Comparative effectiveness of biomarkers and clinical indicators for predicting outcomes of SSRI treatment in Major Depressive Disorder: results of the BRITE-MD study

Breakthroughs and challenges for generating brain network-based biomarkers of treatment response in depression

Treatment outcomes widely vary for individuals diagnosed with major depressive disorder, implicating a need for deeper understanding of the biological mechanisms conferring a greater likelihood of response to a particular treatment. Our improved understanding of intrinsic brain networks underlying depression psychopathology via magnetic resonance imaging and other neuroimaging modalities has helped reveal novel and potentially clinically meaningful biological markers of response. And while we have made considerable progress in identifying such biomarkers over the last decade, particularly with larger, multisite trials, there are significant methodological and practical obstacles that need to be overcome to translate these markers into the clinic. The aim of this review is to review current literature on brain network structural and functional biomarkers of treatment response or selection in depression, with a specific focus on recent large, multisite trials reporting predictive accuracy of candidate biomarkers. Regarding pharmaco- and psychotherapy, we discuss candidate biomarkers, reporting that while we have identified candidate biomarkers of response to a single intervention, we need more trials that distinguish biomarkers between first-line treatments. Further, we discuss the ways prognostic neuroimaging may help to improve treatment outcomes to neuromodulation-based therapies, such as transcranial magnetic stimulation and deep brain stimulation. Lastly, we highlight obstacles and technical developments that may help to address the knowledge gaps in this area of research. Ultimately, integrating neuroimaging-derived biomarkers into clinical practice holds promise for enhancing treatment outcomes and advancing precision psychiatry strategies for depression management. By elucidating the neural predictors of treatment response and selection, we can move towards more individualized and effective depression interventions, ultimately improving patient outcomes and quality of life.

Pharmacokinetic correlates of clinical response in a naturalistic sample of escitalopram-treated patients

OBJECTIVE

We assessed pharmacokinetic correlates of treatment response to escitalopram using a large therapeutic drug monitoring database.

METHODS

A large naturalistic sample of patients receiving escitalopram was analyzed. Responders were defined as 'very much improved' or 'much improved' based on the Clinical Global Impression - Improvement score, CGI-I. We compared responders (n = 83) vs. non-responders (n = 388) with the primary outcome being the escitalopram plasma concentration and concentration corrected by the daily dose (C/D ratio). Effects of age, sex, body-mass-index (BMI), and C/D ratio were assessed in a multivariate logistic regression model predicting response.

RESULTS

There were no statistically significant differences in clinical and demographic characteristics between responders vs. non-responders. There were also no differences between escitalopram daily doses or plasma concentrations, while C/D ratios were significantly higher in non-responders than in responders (1.6 ± 1.7 vs. 1.2 ± 0.9 (ng/mL)/(mg/day), p = 0.007); C/D ratios (odds ratio 0.52, 95% confidence interval 0.34-0.80, p < 0.003) were associated with response to escitalopram, after controlling for age, sex, and BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with low clearance of escitalopram as reflected upon high C/D ratios may be less likely respond to escitalopram. Identifying these patients during dose titration may support clinical decision-making, including switching to a different antidepressant instead of increasing daily dose.

Prediction of antidepressant responses to non-invasive brain stimulation using frontal electroencephalogram signals: Cross-dataset comparisons and validation

BACKGROUND

10-Hz repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation(rTMS) and intermittent theta-burst stimulation(iTBS) over left prefrontal cortex are FDA-approved, effective options for treatment-resistant depression (TRD). Optimal prediction models for iTBS and rTMS remain elusive. Therefore, our primary objective was to compare prediction accuracy between classification by frontal theta activity alone and machine learning(ML) models by linear and non-linear frontal signals. The second objective was to study an optimal ML model for predicting responses to rTMS and iTBS.

METHODS

Two rTMS and iTBS datasets (n = 163) were used: one randomized controlled trial dataset (RCTD; n = 96) and one outpatient dataset (OPD; n = 67). Frontal theta and non-linear EEG features that reflect trend, stability, and complexity were extracted. Pretreatment frontal EEG and ML algorithms, including classical support vector machine(SVM), random forest(RF), XGBoost, and CatBoost, were analyzed. Responses were defined as ≥50 % depression improvement after treatment. Response rates between those with and without pretreatment prediction in another independent outpatient cohort (n = 208) were compared.

RESULTS

Prediction accuracy using combined EEG features by SVM was better than frontal theta by logistic regression. The accuracy for OPD patients significantly dropped using the RCTD-trained SVM model. Modern ML models, especially RF (rTMS = 83.3 %, iTBS = 88.9 %, p-value(ACC > NIR) < 0.05 for iTBS), performed significantly above chance and had higher accuracy than SVM using both selected features (p < 0.05, FDR corrected for multiple comparisons) or all EEG features. Response rates among those receiving prediction before treatment were significantly higher than those without prediction (p = 0.035).

CONCLUSION

The first study combining linear and non-linear EEG features could accurately predict responses to left PFC iTBS. The bootstraps-based ML model (i.e., RF) had the best predictive accuracy for rTMS and iTBS.

Aberrant Resting-State Functional Connectivity in MDD and the Antidepressant Treatment Effect-A 6-Month Follow-Up Study

BACKGROUND

The mechanism by which antidepressants normalizing aberrant resting-state functional connectivity (rsFC) in patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) is still a matter of debate. The current study aimed to investigate aberrant rsFC and whether antidepressants would restore the aberrant rsFC in patients with MDD.

METHODS

A total of 196 patients with MDD and 143 healthy controls (HCs) received the resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging and clinical assessments at baseline. Patients with MDD received antidepressant treatment after baseline assessment and were re-scanned at the 6-month follow-up. Network-based statistics were employed to identify aberrant rsFC and rsFC changes in patients with MDD and to compare the rsFC differences between remitters and non-remitters.

RESULTS

We identified a significantly decreased sub-network and a significantly increased sub-network in MDD at baseline. Approximately half of the aberrant rsFC remained significantly different from HCs after 6-month treatment. Significant overlaps were found between baseline reduced sub-network and follow-up increased sub-network, and between baseline increased sub-network and follow-up decreased sub-network. Besides, rsFC at baseline and rsFC changes between baseline and follow-up in remitters were not different from non-remitters.

CONCLUSIONS

Most aberrant rsFC in patients with MDD showed state-independence. Although antidepressants may modulate aberrant rsFC, they may not specifically target these aberrations to achieve therapeutic effects, with only a few having been directly linked to treatment efficacy.

Low Escitalopram Concentrations in Patients with Depression predict Treatment Failure: A Naturalistic Retrospective Study

INTRODUCTION

Cross sectional therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) data mining introduces new opportunities for the investigation of medication treatment effects to find optimal therapeutic windows. Medication discontinuation has been proven useful as an objective surrogate marker to assess treatment failure. This study aimed to investigate the treatment effects of escitalopram and pharmacokinetic influences on blood levels using retrospectively assessed data from a TDM database.

METHODS

Data was collected from 134 patients longitudinally treated with escitalopram for whom TDM was requested to guide drug therapy. Escitalopram metabolism was estimated by the log-transformed dose-corrected concentrations and compared within subpopulations differing in age, gender, renal function, smoking status, body mass index, and comedication.

RESULTS

Patients with a depressive episode who were treated with escitalopram and discontinued the treatment within the hospital stay showed lower serum concentrations compared to patients who continued escitalopram treatment with a concentration of 15 ng/mL separating both groups. Variability was high between individuals and factors influencing blood levels, including dose, sex, and age. Comedication that inhibits cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2C19 isoenzymes were further found to influence escitalopram pharmacokinetics independent of dose, age or sex.

DISCUSSION

Medication switch is a valuable objective surrogate marker to assess treatment effects under real-world conditions. Of note, treatment discontinuation is not always a cause of insufficient response but may also be related to other factors such as medication side effects. TDM might not only be useful in addressing these issues but titrating drug concentrations into the currently recommended reference range for escitalopram will also increase response in non-responders and avoid treatment failure in underdosed patients.

External validation of prediction models for patient-reported outcome measurements collected using the selfBACK mobile app

BACKGROUND

External validation is essential in examining the disparities in the training and validation cohorts during the development of prediction models, especially when the application domain is healthcare-oriented. Currently, the use of prediction models in healthcare research aimed at utilising the under-explored potential of patient-reported outcome measurements (PROMs) is limited, and few are validated using external datasets.

