Development and specification of physiologically based pharmacokinetic models for use in risk assessment

Effect of milking interval and lactation stage on withdrawal period: exemplified with a bovine oxytetracycline lactation physiologically based kinetic model

To safeguard human health, it is critical to avoid potentially harmful residues of veterinary drugs in dairy products. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of milk production on the excretion of drugs into milk using physiologically based kinetic (PBK) modeling with oxytetracycline as a case study. A nonlinear model for milk volume was developed to accurately describe the volume of milk within a cow's udder. The model was evaluated through Monte Carlo simulations and subsequently integrated into an established whole-body oxytetracycline PBK model for cows. The enhanced model facilitated simulations to ascertain the influence of lactation stage and milking interval on drug withdrawal periods. The findings indicated that for oxytetracycline, a drug characterized by low milk excretion, both the stage of lactation and the frequency of milking had minimal impact on the withdrawal period. However, simulations revealed that milking cows once a day, as opposed to twice, could extend the withdrawal period for one day. The timing of drug administration was found to have no impact on the withdrawal period for this particular drug. The model's reliance on a-priori estimated parameters ensured that the predictions of the distribution and elimination of compounds within the udder compartment were solely dependent on lactation stage and milking intervals. This feature also allowed for the simulation of studies without milk volume data. Nevertheless, to formulate generalized recommendations on withdrawal periods, compounds with varying physicochemical properties must be evaluated.

Potential and challenges in application of physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling in predicting diarrheal disease impact on oral drug pharmacokinetics

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling is a physiologically relevant approach that integrates drug-specific and system parameters to generate pharmacokinetic predictions for target populations. It has gained immense popularity for drug-drug interaction, organ impairment, and special population studies over the past 2 decades. However, an application of PBPK modeling with great potential remains rather overlooked-prediction of diarrheal disease impact on oral drug pharmacokinetics. Oral drug absorption is a complex process involving the interplay between physicochemical characteristics of the drug and physiological conditions in the gastrointestinal tract. Diarrhea, a condition common to numerous diseases impacting many worldwide, is associated with physiological changes in many processes critical to oral drug absorption. In this Minireview, we outline key processes governing oral drug absorption, provide a high-level overview of key parameters for modeling oral drug absorption in PBPK models, examine how diarrheal diseases may impact these processes based on literature findings, illustrate the clinical relevance of diarrheal disease impact on oral drug absorption, and discuss the potential and challenges of applying PBPK modeling in predicting disease impacts. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Pathophysiological changes resulting from diarrheal diseases can alter important factors governing oral drug absorption, contributing to suboptimal drug exposure and treatment failure. Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling is an in silico approach that has been increasingly adopted for drug-drug interaction potential, organ impairment, and special population assessment. This Minireview highlights the potential and challenges of using physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling as a tool to improve our understanding of how diarrheal diseases impact oral drug pharmacokinetics.

Advancing PFAS risk assessment: Integrative approaches using agent-based modelling and physiologically-based kinetic for environmental and health safety

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), ubiquitous in a myriad of consumer and industrial products, and depending on the doses of exposure represent a hazard to both environmental and public health, owing to their persistent, mobile, and bio accumulative properties. These substances exhibit long half-lives in humans and can induce potential immunotoxic effects at low exposure levels, sparking growing concerns. While the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) has assessed the risk to human health related to the presence of PFAS in food, in which a reduced antibody response to vaccination in infants was considered as the most critical human health effect, a comprehensive grasp of the molecular mechanisms spearheading PFAS-induced immunotoxicity is yet to be attained. Leveraging modern computational tools, including the Agent-Based Model (ABM) Universal Immune System Simulator (UISS) and Physiologically Based Kinetic (PBK) models, a deeper insight into the complex mechanisms of PFAS was sought. The adapted UISS serves as a vital tool in chemical risk assessments, simulating the host immune system's reactions to diverse stimuli and monitoring biological entities within specific adverse health contexts. In tandem, PBK models unravelling PFAS' biokinetics within the body i.e. absorption, distribution, metabolism, and elimination, facilitating the development of time-concentration profiles from birth to 75 years at varied dosage levels, thereby enhancing UISS-TOX's predictive abilities. The integrated use of these computational frameworks shows promises in leveraging new scientific evidence to support risk assessments of PFAS. This innovative approach not only allowed to bridge existing data gaps but also unveiled complex mechanisms and the identification of unanticipated dynamics, potentially guiding more informed risk assessments, regulatory decisions, and associated risk mitigations measures for the future.

Development and validation of PBPK models for genistein and daidzein for use in a next-generation risk assessment

Introduction

All cosmetic ingredients must be evaluated for their safety to consumers. In the absence of in vivo data, systemic concentrations of ingredients can be predicted using Physiologically based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models. However, more examples are needed to demonstrate how they can be validated and applied in Next-Generation Risk Assessments (NGRA) of cosmetic ingredients. We used a bottom-up approach to develop human PBPK models for genistein and daidzein for a read-across NGRA, whereby genistein was the source chemical for the target chemical, daidzein.

Methods

An oral rat PBPK model for genistein was built using PK-Sim® and in vitro ADME input data. This formed the basis of the daidzein oral rat PBPK model, for which chemical-specific input parameters were used. Rat PBPK models were then converted to human models using human-specific physiological parameters and human in vitro ADME data. In vitro skin metabolism and penetration data were used to build the dermal module to represent the major route of exposure to cosmetics.

Results

The initial oral rat model for genistein was qualified since it predicted values within 2-fold of measured in vivo PK values. This was used to predict plasma concentrations from the in vivo NOAEL for genistein to set test concentrations in bioassays. Intrinsic hepatic clearance and unbound fractions in plasma were identified as sensitive parameters impacting the predicted Cmax values. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses indicated the developed PBPK models had a moderate level of confidence. An important aspect of the development of the dermal module was the implementation of first-pass metabolism, which was extensive for both chemicals. The final human PBPK model for daidzein was used to convert the in vitro PoD of 33 nM (from an estrogen receptor transactivation assay) to an external dose of 0.2% in a body lotion formulation.

Conclusion

PBPK models for genistein and daidzein were developed as a central component of an NGRA read-across case study. This will help to gain regulatory confidence in the use of PBPK models, especially for cosmetic ingredients.

PBPK model-based gender-specific risk assessment of N-nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA) using human biomonitoring data

Despite several screening levels for NDMA reported in water, soil, air, and drugs, the human risk assessment using biomonitoring concentrations has not been performed. In this study, gender-specific exposure guidance values were determined in humans, then biomonitoring measurements in healthy Korean subjects (32 men and 40 women) were compared to the exposure guidance values to evaluate the current exposure level to NDMA. For the human risk assessment of NDMA, the gender-specific physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model was developed in humans using proper physiological parameters, partition coefficients, and biochemical parameters. Using the PBPK model, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to describe the magnitudes of inter-individual variability and uncertainty on the single model predictions. The PBPK modeling and Monte Carlo simulation allowed the estimation of the relationship between external dose and blood concentration for the risk assessment. The procedure for the human risk assessment was summarized as follows: (1) estimating a steady-state blood concentration (Cavg) corresponding to the daily no observed adverse effect level (NOAEL) administration in rats; (2) applying uncertainty factors (UFs) for deriving the human Cavg; (3) determining the exposure guidance values as screening criteria; (4) interpreting the human biomonitoring measurements by forward and reverse dosimetry approaches. Using the biomonitoring concentrations, current daily exposures to NDMA were estimated to be 3.95 μg/day/kg for men and 10.60 μg/day/kg for women, respectively. The result of the study could be used as a basis for implementing further risk management and regulatory decision-making for NDMA.

