The value of procalcitonin at predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis and development of infected pancreatic necrosis: systematic review. Surgery. 2009;146:72-81. [PMID: 19541012 DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2009.02.013]

Analysis of Risk Factors for Severe Acute Pancreatitis in the Early Period (<24 h) After Admission

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has high mortality. Early identification of high-risk factors that may progress to SAP and active intervention measures may improve the prognosis of SAP patients.

OBJECTIVE

Clinical data within 24 h after admission were retrospectively analyzed to provide an evidence for early screening of high-risk factors in patients with SAP.

METHODS

A review of clinical data of acute pancreatitis patients from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2022, was conducted. We compared the clinical data of SAP and non-SAP patients, and a multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify the independent predictors of SAP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of SAP was drawn for continuous numerical variables to calculate the optimal clinical cutoff value of each variable, and the predictive value of each variable was compared by the area under the ROC curve.

RESULTS

Based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis of Age (odds ratio (OR), 1.032;95% confident interval (CI),1.018-1.046, p < 0.001), body mass index (BMI) (OR, 1.181; 95% CI,1.083-1.288, p < 0.001), Non-HTGAP (nonhypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis) (OR, 2.098; 95% CI,1.276-3.45, p = 0.003), white blood cell count (WBC) (OR,1.072; 95% CI,1.034-1.111, p < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR, 1.060; 95% CI, 1.027-1.095, p < 0.001), serum calcium (Ca) (OR,0.121; 95% CI, 0.050-0.292, p < 0.001), computed tomography severity index (CTSI) ≥4 (OR,12.942;95% CI,7.267-23.049, p < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for SAP. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) and optimal CUT-OFF values of continuous numerical variables for predicting SAP were Age (0.6079,51.5), BMI (0.6,23.25), WBC (0.6701,14.565), PCT (0.7086, 0.5175), Ca (0.7787,1.965), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Age, BMI, non-HTGAP, WBC, PCT, serum Ca and CTSI≥4 have good predictive value for SAP.

Early Endoscopic Interventions for Pancreatic Necrosis: Indications, Technique, and Outcomes

Endoscopic transmural drainage is usually performed for symptomatic well-encapsulated walled-off necrosis (WON) that usually develops in the delayed phase (> 4 weeks after disease onset) of acute necrotising pancreatitis (ANP). Endoscopic drainage is usually not advocated in the early (< 4 weeks after disease onset) stage of illness because of the risk of complications due to an incompletely formed encapsulating wall and poor demarcation of viable from necrotic tissue. However, emerging data from expert tertiary care centres over the last few years shows that the early endoscopic transluminal drainage approach is effective and safe. The development of lumen-apposing metal stents and better accessories for endoscopic necrosectomy has fuelled the expansion of indications of endoscopic drainage of pancreatic necrosis. However, early endoscopic drainage is associated with higher rates of adverse events; therefore, careful patient selection is paramount. This article will review the current indications, techniques and outcomes of early endoscopic transluminal drainage in pancreatic necrotic collections.

Infected pancreatic necrosis-Current trends in management

Acute necrotizing pancreatitis is a common gastrointestinal disease requiring hospitalization and multiple interventions resulting in higher morbidity and mortality. Development of infection in such necrotic tissue is one of the sentinel events in natural history of necrotizing pancreatitis. Infected necrosis develops in around 1/3rd of patients with necrotizing pancreatitis resulting in higher mortality. So, timely diagnosis of infected necrosis using clinical, laboratory and radiological parameters is of utmost importance. Though initial conservative management with antibiotics and organ support system is effective in some patients, a majority of patients still requires drainage of the collection by various modalities. Mode of drainage of infected pancreatic necrosis depends on various factors such as the clinical status of the patient, location and characteristics of collection and availability of the expertise and includes endoscopic, percutaneous and minimally invasive or open surgical approaches. Endoscopic drainage has proved to be a game changer in the management of infected pancreatic necrosis in the last decade with rapid evolution in procedure techniques, development of novel metal stent and dedicated necrosectomy devices for better clinical outcome. Despite widespread adoption of endoscopic transluminal drainage of pancreatic necrosis with excellent clinical outcomes, peripheral collections are still not amenable for endoscopic drainage and in such scenario, the role of percutaneous catheter drainage or minimally invasive surgical necrosectomy cannot be understated. In a nutshell, the management of patients with infected pancreatic necrosis involves a multi-disciplinary team including a gastroenterologist, an intensivist, an interventional radiologist and a surgeon for optimum clinical outcomes.

Neutrophil CD64 index as a new early predictive biomarker for infected pancreatic necrosis in acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

Infectious pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a serious complication of acute pancreatitis, and early recognition and timely intervention are the keys to improving clinical outcomes. The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive capacity of the neutrophil CD64 index (nCD64 index) on IPN in patients with acute pancreatitis METHODS: This study comprises two independent cohorts: the training cohort consisted of 202 patients from Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, and the validation cohort consisted of 100 patients from Changsha Central Hospital. Peripheral blood samples were collected on the day of admission and on the 3rd, 5th, 7th, and 10th days of hospitalization, and the nCD64 index was detected by flow cytometry. Additionally, relevant clinical characteristics and laboratory biomarkers were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

We observed that nCD64 index on admission was significantly higher in the IPN group than Non-IPN group (p < 0.001). In the training cohort, a higher occurrence rate of IPN was observed in the high nCD64 index group compared to the moderate and low nCD64 index group (p < 0.001). Further analysis showed that nCD64 index was significant positive correlated with the incidence rate of IPN (p < 0.001, correlation coefficient = 0.972). Furthermore, logistic regression analysis showed that high expression of the nCD64 index on admission was a risk factor for the occurrence of IPN (OR = 2.971, p = 0.038). We further found that the nCD64 index of IPN patients was significantly higher than the Non-IPN patients on the days 1, 3, and 5 after admission, and the nCD64 index of IPN patients before and after the onset (p < 0.05). At the same time, this study revealed that the nCD64 index on admission showed good predictive efficacy for IPN (AUC = 0.859, sensitivity = 80.8%, specificity = 87.5%), which was comparable to APACHE II score. And this finding was further validated in an independent cohort of 100 participants (AUC = 0.919, Sensitivity = 100.0%, Specificity = 76.6%).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated the clinical value of nCD64 index in patients with IPN patients for the first time through two independent cohort studies. The nCD64 index can be used as an early prediction and risk assessment tool for the occurrence of IPN, contributing to the improvement of patient outcomes and efficiency of medical resource allocation.

Severe Acute Pancreatitis Prediction: A Model Derived From a Prospective Registry Cohort

Background Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a mortality rate as high as 40%. Early identification of SAP is required to appropriately triage and direct initial therapies. The purpose of this study was to develop a prognostic model that identifies patients at risk for developing SAP of patients managed according to a guideline-based standardized early medical management (EMM) protocol. Methods This single-center study included all patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) and managed with the EMM protocol Methodist Acute Pancreatitis Protocol (MAPP) between April 2017 and September 2022. Classification and regression tree (CART®; Professional Extended Edition, version 8.0; Salford Systems, San Diego, CA), univariate, and logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a scoring system for AP severity prediction. The accuracy of the scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results A total of 516 patients with mild (n=436) or moderately severe and severe (n=80) AP were analyzed. CART analysis identified the cutoff values: creatinine (CR) (1.15 mg/dL), white blood cells (WBC) (10.5 × 109/L), procalcitonin (PCT) (0.155 ng/mL), and systemic inflammatory response system (SIRS). The prediction model was built with a multivariable logistic regression analysis, which identified CR, WBC, PCT, and SIRS as the main predictors of severity. When CR and only one other predictor value (WBC, PCT, or SIRS) met thresholds, then the probability of predicting SAP was >30%. The probability of predicting SAP was 72% (95%CI: 0.59-0.82) if all four of the main predictors were greater than the cutoff values. Conclusions Baseline laboratory cutoff values were identified and a logistic regression-based prognostic model was developed to identify patients treated with a standardized EMM who were at risk for SAP.

