Diabetic patients suffering dengue are at risk for development of dengue shock syndrome/severe dengue: Emphasizing the impacts of co-existing comorbidity(ies) and glycemic control on dengue severity

Viral infection and host immune response in diabetes

Diabetes, a chronic metabolic disorder disrupting blood sugar regulation, has emerged as a prominent silent pandemic. Uncontrolled diabetes predisposes an individual to develop fatal complications like cardiovascular disorders, kidney damage, and neuropathies and aggravates the severity of treatable infections. Escalating cases of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes correlate with a global upswing in diabetes-linked mortality. As a growing global concern with limited preventive interventions, diabetes necessitates extensive research to mitigate its healthcare burden and assist ailing patients. An altered immune system exacerbated by chronic hyperinflammation heightens the susceptibility of diabetic individuals to microbial infections, including notable viruses like SARS-CoV-2, dengue, and influenza. Given such a scenario, we scrutinized the literature and compiled molecular pathways and signaling cascades related to immune compartments in diabetics that escalate the severity associated with the above-mentioned viral infections in them as compared to healthy individuals. The pathogenesis of these viral infections that trigger diabetes compromises both innate and adaptive immune functions and pre-existing diabetes also leads to heightened disease severity. Lastly, this review succinctly outlines available treatments for diabetics, which may hold promise as preventive or supportive measures to effectively combat these viral infections in the former.

Diabetes mellitus as a risk factor for severe dengue fever and West Nile fever: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Dengue fever (DF) and West Nile fever (WNF) have become endemic worldwide in the last two decades. Studies suggest that individuals with diabetes mellitus (DM) are at a higher risk of developing severe complications from these diseases. Identifying the factors associated with a severe clinical presentation is crucial, as prompt treatment is essential to prevent complications and fatalities. This article aims to summarize and assess the published evidence regarding the link between DM and the risk of severe clinical manifestations in cases of DF and WNF.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

A systematic search was conducted using the PubMed and Web of Science databases. 27 studies (19 on DF, 8 on WNF) involving 342,873 laboratory-confirmed patients were included in the analysis. The analysis showed that a diagnosis of DM was associated with an increased risk for severe clinical presentations of both DF (OR 3.39; 95% CI: 2.46, 4.68) and WNF (OR 2.89; 95% CI: 1.89, 4.41). DM also significantly increased the risk of death from both diseases (DF: OR 1.95; 95% CI: 1.09, 3.52; WNF: OR 1.74; 95% CI: 1.40, 2.17).

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

This study provides strong evidence supporting the association between DM and an increased risk of severe clinical manifestations in cases of DF and WNF. Diabetic individuals in DF or WNF endemic areas should be closely monitored when presenting with febrile symptoms due to their higher susceptibility to severe disease. Early detection and appropriate management strategies are crucial in reducing the morbidity and mortality rates associated with DF and WNF in diabetic patients. Tailored care and targeted public health interventions are needed to address this at-risk population. Further research is required to understand the underlying mechanisms and develop effective preventive and therapeutic approaches.

Diabetes as risk factor to severity of dengue in naïve patients

Background

Dengue cases can progress to severe ant life-threating forms particularly in subsequent heterologous infections. However, recent studies had explored additional risk factors, including underlying health conditions, even in individuals without prior exposure to dengue, notably, in patients with endothelial dysfunction and chronic inflammation. This study examines the link between diabetes and the development of severe dengue disease in dengue-naive patients during the 2019 dengue outbreak in São Jose do Rio Preto, Brazil.

Methodology

We enrolled 529 laboratory-confirmed dengue cases, identified through DENV RT-PCR or NS1 antigen assays in a hospital cohort of acute febrile illness. Subsequently, we investigated the presence of anti-dengue and anti-Zika IgG antibodies. Samples testing positive for Zika were excluded from the analyses. Two groups were analyzed: naïve (DV-), and dengue history (DV+).

Results

Initially, presence of diabetes and kidney disease, as well as being dengue-naive, were associated with a higher frequency of severe and potentially severe clinical outcomes. Multivariate analysis identified diabetes as a risk factor, while the presence of anti-dengue antibodies was considered protective. Analysis of dengue naïve samples, highlighted diabetes as an independent risk factor to severe forms of dengue disease. In DV+ patients, no condition was highlighted as a risk factor by univariate analysis or multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

We investigated and confirmed diabetes as a risk factor for severe dengue disease in individuals without prior dengue or Zika exposure. Our conclusions raise significant concerns given diabetes' ever increasing global prevalence and its potential impact on patients with or previous dengue exposure.

Dengue induced acute liver failure: A meta summary of case reports

BACKGROUND

Dengue fever is the most common cause of viral hemorrhagic fever, with more than 400 million cases being reported annually, worldwide. Even though hepatic involvement is common, acute liver failure (ALF) is a rare complication of dengue fever.

AIM

To analyze the demographic profile, symptomology, hospital course and outcomes of patients presenting with ALF secondary to dengue infection by reviewing the published case reports.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed from multiple databases including PubMed, Reference Citation Analysis, Science Direct, and Google Scholar. The search terms used were "dengue" OR "severe dengue" OR "dengue shock syndrome" OR "dengue haemorrhagic syndrome" OR "dengue fever" AND "acute liver failure" OR "hepatic failure" OR "liver injury". The inclusion criteria were: (1) Case reports or case series with individual patient details; (2) Reported acute liver failure secondary to dengue infection; and (3) Published in English language and on adult humans. The data were extracted for patient demographics, clinical symptomatology, clinical interventions, hospital and intensive care unit course, need for organ support and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Data from 19 case reports fulfilling the predefined inclusion criteria were included. The median age of patients was 38 years (inter quartile range: Q3-Q1 26.5 years) with a female preponderance (52.6%). The median days from diagnosis of dengue to development of ALF was 4.5 d. The increase in aspartate aminotransferase was higher than that in alanine aminotransferase (median 4625 U/L vs 3100 U/L). All the patients had one or more organ failure, with neurological failure present in 73.7% cases. 42.1% patients required vasopressor support and hepatic encephalopathy was the most reported complication in 13 (68.4%) cases. Most of the patients were managed conservatively and 2 patients were taken up for liver transplantation. Only 1 death was reported (5.3%).

CONCLUSION

Dengue infection may rarely lead to ALF. These patients may frequently require intensive care and organ support. Even though most of these patients may improve with supportive care, liver transplantation may be a therapeutic option in refractory cases.

Harness risk stratification of diabetic patients with dengue in a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Identifying predictors of severe dengue (SD) is key for triage and management of patients as well as for advising travellers to countries where dengue is endemic. In this, meta-analyses have raised diabetes mellitus as a risk factor for SD and a prognostic factor for dengue-related mortality. The purpose of this study was to assess whether diabetic patients (DPs) are at increased risk for SD in comparison to non-diabetic patients (NDPs) in a setting of high prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus and increasing endemicity for dengue.

METHODS

In a cohort study conducted during the 2019 dengue epidemic on Reunion Island, we estimated the risk ratios (RR) of DPs for SD (WHO 2009 definition), hospitalisation, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, critical care need or death in the ICU, and scales rating severity or multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), among confirmed cases of dengue (positive RT-PCR or NS1 antigen).

RESULTS

In a Poisson regression model adjusted for age, gender and comorbidity, DPs were more likely to develop SD (adjusted RR: 1.46, 95%CI 1.10-1.95), to be hospitalised, admitted to the ICU, and need critical care or die in the ICU. Subgroup analyses identified female DPs, non-elderly DPs (< 65 years) and DPs with low Charlson score (< 3) to be at higher risk for SD, the two first subgroups trough more severe presentation (higher Simplified Acute Physiology Score-2 values; higher MODS scores, respectively). Male gender, age less than 65 years and mixed comorbidity were identified as prognostic factors for critical care need or death in the ICU, male and non-elderly DPs being more likely to develop MODS than their non-diabetic counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

Together, these data highlight the role of diabetes mellitus in the progression from dengue to SD through higher severity per se or the event of MODS.

Association of cardiovascular disease with severe dengue: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and dengue are both significant global health concerns, and their intersection presents a growing clinical challenge. Emerging evidence suggests that individuals with pre-existing CVD may face an elevated risk of severe dengue outcomes. The present study aims to perform a systematic review to assess the relationship between CVD and the severity of dengue.

METHODS

We conducted a literature search across multiple databases from inception to November 25, 2023. Primary studies reporting the number of dengue patients with CVD in severe dengue and non-severe dengue groups were included. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and a meta-analysis was conducted using R software version 4.2 to determine the pooled Relative Risk (RR). The study protocol has been registered in PROSPERO.

RESULTS

Based on data from 5 studies involving 274,576 dengue patients, our meta-analysis revealed a significant association between CVD and an increased risk of severe dengue, with a calculated RR of 2.71 (95  % CI: 1.03 to 7.10). However, substantial heterogeneity was observed among the included studies (I2 = 79  %).

