Pediatric specific shock index accurately identifies severely injured children

Predicting severe outcomes in pediatric trauma patients: Shock index pediatric age-adjusted vs. age-adjusted tachycardia

INTRODUCTION

When an injured patient arrives in the Emergency Department (ED), timely and appropriate care is crucial. Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) has been shown to accurately identify pediatric patients in need of emergency interventions. However, no study has evaluated SIPA against age-adjusted tachycardia (AT). This study aims to compare SIPA with AT in predicting outcomes such as mortality, severe injury, and the need for emergent intervention in pediatric trauma patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is a retrospective cross-sectional analysis of patient data abstracted from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program Participant Use Files (TQIP PUFs) for years 2013-2020. Patients aged 4-16 with blunt mechanism of injury and injury severity score (ISS) > 15 were included. 36,517 children met this criteria. Sensitivity, specificity, overtriage, and undertriage rates were calculated to compare the effectiveness of AT and elevated SIPA as predictors of severe injuries and need for emergent intervention. Emergent interventions included craniotomy, endotracheal intubation, thoracotomy, laparotomy, or chest tube placement within 24 h of arrival.

RESULTS

AT classified 59% of patients as "high risk," while elevated SIPA identified 26%. Compared to AT patients, a greater proportion of patients with elevated SIPA required a blood transfusion within 24 h (22% vs. 12%, respectively; p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was higher for the elevated SIPA group than AT (10% vs. 5%, respectively; p < 0.001) as well as the need for emergent operative interventions (43% vs. 32% respectively; p < 0.001). Grade 3 or higher liver/spleen lacerations requiring blood transfusion were also more common among elevated SIPA patients than AT patients (8% vs. 4%, respectively; p < 0.001). AT demonstrated greater sensitivity but lower specificity compared to SIPA across all outcomes. AT showed improved overtriage and undertriage rates compared to SIPA, but this is attributed to identifying a large proportion of the sample as "high risk."

CONCLUSIONS

AT outperforms SIPA in sensitivity for mortality, injury severity and emergent interventions in pediatric trauma patients while the specificity of SIPA is high across these outcomes.

Limitations of Blood Pressure Measurements in Pediatric Trauma Patients During Field Triage

INTRODUCTION

Recent revisions of national field triage guidelines recommend the addition of age-specific systolic blood pressure (SBP) measurement for identifying the most severely injured children requiring transport to a trauma center. The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency in which blood pressures are documented by Emergency Medical Service (EMS) providers and the role this measurement has had, among other factors, in triage decisions.

METHODS

This is an exploratory descriptive study with a retrospective review from the trauma registry database of all pediatric trauma admissions that arrived by EMS at a level II pediatric trauma center from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2022.

RESULTS

Two hundred ninety-eight patient records of patients aged 0 to 14 were included. EMS providers documented blood pressure in 70.1% of the total sample. A significant difference in the frequency of this documentation was seen between ages zero to nine and = > 10 years (χ2(1,298) = 28.98 p <0.001). No children ages zero to nine years had SBP of < 70 mmHg + (2x age in years) documented by EMS. There were two children aged = > 10 who had a documented SBP < 90 and 12 children with documented EMS heart rate > SBP.

CONCLUSION

Many children transported by EMS in this hospital's catchment area did have a field blood pressure measurement documented, but the frequency was significantly less in younger-aged children. The blood pressure measurements of children determined to have severe injuries in the sample did not meet the inclusion criteria for high risk of serious injury by the newly established national guidelines. This suggests other prehospital criteria, such as mechanism of injury or visual cues, prompted EMS to transport these pediatric trauma patients to a regional trauma center for specialized care.

Prognosis and assessment of the predictive value of severity scores in paediatric abdominal trauma: A French national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Paediatric closed abdominal trauma is common, however, its severity and influence on survival are difficult to determine. No prognostic score integrating abdominal involvement exists to date in paediatrics.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the severity and short-term and medium-term prognosis of closed abdominal trauma in children, and the performance of severity scores in predicting mortality.

DESIGN

Retrospective, cohort, observational study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 0 to 18 years presenting at the trauma room of a French paediatric Level I Trauma Centre over the period 2015 to 2019 with an isolated closed abdominal trauma or as part of a polytrauma.

MAIN OUTCOMES

Primary outcome was the six months mortality. Secondary outcomes were related complications and therapeutic interventions, and performance for predicting mortality of the scores listed. Paediatric Trauma Score (PTS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Shock Index Paediatric Age-adjusted (SIPA) score, Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale score (rSIG), Base Deficit, International Normalised Ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG), Injury Severity Score (ISS) and Trauma Score and the Injury Severity (TRISS) score.

DATA COLLECTION

Data collected include clinical, biological and CT scan data at admission, first 24 h management and prognosis. The PTS, RTS, SIPA, rSIG, BIG and ISS scores were calculated and mortality was predicted according to BIG score and TRISS methodology.

RESULTS

Of 1145 patients, 149 met the inclusion criteria and 12 (8.1%) died. Of the 12 deceased patients, 11 (91.7%) presented with severe head injury, 11 (91.7%) had blood products transfusion and 7 received tranexamic acid. ROC curves analysis concluded that PTS, RTS, rSIG and BIG scores accurately predict mortality in paediatric closed abdominal trauma with AUCs at least 0.92. The BIG score offered the best predictive performance for predicting mortality at a threshold of 24.8 [sensitivity 90%, specificity 92%, negative-predictive value (NPV) 99%, area under the curve (AUC) 0.93].

CONCLUSION

PEVALPED is the first French study to evaluate the prognosis of paediatric closed abdominal trauma. The use of PTS, rSIG and BIG scores are relevant from the acute phase and the pathophysiological interest and accuracy of the BIG score make it a powerful tool for predicting mortality of closed abdominal trauma in children.

Establishing thresholds for shock index in children to identify major trauma

BACKGROUND

An abnormal shock index (SI) is associated with greater injury severity among children with trauma. We sought to empirically-derive age-adjusted SI cutpoints associated with major trauma in children, and to compare the accuracy of these cutpoints to existing criteria for pediatric SI.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using the 2021 National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) Participant Use File. We included injured children (<18 years), excluding patients with traumatic arrests, mechanical ventilation upon hospital presentation, and inter-facility transfers. Our outcome was major trauma defined by the standardized triage assessment tool (STAT) criteria. Our exposure of interest was the SI. We empirically-derived upper and lower cutpoints for the SI using age-adjusted Z-scores. We compared the performance of these to the SI, pediatric-adjusted (SIPA), and the Pediatric SI (PSI). We validated the performance of the cutpoints in the 2019 NTDB.

RESULTS

We included 64,326 and 64,316 children in the derivation and validation samples, of whom 4.9 % (derivation) and 4.0 % (validation) experienced major trauma. The empirically-derived age-adjusted SI cutpoints had a sensitivity of 43.2 % and a specificity of 79.4 % for major trauma in the validation sample. The sensitivity of the PSI for major trauma was 33.9 %, with a specificity of 90.7 % among children 1-17 years of age. The sensitivity of the SIPA was 37.4 %, with a specificity of 87.8 % among children 4-16 years of age. Evaluated using logistic regression, patients with an elevated age-adjusted SI had 3.97 greater odds (95 % confidence interval [CI] 3.63-4.33) of major trauma compared to those with a normal age-adjusted SI. Patients with a depressed SI had 1.55 greater odds (95 % CI 1.36-1.78) of major trauma. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for the empirically-derived model (0.62, 95 % CI 0.61-0.63) was similar to the AUROC for PSI (0.62, 95 % CI 0.61-0.63); both of which were greater than the SIPA model (0.58, 95 % CI 0.57-0.59).

CONCLUSION

Age-adjusted SI cutpoints demonstrated a mild gain in sensitivity compared to existing measures. However, our findings suggest that the SI alone has a limited role in the identification of major trauma in children.

The Shock Index among Children Presenting to the Emergency Department: Analysis of Nationally Representative Sample

BACKGROUND

The Shock Index (SI) is emerging as a potentially useful measure among children with injury or suspected sepsis.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the distribution of the SI and evaluate its association with clinical outcomes among all children presenting to the emergency department (ED).

METHODS

A complex survey of nonfederal U.S. ED encounters from 2016 through 2021 was analyzed. Among children, the Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index (SIPA), Pediatric Shock Index (PSI), and the Temperature- and Age-Adjusted Shock Index (TAMSI) were analyzed. The association of these criteria with disposition, acuity, medication administration, diagnoses and procedures was analyzed.

RESULTS

A survey-weighted 81.5 million ED visits were included for children aged 4-16 years and 117.2 million visits were included for children aged 1-12 years. SI could be calculated for 78.6% of patients aged 4-16 years and 57.9% of patients aged 1-12 years. An abnormal SI was present in 15.9%, 11.1%, and 31.7% when using the SIPA, PSI, and TAMSI, respectively. With all criteria, an elevated SI was associated with greater hospitalization. The SIPA and PSI were associated with triage acuity. All criteria were associated with medical interventions, including provision of IV fluids and acquisition of blood cultures.