In vitro to in vivo extrapolation from 3D hiPSC-derived cardiac microtissues and physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling to inform next-generation arrhythmia risk assessment

Proarrhythmic cardiotoxicity remains a substantial barrier to drug development as well as a major global health challenge. In vitro human pluripotent stem cell-based new approach methodologies have been increasingly proposed and employed as alternatives to existing in vitro and in vivo models that do not accurately recapitulate human cardiac electrophysiology or cardiotoxicity risk. In this study, we expanded the capacity of our previously established 3D human cardiac microtissue model to perform quantitative risk assessment by combining it with a physiologically based pharmacokinetic model, allowing a direct comparison of potentially harmful concentrations predicted in vitro to in vivo therapeutic levels. This approach enabled the measurement of concentration responses and margins of exposure for 2 physiologically relevant metrics of proarrhythmic risk (i.e. action potential duration and triangulation assessed by optical mapping) across concentrations spanning 3 orders of magnitude. The combination of both metrics enabled accurate proarrhythmic risk assessment of 4 compounds with a range of known proarrhythmic risk profiles (i.e. quinidine, cisapride, ranolazine, and verapamil) and demonstrated close agreement with their known clinical effects. Action potential triangulation was found to be a more sensitive metric for predicting proarrhythmic risk associated with the primary mechanism of concern for pharmaceutical-induced fatal ventricular arrhythmias, delayed cardiac repolarization due to inhibition of the rapid delayed rectifier potassium channel, or hERG channel. This study advances human-induced pluripotent stem cell-based 3D cardiac tissue models as new approach methodologies that enable in vitro proarrhythmic risk assessment with high precision of quantitative metrics for understanding clinically relevant cardiotoxicity.

Advances in artificial intelligence for drug delivery and development: A comprehensive review

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to revolutionize the healthcare sector, including drug delivery and development. This review explores the current and future applications of AI in the pharmaceutical industry, focusing on drug delivery and development. It covers various aspects such as smart drug delivery networks, sensors, drug repurposing, statistical modeling, and simulation of biotechnological and biological systems. The integration of AI with nanotechnologies and nanomedicines is also examined. AI offers significant advancements in drug discovery by efficiently identifying compounds, validating drug targets, streamlining drug structures, and prioritizing response templates. Techniques like data mining, multitask learning, and high-throughput screening contribute to better drug discovery and development innovations. The review discusses AI applications in drug formulation and delivery, clinical trials, drug safety, and pharmacovigilance. It addresses regulatory considerations and challenges associated with AI in pharmaceuticals, including privacy, data security, and interpretability of AI models. The review concludes with future perspectives, highlighting emerging trends, addressing limitations and biases in AI models, and emphasizing the importance of collaboration and knowledge sharing. It provides a comprehensive overview of AI's potential to transform the pharmaceutical industry and improve patient care while identifying further research and development areas.

A Comprehensive Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model for Predicting Vildagliptin Pharmacokinetics: Insights into Dosing in Renal Impairment

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling is of great importance in the field of medicine. This study aims to construct a PBPK model, which can provide reliable drug pharmacokinetic (PK) predictions in both healthy and chronic kidney disease (CKD) subjects. To do so, firstly a review of the literature was thoroughly conducted and the PK information of vildagliptin was collected. PBPK modeling software, PK-Sim®, was then used to build and assess the IV, oral, and drug-specific models. Next, the average fold error, visual predictive checks, and predicted/observed ratios were used for the assessment of the robustness of the model for all the essential PK parameters. This evaluation demonstrated that all PK parameters were within an acceptable limit of error, i.e., 2 fold. Also to display the influence of CKD on the total and unbound AUC (the area under the plasma concentration-time curve) and to make modifications in dose, the analysis results of the model on this aspect were further examined. This PBPK model has successfully depicted the variations of PK of vildagliptin in healthy subjects and patients with CKD, which can be useful for medical practitioners in dosage optimization in renal disease patients.

Application of partition coefficient methods to predict tissue:plasma affinities in common farm animals: Influence of ionisation state

Tissue affinities are conventionally determined from in vivo steady-state tissue and plasma or plasma-water chemical concentration data. In silico approaches were initially developed for preclinical species but standardly applied and tested in human physiologically-based kinetic (PBK) models. Recently, generic PBK models for farm animals have been made available and require partition coefficients as input parameters. In the current investigation, data for species-specific tissue compositions have been collected, and prediction of chemical distribution in various tissues of livestock species for cattle, chicken, sheep and swine have been performed. Overall, tissue composition was very similar across the four farm animal species. However, small differences were observed in moisture, fat and protein content in the various organs within each species. Such differences could be attributed to factors such as variations in age, breed, and weight of the animals and general conditions of the animal itself. With regards to the predictions of tissue:plasma partition coefficients, 80 %, 71 %, 77 % of the model predictions were within a factor 10 using the methods of Berezhkovskiy (2004), Rodgers and Rowland (2006) and Schmitt (2008). The method of Berezhkovskiy (2004) was often providing the most reliable predictions except for swine, where the method of Schmitt (2008) performed best. In addition, investigation of the impact of chemical classes on prediction performance, all methods had very similar reliability. Notwithstanding, no clear pattern regarding specific chemicals or tissues could be detected for the values predicted outside a 10-fold change in certain chemicals or specific tissues. This manuscript concludes with the need for future research, particularly focusing on lipophilicity and species differences in protein binding.

Interspecies scaling of toxicity reference values in human health versus ecological risk assessments: A critical review

Risk assessments that focus on anthropogenic chemicals in environmental media-whether considering human health or ecological effects-often rely on toxicity data from experimentally studied species to estimate safe exposures for species that lack similar data. Current default extrapolation approaches used in both human health risk assessments and ecological risk assessments (ERAs) account for differences in body weight between the test organisms and the species of interest, but the two default approaches differ in important ways. Human health risk assessments currently employ a default based on body weight raised to the three-quarters power. Ecological risk assessments for wildlife (i.e., mammals and birds) are typically based directly on body weight, as measured in the test organism and receptor species. This review describes differences in the experimental data underlying these default practices and discusses the many factors that affect interspecies variability in chemical exposures. The interplay of these different factors can lead to substantial departures from default expectations. Alternative methodologies for conducting more accurate interspecies extrapolations in ERAs for wildlife are discussed, including tissue-based toxicity reference values, physiologically based toxicokinetic and/or toxicodynamic modeling, chemical read-across, and a system of categorical defaults based on route of exposure and toxic mode of action. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2024;20:749-764. © 2023 SETAC.

