Elevated arterial lactate level as an independent risk factor for pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis

Serum Lactate Is an Indicator for Short-Term and Long-Term Mortality in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Serum lactate, as a single and an easily available biomarker, has been applied in various diseases.

AIMS

In this study, we aimed to explore the predictive value of serum lactate for short-term and long-term prognosis in acute pancreatitis (AP) admitted in intensive care unit (ICU) based on a large-scale database.

METHODS

AP patients admitted in ICU in the MIMIC-IV database were included. We constructed three different models to investigate the relationships between serum lactate and clinical outcomes, including 30-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality in AP. Smooth fitting curves were performed for intuitively demonstrating the relationship between serum lactate and different outcomes in AP by the generalized additive model.

RESULTS

A total of 895 AP patients admitted in ICU were included. The mortalities of 30 days, 180 days, and 1 year were 12.63% (n = 113), 16.87% (n = 151), and 17.54% (n = 157). In model B, with 1-mmol/L increment in serum lactate, the values of OR in 30-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality were 1.20 (95%CI 1.04-1.37, P = 0.0094), 1.21 (95%CI 1.06-1.37, P = 0.0039), and 1.21 (95%CI 1.07-1.38, P = 0.0035). The AUCs of serum lactate for predicting 30-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortality in AP were 0.688 (95%CI 0.633-0.743), 0.655 (95%CI 0.605-0.705), and 0.653 (95%CI 0.603-0.701), respectively. The cut-off value of serum lactate predicting 30-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality in AP was 2.4 mmol/L.

CONCLUSION

Serum lactate could be an indicator for short-term and long-term mortality in patients with AP admitted in ICU.

Prognostic significance of organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis in acute pancreatitis: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

In patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), minimally invasive treatment and the step-up approach have been widely used to deal with infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in the last decade. It is unclear whether IPN has become a less important determinant of mortality relative to organ failure (OF). We aimed to statistically aggregate recent evidence from published studies to determine the relative importance of IPN and OF as determinants of mortality in patients with AP (PROSPERO: CRD42020176989).

METHODS

Relevant studies were sourced from MEDLINE and EMBASE databases. Relative risk (RR) or weighted mean difference (WMD) was analyzed as outcomes. A two-sided P value of less than 0.05 was regarded as statistical significance.

RESULTS

Forty-three studies comprising 11 601 patients with AP were included. The mortality was 28% for OF patients and 24% for those with IPN. Patients with OF without IPN had a significantly higher risk of mortality compared to those with IPN but without OF (RR 3.72, P < 0.0001). However, patients with both OF and IPN faced the highest risk of mortality. Additionally, IPN increased length of stay in hospital for OF patients (WMD 28.75, P = 0.032).

CONCLUSION

Though IPN remains a significant concern, which leads to increased morbidity and longer hospital stay, it is a less critical mortality determinant compared to OF in AP.

Moderate level platelet count might be a good prognostic indicator for intra-abdominal infection in acute pancreatitis: A retrospective cohort study of 1,363 patients

Background

Early recognition of the risk factors is important for acute pancreatitis management. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between platelet count and clinical outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Methods

The data are collected from a university-affiliated hospital between January 2013 and December 2020. A generalized additive model and a two-piecewise linear regression model are used to estimate the association between platelet count and the risks of intra-abdominal infection, surgical intervention, in-hospital mortality, and length of hospital stay.

Results

Among the 1,363 patients, 99 (7.3%) patients suffered intra-abdominal infection, 190 (13.9%) patients underwent surgical intervention, and 38 (2.8%) patients died in the hospital. The median length of hospital stay is 21 days. Generalized additive model and two-piecewise linear regression analysis show that the risk of intra-abdominal infection decreases as the platelet count increases to 160 × 10⁹/L (OR: 0.991, 95% CI: 0.984-0.998, p = 0.015) and then increases as the platelet count levels up (OR: 1.007, 95% CI: 1.004-1.010, p < 0.001). The trend is similar to the risk of surgical intervention and length of hospital stay. Even though there seems a declining trend in mortality, no significant association is found after adjustment for potential confounders. Further analysis shows that changes in platelet count within the first 3 days after admission have no obvious association with clinical outcomes.