CONCLUSION

The current evidence suggests an association between CVD and severe dengue, emphasizing the importance of closely monitoring individuals with pre-existing cardiovascular disease and providing them with targeted interventions upon dengue diagnosis to mitigate the risk of severe outcomes.

APRI as a predictor of severe dengue fever

Introduction

The AST/platelet ratio index (APRI) is a well-researched indicator of liver fibrosis. Some studies have shown that APRI can be used as a predictor of severe dengue, but the data is limited. As dengue epidemics are common in our country with limited healthcare resources, we believe APRI can help emergency physicians/primary physicians in predicting the severity of dengue and plan for the appropriate use of limited healthcare resources.

Objective

1) To determine the utility of APRI as a predictor of severe dengue. 2) To determine the association of APRI with length of hospital stay and platelet requirement.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective cross-sectional study was done on patients presented to the Emergency Medicine department at Travancore Medicity Medical College with a positive Dengue NS1 antigen or IgM antibody.

Results

We found from the univariate analysis results that ALT > 74.5 IU/L has a sensitivity of 59.6 and a specificity of 76.3 (AUC: 0.696; 95% CI: 0.606-0.786), AST > 160.5 IU/L has a sensitivity of 42.3 and a specificity of 93.7 (AUC: 0.747; 95% CI: 0.665-0.829), and APRI > 3.2 has a sensitivity of 69.2 and a specificity of 84.2 (AUC: 0.806; 95% CI: 0.72-0.884) to predict severe dengue. Patients with an APRI of >3.2 required a mean hospital stay of 5.47 days (P = 0.005); 27 (81.8%) requiring platelet transfusion had an APRI of > 3.2 (P = 0.00).

Conclusion

APRI is a straightforward index that can be easily derived from AST and platelet values. APRI values of >3.2 can predict severe dengue with a sensitivity of 69.2 and a specificity of 84.2. APRI values of >3.2 are also associated with the length of hospital stay and requirement of platelet transfusion.

Severe dengue in the intensive care unit

Dengue fever is considered the most prolific vector-borne disease in the world, with its transmission rate increasing more than eight times in the last two decades. While most cases present mild to moderate symptoms, 5% of patients can develop severe disease. Although the mechanisms are yet not fully comprehended, immune-mediated activation leading to excessive cytokine expression is suggested as a cause of the two main findings in critical patients: increased vascular permeability that may shock and thrombocytopenia, and coagulopathy that can induce hemorrhage. The risk factors of severe disease include previous infection by a different serotype, specific genotypes associated with more efficient replication, certain genetic polymorphisms, and comorbidities such as diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disease. The World Health Organization recommends careful monitoring and prompt hospitalization of patients with warning signs or propensity for severe disease to reduce mortality. This review aims to update the diagnosis and management of patients with severe dengue in the intensive care unit.

Dengue hemorrhagic fever: a growing global menace

Dengue virus is an arthropod-borne virus, transmitted by Aedes aegypti among humans. In this review, we discussed the epidemiology of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) as well as the disease's natural history, cycles of transmission, clinical diagnosis, aetiology, prevention, therapy, and management. A systematic literature search was done by databases such as PubMed and Google Scholar using search terms, 'dengue fever', 'symptoms and causes of dengue fever', 'dengue virus transmission', and 'strategies to control dengue'. We reviewed relevant literature to identify hazards related to DHF and the most recent recommendations for its management and prevention. Clinical signs and symptoms of dengue infection range from mild dengue fever (DF) to potentially lethal conditions like DHF or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Acute-onset high fever, muscle and joint pain, myalgia, a rash on the skin, hemorrhagic episodes, and circulatory shock are among the most common symptoms. An early diagnosis is vital to lower mortality. As dengue virus infections are self-limiting, but in tropical and subtropical areas, dengue infection has become a public health concern. Hence, developing and executing long-term control policies that can reduce the global burden of DHF is a major issue for public health specialists everywhere.

In-hospital mortality predictors among hospitalized adults and those with chronic kidney disease with dengue

BACKGROUND

Accurately identifying risk factors that predict fatality in dengue is crucial for patient triage and clinical management. Our objective was to identify predictors of death associated with dengue and investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who died from dengue.

METHODS

A multicenter longitudinal observation study conducted from 2008 to 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 1272 patients (113 who died and 1186 who recovered) diagnosed with dengue were included. Old age, CKD, and an elevated white blood cell count at hospital presentation were identified as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality among individuals infected with the dengue virus. In a subgroup analysis of 138 patients with CKD infected with dengue virus, 64 (46.3%) patients died, with 46 (33.3%) patients dying within 7 days after symptom onset. Among 64 fatal dengue patients with CKD, 34.4% were in stages 2 and 3 of kidney disease, 51.5% were in stages 4 and 5, and 14.1% had end stage renal disease as per the classification by Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes. Multivariate analysis revealed that initial altered consciousness, pulmonary edema, and leukocytosis during hospitalization were independently associated with in-hospital mortality in CKD patients infected with the dengue virus. Leukocytosis during hospitalization and severe hepatitis were independent risk factors for death within 7 days after dengue illness onset in CKD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This study offers valuable insights into predictors linked to fatality in dengue and reinforces the importance of optimizing patient triage to improve the quality of care.

Dengue overview: An updated systemic review

Dengue is caused by the dengue virus (DENVs) infection and clinical manifestations include dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Due to a lack of antiviral drugs and effective vaccines, several therapeutic and control strategies have been proposed. A systemic literature review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines to select proper references to give an overview of DENV infection. Results indicate that understanding the virus characteristics and epidemiology are essential to gain the basic and clinical knowledge as well as dengue disseminated pattern and status. Different factors and mechanisms are thought to be involved in the presentation of DHF and DSS, including antibody-dependent enhancement, immune dysregulation, viral virulence, host genetic susceptibility, and preexisting dengue antibodies. This study suggests that dissecting pathogenesis and risk factors as well as developing different types of therapeutic and control strategies against DENV infection are urgently needed.

Investigating the aggregation perspective of Dengue virus proteome

Dengue viruses are human pathogens that are transmitted through mosquitoes. Apart from the typical symptoms associated with viral fevers, DENV infections are known to cause several neurological complications such as meningitis, encephalitis, intracranial haemorrhage, retinopathies along with the more severe, and sometimes fatal, vascular leakage and dengue shock syndrome. This study was designed to investigate, in detail, the predicted viral protein aggregation prone regions among all serotypes. Further, in order to understand the cross-talk between viral protein aggregation and aggregation of cellular proteins, cross-seeding experiments between the DENV NS1 (1-30), corresponding to the β-roll domain and the diabetes hallmark protein, amylin, were performed. Various techniques such as fluorescence spectroscopy, circular dichroism, atomic force microscopy and immunoblotting have been employed for this. We observe that the DENV proteomes have many predicted APRs and the NS1 (1-30) of DENV1-3, 2K and capsid anchor of DENV2 and DENV4 are capable of forming amyloids, in vitro. Further, the DENV NS1 (1-30), aggregates are also able to cross-seed and enhance amylin aggregation and vice-versa. This knowledge may lead to an opportunity for designing suitable inhibitors of protein aggregation that may be beneficial for viral infections and comorbidities.

Routine blood parameters of dengue infected children and adults. A meta-analysis

The World Health Organization (WHO) has revised dengue case classification in 2009 to better reflect the severity of the disease. However, there was no comprehensive meta-analysis of pooled routine blood parameters according to the age or the categories of the 2009 WHO classification. This study aimed to meta-analyze the routine blood parameters of dengue infected children and adults. Electronic search was performed with eligible articles included for review. Meta-analysis was conducted for six blood parameters stratified into children, adults and all ages, which were further grouped into the three 2009 WHO case classifications (dengue without warning signs, DwoWS; dengue with warning signs, DwWS; severe dengue, SD), non-severe dengue (non-SD) and 'All' cases. A total of 55 articles were included in the meta-analysis. Fifteen studies were conducted in the children's age category, 31 studies in the adult category and nine studies in all ages. The four selected pooled blood parameters for children were white blood cell (WBC) (×103/L) with 5.11 (SD), 5.64 (DwWS), 5.52 (DwoWS) and 4.68 (Non-SD) hematocrit (HCT) (%) with 36.78 (SD), 40.70 (DwWS), 35.00 (DwoWS) and 29.78 (Non-SD) platelet (PLT) (×103/µL) with 78.66 (SD), 108.01 (DwWS), 153.47 (DwoWS) and 108.29 (non-SD); and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (/µL) with 248.88 (SD), 170.83 (DwWS), 83.24 (DwoWS) and 102.99 (non-SD). For adult, WBC were 4.96 (SD), 6.44 (DwWS), 7.74 (DwoWS) and 3.61 (non-SD); HCT were 39.50 (SD), 39.00 (DwWS), 37.45 (DwoWS) and 41.68 (non-SD); PLT were 49.62 (SD), 96.60 (DwWS), 114.37 (DwoWS) and 71.13 (non-SD); and AST were 399.50 (SD), 141.01 (DwWS), 96.19 (DwoWS) and 118.13 (non-SD). These blood parameters could not differentiate between each dengue severity according to the WHO 2009 classification, SD, DwoWS, DwWS and non-SD, because the timing of blood drawing was not known and there was an overlapping confidence interval among the clinical classification. Hence, these pooled blood parameter values could not be used to guide clinicians in management and did not correlate with severity as in previous scientific literatures and guidelines.

