Predictors of in-hospital shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following rupture of cerebral aneurysms

Effect of External Ventricular Drainage on Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus and Prognosis After Microsurgical Clipping in Patients with Poor-Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

In poor-grade aneurysm subarachnoid hemorrhage (PaSAH), the use of external ventricular drainage (EVD) may be closely related to the occurrence of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC). The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of EVD on SDHC and prognosis after microsurgically clipping patients with PaSAH.

METHODS

The clinical data of 99 patients with PaSAH admitted to the 904th Hospital of People's Liberation Army from October 2011 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to clarify the relationship between EVD implantation and its drainage volume and SDHC after PaSAH. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted to compare the prognostic efficiency of different drainage volumes on SDHC. Modified Poisson regression analysis was used to determine the effect of SDHC on prognosis after PaSAH.

RESULTS

EVD implantation increased the risk of SDHC (odds ratio = 6.715, 95% confidence interval 1.120-40.248, P = 0.037). The increased drainage volume on day 1, mean daily drainage volume within 2 days, and average within 3 days increased the risk of SDHC. EVD drainage volume on the first postoperative day has a good predictive ability for SDHC after PaSAH, with an area under the curve of 0.829 (95% confidence interval 0.731-0.928); the optimal cut-off value was 208 ml, with a sensitivity of 79.4%, a specificity of 81.6%, and a Youden index of 0.61. The occurrence of SDHC after aneurysm clipping significantly increases the risk of poor prognosis of PaSAH.

CONCLUSIONS

EVD implantation is an independent risk factor for SDHC after PaSAH, and a large drainage volume in the first 3 days after EVD implantation is an independent risk factor for SDHC after PaSAH. The drainage volume on the first day after surgery is the best predictor of SDHC after PaSAH. SDHC after PaSAH is the strongest independent risk factor for poor prognosis and prolongs hospital stay.

Risk factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after subarachnoid hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta-analysis based on observational cohort studies

Shunt dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) is a common sequel after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and factors contributing to the development of SDHC remain obscure. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of SDHC following aSAH. We conducted a systematic review based on the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines. We searched electronic databases including Pubmed, Embase, and Cochrane databases from 1980 through August 2019 for studies on the risk factors of SDHC after aSAH. Inclusion criteria were: (1) SAH and hydrocephalus confirmed by CT or magnetic resonance imaging findings; (2) the odds ratios (ORs) or the relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI; or crude data that allowed their calculation) were reported; and (3) languages were restricted to English and Chinese. Two independent authors collected the data including study design, characteristics of patients and potential risk factors. Random-effects models were used to estimate weighted mean differences (WMD), relative risks (RR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). For analysis with significant heterogeneity, subgroup analyses stratified by study design and geographic area were performed. In all, 37 cohort studies met inclusion criteria. Several factors were associated with SDHC. Infection, acute hydrocephalus, placement of external ventricular drainage, older age, higher Hunt and Hess grade, intraventricular hemorrhage, rebleeding, and mechanical ventilation were associated with greater 2-fold increased risk of SDHC. Vasospasm, female gender, high Fisher grade, preexisting hypertension, aneurysm in posterior location and intracerebral hemorrhage were associated with less than 2-fold increased risk. Treatment modality and diabetes mellitus were not associated with SDHC. SDHC is a multi-factorial disease that is associated with patient and treatment factors. Acknowledgement of these potential factors could help prevent SDHC.

Proteomic profile and predictive markers of outcome in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The molecular mechanisms underlying development of posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus (PHH) following subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) remain incompletely understood. Consequently, treatment strategies tailored towards the individual patient remain limited. This study aimed to identify proteomic cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers capable of predicting shunt dependency and functional outcome in patients with SAH in order to improve informed clinical decision making.

METHODS

Ventricular CSF samples were collected twice from 23 patients with SAH who required external ventricular drain (EVD) insertion (12 patients with successful EVD weaning, 11 patients in need of permanent CSF shunting due to development of PHH). The paired CSF samples were collected acutely after ictus and later upon EVD removal. Cisternal CSF samples were collected from 10 healthy control subjects undergoing vascular clipping of an unruptured aneurysm. All CSF samples were subjected to mass spectrometry-based proteomics analysis. Proteomic biomarkers were quantified using area under the curve (AUC) estimates from a receiver operating curve (ROC).

RESULTS

CSF from patients with SAH displayed a distinct proteomic profile in comparison to that of healthy control subjects. The CSF collected acutely after ictus from patients with SAH was moreover distinct from that collected weeks later but appeared similar in the weaned and shunted patient groups. Sixteen unique proteins were identified as potential predictors of shunt dependency, while three proteins were identified as potential predictors of functional outcome assessed six months after ictus with the modified Rankin Scale.

CONCLUSIONS

We here identified several potential proteomic biomarkers in CSF from patients with SAH capable of predicting (i) shunt dependency and thus development of PHH and (ii) the functional outcome assessed six months after ictus. These proteomic biomarkers may have the potential to aid clinical decision making by predicting shunt dependency and functional outcome following SAH.

Enhancing the prediction for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage using a machine learning approach

Early and reliable prediction of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) may decrease the duration of in-hospital stay and reduce the risk of catheter-associated meningitis. Machine learning (ML) may improve predictions of SDHC in comparison to traditional non-ML methods. ML models were trained for CHESS and SDASH and two combined individual feature sets with clinical, radiographic, and laboratory variables. Seven different algorithms were used including three types of generalized linear models (GLM) as well as a tree boosting (CatBoost) algorithm, a Naive Bayes (NB) classifier, and a multilayer perceptron (MLP) artificial neural net. The discrimination of the area under the curve (AUC) was classified (0.7 ≤ AUC < 0.8, acceptable; 0.8 ≤ AUC < 0.9, excellent; AUC ≥ 0.9, outstanding). Of the 292 patients included with aSAH, 28.8% (n = 84) developed SDHC. Non-ML-based prediction of SDHC produced an acceptable performance with AUC values of 0.77 (CHESS) and 0.78 (SDASH). Using combined feature sets with more complex variables included than those incorporated in the scores, the ML models NB and MLP reached excellent performances, with an AUC of 0.80, respectively. After adding the amount of CSF drained within the first 14 days as a late feature to ML-based prediction, excellent performances were reached in the MLP (AUC 0.81), NB (AUC 0.80), and tree boosting model (AUC 0.81). ML models may enable clinicians to reliably predict the risk of SDHC after aSAH based exclusively on admission data. Future ML models may help optimize the management of SDHC in aSAH by avoiding delays in clinical decision-making.

2023 Guideline for the Management of Patients With Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Guideline From the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association

AIM

The "2023 Guideline for the Management of Patients With Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage" replaces the 2012 "Guidelines for the Management of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage." The 2023 guideline is intended to provide patient-centric recommendations for clinicians to prevent, diagnose, and manage patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

A comprehensive search for literature published since the 2012 guideline, derived from research principally involving human subjects, published in English, and indexed in MEDLINE, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline, was conducted between March 2022 and June 2022. In addition, the guideline writing group reviewed documents on related subject matter previously published by the American Heart Association. Newer studies published between July 2022 and November 2022 that affected recommendation content, Class of Recommendation, or Level of Evidence were included if appropriate. Structure: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage is a significant global public health threat and a severely morbid and often deadly condition. The 2023 aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage guideline provides recommendations based on current evidence for the treatment of these patients. The recommendations present an evidence-based approach to preventing, diagnosing, and managing patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, with the intent to improve quality of care and align with patients' and their families' and caregivers' interests. Many recommendations from the previous aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage guidelines have been updated with new evidence, and new recommendations have been created when supported by published data.

