Chronobiological patterns of onset of acute cerebrovascular diseases

Time of the day and season distribution among stroke code subtypes: differences between ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and stroke mimic

Background

Circadian variations in the timing of the onset of stroke symptoms have been described, showing a morning excess of cardiovascular risk. To date, no differences have been found between stroke subtype and time distribution throughout the day. The present study aims to compare the seasonal and circadian rhythm of symptoms onset in ischemic, hemorrhagic, and stroke mimic patients.

Methods

This study was conducted prospectively at a hospital and involved a cohort of stroke alert patients from 2018 to 2021. Stroke subtypes were classified as ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), transient ischemic attack (TIA), and stroke mimic. Clinical variables were recorded, and each patient was assigned to a 4-h interval of the day according to the time of onset of symptoms; unwitnessed stroke patients were analyzed separately. Seasonal changes in stroke distribution were analyzed at 3-month intervals.

Results

A total of 2,348 patients were included in this analysis (ischemic 67%, ICH 13%, mimic 16%, and TIA 3%). Regardless of stroke subtype, most of the patients were distributed between 08-12 h and 12-16 h. Significant differences were found in the time distribution depending on stroke subtype, with ICH predominating in the 4-8 h period (dawn), most of which were hypertensive, TIA in the 12-16 h period (afternoon), and stroke mimic in the 20 h period (evening). The ischemic stroke was evenly distributed throughout the different periods of the day. There were no differences in the seasonal pattern between different stroke subtypes, with winter being the one that accumulated the most cases.

Conclusion

The present study showed different circadian patterns of stroke subtypes, with a predominance of ICH at dawn and stroke mimic in the afternoon. The stroke circadian rhythm resembles previous studies, with a higher incidence in the morning and a second peak in the afternoon.

Rhythm of Acute Aortic Syndrome in Northeastern China

Acute aortic syndromes (AAS) are a series of life-threatening conditions of the aorta. To improve predictability and prevention, we investigated the daily, weekly, monthly, and seasonal variations in the onset of AAS in Liaoning Province, Northeast China.We collected the clinical data of 1,197 patients treated for AAS at the General Hospital of Northern Theater Command between June 2002 and June 2021. Chi-square goodness-of-fit testing was used to determine whether AAS uniformly occurred.The average age was 54.93 ± 12.32 years, and 614 patients (51.29%) aged below or equal to 55 years. Nine-hundred-and-five patients (75.61%) were male. The proportions of patients comorbid with hypertension and diabetes were 80.37% and 4.09%, respectively. The peak time of the day for the onset of AAS was between 12:00 and 17:59 (P < 0.001). Furthermore, we found that patients with hypertension had obvious circadian rhythm. AAS had a weekly distribution (P = 0.032), with Sunday and Monday being two troughs. The incidence rate of AAS was low in warmer periods, such as July and August in summer (P < 0.001). The correlation analysis revealed a negative association between the incidence of AAS and the monthly average temperature (P < 0.05).Our results revealed that AAS displayed circadian and seasonal rhythms in northeast China. AAS peaked between 12:00 and 17:59. Patients with AAS with hypertension had obvious circadian rhythm. Summer was trough season for the onset of AAS. The incidence rate of AAS was negatively correlated with the monthly average temperature.

Seasonal and daily variations in the occurence and outcomes of acute Stanford type A dissections: a retrospective single-center study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the seasonal, monthly, and daily distributions of the incidence of Stanford type-A acute aortic dissection (TAAAD) and identify seasonality in the duration of hospital stay and in-hospital mortality of TAAAD in south-eastern China.

METHODS

We enrolled patients diagnosed with TAAAD between 1 June 2017 and 31 May 2021. Participants were divided into seasonal, monthly, and daily groups according to the need for analysis. Analysis of variance was applied to compare the number of TAAAD in different seasons, months, and days. χ² test was used to compare in-hospital mortality among the four groups. Non-parametric methods were used for all comparisons of the duration of hospital stay. Univariate logistic and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the duration of hospital stay.

RESULTS

Of the 485 patients, 154 were diagnosed in winter (31.8%), 115 in spring (23.7%), 73 in summer (15.1%), and 143 in autumn (29.5%). The daily, monthly, and seasonal distributions of TAAAD were significantly different (P = 0.04, P < 0.01, and P < 0.01, respectively). This study did not identify any significant decrease in maximal, mean, or minimum temperatures between the three days before TAAAD and the day of TAAAD. No seasonal variations associated with in-hospital mortality was observed (P = 0.89). However, significant differences were observed in the seasonal distribution of the duration of hospital stay for TAAAD [winter was 17.0 (4.0-24.0) days, spring was 20.0 (14.0-29.0) days, summer was 20.0 (12.5-31.0) days, and autumn was 20.0 (13.0-30.0) days, P < 0.01]. Multiple factor analysis showed that winter was the independent risk factor for the increased duration of hospital stay. The odds ratio for winter was 2.21 (1.46, 3.33, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study confirmed that the incidence of TAAAD exhibits seasonal, monthly, and daily variations in south-eastern China. Moreover, the daily incidence of TAAAD is higher on weekdays than that on weekends.

Associations of ambient temperature with mortality for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and the modification effects of greenness in Shandong Province, China

BACKGROUND

Evidence is scant on the relative and attributable contributions of ambient temperature on stroke subtypes mortality. Few studies have examined modification effects of multiple greenness indicators on such contributions, especially in China. We quantified the associations between ambient temperature and overall, ischemic, and hemorrhagic stroke mortality; further examined whether the associations were modified by greenness.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter time-series analysis from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2019. we adopted a distributed lag non-linear model to evaluate county-specific temperature-stroke mortality associations. We then applied a random-effects meta-analysis to pool county-specific effects. Attributable mortality was calculated for cold and heat, defined as temperatures below and above the minimum mortality temperature (MMT). Finally, We conducted a multivariate meta-regression to determine associations between greenness and stroke mortality risks for cold and heat, using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) as quantitative indicators of greenness exposure.

RESULTS

In the study period, 138,749 deaths from total stroke were reported: 86,873 ischemic and 51,876 hemorrhagic stroke. We observed significant W-shaped relationships between temperature and stroke mortality, with substantial differences among counties and regions. With MMT as the temperature threshold, 17.16 % (95 % empirical CI, 13.38 %-19.75 %) of overall, 20.05 % (95 % eCI, 16.46 %-22.70 %) of ischemic, and 12.55 % (95 % eCI, 5.59 %-16.24 %) of hemorrhagic stroke mortality were attributable to non-optimum temperature (combining cold and heat), more mortality was caused by cold (14.94 %; 95 % eCI, 11.57 %-17.34 %) than by heat (2.22 %; 95 % eCI, 1.54 %-2.72 %). Higher levels of NDVI, SAVI and EVI were related to mitigated effects of non-optimum temperatures-especially heat.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to non-optimum temperatures aggravated stroke mortality risks; increasing greenness could alleviate that risks. This evidence has important implications for local communities in developing adaptive strategies to minimize the health consequences of adverse temperatures.

Rhythmicity of patient flow in an acute medical unit: relationship to hospital occupancy, 7-day working and the effect of COVID-19

BACKGROUND

The Acute Medical Unit (AMU) provides care for unscheduled hospital admissions. Seven-day consultant presence and morning AMU discharges have been advocated to improve hospital bed management.

AIMS

To determine whether a later time of daily peak AMU occupancy correlates with measures of hospital stress; whether 7-day consultant presence, for COVID-19, abolished weekly periodicity of discharges.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis.

METHODS

: Anonymised AMU admission and discharge times were retrieved from the Profile Information Management System (PIMS), at a large, urban hospital from 14 April 2014 to 31 December 2018 and 20 March to 2 May 2020 (COVID-19 peak). Minute-by-minute admission and discharge times were combined to construct a running total of AMU bed occupancy. Fourier transforms were used to determine periodicity. We tested association between (i) average AMU occupancy and (ii) time of peak AMU occupancy, with measures of hospital stress (total medical bed occupancy and 'medical outliers' on non-medical wards).

RESULTS

: Daily, weekly and seasonal patterns of AMU bed occupancy were evident. Timing of AMU peak occupancy was unrelated to each measure of hospital stress: total medical inpatients (Spearman's rho, rs = 0.04, P = 0.24); number of medical outliers (rs = -0.06, P = 0.05). During COVID-19, daily bed occupancy was similar, with continuation of greater Friday and Monday discharges than the weekend.