Kynurenine pathway alteration in acute pancreatitis and its role as a biomarker of infected necrosis

INTRODUCTION

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a major cause of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Currently, no specific strategies are available to predict the development of IPN. Earlier we reported that persistent down-regulation of HLA-DR increases risk of developing IPN. Altered kynurenine pathway (KP) metabolites showed poor prognosis in sepsis. Here we evaluated the role of HLA-DR and KP in IPN.

METHODS

Patients with ANP and healthy controls were enrolled. Demographic and clinical parameters were recorded. Circulating interleukin (IL)-8, 6, 1β, 10, Tumor necrosis factor-α were quantified using flowcytometry. Plasma procalcitonin, endotoxin, and KP (tryptophan, kynurenine) concentrations were estimated using ELISA. qRT-PCR was conducted to evaluate mRNA expression of HLA-DR, IL-10, Toll like receptor-4 (TLR-4), and kynurenine-3-monooxygenase (KMO) genes on peripheral blood mononuclear cells. Plasma metabolites were quantified using gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS/MS). Standard statistical methods were used to compare study groups. Metaboanalyst was used to analyse/visualize the metabolomics data.

RESULTS

We recruited 56 patients in Cohort-1 (IPN:26,Non-IPN:30), 78 in Cohort-2 (IPN:57,Non-IPN:21), 26 healthy controls. Increased cytokines, endotoxin, and procalcitonin were observed in patients with IPN compared to Non-IPN. HLA-DR and KMO gene expressions were significantly down-regulated in IPN groups, showed positive correlation with one another but negatively correlated with IL-6 and endotoxin concentrations. Increased IDO and decreased plasma tryptophan were observed in IPN patients. Metabolome analysis showed significant reduction in several essential amino acids including tryptophan in IPN patients. Tryptophan, at a concentration of 9 mg/ml showed an AUC of 91.9 (95%CI 86.5-97.4) in discriminating IPN.

CONCLUSION

HLA-DR downregulation and KP alteration are related to IPN. The KP metabolite plasma tryptophan can act as a potential biomarker for IPN.

Acute Pancreatitis: Current Clinical Approaches, Molecular Pathophysiology, and Potential Therapeutics

OBJECTIVE

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), pancreatic inflammation leading to multiorgan failure, is associated with high morbidity and mortality. There is a critical need to identify novel therapeutic strategies to improve clinical outcomes for SAP patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A comprehensive literature review was performed to identify current clinical strategies, known molecular pathophysiology, and potential therapeutic targets for SAP.

RESULTS

Current clinical approaches focus on determining which patients will likely develop SAP. However, therapeutic options are limited to supportive care and fluid resuscitation. The application of a novel 5-cytokine panel accurately predicting disease outcomes in SAP suggests that molecular approaches will improve impact of future clinical trials in AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammatory outcomes in acute pancreatitis are driven by several unique molecular signals, which compound to promote both local and systemic inflammation. The identification of master cytokine regulators is critical to developing therapeutics, which reduce inflammation through several mechanisms.

Procalcitonin as a biomarker to guide treatments for patients with lower respiratory tract infections

INTRODUCTION

Lower respiratory tract infections are amongst the main causes for hospital/intensive care unit admissions and antimicrobial prescriptions. In order to reduce antimicrobial pressure, antibiotic administration could be optimized through procalcitonin-based algorithms.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, we discuss the performances of procalcitonin for the diagnosis and the management of community-acquired and ventilator-associated pneumonia. We provide up-to-date evidence and deliver clear messages regarding the purpose of procalcitonin to reduce unnecessary antimicrobial exposure.

EXPERT OPINION

Antimicrobial pressure and resulting antimicrobial resistances are a major public health issue as well as a daily struggle in the management of patients with severe infectious diseases, especially in intensive care units where antibiotic exposure is high. Procalcitonin-guided antibiotic administration has proven its efficacy in reducing unnecessary antibiotic use in lower respiratory tract infections without excess in mortality, hospital length of stay or disease relapse. Procalcitonin-guided algorithms should be implemented in wards taking care of patients with severe infections. However, procalcitonin performances are different regarding the setting of the infection (community versus hospital-acquired infections) the antibiotic management (start or termination of antibiotic) as well as patient's condition (immunosuppressed or in shock) and we encourage the physicians to be aware of these limitations.

Antibiotic Utilization in Acute Pancreatitis: A Narrative Review

Acute pancreatitis is a complex inflammatory disease with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite advances in its management, the role of antibiotics in the prophylaxis and treatment of acute pancreatitis remains controversial. The aim of this comprehensive review is to analyze current evidence on the use of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis, focusing on prophylactic and therapeutic strategies. Prophylactic use aims to prevent local and systemic infections. However, recent studies have questioned the routine use of antibiotics for prophylaxis and highlighted the potential risks of antibiotic resistance and adverse effects. In selected high-risk cases, such as infected necrotizing pancreatitis, prophylactic antibiotic therapy may still be beneficial. As for therapeutic use, antibiotics are usually used to treat infected pancreatic necrosis and extrapancreatic infections. When selecting an antibiotic, the microbiologic profile and local resistance patterns should be considered. Combination therapy with broad-spectrum antibiotics is often recommended to cover both Gram-positive and Gram-negative pathogens. Recent research has highlighted the importance of individualized approaches to antibiotic use in acute pancreatitis and underscored the need for a tailored approach based on patient-specific factors. This review also highlights the potential role of new antimicrobial agents and alternative strategies, such as probiotics, in the management of acute pancreatitis.

Should Procalcitonin Be Included in Acute Cholecystitis Guidelines? A Systematic Review

Background and Objectives: Acute cholecystitis (AC) is a common surgical emergency. Recent evidence suggests that serum procalcitonin (PCT) is superior to leukocytosis and serum C-reactive protein in the diagnosis and severity stratification of acute infections. This review evaluates the role of PCT in AC diagnosis, severity stratification, and management. Materials and Methods: PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched from inception till 21 August 2022 for studies reporting the role of PCT in AC. A qualitative analysis of the existing literature was conducted. Results: Five articles, including 688 patients, were included. PCT ≤ 0.52 ng/mL had fair discriminative ability (Area under the curve (AUC) 0.721, p < 0.001) to differentiate Grade 1 from Grade 2-3 AC, and PCT > 0.8 ng/mL had good discriminatory ability to differentiate Grade 3 from 1-2 AC (AUC 0.813, p < 0.001). PCT cut-off ≥ 1.50 ng/mL predicted difficult laparoscopic cholecystectomy (sensitivity 91.3%, specificity 76.8%). The incidence of open conversion was higher with PCT ≥ 1 ng/mL (32.4% vs. 14.6%, p = 0.013). A PCT value of >0.09 ng/mL could predict major complications (defined as open conversion, mechanical ventilation, and death). Conclusions: Current evidence is plagued by the heterogeneity of small sample studies. Though PCT has some role in assessing severity and predicting difficult cholecystectomy, and postoperative complications in AC patients, more evidence is necessary to validate its use.

