Influence of frailty on treatment outcomes after revascularization in patients with critical limb ischemia

Prognostic Value of Hospital Frailty Risk Score and Clinical Outcomes in Critical Limb-Threatening Ischemia and End-Stage Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is commonly associated with critical limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) and frailty. Yet there are no specific tools to predict outcomes of CLTI in ESKD, particularly those that incorporate frailty. We aimed to assess the utility of the medical record-based Hospital Frailty Risk (HFR) score in predicting outcomes of CLTI in ESKD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We identified patients with ESKD diagnosed with CLTI from the US Renal Data System from 2015 to 2018. These patients were categorized into 3 frailty risk groups on the basis of their HFR scores: low (<5), intermediate (5-10), high-risk (>10), and on the basis of whether they underwent revascularization (endovascular revascularization [ER]/surgical revascularization [SR]) or not (no revascularization). Primary outcomes of interest included in-hospital composite of death or major amputation and in-hospital death. We included 49 454 eligible patients, with ER/SR cohort including 19.8% (n=9777). A total of 88.4% (ER/SR) and 90.0% (no revascularization) were frail on the HFR scale. We found a nonlinear association between HFR score and in-hospital adverse outcomes. In both cohorts, intermediate and high-risk HFR scores were associated with greater risk of in-hospital death (high-risk, ER/SR: odds ratio, 2.7 [95% CI, 1.6-4.8]; P<0.0001; no revascularization: odds ratio, 7.8 [95% CI, 5.3-11.6]; P<0.01) and composite of in-hospital major amputation or death (high-risk, ER/SR: odds ratio, 2.4 [95% CI, 1.9-3.1]; P<0.0001; no revascularization: odds ratio, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.5-1.9]; P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The HFR score can predict risk of in-hospital death and composite of death or major amputation in patients with ESKD and CLTI. Further data are needed to determine the utility of the HFR score in this population.

Preoperative frailty and postoperative complications after non-cardiac surgery: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Many tools have been used to assess frailty in the perioperative setting. However, no single scale has been shown to be the most effective in predicting postoperative complications. We evaluated the relationship between several frailty scales and the occurrence of complications following different non-cardiac surgeries.

METHODS

This systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023473401). The search strategy included PubMed, Google Scholar, and Embase, covering manuscripts published from January 2000 to July 2023. We included prospective and retrospective studies that evaluated frailty using specific scales and tracked patients postoperatively. Studies on cardiac, neurosurgical, and thoracic surgery were excluded because of the impact of underlying diseases on patients' functional status. Narrative reviews, conference abstracts, and articles lacking a comprehensive definition of frailty were excluded.

RESULTS

Of the 2204 articles identified, 145 were included in the review: 7 on non-cardiac surgery, 36 on general and digestive surgery, 19 on urology, 22 on vascular surgery, 36 on spinal surgery, and 25 on orthopedic/trauma surgery. The reviewed manuscripts confirmed that various frailty scales had been used to predict postoperative complications, mortality, and hospital stay across these surgical disciplines.

CONCLUSION

Despite differences among surgical populations, preoperative frailty assessment consistently predicts postoperative outcomes in non-cardiac surgeries.

Treatment Outcomes in Octogenarians with Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia after Infrainguinal Bypass Surgery or Endovascular Therapy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to analyze the clinical outcomes after revascularization for chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) in patients aged ≥ 80 years and < 80 years.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed multicenter data of 789 patients who underwent infrainguinal revascularization for CLTI between 2015 and 2021. The end points were 2-year overall survival (OS), amputation-free survival (AFS), limb salvage (LS), and postoperative complications.

RESULTS

A total of 90 patients aged ≥ 80 years and 200 patients aged < 80 years underwent bypass surgery (BSX), and 205 patients aged ≥ 80 years and 294 patients aged < 80 years underwent endovascular therapy (EVT). Before the propensity score matching, multivariate analyses showed that age ≥ 80 years, lower body mass index and serum albumin levels, nonambulatory status, and end-stage renal disease were independent risk factors for 2-year mortality in the BSX and EVT groups. After propensity score matching, the 2-year OS was better in the < 80 years cohort than in the ≥ 80 years cohort in both the BSX and EVT groups (P = 0.018 and P = 0.035, respectively). There was no difference in the 2-year LS rates between the < 80 years and the ≥ 80 years cohorts in both the BSX and EVT groups (P = 0.621 and P = 0.287, respectively). According to the number of risk factors, except for age ≥ 80 years, there was no difference in the 2-year AFS rates between the < 80 years and ≥ 80 years cohorts for the BSX and EVT groups with 0-1 risk factor (P = 0.957 and P = 0.655, respectively). However, the 2-year AFS rate was poor, especially in the ≥ 80 years cohort in the BSX with 2-4 risk factors (P = 0.015). The Clavien-Dindo ≥ IV complication rates tended to be higher in the ≥ 80 years cohort than in the < 80 years cohort only in the BSX with 2-4 risk factors (P = 0.056).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with CLTI aged ≥ 80 years had poorer OS than those aged < 80 years. However, there was no difference in LS between the ≥ 80 years and < 80 years cohorts in both the BSX and EVT groups. Although age ≥ 80 years was associated with poorer OS, patients with 0-1 risk factor may benefit from revascularization, including BSX, because no difference was observed in AFS or Clavien-Dindo ≥ IV complications.

Validation of JCLIMB, SPINACH, and VQI Calculators for Prediction of Two Year Survival in Patients With Chronic Limb Threatening Ischaemia After Infra-Inguinal Surgical or Endovascular Revascularisation

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate three survival prediction models: the JAPAN Critical Limb Ischaemia Database (JCLIMB), Surgical Reconstruction Versus Peripheral Intervention in Patients With Critical Limb Ischaemia (SPINACH), and Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) calculators.

METHODS

Multicentre data of patients who underwent infrainguinal revascularisation for chronic limb threatening ischaemia between 2018 and 2021 were analysed retrospectively. The prediction models were validated using a calibration plot analysis with the intercept and slope. The discrimination was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC) analysis. The observed two year overall survival (OS) was evaluated by the Kaplan - Meier method. The two year OS predicted by each model at < 50%, 50 - 70%, and > 70% was defined as high, medium, and low risk, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 491 patients who underwent infra-inguinal revascularisation were analysed. The rates of surgical revascularisation, endovascular therapy, and hybrid therapy were 26.5%, 70.1%, and 5.5%, respectively. The average age was 75.6 years, and the percentages of patients with diabetes mellitus and dialysis dependent end stage renal disease were 66.6% and 44.6%, respectively. The tissue loss rate was 85.7%. The intercept and slope were -0.13 and 1.18 for the JCLIMB, 0.11 and 0.82 for the SPINACH, and -0.15 and 1.10 for the VQI. The AUC for the two year OS of JCLIMB, SPINACH, and VQI were 0.758, 0.756, and 0.740, respectively. The observed two year OS rates of low, medium, and high risk using the JCLIMB calculator were 80.1%, 61.1%, and 28.5%, respectively (p < .001), using the SPINACH calculator were 81.0%, 57.0%, and 38.1%, respectively (p < .001), and using the VQI calculator were 77.8%, 45.8%, and 49.6%, respectively (p < .001).

CONCLUSION

The JCLIMB, SPINACH, and VQI survival calculation models were useful, although the OS predicted by the VQI model appeared to be lower than the observed OS.

Predicting wound complications following lower extremity revascularization

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to create a simple risk score to identify factors associated with wound complications after infrainguinal revascularization.

METHODS

The Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program national data set was queried from 2005 to 2021 to identify 22,114 patients undergoing elective open revascularization for peripheral arterial disease (claudication, rest pain, tissue loss) or peripheral aneurysm. Emergency and trauma cases were excluded. The data set was divided into a two-thirds derivation set and one-third validation set to create a risk prediction model. The primary end point was wound complication (wound dehiscence, superficial/deep wound surgical site infection). Eight independent risk factors for wound complications resulted from the model and were assigned whole number integer risk scores. Summary risk scores were collapsed into categories and defined as low (0-3 points), moderate (4-7 points), high (8-11 points), and very high (>12 points).

RESULTS

The wound complication rate in the derivation data set was 9.7% (n = 1428). Predictors of wound complication included age ≤73 (odds ratio [OR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.46), body mass index ≥35 kg/m2 (OR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.68-2.36), non-Hispanic White (vs others: OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.30-1.69), diabetes (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.10-1.37), white blood cell count >9900/mm3 (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.03-1.35), absence of coronary artery disease (OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.03-1.35), operative time >6 hours (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.05-1.37), and undergoing a femoral endarterectomy in conjunction with bypass (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.14-1.57). In both the derivation and validation sets, wound complications correlated with risk category. Among the defined categories in the derivation set, wound complication rates were 4.5% for low-risk patients, 8.5% for moderate-risk patients, 13.8% for high-risk patients, and 23.8% for very high-risk patients, with similar results for the internal validation data set. Operative indication did not independently associate with wound complications. Patients with wound complications had higher rates of reoperation and graft failure.

CONCLUSIONS

This risk prediction model uses easily obtainable clinical metrics that allow for informed discussion of wound complication risk for patients undergoing open infrainguinal revascularization.

Evaluation of three nutritional indices as predictors of 2-year mortality and major amputation in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia

OBJECTIVE

The present study aimed to examine which nutritional index, such as the controlling nutritional status (CONUT), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI), is better for predicting prognosis in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) following revascularization.