CONCLUSIONS

: Timing of peak AMU occupancy did not alter with hospital stress. Efforts to increase morning AMU discharges are likely to have little effect on hospital performance. Seven-day consultant presence did not abolish weekly periodicity of discharges-other factors influence weekend discharges.

Is the time of calling helpful for differentiating transient ischaemic attack and stroke from mimics in primary care out-of-hours services? A cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

Telephone triage of patients suspected of transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or stroke is challenging. Both TIA and stroke more likely occur during daytime, with a peak in the morning hours. Thus, the time of calling might be a helpful determinant during telephone triage. We assessed the time of calling in patients with stroke-like symptoms who called the out-of-hours services in primary care (OHS-PC), and evaluated whether the time of calling differed between patients with TIA or stroke compared with those with mimics.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Six OHS-PC locations in the Netherlands.

PARTICIPANTS

1269 telephone triage recordings of patients calling the OHS-PC because of stroke-like symptoms. We collected information on patient characteristics, symptoms, time of calling and urgency allocation. The final diagnosis related to each triage call was based on letters from the neurologist (retrieved from the patient's general practitioner).

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measures were the time of calling hourly and 4 hourly, and the risk of TIA or stroke/hour. The secondary outcome measure was the risk ratio of TIA or stroke in the morning (08:00-12:00h) versus other hours.

RESULTS

Mean age was 68.6 (SD±18.5) years, 56.9% were women and 50.0% had a TIA or stroke. The risk ratio of TIA or stroke among people calling with stroke-like symptoms between 08:00-12:00h versus other hours was 1.13 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.28, p=0.070). After correction for age and sex, the adjusted risk ratio was 0.94 (95% CI 0.80 to 1.10, p=0.434).

CONCLUSION

In patients who called the OHS-PC because of stroke-like symptoms, the time of calling did not differ between patients with TIA or stroke and patients with mimics.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

The Netherlands National Trial Registry (NTR7331).

Association between admission time and in-hospital mortality in acute aortic dissection patients: A retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between admission time and in-hospital mortality in acute aortic dissection (AAD) patients.

METHODS

The risk factors of in-hospital clinical outcomes were retrospectively evaluated in patients with AAD. All the patients were enrolled from January to December 2017 and were divided into two groups depending on the time of admission: daytime admissions were conducted from 8: 00 to 17: 30 hours whereas, nighttime admissions were from 17: 30 to 8: 00 hours. The primary endpoints were in-hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariable cox analyses were used to test the association between admission time and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

The average age of the 363 participants in the present study was 52.25 ± 11.77 years, of which 81.6% were male. A total of 183 (50.4%) of these patients were admitted during nighttime. In-hospital mortality rate was higher in the nighttime admission group than in the daytime admission group (HR=1.86; 95%CI, 1.13 to 3.06, P=0.015). After adjusting for age, sex, and other risk factors, nighttime admission suggested as an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (HR=2.67, 95%CI, 1.30 to 5.46; P=0.007). Further subgroup analysis showed that none of the variables had a significant effect on the association between nighttime admission and in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

Nighttime admission for type A acute aortic dissection is associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality. Therefore, health care systems should focus on managing the increased risk of in-hospital mortality among patients admitted at night, regardless of the cause.

Circadian variations in the onset of aortic dissection in northern China

This study explored the periodic changes in the onset of aortic dissection in a single center in northern China, with the goal to improve predictability and prevention. We collected the clinical data of 1121 patients from Hebei Province treated for acute aortic dissection at Fuwai Hospital between January 2010 and December 2016. The patterns of aortic dissection during different periods of each day, each month, and each quarter of a year were analyzed. Variations in the number of cases were summarized for weekdays, weekends, and different periods of a day in each season. We compared the differences in gender, age, body mass index, Marfan syndrome, hypertension, and the type of aortic dissection during different time periods and different seasons. In the study, 774 patients (69.1%) with type A aortic dissection and 347 patients (30.9%) with type B aortic dissection were included. The average age of 1121 patients was 51.4 ± 12.0 years. Overall, the peak period for the onset of aortic dissection in a day was between 13:00 and 18:00. There was no statistically significant difference in the number of cases between weekdays and weekend (P = 0.94). Most cases occurred in winter (30.9%); the rate of onset was the lowest in summer (16.6%). No statistically significant difference was observed between male and female patients in terms of variations during different periods of a day (P = 0.45) and seasons (P = 0.12). In conclusion, aortic dissection displayed circadian and seasonal patterns in northern China. Onset of the disease peaked between 13:00 and 18:00 in a day. Winter was the peak season for the onset of acute aortic dissection, regardless of sex, type of dissection and age.

Long-term projections of temperature-related mortality risks for ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and acute ischemic heart disease under changing climate in Beijing, China

BACKGROUND

Changing climates have been causing variations in the number of global ischemic heart disease and stroke incidences, and will continue to affect disease occurrence in the future.

OBJECTIVES

To project temperature-related mortality for acute ischemic heart disease, and ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke with concomitant climate warming.

METHODS

We estimated the exposure-response relationship between daily cause-specific mortality and daily mean temperature in Beijing. We utilized outputs from 31 downscaled climate models and two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s. This strategy was used to estimate future net temperature along with heat- and cold-related deaths. The results for predicted temperature-related deaths were subsequently contrasted with the baseline period.

RESULTS

In the 2080s, using the RCP8.5 and no population variation scenarios, the net total number of annual temperature-related deaths exhibited a median value of 637 (with a range across models of 434-874) for ischemic stroke; this is an increase of approximately 100% compared with the 1980s. The median number of projected annual temperature-related deaths was 660 (with a range across models of 580-745) for hemorrhagic stroke (virtually no change compared with the 1980s), and 1683 (with a range across models of 1351-2002) for acute ischemic heart disease (a slight increase of approximately 20% compared with the 1980s). In the 2080s, the monthly death projection for hemorrhagic stroke and acute ischemic heart disease showed that the largest absolute changes occurred in summer and winter while the largest absolute changes for ischemic stroke occurred in summer.

CONCLUSIONS

We projected that the temperature-related mortality associated with ischemic stroke will increase dramatically due to climate warming. However, projected temperature-related mortality pertaining to acute ischemic heart disease and hemorrhagic stroke should remain relatively stable over time.

Daily Variation in the Occurrence of Different Subtypes of Stroke

Three thousand two hundred and ninety-eight patients admitted to our Stroke Unit with hemorrhagic, large artery atherosclerosis, cardioembolic, small-vessel occlusion, and undetermined etiology-cryptogenic strokes were included in the study. The circadian variability in onset in each stroke subgroup and the associations with various risk factors were analyzed. In each subgroup, a significant minority of patients suffered from stroke during sleep. In the ischemic group, hypercholesterolemia, paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, and previous myocardial infarction facilitated the onset during waking. During waking, stroke onset was significantly higher in the morning compared to the afternoon both in the hemorrhagic and in the ischemic type. In hemorrhagic stroke, a previous stroke was associated with a lower early morning occurrence. In large artery atherosclerosis stroke, males were at higher risk of early morning occurrence (p < 0.01). In small-vessel occlusion stroke, hypertension is significantly more present in the morning compared to the afternoon onset (p < 0.005). Circadian patterns of stroke onset were observed both in hemorrhagic and in ischemic stroke, irrespective of the ischemic subgroup. In all groups, stroke was more likely to occur during waking than during sleep and, in the diurnal period, during morning than during afternoon. Moreover, sex and some clinical factors influence the diurnal pattern.

