Cost-effectiveness of expanded antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis B virus infection in China: an economic evaluation

Update on the treatment navigation for functional cure of chronic hepatitis B: Expert consensus 2.0

As new evidence emerges, treatment strategies toward the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B are evolving. In 2019, a panel of national hepatologists published a Consensus Statement on the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B. Currently, an international group of hepatologists has been assembled to evaluate research since the publication of the original consensus, and to collaboratively develop the updated statements. The 2.0 Consensus was aimed to update the original consensus with the latest available studies, and provide a comprehensive overview of the current relevant scientific literatures regarding functional cure of hepatitis B, with a particular focus on issues that are not yet fully clarified. These cover the definition of functional cure of hepatitis B, its mechanisms and barriers, the effective strategies and treatment roadmap to achieve this endpoint, in particular new surrogate biomarkers used to measure efficacy or to predict response, and the appropriate approach to pursuing a functional cure in special populations, the development of emerging antivirals and immunomodulators with potential for curing hepatitis B. The statements are primarily intended to offer international guidance for clinicians in their practice to enhance the functional cure rate of chronic hepatitis B.

2024 latest report on hepatitis B virus epidemiology in China: current status, changing trajectory, and challenges

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a significant global public health concern, particularly in China, which accounts for one-third of the world's chronic HBV cases. Over the past three decades, China has made substantial progress in controlling HBV infection. Currently, the vaccination rate of the three-dose hepatitis B vaccine in China has risen to 99.6%, and the coverage of timely birth dose has reached 95.6%, significantly exceeding the global average level. The recent edition of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) prevention and treatment guideline has further expanded the treatment population to allow 94% of CHB patients meet the treatment criteria. With the complete immunization for newborns, in combination with antiviral treatment for HBV infected pregnant women, the mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) rate in China has decreased to 0.23%. The prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) has significantly declined to 5.86% in the general Chinese population. Specifically, among children under five years old, HBsAg prevalence showed the most significant reduction, from 9.67% in 1992 to 0.30% in 2020. However, challenges remain in achieving the World Health Organization (WHO)'s 2030 targets. In 2020, only 58.78% of HBV-positive individuals in China were aware of their status and 17.33% received antiviral therapy. The burden of HBV-related complications such as liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma persists despite declining HBV infection rates. In this review, we analyzed the current status and evolving trajectory of HBV prevention and control in China, utilizing the latest data from national surveys, the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, and the WHO's 2024 report. We summarized the progress made, highlighted disparities, and outlined the persistent challenges and opportunities for HBV elimination. We recommend that future efforts focus on maintaining strict control of mother-to-child and bloodborne transmission, expanding screening strategies, improving early accessibility and diagnostic rates, addressing regional healthcare disparities, enhancing treatment accessibility and coverage, and ensuring timely antiviral therapy to ultimately achieve elimination goals.

HBV-Induced Carcinogenesis: Mechanisms, Correlation With Viral Suppression, and Implications for Treatment

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a common but underdiagnosed and undertreated health condition and is the leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. HBV (rated a Grade 1 carcinogen by the International Agency for Research on Cancer) drives the transformation of hepatocytes in multiple ways by inducing viral DNA integrations, genetic dysregulation, chromosomal translocations, chronic inflammation, and oncogenic pathways facilitated by some HBV proteins. Importantly, these mechanisms are active throughout all phases of HBV infection. Nevertheless, most clinical guidelines for antiviral therapy recommend treatment based on a complex combination of HBV DNA levels, transaminasemia, liver histology, and demographic factors, rather than prompt treatment for all people with infection.

AIMS

To determine if current frameworks for antiviral treatment address the impacts of chronic HBV infection particularly preventing cancer development.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We reviewed the recent data demonstrating pro-oncogenic factors acting throughout a chronic HBV infection can be inhibited by antiviral therapy.