METHOD

We retrospectively analyzed data of patients who underwent revascularization for CLTI between 2008 and 2020. The endpoints were 2-year overall survival and limb salvage. The optimal cutoff values of 2-year overall survival and major amputation were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analyses.

RESULT

A total of 238 patients with CLTI and 289 limbs were analyzed. The 2-year overall survival rates were 48.9%, 54.6%, and 53.5% in patients with CONUT score ≥4, PNI score <42.6, and GNRI <98.4 compared with 80.0%, 80.0%, and 78.4% in patients with CONUT score <4, PNI score ≥42.6, and GNRI ≥98.4 (p < 0.01). Age, non-ambulatory status, hemodialysis, and nutritional indices were independent risk factors for 2-year mortality in the multivariate analyses. The 2-year limb salvage rates were 70.1%, 82.2%, and 81.9% in patients with CONUT score ≥7, PNI score <41.9, and GNRI <95.3 compared with 92.8%, 98.3%, and 94.2% in patients with CONUT score <7, PNI score ≥41.9, and GNRI ≥95.3 (p < 0.01). Wound, ischemia, and foot infection stage and each nutritional index (CONUT and PNI) were independent risk factors for major amputation in multivariate analyses. The overall survival and limb salvage rates of patients with malnutrition diagnosed by CONUT score were poor compared with those of normal nutrition or malnutrition diagnosed by PNI and/or GNRI scores.

CONCLUSION

The CONUT, PNI, and GNRI scores can predict the 2-year overall survival in patients with CLTI after revascularization. The CONUT and PNI scores were associated with major amputation.

A systematic review of frailty assessment tools used in vascular surgery research

OBJECTIVE

Frailty is common in vascular patients and is recognized for its prognostic value. In the absence of consensus, a multitude of frailty assessment tools exist. This systematic review aimed to quantify the variety in these tools and describe their content and application to inform future research and clinical practice.

METHODS

Multiple cross-disciplinary electronic literature databases were searched from inception to August 2022. Studies describing frailty assessment in a vascular surgical population were eligible. Data extraction to a validated template included patient demographics, tool content, and analysis methods. A secondary systematic search for papers describing the psychometric properties of commonly used frailty tools was then performed.

RESULTS

Screening 5358 records identified 111 eligible studies, with an aggregate population of 5,418,236 patients. Forty-three differing frailty assessment tools were identified. One-third of these failed to assess frailty as a multidomain deficit and there was a reliance on assessing function and presence of comorbidity. Substantial methodological variability in data analysis and lack of methodological description was also identified. Published psychometric assessment was available for only 4 of the 10 most commonly used frailty tools. The Clinical Frailty Scale was the most studied and demonstrates good psychometric properties within a surgical population.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial heterogeneity in frailty assessment is demonstrated, precluding meaningful comparisons of services and data pooling. A uniform approach to assessment is required to guide future frailty research. Based on the literature, we make the following recommendations: frailty should be considered a continuous construct and the reporting of frailty tools' application needs standardized. In the absence of consensus, the Clinical Frailty Scale is a validated tool with good psychometric properties that demonstrates usefulness in vascular surgery.

Association of Preoperative Frailty with Inferior Outcomes for Patients Undergoing Lower Extremity Bypass for Chronic Limb Threatening Ischemia: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a risk factor associated with adverse postoperative outcomes following lower extremity bypass (LEB) surgery in patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Chronic limb threatening ischemia (CLTI) represents the worst form of PAD, and frailty is common among patients presenting with CLTI. Multiple frailty assessment scores have been developed for the past 2 decades; however, a universal clinical assessment tool for measuring frailty has not yet been established due to the complexity of the concept. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the use of a frailty index as a predictor of postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing LEB.

METHODS

The review protocol was registered in the international prospective register of systematic reviews (PROSPERO) database (CRD42022358888). A systematic literature search was conducted using the PubMed and Scopus databases. The review followed the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and metaanalyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The risk of bias was evaluated using the Risk of Bias in Non-randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool. A total of 3,929 studies were initially selected originally and were eventually left with 6 studies that met the inclusion criteria of this systematic review.

RESULTS

Six studies were examined that assessed the relationship between frailty index and long-term mortality following LEB for CLTI were screened. All analyses were published between 2017 and 2020 and included a broad spectrum of patients who underwent LEB. The results of these studies showed inconsistencies in the reporting of postoperative outcomes and the time endpoint of these events. However, all correlated with higher frailty index and increased mortality rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher frailty index preoperatively is associated with an increased likelihood of postoperative comorbidities after undergoing LEB. Identifying and addressing the preoperative frailty index of these patients may be a practical approach to reducing postoperative adverse outcomes. A thorough review of the frailty spectrum and standardized reporting of outcomes in the context of frailty could be helpful to have a more comprehensive understanding of this subject.

Association between High Bleeding Risk and 2-Year Mortality in Patients with Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia

AIM

Patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) have a high bleeding risk (HBR) and mortality rate. The 2-year life expectancy is an important factor in deciding the appropriate treatment strategy. This study aimed to assess the influence of HBR on the prognosis of patients with CLTI.

METHODS

A total of 259 patients with CLTI who underwent endovascular therapy (EVT) (mean age, 76.2 years; male, 62.9%) between January 2018 and December 2019 were evaluated. The Academic Research Consortium for HBR (ARC-HBR) criteria were applied to each patient, and the ARC-HBR scores were calculated. The cut-off score for predicting all-cause mortality within two years was derived using a survival classification and regression tree (CART) model. Causes of death and the association between ARC-HBR scores and major bleeding events within two years were also investigated.

RESULTS

Based on the CART model, patients were divided into three groups (low HBR score 0-1.0, 48 patients; moderate HBR score 1.5-3.0, 176 patients; and high HBR score ≥ 3.5, 35 patients). During the study period, 82 patients (39.6%) died due to cardiac (n=23) and non-cardiac causes (n=59). All-cause mortality increased significantly with increasing ARC-HBR scores. Cox multivariate analysis revealed a significant association between high ARC-HBR scores and the risk of all-cause mortality within two years. Major bleeding events increased significantly with increasing ARC-HBR scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The ARC-HBR score could predict 2-year mortality in patients with CLTI who underwent EVT. Thus, this score can help determine the best revascularization strategy for patients with CLTI.

Frailty is Not Associated with Worse Outcomes following Lower Extremity Angiograms for Limb Ischemia in Nonagenarians

BACKGROUND

Endovascular interventions are performed routinely with minimal risk in younger populations. The safety and efficacy of endovascular interventions in nonagenarians is under examined. We sought to examine the following (1) mortality and limb salvage rates in the nonagenarian population and (2) whether frailty was associated with outcomes following lower extremity (LE) interventions for both acute limb ischemia (ALI) and chronic limb threatening ischemia (CLTI).

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients ≥90 years who underwent a LE angiogram for ALI or CLTI over a 12-year period at a single institution was performed. Primary outcomes were 30-day and 12-month limb salvage and mortality rates. Patient demographics, 30-day complications, and 12-month target vessel reintervention (TVR) were reviewed. Frailty scores were calculated using the 11-factor modified frailty index (MFI-11).

RESULTS

From 2009 to 2021, 76 patients (36% male) with a mean age of 93 (range: 90-102) underwent endovascular procedures for ALI (n = 13) and CLTI (n = 63). 30-day amputation and mortality rates were 6% and 8%, respectively. Patient demographics, preoperative functional status, and TVR rates were not different between patients who had early amputation (≤30 days) and those who achieved limb salvage. Seventy-two patients (94%) had follow-up data at 30 days. There was an 8% mortality rate at 30 days. Of those alive at 30 days, 94% of patients had successful limb salvage. Fifty-eight patients had complete follow-up data at 12 months. Of the patients alive at 12-month follow-up (75%), the limb salvage rate was 98%. Patients with amputation at 30 days had a significantly higher mortality rate at 12 months compared to those who did not (83% vs. 19%; P < 0.01). Based on MFI-11 scoring, 35% of the population was considered frail (≥0.27). Frail patients did not have significantly different 30-day outcomes (limb salvage: 94% vs. 88%; mortality 8% vs. 9%, P = 0.41 and 0.94, respectively) or 12-month outcomes (limb salvage: 82% vs. 94%; mortality: 32% vs. 22%, P = 0.28 and 0.39, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Endovascular procedures can be done safely in nonagenarians with low mortality and amputation rates. Patients with early amputation are at significantly higher risk of death at 12 months. Frailty, as measured by a validated index, was not associated with early or late outcomes. When compared to immediate amputation, nonagenarian patients and their families should be counseled as to the benefit from a minimally invasive endovascular procedure.