Seasonal variation in patient characteristics and in-hospital outcomes of Takotsubo syndrome: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan

Although there is reportedly seasonal variation in the occurrence of Takotsubo syndrome (TTS), it is unknown whether there is a relationship between season and patient characteristics, or whether season influences outcomes. Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database in Japan, we retrospectively identified 4306 patients (mean age 73.6 years) hospitalized with TTS between January 2011 and December 2013. We divided patients into four groups according to season of admission [n = 914, Spring (March-May); n = 1243, Summer (June-August); n = 1245, Autumn (September-November); n = 904, Winter (December-February)]. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality and cardiovascular complications. We compared patient backgrounds and outcomes across seasons and estimated the adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes in logistic regression analyses adjusted for multiple propensity scores. Although there was no significant difference in age across seasons, the proportion of males differed significantly (from 18.5% in autumn to 23.9% in winter; p = 0.016). The incidence of psychiatric disease (from 4.9% in spring to 7.9% in summer; p = 0.025) and sepsis (from 0.8% in winter to 2.6% in summer; p = 0.019) also differed significantly with season. In-hospital mortality was not significantly influenced by season (p = 0.377): spring, 5.1%; summer, 6.0%; autumn, 4.6%; winter, 6.0%. However, in-hospital mortality ranged widely across months from 3.0% in September to 7.5% in April. The incidence of ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation was significantly different (p = 0.038): spring, 2.2% (reference); summer, 3.3% (aOR 1.46, 95% CI 0.84-2.51); autumn, 2.7% (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 0.72-2.22); winter, 4.4% (aOR 1.92, 95% CI 1.11-3.33). Although season did not appear to influence the in-hospital mortality of TTS, monthly variation may exist in the risk of death in patients with TTS. There were significant seasonal variations in the proportions of males, patients with psychiatric disease or sepsis, and the incidence of ventricular arrhythmias among patients with TTS.

Chronobiology of Takotsubo Syndrome and Myocardial Infarction: Analogies and Differences

Several pathophysiologic factors, not harmful if taken alone, are capable of triggering unfavorable events when presenting together within the same temporal window (chronorisk), and the occurrence of many cardiovascular events is not evenly distributed in time. Both acute myocardial infarction and takotsubo syndrome seem to exhibit a temporal preference in their onset, characterized by variations according to time of day, day of the week, and month of the year, although with both analogies and differences.

Onset seasons and clinical outcomes in patients with Stanford type A acute aortic dissection: an observational retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association of onset season with clinical outcome in type A acute aortic dissection (AAD).

DESIGN

A single-centre, observational retrospective study.

SETTING

The study was conducted in Fuwai Hospital, the National Centre for Cardiovascular Disease, Beijing, China.

PARTICIPANTS

From 2008 to 2010, a set of consecutive patients with type A AAD, confirmed by CT scanning, were enrolled and divided into four groups according to onset season: winter (December, January and February), spring (March, April and May), summer (June, July and August) and autumn (September, October and November). The primary end points were in-hospital death and all-cause mortality during follow-up.

RESULTS

Of the 492 cases in this study, 129 occurred in winter (26.2%), 147 in spring (29.9%), 92 in summer (18.7%), and 124 in autumn (25.2%). After a median follow-up of 20.4 months (IQR 9.7-38.9), the in-hospital mortality in cases occurring in autumn was higher than in the other three seasons (23.4% vs 8.4%, p<0.01). Long-term mortality was comparable among the four seasonal groups (p=0.63). After adjustment for age, gender and other risk factors, onset in autumn was still an independent factor associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR 2.05; 95% CI 1.15 to 3.64, p=0.02) in addition to surgical treatment. Further analysis showed that the seasonal effect on in-hospital mortality (autumn vs other seasons: 57.4% vs 27.3%, p<0.01) was only significant in patients who did not receive surgical treatment. No seasonal effect on long-term clinical outcomes was found in this cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Onset in autumn may be a factor that increases the risk of in-hospital death from type A AAD, especially in patients who receive conservative treatment. Immediate surgery improves the short-term and long-term outcomes regardless of onset season.

Seasonal Variation in Onset of Pulmonary Embolism is Independent of Patients' Underlying Risk Comorbid Conditions

As for many cardiovascular events, pulmonary embolism (PE) is not randomly distributed over time, but shows rhythmic patterns. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether such temporal pattern of occurrence varied in subgroups of patients according to different risk comorbid conditions. All cases of PE observed at the Hospital of Ferrara, Italy, from 1998 to 2001, were considered. After determination of the day of onset, the population was grouped by gender and the most common underlying risk comorbid conditions, e.g., deep vein thrombosis (DVT), neoplasms, cardiomyopathies, traumas/surgical operations, diabetes mellitus, pulmonary diseases, hypertension, cerebrovascular diseases, heart failure, hematologic diseases. For statistical analysis, chi-square test for goodness of fit and partial Fourier series were used. A total of 784 cases (mean age 71 ± 14 years) were included. Frequency of onset was higher in winter for total population (p=0.002), men (p=0.004), DVT (p=0.001), pulmonary disease (p=0.008), cardiomyopathies (p=0.011), and major traumas/surgical operations (p=0.049). Chronobiologic analysis identified a winter peak for total population (p=0.008), men (p<O.OOl), DVT (p=0.006), pulmonary diseases (p=0.017), and hypertension (p=0.026). This study confirms the winter peak of PE and provides evidence that it is not influenced by the underlying clinical conditions, but probably by endogenous variations.

Dehydration as a Possible Cause of Monthly Variation in the Incidence of Venous Thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Monthly or seasonal changes in the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) were previously reported; however, the mechanism of such variability is not completely understood.

METHODS

In the present retrospective single-center analysis, consecutive patients with proximal deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism (PE) diagnosed between January 2009 and December 2013 were evaluated.

RESULTS

The study population included 1496 patients, 48% men, mean age 63 ± 18 years. Most (82%) cases with VTE were provoked and 39% of patients had active cancer. Four months of peak incidence (3, 7, 10 and 11) were compared with 4 months of the lowest incidence (4, 5, 6, and 12), showing a significant difference in VTE numbers (597 vs 405 cases/year, P = 0.001). In all subgroup analyses, including gender, provoked or unprovoked event and presence or absence of cancer, significant differences between the months of peak and lowest incidence remained. Blood urea nitrogen (BUN)-creatinine ratio was significantly higher in all cases in the peak incidence group compared to the lowest incidence group (24 ± 1.5 vs 21 ± 1.6, P = 0.03). In patients with unprovoked VTE (n = 269), levels of BUN and hematocrit were significantly increased in the peak incidence group compared to lowest incidence group (19.5 ± 0.8 mg/dL vs 16 ± 1.1 mg/dL, P = 0.03; 39.2 ± 0.3% vs 37.4 ± 0.5%, P = 0.01, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The current study demonstrates that occurrence of VTE exhibits monthly variation also existing in patients with provoked events and even in those with cancer. Dehydration is suggested as a potential explanation to the month-related variation in incidence of VTE.

"Timing" of arrival and in-hospital mortality in a cohort of patients under anticoagulant therapy presenting to the emergency departments with cerebral hemorrhage: A multicenter chronobiological study in Italy

Therapy with oral anticoagulants (OACs) is a risk factor for cerebral hemorrhage (CH). Although different studies have been undertaken to investigate the timing of the onset of major cardiovascular events, no data exist on temporal patterns of the onset of CH in subjects treated with OACs. The aim of this study is to evaluate the timing of CH in patients treated with OACs. All patients who developed CH under OACs therapy and admitted to 28 Italian Emergency Departments (EDs) between September 2011 and July 2013 were enrolled. Age, sex, time and location of the hemorrhagic lesion, type of the bleeding events (idiopathic or post-traumatic), anticoagulant therapy (warfarin or new oral anticoagulants - NOAs) and time of ED admission (i.e., hour, day, month and season) were recorded. Five hundred and seventeen patients (63.2% male aged 80 ± 7.9 yrs) with CH were involved. Warfarin was taken by 494 patients (95.6%), and NOAs by 23 (4.4%). In-hospital mortality (IHM) was recorded in 208 cases (40.2%). Cosinor analysis showed a peak of CH arrival between 12:00 and 14:00 h both in the whole population (PR 73.9%, p = 0.002) and the male subgroup (PR 65.2%, p = 0.009), whereas females showed an anticipated morning peak between 08:00 and 10:00 h (PR 65.7%, p = 0.008). A further analysis between idiopathic and post-traumatic CH confirmed the presence of a 24 h pattern with a peak between 12:00 and 14:00 h (PR 58.5%, p = 0.019) and between 08:00 and 10:00 h (PR80.1%, p < 0.001) for idiopathic events and post-traumatic hemorrhages, respectively. Moreover, a seasonal winter peak was identified for idiopathic forms (PR 74%, p = 0.035), and a summer peak for post-traumatic forms (PR 77%, p = 0.025). The present study suggests the presence of a temporal pattern of ED arrivals in CH patients treated with OACs.