Pancreatitis aguda: puntos clave. Revisión argumentativa de la literatura

Introducción. La pancreatitis aguda es una condición gastrointestinal común que se asocia a una importante morbimortalidad. Se estima que su incidencia es de 34 por cada 100.000 habitantes, afecta principalmente a adultos a partir de la sexta década de la vida y en nuestra región es debida en la mayoría de los casos a cálculos biliares. Métodos. Se hizo una revisión de los aspectos fundamentales de esta patología, común y potencialmente mortal. Resultados. El diagnóstico requiere del hallazgo de manifestaciones clínicas, aumento de las enzimas pancreáticas en suero y, en ocasiones, el uso de imágenes diagnósticas. Se puede clasificar en leve, moderada y severa, lo cual es fundamental para determinar la necesidad de tratamiento y vigilancia en una unidad de cuidados intensivos. Conclusión. En la actualidad los pilares de manejo de la pancreatitis aguda son la terapia temprana con líquidos, tratamiento del dolor, inicio precoz de la vía oral y resolución del factor etiológico desencadenante. En presencia de complicaciones o un curso severo de enfermedad, pueden requerirse manejo antibiótico e intervenciones invasivas.

Revised Clinical Practice Guidelines of the Korean Pancreatobiliary Association for Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis can range from a mild, self-limiting disease requiring no more than supportive care, to severe disease with life-threatening complications. With the goal of providing a recommendation framework for clinicians to manage acute pancreatitis, and to contribute to improvements in national health care, the Korean Pancreatobiliary Association (KPBA) established the Korean guidelines for acute pancreatitis management in 2013. However, many challenging issues exist which often lead to differences in clinical practices. In addition, with newly obtained evidence regarding acute pancreatitis, there have been great changes in recent knowledge and information regarding this disorder. Therefore, the KPBA committee underwent an extensive revision of the guidelines. The revised guidelines were developed using the Delphi method, and the main topics of the guidelines include the following: diagnosis, severity assessment, initial treatment, nutritional support, convalescent treatment, and the treatment of local complications and necrotizing pancreatitis. Specific recommendations are presented, along with the evidence levels and recommendation grades.

Case report: Ewing sarcoma with EWSR-ERG fusion elevates procalcitonin extremely in the long term without infection

Background

Ewing sarcoma (ES) represents a rare, aggressive bone and soft-tissue cancer. Unlike breast, liver, pancreatic, and prostate cancers, Ewing sarcoma has had no representative tumor marker until now. The use of procalcitonin (PCT) as a tumor marker is also rarely reported. PCT is a clinically recognized and widely used inflammatory marker in recent years. In rare cases, PCT may also be falsely positive due to non-infectious factors. In the few previously reported papers regarding the correlation between tumors and PCT, we learned that abnormalities of PCT level can also be impacted by individual cancers.

Case presentation

Here, we first reported a case of Ewing sarcoma with markedly elevated PCT without infection and carried out some literature review. The patient was a middle-aged man with extraskeletal Ewing sarcoma whose lesion was located in the distal abdominal ileum. He had a sudden and unprovoked onset of high fever during chemotherapy before surgery. After multiple examinations, the patient's blood routine, C-reactive protein, blood culture, and CT examination showed no signs of infection, and even the culture from the end of the central venous catheter showed no pathogen growth. Only PCT increased dramatically to more than 200 ng/ml. PCT remained at this level for several months until a single abdominal lumpectomy was performed before it dropped to near-normal levels.

Conclusion

In our report, PCT is significantly elevated in Ewing sarcoma in the absence of infection. Not only that, but we particularly highlighted the precipitous drop in PCT following tumor resection.

Dynamics of Serum Procalcitonin Can Predict Outcome in Patients of Infected Pancreatic Necrosis: A Prospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Timely intervention can alter outcome in patients of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) but lacks adequate biomarker. Role of serum procalcitonin (PCT) in the management of IPN is understudied, and hence, this study was planned.

METHODOLOGY

All patients of acute pancreatitis with IPN without prior intervention were included. Baseline demographic, radiological and laboratory parameters were documented. PCT was measured at baseline, prior to intervention, and thereafter every 72 h. Patients were grouped into those having baseline PCT < 1.0 ng/mL and those with PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL and various outcome measures were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 242 patients screened, 103 cases (66 males; 64.1%) with IPN were grouped into 2: PCT < 1.0 ng/mL (n = 29) and PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL (n = 74). Patients with baseline PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL had significantly more severe disease scores. 16 out of 19 patients with rise in PCT on day-7 post-intervention expired. PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL group had higher need for ICU (p = 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.044). PCT > 2.25 ng/mL (aOR 22.56; p = 0.013) at baseline and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of baseline at day-7 post-intervention (aOR 53.76; p = 0.001) were significant mortality predictors.

CONCLUSION

Baseline PCT > 1.0 ng/mL is associated with poor outcome. PCT > 2.25 ng/mL and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of its baseline at day-7 post-intervention can identify high-mortality risk patients.

Fibrinogen-like Protein 1 as a Predictive Marker for the Incidence of Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Infectious Pancreatic Necrosis

Background and Objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is defined as an acute inflammatory disorder of the pancreas and is a common gastrointestinal disease. Since currently used indicators lack specifics and cannot accurately reflect the phase of disease, better diagnostic approaches need to be explored. Fibrinogen-like protein 1 (FGL-1) is a reactant in acute inflammatory diseases and is increased in the plasma of AP patients. In the current study, we aim to investigate the clinical benefits of FGL-1 in predicting the severity of AP and infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN), which can improve the diagnostic efficiency of AP. Materials and Methods: In this study, 63 patients diagnosed with AP from December 2018 to September 2019 were enrolled. Regarding the severity of AP, patients were separated into severe acute pancreatitis (SAP, n = 12) and No-SAP groups (n = 51). On the basis of infective conditions, patients were divided into IPN (n = 9) and No-IPN (n = 54) groups. The demographic data (sex and age) and blood parameters (WBC, HCT, glucose, calcium, FIB, APTT, PCT, CRP, and FGL-1) were retrospectively analyzed. Results: The plasma FGL-1 levels were increased in both SAP (p < 0.01) and IPN (p < 0.05) subgroups compared to the healthy control group. Multivariate analysis showed that elevated plasma FGL-1 (p < 0.01) and PCT levels (p < 0.05) within 72 h after the onset of AP were positively correlated with the severity of AP, while increased plasma FGL-1 (p < 0.01) and CRP (p < 0.05) levels were positively correlated with the occurrence of IPN. The combination of FGL-1 and PCT showed superiority to both individual markers in SAP prediction. However, the combination of FGL-1 and CRP showed no diagnostic advantage over CRP in IPN prediction. Conclusions: Plasma FGL-1 within 72 h after the onset could be used for the stratification of AP and its infectious complications. The combination of PCT and FGL-1 presents an enormous advantage for the early identification of SAP.

Gut microbiota on admission as predictive biomarker for acute necrotizing pancreatitis

Background

Acute necrotizing pancreatitis (NP), a severe form of acute pancreatitis (AP), has higher mortality and worse outcome than non-necrotizing pancreatitis (non-NP). Infected NP is a devastating subgroup of NP. To date neither NP nor infected NP has robust prediction strategies, which may delay early recognition and timely intervention. Recent studies revealed correlations between disturbed gut microbiota and AP severity. Some features of intestinal microbiota have the potential to become biomarkers for NP prediction.