Use of quantitative in vitro to in vivo extrapolation (QIVIVE) for the assessment of non-combustible next-generation product aerosols

With the use of in vitro new approach methodologies (NAMs) for the assessment of non-combustible next-generation nicotine delivery products, new extrapolation methods will also be required to interpret and contextualize the physiological relevance of these results. Quantitative in vitro to in vivo extrapolation (QIVIVE) can translate in vitro concentrations into in-life exposures with physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling and provide estimates of the likelihood of harmful effects from expected exposures. A major challenge for evaluating inhalation toxicology is an accurate assessment of the delivered dose to the surface of the cells and the internalized dose. To estimate this, we ran the multiple-path particle dosimetry (MPPD) model to characterize particle deposition in the respiratory tract and developed a PBPK model for nicotine that was validated with human clinical trial data for cigarettes. Finally, we estimated a Human Equivalent Concentration (HEC) and predicted plasma concentrations based on the minimum effective concentration (MEC) derived after acute exposure of BEAS-2B cells to cigarette smoke (1R6F), or heated tobacco product (HTP) aerosol at the air liquid interface (ALI). The MPPD-PBPK model predicted the in vivo data from clinical studies within a factor of two, indicating good agreement as noted by WHO International Programme on Chemical Safety (2010) guidance. We then used QIVIVE to derive the exposure concentration (HEC) that matched the estimated in vitro deposition point of departure (POD) (MEC cigarette = 0.38 puffs or 11.6 µg nicotine, HTP = 22.9 puffs or 125.6 µg nicotine) and subsequently derived the equivalent human plasma concentrations. Results indicate that for the 1R6F cigarette, inhaling 1/6th of a stick would be required to induce the same effects observed in vitro, in vivo. Whereas, for HTP it would be necessary to consume 3 sticks simultaneously to induce in vivo the effects observed in vitro. This data further demonstrates the reduced physiological potency potential of HTP aerosol compared to cigarette smoke. The QIVIVE approach demonstrates great promise in assisting human health risk assessments, however, further optimization and standardization are required for the substantiation of a meaningful contribution to tobacco harm reduction by alternative nicotine delivery products.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 and interleukin-6 interaction in response to physical exercise: An in-silico model in the framework of immunometabolism

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) is classically identified as an incretin hormone, secreted in response to nutrient ingestion and able to enhance glucose-stimulated insulin secretion. However, other stimuli, such as physical exercise, may enhance GLP-1 plasma levels, and this exercise-induced GLP-1 secretion is mediated by interleukin-6 (IL-6), a cytokine secreted by contracting skeletal muscle. The aim of the study is to propose a mathematical model of IL-6-induced GLP-1 secretion and kinetics in response to physical exercise of moderate intensity.

METHODS

The model includes the GLP-1 subsystem (with two pools: gut and plasma) and the IL-6 subsystem (again with two pools: skeletal muscle and plasma); it provides a parameter of possible clinical relevance representing the sensitivity of GLP-1 to IL-6 (k0). The model was validated on mean IL-6 and GLP-1 data derived from the scientific literature and on a total of 100 virtual subjects.

RESULTS

Model validation provided mean residuals between 0.0051 and 0.5493 pg⋅mL-1 for IL-6 (in view of concentration values ranging from 0.8405 to 3.9718 pg⋅mL-1) and between 0.0133 and 4.1540 pmol⋅L-1 for GLP-1 (in view of concentration values ranging from 0.9387 to 17.9714 pmol⋅L-1); a positive significant linear correlation (r = 0.85, p<0.001) was found between k0 and the ratio between areas under GLP-1 and IL-6 curve, over the virtual subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

The model accurately captures IL-6-induced GLP-1 kinetics in response to physical exercise.

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model for evaluating gender-specific exposures of N-nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA)

N-nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA) is classified as a human carcinogen and could be produced by both natural and industrial processes. Although its toxicity and histopathology have been well-studied in animal species, there is insufficient data on the blood and tissue exposures that can be correlated with the toxicity of NDMA. The purpose of this study was to evaluate gender-specific pharmacokinetics/toxicokinetics (PKs/TKs), tissue distribution, and excretion after the oral administration of three different doses of NDMA in rats using a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model. The major target tissues for developing the PBPK model and evaluating dose metrics of NDMA included blood, gastrointestinal (GI) tract, liver, kidney, lung, heart, and brain. The predictive performance of the model was validated using sensitivity analysis, (average) fold error, and visual inspection of observations versus predictions. Then, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to describe the magnitudes of inter-individual variability and uncertainty of the single model predictions. The developed PBPK model was applied for the exposure simulation of daily oral NDMA to estimate blood concentration ranges affecting health effects following acute-duration (≤ 14 days), intermediate-duration (15-364 days), and chronic-duration (≥ 365 days) intakes. The results of the study could be used as a scientific basis for interpreting the correlation between in vivo exposures and toxicological effects of NDMA.

Levels, Toxic Effects, and Risk Assessment of Pyrrolizidine Alkaloids in Foods: A Review

Pyrrolizidine alkaloids (PAs) are naturally occurring secondary metabolites of plants. To date, more than 660 types of PAs have been identified from an estimated 6000 plants, and approximately 120 of these PAs are hepatotoxic. As a result of PAs being found in spices, herbal teas, honey, and milk, PAs are considered contaminants in foods, posing a potential risk to human health. Here, we summarize the chemical structure, toxic effects, levels, and regulation of PAs in different countries to provide a better understanding of their toxicity and risk assessment. With recent research on the risk assessment of PAs, this review also discusses the challenges facing this field, aiming to provide a scientific basis for PA toxicity research and safety assessment.

Animal-free assessment of developmental toxicity: Combining PBPK modeling with the ReproTracker assay

in vitro screening platforms to assess teratogenic potential of compounds are emerging rapidly. ReproTracker is a human induced pluripotent stem cells (hiPSCs)-based biomarker assay that is shown to identify the teratogenicity potential of new pharmaceuticals and chemicals reliably. In its current state, the assay is limited to identifying the potential teratogenic effects and does not immediately quantify a clinical dose relevant to the exposure of chemicals or drugs observable in mothers or fetuses. The goal of this study was to evaluate whether the ReproTracker assay can be extrapolated in vivo and quantitatively predict developmental toxicity exposure levels of two known human teratogens, thalidomide, and carbamazepine. Here, we utilized Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling to describe the pharmacokinetic behavior of these compounds and conducted an in vitro to in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) approach to predict human equivalent effect doses (HEDs) that correspond with in vitro concentrations potentially associated with adverse outcomes in ReproTracker. The HEDs derived from the ReproTracker concentration predicted to cause developmental toxicity were close to the reported teratogenic human clinical doses and the HED derived from the rat or rabbit developmental toxicity study. The ReproTracker derived-HED revealed to be sensitive and protective of humans. Overall, this pilot study demonstrated the importance of integrating PBPK model in extrapolating and assessing developmental toxicity in vitro. The combination of these tools demonstrated that they could improve the safety assessment of drugs and chemicals without animal testing.