Time series analysis of the association between ambient temperature and cerebrovascular morbidity in the elderly in Shanghai, China

Research on the association between ambient temperature and cerebrovascular morbidity is scarce in China. In this study, we applied mixed generalized additive model (MGAM) to daily counts of cerebrovascular disease of Shanghai residents aged 65 years or older from 2007-2011, stratified by gender. Weighted daily mean temperature up to lags of one week was smoothed by natural cubic spline, and was added into the model to assess both linear and nonlinear effects of temperature. We found that when the mean temperature increased by 1 °C, the male cases of cerebrovascular disease reduced by 0.95% (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.80%, 1.10%) or reduced by 0.34% (95% CI: -0.68, 1.36%) in conditions of temperature was below or above 27 °C. However, for every 1 °C increase in temperature, the female cases of cerebrovascular disease increased by 0.34% (95% CI: -0.26%, 0.94%) or decreased by 0.92% (95% CI: 0.72, 1.11%) in conditions of temperature was below or above 8 °C, respectively. Temperature and cerebrovascular morbidity is negatively associated in Shanghai. MGAM is recommended in assessing the association between environmental hazards and health outcomes in time series studies.

Triggering of stroke by ambient temperature variation: a case-crossover study in Maputo, Mozambique

OBJECTIVES

The effect of ambient temperature as a stroke trigger is likely to differ by type of stroke and to depend on non-transient exposures that influence the risk of this outcome. We aimed to quantify the association between ambient temperature variation and stroke, according to clinical characteristics of the events, and other risk factors for stroke.

METHODS

We conducted a case-crossover study based on a 1-year registry of the hospital admissions due to newly occurring ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke events in Maputo, Mozambique's capital city (N=593). The case-period was defined as the 7 days before the stroke event, which was compared to two control periods (14-21 days and 21-28 days before the event). We computed humidity- and precipitation-adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) using conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

An association between minimum temperature declines higher than 2.4 °C in any two consecutive days in the previous week and the occurrence of stroke was observed only for first events (OR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.15-1.76). Stronger and statistically significant associations were observed for hemorrhagic stroke (OR=1.50, 95%CI: 1.07-2.09) and among subjects not exposed to risk factors, including smoking, high serum cholesterol or atrial fibrillation. No differences in the effect of temperature were found according to the patients' vital status 28 days after the event.

CONCLUSIONS

First stroke events, especially of the hemorrhagic type, were triggered by declines in the minimum temperature between consecutive days of the preceding week.

Circadian Variation of Stroke Onset: A Hospital-Based Study

Aims and background.

The circadian pattern of stroke occurrence variation has been recognized with certain differences between authors and stroke types. The underlying reason may be related to exogenous factors (cyclic physical activity, including sleep–awake cycles and assuming the up-right posture) and endogenous factors, with their diurnal variation (blood pressure, hemostatic balance, autonomic system activity). The aims of the present study are to investigate the existence of a circadian variation of stroke and the possible differences between stroke subtypes in the Cluj Napoca area.

Materials and method.

The stroke event data were acquired from the Patient Records of a consecutive series of 1083 patients admitted through the Emergency Room at Neurology Departments I and II of the District Hospital of Cluj Napoca, between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2012. The classifiable onset time was assigned to one of four six-hour intervals: 00.01–06.00 (night), 06.01–12.00 (morning), 12.01–18.00 (afternoon) and 18.01–24.00 (evening). Demographic data and vascular risk factors were recorded.

Results.

All three stroke types (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke and subarachnoid hemorrhage) have shown a circadian variation regarding their occurrence, with the peak of incidence in the morning and the nadir during nighttime. This circadian pattern is independent by demographic factors and vascular risk factors.

Conclusion.

Our study confirmed the circadian variation of onset occurrence for all stroke subtypes. Some triggering factors promote ischemic stroke and prevent hemorrhagic stroke. The diurnal pattern of variation with the higher incidence in the morning and the lower in the night may lead to chrono-therapeutic and preventive approach (chrono-therapy of the risk factors), which targets the period of the highest vulnerability after awaking.

Variation of heart transplant rates in the United States during holidays

BACKGROUND

Some cardiac transplant programs may upgrade listed patients to United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) 1A-status during the holidays. Whether more transplants actually occur during holidays is unknown.

METHODS

We assessed rates of single-organ heart transplantation from 2001 to 2010 for recipients age ≥18 yr using the UNOS database. Patients were stratified by transplantation during holiday (±3 d, n = 2375) and non-holiday periods (n = 16 112). Holidays included Easter/Spring break, Memorial Day, July 4th, Labor Day, Thanksgiving, and Christmas/New Years (winter holidays). Secondary analysis assessing transplant rates across seasons was also completed.

RESULTS

Donor and recipient characteristics were similar between groups. Compared with non-holidays, July 4th had higher transplant rates (5.69 vs. 5.09 transplants/d, p = 0.03) while the winter holiday had lower transplant rates (4.50 vs. 5.09 transplants/d, p < 0.01). There was a trend toward lower transplant rates for all holidays compared with non-holidays (p = 0.06). Transplant rates were significantly different across seasons with greater rates in spring and summer (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Heart transplant rates were higher during the July 4th and lower during the winter holidays. Although there was a higher likelihood of transplantation during the spring and summer seasons, upgrading patients to 1A status during most holidays may not improve their chances for transplantation.

Within-Day and Weekly Variations of Thrombolysis in Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose—

Temporal variations of thrombolysis delivery and their influence on outcome have been reported with controversial results. In this large cohort study, we evaluated whether thrombolytic treatment has a within-day and weekly variability corresponding to circadian and weekly patterns of ischemic stroke onset, and whether these have impact on clinical outcome.

Methods—

We retrospectively analyzed patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving intravenous alteplase, prospectively included in the Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke-International Stroke Thrombolysis Register. Patients were grouped by treatment on day hours (08:00–19:59) or night hours (20:00–07:59) and treatment on weekdays and weekends. For each subgroup, we analyzed frequency of thrombolytic treatments, time intervals, and outcomes (3-month modified Rankin Scale score 0–2 as good functional outcome, mortality, symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage).

Results—

We included 21 513 patients. Considering the mean expected number of patients treated per hour (0.4) and per day of the week (9.8), if no temporal variations were present, patients were significantly treated more during day hours and weekdays ( P <0.0001). Median door-to-needle and onset-to-treatment times were longer for patients treated during night hours and on weekends ( P <0.01). After adjustment for confounding variables, treatment during day hours was an independent predictor of good functional outcome (odds ratio, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.04–1.21; P =0.004), and patients treated during weekdays were at risk of higher mortality (odds ratio, 1.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.04–1.28; P =0.008).

Conclusions—

Frequency of thrombolytic treatment seems to follow the same circadian pattern of stroke incidence, whereas its correspondence to a weekly pattern is less clear. Time of treatment is an independent predictor of outcome.

Breaking heart: chronobiologic insights into takotsubo cardiomyopathy

A considerable amount of evidence has shown that the major acute cardiovascular diseases, ie, myocardial infarction, sudden cardiac death, stroke, pulmonary embolism, and rupture or dissection of aortic aneurysms do not occur randomly in time, but exhibit specific temporal patterns in their onset, according to time of day, month or season, and day of the week. This contributes to the definition of "chronorisk", where several factors, not harmful if taken alone, are capable of triggering unfavorable events when presenting all together within the same temporal window. This article reviews the actual knowledge about time of onset of takotsubo cardiomyopathy.

Association between in-hospital mortality and renal dysfunction in 186,219 patients hospitalized for acute stroke in the Emilia-Romagna region of Italy

Using a regional Italian database, we evaluated the relationship between renal dysfunction and in-hospital mortality (IHM) in patients with acute stroke (ischemic/hemorrhagic). Patients were classified on the basis of renal damage: without renal dysfunction, with chronic kidney disease (CKD), and with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Of a total of 186,219 patients with a first episode of stroke, 1626 (0.9%) had CKD and 819 (0.4%) had ESRD. Stroke-related IHM (total cases) was independently associated with CKD, ESRD, atrial fibrillation (AF), age, and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). In patients with ischemic stroke (n=154,026), IHM remained independently associated with CKD, ESRD, AF, and CCI. In patients with hemorrhagic stroke (n=32,189), variables that were independently associated with IHM were CKD, ESRD, and AF. Renal dysfunction is associated with IHM related to stroke, both ischemic and hemorrhagic, with even higher odds ratios than those of other established risk factors, such as age, comorbidities, and AF.