RESULTS

We extensively reviewed Hepatitis B virology data and correlating clinical outcome data. From thi, we suggest that new findings support simplifying and expanding treatment initiation to reduce the incidence ofnew infections, progressive liver disease, and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. We also consider lessons learned from other blood-borne pathogens, including the benefits of antiviral treatment in preventing transmission, reducing stigma, and reframing treatment as cancer prevention.

CONCLUSION

Incorporating these practice changes into treatment is likely to reduce the overall burden of chronic HBV infections and HCC. Through this, we may better achieve the World Health Organization's goal of eliminating viral hepatitis as a public health threat and minimise its impact on people's lives.

Safety and efficacy of 48-week pegylated interferon-α-2b therapy in patients with hepatitis B virus-related compensated liver cirrhosis: a pilot observational study

Background

Pegylated interferon-α (PEG-IFN-α) therapy could decrease hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and improve long-term prognosis of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, studies on safety and efficacy of PEG-IFN-α for patients with HBV-related cirrhosis are limited.

Methods

This was a single-center study. Fifty-four patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis were enrolled. All patients received subcutaneous injection of PEG-IFN-α-2b 180 μg per week for 48 weeks. The monotherapy of PEG-IFN-α-2b was used for treatment-naïve patients, while addition of PEG-IFN-α-2b to on-going nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) was used for NAs-experienced patients. Clinical symptoms, laboratory tests, examination indicators, and adverse events were collected at each observational time point.

Results

Forty-two patients achieved undetectable serum HBV DNA at 48 weeks post-therapy. HBsAg level was significantly reduced at 48 weeks post-therapy (227.2 IU/mL vs. 1,668 IU/mL; p < 0.001), especially in NAs-experienced patients (161.0 IU/mL vs. 1,207 IU/mL; p = 0.005). Three patients achieved HBsAg loss, and two of them obtained HBsAg seroconversion. There were no significant differences in liver stiffness measurement, thickness and length of spleen, or diameter of portal vein between baseline and 48 weeks post-therapy (p > 0.05). The aminotransferase levels were increased, while white blood cells, neutrophils, and platelets counts were decreased during PEG-IFN-α-2b therapy (p < 0.05), especially in treatment-naïve patients. Three patients discontinued PEG-IFN-α-2b therapy due to severe adverse events. No patients suffered with virological breakthrough or progressed to end-stage liver diseases during observational period.

Conclusion

A finite course of PEG-IFN-α-2b therapy was well-tolerated, and reduced HBsAg level without accelerating disease progression in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis.

Clinical trial registration

This trial is a part of ZhuFeng Project (ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT04035837).

The economic argument for hepatitis B treatment simplification and expansion

One component of decisions regarding hepatitis B virus (HBV) treatment simplification and expansion is the economic perspective. Literature was reviewed for studies which provide estimates for the economic impact of simplifying and expanding treatment eligibility. Eight published studies and four unpublished studies were included and all but one subset of one study found that expanding treatment criteria would result in programs that would be at minimum cost-effective and most often highly cost-effective.

Real-world study on the efficacy and safety of different treatment regimens in treatment-naïve CHB patients with high viral load

Evaluate the real-world effectiveness and safety of different treatment regimens for treatment-naïve high viral load chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. Between January 2021 and August 2022, CHB patients with HBV DNA ≥ 107 IU/mL were collected from four medical centers in Shenzhen. Patients treated with mono or combine antiviral therapy. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of virological response at 48 weeks, and other endpoints included changes in HBsAg, HBeAg, ALT, and eGFR at 48 weeks. We used propensity score-based inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to balance the bias. Weighted logistics regression was used to estimate the factors affecting virological response. A total of 391 patients were included in the study, with 296 patients undergoing statistical analysis after IPTW. The patients were distributed into four groups: ETV (n = 62), TDF (n = 89), TAF (n = 36), TDF + LdT/ETV (n = 109). The 48-week cumulative incidence of virological response was significantly lower in ETV group (52.3%) compared to TDF (71.7%), TAF (74.2%), and TDF + LdT/ETV groups (77.9%) (P < 0.05). There were no significant differences in HBsAg loss among the four groups, but the HBeAg seroconversion rate was significantly higher in the TAF group. The ALT normalization rate was significantly higher in the TAF group (72.2%) compared to the others at 48 weeks (P < 0.05). In treatment-naïve CHB patients with high viral load, combination therapy was not superior to TDF or TAF monotherapy in virological response. Patients treated with TDF or TAF showed superior virological response compared to those treated with ETV. The TAF group demonstrated superiority in terms of ALT normalization and HBeAg seroconversion.