Direct and indirect effects of age on dengue severity: The mediating role of secondary infection

Severe dengue occurrence has been attributed to increasing age and different dengue virus (DENV) serotypes that cause secondary infections and immune-enhancing phenomena. Therefore, we examined if the effect of age on dengue severity was mediated by infectivity status while controlling for sex and region. Further, we assessed the spatial clustering of dengue severity for individuals with primary and secondary infection across Mexican municipalities. Health data from 2012 to 2017 was retrieved from Mexico's Ministry of Health. A mediation analysis was performed using multiple logistic regression models based on a directed acyclic graph. The models were explored for the direct effect of age on dengue severity and its indirect impact through secondary infection. In addition, severe dengue clusters were determined in some Northeastern and Southeastern municipalities through spatial analysis. We observed a nonlinear trend between age and severe dengue. There was a downward trend of severe dengue for individuals between 0 and 10 years and an upward trend above 10 years. The effect of age on dengue severity was no longer significant for individuals between 10 and 60 years after introducing infectivity status into the model. The mediating role of infectivity status in the causal model was 17%. Clustering of severe dengue among individuals with primary infection in the Northeastern region may point to the high prevalence of DENV-3 in the region. Public health efforts may prevent secondary infection among infants and the aged. In addition, there should be a further investigation into the effect of DENV-3 in individuals with primary disease.

Dengue clinical features and harbingers of severity in the diabetic patient: A retrospective cohort study on Reunion island, 2019

AIM

Diabetes mellitus is associated with both the risks of severe dengue and dengue-related deaths, however the factors characterizing dengue in the diabetic patient are ill-recognized. The objective of this hospital-based cohort study was to identify the factors characterizing dengue and those able to early identify dengue severity in the diabetic patient.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed demographic, clinical and biological parameters at admission in the cohort of patients who consulted at the university hospital between January and June 2019 with confirmed dengue. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

Of 936 patients, 184 patients (20%) were diabetic. One hundred and eighty-eight patients (20%) developed severe dengue according to the WHO 2009 definition. Diabetic patients were older and had more comorbidities than non-diabetics. In an age-adjusted logistic regression model, loss of appetite, altered mental status, high neutrophil to platelet ratios (>14.7), low haematocrit (≤ 38%), upper-range serum creatinine (>100 µmol/l) and high urea to creatinine ratio (>50) were indicative of dengue in the diabetic patient. A modified Poisson regression model identified four key independent harbingers of severe dengue in the diabetic patient: presence of diabetes complications, non-severe bleeding, altered mental status and cough. Among diabetes complications, diabetic retinopathy and neuropathy, but not diabetic nephropathy nor diabetic foot, were associated with severe dengue.

CONCLUSION

At hospital first presentation, dengue in the diabetic patient is characterized by deteriorations in appetite, mental and renal functioning, while severe dengue can be early identified by presence of diabetes complications, dengue-related non-severe haemorrhages, cough, and dengue-related encephalopathy.

Precocious evaluation of cardiovascular risk and its correlation with perinatal condition

The cardiovascular disease is the main cause of worldwide death. This profile is potentialized by the increased severity of infections in people with obesity, type 2 diabetes and hypertension. Children and adolescents are target groups for the prevention of non-communicable diseases. The Developmental Origins of Health and Disease concept points that perinatal conditions are an important risk factor to development of non-communicable disease in adulthood. In this context, the present review identifies perinatal factor that induces precocious cardiovascular risk factors, related with cardiometabolic syndrome. The low or high birth weight and caesarean delivery are risk factors that induce increased occurrence of cardiovascular risk biomarkers in children and adolescents, while the breast feeding or feeding with breast milk from the birth until two years-old is a protector strategy. Evaluation of perinatal conditions associated with precocious identification of cardiovascular risk factors in children and adolescents is an efficient strategy to prevent and control cardiovascular mortality; through interventions, as lifestyle changes during vulnerable windows of development, able to set up the risk to cardiometabolic disease.

Associated risk factors of severe dengue in Reunion Island: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Since 2018, a dengue epidemic has been raging annually in Reunion Island, which poses the major problem of its morbidity and mortality. However, there is no consensus in the literature on factors associated with severity of illness. The objective of this study was to identify the factors associated with the occurrence of severe dengue (SD) according to the criteria adopted in 2009 by the World Health Organization (WHO), during the 2019 epidemic.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

A total of 163 patients with RT-PCR-confirmed dengue were included in a multicenter prospective cohort study in Reunion Island between January and June 2019. Of these, 37 (23%) were classified as SD, which involves presentation dominated by at least one organ failure, and 126 (77%) classified as non-SD (of which 90 (71%) had warning signs). Confusion, dehydration, and relative hypovolemia were significantly associated with SD in bivariate analysis (p < 0.05). The factors associated with SD in multivariate analysis were a time from first symptom to hospital consultation over 2 days (OR: 2.46, CI: 1.42-4.27), a history of cardiovascular disease (OR: 2.75, 95%CI: 1.57-4.80) and being of Western European origin (OR: 17.60, CI: 4.15-74).

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

This study confirms that SD is a frequent cause of hospitalization during dengue epidemics in Reunion Island. It suggests that cardiovascular disease, Western European origin, and delay in diagnosis and management are risk factors associated with SD fever, and that restoration of blood volume and correction of dehydration must be performed early to be effective.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01099852; clinicaltrials.gov.

The association of obesity and dengue severity in hospitalized adult patients

BACKGROUND

Obesity is associated with unfavorable outcomes for infectious diseases. Most researches exploring the association between nutritional status and dengue severity have focused on pediatric populations, with only few studies assessing adult patients.

METHODS

Adult patients with laboratory-confirmed dengue admitted to a tertiary hospital in southern Taiwan between 2014 and 2015 were enrolled retrospectively. Demographics, comorbidities, clinical presentation, laboratory findings, and outcomes were obtained from case-record forms. Patients were categorized into obese group and nonobese group. The obese group comprised patients with a body mass index of ≥27.5 kg/m².

RESULTS

A total of 1417 hospitalized patients with dengue were evaluated. The mean age was 57.9 years (range: 18-92 years). The obese and nonobese groups comprised 333 (23.5%) and 1084 (76.5%) patients, respectively. The obese group included more patients with hypertension (85%, p < 0.001), diabetes mellitus (33%, p < 0.001), and congestive heart failure (6.3%, p = 0.049). Multivariate analysis revealed that the obese group had more petechiae (AOR: 1.353, 95% CI: 1.025-1.786, p = 0.033), more dyspnea (AOR: 1.380, 95% CI: 1.015-1.876, p = 0.040), and more severe hepatitis (AOR: 2.061, 95% CI: 1.050-4.048, p = 0.036). The obese group also had higher peak hematocrit values (44.1%, p < 0.001) and lower nadir platelet count (45.3 × 10³/μL, p = 0.049) than the nonobese group.

CONCLUSION

In adult patients with dengue, obese group had more petechiae, dyspnea, severe hepatitis, lower nadir of platelet count, and higher peak hematocrit level. We observed no difference in severe dengue or mortality between obese and nonobese group.

Serum biomarkers and anti-flavivirus antibodies at presentation as indicators of severe dengue

BACKGROUND

Dengue is the most common vector-borne viral disease worldwide. Most cases are mild, but some evolve into severe dengue (SD), with high lethality. Therefore, it is important to identify biomarkers of severe disease to improve outcomes and judiciously utilize resources.

METHODS/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

One hundred forty-five confirmed dengue cases (median age, 42; range <1-91 years), enrolled from February 2018 to March 2020, were selected from an ongoing study of suspected arboviral infections in metropolitan Asunción, Paraguay. Cases included dengue virus types 1, 2, and 4, and severity was categorized according to the 2009 World Health Organization guidelines. Testing for anti-dengue virus IgM and IgG and serum biomarkers (lipopolysaccharide binding protein and chymase) was performed on acute-phase sera in plate-based ELISAs; in addition, a multiplex ELISA platform was used to measure anti-dengue virus and anti-Zika virus IgM and IgG. Complete blood counts and chemistries were performed at the discretion of the care team. Age, gender, and pre-existing comorbidities were associated with SD vs. dengue with/without warning signs in logistic regression with odds ratios (ORs) of 1.07 (per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.03, 1.11), 0.20 (female; 0.05,0.77), and 2.09 (presence; 1.26, 3.48) respectively. In binary logistic regression, for every unit increase in anti-DENV IgG in the multiplex platform, odds of SD increased by 2.54 (1.19-5.42). Platelet count, lymphocyte percent, and elevated chymase were associated with SD in a combined logistic regression model with ORs of 0.99 (1,000/μL; 0.98,0.999), 0.92 (%; 0.86,0.98), and 1.17 (mg/mL; 1.03,1.33) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple, readily available factors were associated with SD in this population. These findings will aid in the early detection of potentially severe dengue cases and inform the development of new prognostics for use in acute-phase and serial samples from dengue cases.

