GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Therapy With and Without SGLT2 Inhibitors in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

Safety, efficacy, and cardiovascular benefits of combination therapy with SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients with diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

The potential benefits and risks of combination therapy with sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) versus monotherapy remain a subject of debate to optimize metabolic and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. This study aims to systematically review and meta-analyze the available evidence from randomized controlled trials.

METHODS

A comprehensive search identified relevant randomized controlled trials comparing combination therapy with SGLT-2i and GLP-1RA to monotherapy or treatment as usual (TAU). The main outcome was the incidence of hospitalization for heart failure. Other outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, stroke, and myocardial infarction), changes in metabolic parameters, and adverse events. Random-effects meta-analysis estimated risk ratios (RRs), mean difference (MD), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We assessed the risk of bias in included studies using the Cochrane ROB 2.0 tool.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included 10 randomized controlled trials with 42,651 participants, of which 2,820 were on combination therapy and the rest on SGLT-2i (37.1%), GLP-1RA (20.1%) monotherapies or TAU (42.8%). Combination therapy had a lower risk of hospitalization for heart failure versus GLP-1RA monotherapy (RR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.22; 0.65), SGLT-2i monotherapy (RR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.19; 0.75), and TAU (RR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.24; 0.75), respectively. Combination therapy also had a significantly lower risk of MACE versus TAU (RR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.61; 0.88). Combination therapy showed greater weight loss and hemoglobin A1c reduction versus SGLT-2i monotherapy (MD = -2.20, 95% CI -3.09; -1.31 and MD = -0.74, 95% CI -1.21; -0.27), respectively, while no difference was noted versus GLP-1RA monotherapy. The incidence of nausea and diarrhea was higher with combination therapy versus SGLT-2i monotherapy (MD = 3.34, 95% CI 1.74; 6.43 and MD = 1.75, 95% CI 1.10; 2.77), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Combination therapy with SGLT-2i and GLP-1RA may provide superior cardiovascular, weight, and Hemoglobin A1c outcomes versus monotherapy despite higher gastrointestinal adverse events. These results may impact the management of patients with metabolic and cardiovascular diseases and highlight the need for further research on combination therapy to optimize outcomes.

Glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists for people with chronic kidney disease and diabetes

BACKGROUND

Approximately 40% of people with diabetes develop kidney failure and experience an accelerated risk of cardiovascular complications. Glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists are glucose-lowering agents that manage glucose and weight control.

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the benefits and harms of GLP-1 receptor agonists in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diabetes.

SEARCH METHODS

The Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies was searched to 10 September 2024 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) Search Portal, and ClinicalTrials.gov.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised controlled studies were eligible if participants with diabetes and CKD were randomly allocated to a GLP-1 receptor agonist, placebo, standard care or a second glucose-lowering agent. CKD included all stages (from 1 to 5).

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Three authors independently extracted data and assessed the risk of bias using the risk of bias assessment tool 2. Pooled analyses using summary estimates of effects were obtained using a random-effects model, and results were expressed as risk ratios (RR) and/or hazard ratio (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) for dichotomous outcomes and mean difference (MD) and 95% CI for continuous outcomes. The primary outcomes included death (all-cause and cardiovascular), 3- and 4-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), kidney failure, composite kidney outcome, and severe hypoglycaemia. The secondary outcomes included non-fatal or fatal myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, non-fatal peripheral arterial events, heart failure, hospitalisation due to heart failure, estimated glomerular filtration rate or creatinine clearance, doubling of serum creatinine, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, albuminuria progression, vascular access outcomes, body weight, body mass index, fatigue, life participation, peritoneal dialysis infection, peritoneal dialysis failure, adverse events, serious adverse events, withdrawal due to adverse events, HbA1c, sudden death, acute MI, ischaemic stroke, and coronary revascularisation. Confidence in the evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach.