Prognostic Value of Hospital Frailty Risk Score and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Revascularization for Critical Limb-Threatening Ischemia

Background The impact of medical record-based frailty assessment on clinical outcomes in patients undergoing revascularization for critical limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) is unknown. Methods and Results This study included patients with CLTI aged ≥18 years from the nationwide readmissions database 2016 to 2018 who underwent endovascular revascularization (ER) or surgical revascularization (SR). The hospital frailty risk score, a previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Edition, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) claims-based score, was used to categorize patients into low- (<5), intermediate- (5-15), and high-risk (>15) frailty categories. Primary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and major amputation at 6 months. A total of 64 338 patients were identified who underwent ER (82.3%) or SR (17.7%) for CLTI. The mean (SD) age of the cohort was 69.3 (11.8) years, and 63% of patients were male. This study found a nonlinear association between hospital frailty risk score and in-hospital mortality and 6-month major amputation. In both ER and SR cohorts, the intermediate- and high-risk groups were associated with a significantly higher risk of in-hospital mortality (high-risk group: ER: odds ratio [OR], 7.2 [95% CI, 4.4-11.6], P<0.001; SR: OR, 28.6 [95% CI, 3.4-237.6], P=0.002) and major amputation at 6 months (high-risk group: ER: hazard ratio [HR], 1.6 [95% CI, 1.5-1.7], P<0.001; SR: HR, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.4-2.2], P<0.001) compared with the low-risk group. Conclusions The hospital frailty risk score, generated from the medical record, can identify frailty and predict in-hospital mortality and 6-month major amputation in patients undergoing ER or SR for CLTI. Further studies are needed to assess if this score can be incorporated into clinical decision-making in patients undergoing revascularization for CLTI.

Impact of ambulatory status change on survival in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia undergoing infrainguinal surgical or endovascular revascularization

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the influence of change in ambulatory status on the prognosis of patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) undergoing infrainguinal bypass surgery or endovascular therapy (EVT).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from two vascular centers for patients who underwent revascularization for CLTI between 2015 and 2020. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoints were changes in ambulatory status and postoperative complications.

RESULTS

Throughout the study, 377 patients and 508 limbs were analyzed. In the preoperative nonambulation cohort, the average body mass index (BMI) was lower in the postoperative nonambulatory group than in the postoperative ambulatory group (P < .01). The percentage of cerebrovascular disease (CVD) was higher in the postoperative nonambulatory group than in the postoperative ambulatory group (P = .01). In the preoperative ambulation cohort, the average controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score was higher in the postoperative nonambulatory group than in the postoperative ambulatory group (P < .01). There was no difference in the bypass percentage and the EVT in the preoperative nonambulation (P = .32) and ambulation (P = .70) cohorts. According to the change in ambulatory status before and after revascularization, the 1-year OS rates were 86.8% in the ambulatory → ambulatory group, 81.1% in the nonambulatory → ambulatory group, 54.7% in the nonambulatory → nonambulatory group, and 23.9% in the ambulatory → nonambulatory group (P < .01). On multivariate analysis, increased age (P = .04), higher Wound, Ischemia, and foot Infection stage (P = .02), and increased CONUT score (P < .01) were independent risk factors for the decline in ambulatory status in patients with preoperative ambulation. In patients with preoperative nonambulation, increased BMI (P < .01) and absence of CVD (P = .04) were independent factors related to the improved ambulatory status. The percentages of postoperative complications were 31.0% and 17.0% in the preoperative nonambulation and the preoperative ambulation in the overall cohort (P < .01). Preoperative nonambulatory status (P < .01), CONUT score (P < .01), and bypass surgery (P < .01) were risk factors for postoperative complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Improved ambulatory status is associated with better OS in patients with preoperative nonambulatory status after infrainguinal revascularization for CLTI. Although patients with preoperative nonambulatory status have a risk of postoperative complication, some may benefit from revascularization if they have no factors such as low BMI and CVD, improving their ambulatory status.

Application of machine learning algorithms in electronic medical records to predict amputation-free survival after first revascularization in patients with peripheral artery disease

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to apply eight machine learning algorithms to develop the optimal model to predict amputation-free survival (AFS) after first revascularization in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD).

METHODS

Among 2130 patients from 2011 to 2020, 1260 patients who underwent revascularization were randomly assigned to training set and validation set in an 8:2 ratio. 67 clinical parameters were analyzed by lasso regression analysis. Logistic regression, gradient boosting machine, random forest, decision tree, eXtreme gradient boosting, neural network, Cox regression, and random survival forest (RSF) were applied to develop prediction models. The optimal model was compared with GermanVasc score in testing set comprising patients from 2010.

RESULTS

The postoperative 1/3/5-year AFS were 90%, 79.4%, and 74.1%. Age (HR:1.035, 95%CI: 1.015-1.056), atrial fibrillation (HR:2.257, 95%CI: 1.193-4.271), cardiac ejection fraction (HR:0.064, 95%CI: 0.009-0.413), Rutherford grade ≥ 5 (HR:1.899, 95%CI: 1.296-2.782), creatinine (HR:1.03, 95%CI: 1.02-1.04), surgery duration (HR:1.03, 95%CI: 1.01-1.05), and fibrinogen (HR:1.292, 95%CI: 1.098-1.521) were independent risk factors. The optimal model was developed by RSF algorithm, with 1/3/5-year AUCs in training set of 0.866 (95% CI:0.819-0.912), 0.854 (95% CI:0.811-0.896), 0.844 (95% CI:0.793-0.894), in validation set of 0.741 (95% CI:0.580-0.902), 0.768 (95% CI:0.654-0.882), 0.836 (95% CI:0.719-0.953), and in testing set of 0.821 (95%CI: 0.711-0.931), 0.802 (95%CI: 0.684-0.919), 0.798 (95%CI: 0.657-0.939). The c-index of the model outperformed GermanVasc Score (0.788 vs 0.730). A dynamic nomogram was published on shinyapp (https://wyy2023.shinyapps.io/amputation/).

CONCLUSION

The optimal prediction model for AFS after first revascularization in patients with PAD was developed by RSF algorithm, which exhibited outstanding prediction performance.

Use of the 11-Item Modified Frailty Index to Determine Accurate Prognosis and Revascularization Strategy in Patients Undergoing Vascular Bypass Surgery for Intermittent Claudication

BACKGROUND

In cases of intermittent claudication (IC) where traditionally noninvasive management yields unsatisfactory results, revascularization strategy in IC patients is generally decided based on anatomical considerations and the availability of a saphenous vein graft. Life expectancy should also be considered. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the 11-item modified frailty index (mFI-11) and the overall survival (OS) in patients with IC who underwent vascular bypass surgery to facilitate revascularization strategy selection.

METHODS

We reviewed the records of 144 consecutive patients (153 lower limbs) who underwent infrainguinal bypass for IC between 2011 and 2020. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on their mFI-11 score: high frailty (H), mFI score >0.3; and low frailty (L), mFI score ≤0.3. The OS was compared among the 2 groups. Rates of graft patency and freedom from major adverse limb event (ffMALE) were also determined and compared.

RESULTS

Five-year OS in the L and H groups was 92% and 55% (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that mFI, age, and end-stage renal disease were independent predictors of OS. Five-year rates of primary and secondary patency and ffMALE for vein grafts were 81%, 91%, and 94%, respectively; those for prosthetic grafts were 65%, 80%, and 84%, respectively; the differences were not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The mFI-11 was a helpful tool in predicting OS for patients with IC who underwent vascular bypass surgery. Those with H should not undergo open revascularization; however, for IC patients who have either not responded to a regimen of exercise and medication, or have specifically requested a more aggressive approach, obtaining a good score in frailty assessment is useful in determining whether or not bypass surgery would be a viable option.

Frailty in People with Chronic Limb Threatening Ischemia and Diabetes-Related Foot Ulcers: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Frailty represents a state of multisystem impairment that may adversely impact people presenting with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) and diabetes-related foot ulcers (DFUs). The aim of this systematic review was to explore the association between frailty and outcomes from CLTI and DFUs.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search of electronic databases to find studies using a validated measure of frailty in individuals with CLTI and/or DFUs. The primary outcomes were the impact of frailty on the severity of initial clinical presentation and unfavorable follow-up outcomes including readmissions, major limb amputation, cardiovascular events, revascularization, and wound healing.

RESULTS

Ten cohort studies were included. Two studies had a low risk of bias, 1 was unable to be assessed, 5 had moderate risk of bias, and 2 high risk of bias. The prevalence of frailty in people presenting with CLTI ranged from 27% to 88% and was 71% in people with DFUs. The presence of frailty in both people with CLTI and DFUs was associated with substantially increased severity at presentation (severity of ischemia and tissue loss) and poorer outcomes at follow-up (risk of readmission, limb amputation, and all-cause mortality).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of frailty in both people with CLTI and DFUs is likely associated with substantially higher complexity at presentation followed by a greater risk for readmission, amputation, and death during follow-up. Heterogeneity in the tools used to screen for frailty, poor definition of frailty, and unclear evaluation of exposure and outcomes limit further interpretation of findings.

The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index predicts amputation after infrapopliteal angioplasty in critical limb ischemia patients

OBJECTIVE

To validate the Critical Limb Ischemia Frailty Index (CLIFI), and to identify independent predictors of 2-year amputation-free survival after infrapopliteal endovascular treatment for chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) in Thai patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted during the June 2014 to February 2017 study period. CLTI patients treated with infrapopliteal angioplasty were enrolled and analyzed. A patient was defined as CLIFI positive if two or more of the following criteria were present: Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) < 89.8, low skeletal muscle mass index (<6.87 kg/m² in males, and <5.46 kg/m² in females), and/or non-ambulatory status. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to assess 2-year amputation-free survival (AFS), and comparisons were performed using log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze for significant and independent association, respectively, between preoperative characteristics and AFS.