Inflammatory Markers as Predictors of Shunt Dependency and Functional Outcome in Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

The mechanisms underlying post-hemorrhagic hydrocephalus (PHH) development following subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) are not fully understood, which complicates informed clinical decisions regarding the duration of external ventricular drain (EVD) treatment and prevents the prediction of shunt-dependency in the individual patient. The aim of this study was to identify potential inflammatory cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers of PHH and, thus, shunt-dependency and functional outcome in patients with SAH. This study was a prospective observational study designed to evaluate inflammatory markers in ventricular CSF. In total, 31 Patients with SAH who required an EVD between June 2019 and September 2021 at the Department of Neurosurgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark, were included. CSF samples were collected twice from each patient and analyzed for 92 inflammatory markers via proximity extension assay (PEA), and the prognostic ability of the markers was investigated. In total, 12 patients developed PHH, while 19 were weaned from their EVD. Their 6-month functional outcome was determined with the modified Rankin Scale. Of the 92 analyzed inflammatory biomarkers, 79 were identified in the samples. Seven markers (SCF, OPG, LAP TGFβ1, Flt3L, FGF19, CST5, and CSF1) were found to be predictors of shunt dependency, and four markers (TNFα, CXCL5, CCL20, and IL8) were found to be predictors of functional outcome. In this study, we identified promising inflammatory biomarkers that are able to predict (i) the functional outcome in patients with SAH and (ii) the development of PHH and, thus, the shunt dependency of the individual patients. These inflammatory markers may have the potential to be employed as predictive biomarkers of shunt dependency and functional outcome following SAH and could, as such, be applied in the clinic.

Is sex a predictor for delayed cerebral ischaemia (DCI) and hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH)? A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

DCI and hydrocephalus are the most common complications that predict poor outcomes after aSAH. The relationship between sex, DCI and hydrocephalus are not well established; thus, we aimed to examine sex differences in DCI and hydrocephalus following aSAH in a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted using the PubMed, Scopus and Medline databases from inception to August 2022 to identify cohort, case control, case series and clinical studies reporting sex and DCI, acute and chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC). Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool estimates for available studies.

RESULTS

There were 56 studies with crude estimates for DCI and meta-analysis showed that women had a greater risk for DCI than men (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.11-1.39). The meta-analysis for adjusted estimates for 9 studies also showed an association between sex and DCI (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.27-2.05). For acute hydrocephalus, only 9 studies were included, and meta-analysis of unadjusted estimates showed no association with sex (OR 0.95, 95%CI 0.78-1.16). For SDHC, a meta-analysis of crude estimates from 53 studies showed that women had a somewhat greater risk of developing chronic hydrocephalus compared to men (OR 1.14, 95% CI 0.99-1.31). In meta-analysis for adjusted estimates from 5 studies, no association of sex with SDHC was observed (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.57-1.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Female sex is associated with the development of DCI; however, an association between sex and hydrocephalus was not detected. Strategies to target females to reduce the development of DCI may decrease overall morbidity and mortality after aSAH.

Trends in Utilization of Temporary and Permanent Cerebrospinal Fluid Diversion and Catheter Cerebral Angiography for Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in the United States

INTRODUCTION

We sought to analyze the rate of utilization of methods of cerebrospinal fluid diversion over time in a nationally representative cohort of patients admitted with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

METHODS

The Nationwide Inpatient Sample was queried for patients admitted with aSAH from 2006 to 2018. Patients who received external ventricular drainage (EVD), lumbar drainage, ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS), and cerebral angiography were then identified. A Cochrane-Armitage test was conducted to assess the linear trend of proportions of EVD, lumbar drains, VPS, and mean cerebral angiograms per admission. Four regression analyses were conducted to infer the association of baseline variables to EVD, lumbar drain, VPS, and mean number of cerebral angiographies.

RESULTS

A total of 133,567 admissions were identified from 2006-2018 involving aSAH. Of these, 41.82% received EVD, 6.22% received lumbar drainage, 10.58% received VPS, and 75.03% had cerebral angiograms. There was an average upward trend of 1.57% in annual EVD utilization, downward trend of -0.28% in utilization of lumbar drainage, no changes in VPS utilization, and an upward trend of 0.04 angiograms per year (P < 0.001). There was a higher proportion of Black patients treated with EVD and VPS in both urban teaching hospitals and large hospitals.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show the temporal trends in utilization of temporary and permanent methods of cerebrospinal fluid diversion and catheter cerebral angiography among patients with aSAH in the United States. The underutilization of VPS following EVD and the differences in EVD and VPS utilization depending on race and hospital size deserve further exploration.

The MAI score: A novel score to early predict shunt-dependent hydrocephalus in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage after surgery

OBJECTIVE

As a chronic complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage(aSAH), Shunt dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) often leads to severe neurological deficits. At present, risk factors of SDHC after aSAH are being refined. So this study aims to investigate independent risk factors and develop a novel score to identify early the patients who require a permanent shunt.

METHOD

Five hundred twenty-four patients treated in the first affiliated hospital of Harbin medical university from March 2019 to March 2021 were analyzed. We collected clinical and radiographic data of patients within 72 h after the ictus. The relevant factors were firstly analyzed by univariate analysis, and the significant factors (p < 0.05) were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis to obtain the independent risk factors with statistical differences. The MAI score was established based on the contribution of different independent risk factors to the outcome. the new score was validated in another cohort (97 patients with aSAH from April and June 2021).

RESULT

We enrolled 524 aneurysm patients and 41(7.82%) patients who underwent ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) after aneurysm treatment. Based on univariate and multivariate analysis, Acute Hydrocephalus (OR 6.498,:95% confidence interval (CI) 1.98-21.33, p = 0.002), Intraventricular hemorrhage (OR 3.55,:95%CI 1.189-10.599, p = 0.023) and Modified Fisher score ≥ 3 (OR 5.846, 95%CI 2.649-12.900, p = 0.001) were independent risk factors. The novel score was assigned according to the contribution of different independent risk factors to the results. The MAI score: Modified Fisher grade ≥ 3 (1 point), Acute Hydrocephalus (1 point), Intraventricular hemorrhage (1 point). In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the area under the curve (AUC) for the MAI score is 0.773 (p < 0.0001, 95%CI 0.686-0.861). Patients scoring 2-3 MAI points showed a 10-fold higher risk for shunt dependency than patients scoring 0-1 MAI points (p < 0.001). We performed internal validation of the MAI scoring system. The scoring system reliably predicted SDHC after aSAH. The AUC of the internal validation was 0.950 (p ＝ 0.002, 95%CI 0.863-1.000).

CONCLUSION

We develop a novel score based on univariate and multivariate analysis. The effectiveness of the MAI score has been confirmed in this study, which can more accurately predict SDHC after aASH and can be widely used in clinical practice. Prospective studies are needed for validation in the future.

Assessment of Sustained Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome and CSF Markers as Predictive Values Associated with Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Aim of the study: This study was conducted to detect incidence and risk factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus, including Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome. Patients and methods: After obtaining ethical approval from the research ethics committee of Cairo University, this study was conducted in two phases, phase I in the form of follow up study to detect the incidence of shunt dependent hydrocephalus in patients with ruptured subarachnoid aneurysm then phase II in the form of comparative one to detect the risk factors of acquisition of shunt dependent hydrocephalus and detect the predictive role of SIRS in SDH. The study included 90 patients with ruptured subarachnoid aneurysms followed up in the department of neurosurgery of Cairo university hospital from April 2018 to April 2020. Results: The incidence of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus was 28% among the studied patients with significant association with high-grade SIRS, Fisher score, Hunt and Hess score, and leukocytosis. The CSF white blood cells and protein were significantly higher in the hydrocephalus group. Also, there was significant hypernatremia among the hydrocephalic group. Conclusion: Despite the study's analytical design, we observed a link between high fisher, SIRS, hypernatremia, and shunt-dependent hydrocephalus in aneurysmal SAH patients. Serum sodium, CSF WBCs, and protein may all be used to predict HC.