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated SI is indicative of greater resource utilization needs among children in the ED. When using any criteria, an elevated SI was associated with clinically important outcomes. Further research is required to evaluate the distribution of the SI in children and to investigate its potential role within existing triage algorithms for children in the ED.

Shock index and shock index, pediatric age-adjusted as predictors of mortality in pediatric patients with trauma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

This study aimed to assess the predictive ability of the shock index (SI) and the shock index, pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) for mortality among pediatric patients with trauma (aged ≤ 18 years). A systematic search used PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases to identify pertinent articles published from their inception to 13 February 2023. For each SI and SIPA, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated. We planned a priori meta-regression analyses to explore heterogeneity using the following covariates: country, clinical setting, type of center, data source, and cutoff value. Twelve studies were included based on the inclusion criteria. Among them, nine studies with 195,469 patients were included for the SIPA at the hospital, four studies with 4,970 patients were included for the pre-hospital SIPA, and seven studies with 606,445 patients were included to assess the ability of the SI in predicting mortality. The pooled sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence interval for predicting mortality were as follows: 0.58 (0.44-0.70) and 0.72 (0.60-0.82), respectively, for the SIPA at the hospital; 0.61 (0.47-0.74) and 0.67 (0.61-0.73), respectively, for the pre-hospital SIPA; and 0.71 (0.59-0.81) and 0.45 (0.31-0.59), respectively for the SI. The DOR were 3.80, 3.28, and 2.06 for the SIPA at the hospital, pre-hospital SIPA, and SI, respectively. The AUC were 0.693, 0.689, and 0.618 for the SIPA at the hospital, pre-hospital SIPA, and SI, respectively. The SI and SIPA are simple predictive tools with sufficient accuracy that can be readily applied to pediatric patients with trauma, but SIPA and SI should be utilized cautiously due to their limited sensitivity and specificity, respectively.

Centiles for the shock index among injured children in the prehospital setting

OBJECTIVE

The shock index (SI), the ratio of heart rate to systolic blood pressure, is a clinical tool for assessing injury severity. Age-adjusted SI models may improve predictive value for injured children in the out-of-hospital setting. We sought to characterize the proportion of children in the prehospital setting with an abnormal SI using established criteria, describe the age-based distribution of SI among injured children, and determine prehospital interventions by SI.

METHODS

We performed a multi-agency retrospective cross-sectional study of children (<18 years) in the prehospital setting with a scene encounter for suspected trauma and transported to the hospital between 2018 and 2022 using the National Emergency Medical Services (EMS) Information System datasets. Our exposure of interest was the first calculated SI. We identified the proportion of children with an abnormal SI when using the SI, pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA); and the pediatric SI (PSI) criteria. We developed and internally validated an age-based distributional model for the SI using generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape to describe the age-based distribution of the SI as a centile or Z-score. We evaluated EMS interventions (basic airway interventions, advanced airway interventions, cardiac interventions, vascular access, intravenous fluids, and vasopressor use) in relation to both the SIPA, PSI, and distributional SI values.

RESULTS

We analyzed 1,007,863 pediatric EMS trauma encounters (55.0% male, median age 13 years [IQR, 8-16 years]). The most common dispatch complaint was for traffic/transport related injury (32.9%). When using the PSI and SIPA, 13.1% and 16.3% were classified as having an abnormal SI, respectively. There were broad differences in the percentage of encounters classified as having an abnormal SI across the age range, varying from 5.1 to 22.8% for SIPA and 3.7-20.1% for PSI. The SIPA values ranged from the 75th to 95th centiles, while the PSI corresponded to an SI greater than the 90th centile, except in older children. The centile distribution for SI declined during early childhood and stabilized during adolescence and demonstrated a difference of <0.1% at cutoff values. An abnormal PSI, SIPA and higher SI centiles (>90th centile and >95th centiles) were associated with interventions related to basic and advanced airway management, cardiac procedures, vascular access, and provision of intravenous fluids occurred with greater frequency at higher SI centiles. Some procedures, including airway management and vascular access, had a smaller peak at lower (<10th) centiles.

DISCUSSION

We describe the empiric distribution of the pediatric SI across the age range, which may overcome limitations of extant criteria in identifying patients with shock in the prehospital setting. Both high and low SI values were associated with important, potentially lifesaving EMS interventions. Future work may allow for more precise identification of children with significant injury using cutpoint analysis paired to outcome-based criteria. These may additionally be combined with other physiologic and mechanistic criteria to assist in triage decisions.

The Relationship Between the COVID-19 Pandemic and Pediatric Trauma

INTRODUCTION

The COVID-19 pandemic created difficulties in access to care. There was also increased penetrating trauma in adults, which has been attributed to factors including increased firearm sales and social isolation. However, less is known about the relationship between the pandemic and pediatric trauma patients (PTPs). This study aimed to investigate the national incidence of penetrating trauma in PTPs, hypothesizing a higher rate with onset of the pandemic. We additionally hypothesized increased risk of complications and death in penetrating PTPs after the pandemic versus prepandemic.

METHODS

We included all PTPs (aged ≤17-years-old) from the 2017-2020 Trauma Quality Improvement Program database, dividing the dataset into two eras: prepandemic (2017-2019) and pandemic (2020). We performed subset analyses of the pandemic and prepandemic penetrating PTPs. Bivariate analyses and a multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed.

RESULTS

Of the 474,524 PTPs, 123,804 (26.1%) were from the pandemic year. The pandemic era had increased stab wounds (3.3% versus 2.8%, P > 0.001) and gunshot wounds (5.5% versus 4.0%, P < 0.001) compared to the prepandemic era. Among penetrating PTPs, the rates and associated risk of in-hospital complications (2.6% versus 2.8%, P = 0.23) (odds ratio 0.90, confidence interval 0.79-1.02, P = 0.11) and mortality (4.9% versus 5.0%, P = 0.58) (odds ratio 0.90, confidence interval 0.78-1.03, P = 0.12) were similar between time periods.

CONCLUSIONS

This national analysis confirms increased penetrating trauma, particularly gunshot wounds in pediatric patients following onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite this increase, there was no elevated risk of death or complications, suggesting that trauma systems adapted to the "dual pandemic" of COVID-19 and firearm violence in the pediatric population.

Management of Pediatric Solid Organ Injuries

Solid organ injury (SOI) is common in children who experience abdominal trauma, and the management of such injuries has evolved significantly over the past several decades. In 2000, the American Pediatric Surgical Association (APSA) published the first societal guidelines for the management of blunt spleen and/or liver injury (BLSI), advocating for optimized resource utilization while maintaining patient safety. Nonoperative management (NOM) has become the mainstay of treatment for SOI, and since the publication of the APSA guidelines, numerous groups have evaluated how invasive procedures, hospitalization, and activity restrictions may be safely minimized in children with SOI. Here, we review the current evidence-based management guidelines in place for the treatment of injuries to the spleen, liver, kidney, and pancreas in children, including initial evaluation, inpatient management, and long-term care, as well as gaps that exist in the current literature that may be targeted for further optimization of protocols for pediatric SOI.

Persistent disparities between trauma center types in the management of children with high-grade blunt splenic injuries

BACKGROUND

In the early 2000s, substantial variations were reported in the management of pediatric patients with blunt splenic injury (BSI). The purpose of this study was to assess the recent trends and disparities between different types of trauma centers. We hypothesized that there would be persistent disparities despite decreased trends in the rate of splenectomy.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study using the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program database. We included patients (age ≤18 years) with high-grade BSI (Abbreviated Injury Scale 3-5) between 2014 and 2021. The patients were divided into three groups based on trauma center types (adult trauma centers [ATCs], mixed trauma centers [MTCs], and pediatric trauma centers [PTCs]). The primary outcome was the splenectomy rate. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association between trauma center types and clinical outcomes. Additionally, the trends in the rate of splenectomy at ATCs, MTCs, and PTCs were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 6601 patients with high-grade BSI were included in the analysis. Overall splenectomy rates were 524 (17.5%), 448 (16.3%), and 32 (3.7%) in the ATC, MTC, and PTC groups, respectively. ATCs and MTCs had significantly higher splenectomy rates compared to PTCs (ATCs: OR = 5.72, 95%CI = 3.78-8.67, and p < 0.001 and MTCs: OR = 4.50, 95%CI = 2.97-6.81, and p < 0.001), while decreased trends in the splenectomy rates were observed in ATCs and MTCs (ATCs: OR = 0.92, 95%CI = 0.87-0.97, and p = 0.003 and MTCs: OR = 0.92, 95%CI = 0.87-0.98, and p = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggested persistent disparities between different trauma center types in the management of children with high-grade BSI.

Admission to a Verified Pediatric Trauma Center is Associated With Improved Outcomes in Severely Injured Children

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown improved survival for severely injured adult patients treated at American College of Surgeons verified level I/II trauma centers compared to level III and undesignated centers. However, this relationship has not been well established in pediatric trauma centers (PTCs). We hypothesize that severely injured children will have lower mortality at verified level I/II PTCs compared to centers without PTC verification.