Conclusion

A platelet count of approximately 160 × 10⁹/L on admission is associated with the lowest risk of intra-abdominal infection, surgical intervention, and shortest hospital stay in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Prognostic Value of Arterial Lactate Metabolic Clearance Rate in Moderate and Severe Acute Pancreatitis

PURPOSE

High lactate levels at hospital admission are significantly associated with poor prognosis in acute pancreatitis patients. Early high lactate clearance is a vital marker for predicting persistent organ failure and mortality in critical illness; however, its value in acute pancreatitis remains unclear.

METHOD

Data were collected from patients who were diagnosed with moderately severe acute pancreatitis and severe acute pancreatitis from January 2017 to December 2020. Initial lactate (within 2 hours after admission) and repeat lactate at 24 hours after admission were measured to determine lactate clearance. Low clearance was defined as a reduction in repeat lactate of less than 30% compared to the first measurement. High clearance was defined as a repeat lactate decrease ≥30% of the first measurement or both first and second lactate levels <2 mmol/L. Baseline data, laboratory data, mortality rate, persistent organ failure rate, and other outcomes such as the incidence of septic pancreatic necrosis and sepsis and the length of hospital stay and intensive care unit (ICU) stay were compared in the low and high lactate clearance groups. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the value of lactate clearance for predicting death.

RESULT

Among 4425 acute pancreatitis patients, 3040 patients were diagnosed with moderate or severe acute pancreatitis, and 1028 patients had initial lactate measured. Finally, 390 patients who had initial and 24-hour repeat lactate data were included in the study. Patients who had elevated initial lactate had poor outcomes, and 51 patients in the initial elevated lactate group died. In the lactate normalization group analysis, 293 patients had 24-hour lactate normalization; compared with patients in the nonnormalization group, they had a lower rate of mortality (12.6% vs. 33%). In the lactate clearance group analysis, 70 (21.9%) patients had a low clearance after 24 hours; compared with patients in the high clearance group, they had a higher rate of developing persistent multiorgan failure (P = 0.045), and the incidence of death was higher (15% vs. 28.6%, P = 0.007). Multivariate logistic analysis showed that 24-hour lactate clearance (OR: 2.007; 95% CI:1.032-3.903, P = 0.04), elevated initial lactate (OR: 2.011; 95% CI:1.023-3.953, P = 0.043), blood urea nitrogen (OR: 2.316; 95% CI:1.061-5.056, P = 0.035), and white blood count (OR: 1.982; 95% CI:1.026-3.829, P = 0.042) were independent predictors of hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

The 24-hour clearance of lactate is a reliable marker to predict the outcome of moderate and severe acute pancreatitis, and low lactate clearance may indicate that the patient's condition will worsen, requiring aggressive treatments to improve patient outcomes.

Predicting persistent organ failure on admission in patients with acute pancreatitis: development and validation of a mobile nomogram

BACKGROUND

Early prediction of persistent organ failure (POF) is important for triage and timely treatment of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

All AP patients were consecutively admitted within 48 h of symptom onset. A nomogram was developed to predict POF on admission using data from a retrospective training cohort, validated by two prospective cohorts. The clinical utility of the nomogram was defined by concordance index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC), while the performance by post-test probability.

RESULTS

There were 816, 398, and 880 patients in the training, internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Six independent predictors determined by logistic regression analysis were age, respiratory rate, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, oxygen support, and pleural effusion and were included in the nomogram (web-based calculator: https://shina.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/). This nomogram had reasonable predictive ability (C-indexes 0.88/0.91/0.81 for each cohort) and promising clinical utility (DCA and CIC). The nomogram had a positive likelihood ratio and post-test probability of developing POF in the training, internal and external validation cohorts of 4.26/31.7%, 7.89/39.1%, and 2.75/41%, respectively, superior or equal to other prognostic scores.

CONCLUSIONS

This nomogram can predict POF of AP patients and should be considered for clinical practice and trial allocation.