Chronotherapy improves blood pressure control and reduces vascular risk in CKD

In patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the prevalence of increased blood pressure during sleep and blunted sleep-time-relative blood pressure decline (a nondipper pattern) is very high and increases substantially with disease severity. Elevated blood pressure during sleep is the major criterion for the diagnoses of hypertension and inadequate therapeutic ambulatory blood pressure control in these patients. Substantial, clinically meaningful ingestion-time-dependent differences in the safety, efficacy, duration of action and/or effects on the 24 h blood pressure pattern of six different classes of hypertension medications and their combinations have been substantiated. For example, bedtime ingestion of angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin-receptor blockers is more effective than morning ingestion in reducing blood pressure during sleep and converting the 24 h blood pressure profile into a dipper pattern. We have identified a progressive reduction in blood pressure during sleep--a novel therapeutic target best achieved by ingestion of one or more hypertension medications at bedtime--as the most significant predictor of decreased cardiovascular risk in patients with and without CKD. Recent findings suggest that in patients with CKD, ambulatory blood pressure monitoring should be used for the diagnosis of hypertension and assessment of cardiovascular disease risk, and that therapeutic strategies given at bedtime rather than on awakening are preferable for the management of hypertension.

The effect of season and temperature variation on hospital admissions for incident stroke events in Maputo, Mozambique

BACKGROUND

Identifying locale-specific patterns regarding the variation in stroke incidence throughout the year and with atmospheric temperature may be useful to the organization of stroke care, especially in low-resource settings.

GOAL

We aimed to describe the variation in the incidence of stroke hospitalizations across seasons and with short-term temperature variation, in Maputo, Mozambique.

METHODS

Between August 1, 2005, and July 31, 2006, we identified 651 stroke events in Maputo dwellers, according to the World Health Organization's STEPwise approach. The day of symptom onset was defined as the index date. We computed crude and adjusted (humidity, precipitation and temperature) incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) with Poisson regression.

RESULTS

Stroke incidence did not vary significantly with season (dry versus wet: crude IRR = .98, 95% CI: .84-1.15), atmospheric temperature at the index date, or average atmospheric temperature in the preceding 2 weeks. The incidence rates of stroke were approximately 30% higher when in the previous 10 days there was a decline in the minimum temperature greater than or equal to 3 °C between any 2 consecutive days (variation in minimum temperature -5.1 to -3.0 versus -2.3 to -.4, adjusted IRR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.09-1.57). No significant associations were observed according to the variation in maximum temperatures.

CONCLUSIONS

Sudden declines in the minimum temperatures were associated with a higher incidence of stroke hospitalizations in Maputo. This provides important information for prediction of periods of higher hospital affluence because of stroke and to understand the mechanisms underlying the triggering of a stroke event.

Administration-time differences in effects of hypertension medications on ambulatory blood pressure regulation

Specific features of the 24-h blood pressure (BP) pattern are linked to progressive injury of target tissues and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. Several studies have consistently shown an association between blunted asleep BP decline and risk of fatal and nonfatal CVD events. Thus, there is growing focus on ways to properly control BP during nighttime sleep as well as during daytime activity. One strategy, termed chronotherapy, entails the timing of hypertension medications to endogenous circadian rhythm determinants of the 24-h BP pattern. Significant and clinically meaningful treatment-time differences in the beneficial and/or adverse effects of at least six different classes of hypertension medications, and their combinations, are now known. Generally, calcium channel blockers (CCBs) are more effective with bedtime than morning dosing, and for dihydropyridine derivatives bedtime dosing significantly reduces risk of peripheral edema. The renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system is highly circadian rhythmic and activates during nighttime sleep. Accordingly, evening/bedtime ingestion of the angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) benazepril, captopril, enalapril, lisinopril, perindopril, quinapril, ramipril, spirapril, trandolapril, and zofenopril exerts more marked effect on the asleep than awake systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) BP means. Likewise, the bedtime, in comparison with morning, ingestion schedule of the angiotensin-II receptor blockers (ARBs irbesartan, olmesartan, telmisartan, and valsartan exerts greater therapeutic effect on asleep BP, plus significant increase in the sleep-time relative BP decline, with the additional benefit, independent of drug terminal half-life, of converting the 24-h BP profile into a more normal dipping pattern. This is the case also for the bedtime versus upon-awakening regimen of combination ARB-CCB, ACEI-CCB, and ARB-diuretic medications. The chronotherapy of conventional hypertension medications constitutes a new and cost-effective strategy for enhancing the control of daytime and nighttime SBP and DBP levels, normalizing the dipping status of their 24-h patterning, and potentially reducing the risk of CVD events and end-organ injury, for example, of the blood vessels and tissues of the heart, brain, kidney, and retina.

Twenty-four-hour patterns in occurrence and pathophysiology of acute cardiovascular events and ischemic heart disease

The scientific literature clearly establishes the occurrence of cardiovascular (CV) accidents and myocardial ischemic episodes is unevenly distributed during the 24 h. Such temporal patterns result from corresponding temporal variation in pathophysiologic mechanisms and cyclic environmental triggers that elicit the onset of clinical events. Moreover, both the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of many, though not all, CV medications have been shown to be influenced by the circadian time of their administration, even though further studies are necessary to better clarify the mechanisms of such influence on different drug classes, drug molecules, and pharmaceutical preparations. Twenty-four-hour rhythmic organization of CV functions is such that defense mechanisms against acute events are incapable of providing the same degree of protection during the day and night. Instead, temporal gates of excessive susceptibility exist, particularly in the morning and to a lesser extent evening (in diurnally active persons), to aggressive mechanisms through which overt clinical manifestations may be triggered. When peak levels of critical physiologic variables, such as blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR), rate pressure product (systolic BP × HR, surrogate measure of myocardial oxygen demand), sympathetic activation, and plasma levels of endogenous vasoconstricting substances, are aligned together at the same circadian time, the risk of acute events becomes significantly elevated such that even relatively minor and usually harmless physical and mental stress and environmental phenomena can precipitate dramatic life-threatening clinical manifestations. Hence, the delivery of CV medications needs to be synchronized in time, i.e., circadian time, in proportion to need as determined by established temporal patterns in risk of CV events, and in a manner that averts or minimizes undesired side effects.

Artificial cold air increases the cardiovascular risks in spontaneously hypertensive rats

The purpose was to investigate the effects of artificial cold air on cardiovascular risk in hypertensive subjects. An artificial cold air was simulated with hourly ambient temperature data of a real moderate cold air in China. Twenty-four male SHR rats were randomly divided into the minimum temperature (Tmin) group, the rewarming temperature (Tr) group and two concurrent control groups with six rats in each (Tmin and Tr represent two cold air time points, respectively). Tmin and Tr groups were exposed to the cold air that was stopped at Tmin and Tr, respectively. After cold air exposure, blood pressure, heart rate and body weight were monitored, blood was collected for the detection of some indexes like fibrinogen, total cholesterol and uric acid. Results demonstrated that blood pressure, whole blood viscosity, blood fibrinogen, total cholesterol and uric acid increased significantly both in the Tmin and Tr groups; low density lipoprotein/high density lipoprotein increased significantly only in Tr group; there was higher level of blood fibrinogen in the Tr group than the Tmin group; higher levels of creatine kinase-MB was found in both the Tmin and Tr groups. These results suggest that cold air may increase the cardiovascular risks in hypertensive subjects indirectly through its effects on the sympathetic nervous system and renin angiotensin system, blood pressure and atherosclerosis risk factors like blood viscosity and fibrinogen, lipids and uric acid in the blood.

Effects of cold air on cardiovascular disease risk factors in rat

The purpose of this study is to explore possible potential implications of cold air in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in rats. Healthy Wistar rats were exposed to artificial cold air under laboratory conditions, and their systolic blood pressure, heart rate, vasoconstriction, CVD risk factors, and myocardial damage indicators after cold air exposure were determined and evaluated. Systolic blood pressure, whole blood viscosity, and plasma level of norepinephrine, angiotensinⅡ, low density lipoprotein, total cholesterol, and fibrinogen in treatment groups increased significantly compared with control groups. No significant variations were found in plasma Mb and cTnT and myocardial tissue between the treatment and control groups. Results indicate that: (1) higher levels of SBP, WBV and LDL/HDL, total cholesterol (TC), and FG in blood may indicate higher CVD risks during cold air exposure; (2) cold air may exert continuous impacts on SBP and other CVD risk factors.

