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Dahlgren FS, Foppa IM, Stockwell MS, Vargas CY, LaRussa P, Reed C. Household transmission of influenza A and B within a prospective cohort during the 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 seasons. Stat Med 2021; 40:6260-6276. [PMID: 34580901 PMCID: PMC9293304 DOI: 10.1002/sim.9181] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2021] [Revised: 07/22/2021] [Accepted: 08/15/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
People living within the same household as someone ill with influenza are at increased risk of infection. Here, we use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to partition the hazard of influenza illness within a cohort into the hazard from the community and the hazard from the household. During the 2013‐2014 influenza season, 49 (4.7%) of the 1044 people enrolled in a community surveillance cohort had an acute respiratory illness (ARI) attributable to influenza. During the 2014‐2015 influenza season, 50 (4.7%) of the 1063 people in the cohort had an ARI attributable to influenza. The secondary attack rate from a household member was 2.3% for influenza A (H1) during 2013‐2014, 5.3% for influenza B during 2013‐2014, and 7.6% for influenza A (H3) during 2014‐2015. Living in a household with a person ill with influenza increased the risk of an ARI attributable to influenza up to 350%, depending on the season and the influenza virus circulating within the household.
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Affiliation(s)
- F Scott Dahlgren
- Influenza Division, Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Ivo M Foppa
- Influenza Division, Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.,Battelle Memorial Institute, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Melissa S Stockwell
- Division of Child and Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatrics, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA.,Department of Population and Family Health, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Celibell Y Vargas
- Division of Child and Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatrics, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Philip LaRussa
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Carrie Reed
- Influenza Division, Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
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Wang W, Chen X, Wang Y, Lai S, Yang J, Cowling BJ, Horby PW, Uyeki TM, Yu H. Serological evidence of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Infect Dis 2020; 226:70-82. [PMID: 33119755 PMCID: PMC9373149 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2020] [Accepted: 10/23/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The extent of human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including mild and asymptomatic infections, is uncertain. Methods We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of serosurveys for avian influenza A(H7N9) virus infections in humans published during 2013–2020. Three seropositive definitions were assessed to estimate pooled seroprevalence, seroconversion rate, and seroincidence by types of exposures. We applied a scoring system to assess the quality of included studies. Results Of 31 included studies, pooled seroprevalence of A(H7N9) virus antibodies from all participants was 0.02%, with poultry workers, close contacts, and general populations having seroprevalence of 0.1%, 0.2%, and 0.02%, respectively, based on the World Health Organization (WHO)—recommended definition. Although most infections were asymptomatic, evidence of infection was highest in poultry workers (5% seroconversion, 19.1% seroincidence per 100 person-years). Use of different virus clades did not significantly affect seroprevalence estimates. Most serological studies were of low to moderate quality and did not follow standardized seroepidemiological protocols or WHO-recommended laboratory methods. Conclusions Human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus have been uncommon, especially for general populations. Workers with occupational exposures to poultry and close contacts of A(H7N9) human cases had low risks of infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Wang
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Xinhua Chen
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Yan Wang
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Shengjie Lai
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Juan Yang
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Benjamin J Cowling
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Peter W Horby
- Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Timothy M Uyeki
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA
| | - Hongjie Yu
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
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Epidemiology of human influenza A(H7N9) infection in Hong Kong. JOURNAL OF MICROBIOLOGY, IMMUNOLOGY, AND INFECTION = WEI MIAN YU GAN RAN ZA ZHI 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jmii.2015.06.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Wu Z, Sha J, Yu Z, Zhao N, Cheng W, Chan TC, Amer S, Zhang Z, Liu S. Epidemiological and virological differences in human clustered and sporadic infections with avian influenza A H7N9. Int J Infect Dis 2016; 49:9-17. [PMID: 27235087 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2016.05.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2016] [Revised: 05/16/2016] [Accepted: 05/18/2016] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous research has suggested that avian influenza A H7N9 has a greater potential pandemic risk than influenza A H5N1. This research investigated the difference in human clustered and sporadic cases of H7N9 virus and estimated the relative risk of clustered infections. METHODS Comparative epidemiology and virology studies were performed among 72 sporadic confirmed cases, 17 family clusters (FCs) caused by human-to-human transmission, and eight live bird market clusters (LCs) caused by co-exposure to the poultry environment. RESULTS The case fatality of FCs, LCs and sporadic cases (36%, 26%, and 29%, respectively) did not differ among the three groups (p>0.05). The average age (36 years, 60 years, and 58 years), co-morbidities (31%, 60%, and 54%), exposure to birds (72%, 100%, and 83%), and H7N9-positive rate (20%, 64%, and 35%) in FCs, LCs, and sporadic cases, respectively, differed significantly (p<0.05). These higher risks were associated with increased mortality. There was no difference between primary and secondary cases in LCs (p>0.05). However, exposure to a person with confirmed avian influenza A H7N9 (primary 12% vs. secondary 95%), history of visiting a live bird market (100% vs. 59%), multiple exposures (live bird exposure and human-to-human transmission history) (12% vs. 55%), and median days from onset to antiviral treatment (6 days vs. 3 days) differed significantly between primary and secondary cases in FCs (p<0.05). Mild cases were found in 6% of primary cases vs. 32% of secondary cases in FCs (p<0.05). Twenty-five isolates from the three groups showed 99.1-99.9% homology and increased human adaptation. CONCLUSIONS There was no statistical difference in the case fatality rate and limited transmission between FCs and LCs. However, the severity of the primary cases in FCs was much higher than that of the secondary cases due to the older age and greater underlying disease of the latter patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zuqun Wu
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, the Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Jianping Sha
- Department of Endocrinology, The 421 Hospital of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Guangzhou, China
| | - Zhao Yu
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Key Lab of Vaccine against Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome, Zhejiang Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Na Zhao
- National Research Centre for Wildlife-Borne Diseases, Key Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Cheng
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Key Lab of Vaccine against Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome, Zhejiang Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Ta-Chien Chan
- Research Centre for Humanities and Social Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Said Amer
- Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Kafr El Sheikh University, Kafr El Sheikh, Egypt
| | - Zhiruo Zhang
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, 227 Chongqing South Road, Shanghai 200025, China.