METHODS

All patients 1-15 years of age with ISS >15 in the 2017-2019 American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Programs (ACS TQP) dataset were reviewed. Patients with pre-hospital cardiac arrest, burns, and those transferred out for ongoing inpatient care were excluded. Logistic regression models were used to assess the effects of pediatric trauma center verification on mortality.

RESULTS

16,301 patients were identified (64 % male, median ISS 21 [17-27]), and 60 % were admitted to verified PTCs. Overall mortality was 6.0 %. Mortality at centers with PTC verification was 5.1 % versus 7.3 % at centers without PTC verification (p < 0.001). After controlling for injury mechanism, sex, age, pediatric-adjusted shock index (SIPA), ISS, arrival via interhospital transfer, and adult trauma center verification, pediatric level I/II trauma center designation was independently associated with decreased mortality (OR 0.72, 95 % CI 0.61-0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment at ACS-verified pediatric trauma centers is associated with improved survival in critically injured children. These findings highlight the importance of PTC verification in optimizing outcomes for severely injured pediatric patients and should influence trauma center apportionment and prehospital triage.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level IV - Retrospective review of national database.

Utilization of Machine Learning Approaches to Predict Mortality in Pediatric Warzone Casualties

BACKGROUND

Identification of pediatric trauma patients at the highest risk for death may promote optimization of care. This becomes increasingly important in austere settings with constrained medical capabilities. This study aimed to develop and validate predictive models using supervised machine learning (ML) techniques to identify pediatric warzone trauma patients at the highest risk for mortality.

METHODS

Supervised learning approaches using logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), neural network (NN), and random forest (RF) models were generated from the Department of Defense Trauma Registry, 2008-2016. Models were tested and compared to determine the optimal algorithm for mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 2,007 patients (79% male, median age range 7-12 years old, 62.5% sustaining penetrating injury) met the inclusion criteria. Severe injury (Injury Severity Score > 15) was noted in 32.4% of patients, while overall mortality was 7.13%. The RF and SVM models displayed recall values of .9507 and .9150, while LR and NN displayed values of .8912 and .8895, respectively. Random forest (RF) outperformed LR, SVM, and NN on receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis demonstrating an area under the ROC of .9752 versus .9252, .9383, and .8748, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning (ML) techniques may prove useful in identifying those at the highest risk for mortality within pediatric trauma patients from combat zones. Incorporation of advanced computational algorithms should be further explored to optimize and supplement the diagnostic and therapeutic decision-making process.

Comparison of age-adjusted shock indices as predictors of injury severity in paediatric trauma patients immediately after emergency department triage: A report from the Korean multicentre registry

INTRODUCTION

Shock index paediatric-adjusted (SIPA) was presented for early prediction of mortality and trauma team activation in paediatric trauma patients. However, the derived cut-offs of normal vital signs were based on old references. We established alternative SIPAs based on the other commonly used references and compared their predictive values.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of all paediatric trauma patients aged 1-15 years in the Emergency Department (ED)-based Injury In-depth Surveillance (EDIIS) database from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2019. A total of 4 types of SIPA values were obtained based on the references as follows: uSIPA based on the Nelson textbook of paediatrics 21st ed., SIATLS based on the ATLS 10th guideline, SIPALS based on the PALS 2020 guideline, and SIPA. In each SIPA group, the cut-off was established by dividing the group into 4 subgroups: toddler (age 1-3), preschooler (age 4-6), schooler (age 7-12), and teenager (age 13-15). We performed an ROC analysis and calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) to compare the predicted values of each SIPA in mortality, ICU admission, and emergent surgery or intervention.

RESULTS

A total of 332,271 patients were included. The proportion of patients with an elevated shock index was 14.9 % (n = 49,347) in SIPA, 22.8 % (n = 75,850) in uSIPA, 0.3 % (n = 1058) in SIATLS, and 4.3 % (n = 14,168) in SIPALS. For mortality, uSIPA achieved the highest sensitivity (57.0 %; 95 % confidence interval 56.9 %-57.2 %) compared to SIPA (49.4 %, 95 % CI 49.2 %-49.5 %), SIATLS (25.5 %, 95 % CI 25.4 %-25.7 %), and SIPALS (43.8 %, 95 % CI 43.7 %-44.0 %), but there were no significant differences in the negative predictive value (NPV) or area under the curve (AUC). The positive predictive value (PPV) was highest in SIATLS (5.7 %, 95 % CI 5.6 %-5.8 %) compared to SIPA (0.2 %, 95 % CI 0.2 %-0.3 %), uSIPA (0.2 %, 95 % CI 0.2 %-0.2 %), and SIPALS (0.7 %, 95 % CI 0.7 %-0.8 %). The same findings were presented in ICU admission and emergent operation or intervention.

CONCLUSION

The ATLS-based shock index achieved the highest PPV and specificity compared to SIPA, uSIPA, and SIPALS for adverse outcomes in paediatric trauma.

Pediatric Age-adjusted Shock Index (SIPA): From Injury to Outcome in Blunt Abdominal Trauma

Purpose

The Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) score is a useful tool for identifying pediatric trauma patients at a risk of poor outcomes and for triaging. We are studying the relationship between elevated SIPA score and specific outcomes in pediatric trauma patients.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted in which case records of 58 pediatric patients with blunt abdominal trauma were evaluated and tabulated for their SIPA scores only at the time of their initial presentation and categorized into two groups - normal SIPA and elevated SIPA. The primary outcomes were need for blood transfusion, need for any intervention, and need for emergency surgery, and the secondary outcomes were need for computed tomography (CT) scan, need for a ventilator, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, length of hospital stay, and mortality. Statistical methods were applied to find a relationship between elevated SIPA score and the primary and secondary outcomes.

Results

An elevated SIPA score was noted in 27 (46%) patients. There was a significant relationship between elevated SIPA scores and patients needing blood transfusion (68.75%, n = 11) and length of hospital stay (10.48 ± 7.54 days). A significant relationship between elevated SIPA score and need for emergency surgery (54.54%, n = 6), need for a CT scan (56%, n = 14), and ICU stay (50%, n = 2) was not found.

Conclusion

We have seen in our study that elevated SIPA scores at presentation are significantly related to need for blood transfusion and length of hospital stay. In more than half of the patients, elevated SIPA was associated with need for emergency surgery and requirement of CT scan, but it was statistically not significant. Therefore, assessment of this parameter can help in identifying such poor outcomes.

The value of shock index, modified shock index and age shock index to predict mortality and hospitalisation in a district level emergency centre

Introduction

Triage is the most important step in patients' journey through an Emergency Centre (EC) and directly impacts time to critical actions. Triage tools, like the South African Triage Scale, are however not designed to predict patient outcomes. The shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI) and age shock index (ASI) are clinical markers derived from vital signs and correlate with tissue perfusion in critically ill patients. This study aimed to assess the value of SI, MSI and ASI to predict mortality and the need for hospitalisation in all adult patients presenting to a district level emergency centre in South Africa.

Methods

This diagnostic study was performed as a retrospective observational study, using data from an existing electronic registry at a district level hospital emergency centre over a period of 24 months. All adult patients who presented to Mitchells Plain Hospital were eligible for inclusion. Sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios were calculated for each variable as a predictor of mortality and hospitalisation with pre-determined thresholds.

Results

During the study period of 24 months, a total of 61 329 patients ≥ 18 years old presented to the EC with 60 599 included in the final sample. A red SATS triage category (+LR = 7.2) and SI ≥1.3 (+LR = 4.9) were the only two predictors with any significant clinical value. The same two markers performed well for both patients with and without trauma and specifically for patients who died while under the care of the emergency centre.

Discussion

The study demonstrated that patients with a SI≥1.3 at triage have a significantly higher likelihood to die or require hospitalisation, whether the presenting complaint is trauma related or not, especially to predict mortality while under the care of the EC. Incorporating this marker as a triage alert could expedite the identification of patients requiring time critical interventions and improve patient throughput in the emergency centre.

Comparison of Pediatric Trauma Scoring Tools That Incorporate Neurological Status for Trauma Team Activation

BACKGROUND

Two novel pediatric trauma scoring tools, SIPAB+ (defined as elevated SIPA with Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8) and rSIG (reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale and defined as abnormal using cutoffs for early outcomes), which combine neurological status with Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index (SIPA), have been shown to predict early trauma outcomes better than SIPA alone. We sought to determine if one more accurately identifies children in need of trauma team activation.

METHODS

Patients 1 to 18 years old from the 2014-2018 Pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program database were included. Sensitivity and specificity for SIPAB+ and rSIG were calculated for components of pediatric trauma team activation, based on criteria standard definitions.

