Glaucoma Genetic Risk Scores in the Million Veteran Program

Genetic Variants Associated With a History of Glaucoma Surgery in Japanese Patients With Primary Open Angle Glaucoma

PRCIS

The genetic risk score (GRS) of genetic variants associated with intraocular pressure (IOP) elevation, but not those associated with optic nerve vulnerability, was associated with a history of glaucoma surgery in Japanese patients with primary open angle glaucoma (POAG).

OBJECTIVE

To investigate genetic variants associated with a history of glaucoma surgery in Japanese patients with POAG.

METHODS

Japanese patients with POAG (n = 468), including normal tension glaucoma (n = 246) and high tension glaucoma (n = 222), and control subjects (n = 246) were genotyped for 22 genetic variants predisposing to POAG, which can be classified into those associated with IOP elevation (IOP-related genetic variants) and optic nerve vulnerability independent of IOP (optic nerve-related genetic variants). The unweighted and weighted GRSs of 17 IOP-related, 5 optic nerve-related, and all 22 genetic variants were calculated, and the association between the GRS and a history of glaucoma surgery was evaluated.

RESULTS

There was a significant association (odds ratio 1.13 per unweighted GRS, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.24, P = 0.0093) between IOP-related unweighted GRS and a history of glaucoma surgery. A significant association (odds ratio 1.09 per 0.1 weighted GRS, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.14, P = 0.00022) was also found between IOP-related weighted GRS and a history of glaucoma surgery. The IOP-related GRS was positively correlated with the need for glaucoma surgery. The mean of IOP-related unweighted and weighted GRS in patients with POAG with a history of glaucoma surgery were significantly higher ( P = 0.013 and P = 0.00031, respectively) than those in patients with POAG without a history of glaucoma surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

IOP-related, but not optic nerve-related, genetic variants were associated with a history of glaucoma surgery in Japanese patients with POAG. These results indicate that IOP elevation induced by IOP-related genetic variants rather than optic nerve vulnerability induced by optic nerve-related genetic variants may play an important role in requiring glaucoma surgery.

Genetic Risk Stratification of Primary Open-Angle Glaucoma in Japanese Individuals

PURPOSE

To assess the impact of genetic risk estimation for primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) in Japanese individuals.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional analysis.

PARTICIPANTS

Genetic risk scores (GRSs) were constructed based on a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of POAG in Japanese people. A total of 3625 Japanese individuals, including 1191 patients and 2434 controls (Japanese Tohoku), were used for the model selection. We also evaluated the discriminative accuracy of constructed GRSs in a dataset comprising 1034 patients and 1147 controls (the Japan Glaucoma Society Omics Group [JGS-OG] and the Genomic Research Committee of the Japanese Ophthalmological Society [GRC-JOS]) and 1900 participants from a population-based study (Hisayama Study).

METHODS

We evaluated 2 types of GRSs: polygenic risk scores using the pruning and thresholding procedure and a GRS using variants associated with POAG in the GWAS of the International Glaucoma Genetics Consortium (IGGC). We selected the model with the highest areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). In the population-based study, we evaluated the correlations between GRS and ocular measurements.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Proportion of patients with POAG after stratification according to the GRS.

RESULTS

We found that a GRS using 98 variants, which showed genome-wide significance in the IGGC, showed the best discriminative accuracy (AUC, 0.65). In the Japanese Tohoku, the proportion of patients with POAG in the top 10% individuals was significantly higher than that in the lowest 10% (odds ratio [OR], 6.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.35-8.71). In the JGS-OG and GRC-JOS, we confirmed similar impact of POAG GRS (AUC, 0.64; OR [top vs. bottom decile], 5.81; 95% CI, 3.79-9.01). In the population-based study, POAG prevalence was significantly higher in the top 20% individuals of the GRS compared with the bottom 20% (9.2% vs. 5.0%). However, the discriminative accuracy was low (AUC, 0.56). The POAG GRS was correlated positively with intraocular pressure (r = 0.08: P = 4.0 × 10-4) and vertical cup-to-disc ratio (r = 0.11; P = 4.0 × 10-6).