Methods

We performed 16S rRNA sequencing to analyze gut microbiota features in 20 healthy controls (HC), and 58 AP patients on hospital admission. The AP patients were later classified into NP and non-NP groups based on subsequent diagnostic imaging features. Random forest regression model and ROC curve were applied for NP and infected NP prediction. PIRCUSt2 was used for bacterial functional pathway prediction analysis.

Results

We found that the three groups (HC, NP, and non-NP) had distinct microorganism composition. NP patients had reduced microbial diversity, higher abundance of Enterobacteriales, but lower abundance of Clostridiales and Bacteroidales compared with the non-NP group. Correlation analyses displayed that intestine bacterial taxonomic alterations were related to severity, ICU admission, and prognosis. By pathway prediction, species more abundant in NP patients had positive correlation with synthesis and degradation of ketone bodies, and benzoate degradation. Enterococcus faecium (ASV2) performed best in discriminating NP and non-NP patients. Finegoldia magna (ASV3) showed the maximal prediction capacity among all ASVs and had comparable accuracy with Balthazar CT to detect patients with infected NP.

Conclusions

Our study suggests that NP patients have distinct intestinal microbiota on admission compared to non-NP patients. Dysbiosis of intestinal microbiota might influence NP progression through ketone body or benzoate metabolism. Enterococcus faecium and Finegoldia magna are potential predictors for NP and infected NP. Our findings explore biomarkers which may inform clinical decision-making in AP and shed light on further studies on NP pathophysiology and management.

Indian College of Radiology and Imaging Consensus Guidelines on Interventions in Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the common gastrointestinal conditions presenting as medical emergency. Clinically, the severity of AP ranges from mild to severe. Mild AP has a favorable outcome. Patients with moderately severe and severe AP, on the other hand, require hospitalization and considerable utilization of health care resources. These patients require a multidisciplinary management. Pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) and arterial bleeding are the most important local complications of pancreatitis. PFCs may require drainage when infected or symptomatic. PFCs are drained endoscopically or percutaneously, based on the timing and the location of collection. Both the techniques are complementary, and many patients may undergo dual modality treatment. Percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) remains the most extensively utilized method for drainage in patients with AP and necrotic PFCs. Besides being effective as a standalone treatment in a significant proportion of these patients, PCD also provides an access for percutaneous endoscopic necrosectomy and minimally invasive necrosectomy. Endovascular embolization is the mainstay of management of arterial complications in patients with AP and chronic pancreatitis. The purpose of the present guideline is to provide evidence-based recommendations for the percutaneous management of complications of pancreatitis.

Guidelines for the management of patients with severe acute pancreatitis, 2021

OBJECTIVE

To provide guidelines for the management of the intensive care patient with severe acute pancreatitis.

DESIGN

A consensus committee of 22 experts was convened. A formal conflict-of-interest (COI) policy was developed at the beginning of the process and enforced throughout. The entire guideline construction process was conducted independently of any industrial funding (i.e. pharmaceutical, medical devices). The authors were required to follow the rules of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE®) system to guide assessment of quality of evidence. The potential drawbacks of making strong recommendations in the presence of low-quality evidence were emphasised.

METHODS

The most recent SFAR and SNFGE guidelines on the management of the patient with severe pancreatitis were published in 2001. The literature now is sufficient for an update. The committee studied 14 questions within 3 fields. Each question was formulated in a PICO (Patients Intervention Comparison Outcome) format and the relevant evidence profiles were produced. The literature review and recommendations were made according to the GRADE® methodology.

RESULTS

The experts' synthesis work and their application of the GRADE® method resulted in 24 recommendations. Among the formalised recommendations, 8 have high levels of evidence (GRADE 1+/-) and 12 have moderate levels of evidence (GRADE 2+/-). For 4 recommendations, the GRADE method could not be applied, resulting in expert opinions. Four questions did not find any response in the literature. After one round of scoring, strong agreement was reached for all the recommendations.

CONCLUSIONS

There was strong agreement among experts for 24 recommendations to improve practices for the management of intensive care patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

The role of procalcitonin as a prognostic factor for acute cholangitis and infections in acute pancreatitis: a prospective cohort study from a European single center

BACKGROUND

Infection in acute pancreatitis will worsen the disease prognosis. The aim of our study was to analyze the role of procalcitonin as a prognostic biomarker for infections and clinical severity.

METHOD

A prospective single-cohort observational study of patients diagnosed of acute pancreatitis (n = 152) was designed. PCT determination was tested on admission (first 72 h). Infections (biliary, extrapancreatic and infected pancreatic necrosis), need for antibiotics, urgent ERCP and severity scores for acute pancreatitis was assessed. ROC curves were designed and the area under the curve was calculated. Logistic regression for multivariate analysis was performed to evaluate the association between procalcitonin optimal cut-off level and major complications.

RESULTS

PCT >0.68 mg/dL had higher incidence of global infection, acute cholangitis, bacteraemia, infected pancreatic necrosis, use of antibiotics in general, and need for urgent ERCP. In the multivariate regressions analysis, PCT >0.68 mg/dL at admission demonstrated to be a strong risk factor for complications in acute pancreatitis.

DISCUSSION

PCT levels can be used as a reliable laboratory test to predict infections and the clinical severity of acute pancreatitis. High levels of PCT predict antibiotics prescription as well as the need for urgent ERCP in patients with concomitant clinically severe cholangitis.

Persistent Eosinophilia and Fever in Pancreatitis: A Clinical Conundrum

A healthy 11-year-old girl presents with epigastric abdominal pain, fever, weight loss, and decreased appetite for 1 month. On physical examination, she appears ill, dehydrated, and cachectic. Her abdominal examination is significant for large ascites with a fluid wave and is nontender to palpation. Her labs show leukocytosis with an eosinophilic-predominant granulocytosis and an absolute eosinophil count of 6800/mm3. She has elevated serum inflammatory markers, hypoalbuminemia, and lipase is 5000 U/L. Magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) shows an irregular and dilated pancreatic duct, so she had an endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography with pancreatic stent placement, paracentesis, and colonoscopy. Her peritoneal fluid was significant for an eosinophilic-predominant granulocytosis with no evidence of malignancy on flow cytometry. All other studies and cultures did not reveal an etiology. She initially showed improvement, 18 days later she developed a fever, night sweats, tachycardia, and abdominal distention. Empiric antibiotics were initiated due to concern for infected pancreatic necrosis versus spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. Repeat MRCP showed interval development of 2 peripancreatic fluid collections and re-accumulation of ascites. She continued to have daily fever ranging from 39°C to 40°C. Repeat paracentesis and evaluation of her peritoneal fluid showed resolution of eosinophilia with an elevated neutrophil count, negative Gram stain, and no growth on culture. She completed a 10-day course of antibiotics, however, remained febrile with elevated inflammatory markers and leukocytosis throughout her hospitalization. A genetic panel to evaluate for a hereditary cause of chronic pancreatitis was sent and returned positive for a mutation of the serine protease inhibitor Kazal type 1.

