rate in patients after acute hip fracture surgery is known. Factors that are associated with an increased mortality are age above 90 years, male gender, ASA 3 and ASA 4, medical history of dementia, decreased albumin, decreased GFR, residential status of nursing home, higher KATZ-ADL score and postoperative pneumonia.

Association between anesthesia technique and death after hip fracture repair for patients with COVID-19

PURPOSE

Patients with COVID-19 undergoing hip fracture surgeries have a 30-day mortality of up to 34%. We aimed to evaluate the association between anesthesia technique and 30-day mortality after hip fracture surgery in patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

After ethics approval, we performed a retrospective cohort analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data set from January to December 2021. Inclusion criteria were age ≥ 19 yr, laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection within 14 days preoperatively, and hip fracture surgery under general anesthesia (GA) or spinal anesthesia (SA). Exclusion criteria were American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status V, ventilator dependence, international normalized ratio ≥ 1.5, partial thromboplastin time > 35 sec, and platelet count < 80 × 109 L-1. The primary outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality. The adjusted association between anesthetic technique and 30-day mortality was analyzed using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 23,045 patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, 331 patients met the study criteria. The median [interquartile range] age was 82 [74-88] yr, and 32.3% were male. The 30-day mortality rate was 10.0% (33/331) for the cohort (10.7%, 29/272 for GA vs 6.8%, 4/59 for SA; P = 0.51; standardized mean difference, 0.138). The use of SA, compared with GA, was not associated with decreased mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.21 to 1.8; E-value, 2.49).

CONCLUSION

Anesthesia technique was not associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19 undergoing hip fracture surgery. The findings were limited by a small sample size.

STUDY REGISTRATION

www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov (NCT05133648); registered 24 November 2021.

Trends of impact factor contributors to the Injury Journal: A bibliometric analysis

PURPOSE

This study aims to analyse papers concerning journal impact factors published in the Injury-International Journal of the Care of the Injured between 1997 and 2022. Through this analysis, the research offers valuable insights into the publication performance and contributors to the journal impact factor, encompassing papers, authors, institutions, and countries.

METHODS

Articles and reviews published in the Injury between 1995 and 2021 were examined using the Science Citation Index Expanded database. The study employed the journal impact factor contributing indicator to compare highly cited and high journal impact factor papers across various aspects, including papers, authors, institutions, and countries.

RESULTS

A notable correlation exists between prolific authors, institutions, and countries, alongside those who contribute to high journal impact factors. However, a less distinct connection was observed between highly cited papers/authors and high journal impact factor contributors. The Injury serves as a well-regarded international journal. Notably, editorial members of the journal play a substantial role, serving as model editors and contributing significantly to the journal's success. Out of the Top 25 IF contributing papers with the CN of 34 or more the following themes were noted to dominate: bone healing/tissue regeneration (40 %) of papers, covid-19 pandemic (24 %), polytrauma/coagulopathy (12 %) and infection (8 %).

CONCLUSIONS

Utilizing the journal impact factor to assess research performance at the individual, institutional, or national levels appears not to be the most appropriate method. The results show that highly cited authors did not hold the distinction of being the primary contributors to the IF. Analysis revealed a low significant relationship among the primary contributors to the IF, highly cited papers, and the most influential papers in 2022. A more effective indicator could involve considering the total number of citations a publication receives from its year of publication up to the end of the most recent year.

Benefits of surgical treatment within 48 h of proximal femoral fracture in centenarians: a retrospective cohort study

Introduction

Proximal femoral fractures in aging populations represent a significant concern, with an increasing prevalence among individuals aged ≥100 years. The existing research does not provide robust guidance for clinicians managing older patients aged ≥100 years with proximal femoral fractures. We investigated the safety and efficacy of surgical treatment in patients aged ≥100 years with proximal femoral fractures and evaluated the impact of early surgery on their outcomes.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study involved 15 patients aged ≥100 years who underwent surgical treatment of proximal femoral fractures; the control group included 137 patients in their 90s. Data were collected between January 2010 and December 2017. Evaluation items included patient characteristics, surgical details, perioperative complication rates, length of hospital stay, the proportion of patients discharged to the same facility or home, rate of regaining walking ability, and 1-year survival rate.

Results

The patients aged ≥100 years and those in their 90s had comparable outcomes. Thus, age alone does not dictate surgical success. Early surgery (≤48 h) was associated with trends toward improved perioperative complications, ambulatory ability, and return to original living environment.

Discussion

This study underscores the potential benefits of surgical intervention for proximal femoral fractures in patients aged ≥100 years, indicating the relevance of early surgery (≤48 h). Our findings emphasized the importance of timely intervention and evidence-based decision-making for this demographic. Clinicians, policymakers, and patients could benefit from our insights to enhance fracture management strategies, along with future research endeavors to validate and expand our results in larger multicenter cohorts.

Surgical intervention may provides better outcomes for hip fracture in nonagenarian patients: A retrospective observational study

Background

Hip fracture is a common disease in the elderly. Among these patients, surgical intervention for hip fracture should be carefully considered because of old age and multiple comorbidities. There are still insufficient comparisons between nonagenarian patients treated with surgery and those treated non-surgically. We studied hip fracture nonagenarian patients to compare the different outcomes between surgical and non-surgical treatments.

Materials and methods

Nonagenarian patients visiting the emergency department with hip fractures between March 2010 and December 2020 were identified. Overall survival was estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. The mortality rates, the length of hospital stay, complication and readmission rates were also recorded.

Results

A total of 173 patients who underwent surgery and 32 who received conservative treatments were included. The median survival time was 58.47 months in the OP group, which was significantly higher than the 24.28 months in the non-OP group. After adjusting for covariates, including age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), injury severity score, and fracture type, the risk of death was reduced by surgery (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.427; 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.207-0.882; p = 0.021). CCI was also an independent risk factor for poor survival rate (HR = 1.3; 95 % CI: 1.115-1.515; p = 0.001). After adjusting for several factors, surgery within 48 h improved overall survival (HR: 2.518; 95 % CI: 1.299-4.879; p = 0.006) in operative group.

Conclusion

Our study suggests that surgical treatment may provide better survival for nonagenarian patients with hip fractures than non-operation, especially patients with less concurrent comorbidities.

For Surgically Treated Geriatric Acetabular Fractures, Longer Duration between Admission and Surgery Is Associated with an Increase in Post-operative Complications: A Study Using the National Trauma Data Bank

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to determine whether time from hospital admission to surgery is associated with inpatient complications and mortality for geriatric patients undergoing surgical treatment of acetabular fractures.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study using the National Trauma Data Bank from 2016 to 2018 of patients presenting to level I through IV trauma centers in the United States. All patients aged 60 years or older with acetabular fractures requiring surgical treatment were included. The main outcome measurements were inpatient mortality and complication rates.

