Development of a new risk score for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism in noncritically ill children: findings from a large single-institutional case-control study

Development and validation of a nomogram model for central venous access device-related thrombosis in hospitalized children

This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram model of central venous access device-related thrombosis (CRT) for hospitalized children. A total of 503 consecutive cases from a hospital in Changsha City, Hunan Province were stochastically classified into the training set and internal validation set at a ratio of 7:3, and 85 consecutive cases in two hospitals in Urumqi City, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region were collected as an external validation set. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis on CRT-related risk factors of hospitalized children were conducted, a logistic regression model was employed to establish the nomogram, and the discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis was performed to assess the proposed nomogram model. The nomogram model involved seven independent risk factors, including blind catheterization, abnormal liver function, central line-associated bloodstream infection, infection, number of catheter lines, leukemia, and bed rest > 72 h. The discrimination results showed that the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set was 0.74, 0.71, and 0.76 respectively, and the accuracy rates of the proposed nomogram model were 79%, 72%, and 71% in the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set. The calibration results also showed that the calibration curve had great fitness for each dataset. More importantly, the decision curve suggested that the proposed nomogram model had a prominent clinical significance.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model can be used as a risk assessment tool to reduce the missed diagnosis rate and the incidence of CRT in hospitalized children.

WHAT IS KNOWN

• Central venous access device-related thrombosis is generally asymptomatic for hospitalized children, causing the missed diagnosis of central venous access device-related thrombosis easily. • No risk prediction nomogram model for central venous access device-related thrombosis in hospitalized children has been established.

WHAT IS NEW

• A visual and personalized nomogram model was built by seven accessible variables (blind catheterization, abnormal liver function, central line-associated bloodstream infection, infection, number of catheter lines, leukemia, and bed rest > 72 h). • The model can effectively predict the risk of central venous access device-related thrombosis for hospitalized children.

Model-Guided Decision-Making for Thromboprophylaxis and Hospital-Acquired Thromboembolic Events Among Hospitalized Children and Adolescents: The CLOT Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Rates of hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) are increasing among pediatric patients. Identifying at-risk patients for whom prophylactic interventions should be considered remains challenging.

Objective

To determine whether use of a previously validated HA-VTE prognostic model, together with pediatric hematologist review, could reduce pediatric inpatient rates of HA-VTE.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This pragmatic randomized clinical trial was performed from November 2, 2020, through January 31, 2022, at a single-center academic children's hospital (Monroe Carell Jr Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt). All pediatric hospital admissions (aged <22 years) under inpatient status were included and randomized.

Intervention

All patients had an HA-VTE probability automatically calculated daily, which was visible to the hematology research team for patients in the intervention group. Patients with an elevated risk (predicted probability ≥2.5%) underwent additional medical record review by the research team to determine eligibility for thromboprophylaxis.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was rate of HA-VTE. Secondary outcomes included rates of prophylactic anticoagulation and anticoagulation-associated bleeding events.

Results

A total of 17 427 hospitalizations met eligibility criteria, were randomized, and were included in the primary analysis: patients had a median (IQR) age of 1.7 (0 to 11.1) years; there were 9143 (52.5%) female patients and 8284 (47.5%) male patients, and there were 445 (2.6%) Asian patients, 2739 (15.9%) Black patients, and 11 752 (67.4%) White patients. The 2 groups were evenly balanced in number (8717 in the intervention group and 8710 in the control group) and patient characteristics. A total of 58 patients (0.7%) in the control group and 77 (0.9%) in the intervention group developed HA-VTE (risk difference: 2.2 per 1000 patients; 95% CI, -0.4 to 4.8 per 1000 patients; P = .10). Recommendations to initiate thromboprophylaxis were accepted by primary clinical teams 25.8% of the time (74 of 287 hospitalizations). Minor bleeding events were rare among patients who received anticoagulation (3 of 74 [4.1%]), and no major bleeding events were observed during the study period. Among patients randomized to the control group, the model exhibited high discrimination accuracy (C statistic, 0.799, 95% CI, 0.725 to 0.856).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this randomized clinical trial of the use of a HA-VTE prognostic model to reduce pediatric inpatient rates of HA-VTE, despite the use of an accurate and validated prognostic model for HA-VTE, there was substantial reluctance by primary clinical teams to initiate thromboprophylaxis as recommended. In this context, rates of HA-VTE between the control and intervention groups were not different. Future research is needed to identify improved strategies for prevention of HA-VTE and to overcome clinician concerns regarding thromboprophylaxis.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04574895.

High Rates of Pediatric Venous Thromboembolism After Elective Laparoscopic Splenectomy Suggest Need for Perioperative Prophylaxis

INTRODUCTION

In adult populations, postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a reported complication of up to 8% of elective laparoscopic splenectomy (LS) cases. VTE is a rare event in the pediatric population, affecting less than 1% of all pediatric surgical patients. We hypothesized that pediatric patients are at a higher risk of postoperative VTE after undergoing elective LS relative to other laparoscopic procedures and may warrant prophylactic treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We queried the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-Pediatric (NSQIP-P) database from 2012 to 2020. Patients were identified using the Current Procedural Terminology code 38120 and only elective cases were analyzed.

RESULTS

The incidence of VTE in all pediatric patients undergoing surgery in the American College of Surgeons NSQIP-P database was 0.13%. The incidence of VTE in pediatric patients undergoing elective laparoscopic abdominopelvic procedures was 0.17%. There were seven total cases of VTE (0.41%) in pediatric patients undergoing elective LS, more than twice the rate of the general population (P = 0.001). Eighty percent of pediatric patients undergoing elective LS had an underlying hematological disorder.

CONCLUSIONS

By analyzing the NSQIP-P database, we evaluated the largest cohort of pediatric patients undergoing elective LS to date. We identified a higher incidence of VTE following this procedure relative to the rate of VTE in the overall population in the NSQIP-P database, as well as those undergoing elective laparoscopic abdominopelvic operations. The relatively higher incidence of VTE after elective LS is likely due to the presence of underlying hematological conditions. Given the low incidence of complications associated with pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis, the results of this study suggest that further research is warranted to establish the efficacy of perioperative pharmacological VTE prophylaxis in pediatric patients undergoing elective LS.

Use of a real-time risk-prediction model to identify pediatric patients at risk for thromboembolic events: study protocol for the Children's Likelihood Of Thrombosis (CLOT) trial

BACKGROUND

Pediatric patients have increasing rates of hospital-associated venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE), and while several risk-prediction models have been developed, few are designed to assess all general pediatric patients, and none has been shown to improve patient outcomes when implemented in routine clinical care.

METHODS

The Children's Likelihood Of Thrombosis (CLOT) trial is an ongoing pragmatic randomized trial being conducted starting November 2, 2020, in the inpatient units at Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt in Nashville, TN, USA. All admitted patients who are 21 years of age and younger are automatically enrolled in the trial and randomly assigned to receive either the current standard-of-care anticoagulation practice or the study intervention. Patients randomized to the intervention arm are assigned an HA-VTE risk probability that is calculated from a validated VTE risk-prediction model; the model is updated daily with the most recent clinical information. Patients in the intervention arm with elevated risk (predicted probability of HA-VTE ≥ 0.025) have an additional review of their clinical course by a team of dedicated hematologists, who make recommendations including pharmacologic prophylaxis with anticoagulation, if appropriate. The anticipated enrollment is approximately 15,000 patients. The primary outcome is the occurrence of HA-VTE. Secondary outcomes include initiation of anticoagulation, reasons for not initiating anticoagulation among patients for whom it was recommended, and adverse bleeding events. Subgroup analyses will be conducted among patients with elevated HA-VTE risk.