Nomogram for Predicting Persistent Organ Failure With Acute Pancreatitis in Pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) with persistent organ failure (POF) poses a high risk of death for mother and fetus. This study sought to create a nomogram model for early prediction of POF with APIP patients.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study on APIP patients with organ failure (OF) between January 2012 and March 2021. 131 patients were collected. Their clinical courses and pregnancy outcomes were obtained. Risk factors for POF were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Prediction models with POF were built and nomogram was plotted. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by using a bootstrapped-concordance index and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Hypertriglyceridemia was the most common etiology in this group of APIP patients, which accounted for 50% of transient organ failure (TOF) and 72.3% of POF. All in-hospital maternal death was in the POF group (P<0.05), which also had a significantly higher perinatal mortality rate than the TOF group (P<0.05). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis determined that lactate dehydrogenase, triglycerides, serum creatinine, and procalcitonin were independent risk factors for predicting POF in APIP. A nomogram for POF was created by using the four indicators. The area under the curve was 0.875 (95%CI: 0.80-0.95). The nomogram had a bootstrapped-concordance index of 0.85 and was well-calibrated.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypertriglyceridemia was the leading cause of organ failure-related APIP. Lactate dehydrogenase, triglycerides, serum creatinine, and procalcitonin were the independent risk factors of POF in APIP. Our nomogram model showed an effective prediction of POF with the four indicators in APIP patients.

Association Between Procalcitonin and Post-hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

Objectives: Procalcitonin (PCT) has long been proved as an early diagnostic signal for postoperative outcomes. The purpose of this study is to explore the value of serum procalcitonin levels in predicting post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF), and further to declarethe relationship between postoperative PCT and short-term prognosis in patients after hepatectomy.

Methods: Clinical data of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent hepatectomy from June 1st, 2019 to September 31st, 2020 at Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital had been retrospectively analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the risk factors related to PHLF. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the PHLF rate and 30-day survival after surgery.

Results: A total of 885 patients with complete data were finally included in analysis, 311 of them with elevated serum PCT (≥1 ng/ml). Results of the logistic regression analysis suggested a significant association between PCT and PHLF [HR, 95%CI; 3.801 (1.825, 7.917), p < 0.001]. Other significant risk factors for PHLF included portal hypertension, portal blocking time (>30 min) and blood transfusion (>200 ml). Kaplan-Meier analysis also suggested a higher PHLF rate in elevated PCT patients [9.0% (95% CI, 7.3 to 12.8 VS. 1.9% (95% CI, 1.1–4.3)); p < 0.001]. For secondary outcomes, elevated PCT was also highly associated with postoperative sepsis, ICU admission, 30-day mortality and 3-month mortality.

Conclusion: Elevated procalcitonin level in patients after hepatectomy is related to higher PHLF rate, with lower 30-day survival and poor short-term postoperative outcomes.

Impacts of body composition parameters and liver cirrhosis on the severity of alcoholic acute pancreatitis

AIM

Liver cirrhosis and features of muscle or adipose tissues may affect the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). We aimed to evaluate the impact of body composition parameters and liver cirrhosis on the severity of AP in patients with alcohol-induced AP (AAP).

METHODS

Patients with presumed AAP who underwent CT within one week after admission were retrospectively enrolled. L3 sectional areas of abdominal fat and muscle, and mean muscle attenuations (MMAs) were quantified. The presence of liver cirrhosis was determined using clinical and CT findings. Factors potentially associated with moderately severe or severe AP were included in the multivariable logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 242 patients (47.0 ± 12.6 years, 215 males) with presumed AAP were included. The mild and moderately severe/severe (MSS) groups included 137 (56.6%) and 105 patients (43.4%), respectively. Patients in the MSS group had higher rates of liver cirrhosis, organ failure, and local complications. Among body composition parameters, mean MMA (33.4 vs 36.8 HU, P<0.0001) and abdominal muscle mass (126.5 vs 135.1 cm2, P = 0.029) were significantly lower in the MSS group. The presence of liver cirrhosis (OR, 4.192; 95% CI, 1.620-10.848) was found to be a significant risk factor for moderately severe or severe AP by multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study suggest that liver cirrhosis has a significant impact on the severity of AAP. Of the body composition parameters examined, MMA and abdominal muscle mass showed potential as promising predictors.

The Prognostic Value of Different Levels of Cortisol and High-sensitivity C-reactive Protein in Early Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) ranges in severity from mild to severe with high mortality. Severe AP, similar to other critical illnesses, is associated with changes in cortisol level. Early increase of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) as an inflammatory marker could be an indicator of AP progression. We aimed to assess the level of cortisol and hs-CRP on initial diagnosis of AP and identify their prognostic value.

METHODS

This case-control study included patients with AP and a control group of healthy subjects. Laboratory tests such as liver profile, kidney functions, blood picture, lactate dehydrogenase, blood glucose, and lipogram were evaluated, the severity of AP was determined, the duration of hospitalization, complications, and outcomes were identified, and the serum levels of cortisol and hs-CRP were assessed.

RESULTS

There were 90 patients with AP and 60 controls with a higher percent of females in both groups. Serum cortisol and hs-CRP were significantly higher in AP relative to controls and were higher in severe AP relative to mild AP. Significant positive correlation was present between high cortisol and severity of AP (r=0.520 and p<0.001) and negatively with pancreatic necrosis (r= - 0.303 and p= 0.007) and morality (r= - 0.432, p= 0.005) while hs-CRP did not show significant correlation.

CONCLUSIONS

Different levels of serum cortisol in early AP should be considered on initial diagnosis. High cortisol level was a good prognostic indicator for AP with low mortality. This could have further implications on the appropriate initiation of steroid therapy to prevent necrotizing pancreatitis and lower the mortality. Meanwhile, hs-CRP has a low prognostic value in early AP.

Diagnostic Challenges in Sepsis

Purpose of Review

Sepsis is a leading cause of death worldwide. Groundbreaking international collaborative efforts have culminated in the widely accepted surviving sepsis guidelines, with iterative improvements in management strategies and definitions providing important advances in care for patients. Key to the diagnosis of sepsis is identification of infection, and whilst the diagnostic criteria for sepsis is now clear, the diagnosis of infection remains a challenge and there is often discordance between clinician assessments for infection.

Recent Findings

We review the utility of common biochemical, microbiological and radiological tools employed by clinicians to diagnose infection and explore the difficulty of making a diagnosis of infection in severe inflammatory states through illustrative case reports. Finally, we discuss some of the novel and emerging approaches in diagnosis of infection and sepsis.

Summary

While prompt diagnosis and treatment of sepsis is essential to improve outcomes in sepsis, there remains no single tool to reliably identify or exclude infection. This contributes to unnecessary antimicrobial use that is harmful to individuals and populations. There is therefore a pressing need for novel solutions. Machine learning approaches using multiple diagnostic and clinical inputs may offer a potential solution but as yet these approaches remain experimental.

Oxid Comparative Analysis of the Significance of Bisap and Mews Score for an Early Assessment of Illness Severity and Treatment Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis

The aim of this study was to determine the significance of the use of the BISAP score, which is specific for patients with AP, in relation to the application of the MEWS score that is important for assessing the condition of critically ill patients in intensive care units, but is not specific for patients with AP. The research was conducted as a cohort prospective study and included patients of both sexes, older than 18 and diagnosed with AP. BISAP and MEWS score were monitored at least at four time points: on admission to the hospital (zero), 48 hours, 72 hours and 7 days after admission to the hospital.

High levels of discrimination between patients with fatal outcome and cured patients are determined in both cases, with discrimination at MEWS being somewhat higher than BISAP score. The BISAP0 had the best discrimination for BISAP score, AUROC (0.807) and also MEWS0 for MEWS score, AUROC (0.899). In our research, the highest sensitivity was shown by BISAP7d (92.1%) and MEWS48 (88.1%), and a high specificity of 87.5% had BISAP score, 48h, 72h and MEWS score at all four points of measurement.