RESULTS

There were 6,036 patients who met inclusion criteria. The median age was 69 years (interquartile range 64-76 years). The odds of a complication increased by 7% for each additional day between hospital admission and surgery (multivariable regression OR 1.07, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.10; P < 0.001). Complications were also associated with patient age (OR 1.05, 95% CI = 1.03 to 1.06; P < 0.001) and mCCI ≥ 5 (OR 2.52, 95% CI = 1.4 to 4.2; P = 0.001). Inpatient mortality was not associated with time to surgery (OR 0.97, 95% CI = 0.92 to 1.02; P = 0.30), but was associated with patient age (OR 1.07, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.10; P < 0.001; P < 0.001) and mCCI ≥ 5 (OR 4.62, 95% CI = 2.31 to 8.50; P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

In this database study, time from hospital admission to surgery was associated with a notable increase in inpatient complications but not inpatient mortality after adjusting for potentially confounding variables while age and mCCI were associated with both mortality and complications. Additional research is needed to determine the relationship between time to surgery with longer term mortality and complications and to assess causality.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III.

Factors associated with postoperative quality of life in patients with intertrochanteric fracture

Introduction

Intertrochanteric fractures, which make up the majority of hip fractures, are a common and serious injury that can greatly impact quality of life. Treatment of such fractures comprises nearly half of the costs contributed to hip fractures. Identifying the factors affecting the functional outcomes of patients after intertrochanteric fracture can help to reduce burden of disease for the patient and healthcare system. The present study investigated the factors underlying the worsening of short form-36 score (SF-36) scores for intertrochanteric fracture patients.

Materials and methods

This retrospective cohort study was designed based on data from our clinic. All consecutive patients with intertrochanteric fractures from November 2016 to September 2020 were reviewed. The exclusion criteria included patients having a second injury or having had previous surgery related to the hip and those with incomplete data. Baseline characteristics of patients were extracted from annotated records. The lab data were acquired from the electronic hospital system. The outcomes were SF-36 scores obtained by phone contact with patients or their families. Statistical analysis was conducted in SPSS.

Results

A total of 310 patients were included in the current study. The female gender, advanced age, history of diabetes, thyroid malfunction, cancer, osteoporosis, anticoagulant use and blood transfusion were identified as risk factors for lower SF-36 scores. Low levels of haemoglobin before surgery, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), BUN/Creatinine, and white blood count values correlated with lower SF-36 scores.

Conclusion

Numerous contextual variables affected the functional outcomes of the patients. Consideration of these factors could be helpful in reducing costs and improving the quality of life for intertrochanteric fracture patients.

Surgical site infection after trochanteric and subtrochanteric fractures: a single centre retrospective analysis

Surgical site infection (SSI) following osteosynthesis of trochanteric or subtrochanteric fractures is a rare but serious complication with incidence rate ranging from 1 to 3%. SSIs are associated with higher mortality and increased length of hospital stay resulting in higher healthcare costs and loss of life quality. In this retrospective analysis all patients with SSI following osteosynthesis of trochanteric or subtrochanteric fractures at the Department of Trauma Surgery were identified. We included all surgical procedures performed from 1992 to 2018, using data from electronic health records and SSI-Trauma-Registry. The aim was to describe epidemiological data, as well as to identify parameters correlating with the occurrence of SSI and mortality. Of 2753 patients, 53 (1.9%) developed SSI. Longer operative time was demonstrated among patients with SSI (P = 0.008). Mortality during the first postoperative year was significantly higher in the SSI group (32.1% vs. 19.1%; P = 0.018), with detection of methicillin-sensitive (MSSA) and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA; HR 4.13, CI 95% 1.24-13.80; P = 0.021) or Enterococcus spp. (HR 5.58, CI 95% 1.67-18.65; P = 0.005) being independent risk factors. Male sex (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.86-2.73; P < 0.001) and higher mean age (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.04-1.06; P < 0.001) were found to be predictors for 1-year mortality in non-infected patients. SSI rate was low with 1.9% and longer duration of surgery was associated with infection. Patients with SSI had a higher 1-year mortality, with detection of MSSA, MRSA and enterococci significantly increasing the risk of dying. Male sex and higher age were risk factors for one-year mortality in patients without SSI.

Impact of vitamin D deficiency on mortality in patients with hip fracture: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Vitamin D deficiency has been linked to numerous health issues, including an increased risk of hip fractures. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the relationship between vitamin D deficiency and mortality in patients with hip fracture. To assess the impact of different levels of vitamin D deficiency on mortality in patients with hip fractures and examine the influence of potential confounding factors.

METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Cochrane Collaboration Library was conducted, resulting in nine eligible cohort studies (n = 4409). Patients with hip fractures were categorized based on their vitamin D levels as severe, moderate, or insufficient. Mortality was the primary outcome measure in this study. Subgroup analyses were performed according to the follow-up time. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model in Review Manager 5.4.

RESULTS

Nine studies, with a pool of 4409 patients, were included. Vitamin D insufficiency was significantly associated with increased mortality (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46; I2  = 4%). Severe deficiency also led to a significant increase in mortality (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.09-3.97; I2  = 42%), whereas moderate deficiency did not show a significant effect (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.79-1.44; I2  = 0%). Subgroup analysis revealed significant associations between vitamin D insufficiency and increased mortality at 1-year (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.06-1.77) and 2-year follow-ups (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.01-3.15). After adjusting for potential confounders, no significant increase in the mortality rate was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis suggests that vitamin D insufficiency and severe deficiency are associated with increased mortality in patients with hip fracture. However, after adjusting for confounding factors, this association was not statistically significant. Further research is necessary to understand the role of vitamin D deficiency in this population.

Strategies for Perioperative Optimization in Upper Extremity Fracture Care

Perioperative optimization in upper extremity fracture care must balance the need for timely treatment with the benefits of medical optimization. Care pathways directed at optimizing glycemic control, chronic anticoagulation, smoking history, nutrition, and frailty can reduce surgical risk in upper extremity fracture care. The development of multidisciplinary approaches that tie risk modification with risk stratification is needed.

Indoor falls and number of previous falls are independent risk factors for long-term mortality after a hip fracture

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures are almost always the result of a fall. Causes and circumstances of falls may differ between frail and vigorous patients.