Dynamic transcriptome analyses reveal m6A regulated immune non-coding RNAs during dengue disease progression

Dengue infection is one of the most prevalent arthropod-borne viral diseases, which can result in severe complications. Identification of genes and long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) involved in dengue infection would help in deciphering potential mechanisms responsible for the disease progression. We comprehensively analyzed the dynamic transcriptome during dengue disease progression and identified critical genes and lncRNAs with expression perturbations. Our findings revealed that the expression of genes (i.e., CCR10 and GNG7) and lncRNAs (i.e., CTBP1-AS and MAFG-AS1) were potentially regulated by m6A RNA methylation. Interestingly, dengue viral proteins prevalently interact with genes or lncRNAs with expression perturbations, which are involved in cell cycle, inflammation signaling pathways and immune response. Dynamically expressed genes and lncRNAs were likely to locate in the central regions of human protein-protein network, which play crucial roles in mediating signaling spread and helping viral replication. Immune microenvironments analysis revealed that plasma cells levels were increased and T cells infiltrations were decreased during dengue disease progression. Dynamically expressed genes and lncRNAs were correlated with immune cell infiltrations. Moreover, network analysis reveals the associations between dengue viral infections and human complex diseases (i.e., digestive diseases and neoplasms). Our comprehensive transcriptome analysis of dengue disease progression identified potential gene and lncRNA biomarkers, providing novel insights for understanding the pathogenesis of and developing effective therapeutic strategies for dengue infection.

John AL, Rathore APS. Dengue: Update on Clinically Relevant Therapeutic Strategies and Vaccines

Dengue viruses (DENV) continue to circulate worldwide, resulting in a significant burden on human health. There are four antigenically distinct serotypes of DENV, an infection of which could result in a potentially life-threatening disease. Current treatment options are limited and rely on supportive care. Although one dengue vaccine is approved for dengue-immune individuals and has modest efficacy, there is still a need for therapeutics and vaccines that can reduce dengue morbidities and lower the infection burden. There have been recent advances in the development of promising drugs for the treatment of dengue. These include direct antivirals that can reduce virus replication as well as host-targeted drugs for reducing inflammation and/or vascular pathologies. There are also new vaccine candidates that are being evaluated for their safety and efficacy in preventing dengue disease. This review highlights nuances in the current standard-of-care treatment of dengue. We also discuss emerging treatment options, therapeutic drugs, and vaccines that are currently being pursued at various stages of preclinical and clinical development.

Murine diabetic models for dengue virus infection

Dengue virus (DENV) is a critical public health concern in tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. Thus, immunocompetent murine models of DENV infection with robust viremia are required for vaccine studies. Diabetes is highly prevalent worldwide, making it frequent comorbidity in patients with dengue fever. Therefore, murine models are needed to understand viral pathogenesis and disease progression. Acquired-induced and inherently diabetic C57BL/6 and db/db mice were inoculated with DENV-3 via the tail vein. After infection, both the diabetic C57BL/6 and db/db mice showed obvious weight loss with clinical manifestations. Quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction revealed robust and replicable viremia in the two types of diabetic mice. Immunohistochemical detection showed persistent DENV-3 infection in the liver. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay for cytokine detection revealed that diabetic mice showed more severe inflammatory responses than did nondiabetic mice, and significant histological alterations were observed in diabetic mice. Thus, the diabetic mice were more susceptible to DENV infection than the nondiabetic mice. Taken together, we established two types of immunocompetent diabetic mice for DENV infection, which can be used to further study the mechanisms of dengue pathogenesis in diabetes and to develop antiviral pharmaceuticals and treatments.

Preparedness for the Dengue Epidemic: Vaccine as a Viable Approach

Dengue fever is one of the significant fatal mosquito-borne viral diseases and is considered to be a worldwide problem. Aedes mosquito is responsible for transmitting various serotypes of dengue viruses to humans. Dengue incidence has developed prominently throughout the world in the last ten years. The exact number of dengue cases is underestimated, whereas plenty of cases are misdiagnosed as alternative febrile sicknesses. There is an estimation that about 390 million dengue cases occur annually. Dengue fever encompasses a wide range of clinical presentations, usually with undefinable clinical progression and outcome. The diagnosis of dengue depends on serology tests, molecular diagnostic methods, and antigen detection tests. The therapeutic approach relies completely on supplemental drugs, which is far from the real approach. Vaccines for dengue disease are in various stages of development. The commercial formulation Dengvaxia (CYD-TDV) is accessible and developed by Sanofi Pasteur. The vaccine candidate Dengvaxia was inefficient in liberating a stabilized immune reaction toward different serotypes (1-4) of dengue fever. Numerous promising vaccine candidates are now being developed in preclinical and clinical stages even though different serotypes of DENV exist that worsen the situation for a vaccine to be equally effective for all serotypes. Thus, the development of an efficient dengue fever vaccine candidate requires time. Effective dengue fever management can be a multidisciplinary challenge, involving international cooperation from diverse perspectives and expertise to resolve this global concern.

Study on dengue severity in diabetic and non-diabetic population of tertiary care hospital by assessing inflammatory indicators

Background

Dengue fever is a highly endemic tropical infectious disease that is quickly spreading over the world. Diabetes Mellitus has been linked to chronic inflammation. This present study was designed to compare the severity of dengue infection among diabetic and non-diabetic populations.

Methods

A prospective observational study was conducted on 40 patients (20 diabetic and 20 non-diabetic) who suffered from dengue infection. The study involved the collection of data of the dengue patients includes patient's demographic details, medical condition as well as biochemical investigations.

Results

Dengue-infected individuals with diabetes showed greater CRP, Endocan levels, IL-8 and Perfusion Index than those without diabetes (CRP; 35.308 ± 1.32 vs. 18.6365 ± 0.64) mg/dl (p≤ 0.001) (Endocan 42.316 ± 1.46vs. 32.839 ± 0.33), ng/dl (p≤ 0.001), (142.98 ± 1.05 vs 103.69 ± 0.64) (p ≤ 0.001) and (3.695 ± 0.18 vs. 1.98 ± 0.08) (p ≤ 0.001) respectively.

Conclusion

In conclusion the results indicate that prognosis of DHF grade II with diabetes mellitus tends to be more prone to bleeding disorder and can result into morbidity and mortality considering by triggering of the various inflammatory cascade resulting in hyperglycaemia and poor glycemic control.

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Dengue fever is a highly endemic tropical infectious disease.

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Present study aims compares the severity of dengue infection among diabetic and non-diabetic populations.

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The study involved the collection of data of the dengue patients includes patient's demographic details.

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The results indicate that prognosis of DHF grade II with diabetes mellitus tends to be more prone to bleeding disorder.

A cross-sectional study to assess the epidemiological situation and associated risk factors of dengue fever; knowledge, attitudes, and practices about dengue prevention in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan

Background

Dengue fever has been responsible for around 12 countrywide large outbreaks in Pakistan, resulting in 286,262 morbidities and 1,108 deaths. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) is the most recently impacted province. This study aimed to investigate the molecular, epidemiological, and potential elements that contribute to increasing dengue transmission patterns, and knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) toward dengue in KP province.

Method

This cross-sectional community-based study was conducted (June-December, 2021) in two phases. Phase I involved the epidemiological (n = 5,242) and molecular analysis of DENV in 500 randomly collected blood samples of the 2021 dengue outbreak in KP. Phase II focused on assessing dengue-KAP levels in healthy communities (n = 14,745, aged >18 years), adopting a cross-sectional clustered multistage sampling in eight districts (dengue-hotspot vs. non-hotspot) of KP. Chi-square tests and logistic regression analysis were applied.

Results

Peshawar district had the highest dengue cases (60.0%) associated with the predominant co-circulation of DENV-2 (45.8%) and DENV-3 (50.4%) serotypes. A rise in cases was reported in October (41.8%) followed by September (27.9%) and August (14.4%; p < 0.001). Males (63.7%, p < 0.001) and individuals aged 16–30 years (37.0%, p < 0.001) were highly affected. General workers (18.0%), families with a monthly income of 10,000–20,000 Pak rupees (50.5%), unmarried (71.0%), uneducated (31%), families with higher human density (>10 individuals per household), and those (29.0%) who faced power outages for more than 7/24 h were the most affected. Moreover, co-morbidities like renal failure and bronchial asthma were associated with disease severity. A community survey on KAP revealed that an average of 74, 60, and 43% of the participants demonstrated good knowledge, attitudes, and dengue preventive practices, respectively.