OBJECTIVE

To validate the machine learning prediction models developed in our previous work [29] for predicting four pain-related patient-reported outcomes from the selfBACK clinical trial datasets.

METHODS

We evaluate the validity of three pre-trained prediction models based on three methods- Case-Based Reasoning, Support Vector Regression, and XGBoost Regression-using an external dataset that contains PROMs collected from patients with non-specific neck and or low back pain using the selfBACK mobile application.

RESULTS

Overall, the predictive power was low, except for prediction of one of the outcomes. The results indicate that while the predictions are far from immaculate in either case, the models show ability to generalise and predict outcomes for a new dataset.

CONCLUSION

External validation of the prediction models presents modest results and highlights the individual differences and need for external validation of prediction models in clinical settings. There is need for further development in this area of machine learning application and patient-centred care.

Resting and TMS-EEG markers of treatment response in major depressive disorder: A systematic review

Electroencephalography (EEG) is a non-invasive method to identify markers of treatment response in major depressive disorder (MDD). In this review, existing literature was assessed to determine how EEG markers change with different modalities of MDD treatments, and to synthesize the breadth of EEG markers used in conjunction with MDD treatments. PubMed and EMBASE were searched from 2000 to 2021 for studies reporting resting EEG (rEEG) and transcranial magnetic stimulation combined with EEG (TMS-EEG) measures in patients undergoing MDD treatments. The search yielded 966 articles, 204 underwent full-text screening, and 51 studies were included for a narrative synthesis of findings along with confidence in the evidence. In rEEG studies, non-linear quantitative algorithms such as theta cordance and theta current density show higher predictive value than traditional linear metrics. Although less abundant, TMS-EEG measures show promise for predictive markers of brain stimulation treatment response. Future focus on TMS-EEG measures may prove fruitful, given its ability to target cortical regions of interest related to MDD.

Sex differences in rTMS treatment response: A deep learning-based EEG investigation

INTRODUCTION

The present study aimed to investigate sex differences in response to repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) patients. Identifying the factors that mediate treatment response to rTMS in MDD patients can guide clinicians to administer more appropriate, reliable, and personalized interventions.

METHODS

In this paper, we developed a novel pipeline based on convolutional LSTM-based deep learning (DL) to classify 25 female and 25 male patients based on their rTMS treatment response.

RESULTS

Five different classification models were generated, namely pre-/post-rTMS female (model 1), pre-/post-rTMS male (model 2), pre-rTMS female responder versus pre-rTMS female nonresponders (model 3), pre-rTMS male responder vs. pre-rTMS male nonresponder (model 4), and pre-rTMS responder versus nonresponder of both sexes (model 5), achieving 93.3%, 98%, 95.2%, 99.2%, and 96.6% overall test accuracy, respectively.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate the potential of our approach to be used as a response predictor especially regarding sex-specific antidepressant effects of rTMS in MDD patients.

Combining Antidepressants vs Antidepressant Monotherapy for Treatment of Patients With Acute Depression: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

Combining antidepressants is frequently done in the treatment of acute depression, but studies have yielded conflicting results.

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis assessing efficacy and tolerability of combination therapy. Combinations using presynaptic α2-autoreceptor antagonists or bupropion were investigated separately.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were systematically searched from each database inception through January 2020.

STUDY SELECTION

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing combinations of antidepressants with antidepressant monotherapy in adult patients with acute depression were included.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Following guidelines from Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) and recommendations from the Cochrane Handbook, 2 reviewers independently performed a literature search, study selection, data extraction, and evaluation of risk of bias. Data were pooled in random-effects analyses.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Primary outcome was efficacy measured as standardized mean difference (SMD); secondary outcomes were response, remission, change from baseline in rating scale scores, number of dropouts, and number of dropouts due to adverse events.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine RCTs including 6751 patients were eligible. Combination treatment was statistically significantly associated with superior treatment outcomes relative to monotherapy (SMD = 0.31; 95% CI, 0.19-0.44). Combining a reuptake inhibitor with an antagonist of presynaptic α2-autoreceptors was superior to other combinations (SMD = 0.37; 95% CI, 0.19-0.55). Bupropion combinations were not superior to monotherapy (SMD = 0.10; 95% CI, -0.07 to 0.27). Numbers of dropouts and dropouts due to adverse events did not differ between treatments. Studies were heterogeneous, and there was indication of publication bias (Egger test result was positive; P = .007, df = 36), but results remained robust across prespecified secondary outcomes and sensitivity and subgroup analyses, including analyses restricted to studies with low risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this meta-analysis of RCTs comparing combinations of antidepressants with antidepressant monotherapy, combining antidepressants was associated with superior treatment outcomes but not with more patients dropping out of treatment. Combinations using an antagonist of presynaptic α2-autoreceptors may be preferable and may be applied as a first-line treatment in severe cases of depression and for patients considered nonresponders.

Investigating the Effects of Auditory and Vibrotactile Rhythmic Sensory Stimulation on Depression: An EEG Pilot Study

Background

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a persistent psychiatric condition and one of the leading causes of global disease burden. In a previous study, we investigated the effects of a five-week intervention consisting of rhythmic gamma frequency (30-70 Hz) vibroacoustic stimulation in 20 patients formally diagnosed with MDD. In that study, the findings suggested a significant clinical improvement in depression symptoms as measured using the Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS), with 37% of participants meeting the criteria for clinical response. The goal of the present research was to examine possible changes from baseline to posttreatment in resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) recordings using the same treatment protocol and to characterize basic changes in EEG related to treatment response.

Materials and methods

The study sample consisted of 19 individuals aged 18-70 years with a clinical diagnosis of MDD. The participants were assessed before and after a five-week treatment period, which consisted of listening to an instrumental musical track on a vibroacoustic device, delivering auditory and vibrotactile stimulus in the gamma-band range (30-70 Hz, with particular emphasis on 40 Hz). The primary outcome measure was the change in Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) from baseline to posttreatment and resting-state EEG.

Results

Analysis comparing MADRS score at baseline and post-intervention indicated a significant change in the severity of depression symptoms after five weeks (t = 3.9923, df = 18, p = 0.0009). The clinical response rate was 36.85%. Resting-state EEG power analysis revealed a significant increase in occipital alpha power (t = -2.149, df = 18, p = 0.04548), as well as an increase in the prefrontal gamma power of the responders (t = 2.8079, df = 13.431, p = 0.01442).

Conclusions

The results indicate that improvements in MADRS scores after rhythmic sensory stimulation (RSS) were accompanied by an increase in alpha power in the occipital region and an increase in gamma in the prefrontal region, thus suggesting treatment effects on cortical activity in depression. The results of this pilot study will help inform subsequent controlled studies evaluating whether treatment response to vibroacoustic stimulation constitutes a real and replicable reduction of depressive symptoms and to characterize the underlying mechanisms.

Systematic review and meta-analysis on the therapeutic reference range for escitalopram: Blood concentrations, clinical effects and serotonin transporter occupancy

INTRODUCTION

A titration within a certain therapeutic reference range presupposes a relationship between the blood concentration and the therapeutic effect of a drug. However, this has not been systematically investigated for escitalopram. Furthermore, the recommended reference range disagrees with mean steady state concentrations (11-21 ng/ml) that are expected under the approved dose range (10-20 mg/day). This work systematically investigated the relationships between escitalopram dose, blood levels, clinical effects, and serotonin transporter occupancy.

METHODS

Following our previously published methodology, relevant articles were systematically searched and reviewed for escitalopram.

RESULTS

Of 1,032 articles screened, a total of 30 studies met the eligibility criteria. The included studies investigated escitalopram blood levels in relationship to clinical effects (9 studies) or moderating factors on escitalopram metabolism (12 studies) or serotonin transporter occupancy (9 studies). Overall, the evidence for an escitalopram concentration/effect relationship is low (level C).