Inter-individual exposure variability interpretation through reflection of biological age algorithm in physiologically based toxicokinetic model: Application to human risk assessment of di-isobutyl-phthalate

Age-related changes and interindividual variability in the degree of exposure to hazardous substances in the environment are pertinent factors to be considered in human risk assessment. Existing risk assessments remain in a one-size-fits-all approach, often without due consideration of inter-individual toxicokinetic variability factors, such as age. The purpose of this study was to advance from the existing risk assessment of hazardous substances based on toxicokinetics to a precise human risk assessment by additionally considering the effects of physiologic and metabolic fluctuations and interindividual variability in age. Qualitative age-associated physiologic and metabolic changes in humans, obtained through a meta-analysis, were quantitatively modeled to produce the final biological age algorithm (BAA). The developed BAAs (for males) were extended and applied to the reported testicular reproductive toxicity-focused di-isobutyl-phthalate (DiBP)-mono-isobutyl-phthalate (MiBP) physiologically based toxicokinetic (PBTK) model in males. The advanced PBTK model combined with the BAA was applied to the human risk assessment based on MiBP biomonitoring data. As a result, the specialized DiBP external exposure values for each age could be estimated. Additionally, by applying the Monte Carlo simulation, the distribution of internal exposure diversity among individuals according to the same external exposure dose could be estimated. The contributions of physiologic and metabolic factors to the age-dependent toxicokinetic changes were approximately 93.41-99.99 and 0.01-6.59%, respectively. In addition, the relative contribution of metabolic factors was major in infants and continued to decrease as age increased (up to about age 30 years). This study provides a step-by-step platform that can be widely applied to overcome the limitations of existing toxicokinetic models that still require interindividual pharmacokinetic variability explanations. This will be important for the rationalization and explanation of inter-individual variability in the pharmacokinetics of many substances.

In vitro to in vivo extrapolation for predicting human equivalent dose of phenolic endocrine disrupting chemicals: PBTK model development, biological pathways, outcomes and performance

In vitro to in vivo (IVIVE) leverages in vitro high-throughput biological responses to predict the corresponding in vivo exposures and further estimate the human safe dose. However, for phenolic endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) linked with complicated biological pathways and adverse outcomes (AO), such as bisphenol A (BPA) and 4-nonylphenol (4-NP), plausible estimation of human equivalent doses (HED) by IVIVE approaches considering various biological pathways and endpoints is still challenging. To explore the capabilities and limitations of IVIVE, this study conducted physiologically based toxicokinetic (PBTK)-IVIVE approaches to derive pathway-specific HEDs using BPA and 4-NP as examples. In vitro HEDs of BPA and 4-NP varied in different adverse outcomes, pathways, and testing endpoints and ranged from 0.0013 to 1.0986 mg/kg bw/day and 0.0551 to 1.7483 mg/kg bw/day, respectively. In vitro HEDs associated with reproductive AOs initiated by PPARα activation and ER agonism were the most sensitive. Model verification suggested the potential of using effective in vitro data to determine reasonable approximation of in vivo HEDs for the same AO (fold differences of most AOs ranged in 0.14-2.74 and better predictions for apical endpoints). Furthermore, system-specific parameters of cardiac output and its fraction, body weight, as well as chemical-specific parameters of partition coefficient and liver metabolic were most sensitive for the PBTK simulations. The results indicated that the application of fit for-purpose PBTK-IVIVE approach could provide credible pathway-specific HEDs and contribute to high throughput prioritization of chemicals in a more realistic scenario.

Machine learning and artificial intelligence in physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models are useful tools in drug development and risk assessment of environmental chemicals. PBPK model development requires the collection of species-specific physiological, and chemical-specific absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) parameters, which can be a time-consuming and expensive process. This raises a need to create computational models capable of predicting input parameter values for PBPK models, especially for new compounds. In this review, we summarize an emerging paradigm for integrating PBPK modeling with machine learning (ML) or artificial intelligence (AI)-based computational methods. This paradigm includes 3 steps (1) obtain time-concentration PK data and/or ADME parameters from publicly available databases, (2) develop ML/AI-based approaches to predict ADME parameters, and (3) incorporate the ML/AI models into PBPK models to predict PK summary statistics (eg, area under the curve and maximum plasma concentration). We also discuss a neural network architecture "neural ordinary differential equation (Neural-ODE)" that is capable of providing better predictive capabilities than other ML methods when used to directly predict time-series PK profiles. In order to support applications of ML/AI methods for PBPK model development, several challenges should be addressed (1) as more data become available, it is important to expand the training set by including the structural diversity of compounds to improve the prediction accuracy of ML/AI models; (2) due to the black box nature of many ML models, lack of sufficient interpretability is a limitation; (3) Neural-ODE has great potential to be used to generate time-series PK profiles for new compounds with limited ADME information, but its application remains to be explored. Despite existing challenges, ML/AI approaches will continue to facilitate the efficient development of robust PBPK models for a large number of chemicals.

Occupational health risk assessment methods in China: A scoping review

Background

Over the decades, many assessment methods have been developed around the world and used for occupational health risk assessment (OHRA). This scoping review integrated the literature on methodological studies of OHRA in China and aimed to identifies the research hot-spots and methodological research perspectives on OHRA in China.

Methods

A scoping review of literature was undertaken to explore the research progress on OHRA methods in China. Focusing on OHRA methods, the authors systematically searched Chinese and English databases and relevant guideline websites from the date of establishment to June 30, 2022. Databases included Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, the China National Knowledge Internet, WanFang Database. Some other websites were also searched to obtain gray literature. The extracted information included the author, year, region of first author, the target industry, risk assessment model, study type, the main results and conclusions.

Results

Finally, 145 of 9,081 studies were included in this review. There were 108 applied studies, 30 comparative studies and 7 optimization studies on OHRA in China. The OHRA methods studied included: (1) qualitative methods such as Romanian model, Australian model, International Council on Mining and Metals model, and Control of Substances Hazardous to Health Essentials; (2) quantitative methods such as the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency inhalation risk assessment model, Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic, and Monte Carlo simulation; (3) semi-quantitative methods such as Singapore model, Fuzzy mathematical risk assessment model, Likelihood Exposure Consequence method and Occupational Hazard Risk Index assessment method; (4) comprehensive method (Chinese OHRA standard GBZ/T 298-2017). Each of the OHRA methods had its own strengths and limitations. In order to improve the applicability of OHRA methods, some of them have been optimized by researchers.

Conclusions

There is a wide range of OHRA methods studied in China, including applied, comparative, and optimization studies. Their applicability needs to be further tested through further application in different industries. Furthermore, quantitative comparative studies, optimization studies, and modeling studies are also needed.