Quantitative Modeling of External Ventricular Drain Output to Predict Shunt Dependency in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Acute hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH); however, attempts to predict shunt-dependent chronic hydrocephalus using clinical parameters have been equivocal.

METHODS

Cohort study of aSAH is treated with external ventricular drainage (EVD) placement at our institution, 2001-2016, via logistic regression. EVD-related parameters included mean/total EVD output (days 0-2), EVD days, EVD days ≤ 5 mmHg, and wean/clamp fails. aSAH outcomes assessed included ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) placement, delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), radiographic infarction (RI), symptomatic vasospasm (SV), age, and aSAH grades.

RESULTS

Two hundred and ten aSAH patients underwent EVD treatment for a median 12 days (range 1-54); 85 required VPS (40%). On univariate analysis, EVD output, total EVD days, EVD days ≤ 5 mmHg, and wean/clamp trial failures were significantly associated with VPS placement (p < 0.01 for all parameters). No EVD output parameter demonstrated a significant association with DCI, RI, or SV. On multivariate analysis, EVD output was a significant predictor of VPS placement, after adjusting for age and clinical and radiological grades; the optimal threshold for predicting VPS placement was mean daily output > 204 ml on days 0-2 (OR 2.59, 95% CI 1.31-5.07). Multiple wean failures were associated with unfavorable functional outcome, after adjusting for age, grade, and VPS placement (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.10-2.47). We developed a score incorporating age, grade and EVD parameters (MAGE) for predicting VPS placement after aSAH.

CONCLUSIONS

EVD output parameters and wean/clamp trial failures predicted shunt dependence in an age- and grade-adjusted multivariable model. Early VPS placement may be warranted in patients with MAGE score ≥ 4, particularly following 2 failed wean trials.

Gram-Negative Ventriculostomy-Associated Infections Predict Shunt Dependency in Stroke Diagnoses and Other Brain Injuries

BACKGROUND

Several predictors have been studied for shunt dependency after stroke and other brain injuries. However, little is known about the association between ventriculostomy-associated infections (VAIs) and impaired cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) outflow. Moreover, gram-negative (GN) VAIs induce a potent neuroinflammatory process and are clinically challenging to treat.

OBJECTIVE

To assess if GN-VAIs predict ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) dependency.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of postprocedure infection rates was performed in 586 patients with external ventricle drainage (EVD) placed on site between 2012 and 2018. We collected sex, age, stroke and nonstroke related, location of EVD placement, type of hospital, EVD duration, and EVD exchange.

RESULTS

Among 586 patients requiring an EVD, 55 developed a VAI. Most were caused by gram-positive (GP) pathogens (61.8%). A total of 120 patients required a conversion from EVD to VPS. Patients with VAIs had higher rates of VPS placement (49.09% vs 17.65%, P < .001), whereas patients with GN-VAIs had significantly higher rates of EVD conversion to VPS (77.78% vs 35.29%, P = .012) compared with GP-VAIs. The multivariate analysis showed that GN-VAIs were an independent predictor for shunt dependency (odds ratio = 12.896; 95% CI 3.407-48.82, P < .001). In receiver operating characteristics analysis, those less than 44.5 yr of age and more than 12 d of EVD duration were identified as the best cutoff values to discriminate the development of GN-VAI.

CONCLUSION

Patients who experience a GN VAI are in greater risk of impaired CSF outflow, thus requiring VPS placement.

Predictors of Ventriculoperitoneal shunting following Subarachnoid Hemorrhage treated with External Ventricular Drainage

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is commonly associated with hydrocephalus due to subarachnoid hemorrhage blood products obstructing cerebrospinal fluid outflow. Hydrocephalus after aSAH is routinely managed with temporary external ventricular drainage (EVD) followed by standard EVD weaning protocols, which determine the need for ventriculoperitoneal shunting (VPS). We sought to investigate aSAH patients who initially passed EVD weaning trials and had EVD removal, but later presented with recurrent, delayed, symptomatic hydrocephalus requiring a VPS.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of all patients at our tertiary care medical center who presented with aSAH, requiring an EVD. We analyzed variables associated with ultimate VPS dependency during hospitalization.

RESULTS

We reviewed 489 patients with aSAH over a 6-year period (2008-2014). One hundred and thirty-eight (28.2%) developed hydrocephalus requiring a temporary EVD. Forty-four (31.9%) of these patients died or had withdrawal of care during admission, and were excluded from final analysis. Of the remaining 94 patients, 29 (30.9%) failed their clamp trial and required VPS. Sixty-five (69.1%) patients passed their clamp trial and were discharged without a VPS. However, 10 (15.4%) of these patients developed delayed hydrocephalus after discharge and ultimately required VPS [mean (range) days after discharge, 97.2 (35-188)]. Compared to early VPS, the delayed VPS group had a higher incidence of symptomatic vasospasm (90.0% vs 51.7%; P = 0.03). When comparing patients discharged from the hospital without VPS, delayed VPS patients also had higher 6- and 12-month mortality (P = 0.02) and longer EVD clamp trials (P < 0.01) than patients who never required VPS but had an EVD during hospitalization. Delayed hydrocephalus occurred in only 7.8% of patients who passed the initial EVD clamp trial, compared to 14.3% who failed the initial trial and 80.0% who failed 2 or more trials.

CONCLUSION

Patients who failed their initial or subsequent EVD clamp trials had a small, but increased risk of developing delayed hydrocephalus ultimately requiring VPS. Additionally, the majority of patients who presented with delayed hydrocephalus also suffered symptomatic vasospasm. These associations should be further explored and validated in a larger prospective study.

The Pathogenesis of Hydrocephalus Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and reportedly contributes to poor neurological outcomes. In this review, we summarize the molecular and cellular mechanisms involved in the pathogenesis of hydrocephalus following aSAH and summarize its treatment strategies. Various mechanisms have been implicated for the development of chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH, including alterations in cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) dynamics, obstruction of the arachnoid granulations by blood products, and adhesions within the ventricular system. Regarding molecular mechanisms that cause chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH, we carried out an extensive review of animal studies and clinical trials about the transforming growth factor-β/SMAD signaling pathway, upregulation of tenascin-C, inflammation-dependent hypersecretion of CSF, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and immune dysregulation. To identify the ideal treatment strategy, we discuss the predictive factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus between surgical clipping and endovascular coiling groups. The efficacy and safety of other surgical interventions including the endoscopic removal of an intraventricular hemorrhage, placement of an external ventricular drain, the use of intraventricular or cisternal fibrinolysis, and an endoscopic third ventriculostomy on shunt dependency following aSAH were also assessed. However, the optimal treatment is still controversial, and it necessitates further investigations. A better understanding of the pathogenesis of acute and chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH would facilitate the development of treatments and improve the outcome.

Scoring Model to Predict Functional Outcome in Poor-Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background: Patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), defined as World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grades IV–V have high rates of disability and mortality. The objective of this study was to accurately prognosticate the outcomes of patients with poor-grade aSAH by developing a new scoring model.

Methods: A total of 147 poor-grade aSAH patients in our center were enrolled. Risk variables identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to devise a scoring model (total score, 0–9 points). The scores were estimated on the basis of β coefficients. A cohort of 68 patients from another institute was used to validate the model.

Results: Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that modified Fisher grade >2 [odds ratio [OR], 2.972; P = 0.034], age ≥65 years (OR, 3.534; P = 0.006), conservative treatment (OR, 5.078; P = 0.019), WFNS grade V (OR, 2.638; P = 0.029), delayed cerebral ischemia (OR, 3.170; P = 0.016), shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (OR, 3.202; P = 0.032), and cerebral herniation (OR, 7.337; P < 0.001) were significant predictors for poor prognosis [modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≥3]. A scoring system was constructed by the integration of these factors and divided the poor-grade aSAH patients into three categories: low risk (0–1 points), intermediate risk (2–3 points), and high risk (4–9 points), with predicted risks of poor prognosis of 11, 52, and 87%, respectively (P < 0.001). The area under the curve in the derivation cohort was 0.844 (95% CI, 0.778–0.909). The AUC in the validation cohort was 0.831 (95% CI, 0.732–0.929).