Conclusion

Multiple poor socioeconomic elements are influencing dengue fever transmission in the province. Higher KAP levels may explain the low frequency of dengue in non-hotspot districts. Our study emphasizes the need for effective and long-term public health education, strengthened vector surveillance, and expanded laboratory capacity for better diagnosis and management of dengue cases to better predict the burden and seasonality of disease in the country.

Dengue virus is involved in insulin resistance via the downregulation of IRS-1 by inducing TNF-α secretion

During the epidemic, the individuals with underlying diseases usually have a higher rate of mortality. Diabetes is highly prevalent worldwide, making it a frequent comorbidity in dengue fever patients. Therefore, understanding the relationship between dengue virus (DENV) infection and diabetes is important. We first demonstrated that DENV-3 infection down-regulated the expression of IRS-1. In vitro, treatment of HepG2 cells with TNF-α inhibitors and siRNA proved that after DENV-3 infection in HepG2 cells, cellular TNF-α secretion was increased, which negatively regulated IRS-1, thereby leading to an insulin-resistant state. In vivo, DENV-3 induced insulin resistance (IR) in hepatocytes by promoting the secretion of TNF-α and inhibiting the expression of IRS-1 was proved. In vivo approaches also showed that after DENV-3 infection, TNF-α levels in the serum of C57BL/6 mice with insulin resistance increased, and upon TNF-α antagonist III treatment, IRS-1 expression in the liver, reduced by infection, was upregulated. In addition, transcriptomic analysis revealed more negative regulatory events in the insulin receptor signaling pathway after DENV-3 infection. This is the first report of a link between DENV-3 infection and insulin resistance, and it lays a foundation for further research.

Coupled small molecules target RNA interference and JAK/STAT signaling to reduce Zika virus infection in Aedes aegypti

The recent global Zika epidemics have revealed the significant threat that mosquito-borne viruses pose. There are currently no effective vaccines or prophylactics to prevent Zika virus (ZIKV) infection. Limiting exposure to infected mosquitoes is the best way to reduce disease incidence. Recent studies have focused on targeting mosquito reproduction and immune responses to reduce transmission. Previous work has evaluated the effect of insulin signaling on antiviral JAK/STAT and RNAi in vector mosquitoes. Specifically, insulin-fed mosquitoes resulted in reduced virus replication in an RNAi-independent, ERK-mediated JAK/STAT-dependent mechanism. In this work, we demonstrate that targeting insulin signaling through the repurposing of small molecule drugs results in the activation of both RNAi and JAK/STAT antiviral pathways. ZIKV-infected Aedes aegypti were fed blood containing demethylasterriquinone B1 (DMAQ-B1), a potent insulin mimetic, in combination with AKT inhibitor VIII. Activation of this coordinated response additively reduced ZIKV levels in Aedes aegypti. This effect included a quantitatively greater reduction in salivary gland ZIKV levels up to 11 d post-bloodmeal ingestion, relative to single pathway activation. Together, our study indicates the potential for field delivery of these small molecules to substantially reduce virus transmission from mosquito to human. As infections like Zika virus are becoming more burdensome and prevalent, understanding how to control this family of viruses in the insect vector is an important issue in public health.

Aedes aegypti Shows Increased Susceptibility to Zika Virus via Both In Vitro and In Vivo Models of Type II Diabetes

Chronic conditions like type II diabetes (T2DM) have long been known to exacerbate many infectious diseases. For many arboviruses, including Zika virus (ZIKV), severe outcomes, morbidity and mortality usually only occur in patients with such pre-existing conditions. However, the effects of T2DM and other pre-existing conditions on human blood (e.g., hypo/hyperinsulinemia, hyperglycemia and hyperlipidemia) that may impact infectivity of arboviruses for vectors is largely unexplored. We investigated whether the susceptibility of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes was affected when the mosquitoes fed on “diabetic” bloodmeals, such as bloodmeals composed of artificially glycosylated erythrocytes or those from viremic, diabetic mice (LEPRDB/DB). Increasing glycosylation of erythrocytes from hemoglobin A1c (HgbA1c) values of 5.5–5.9 to 6.2 increased the infection rate of a Galveston, Texas strain of Ae. aegypti to ZIKV strain PRVABC59 at a bloodmeal titer of 4.14 log10 FFU/mL from 0.0 to 40.9 and 42.9%, respectively. ZIKV was present in the blood of viremic LEPRDB/DB mice at similar levels as isogenic control C57BL/6J mice (3.3 log10 FFU/mL and 3.6 log10 FFU/mL, respectively. When mice sustained a higher ZIKV viremia of 4.6 log10 FFU/mL, LEPRDB/DB mice infected 36.3% of mosquitoes while control C57BL/6J mice with a viremia of 4.2 log10 FFU/mL infected only 4.1%. Additionally, when highly susceptible Ae. aegypti Rockefeller mosquitoes fed on homozygous LEPRDB/DB, heterozygous LEPRWT/DB, and control C57BL/6J mice with viremias of ≈ 4 log10 FFU/mL, 54%, 15%, and 33% were infected, respectively. In total, these data suggest that the prevalence of T2DM in a population may have a significant impact on ZIKV transmission and indicates the need for further investigation of the impacts of pre-existing metabolic conditions on arbovirus transmission.

A Population of CD4+CD8+ Double-Positive T Cells Associated with Risk of Plasma Leakage in Dengue Viral Infection

According to the WHO 2009 classification, dengue with warning signs is at the risk of developing severe form of dengue disease. One of the most important warning signs is plasma leakage, which can be a serious complication associated with higher morbidity and mortality. We report that the frequency of CD4+CD8+ double-positive (DP) T cells is significantly increased in patients at risk of developing plasma leakage. Transcriptomic analysis demonstrated that CD4+CD8+ DP cells were distinct from CD4+ Single Positive (SP) T cells but co-clustered with CD8+ SP cells, indicating a largely similar transcriptional profile. Twenty significant differentially expressed (DE) genes were identified between CD4+CD8+ DP and CD8+ SP cells. These genes encode OX40 and CCR4 proteins as well as other molecules associated with cell signaling on the cell surface (NT5E, MXRA8, and PTPRK). While comparing the profile of gene expression in CD4+CD8+ DP cells from patients with and without warning signs of plasma leakage, similar expression profile was observed, implying a role of CD4+CD8+ DP cells in plasma leakage through a quantitative increase rather than functional alteration. This study provided novel insight into the host immune response during the acute febrile phase of DENV infection and the role of CD4+CD8+ DP T cells in the pathogenesis of plasma leakage.

Dengue: A Neglected Disease of Concern

Background

Dengue fever, more prevalent in Asia, is a highly neglected vector-borne disease. It has a varied presentation ranging from common fever to atypical presentation as encephalitis. This study aimed to analyze the demographic and clinical profile of dengue patients admitted to a tertiary care center in Tamilnadu.

Methodology

This retrospective study was performed by collecting patient data from the medical records department for the years 2012 to 2014. A total of 150 patients with 50 patients from each year were selected. The patient’s demographic data, clinical profile, management, and outcome were noted. Patients were divided into three groups as per the World Health Organization’s 2009 classification.

Results

Most dengue cases occurred from October to December (70.7%). The number of male and female patients was almost equal (77 [51.3%] and 73 [48.7%], respectively). The middle-aged group (21-40 years) was commonly affected (54%). The mean age was 29 ± 13.20 years. Fever was the most common symptom (100%), followed by lethargy (81.3%) and myalgia (60.7%). Overall, 10% of patients had comorbidities such as diabetes, hypertension, and ischemic heart disease. Moreover, 22.7% of patients had dengue with warning signs, and severe dengue was seen in 19.3% of patients. A significant difference was noted in the total count, comorbidities, serositis, and the duration of hospitalization between the groups. No mortality was recorded in the study population.

Conclusions

Dengue is very common in the middle-aged group. Patients with severe dengue had significant leucopenia, several comorbidities, and serositis. The mortality can be reduced to <1% and even zero in severe dengue according to our study with close monitoring and supportive care.

Clinical predictors of severe dengue: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Severe dengue is a life-threatening complication; rapid identification of these cases, followed by adequate management is crucial to improve the clinical prognosis. Therefore, this study aimed to identify risk factors and predictors of severe dengue.

Methods

A literature search for studies reporting risk factors of severe dengue among individuals with dengue virus infection was conducted in PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science database from inception to December 31, 2020. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) for patients’ demographic characteristics, co-morbidities, and warning signs were estimated using an inverse variance heterogeneity model.