RESULTS

There were 11,426 patients (1.9%) classified as SIPAB+ and 235,672 (39.0%) as having an abnormal rSIG. SIPAB+ was consistently more specific, with specificities exceeding 98%, but its sensitivity was poor (<30%) for all outcomes. In comparison, rSIG was a more sensitive tool, with sensitivities exceeding 60%, and specificity values exceeded 60% for all outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Trauma systems must determine their priorities to decide how best to incorporate SIPAB+ and rSIG into practice, although rSIG may be preferred as it balances both sensitivity and specificity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Crystalloid volume is associated with short-term morbidity in children with severe traumatic brain injury: An Eastern Association for the Surgery of Trauma multicenter trial post hoc analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study examined differences in clinical and resuscitation characteristics between injured children with and without severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) and aimed to identify resuscitation characteristics associated with improved outcomes following sTBI.

METHODS

This is a post hoc analysis of a prospective observational study of injured children younger than 18 years (2018-2019) transported from the scene, with elevated shock index pediatric-adjusted on arrival and head Abbreviated Injury Scale score of ≥3. Timing and volume of resuscitation products were assessed using χ 2t test, Fisher's exact t test, Kruskal-Wallis, and multivariable logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

There were 142 patients with sTBI and 547 with non-sTBI injuries. Severe traumatic brain injury patients had lower initial hemoglobin (11.3 vs. 12.4, p < 0.001), greater initial international normalized ratio (1.4 vs. 1.1, p < 0.001), greater Injury Severity Score (25 vs. 5, p < 0.001), greater rates of ventilator (59% vs. 11%, p < 0.001) and intensive care unit (ICU) requirement (79% vs. 27%, p < 0.001), and more inpatient complications (18% vs. 3.3%, p < 0.001). Severe traumatic brain injury patients received more prehospital crystalloid (25% vs. 15%, p = 0.008), ≥1 crystalloid boluses (52% vs. 24%, p < 0.001), and blood transfusion (44% vs. 12%, p < 0.001) than non-sTBI patients. Among sTBI patients, receipt of ≥1 crystalloid bolus (n = 75) was associated with greater ICU need (92% vs. 64%, p < 0.001), longer median ICU (6 vs. 4 days, p = 0.027) and hospital stay (9 vs. 4 days, p < 0.001), and more in-hospital complications (31% vs. 7.5%, p = 0.003) than those who received <1 bolus (n = 67). These findings persisted after adjustment for Injury Severity Score (odds ratio, 3.4-4.4; all p < 0.010).

CONCLUSION

Pediatric trauma patients with sTBI received more crystalloid than those without sTBI despite having a greater international normalized ratio at presentation and more frequently requiring blood products. Excessive crystalloid may be associated with worsened outcomes, including in-hospital mortality, seen among pediatric sTBI patients who received ≥1 crystalloid bolus. Further attention to a crystalloid sparing, early transfusion approach to resuscitation of children with sTBI is needed.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic/Care Management; Level IV.

Which Trauma Severity Scores Are Useful in Predicting Pediatric Mortality?

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Trauma is the leading cause of death in children. Several trauma severity scores exist: the shock index (SI), age-adjusted SI (SIPA), reverse SI (rSI), and rSI multiplied by Glasgow Coma Score (rSIG). However, it is unknown which is the best predictor of clinical outcomes in children. Our goal was to determine the association between trauma severity scores and mortality in pediatric trauma.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A multicenter retrospective study was performed using the 2015 US National Trauma Data Bank, including patients 1 to 18 years old and excluding patients with unknown emergency department dispositions. The scores were calculated using initial emergency department parameters. Descriptive analysis was carried out. Variables were stratified by outcome (hospital mortality). Then, for each trauma score, a multivariate logistic regression was conducted to determine its association with mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 67,098 patients with a mean age of 11 ±5 years were included. Majority of the patients were male (66%) and had an injury severity score <15 (87%). Eighty-four percent of patients were admitted: 15% to the intensive care unit and 17% directly to the operating room. The mortality at hospital discharge was 3%.There was a statistically significant association between SI, rSI, rSIG, and mortality ( P < 0.05). The highest adjusted odds ratio for mortality corresponded to rSIG, followed by rSI then SI (8.51, 1.9, and 1.3, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Several trauma scores may help predict mortality in children with trauma, the best being rSIG. Introduction of these scores in algorithms for pediatric trauma evaluations can impact clinical decision-making.

Development and validation of a Bayesian network predicting neurosurgical intervention after injury in children and adolescents

BACKGROUND

Timely surgical decompression improves functional outcomes and survival among children with traumatic brain injury and increased intracranial pressure. Previous scoring systems for identifying the need for surgical decompression after traumatic brain injury in children and adults have had several barriers to use. These barriers include the inability to generate a score with missing data, a requirement for radiographic imaging that may not be immediately available, and limited accuracy. To address these limitations, we developed a Bayesian network to predict the probability of neurosurgical intervention among injured children and adolescents (aged 1-18 years) using physical examination findings and injury characteristics observable at hospital arrival.

METHODS

We obtained patient, injury, transportation, resuscitation, and procedure characteristics from the 2017 to 2019 Trauma Quality Improvement Project database. We trained and validated a Bayesian network to predict the probability of a neurosurgical intervention, defined as undergoing a craniotomy, craniectomy, or intracranial pressure monitor placement. We evaluated model performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic and calibration curves. We evaluated the percentage of contribution of each input for predicting neurosurgical intervention using relative mutual information (RMI).

RESULTS

The final model included four predictor variables, including the Glasgow Coma Scale score (RMI, 31.9%), pupillary response (RMI, 11.6%), mechanism of injury (RMI, 5.8%), and presence of prehospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation (RMI, 0.8%). The model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89-0.91) and had a calibration slope of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.29-1.26) with a y intercept of 0.05 (95% CI, -0.14 to 0.25).

CONCLUSION

We developed a Bayesian network that predicts neurosurgical intervention for all injured children using four factors immediately available on arrival. Compared with a binary threshold model, this probabilistic model may allow clinicians to stratify management strategies based on risk.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.

Balanced resuscitation: application to the paediatric trauma population

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Trauma is the leading cause of death in children over 5 years old. Early mortality is associated with trauma-induced coagulopathy (TIC), with balanced resuscitation potentially mitigating the effects of TIC. We review TIC, balanced resuscitation and the best evidence for crystalloid fluid versus early blood products, massive transfusion protocol (MTP) and the optimal ratio for blood products.

RECENT FINDINGS

Crystalloid fluids have been associated with adverse events in paediatric trauma patients. However, the best way to implement early blood products remains unclear; MTP has only shown improved time to blood products without clear clinical improvement. The indications to start blood products are also currently under investigation with several scoring systems and clinical indications being studied. Current studies on the blood product ratio suggest a 1 : 1 ratio for plasma:pRBC is likely ideal, but prospective studies are needed to further support its use.

SUMMARY

Balanced resuscitation strategies of minimal crystalloid use and early administration of blood products are associated with improved morbidity in paediatric trauma patients but unclear mortality benefit. Current evidence suggests that the utilization of MTPs with 1 : 1 plasma:pRBC ratio may improve morbidity, but more research is needed.

What is the role of neutropenia in pediatric cancer patients with pneumatosis intestinalis?

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify prognostic indicators in pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) in a pediatric oncology population. We hypothesized that neutropenia would be an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes, including the need for abdominal operation to treat PI and for the development of recurrent PI.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of all patients treated for PI between 2009 and 2019 with a diagnosis of cancer or history of bone marrow transplant (BMT).

RESULTS

Sixty-eight children were treated for their first episode of PI; 15 (22%) were not neutropenic at presentation; eight underwent urgent abdominal operation (12%). Patients with neutropenia were more likely to receive TPN, had a longer course of NPO, and received a longer course of antibiotics. Neutropenia at presentation was associated with a decreased risk of PI recurrence (40% vs 13%, p = 0.03). Children who required an abdominal operation were more likely to require vasopressors at diagnosis (50% vs 10%, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

Among pediatric cancer patients, need for vasopressors at the time of PI is a marker of severe PI, with increased likelihood of requiring operative intervention. The presence of neutropenia is associated with lower rates of PI recurrence.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index as a Predictor of Mortality by Sex Disparity in Pediatric Trauma: A Pan-Asian Trauma Outcome Study

PURPOSE

There has been no report of sex-specific, pediatric age-adjusted shock index (PASI) for pediatric trauma patients in previous studies. We aimed to determine the association between the PASI and in-hospital mortality of pediatric trauma patients and whether this association differs depending on sex.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a prospective, multinational, and multicenter cohort study using the Pan-Asian Trauma Outcome Study (PATOS) registry in the Asia-Pacific region, conducted in pediatric patients who visited the participating hospitals. The main exposure of our study was abnormal (elevated) PASI measured in an emergency department. The main outcome was in-hospital mortality. We performed a multivariable logistic regression analysis to estimate the association between abnormal PASI and study outcomes after adjusting for potential confounders. An interaction analysis between PASI and sex was also conducted.

RESULTS

Of 6280 pediatric trauma patients, 10.9% (686) of the patients had abnormal PASI. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, abnormal PASI was significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality [adjusted odds ratios (aOR), 1.74; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.13-2.47]. Abnormal PASI had interaction effects with sex for in-hospital mortality (aOR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.19-2.91 and aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.58-2.99 for male and female, respectively) (p<0.01).