Conclusions: The new scoring model can improve prognostication and help decision-making for subsequent complementary treatment in patients with aSAH.

Neurovascular disease, diagnosis, and therapy: Subarachnoid hemorrhage and cerebral vasospasm

The worldwide incidence of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage is about 6.1 per 100,000 cases per year (Etminan et al., 2019). Eighty-five percent of cases are due to intracranial aneurysms. The mean age of those affected is 55 years, and two-thirds of the patients are female. The prognosis is related mainly to the neurologic condition after the subarachnoid hemorrhage and the age of the patient. Overall, 15% of patients die before reaching the hospital, another 20% die within 30 days, and overall 75% are dead or remain disabled. Case fatality has declined by 17% over the last 3 decades. Despite the improvement in outcome probably due to improved diagnosis, early aneurysm repair, administration of nimodipine, and advanced intensive care support, the outcome is not very good. Even among survivors, 75% have permanent cognitive deficits, mood disorders, fatigue, inability to return to work, and executive dysfunction and are often unable to return to their premorbid level of functioning. The key diagnostic test is computed tomography, and the treatments that are most strongly supported by scientific evidence are to undertake aneurysm repair in a timely fashion by endovascular coiling rather than neurosurgical clipping when feasible and to administer enteral nimodipine. The most common complications are aneurysm rebleeding, hydrocephalus, delayed cerebral ischemia, and medical complications (fever, anemia, and hyperglycemia). Management also probably is optimized by neurologic intensive care units and multidisciplinary teams.

Development of machine learning models to prognosticate chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus significantly complicates subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and reliable prognosis methods have been sought in recent years to reduce morbidity and costs associated with delayed treatment or neglected onset. Machine learning (ML) defines modern data analysis techniques allowing accurate subject-based risk stratifications. We aimed at developing and testing different ML models to predict shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal SAH.

METHODS

We consulted electronic records of patients with aneurysmal SAH treated at our institution between January 2013 and March 2019. We selected variables for the models according to the results of the previous works on this topic. We trained and tested four ML algorithms on three datasets: one containing binary variables, one considering variables associated with shunt-dependency after an explorative analysis, and one including all variables. For each model, we calculated AUROC, specificity, sensitivity, accuracy, PPV, and also, on the validation set, the NPV and the Matthews correlation coefficient (ϕ).

RESULTS

Three hundred eighty-six patients were included. Fifty patients (12.9%) developed shunt-dependency after a mean follow-up of 19.7 (± 12.6) months. Complete information was retrieved for 32 variables, used to train the models. The best models were selected based on the performances on the validation set and were achieved with a distributed random forest model considering 21 variables, with a ϕ = 0.59, AUC = 0.88; sensitivity and specificity of 0.73 (C.I.: 0.39-0.94) and 0.92 (C.I.: 0.84-0.97), respectively; PPV = 0.59 (0.38-0.77); and NPV = 0.96 (0.90-0.98). Accuracy was 0.90 (0.82-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning prognostic models allow accurate predictions with a large number of variables and a more subject-oriented prognosis. We identified a single best distributed random forest model, with an excellent prognostic capacity (ϕ = 0.58), which could be especially helpful in identifying low-risk patients for shunt-dependency.

Review of CHESS Score in SAH Patients in Local Malaysian Population

Background  Chronic hydrocephalus caused by subarachnoid hemorrhage is a reversible and treatable condition. To date, existing clinical scores for predicting the development of posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus are few and difficult to apply in the clinical settings. Chronic hydrocephalus ensuing subarachnoid hemorrhage score (CHESS) was first published in 2016. Although it showed promising results, no external validation has been done outside Europe. We designed this study to validate the accuracy and reliability of CHESS score and to also look for other factors that may cause posthemorrhagic shunt dependent hydrocephalus.

Objectives  This study is to determine the reliability of CHESS score and to look for other parameters with predictive value in patients with shunt-dependent posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus.

Results  Thirty-one percent of the studied population developed shunt-dependent hydrocephalus ( n = 41). CHESS score showed an odds ratio (OR) of 2.184 with p -value < 0.001 and two other risk factors were found to be strongly related to develop shunt-dependent hydrocephalus, that is, early infarct in computed tomography (CT) brain (OR = 0.182; p -value = 0.004) and Fisher’s grade > 3 (OR = 1.986; p -value = 0.047). The sensitivity and specificity for CHESS score in this cohort population showed a sensitivity of 73.2% and specificity of 93.3%. The area under the curve for CHESS score in our cohort is 0.922.

Conclusion  CHESS score is a reliable tool in early prediction of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus post subarachnoid hemorrhage.

III. Ventricle diameter increase during ventricular drainage challenge - A predictor of shunt dependency after subarachnoid hemorrhage

Hydrocephalus with the need for shunt placement is a common sequela after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). In 2009 Chan et al. published a formula to predict shunt dependency in SAH patients, the failure risk index (FRI). We reevaluated the FRI within the aSAH population in our hospital and wanted to identify easier measurements forecast shunt dependency. We retrospectively analyzed data from patients with aSAH treated in our neuro-intensive care unit and calculated the FRI according to the paper by Chan et al. 2013 and data were compared to the results of Chan et al. 38 patients were included in this study, 24 female and 14 male. 38% suffered a SAH WFNS I, 19% WFNS II, 24% WFNS III, 5% WFNS IV and 14% WFNS V. 17 patients underwent a shunt implantation (group 1), 21 patients did not (group 2). The calculated FRI Index did not correlate with the expectancy of shunt implantation in 22% of the cases (group 1). In group 2 the FRI index and the prediction of shunt dependency did not match in 33% of the cases. Furthermore, we found the increase of the third ventricle diameter to be predictive in 67% for failed EVD challenge and the decrease of the third ventricle diameter predictive in 67% for successful EVD challenge. In this study, we were not able to confirm the results of the FRI designed by Chan et al within our patient population. Furthermore, we consider the increase of the third ventricle diameter to be a simpler and more reliable predictor of shunt dependency.

The risk factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after subarachnoid space hemorrhage of intracranial aneurysms

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) which indicated intensive care unit stay and unfavorable outcome. Our aim is to study the risk factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid space hemorrhage. Patients with intracranial aneurysms treated in our department from January 2014 to October 2018 were included in the study. Patients' age, gender, history of hypertension and diabetes, location of aneurysms, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score, Hunt-Hess grading, intraventricular hemorrhage, therapeutic option, shunt placement, clinical outcome, length of stay were analyzed. The follow-up period was 1 to 5 years. Statistics included Chi-squared, Student t test, 1-way analysis of variance, Pearson correlation coefficient, and multivariate logistic regression. About 845 cases with intracranial aneurysms treated in our department were included in the study. The mean age was 52.19 ± 9.51 years and the sex ratio was 317/528. About 14.3% (121/845) of the patients developed shunt-dependent hydrocephalus in the follow-up period. According to our results, older than 60, Hunt-Hess grading, GCS, coma, posterior circulation aneurysm, external ventricular drainage, and decompress craniotomy were risk factors of shunt dependency (P < .05). Moreover, older than 60, GCS 3 to 8, Hunt-Hess 3 to 5, and posterior circulation aneurysm were the independent risk factors of shunt dependency. Moreover, shunt dependency was related to longer hospital stay and unfavorable outcome (P < .05). In conclusion, patients older than 60, GCS 3 to 8, Hunt-Hess 3 to 5, and posterior circulation aneurysm need more strict observation and longer follow-up. Timely and appropriate treatment may benefit patients in recovery, while further exploration is still needed in the future.