DISCUSSION

This ongoing pragmatic randomized trial will provide a prospective assessment of a pediatric risk-prediction tool used to identify hospitalized patients at elevated risk of developing HA-VTE.  TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04574895. Registered on September 28, 2020. Date of first patient enrollment: November 2, 2020.

Risk of venous thromboembolism in pediatric hospitalized patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: A report from the Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis consortium

Background

Surgery is a known risk factor for hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) in children.

Objectives

To assess whether the odds of HA-VTE differs across six anatomic sites of noncardiac surgery and to identify risk factors for HA-VTE in these children.

Methods

This was a multicenter, case-control study. Anatomic sites of surgery and risk factors for HA-VTE were collected on hospitalized pediatric patients who had undergone a single noncardiac surgery and developed HA-VTE (cases), and those who did not develop HA-VTE (controls), via the Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis (CHAT) Registry. Logistic regression estimated the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) between six anatomic sites of surgery and 16 putative HA-VTE risk factors. Variables with a p value of 0.10 or less in unadjusted analyses were included in adjusted models for further evaluation. The final model used backward selection, with a significance level of 0.05.

Results

From January 2012 to March 2020, 163 cases (median age, 5.7 years; interquartile range [IQR], 0.3-14.2) and 208 controls (median age of 7.5 years; IQR, 3.7-12.9) met our criteria. There was no statistically significant increased odds of VTE among the types of noncardiac surgery. In the final adjusted model, central venous catheter (CVC; OR, 14.69; 95% CI, 7.06-30.55), intensive care unit (ICU) stay (OR, 5.31; 95% CI, 2.53-11.16), and hospitalization in the month preceding surgery (OR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.24-6.13) were each independently significant risk factors for HA-VTE.

Conclusion

In children undergoing noncardiac surgery, placement of CVCs, admission/transfer to the ICU, or hospitalization in the month prior to surgery were positively associated with HA-VTE.

A New Risk Assessment Model for Hospital-Acquired Venous Thromboembolism in Critically Ill Children: A Report From the Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis Consortium

OBJECTIVES

To create a risk model for hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism in critically ill children upon admission to an ICU.

DESIGN

Case-control study.

SETTING

ICUs from eight children's hospitals throughout the United States.

SUBJECTS

Critically ill children with hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (cases) 0-21 years old and similar children without hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (controls) from January 2012 to December 2016. Children with a recent cardiac surgery, asymptomatic venous thromboembolism, or a venous thromboembolism diagnosed before ICU admission were excluded.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The multi-institutional Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis registry was used to identify cases and controls. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the association between hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism and putative risk factors present at or within 24 hours of ICU admission to develop the final model. A total of 548 hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism cases (median age, 0.8 yr; interquartile range, 0.1-10.2) and 187 controls (median age, 2.4 yr; interquartile range, 0.2-8.3) were analyzed. In the multivariable model, recent central venous catheter placement (odds ratio, 4.4; 95% CI, 2.7-7.1), immobility (odds ratio 3.6, 95% CI, 2.1-6.2), congenital heart disease (odds ratio 2.9, 95% CI, 1.7-4.7), length of hospital stay prior to ICU admission greater than or equal to 3 days (odds ratio, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.1-5.6), and history of autoimmune/inflammatory condition or current infection (odds ratio, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.4) were each independently associated with hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism. The risk model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.73-0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

Using the multicenter Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis registry, we identified five independent risk factors for hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism in critically ill children, deriving a new hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism risk assessment model. A prospective validation study is underway to define a high-risk group for risk-stratified interventional trials investigating the efficacy and safety of prophylactic anticoagulation in critically ill children.

Implementation of automatic data extraction from an enterprise database warehouse (EDW) for validating pediatric VTE decision rule: a prospective observational study in a critical care population

Multiple clinical risk prediction tools for hospital acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) have been developed. The objectives of this study were to develop and assess the feasibility of data extraction from Electronic Medical Records (EMR) from an enterprise database warehouse (EDW) and to test the validity of a previously developed Pediatric Clot Decision Rule (PCDR). This single-center prospective observational cohort study was conducted between March 2016 and March 2017 and included eligible patients admitted to the intensive care units. Risk score was calculated using the PCDR tool. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predicted value (PPV and NPV) were calculated based on a cut-point of 3. A total of 2822 children were eligible for analysis and 5.1% (95% CI 4.2-6.2) children had a PCDR score of 3. Children with PCDR score of ≥ 3 had a 3 times higher odd of developing VTE compared to those with scores < 3 (OR 3.1; 95% CI 1.93-4.80; p < 0.001). The model performance showed that at the cutoff point of ≥ 3, both the specificity and sensitivity of the PCDR in predicting VTE was 69% and NPV of 98%. We successfully demonstrated using our EDW to populate a research database using an automatic data import. A PCDR score of ≥ 3 was associated with VTE. Collaboration through large registries will be useful in informing practices and guidelines for rare disorders such as pediatric VTE.

Thrombin generation in children using ThromboScreen reagent kit with ST Genesia-A pilot study

INTRODUCTION

Thrombin generation assays assess overall coagulation system and are widely used in research; however, they still need standardization and clinical validation. The new ST Genesia is a benchtop, automated analyzer that normalizes each thrombin generation parameter using a reference plasma. The ThromboScreen reagent kit has two triggers, one of which contains thrombomodulin to assess the effect of the protein C pathway. This study aimed to make a pilot approach to the ThromboScreen reference range in children and evaluate the impact of sex, age, and pro- and anticoagulant plasma proteins on thrombin generation parameters.

METHODS

This study included 55 healthy children from the following age groups: 1-6 years (n = 14), 7-11 years (n = 15), and 12-17 years (n = 26). Children younger than 1 year were excluded from the study. We measured thrombin generation using ThromboScreen, coagulation routine and test, pro- and anticoagulant proteins.

RESULTS

Age did not influence ThromboScreen results. Males showed significantly lower endogenous thrombin potential and peak height values than females. The strongest determinants of endogenous thrombin potential were von Willebrand factor parameters, whereas for endogenous thrombin potential inhibition, the strongest determinants were protein C and protein S. No statistically significant differences were found between groups on temporal parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

For the ThromboScreen reagent kit, it may not be necessary to subdivide reference ranges according to age for children (>1 year).

Risk factors determining central venous access device-associated deep vein thrombosis resolution in children: a retrospective study

The risk factors associated with the probability of central venous access device (CVAD)-associated deep vein thrombosis (DVT) resolution have been hardly evaluated in children. Current guidelines suggest anticoagulation for a maximum of 3 months in patients with provoked DVT if the provoking factor is resolved. To know if the thrombus will resolve after anticoagulant therapy will help to choose whether to initiate and/or continue this treatment or not. We did a retrospective study of 85 pediatric patients (45 girls, 40 boys) with CVAD-associated DVT to examine the risk factors associated with lack of thrombus resolution in the first 6 months after diagnosis. Sixty-two children had their thrombosis resolved after a median of 50 days (p25-p75 25-97) since diagnosis. In multivariate analysis, variables significantly associated with no resolution were total occlusion (OR 12.50, 95% CI 2.99-52.14, p=.001), location in upper extremity, head, and neck veins (OR 17.70, 95% CI 1.64-191.43, p=.018); collateral circulation in the first 45 days after diagnosis (OR 33.55, 95% CI 2.42-464.71, p=.009); and having between 0 and 3 prothrombotic risk factors at diagnosis (OR 6.20, 95% CI 1.21-31.75, p=.029).Conclusion: CVAD-associated DVT resolution in children in the first 6 months since diagnosis was significantly lower if the thrombosis was occlusive, if it was located in the upper extremity, head, and neck veins; if collateral circulation was seen on ultrasound in the first 45 days; and/or when the patient showed less prothrombotic risk factors at diagnosis. What is Known: • The risk factors associated with central venous access device-associated deep vein thrombosis resolution have been hardly evaluated in children. • Current guidelines suggest anticoagulation for a maximum of 3 months in provoked vein thrombosis if the provoking factor is resolved. What is New: • Thrombus resolution was lower if it was occlusive, located in the upper extremity veins, if collateral circulation was seen, and with less prothrombotic risk factors at diagnosis. • To know if the thrombus will resolve after anticoagulation will help to choose whether to initiate and/or continue it or not.