AIM

To describe the circumstances of falls causing hip fractures, number of falls during the previous year, and their association with long-term mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study is a retrospective review conducted in a tertiary university hospital serving a population of 425,000 inhabitants in Barcelona. All patients admitted with hip fractures with medical records describing the circumstances and number of previous falls were included. The number of falls in the previous 12 months was recorded, including the one causing the fracture. The circumstances of the index fall were dichotomized according to whether it was from the patient's own height or above; day or night; indoors or outdoors, due to intrinsic or extrinsic causes. Cumulative mortality was recorded for almost 5 years after hip fracture.

RESULTS

Indoor falls were strongly associated with shorter survival. Falling more than once in the previous year was also a risk factor for long-term mortality (hazard ratio 1.461, p < 0.001 and hazard ratio 1.035, p = 0.008 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Indoor falls and falling more than once in the previous year are long-term risk factors for mortality after hip fractures. It is always essential to take a careful patient history on admission to determine the number of falls and their circumstances, and special care should be taken to reduce mortality in patients at high risk.

Excess mortality in elderly hip fracture patients: An Indian experience

PURPOSE

Hip fractures in elderly have a high mortality. However, there is limited literature on the excess mortality seen in hip fractures compared to the normal population. The purpose of this study was to compare the mortality of hip fractures with that of age and gender matched Indian population.

METHODS

There are 283 patients with hip fractures aged above 50 years admitted at single centre prospectively enrolled in this study. Patients were followed up for 1 year and the follow-up record was available for 279 patients. Mortality was assessed during the follow-up from chart review and/or by telephonic interview. One-year mortality of Indian population was obtained from public databases. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) (observed mortality divided by expected mortality) was calculated. Kaplan-Meir analysis was used.

RESULTS

The overall 1-year mortality was 19.0% (53/279). Mortality increased with age (p < 0.001) and the highest mortality was seen in those above 80 years (aged 50 - 59 years: 5.0%, aged 60 - 69 years: 19.7%, aged 70 - 79 years: 15.8%, and aged over 80 years: 33.3%). Expected mortality of Indian population of similar age and gender profile was 3.7%, giving a SMR of 5.5. SMR for different age quintiles were: 3.9 (aged 50 - 59 years), 6.6 (aged 60 - 69 years), 2.2 (aged 70 - 79 years); and 2.0 (aged over 80 years). SMR in males and females were 5.7 and 5.3, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Indian patients sustaining hip fractures were about 5 times more likely to die than the general population. Although mortality rates increased with age, the highest excess mortality was seen in relatively younger patients. Hip fracture mortality was even higher than that of myocardial infarction, breast cancer, and cervical cancer.

Clinical data or scoring system for predicting mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: A prospective study

INTRODUCTION

Hip fracture in elderly individuals is frequent and is related to a high rate of mortality. Finding the best predictor of death will help to develop better patient care. Aim - To analyze the reliability of the clinical data and assessment scores to predict mortality in acute hip fracture in elderly patients.

PATIENT AND METHODS

Prospective data were collected from all patients > 65 years with acute hip fracture from May to October 2020. The clinical data collected were age, sex, comorbidities, medication, type of fracture and presence of delirium. The assessment scores were ASA, Lee, ACP and Charlson.

RESULTS

The statistically significant results were age > 80 years (OR 1.121 IC95% [1.028-1.221] p = 0.0101) and number of medications (OR5.991 95% CI [2.422-14.823] p <0.001). Three scores showed a correlation with mortality: ASA score (p = 0.017), Lee score (p = 0.024) and ACP score (p = 0.013). The Charlson Comorbidity Index did not correlate with mortality (p = 0.172).

CONCLUSION

To stratify the risk of death, both clinical data and scores should be used. The best clinical indicators are age and number of medications, and the scores are ASA, Lee and ACP.

Vascular deficits contributing to skeletal fragility in type 1 diabetes

Over 1 million Americans are currently living with T1D and improvements in diabetes management have increased the number of adults with T1D living into later decades of life. This growing population of older adults with diabetes is more susceptible to aging comorbidities, including both vascular disease and osteoporosis. Indeed, adults with T1D have a 2- to 3- fold higher risk of any fracture and up to 7-fold higher risk of hip fracture compared to those without diabetes. Recently, diabetes-related vascular deficits have emerged as potential risks factors for impaired bone blood flow and poor bone health and it has been hypothesized that there is a direct pathophysiologic link between vascular disease and skeletal outcomes in T1D. Indeed, microvascular disease (MVD), one of the most serious consequences of diabetes, has been linked to worse bone microarchitecture in older adults with T1D compared to their counterparts without MVD. The association between the presence of microvascular complications and compromised bone microarchitecture indicates the potential direct deleterious effect of vascular compromise, leading to abnormal skeletal blood flow, altered bone remodeling, and deficits in bone structure. In addition, vascular diabetic complications are characterized by increased vascular calcification, decreased arterial distensibility, and vascular remodeling with increased arterial stiffness and thickness of the vessel walls. These extensive alterations in vascular structure lead to impaired myogenic control and reduced nitric-oxide mediated vasodilation, compromising regulation of blood flow across almost all vascular beds and significantly restricting skeletal muscle blood flow seen in those with T1D. Vascular deficits in T1D may very well extend to bone, compromising skeletal blood flow control, and resulting in reduced blood flow to bone, thus negatively impacting bone health. Indeed, several animal and ex vivo human studies report that diabetes induces microvascular damage within bone are strongly correlated with diabetes disease severity and duration. In this review article, we will discuss the contribution of diabetes-induced vascular deficits to bone density, bone microarchitecture, and bone blood flow regulation, and review the potential contribution of vascular disease to skeletal fragility in T1D.

Operative treatment of periprosthetic fractures of the proximal femur with a contralateral, upside-down LISS plate in elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Increasing expectancy of life and levels of activity in the growing geriatric population lead to a rising number of prosthetic implants of the hip and consequently the incidence of periprosthetic fractures of the femur increase. The fracture pattern and the possible instability of the stem are a challenge to the orthopaedic surgeon. Treatment options are complete replacement of the implant or a solitary osteosynthesis. The goal of this study was to analyse the feasibility of the operative intervention using a contralateral reversed anatomic distal femoral LISS® locking plate and the radiological and functional outcome in a geriatric cohort.

METHODS

We included all patients older than 75 years of age with a Vancouver type B fracture, which have been treated by osteosynthesis using a LISS® (contralateral reversed) plate in our institution in an interdisciplinary ortho-geriatric setting between 7/2013 and 12/2021. Perioperative morbidities, clinical and radiological outcome during follow-up were retrospectively analysed.