Economic evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in chronic hepatitis B patients with virological remission

BACKGROUND

Subsequent risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) persists in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with virological remission. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of HCC surveillance in those patients and determine appropriate age to commence or discontinue surveillance.

METHODS

We developed an individual-based state transition model, simulating the advancement of HCC in CHB patients with virological remission. We used this model to compare the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and long-term health outcomes of biannual or annual HCC surveillance for varying durations with no surveillance.

RESULTS

For compensated cirrhosis patients with CHB, biannual surveillance was not cost-effective for all age groups, while annual surveillance was cost-effective for patients aged 55 to 70 (ICER USD 28,076 / quality-adjusted life years [QALY] gained), which detected 176 additional early HCC cases in a 100,000-person cohort compared to no surveillance. In CHB patients with advanced fibrosis, annual surveillance for patients aged 40 to 75 was the most cost-effective strategy (ICER USD 4,984/QALY gained), which detected 289 additional early HCC per 100,000 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Annual surveillance for patients with compensated cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis was a more cost-effective option that demonstrated substantial economic benefits, being slightly less effective than biannual surveillance at a significantly lower cost, providing insights for professionals in evaluating HCC surveillance among high-risk patients in China.

"Treat-all" Strategy for Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection in China: Are We There Yet?

Chronic hepatitis B remains the primary cause of liver-related events in China. The World Health Organization set a goal to eliminate viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030. However, achieving this goal appears challenging due to the current low rates of diagnosis and treatment. The "Treat-all" strategy, which proposes treating all patients with detectable hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA or even all patients with positive HBsAg, has been suggested to simplify anti-HBV treatment. In 2022, the Chinese Society of Hepatology and the Chinese Society of Infectious Diseases updated the guidelines for the prevention and treatment of chronic hepatitis B in China, expanding antiviral indications and simplifying the treatment algorithm. According to this latest guideline, nearly 95% of patients with detectable HBV DNA are eligible for antiviral treatment. This review aimed to provide a detailed interpretation of the treatment indications outlined in the Chinese Guidelines for the Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis B (version 2022) and to identify gaps in achieving the "Treat-all" strategy in China.

Five-year Treatment with Tenofovir Alafenamide Achieves High Rates of Viral Suppression, Alanine Aminotransferase Normalization, and Favorable Bone and Renal Safety in Chinese Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Background and Aims

After 3-years (144 week) of double-blind treatment in Chinese chronic hepatitis B patients in two ongoing phase 3 studies, tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) showed similar efficacy to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF), with improved renal and bone safety. In this study, we aimed to report the 5-year results from 2 years into the open-label TAF treatment phase.

Methods

All participants completing the 144-week double-blind treatment were eligible to receive open-label TAF 25 mg once daily up to week 384. Serial analysis of viral suppression (hepatitis B virus DNA <29 IU/mL), alanine aminotransferase normalization, serological responses, and safety outcomes at year 5 (week 240) was performed.

Results

The open-label phase included 93% (311/334) of the enrolled participants, which included 212 who switched from double-blind TAF to open-label TAF (TAF-TAF) and 99 who switched from double-blind TDF to open-label TAF (TDF-TAF). Baseline characteristics were comparable. Week 240 viral suppression rates were similar between groups [93.4% vs. 93.9%; difference: -1.5%, (95% CI: -6.4 to -3.5), p=0.857]. Alanine aminotransferase normalization and serological response rates were higher in the TAF-TAF group than in the TDF-TAF group. The frequencies of adverse events and laboratory abnormalities were low and similar between groups. Both groups had similar small numerical declines from baseline in estimated glomerular filtration rate at year 5 (week 240, -2.85 mL/min vs. -3.29 mL/min, p=0.910). The greater declines in renal and bone parameters in the TDF-TAF group through week 144 improved after switching to TAF.