BISAP score has a better prognostic value in relation to the form of pancreatitis, the development of complications and the outcome. However, the calculation of the MEWS score is based on monitoring the basic vital parameters so that its application is much simpler and does not require additional costs.

Advances in research of early use of prophylactic antibiotics in severe acute pancreatitis

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a common critical digestive system disease with high mortality, which can lead to multiple organ failure. SAP is often accompanied by massive necrosis of the pancreas, which is prone to secondary infection. Infected pancreatic necrosis is associated with an increased mortality of SAP. Whether early prophylactic use of antibiotics in the treatment of SAP can reduce the incidence of secondary infection is still controversial. This paper reviews the research progress of prophylactic use of antibiotics in the treatment of secondary infection of SAP in recent years.

Metabolomic-based clinical studies and murine models for acute pancreatitis disease: A review

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common gastroenterological disorders requiring hospitalization and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Metabolomics nowadays not only help us to understand cellular metabolism to a degree that was not previously obtainable, but also to reveal the importance of the metabolites in physiological control, disease onset and development. An in-depth understanding of metabolic phenotyping would be therefore crucial for accurate diagnosis, prognosis and precise treatment of AP. In this review, we summarized and addressed the metabolomics design and workflow in AP studies, as well as the results and analysis of the in-depth of research. Based on the metabolic profiling work in both clinical populations and experimental AP models, we described the metabolites with potential utility as biomarkers and the correlation between the altered metabolites and AP status. Moreover, the disturbed metabolic pathways correlated with biological function were discussed in the end. A practical understanding of current and emerging metabolomic approaches applicable to AP and use of the metabolite information presented will aid in designing robust metabolomics and biological experiments that result in identification of unique biomarkers and mechanisms, and ultimately enhanced clinical decision-making.

[Management of acute pancreatitis. A literature review]

The management of acute pancreatitis is now fairly codified, with specific recommendations developed by expert groups. These recommendations deal in particular with the minimum initial assessment, recognized severity scores, initial medical management with hyperhydration, preventive anticoagulation, early refeeding, delays in imaging and management of complications. In this work, we have tried to bring together the various recommendations, articles and studies dealing with this subject, based more particularly on European recommendations, in order to guide the management of acute pancreatitis in current practice.

Use of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis: ten major concerns

Acute pancreatitis is one of the most common gastrointestinal causes for hospitalization. In 15-20% it evolves into severe necrotizing pancreatitis. Recent studies have shown no association between the initiation of antibiotic therapy in acute pancreatitis and severe outcomes such as organ failure, infection of pancreatic necrosis, extrapancreatic infections or mortality. Specific subgroups with predicted severe acute pancreatitis or both extensive sterile necrosis and persistent organ failure may benefit from prophylactic antibiotics. Local infection develops in 30% of patients with pancreatic necrosis and results in morbidity and mortality. Contrast enhanced computed tomography should be performed in all patients with acute pancreatitis who develop sepsis, organ failure or fail to improve. C-reactive protein is an independent predictor of severe acute pancreatitis. Procalcitonin is the most sensitive laboratory test for detection of pancreatic infection. Antibiotics do however play a large role in patients with suspected or confirmed infected pancreatic necrosis and extrapancreatic infections. In clinical practice most clinicians prescribe antibiotics in the first 3 days of acute pancreatitis which in turns lead to excessive, unjustified use of antibiotics. Deep knowledge of the recent guidelines combined with an individualized management based on right clinical judgment is a rationale approach of patients with acute pancreatitis.

Evaluation of Prognostic Factors of Severity in Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder of the pancreas that, when classified as severe, is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Promptly identifying the severity of AP is of extreme importance for improving clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic value of serological biomarkers, ratios, and multifactorial scores in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis and to identify the best predictors. In this observational and prospective study, the biomarkers, ratios and multifactorial scores were evaluated on admission and at 48 h of the symptom onset. On admission, regarding the AP severity, the white blood count (WBC) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and regarding the mortality, the WBC and the modified Marshall score (MMS) showed the best predictive values. At 48 h, regarding the AP severity, the hepcidin, NLR, systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) and MMS and regarding the mortality, the NLR, hepcidin and the bedside index for severity in AP (BISAP) score, showed the best predictive values. The present study enabled the identification, for the first time, of SIRI as a new prognostic tool for AP severity, and validated hepcidin and the NLR as better prognostic markers than C-reactive protein (CRP) at 48 h of symptom onset.

Infection recurrence following minimally invasive treatment in patients with infectious pancreatic necrosis

BACKGROUND

In recent decades, an increasing number of patients have received minimally invasive intervention for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) because of the benefits in reducing postoperative multiple organ failure and mortality. However, there are limited published data regarding infection recurrence after treatment of this patient population.

AIM

To investigate the incidence and prediction of infection recurrence following successful minimally invasive treatment in IPN patients.

METHODS

Medical records for 193 IPN patients, who underwent minimally invasive treatment between February 2014 and October 2018, were retrospectively reviewed. Patients, who survived after the treatment, were divided into two groups: one group with infection after drainage catheter removal and another group without infection. The morphological and clinical data were compared between the two groups. Significantly different variables were introduced into the correlation and multivariate logistic analysis to identify independent predictors for infection recurrence. Sensitivity and specificity for diagnostic performance were determined.

RESULTS

Of the 193 IPN patients, 178 were recruited into the study. Of them, 9 (5.06%) patients died and 169 patients survived but infection recurred in 13 of 178 patients (7.30%) at 7 (4-10) d after drainage catheters were removed. White blood cell (WBC) count, serum C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6, and procalcitonin levels measured at the time of catheter removal were significantly higher in patients with infection than in those without (all P < 0.05). In addition, drainage duration and length of the catheter measured by computerized tomography scan were significantly longer in patients with infection (P = 0.025 and P < 0.0001, respectively). Although these parameters all correlated positively with the incidence of infection (all P < 0.05), only WBC, CRP, procalcitonin levels, and catheter length were identified as independent predictors for infection recurrence. The sensitivity and specificity for infection prediction were high in WBC count (≥ 9.95 × 10⁹/L) and serum procalcitonin level (≥ 0.05 ng/mL) but moderate in serum CRP level (cut-off point ≥ 7.37 mg/L). The catheter length (cut-off value ≥ 8.05 cm) had a high sensitivity but low specificity to predict the infection recurrence.

CONCLUSION

WBC count, serum procalcitonin, and CRP levels may be valuable for predicting infection recurrence following minimally invasive intervention in IPN patients. These biomarkers should be considered before removing the drainage catheters.

Risk factors for walled-off necrosis associated with severe acute pancreatitis: A multicenter retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify the risk factors for walled-off necrosis (WON) associated with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted in eight institutions in Japan between 2014 and 2017. We analyzed WON incidence, patient characteristics, and risk factors for WON in patients with SAP who were observed for >28 days.

RESULTS

Of 134 patients with SAP, WON occurred in 40 (29.9%). Male sex (P = .045), body mass index (BMI) ≥25 (P < .001), post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (P = .020), and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) (P = .001) were more frequent in the WON group than in the non-WON group. On admission, the frequency of white blood cell counts ≥ 12 000/µL (P = .037) and hypoenhanced pancreatic lesion on computed tomography (P = .047) were significantly higher in the WON group. In multivariate analysis, BMI ≥ 25 (odds ratio [OR] 5.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.95-16.8; P = .002), post-ERCP (OR 8.08, 95% CI 1.57-41.7; P = .013), and DIC (OR 3.52, 95% CI 1.20-10.4; P = .022) were independent risk factors for WON.