MAIN RESULTS

Forty-two studies involving 48,148 participants were included. All studies were conducted on people with type 2 diabetes, and no studies were carried out on children. The median study age was 66 years. The median study follow-up was 26 weeks. Six studies were conducted in people with CKD stages 1-2, 11 studies in people with CKD stages 3-5, one study in people on dialysis, and the remaining studies included people with both CKD stages 1-2 and 3-5. Risks of bias in the included studies for all the primary outcomes in studies that compared GLP-1 receptor agonists to placebo were low in most methodological domains, except one study that was assessed at high risk of bias due to missing outcome data for death (all-cause and cardiovascular). The overall risk of bias for all-cause and cardiovascular death in studies that reported the treatment effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists compared to standard care, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors or sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors were assessed as unclear or at high risk of bias due to deviations from intended interventions or missing data. For GLP-1 receptor agonists compared to insulin or another GLP-1 receptor agonist, the risk of bias for all-cause and cardiovascular death was low or unclear. Compared to placebo, GLP-1 receptor agonists probably reduced the risk of all-cause death (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.98; I2 = 23%; 8 studies, 17,861 participants; moderate-certainty evidence), but may have little or no effect on cardiovascular death (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.05; I2 = 42%; 7 studies, 17,801 participants; low-certainty evidence). Compared to placebo, GLP-1 receptor agonists probably decreased 3-point MACE (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.98; I² = 65%; 4 studies, 19,825 participants; moderate-certainty evidence), and 4-point MACE compared to placebo (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.89; 1 study, 2,158 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). Based on absolute risks of clinical outcomes, it is likely that GLP-1 receptor agonists prevent all-cause death in 52 people with CKD stages 1-2 and 116 in CKD stages 3-5, cardiovascular death in 34 people with CKD stages 1-2 and 71 in CKD stages 3-5, while 95 CKD stages 1-2 and 153 in CKD stages 3-5 might experience a major cardiovascular event for every 1000 people treated over 1 year. Compared to placebo, GLP-1 receptor agonists probably had little or no effect on kidney failure, defined as starting dialysis or kidney transplant (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.13; I2 = 0%; 3 studies, 4,134 participants; moderate-certainty evidence), or on composite kidney outcomes (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.02; I2 = 0%; 2 studies, 16,849 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). Compared to placebo, GLP-1 receptor agonists may have little or no effect on the risk of severe hypoglycaemia (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.25; I2 = 44%; 4 studies, 6,292 participants; low-certainty evidence). The effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists compared to standard care or other hypoglycaemic agents were uncertain. No studies evaluated treatment on risks of fatigue, life participation, amputation or fracture.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

GLP-1 receptor agonists probably reduced all-cause death but may have little or no effect on cardiovascular death in people with CKD and diabetes. GLP-1 receptor agonists probably lower major cardiovascular events, probably have little or no effect on kidney failure and composite kidney outcomes, and may have little or no effect on the risk of severe hypoglycaemia in people with CKD and diabetes.

Quantitative Comparison of Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists on Weight Loss in Adults: A Systematic Review and Model-Based Meta-Analysis

The objective of this study is to quantitatively compare the weight loss effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) in adult patients with no diabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D). PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and Embase have been used as data sources from database inception to January 6, 2024. A total of 137 trials, encompassing 310 treatment arms, 17 GLP-1RAs, and 56,683 patients, were included in the analysis. The included trials were divided into three groups based on the characteristics of the populations: nondiabetic overweight or obesity group (NDOOG), type 2 diabetes Caucasian group (T2DCG), and type 2 diabetes Asian group (T2DAG). The effects of covariates were further evaluated, patients with a higher baseline body weight tend to have better weight loss outcomes, and patients with a higher baseline glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) tend to achieve better blood sugar control. Five mathematical models were subjected to longitudinal analysis. In terms of Δ body weight, retatrutide (12 mg qw) was the most effective treatment (mean difference = -26.56% [95% confidence interval: -43.89% to -3.01%]). Tirzepatide (15 mg qw) demonstrated good weight loss ability in all three ΔBW models, ΔBW-NDOOG (-22.76% [-26.45% to -18.50%]), ΔBW-T2DCG (-11.09% [-12.39% to -9.44%])), and ΔBW-T2DAG (-4.97% [-5.84% to -4.12%]). In the aspect of ΔHbA1c, tirzepatide (10 mg qw) and oral orforglipron (10 mg qd) were the most effective drug, respectively. GLP-1RAs demonstrated effective weight management in both nondiabetic and T2D populations. Retatrutide achieved the most pronounced weight reduction, followed by tirzepatide. GLP-1RAs also significantly improved glycemic control for patients with T2D, with tirzepatide performing the best for glycemic control.