CONCLUSION

Based on our findings, we propose a target range of 20-40 ng/ml for antidepressant efficacy of escitalopram. In maintenance treatment, therapeutic response is expected, when titrating patients above the lower limit. The lower concentration threshold is strongly supported by findings from neuroimaging studies. The upper limit for escitalopram's reference range rather reflects a therapeutic maximum than a tolerability threshold, since the incidence of side effects in general is low. Concentrations above 40 ng/ml should not necessarily result in dose reductions in case of good clinical efficacy and tolerability. Dose-related escitalopram concentrations in different trials were more than twice the expected concentrations from guideline reports.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=215873], identifier [CRD42020215873].

Suppressed activity of the rostral anterior cingulate cortex as a biomarker for depression remission

BACKGROUND

Suppression of the rostral anterior cingulate cortex (rACC) has shown promise as a prognostic biomarker for depression. We aimed to use machine learning to characterise its ability to predict depression remission.

METHODS

Data were obtained from 81 15- to 25-year-olds with a major depressive disorder who had participated in the YoDA-C trial, in which they had been randomised to receive cognitive behavioural therapy plus either fluoxetine or placebo. Prior to commencing treatment patients performed a functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) task to assess rACC suppression. Support vector machines were trained on the fMRI data using nested cross-validation, and were similarly trained on clinical data. We further tested our fMRI model on data from the YoDA-A trial, in which participants had completed the same fMRI paradigm.

RESULTS

Thirty-six of 81 (44%) participants in the YoDA-C trial achieved remission. Our fMRI model was able to predict remission status (AUC = 0.777 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.638-0.916], balanced accuracy = 67%, negative predictive value = 74%, p < 0.0001). Clinical models failed to predict remission status at better than chance levels. Testing the model on the alternative YoDA-A dataset confirmed its ability to predict remission (AUC = 0.776, balanced accuracy = 64%, negative predictive value = 70%, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm that rACC activity acts as a prognostic biomarker for depression. The machine learning model can identify patients who are likely to have difficult-to-treat depression, which might direct the earlier provision of enhanced support and more intensive therapies.

Machine Learning-Based Definition of Symptom Clusters and Selection of Antidepressants for Depressive Syndrome

The current polythetic and operational criteria for major depression inevitably contribute to the heterogeneity of depressive syndromes. The heterogeneity of depressive syndrome has been criticized using the concept of language game in Wittgensteinian philosophy. Moreover, “a symptom- or endophenotype-based approach, rather than a diagnosis-based approach, has been proposed” as the “next-generation treatment for mental disorders” by Thomas Insel. Understanding the heterogeneity renders promise for personalized medicine to treat cases of depressive syndrome, in terms of both defining symptom clusters and selecting antidepressants. Machine learning algorithms have emerged as a tool for personalized medicine by handling clinical big data that can be used as predictors for subtype classification and treatment outcome prediction. The large clinical cohort data from the Sequenced Treatment Alternatives to Relieve Depression (STAR*D), Combining Medications to Enhance Depression Outcome (CO-MED), and the German Research Network on Depression (GRND) have recently began to be acknowledged as useful sources for machine learning-based depression research with regard to cost effectiveness and generalizability. In addition, noninvasive biological tools such as functional and resting state magnetic resonance imaging techniques are widely combined with machine learning methods to detect intrinsic endophenotypes of depression. This review highlights recent studies that have used clinical cohort or brain imaging data and have addressed machine learning-based approaches to defining symptom clusters and selecting antidepressants. Potentially applicable suggestions to realize machine learning-based personalized medicine for depressive syndrome are also provided herein.

Glycogen Synthase Kinase-3: A Focal Point for Advancing Pathogenic Inflammation in Depression

Increasing evidence indicates that the host immune response has a monumental role in the etiology of major depressive disorder (MDD), motivating the development of the inflammatory hypothesis of depression. Central to the involvement of chronic inflammation in MDD is a wide range of signaling deficits induced by the excessive secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines and imbalanced T cell differentiation. Such signaling deficits include the glutamatergic, cholinergic, insulin, and neurotrophin systems, which work in concert to initiate and advance the neuropathology. Fundamental to the communication between such systems is the protein kinase glycogen synthase kinase-3 (GSK-3), a multifaceted protein critically linked to the etiology of MDD and an emerging target to treat pathogenic inflammation. Here, a consolidated overview of the widespread multi-system involvement of GSK-3 in contributing to the neuropathology of MDD will be discussed, with the feed-forward mechanistic links between all major neuronal signaling pathways highlighted.

The clinical effectiveness of using a predictive algorithm to guide antidepressant treatment in primary care (PReDicT): an open-label, randomised controlled trial

Depressed patients often do not respond to the first antidepressant prescribed, resulting in sequential trials of different medications. Personalised medicine offers a means of reducing this delay; however, the clinical effectiveness of personalised approaches to antidepressant treatment has not previously been tested. We assessed the clinical effectiveness of using a predictive algorithm, based on behavioural tests of affective cognition and subjective symptoms, to guide antidepressant treatment. We conducted a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial in 913 medication-free depressed patients. Patients were randomly assigned to have their antidepressant treatment guided by a predictive algorithm or treatment as usual (TaU). The primary outcome was the response of depression symptoms, defined as a 50% or greater reduction in baseline score of the QIDS-SR-16 scale, at week 8. Additional prespecified outcomes included symptoms of anxiety at week 8, and symptoms of depression and functional outcome at weeks 8, 24 and 48. The response rate of depressive symptoms at week 8 in the PReDicT (55.9%) and TaU (51.8%) arms did not differ significantly (odds ratio: 1.18 (95% CI: 0.89-1.56), P = 0.25). However, there was a significantly greater reduction of anxiety in week 8 and a greater improvement in functional outcome at week 24 in the PReDicT arm. Use of the PReDicT test did not increase the rate of response to antidepressant treatment estimated by depressive symptoms but did improve symptoms of anxiety at week 8 and functional outcome at week 24. Our findings indicate that personalisation of antidepressant treatment may improve outcomes in depressed patients.

Quantitative EEG in Childhood Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder and Learning Disabilities

The clinical use of the quantitative EEG (QEEG) from the pioneering work of John has received a new impetus thanks to new neuroimaging techniques and the possibility of using a number of normative databases both of normal subjects and of subjects with definite pathologies. In this direction, the term personalized medicine is becoming more and more common, a medical procedure that separates patients into different groups based on their predicted response to the quantitative EEG. This has allowed the study of single subjects and to customize health care, with decisions and treatments tailored to each individual patient, as well as improvement of knowledge of the pathophysiological mechanisms of specific diseases. This review article will present the most recent evidence in the field of developmental neuropsychiatric disorders obtained from the application of quantitative EEG both in clinical group studies (attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, developmental dyslexia, oppositional defiant disorder) and in individual case studies not yet published.

Predicting response to psychiatric surgery: a systematic review of neuroimaging findings

BACKGROUND

Psychiatric surgery, including deep brain stimulation and stereotactic ablation, is an important treatment option in severe refractory psychiatric illness. Several large trials have demonstrated response rates of approximately 50%, underscoring the need to identify and select responders preoperatively. Recent advances in neuroimaging have brought this possibility into focus. We systematically reviewed the psychiatric surgery neuroimaging literature to assess the current state of evidence for preoperative imaging predictors of response.

METHODS

We performed this study in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) frameworks, and preregistered it using PROSPERO. We systematically searched the Medline, Embase and Cochrane databases for studies reporting preoperative neuroimaging analyses correlated with clinical outcomes in patients who underwent psychiatric surgery. We recorded and synthesized the methodological details, imaging results and clinical correlations from these studies.

RESULTS

After removing duplicates, the search yielded 8388 unique articles, of which 7 met the inclusion criteria. The included articles were published between 2001 and 2018 and reported on the outcomes of 101 unique patients. Of the 6 studies that reported significant findings, all identified clusters of hypermetabolism, hyperconnectivity or increased size in the frontostriatal limbic circuitry.

LIMITATIONS

The included studies were few and highly varied, spanning 2 decades.

CONCLUSION

Although few studies have analyzed preoperative imaging for predictors of response to psychiatric surgery, we found consistency among the reported results: most studies implicated overactivity in the frontostriatal limbic network as being correlated with clinical response. Larger prospective studies are needed.

REGISTRATION

www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=131151.