Conclusions

The 5-year TAF treatment efficacy was high and similar to that of 3-year TDF followed by 2-year TAF in Chinese chronic hepatitis B patients. Favorable effects on bone and renal parameters were sustained with TAF treatment alone and were observed following the switch from TDF to TAF.

Expanding indications for chronic hepatitis B treatment: Is it really desirable to treat everyone?

Chronic viral hepatitis causes an increased risk of progressive liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. On the wave of the World Health Organization's goal to reduce new cases and deaths from hepatitis B and C by 2030, there is an increasing call to expand the indications for treatment of chronic hepatitis B. Currently, the main goal of treatment is to achieve a functional cure due to the inability of current drugs to completely eradicate the virus. There are still many discrepancies between available guidelines in terms of eligibility for treatment as well as an uncertainty about the appropriate treatment duration. This editorial addresses key questions about the topic and whether indications for treatment should be expanded.

Comprehensive approach to controlling chronic hepatitis B in China

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection was highly endemic in China, where the prevalence of HBsAg was 9.7% in 1992. Comprehensive strategies, including universal infant hepatitis B vaccination with emphasis on timely birth-dose and 3-dose coverage, dramatically reduced the mother-to-infant transmission and early childhood acquisition of HBV, resulting in estimated HBsAg prevalence rates of 5.6% and 0.1% in the general population and among children aged <5 years in 2022, respectively. Clinical guidelines on the prevention and treatment of chronic hepatitis B have been periodically updated based on emerging evidence from clinical research. The continuously improved reimbursement policy and the massively reduced price of antiviral drugs through government negotiation and central procurement have increased treatment accessibility and affordability. However, due to the low rates of diagnosis and treatment, China still faces a large challenge in achieving the 2030 goal of lowering HBV-related mortality by 65%. A public health approach involving concerted efforts from the government, medical community, industry, and society as a whole would be necessary to increase the uptake of HBV tests and treatment to achieve the global goal of eliminating viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030.

Prospects for Controlling Hepatitis B Globally

Infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV) is highly prevalent globally. Over 250 million people suffer from chronic hepatitis B, and more than 800,000 patients die each year due to hepatitis B complications, including liver cancer. Although protective HBV vaccines are recommended for all newborns, global coverage is suboptimal. In adults, sexual transmission is by far the most frequent route of contagion. The WHO estimates that 1.5 million new HBV infections occur annually. Oral nucleos(t)ide analogues entecavir and tenofovir are the most frequent antivirals prescribed as HBV therapy. Almost all patients adherent to the medication achieve undetectable plasma viremia beyond 6 months of monotherapy. However, less than 5% achieve anti-HBs seroconversion, and viral rebound occurs following drug discontinuation. Therefore, nucleos(t)ide analogues need to be lifelong. New long-acting formulations of tenofovir and entecavir are being developed that will maximize treatment benefit and overcome adherence barriers. Furthermore, new antiviral agents are in development, including entry inhibitors, capside assembly modulators, and RNA interference molecules. The use of combination therapy pursues a functional HBV cure, meaning it is negative for both circulating HBV-DNA and HBsAg. Even when this goal is achieved, the cccDNA reservoir within infected hepatocytes remains a signal of past infection, and HBV can reactivate under immune suppression. Therefore, new gene therapies, including gene editing, are eagerly being pursued to silence or definitively disrupt HBV genomes within infected hepatocytes and, in this way, ultimately cure hepatitis B. At this time, three actions can be taken to push HBV eradication globally: (1) expand universal newborn HBV vaccination; (2) perform once-in-life testing of all adults to identify susceptible HBV persons that could be vaccinated (or re-vaccinated) and unveil asymptomatic carriers that could benefit from treatment; and (3) provide earlier antiviral therapy to chronic HBV carriers, as being aviremic reduces the risk of both clinical progression and transmission.