A Real-time Risk-Prediction Model for Pediatric Venous Thromboembolic Events

BACKGROUND

Hospital-associated venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) is an increasing cause of morbidity in pediatric populations, yet identification of high-risk patients remains challenging. General pediatric models have been derived from case-control studies, but few have been validated. We developed and validated a predictive model for pediatric HA-VTE using a large, retrospective cohort.

METHODS

The derivation cohort included 111 352 admissions to Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt. Potential variables were identified a priori, and corresponding data were extracted. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association of potential risk factors with development of HA-VTE. Variable inclusion in the model was based on univariate analysis, availability in routine medical records, and clinician expertise. The model was validated by using a separate cohort with 44 138 admissions.

RESULTS

A total of 815 encounters were identified with HA-VTE in the derivation cohort. Variables strongly associated with HA-VTE include history of thrombosis (odds ratio [OR] 8.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.6-11.3; P < .01), presence of a central line (OR 4.9; 95% CI 4.0-5.8; P < .01), and patients with cardiology conditions (OR 4.0; 95% CI 3.3-4.8; P < .01). Eleven variables were included, which yielded excellent discriminatory ability in both the derivation cohort (concordance statistic = 0.908) and the validation cohort (concordance statistic = 0.904).

CONCLUSIONS

We created and validated a risk-prediction model that identifies pediatric patients at risk for HA-VTE development. We anticipate early identification of high-risk patients will increase prophylactic interventions and decrease the incidence of pediatric HA-VTE.

Venous Thromboembolism among Noncritically Ill Hospitalized Children: Key Considerations for the Pediatric Hospital Medicine Specialist

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of morbidity and preventable harm among noncritically ill hospitalized children. Several clinical factors relevant to the noncritically ill hospitalized child significantly increase the risk of VTE including the presence of central venous catheters, systemic inflammation, and prolonged immobilization. Although risk mitigation strategies have been described, the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of VTE require standardization of institutional practices combined with multidisciplinary collaboration among pediatric hospitalists, hematologists, and other care providers. In this narrative review, we summarize the epidemiology of VTE, risk models identifying high-risk conditions associated with VTE, and prevention and treatment strategies. We further describe successful quality improvement efforts implementing institutional VTE risk stratification and thromboprophylaxis procedures. Finally, we highlight unique challenges facing pediatric hospital medicine specialists in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic, including caring for adults admitted to pediatric hospital units, and describe future research opportunities for VTE in the noncritically ill hospitalized child.

Development of a Risk Model for Pediatric Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis: A Report from the Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis Consortium

OBJECTIVE

To identify pertinent clinical variables discernible on the day of hospital admission that can be used to assess risk for hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) in children.

STUDY DESIGN

The Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis Registry is a multi-institutional registry for all hospitalized participants aged 0-21 years diagnosed with a HA-VTE and non-VTE controls. A risk assessment model (RAM) for the development of HA-VTE using demographic and clinical VTE risk factors present at hospital admission was derived using weighted logistic regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection (Lasso) procedure. The models were internally validated using 5-fold cross-validation. Discrimination and calibration were assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit, respectively.

RESULTS

Clinical data from 728 cases with HA-VTE and 839 non-VTE controls, admitted between January 2012 and December 2016, were abstracted. Statistically significant RAM elements included age <1 year and 10-22 years, cancer, congenital heart disease, other high-risk conditions (inflammatory/autoimmune disease, blood-related disorder, protein-losing state, total parental nutrition dependence, thrombophilia/personal history of VTE), recent hospitalization, immobility, platelet count >350 K/μL, central venous catheter, recent surgery, steroids, and mechanical ventilation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.78 (95% CI 0.76-0.80).

CONCLUSIONS

Once externally validated, this RAM will identify those who are at low-risk as well as the greatest-risk groups of hospitalized children for investigation of prophylactic strategies in future clinical trials.

Concordance of Identified Cases of Pediatric HA-VTE with American College of Physicians and Cincinnati Children's Hospital HA-VTE Prophylaxis Guidelines Over a 10-Year Period

Objective: Our aim is to (1) ascertain the proportion of pediatric patients at a tertiary hospital in Western Massachusetts over a 10-year period with hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (VTE) of particular characteristics and (2) determine whether ACCP or Cincinnati Children’s guidelines would have recommended VTE prophylaxis in these patients. Setting: Urban teaching hospital in the United States. Participants: Data from 98 477 pediatric hospital admissions (roughly 10 000 admission per year) from 2008 to 2017 were reviewed. There were a total of 177 VTE cases identified. Outcome measures: Hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (including deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism). Result: 177 charts were extracted that carried the diagnosis of VTE based on ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes over a 10-year-period. Among these patients, 34 (19%) met the inclusion criteria for HA-VTE; 5 (16%) would qualify for prophylaxis according to ACCP and 7 (21%) according to Cincinnati Children’s guideline. The most common age group to have a VTE was infants under 1 year of age (41%), and the most common characteristic was the presence of a central line (82%). Age outside of the recommended range was the sole reason that excluded patients from prophylaxis qualification per Cincinnati Children’s. Conclusion: HA-VTE carries increased morbidity and mortality. Although recognition and prevention of HA-VTE in adult populations are routine, prophylaxis for pediatric HA-VTE is not commonly practiced. This may be due to paucity of strong evidence supporting prophylaxis and the challenge of identifying risk factors for HA-VTE. Our results suggest that published guidelines recommend prophylaxis in only a minority of pediatric patients who would have subsequently developed HA-VTE. Further modification and validation of current guidelines are needed to effectively prevent pediatric HA-VTE.

Risk factors for the development of hospital-acquired pediatric venous thromboembolism-Dealing with potentially causal and confounding risk factors using a directed acyclic graph (DAG) analysis

Introduction

Hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) in children comprises multiple risk factors that should not be evaluated separately due to collinearity and multiple cause and effect relationships. This is one of the first case-control study of pediatric HA-VTE risk factors using a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) analysis.

Material and methods

Retrospective, case-control study with 22 cases of objectively confirmed HA-VTE and 76 controls matched by age, sex, unit of admission, and period of hospitalization. Descriptive statistics were used to define distributions of continuous variables, frequencies, and proportions of categorical variables, comparing cases and controls. Due to many potential risk factors of HA-VTE, a directed acyclic graph (DAG) model was created to identify confounding, reduce bias, and increase precision on the analysis. The final model consisted of a DAG-informed conditional logistic regression.