Total Recall: Lateral Habenula and Psychedelics in the Study of Depression and Comorbid Brain Disorders

Depression impacts the lives and daily activities of millions globally. Research into the neurobiology of lateral habenula circuitry and the use of psychedelics for treating depressive states has emerged in the last decade as new directions to devise interventional strategies and therapies. Several clinical trials using deep brain stimulation of the habenula, or using ketamine, and psychedelics that target the serotonergic system such as psilocybin are also underway. The promising early results in these fields require cautious optimism as further evidence from experiments conducted in animal systems in ecologically relevant settings, and a larger number of human studies with improved spatiotemporal neuroimaging, accumulates. Designing optimal methods of intervention will also be aided by an improvement in our understanding of the common genetic and molecular factors underlying disorders comorbid with depression, as well as the characterization of psychedelic-induced changes at a molecular level. Advances in the use of cerebral organoids offers a new approach for rapid progress towards these goals. Here, we review developments in these fast-moving areas of research and discuss potential future directions.

Using prefrontal and midline right frontal EEG-derived theta cordance and depressive symptoms to predict the differential response or remission to antidepressant treatment in major depressive disorder

There is a growing need for optimizing treatment selection and response prediction in individuals with major depressive disorder (MDD). Prior investigations have shown that changes in electroencephalographic (EEG)-based measures precede symptom improvement and could serve as biomarkers of treatment outcome. One such method is cordance, a computation of regional brain activity based on a combination of absolute and relative resting EEG activity. Specifically, early reduction in prefrontal (PF) and midline right frontal (MRF) theta (4-8Hz) cordance has been shown to predict response to various antidepressants, though replication is required. Thus, this study examined early changes (baseline to week 1) in PF and MRF cordance in 47 MDD patients undergoing antidepressant treatment. Early changes in cordance and in Montgomery Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) scores were assessed alone, and in combination, to predict eventual (by week 12) treatment response and remission. Models combining early changes in theta cordance (PF and MRF) and depressive symptoms were most predictive of response to treatment at week 12; remission models (cordance, MADRS, and their combination) were weaker, though provided modest prediction values. These results suggest that antidepressant response may be optimally predicted by combining both EEG and symptom-based measures after one week of treatment.

Genetic Markers for Later Remission in Response to Early Improvement of Antidepressants

Planning subsequent treatment strategies based on early responses rather than waiting for delayed antidepressant action can be helpful. We identified genetic markers for later non-remission in patients exhibiting poor early improvement using whole-exome sequencing data of depressive patients treated in a naturalistic manner. Among 1000 patients, early improvement at 2 weeks (reduction in Hamilton Depression Rating Scale [HAM-D] score ≥ 20%) and remission at 12 weeks (HAM-D score ≤ 7) were evaluated. Gene- and variant-level analyses were conducted to compare patients who did not exhibit early improvement and did not eventually achieve remission (n = 126) with those who exhibited early improvement and achieved remission (n = 385). Genes predicting final non-remission in patients who exhibited poor early improvement (COMT, PRNP, BRPF3, SLC25A40, and CGREF1 in males; PPFIBPI, LZTS3, MEPCE, MAP1A, and PFAS in females; ST3GAL5 in the total population) were determined. Among the significant genes, variants in the PRNP (rs1800014), COMT (rs6267), BRPF3 (rs200565609), and SLC25A40 genes (rs3213633) were identified. However, interpretations should be made cautiously, as complex pharmacotherapy involves various genes and pathways. Early detection of poor early improvement and final non-remission based on genetic risk would be helpful for decision-making in a clinical setting.

Predicting second-generation antidepressant effectiveness in treating sadness using demographic and clinical information: A machine learning approach

INTRODUCTION

Current guidelines for choosing antidepressant medications involve a trial-and-error process. Most patients try multiple antidepressants before finding an effective antidepressant. This study uses demographic and clinical information to create models predicting effectiveness of different antidepressants in treating sadness in a nationally representative sample of US adults.

METHODS

A secondary analysis of the Collaborative Psychiatric Epidemiology Survey (CPES) was performed. Participants with or without a mental health diagnosis who reported sadness as a symptom, and were taking fluoxetine (n=156), sertraline (n=224), citalopram (n=91), paroxetine (n=156), venlafaxine (n=69), bupropion (n=92), or trazadone (n=26) within the past year were included. Two sets of principal component analyses (PCAs) and logistic regressions were performed: one determined associations between symptom clusters and antidepressant effectiveness for sadness, and the other created models to predict effectiveness. Both PCAs controlled for psychiatric and medical diagnoses, substance use, psychiatric medications, alternative treatments, and demographics.

RESULTS

Anxiety was associated with ineffectiveness of fluoxetine in treating sadness. Low mood scores were associated with ineffectiveness of paroxetine and venlafaxine, and fatigue was associated with ineffectiveness of sertraline. The models for predicting drug effectiveness had a mean accuracy of 83% and internal validity of 72%.

LIMITATIONS

CPES data were collected from 2001-2003, so newer drugs were not included. Effectiveness was for sadness, so results are not directly comparable to studies using overall depressive symptom reductions as outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Since fewer than 50% of patients currently respond to their first antidepressant, this model could provide modest improvement to choosing starting antidepressants in treating sadness.

Prospective testing of a neurophysiologic biomarker for treatment decisions in major depressive disorder: The PRISE-MD trial

Management of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) might be improved by a biomarker to predict whether a selected medication is likely to lead to remission. We previously reported on a quantitative electroencephalogram-based biomarker, the Antidepressant Treatment Response (ATR) index, that integrated recordings at baseline and after one week of treatment. The present study prospectively tested whether treatment directed by the biomarker increased the likelihood of remission; we hypothesized that continued treatment with a drug predicted to lead to remission (i.e., high ATR values) would be associated with better outcomes than if the drug was predicted not to lead to remission (i.e., low ATR values). We enrolled 180 adult outpatients with unipolar MDD from the community. After one week of escitalopram treatment to determine the biomarker, stratified randomization (high vs. low ATR) was used to assign subjects to either continued escitalopram or a switch to bupropion as a blinded control condition, for seven additional weeks. For the 73 evaluable subjects assigned to continued escitalopram treatment, the remission rate was significantly higher for those in whom ATR had predicted remission versus non-remission (60.4% vs. 30.0%, respectively, p = 0.01). Accuracy was enhanced by combining 1-week depressive symptom change with ATR (68.6% vs 28.9%). This prospective validation study supports further development of the ATR biomarker, alone or together with early symptom change, to improve care by identifying individuals unlikely to remit with their current treatment, and support the decision to change treatment after one week rather than after failing a full, prolonged course of medication.

An electroencephalographic signature predicts antidepressant response in major depression

Antidepressants are widely prescribed, but their efficacy relative to placebo is modest, in part because the clinical diagnosis of major depression encompasses biologically heterogeneous conditions. Here, we sought to identify a neurobiological signature of response to antidepressant treatment as compared to placebo. We designed a latent-space machine-learning algorithm tailored for resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) and applied it to data from the largest imaging-coupled, placebo-controlled antidepressant study (n = 309). Symptom improvement was robustly predicted in a manner both specific for the antidepressant sertraline (versus placebo) and generalizable across different study sites and EEG equipment. This sertraline-predictive EEG signature generalized to two depression samples, wherein it reflected general antidepressant medication responsivity and related differentially to a repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation treatment outcome. Furthermore, we found that the sertraline resting-state EEG signature indexed prefrontal neural responsivity, as measured by concurrent transcranial magnetic stimulation and EEG. Our findings advance the neurobiological understanding of antidepressant treatment through an EEG-tailored computational model and provide a clinical avenue for personalized treatment of depression.

Pilot Study of An Intracranial Electroencephalography Biomarker of Depressive Symptoms in Epilepsy

OBJECTIVES

Adult patients with epilepsy have an increased prevalence of major depressive disorder (MDD). Intracranial EEG (iEEG) captured during extended inpatient monitoring of patients with treatment-resistant epilepsy offers a particularly promising method to study MDD networks in epilepsy.

METHODS

The authors used 24 hours of resting-state iEEG to examine the neural activity patterns within corticolimbic structures that reflected the presence of depressive symptoms in 13 adults with medication-refractory epilepsy. Principal component analysis was performed on the z-scored mean relative power in five standard frequency bands averaged across electrodes within a region.