CONCLUSIONS

High BMI, post-ERCP pancreatitis, and DIC are risk factors for the development of WON associated with SAP.

Minimal-access retroperitoneal pancreatic necrosectomy for infected necrotizing pancreatitis: a multicentre study of a step-up approach

BACKGROUND

Various minimally invasive approaches have been described for infected necrotizing pancreatitis. This article describes a modified minimal-access retroperitoneal pancreatic necrosectomy (MARPN) procedure assisted by gas insufflation.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study documented patients who had undergone a step-up MARPN between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2016. A minimum follow-up of 1 year was required for inclusion. The step-up approach involved percutaneous catheter drainage followed by the modified MARPN and necrosectomy. If more than one access site was needed it was categorized as complex MARPN.

RESULTS

Of 212 patients with infected necrotizing pancreatitis, 164 (77·4 per cent) underwent a step-up approach. The median number of percutaneous catheter drains and MARPN procedures was 3 (range 1-7) and 1 (1-6) respectively. Ninety patients (54·9 per cent) underwent complex MARPN. For residual necrosis after MARPN, three patients (1·8 per cent) underwent sinus tract gastroscopy, and 11 (6·7 per cent) had sinography combined with a tube change. However, operations in 13 patients (7·9 per cent) required conversion to open surgery. Postoperative complications developed in 103 patients (62·8 per cent). The mortality rate was 6·1 per cent (10 deaths).

CONCLUSION

A step-up approach using a modified MARPN for infected necrotizing pancreatitis is a reasonable option.

Plasma Procalcitonin Is Useful for Predicting the Severity of Acute Cholecystitis

Background

Acute cholecystitis is a common complication of cholelithiasis. Delayed diagnosis may constitute morbidity and mortality; therefore, early diagnosis and determining the severity of acute cholecystitis are crucial.

Objectives

This study aimed to determine the validity of blood procalcitonin (PCT) levels in assessing the severity of acute cholecystitis.

Methods

The Emergency Department (ED) patients diagnosed as acute cholecystitis were included in the study. Patients were allocated into three severity grades according to the Tokyo Guidelines 2013. PCT level was measured after the clinical and radiological diagnosis of acute cholecystitis in the ED.

Results

Ninety-five patients diagnosed with acute cholecystitis, among them 48 of were male. Forty patients (42.1%) were allocated to grade 1, 19 (20%) to grade 2, and 36 (37.9%) to grade 3. The median values of PCT were 0.104 ng/ml, 0.353 ng/ml, and 1.466 ng/ml for grade 1, 2, and 3 patients, respectively (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Blood procalcitonin levels can be used to determine the severity of acute cholecystitis effectively.

A 2020 review on the role of procalcitonin in different clinical settings: an update conducted with the tools of the Evidence Based Laboratory Medicine

Biomarkers to guide antibiotic treatment decisions have been proposed as an effective way to enhancing a more appropriate use of antibiotics. As a biomarker, procalcitonin (PCT) has been found to have good specificity to distinguish bacterial from non-bacterial inflammations. Decisions regarding antibiotic use in an individual patient are complex and should be based on the pre-test probability for bacterial infection, the severity of presentation and the results of PCT serum concentration. In the context of a high pre-test probability for bacterial infections and/or a high-risk patient with sepsis, monitoring of PCT over time helps to track the resolution of infection and decisions regarding early stop of antibiotic treatment. As outlined by the Evidence Based Laboratory Medicine (EBLM), not only the pre-test probability but also the positive likelihood ratio influence the performance of a test do be really diagnostic. This aspect should be taken into account in the interpretation of the results of clinical trials evaluating the performance of PCT in guiding antibiotic therapy.

Is It All Clear if Procalcitonin Clears in Acute Pancreatitis?

How to cite this article: Kandasamy S. Is It All Clear if Procalcitonin Clears in Acute Pancreatitis? Indian J Crit Care Med 2020;24(3):149-150.

Multifactorial Scores and Biomarkers of Prognosis of Acute Pancreatitis: Applications to Research and Practice

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a severe inflammation of the pancreas presented with sudden onset and severe abdominal pain with a high morbidity and mortality rate, if accompanied by severe local and systemic complications. Numerous studies have been published about the pathogenesis of AP; however, the precise mechanism behind this pathology remains unclear. Extensive research conducted over the last decades has demonstrated that the first 24 h after symptom onset are critical for the identification of patients who are at risk of developing complications or death. The identification of these subgroups of patients is crucial in order to start an aggressive approach to prevent mortality. In this sense and to avoid unnecessary overtreatment, thereby reducing the financial implications, the proper identification of mild disease is also important and necessary. A large number of multifactorial scoring systems and biochemical markers are described to predict the severity. Despite recent progress in understanding the pathophysiology of AP, more research is needed to enable a faster and more accurate prediction of severe AP. This review provides an overview of the available multifactorial scoring systems and biochemical markers for predicting severe AP with a special focus on their advantages and limitations.

How can biomarkers be used to differentiate between infection and non-infectious causes of inflammation?

Diagnosis of sepsis is based on recognition of systemic inflammation and organ failure in the context of an inciting infection. Since none of the diagnostic criteria are specific to sepsis, it is easy to confound sepsis with noninfectious causes of systemic inflammation, including pancreatitis, cardiac ischemia, bowel perforation, vasculitis, and pulmonary embolism amongst others. Two widely used biomarkers, C-reactive protein and procalcitonin, have proven promising in sepsis diagnosis. Each has found varying success in the clinical context, with some centers relying heavily on these markers and others eschewing their use almost entirely. In this chapter, we present the evidence for their use in the diagnosis of sepsis and management of antibiotic therapy in the intensive care unit context.

A Comparison of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II Score and Serum Procalcitonin Change for Predicting Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis

Introduction

The prediction of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP) is a useful estimate for effective treatment. Scoring systems such as acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II, computed tomography (CT) severity index (CTSI), bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), etc., are used for prediction. Biomarkers like C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) are also considered useful for prognostication. The aim of this retrospective study was to correlate the changes in serum PCT level with APACHE II score between admission and 48 hours as mortality predictor in AP.

Materials and methods

The observational study was conducted in a cohort of 42 patients admitted consecutively in the seven-bedded general intensive care unit (ICU) of our institute between June 2016 and May 2018, with the diagnosis of AP. The APACHE II score and serum PCT level at admission and 48 hours were retrieved from the hospital database. The change in APACHE II and PCT level was compared between ICU “survivors” and “nonsurvivors.” The predictive accuracy of APACHE II and PCT was measured using area under receiver–operator characteristics (ROC) curve. A p value <0.05 was considered as significant.

Results

Of the 42 patients enrolled, 30 patients (71.42%) were survivors and 12 (28.58%) were nonsurvivors. The median APACHE II score in nonsurvivors increased from 16 (7–19) to 23 (11–29) and remained unchanged at 16 (9–19 at admission; 10–22 at 48 hours) in survivors. The median PCT levels increased from 3.8 (1.2–5.6) to 6.2 (1.9–12.5) in nonsurvivors and decreased from 3.8 (1.2–5.6) to 2.2 (0.6–2.9) in survivors. Serum PCT change compared better than the APACHE II score change among survivors (r = 0.455, p = 0.011) with a mean (±standard deviation SD) change of 1.41 (±1.59).

Conclusion

The change in serum PCT and APACHE II between admission and 48 hours correlates well and is useful for mortality prediction in AP. Serum PCT change compares better than APACHE II score change in survivors.