| | - Shelan Liu
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Key Lab of Vaccine against Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome, Zhejiang Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
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Ma MJ, Ma GY, Yang XX, Chen SH, Gray GC, Zhao T, Bao J, Zhou JJ, Qian YH, Lu B, Ling X, Cao WC. Avian Influenza A(H7N9) virus antibodies in close contacts of infected persons, China, 2013-2014. Emerg Infect Dis 2015; 21:709-11. [PMID: 25811885 PMCID: PMC4378467 DOI: 10.3201/eid2104.141442] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
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Critically ill patients with H7N9: new virus, old challenges*. Crit Care Med 2015; 43:487-8. [PMID: 25599477 DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000000776] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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Bui C, Bethmont A, Chughtai AA, Gardner L, Sarkar S, Hassan S, Seale H, MacIntyre CR. A Systematic Review of the Comparative Epidemiology of Avian and Human Influenza A H5N1 and H7N9 - Lessons and Unanswered Questions. Transbound Emerg Dis 2015; 63:602-620. [DOI: 10.1111/tbed.12327] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2014] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- C. Bui
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
| | - A. Bethmont
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
| | - A. A. Chughtai
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
| | - L. Gardner
- School of Civil and Environmental Engineering; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
| | - S. Sarkar
- Section of Integrative Biology; University of Texas at Austin; Austin TX USA
| | - S. Hassan
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
| | - H. Seale
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
| | - C. R. MacIntyre
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine; University of New South Wales; Sydney NSW Australia
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Husain M. Avian influenza A (H7N9) virus infection in humans: Epidemiology, evolution, and pathogenesis. INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 2014; 28:304-12. [DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2014.10.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2014] [Revised: 10/15/2014] [Accepted: 10/17/2014] [Indexed: 12/09/2022]
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Wu J, Zou L, Ni H, Pei L, Zeng X, Liang L, Zhong H, He J, Song Y, Kang M, Zhang X, Lin J, Ke C. Serologic screenings for H7N9 from three sources among high-risk groups in the early stage of H7N9 circulation in Guangdong Province, China. Virol J 2014; 11:184. [PMID: 25342002 PMCID: PMC4283156 DOI: 10.1186/1743-422x-11-184] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2014] [Accepted: 10/07/2014] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of the novel avian influenza A virus (H7N9) in three high risk groups. The groups were divided into those exposed through infected individuals, those exposed through poultry and those individuals exposed through the external environment, in the early stage of the epidemic in Guangdong Province, which is located in the southern region of China. Methods Serologic studies were conducted among samples collected from individuals who had close contact with the first H7N9 infected patient reported in Guangdong Province, those who were most likely exposed to the first group of H7N9 infected poultry, and those who might have been exposed to H7N9 in the environmental settings, namely hemagglutinin inhibition (HI) and microneutralizaiton(MN) assays using three viruses as antigens. Results The alignment results of the viral sequences indicated the similarity of the HA gene sequence among viruses from exposure to infected poultry, infected humans and contaminated environments were highly conserved. Seven samples of individuals exposed to contaminated environments were positive in the HI assay and one sample among them was positive in the MN assay using poultry H7N9 virus as the antigen. One sample was positive against human H7N9 virus and 3 samples were positive against environmental H7N9 among those that were in contact with infected patients in HI assay. None of these were positive in MN assay. All HI titers of the 240 samples from those individuals in contact with infected poultry were less than 40 aganist the antigens from three viruses. Conclusions The results suggest that when the H7N9 virus was in the early stages of circulation in Guangdong Province, the antigenic sites of the HA proteins of the H7N9 strain isolated from different hosts were highly conserved. The risk of new infection is low in individuals who have contact with the infected patients, poultry or a contaminated environment in the early stages of the circulation of the H7N9 virus.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Changwen Ke
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Guangdong Province, Guangzhou 511430, China.
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