RESULTS

A total of 266 patients and 286 limbs were included. Forty (15.0%) patients were CLIFI positive, and 226 (85.0%) patients were CLIFI negative. The 2-year amputation-free survival rate was 90.3% in the CLIFI positive group, and 86.6% in the CLIFI negative group (p = 0.59). Multivariate analysis revealed the GNRI to be an independent risk factor for amputation within two years after infrapopliteal revascularization (adjusted hazard ratio: 4.87, 95% confidence interval: 1.20-19.70; p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The GNRI was found to independently predict 2-year amputation after infrapopliteal angioplasty in Thai CLTI patients; however, the CLIFI was not found to significantly predict 2-year amputation in this patient population.

Prevalence of frailty in patients with lower extremity peripheral arterial disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Increasing studies have reported on the prevalence of frailty in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD). The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to estimate the pooled prevalence of frailty in patients with lower extremity PAD.

METHODS

Two authors systematically searched PubMed and Embase databases from their inception to August 8, 2022. Original articles that reported the prevalence of frailty in patients with lower extremity PAD were included. The prevalence of frailty in patients with lower extremity PAD was pooled using a random-effect model. Meta-regression, subgroup, and sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Eighteen studies reported on 17 articles involving 1,726,343 patients with lower extremity PAD were identified. The pooled prevalence of frailty in patients with lower extremity PAD was 49 % (95 % confidence interval [CI] 37-61 %), with significant heterogeneity between studies (I ² = 100 %, p < 0.001). Multivariable meta-regression showed that only the severity of PAD (coefficient 0.270; 95 % CI 0.017-0.523, p = 0.039) was significantly associated with the heterogeneity. In subgroup analysis, the pooled prevalence of frailty was higher in critical limb ischemia or chronic limb-threatening ischemia (54 %) than all PAD (48 %); the pooled prevalence of frailty was 64 %, 51 %, and 54 % for Modified Frailty Index-5, Modified Frailty Index-11, and Clinical Frailty Scale, respectively. The pooled prevalence of frailty appeared to be lower in male (39 %) than the female patients (47 %).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of frailty was higher in patients with lower extremity PAD, suggesting frailty is a common condition. This finding highlights the significance of assessing frailty in patients with lower extremity PAD.

Impact of frailty on all-cause mortality or major amputation in patients with lower extremity peripheral artery disease: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Frailty has been increasingly identified as a risk factor of adverse outcomes in vascular disease. However, its impact on the survival and amputation in patients with lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD) remains controversial. This meta-analysis aimed to examine the value of frailty in predicting all-cause mortality or major amputation in patients with lower extremity PAD.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Sciences, and Scopus databases (up to April 7, 2022) were comprehensively searched to identify relevant studies that investigated the association between frailty and all-cause mortality or major amputation in patients with lower extremity PAD. The impact of frailty on adverse outcomes was summarized by pooling the fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using a random effect (DerSimonian-Laird) model.

RESULTS

Seven studies reporting on eight articles that involved 122,892 patients were included. The prevalence of frailty ranged from 42% to 80% based on the frailty tool used. Meta-analysis showed that frailty was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (HR 2.11; 95% CI 1.41-3.15; I² =47.6%, p = 0.148, Tau-squared=0.058) and long-term all-cause mortality (HR 1.86; 95% CI 1.25-2.76; I² =76.1%, p = 0.002, Tau-squared=0.118). However, no clear association was observed between frailty and major amputation (HR 1.07; 95% CI 0.83-1.36; I² =23.0%, p = 0.273, Tau-squared=0.019).

CONCLUSION

Frailty independently predicts short and long-term all-cause mortality but not major amputation in patients with lower extremity PAD. Frailty status may play an important role in risk stratification of lower extremity PAD.

Patient-centered clinical success after lower extremity revascularization for complex diabetic foot wounds treated in a multidisciplinary setting

OBJECTIVE

Physician-oriented outcomes, such as patency and amputation-free survival (AFS), have traditionally been markers of success after lower extremity revascularization. Previous studies have defined clinical success based on a composite of patient-centered outcomes and have shown this outcome to be achieved in less than 50% of patients, far lower than standard physician-oriented outcomes. The purpose of this study is to evaluate clinical success after lower extremity bypass (LEB) or peripheral vascular intervention (PVI) for tissue loss in diabetic patients treated in a multidisciplinary setting to better understand what factors are associated with success from a patient's perspective.

METHODS

All patients presenting to our multidisciplinary diabetic limb preservation service from July 2012 to January 2020 were enrolled in a prospective database. Patients who underwent either LEB or PVI for ulcer or gangrene were included in the analysis. Clinical success was defined as the composite outcome of secondary patency to the point of wound healing, limb salvage for 1 year, maintenance of ambulatory status for 1 year, and survival for 6 months. Secondary outcomes included 1-year wound healing, patency, and AFS.

RESULTS

A total of 134 revascularizations were performed in 131 patients, including 91 (68%) PVI and 43 (32%) LEB. Patients were more frequently male (64%) and black (61%), and 16% were dialysis-dependent. All patients had tissue loss (53% ulcer, 47% gangrene). There were 5 (3.7%) wound, ischemia, and foot infection stage 1, 6 (6.0%) stage 2, 29 (22%) stage 3, and 92 (69%) stage 4 limbs at the time of revascularization. Overall, 76.9% of patients preserved secondary patency to the point of wound healing, 92.5% had limb salvage for 1 year, 90.3% had maintenance of ambulatory status for 1 year, and 96.3% survived for 6 months. The clinical success composite outcome was achieved in 71.6% of patients and was not statistically different between those undergoing PVI vs LEB (69.2% vs 76.7%, P = .37). Secondary patency, limb salvage, and AFS at 1 year were 80.8% ± 3.6%, 91.8% ± 2.3%, and 83.3% ± 3.1%, respectively. Wound healing at 1 year was 84.3% ± 3.4%. The only covariate associated with clinical failure on multivariable analysis was increased age (odds ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.91-0.99; P = .008).

CONCLUSIONS

Among diabetic patients presenting with tissue loss, the composite outcome of patient-centered clinical success is lower than traditional physician-centered outcomes after lower extremity revascularization, mostly due to low rates of secondary patency to the point of wound healing. In the current study, clinical failure was only associated with older age and was no different after PVI compared with LEB.

Individual patient data meta-analysis of patients treated with a heparin-bonded Viabahn in the femoropopliteal artery for chronic limb-threatening ischemia

Objectives

The aim of the study was to analyze available data on patients treated for chronic limb‐threatening ischemia (CLTI) with the heparin‐bonded Viabahn endoprosthesis.

Background

The patency of self‐expanding covered stents in patients with complex femoropopliteal lesions is encouraging. However, data were mostly derived in patients with intermittent claudication. Patients with CLTI often have more advanced disease and worse outcome.

Methods

After the abstract screening, full‐text papers were checked. Authors were approached to consider joining the consortium. Data were sent anonymously, databases were merged and an individual patient data meta‐analysis was performed. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to calculate the freedom from amputations, the amputation‐free survival, and patency rates.

Results

Seven studies were enrolled, representing 161 limbs that were treated for CLTI. Median lesion length was 28.0 cm (interquartile range 25.0–33.0 cm) and 82.7% were chronic total occlusions. The technical success rate was 98.1% and the 30‐day mortality 1.9%. Through 2‐year follow‐up, the freedom‐from‐major‐amputations was 99.3%, with an amputation‐free survival of 78.8%. The freedom‐from‐loss‐of primary, primary‐assisted, and secondary patency was 70.4%, 71.8%, and 88.2%, respectively, at 1‐year and 59.5%, 62.7%, and 86.1% at 2‐year follow‐up, respectively. The reintervention‐free survival was 62.2% at a 2‐year follow‐up.

Conclusions

Treatment of femoropopliteal disease in CLTI patients with the use of the heparin‐bonded Viabahn is safe and effective with favorable clinical outcomes and low amputation rates. Reinterventions are needed in a subset of the population to maintain endoprosthesis patency. Close follow‐up using duplex is recommended to detect potential edge stenosis, allowing treatment before device occlusion.

Current Clinical Implications of Frailty and Sarcopenia in Vascular Surgery: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature and Consideration of Perioperative Management

Frailty is a well-known geriatric syndrome of impaired physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors. Sarcopenia is also used as a parameter of physical impairment characterized by muscle weakness. As population aging has become more prominent in recent years, both modalities are now regarded as clinically important prognostic tools defined by multidimensional factors that may affect clinical outcomes in various clinical settings. A preoperative surgical risk analysis is mandatory to predict clinical and surgical outcomes in all surgical practices, particularly in high-risk surgical patients. In vascular surgical settings, frailty and sarcopenia have been accepted as useful prognostic tools to evaluate patient characteristics before surgery, as these may predict perioperative clinical and surgical outcomes. Although minimally invasive surgical approaches, such as endovascular therapy, and hybrid approaches have been universally developed, achieving good vascular surgical outcomes for high-risk cohorts remains to be challenge due to the increasing prevalence of elderly patients and multiple preoperative co-morbidities in addition to frailty and sarcopenia. Therefore, to further improve clinical and surgical outcomes, these preoperative geriatric prognostic factors will be of great importance and interest in vascular surgical settings for both physicians and surgeons.