RESULTS

During the observed time period, 83 patients (mean age: 88 years (range: 76-103), male/female: 26/57) were treated. Most fractures were Vancouver type B2 (n = 45, 54%) followed by B1 (n = 20, 24%) and B3 (n = 18, 22%). The most prevalent postoperative surgical complication was anaemia (n = 73, 88%) followed by infections (n = 12, 14%, urinary infections, pneumonia) and cardiovascular decompensation (n = 8, 10%). Clinical and radiological follow up 6-8 weeks postoperative was possible for 59 patients (70%). The majority of them did not describe pain (n = 50, 85%) and had a good or excellent radiological outcome. Three cases needed revision surgery due to infection and another three due to non-union, loosening of the stem or an additional fracture. 1-year mortality was 30%.

CONCLUSION

We are convinced that the reversed contralateral LISS-plate is an easy-to-use implant with a small complication rate but a very successful and high healing rate in a geriatric, polymorbid cohort.

Ninety-day mortality of extremely elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery and its association with preoperative cardiac function: a single-center retrospective study

PURPOSE

We investigated the 90-day mortality rate in elderly patients who underwent hip fracture surgery and the association of preoperative cardiac function with mortality.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 133 consecutive patients aged 80 years or older who underwent hip fracture surgery. We obtained information for patient sex, age, comorbidities, medications, anesthesia method, left ventricular systolic and diastolic functions assessed by echocardiography, and preoperative brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed.

RESULTS

The 90-day mortality rate in patients with a mean age of 88.9 years was 7.5% (10/133). More than half of the patients had diastolic dysfunction of the left ventricle. There were no significant differences in preoperative cardiac systolic and diastolic functions between the mortality group and non-mortality group. The preoperative BNP level in the mortality group was significantly higher than that in the non-mortality group (p = 0.038). Preoperative BNP level was not an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality (p = 0.081) in the primary multivariate logistic regression analysis but was an independent risk factor (p = 0.039) with an odds ratio of 1.004 (95% CI 1.000-1.008) in the sensitivity analysis with different explanatory variables.

CONCLUSION

The 90-day mortality rate in patients over 80 years old after hip fracture surgery was 7.5%. There were no significant differences in preoperative cardiac function assessed by echocardiography between the mortality and non-mortality groups. Our results suggest that there is no association or only a weak association of high BNP level with 90-day mortality in this age population.

Sex-specific differences in 30-day outcomes following primary total hip replacement in 86,684 patients

INTRODUCTION

Although differential outcomes based on sex are widespread in medicine and surgery, evaluation of sex-specific differences in the field of orthopaedic surgery in general - and arthroplasty in particular - are lacking. We hypothesised that morbidly obese male and female patients would have differing risks of surgical complications following primary total hip replacement.

METHODS

We reviewed data contained within the American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database from 2015 through 2018, inclusive. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to determine the adjusted odds ratios (OR) of relevant variables on primary and secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 86,684 patients undergoing THR were identified, of whom 9972 patients (4095 male and 5877 female) were morbidly obese. Among morbidly obese patients, odds of surgical site infection were higher in females than males within 30 days of surgery (adjusted OR 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10-1.79; p = 0.007). This comprised the odds of both superficial infection (1.8% vs. 1.1%, adjusted OR 1.67; 95% CI, 1.16-2.40; p = 0.006) and deep infection (1.9% vs. 1.4%, adjusted OR 1.22; 95% CI, 0.88-1.68; p = 0.24). Unexpected return to the operating room (i.e., reoperation) within 30 days of the surgical procedure was also higher among females than males (4.2% vs. 3.1%, adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI, 1.10-1.71, p = 0.005). There were no differences between male and female patients in the non-obese cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with morbid obesity, the risk of surgical site infection and reoperation within the first 30 days is greater in women as compared to men. Future research must address whether this early increased risk among morbidly obese women persists in the longer term, and whether it results in compromised function or quality of life.

Predictive Value of Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment Scores for Mortality in Patients With Hip Fracture: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective To assess the predictive value of three scoring systems, namely the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), and the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS), in predicting mortality among patients with hip fractures. Materials and methods This retrospective cohort study included 628 participants aged 60 years and above who sought treatment at a UK hospital between January 2018 and December 2018. Data on age, gender, mortality, and assessment scores were collected. The area under the curve was calculated for each receiver operator characteristic (ROC). Cross-tabulation was performed to examine the association between various assessment scores and mortality using the chi-square test. Results The mean age was 80.80±11.18 years. Females were 408 (64.97%). Higher CFS (p<0.001) and NHFS (p<0.001) scores were significantly associated with mortality, while the ASA score did not show a significant association (p=0.225). The calculated area under the curve (AUC) values were as follows: 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.76) for CFS, 0.46 (95% CI: 0.39 to 0.53) for NHFS, and 0.41 (95% CI: 0.34 to 0.48) for the ASA score. Utilizing a cut-off of ≥6 for CFS, 57 individuals (98.3%) in the 30-day mortality group were correctly identified. Similarly, the ROC analysis determined a ≥5 cut-off for NHFS accurately predicting 50 patients (86.2%) who deceased within 30 days. Applying an ASA ≥3 cut-off resulted in a predictive mortality rate of 56 (96.6%). The NHFS score demonstrated the highest predictive capability for mortality, with patients scoring ≥5 having a significantly higher risk of mortality compared to those with a score <5. Conclusion This study showed robust correlations between high CFS (≥6) and NHFS (≥5), and mortality within the hip fracture patient cohort.

Prediction of long-term mortality following hip fracture surgery: evaluation of three risk models

INTRODUCTION

Several prognostic models have been developed for mortality in hip fracture patients, but their accuracy for long-term prediction is unclear. This study evaluates the performance of three models assessing 30-day, 1-year and 8-year mortality after hip fracture surgery: the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS), the model developed by Holt et al. and the Hip fracture Estimator of Mortality Amsterdam (HEMA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients admitted with a fractured hip between January 2012 and June 2013 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Relevant variables used by the three models were collected, as were mortality data. Predictive performance was assessed in terms of discrimination with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration with the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Clinical usefulness was evaluated by determining risk groups for each model, comparing differences in mortality using Kaplan-Meier curves, and by assessing positive and negative predictive values.

RESULTS

A total of 344 patients were included for analysis. Observed mortality rates were 6.1% after 30 days, 19.1% after 1 year and 68.6% after 8 years. The NHFS and the model by Holt et al. demonstrated good to excellent discrimination and adequate calibration for both short- and long-term mortality prediction, with similar clinical usefulness measures. The HEMA demonstrated inferior prediction of 30-day and 8-year mortality, with worse discriminative abilities and a significant lack of fit.

CONCLUSIONS

The NHFS and the model by Holt et al. allowed for accurate identification of low- and high-risk patients for both short- and long-term mortality after a fracture of the hip. The HEMA performed poorly. When considering predictive performance and ease of use, the NHFS seems most suitable for implementation in daily clinical practice.