CONCLUSION

Abnormal PASI is associated with increased in-hospital mortality in pediatric trauma patients. The prediction power of PASI for in-hospital mortality was maintained only in male patients.

Updated APSA Guidelines for the Management of Blunt Liver and Spleen Injuries

BACKGROUND

Non-operative management of blunt liver and spleen injuries was championed initially in children with the first management guideline published in 2000 by the American Pediatric Surgical Association (APSA). Multiple articles have expanded on the original guidelines and additional therapy has been investigated to improve care for these patients. Based on a literature review and current consensus, the management guidelines for the treatment of blunt liver and spleen injuries are presented.

METHODS

A recent literature review by the APSA Outcomes committee [2] was utilized as the basis for the guideline recommendations. A task force was assembled from the APSA Committee on Trauma to review the original guidelines, the literature reported by the Outcomes Committee and then to develop an easy to implement guideline.

RESULTS

The updated guidelines for the management of blunt liver and spleen injuries are divided into 4 sections: Admission, Procedures, Set Free and Aftercare. Admission to the intensive care unit is based on abnormal vital signs after resuscitation with stable patients admitted to the ward with minimal restrictions. Procedure recommendations include transfusions for low hemoglobin (<7 mg/dL) or signs of ongoing bleeding. Angioembolization and operative exploration is limited to those patients with clinical signs of continued bleeding after resuscitation. Discharge is based on clinical condition and not grade of injury. Activity restrictions remain the same while follow-up imaging is only indicated for symptomatic patients.

CONCLUSION

The updated APSA guidelines for the management of blunt liver and spleen injuries present an easy-to-follow management strategy for children.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 5.

Shock index as predictor of massive transfusion and mortality in patients with trauma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Management of bleeding trauma patients is still a difficult challenge. Massive transfusion (MT) requires resources to ensure the safety and timely delivery of blood products. Early prediction of MT need may be useful to shorten the time process of blood product preparation. The primary aim of this study was to assess the accuracy of shock index to predict the need for MT in adult patients with trauma. For the same population, we also assessed the accuracy of SI to predict mortality.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis was performed in accordance with the PRISMA guidelines. We performed a systematic search on MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception to March 2022. Studies were included if they reported MT or mortality with SI recorded at arrival in the field or the emergency department. The risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2.

RESULTS

Thirty-five studies were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis, for a total of 670,728 patients. For MT the overall sensibility was 0.68 [0.57; 0.76], the overall specificity was 0.84 [0.79; 0.88] and the AUC was 0.85 [0.81; 0.88]. Positive and Negative Likelihood Ratio (LR+; LR-) were 4.24 [3.18-5.65] and 0.39 [0.29-0.52], respectively. For mortality the overall sensibility was 0.358 [0.238; 0.498] the overall specificity 0.742 [0.656; 0.813] and the AUC 0.553 (confidence region for sensitivity given specificity: [0.4014; 0.6759]; confidence region for specificity given sensitivity: [0.4799; 0.6332]). LR+ and LR- were 1.39 [1.36-1.42] and 0.87 [0.85-0.89], respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that SI may have a limited role as the sole tool to predict the need for MT in adult trauma patients. SI is not accurate to predict mortality but may have a role to identify patients with a low risk of mortality.

Pediatric trauma smackdown: PTS vs SIPA

BACKGROUND

Different scoring tools aid prediction of pediatric trauma patients' prognosis but there's no consensus on when to apply each. Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS) was one of the first tools developed. Shock Index Pediatric Adjusted (SIPA) adapts Shock Index (SI) in predicting outcomes adjusted for age. It is unclear if either scoring tool is better at predicting outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To compare SIPA and PTS for level I and II pediatric traumas to determine if both are equally effective in predicting outcomes for pediatric trauma patients.

DESIGN/METHODS

This is a retrospective review of patients 1-17 years with level 1 and 2 activated trauma (1/2013 - 11/2019).

OUTCOMES OF INTEREST

disposition, length of stay, ventilator use, moderate/major spleen/liver lacerations, and Index Severity Score (ISS). Patient visits were scored using both scores and placed into high/low risk category as predefined by the individual scoring tools: High risk SIPA, low risk SIPA, high risk PTS, low risk PTS.

RESULTS

There were 750 patients who met inclusion criteria, 35 visits scored high with both tools and 543 visits scored low. The odds ratio (OR) for each tool showed high risk scores were more likely to be associated with increased likelihood of outcomes. When both high-risk groups were compared, PTS had an increased OR for most outcomes. SIPA had an increased OR for receiving fluid bolus.

CONCLUSION

This study externally validates both scoring tools for the same cohort. Both tools were reliable predictors, but PTS identifies more "high risk" visits. PTS requires more variables to calculate than SIPA. SIPA may be an effective way to triage when resources are scarce. However, there's still a need for a pediatric trauma triage score that can encompass the accuracy of PTS and the convenience of SIPA.

Outcomes of basic versus advanced prehospital life support in severe pediatric trauma

OBJECTIVE

The role of basic life support (BLS) vs. advanced life support (ALS) in pediatric trauma is controversial. Although ALS is widely accepted as the gold standard, previous studies have found no advantage of ALS over BLS care in adult trauma. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether ALS transport confers a survival advantage over BLS among severely injured children.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of data included in the Israeli National Trauma Registry from January 1, 2011, through December 31, 2020 was conducted. All the severely injured children (age < 18 years and injury severity score [ISS] ≥16) were included. Patient survival by mode of transport was analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 3167 patients included in the study, 65.1% were transported by ALS and 34.9% by BLS. Significantly more patients transported by ALS had ISS ≥25 as well as abnormal vital signs at admission. The ALS and BLS cohorts were comparable in age, gender, mechanism of injury, and prehospital time. Children transported by ALS had higher in-hospital mortality (9.2% vs. 0.9%, p < 0.001). Following risk adjustment, patients transported by ALS teams were significantly more likely to die than patients transported by BLS (adjusted OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.05-5.41, p = 0.04). Patients with ISS ≥50 had comparable mortality rates in both groups (45.9% vs. 55.6%, p = 0.837) while patients with GCS <9 transported by ALS had higher mortality (25.9% vs. 11.5%, p = 0.019). Admission to a level II trauma center vs. a level I hospital was also associated with increased mortality (adjusted OR 2.78 (95% CI 1.75-4.55, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Among severely injured children, prehospital ALS care was not associated with lower mortality rates relative to BLS care. Because of potential confounding by severity in this retrospective analysis, further studies are warranted to validate these results.

Development and validation of a Bayesian belief network predicting the probability of blood transfusion after pediatric injury

BACKGROUND

Early recognition and intervention of hemorrhage are associated with decreased morbidity in children. Triage models have been developed to aid in the recognition of hemorrhagic shock after injury but require complete data and have limited accuracy. To address these limitations, we developed a Bayesian belief network, a machine learning model that represents the joint probability distribution for a set of observed or unobserved independent variables, to predict blood transfusion after injury in children and adolescents.

METHODS

We abstracted patient, injury, and resuscitation characteristics of injured children and adolescents (age 1 to 18 years) from the 2017 to 2019 Trauma Quality Improvement Project database. We trained a Bayesian belief network to predict blood transfusion within 4 hours after arrival to the hospital following injury using data from 2017 and recalibrated the model using data from 2018. We validated our model on a subset of patients from the 2019 Trauma Quality Improvement Project. We evaluated model performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curves and compared performance with pediatric age-adjusted shock index (SIPA) and reverse shock index with Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG) using sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC).

RESULTS

The final model included 14 predictor variables and had excellent discrimination and calibration. The model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.92 using emergency department data. When used as a binary predictor at an optimal threshold probability, the model had similar sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and MCC compared with SIPA when only age, systolic blood pressure, and heart rate were observed. With the addition of the Glasgow Coma Scale score, the model has a higher accuracy and MCC than SIPA and rSIG.

CONCLUSION

A Bayesian belief network predicted blood transfusion after injury in children and adolescents better than SIPA and rSIG. This probabilistic model may allow clinicians to stratify hemorrhagic control interventions based upon risk.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic and Epidemiologic; Level III.

Adding age-adjusted shock index to the American College of Surgeons' trauma team activation criteria to predict severe injury in children

BACKGROUND

The American College of Surgeons (ACS) requires trauma centers to use six minimum criteria (ACS-6) for full trauma team activation. Our goal was to evaluate the effect of adding age-adjusted shock index (SI) to the ACS-6 for the prediction of severe injury among pediatric trauma patients with the hypothesis that SI would significantly improve sensitivity with an acceptable decrease in specificity.

METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of prospectively collected EMS and trauma registry data from two urban pediatric trauma centers. Age-adjusted SI thresholds were calculated as heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure using 2020 Pediatric Advanced Life Support SI vital sign ranges and previously published Shock Index, Pediatric Adjusted (SIPA) thresholds. The primary outcome was a composite of emergency operative (within 1 hour of arrival) or emergency procedural intervention (EOPI) or Injury Severity Score (ISS) greater than 15. Sensitivities, specificities, and 95% CIs were calculated for the ACS-6 alone and in combination with age-adjusted SI.

RESULTS

There were 8,078 patients included; 20% had an elevated age-adjusted SI and 17% met at least one ACS minimum criterion; 1% underwent EOPI; and 17% had ISS >15. Sensitivity and specificity of the ACS-6 for EOPI or ISS > 5 were 45% (95% confidence interval [CI], 41-50%) and 89% (95% CI, 81-96%). Inclusion of Pediatric Advanced Life Support-SI and SIPA resulted in sensitivities of 51% (95% CI, 47-56%) and 69% (95% CI, 65-72%), and specificities of 80% (95% CI, 71-89%) and 60% (95% CI, 53-68%), respectively. Similar trends were seen for each secondary outcome.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of pediatric trauma registry patients, the addition of SIPA to the ACS-6 for trauma team activation resulted in significantly increased sensitivity for EOPI or ISS greater than 15 but poor specificity. Future investigation should explore using age-adjusted shock index in a two-tiered trauma activation system, or in combination with novel triage criteria, in a population-based cohort.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Diagnostic Tests or Criteria; Level II.

Time is tissue: Barriers to timely transfusion after pediatric injury

ABSTRACT

Strategies to improve outcomes among children and adolescents in hemorrhagic shock have primarily focused on component resuscitation, pharmaceutical coagulation adjuncts, and hemorrhage control techniques. Many of these strategies have been associated with better outcomes in children, but the barriers to their use and the impact of timely use on morbidity and mortality have received little attention. Because transfusion is uncommon in injured children, few studies have identified and described barriers to the processes of using these interventions in bleeding patients, processes that move from the decision to transfuse, to obtaining the necessary blood products and adjuncts, and to delivering them to the patient. In this review, we identify and describe the steps needed to ensure timely blood transfusion and propose practices to minimize barriers in this process. Given the potential impact of time on hemorrhage associated outcomes, ensuring timely intervention may have a similar or greater impact than the interventions themselves.

Prehospital Tranexamic Acid in Major Pediatric Trauma Within a Physician-Led Emergency Medical Services System: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVES

Describe prehospital tranexamic acid (TXA) use and appropriateness within a major trauma pediatric population, and identify the factors associated with its use.

DESIGN

Multicenter, retrospective study, 2014-2020.

SETTING

Data were extracted from a multicenter French trauma registry including nine trauma centers within a physician-led prehospital emergency medical services (EMS) system.

PATIENTS

Patients less than 18 years old were included. Those who did not receive prehospital intervention by a mobile medical team and those with missing data on TXA administration were excluded.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Nine-hundred thirty-four patients (median [interquartile range] age: 14 yr [9-16 yr]) were included, and 68.6% n = 639) were male. Most patients were involved in a road collision (70.2%, n = 656) and suffered a blunt trauma (96.5%; n = 900). Patients receiving TXA (36.6%; n = 342) were older (15 [13-17] vs 12 yr [6-16 yr]) compared with those who did not. Patient severity was higher in the TXA group (Injury Severity Score 14 [9-25] vs 6 [2-13]; p < 0.001). The median dosage was 16 mg/kg (13-19 mg/kg). TXA administration was found in 51.8% cases ( n = 256) among patients with criteria for appropriate use. Conversely, 32.4% of patients ( n = 11) with an isolated severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) also received TXA. Age (odds ratio [OR], 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.2), A and B prehospital severity grade (OR, 7.1; 95% CI, 4.1-12.3 and OR, 4.5; 95% CI, 2.9-6.9 respectively), and year of inclusion (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.3) were associated with prehospital TXA administration.

CONCLUSIONS

In our physician-led prehospital EMS system, TXA is used in a third of severely injured children despite the lack of high-level of evidence. Only half of the population with greater than or equal to one criteria for appropriate TXA use received it. Conversely, TXA was administered in a third of isolated severe TBI. Further research is warranted to clarify TXA indications and to evaluate its impact on mortality and its safety profile to oversee its prescription.

Rethinking pediatric trauma triage

Despite advances in the delivery of trauma care, trauma remains the leading cause of death amongst the pediatric population within the United States and is one of the leading causes of death in children worldwide.  Accurately triaging pediatric trauma patients is essential to minimize preventable mortality without burdening the system by utilizing unnecessary resources.  This article will review the accuracy of current pediatric trauma triage practices and how it will evolve in the future including moving away from mechanism of injury towards physiologic scoring tools such as the pediatric age-adjust shock index, and intervention-based systems including. Need for Surgeon Presence and Need For Trauma Intervention. This paper will also present evidence regarding over-utilization of air transport for pediatric trauma patients and the associated unnecessary costs placed on the trauma system.

Novel tool (BIS) heralds the need for blood transfusion and/or failure of non-operative management in pediatric blunt liver and spleen injuries

BACKGROUND

Non-operative management (NOM) is the standard of care for the majority of children with blunt liver and spleen injuries (BLSI). The shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) was previously shown to predict the need for blood transfusions in pediatric trauma patients with BLSI. We combined SIPA with base deficit (BD) and International Normalized Ratio (INR) to create the BIS score. We hypothesized that the BIS score would predict the need for blood transfusions and/or failure of NOM in pediatric trauma patients with BLSI.

METHODS

Patients (≤ 18 years) who presented to our Level I pediatric trauma center with BLSI from 2009 to 2019 were identified. BIS scores were calculated by giving 1 point for each of the following: base deficit ≤ -8.8, INR ≥ 1.5, or elevated SIPA. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were generated for BIS scores ≥ 1, ≥ 2, and ≥ 3. Area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity of each score were calculated for ability to predict need for blood transfusions and/or failure of NOM.

RESULTS

Of 477 children included, 19.9% required a blood transfusion and 6.7% failed NOM. A BIS score ≥ 1 was the best predictor of the need for blood transfusions with an AUC of 0.81 and a sensitivity of 96.0%. A BIS score ≥ 1 was also the best predictor of failure of NOM with an AUC of 0.72 and a sensitivity of 97.0%.

CONCLUSION

The BIS score is a highly sensitive tool that identifies pediatric patients with BLSI at risk for blood transfusions and/or failure of NOM.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

TYPE OF STUDY

Retrospective comparative study.

National guideline for the field triage of injured patients: Recommendations of the National Expert Panel on Field Triage, 2021

This work details the process of developing the updated field triage guideline, the supporting evidence, and the final version of the 2021 National Guideline for the Field Triage of Injured Patients.

Does the mechanism matter? Comparing thrombelastography between blunt and penetrating pediatric trauma patients

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The utility of thrombelastography (TEG) in pediatric trauma remains unknown, and differences in coagulopathy between blunt and penetrating mechanisms are not established. We aimed to compare TEG patterns in pediatric trauma patients with blunt solid organ injuries (BSOI) and penetrating injuries to determine the role of mechanism in coagulopathy.

METHODS

Highest-level pediatric trauma activations with BSOI or penetrating injuries and admission TEG at two pediatric trauma centers were included. TEG abnormalities were defined by each institution's normative values and compared separately by injury mechanism and evidence of shock (elevated SIPA) using Kruskal-Wallis or Fisher's exact tests.

RESULTS

Of 118 patients included, 64 had BSOI and 54 had penetrating injuries. There were no significant differences in TEG abnormalities between the BSOI and penetrating injury groups. Patients with shock were more likely to have decreased alpha-angles (30.9% vs. 8.0%, p = 0.01) and decreased maximum amplitude (MA) (44.1% vs. 8.0%, p < 0.001) compared to those without shock, regardless of mechanism of injury.

CONCLUSIONS

TEG abnormalities were not significantly different between the BSOI and penetrating groups, but there were significant differences in alpha-angle and MA in those with shock, independent of mechanism. Hemodynamic status, rather than mechanism of injury, may be more predictive of coagulopathy in pediatric trauma patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE/STUDY TYPE

Level III, retrospective.

Pediatric cardiac and great vessel injuries: Recent experience at two pediatric trauma centers

BACKGROUND

Cardiac injuries are rare in pediatric trauma patients and data regarding this type of injury is limited. There is even less data on traumatic great vessel injuries. This study sought to examine and summarize our recent experience at two pediatric trauma centers, which serve a major metropolitan area and large geographic region.

METHODS

This is a retrospective review of pediatric (<18 years) patients who sustained cardiac or great vessel injuries and were managed at a Level 1 or Level 2 pediatric trauma center between January 1, 2010 and June 30, 2020. Demographic and clinical characteristics were compared using two-sample t-tests, Wilcoxon Rank-Sum tests, Fisher's exact tests and chi-squared tests for continuous, non-normally distributed continuous, and categorical variables, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 53 patients sustained cardiac and/or great vessel injuries. Of these, 37 (70%) sustained cardiac, 9 (17%) sustained great vessel, and 7 (13%) sustained both types of injuries. The median age was 14.9 years and 74% (n = 39) were male. The median injury severity score (ISS) was 36.0 and the injury mechanism was blunt in 31 (58%) patients. The most common cardiac and great vessel injury locations were left ventricle (n = 9) and thoracic aorta (n = 11), respectively. The overall mortality rate was 53% (n = 28). Mortality was highest among those who sustained great vessel injuries (89%).