Clinical Value of Neutrophil CD64 Index, PCT, and CRP in Acute Pancreatitis Complicated with Abdominal Infection

Objective: To study the clinical diagnostic value of neutrophil CD64 index, PCT, and CRP in patients with acute pancreatitis with abdominal infection. Methods: A number of patients with acute pancreatitis (n = 234) participated in the study. According to the infection and health conditions, they were further divided into the non-infection group (n = 122), infection group (n = 78), and sepsis group (n = 34), and 40 healthy subjects were selected in the control group (n = 40). Expression levels of infection indexes, such as CD64 index, PCT, and CRP, were detected and compared. ROC curves were drawn to compare the efficacy of each index in the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis with abdominal infection and sepsis. The study was retrospectively registered under the China Clinical Trial Registry as a trial number ChiCTR2100054308. Results: All indexes were significantly higher in three clinical groups than the healthy control group (p < 0.05). The CD64 index, CD64 positive rate, and PCT in the infected group were significantly higher than those in the uninfected group (ALL p < 0.05). The PCT of patients infected with Gram-negative bacteria was significantly higher than that of Gram-positive bacteria-infected patients (p < 0.05). CD64 index had the best diagnostic efficiency for acute pancreatitis infection, with 82.14% sensitivity, 88.51% specificity, and 0.707 Youden indexes. The CD64 Youden index (0.780) for sepsis diagnosis was the highest, while the AUC of PCT was the highest (0.897). Conclusion: CD64 index combined with PCT has good sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing acute pancreatitis infection and sepsis.

Risk factors for concomitant infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a self-limiting disease. However, 20-30% of patients will develop into severe AP (SAP), and infectious pancreatic necrosis in the late course of SAP is the leading cause of death for such patients. This review aims to provide a comprehensive and systematic report of the currently published risk factors for complicated infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis by meta-analysis of published retrospective case-control studies.

METHODS

Five electronic database systems were selected to search for articles on risk factors of infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis. According to the heterogeneity among studies, the standardized mean difference (SMD), odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were calculated by applying a random-effects model or fixed-effects model, respectively.

RESULTS

As of 2nd Jun, 2021, a total of 1408 articles were searched, but only 21 articles were finally included in this meta-analysis. The results found that patients with severe acute pancreatitis complicated by infected pancreatic necrosis had higher APACHE II scores and higher levels of lipase (LPS), C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) compared to patients with severe acute pancreatitis alone. The differences were statistically significant (APACHE II: SMD = 0.86, 95%CI: 0.55, 1.18; LPS: SMD = 1.52, 95%CI: 1.13, 1.92; CRP: SMD = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.05, 1.79; PCT: SMD = 1.82, 95%CI: 1.36, 2.28).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with patients with severe acute pancreatitis alone, high levels of LPS, CRP, PCT and high APACHE II score were risk factors for infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

Temporal metabolic trajectory analyzed by LC-MS/MS based targeted metabolomics in acute pancreatitis pathogenesis and Chaiqin Chengqi decoction therapy

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder of pancreas that lacks effective specific drugs as well as gold standard laboratory tests for diagnosis and severity assessment. Chaiqin chengqi decoction (CQCQD) has been proven to alleviate the severity and mortality of AP, but its underlying mechanisms remain incompletely understood.

PURPOSE

To investigate the correlation between metabolic trajectories of the serum and pancreas, the metabolic pathways with respect to the onset and progression of AP, and investigate the effect of CQCQD in modulating the dysregulated pancreatic metabolism of AP.

METHODS

Serum and pancreas samples from cerulein-induced AP mice were collected for pathology, biochemical index assessment, LC-MS/MS based metabolomics and functional validation over the course of 1 - 24 h. The temporal trends of pancreatic and serum metabolites in AP were analyzed using Mfuzz clustering algorithm, and their associations were revealed by Pearson correlation analysis. The metabolic trajectories and pathways across multi-timepoints were analyzed by univariate and multivariate statistical analyses, and the AP-related metabolic pathways were further screened by metabolite correlation and network interaction analyses. Finally, the changes in metabolite levels and metabolic trajectory after CQCQD therapy were identified, and the altered expression of related metabolic enzymes was verified by RT-qPCR, western blotting, and immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

Amino acid metabolism was significantly altered in the pancreas and serum of AP, but with different trends. The unsynchronized "open" and "closed" metabolic trajectories in pancreas and serumrevealed that metabolic processes occur earlier in peripheral rather than local tissue, with the most obvious changes occuring at 12 h in the pancreas which were also consistent with the inflammation score results. Several amino acid intermediates showed strong positive correlation between serum and pancreas, and therein serum cystathionine was positively correlated to 33 pancreatic metabolites. In particular, the correlations between the levels of pancreatic cystathionine and methionine, serine, and glutathione (GSH) emphasized the importance of trans-sulfuration to GSH metabolism for AP progression. CQCQD treatment reversed the metabolic trajectory of the pancreas, and also restored the levels of cystathionine and glutathione synthase.