Does Time of Day Or Physician Experience Affect Outcome of Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Treated with Thrombolysis? a Study from Finland

Background

Maintaining a steady thrombolysis service for treatment of acute ischemic stroke 24 h/7 days is challenging. Diurnal and seasonal variability of stroke onset affects the clinical outcome of these patients.

Hypothesis

We state that a 24 h/7 days availability of stroke-trained physicians ameliorates weekend effects and other seasonal, weekday, or non-office-hour-related influences on outcome of ischemic stroke patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis.

Methods

All consecutive ischemic stroke patients treated with thrombolysis at the Helsinki University Central Hospital were prospectively registered ( n = 1581). Patients with basilar artery occlusion ( n = 154) were excluded. Door-to-needle time, three-month clinical outcome as measured by the modified Rankin Scale dichotomized at 0 to 2 vs. 3 to 6, and symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage were analyzed with logistic regression models adjusting for baseline variables. The treating physician was defined as experienced after 18 decisions made to give thrombolysis treatment.

Results

Door-to-needle time or clinical outcome did not differ with regard to time of day or season of presentation. Higher rates of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage occurred in spring (odds ratio 2.06, 95% confidence interval 1.03–4.11) and fall (odds ratio 2.08, 95% confidence interval 1.03–4.18). Physician experience reduced the door-to-needle time (odds ratio 0.40, 95% confidence interval 0.32–0.50) but was not associated with patient outcome (modified Rankin scale 3 to 6, odds ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 0.95–1.59) or symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (odds ratio 0.80, 95% confidence interval 0.51–1.27) rates.

Conclusions

Thrombolytic therapy can be delivered at a steady service level at all times. With proper training, less-experienced physicians can provide high quality thrombolysis, but experience translates into faster treatment.

Resting sympathetic outflow does not predict the morning blood pressure surge in hypertension

OBJECTIVE

The blood pressure (BP) rise on awakening (morning surge) might be a predictor of hypertension-related cardiovascular complications. Previous studies suggest that the autonomic nervous system may contribute to the early morning BP increase. We tested the hypothesis that resting sympathetic outflow [assessed by direct measures of intraneural sympathetic nerve activity (SNA)] may help predict the morning BP surge in hypertension.

METHODS

We measured muscle SNA (MSNA), heart rate (HR) and BP during undisturbed supine rest in 68 newly diagnosed untreated hypertensive patients (53 men and 15 women, age 40 ± 3 years, BMI 27 ± 1 kg/m(2), mean ± SEM). The morning BP surge was defined as the difference between the morning BP and the pre-awake BP.

RESULTS

SBP averaged 143 ± 3 mmHg for daytime and 126 ± 2 mmHg for night-time. Mean HR was 81 ± 2 beats/min for daytime and 69 ± 2 beats/min for night-time. Average MSNA was 32 ± 2 bursts/min., SBP morning surge 19 ± 2 mmHg and HR morning surge 14 ± 2 beats/min. In univariate analysis, MSNA correlated with daytime SBP (r = 0.28, P = 0.02); night-time SBP (r = 0.26, P = 0.03); daytime HR (r = 0.28, P = 0.02); and night-time HR (r = 0.26, P = 0.03). Multivariate analysis, taking into consideration age, BMI and sex, revealed that MSNA was independently related to both daytime (P = 0.006) and night-time HR (P = 0.02), but not to ambulatory SBP. The morning surge of SBP and HR was not related to MSNA (r = 0.01 and r = 0.07, respectively, P = NS).

CONCLUSION

In patients with essential hypertension, MSNA is related to both daytime and night-time HR, but not to the morning BP surge.

Seasonality, incidence and prognosis in atrial fibrillation and stroke in Denmark and New Zealand

OBJECTIVES

There are relatively few large studies of seasonal variation in the occurrence of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We investigated the seasonal variation in incidence rates of hospitalisation with stroke in patients from Denmark and New Zealand.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING

Nationwide hospital discharge data from Denmark and New Zealand.

PARTICIPANTS

243 381 (median age 75) subjects having a first-time hospitalisation with AF in Denmark and 51 480 (median age 76) subjects in New Zealand constituted the study population. Subjects with previous hospitalisation with stroke were excluded. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY EFFECT MEASURES: Peak-to-trough ratio of the seasonal variation in incidence rates of stroke in AF patients adjusted for an overall trend was primary effect measure and was assessed using a log-linear Poisson regression model. Secondary effect measures were incidence rate ratios of AF and 30-day case fatality for stroke patients.

RESULTS

Incidence rates of AF per 1000 person-years in Denmark increased by 5.4% (95% CI 5.3% to 5.7%) for patients aged <65 and 5% (95% CI 4.9% to 5.1%) for patients aged ≥65, whereas the increase was 0.2% (95% CI -0.2% to 0.6%) for patients aged <65 and 2.6% (95% CI 2.4% to 2.8%) for patients aged ≥65 in New Zealand. In Denmark 36 088 subjects were hospitalised with stroke, and 7518 subjects in New Zealand, both showing peaks during winter with peak-to-trough ratios of 1.22 and 1.27, respectively and a decreasing trend. The 30-day case fatality risk for stroke patients having AF is now (2000-2008) about 20% in both countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Although incidence rates of hospitalisation with stroke in patients with AF have decreased in recent years, stroke remains a common AF complication with a high case fatality risk. The marked winter peak in incidence rates of hospitalisation with stroke in AF patients suggests that there are opportunities to reduce this complication. Further studies are necessary to identify how to optimise treatment of AF and prevention of stroke.

Hospitalizations due to spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage in the region of Nis (Serbia): 11-year time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

The study of seasonal variability of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) occurrence may contribute to a better understanding of the nature of this disease and open up new perspectives in its prevention. The aim of this study was to test seasonal patterns in the number of admissions of ICH patients and determine which months have maximal and minimal number of admissions.

METHODS

The main data source for this study was a hospital-based registry at the Clinic of Neurology in Nis, Serbia. During the studied period (1997-2007) a total of 1569 ICH patients were registered. Time series, consisting of the monthly number of hospitalized patients, for the 128 months of the study duration, has been successfully modeled using the multiplicative Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model.

RESULTS

Using the maximum likelihood method, utilizing Melrad's algorithm, the parameters of this ARIMA model have been calculated: constant (estimate 12.068, p<0.001), auto regressive-AR(1) (estimate 0.866, p<0.001), moving average-MA(1) (estimate 0.775, p<0.001), seasonal moving average-SMA(12) (estimate -0.198, p=0.036). ARIMA modeling has been successful and showed that there is a clear seasonal pattern in the data analyzed.

CONCLUSION

Based on the seasonal multiplicative ARIMA model and the seasonal time series decomposition, we showed that, in the period covered by the study, the peak of admissions occurred in March, and the trough of admissions was found in August.

Seasonal variation in heart failure hospitalization

BACKGROUND

A seasonal variation has been reported for occurrence of acute cardiovascular events, such as myocardial infarction, sudden death, and rupture/dissection of aortic aneurysms.

HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this study was to determine whether a seasonal variation exists for heart failure (HF) hospitalization.

METHODS

The study included all cases of HF admissions to Ferrara Hospital between January 2002 and December 2009. The sample was divided into subgroups by gender, age, cardiovascular risk factors, patients' outcome, and order of ICD-9 codes (first diagnosis, accessory diagnosis). On the basis of date of admission, cases have been analyzed for seasonal variation and annual frequency. For seasonal analysis, monthly cases were categorized into four 3-month intervals by seasons. Moreover, monthly admissions have been also adjusted for number of days, and the average number of admissions per month has been used.

RESULTS

The database included 15,954 patients with the ICD-9-CM codes of HF (420-429). Hospital admissions for HF were most frequent in winter (28.4%) and least in summer (20.4%). Chronobiological analysis yielded a significant peak in January for total cases and all subgroups considered. No differences were found for subgroups by gender, age, fatal cases, presence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, patients' outcome, and order of ICD-9 codes (first diagnosis, accessory diagnosis).

CONCLUSIONS

A seasonal periodicity for HF hospitalization was demonstrated, with a peak in winter months, independent of gender, age, major cardiovascular risk factor, and patients' outcome. These data could be useful for practitioners to improve causative prevention measures, therapeutic management, and educational strategies.