NAM-based Prediction of Point-of-contact Toxicity in the Lung: A Case Example With 1,3-dichloropropene

Time, cost, ethical, and regulatory considerations surrounding in vivo testing methods render them insufficient to meet existing and future chemical safety testing demands. There is a need for the development of in vitro and in silico alternatives to replace traditional in vivo methods for inhalation toxicity assessment. Exposures of differentiated airway epithelial cultures to gases or aerosols at the air-liquid interface (ALI) can assess tissue responses and in vitro to in vivo extrapolation can align in vitro exposure levels with in-life exposures expected to give similar tissue exposures. Because the airway epithelium varies along its length, with various regions composed of different cell types, we have introduced a known toxic vapor to five human-derived, differentiated, in vitro airway epithelial cell culture models-MucilAir of nasal, tracheal, or bronchial origin, SmallAir, and EpiAlveolar-representing five regions of the airway epithelium-nasal, tracheal, bronchial, bronchiolar, and alveolar. We have monitored toxicity in these cultures 24hours after acute exposure using an assay for transepithelial conductance (for epithelial barrier integrity) and the lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) release assay (for cytotoxicity). Our vapor of choice in these experiments was 1,3-dichloropropene (1,3-DCP). Finally, we have developed an airway dosimetry model for 1,3-DCP vapor to predict in vivo external exposure scenarios that would produce toxic local tissue concentrations as determined by in vitro experiments. Measured in vitro points of departure (PoDs) for all tested cell culture models were similar. Calculated rat equivalent inhaled concentrations varied by model according to position of the modeled tissue within the airway, with nasal respiratory tissue being the most proximal and most sensitive tissue, and alveolar epithelium being the most distal and least sensitive tissue. These predictions are qualitatively in accordance with empirically determined in vivo PoDs. The predicted PoD concentrations were close to, but slightly higher than, PoDs determined by in vivo subchronic studies.

A Generic Pharmacokinetic Model for Quantifying Mother-to-Offspring Transfer of Lipophilic Persistent Environmental Chemicals

Lipophilic persistent environmental chemicals (LPECs) can accumulate in a woman's body and transfer to her developing child across the placenta and via breast milk. To assess health risks associated with developmental exposures to LPECs, we developed a pharmacokinetic (PK) model that quantifies mother-to-offspring transfer of LPECs during pregnancy and lactation and facilitates internal dosimetry calculations for offspring. We parameterized the model for mice, rats, and humans using time-varying functions for body mass and milk consumption rates. The only required substance-specific parameter is the elimination half-life of the LPEC in the animal species of interest. We used the model to estimate whole-body concentrations in mothers and offspring following maternal exposures to hexachlorobenzene (HCB) and 2,2',4,4',5,5'-hexachlorobiphenyl (PCB 153) and compared these with measured concentrations from animal studies. We also compared estimated concentrations for humans to those generated using a previously published human LPEC PK model. Finally, we compared human equivalent doses (HEDs) calculated using our model and an allometric scaling method. Estimated and observed whole-body concentrations of HCB and PCB 153 in offspring followed similar trends and differed by less than 60%. Simulations of human exposure yielded concentration estimates comparable to those generated using the previously published model, with concentrations in offspring differing by less than 12%. HEDs calculated using our PK model were about 2 orders of magnitude lower than those generated using allometric scaling. Our PK model can be used to calculate internal dose metrics for offspring and corresponding HEDs and thus informs assessment of developmental toxicity risks associated with LPECs.

Insights into the mapping of green synthesis conditions for ZnO nanoparticles and their toxicokinetics

Research on ZnO nanoparticles (NPs) has broad medical applications. However, the green synthesis of ZnO NPs involves a wide range of properties requiring optimization. ZnO NPs show toxicity at lower doses. This toxicity is a function of NP properties and pharmacokinetics. Moreover, NP toxicity and pharmacokinetics are affected by the species type and age of the animals tested. Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling offers a mechanistic platform to scrutinize the colligative effect of the interplay between these factors, which reduces the need for in vivo studies. This review provides a guide to choosing green synthesis conditions that result in minimal toxicity using a mechanistic tool, namely PBPK modeling.

Application of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling in Preclinical Studies: A Feasible Strategy to Practice the Principles of 3Rs

Pharmacokinetic characterization plays a vital role in drug discovery and development. Although involving numerous laboratory animals with error-prone, labor-intensive, and time-consuming procedures, pharmacokinetic profiling is still irreplaceable in preclinical studies. With physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling, the in vivo profiles of drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion can be predicted. To evaluate the application of such an approach in preclinical investigations, the plasma pharmacokinetic profiles of seven commonly used probe substrates of microsomal enzymes, including phenacetin, tolbutamide, omeprazole, metoprolol, chlorzoxazone, nifedipine, and baicalein, were predicted in rats using bottom-up PBPK models built with in vitro data alone. The prediction's reliability was assessed by comparison with in vivo pharmacokinetic data reported in the literature. The overall predicted accuracy of PBPK models was good with most fold errors within 2, and the coefficient of determination (R2) between the predicted concentration data and the observed ones was more than 0.8. Moreover, most of the observation dots were within the prediction span of the sensitivity analysis. We conclude that PBPK modeling with acceptable accuracy may be incorporated into preclinical studies to refine in vivo investigations, and PBPK modeling is a feasible strategy to practice the principles of 3Rs.

Health Risk Assessment of Ortho-Toluidine Utilising Human Biomonitoring Data of Workers and the General Population

The aim of this work was to demonstrate how human biomonitoring (HBM) data can be used to assess cancer risks for workers and the general population. Ortho-toluidine, OT (CAS 95-53-4) is an aniline derivative which is an animal and human carcinogen and may cause methemoglobinemia. OT is used as a curing agent in epoxy resins and as intermediate in producing herbicides, dyes, and rubber chemicals. A risk assessment was performed for OT by using existing HBM studies. The urinary mass-balance methodology and generic exposure reconstruction PBPK modelling were both used for the estimation of the external intake levels corresponding to observed urinary levels. The external exposures were subsequently compared to cancer risk levels obtained from the evaluation by the Scientific Committee on Occupational Exposure Limits (SCOEL). It was estimated that workers exposed to OT have a cancer risk of 60 to 90:106 in the worst-case scenario (0.9 mg/L in urine). The exposure levels and cancer risk of OT in the general population were orders of magnitude lower when compared to workers. The difference between the output of urinary mass-balance method and the general PBPK model was approximately 30%. The external exposure levels calculated based on HBM data were below the binding occupational exposure level (0.5 mg/m3) set under the EU Carcinogens and Mutagens Directive.

PBPK Modeling to Simulate the Fate of Compounds in Living Organisms

Pharmacokinetics study the fate of xenobiotics in a living organism. Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models provide realistic descriptions of xenobiotics' absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion processes. They model the body as a set of homogeneous compartments representing organs, and their parameters refer to anatomical, physiological, biochemical, and physicochemical entities. They offer a quantitative mechanistic framework to understand and simulate the time-course of the concentration of a substance in various organs and body fluids. These models are well suited for performing extrapolations inherent to toxicology and pharmacology (e.g., between species or doses) and for integrating data obtained from various sources (e.g., in vitro or in vivo experiments, structure-activity models). In this chapter, we describe the practical development and basic use of a PBPK model from model building to model simulations, through implementation with an easily accessible free software.