CONCLUSION

Our results have defined a unique time-course metabolic trajectory for AP progression in both the serum and pancreas; it has also revealed a key role of CQCQD in reversing AP-associated metabolic alterations, thus providing new metabolic targets for the treatment and prognosis of AP.

Predictive value of arterial blood lactic acid concentration on the risk of all-cause death within 28 days of admission in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

ObjectiveTo evaluate the ability of arterial blood lactic acid concentration to predict death within 28 days of admission of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in the intensive care unit (ICU).MethodsClinical data of 523 SAP patients in the MIMIC-IV database were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into those who survived (n=461) and those who died (n=62) within 28 days of admission. The association between lactic acid concentration and all-cause death in SAP patients was determined by Cox regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and subgroup analysis. The ability of lactic acid concentration to predict the risk of all-cause death in SAP patients was determined by time-dependent receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis.ResultsArterial blood lactic acid concentration was significantly higher in the 62 patients who died within 28 days than in the 461 patients who survived (P <0.05). Adjusted multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that lactic acid concentration was a significant independent predictor on all-cause mortality within 28 days of admission for SAP (hazard ratio=1.22, 95% confidence interval 1.09-1.36, P <0.001), as did time-dependent ROC analysis (area under the ROC curve=0.741). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the rate of all-cause mortality within 28 days of admission was significantly higher in patients with high than low lactic acid concentration (P <0.0001). Subgroup analysis showed that there was no significant interaction between lactic acid concentration and other factors with all-cause death within 28 days of admission (all P >0.05).ConclusionArterial blood lactic acid concentration is an important independent predictor of all-cause mortality within 28 days of admission of SAP patients in the ICU.

Metabolomic-based clinical studies and murine models for acute pancreatitis disease: A review

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common gastroenterological disorders requiring hospitalization and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Metabolomics nowadays not only help us to understand cellular metabolism to a degree that was not previously obtainable, but also to reveal the importance of the metabolites in physiological control, disease onset and development. An in-depth understanding of metabolic phenotyping would be therefore crucial for accurate diagnosis, prognosis and precise treatment of AP. In this review, we summarized and addressed the metabolomics design and workflow in AP studies, as well as the results and analysis of the in-depth of research. Based on the metabolic profiling work in both clinical populations and experimental AP models, we described the metabolites with potential utility as biomarkers and the correlation between the altered metabolites and AP status. Moreover, the disturbed metabolic pathways correlated with biological function were discussed in the end. A practical understanding of current and emerging metabolomic approaches applicable to AP and use of the metabolite information presented will aid in designing robust metabolomics and biological experiments that result in identification of unique biomarkers and mechanisms, and ultimately enhanced clinical decision-making.

Serum Amylase and Lipase for the Prediction of Pancreatic Injury in Critically Ill Children Admitted to the PICU

OBJECTIVES

Pancreatic injury is multifactorial and potentially devastating for critically ill children. We aimed to evaluate whether serum amylase and lipase among critically ill children could serve as an independent biomarker to predict pancreatic injury.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTING

PICU of a tertiary, pediatric medical center.

PATIENTS

Seventy-nine autopsies.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

A group of 79 children who died of different causes were investigated by autopsy. They were divided into pancreatic injury group and pancreatic noninjury group according to autopsy findings. Data based on patients' demographics, vital signs, laboratory findings, and clinical features at admission were collected and compared. Logistic regression was used to identify predictive factors for pancreatic injury. Receiver operating characteristic curve was constructed for assessing serum amylase and serum lipase to predicting pancreatic injury. Forty-one patients (51.9%) exhibited the pathologic changes of pancreatic injury. The levels of lactate, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase, and troponin-I in the injury group were significantly higher than that in the noninjury group, whereas the level of calcium was significantly lower than that in the noninjury group (p < 0.05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that serum amylase, serum lipase, and septic shock were significantly associated with the occurrence rate of pancreatic injury. The statistically significant area under the curve results were as follows: serum amylase: area under the curve = 0.731, at a cutoff value of 97.5, sensitivity = 53.7, and specificity = 81.6; and serum lipase: area under the curve = 0.727, at a cutoff value of 61.1, sensitivity = 36.6, and specificity = 92.1.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum amylase and lipase could serve as independent biomarkers to predict pancreatic injury in critically ill children.