Results

In the initial conventional univariable model, the following variables were selected as potential risk factors for HA-VTE: length of stay (LOS, days), immobility, ICU admission in the last 30 days, LOS in ICU, infection, central venous catheter (CVC), number of CVCs placed, L-asparaginase, heart failure, liver failure, and nephrotic syndrome. The final model using the set of variables selected by DAG analysis revealed LOS (OR = 1.106, 95%CI = 1.021–1.198, p = 0.013), L-asparaginase (OR = 26.463, 95%CI = 1.609–435.342, p = 0.022), and nephrotic syndrome (OR = 29.127, 95%CI = 1.044–812.508, p = 0.004) as independent risk factors for HA-VTE.

Conclusion

The DAG-based approach was useful to clarify the influence of confounders and multiple causalities of HA-VTE. Interestingly, CVC placement—a known thrombotic risk factor highlighted in several studies—was considered a confounder, while LOS, L-asparaginase use and nephrotic syndrome were confirmed as risk factors to HA-VTE. Large confidence intervals are related to the sample size; however, the results were significant.

Development and validation of a robust immune-related prognostic signature in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma

Background

The incidence of stage I and stage II lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is likely to increase with the introduction of annual screening programs for high-risk individuals. We aimed to identify a reliable prognostic signature with immune-related genes that can predict prognosis and help making individualized management for patients with early-stage LUAD.

Methods

The public LUAD cohorts were obtained from the large-scale databases including 4 microarray data sets from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and 1 RNA-seq data set from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) LUAD cohort. Only early-stage patients with clinical information were included. Cox proportional hazards regression model was performed to identify the candidate prognostic genes in GSE30219, GSE31210 and GSE50081 (training set). The prognostic signature was developed using the overlapped prognostic genes based on a risk score method. Kaplan–Meier curve with log-rank test and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to evaluate the prognostic value and performance of this signature, respectively. Furthermore, the robustness of this prognostic signature was further validated in TCGA-LUAD and GSE72094 cohorts.

Results

A prognostic immune signature consisting of 21 immune-related genes was constructed using the training set. The prognostic signature significantly stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups in terms of overall survival (OS) in training data set, including GSE30219 (HR = 4.31, 95% CI 2.29–8.11; P = 6.16E−06), GSE31210 (HR = 11.91, 95% CI 4.15–34.19; P = 4.10E−06), GSE50081 (HR = 3.63, 95% CI 1.90–6.95; P = 9.95E−05), the combined data set (HR = 3.15, 95% CI 1.98–5.02; P = 1.26E−06) and the validation data set, including TCGA-LUAD (HR = 2.16, 95% CI 1.49–3.13; P = 4.54E−05) and GSE72094 (HR = 2.95, 95% CI 1.86–4.70; P = 4.79E−06). Multivariate cox regression analysis demonstrated that the 21-gene signature could serve as an independent prognostic factor for OS after adjusting for other clinical factors. ROC curves revealed that the immune signature achieved good performance in predicting OS for early-stage LUAD. Several biological processes, including regulation of immune effector process, were enriched in the immune signature. Moreover, the combination of the signature with tumor stage showed more precise classification for prognosis prediction and treatment design.

Conclusions

Our study proposed a robust immune-related prognostic signature for estimating overall survival in early-stage LUAD, which may be contributed to make more accurate survival risk stratification and individualized clinical management for patients with early-stage LUAD.

Upregulation of Piezo1 Is a Novel Prognostic Indicator in Glioma Patients

Purpose

Previous study reported that Piezo1 was highly expressed in glioma and promoted the proliferation of glioma cells, suggesting that Piezo1 overexpression might contribute to the poor prognosis of patients. Thus, this study aimed to identify whether Piezo1 may become a new prognostic biomarker for glioma patients.

Patients and Methods

Firstly, Piezo1 expression of gliomas was analyzed through GEO and Oncomine dataset, and verified by qRT-PCR and immunohistochemistry (IHC) methods. A total of 183 glioma patients were included in this study between January 2010 and December 2014. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, Cox regression analyses and ROC curve analyses were performed to assess the diagnostic and prognostic values of Piezo1 in glioma patients.

Results

In this study, Piezo1 was identified to be highly expressed in gliomas, and increased with WHO grade. Chi-square test results showed that Piezo1 expression was significantly related to age (P=0.00), WHO grade (P=0.00), Histopathology (P=0.00), IDH1 mutation (P=0.00) and chemotherapy (P=0.00). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the overall survival (OS) of patients with high Piezo1 expression was significantly worse than that of patients with low Piezo1 expression (HR=3.39, 95% CI=2.40-4.81, P<0.0001). A multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that Piezo1 might be an independent prognostic factor for glioma patients (HR=1.34, 95% CI=1.23-1.47, P=0.000). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival for Piezo1 overexpression was 0.820 (P=0.000), 0.849 (P=0.000), and 0.861 (P=0.000), respectively.

Conclusion

Piezo1 was overexpressed in glioma samples. Piezo1 overexpression as an independent prognostic factor adversely affects the prognosis of patients, which could be a new novel prognostic indicator in glioma patients.

Comparative validation study of risk assessment models for pediatric hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Risk assessment models (RAMs) have been developed to identify children at high risk of hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE). None have been externally validated nor compared.

OBJECTIVES

The objective was to compare performance of these RAMs by externally validating them using the Children's Hospital-Acquired Thrombosis (CHAT) Registry, ie, a multicenter database of children with radiographic-confirmed HA-VTE and corresponding controls.

PATIENTS/METHODS

Risk assessment models were included if the full logistic regression equation was available and all RAM variables were collected in the CHAT Registry. A random sample of 200 cases and 200 controls was selected. The performance of the RAMs was assessed for discrimination using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC), and calibration using plots, slopes, and intercepts, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

RESULTS

Three RAMs were included. Each had excellent discrimination with AUROC ≥ 0.85. However, calibration was generally poor, with calibration slopes significantly different from 1 (0.71, P < .001; 1.44, P = .002; 0.68, P < .001), intercepts significantly different from 0 (-1.64, P < .001; -0.62, P < .001; 0.78, P < .001), and Hosmer-Lemeshow test P < .001 for each. Exceptions included the Arlikar et al and Atchison et al RAMs for pediatric HA-VTE in non-intensive care unit (ICU) patients and ICU patients, respectively, despite derivation from ICU and non-ICU patients, respectively. In these subpopulations, both showed excellent discrimination and good calibration.

CONCLUSION

Given the lack of adequate calibration for evaluated RAMs, further investigation and refinement of RAMs for pediatric HA-VTE is needed prior to application of a RAM in a clinical setting or risk-stratified clinical trial of primary thromboprophylaxis against HA-VTE in children.

Thrombotic risk in children undergoing orthopedic surgery

Children are physiologically protected against venous thromboembolism (VTE). Specific triggering events or contributing factors have been identified in the majority of reported cases, which differs from the adult pathology where 50% of the thromboses are considered "idiopathic". This is a rare disease in children with an estimated frequency of less than 1/1000. The risk is highest in neonates, then decreases and increases again around 13 years to reach the same level as adults at 16 years. The risk of VTE is clearly higher in certain situations: significant trauma, prolonged immobilization, central venous catheter, stay in intensive care unit, inherited thrombophilia, cancer, obesity, oral contraceptives, etc. Thromboprophylaxis should not be used systematically, even in adolescents. Proper hydration and early mobilization form the basis of mechanical thromboprophylaxis. A prescription is only given after careful analysis of the child's risk factors and the orthopedic context. Thrombotic risk assessment scores - which are based on expert opinion and large VTE registers but have not been evaluated in clinical studies - are currently the most reliable method to evaluate the thrombotic risk in children and to prescribe thromboprophylaxis. Low-molecular weight heparin are the most commonly used thromboprophylaxis agents in children, with good tolerance and efficacy.