Endovis Nail versus Dynamic Hip Screw for Unstable Pertrochanteric Fractures: A Feasibility Randomised Control Trial including Patients with Cognitive Impairment

A prospective, feasibility, randomised study was performed to compare intramedullary versus extramedullary fixation of unstable pertrochanteric fractures and to assess the feasibility of including patients with dementia. From July 2016 to November 2017, 60 consecutive patients with an unstable pertrochanteric (OTA/AO 31-A2) fracture were randomized to either receive a short cephalomedullary nail (Endovis EBA², Citieffe) or a dynamic hip screw (DHS, Zimmer Biomet). Primary feasibility measures included randomisation, recruitment, and retention rates. Secondary outcomes included peri-operative parameters, patient-reported outcomes and radiographic outcomes. Patients were followed-up at two, four, and twelve weeks. There was no difference in the randomisation rate between patients with and without cognitive impairment. Significantly more patients without cognitive impairment attended the 12-week follow-up. The overall recruitment rate was 0.9 patients per week. Patients treated with the nail had less pain at 2 weeks and less neck collapse, medialisation, and leg shortening at all time points. The rest of secondary outcomes were similar. Patients with dementia can successfully be enrolled in a randomised trial on hip fractures. Patients treated with the Endovis nail had lower levels of pain at two weeks and better radiographic outcomes.

Is new always better: comparison of the femoral neck system and the dynamic hip screw in the treatment of femoral neck fractures

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures in the elderly population are common and the number of patients is rising. For young and geriatric patients with undisplaced fractures osteosynthesis is the primary type of treatment. The dynamic hip screw (DHS) is around for many years and proved its value especially in displaced fractures. Since 2018 the femoral neck system (FNS) is available as an alternative showing promising biomechanical results. The aim of this study is to evaluate clinical results of the FNS and compare it to the DHS.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients older than 18 years with Garden I-IV fractures that were treated with osteosynthesis in a level 1 trauma center were included in the study. Between January 2015 and March 2021, all patients treated with FNS (1-hole plate, DePuy-Synthes, Zuchwil, Switzerland) or DHS (2-hole plate, DePuy-Synthes, Zuchwil, Switzerland) for proximal femur fractures were included in the study. Closed reduction was achieved using a traction table. All operations were carried out by experienced orthopedic trauma surgeons. Primary outcome measures were rate of implant failure (cut out) and surgical complications (hematoma, infection). Secondary outcome measures were Hb-difference, length of hospital stay and mortality.

RESULTS

Overall, 221 patients were included in the study. 113 were treated with FNS, 108 with DHS. Mean age was 69 ± 14 years. There were 17.2% Garden I, 47.5% Garden II, 26.7% Garden III and 8.6% Garden IV fractures. No difference between the groups for age, body mass index (BMI), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), time to surgery, Pauwels and Garden classification, rate of optimal blade position or tip apex distance was found. FNS showed lower pre- to postoperative Hb-difference (1.4 ± 1.1 g/l vs. 2.1 ± 1.4 g/l; p < 0.05), shorter operating time (36.3 ± 11.6 min vs. 54.7 ± 17.4 min; p < 0.05) and hospital stay (8.8 ± 4.3 d vs. 11.2 ± 6.8 d; p < 0.05). Surgical complications (FNS 13.3% vs. DHS 18.4%, p > 0.05), rate of cut out (FNS 12.4% vs. DHS 10.2%, p > 0.05) and mortality (FNS 3.5%; DHS 0.9%; p > 0.05) showed no difference between the groups. Logistic regression showed that poor blade position was the only significant predictor for cut out and increased the risk by factor 7. Implant related infection (n = 3) and hematoma/seroma (n = 6) that needed revision was only seen in DHS group.

CONCLUSION

FNS proved to be as reliable as DHS in all patients with hip fractures. Not the type of implant but blade positioning is still key to prevent implant failure. Still due to minimal invasive approach implant related infections and postoperative hematomas might have been prevented using the FNS.

Geriatric nutritional risk index as the prognostic factor in older patients with fragility hip fractures

This study investigated the long-term survival and incidence of secondary fractures after fragility hip fractures. The 5-year survival rate was 62%, and the mortality risk was seen in patients with GNRI < 92. The 5-year incidence of secondary fracture was 22%, which was significantly higher in patients with a BMI < 20.

BACKGROUND

Malnutrition negatively influences the postoperative survival of patients with fragility hip fractures (FHFs); however, little is known about their association over the long term.

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the ability of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) as a risk factor for long-term mortality after FHFs.

METHODS

This study included 623 Japanese patients with FHFs over the age of 60 years. We prospectively collected data on admission and during hospitalization and assessed the patients' conditions after discharge through a questionnaire. We examined the long-term mortality and the incidence of secondary FHFs and assessed the prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The mean observation period was 4.0 years (range 0-7 years). The average age at the time of admission was 82 years (range 60-101 years). The overall survival after FHFs (1 year, 91%; 5 years, 62%) and the incidence of secondary FHFs were high (1 year, 4%; 5 years, 22%). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed the risk factors for mortality as older age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.04), male sex (HR 1.96), lower GNRI score (HR 0.96), comorbidities (malignancy, HR 2.51; ischemic heart disease, HR 2.24; revised Hasegawa dementia scale ≤ 20, HR 1.64), no use of active vitamin D3 on admission (HR 0.46), and a lower Barthel index (BI) (on admission, HR 1.00; at discharge, HR 0.99). The GNRI scores were divided into four risk categories: major risk (GNRI, < 82), moderate risk (82-91), low risk (92-98), and no risk (> 98). Patients at major and moderate risks of GNRI had a significantly lower overall survival rate (p < 0.001). Lower body mass index (BMI) was also identified as a prognostic factor for secondary FHFs (HR 0.88 [p = 0.004]).

CONCLUSIONS

We showed that older age, male sex, a lower GNRI score, comorbidities, and a lower BI are risk factors for mortality following FHFs. GNRI is a novel and simple predictor of long-term survival after FHFs.

Is There a "Black Friday" for Geriatric Hip Fracture Surgery?