Development and intercomparison of single and multicompartment physiologically-based toxicokinetic models: Implications for model selection and tiered modeling frameworks

This study describes the development and intercomparison of generic physiologically-based toxicokinetic (PBTK) models for humans comprised of internally consistent one-compartment (1Co-) and multi-compartment (MCo-) implementations (G-PBTK). The G-PBTK models were parameterized for an adult male (70 kg) using common physiological parameters and in vitro biotransformation rate estimates and subsequently evaluated using independent concentration versus time data (n = 6) and total elimination half-lives (n = 15) for diverse organic chemicals. The model performance is acceptable considering the inherent uncertainty in the biotransformation rate data and the absence of model calibration. The G-PBTK model was then applied using hypothetical neutral organics, acidic ionizable organics and basic ionizable organics (IOCs) to identify combinations of partitioning properties and biotransformation rates leading to substantial discrepancies between 1Co- and MCo-PBTK calculations for whole body concentrations and half-lives. The 1Co- and MCo-PBTK model calculations for key toxicokinetic parameters are broadly consistent unless biotransformation is rapid (e.g., half-life less than five days). When half-lives are relatively short, discrepancies are greatest for the neutral organics and least for the acidic IOCs which follows from the estimated volumes of distribution (e.g., VD_SS = 9.6-15.4 L/kg vs 0.3-1.6 L/kg for the neutral and acidic compounds respectively) and the related approach to internal chemical equilibrium. The model intercomparisons demonstrate that 1Co-PBTK models can be applied with confidence to many exposure scenarios, particularly those focused on chronic or repeat exposures and for prioritization and screening-level decision contexts. However, MCo-PBTK models may be necessary in certain contexts, particularly for intermittent, short-term and highly variable exposures. A key recommendation to guide model selection and the development of tiered PBTK modeling frameworks that emerges from this study is the need to harmonize models with respect to parameterization and process descriptions to the greatest extent possible when proceeding from the application of simpler to more complex modeling tools as part of chemical assessment activities.

Development and Application of an interactive Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (iPBPK) Model to Predict Oxytetracycline Tissue Distribution and Withdrawal Intervals in Market-Age Sheep and Goats

Oxytetracycline (OTC) is a widely used antibiotic in food-producing animals. Extralabel use of OTC is common and may lead to violative residues in edible tissues. It is important to have a quantitative tool to predict scientifically-based withdrawal intervals (WDIs) after extralabel use in food animals to ensure human food safety. This study focuses on developing a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for OTC in sheep and goats. The model included seven compartments: plasma, lung, liver, kidneys, muscle, fat, and rest of the body. The model was calibrated with serum and tissue (liver, muscle, kidney, and fat) concentration data following a single intramuscular (IM, 20 mg/kg) and/or intravenous (IV, 10 mg/kg) administration of a long-acting formulation in sheep and goats. The model was evaluated with independent datasets from Food Animal Residue Avoidance Databank (FARAD). Results showed that the model adequately simulated the calibration datasets with an overall estimated coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.95 and 0.92, respectively, for sheep and goat models and had acceptable accuracy for the validation datasets. Monte Carlo sampling technique was applied to predict the time needed for drug concentrations in edible tissues to fall below tolerances for the 99th percentiles of the population. The model was converted to a web-based interactive PBPK (iPBPK) interface to facilitate model applications. This iPBPK model provides a useful tool to estimate WDIs for OTC after extralabel use in small ruminants to ensure food safety and serves as a basis for extrapolation to other tetracycline drugs and other food animals.

New framework for a non-animal approach adequately assures the safety of cosmetic ingredients - A case study on caffeine

This case study on the model substance caffeine demonstrates the viability of a 10-step read-across (RAX) framework in practice. New approach methodologies (NAM), including RAX and physiologically-based kinetic (PBK) modelling were used to assess the consumer safety of caffeine. Appropriate animal systemic toxicity data were used from the most relevant RAX analogue while assuming that no suitable animal toxicity data were available for caffeine. Based on structural similarities, three primary metabolites of the target chemical caffeine (theophylline, theobromine and paraxanthine) were selected as its most relevant analogues, to estimate a point of departure in order to support a next generation risk assessment (NGRA). On the basis of the pivotal mode of action (MOA) of caffeine and other methylxanthines, theophylline appeared to be the most potent and suitable analogue. A worst-case aggregate exposure assessment determined consumer exposure to caffeine from different sources, such as cosmetics and food/drinks. Using a PBK model to estimate human blood concentrations following exposure to caffeine, an acceptable Margin of Internal Exposure (MOIE) of 27-fold was derived on the basis of a RAX using theophylline animal data, which suggests that the NGRA approach for caffeine is sufficiently conservative to protect human health.

Estimation of toluene exposure in air from BMA (S-benzylmercapturic acid) urinary measures using a reverse dosimetry approach based on physiologically pharmacokinetic modeling

This study aimed to use a reverse dosimetry PBPK modeling approach to estimate toluene atmospheric exposure from urinary measurements of S-benzylmercapturic acid (BMA) in a small group of individuals and to evaluate the uncertainty associated to urinary spot-sampling compared to 24-h collected urine samples. Each exposure assessment technique was developed namely to estimate toluene air exposure from BMA measurements in 24-h urine samples (24-h-BMA) and from distributions of daily urinary BMA spot measurements (DUBSM). Model physiological parameters were described based upon age, weight, size and sex. Monte Carlo simulations with the PBPK model allowed converting DUBSM distribution (and 24-h-BMA) into toluene air levels. For the approach relying on DUBSM distribution, the ratio between the 95% probability of predicted toluene concentration and its 50% probability in each individual varied between 1.2 and 1.4, while that based on 24-h-BMA varied between 1.0 and 1.1. This suggests more variability in estimated exposure from spot measurements. Thus, estimating toluene exposure based on DUBSM distribution generated about 20% more uncertainty. Toluene levels estimated (0.0078-0.0138 ppm) are well below Health Canada's maximum chronic air guidelines. PBPK modeling and reverse dosimetry may be combined to interpret urinary metabolites data of VOCs and assess related uncertainties.

Development of a Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model of Mitragynine, Psychoactive Alkaloid in Kratom (Mitragyna Speciosa Korth.), In Rats and Humans

Mitragynine is a major psychoactive alkaloid in leaves of kratom (Mitragyna speciosa Korth.). To understand its disposition in organs, this study aimed to develop a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model that predicts mitragynine concentrations in plasma and organ of interests in rats and humans. The PBPK model consisted of six organ compartments (i.e. lung, brain, liver, fat, slowly perfused tissues, and rapidly perfused tissue). From systematic searching, three pharmacokinetic studies of mitragynine (two studies in rats and 1 study in humans) were retrieved from the literature. Berkeley Madonna Software (version 8.3.18) was used for model development and model simulation. The developed PBPK model consisted of biologically relevant features following involvement of (i) breast cancer-resistant protein (BCRP) in brain, (ii) a hepatic cytochrome P450 3A4 (CYP3A4)-mediated metabolism in the liver, and (iii) a diffusion-limited transport in fat. The simulations adequately describe simulated and observed data in the two species with different dosing regimens. PBPK models of mitragynine in rats and humans were successfully developed. The models may be used to guide optimal mitragynine dosing regimens.