The Incidence of Peripheral Intravenous Catheter Phlebitis and Risk Factors among Pediatric Patients

BACKGROUND

Phlebitis is one of the most common complications of peripheral intravenous catheter (PIVC) that can lead to many complications, including higher medical costs and longer hospital stays.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the incidence of phlebitis associated with PIVC and determine its risk factors among hospitalized pediatric patients.

METHODS

An observational and cross-sectional design was used. Data such as patient's demographics, medical diagnosis, place of admission, and other PIVC characteristics were recorded. In addition, observations of PIVC sites over 12-hour intervals were conducted to measure PIVC complications using the Visual Infusion Phlebitis (VIP) scale.

SAMPLE AND SETTING

Over a period of six months, a sample consisting of 307 children from five governmental hospitals that are located in north and middle Jordan were targeted. The sample consists of patients under 12 years old with PIVCs who were hospitalized in pediatric departments.

RESULTS

PIVC catheterization has been associated with several complications such as phlebitis (N = 164; 53.4%), extravasation (N = 107, 34.9%), pain (N = 37; 12.1%), leakage (N = 37; 12.1%), and obstruction (N = 26; 8.5%). The main risk factors for phlebitis were: children admitted to wards, PIVC inserted by novice nurse, catheter inserted in the lower limbs, and catheter with contaminated dressing.

CONCLUSION

This study enriches knowledge of PIVC complications and risk factors of phlebitis to help nurses avoid complications and initiate prompt treatment, leading to decrease financial burden as well as patient pain and discomfort.

Venous thromboembolism in childhood: where is Brazil after 20 years?

Due to the longer survival of critically ill children, venous thromboembolism is a problem which is becoming increasingly recognized in pediatric practice. In the last decades, several international studies have been published, shedding a light upon the epidemiology of this disease during childhood. These data show peculiarities in the clinical presentation and the significant morbidity and mortality. The new "epidemic of thrombosis" in pediatric hospitals points toward the urgent need for specific treatment and prevention protocols targeting this population. In Brazil, knowledge regarding this disease remains scarce. The lack of epidemiological data impacts both the clinical care and the design of specific public policies in the field. Thus, a national registry of pediatric venous thromboembolism is relevant to the proposal of an appropriate plan of action to create a qualified net of assistance. The improvement in educational initiatives related to the field of Pediatric Hemostasis is also very important. In this review, we have updated the epidemiological, clinical and therapeutic aspects of the disease, as well as the prevention strategies.

Association of perioperative red blood cell transfusion with postoperative venous thromboembolism in pediatric patients: A propensity score matched analysis

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between perioperative red blood cell (RBC) transfusion and postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) in pediatric surgical patients.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project Pediatric, a validated registry of 118 United States children's hospitals. Patients under 19 years of age undergoing a surgical procedure between 2012 and 2017 were included, with the main exposure being RBC transfusion in the perioperative period (48 hours prior to operation to 72 hours after operation). The primary 30-day outcome of interest was a postoperative VTE requiring therapy. Risk-adjusted odds ratios (aOR) were calculated using multiple logistic regression. Subgroup analyses were performed across multiple surgical specialties. Sensitivity analyses were performed after (a) imputation for missing variables and (b) propensity score matching.

RESULTS

During the study years, 482 867 pediatric patients (56.7% male; median age, 6 years [interquartile range, 1-12 years]) underwent an operation. Of these, 30 879 (6.4%) received at least one perioperative RBC transfusion. Postoperative VTE requiring therapy occurred in 618 patients (0.13%). After adjustment for multiple risk factors, perioperative RBC transfusion was associated with an increased risk of VTE (aOR 2.4; 95% CI, 1.9-3.0). The increased VTE risk persisted after imputation of missing demographic and clinical data as well as after 1:1 propensity score matching (29 811 matched pairs, aOR 2.2; 95% CI, 1.7-2.8).

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative RBC transfusion is associated with an increased, albeit still very low, risk of postoperative VTE in pediatric patients. Patients receiving blood in the perioperative period may benefit from additional monitoring or VTE prophylaxis.

Promising biomarkers for the prediction of catheter-related venous thromboembolism in hospitalized children: An exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Pediatric venous thromboembolism (VTE) has increased over the past 10 years, with central venous catheters (CVC) being the strongest risk factor. Current tools are not sufficient to predict VTE risk. The utility of biomarkers in predicting CVC-related VTE has been minimally explored. Our objective is to determine the utility of microparticles (MPs), factor VIII (FVIII) activity, and thrombin generation (TG) in prospectively predicting VTE occurrence in hospitalized children with CVCs.

PROCEDURE

In this nested case-control pilot study, consecutive hospitalized children needing CVC placement (1 month to 21 years) were enrolled. Venous samples were collected prior to or within 24 h of CVC placement. MPs were measured using factor Xa initiated clot-based assay. FVIII was measured using a one-stage clot-based assay. TG was measured using calibrated automated thrombogram.

RESULTS

There were three CVC-related VTE events (7%) in our cohort of 42 subjects. Xa clotting time (XaCT) ratio was lower (0.68 ± 0.07 vs 0.95 ± 0.21, P = .4), while FVIII (461 ± 120 vs 267 ± 130, P = .02), peak thrombin (418 ± 89 vs 211 ± 101, P = .001), endogenous thrombin potential (ETP) (1828 ± 485 vs 1282 ± 394, P = .03), and velocity index (VI) (182 ± 28 vs 75 ± 53, P = .001) were higher in subjects with CVC-related VTE compared to those without CVC-related VTE. Sensitivity/specificity analysis revealed optimal cutoff values for XaCT ratio (0.75), FVIII (370), ETP (1680), peak (315), and VI (130), with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve values >0.9.

CONCLUSION

MPs, FVIII, and TG can potentially predict pediatric CVC-related VTE in a prospective fashion. Stratification according to VTE risk may aid in guiding preventative efforts in future studies.

Central Venous Catheter-Related Deep Vein Thrombosis in the Pediatric Cardiac Intensive Care Unit

BACKGROUND

Central venous catheter (CVC) use is common in the management of critically ill children, especially those with congenital heart disease. CVCs are known to augment the risk of deep vein thrombosis (DVT), but data on CVC-associated DVTs in the pediatric cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) are limited. In this study, we aim to identify the incidence of and risk factors for CVC-related DVT in this high-risk population, as its complications are highly morbid.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PC4 database and a radiologic imaging database were retrospectively reviewed for the demographics and outcomes of patients admitted to the Texas Children's Hospital CICU requiring CVC placement, as well as the incidence of DVT and its complications.

RESULTS

Between January 2017 and December 2017, 1215 central lines were placed over 851 admissions. DVT was diagnosed in 8% of admissions with a CVC, 29% of which demonstrated thrombus in the inferior vena cava. The risk factors significantly associated with DVT included the presence of >1 line, higher total line hours, longer intubation times, and extended CICU stay. A diagnosis of low cardiac output syndrome, sepsis, central line-associated bloodstream infection, and cardiac catheterization were also significant risk factors. Interestingly, cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass appeared to be protective of clot development. DVT was a highly significant risk factor for mortality in these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

CVC-related DVTs in critically ill children with congenital heart disease are associated with higher risks of morbidity and mortality, highlighting the need for well-designed studies to determine the best preventative and treatment strategies and to establish guidelines for appropriate monitoring and follow-up of these patients.

