Mathematical modelling to assess the carrying capacity for multi-species culture within coastal waters

Influence of wastewater treatment on the reproduction and growth of Mytilus galloprovincialis in Agadir's central Atlantic marine ecosystem, South Morocco

Mytilus galloprovincialis is common in Morocco's Anza-Taghazout coast, previously polluted by wastewater. Since treatment plants were installed in 2016, no study examined the mussels' reproduction. Our study assessed how wastewater treatment affects the reproduction and growth of the M. galloprovincialis mussel on Moroccan coasts, particularly in the Anza-Taghazout area. We aimed to clarify the impacts of treated effluents on this vital invertebrate. This research explored their reproductive parameters, with samples taken from 2017 to 2018 at Anza, Aourir, and Imouran. Results show all gametic stages with three spawning periods. The gonadal index exceeds 1.4 at all sites, indicating a short resting phase. The sex ratio is balanced in Aourir and Imouran, but Anza has more males. The length-weight relationship showed the b value of 1.56 (R2 = 0.32); 1.71 (R2 = 0.35), and 1.70 (R2 = 0.26) for Anza, Aourir, and Imouran respectively. This suggests a slight negative allometric relationship. The condition index showed a progressive trend, and M. galloprovincialis improved due to enhanced environmental quality after treatment.

Review of drivers and threats to coastal groundwater quality in China

With rapid socio-economic development, China's coastal areas are among the fastest growing and most economically dynamic regions in the world. Under the influence of climate change and human activities, protecting the quality of coastal groundwater has emerged as one of the key environmental and resource management issues for these areas. This paper reviews (for the first time) groundwater quality data for the coastal basins of China, where over 600 million people live, focussing on key inorganic indicators/pollutants; groundwater salinity, nitrate, fluoride, and arsenic. These pollutants present major water quality issues and are also valuable as indicators of wider processes and influences impacting coastal groundwater quality - e.g. saltwater intrusion, agricultural pollution and release of geo-genic contaminants. We discuss the major drivers causing water quality problems in different regions and assess future trajectories and challenges for controlling changes in coastal groundwater quality in China. Multiple processes, including modern and palaeo seawater/brine migration, groundwater pumping for agricultural irrigation, pollution from agrochemical application, rapid development of aquaculture, urban growth, and water transfer projects, may all be responsible (to different degrees) for changes observed in coastal groundwater quality, and associated long-term health and ecological effects. We discuss implications for sustainable coastal aquifer management in China, arguing that groundwater monitoring and contamination control measures require urgent improvement. The evolution and treatment of coastal groundwater quality problems in China will serve as an important warning and example for other countries facing similar pressures, due to climate change, coastal development, and intensification of anthropogenic activity in coming decades.

Pelagic stocks and carbon and nitrogen uptake in a pearl farming atoll (Ahe, French Polynesia)

This study reports the first measurements of nitrogen uptake and new data on carbon fixation (¹⁵N/¹³C incorporation) for two size-fractionated phytoplankton (<2 μm and >2 μm), on organic matter, and phytoplankton stocks in Ahe lagoon. Data were collected between November and December 2017, during the hot season with prevailing trade winds. Ammonium and nitrate uptake data (7.58 to 39.81 and 1.80 to 21.43 μmol N m^-3 h^-1, respectively) suggest a rapid turn-over of N-nutrients in the water column and show that primary production was largely sustained by recycled nitrogen providing 68% of the pelagic N demand. These results highlight the spatial heterogeneity of the measured processes linked to the local hydrodynamics, exhibiting higher regenerated production in the more exploited southwestern part of the lagoon and a higher proportion of new production in the north. Intense nutrient recycling appears to promote nanophytoplankton production which is critical for pearl oyster growth.

Cumulative impact of long-term intensive mariculture on total and active bacterial communities in the core sediments of the Ailian Bay, North China

The exponential growth of off-shore mariculture worldwide over the last 20 years has had significant impact on coastal sediment biogeochemistry. However, there are no long-term records of the cumulative impacts of mariculture on the benthic bacterial community. Here, total (DNA) and active (RNA) bacterial community compositions were characterized using MiSeq sequencing of 16S rRNA gene in four core sediments of the Ailian Bay, one of the typical intensive mariculture areas in China with more than fifty-year history of kelp and scallop cultivation. The γ-Proteobacteria, δ-Proteobacteria, Acidobacteria and Acitinobacteria were more abundant in the total bacterial communities, while β-Proteobacteria, Anaerolineae, Clostridia, Spirochaetes and Cyanobacteria were enriched in the active bacterial communities. Significant differences were observed between total and active benthic bacterial communities. The influences of different mariculture modes on the total bacterial communities were more significant than those on the active bacterial communities. Only limited groups of the total bacterial communities were significant influenced by the cumulative effects of the long-term mariculture. The bacterial genera with the function in the sulfide cycling and organic consumption were enriched in the total bacterial population of the integrated multi-trophic aquaculture (IMTA) areas. The variations of both total and active bacterial communities were significantly influenced by grain sizes, total organic carbon and nutrients. Both total and active bacterial communities exhibited a slightly stronger response to environmental factors than to spatial (distance) factors. The effects of mutualism might dominate the total and active bacterial networks in the Ailian Bay. The present study demonstrated that the cumulative influences of the long-term and intensive IMTA mariculture on total benthic bacterial communities in the sub-surface sediments of the Ailian Bay were stronger than those on the active benthic bacterial communities, which provided some insights into the potential ecological roles of specific taxa in the sediments of the IMTA ecosystems.