Application of physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling for sertraline dosing recommendations in pregnancy

Pregnancy is a period of significant change that impacts physiological and metabolic status leading to alterations in the disposition of drugs. Uncertainty in drug dosing in pregnancy can lead to suboptimal therapy, which can contribute to disease exacerbation. A few studies show there are increased dosing requirements for antidepressants in late pregnancy; however, the quantitative data to guide dose adjustments are sparse. We aimed to develop a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model that allows gestational-age dependent prediction of sertraline dosing in pregnancy. A minimal physiological model with defined gut, liver, plasma, and lumped placental-fetal compartments was constructed using the ordinary differential equation solver package, ‘mrgsolve’, in R. We extracted data from the literature to parameterize the model, including sertraline physicochemical properties, in vitro metabolism studies, disposition in nonpregnant women, and physiological changes during pregnancy. The model predicted the pharmacokinetic parameters from a clinical study with eight subjects for the second trimester and six subjects for the third trimester. Based on the model, gestational-dependent changes in physiology and metabolism account for increased clearance of sertraline (up to 143% at 40 weeks gestational age), potentially leading to under-dosing of pregnant women when nonpregnancy doses are used. The PBPK model was converted to a prototype web-based interactive dosing tool to demonstrate how the output of a PBPK model may translate into optimal sertraline dosing in pregnancy. Quantitative prediction of drug exposure using PBPK modeling in pregnancy will support clinically appropriate dosing and increase the therapeutic benefit for pregnant women.

Development and evaluation of a high throughput inhalation model for organic chemicals

Currently it is difficult to prospectively estimate human toxicokinetics (particularly for novel chemicals) in a high-throughput manner. The R software package httk has been developed, in part, to address this deficiency, and the aim of this investigation was to develop a generalized inhalation model for httk. The structure of the inhalation model was developed from two previously published physiologically based models from Jongeneelen and Berge (Ann Occup Hyg 55:841-864, 2011) and Clewell et al. (Toxicol Sci 63:160-172, 2001), while calculated physicochemical data was obtained from EPA's CompTox Chemicals Dashboard. In total, 142 exposure scenarios across 41 volatile organic chemicals were modeled and compared to published data. The slope of the regression line of best fit between log-transformed simulated and observed blood and exhaled breath concentrations was 0.46 with an r2 = 0.45 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of direct comparison between the log-transformed simulated and observed values of 1.11. Approximately 5.1% (n = 108) of the data points analyzed were >2 orders of magnitude different than expected. The volatile organic chemicals examined in this investigation represent small, generally lipophilic molecules. Ultimately this paper details a generalized inhalation component that integrates with the httk physiologically based toxicokinetic model to provide high-throughput estimates of inhalation chemical exposures.

Current Approaches and Techniques in Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Modelling of Nanomaterials

There have been efforts to develop physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models for nanomaterials (NMs). Since NMs have quite different kinetic behaviors, the applicability of the approaches and techniques that are utilized in current PBPK models for NMs is warranted. Most PBPK models simulate a size-independent endocytosis from tissues or blood. In the lungs, dosimetry and the air-liquid interface (ALI) models have sometimes been used to estimate NM deposition and translocation into the circulatory system. In the gastrointestinal (GI) tract, kinetics data are needed for mechanistic understanding of NM behavior as well as their absorption through GI mucus and their subsequent hepatobiliary excretion into feces. Following absorption, permeability (P_t) and partition coefficients (PCs) are needed to simulate partitioning from the circulatory system into various organs. Furthermore, mechanistic modelling of organ- and species-specific NM corona formation is in its infancy. More recently, some PBPK models have included the mononuclear phagocyte system (MPS). Most notably, dissolution, a key elimination process for NMs, is only empirically added in some PBPK models. Nevertheless, despite the many challenges still present, there have been great advances in the development and application of PBPK models for hazard assessment and risk assessment of NMs.

Application of a combined aggregate exposure pathway and adverse outcome pathway (AEP-AOP) approach to inform a cumulative risk assessment: A case study with phthalates

Advancements in measurement and modeling capabilities are providing unprecedented access to estimates of chemical exposure and bioactivity. With this influx of new data, there is a need for frameworks that help organize and disseminate information on chemical hazard and exposure in a manner that is accessible and transparent. A case study approach was used to demonstrate integration of the Adverse Outcome Pathway (AOP) and Aggregate Exposure Pathway (AEP) frameworks to support cumulative risk assessment of co-exposure to two phthalate esters that are ubiquitous in the environment and that are associated with disruption of male sexual development in the rat: di(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) and di-n-butyl phthalate (DnBP). A putative AOP was developed to guide selection of an in vitro assay for derivation of bioactivity values for DEHP and DnBP and their metabolites. AEPs for DEHP and DnBP were used to extract key exposure data as inputs for a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model to predict internal metabolite concentrations. These metabolite concentrations were then combined using in vitro-based relative potency factors for comparison with an internal dose metric, resulting in an estimated margin of safety of ~13,000. This case study provides an adaptable workflow for integrating exposure and toxicity data by coupling AEP and AOP frameworks and using in vitro and in silico methodologies for cumulative risk assessment.

Quantitative bias analysis of the association between subclinical thyroid disease and two perfluoroalkyl substances in a single study

Exposure to perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) has been associated with the occurrence of thyroid disease in some epidemiologic studies. We hypothesized that in a specific epidemiologic study based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, the association of subclinical thyroid disease with serum concentration of PFOA and PFOS was due to reverse causality. Thyroid hormone affects glomerular filtration, which in turn affects excretion of PFOA and PFOS. We evaluated this by linking a model of thyroid disease status over the lifetime to physiologically based pharmacokinetic models of PFOA and PFOS. Using Monte Carlo methods, we simulated the target study population and analyzed the data using multivariable logistic regression. The target and simulated populations were similar with respect to age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, serum concentrations of PFOA and PFOS, and prevalence of subclinical thyroid disease. Our findings suggest that in the target study the associations with subclinical hypothyroidism were overstated and the results for subclinical hyperthyroidism were, in general, understated. For example, for subclinical hypothyroidism in men, the reported odds ratio per ln(PFOS) increase was 1.98 (95% CI 1.19-3.28), whereas in the simulated data the bias due to reverse causality gave an odds ratio of 1.19 (1.16-1.23). Our results provide evidence of bias due to reverse causality in a specific cross-sectional study of subclinical thyroid disease with exposure to PFOA and PFOS among adults.

An open source physiologically based kinetic model for the chicken (Gallus gallus domesticus): Calibration and validation for the prediction residues in tissues and eggs

Xenobiotics from anthropogenic and natural origin enter animal feed and human food as regulated compounds, environmental contaminants or as part of components of the diet. After dietary exposure, a chemical is absorbed and distributed systematically to a range of organs and tissues, metabolised, and excreted. Physiologically based kinetic (PBK) models have been developed to estimate internal concentrations from external doses. In this study, a generic multi-compartment PBK model was developed for chicken. The PBK model was implemented for seven compounds (with log K_ow range -1.37-6.2) to quantitatively link external dose and internal dose for risk assessment of chemicals. Global sensitivity analysis was performed for a hydrophilic and a lipophilic compound to identify the most sensitive parameters in the PBK model. Model predictions were compared to measured data according to dataset-specific exposure scenarios. Globally, 71% of the model predictions were within a 3-fold change of the measured data for chicken and only 7% of the PBK predictions were outside a 10-fold change. While most model input parameters still rely on in vivo experiments, in vitro data were also used as model input to predict internal concentration of the coccidiostat monensin. Future developments of generic PBK models in chicken and other species of relevance to animal health risk assessment are discussed.