RESULTS

Principal component 3 was a statistically significant predictor of the presence of depressive symptoms (R²=0.35, p=0.014). A balanced logistic classifier model using principal component 3 alone correctly classified 78% of patients as belonging to the group with a high burden of depressive symptoms or a control group with minimal depressive symptoms (sensitivity, 75%; specificity, 80%; area under the curve=0.8, leave-one-out cross validation). Classification was dependent on beta power throughout the corticolimbic network and low-frequency cingulate power.

CONCLUSIONS

These finding suggest, for the first time, that neural features across circuits involved in epilepsy may distinguish patients who have depressive symptoms from those who do not. Larger studies are required to validate these findings and to assess their diagnostic utility in MDD.

Frontal theta and posterior alpha in resting EEG: A critical examination of convergent and discriminant validity

Prior research has identified two resting EEG biomarkers with potential for predicting functional outcomes in depression: theta current density in frontal brain regions (especially rostral anterior cingulate cortex) and alpha power over posterior scalp regions. As little is known about the discriminant and convergent validity of these putative biomarkers, a thorough evaluation of these psychometric properties was conducted toward the goal of improving clinical utility of these markers. Resting 71-channel EEG recorded from 35 healthy adults at two sessions (1-week retest) were used to systematically compare different quantification techniques for theta and alpha sources at scalp (surface Laplacian or current source density [CSD]) and brain (distributed inverse; exact low resolution electromagnetic tomography [eLORETA]) level. Signal quality was evaluated with signal-to-noise ratio, participant-level spectra, and frequency PCA covariance decomposition. Convergent and discriminant validity were assessed within a multitrait-multimethod framework. Posterior alpha was reliably identified as two spectral components, each with unique spatial patterns and condition effects (eyes open/closed), high signal quality, and good convergent and discriminant validity. In contrast, frontal theta was characterized by one low-variance component, low signal quality, lack of a distinct spectral peak, and mixed validity. Correlations between candidate biomarkers suggest that posterior alpha components constitute reliable, convergent, and discriminant biometrics in healthy adults. Component-based identification of spectral activity (CSD/eLORETA-fPCA) was superior to fixed, a priori frequency bands. Improved quantification and conceptualization of frontal theta is necessary to determine clinical utility.

Development and validation of multivariable prediction models of remission, recovery, and quality of life outcomes in people with first episode psychosis: a machine learning approach

BACKGROUND

Outcomes for people with first-episode psychosis are highly heterogeneous. Few reliable validated methods are available to predict the outcome for individual patients in the first clinical contact. In this study, we aimed to build multivariable prediction models of 1-year remission and recovery outcomes using baseline clinical variables in people with first-episode psychosis.

METHODS

In this machine learning approach, we applied supervised machine learning, using regularised regression and nested leave-one-site-out cross-validation, to baseline clinical data from the English Evaluating the Development and Impact of Early Intervention Services (EDEN) study (n=1027), to develop and internally validate prediction models at 1-year follow-up. We assessed four binary outcomes that were recorded at 1 year: symptom remission, social recovery, vocational recovery, and quality of life (QoL). We externally validated the prediction models by selecting from the top predictor variables identified in the internal validation models the variables shared with the external validation datasets comprised of two Scottish longitudinal cohort studies (n=162) and the OPUS trial, a randomised controlled trial of specialised assertive intervention versus standard treatment (n=578).

FINDINGS

The performance of prediction models was robust for the four 1-year outcomes of symptom remission (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0·703, 95% CI 0·664-0·742), social recovery (0·731, 0·697-0·765), vocational recovery (0·736, 0·702-0·771), and QoL (0·704, 0·667-0·742; p<0·0001 for all outcomes), on internal validation. We externally validated the outcomes of symptom remission (AUC 0·680, 95% CI 0·587-0·773), vocational recovery (0·867, 0·805-0·930), and QoL (0·679, 0·522-0·836) in the Scottish datasets, and symptom remission (0·616, 0·553-0·679), social recovery (0·573, 0·504-0·643), vocational recovery (0·660, 0·610-0·710), and QoL (0·556, 0·481-0·631) in the OPUS dataset.

INTERPRETATION

In our machine learning analysis, we showed that prediction models can reliably and prospectively identify poor remission and recovery outcomes at 1 year for patients with first-episode psychosis using baseline clinical variables at first clinical contact.

FUNDING

Lundbeck Foundation.

Time Course of Changes in Peripheral Blood Gene Expression During Medication Treatment for Major Depressive Disorder

Changes in gene expression (GE) during antidepressant treatment may increase understanding of the action of antidepressant medications and serve as biomarkers of efficacy. GE changes in peripheral blood are desirable because they can be assessed easily on multiple occasions during treatment. We report here on GE changes in 68 individuals who were treated for 8 weeks with either escitalopram alone, or escitalopram followed by bupropion. GE changes were assessed after 1, 2, and 8 weeks of treatment, with significant changes observed in 156, 121, and 585 peripheral blood gene transcripts, respectively. Thirty-one transcript changes were shared between the 1- and 8-week time points (seven upregulated, 24 downregulated). Differences were detected between the escitalopram- and bupropion-treated subjects, although there was no significant association between GE changes and clinical outcome. A subset of 18 genes overlapped with those previously identified as differentially expressed in subjects with MDD compared with healthy control subjects. There was statistically significant overlap between genes differentially expressed in the current and previous studies, with 10 genes overlapping in at least two previous studies. There was no enrichment for genes overexpressed in nervous system cell types, but there was a trend toward enrichment for genes in the WNT/β-catenin pathway in the anterior thalamus; three genes in this pathway showed differential expression in the present and in three previous studies. Our dataset and other similar studies will provide an important source of information about potential biomarkers of recovery and for potential dysregulation of GE in MDD.

Predictive Value of Slow and Fast EEG Oscillations for Methylphenidate Response in ADHD

Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is the most common neurodevelopmental disorder and is characterized by symptoms of inattention and/or hyperactivity and impulsivity. In the current study, we obtained quantitative EEG (QEEG) recordings of 51 children aged between 6 and 12 years before the initiation of methylphenidate treatment. The relationship between changes in the scores of ADHD symptoms and initial QEEG features (power/power ratios values) were assessed. In addition, the children were classified as responder and nonresponder according to the ratio of their response to the medication (>25% improvement after medication). Logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the accuracy of QEEG features for predicting responders. The findings indicate that patients with increased delta power at F8, theta power at Fz, F4, C3, Cz, T5, and gamma power at T6 and decreased beta powers at F8 and P3 showed more improvement in ADHD hyperactivity symptoms. In addition, increased delta/beta power ratio at F8 and theta/beta power ratio at F8, F3, Fz, F4, C3, Cz, P3, and T5 showed negative correlations with Conners' score difference of hyperactivity as well. This means, those with greater theta/beta and delta/beta powers showed more improvement in hyperactivity following medication. Theta power at Cz and T5 and theta/beta power ratios at C3, Cz, and T5 have significantly classified responders and nonresponders according to the logistic binary regression analysis. The results show that slow and fast oscillations may have predictive value for treatment response in ADHD. Future studies should seek for more sensitive biomarkers.

Early change in reward and punishment sensitivity as a predictor of response to antidepressant treatment for major depressive disorder: a CAN-BIND-1 report

BACKGROUND

In an effort to optimize patient outcomes, considerable attention is being devoted to identifying patient characteristics associated with major depressive disorder (MDD) and its responsiveness to treatment. In the current study, we extend this work by evaluating whether early change in these sensitivities is associated with response to antidepressant treatment for MDD.

METHODS

Participants included 210 patients with MDD who were treated with 8 weeks of escitalopram and 112 healthy comparison participants. Of the original 210 patients, 90 non-responders received adjunctive aripiprazole for an additional 8 weeks. Symptoms of depression and anhedonia were assessed at the beginning of treatment and 8 weeks later in both samples. Reward and punishment sensitivity were assessed using the BIS/BAS scales measured at the initiation of treatment and 2 weeks later.

RESULTS

Individuals with MDD exhibited higher punishment sensitivity and lower reward sensitivity compared with healthy comparison participants. Change in reward sensitivity during the first 2 weeks of treatment was associated with improved depressive symptoms and anhedonia following 8 weeks of treatment with escitalopram. Similarly, improvement in reward responsiveness during the first 2 weeks of adjunctive therapy with aripiprazole was associated with fewer symptoms of depression at post-treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings highlight the predictive utility of early change in reward sensitivity during antidepressant treatment for major depression. In a clinical setting, a lack of change in early reward processing may signal a need to modify a patient's treatment plan with alternative or augmented treatment approaches.