A sustained systemic inflammatory response syndrome is associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

The authors sought to evaluate whether a sustained systemic inflammatory response was associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 193 consecutive patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage was performed. Management of hydrocephalus followed a stepwise algorithm to determine the need for external CSF drainage and subsequent shunt placement. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) data were collected for all patients during the first 7 days of hospitalization. Patients who met the SIRS criteria every day for the first 7 days of hospitalization were considered as having a sustained SIRS. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to determine predictors of shunt dependence.

RESULTS

Sixteen percent of patients required shunt placement. Sustained SIRS was observed in 35% of shunt-dependent patients compared to 14% in non-shunt-dependent patients (p = 0.004). On multivariate logistic regression, female sex (OR 0.35, 95% CI 0.142-0.885), moderate to severe vasospasm (OR 3.78, 95% CI 1.333-10.745), acute hydrocephalus (OR 21.39, 95% CI 2.260-202.417), and sustained SIRS (OR 2.94, 95% CI 1.125-7.689) were significantly associated with shunt dependence after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.83 for the final regression model.

CONCLUSIONS

Sustained SIRS was a predictor of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage even after adjustment for potential confounding variables in a multivariate logistic regression model.

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

INTRODUCTION

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is the occurrence of symptomatic ventriculomegaly requiring permanent shunt diversion. Although several studies investigated the predictors of SDHC, the role of many of these factors, as well as the prevalence of SDHC and patients' clinical outcome, remain a matter of controversy.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

According to PRISMA guidelines we performed a systematic search looking into four databases with the purpose of clarifying the prevalence of SDHC after aSAH, the predictors of SDHC, the mortality rate and clinical outcome of patients with and without SDHC.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Our analysis included 23 studies involving 22,264 patients. The overall prevalence of SDHC was 22.3% (95% CI: 17.9-26.6%). The predictors of SDHC included radiological hydrocephalus at presentation (OR 6.3, 95% CI: 2.27-17.51%), external ventricular drainage insertion (OR 5.7, 95% CI: 3.77-8.61%), high Hunt and Hess scale score (HHS 3-5: OR 3.3, 95% CI: 2.64-4.15%; HHS 4-5: OR 3.2, 95% CI: 2.4-4.2%), high Fisher grade (OR 3.1, 95% CI: 2.58-3.72%), intraventricular blood (OR 3.1, 95% CI: 2.60-3.71%), vasospasm (OR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.30-2.81%), intraparenchymal hemorrhage (OR 1.8, 95% CI: 1.2-2.78%), female gender (OR 1.3, 95% CI: 1.14-1.65%) and posterior circulation aneurysms (OR 1.4, 95% CI: 1.11-1.71%). The modality of aneurysm repair did not affect the rate of permanent shunt diversion. Patients with SDHC were more likely to be associated with a poor clinical outcome (mRS 3-6) (OR 4.3), even if mortality rate was similar between shunted and non-shunted patients (9%, 95% CI: 2-16% vs. 10.8%, 95% CI: 3.2-18.5%) (P=0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of SDHC is 22.3%. Our analysis identified several predictors of SDHC that can assist clinicians in monitoring patients with an aSAH. Shunt dependency is not related to the treatment modality of the ruptured aneurysm, whereas the occurrence of SDHC is a predictor of poor clinical outcome.

Relationship between external ventricular drain clamp trials and ventriculoperitoneal shunt insertion following nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a single-center study

OBJECTIVE

Currently, there is no established standard regarding the ideal number of external ventricular drain (EVD) clamp trials performed before ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt insertion following nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). In this study, the authors aimed to evaluate this relationship.

METHODS

A retrospective review of all patients presenting with SAH between July 2007 and December 2016 was performed. Patients with SAH who had received an EVD within the first 24 hours of hospital admission and had undergone at least 1 clamp trial prior to EVD removal were eligible for inclusion in the study. Patient demographics, clinical presentations, SAH etiologies and grades, clamp trial data, hospital lengths of stay, and functional outcomes were recorded.

RESULTS

One hundred fourteen patients with nontraumatic SAH complicated by posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus were included in the study. The median patient age was 57 years (range 28-90 years), with a male/female ratio of 1:1.7. A ruptured aneurysm was the underlying etiology of SAH in 79.8% of patients. A majority of patients (69.4%) had a Hunt and Hess grade III-V on admission. The median number of clamp trials performed was 2 (range 1-6). A VP shunt was required in 40.4% of patients. In those who underwent 2 and 3 clamp trials, 60% and 38.9%, respectively, did not require subsequent VP shunt placement.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgical placement of a VP shunt is associated with complications. Clamp trials are routinely performed before making the decision to insert a shunt. In the present study, the authors found that a significant percentage of patients passed their second and third clamp trials without requiring subsequent shunt insertion. These data support performing multiple clamp trials prior to shunt placement.

Reduction of shunt dependency rates following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage by tandem fenestration of the lamina terminalis and membrane of Liliequist during microsurgical aneurysm repair

OBJECTIVEShunt-dependent hydrocephalus is an important cause of morbidity following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) in excess of 20% of cases. Hydrocephalus leads to prolonged hospital and ICU stays, well as to repeated surgical interventions, readmissions, and complications associated with ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunts, including shunt failure and infection. Whether variations in surgical technique at the time of aneurysm treatment may modify rates of shunt dependency remains a matter of debate. Here, the authors report on their experience with tandem fenestration of the lamina terminalis (LT) and membrane of Liliequist (MoL) at the time of open microsurgical repair of the ruptured aneurysm.METHODSThe authors conducted a retrospective review of 663 consecutive patients with aSAH treated from 2005 to 2015 by open microsurgery via a pterional or orbitozygomatic craniotomy by the senior author (M.T.L.). Data collected from review of the electronic medical record included age, Hunt and Hess grade, Fisher grade, need for an external ventricular drain, and opening pressure. Patients were stratified into those undergoing no fenestration and those undergoing tandem fenestration of the LT and MoL at the time of surgical repair. Outcome variables, including VP shunt placement and timing of shunt placement, were recorded and statistically analyzed.RESULTSIn total, shunt-dependent hydrocephalus was observed in 15.8% of patients undergoing open surgical repair following aSAH. Tandem microsurgical fenestration of the LT and MoL was associated with a statistically significant reduction in shunt dependency (17.9% vs 3.2%, p < 0.01). This effect was confirmed with multivariate analysis of collected variables (multivariate OR 0.09, 95% CI 0.03-0.30). Number-needed-to-treat analysis demonstrated that tandem fenestration was required in approximately 6.8 patients to prevent a single VP shunt placement. A statistically significant prolongation in days to VP shunt surgery was also observed in patients treated with tandem fenestration (26.6 ± 19.4 days vs 54.0 ± 36.5 days, p < 0.05).CONCLUSIONSTandem fenestration of the LT and MoL at the time of open microsurgical clipping and/or bypass to secure ruptured anterior and posterior circulation aneurysms is associated with reductions in shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following aSAH. Future prospective randomized multicenter studies are needed to confirm this result.

Role of Cerebrospinal Fluid Markers for Predicting Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus in Patients with Subarachnoid Hemorrhage and External Ventricular Drain Placement

OBJECTIVE

We sought to identify potential risk factors for the development of shunt-dependent chronic hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and external ventricular drain (EVD) insertion. In particular, the role of inflammatory markers within the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was assessed.

