The choice of analytical methodology can alter conclusions regarding herd effects of paediatric pneumococcal vaccination programmes

Vaccine-preventable Pediatric Acute Bacterial Meningitis in France: A Time Series Analysis of a 19-Year Prospective National Surveillance Network

BACKGROUND

In France, vaccination has been implemented against Hi serotype b (Hib), pneumococcus with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV), and Neisseria meningitidis serogroup C (MenC). These interventions with different coverage and uptake have disrupted the epidemiology of vaccine-preventable acute bacterial meningitis (ABM).

METHODS

We analyzed data from a French prospective surveillance network of ABM in children ≤15 years old enrolled by 259 pediatric wards (estimated national coverage: 61%). From 2001 to 2020, the effect of vaccine implementation was estimated with segmented linear regression.

RESULTS

We analyzed 7,186 cases, mainly due to meningococcus (35.0%), pneumococcus (29.8%), and Hi (3.7%). MenC ABM incidence decreased (-0.12%/month, 95% CI: -0.17 to -0.07, P < 0.001) with no change for the overall meningococcal ABM when comparing the pre-MenC vaccination and the post-MenC vaccination trends. Despite a decreasing MenB ABM incidence without a vaccination program (-0.43%/month, 95% CI: -0.53 to -0.34, P < 0.001), 68.3% of meningococcal ABM involved MenB. No change in pneumococcal ABM incidence was observed after the PCV7 recommendation. By contrast, this incidence significantly decreased after the switch to PCV13 (-0.9%/month, 95% CI: -1.6 to -0.2%, P = 0.01). After May 2014, a rebound occurred (0.5%/month, 95% CI: 0.3-0.8%, P < 0.001), with 89.5% of non-PCV13 vaccine serotypes. Hib ABM incidence increased after June 2017.

CONCLUSIONS

PCV7 and MenC vaccine introduction in France, with slow vaccine uptake and low coverage, had no to little impact as compared to the switch from PCV7 to PCV13, which occurred when coverage was optimal. Our data suggest that MenB and next-generation PCVs could prevent a large part of the ABM incidence in France.

Long-term population effects of infant 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on pneumococcal meningitis in Finland

BACKGROUND

No previous studies have reported long-term follow-up of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) program impact on pneumococcal meningitis (PM). We assessed the effects of infant PCV10 program on PM incidence, mortality and serotype distribution in children and adults during 7 years after introduction.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based observational study. A case of PM was defined as isolation of Streptococcus pneumoniae from cerebrospinal fluid or, a patient with S. pneumoniae isolated from blood and an ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis of bacterial meningitis within 30 days before or after positive culture date.We compared age- and serotype-specific incidence and associated 30-day mortality rates in 2011-2017 (PCV10 period) with those in 2004-2010 (pre-PCV10 baseline) by using Poisson regression models. Absolute rate differences and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated from the parameter estimates by using delta method.

RESULTS

During the PCV10 period, the overall incidence of PCV10 serotype meningitis decreased by 68% (95%CI 57%-77%), and the overall PM incidence by 27% (95%CI: 12%-39%). In age groups 0-4, 50-64, and ≥ 18 years, the overall PM incidence was reduced by 64%, 34% and 19%, respectively. In adults ≥ 65 years of age, a 69% reduction in PCV10 serotypes was offset by 157% (56%-342%) increase in non-PCV10 serotypes. The overall PM-related mortality rate decreased by 42% (95%CI 4%-65%). Overall case fatality proportion (CFP) was 16% in pre-PCV10 period and 12% in PCV10 period (p = 0.41); among persons 50-64 years the CFP decreased from 25% to 10% (p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed substantial impact and herd protection for vaccine-serotype PM and associated mortality after infant PCV10 introduction. However, in older adults ≥ 65 years of age, PM burden remains unchanged due to serotype replacement.