CONCLUSIONS

There is substantial heterogeneity in cardiac and great vessel injuries. Regardless, they are highly morbid and lethal, despite aggressive surgical and catheter-based interventions.

Nationwide Management of Trauma in Child Abuse: Exploring the Racial, Ethnic, and Socioeconomic Disparities

OBJECTIVE

Child abuse is a major cause of childhood injury, morbidity, and death. There is a paucity of data on the practice of abuse interventions among this vulnerable population. The aim of our study was to identify the factors associated with interventions for child abuse on a national scale.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 2017-2018 ACS-TQIP. All children presenting with suspected/confirmed child abuse and an abuse report filed were included. Patients with missing information regarding abuse interventions were excluded. Outcomes were abuse investigations initiated among those with abuse reports, and change-of-caregiver at discharge among survivors with an investigation initiated. Multivariable regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

7,774 child abuse victims with an abuse report were identified. Mean age was 5±5yrs, 4,221(54%) patients were White, 2,297(30%) Black, 1,543(20%) Hispanic, and 5,298(68%) had government-insurance. Most common mechanism was blunt(63%),followed by burns(10%),and penetrating(10%). Median ISS was 5[1-12]. Most common form of abuse was physical(92%), followed by neglect(6%),sexual(3%),and psychological(0.1%). Most common perpetrator of abuse was care provider/teacher(49.5%),followed by member of immediate family(30.5%),or member of the extended/step/foster family(20.0%). 6,377(82%) abuse investigations were initiated for those with abuse reports. Of these, 1,967(33%) resulted in change-of-caregiver. Black children were more likely to have abuse investigated, and Black and Hispanic children were more likely to experience change-of-caregiver after investigations, while privately-insured children were less likely to experience both (Table 3).

CONCLUSION

Significant racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities exist in the nationwide management of child abuse. Further studies are strongly warranted to understand contributing factors and possible strategies to address them.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III Therapeutic/Care Management.

Derivation and Validation of an Improved Pediatric Shock Index for Predicting Need for Early Intervention and Outcomes in Pediatric Trauma

BACKGROUND

Shock index, pediatric adjusted (SIPA) has been widely applied in pediatric trauma but has limited precision due to the reference ranges used in its derivation. We hypothesized that a Pediatric Shock Index (PSI) equation based on age-based vital signs would outperform SIPA.MethodsRetrospective cohort of trauma patients age 1 to 18 years from Trauma Quality Programs - Participant Use File (TQP-PUF) 2010-2018. A random 70% training subset was used to derive Youden index-optimizing SI cutoffs by age for blood transfusion within 4 hours. We used linear regression to derive equations representing the PSI cutoff for children <=12 years and ≥ 13 years old. For children ≥13 years old, the well-established shock index of 0.9 remained optimal, consistent with SIPA and other indices. For children <=12 years in the 30% validation subset, we compared our age-based PSI to SIPA as predictors of early transfusion, mortality, PICU admission, and injury severity score ≥ 25. For bedside use, a simplified "rapid PSI" (rPSI) equation was also derived and compared to SIPA.

RESULTS

439,699 patients aged 1 through 12 years met inclusion criteria with 2,718 (1.3% of those with available outcome data) requiring transfusion within 4 hours of presentation. In the validation set, positive predictive values (PPV) for early transfusion were higher for PSI (8.3%, 95%CI: 7.5 - 9.1%) and rPSI (6.3%, 95%CI: 5.7 - 6.9%) than SIPA (4.3%, 95%CI: 3.9 - 4.7%). For early transfusion, negative predictive values (NPV) for both PSI (99.3%, 95%CI: 99.2 - 99.3%) and rPSI (99.3%, 95%CI: 99.2 - 99.4%) were similar to SIPA (99.4%, 95%CI: 99.3 - 99.4%).ConclusionsWe derived the PSI and rPSI for use in pediatric trauma using empiric, age-based shock index cutoffs. The PSI and rPSI achieved higher PPVs and similar NPVs to SIPA in predicting the need for early blood transfusion and mortality.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic study, Level III.

Discreet Values of Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) to Predict Intervention in Children With Blunt Organ Injuries

INTRODUCTION

Elevated shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) has been shown to be associated with the need for both blood transfusion and intervention in pediatric patients with blunt liver and spleen injuries (BLSI). SIPA has traditionally been used as a binary value, which can be classified as elevated or normal, and this study aimed to assess if discreet values above SIPA cutoffs are associated with an increased probability of blood transfusion and failure of nonoperative management (NOM) in bluntly injured children.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Children aged 1-18 y with any BLSI admitted to a Level-1 pediatric trauma center between 2009 and 2020 were analyzed. Blood transfusion was defined as any transfusion within 24 h of arrival, and failure of NOM was defined as any abdominal operation or angioembolization procedure for hemorrhage control. The probabilities of receiving a blood transfusion or failure of NOM were calculated at different increments of 0.1.

RESULTS

There were 493 patients included in the analysis. The odds of requiring blood transfusion increased by 1.67 (95% CI 1.49, 1.90) for each 0.1 unit increase of SIPA (P < 0.001). A similar trend was seen initially for the probability of failure of nonoperative management, but beyond a threshold, increasing values were not associated with failure of NOM. On subanalysis excluding patients with a head injury, increased 0.1 increments were associated with increased odds for both interventions.

CONCLUSIONS

Discreet values above age-related SIPA cutoffs are correlated with higher probabilities of blood transfusion in pediatric patients with BLSI and failure of NOM in those without head injury. The use of discreet values may provide clinicians with more granular information about which patients require increased resources upon presentation.

Indications for prehospital intubation among severely injured children and the prevalence of significant traumatic brain injury among those intubated due to impaired level of consciousness

BACKGROUND

Prehospital endotracheal intubation (PEI) of head injured children with impaired level of consciousness (LOC) aims to minimize secondary brain injury. However, PEI is controversial in otherwise stable children. We aimed to investigate the indications for PEI among pediatric trauma patients and the prevalence of clinically significant traumatic brain injury (csTBI) among those intubated solely due to impaired consciousness.

METHODS

This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study of children who underwent PEI in northern Israel between January 2014 and December 2020 by six EMS agencies and were transported to two trauma centers in the area. We extracted data from EMS records and trauma registries.

RESULTS

PEI was attempted in 179/986 (18.2%) patients and was successful in 92.2% of cases. Common indications for PEI were hypoxemia not corrected by supplemental oxygen (n = 30), traumatic cardiac arrest (n = 16), and facial injury compromising the airway (n = 13). 112 patients (62.6%) were intubated solely due to impaired or deteriorating LOC. Among these patients, 68 (62.4%) suffered csTBI. The prevalence of csTBI among those with field Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) of 3, 4-8, and > 8 was 81.4%, 55.8%, and 28.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). Among children ≤ 10 years old intubated due to impaired LOC, 50% had csTBI.

CONCLUSION

Impaired LOC is a major indication for PEI. However, a significant proportion of these patients do not suffer csTBI. Older age and lower pre-intubation GCS are associated with more accurate field classification. Our data indicate that further investigation and better characterization of patients who may benefit from PEI is necessary.

Analysis of pediatric sternal fractures using the Kid's Inpatient Database (KID)

PURPOSE

This study aims to determine if sternal fracture is a predictor of discharge requiring additional care and mortality.

METHODS

Blunt pediatric trauma admissions (<18 years) in the Kid's Inpatient Database (2016) were included in analysis. Weighted incidence of sternal fracture was calculated and adjusted for using survey weight, sampling clusters, and stratum. Regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with poor outcomes.

RESULTS

Annual incidence of sternal fracture in the pediatric blunt trauma population was 0.43 per 100,000. Of 50,076 patients identified, 236 had sternal fractures. The sternal fracture patients were older (median 16 vs 10 years, P < 0.001) and motor vehicle accident was more frequently the mechanism of injury (78% vs 24%, P < 0.001). Common injuries associated with sternal fracture included clavicle fracture (43%), abdominal organ injury (28%), spinal fracture (47%), lung injury (65%), and rib fracture (47%).  Sternal fracture patients were more frequently discharged to receive additional care (22% vs 5%, P < 0.001) and to die of their injuries (3.8% vs 0.9%, P < 0.001). When adjusting for other factors associated with poor outcomes, sternal fracture was not an independent predictor of mortality or discharge to care.

CONCLUSIONS

Sternal fracture is a severe injury in the pediatric population, but it is not independently associated with need for a higher level of care after discharge or mortality.