New Approach Methodologies for Exposure Science

Chemical risk assessment relies on knowledge of hazard, the dose-response relationship, and exposure to characterize potential risks to public health and the environment. A chemical with minimal toxicity might pose a risk if exposures are extensive, repeated, and/or occurring during critical windows across the human life span. Exposure assessment involves understanding human activity, and this activity is confounded by interindividual variability that is both biological and behavioral. Exposures further vary between the general population and susceptible or occupationally exposed populations. Recent computational exposure efforts have tackled these problems through the creation of new tools and predictive models. These tools include machine learning to draw inferences from existing data and computer-enhanced screening analyses to generate new data. Mathematical models provide frameworks describing chemical exposure processes. These models can be statistically evaluated to establish rigorous confidence in their predictions. The computational exposure tools reviewed here are oriented toward 'high-throughput' application, that is, they are suitable for dealing with the thousands of chemicals in commerce with limited sources of chemical exposure information. These new tools and models are moving chemical exposure and risk assessment forward in the 21st century.

Physiology-based toxicokinetic modelling in the frame of the European Human Biomonitoring Initiative

Given the opportunities provided by internal dosimetry modelling in the interpretation of human biomonitoring (HBM) data, the assessment of the links between exposure to chemicals and observed HBM data can be effectively supported by PBTK modelling. This paper gives a comprehensive review of available human PBTK models for compounds selected as a priority by the European Human Biomonitoring Initiative (HBM4EU). We highlight their advantages and deficiencies and suggest steps for advanced internal dose modelling. The review of the available PBTK models highlighted the conceptual differences between older models compared to the ones developed recently, reflecting commensurate differences in research questions. Due to the lack of coordinated strategies for deriving useful biomonitoring data for toxicokinetic properties, significant problems in model parameterisation still remain; these are further increased by the lack of human toxicokinetic data due to ethics issues. Finally, questions arise as well as to the extent they are really representative of interindividual variability. QSARs for toxicokinetic properties is a complementary approach for PBTK model parameterisation, especially for data poor chemicals. This approach could be expanded to model chemico-biological interactions such as intestinal absorption and renal clearance; this could serve the development of more complex generic PBTK models that could be applied to newly derived chemicals. Another gap identified is the framework for mixture interaction terms among compounds that could eventually interact in metabolism. From the review it was concluded that efforts should be shifted toward the development of generic multi-compartmental and multi-route models, supported by targeted biomonitoring coupled with parameterisation by both QSAR approach and experimental (in-vivo and in-vitro) data for newly developed and data poor compounds.

Integration of Food Animal Residue Avoidance Databank (FARAD) empirical methods for drug withdrawal interval determination with a mechanistic population-based interactive physiologically based pharmacokinetic (iPBPK) modeling platform: example for flunixin meglumine administration

Violative chemical residues in animal-derived food products affect food safety globally and have impact on the trade of international agricultural products. The Food Animal Residue Avoidance Databank program has been developing scientific tools to provide appropriate withdrawal interval (WDI) estimations after extralabel drug use in food animals for the past three decades. One of the tools is physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling, which is a mechanistic-based approach that can be used to predict tissue residues and WDIs. However, PBPK models are complicated and difficult to use by non-modelers. Therefore, a user-friendly PBPK modeling framework is needed to move this field forward. Flunixin was one of the top five violative drug residues identified in the United States from 2010 to 2016. The objective of this study was to establish a web-based user-friendly framework for the development of new PBPK models for drugs administered to food animals. Specifically, a new PBPK model for both cattle and swine after administration of flunixin meglumine was developed. Population analysis using Monte Carlo simulations was incorporated into the model to predict WDIs following extralabel administration of flunixin meglumine. The population PBPK model was converted to a web-based interactive PBPK (iPBPK) framework to facilitate its application. This iPBPK framework serves as a proof-of-concept for further improvements in the future and it can be applied to develop new models for other drugs in other food animal species, thereby facilitating the application of PBPK modeling in WDI estimation and food safety assessment.

Challenges Associated With Applying Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling for Public Health Decision-Making

The development and application of physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models in chemical toxicology have grown steadily since their emergence in the 1980s. However, critical evaluation of PBPK models to support public health decision-making across federal agencies has thus far occurred for only a few environmental chemicals. In order to encourage decision-makers to embrace the critical role of PBPK modeling in risk assessment, several important challenges require immediate attention from the modeling community. The objective of this contemporary review is to highlight 3 of these challenges, including: (1) difficulties in recruiting peer reviewers with appropriate modeling expertise and experience; (2) lack of confidence in PBPK models for which no tissue/plasma concentration data exist for model evaluation; and (3) lack of transferability across modeling platforms. Several recommendations for addressing these 3 issues are provided to initiate dialog among members of the PBPK modeling community, as these issues must be overcome for the field of PBPK modeling to advance and for PBPK models to be more routinely applied in support of public health decision-making.

Assessing Global Human Exposure to T-2 Toxin via Poultry Meat Consumption Using a Lifetime Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model

Residue depletion of T-2 toxin in chickens after oral gavage at 2.0 mg/kg twice daily for 2 days was determined in this study. A flow-limited physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model was developed for lifetime exposure assessment in chickens. The model was calibrated with data from the residue depletion study and then validated with independent data. A local sensitivity analysis was performed, and 16 sensitive parameters were subjected to Monte Carlo analysis. The population PBPK model was applied to estimate daily intake values of T-2 toxin in different countries based on reported consumption factors and the guidance value of 0.25 mg/kg in feed for chickens by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA). The predicted daily intakes in different countries were all lower than the EFSA's total daily intake, suggesting that the EFSA's guidance value has minimal risk. This model provides a foundation for scaling to other mycotoxins and other food animal species.

Health risk assessment of trihalomethanes mixtures from daily water-related activities via multi-pathway exposure based on PBPK model

In this study, the concentrations of trihalomethanes (THMs) in tap water and direct drinking water were analyzed, and based on the human behavior patterns and building parameters, the concentrations of THMs in indoor air were simulated with the water-air concentration conversion model. In addition, concentrations of THMs in human tissues were predicted based on physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model, and the health risk of THMs for participants were estimated. Furthermore, the carcinogenic risk of mixtures according to the method proposed by USEPA and PBPK model based method were calculated and compared. The concentrations of chloroform, bromodichloromethane, dibromochloromethane and bromoform in tap water were 11.28-16.21, 4.83-6.28, 0.81-1.32 and 0.08-0.21 μg/L, and those in direct drinking water were 3.29-6.88, 0.35-0.47, 0.03-0.08 and 0.04-0.08 μg/L, respectively. The results of water-air concentration conversion model demonstrated that pollutants in air had a strong correlation with water-related activities. Multi-pathway PBPK model showed that THMs concentrations in liver, kidney and richly perfused tissue were higher than those in other tissues. The results of risk assessment showed that the mean risk levels of mixtures were 1.69 × 10^-4 and 1.72 × 10^-4 calculated by the USEPA recommended method and PBPK based method, which seriously exceeded the acceptable level. TCM and BDCM were the major risk factors, and inhalation was the main exposure route of THMs.