The Association between Serum Magnesium Levels and Depression in an Adult Primary Care Population

Depression is common, places a large burden on the patient, their family and community, and is often difficult to treat. Magnesium supplementation is associated with improved depressive symptoms, but because the mechanism is unknown, it is unclear whether serum magnesium levels act as a biological predictor of the treatment outcome. Therefore, we sought to describe the relationship between serum magnesium and the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ, a measure of depression) scores. A cross-sectional analysis of medical records from 3604 adults (mean age 62 years; 42% men) seen in primary care clinics between 2015 and 2018, with at least one completed PHQ were included. The relationship between serum magnesium and depression using univariate analyses showed a significant effect when measured by the PHQ-2 (−0.19 points/mg/dL; 95% CI −0.31, −0.07; P = 0.001) and the PHQ-9 (−0.93 points/mg/dL; 95% CI −1.81, −0.06; P = 0.037). This relationship was strengthened after adjusting for covariates (age, gender, race, time between serum magnesium and PHQ tests, and presence of diabetes and chronic kidney disease) (PHQ-2: −0.25 points/mg/dL; 95% CI −3.33, −0.09; P < 0.001 and PHQ-9: −1.09 95% CI −1.96 −0.21; P = 0.015). For adults seen in primary care, lower serum magnesium levels are associated with depressive symptoms, supporting the use of supplemental magnesium as therapy. Serum magnesium may help identify the biological mechanism of depressive symptoms and identify patients likely to respond to magnesium supplementation.

An Electrophysiological Biomarker That May Predict Treatment Response to ECT

OBJECTIVE

Electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is the most effective treatment for major depression but also carries risk of cognitive side effects. The ability to predict whether treatment will be effective before initiation of treatment could significantly improve quality of care, reduce suffering, and diminish costs. We sought to carry out a comprehensive and definitive study of the relationship between the background electroencephalography (EEG) and therapeutic response to ECT.

METHODS

Twenty-one channel resting EEG was collected pre-ECT and 2 to 3 days after ECT course from 2 separate data sets, one to develop an EEG model of therapeutic response (n = 30) and a second to test this model (n = 40). A 3-way principal components analysis was applied and coherence and spectral amplitude across 6 frequency bands were examined. The primary outcome measure was the Montgomery-Asberg Rating Scale (MADRS).

RESULTS

Four patterns of amplitude and coherence along with baseline MADRS score accounted for 85% of the variance in posttreatment course MADRS score in study 1 (R = 0.85, F = 11.7, P < 0.0002) and 53% of the variance in MADRS score in study 2 (R = 0.53, F = 5.5, P < 0.003). Greater pre-ECT course anterior delta coherence accounted for the majority of variance in therapeutic response (study 1: R = 0.44, P = 0.01; study 2: R = 0.16, P = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest a putative electrophysiological biomarker that can predict therapeutic response before a course of ECT. Greater baseline anterior delta coherence is significantly associated with a better subsequent therapeutic response and could be indicative of intact circuitry allowing for improved seizure propagation.

Moving pharmacoepigenetics tools for depression toward clinical use

BACKGROUND

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a leading cause of disability worldwide, and over half of patients do not achieve symptom remission following an initial antidepressant course. Despite evidence implicating a strong genetic basis for the pathophysiology of MDD, there are no adequately validated biomarkers of treatment response routinely used in clinical practice. Pharmacoepigenetics is an emerging field that has the potential to combine both genetic and environmental information into treatment selection and further the goal of precision psychiatry. However, this field is in its infancy compared to the more established pharmacogenetics approaches.

METHODS

We prepared a narrative review using literature searches of studies in English pertaining to pharmacoepigenetics and treatment of depressive disorders conducted in PubMed, Google Scholar, PsychINFO, and Ovid Medicine from inception through January 2019. We reviewed studies of DNA methylation and histone modifications in both humans and animal models of depression.

RESULTS

Emerging evidence from human and animal work suggests a key role for epigenetic marks, including DNA methylation and histone modifications, in the prediction of antidepressant response. The challenges of heterogeneity of patient characteristics and loci studied as well as lack of replication that have impacted the field of pharmacogenetics also pose challenges to the development of pharmacoepigenetic tools. Additionally, given the tissue specific nature of epigenetic marks as well as their susceptibility to change in response to environmental factors and aging, pharmacoepigenetic tools face additional challenges to their development.

LIMITATIONS

This is a narrative and not systematic review of the literature on the pharmacoepigenetics of antidepressant response. We highlight key studies pertaining to pharmacoepigenetics and treatment of depressive disorders in humans and depressive-like behaviors in animal models, regardless of sample size or methodology. While we discuss DNA methylation and histone modifications, we do not cover microRNAs, which have been reviewed elsewhere recently.

CONCLUSIONS

Utilization of genome-wide approaches and reproducible epigenetic assays, careful selection of the tissue assessed, and integration of genetic and clinical information into pharmacoepigenetic tools will improve the likelihood of developing clinically useful tests.

Hippocampal subfield-specific connectivity findings in major depressive disorder: A 7 Tesla diffusion MRI study

OBJECTIVE

Diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (dMRI) enables non-invasive characterization of white matter (WM) structures in vivo. Prior studies suggest that certain WM tracts may be affected in major depressive disorder (MDD), however, hippocampal subfield-specific dMRI measures have not yet been explored in MDD. We use 7 Tesla dMRI to investigate differences in hippocampal subfield connectivity of MDD patients.

METHODS

Eighteen MDD patients and eighteen matched healthy volunteers underwent 7 Tesla MRI. The hippocampal formations were segmented by subfields and tractography was performed to determine streamline count (SC), fractional anisotropy (FA), and mean diffusivity (MD) in patients and controls. Significant subfield connectivity measures were also correlated with age at depression onset.

RESULTS

Compared with controls, MDD patients exhibited reduced SC in the molecular layer of the left dentate gyrus (p < 0.001). SC count in the left dentate gyrus was shown to positively correlate with age at disease onset (p < 0.05). Increased MD was observed in streamlines emanating from both the left (p = 0.0001) and right (p < 0.001) fimbriae in MDD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased MD of tracts in the fimbriae suggests compromised neuronal membranes in the major hippocampal output gate. Reduced SC of the dentate gyri indexes a disruption of normal cellular processes such as neurogenesis. These findings may have significant implications for identifying biomarkers of MDD and elucidating the neurobiological underpinnings of depression.

Somatic and sociodemographic predictors of depression outcome among depressed patients with coronary artery disease - a secondary analysis of the SPIRR-CAD study

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms are common in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and are associated with an unfavourable outcome. Establishing prognostic patient profiles prior to the beginning of mental health care may facilitate higher efficacy of targeted interventions. The aim of the current study was to identify sociodemographic and somatic predictors of depression outcome among depressed patients with CAD.

METHODS

Based on the dataset of the multicentre SPIRR-CAD randomised controlled trial (n = 570 patients with CAD and ≥ 8 points on the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS)), 141 potential sociodemographic and somatic predictors of the change in the HADS-D depression score from baseline to 18-month-follow-up were derived in two different ways. We screened for univariable association with response, using either analysis of (co)variance or logistic regression, respectively, both adjusted for baseline HADS-D value and treatment group. To guard against overfitting, multivariable association was evaluated by a linear or binomial (generalised) linear model with lasso regularisation, a machine learning approach. Outcome measures were the change in continuous HADS-D depression scores, as well as three established binary criteria. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was calculated to assess possible influences of comorbidities on our results and was also entered in our machine learning approach.

RESULTS

Higher age (p = 0.002), unknown previous myocardial infarction (p = 0.013), and a higher heart rate variability during numeracy tests (p = .020) were univariably associated with a favourable depression outcome, whereas hyperuricemia (p ≤ 0.003), higher triglycerides (p = 0.014), NYHA class III (p ≤ 0.028), state after resuscitation (p ≤ 0.042), intake of thyroid hormones (p = 0.007), antidiabetic drugs (p = 0.015), analgesic drugs (p = 0.027), beta blockers (p = 0.035), uric acid drugs (p ≤ 0.039), and anticholinergic drugs (p = 0.045) were associated with an adverse effect on the HADS-D depression score. In all analyses, no significant differences between study arms could be found and physical comorbidities also had no significant influence on our results.