Antiviral treatment standards for hepatitis B: An urgent need for expansion

The present letter to the editor is related to the review with the title "Past, present, and future of long-term treatment for hepatitis B virus." Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) represents an important and pressing public health concern. Timely identification and effective antiviral therapy hold the potential to reduce liver-related mortality attributable to chronic infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) substantially. However, the current global treatment rates for CHB remain conspicuously low, with the excessively stringent treatment criteria advocated by national CHB guidelines being a contributing factor to these low rates. Nevertheless, recent strides in comprehending this malady and the emergence of novel antiviral agents prompt the imperative re-evaluation of treatment standards to extend the sphere of potential beneficiaries. An impending need arises for a novel paradigm for the classification of patients with CHB, the expansion of antiviral treatment eligibility for HBV-infected individuals, and even the streamlining of the diagnostic process for CHB to amplify cost-effectiveness and augment survival prospects.

The co-existence of NAFLD and CHB is associated with suboptimal viral and biochemical response to CHB antiviral therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and aims

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are leading causes of liver-related morbidity and mortality. The interaction between these two disease processes is poorly defined and the impact of NAFLD on HBV-related cirrhosis and HCC remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of NAFLD on response to antiviral CHB therapy to inform the debate on changing CHB treatment thresholds for these comorbid patients.

Methods

Studies with a minimum of 50 adult CHB patients on nucleoside analogue therapy with or without concurrent NAFLD were identified from PubMed/Medline and EMBASE to February 21, 2023. Data extraction from each study included HBeAg and treatment status, diagnostic method of NAFLD, frequency of monitoring intervals, patient age, gender, grade of hepatic steatosis, BMI and metabolic comorbidities. The outcomes of interest, complete virological response (CVR), biochemical response (BR) and HBeAg loss/seroconversion, were recorded at each available monitoring interval. Comparing CHB-NAFLD and CHB-only groups, pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using random- or fixed-effects models depending on heterogeneity.

Results

From a search of 470 citations, we identified 32 potentially relevant papers. Overall, 11 studies, comprising 2580 unique patients, met the inclusion criteria of the meta-analysis. CHB-NAFLD patients exhibited significantly lower rates of CVR compared to CHB-only patients. This was demonstrated by an OR of 0.59 (0.38-0.93, p=0.001, I2 = 72%) at 12 months, which tapered off to an OR of 0.67 (0.48-0.95, p=0.02) at 60 months. CHB-NAFLD patients also exhibited significantly lower rates of BR compared to CHB-only patients, as demonstrated by ORs of 0.39 (0.24-0.62, p&lt;0.0001, I2 = 53%) at 12 months and 0.33 (0.17-0.63, p=0.0008) at 24 months.

Conclusion

Patients with concurrent CHB and NAFLD experience delayed CVR to antiviral therapy and more persistent biochemical abnormalities in comparison to patients with CHB only. This supports the argument for earlier antiviral therapy in order to avert CHB complications in these multi-morbid patients, as the global disease burden of NAFLD continues to increase.

A new approach to prevent, diagnose, and treat hepatitis B in Africa

There are 82 million people living with hepatitis B (PLWHB) in the World Health Organization Africa region, where it is the main cause of liver disease. Effective vaccines have been available for over 40 years, yet there are 990,000 new infections annually, due to limited implementation of hepatitis B birth dose vaccination and antenatal tenofovir prophylaxis for highly viraemic women, which could eliminate mother-to-child transmission. Despite effective and cheap antiviral treatment which can suppress hepatitis B virus replication and reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), < 2% of PLWHB are diagnosed, and only 0.1% are treated. As a result, PLWHB are frequently diagnosed only when they have already developed decompensated cirrhosis and late-stage HCC, and consequently 80,000 hepatitis B-associated deaths occur each year. Major barriers include complex treatment guidelines which were derived from high-income settings, lack of affordable diagnostics, lack or insufficient domestic funding for hepatitis care, and limited healthcare infrastructure. Current treatment criteria may overlook patients at risk of cirrhosis and HCC. Therefore, expanded and simplified treatment criteria are needed. We advocate for decentralized community treatment programmes, adapted for low-resource and rural settings with limited laboratory infrastructure. We propose a strategy of treat-all except patients fulfilling criteria that suggest low risk of disease progression. Expanded treatment represents a financial challenge requiring concerted action from policy makers, industry, and international donor agencies. It is crucial to accelerate hepatitis B elimination plans, integrate hepatitis B care into existing healthcare programmes, and prioritize longitudinal and implementation research to improve care for PLWHB.