Thrombosis in Children: Approach to Anatomic Risks, Thrombophilia, Prevention, and Treatment

Pediatric venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increasing in incidence but minimal data exist for best practices regarding therapy, use of thrombophilia testing, and management of long-term complications. Classification schema use anatomic location and presence of clinical or thrombophilic inciting factors. There are a small number of risk-assessment and risk-modeling systems for incident VTE, but all suffer from low numbers, single-institution design, and lack of prospective validation. Acute treatment is limited to heparin products and thrombolysis may be indicated in specific situations. In addition, chronic postthrombotic comorbidities are expected to increase in incidence and lack evidence-based treatment paradigms.

Risk factors for venous thromboembolic events in pediatric surgical patients: Defining indications for prophylaxis

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in pediatric surgical patients is a rare event. The risk factors for VTE in pediatric general surgery patients undergoing abdominopelvic procedures are unknown.

STUDY DESIGN

The American College of Surgeon's National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-Pediatric (NSQIP-P) database (2012-2015) was queried for patients with VTE after abdominopelvic general surgery procedures. Patient and operative variables were assessed to identify risk factors associated with VTE and develop a pediatric risk score.

RESULTS

From 2012-2015, 68 of 34,813 (0.20%) patients who underwent abdominopelvic general surgery procedures were diagnosed with VTE. On multivariate analysis, there was no increased risk of VTE based on concomitant malignancy, chemotherapy, inflammatory bowel disease, or laparoscopic surgical approach, while a higher rate of VTE was identified among female patients. The odds of experiencing VTE were increased on stepwise regression for patients older than 15 years and those with preexisting renal failure or a diagnosis of septic shock, patients with American Society of Anesthesia (ASA) classification ≥ 2, and for anesthesia time longer than 2 h. The combination of age > 15 years, ASA classification ≥ 2, anesthesia time > 2 h, renal failure, and septic shock was included in a model for predicting risk of VTE (AUC = 0.907, sensitivity 84.4%, specificity 88.2%).

CONCLUSION

VTE is rare in pediatric patients, but prediction modeling may help identify those patients at heightened risk. Additional studies are needed to validate the factors identified in this study in a risk assessment model as well as to assess the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis methods.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, retrospective comparative study.

Catheter-Related Venous Thrombosis in Hospitalized Pediatric Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Incidence, Characteristics, and Role of Anticoagulant Thromboprophylaxis with Enoxaparin

OBJECTIVE

To describe the incidence and characteristics of central venous catheter (CVC)-related thrombosis in hospitalized pediatric patients with active inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and report the potential usefulness of anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis (AT).

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a retrospective study of patients who were admitted to our children's hospital in the last 2 years with active IBD and required a CVC and identified all patients with an objectively confirmed symptomatic CVC-related thrombosis. To assess the usefulness of a recently implemented institutional AT protocol, we compared the frequency of CVC-related thrombosis, nadir hemoglobin, and red blood cell transfusion requirements in patients who received AT with those who did not during the study period.

RESULTS

A total of 40 patients with IBD who required 47 consecutive hospitalizations were included. AT was administered during 24 of 47 hospitalizations (51%). Patients who received AT were similar to those who did not receive AT with regard to demographics, IBD phenotypes, extent of colonic involvement, and thrombotic risk factors. CVC-related thrombosis occurred in 5 of 23 hospitalizations (22%) in which AT was withheld compared with 0 of 24 hospitalizations (0%) in which patients received AT (P = .02). The red blood cell transfusion requirements and nadir hemoglobin were not significantly different between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a high incidence of CVC-related thrombosis in hospitalized children with IBD. Administration of AT in our population was associated with significant reduction in CVC-related thrombosis without evidence of increased bleeding.

Deep vein thrombosis in pediatric patients

Due to advances in caring for critically ill children and those with chronic diseases, rates of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) are increasing in children. Risk factors consist of central venous catheters, chronic medical conditions, thrombophilia, and various medications. Compression Doppler ultrasonography is the method most commonly used to diagnose DVT, and patients will usually present with pain and swelling of the affected limb. Anticoagulation via subcutaneous injection is the most common treatment regime for children with DVT, and the new, direct oral anticoagulants are currently under investigation. Prevention techniques are not established, but clinical studies are addressing this need.

Pediatric issues in thrombosis and hemostasis: The how and why of venous thromboembolism risk stratification in hospitalized children

Multiple observational studies have identified risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in hospitalized children, but very few interventional studies have assessed the safety and efficacy of thromboprophylaxis in this population. In recent years, however, evidence in pediatric VTE risk stratification has grown considerably. This has led to the conception of a pediatric subpopulation-specific risk-based paradigm for mechanical and pharmacological thromboprophylaxis in hospitalized children. More research is required to validate and further refine pediatric subpopulation-specific risk models and to subsequently investigate risk-stratified thromboprophylaxis strategies for hospitalized children.

Risk factors for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism in critically ill children following cardiothoracic surgery or therapeutic cardiac catheterisation

BACKGROUND

Paediatric hospital-associated venous thromboembolism is a leading quality and safety concern at children's hospitals.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine risk factors for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism in critically ill children following cardiothoracic surgery or therapeutic cardiac catheterisation.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, case-control study of children admitted to the cardiovascular intensive care unit at Johns Hopkins All Children's Hospital (St. Petersburg, Florida, United States of America) from 2006 to 2013. Hospital-associated venous thromboembolism cases were identified based on ICD-9 discharge codes and validated using radiological record review. We randomly selected two contemporaneous cardiovascular intensive care unit controls without hospital-associated venous thromboembolism for each hospital-associated venous thromboembolism case, and limited the study population to patients who had undergone cardiothoracic surgery or therapeutic cardiac catheterisation. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for associations between putative risk factors and hospital-associated venous thromboembolism were determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 2718 admissions to the cardiovascular intensive care unit during the study period, 65 met the criteria for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism (occurrence rate, 2%). Restriction to cases and controls having undergone the procedures of interest yielded a final study population of 57 hospital-associated venous thromboembolism cases and 76 controls. In a multiple logistic regression model, major infection (odds ratio=5.77, 95% confidence interval=1.06-31.4), age ⩽1 year (odds ratio=6.75, 95% confidence interval=1.13-160), and central venous catheterisation (odds ratio=7.36, 95% confidence interval=1.13-47.8) were found to be statistically significant independent risk factors for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism in these children. Patients with all three factors had a markedly increased post-test probability of having hospital-associated venous thromboembolism.

CONCLUSION

Major infection, infancy, and central venous catheterisation are independent risk factors for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism in critically ill children following cardiothoracic surgery or cardiac catheter-based intervention, which, in combination, define a high-risk group for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism.