Association of Frailty With Treatment Selection and Long-Term Outcomes Among Patients With Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia

Background The optimal treatment strategy for patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) is often unclear. Frailty has emerged as an important factor that can identify patients at greater risk of poor outcomes and guide treatment selection, but few studies have explored its utility among the CLTI population. We examine the association of a health record-based frailty measure with treatment choice and long-term outcomes among patients hospitalized with CLTI. Methods and Results We included patients aged >65 years hospitalized with CLTI in the Medicare Provider Analysis and Review data set between October 1, 2009 and September 30, 2015. The primary exposure was frailty, defined by the Claims-based Frailty Indicator. Baseline frailty status and revascularization choice were examined using logistic regression. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine the association between frailty and death or amputation, stratifying by treatment strategy. Of 85 060 patients, 35 484 (42%) were classified as frail. Frail patients had lower likelihood of revascularization (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75‒0.82). Among those revascularized, frailty was associated with lower likelihood of surgical versus endovascular treatment (adjusted OR, 0.76; CI, 0.72‒0.81). Frail patients experienced increased risk of amputation or death, regardless of revascularization status (revascularized: adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.34; CI, 1.30‒1.38; non-revascularized: adjusted HR, 1.22; CI, 1.17‒1.27). Among those revascularized, frailty was independently associated with amputation or death irrespective of revascularization strategy (surgical: adjusted HR, 1.36; CI, 1.31‒1.42; endovascular: aHR, 1.29; CI, 1.243‒1.35). Conclusions Among patients hospitalized with CLTI, frailty is an important independent predictor of revascularization strategy and longitudinal adverse outcomes.

Validation of the GLASS Staging Systems in Patients With Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia Undergoing De Novo Infrainguinal Revascularization

OBJECTIVES

The Global Limb Anatomic Staging System (GLASS) was proposed for evaluating the anatomic complexity of arterial disease in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI). We aimed to examine the relationship between GLASS stage and treatment outcomes after infrainguinal revascularization in patients with CLTI.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of patients undergoing infrainguinal revascularization for CLTI between 2010 and 2018 to examine whether GLASS stage affects the limb salvage, wound healing, and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Throughout the study period, 153 CLTI patients and 190 limbs with Fontaine classification III and IV were analyzed for major amputation and OS, and 125 patients and 157 limbs of Fontaine classification IV were analyzed for wound healing. The number of patients with WIfI stage 1, 2, 3, and 4 was 14 (7.4%), 44 (23.2%), 65 (34.2%), and 67 (53.3%), respectively. The number of patients with GLASS stage I, II, and III was 23 (12.1%), 48 (25.3%), and 119 (62.6%), respectively. Among the 190 limbs, the number subject to bypass surgery, endovascular therapy, and hybrid therapy was 132 (69.5%), 39 (20.5%), and 19 (10.0%), respectively. A multivariate analysis showed that only WIfI stage and inframalleolar (IM) disease were risk factors for major amputation and impaired wound healing. There was no relationship between GLASS stage and limb salvage or wound healing. A multivariate analysis revealed that age, geriatric nutritional risk index and GLASS stage were risk factors for 2-year OS (P < 0.01). Patients with all risk factors had a poor prognosis (35.3% at 2 years).

CONCLUSION

WIfI stage and IM disease predicted limb salvage and wound healing after infrainguinal revascularization in patients with CLTI. Although GLASS stage did not affect limb salvage or wound healing, it was a prognostic factor for poor OS. The GLASS staging could be useful for deciding between bypass surgery and endovascular therapy in prediction of prognosis.

Frailty as a Predictor of Adverse Outcomes After Peripheral Vascular Surgery in Patients With End-Stage Renal Disease

BACKGROUND

Frailty and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are each independently associated with adverse outcomes in patients who undergo lower extremity vascular bypass operations (LEOs). It is not known whether frailty imparts additional risk to patients with ESRD having LEO.

METHODS

The study was a retrospective cohort study of 29 203 patients without ESRD and 1718 with ESRD who had LEO surgery between the years 2014 and 2018 extracted from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Preoperative frailty was assessed using a simplified frailty index based on a history of diabetes, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hypertension, and functional status. Adverse outcomes measured were 30-day mortality, surgical complications, reoperation, length of stay, readmission, discharge destination, and any ("composite") adverse outcome. Odds ratios (ORs) for adverse outcomes were calculated with logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among patients with ESRD, the OR for having the composite adverse outcome was greater for frailty than for any of the other preoperative risk factors studied (OR 2.191, CI 1.569-3.061, P < .001). Adverse outcomes occurred in 84.3% of frail patients with ESRD, but in only 39.6% of the non-frail patients without ESRD.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty imparts additional risk for adverse outcomes to patients with ESRD undergoing LEO.

The utility of geriatric nutritional risk index to predict outcomes in chronic limb-threatening ischemia

OBJECTIVES

To assess geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI).

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of CLTI continues to rise, with major amputation and mortality remaining prominent. Frailty is a vital risk factor for adverse outcomes in cardiovascular care. The GNRI is a nutrition-based surrogate for frailty that has been utilized in Southeast Asia to predict adverse events in CLTI. It has not yet been evaluated in a primarily Western population, nor in the context of wound healing.

METHODS

Between 8August 2017 and April 2019, we identified patients undergoing endovascular interventions for CLTI at our institution, categorized into low GNRI (≤ 94, frail) versus normal GNRI (> 94, reference). We analyzed the risks of major adverse limb events (MALE), its individual components [mortality, major amputation, and target vessel revascularization (TVR)], amputation free survival (AFS), and wound healing using Kaplan-Meier and multivariate cox-proportional hazard regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 255 patients were included in the analysis, with follow up of 14 ± 9.1 months. Lower GNRI was associated with higher cumulative event rates for MALE (71.0% vs. 43.3%, p <  0.001), mortality (34.3% vs. 15.2%, p < 0.001), major amputation (31.2% vs. 15.8%, p = 0.002), and freedom from AFS (56.0% vs. 28.2%, p < 0.001). There was a trend toward lower TVR and higher wound healing with higher GNRI score.

CONCLUSIONS

Our single-center, retrospective evaluation of GNRI (as a surrogate for frailty) correlated with increased risks of MALE, mortality, and major amputation. Future directions should focus not only on the recognition of these patients, but risk-factor modification to optimize long-term outcomes.

Risk Models and Scores in Patients with Peripheral Artery Disease and Chronic Limb-threatening Ischemia: A Comprehensive Review

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) affects more than 200 million patients worldwide and chronic limbthreatening ischemia (CLTI) is the most advanced stage of PAD with very high morbidity and mortality rates. Cardiovascular medicine is trending towards a more personalized approach where each individual patient will be managed according to specific risk factors, disease characteristics, expectations related to their disease and individualized assessment of potential outcomes. For this reason, a number of risk models and scores have been developed during the last few years. Our aim in this comprehensive review article is to provide an overview of selected risk models and scores for patients with PAD and CLTI. Given that some of the published scores were of low quality (minimal discriminatory ability), we included scores that were already externally validated or scores that had promising initial findings. Available scoring systems were grouped in the five following categories according to their utility: i) scores that can detect asymptomatic patients who should be screened for PAD, ii) scores for assessment of functional status and quality of life in patients with PAD, iii) scores assessing risk for amputation and other major adverse limb events among patients with CLTI, iv) scores for the optimal revascularization strategy in each patient and scores predicting successful procedural outcomes; v) scores predicting short or long-term cardiovascular and limb related outcomes after either revascularization or at least angiographic assessment. Limitations of available scoring systems include development and validation in specific populations, lack of external validation (for some of them) and also lack of synchrony with current era endovascular technology. However, with further optimization of current scores and the development of new scores, the field of PAD and CLI can be transitioned to a personalized medicine approach.

Long Term Survival and Limb Salvage in Patients With Non-Revascularisable Chronic Limb Threatening Ischaemia

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to provide long term survival and limb salvage rates for patients with non-revascularisable (NR) chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI).

METHODS

This was a retrospective review of prospectively collected data, derived from a randomised controlled trial (JUVENTAS) investigating the use of a regenerative cell therapy. Survival and limb salvage of the index limb in CLTI patients without viable options for revascularisation at inclusion were analysed retrospectively. The primary outcome was amputation free survival, a composite of survival and limb salvage, at five years after inclusion in the original trial.

RESULTS

In 150 patients with NR-CLTI, amputation free survival was 43% five years after inclusion. This outcome was driven by an equal rate of all cause mortality (35%) and amputation (33%). Amputation occurred predominantly in the first year. Furthermore, 33% of those with amputation subsequently died within the investigated period, with a median interval of 291 days.

CONCLUSION

Five years after the initial need for revascularisation, about half of the CLTI patients who were deemed non-revascularisable survived with salvage of the index limb. Although the prospects for these high risk patients are still poor, under optimal medical care, amputation free survival seems comparable with that of revascularisable CLTI patients, while the major amputation rate within one year, especially among NR-CLTI patients with ischaemic tissue loss, is very high.

Saphenous vein size as a surrogate marker for mortality of patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia undergoing endovascular therapy

BACKGROUND

The size of the autologous vein graft is an important determinant of prognosis in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) undergoing bypass surgery. However, it is unclear whether reconstruction using a small vein graft would directly affect prognosis, or a subgroup having small veins would be subject to a poor prognosis. If the latter is true, having small veins would work as a marker for a poor prognosis even in patients with CLTI undergoing endovascular therapy (EVT). Therefore, we investigated the association between the size of saphenous veins and prognosis in patients with CLTI undergoing EVT.