Shared-care models are highly effective and cost-effective for managing chronic hepatitis B in China: reinterpreting the primary care and specialty divide

Background

We evaluate the impact and cost-effectiveness of shared primary-specialty chronic hepatitis B (CHB) care models in China.

Methods

We constructed a decision-tree Markov model to simulate hepatitis B virus (HBV) disease progression in a cohort of 100,000 CHB individuals aged ≥18 years over their lifetime (aged 80). We evaluated the population impacts and cost-effectiveness in three scenarios: (1) status quo; (2) shared-care model with HBV testing and routine CHB follow-ups in primary care and antiviral treatment initiation in specialty care; and (3) shared-care model with HBV testing, treatment initiation and routine CHB follow-up in primary care and treatment for predetermined conditions in specialty care. We evaluated from a healthcare provider's perspective with 3% discounting rate and a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 1-time China's GDP.

Findings

Compared with status quo, scenario 2 would result in an incremental cost of US$5.79-132.43m but a net gain of 328-16,993 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and prevention of 39-1935 HBV-related deaths over cohort's lifetime. Scenario 2 was not cost-effective with a WTP of 1-time GDP per capita, but became cost-effective when treatment initiation rate increased to 70%. In contrast, compared with status quo, secnario 3 would save US$144.59-192.93m in investment and achieve a net gain of 23,814-30,476 QALYs and prevention of 3074-3802 HBV-related deaths. Improving HBV antiviral treatment initiation among eligible CHB individuals substantially improved the cost-effectiveness of the shared-care models.

Interpretation

Shared-care models with HBV testing, follow up and referring of predetermined conditions to specialty care at an appropriate time, especially antiviral treatment initiation in primary care, are highly effective and cost-effective in China.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China.

The urgency to expand the antiviral indications of general chronic hepatitis B patients

In recent years, liver experts have conducted in-depth discussions on whether it is necessary to expand the indication of antiviral therapy for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Currently, the guidelines are too strict in treating CHB patients. With the deepening understanding of the natural history of hepatitis B virus infection, there is more and more evidence challenging the view that there is no disease progression and no treatment in the immune tolerance period and inactive period. As the price of antiviral agents for CHB has decreased significantly, the availability of antiviral agents for CHB has been considerably improved. Therefore, expanding the indications for antiviral treatment of CHB is of great significance in achieving the goal of eliminating the public health threat of viral hepatitis by 2030, as the World Health Organization has proposed.

Evidence for Benefits of Early Treatment Initiation for Chronic Hepatitis B

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is the most common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. Antiviral treatment reduces the risk of HCC and mortality; nonetheless, globally in 2019, only 2.2% of CHB patients received treatment. Current international CHB guidelines recommend antiviral treatment only in subsets of patients with clear evidence of liver damage. This contrasts with hepatitis C or HIV where early treatment is recommended in all infected patients, regardless of end-organ damage. This narrative review aims to provide an overview of data on the early initiation of antiviral treatment and its related potential economic impact. Literature searches were performed using PubMed and abstracts from international liver congresses (2019-2021). Data on risk of disease progression and HCC and the impact of antiviral treatment in currently ineligible patients were summarized. Cost-effectiveness data on early antiviral treatment initiation were also collated. Accumulating molecular, clinical, and economic data suggest that early initiation of antiviral treatment could save many lives through HCC prevention in a highly cost-effective manner. In light of these data, we consider several alternative expanded treatment strategies that might further a simplified 'treatment as prevention' approach.