Anticoagulant prophylaxis and therapy in children: current challenges and emerging issues

This review is aimed at describing the unique challenges of anticoagulant prophylaxis and treatment in children, and highlighting areas for research for improving clinical outcomes of children with thromboembolic disease. The evidence presented demonstrates the challenges of advancing the evidence base informing optimal management of thromboembolic disease in children. Recent observational studies have identified risk factors for venous thromboembolism in children, but there are few interventional studies assessing the benefit-risk balance of using thromboprophylaxis in risk-stratified clinical subgroups. A risk level-based framework is proposed for administering mechanical and pharmacological thromboprophylaxis. More research is required to refine the assignment of risk levels. The anticoagulants currently used predominantly in children are unfractionated heparin, low molecular weight heparin, and vitamin K antagonists. There is a paucity of robust evidence on the age-specific pharmacology of these agents, and their efficacy and safety for prevention and treatment of thrombosis in children. The available literature is heterogeneous, reflecting age-specific differences, and the various clinical settings for anticoagulation in children. Monitoring assays and target ranges are not well established. Nevertheless, weight-based dosing appears to achieve acceptable outcomes in most indications. Given the limitations of the classical anticoagulants for children, there is great interest in the direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), whose properties appear to be particularly suitable for children. All DOACs currently approved for adults have Pediatric Investigation Plans ongoing or planned. These are generating age-specific formulations and systematic dosing information. The ongoing pediatric studies still have to establish whether DOACs have a positive benefit-risk balance in the various pediatric indications and age groups.

Advances in predicting venous thromboembolism risk in children

Paediatric venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a rare disorder but a rising incidence has been observed in recent years, due to improved VTE diagnosis and increased use of central venous catheters in the treatment of severe diseases. Risk assessment strategies are well established for adult patients, however, similar guidelines for paediatric patients are largely lacking. Several risk prediction tools have been reported in recent literature, which make use of established risk factors to assess VTE risk in paediatric subgroups, such as hospitalised children, cancer-diagnosed children and paediatric trauma patients. Although these models suffer several limitations regarding their study size and heterogeneous selection of predictor variables, they offer potential for improving the thromboprophylaxis management in these children. Here, we give an overview on recently reported risk prediction models for paediatric VTE.

Development of a Surveillance System for Pediatric Hospital-Acquired Venous Thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Pediatric hospital-acquired (HA) venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a vexing problem with improvement efforts hampered by lack of robust surveillance methods to establish accurate rates of HA-VTE.

METHODS

At a freestanding children's hospital, a multidisciplinary team worked to develop a comprehensive surveillance strategy for HA-VTE. Starting with diagnosis codes, we implemented complementary detection methods, including clinical and radiology data, to develop a robust surveillance system. HA-VTE events were tracked by using descriptive statistics and a statistical process control chart. Detection methods were evaluated via retrospective application of each method to every identified HA-VTE. Initial detection method was tracked.

RESULTS

A total of 68 HA-VTE events were identified and the median number of events per 1000 patient days increased from 0.18 to 0.34. No single detection method would have identified all events. Each detection method initially identified HA-VTE events.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of multiple detection methods has optimized timely detection of HA-VTE. This allows the establishment of a reliable baseline rate, enabling quality improvement efforts to address HA-VTE.

Venous thromboembolism in children with cystic fibrosis: Retrospective incidence and intrapopulation risk factors

INTRODUCTION

Pediatric venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a rare but serious medical condition. Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a risk for recurrent pediatric VTE and has potential thrombophilic tendency. However, much remains unknown, including incidence and intrapopulation risk factors.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of pediatric CF patients followed at Children's Hospital Colorado from January 1st 2003 through May 20th 2016 was examined. Cases were identified by informatics and validated manually. Data on CF severity, co-morbidities and treatment, central venous catheter (CVC) use, and thrombophilia were obtained from an institutional CF database and chart review.

RESULTS

Nineteen VTE occurred in 458 participants followed for 3595 person-years, yielding an incidence rate of 53 VTE per 10,000 children with CF. VTE cases had additional co-morbidities including CF-related diabetes (p=0.002) and sinus disease (p=0.04), more total admissions (p<0.001), admit days (p<0.001), positive respiratory cultures (p<0.001), pseudomonas infections (p<0.001), steroid courses (p=0.001), and total CVC days (PICC p=0.03, port p=0.007). On univariate analysis, older age (RR 1.162, p=0.007), sinus disease (RR 2.62, p=0.05), longer hospital stay (RR 1.03, p<0.001), higher ESR (RR 1.02, p=0.03) and CRP (RR 1.07, p=0.007), and an absence of systemic steroids (RR 0.19, p=0.004) increased the risk of VTE.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort, children with CF had a higher incidence of VTE when compared to the previously reported incidence in the overall pediatric population at Children's Hospital Colorado. Overall, those with VTE had a greater disease burden and older age, sinus disease, longer hospitalization and increased inflammation were VTE risk factors.

Pediatric Hospital Acquired Venous Thromboembolism

Pediatric hospital acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE) is an increasing problem with an estimated increase from 5.3 events per 10,000 pediatric hospital admissions in the early 1990s to a current estimate of 30-58 events per 10,000 pediatric hospital admissions. Pediatric HA-VTE is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The etiology is multifactorial but central venous catheters remain the predominant risk factor. Additional HA-VTE risk factors include both acquired (recent surgery, immobility, inflammation, and critical illness) and inherited risk factors. Questions remain regarding the most effective method to assess for HA-VTE risk in hospitalized pediatric patients and what preventative strategies should be implemented. While several risk-assessment models have been published in pediatric patients, these studies have limited power due to small sample size and require prospective validation. Potential thromboprophylactic measures include mechanical and pharmacologic methods both of which have associated harms, the most significant of which is bleeding from anticoagulation. Standard anticoagulation options in pediatric patients currently include unfractionated heparin, low molecular weight heparin, or warfarin all of which pose a monitoring burden. Ongoing pediatric studies with direct oral anticoagulants could potentially revolutionize the prevention and treatment of pediatric thrombosis with the possibility of a convenient route of administration and no requirement for monitoring. Further studies assessing clinical outcomes of venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention strategies are critical to evaluate the effectiveness and harm of prophylactic interventions in children. Despite HA-VTE prevention efforts, thrombotic events can still occur, and it is important that clinicians have a high clinical suspicion to ensure prompt diagnosis and treatment to prevent further associated harms.

Epidemiology and Risk Assessment of Pediatric Venous Thromboembolism

The incidence of diagnosed venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been increasing concurrent with advances in technology and medical care that enhance our ability to treat pediatric patients with critical illness or complex multiorgan system dysfunction. Although the overall incidence of VTE is estimated at 0.07-0.49 per 10,000 children, higher rates are observed in specific populations including hospitalized children, those with central venous catheters (CVCs) or patients convalescing from a major surgery. While the absolute number of pediatric VTE events may seem trivial compared to adults, the increasing incidence, associated with increased mortality and morbidity, the availability of novel therapies, and the impact on the cost of care have made investigation of VTE risk factors and prevention strategies a high priority. Many putative risk factors for pediatric VTE have been reported, primarily from single-institution, retrospective studies which lack appropriate methods for verifying independent risk factors. In addition, some risk factors have inconsistent definitions, which vex meta-analyses. CVCs are the most prevalent risk factors but have not consistently been assigned the highest level of risk as defined by odds ratios from retrospective, case-control studies. Few risk-assessment models for hospital-acquired pediatric VTE have been published. Some models focus exclusively on hospitalized pediatric patients, while others target specific populations such as patients with cancer or severe trauma. Multicenter, prospective studies are needed to identify and confirm risk factors in order to create a pediatric risk-assessment tool and optimize preventive measures and reduce unintended harm.

Opportunities and challenges in developing risk prediction models with electronic health records data: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Electronic health records (EHRs) are an increasingly common data source for clinical risk prediction, presenting both unique analytic opportunities and challenges. We sought to evaluate the current state of EHR based risk prediction modeling through a systematic review of clinical prediction studies using EHR data.