Early combination therapy with SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA or dual GIP/GLP-1 RA in type 2 diabetes

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-Like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) are recommended in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) for glycaemic control and for people with high cardiovascular risk. However, current guidelines do not specifically address the role of initial early combination therapy with SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA or dual gastric inhibitory polypeptide (GIP)/GLP-1 RA, but rather sequential initiation with either in T2D. This review synthesizes the available evidence on the use of SGLT2i and GLP-1-based therapies for T2D and provides a rationale for their combination. The combination of SGLT2i with GLP-1-based therapies addresses complementary pathophysiological mechanisms and enhances efficacy in achieving target haemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) levels. SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA also have been shown to prevent complications of T2D. While both classes reduce adverse cardiorenal events, SGLT2i has a predominant effect on prevention of kidney dysfunction and heart failure, whereas GLP-1 RA has a more marked effect on the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Both drug classes have favourable safety profiles. Finally, weight loss with combination therapy may have disease-modifying effects that may reverse T2D progression. We propose that the combination of SGLT2i with GLP-1 RA or dual GIP/GLP-1 RA should be considered for most patients with T2D who do not have contraindications.

Cardiovascular and renal effects of the combination therapy of a GLP-1 receptor agonist and an SGLT2 inhibitor in observational real-life studies

BACKGROUND

Combining a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) and an sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) improved cardiovascular (and renal) prognosis compared to either monotherapy in several post-hoc exploratory analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) versus placebo carried out in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and high cardiovascular/renal risk. The aim of the present work is to verify if such a benefit of the combined therapy is also present in real-life clinical practice.

METHODS

An extended search of the literature was performed to select observational retrospective studies that compared cardiovascular and/or renal outcomes in patients with T2DM treated with a GLP-1RA/SGLT2i combination versus patients treated with either GLP-1RA monotherapy or SGLT2i monotherapy, in addition to standard of care therapy.

RESULTS

Nine observational studies showed that a GLP-1RA/SGLT2i combination is associated with a greater reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), hospitalization for heart failure and all-cause-mortality when compared to either GLP-1RA alone or SGLT2i alone, without obvious differences between the two monotherapies, including regarding heart failure. Results were obtained in different populations, including patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and/or heart failure. Only three observational studies gave information on renal outcomes, with a greater benefit when the GLP-1RA/SGLT2i combination was compared with GLP-1RA alone or SGLT2i alone.

CONCLUSION

In real-life conditions, the GLP-1RA/SGLT2i combination reduced cardiovascular and renal outcomes compared with both GLP-1RA monotherapy and SGLT2i monotherapy. Overall, observational studies confirm the results reported in post-hoc exploratory analyses of RCTs versus placebo.

Glycaemic control is still central in the hierarchy of priorities in type 2 diabetes management

A panel of primary care and diabetes specialists conducted focused literature searches on the current role of glycaemic control in the management of type 2 diabetes and revisited the evolution of evidence supporting the importance of early and intensive blood glucose control as a central strategy to reduce the risk of adverse long-term outcomes. The optimal approach to type 2 diabetes management has evolved over time as the evidence base has expanded from data from trials that established the role of optimising glycaemic control to recent data from cardiovascular outcomes trials (CVOTs) demonstrating organ-protective effects of newer glucose-lowering drugs (GLDs). The results from these CVOTs were derived mainly from people with type 2 diabetes and prior cardiovascular and kidney disease or multiple risk factors. In more recent years, earlier diagnosis in high-risk individuals has contributed to the large proportion of people with type 2 diabetes who do not have complications. In these individuals, a legacy effect of early and optimal control of blood glucose and cardiometabolic risk factors has been proven to reduce cardiovascular and kidney disease events and all-cause mortality. As there is a lack of RCTs investigating the potential synergistic effects of intensive glucose control and organ-protective effects of newer GLDs, this article re-evaluates the evolution of the scientific evidence and highlights the importance of integrating glycaemic control as a pivotal early therapeutic goal in most people with type 2 diabetes, while targeting existing cardiovascular and kidney disease. We also emphasise the importance of implementing multifactorial management using a multidisciplinary approach to facilitate regular review, patient empowerment and the possibility of tailoring interventions to account for the heterogeneity of type 2 diabetes.