CONCLUSIONS

The GRS showed moderate discriminative accuracy for POAG in the Japanese population. However, risk stratification in the general population showed relatively weak discriminative performance.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Polygenic Risk Scores Driving Clinical Change in Glaucoma

Glaucoma is a clinically heterogeneous disease and the world's leading cause of irreversible blindness. Therapeutic intervention can prevent blindness but relies on early diagnosis, and current clinical risk factors are limited in their ability to predict who will develop sight-threatening glaucoma. The high heritability of glaucoma makes it an ideal substrate for genetic risk prediction, with the bulk of risk being polygenic in nature. Here, we summarize the foundations of glaucoma genetic risk, the development of polygenic risk prediction instruments, and emerging opportunities for genetic risk stratification. Although challenges remain, genetic risk stratification will significantly improve glaucoma screening and management.

Polygenic Risk Scores for Glaucoma Onset in the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study

Importance

Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) is a highly heritable disease, with 127 identified risk loci to date. Polygenic risk score (PRS) may provide a clinically useful measure of aggregate genetic burden and improve patient risk stratification.

Objective

To assess whether a PRS improves prediction of POAG onset in patients with ocular hypertension.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a post hoc analysis of the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study. Data were collected from 22 US sites with a mean (SD) follow-up of 14.0 (6.9) years. A total of 1636 participants were followed up from February 1994 to December 2008; 1077 participants were enrolled in an ancillary genetics study, of which 1009 met criteria for this analysis. PRS was calculated using summary statistics from the largest cross-ancestry POAG meta-analysis, with weights trained using 8 813 496 variants from 449 186 cross-ancestry participants in the UK Biobank. Data were analyzed from July 2022 to December 2023.

Exposures

From February 1994 to June 2002, participants were randomized to either topical intraocular pressure-lowering medication or close observation. After June 2002, both groups received medication.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcome measures were hazard ratios for POAG onset. Concordance index and time-dependent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were used to compare the predictive performance of multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

Of 1009 included participants, 562 (55.7%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 55.9 (9.3) years. The mean (SD) PRS was significantly higher for 350 POAG converters (0.24 [0.95]) compared with 659 nonconverters (-0.12 [1.00]) (P < .001). POAG risk increased 1.36% (95% CI, 1.08-1.64) with each higher PRS decile, with conversion ranging from 9.52% (95% CI, 7.09-11.95) in the lowest PRS decile to 21.81% (95% CI, 19.37-24.25) in the highest decile. Comparison of low-risk and high-risk PRS tertiles showed a 2.0-fold increase in 20-year POAG risk for participants of European and African ancestries. In the subgroup randomized to delayed treatment, each increase in PRS decile was associated with a 0.52-year (95% CI, 0.01-1.03) decrease in age at diagnosis (P = .047). No significant linear association between PRS and age at POAG diagnosis was present in the early treatment group. Prediction models significantly improved with the addition of PRS as a covariate (C index = 0.77) compared with the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study baseline model (C index = 0.75) (P < .001). Each 1-SD higher PRS conferred a mean hazard ratio of 1.25 (95% CI, 1.13-1.44) for POAG onset.

Conclusions and Relevance

Higher PRS was associated with increased risk for POAG in patients with ocular hypertension. The inclusion of a PRS improved the prediction of POAG onset.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00000125.

A multi-cohort genome-wide association study in African ancestry individuals reveals risk loci for primary open-angle glaucoma

Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG), the leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide, disproportionately affects individuals of African ancestry. We conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) for POAG in 11,275 individuals of African ancestry (6,003 cases; 5,272 controls). We detected 46 risk loci associated with POAG at genome-wide significance. Replication and post-GWAS analyses, including functionally informed fine-mapping, multiple trait co-localization, and in silico validation, implicated two previously undescribed variants (rs1666698 mapping to DBF4P2; rs34957764 mapping to ROCK1P1) and one previously associated variant (rs11824032 mapping to ARHGEF12) as likely causal. For individuals of African ancestry, a polygenic risk score (PRS) for POAG from our mega-analysis (African ancestry individuals) outperformed a PRS from summary statistics of a much larger GWAS derived from European ancestry individuals. This study quantifies the genetic architecture similarities and differences between African and non-African ancestry populations for this blinding disease.