Melatonin and circadian biology in human cardiovascular disease

Diurnal rhythms influence cardiovascular physiology, i.e. heart rate and blood pressure, and they appear to also modulate the incidence of serious adverse cardiac events. Diurnal variations occur also at the molecular level including changes in gene expression in the heart and blood vessels. Moreover, the risk/benefit ratio of some therapeutic strategies and the concentration of circulating cardiovascular system biomarkers may also vary across the 24-hr light/dark cycle. Synchrony between external and internal diurnal rhythms and harmony among molecular rhythms within the cell are essential for normal organ biology. Diurnal variations in the responsiveness of the cardiovascular system to environmental stimuli are mediated by a complex interplay between extracellular (i.e. neurohumoral factors) and intracellular (i.e. specific genes that are differentially light/dark regulated) mechanisms. Neurohormones, which are particularly relevant to the cardiovascular system, such as melatonin, exhibit a diurnal variation and may play a role in the synchronization of molecular circadian clocks in the peripheral tissue and the suprachiasmatic nucleus. Moreover, mounting evidence reveals that the blood melatonin rhythm has a crucial role in several cardiovascular functions, including daily variations in blood pressure. Melatonin has antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, chronobiotic and, possibly, epigenetic regulatory functions. This article reviews current knowledge related to the biological role of melatonin and its circadian rhythm in cardiovascular disease.

Circadian rhythm of stroke onset during the month of Ramadan

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The onset of acute stroke exhibits a circadian pattern occurring more frequently in late morning hours. The objective of this study was to investigate the diurnal pattern of stroke during the month of Ramadan.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied consecutive stroke patients 1 month before Ramadan (BR) and during Ramadan (DR) over two successive years 2007 and 2008. The age, gender, risk factor profiles were analyzed. The National Institute of Health and Stroke Scale Score (NIHSS) was used for clinical assessment at admission. The exact time of stroke onset in both groups was obtained.

RESULTS

A total of 507 patients were studied: 245 patients in the DR group and 262 patients in the BR group. The age distribution of patients was not significantly different between the two groups. There was no statistically significant difference in the sex ratio, risk factors, and NIHSS score between the two groups (P > 0.05). The higher frequency of stroke onset time in the BR group was in the time between 6:00 a.m. and noon; whereas the frequency was higher between noon and 6:00 p.m. in the DR group.

CONCLUSION

A significant shift of the circadian pattern of stroke onset time from the period between 6:00 a.m. and noon to that between noon and 6:00 pm has been found during the month of Ramadan.

Weekly variation of hospital admissions for stroke in Nis (Serbia)

OBJECTIVES

Weekly variability in stroke occurrence could be related to the change in behaviors of patients or medical personnel that occur during certain periods of the week. The aim of the present study was to examine the weekly variation in hospital admissions for stroke in Nis (Serbia), as well as to investigate how the demographic factors influenced these changes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The main data source for this study was the Nis Stroke Registry. During the study period (1996-2007) a total of 9675 stroke patients were registered. According to stroke subtypes, all registered patients were divided into three groups: patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) (438 or 4.5%), patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) (1576 or 16.3%) and patients with ischemic stroke (IS) (6946 or 71.8%). Analyses were conducted separately for SAH, ICH and IS. Each stroke type was stratified by gender, age group and education level.

RESULTS

We have showed that there is a significant weekly variability in the number of SAH (p=0.028) and IS (p<0.001) admissions, with the minimum number of admissions on Sundays (39.27 and 14.04% less than expected), and the maximum one on Tuesdays (21.46% more than expected) and Wednesdays (10.96% more than expected), respectively. We have also registered more SAH (p=0.015) and IS (p<0.001) admissions on weekdays than on weekend days.

CONCLUSION

Results of this hospital-based study confirm that there is a pattern in the variation of the number of stroke admissions on the weekly level. Reasons for the weekly variation of hospital admissions for stroke cannot be determined from the present study.

Seasonal pattern of peptic ulcer hospitalizations: analysis of the hospital discharge data of the Emilia-Romagna region of Italy

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported seasonal variation in peptic ulcer disease (PUD), but few large-scale, population-based studies have been conducted.

METHODS

To verify whether a seasonal variation in cases of PUD (either complicated or not complicated) requiring acute hospitalization exists, we assessed the database of hospital admissions of the region Emilia Romagna (RER), Italy, obtained from the Center for Health Statistics, between January 1998 and December 2005. Admissions were categorized by sex, age (<65, 65-74, > or = 75 yrs), site of PUD lesion (stomach or duodenum), main complication (hemorrhage or perforation), and final outcome (intended as fatal outcome: in-hospital death; nonfatal outcome: patient discharged alive). Temporal patterns in PUD admissions were assessed in two ways, considering a) total counts per single month and season, and b) prevalence proportion, such as the monthly prevalence of PUD admissions divided by the monthly prevalence of total hospital admissions, to assess if the temporal patterns in the raw data might be the consequence of seasonal and annual variations in hospital admissions per se in the region. For statistical analysis, the chi2 test for goodness of fit and inferential chronobiologic method (Cosinor and partial Fourier series) were used.

RESULTS

Of the total sample of PUD patients (26,848 [16,795 males, age 65 +/- 16 yrs; 10,053 females, age 72 +/- 15 yrs, p < 0.001)], 7,151 were < 65 yrs of age, 8,849 between 65 and 74 yrs of age, and 10,848 > or = 75 yrs of age. There were more cases of duodenal (DU). (89.8%) than gastric ulcer (GU) (3.6%), and there were 1,290 (4.8%) fatal events. Data by season showed a statistically difference with the lowest proportion of PUD hospital admissions in summer (23.3%) (p < 0.001), for total cases and rather all subgroups. Chronobiological analysis identified three major peaks of PUD hospitalizations (September-October, January-February, and April-May) for the whole sample (p = 0.035), and several subgroups, with nadir in July. Finally, analysis of the monthly prevalence proportions yielded a significant (p = 0.025) biphasic pattern with a main peak in August-September-October, and a secondary one in January-February.

CONCLUSIONS

A seasonal variation in PUD hospitalization, characterized by three peaks of higher incidence (Autumn, Winter, and Spring) is observed. When data corrected by monthly admission proportions are analyzed, late summer-autumn and winter are confirmed as higher risk periods. The underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms are unknown, and need further studies. In subjects at higher risk, certain periods of the year could deserve an appropriate pharmacological protection to reduce the risk of PUD hospitalization.

Reduction of morning blood pressure surge after treatment with nifedipine GITS at bedtime, but not upon awakening, in essential hypertension

OBJECTIVES

The extent of morning blood pressure (BP) surge upon wakening has been associated with increased incidence of stroke and cardiovascular mortality. This trial investigated the antihypertensive efficacy and effects on the morning BP surge of awakening versus bedtime administration of nifedipine in essential hypertension.

METHODS

We studied 238 previously untreated hypertensive patients (108 men and 130 women), 53.3+/-11.4 years of age, randomly assigned to receive nifedipine (30 mg/day) as a monotherapy either upon awakening or at bedtime. BP was measured for 48 h before and after 8 weeks of treatment.

RESULTS

The BP reduction after the treatment was significantly greater with bedtime dosing (P<0.001). The proportion of patients with controlled ambulatory BP thus increased from 28 to 43% (P = 0.019) with bedtime treatment. The sleep time relative BP decline was unchanged after morning treatment, but increased toward a more dipping pattern after bedtime dosing (P = 0.026 between groups). The morning BP surge was unchanged after the administration of nifedipine upon awakening (1.4/1.2 mmHg reduction in systolic/diastolic BP surge, P>0.270), but significantly reduced after bedtime dosing (6.2/4.4 mmHg reduction, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Nifedipine efficiently reduces BP for the entire 24 h and to a significantly larger extent after bedtime administration. The significant added efficacy on reducing night-time BP, the decrease in the prevalence of a nondipper BP pattern, and the significant decrease in morning BP surge (all relevant markers of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality) of bedtime as compared with morning administration, consistently indicate that nifedipine should preferably be administered at bedtime in patients with essential hypertension.

Seasonal and weekly patterns of hospital admissions for nonfatal and fatal myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVE

This retrospective study, based on the database of hospital admissions of the region Emilia-Romagna [RER], Italy, was aimed to confirm the existence of a seasonal or weekly pattern of hospital admission of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to verify possible differences between nonfatal or fatal cases.

METHODS

The study included all cases of patients with AMI hospitalized between 1998 and 2006. Day of admission was categorized, respectively, into four 3-month intervals, into twelve 1-month intervals, and into seven 1-day intervals for statistical analysis, performed by chi(2) test goodness of fit and partial Fourier series on total cases, males, females, and nonfatal and fatal cases.