METHODS

This study included 209 consecutive patients with CLTI who primarily underwent EVT between January 2017 and December 2018. The diameter of the saphenous vein was measured at three locations (saphenous-femoral junction, knee, and ankle joint) per limb before EVT by ultrasonography. A small saphenous vein was defined as the mean diameter <3.0 mm.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with a small saphenous vein than in those with non-small one (46.3% versus 10.7% at 2 years, p<0.001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that a small saphenous vein was independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Having a small saphenous vein was an independent marker for all-cause mortality in patients with CLTI undergoing EVT.

Associations of Clinical Frailty with Severity of Limb Threat and Outcomes in Chronic Limb-threatening Ischaemia

OBJECTIVE

Investigate the relationship of frailty and severity of chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI), and their comparative associations with one-year outcomes, in patients presenting to a vascular limb salvage (VaLS) clinic.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study utilised data collected from a prospectively maintained VaLS clinic database. Patients aged ≥50 presenting to the VaLS clinic with CLTI between February 2018 and April 2019 were included. Frailty was measured using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and limb threat severity by the Wound, Ischaemia, and foot Infection (WIfI) score. Excessive polypharmacy was defined as ≥10 medications. Anticholinergic burden (ACB) score and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) were calculated for all patients. The primary outcome measure was a composite endpoint of death or amputation at one-year. Associations with outcome were assessed using Cox regression and reported as hazards ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

A total of 198 patients were included, with CFS scores available for 190 patients. 98 patients (52%) were frail (CFS ≥5). 127 patients (67%) initially underwent endovascular revascularisation. Excessive polypharmacy was common (55 patients; 28%). Frailty was associated with increased WIfI stage (P = 0.025) as well as age, female sex, CCI score, number of medications, excessive polypharmacy but not ACB score. Frail patients were more frequently managed non-operatively (P = 0.017). Frailty (HR 1.91; 95% CI 1.09, 3.34; P = 0.024) and WIfI stage 4 (HR 3.29; 95%CI 1.23, 8.80; P = 0.018) were associated with death or amputation on univariable analysis. WIfI stage 4 (HR 2.80; 95%CI 1.04, 7.57; P = 0.042) and CCI score (HR 1.21; 95%CI 1.03, 1.41; P = 0.015), but not frailty (HR 1.25; 95%CI 0.67, 2.33; P = 0.474), were independently associated with death or amputation on multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is highly prevalent among CLTI patients and related to severity of limb threat. The CFS may be a useful adjunct to patient risk assessment in CLTI.

Variation in treatment and outcomes for patients with chronic limb-threatening ischaemia in New South Wales, Australia

BACKGROUND

Chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) carries significant amputation and mortality risks. Australian population-based outcomes for CLTI are inadequately known. This study aimed to distinguish factors associated with outcomes in the first 2 years after CLTI surgery.

METHODS

By linking routinely collected health administrative and mortality data from New South Wales, this population-based cohort study identified patients with ischaemic rest pain, gangrene or ulceration undergoing vascular surgery in public hospitals between 2010 and 2012. The primary outcome was 2-year amputation-free survival (AFS), and secondary outcomes included readmission and reoperation rates. Multivariable regression analysis identified prognostic factors adjusted for patient, hospital and geographic factors.

RESULTS

Primary CLTI surgery was performed on 4898 patients. Almost half the cohort had minor amputations without concurrent revascularization (2398, 49%), and the remaining patients had open (652, 13%) or endovascular (1848, 38%) surgery. At 2-years, the AFS rate was 72%. Significant disparity was seen between age groups, with the 2-year AFS 71% in patients aged 75 years or older, compared to 95% in patients aged less than 75 years (P < 0.001). Place of residence or hospital training status did not significantly influence AFS or readmission, but non-training hospitals had higher rates of reoperation.

CONCLUSION

This population-based cohort study demonstrated variable outcomes for patients with CLTI, particularly with respect to older age, admission acuity and comorbidity. Results may guide service improvements however further research is needed into how population-wide health initiatives can address age-related disparities in CLTI.

Risk factors associated with amputation-free survival for patients with peripheral arterial disease: a systematic review

AIMS

Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is associated with morbidity and mortality, comprising a significant percentage of amputations. As it affects the quality of life of patients with PAD, it is an important health issue. Therefore, the risk factors affecting the outcomes of limb salvage after revascularization should be well investigated. The aim of this review is to summarize risk factors of amputation-free survival (AFS) after interventions targeting patients with PAD to develop evidence-based intervention for improving patient outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review following PRISMA guidelines was conducted, and the protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020183076). PubMed, CINAHL, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched for observational studies published between 2008 and 2019. Search terms included 'peripheral arterial disease', 'risk factors', and 'amputation-free survival'. The quality of the studies was evaluated using the Joanna Briggs Institute's Critical Appraisal Tools. Seventeen cohort studies were included in our study, and 16 risk factors were identified. Risk factors exemplifying a significant influence on decreased AFS were divided into three categories: sociodemographic (e.g. older age, male gender, African-American race, low body mass index, high nutritional risk, frailty), disease-related characteristics (e.g. severity of the disease, intervention site), and comorbidities (e.g. cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, wide pulse pressure).

CONCLUSION

We found that managing modifiable risk factors, as well as addressing high-risk populations, has the potential to improve outcomes of PAD interventions. More high-quality cohort studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Frailty Syndrome in Patients With Lower Extremity Amputation: Simplifying How We Calculate Frailty

BACKGROUND

Frailty syndrome is an established predictor of adverse outcomes after surgical procedures. Our study aimed to compare the simplified National Surgical Quality Improvement Program 5-factor-modified frailty index (mFI-5) to its prior 11-factor-modified frailty index (mFI-11) with respect to the predictive ability for mortality, postoperative complications, and unplanned 30-d readmission in patients undergoing lower limb amputation.

METHODS

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2005-2012) databank was queried for all geriatric patients (>65 y) who underwent above-knee and below-knee amputations. We calculated each mFI by dividing the number of factors present for a patient by the total number of available factors. To assess the correlation between the mFI-5 and mFI-11, we used Spearman's rho rank coefficient. We then compared the two indices for each outcome (30-d complication, 30-d mortality, and 30-d readmission) and C-Statistic using predictive models.

RESULTS

A total of 8681 patients were included with mean age of 76 ± 9 y, complication rate 35.8%, mortality rate 10.2%, and readmission rate 15.9%. There was no difference in type of amputation in frail and nonfrail. Correlation between the mFI-5 and mFI-11 was above 0.9 for all outcome measures. Both mFI-5 and mFI-11 indexes had strong predictive ability for mortality, postoperative complications, and 30-d readmissions.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients undergoing major lower limb amputation, we found mFI-5 and the mFI-11 were equally effective in predicting postoperative outcomes. Frailty remained a strong predictor of postoperative complications, mortality, and 30-d readmission.

Sarcopenia as a Prognostic Factor in Peripheral Arterial Disease: Descriptive Review

BACKGROUND

Determine the influence of sarcopenia on the prognosis of peripheral arterial disease (PAD).

METHODS

A systematic search of the PubMed and Cochrane Library databases was performed with the keywords and medical subject heading (MesH): "muscle, skeletal", "sarcopenia", "prognosis", "duration of stay", "death", "mortality", "patient readmission", "length of stay", "peripheral arterial disease", "intermittent claudication" and "critical limb ischemia". Papers published from January 2010 to October 2020 in English, French, Spanish and Portuguese were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was overall survival. Secondary outcomes included post-operative complications, amputation, length of hospital stay and hospital readmission.

RESULTS

Of 1071 papers, 8 articles and 1511 patients were included (68.96% male, mean age 71.83 years). Five papers found an inverse relationship between SM area and mortality. Matsubara (2015) found that the 5-year overall survival rates were lower for patients with sarcopenia (23.5% ± 0.18% vs 77.5% ± 0.09% P = 0.001). Matsubara (2016) registered 3-year cardiovascular event-free survival rates of 43.1% and 91.2% for patients with and without sarcopenia (P < 0.01). Juszczak (2018) found that survival was lower in patients with reduced total psoas area. Taniguchi (2019) found that 3-year overall survival rate was 60% for patients with sarcopenia and 87% for patients without sarcopenia (P < 0.05). Shimazoe (2019) concluded sarcopenia was a significant predictor of overall survival. Distinctly, Nyers (2017) concluded that higher ratio bilateral psoas area to L4 vertebral body was associated with an increased risk of death. Two other studies analyzed other characteristics of the SM (density and strength). McDermott (2012) and found that lower calf muscle density and strength were associated with an increase in mortality. Sugai (2019) concluded that patients with major cardiovascular and limb events had a lower SM density.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower SM area and mass seem to be associated with a higher mortality in PAD patients.

The modified frailty index-11 predicts medium-term outcomes after endovascular revascularisation for chronic limb threatening ischaemia in Asian patients

OBJECTIVE

The aim was to evaluate the utility of frailty, as defined by the modified Frailty Index-1 1 (mFI-11) on predicting outcomes following endovascular revascularisation in Asian patients with chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI).

METHODS

CLTI patients who underwent endovascular revascularisation between January 2015 and March 2017 were included. Patients were retrospectively scored using the mFI-11 to categorise frailty as low, medium or high risk. Observed outcomes included 30-day complication rate and unplanned readmissions, 1-, 6- and 12-month mortality, and ambulation status at 6- and 12 months post-intervention.