METHODS

We searched PubMed for articles that reported on the use of an EHR to develop a risk prediction model from 2009 to 2014. Articles were extracted by two reviewers, and we abstracted information on study design, use of EHR data, model building, and performance from each publication and supplementary documentation.

RESULTS

We identified 107 articles from 15 different countries. Studies were generally very large (median sample size = 26 100) and utilized a diverse array of predictors. Most used validation techniques (n = 94 of 107) and reported model coefficients for reproducibility (n = 83). However, studies did not fully leverage the breadth of EHR data, as they uncommonly used longitudinal information (n = 37) and employed relatively few predictor variables (median = 27 variables). Less than half of the studies were multicenter (n = 50) and only 26 performed validation across sites. Many studies did not fully address biases of EHR data such as missing data or loss to follow-up. Average c-statistics for different outcomes were: mortality (0.84), clinical prediction (0.83), hospitalization (0.71), and service utilization (0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

EHR data present both opportunities and challenges for clinical risk prediction. There is room for improvement in designing such studies.

Venous thromboembolism occurring during adolescence

OBJECTIVE

Risk assessment for venous thromboembolism (VTE) and thromboprophylaxis in those with risk factors is established in adult practice. Evidence to support efficacy and safety of this approach in adolescents is lacking. We aimed to describe thrombotic risk factors and to determine the proportion of potentially preventable events in a retrospective cohort study of adolescents with VTE.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PATIENTS

Data were collected between 2008 and 2014 from eight tertiary UK centres. Qualifying events were radiologically confirmed VTE in subjects aged 12-17 years. Central venous line-related upper venous system events were excluded.

RESULTS

76 cases were identified, 41 males, median age 15 years. Frequent risk factors were: reduced mobility, 45%; thrombophilia, 24%; malignancy, 20%; surgery, 18%; combined oral contraceptive pill, 12%; congenital venous anomaly, 5%. 28 (37%) had no significant underlying diagnosis and no provoking event/hospitalisation, presenting as outpatients with VTE which was considered 'unpreventable'. Of 48 where there had been opportunity for risk assessment, chemical thromboprophylaxis was not indicated in 26 and was contraindicated in 8. 14/76 (18%) had an indication to consider thromboprophylaxis and no contraindication. Of these, four had cerebral palsy, five malignancy and two inflammatory bowel disease. All had reduced mobility with recent surgery in eight. Four received chemical thromboprophylaxis prior to presentation.

CONCLUSIONS

Among a cohort of adolescents with VTE, a small proportion (13%) had an indication to consider chemical thromboprophylaxis but did not receive it. VTE risk assessment and prevention should focus on adolescents with immobility or surgery, particularly in those with malignancy.

Risk Factors for Venous Thromboembolism in Pediatric Trauma Patients and Validation of a Novel Scoring System: The Risk of Clots in Kids With Trauma Score

OBJECTIVES

Identify risk factors for venous thromboembolism and develop venous thromboembolism risk assessment models for pediatric trauma patients.

DESIGN

Single institution and national registry retrospective cohort studies.

SETTING

John Hopkins level 1 adult and pediatric trauma center and National Trauma Data Bank.

PATIENTS

Patients 21 years and younger hospitalized following traumatic injuries at John Hopkins (1987-2011). Patients 21 years and younger in the National Trauma Data Bank (2008-2010 and 2011-2012).

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Clinical characteristics of Johns Hopkins patients with and without venous thromboembolism were compared, and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent venous thromboembolism risk factors. Weighted risk assessment scoring systems were developed based on these and previously identified factors from National Trauma Data Bank patients (2008-2010); the scoring systems were validated in this cohort from Johns Hopkins and a cohort from the National Trauma Data Bank (2011-2012). Forty-nine of 17,366 pediatric trauma patients (0.28%) were diagnosed with venous thromboembolism after admission to our trauma center. After adjusting for potential confounders, venous thromboembolism was independently associated with older age, surgery, blood transfusion, higher Injury Severity Score, and lower Glasgow Coma Scale score. These and additional factors were identified in 402,329 pediatric patients from the National Trauma Data Bank from 2008 to 2010; independent risk factors from the logistic regression analysis of this National Trauma Data Bank cohort were selected and incorporated into weighted risk assessment scoring systems. Two models were developed and were cross-validated in two separate pediatric trauma cohorts: 1) 282,535 patients in the National Trauma Data Bank from 2011 to 2012 and 2) 17,366 patients from Johns Hopkins. The receiver operating curve using these models in the validation cohorts had area under the curves that ranged 90-94%.

CONCLUSIONS

Venous thromboembolism is infrequent after trauma in pediatric patients. We developed weighted scoring systems to stratify pediatric trauma patients at risk for venous thromboembolism. These systems may have potential to guide risk-appropriate venous thromboembolism prophylaxis in children after trauma.

Association of Obesity and Pediatric Venous Thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

The incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increasing among pediatric patients in the United States. Previous studies on obesity as a risk factor have produced mixed results.

METHODS

We completed a retrospective chart review of patients aged 2 to 18 years with VTE identified by using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, codes and confirmed by imaging. Patients were admitted between January 2000 and September 2012. Control subjects were matched on age, gender, and the presence of a central venous catheter. Data were collected on weight, height, and risk factors, including bacteremia, ICU admission, immobilization, use of oral contraceptives, and malignancy. Underweight patients and those without documented height and weight data were excluded. Independent predictors of VTE risk were identified by using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

We identified 88 patients plus 2 matched control subjects per case. The majority of cases were nonembolic events (77%) of the lower extremity (25%) or head and neck (22%) confirmed by ultrasound (43%) or computed tomography scan (41%). A statistically significant association was found between VTE and increased BMI z score (P = .002). In multivariate analysis, BMI z score (odds ratio [OR]: 3.1; P = .007), bacteremia (OR: 4.9; P = .02), ICU stay (OR: 2.5; P = .02), and use of oral contraceptives (OR: 17.4; P < .001) were significant predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

In this single-institution study, the diagnosis of VTE was significantly associated with overweight and obesity. Further study is needed to fully define this association.

Hospital-associated venous thromboembolism in pediatrics: a systematic review and meta-analysis of risk factors and risk-assessment models

Hospital-associated venous thromboembolism, including deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is increasing in pediatric centers. The objective of this work was to systematically review literature on pediatric hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism risk factors and risk-assessment models, to inform future prevention research. We conducted a literature search on pediatric venous thromboembolism risk via PubMed (1946-2014) and Embase (1980-2014). Data on risk factors and risk-assessment models were extracted from case-control studies, while prevalence data on clinical characteristics were obtained from registries, large (n>40) retrospective case series, and cohort studies. Meta-analyses were conducted for risk factors or clinical characteristics reported in at least three studies. Heterogeneity among studies was assessed with the Cochran Q test and quantified by the I(2) statistic. From 394 initial articles, 60 met the final inclusion criteria (20 case-control studies and 40 registries/large case series/cohort studies). Significant risk factors among case-control studies were: intensive care unit stay (OR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.97-2.32); central venous catheter (OR: 2.12, 95% CI: 2.00-2.25); mechanical ventilation (OR: 1.56, 95%CI: 1.42-1.72); and length of stay in hospital (per each additional day, OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.03-1.03). Three studies developed/applied risk-assessment models from a combination of these risk factors. Fourteen significant clinical characteristics were identified through non-case-control studies. This meta-analysis confirms central venous catheter, intensive care unit stay, mechanical ventilation, and length of stay as risk factors. A few pediatric hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism risk scores have emerged employing these factors. Prospective validation is necessary to inform risk-stratified prevention trials.