OBJECTIVES

Reports show an increase in the short-term mortality rates of hip fracture patients admitted on weekends. However, there are few studies on whether there is a similar effect in Friday admissions of geriatric hip fracture patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of Friday admission on mortality and clinical outcomes in elderly patients with hip fractures.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed at a single orthopaedic trauma centre and included all patients who underwent hip fracture surgery between January 2018 and December 2021. Patient characteristics, including age, sex, BMI, fracture type, time of admission, ASA grade, comorbidities, and laboratory examinations, were collected. Data pertaining to surgery and hospitalization were extracted from the electronic medical record system and tabulated. The corresponding follow-up was performed. The Shapiro-Wilk test was applied to evaluate the distributions of all continuous variables for normality. The overall data were analyzed by Student's t test or the Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables and the chi-square test for categorical variables, as appropriate. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to further test for the independent influencing factors of prolonged time to surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 596 patients were included, and 83 patients (13.9%) were admitted on Friday. There was no evidence supporting that Friday admission had an effect on mortality and outcomes, including length of stay, total hospital costs and postoperative complications. However, the patients admitted on Friday had delayed surgery. Then, patients were regrouped into two groups according to whether surgery was delayed, and 317 patients (53.2%) underwent delayed surgery. The multivariate analysis showed that younger age (p = 0.014), Friday admission (p < 0.001), ASA classification III-IV (p = 0.019), femoral neck fracture (p = 0.002), time from injury to admission more than 24 h (p = 0.025), and diabetes (p = 0.023) were risk factors for delayed surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality and adverse outcome rates for elderly hip fracture patients admitted on Friday were similar to those admitted at other time periods. However, Friday admission was identified as one of the risk factors for delayed surgery.

Factors Associated with Readmission within 30 Days after Discharge and In-Hospital Mortality after Proximal Femoral Fracture Surgery in the Elderly: Retrospective Cohort

Objective  To evaluate the factors associated with readmission within 30 days after discharge (R30) and in-hospital mortality (IHM) in elderly patients undergoing proximal femur fracture surgery (PFF). Methods  Retrospective cohort with data from 896 medical records of elderly (≥ 60 years) patients submitted to PFF surgery in a Brazilian hospital between November 2014 and December, 2019. The patients included were followed-up from the date of hospitalization for surgery up to 30 days after discharge. As independent variables, we evaluated gender, age, marital status, pre- and postoperative hemoglobin (Hb), international normalized ratio, time of hospitalization related to the surgery, door-surgery time, comorbidities, previous surgeries, use of medications, and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score. Results The incidence of R30 was 10.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.3-12.3%), and the incidence of IHM was 5.7% (95%CI: 4.3-7.4%). Regarding R30, hypertension (odds ratio [OR]: 1.71; 95%CI: 1.03-2.96), and regular use of psychotropic drugs (OR: 1.74; 95%CI: 1.12-2.72) were associated in the adjusted model. In the case of IHM, higher chances were associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) (OR: 5.80; 95%CI: 2.64-12.31), longer hospitalization time (OR: 1.06; 95%CI: 1.01-1.10), and R30 (OR: 3.60; 95%CI: 1.54-7.96). Higher preoperative Hb values were associated with a lower chance of mortality (OR: 0.73; 95%CI: 0.61-0.87). Conclusion Findings suggest that the occurrence of these outcomes is associated with comorbidities, medications, and Hb.

Urinary and double incontinence in older women with hip fracture - risk of death and predictors of incident symptoms among survivors in a 1-year prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association of urinary incontinence (UI) and double incontinence (DI, concurrent UI and fecal incontinence) with one-year mortality among older female hip fracture patients and to identify predictors of incident UI and DI.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study SETTING AND SUBJECTS: 1,468 female patients aged ≥ 65 treated for their first hip fracture during the period 2007-2019 METHODS: Continence status was elicited at baseline and one-year post-fracture. Age- and multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards and multinomial logistic regression models were used to determine the associations of incontinence with one-year mortality and to examine the associations of baseline predictors with incident UI and DI respectively.

RESULTS

Of the women with no incontinence, UI and DI, 78 (13%), 159 (23%) and 60 (34%), died during follow-up. UI (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.31-2.26) and DI (HR 2.61, 95% CI 1.86-3.66) were associated with mortality after adjusting for age. These associations lost their predictive power in multivariable analysis while age over 90, living in an institution, impaired mobility, poor nutrition, polypharmacy, and late removal of urinary catheter remained associated with mortality. Of continent women, 128 (21%) developed UI and 23 (4%) DI during follow-up. In multivariable analysis, impaired mobility was associated with incident UI (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.48-4.44) and DI (OR 4.82, 95% CI 1.70-13.7), as well as living in an institution (OR 3.44, 95% CI 1.56-7.61 and OR 3.90, 95% CI 1.17-13.0).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Underlying vulnerability likely explains differences in mortality between continence groups and development of incident UI and DI.

Biomarkers as predictors of inpatient mortality in fractured neck of femur patients

INTRODUCTION

Hip fractures are common and it is estimated to cost the National Health Service (NHS) around £2 billion/year. The majority of these patients are elderly and they require careful perioperative management as morbidity and mortality are high. This study aims to look at routinely gathered biomarker data and baseline demographics to evaluate if they may be used to predict inpatient mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study included 2158 patients from a single Centre over a 5-year period.

INCLUSION CRITERIA

age>60, confirmed fractured neck of femur on radiological imaging.

EXCLUSION CRITERIA

pathological fractures, patients treated non-operatively, missing data. Univariate followed by multivariate analysis was conducted to identify the independent predictors of inpatient mortality.

RESULTS

The variables found to be independent predictors of inpatient mortality were: age > 85, sex (male), albumin < 35, lymphocytes < 1, American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) grade > 3. For the final derived multivariate logistic regression model, a receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed to assess the ability of the included variables to predict inpatient mortality. The area under the curve was 0.794 which together with sensitivity of 63.2% and a specificity of 79.1% at a cut value of 0.1.

CONCLUSION

This paper supports research previously conducted in this field, showing the prognostic value of both biomarker (albumin and lymphocytes), and non-biomarker data (ASA grade, age and gender) in predicting mortality in patients who have sustained a hip fracture.

Days Alive and Out of Hospital at 15 Days after Hip Replacement May Be Associated with Long-Term Mortality: Observational Cohort Study

We aimed to evaluate the association between days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) and mortality at 15 days after a hip replacement. From March 2010 to June 2020, we identified 5369 consecutive adult patients undergoing hip replacements and estimated DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery. After excluding 13 patients who died within 15 days after surgery, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were then generated to evaluate predictabilities for each follow-up period. We compared the mortality risk according to the estimated thresholds of DAOH at 15 days after hip replacement. ROC analysis revealed areas under the curve of 0.862, 0.877, 0.906, and 0.922 for DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery, respectively. The estimated threshold of DAOH during the 15 postoperative days was 6.5. Patients were divided according to this threshold, and propensity score matching was conducted. In a propensity score-matched population with 864 patients in each group, the risk of mortality increased in patients with a lower DAOH 15 (2.8% vs. 8.1%; hazard ratio [HR] = 3.96; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.24–6.99; p < 0.001 for one-year mortality, 5.2% vs. 13.0%; HR = 3.82; 95% CI: 2.33–6.28; p < 0.001 for three-year mortality, and 5.9% vs. 15.6%; HR = 3.07; 95% CI: 2.04–4.61; p < 0.001 for five-year mortality). In patients undergoing a hip replacement, DAOH at 15 days after surgery was shown to be associated with increased mortality. DAOH at 15 days may be used as a valid outcome measure for hip replacement.