Predicting morbidity and mortality in Australian paediatric trauma with the Paediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index and Glasgow Coma Scale

BACKGROUND

Paediatric age-adjusted shock index (SIPA) has emerged as a predictor of morbidity and mortality in trauma. Poor sensitivity and low generalisability demonstrated in previous studies have limited its use. We evaluate the use of SIPA in the general Australian paediatric trauma population and the combination of SIPA with GCS.

METHODS

All patients from January 2015 to August 2020 at a major Australian paediatric trauma centre were reviewed. Pre-arrival SIPA (pSIPA) and arrival SIPA (aSIPA) were calculated. If SIPA was elevated or the Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 13, SIPA with mental state (SIPAms) was marked positive for pre-arrival (pSIPAms) and arrival (aSIPAms) respectively.

RESULTS/DISCUSSION

Data from 480 patients were analysed. pSIPA and aSIPA poorly predicted outcomes of morbidity. Only aSIPA predicted mortality. However, both pre-arrival and arrival SIPAms variables predict mortality, major trauma (ISS≥12), hospital LOS, need for ICU admission, and major surgery. Furthermore, median ISS and lactate were significantly higher in positive pSIPA, aSIPA, pSIPAms, and aSIPAms groups than negative. aSIPAms has a sensitivity of 76% and specificity of 70% for major trauma.

CONCLUSION

Broad inclusion criteria reduce SIPA's ability to predict morbidity. Combining it with GCS improves this and is most valuable when calculated at arrival. In addition, the score is more reliable for major trauma (ISS≥12). Future studies should evaluate the use of SIPAms in activation criteria.

A surgeon's predicament: Clinical predictors of surgery and mortality in neutropenic enterocolitis

BACKGROUND

Neutropenic enterocolitis is uncommon but potentially life-threatening, with the cornerstone of treatment being medical management (MM), and surgical intervention reserved for clinical deterioration or bowel perforation. We hypothesized that the Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) is elevated in patients who are at greatest risk for surgical intervention and mortality. We also sought to identify computed tomography (CT) findings associated with surgical intervention and mortality.

METHODS

A single-center cancer registry was reviewed for neutropenic enterocolitis patients from 2006 -2018. Survival models compared patients with normal versus elevated SIPA throughout their hospitalizations for the time to surgical management (SM), as well as in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Seventy-four patients with neutropenic enterocolitis were identified; 7 underwent surgery. In-hospital mortality was 12% in MM and 29% in SM; mortality among patients with elevated SIPA was 4.7 times higher compared to those with normal SIPA (95% CI: 1.1, 19.83, p = 0.04). CT findings of bowel obstruction, pneumatosis, and a greater percentage of large bowel involvement were associated with surgical intervention (all ps < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Select pre-operative CT findings were associated with need for operative management. Elevated SIPA was associated with increased mortality. Elevated SIPA in pediatric cancer patients with neutropenic enterocolitis may help to identify those with more severe disease and expedite beneficial interventions.

Not as simple as ABC: Tools to trigger massive transfusion in pediatric trauma

BACKGROUND

Early and accurate identification of pediatric trauma patients who will receive massive transfusion (MT) is not well established. We developed the ABCD (defined as penetrating mechanism, positive focused assessment with sonography for trauma, shock index, pediatric age-adjusted [SIPA], lactate, and base deficit [BD]) and BIS scores (defined as a combination of BD, international normalized ratio [INR], and SIPA) and hypothesized that the BIS score would perform best in the ability to predict the need for MT in children.

METHODS

Pediatric trauma patients (≤18 years old) admitted to our trauma center between 2008 and 2019 were identified. Using a receiver operator curve, we defined cutoff points for lactate (≥3.2), BD (≤-6.9), and INR (≥1.4). ABCD scores were calculated by combining penetrating mechanism; positive focused assessment with sonography for trauma examination; SIPA; lactate; and BD. BIS scores were calculated by combining BD, INR, and SIPA. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of each score were calculated based on receiving MT.

RESULTS

Seven hundred seventy-two patients were included, of which 59 (7.6%) underwent MT. The best predictor of receiving MT was achieved by a BIS score of ≥2 that was 98% sensitive and 23% specific with an area under the curve of 0.81. The ABCD score of ≥2 was 97% sensitive and 20% specific with an area under the curve of 0.77.

CONCLUSION

The BIS score, which takes into account derangements in acidosis, coagulopathy, and SIPA, is accurate and easy to perform and can be incorporated into a simple bedside screening tool for triggering MT in pediatric trauma patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Diagnostic Tests or Criteria, Level IV.

Massive transfusion in pediatric trauma-does more blood predict mortality?

BACKGROUND

Treatment of severe hemorrhage focuses on the control of bleeding and intravascular volume expansion through massive transfusion (MT). This study aimed to determine if transfusion volumes in pediatric trauma patients who receive MT is associated with increased risk of death, and to establish if there is a threshold above which further resuscitation with blood products is futile.

METHODS

Pediatric patients (2-18 years old) in the 2014-2017 Trauma Quality Improvement Program (TQIP) database with complete age and blood transfusion data who met the MT definition of 40 mL/kg/24 h were included in analysis. Data elements were cleaned to eliminate discrepancies in reporting blood volumes and erroneous values were excluded. Early mortality was defined as death within 24 h. Late mortality was defined as death more than 24 h after hospital admission. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses to determine upper volume thresholds to predict early versus late mortality.

RESULTS

There were 633 patients who met the MT definition of 40 mL/kg/24 h. The overall mortality rate was 21.6%. Volume of blood had poor predicting early and late mortality with an AUC of 0.50 [95% CI (0.42, 0.59)] and 0.50 [95% CI (0.43,0.57)], respectively. Regardless of mechanism, no transfusion volume was associated with a predictably high rate of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no upper transfusion volume threshold to predict mortality in pediatric trauma patients who are massively transfused, regardless of mechanism. Severely injured children can tolerate massive amounts of blood products and still survive.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Pre-hospital and emergency department shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) "cut points" to identify pediatric trauma patients at risk for massive transfusion and/or mortality

BACKGROUND

Shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) is a validated measure to identify severely injured children. Previous literature categorized SIPA as normal or elevated, but the relationship between specific SIPA values and outcomes has not been determined. We sought to determine specific SIPA cut points in the pre-hospital and Emergency Department (ED) settings to identify patients at risk for massive transfusion (MT) and/or mortality.

METHODS

Patients ≤ 18 years old admitted to our Level I pediatric trauma center following trauma activation were included. Youdin J index was used to define pre-hospital and ED SIPA cut points to identify those at risk of MT and/or mortality for the following age groups: < 1 year, 1-6 years, 7-12 years, and > 12 years old. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated to determine SIPA threshold values associated with MT and/or mortality.

RESULTS

Of 1,072 patients, 6.3% (n = 68) required MT and 8.4% (n = 90) died. For predicting MT, pre-hospital SIPA cut points performed best in the > 12 year-old age group (AUC = 0.86) and ED SIPA cut points performed best in the 6-12 year-old age group (AUC = 0.87). For predicting mortality, pre-hospital (AUC = 0.78) and ED SIPA cut points (AUC = 0.84) performed best in the > 12 year-old age group.

CONCLUSION

Pre-hospital and ED SIPA cut points performed better at predicting MT and/or mortality in older pediatric patients compared to very young children. Age remains an important factor when determining the validity of SIPA to predict outcomes in pediatric trauma patients.

STUDY TYPE/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, Retrospective Cohort Study.

Shock Index in the early assessment of febrile children at the emergency department: a prospective multicentre study

OBJECTIVE

(1) To derive reference values for the Shock Index (heart rate/systolic blood pressure) based on a large emergency department (ED) population of febrile children and (2) to determine the diagnostic value of the Shock Index for serious illness in febrile children.

DESIGN/SETTING

Observational study in 11 European EDs (2017-2018).

PATIENTS

Febrile children with measured blood pressure.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Serious bacterial infection (SBI), invasive bacterial infection (IBI), immediate life-saving interventions (ILSIs) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The association between high Shock Index (>95th centile) and each outcome was determined by logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, referral, comorbidity and temperature. Additionally, we calculated sensitivity, specificity and negative/positive likelihood ratios (LRs).

RESULTS

Of 5622 children, 461 (8.2%) had SBI, 46 (0.8%) had IBI, 203 (3.6%) were treated with ILSI and 69 (1.2%) were ICU admitted. High Shock Index was associated with SBI (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.6 (95% CI 1.3 to 1.9)), ILSI (aOR 2.5 (95% CI 2.0 to 2.9)), ICU admission (aOR 2.2 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.9)) but not with IBI (aOR: 1.5 (95% CI 0.6 to 2.4)). For the different outcomes, sensitivity for high Shock Index ranged from 0.10 to 0.15, specificity ranged from 0.95 to 0.95, negative LRs ranged from 0.90 to 0.95 and positive LRs ranged from 1.8 to 2.8.

CONCLUSIONS

High Shock Index is associated with serious illness in febrile children. However, its rule-out value is insufficient which suggests that the Shock Index is not valuable as a screening tool for all febrile children at the ED.