RESULTS

The database included 64 191 cases of AMI (62.9% males, 12.3% fatal). Acute myocardial infarction was most frequent in winter and least in summer (P < .0001). The highest number of cases was recorded in January and the lowest in July (P < .0001). Chronobiologic analysis showed winter peaks for total cases (January, P = .035), females (December, P = .009), and fatal cases (January, P < .001). Acute myocardial infarction was most frequent on Monday and least on Sunday (P < .0001). Comparing observed vs expected events, there was a significantly higher frequency of cases on weekdays and reduced on weekends, for total (P < .0001), nonfatal (P < .0001), and fatal cases (P = .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms a significantly higher frequency of AMI admissions in winter and on a Monday. No difference in the frequency of nonfatal vs fatal events, depending of patients' admissions on weekdays or weekends, was found.

Sleep deprivation attenuates experimental stroke severity in rats

Indirect epidemiological and experimental evidence suggest that the severity of injury during stroke is influenced by prior sleep history. The aim of our study was to test the effect of acute sleep deprivation on early outcome following experimental stroke. Young male Sprague-Dawley rats (n=20) were subjected to focal cerebral ischemia by reversible right middle cerebral artery occlusion (MCAO) for 90 min. In 10 rats, MCAO was performed just after 6-h of total sleep deprivation (TSD) by "gentle handling", whereas the other rats served as controls. Neurological function during the first week after stroke was monitored using a battery of behavioral tests investigating the asymmetry of sensorimotor deficit (tape removal test and cylinder test), bilateral sensorimotor coordination (rotor-rod and Inclined plane) and memory (T-maze and radial maze). Following MCAO, control rats had impaired behavioral performance in all tests. The largest impairment was noted in the tape test where the tape removal time from the left forelimb (contralateral to MCAO) was increased by approximately 10 fold (p<0.01). In contrast, rats subjected to TSD had complete recovery of sensorimotor performance consistent with a 2.5 fold smaller infarct volume and reduced morphological signs of neuronal injury at day 7 after MCAO. Our data suggest that brief TSD induces a neuroprotective response that limits the severity of a subsequent stroke, similar to rapid ischemic preconditioning.

Cardiovascular responses to cold exposure

The prevalence of hypertension is increased in winter and in cold regions of the world. Cold temperatures make hypertension worse and trigger cardiovascular complications (stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure, etc.). Chronic or intermittent exposure to cold causes hypertension and cardiac hypertrophy in animals. The purpose of this review is to provide the recent advances in the mechanistic investigation of cold-induced hypertension (CIH). Cold temperatures increase the activities of the sympathetic nervous system (SNS) and the renin-angiotensin system (RAS). The SNS initiates CIH via the RAS. Cold exposure suppresses the expression of eNOS and formation of NO, increases the production of endothelin-1 (ET-1), up-regulates ETA receptors, but down-regulates ETB receptors. The roles of these factors and their relations in CIH will be reviewed.

Seasonal Variation in Occurrence of Pulmonary Embolism: Analysis of the Database of the Emilia‐Romagna Region, Italy

Seasonal variation in the occurrence of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, including pulmonary embolism (PE), has been reported; however, recent large-scale, population-based studies conducted in the United States did not confirm such seasonality. The aim of this large-scale population study was to determine whether a temporal pattern in the occurrence of PE exists. The analysis considered all consecutive cases of PE in the database of all hospital admissions of the Emilia Romagna region in Italy at the Center for Health Statistics between January 1998 and December 2005. PE cases were first grouped according to season of occurrence, and the data were analyzed by the chi(2) test for goodness of fit. Then, inferential chronobiologic (cosinor and partial Fourier) analysis was applied to monthly data, and the best-fitting curve for the annual variation was derived. The total sample consisted of 19,245 patients (8,143 male, mean age 71.6+/-14.1 yrs; 11,102 female, mean age 76.1+/-13.7 yrs). Of these, 2,484 were <65 yrs, 5,443 were between 65 and 74, and 11,318 were > or = 75 yrs. There were 4,486 (23.3%) fatal-case outcomes. PE occurred least frequently in spring (n=4,442 or 23.1%) and most frequent in winter (n=5,236 or 27.2%, goodness of fit chi(2)=75.75, p<0.001). Similar results were obtained for subgroups formed by gender, age, fatal/non-fatal outcome, presence/absence of major underlying co-morbid conditions, and specific risk factors. Inferential chronobiological analysis identified a significant annual pattern in PE, with the peak between November and December for the total sample of cases (p<0.001), males (p<0.001), females (p=0.002), fatal and non-fatal cases (p<0.001 for both), and subgroups formed by age (<65 yrs, p=0.012; 65-74 yrs, p<0.001; > or = 75 yrs, p=0.012). This pattern was independent of the presence/absence of hypertension (p=0.003 and p<0.001, respectively), pulmonary disease (p<0.001 and p<0.001, respectively), stroke (p<0.001 and p=0.004, respectively), neoplasms (p=0.005 and p=0.001, respectively), heart failure (p=0.022 and p<0.001, respectively), and deep vein thrombosis (p=0.002 and p<0.001, respectively). However, only a non-statistically significant trend was found for subgroups formed by cases of diabetes mellitus, infections, renal failure, and trauma.

The Winter Peak in the Occurrence of Acute Aortic Dissection is Independent of Climate

We recently reported the existence of a higher risk of acute aortic dissection (AAD) during the winter months. However, it is not known whether this winter peak is affected by climate. To address this issue, we evaluated data from 969 AAD patients who were enrolled at various sites around the globe and who were participating in the International Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection (IRAD). We found a significant (p = 0.001; chi2 test) difference in the number of AAD events occurring during the different seasons of the year, with highest incidence in winter (28.4%) and lowest incidence in summer (19.9%). Furthermore, the winter peak was evident in both cold and temperate climate settings, suggesting that the relative change in temperature, rather than absolute temperature, and/or endogenous annual rhythms are critical mechanistic factors.

Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring in the Prediction of Cardiovascular Events and Effects of Chronotherapy: Rationale and Design of the MAPEC Study

Ambulatory blood pressure (BP) measurements (ABPM) correlate more closely with target organ damage and cardiovascular events than clinical cuff measurements. ABPM reveals the significant circadian variation in BP, which in most individuals presents a morning increase, small post-prandial decline, and more extensive lowering during nocturnal rest. However, under certain pathophysiological conditions, the nocturnal BP decline may be reduced (non-dipper pattern) or even reversed (riser pattern). This is clinically relevant because the non-dipper and riser circadian BP patterns constitute a risk factor for left ventricular hypertrophy, microalbuminuria, cerebrovascular disease, congestive heart failure, vascular dementia, and myocardial infarction. Hence, there is growing interest in how to best tailor and individualize the treatment of hypertension according to the specific circadian BP pattern of each patient. All previous trials that have demonstrated an increased cardiovascular risk in non-dipper as compared to dipper patients have relied on the prognostic significance of a single ABPM baseline profile from each participant without accounting for possible changes in the BP pattern during follow-up. Moreover, the potential benefit (i.e., reduction in cardiovascular risk) associated with the normalization of the circadian BP variability (conversion from non-dipper to dipper pattern) from an appropriately envisioned treatment strategy is still a matter of debate. Accordingly, the MAPEC (Monitorización Ambulatoria de la Presión Arterial y Eventos Cardiovasculares, i.e., Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring and Cardiovascular Events) study was designed to investigate whether the normalization of the circadian BP profile toward more of a dipper pattern by chronotherapeutic strategies (i.e., specific timing during the 24 h of BP-lowering medications according to the 24 h BP pattern) reduces cardiovascular risk. The prospective MAPEC study investigates 3,000 diurnally active men and women >/=18 yrs of age. At inclusion, BP and wrist activity are measured for 48 h. The initial evaluation also includes a detailed medical history, an electrocardiogram, and screening laboratory blood and urine tests. The same evaluation procedure is scheduled yearly or more frequently (quarterly) if treatment adjustment is required for BP control. Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality are thus evaluated on the basis of changes in BP during follow-up. The MAPEC study, now on its fourth year of follow-up, investigates the potential decrease in cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and renal risk from the proper modeling of the circadian BP profile by the timed administration (chronotherapy) of antihypertensive medication, beyond the reduction of clinic-determined daytime or ABPM-determined 24 h mean BP levels.