Cardiovascular, Kidney, and Safety Outcomes With GLP-1 Receptor Agonists Alone and in Combination With SGLT2 Inhibitors in Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

GLP-1 (glucagon-like peptide-1) receptor agonists and SGLT2 (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitors both improve cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists on clinical outcomes with and without SGLT2 inhibitors.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase databases from inception until July 12, 2024, for randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled outcome trials of GLP-1 receptor agonists in type 2 diabetes that reported treatment effects by baseline use of SGLT2 inhibitors, with findings supplemented by unpublished data. We estimated treatment effects by baseline SGLT2 inhibitor use using inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis. The main cardiovascular outcomes were major adverse cardiovascular events (nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death) and hospitalization for heart failure. Kidney outcomes included a composite of ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate, kidney failure or death caused by kidney failure, and annualized rate of decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (estimated glomerular filtration rate slope). Serious adverse events and severe hypoglycemia were also evaluated. This meta-analysis was registered on the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO; CRD42024565765).

RESULTS

We identified 3 trials with 1743 of 17 072 (10.2%) participants with type 2 diabetes receiving an SGLT2 inhibitor at baseline. GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events by 21% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.87]), with consistent effects in those receiving and not receiving SGLT2 inhibitors at baseline (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.54-1.09] and HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.87], respectively; P-heterogeneity=0.78). The effect on hospitalization for heart failure was similarly consistent regardless of SGLT2 inhibitor use (HR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.36-0.93] and HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.63-0.85]; P-heterogeneity=0.26). Effects on the composite kidney outcome (risk ratio, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.66-0.95]) and estimated glomerular filtration rate slope (0.78 mL/min/1.73 m2/y [95% CI, 0.57-0.98]) also did not vary according to SGLT2 inhibitor use (P-heterogeneity=0.53 and 0.94, respectively). Serious adverse effects and severe hypoglycemia were also similar regardless of SGLT2 inhibitor use (P-heterogeneity=0.29 and 0.50, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In people with type 2 diabetes, the cardiovascular and kidney benefits of GLP-1 receptor agonists are consistent regardless of SGLT2 inhibitor use.

Updated evidence on cardiovascular and renal effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists and combination therapy with SGLT2 inhibitors and finerenone: a narrative review and perspectives

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have a reliable hypoglycaemic and weight-loss effect that can intervene in obesity, which is the basis of type 2 diabetes pathology. GLP-1RA therapy has shown potential benefits in reducing the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and improving kidney outcomes in patients with diabetes at high risk for cardiovascular disease. More recent evidence is expanding their benefits to heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and clinically important renal outcomes in patients with and without diabetes. Some sub-analyses of large clinical trials suggest that GLP-1RA and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor combination therapy may provide more significant reductions in heart failure hospitalization and renal composite events than each alone. Moreover, the addition of finerenone to this combination therapy could potentially provide stronger cardiorenal protective benefits. Further studies are needed to assess the potential cardiovascular and renal benefits of combination therapy and to determine suitable patient population for the therapy.

Diabetes as a risk factor for MASH progression

Non-alcoholic (now: metabolic) steatohepatitis (MASH) is the progressive inflammatory form of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), which often coexists and mutually interacts with type 2 diabetes (T2D), resulting in worse hepatic and cardiovascular outcomes. Understanding the intricate mechanisms of diabetes-related MASH progression is crucial for effective therapeutic strategies. This review delineates the multifaceted pathways involved in this interplay and explores potential therapeutic implications. The synergy between adipose tissue, gut microbiota, and hepatic alterations plays a pivotal role in disease progression. Adipose tissue dysfunction, particularly in the visceral depot, coupled with dysbiosis in the gut microbiota, exacerbates hepatic injury and insulin resistance. Hepatic lipid accumulation, oxidative stress, and endoplasmic reticulum stress further potentiate inflammation and fibrosis, contributing to disease severity. Dietary modification with weight reduction and exercise prove crucial in managing T2D-related MASH. Additionally, various well-known but also novel anti-hyperglycemic medications exhibit potential in reducing liver lipid content and, in some cases, improving MASH histology. Therapies targeting incretin receptors show promise in managing T2D-related MASH, while thyroid hormone receptor-β agonism has proven effective as a treatment of MASH and fibrosis.