CONCLUSION

Our findings may contribute to identification of somatic and sociodemographic predictors of depression outcome in patients with CAD. The unexpected effects of specific medication require further clarification and further research is needed to establish a causal association between depression outcome and our predictors.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

www.clinicaltrials.gov   NCT00705965 (registered 27th of June, 2008). www.isrctn.com   ISRCTN76240576 (registered 27th of March, 2008).

Predicting treatment response to antidepressant medication using early changes in emotional processing

Antidepressants must be taken for weeks before response can be assessed with many patients not responding to the first medication prescribed. This often results in long delays before effective treatment is started. Antidepressants induce changes in the processing of emotional stimuli early in the course of treatment. In the current study we assessed whether changes in emotional processing and subjective symptoms over the first week of antidepressant treatment predicted clinical response after 4-8 weeks of treatment. Such a predictive test may shorten the time taken to initiate effective treatment in depressed patients. Seventy-four depressed primary care patients completed measures of emotional bias and subjective symptoms before starting antidepressant treatment and then again 1 week later. Response to treatment was assessed after 4-6 weeks. The performance of classifiers based on these measures was assessed using a leave-one-out validation procedure with the best classifier then tested in an independent sample from a second study of 239 patients. The combination of a facial emotion recognition task and subjective symptoms predicted response with 77% accuracy in the training sample and 60% accuracy in the independent study, significantly better than possible using baseline response rates. The face based measure of emotional bias provided good quality data with high acceptability ratings. Changes in emotional processing can provide a sensitive early measure of antidepressant efficacy for individual patients. Early treatment induced changes in emotional processing may be used to guide antidepressant therapy and reduce the time taken for depressed patients to return to good mental health.

Progress in Elucidating Biomarkers of Antidepressant Pharmacological Treatment Response: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of the Last 15 Years

BACKGROUND

Antidepressant drugs are widely prescribed, but response rates after 3 months are only around one-third, explaining the importance of the search of objectively measurable markers predicting positive treatment response. These markers are being developed in different fields, with different techniques, sample sizes, costs, and efficiency. It is therefore difficult to know which ones are the most promising.

OBJECTIVE

Our purpose was to compute comparable (i.e., standardized) effect sizes, at study level but also at marker level, in order to conclude on the efficacy of each technique used and all analyzed markers.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search on the PubMed database to gather all articles published since 2000 using objectively measurable markers to predict antidepressant response from five domains, namely cognition, electrophysiology, imaging, genetics, and transcriptomics/proteomics/epigenetics. A manual screening of the abstracts and the reference lists of these articles completed the search process.

RESULTS

Executive functioning, theta activity in the rostral Anterior Cingular Cortex (rACC), and polysomnographic sleep measures could be considered as belonging to the best objectively measured markers, with a combined d around 1 and at least four positive studies. For inter-category comparisons, the approaches that showed the highest effect sizes are, in descending order, imaging (combined d between 0.703 and 1.353), electrophysiology (0.294-1.138), cognition (0.929-1.022), proteins/nucleotides (0.520-1.18), and genetics (0.021-0.515).

CONCLUSION

Markers of antidepressant treatment outcome are numerous, but with a discrepant level of accuracy. Many biomarkers and cognitions have sufficient predictive value (d ≥ 1) to be potentially useful for clinicians to predict outcome and personalize antidepressant treatment.

Semi-Automated Biomarker Discovery from Pharmacodynamic Effects on EEG in ADHD Rodent Models

We propose a novel semi-automatic approach to design biomarkers for capturing pharmacodynamic effects induced by pharmacological agents on the spectral power of electroencephalography (EEG) recordings. We apply this methodology to investigate the pharmacodynamic effects of methylphenidate (MPH) and atomoxetine (ATX) on attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), using rodent models. We inject the two agents into the spontaneously hypertensive rat (SHR) model of ADHD, the Wistar-Kyoto rat (WKY), and the Wistar rat (WIS), and record their EEG patterns. To assess individual EEG patterns quantitatively, we use an integrated methodological approach, which consists of calculating the mean, slope and intercept parameters of temporal records of EEG spectral power using a smoothing filter, outlier truncation, and linear regression. We apply Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA) to identify dominant discriminants to be heuristically consolidated into several new composite biomarkers. Results of the analysis of variance (ANOVA) and t-test show benefits in pharmacodynamic parameters, especially the slope parameter. Composite biomarker evaluation confirms their validity for genetic model stratification and the effects of the pharmacological agents used. The methodology proposed is of generic use as an approach to investigating thoroughly the dynamics of the EEG spectral power.

The comparative effectiveness of electroencephalographic indices in predicting response to escitalopram therapy in depression: A pilot study

BACKGROUND

This study aims to compare the effectiveness of EEG frequency band activity including interhemispheric asymmetry and prefrontal theta cordance in predicting response to escitalopram therapy at 8-weeks post-treatment, in a multi-site initiative.

METHODS

Resting state 64-channel EEG data were recorded from 44 patients with a diagnosis of major depressive disorder (MDD) as part of a larger, multisite discovery study of biomarkers in antidepressant treatment response, conducted by the Canadian Biomarker Integration Network in Depression (CAN-BIND). Clinical response was measured at 8-weeks post-treatment as change from baseline Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) score of 50% or more. EEG measures were analyzed at (1) pre-treatment baseline (2) 2 weeks post-treatment and (3) as an ''early change" variable defined as change in EEG from baseline to 2 weeks post-treatment.

RESULTS

At baseline, treatment responders showed elevated absolute alpha power in the left hemisphere while non-responders showed the opposite. Responders further exhibited a cortical asymmetry in the parietal region. Groups also differed in pre-treatment relative delta power with responders showing greater power in the right hemisphere over the left while non-responders showed the opposite. At 2 weeks post-treatment, responders exhibited greater absolute beta power in the left hemisphere relative to the right and the opposite was noted for non-responders. A reverse pattern was noted for absolute and relative delta power at 2 weeks post-treatment. Responders exhibited early reductions in relative alpha power and early increments in relative theta power. Non-responders showed a significant early increase in prefrontal theta cordance.

CONCLUSIONS

Hemispheric asymmetries in the alpha and delta bands at baseline and at 2 weeks post-treatment have moderately strong predictive utility in predicting response to antidepressant treatment.

Quantitative Electroencephalography in Guiding Treatment of Major Depression

This paper reviews significant contributions to the evidence for the use of quantitative electroencephalography features as biomarkers of depression treatment and examines the potential of such technology to guide pharmacotherapy. Frequency band abnormalities such as alpha and theta band abnormalities have shown promise as have combinatorial measures such as cordance (a measure combining alpha and theta power) and the Antidepressant Treatment Response Index in predicting medication treatment response. Nevertheless, studies have been hampered by methodological problems and inconsistencies, and these approaches have ultimately failed to elicit any significant interest in actual clinical practice. More recent machine learning approaches such as the Psychiatric Encephalography Evaluation Registry (PEER) technology and other efforts analyze large datasets to develop variables that may best predict response rather than test a priori hypotheses. PEER is a technology that may go beyond predicting response to a particular antidepressant and help to guide pharmacotherapy.

Neurobiological parameters in quantitative prediction of treatment outcome in schizophrenic patients

The aim of the study was to reveal the set of neurobiological parameters informative for individual quantitative prediction of therapeutic response in schizophrenic patients. Correlation and regression analyses of quantitative clinical scores (by Positive And Negative Syndromes Scale - PANSS), together with background EEG spectral power values and four immunological parameters: enzymatic activity of leukocyte elastase and of alpha-1 proteinase inhibitor, as well as serum levels of autoantibodies to common myelin protein and to nerve growth factor, were performed in 50 patients (all females, aged 32.9±10.8 years) with hallucinatory-delusional disorders in the frames of attack-like paranoid schizophrenia. Background neurobiological data obtained before the beginning of syndrome based treatment course (at visit 1) were matched with PANSS clinical scores of the same patients after treatment course at the stage of remission establishment (at visit 2). The multiple linear regression equations were created which contained only 3 to 4 (from initial 80) background EEG parameters and one of four immunological parameters. These mathematical models allowed prediction from 65% to 76% of PANSS scores variance after treatment course (at visit 2). The data obtained may be used for elaboration of methods of individual quantitative prediction of treatment outcome in schizophrenic patients.