Results

We included 143 articles in the meta-analysis from a total of 13 090 articles retrieved from the literature search. The risk factors of severe dengue were: being a child [OR = 1.96; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22–3.13], secondary infection (OR = 3.23; 95% CI: 2.28–4.57), and patients with pre-existing diabetes (OR = 2.88; 95% CI: 1.72–4.81) and renal disease (OR = 4.54; 95% CI: 1.55–13.31). Warning signs strongly associated with severe disease were increased haematocrit with a concurrent decrease in platelet count (OR = 5.13; 95% CI: 1.61–16.34), abdominal pain (OR = 2.00; 95% CI: 1.49–2.68), lethargy (OR = 2.73; 95% CI: 1.05–7.10), vomiting (OR = 1.80; 95% CI: 1.43–2.26), hepatomegaly (OR = 5.92; 95% CI: 3.29–10.66), ascites (OR = 6.30; 95% CI: 3.75–10.60), pleural effusion (OR = 5.72; 95% CI: 3.24–10.10) and melena (OR = 4.05; 95% CI: 1.64–10.00).

Conclusions

Our meta-analysis identified children, secondary infection, diabetes and renal disease(s) as important predictors of severe dengue. Our finding also supports the predictive ability of the WHO warning signs to identify severe dengue. These findings are useful for clinicians to identify severe dengue for management and timely interventions.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40249-021-00908-2.

Clinical features and outcomes of COVID-19 and dengue co-infection: a systematic review

Background

Dengue is the most common arboviral disease in the tropical and sub-tropical regions of the world. Like other regions, dengue-endemic areas have faced the additional public health and socio-economic impact of the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. COVID-19 and dengue co-infections have been reported, with complicated patient management and care requirements. This review aimed to collate and synthesise current knowledge on the clinical features and outcomes of COVID-19 and dengue virus co-infection, a potentially important new dimension to be considered in public health management of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

A systematic literature review was conducted using PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus databases from 1st January to 21st November 2020. The key search terms used were “dengue” and “coronavirus”. Descriptive analysis with graphical illustrations were used to present the clinical and laboratory parameters of the co-infection.

Results

Thirteen published papers and four news articles were included in the review. Most studies were case reports with a detailed description of the clinical and laboratory characteristics of the co-infection. All cases were in adults with the exception of a six-year old child. The common symptoms of co-infection were fever, dyspnea, headache, and cough. Common laboratory results included thrombocytopenia, lymphocytopenia, elevated transaminases, and leukopenia. Serious outcomes of co-infection included septic shock, acute respiratory disease syndrome and multi-organ failure, leading to death in some patients.

Conclusions

COVID-19 and dengue co-infection was associated with severe disease and fatal outcomes. The correct diagnosis and treatment of co-infection poses a substantial challenge due to the overlapping clinical and laboratory parameters. Therefore, confirmative diagnostic tests are necessary for accurate and timely diagnosis and patient management.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06409-9.

Changing epidemiology of dengue in Sri Lanka-Challenges for the future

BACKGROUND

Dengue infections are on the rise in Sri Lanka and are spreading to all areas in the country. Here, we discuss the changes in dengue epidemiology in Sri Lanka in relation to changes in age distribution, changes in seroprevalence rates over time, and possible reasons contributing to such changes.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Although the incidence of dengue increased 20-fold from the year 2000 to 2012 and a further 3-fold from 2012 to 2019, this increase is not reflected in a similar increase in the age-stratified seropositivity rates for dengue. For instance, the annual seroconversion rates were 0.76% in 2013 and 0.91% in 2017. The annual seroconversion rates in the 6 to 17 age group were 1.5% per year in 2003, 3.9% in 2013, and 4.1% in 2017. In addition, although a 13-fold increase in dengue was seen in those who were <19 years of age, a 52.4-fold increase was seen in the 40- to 59-year age group. The case fatality rates (CFRs) have similarly changed, with 61.8% of deaths occurring in those <19 years of age in the year 2000, while in 2012 to 2018, the highest CFR were seen in those who were aged 20 to 39 years. Although there has been a marked increase in the number of cases, the vector densities did not change during a 4-year period. The proportion of adult individuals experiencing a secondary dengue infection has also remained between 65% and 75% between the years 2004 and 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

A change in the ratio of symptomatic to asymptomatic infections can give rise to changes in the reported incidence of dengue. In order to take an appropriate policy decision in dengue control activities, it would be important to study the changes in virus serotypes, vector dispersion, and densities. Further, the contribution of the rise in metabolic diseases to an increase in the symptomatic as well as more severe infections due to dengue is explored.

Predictors of plasma leakage among dengue patients in Thailand: A plasma-leak score analysis

Delayed plasma leakage recognition could lead to improper fluid administration resulting in dengue shock syndrome, subsequently, multi-organ failure, and death. This prospective observational study was conducted in Bangkok, Thailand, between March 2018 and February 2020 to determine predictors of plasma leakage and develop a plasma leakage predictive score among dengue patients aged ≥15 years. Of 667 confirmed dengue patients, 318 (47.7%) developed plasma leakage, and 349 (52.3%) had no plasma leakage. Multivariate analysis showed three independent factors associated with plasma leakage, including body mass index ≥25.0 kg/m2 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.784; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.040-3.057; P = 0.035), platelet count <100,000/mm3 on fever days 3 to 4 (OR = 2.151; 95% CI = 1.269-3.647; P = 0.004), and aspartate aminotransferase or alanine aminotransferase ≥100 U/l on fever days 3 to 4 (OR = 2.189; 95% CI = 1.231-3.891; P = 0.008). Because these three parameters had evidence of equality, each independent factor was weighted to give a score of 1 with a total plasma-leak score of 3. Higher scores were associated with increased plasma leakage occurrence, with ORs of 2.017 (95% CI = 1.052-3.869; P = 0.035) for score 1, 6.158 (95% CI = 2.914-13.015; P <0.001) for score 2, and 6.300 (95% CI = 2.419-16.407; P <0.001) for score 3. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for predicting plasma leakage was good (0.677 [95% CI = 0.616-0.739]). Patients with a plasma-leak score ≥1 had high sensitivity (88.8%), and those with a plasma-leak score of 3 had high specificity (93.4%) for plasma leakage occurrence. This simple and easily accessible clinical score might help physicians provide early and timely appropriate clinical dengue management in endemic areas.

Risk predictors of progression to severe disease during the febrile phase of dengue: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The ability to accurately predict early progression of dengue to severe disease is crucial for patient triage and clinical management. Previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses have found significant heterogeneity in predictors of severe disease due to large variation in these factors during the time course of the illness. We aimed to identify factors associated with progression to severe dengue disease that are detectable specifically in the febrile phase.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify predictors identifiable during the febrile phase associated with progression to severe disease defined according to WHO criteria. Eight medical databases were searched for studies published from Jan 1, 1997, to Jan 31, 2020. Original clinical studies in English assessing the association of factors detected during the febrile phase with progression to severe dengue were selected and assessed by three reviewers, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. Meta-analyses were done using random-effects models to estimate pooled effect sizes. Only predictors reported in at least four studies were included in the meta-analyses. Heterogeneity was assessed using the Cochrane Q and I2 statistics, and publication bias was assessed by Egger's test. We did subgroup analyses of studies with children and adults. The study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018093363.

FINDINGS

Of 6643 studies identified, 150 articles were included in the systematic review, and 122 articles comprising 25 potential predictors were included in the meta-analyses. Female patients had a higher risk of severe dengue than male patients in the main analysis (2674 [16·2%] of 16 481 vs 3052 [10·5%] of 29 142; odds ratio [OR] 1·13 [95% CI 1·01-1·26) but not in the subgroup analysis of studies with children. Pre-existing comorbidities associated with severe disease were diabetes (135 [31·3%] of 431 with vs 868 [16·0%] of 5421 without; crude OR 4·38 [2·58-7·43]), hypertension (240 [35·0%] of 685 vs 763 [20·6%] of 3695; 2·19 [1·36-3·53]), renal disease (44 [45·8%] of 96 vs 271 [16·0%] of 1690; 4·67 [2·21-9·88]), and cardiovascular disease (nine [23·1%] of 39 vs 155 [8·6%] of 1793; 2·79 [1·04-7·50]). Clinical features during the febrile phase associated with progression to severe disease were vomiting (329 [13·5%] of 2432 with vs 258 [6·8%] of 3797 without; 2·25 [1·87-2·71]), abdominal pain and tenderness (321 [17·7%] of 1814 vs 435 [8·1%] of 5357; 1·92 [1·35-2·74]), spontaneous or mucosal bleeding (147 [17·9%] of 822 vs 676 [10·8%] of 6235; 1·57 [1·13-2·19]), and the presence of clinical fluid accumulation (40 [42·1%] of 95 vs 212 [14·9%] of 1425; 4·61 [2·29-9·26]). During the first 4 days of illness, platelet count was lower (standardised mean difference -0·34 [95% CI -0·54 to -0·15]), serum albumin was lower (-0·5 [-0·86 to -0·15]), and aminotransferase concentrations were higher (aspartate aminotransferase [AST] 1·06 [0·54 to 1·57] and alanine aminotransferase [ALT] 0·73 [0·36 to 1·09]) among individuals who progressed to severe disease. Dengue virus serotype 2 was associated with severe disease in children. Secondary infections (vs primary infections) were also associated with severe disease (1682 [11·8%] of 14 252 with vs 507 [5·2%] of 9660 without; OR 2·26 [95% CI 1·65-3·09]). Although the included studies had a moderate to high risk of bias in terms of study confounding, the risk of bias was low to moderate in other domains. Heterogeneity of the pooled results varied from low to high on different factors.