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and SGLT2 Inhibitors in Type 2 Diabetes: Pleiotropic Cardiometabolic Effects and Add-on Value of a Combined Therapy

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) have proven efficacy and safety in randomized clinical trials and observational real-life studies. Besides improving glucose control, reducing body weight, and lowering arterial blood pressure (surrogate endpoints), the breakthroughs were the demonstration of a significant reduction in cardiovascular and renal events in patients with type 2 diabetes at high risk. GLP-1RAs reduce events linked to atherogenic cardiovascular disease (especially ischemic stroke) and also renal outcomes (FLOW trial with semaglutide), with a limited effect on heart failure. The most striking protective effects of SGLT2is were a marked reduction in hospitalization for heart failure and a remarkable reduced progression of chronic kidney disease. These benefits have been attributed to numerous pleiotropic effects beyond glucose-lowering action. Underlying mechanisms contributing to cardiovascular and renal protection are at least partially different between GLP-1RAs (mainly anti-atherogenic and vascular effects) and SGLT2is (mainly systemic and intrarenal hemodynamic changes). Thus, patients at high risk may benefit from complementary actions when being treated with a GLP-1RA/SGLT2i combination. Such combination has proven its efficacy on surrogate endpoints. Furthermore, post hoc subgroup analyses of cardiovascular outcome trials have suggested a greater cardiorenal protection in patients treated with a combination versus either monotherapy. The benefits of a combined therapy have been confirmed in a few retrospective cohort studies. A dedicated prospective trial comparing a combined therapy versus either monotherapy is ongoing (PRECIDENTD); however, several challenges still remain, especially the higher cost of a combined therapy and the worldwide underuse of either GLP-1RAs or SGLT2is in clinical practice, even in patients at high cardiorenal risk.

Combining GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT-2 inhibitors for cardiovascular disease prevention in type 2 diabetes: A systematic review with multiple network meta-regressions

BACKGROUND

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2I) are associated with significant cardiovascular benefit in type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, GLP-1RA or SGLT-2I alone may not improve some cardiovascular outcomes in patients with prior cardiovascular co-morbidities.

AIM

To explore whether combining GLP-1RA and SGLT-2I can achieve additional benefit in preventing cardiovascular diseases in T2D.

METHODS

The systematic review was conducted according to PRISMA recommendations. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (ID: 42022385007). A total of 107049 participants from eligible cardiovascular outcomes trials of GLP-1RA and SGLT-2I were included in network meta-regressions to estimate cardiovascular benefit of the combination treatment. Effect modification of prior myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF) was also explored to provide clinical insight as to when the combination treatment should be considered.

RESULTS

The estimated hazard ratios (HR)GLP-1RA/SGLT-2I vs Placebo (0.75-0.98) and HRCombination vs GLP-1RA/SGLT-2I (0.26-0.86) for primary and secondary cardiovascular outcomes suggested that the combination treatment may achieve additional cardiovascular benefit compared with GLP-1RA or SGLT-2I alone. In patients with prior MI or HF, the mono-therapies may not improve the overall cardiovascular outcomes, as the estimated HRMI+/HF+ (0.57-1.52) suggested that GLP-1RA or SGLT-2I alone may be associated with lower risks of hospitalization for HF but not cardiovascular death.

CONCLUSION

Considering its greater cardiovascular benefit in T2D, the combination treatment of GLP-1RA and SGLT-2I might be prioritized in patients with prior MI or HF, where the monotherapies may not provide sufficient cardiovascular protection.

Cardiovascular outcomes with exenatide in type 2 diabetes according to ejection fraction: The EXSCEL trial

AIMS

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and cardiovascular mortality in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, previous studies suggest the effects on heart failure outcomes vary according to left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). We aimed to evaluate the effects of exenatide on cardiovascular events according to LVEF in people with T2D.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Post-hoc analysis of the Exenatide Study of Cardiovascular Event Lowering (EXSCEL) trial evaluating the effects of once-weekly exenatide (EQW) versus placebo on cardiovascular outcomes according to baseline LVEF (<40% or ≥40%). Outcomes were also evaluated according to New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and obesity. The main outcome was hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). A treatment-by-LVEF interaction was used. In EXSCEL (n = 14 752), 4749 participants had LVEF available at baseline; 455 (10%) with LVEF <40%, 4294 (90%) with LVEF ≥40%. LVEF modified the EQW effect on hHF: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.52 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.95-2.43) in participants with LVEF < 40% and HR = 0.74 (95% CI = 0.55-1.01) in those with LVEF ≥ 40% (p-interaction = 0.012). No significant treatment-by-LVEF interactions (p-interaction >0.10) were observed for MACE, cardiovascular death or all-cause mortality. The risk of HHF was also modified by baseline NYHA class (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.65-1.27 for NYHA class I/II; HR 1.84, 95% CI 0.95-3.59 for NYHA class III/IV; p-interaction = 0.062), mostly driven by the LVEF <40% subgroup. Obesity did not modify the effects of EQW on HHF.