How to cite this article

Choudhuri AH, Duggal S, Biswas PS, Uppal R. A Comparison of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II Score and Serum Procalcitonin Change for Predicting Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis. Indian J Crit Care Med 2020;24(3):190–194.

Type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease as important prognostic factors in acute pancreatitis

This study includes an analysis of acute pancreatitis (AP) prognostic factors was performed as well as a critical review of the most important AP prognostic scales (APACHE II, Ranson, BISAP, SOFA, Marshall). The limitations of each scale were described. Simultaneously, the clinical applicability in the early prognostic AP stratification was presented, along with the clinical value of the alcoholic and gallstones etiology in the differential diagnosis. Pre-existing type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease significantly worsen the course of AP and should be included in the prognostic scale. It was shown that the diabetes coexisting with a HBA1C level above 6.5% significantly increases the mortality of AP patients and prolongs the period of hospitalization for 5 days. It was also observed that chronic kidney disease significantly increases the frequency of infective AP complications and raises 3-months mortality.

Plasma D-Dimer Level Is an Early Predictor of Severity of Acute Pancreatitis Based on 2012 Atlanta Classification

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common digestive disorder. Its management depends on the severity; therefore, it is essential to stratify AP patients early. D-dimer, a coagulation indicator, appears to be associated with the pathogenesis of AP. The aim of this study was to evaluate D-dimer as an early predictor of the severity of AP.

Material/Methods

This was a single-center retrospective study of 1260 patients diagnosed based on the revised Atlanta classification. Only patients hospitalized within 24 h of onset were included, and 334 patients were enrolled. Blood was collected at admission and 3 times within 48 h of admission. Values at admission and average of the 3 blood samples were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. Furthermore, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to estimate the validity of the predictor and to define optimal cut-off points for prediction.

Results

We found that 53.3% of the patients had mild AP (MAP), 24.3% had moderately severe AP (MSAP), and 22.4% had severe AP (SAP). D-dimer at admission and the average D-dimer could distinguish MAP patients from MSAP and SAP patients, with cut-off values of 3.355 mg/L and 4.868 mg/L, respectively. No difference in the parameters at admission was observed in multivariate analysis in distinguishing SAP from MSAP, but the average D-dimer level was significantly different with a cut-off value of 7.268 mg/L by comparing Ranson score, APACHE II score, and D-dimer level.

Conclusions

The average value of D-dimer levels could be used as a predictor of severity of AP. In general, patients with an average D-dimer level <4.868 could be diagnosed with MAP, >7.268 would develop into SAP, and between 4.868 and 7.268 would be MSAP.

PROCalcitonin-based algorithm for antibiotic use in Acute Pancreatitis (PROCAP): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Differentiating infection from inflammation in acute pancreatitis is difficult, leading to overuse of antibiotics. Procalcitonin (PCT) measurement is a means of distinguishing infection from inflammation as levels rise rapidly in response to a pro-inflammatory stimulus of bacterial origin and normally fall after successful treatment. Algorithms based on PCT measurement can differentiate bacterial sepsis from a systemic inflammatory response. The PROCalcitonin-based algorithm for antibiotic use in Acute Pancreatitis (PROCAP) trial tests the hypothesis that a PCT-based algorithm to guide initiation, continuation and discontinuation of antibiotics will lead to reduced antibiotic use in patients with acute pancreatitis and without an adverse effect on outcome.

METHODS

This is a single-centre, randomised, controlled, single-blind, two-arm pragmatic clinical and cost-effectiveness trial. Patients with a clinical diagnosis of acute pancreatitis will be allocated on a 1:1 basis to intervention or standard care. Intervention will involve the use of a PCT-based algorithm to guide antibiotic use. The primary outcome measure will be the binary outcome of antibiotic use during index admission. Secondary outcome measures include: safety non-inferiority endpoint all-cause mortality; days of antibiotic use; clinical infections; new isolates of multiresistant bacteria; duration of inpatient stay; episode-related mortality and cause; quality of life (EuroQol EQ-5D); and cost analysis. A 20% absolute change in antibiotic use would be a clinically important difference. A study with 80% power and 5% significance (two-sided) would require 97 patients in each arm (194 patients in total): the study will aim to recruit 200 patients. Analysis will follow intention-to-treat principles.

DISCUSSION

When complete, PROCAP will be the largest randomised trial of the use of a PCT algorithm to guide initiation, continuation and cessation of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis. PROCAP is the only randomised trial to date to compare standard care of acute pancreatitis as defined by the International Association of Pancreatology/American Pancreatic Association guidelines to patients having standard care but with all antibiotic prescribing decisions based on PCT measurement.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number, ISRCTN50584992. Registered on 7 February 2018.

Elevated arterial lactate level as an independent risk factor for pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis

PURPOSE

The present study aimed to research the relationships between arterial lactate levels and pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed data from 503 patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis from January 1, 2013, to March 31, 2018. The baseline characteristics on admission were compared between patients with and without elevated arterial lactate levels. The parameters and laboratory data were compared between patients with and without pancreatic infections at admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the value of elevated arterial lactate levels for identifying high-risk patients. P ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 49 (9.2%) patients were diagnosed with pancreatic infections. Compared with patients without pancreatic infections, pancreatic infection patients had significantly increased arterial lactate levels at admission (1.5 ± 0.7 vs. 2.5 ± 0.9; P < 0.01). Multivariate logic analysis still showed that higher arterial lactate levels in moderately severe acute pancreatitis was an independent risk factor for developing pancreatic infections (hazard ratio: 6.31, 95% CI 3.01-13.24; P < 0.01). Arterial lactate level ≥2.1 mmol/L and procalcitonin level ≥0.5 ng/mL at admission had area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.83 and 0.72, with sensitivity of 67.2% and 87%, and specificity of 82.0% and 60%, respectively, for the prediction of pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that a higher arterial lactate level is independently associated with pancreatic infection in patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis and may be used as a tool to identify high-risk patients.

Management of infected pancreatic necrosis in the intensive care unit: a narrative review

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis is marked by organ failure and (peri)pancreatic necrosis with local complications such as infected necrosis. Infection of these necrotic collections together with organ failure remain the major causes of admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) in acute pancreatitis. Appropriate treatment of infected necrosis is essential to reduce morbidity and mortality. Overall knowledge of the treatment options within a multidisciplinary team-with special attention to the appropriate use of antimicrobial therapy and invasive treatment techniques for source control-is essential in the treatment of this complex disease.

OBJECTIVES

To address the current state of microbiological diagnosis, antimicrobial treatment, and source control for infected pancreatic necrosis in the ICU.

SOURCES

A literature search was performed using the Medline and Cochrane libraries for articles subsequent to 2003 using the keywords: infected necrosis, pancreatitis, intensive care medicine, treatment, diagnosis and antibiotic(s).

CONTENT

This narrative review provides an overview of key elements of diagnosis and treatment of infected pancreatic necrosis in the ICU.

IMPLICATIONS

In pancreatic necrosis it is essential to continuously (re)evaluate the indication for antimicrobial treatment and invasive source control. Invasive diagnostics (e.g. through fine-needle aspiration, FNA), preferably prior to the start of broad-spectrum antimicrobial therapy, is advocated. Antimicrobial stewardship principles apply: paying attention to altered pharmacokinetics in the critically ill, de-escalation of broad-spectrum therapy once cultures become available, and early withdrawal of antibiotics once source control has been established. This is important to prevent the development of antimicrobial resistance, especially in a group of patients who may require repeated courses of antibiotics during the prolonged course of their illness.