RESULTS

A total of 233 patients (250 procedures) were included; 137 (58.8%) were males and the mean age was 69.0 (±10.7) years. 202/233 (86.7%) were diabetic and 196/233 (84.1%) had a prior diagnosis of peripheral arterial disease (PAD). The mean mFI-11 score was 4.2 (±1.5). 28/233 (12.0%), 155/233 (66.5%), and 50/233 (21.5%) patients were deemed low (mF-11 score 0-2), moderate (mFI-11 score 3-5) and high (mFI-11 score 5-7) frailty risk, respectively. High frailty was associated with an increased 12-month mortality (OR 8.54, 95% CI 1.05-69.5; p = 0.05), 30-day complication rate (OR 9.41, 95% CI 2.01-44.1; p < 0.01) and 30-day unplanned readmission (OR 5.06, 95% CI 1.06-24.2; p = 0.04). Furthermore, a high score was associated with a significantly worse 6- (OR 0.320, 95% CI 0.120-0.840; p = 0.02) and 12-month (OR 0.270, 95% CI 0.100-0.710; p < 0.01) ambulatory status.

CONCLUSION

The mFI-11 is a useful, non-invasive tool that can be readily calculated using readily available patient data, for prediction of medium-term outcomes for Asian CLTI patients following endovascular revascularisation. Early recognition of short- and mid-term loss of ambulation status amongst high-frailty patients in this challenging cohort of patients could aid decision-making for whether a revascularisation or amputation-first policy is appropriate, and manage patient and caregiver expectations on potential improvement in functional outcome.

Predictive Effect of Frailty on Amputation, Mortality, and Ambulation in Patients Undergoing Revascularization for Acute Limb Ischemia

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a common, age-associated syndrome that has been used to predict postoperative outcomes in vascular surgery. This study examines if standard measures of frailty correlate with postoperative outcomes for patients undergoing revascularization for acute limb ischemia (ALI).

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on all adult patients undergoing revascularization for ALI at an academic medical center between January 2016 and June 2019. Frailty was calculated with the 11-factor modified frailty index (mFI-11), derived from the Canadian Study of Health and Aging Frailty Index. Outcomes examined included in-hospital mortality, major amputation, site of discharge, and ambulatory status at follow-up.

RESULTS

Fifty-three ambulatory patients presented with ALI during the study time period, with 13.2% deemed not frail (mFI-11 < 3) and 86.8% deemed frail (mFI-11 ≥ 3). Frailty was significantly correlated with discharge to a skilled nursing facility (P = 0.028) and nonambulation at follow-up (P = 0.002). There was no significant correlation with other outcomes, including mortality and amputation. On multivariate analysis, frailty was the only factor contributing to nonambulation at follow-up (P = 0.012). Endovascular treatment did not mitigate the effects of frailty on discharge site and ambulatory status.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is exceedingly common in patients with ALI. Although frailty predicts discharge site and nonambulation at follow-up, it is not associated with amputation or death. Therefore, frail patients should not be denied open or endovascular revascularization for ALI.

Extent of heel ulceration influences the outcomes in patients with isolated infrapopliteal limb threatening critical ischemia

BACKGROUND

The aim of the present study was to assess the effects of the extent of heel ulceration on the outcomes of limb threatening critical ischemia due to isolated infrapopliteal disease.

METHODS

A retrospective review identified 989 patients with isolated infrapopliteal disease and heel ulceration treated from 2001 to 2018. The heel was defined as the back of the foot, extending from the Achilles tendon to around the plantar surface and covering the apex of the calcaneum bone. Heel ulceration was categorized into three groups by area: <5 cm², 5 to 10 cm², and >10 cm². The interventions were endovascular, open bypass, major amputation, and wound care. An intention-to-treat analysis by patient group was performed. The 30-day outcomes and amputation-free survival (AFS; survival without a major amputation) were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 989 patients, 384 (58% male; average age, 65 years; n = 768 vessels) had undergone isolated endovascular tibial intervention, 124 (45% male; average age, 59 years) had undergone popliteal tibial vein bypass for limb threatening critical ischemia, 219 (52% male; average age, 67 years) had undergone major amputation, and 242 (49% male; average age, 66 years) had received wound care. No difference was found in the 30-day major adverse cardiac events in the endovascular and open bypass groups, with significantly more events in the major amputation group (P = .03). The 30-day major adverse limb events and 30-day amputation rates were equivalent between the open bypass and endovascular groups. The 5-year AFS rate was superior in the open bypass group (37% ± 8%; mean ± standard error of the mean) compared with the endovascular group (27% ± 9%; P = .04). The wound care group had a 5-year AFS rate of 20% ± 9%, which was not significantly different from that of the endovascular group. Patients with heel ulcers of <5 cm² had better AFS (47% ± 8%) than those with 5- to 10- cm² heel ulceration (24% ± 9%). Heel ulcers >10 cm² were associated with markedly worse 5-year AFS outcomes (0% ± 0%). The presence of end-stage renal disease, osteomyelitis, uncontrolled diabetes (hemoglobin A_1c >10%), and/or frailty combined with a heel ulcer >10 cm² were predictive of poor AFS.

CONCLUSIONS

An increasing heel ulcer area combined with osteomyelitis and systemic comorbidities was associated with worsening 30-day outcomes and 5-year AFS, irrespective of the therapy chosen.

Modified frailty index as an indicator for outcomes, discharge status, and readmission after lower extremity bypass surgery for critical limb ischemia

Frailty has been associated with poor postoperative outcomes. This study evaluated the 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) to assess complications, mortality, discharge disposition, and readmission in patients undergoing lower extremity (LE) bypass for critical limb ischemia (CLI).The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program vascular module (2011-2017) was utilized to identify patients undergoing LE bypass for CLI. Adverse events included infectious complications, bleeding complications, prolonged ventilation, amputation, readmission, and death. Patients were divided into groups based on mFI-5 scores: mFI1 (0), mFI2 (0.2), mFI3 (0.4), and mFI4 (0.6-1). Data were analyzed using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel statistic for general association and multivariable logistic regression. About 11,530 patients undergoing bypass for CLI were identified (42% rest pain and 58% tissue loss; 23% mFI1, 31% mFI2, 27% mFI3, and 19% mFI4; 64% men and 36% women). An increase in mFI-5 was associated with higher 30-day mortality (mFI1 = 0.62%; mFI12 = 1.45%; mFI13 = 1.35%; and mFI14 = 3.09%; P < .0001). After adjustment for age, mFI4 was associated with increased mortality compared with mFI1 (odds ratio, 3.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.69-8.54). Increased mFI-5 was associated with bleeding complications, wound infections, urinary tract infections, prolonged ventilation, sepsis, unplanned reoperations, and discharge to nonhome destination (all P < .01). Compared with mFI1 (13.5%), mFI4 was associated with increased 30-day readmission (24.8%, P < .0001). In patients undergoing LE bypass for CLI, higher mFI-5 was associated with increased postoperative complications, in-hospital and 30-day mortality, nonhome discharge, and 30-day readmission. The mFI-5 as an easily calculated tool can identify patients at high risk for inferior outcomes. It should be incorporated into discharge planning after LE bypass for CLI.

Predictive Model for Postoperative Ambulatory Function after Lower Extremity Bypass in Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia

BACKGROUND

In chronic limb-threatening ischemia, maintenance or recovery of ambulatory function is an important goal of treatment. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for ambulatory ability 1 year after bypass based on preoperative risk factors, including the Wound, Ischemia, and foot Infection (WIfI) classification.

METHODS

We analyzed 146 patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (154 limbs) who underwent bypass to below the knee arteries. The patients were classified into 2 groups based on ambulatory status 1 year postoperatively: postoperative ambulation (99 patients, 104 limbs) and postoperative nonambulation (47 patients, 50 limbs). Various factors associated with postoperative ambulation were analyzed and a predictive model of postoperative ambulation was developed.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis detected preoperative nonambulatory status, functional nonindependence in daily living, older age, WIfI wound grade 3, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and hemodialysis as independent risk factors for postoperative nonambulation. The predictive scoring model (scores ranging from -5.0 to 4.4) comprising these risk factors discriminated the postoperative ambulatory status well: the probabilities of postoperative ambulatory ability were ≥85% in those with a score ≤-2, 50% in those with a score of zero, and ≤15% in those with a score ≥2. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.898, indicating good performance of the model.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative nonambulatory status, functional nonindependence, advanced age, high WIfI wound grade, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and hemodialysis were important predictors of postoperative nonambulatory status. The predictive model will help us identify patients who will benefit from bypass surgery.

Frailty Factors and Outcomes in Vascular Surgery Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To describe and critique tools used to assess frailty in vascular surgery patients, and investigate its associations with patient factors and outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Increasing evidence shows negative impacts of frailty on outcomes in surgical patients, but little investigation of its associations with patient factors has been undertaken.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting frailty in vascular surgery patients (PROSPERO registration: CRD42018116253) searching Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Scopus. Quality of studies was assessed using Newcastle-Ottawa scores (NOS) and quality of evidence using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria. Associations of frailty with patient factors were investigated by difference in means (MD) or expressed as risk ratios (RRs), and associations with outcomes expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs). Data were pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies were included in the review and only 8 (15%) were both good quality (NOS ≥ 7) and used a well-validated frailty measure. Eighteen studies (62,976 patients) provided data for the meta-analysis. Frailty was associated with increased age [MD 4.05 years; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.35, 4.75], female sex (RR 1.32; 95% CI 1.14, 1.54), and lower body mass index (MD -1.81; 95% CI -2.94, -0.68). Frailty was associated with 30-day mortality [adjusted OR (AOR) 2.77; 95% CI 2.01-3.81), postoperative complications (AOR 2.16; 95% CI 1.55, 3.02), and long-term mortality (HR 1.85; 95% CI 1.31, 2.62). Sarcopenia was not associated with any outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Frailty, but not sarcopenia, is associated with worse outcomes in vascular surgery patients. Well-validated frailty assessment tools should be preferred clinically, and in future research.