CONCLUSIONS

The EQW effect on HHF was influenced by LVEF, with a potentially decreased risk in participants with LVEF ≥40% and increased risk in those with LVEF <40%. The risk of HHF was particularly high in participants with LVEF <40% and NYHA class III/IV. LVEF did not modify the effect of EQW on atherosclerotic outcomes.

The Impact of Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists on Kidney Outcomes: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trials

Key Points

This is an updated meta-analysis about glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) incorporating findings from the recently published FLOW and SELECT studies. Our findings show that GLP-1 RAs reduce kidney disease progression in patients with type 2 diabetes or overweight/obesity status, with or without CKD. Our meta-analysis supports the use of GLP-1 RAs for reducing the risk of adverse kidney outcomes across different populations.

Background

Recent data indicate a potential benefit of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) on the progression of kidney disease among patients with CKD. Our aim was to evaluate the effect of GLP-1 RAs on the risk of worsening kidney function across different populations.

Methods

We conducted a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials that tested GLP-1 RA treatment versus placebo in individuals with type 2 diabetes or with overweight/obesity status, with or without CKD, with kidney events reported as primary or secondary end points. The primary outcome was the occurrence of worsening kidney function, defined as either a doubling of serum creatinine or a ≥40% or ≥50% decline in eGFR, according to each study report. Secondary outcomes included development of persistent macroalbuminuria and a composite of worsening kidney function or the development of persistent macroalbuminuria. Subgroup analyses were performed by eGFR and albuminuria categories. The results are presented as risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals.

Results

Eight trials were eligible, including a total of 68,572 patients, of whom 34,042 (49.6%) received GLP-1 RA treatment. During follow-up, 1028 participants receiving GLP-1 RA (3.0%) and 1150 participants receiving placebo (3.5%) experienced worsening kidney function. Treatment with GLP-1 RAs (versus placebo) resulted in a reduction in the risk of worsening kidney function (risk ratios, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.77 to 0.91; P < 0.001). In addition, treatment with GLP-1 RAs significantly reduced the risk of developing persistent macroalbuminuria and the risk of the composite outcome of worsening kidney function or development of persistent macroalbuminuria. The results were consistent in patients with and without CKD.

Conclusions

In conclusion, our meta-analysis suggests that GLP-1 RA reduce kidney disease progression in type 2 diabetes or overweight/obesity regardless of CKD status.

Progression from Prediabetes to Diabetes in a Diverse U.S. Population: A Machine Learning Model

Objective: To date, there are no widely implemented machine learning (ML) models that predict progression from prediabetes to diabetes. Addressing this knowledge gap would aid in identifying at-risk patients within this heterogeneous population who may benefit from targeted treatment and management in order to preserve glucose metabolism and prevent adverse outcomes. The objective of this study was to utilize readily available laboratory data to train and test the performance of ML-based predictive risk models for progression from prediabetes to diabetes. Methods: The study population was composed of laboratory information services data procured from a large U.S. outpatient laboratory network. The retrospective dataset was composed of 15,029 adults over a 5-year period with initial hemoglobin A1C (A1C) values between 5.0% and 6.4%. ML models were developed using random forest survival methods. The ground truth outcome was progression to A1C values indicative of diabetes (i.e., ≥6.5%) within 5 years. Results: The prediabetes risk classifier model accurately predicted A1C ≥6.5% within 5 years and achieved an area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve of 0.87. The most important predictors of progression from prediabetes to diabetes were initial A1C, initial serum glucose, A1C slope, serum glucose slope, initial HDL, HDL slope, age, and sex. Conclusions: Leveraging readily obtainable laboratory data, our ML risk classifier accurately predicts elevation in A1C associated with progression from prediabetes to diabetes. Although prospective studies are warranted, the results support the clinical utility of the model to improve timely recognition, risk stratification, and optimal management for patients with prediabetes.

Efficacy and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors with and without glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists: a SMART-C collaborative meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

BACKGROUND

SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists both improve cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. We sought to evaluate whether the benefits of SGLT2 inhibitors are consistent in patients receiving and not receiving GLP-1 receptor agonists.