METHODS

For this single-center analysis, data were generated from consecutive patients with SAH and the need for EVD implantation treated on our neurosurgical intensive care unit between 2013 and 2015. Parameters were patient characteristics (age, sex, comorbidity), severity of SAH (according to the World Federation of Neurological Society score), imaging findings (intraventricular hemorrhage, diameter of the third ventricle, location of the ruptured aneurysm), and acute course of disease (cerebral infarction, vasospasm). Moreover, the impact of EVD drainage volume and CSF markers (total protein [_CSFTP], red blood cell count [_CSFRBC], interleukin-6 [_CSFIL-6], and glucose [_CSFGlc]) was assessed. Statistics including receiver-operating-curve with corresponding area-under-the-curve (AUC) analysis were calculated using SPSS.

RESULTS

Overall, 63 patients (21 males, mean age 55.2 years) were included. Twenty-one patients (30%) developed a shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. Significant risk factors for shunt dependency were the World Federation of Neurological Society score, cerebral infarction, and diameter of the third ventricle (P < 0.05). Moreover, CSF markers associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus included increased levels of _CSFTP on days 5 (AUC = 0.72)/11 (AUC = 0.97)/14 (AUC = 0.98), _CSFIL-6 on day 14 (AUC = 0.81), and _CSFRBC on day 15 (AUC = 0.83). The EVD drainage volume was not prognostic.

CONCLUSIONS

The time course of selected inflammatory markers in CSF may support management considerations in the early phase after SAH and critical impairment of CSF circulation.

Radiological Estimation of Intracranial Blood Volume and Occurrence of Hydrocephalus Determines Stress-Induced Hyperglycemia After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Acute phase after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is associated with several metabolic derangements including stress-induced hyperglycemia (SIH). The present study is designed to identify objective radiological determinants for SIH to better understand its contributory role in clinical outcomes after aSAH. A computer-aided detection tool was used to segment admission computed tomography (CT) images of aSAH patients to estimate intracranial blood and cerebrospinal fluid volumes. Modified Graeb score (mGS) was used as a semi-quantitative measure to estimate degree of hydrocephalus. The relationship between glycemic gap (GG) determined SIH, mGS, and estimated intracranial blood and cerebrospinal fluid volumes were evaluated using linear regression. Ninety-four [94/187 (50.3%)] among the study cohort had SIH (defined as GG > 26.7 mg/dl). Patients with SIH had 14.3 ml/1000 ml more intracranial blood volume as compared to those without SIH [39.6 ml (95% confidence interval, CI, 33.6 to 45.5) vs. 25.3 ml (95% CI 20.6 to 29.9), p = 0.0002]. Linear regression analysis of mGS with GG showed each unit increase in mGS resulted in 1.2 mg/dl increase in GG [p = 0.002]. Patients with SIH had higher mGS [median 4.0, interquartile range, IQR 2.0-7.0] as compared to those without SIH [median 2.0, IQR 0.0-6.0], p = 0.002. Patients with third ventricular blood on admission CT scan were more likely to develop SIH [67/118 (56.8%) vs. 27/69 (39.1%), p = 0.023]. Hence, the present study, using unbiased SIH definition and objective CT scan parameters, reports "dose-dependent" radiological features resulting in SIH. Such findings allude to a brain injury-stress response-neuroendocrine axis in etiopathogenesis of SIH.

Predictors of hydrocephalus as a complication of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective observational cohort study in 107 patients

Background

The predictors of shunt dependency such as amount of subarachnoid blood, acute hydrocephalus (HC), mode of aneurysm repair, clinical grade at admission and cerebro spinal fluid (CSF) drainage in excess of 1500 ml during the 1st week after the subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) have been identified as predictors of shunt dependency. Therefore our main objective is to identify predictors of CSF shunt dependency following non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Methods

We performed a retrospective study including patients from January 1st 2012 to September 30th 2014 between 16 and 89 years old and had a non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage in cranial computed tomography (CCT). We excluded patients with the following characteristics: Patients who died 3 days after admittance, lesions in brainstem, previous surgical treatment in another clinic, traumatic brain injury, pregnancy and disability prior to SAH.

We performed a descriptive and comparative analysis as well as a logistic regression with the variables that showed a significant difference (p < 0.05). Hence we identified the variables concerning HC after non traumatic SAH and its correlation.

Results

One hundred and seven clinical files of patients with non-traumatic SAH were analyzed. Twenty one (48%) later underwent shunt treatment. Shunt patients had significantly clinical and corroborated with doppler ultrasonography vasospasmus (p = 0.015), OR = 5.2. The amount of subarachnoidal blood according to modified Fisher grade was (p = 0.008) OR = 10.9. Endovascularly treated patients were less often shunted as compared with those undergoing surgical aneurysm repair (p = 0.004).

Conclusion

Vasospasmus and a large amount of ventricular blood seem to be a predictor concerning hydrocephalus after non-traumatic SAH. Hence according to our results the presence of these two variables could alert the treating physician in the decision whether an early shunt implantation < 7 days after SAH should be necessary.

A novel score to predict shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Feasible clinical scores for predicting shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are scarce. The chronic hydrocephalus ensuing from SAH score (CHESS) was introduced in 2015 and has a high predictive value for SDHC. Although this score is easy to calculate, several early clinical and radiological factors are required. The authors designed the retrospective analysis described here for external CHESS validation and determination of predictive values for the radiographic Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) scoring system and a new simplified combined scoring system.

METHODS

Consecutive data of 314 patients with aSAH were retrospectively analyzed with respect to CHESS parameters and BNI score. A new score, the shunt dependency in aSAH (SDASH) score, was calculated from independent risk factors identified with multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-five patients survived the initial phase after the hemorrhage, and 27.1% of these patients developed SDHC. The SDASH score was developed from results of multivariate analysis, which revealed acute hydrocephalus (aHP), a BNI score of ≥ 3, and a Hunt and Hess (HH) grade of ≥ 4 to be independent risk factors for SDHC (ORs 5.709 [aHP], 6.804 [BNI], and 4.122 [HH]; p < 0.001). All 3 SDHC scores tested (CHESS, BNI, and SDASH) reliably predicted chronic hydrocephalus (ORs 1.533 [CHESS], 2.021 [BNI], and 2.496 [SDASH]; p ≤ 0.001). Areas under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) for CHESS and SDASH were comparable (0.769 vs 0.785, respectively; p = 0.447), but the CHESS and SDASH scores were superior to the BNI grading system for predicting SDHC (BNI AUROC 0.649; p = 0.014 and 0.001, respectively). In contrast to CHESS and BNI scores, an increase in the SDASH score coincided with a monotonous increase in the risk of developing SDHC.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed SDASH score is a reliable tool for predicting SDHC. It contains fewer factors and is more intuitive than existing scores that were shown to predict SDHC. A prospective score evaluation is needed.

Predictors of Shunt-dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Hydrocephalus is a well-recognized complication after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This study aimed to identify predictors for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aSAH via a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted using the Embase, MEDLINE, and Web of Science databases for studies pertaining to aSAH and SDHC. Risk factors were assessed by meta-analysis when they were reported by at least 2 studies. The results were presented as odd ratios or risk ratios according to the study design with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Twenty-five studies were included. In primary analysis of 14 potential risk factors, 12 were identified as predictors of SDHC after aSAH including age ≥50 years, female gender, high Hunt-Hess grade, Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8, Fisher grade ≥3, acute hydrocephalus, external ventricular drainage insertion, intraventricular hemorrhage, postcirculation aneurysm, anterior communicating artery aneurysm, meningitis, and rebleeding. The meta-analysis based on cohort studies found a significantly increased risk for SDHC in patients with aSAH treated by coiling (risk ratio, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29), while the meta-analysis based on case-controlled studies failed to replicate this finding (odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.95-1.71).

CONCLUSIONS

Several new predictors of SDHC after aSAH were identified that may assist with the early recognition and prevention of SDHC. The controversial evidence found in this study was insufficient to support the potential of neurosurgical clipping for reducing the risk of shunt dependency. Further well-designed studies are warranted to explore the effect of treatment modality on SDHC risk.

Spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage

Subarachnoid haemorrhage is an uncommon and severe subtype of stroke affecting patients at a mean age of 55 years, leading to loss of many years of productive life. The rupture of an intracranial aneurysm is the underlining cause in 85% of cases. Survival from aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage has increased by 17% in the past few decades, probably because of better diagnosis, early aneurysm repair, prescription of nimodipine, and advanced intensive care support. Nevertheless, survivors commonly have cognitive impairments, which in turn affect patients' daily functionality, working capacity, and quality of life. Additionally, those deficits are frequently accompanied by mood disorders, fatigue, and sleep disturbances. Management requires specialised neurological intensive care units and multidisciplinary clinical expertise, which is better provided in high-volume centres. Many clinical trials have been done, but only two interventions are shown to improve outcome. Challenges that remain relate to prevention of subarachnoid haemorrhage by improved screening and development of lower-risk methods to repair or stabilise aneurysms that have not yet ruptured. Multicentre cooperative efforts might increase the knowledge that can be gained from clinical trials, which is often limited by small studies with differing criteria and endpoints that are done in single centres. Outcome assessments that incorporate finer assessment of neurocognitive function and validated surrogate imaging or biomarkers for outcome could also help to advance the specialty.

Coiling Is Not Superior to Clipping in Patients with High-Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Outcomes of coiling embolization versus clipping for patients with high-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) have not been previously compared. We reviewed current evidence regarding the safety and efficacy of clipping versus coiling for high-grade aSAH.

METHODS

We conducted a meta-analysis of studies that compared clipping with coiling in patients with high-grade aSAH published from January 1999 to February 2016 in Medline, Embase, and Cochrane databases based on PRISMA inclusion and exclusion criteria. Binary outcome comparisons between clipping and coiling were described using odds ratios (ORs).

RESULTS

Three randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 16 observational studies were included. There was no statistical difference in good outcome rates between the clipping and coiling groups (OR, 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-2.13). Subgroup analysis showed no significant difference between the 2 treatments in non-RCTs (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 0.95-2.36) and RCTs (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.59-2.25). Coiling was associated with higher mortality (OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.41-0.75). Lower mortality was associated with clipping in non-RCTs (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.40-0.74), but there was no difference in the RCTs (OR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.19-3.39). Coiling was not associated with lower rates of complications including rebleeding (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.30-1.29), ischemic infarct (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.53-1.49), symptomatic vasospasm (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.45-1.29), or shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.52-3.40).

CONCLUSION

The outcome with coiling is not superior to clipping in patients with high-grade aSAH; moreover, coiling has a greater risk of mortality.

Risk of Shunting After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose—

Shunt dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a common sequela that may lead to poor neurological outcome and predisposes to various interventions, admissions, and complications. We reviewed post-aSAH shunt dependency in a population-based sample and tested the feasibility of a clinical risk score to identify subgroups of aSAH patients with increasing risk of shunting for hydrocephalus.

Methods—

A total of 1533 aSAH patients from the population-based Eastern Finland Saccular Intracranial Aneurysm Database (Kuopio, Finland) were used in a recursive partitioning analysis to identify risk factors for shunting after aSAH. The risk model was built and internally validated in random split cohorts. External validation was conducted on 946 aSAH patients from the Southwestern Tertiary Aneurysm Registry (Dallas, TX) and tested using receiver-operating characteristic curves.

Results—

Of all patients alive ≥14 days, 17.7% required permanent cerebrospinal fluid diversion. The recursive partitioning analysis defined 6 groups with successively increased risk for shunting. These groups also successively risk stratified functional outcome at 12 months, shunt complications, and time-to-shunt rates. The area under the curve–receiver-operating characteristic curve for the exploratory sample and internal validation sample was 0.82 and 0.78, respectively, with an external validation of 0.68.

Conclusions—

Shunt dependency after aSAH is associated with higher morbidity and mortality, and prediction modeling of shunt dependency is feasible with clinically useful yields. It is important to identify and understand the factors that increase risk for shunting and to eliminate or mitigate the reversible factors. The aSAH-PARAS Consortium (Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Patients’ Risk Assessment for Shunting) has been initiated to pool the collective insights and resources to address key questions in post-aSAH shunt dependency to inform future aSAH treatment guidelines.

Incidence, Timing, and Predictors of Delayed Shunting for Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Although hydrocephalus is often treated with permanent cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) shunting during hospitalization for acute aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), little is known about the development of delayed hydrocephalus.

METHODS

Using administrative data on all visits to nonfederal emergency departments and acute care hospitals across California from 2005 to 2010, we identified patients with SAH and discharged without placement of a CSF shunt. Patients were followed for up to 7 years to determine whether they subsequently developed delayed hydrocephalus, as indicated by hospitalization for a permanent CSF diversion procedure.

RESULTS

In 8,889 patients discharged with SAH, 116 (1.3 %) went on to develop delayed hydrocephalus. Most (>90 %) diagnoses of delayed hydrocephalus occurred within the first year after discharge. Cox proportional hazards analysis identified microsurgical clipping (hazard ratio 2.0; 95 % confidence interval 1.2-3.3), temporary ventriculostomy placement (2.5; 1.6-4.1), mechanical ventilation (1.7; 1.1-2.8), and discharge to a skilled nursing facility (2.9; 1.8-4.6) as being significantly associated with the development of delayed hydrocephalus. At 1 year after discharge, the cumulative rate of delayed hydrocephalus was 0.9 % (95 % CI, 0.7-1.1 %) for those without temporary ventriculostomy placement during the initial hospitalization, versus 5.7 % (95 % CI, 3.9-8.1 %) in those who had received a temporary ventriculostomy.

CONCLUSION

Delayed hydrocephalus after SAH occurs rarely overall, but in a substantial proportion of patients who required temporary ventriculostomy during the initial hospitalization. These results support vigilant surveillance of patients after removal of a temporary ventriculostomy, given the potential of delayed hydrocephalus to impair recovery or even result in clinical deterioration following SAH.

Meta-analysis and systematic review of risk factors for shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) may be complicated by hydrocephalus in 6.5%-67% of cases. Some patients with aSAH develop shunt dependency, which is often managed by ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement. The objectives of this study were to review published risk factors for shunt dependency in patients with aSAH, determine the level of evidence for each factor, and calculate the magnitude of each risk factor to better guide patient management. METHODS The authors searched PubMed and MEDLINE databases for Level A and Level B articles published through December 31, 2014, that describe factors affecting shunt dependency after aSAH and performed a systematic review and meta-analysis, stratifying the existing data according to level of evidence. RESULTS On the basis of the results of the meta-analysis, risk factors for shunt dependency included high Fisher grade (OR 7.74, 95% CI 4.47-13.41), acute hydrocephalus (OR 5.67, 95% CI 3.96-8.12), in-hospital complications (OR 4.91, 95% CI 2.79-8.64), presence of intraventricular blood (OR 3.93, 95% CI 2.80-5.52), high Hunt and Hess Scale score (OR 3.25, 95% CI 2.51-4.21), rehemorrhage (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.24-3.95), posterior circulation location of the aneurysm (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.35-2.53), and age ≥ 60 years (OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.50-2.19). The only risk factor included in the meta-analysis that did not reach statistical significance was female sex (OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.77-1.65). CONCLUSIONS The authors identified several risk factors for shunt dependency in aSAH patients that help predict which patients are likely to require a permanent shunt. Although some of these risk factors are not independent of each other, this information assists clinicians in identifying at-risk patients and managing their treatment.

The CHESS score: a simple tool for early prediction of shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Acute hydrocephalus is an early and common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, considerably fewer patients develop chronic hydrocephalus requiring shunt placement. Our aim was to develop a risk score for early identification of patients with shunt dependency after SAH.