Understanding the complex genetics and molecular mechanisms underlying glaucoma

Glaucoma is the leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide. Currently the only effective treatment for glaucoma is to reduce the intraocular pressure, which can halt the progression of the disease. Highlighting the importance of identifying individuals at risk of developing glaucoma and those with early-stage glaucoma will help patients receive treatment before sight loss. However, some cases of glaucoma do not have raised intraocular pressure. In fact, glaucoma is caused by a variety of different mechanisms and has a wide range of different subtypes. Understanding other risk factors, the underlying mechanisms, and the pathology of glaucoma might lead to novel treatments and treatment of underlying diseases. In this review we present the latest research into glaucoma including the genetics and molecular basis of the disease.

Power of inclusion: Enhancing polygenic prediction with admixed individuals

Admixed individuals offer unique opportunities for addressing limited transferability in polygenic scores (PGSs), given the substantial trans-ancestry genetic correlation in many complex traits. However, they are rarely considered in PGS training, given the challenges in representing ancestry-matched linkage-disequilibrium reference panels for admixed individuals. Here we present inclusive PGS (iPGS), which captures ancestry-shared genetic effects by finding the exact solution for penalized regression on individual-level data and is thus naturally applicable to admixed individuals. We validate our approach in a simulation study across 33 configurations with varying heritability, polygenicity, and ancestry composition in the training set. When iPGS is applied to n = 237,055 ancestry-diverse individuals in the UK Biobank, it shows the greatest improvements in Africans by 48.9% on average across 60 quantitative traits and up to 50-fold improvements for some traits (neutrophil count, R2 = 0.058) over the baseline model trained on the same number of European individuals. When we allowed iPGS to use n = 284,661 individuals, we observed an average improvement of 60.8% for African, 11.6% for South Asian, 7.3% for non-British White, 4.8% for White British, and 17.8% for the other individuals. We further developed iPGS+refit to jointly model the ancestry-shared and -dependent genetic effects when heterogeneous genetic associations were present. For neutrophil count, for example, iPGS+refit showed the highest predictive performance in the African group (R2 = 0.115), which exceeds the best predictive performance for the White British group (R2 = 0.090 in the iPGS model), even though only 1.49% of individuals used in the iPGS training are of African ancestry. Our results indicate the power of including diverse individuals for developing more equitable PGS models.

Familial normal tension glaucoma genetics

Glaucoma is defined by characteristic optic nerve damage and corresponding visual field defects and is the leading cause of irreversible blindness in the world. Elevated intraocular pressure (IOP) is a strong risk factor for developing glaucoma. However, glaucoma can occur at any IOP. Normal tension glaucoma (NTG) arises with IOPs that are within what has been defined as a normal range, i.e., 21 mm Hg or less, which may present challenges in its diagnosis and management. Identifying inheritance patterns and genetic mutations in families with NTG has helped elucidate mechanisms of NTG, however the pathophysiology is complex and not fully understood. Approximately 2% of NTG cases are caused primarily by mutations in single genes, optineurin (OPTN), TANK binding kinase 1 (TKB1), or myocilin (MYOC). Herein, we review pedigree studies of NTG and autosomal dominant NTG caused by OPTN, TBK1, and MYOC mutations. We review identified mutations and resulting clinical features of OPTN-associated and TBK1-associated NTG, including long-term follow up of these patients with NTG. In addition, we report a new four-generation pedigree of NTG caused by a Glu50Lys OPTN mutation, including six family members with a mean follow up of 17 years. Common features of OPTN -associated NTG due to Glu50Lys mutation included early onset of disease with an IOP <21 mm Hg, marked optic disc cupping, and progressive visual field loss which appeared to stabilize once an IOP of less than 10 mm Hg was achieved. Lastly, we review risk factor genes which have been identified to contribute to the complex inheritance of NTG.