INTERPRETATION

This analysis supports monitoring of the warning signs described in the 2009 WHO guidelines on dengue. In addition, testing for infecting serotype and monitoring platelet count and serum albumin, AST, and ALT concentrations during the febrile phase of illness could improve the early prediction of severe dengue.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, National Institute for Health Research, Collaborative Project to Increase Production of Rural Doctors, and Royal Thai Government.

Host Factors That Control Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections in Humans and Their Vector

Mosquito-borne viral infections are responsible for a significant degree of morbidity and mortality across the globe due to the severe diseases these infections cause, and they continue to increase each year. These viruses are dependent on the mosquito vector as the primary means of transmission to new vertebrate hosts including avian, livestock, and human populations. Due to the dynamic host environments that mosquito-borne viruses pass through as they are transmitted between vector and vertebrate hosts, there are various host factors that control the response to infection over the course of the pathogen's life cycle. In this review, we discuss these host factors that are present in either vector or vertebrate models during infection, how they vary or are conserved between hosts, and their implications in future research pertaining to disease prevention and treatment.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for intracranial hemorrhage or infarction in patients with dengue

BACKGROUND

Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) or infarction in dengue cases is rare but very challenging for clinicians. We report these uncommon complications of dengue patients and focused on the significant factors associated with ICH or infarction in dengue patients.

METHODS

This investigation was a retrospective study of 182 adult dengue patients who received brain computed tomography at three Taiwan hospitals during the 2014 and 2015 dengue outbreaks. This included 13 hemorrhage cases, 26 infarction cases and 143 cases without brain infarction or hemorrhage.

RESULTS

Among them, 13 (7.14%) suffered from ICH (6 had subdural hemorrhage, 3 had subarachnoid hemorrhage, 1 had subdural and subarachnoid hemorrhage, and 3 had intracerebral hemorrhage) and 26 (14.3%) had brain infarction. The overall mortality rate was 4/13 (30.8%) in the ICH group and 3/26 (11.5%) in the infarction group. The significant variables from the univariate analysis, including difference between 2014 and 2015, age, history of cerebrovascular accident, bone pain, arthralgia, dizziness, altered consciousness, and a higher Charlson comorbidity score. Multivariate analysis revealed that significant risk factors for ICH/infarction in dengue cases were the year of occurrence, 2014 vs. 2015 (p < 0.0001, OR = 25.027, 95% CI = 8.205-76.336), Charlson score >4 (p = 0.01, OR = 3.764, 95% CI = 1.364-10.386) and altered consciousness (p < 0.0001, OR = 6.3, 95% CI = 2.242-17.7). The factors physicians should notice in dengue endemic regions for brain infarction or ICH include altered consciousness and a Charlson score >4, especially in the year that a higher frequency of infarction/ICH was observed.

Risk Factors for Elevated Serum Lipopolysaccharide in Acute Dengue and Association with Clinical Disease Severity

Although serum lipopolysaccharide (LPS) was shown to associate with development of severe dengue, the reasons for high LPS and its subsequent involvement in disease pathogenesis are not known. We assessed serum LPS, C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin in patients with acute dengue fever (DF = 129) and dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF = 64) and correlated these observations with the presence of comorbid illnesses, and clinical disease severity. Serum LPS levels were significantly (p = 0.01) higher in patients with DHF, compared to those with DF. In total, 45 (70%) of those with DHF and 63 (49%) of those with DF had detectable LPS and therefore, the presence of LPS was significantly associated with DHF (p = 0.005, OR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.29 to 4.64). Those with metabolic diseases, 22/29 (75.9%) and those with atopic diseases 17/22 (77.3%) were significantly more likely to have detectable LPS levels (p = 0.025, OR = 2.9, 95% CI-1.17 to 7.59 and p = 0.039, OR = 3.06, 95% CI-1.07 to 7.81 respectively). Those with detectable LPS levels were also more likely to develop shock and severe thrombocytopenia. Patients with detectable LPS were more likely to have elevated CRP levels and were more likely to develop DHF. Procalcitonin levels too were significantly (p = 0.009) higher in those with DHF compared to those with DF and were more likely to be high in those with detectable serum LPS. Since serum LPS levels were higher in patients with DHF and significantly more likely to be present in those with comorbid illnesses, the possible role of LPS in disease pathogenesis should be further investigated.

Dysfunctional Innate Immune Responses and Severe Dengue

Although infection with the dengue virus (DENV) causes severe dengue, it causes a mild self-limiting illness in the majority of individuals. There is emerging evidence that an aberrant immune response in the initial stages of infection lead to severe disease. Many inflammatory cytokines, chemokines, and lipid mediators are significantly higher in patients with severe dengue compared to those who develop mild infection, during febrile phase of illness. Monocytes, mast cells, and many other cells of the immune system, when infected with the DENV, especially in the presence of poorly neutralizing antibodies, leads to production of pro-inflammatory cytokines and inhibition of interferon signaling pathways. In addition, production of immunosuppressive cytokines such as IL-10 further leads to inhibition of cellular antiviral responses. This dysregulated and aberrant immune response leads to reduced clearance of the virus, and severe dengue by inducing a vascular leak and excessive inflammation due to high levels of inflammatory cytokines. Individuals with comorbid illnesses could be prone to more severe dengue due to low grade endotoxemia, gut microbial dysbiosis and an altered phenotype of innate immune cells. The immunosuppressive and inflammatory lipid mediators and altered phenotype of monocytes are likely to further act on T cells and B cells leading to an impaired adaptive immune response to the virus. Therefore, in order to identify therapeutic targets for treatment of dengue, it would be important to further characterize these mechanisms in order for early intervention. In this review, we discuss the differences in the innate immune responses in those who progress to develop severe dengue, compared to those with milder disease in order to understand the mechanisms that lead to severe dengue.

Electrolyte Imbalance at Admission Does Not Predict the Length of Stay or Mortality in Dengue-Infected Patients

Background

A pattern of both clinical and biochemical abnormalities is associated with dengue virus infection (DVI). Among the various DVI-related biochemical defects, electrolyte imbalance is one that can alter the morbidity and mortality among patients. However, there is a dearth of evidence to assess the relationship between electrolyte imbalance and the length of stay or mortality in dengue-infected patients in Pakistan. In the current study, we aimed to investigate the association between electrolyte imbalance at the time of admission and the length of stay and mortality among dengue-infected patients.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study at a large tertiary care hospital from November 2018 to November 2019. All patients with known chronic diseases and coinfections or those who were taking diuretics therapies or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors were excluded. Our main exposure of interest was electrolytes imbalance and the outcome measure was the length of stay and mortality.

Results

A total of 1,008 dengue patients were enrolled with a mean length of stay of 2.56 days. Around 29.3% had hyponatremia and 23.2% had hypokalemia at the time of admission, and 21.9% of patients had a stay beyond three days. In multivariable analysis, hyponatremia [adjusted odds ratios (aOR) = 1.29; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.59-2.84] and hypokalemia (aOR = 2.36; 95% CI: 0.91-6.10) were not found to be associated with the length of stay. However, patients with high troponin levels at admission had a prolonged stay beyond three days (aOR = 5.74; 95% CI: 2.34-14.11). There was a statistically significant association of creatinine levels (aOR = 14.74; 95% CI: 4.19-15.85) and diabetes mellitus (DM) (aOR = 4.36; 95% CI: 1.21-15.74) with mortality after controlling for potential confounders.

Conclusion

Electrolyte imbalance at admission is not a predictor of length of stay or fatalities in the hospital among patients with DVI. However, troponin levels at admission can increase hospitalization days whereas DM and renal injury have been found to worsen mortality rates.

Precursors to non-invasive clinical dengue screening: Multivariate signature analysis of in-vivo diffuse skin reflectance spectroscopy on febrile patients in Malaysia

Dengue diagnostics have come a long way. Attempts at breaking away from lab-oriented dengue detection, such as NS1 antigen, IgM or IgG antibodies detection have extensively received numerous coverage. As a result, rapid detection tests (RDTs) have started to gain inroads in medical practice. Rapid detection tests notwithstanding, analysis of blood serum is still a relatively complicated task. This includes the necessity of phlebotomy, centrifugation for blood serum, and other reagent-based tests. Therefore, a non-invasive method of dengue detection was considered. In this study, we present the utility of diffuse reflectance skin spectroscopy (bandwidth of 200-2500nm) on the forearm during the triaging period for dengue screening potential. This is performed with multivariate analysis of 240 triaged febrile/suspected dengue patients. The data is then scrutinized for its clinical validity to be included as either confirmed or probable dengue, or a control group. Based on discriminant analysis of several data normalization models, we can predict the patients' clinical dengue-positivity at ranges of accuracy between ~93-98% depending on mode of the data, with a probably optimal sensitivity and specificity to the clinical diagnosis of ~89% and ~100% respectively. From the outcomes of this study, we recommend further trials with cautious optimism. With these findings, it is hoped that the elusive non-invasive detection of tropical diseases may gain platform in the near future.