METHODS

Two hundred and forty-two SAH individuals who were treated in our institution between January 2008 and December 2013 and survived the initial impact were retrospectively analyzed. Clinical parameters within 72 h after the ictus were correlated with shunt dependency. Independent predictors were summarized into a new risk score which was validated in a subsequent SAH cohort treated between January and December 2014.

RESULTS

Seventy-five patients (31%) underwent shunt placement. Of 23 evaluated variables, only the following five showed independent associations with shunt dependency and were subsequently used to establish the Chronic Hydrocephalus Ensuing from SAH Score (CHESS, 0-8 points): Hunt and Hess grade ≥IV (1 point), location of the ruptured aneurysm in the posterior circulation (1 point), acute hydrocephalus (4 points), the presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (1 point) and early cerebral infarction on follow-up computed tomography scan (1 point). The CHESS showed strong correlation with shunt dependency (P = 0.0007) and could be successfully validated in both internal SAH cohorts tested. Patients scoring ≥6 CHESS points had significantly higher risk of shunt dependency (P < 0.0001) than other patients.

CONCLUSION

The CHESS may become a valuable diagnostic tool for early estimation of shunt dependency after SAH. Further evaluation and external validation will be required in prospective studies.

Predictors of Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). There is a need to identify patients who require ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) insertion so that any modifiable risk factors can be addressed early after aSAH.

METHODS

Exploratory analysis was performed on 413 patients enrolled in CONSCIOUS-1, a prospective randomized controlled trial of patients with aSAH treated with clazosentan. The association between clinical and neuroimaging covariates and VPS placement was first determined by univariate analysis. Covariates with P < 0.15 on univariate analysis were then analyzed in a multivariate logistic regression model. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to define optimal predictive thresholds. The published literature was reviewed to determine the overall rate of VPS insertion after aSAH.

RESULTS

Overall, 17.2% (71/413) of patients required VPS insertion. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that insertion of an external ventricular drain (odds ratio, 6.21; 95% confidence interval, 2.51-16.91) and increasing volume of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) drainage per day (odds ratio, 1.004; 95% confidence interval, 1.000-1.009) were associated with VPS insertion. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed an optimal daily CSF output threshold of 78 mL was predictive of VPS insertion. Among 41,789 patients with aSAH from 66 published studies, the overall VPS insertion rate was 12.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of an external ventricular drain and increased daily CSF output (above 78 mL/day) seems to be predictive of subsequent VPS insertion after aSAH. Although we could not identify modifiable risk factors for needing a VPS, nevertheless, these findings identify patients at greatest risk of VPS placement and inform treatment decisions as well as patient expectations.

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: the role of intrathecal interleukin-6

OBJECT

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been reported to induce an intrathecal inflammatory reaction reflected by cytokine release, particularly interleukin-6 (IL-6), which correlates with early brain damage and poor outcome. The present study examines intrathecal IL-6 production together with clinical parameters, as a predictor of posthemorrhagic shunt dependency.

METHODS

Among 186 SAH patients admitted between July 2010 and December 2012, 82 received external ventricular drainage due to acute hydrocephalus. In these patients, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) concentrations of IL-6 were measured within the first 14 days after SAH. Patients whose IL-6 values were not determined regularly and those who did not survive until discharge were excluded. The peak value of IL-6, ventricular infection during the hospital stay, microbial CSF culture, patient's age and sex, Hunt and Hess grade, and aneurysm location were assumed as predictive for shunt dependency.

RESULTS

Sixty-nine patients were included, 24 of whom underwent shunt surgery. Peak IL-6 values of ≥10,000 pg/ml were significantly associated with a higher incidence of shunt dependency (p = 0.009). Additional risk factors were aneurysm location on the anterior cerebral artery and its branches or in the posterior circulation (p = 0.025), and age ≥60 years (p = 0.014). In a multivariate analysis, IL-6 ≥10,000 pg/ml appeared to be the only independent predictor for shunt dependency (p = 0.029) CONCLUSION: CSF IL-6 values of ≥10,000 pg/ml in the early post-SAH period may be a useful diagnostic tool for predicting shunt dependency in patients with acute posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus. The development of shunt-dependent posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus remains a multifactorial process.

Predictors of shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: results of a single-center clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Hydrocephalus (HC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a common sequel. Proper selection of patients in need of permanent cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) diversion is, however, not straightforward. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of CSF shunt dependency following aSAH.

METHODS

We re-analyzed data acquired from aSAH patients previously enrolled in a prospective, controlled single-center clinical trial in which shunt dependency was not one of the end points. In the present study patients were allocated into two groups: those receiving a shunt (here denoted as shunt dependent) and those not receiving a shunt, based on a clinical decision process. Predictors of shunt dependency were identified by applying uni- and multivariable analysis. We tested a set of predefined possible risk factors based on the results of the clinical trial, including the impact of CSF drainage volume exceeding 1,500 ml during the 1st week after ictus.

RESULTS

Ninety patients were included in the study. Significant predictors of shunt dependency were poor clinical grade at admission [odds ratio (OR) 4.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-18.4], large amounts of subarachnoid blood (OR 3.8, 95% CI 1.0-14.0), large ventricular size on preoperative cerebral computer tomographic (CT) scans (OR 1.0, 95% CI 1.0-1.1), and CSF volume drainage exceeding 1,500 ml during the 1st week after the ictus (OR 16.3, 95% CI 4.0-67.1). Age ≥70 years, larger amounts of intraventricular blood, vertebrobasilar aneurysm, and endovascular treatment tended to increase the likelihood of receiving a shunt. Outcome was not significantly different between shunted and non-shunted patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of patients with clinical grade aSAH at admission, larger amounts of subarachnoid blood and large ventricular size on preoperative cerebral CT, and CSF drainage in excess of 1,500 ml during the 1st week after the ictus were significant predictors of shunt dependency. Shunt dependency did not hamper outcome.

The small-chamber irrigation technique (SCIT): a simple maneuver for managing intraoperative hemorrhage during endoscopic intraventricular surgery

BACKGROUND

Acute intraoperative intraventricular hemorrhage is a feared event in endoscopic neurosurgical procedures.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the small-chamber irrigation technique (SCIT) for intraoperative endoscopic management of intraventricular hemorrhage.

METHODS

The SCIT was used in intraventricular surgery for hydrocephalus, intraventricular tumors requiring biopsy, arachnoid cysts, and colloid cysts.

RESULTS

Intraventricular hemorrhage was successfully managed endoscopically with a combination of the SCIT, routine irrigation, and coagulation, allowing for completion of the primary procedures.

CONCLUSION

The SCIT is a powerful tool that the neuroendoscopist can use for visualization to achieve hemostasis when performing intraventricular endoscopic surgery.

Controversies and evolving new mechanisms in subarachnoid hemorrhage

Despite decades of study, subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) continues to be a serious and significant health problem in the United States and worldwide. The mechanisms contributing to brain injury after SAH remain unclear. Traditionally, most in vivo research has heavily emphasized the basic mechanisms of SAH over the pathophysiological or morphological changes of delayed cerebral vasospasm after SAH. Unfortunately, the results of clinical trials based on this premise have mostly been disappointing, implicating some other pathophysiological factors, independent of vasospasm, as contributors to poor clinical outcomes. Delayed cerebral vasospasm is no longer the only culprit. In this review, we summarize recent data from both experimental and clinical studies of SAH and discuss the vast array of physiological dysfunctions following SAH that ultimately lead to cell death. Based on the progress in neurobiological understanding of SAH, the terms "early brain injury" and "delayed brain injury" are used according to the temporal progression of SAH-induced brain injury. Additionally, a new concept of the vasculo-neuronal-glia triad model for SAH study is highlighted and presents the challenges and opportunities of this model for future SAH applications.