Thigh sarcopenia and hypoalbuminemia predict impaired overall survival after infrainguinal revascularization in patients with critical limb ischemia

Objective

This study was performed to determine whether thigh sarcopenia can serve as a clinically relevant predictor of postoperative complications and overall survival after revascularization in patients with critical limb ischemia.

Methods

Patients who underwent preoperative computed tomography followed by infrainguinal revascularization from 2006 to 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. An axial computed tomography image was obtained at the midpoint of a line extending from the superior border of the patella to the greater trochanter of the femur. The thigh muscle area and bone area were measured. Thigh sarcopenia was defined as thigh muscle area/thigh bone area of <9.

Results

We included 117 patients with critical limb ischemia who underwent infrainguinal revascularization. The overall survival rates at two years were 86.5% and 55.1% in the thigh sarcopenia (−) and (+) groups, respectively ( p < 0.01). The multivariate analysis showed that thigh sarcopenia (hazard ratio, 2.64; 95% confidence interval, 1.11–6.70; p = 0.03), cerebrovascular disease (hazard ratio, 3.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.31–7.36; p = 0.01), and serum albumin level (1 g/dL per increments) (hazard ratio, 0.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.21–0.81; p = 0.01) were the risk factors for overall survival two years after revascularization.

Conclusion

Thigh sarcopenia is a risk factor for two-year overall survival in patients with critical limb ischemia after infrainguinal revascularization.

Nutritional status and outcomes of superficial femoral artery stenting due to intermittent claudication

BACKGROUND

The pathogenesis of in-stent restenosis is still not clear. The aim of this study was to determine the nutritional status of patients with lower limb ischemia and the risk of target lesion revascularization (TLR) after superficial femoral artery (SFA) stenting.

METHODS

Numerous parameters of nutritional status assessment were compared between 70 patients undergoing SFA endovascular intervention with a self-expandable plane stent due to life-limiting intermittent claudication and 40 patients undergoing carotid artery stenting (CAS). All subjects were followed up for at least 1 year in relation to outcomes such as clinically driven TLR occurrence.

RESULTS

Patients undergoing SFA stenting had a lower prevalence of overweight and obesity than those who underwent CAS (51.43% vs. 72.50%; P=0.031). An increase in Ankle-Brachial Index of >0.15 after SFA stenting (early end-point) was positively associated with greater handgrip strength (HGS), fat-free mass, skeletal muscle mass and waist-to-hip ratio. Freedom from TLR (late end-point) was significantly related to a higher waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), HGS and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) Score. The 1-year risk of TLR for patients with a WHtR of ≥61.39 amounted to odds ratio; 95% confidence interval: 0.21; 0.05-0.25; P=0.021.

CONCLUSIONS

Parameters of nutritional status assessment were associated with early and late outcomes of SFA stenting in patients with intermittent claudication. Abdominal fat distribution and higher HGS and GNRI scores lowered the 1-year risk of TLR. Further study is needed to determine the pathomechanism of the obesity paradox, sarcopenia and undernutrition in relation to outcomes of endovascular interventions.

Assessment of the Risk Analysis Index for Prediction of Mortality, Major Complications, and Length of Stay in Patients who Underwent Vascular Surgery

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a risk factor for adverse postoperative outcomes. We aimed to test the performance of a prospectively validated frailty measure, the Risk Analysis Index (RAI) in patients who underwent vascular surgery and delineate the additive impact of procedure complexity on surgical outcomes.

METHODS

We queried the 2007-2013 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database to identify 6 major elective vascular procedure categories (carotid revascularization, abdominal aortic aneurysm [AAA] repair, suprainguinal revascularization, infrainguinal revascularization, thoracic aortic aneurysm [TAA] repair, and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm [TAAA] repair). We trained and tested logistic regression models for 30-day mortality, major complications, and prolonged length of stay (LOS). The first model, "RAI," used the RAI alone; "RAI-Procedure (RAI-P)" included procedure category (e.g., AAA repair) and procedure approach (e.g., endovascular); "RAI-Procedure Complexity (RAI-PC)" added outpatient versus inpatient surgery, general anesthesia use, work relative value units (RVUs), and operative time.

RESULTS

The RAI model was a good predictor of mortality for vascular procedures overall (C-statistic: 0.72). The C-statistic increased with the RAI-P (0.78), which further improved minimally, with the RAI-PC (0.79). When stratified by procedure category, the RAI predicted mortality well for infrainguinal (0.79) and suprainguinal (0.74) procedures, moderately well for AAA repairs (0.69) and carotid revascularizations (0.70), and poorly for TAAs (0.62) and TAAAs (0.54). For carotid, infrainguinal, and suprainguinal procedures, procedure complexity (RAI-PC) had little impact on model discrimination for mortality, did improve discrimination for AAAs (0.84), TAAs (0.73), and TAAAs (0.80). Although the RAI model was not a good predictor for major complications or LOS, discrimination improved for both with the RAI-PC model.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty as measured by the RAI was a good predictor of mortality overall after vascular surgery procedures. Although the RAI was not a strong predictor of major complications or prolonged LOS, the models improved with the addition of procedure characteristics like procedure category and approach.

Predictive Model for Mortality Risk Including the Wound, Ischemia, Foot Infection Classification in Patients Undergoing Revascularization for Critical Limb Ischemia

Background:

The aim of this study was to develop a predictive model for mortality risk based on preoperative risk factors, including the Wound, Ischemia, Foot Infection (WIfI) classification, in patients undergoing revascularization for critical limb ischemia.

Methods:

We analyzed a database of the Surgical reconstruction versus Peripheral Intervention in Patients With Critical Limb Ischemia registry, a multicenter, prospective, observational study that included 520 critical limb ischemia patients (192 surgical and 328 endovascular patients).

Results:

Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified old age, impaired mobility, low body mass index, renal failure, heart failure, and high WIfI grade as independent risk factors for all-cause mortality (all P <0.05). The risk score comprising these risk factors discriminated the mortality risk well; the 2-year survival rate was >90% in the first quantile of the risk score and ≈20% in the fifth quantile. The area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.829 for thirty-day mortality and 0.811 for 2-year mortality. Adding more detailed preoperative information to the predictive model revealed that cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate, left ventricular ejection fraction, and cholinesterase levels were additional independent risk factors, but the predictive accuracy of the model was not significantly improved, according to the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve and net reclassification improvement.

Conclusions:

The current study developed a risk score for mortality using preoperative risk factors, including the WIfI classification, in critical limb ischemia patients undergoing revascularization.

Perioperative Outcomes of Lower Extremity Revascularization for Rest Pain and Tissue Loss

BACKGROUND

Critical limb ischemia (CLI) is the clinical manifestation of severe peripheral artery disease presenting as rest pain (RP) and tissue loss (TL). Most studies compare CLI as a homogenous group with claudication with limited database studies specifically studying these differences. We hypothesize that CLI should be stratified into RP and TL because of significant differences in disease severity, comorbidities, and outcomes.

METHODS

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database from 2012 to 2016 was reviewed. All patients with a postoperative diagnosis of CLI undergoing femoral to popliteal bypass (FPB) with vein or graft were identified. Patients were stratified into cohorts based on International Classification of Disease (ICD)-9 or ICD-10 codes for RP or TL (gangrene or ulcer). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to examine 30-day mortality, morbidity, major amputation, and readmission adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, and procedural details.

RESULTS

There were 5,304 patients. Compared to RP, patients with TL were older (P < 0.0001) and more likely to be dependent (P < 0.0001). TL patients were also more likely to have diabetes (P < 0.0001), congestive heart failure (P < 0.0001), renal failure (P = 0.004), dialysis (P < 0.0001), history of wound infection (P < 0.0001), and sepsis (P < 0.0001). TL patients had higher American Society of Anesthesiologists class (P < 0.0001), were less likely to be transferred from home (P < 0.0001), and more likely to receive an FPB with vein (P = 0.03). Patients with TL had worse perioperative outcomes compared with RP in terms of pneumonia (P = 0.004), unplanned intubation (P = 0.009), cardiac arrest requiring cardiopulmonary resuscitation (P = 0.003), bleeding requiring transfusions (P < 0.0001), sepsis (P < 0.0001), septic shock (P = 0.02), and reoperation (P < 0.0001). TL was associated with significantly higher 30-day morbidity (P < 0.0001), 30-day mortality (P < 0.0001), major amputation (P = 0.0004), and readmission rates (P = 0.005). Patients with TL compared with those with RP also had longer hospital stays (P < 0.0001) and days between operation to discharge (P < 0.0001). TL was independently associated with increased 30-day morbidity (OR: 1.16 [1.00-1.35]) and major amputation (OR: 2.48 [1.29-4.76]) compared with RP.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with RP and TL have drastic differences that impact perioperative mortality and readmissions. TL is an independent predictor of 30-day morbidity and major amputation. The stratification of CLI into RP and TL can provide insight into variations in outcomes and provide a means to quantify the risks associated with the 2 manifestations of the disease.