Poor prognosis of liver transplantation for acute liver failure with acute pancreatitis: Two case reports

INDUCTION

Liver transplantation (LT) is the only final therapy for patients with acute liver failure (ALF) that cannot be controlled by conservative treatment. Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a recognized complication of ALF. The pathogenesis of AP in ALF patients has not yet been elucidated. The appearance of AP complicates the patients condition and causes a significantly increased risk of mortality.

PATIENT CONCERNS

We report 2 fatal cases who were both admitted with yellowing of skin and sclera with general weakness lasting for 2 weeks.

DIAGNOSIS

After admission, the laboratory examination of case 1 showed liver dysfunction with serum levels of total bilirubin (TB) 270 μmol/l, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) 106 U/l. Abdominal computed tomography (CT) showed pelvic and peritoneal cavity fluids, occupation of left lateral lobe of liver and unclear margin of pancreas. The clinical laboratory findings of case 2 revealed TB 351.1 μmol/l, ALT 252 U/l, blood lactic acid 18 mmol/l, ammonia 209 μmol/l. And abdominal CT showed pancreatic exudation. They were both diagnosed with acute liver failure, hepatic encephalopathy and AP which was confirmed during the operation.

INTERVENTIONS

They were both received a routine orthotopic LT.

OUTCOMES

After the surgery, their liver functions recovered well, and they received conventional conservative treatment for pancreatitis. However, the treatment was not adequately effective, and the infection was too serious and both died of multiple organ failure despite emergency rescue efforts on day 21 and day 19 after LT.

CONCLUSION

AP is a serious complication that can contribute to prohibitive morbidity and mortality in LT patients. For this reason, the vulnerable state of the pancreas and the scoring system must be defined to help clinicians decide whether a patient is suitable for liver transplantation, and the clinical experience in the treatment of pancreatitis after LT needs to be summarized as an optimal treatment guideline to facilitate better treatment.

Effect of Different-Volume Fluid Resuscitation on Organ Functions in Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Therapeutic Effect of Poria cocos

OBJECTIVE

To explore the effect of different-volume fluid resuscitation (FR) on organ functions in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and to elucidate the therapeutic effect and mechanism of Poria cocos on organ injuries caused by high-volume FR.

METHODS

1. Clinical study: retrospective analysis of thirty-one patients about the effect of titrated fluid resuscitation protocol (TFR) on the occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) secondary to SAP. 2. Experimental study: rats (N = 30) were randomly divided into five groups: sham, model, low-volume FR (1.5 ml/kg/h), high-volume FR (10 ml/kg/h), and Poria cocos combined with high-volume FR (10 ml/kg/h + intraintestinal administration Poria cocos 5 g/kg); serum or plasma indicators and histopathologic scores were compared to explore the effect and mechanism of different fluid volumes and Poria cocos on organ function in SAP.

RESULTS

The occurrence of AKI, fluid volume, and fluid velocity in TFR group was lower than that in the control group. Logistic regression analysis showed that increased Marshall scores and fluid velocity were risk factors for predicting occurrence of AKI in SAP. Low-volume FR decreased the levels of blood urea nitrogen (BUN), serum creatinine (Cr), matrix metalloproteinase (MMP), and pathologic scores of the pancreas and kidney. High-volume FR increased ascites, MMPs, and kidney pathologic scores. Poria cocos decreased the levels of BUN, Cr, MMPs, and pathologic scores of the pancreas and kidney and increased the arterial oxygen saturation.

CONCLUSION

TFR-associated lower fluid volume and velocity reduced the occurrence of AKI secondary to SAP. High volume might aggravate AKI via increased MMP release leading to endothelial glycocalyx damage and vascular endothelial dysfunction. Poria cocos reduced MMP release, relieved glycocalyx damage, and alleviated the pancreas and kidney injury aggravated by high fluid volume in SAP. Therefore, endothelial glycocalyx protection might be a new strategy in the treatment of SAP.