Impacts of maricultural activities on characteristics of dissolved organic carbon and nutrients in a typical raft-culture area of the Yellow Sea, North China

Ailian Bay is an integrated multi-trophic aquaculture bay with approximately 60 years maricultural activities in North China. The floating raft culture of kelp and shellfish is the unique mariculture mode. In this study, the impacts of intensive mariculture activities on seasonal carbon and nutrient dynamics in Ailian Bay were systematically analysed via seasonal surveys between 2015 and 2016. The dissolved inorganic nitrogen and silicon reached the maximum concentrations during summer, which were mainly attributed to the release of shellfish metabolic by-products and their filter-feeding effects on diatoms. Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations were significantly elevated when kelps were rotting in summer and kelp seeding were occurring in winter. Meanwhile, the fluorescence intensity of humic-like chromophoric dissolved organic matter was relatively high in kelp mariculture zone. As most humic-like DOC are potentially refractory substances, we propose that kelp mariculture would contribute importantly to the increase of refractory DOC pool in oceans.

Informing Marine Spatial Planning (MSP) with numerical modelling: A case-study on shellfish aquaculture in Malpeque Bay (Eastern Canada)

A moratorium on further bivalve leasing was established in 1999-2000 in Prince Edward Island (Canada). Recently, a marine spatial planning process was initiated explore potential mussel culture expansion in Malpeque Bay. This study focuses on the effects of a projected expansion scenario on productivity of existing leases and available suspended food resources. The aim is to provide a robust scientific assessment using available datasets and three modelling approaches ranging in complexity: (1) a connectivity analysis among culture areas; (2) a scenario analysis of organic seston dynamics based on a simplified biogeochemical model; and (3) a scenario analysis of phytoplankton dynamics based on an ecosystem model. These complementary approaches suggest (1) new leases can affect existing culture both through direct connectivity and through bay-scale effects driven by the overall increase in mussel biomass, and (2) a net reduction of phytoplankton within the bounds of its natural variation in the area.

Implementation of marine spatial planning in shellfish aquaculture management: modeling studies in a Norwegian fjord

Shellfish carrying capacity is determined by the interaction of a cultured species with its ecosystem, which is strongly influenced by hydrodynamics. Water circulation controls the exchange of matter between farms and the adjacent areas, which in turn establishes the nutrient supply that supports phytoplankton populations. The complexity of water circulation makes necessary the use of hydrodynamic models with detailed spatial resolution in carrying capacity estimations. This detailed spatial resolution also allows for the study of processes that depend on specific spatial arrangements, e.g., the most suitable location to place farms, which is crucial for marine spatial planning, and consequently for decision support systems. In the present study, a fully spatial physical-biogeochemical model has been combined with scenario building and optimization techniques as a proof of concept of the use of ecosystem modeling as an objective tool to inform marine spatial planning. The object of this exercise was to generate objective knowledge based on an ecosystem approach to establish new mussel aquaculture areas in a Norwegian fjord. Scenario building was used to determine the best location of a pump that can be used to bring nutrient-rich deep waters to the euphotic layer, increasing primary production, and consequently, carrying capacity for mussel cultivation. In addition, an optimization tool, parameter estimation (PEST), was applied to the optimal location and mussel standing stock biomass that maximize production, according to a preestablished carrying capacity criterion. Optimization tools allow us to make rational and transparent decisions to solve a well-defined question, decisions that are essential for policy makers. The outcomes of combining ecosystem models with scenario building and optimization facilitate planning based on an ecosystem approach, highlighting the capabilities of ecosystem modeling as a tool for marine spatial planning.

Ecological models supporting environmental decision making: a strategy for the future

Ecological models are important for environmental decision support because they allow the consequences of alternative policies and management scenarios to be explored. However, current modeling practice is unsatisfactory. A literature review shows that the elements of good modeling practice have long been identified but are widely ignored. The reasons for this might include lack of involvement of decision makers, lack of incentives for modelers to follow good practice, and the use of inconsistent terminologies. As a strategy for the future, we propose a standard format for documenting models and their analyses: transparent and comprehensive ecological modeling (TRACE) documentation. This standard format will disclose all parts of the modeling process to scrutiny and make modeling itself more efficient and coherent.

Modelling the spatial and temporal variability of the SW lagoon of New Caledonia II: realistic 3D simulations compared with in situ data

Coral reef lagoons are under the growing influence of anthropogenic activities, leading to increasing loads of nutrients and various contaminants. Modelling approaches are a useful tool for studying such a complex coastal environment. In this study, we carried out the development of a three-dimensional coupled hydrodynamical-biogeochemical model of the south-west lagoon of New Caledonia. The biogeochemical model presented in Faure et al. (2006, 2010) was dynamically coupled with a hydrodynamical model (MARS3D) in order to study the short-term variability of the ecosystem. Two simulations (in winter and summer) were then performed from measured initial conditions using realistic wind and irradiance conditions and river inputs. Examinations of the biogeochemical response to these transient meteorological conditions were presented and compared with temporal field data corresponding to the considered periods. Results highlighted the ecosystem functioning, based on the balance of hydrodynamical and biogeochemical processes. Influence of urban and terrigeneous inputs were limited to the coastal zone. The model accurately reproduced the measured Chl.a and bacterial production, highlighting the improvement made on the biogeochemical model. However, the underestimation of some variables in model outputs, in particular nutrients, led us to focus on different inputs, such as sediment inputs which were not taken into account or properly estimated. Moreover, the role of boundary waters appeared crucial and suggested a calibration effort. Last, the final aim of our modelling study will help the development of a useful tool for studying the key processes of the ecosystem of the south-west lagoon of New Caledonia, as well as the examination of the biogeochemical response under different scenarios.