Demonstrating test-retest reliability of electrophysiological measures for healthy adults in a multisite study of biomarkers of antidepressant treatment response

Growing evidence suggests that loudness dependency of auditory evoked potentials (LDAEP) and resting EEG alpha and theta may be biological markers for predicting response to antidepressants. In spite of this promise, little is known about the joint reliability of these markers, and thus their clinical applicability. New standardized procedures were developed to improve the compatibility of data acquired with different EEG platforms, and used to examine test-retest reliability for the three electrophysiological measures selected for a multisite project-Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response for Clinical Care (EMBARC). Thirty-nine healthy controls across four clinical research sites were tested in two sessions separated by about 1 week. Resting EEG (eyes-open and eyes-closed conditions) was recorded and LDAEP measured using binaural tones (1000 Hz, 40 ms) at five intensities (60-100 dB SPL). Principal components analysis of current source density waveforms reduced volume conduction and provided reference-free measures of resting EEG alpha and N1 dipole activity to tones from auditory cortex. Low-resolution electromagnetic tomography (LORETA) extracted resting theta current density measures corresponding to rostral anterior cingulate (rACC), which has been implicated in treatment response. There were no significant differences in posterior alpha, N1 dipole, or rACC theta across sessions. Test-retest reliability was .84 for alpha, .87 for N1 dipole, and .70 for theta rACC current density. The demonstration of good-to-excellent reliability for these measures provides a template for future EEG/ERP studies from multiple testing sites, and an important step for evaluating them as biomarkers for predicting treatment response.

Statistical Analysis Plan for Stage 1 EMBARC (Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response for Clinical Care) Study

Antidepressant medications are commonly used to treat depression, but only about 30% of patients reach remission with any single first-step antidepressant. If the first-step treatment fails, response and remission rates at subsequent steps are even more limited. The literature on biomarkers for treatment response is largely based on secondary analyses of studies designed to answer primary questions of efficacy, rather than on a planned systematic evaluation of biomarkers for treatment decision. The lack of evidence-based knowledge to guide treatment decisions for patients with depression has lead to the recognition that specially designed studies with the primary objective being to discover biosignatures for optimizing treatment decisions are necessary. Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) is one such discovery study. Stage 1 of EMBARC is a randomized placebo controlled clinical trial of 8 week duration. A wide array of patient characteristics is collected at baseline, including assessments of brain structure, function and connectivity along with electrophysiological, biological, behavioral and clinical features. This paper reports on the data analytic strategy for discovering biosignatures for treatment response based on Stage 1 of EMBARC.

Can neurophysiologic measures serve as biomarkers for the efficacy of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation treatment of major depressive disorder?

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) is an effective treatment for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD). There are clinical data that support the efficacy of many different approaches to rTMS treatment, and it remains unclear what combination of stimulation parameters is optimal to relieve depressive symptoms. Because of the costs and complexity of studies that would be necessary to explore and compare the large number of combinations of rTMS treatment parameters, it would be useful to establish reliable surrogate biomarkers of treatment efficacy that could be used to compare different approaches to treatment. This study reviews the evidence that neurophysiologic measures of cortical excitability could be used as biomarkers for screening different rTMS treatment paradigms. It examines evidence that: (1) changes in excitability are related to the mechanism of action of rTMS; (2) rTMS has consistent effects on measures of excitability that could constitute reliable biomarkers; and (3) changes in excitability are related to the outcomes of rTMS treatment of MDD. An increasing body of evidence indicates that these neurophysiologic measures have the potential to serve as reliable biomarkers for screening different approaches to rTMS treatment of MDD.

Brain arousal regulation as response predictor for antidepressant therapy in major depression

A tonically high level of brain arousal and its hyperstable regulation is supposed to be a pathogenic factor in major depression. Preclinical studies indicate that most antidepressants may counteract this dysregulation. Therefore, it was hypothesized that responders to antidepressants show a) a high level of EEG-vigilance (an indicator of brain arousal) and b) a more stable EEG-vigilance regulation than non-responders. In 65 unmedicated depressed patients 15-min resting-state EEGs were recorded off medication (baseline). In 57 patients an additional EEG was recorded 14 ± 1 days following onset of antidepressant treatment (T1). Response was defined as a ≥50% HAMD-17-improvement after 28 ± 1 days of treatment (T2), resulting in 29 responders and 36 non-responders. Brain arousal was assessed using the Vigilance Algorithm Leipzig (VIGALL 2.1). At baseline responders and non-responders differed in distribution of overall EEG-vigilance stages (F2,133 = 4.780, p = 0.009), with responders showing significantly more high vigilance stage A and less low vigilance stage B. The 15-minutes Time-course of EEG-vigilance did not differ significantly between groups. Exploratory analyses revealed that responders showed a stronger decline in EEG-vigilance levels from baseline to T1 than non-responders (F2,130 = 4.978, p = 0.005). Higher brain arousal level in responders to antidepressants supports the concept that dysregulation of brain arousal is a possible predictor of treatment response in affective disorders.

A wavelet-based technique to predict treatment outcome for Major Depressive Disorder

Treatment management for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) has been challenging. However, electroencephalogram (EEG)-based predictions of antidepressant’s treatment outcome may help during antidepressant’s selection and ultimately improve the quality of life for MDD patients. In this study, a machine learning (ML) method involving pretreatment EEG data was proposed to perform such predictions for Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitor (SSRIs). For this purpose, the acquisition of experimental data involved 34 MDD patients and 30 healthy controls. Consequently, a feature matrix was constructed involving time-frequency decomposition of EEG data based on wavelet transform (WT) analysis, termed as EEG data matrix. However, the resultant EEG data matrix had high dimensionality. Therefore, dimension reduction was performed based on a rank-based feature selection method according to a criterion, i.e., receiver operating characteristic (ROC). As a result, the most significant features were identified and further be utilized during the training and testing of a classification model, i.e., the logistic regression (LR) classifier. Finally, the LR model was validated with 100 iterations of 10-fold cross-validation (10-CV). The classification results were compared with short-time Fourier transform (STFT) analysis, and empirical mode decompositions (EMD). The wavelet features extracted from frontal and temporal EEG data were found statistically significant. In comparison with other time-frequency approaches such as the STFT and EMD, the WT analysis has shown highest classification accuracy, i.e., accuracy = 87.5%, sensitivity = 95%, and specificity = 80%. In conclusion, significant wavelet coefficients extracted from frontal and temporal pre-treatment EEG data involving delta and theta frequency bands may predict antidepressant’s treatment outcome for the MDD patients.

Escitalopram but not placebo modulates brain rhythmic oscillatory activity in the first week of treatment of Major Depressive Disorder

Serotonin modulates brain oscillatory activity, and serotonergic projections to the thalamus and cortex modulate the frequency of prefrontal rhythmic oscillations. Changes in serotonergic tone have been reported to shift oscillations between the combined delta-theta (2.5-8 Hz) and the alpha (8-12 Hz) frequency ranges. Such frequency shifts may constitute a useful biomarker for the effects of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) medications in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD). We utilized quantitative electroencephalography (qEEG) to measure shifts in prefrontal rhythmic oscillations early in treatment with either the SSRI escitalopram or placebo, and examined the relationship between these changes and remission of depressive symptoms. Prefrontal delta-theta and alpha power were calculated for 194 subjects with moderate MDD prior to and one week after start of treatment. Changes at one week in delta-theta and alpha power, as well as the delta-theta/alpha ratio, were examined in three cohorts: initial (N = 70) and replication (N = 76) cohorts treated with escitalopram, and a cohort treated with placebo (N = 48). Mean delta-theta power significantly increased and alpha power decreased after one week of escitalopram treatment, but did not significantly change with placebo treatment. The delta-theta/alpha ratio change was a specific predictor of the likelihood of remission after seven weeks of medication treatment: a large increase in this ratio was associated with non-remission in escitalopram-treated subjects, but not placebo-treated subjects. Escitalopram and placebo treatment have differential effects on delta-theta and alpha frequency oscillations. Early increase in delta-theta/alpha may constitute a replicable biomarker for non-remission during SSRI treatment of MDD.