Dengue hemorrhagic fever - A systemic literature review of current perspectives on pathogenesis, prevention and control

BACKGROUND

Dengue is an arboviral disease caused by dengue virus. Symptomatic dengue infection causes a wide range of clinical manifestations, from mild dengue fever (DF) to potentially fatal disease, such as dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). We conducted a literature review to analyze the risks of DHF and current perspectives for DHF prevention and control.

METHODS

According to the PRISMA guidelines, the references were selected from PubMed, Web of Science and Google Scholar database using search strings containing a combination of terms that included dengue hemorrhagic fever, pathogenesis, prevention and control. Quality of references were evaluated by independent reviewers.

RESULTS

DHF was first reported in the Philippines in 1953 and further transmitted to the countries in the region of South-East Asia and Western Pacific. Plasma leakages is the main pathophysiological hallmark that distinguishes DHF from DF. Severe plasma leakage can result in hypovolemic shock. Various factors are thought to impact disease presentation and severity. Virus virulence, preexisting dengue antibodies, immune dysregulation, lipid change and host genetic susceptibility are factors reported to be correlated with the development of DHF. However, the exact reasons and mechanisms that triggers DHF remains controversial. Currently, no specific drugs and licensed vaccines are available to treat dengue disease in any of its clinical presentations.

CONCLUSION

This study concludes that antibody-dependent enhancement, cytokine dysregulation and variation of lipid profiles are correlated with DHF occurrence. Prompt diagnosis, appropriate treatment, active and continuous surveillance of cases and vectors are the essential determinants for dengue prevention and control.

Severe dengue and liver involvement: an overview and review of the literature

Introduction: Two billion population are at risk of dengue fever and by 2080, over six billion population will be at risk. Hepatitis is common in dengue and the liver is invariably involved in severe cases. We conducted a literature review using the PubMed database on articles covering a broad range of issues related to dengue and hepatitis.Areas covered: This article overviews available literature on changes in the definition of severe dengue, pathogenesis of liver involvement in dengue, clinical manifestations, and predictors of mortality in severe dengue with liver involvement, impact of viral hepatitis co-infections and hepatotoxic drugs, and hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis.Expert commentary: Hepatitis is commonly seen in dengue however the degree of elevation of transaminases did not correlate well with severity of illness in observational studies, except in the elderly. The underlying pathogenesis of liver injury is still being elucidated and further studies are required to fully understand the cellular pathways. Acute or chronic viral hepatitis does not appear to affect dengue outcomes. Commonly used medications such as paracetamol and statins may influence dengue outcomes.

Impaired production of immune mediators in dengue virus type 2-infected mononuclear cells of adults with end stage renal disease

Chronic kidney disease is an epidemiologically identified risk factor for development of severe dengue in dengue-affected patients. However, available data on the immune pathogenesis in end stage renal disease (ESRD) patients affected by dengue is insufficient. We performed an in vitro study to evaluate the sequential immunological reactions and viral load in dengue virus type 2-infected mononuclear cells of patients with ESRD (n = 34) and in healthy controls (n = 30). The concentrations of interleukins (IL)-1 receptor antagonist (Ra), IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p40, granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF), monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1), macrophage inflammatory protein-1b (MIP-1b), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α and viral load cycle threshold (Ct) were measured in the dengue virus type 2-infected mononuclear cells at 6 h, 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h post-infection. We found in the ESRD group significantly higher GM-CSF and IL-2 levels at 6 h post-infection. However, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p40, TNF-α, MCP-1, and MIP-1b levels were found significantly lower than in the control group. At 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h post-infection, significantly lower levels of IL-1Ra, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p40, TNF-α, MCP-1, and MIP-1b were detected in ESRD group. Concentration of VEGF at 24 h and 48 h, and of GM-CSF at 48 h and 72 h were also found to be lower in ESRD group than in control group. Compared with controls, the viral load Ct values were significantly lower in ESRD group at 6 h and 24 h post-infection No significant difference in viral load Ct values between two groups was found at 48 h and 72 h post-infection. Our study discloses that the expression of immune mediators of dengue-infected mononuclear cells is impaired in ESRD patients.

Imported dengue in Spain: a nationwide analysis with predictive time series analyses

BACKGROUND

Of febrile illnesses in Europe, dengue is second only to malaria as a cause of travellers being hospitalized. Local transmission has been reported in several European countries, including Spain. This study assesses the evolution of dengue-related admissions in Spain in terms of time, geographical distribution and individuals' common characteristics; it also creates a predictive model to evaluate the risk of local transmission.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study using the Hospital Discharge Records Database from 1997 to 2016. We calculated hospitalization rates and described clinical characteristics. Spatial distribution and temporal behaviour were also assessed, and a predictive time series model was created to estimate expected cases in the near future. Figures for resident foreign population, Spanish residents' trips to endemic regions and the expansion of Aedes albopictus were also evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 588 dengue-related admissions were recorded: 49.6% were women, and the mean age was 34.3 years. One person died (0.2%), 82% presented with mild-to-moderate dengue and 7-8% with severe dengue. We observed a trend of steady and consistent increase in incidence (P < 0.05), in parallel with the increase in trips to dengue-endemic regions. Most admissions occurred during the summer, showing significant seasonality with 3-year peaks. We also found important regional differences. According to the predictive time series analysis, a continuing increase in imported dengue incidence can be expected in the near future, which, in the worst case scenario (upper 95% confidence interval), would mean an increase of 65% by 2025.

CONCLUSION

We present a nationwide study based on hospital, immigration, travel and entomological data. The constant increase in dengue-related hospitalizations, in combination with wider vector distribution, could imply a higher risk of autochthonous dengue transmission in the years to come. Strengthening the human and vector surveillance systems is a necessity, as are improvements in control measures, in the education of the general public and in fostering their collaboration in order to reduce the impact of imported dengue and to prevent the occurrence of autochthonous cases.

Warning signs and severe dengue in end stage renal disease dialysis patients

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The 2009 WHO guideline established warning signs (WS) to predict severe dengue (SD). However, their positive predictive value has been found to be low in the general adult population, but they might be higher in a different population. This study investigated the association between WS and SD in end stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on maintenance dialysis in Taiwan where both diseases are prevalent.

METHODS

This study enrolled ESRD dialysis patients with dengue in 2015. Demographic, laboratory data, symptoms/signs and complication of dengue were retrospectively collected from medical records at our hospital.

RESULTS

Of 49 ESRD patients with dengue, 44 patients were receiving hemodialysis and 5 peritoneal dialysis. Older patients (>65 years old) tended to have the WS(56% vs 16.7%, P = 0.007). The rate of hospitalization, intensive care unit admission and in-hospital mortality was 79.6%, 22.5%, and 8.2%, respectively. Eighteen patients (36.7%) presented WS and eighteen patients (36.7%) developed to SD, including ten with plasma leakage, twelve with hemorrhage, and six with organ failure. Patients with WS were seven times more likely to develop SD than those without (OR: 7.06; 95%CI: 1.34-37.21). WS was associated with plasma leakage (OR: 12.36; 95% CI: 1.56-97.74) and severe hemorrhage (OR: 5.1; 95% CI: 1.03-25.18), but not organ failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevalence of SD is high in ESRD dialysis patients. The presence of WSs in this group was highly correlated with SD. Thus, more attention should be paid to treating ESRD patients with dengue fever if they present WSs.

Profile of the 2016 dengue outbreak in Nepal

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to obtain clinical, virological and demographic data detailing the 2016 dengue outbreak in Nepal.

RESULTS

Dengue disease was first reported in Nepal in 2004 and several major outbreaks have occurred since then, with a significant impact on public health. An outbreak of dengue fever occurred in Nepal during June to November 2016, with a peak number of cases reported in September. 1473 patients with laboratory confirmed DENV infections visited or were admitted to hospitals during this period. The most common clinical symptoms included fever, headache, joint pain and thrombocytopenia. Serotyping of 75 serum samples from patients having fever for less than 4 days was carried out with a dengue virus (DENV) serotype-specific RT-PCR strategy. Our results indicate that the dengue outbreak in Nepal during 2016 was caused predominantly, if not exclusively, by DENV-1, representing a shift in the prevailing serotype from DENV-2, the dominant serotype characterizing the 2013 dengue epidemic in Nepal. Hopefully, this report will assist Nepalese public health agencies in developing improved dengue-related programs including mosquito-vector control, DENV surveillance, and diagnosis and treatment of dengue fever patients, in order to reduce the impact of future dengue epidemics.