Polygenic Risk Score Improves Prediction of Primary Open Angle Glaucoma Onset in the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study

Objective or Purpose

Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) is a highly heritable disease with 127 identified risk loci. Polygenic risks score (PRS) offers a measure of aggregate genetic burden. In this study, we assess whether PRS improves risk stratification in patients with ocular hypertension.

Design

A post-hoc analysis of the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study (OHTS) data.

Setting Participants and/or Controls

1636 participants were followed from 1994 to 2020 across 22 sites. The PRS was computed for 1009 OHTS participants using summary statistics from largest cross-ancestry POAG metanalysis with weights trained using 8,813,496 variants from 488,395 participants in the UK Biobank.

Methods Interventions or Testing

Survival regression analysis, with endpoint as development of POAG, predicted disease onset from PRS incorporating baseline covariates.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcome measures were hazard ratios for POAG onset. Concordance index and time-dependent AUC were used to compare the predictive performance of multivariable Cox-Proportional Hazards models.

Results

Mean PRS was significantly higher for POAG-converters (0.24 ± 0.95) than for non-converters (-0.12 ± 1.00) (p < 0.01). POAG risk increased 1.36% with each higher PRS decile, with conversion ranging from 9.5% in the lowest PRS decile to 21.8% in the highest decile. Comparison of low- and high-risk PRS tertiles showed a 1.8-fold increase in 20-year POAG risk for participants of European and African ancestries (p<0.01). In the subgroup randomized to delayed treatment, each increase in PRS decile was associated with a 0.52-year decrease in age at diagnosis, (p=0.05). No significant linear relationship between PRS and age at POAG diagnosis was present in the early treatment group. Prediction models significantly improved with the addition of PRS as a covariate (C-index = 0.77) compared to OHTS baseline model (C-index=0.75) (p<0.01). One standard deviation higher PRS conferred a mean hazard ratio of 1.25 (CI=[1.13, 1.44]) for POAG onset.

Conclusions

Higher PRS is associated with increased risk for, and earlier development of POAG in patients with ocular hypertension. Early treatment may mitigate the risk from high genetic burden, delaying clinically detectable disease by up to 5.2 years. The inclusion of a PRS improves the prediction of POAG onset.

Diversity is key for cross-ancestry transferability of glaucoma genetic risk scores in Hispanic Veterans in the Million Veteran Program

A major goal of precision medicine is to stratify patients based on their genetic risk for a disease to inform future screening and intervention strategies. For conditions like primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG), the genetic risk architecture is complicated with multiple variants contributing small effects on risk. Following the tepid success of genome-wide association studies for high-effect disease risk variant discovery, genetic risk scores (GRS), which collate effects from multiple genetic variants into a single measure, have shown promise for disease risk stratification. We assessed the application of GRS for POAG risk stratification in Hispanic-descent (HIS) and European-descent (EUR) Veterans in the Million Veteran Program. Unweighted and cross-ancestry meta-weighted GRS were calculated based on 127 genomic variants identified in the most recent report of cross-ancestry POAG meta-analyses. We found that both GRS types were associated with POAG case-control status and performed similarly in HIS and EUR Veterans. This trend was also seen in our subset analysis of HIS Veterans with less than 50% EUR global genetic ancestry. Our findings highlight the importance of evaluating GRS based on known POAG risk variants in different ancestry groups and emphasize the need for more multi-ancestry POAG genetic studies.

Diversity in Polygenic Risk of Primary Open-Angle Glaucoma

Glaucoma is the leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide. Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG), the most common glaucoma subtype, is more prevalent and severe in individuals of African ancestry. Unfortunately, this ancestral group has been historically under-represented among genetic studies of POAG. Moreover, both genetic and polygenic risk scores (GRS, PRS) that are typically based on genetic data from European-descent populations are not transferable to individuals without a majority of European ancestry. Given the aspirations of leveraging genetic information for precision medicine, GRS and PRS demonstrate clinical potential but fall short, in part due to the lack of diversity in these studies. Prioritizing diversity in the discovery of risk variants will improve the performance and utility of GRS and PRS-derived risk estimation for disease stratification, which could bring about earlier POAG intervention and treatment for a disease that often goes undetected until significant damage has occurred.