Correlation between C-reactive protein and postoperative mortality in patients undergoing hip fracture surgery: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is a common but devastating disease with a high mortality rate in the older adult population. C-reactive protein (CRP) is a predictor of the prognosis in many diseases, but its correlations with patient outcomes following hip fracture surgery remain unclear. In this meta-analysis, we investigated the correlation between perioperative CRP level and postoperative mortality in patients undergoing hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched for relevant studies published before September 2022. Observational studies investigating the correlation between perioperative CRP level and postoperative mortality in patients with hip fracture were included. The differences in CRP levels between the survivors and nonsurvivors following hip fracture surgery were measured with mean differences (MDs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Fourteen prospective and retrospective cohort studies comprising 3986 patients with hip fracture were included in the meta-analysis. Both the preoperative and postoperative CRP levels were significantly higher in the death group than in the survival group when the follow-up duration was ≥ 6 months (MD: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.37-0.98, P < 0.0001; MD: 1.26, 95% CI: 0.87-1.65, P < 0.00001, respectively). Preoperative CRP levels were significantly higher in the death group than in the survival group when the follow-up duration was ≤ 30 days (MD: 1.49, 95% CI: 0.29-2.68; P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Both higher preoperative and postoperative CRP levels were correlated with higher risk of mortality following hip fracture surgery, suggesting the prognostic role of CRP. Further studies are warranted to confirm the ability of CRP to predict postoperative mortality in patients with hip fracture.

The Geriatrics at Risk Score (GeRi-Score) for mortality prediction in geriatric patients with proximal femur fracture - a development and validation study from the Registry for Geriatric Trauma (ATR-DGU)

This study developed an easy-to-use mortality prediction tool, which showed an acceptable discrimination and no significant lack of fit. The GeRi-Score was able to predict mortality and could distinguish between mild, moderate and high risk groups. Therefore, the GeRi-Score might have the potential to distribute the intensity of medical care.

PURPOSE

Several mortality-predicting tools for hip fracture patients are available, but all consist of a high number of variables, require a time-consuming evaluation and/or are difficult to calculate. The aim of this study was to develop and validate an easy-to-use score, which depends mostly on routine data.

METHODS

Patients from the Registry for Geriatric Trauma were divided into a development and a validation group. Logistic regression models were used to build a model for in-house mortality and to obtain a score. Candidate models were compared using Akaike information criteria (AIC) and likelihood ratio tests. The quality of the model was tested using the area under the curve (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

RESULTS

38,570 patients were included, almost equal distributed to the development and to the validation dataset. The AUC was 0.727 (95% CI 0.711 - 0.742) for the final model, AIC resulted in a significant reduction in deviance compared to the basic model, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed no significant lack of fit (p = 0.07). The GeRi-Score predicted an in-house mortality of 5.3% vs. 5.3% observed mortality in the development dataset and 5.4% vs. 5.7% in the validation dataset. The GeRi-Score was able to distinguish between mild, moderate and high risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The GeRi-Score is an easy-to-use mortality-predicting tool with an acceptable discrimination and no significant lack of fit. The GeRi-Score might have the potential to distribute the intensity of perioperative medical care in hip fracture surgery and can be used in quality management programs as benchmark tool.

The prediction of early mortality following hip fracture surgery in patients aged 90 years and older: the Almelo Hip Fracture Score 90 (AHFS90)

The AHFS⁹⁰ was developed for the prediction of early mortality in patients ≥ 90 years undergoing hip fracture surgery. The AHFS⁹⁰ has a good accuracy and in most risk categories a good calibration. In our study population, the AHFS⁹⁰ yielded a maximum prediction of early mortality of 64.5%.

PURPOSE

Identifying hip fracture patients with a high risk of early mortality after surgery could help make treatment decisions and information about the prognosis. This study aims to develop and validate a risk score for predicting early mortality in patients ≥ 90 years undergoing hip fracture surgery (AHFS⁹⁰).

METHODS

Patients ≥ 90 years, surgically treated for a hip fracture, were included. A selection of possible predictors for mortality was made. Missing data were subjected to multiple imputations using chained equations. Logistic regression was performed to develop the AHFS⁹⁰, which was internally and externally validated. Calibration was assessed using a calibration plot and comparing observed and predicted risks.

RESULTS

One hundred and two of the 922 patients (11.1%) died ≤ 30 days following hip fracture surgery. The AHFS⁹⁰ includes age, gender, dementia, living in a nursing home, ASA score, and hemoglobin level as predictors for early mortality. The AHFS⁹⁰ had good accuracy (area under the curve 0.72 for geographic cross validation). Predicted risks correspond with observed risks of early mortality in four risk categories. In two risk categories, the AHFS⁹⁰ overestimates the risk. In one risk category, no mortality was observed; therefore, no analysis was possible. The AHFS⁹⁰ had a maximal prediction of early mortality of 64.5% in this study population.

CONCLUSION

The AHFS⁹⁰ accurately predicts early mortality after hip fracture surgery in patients ≥ 90 years of age. Predicted risks correspond to observed risks in most risk categories. In our study population, the AHFS⁹⁰ yielded a maximum prediction of early mortality of 64.5%.