METHODS

We conducted a collaborative meta-analysis of trials included in the SGLT2 Inhibitor Meta-Analysis Cardio-Renal Trialists' Consortium, restricted to participants with diabetes. Treatment effects from individual trials were obtained from Cox regression models and pooled using inverse variance weighted meta-analysis. The two main cardiovascular outcomes assessed included major adverse cardiovascular events (nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or cardiovascular death), and hospitalisation for heart failure or cardiovascular death. The main kidney outcomes assessed were chronic kidney disease progression (≥40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], kidney failure [eGFR <15 mL/min/1·73 m2, chronic dialysis, or kidney transplantation], or death due to kidney failure), and the rate of change in eGFR over time. Safety outcomes were also assessed.

FINDINGS

Across 12 randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials, 3065 (4·2%) of 73 238 participants with diabetes were using GLP-1 receptor agonists at baseline. SGLT2 inhibitors reduced the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in participants both receiving and not receiving GLP-1 receptor agonists (hazard ratio [HR] 0·81, 95% CI 0·63-1·03 vs 0·90, 0·86-0·94; p-heterogeneity=0·31). Effects on hospitalisation for heart failure or cardiovascular death (0·76, 0·57-1·01 vs 0·78, 0·74-0·82; p-heterogeneity=0·90) and chronic kidney disease progression (0·65, 0·46-0·94 vs 0·67, 0·62-0·72; p-heterogeneity=0·81) were also consistent regardless of GLP-1 receptor agonist use, as was the effect on the chronic rate of change in eGFR over time (heterogeneity=0·92). Fewer serious adverse events occurred with SGLT2 inhibitors compared with placebo, irrespective of GLP-1 receptor agonist use (relative risk 0·87, 95% CI 0·79-0·96 vs 0·91, 0·89-0·93; p-heterogeneity=0·41).

INTERPRETATION

The effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on cardiovascular and kidney outcomes are consistent regardless of the background use of GLP-1 receptor agonists. These findings suggest independent effects of these evidence-based therapies and support clinical practice guidelines recommending the use of these agents in combination to improve cardiovascular and kidney metabolic outcomes.

FUNDING

National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia and the Ramaciotti Foundation.

The current landscape for diabetes treatment: Preventing diabetes-associated CV risk

Despite the risk of atherosclerosis has progressively declined over the past few decades, subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) continue to experience substantial excess of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD)-related events. Therefore, there is urgent need to treat ASCVD disease in T2DM earlier, more intensively, and with greater precision. Many factors concur to increase the risk of atherosclerosis, and multifactorial intervention remains the basis for effective prevention or reduction of atherosclerotic events. The role of anti-hyperglycemic medications in reducing the risk of ASCVD in subjects with T2DM has evolved over the past few years. Multiple cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) with new and emerging glucose-lowering agents, namely SGLT2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA), have demonstrated significant reductions of major cardiovascular events and additional benefits. This robust evidence has changed the landscape for managing people with T2DM. In addition to glycemic and ancillary extra-glycemic properties, SGLT2i and GLP1-RA might exert favorable effects on subclinical and clinical atherosclerosis. Therefore, the objective of this review is to discuss the available evidence supporting anti-atherosclerotic properties of SGLT2i and GLP1-RA, with a quick nod to sotagliflozin and tirzepatide.

Editor-in-Chief's Top Picks From 2023

Each week, I record audio summaries for every paper in JACC, as well as an issue summary. This process has become a true labor of love due to the time they require, but I am motivated by the sheer number of listeners (16M+), and it has allowed me to familiarize myself with every paper that we publish. Thus, I have selected the top 100 papers (Original Investigations, Review Articles, Society Documents, and the Global Burden of Diseases) from distinct specialties each year. In addition to my personal choices, I have included papers that have been the most accessed or downloaded on our websites, as well as those selected by the JACC Editorial Board members. In order to present the full breadth of this important research in a consumable fashion, we will present these abstracts in this issue of JACC, as well as their Central Illustrations∗ and podcasts. The highlights comprise the following sections: Aorta; Basic and Translational Science; Cardiac Failure, Myocarditis, and Pericarditis; Cardiomyopathies and Genetics; Congenital Heart Disease; Coronary, Peripheral, and Structural Interventions; Coronavirus; Health Promotion and Preventive Cardiology; Imaging; Metabolic and Lipid Disorders; Neurovascular Disease and Dementia; Rhythm Disorders and Thromboembolism; and Valvular Heart Disease.1-104 ∗ To view the full manuscript, including the full-sized Central Illustration, please refer to the original publication in JACC.