Factors predictive of functional outcomes and quality of life in patients with fragility hip fracture: A retrospective cohort study

To determine the predictors of functional outcomes and quality of life (QoL) of patients who were surgically treated for fragility hip fracture. This was a retrospective cohort study performed in the 3 tertiary rehabilitation facilities. A total of 165 patients who had undergone surgery for fragility hip fracture were followed up to 6 months postoperatively. The factors expected to be related to the functional outcomes and QoL at 6 months post-surgery were as follows: baseline demographics, fracture site, operation type, fall characteristics including fall location and fall direction, comorbidities, and initial functional status. The following were comorbidities: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dementia, cerebrovascular accident, and osteoporosis. Functional outcome and QoL measures were represented using the Koval grade, functional ambulatory category (FAC), Berg balance scale, 4-m walking speed test, the Korean version of Mini-Mental State Examination, EuroQol 5-dimension (EQ-5D) questionnaire, the Korean version of Modified Barthel Index, and the Korean version of instrumental activities of daily living (K-IADL). For all tests, each patient was assessed immediately after transfer and at 6 months post-surgery. Multivariable regression analyses adjusting for factors mentioned above were as follows. Old age led to a significantly less favorable outcome on FAC and K-IADL at 6 months. Intertrochanteric fracture had a significantly positive impact on Koval at 6 months compared to femur neck and intertrochanteric fractures. Total hip replacement arthroplasty and bipolar hemiarthroplasty had a significantly positive impact on EQ-5D and FAC at 6 months respectively compared to other operation types. Fall characteristics didn't reveal any significant impact on functional outcomes and QoL. Patients with hypertension and diabetes mellitus had a significantly negative outcome on EQ-5D and K-IADL respectively. Among initial assessments of function and QoL, initial 4-m walking speed test, Korean version of Mini-Mental State Examination, K-IADL, and Korean version of Modified Barthel Index were independent predictors of function and QoL at 6 months. This study confirmed that age, fracture site, operation type, comorbidities, and initial physical and cognitive function significantly influenced recovery of function and QoL at 6 months in patients with fragility hip fractures.

Impact of postoperative intravenous iron therapy on postoperative infections in older patients with severe anaemia after hip fracture surgery

BACKGROUND

Anaemia is common following hip fracture in ortho-geriatric patients and is associated with postoperative infections.. This study investigated whether intravenous iron supplements reduced the rate of postoperative infections within 30 days postoperatively in older adults after hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

This observational study included 198 ortho-geriatric patients July 2018-May 2020. In May 2019 a local guideline was implemented and recommended II therapy on the 3^rd postoperative day if haemoglobin concentration was < 6.5 mmol/L after hip fracture surgery.

RESULTS

The patients were divided into four treatment groups: blood transfusion (n = 44), IV iron (n = 69), blood transfusion + IV iron (n = 35) and no treatment (n = 50). The number of patients who had an infection within 30 days was similar in the two time periods (38.8% before vs. 38.9% after systematic I.V. iron supplementation, P = 1.00) and no significant difference according to risk of infection was found between treatment groups.

CONCLUSION

This study documents no effect of intravenous iron supplements on postoperative infections in older adults after hip fracture surgery.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study was registered with the Danish Data Protection Authority (2008-58-0028) the 2^th of September 2019.

Intercontinental validation of a clinical prediction model for predicting 90-day and 2-year mortality in an Israeli cohort of 2033 patients with a femoral neck fracture aged 65 or above

PURPOSE

Mortality prediction in elderly femoral neck fracture patients is valuable in treatment decision-making. A previously developed and internally validated clinical prediction model shows promise in identifying patients at risk of 90-day and 2-year mortality. Validation in an independent cohort is required to assess the generalizability; especially in geographically distinct regions. Therefore we questioned, is the SORG Orthopaedic Research Group (SORG) femoral neck fracture mortality algorithm externally valid in an Israeli cohort to predict 90-day and 2-year mortality?

METHODS

We previously developed a prediction model in 2022 for estimating the risk of mortality in femoral neck fracture patients using a multicenter institutional cohort of 2,478 patients from the USA. The model included the following input variables that are available on clinical admission: age, male gender, creatinine level, absolute neutrophil, hemoglobin level, international normalized ratio (INR), congestive heart failure (CHF), displaced fracture, hemiplegia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), history of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) and beta-blocker use. To assess the generalizability, we used an intercontinental institutional cohort from the Sheba Medical Center in Israel (level I trauma center), queried between June 2008 and February 2022. Generalizability of the model was assessed using discrimination, calibration, Brier score, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The validation cohort included 2,033 patients, aged 65 years or above, that underwent femoral neck fracture surgery. Most patients were female 64.8% (n = 1317), the median age was 81 years (interquartile range = 75-86), and 80.4% (n = 1635) patients sustained a displaced fracture (Garden III/IV). The 90-day mortality was 9.4% (n = 190) and 2-year mortality was 30.0% (n = 610). Despite numerous baseline differences, the model performed acceptably to the validation cohort on discrimination (c-statistic 0.67 for 90-day, 0.67 for 2-year), calibration, Brier score, and decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The previously developed SORG femoral neck fracture mortality algorithm demonstrated good performance in an independent intercontinental population. Current iteration should not be relied on for patient care, though suggesting potential utility in assessing patients at low risk for 90-day or 2-year mortality. Further studies should evaluate this tool in a prospective setting and evaluate its feasibility and efficacy in clinical practice. The algorithm can be freely accessed: https://sorg-apps.shinyapps.io/hipfracturemortality/ .

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, Prognostic study.

A machine learning-based prediction model for in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with hip fracture: An internal and external validated study

INTRODUCTION

Few studies have investigated the in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with hip fracture. This study aimed to develop and validate a model to estimate the risk of in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with hip fracture.

METHODS

For this study, data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) Database and electronic Intensive Care Unit (eICU) Collaborative Research Database were evaluated. Enrolled patients (n=391) in the MIMIC-III database were divided into a training (2/3, n=260) and a validation (1/3, n=131) group at random. Using machine learning algorithms such as random forest, gradient boosting machine, decision tree, and eXGBoosting machine approach, the training group was utilized to train and optimize models. The validation group was used to internally validate models and the optimal model could be obtained in terms of discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUROC) and calibration (calibration curve). External validation was done in the eICU Collaborative Research Database (n=165). To encourage practical use of the model, a web-based calculator was developed according to the eXGBoosting machine approach.

RESULTS

The in-hospital death rate was 13.81% (54/391) in the MIMIC-III database and 10.91% (18/165) in the eICU Collaborative Research Database. Age, gender, anemia, mechanical ventilation, cardiac arrest, and chronic airway obstruction were the six model parameters which were identified using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method combined with 10-fold cross-validation. The model established using the eXGBoosting machine approach showed the highest area under curve (AUC) value (0.797, 95% CI: 0.696-0.898) and the best calibrating ability, with a calibration slope of 0.999 and intercept of -0.019. External validation also revealed favorable discrimination (AUC: 0.715, 95% CI: 0.566-0.864; accuracy: 0.788) and calibration (calibration slope: 0.805) in the eICU Collaborative Research Database. The web-based calculator could be available at https://doctorwangsj-webcalculator-main-yw69yd.streamlitapp.com/.

CONCLUSION

The model has the potential to be a pragmatic risk prediction tool that is able to identify hip fracture patients who are at a high risk of in-hospital mortality in ICU settings, guide patient risk counseling, and simplify prognosis bench-marking by controlling for baseline risk.