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Armando CJ, Rocklöv J, Sidat M, Tozan Y, Mavume AF, Bunker A, Sewe MO. Spatial-temporal analysis of climate and socioeconomic conditions on cholera incidence in Mozambique from 2000 to 2018: an ecological longitudinal retrospective study. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e082503. [PMID: 39160100 PMCID: PMC11337674 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082503] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2024] [Accepted: 07/30/2024] [Indexed: 08/21/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aims to assess both socioeconomic and climatic factors of cholera morbidity in Mozambique considering both spatial and temporal dimensions. DESIGN An ecological longitudinal retrospective study using monthly provincial cholera cases from Mozambican Ministry of Health between 2000 and 2018. The cholera cases were linked to socioeconomic data from Mozambique Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in the period 2000-2018 and climatic data; relative humidity (RH), mean temperature, precipitation and Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). A negative binomial regression model in a Bayesian framework was used to model cholera incidence while adjusting for the spatiotemporal covariance, lagged effect of environmental factors and the socioeconomic indicators. SETTING Eleven provinces in Mozambique. RESULTS Over the 19-year period, a total of 153 941 cholera cases were notified to the surveillance system in Mozambique. Risk of cholera increased with higher monthly mean temperatures above 24°C in comparison to the reference mean temperature of 23°C. At mean temperature of 19°C, cholera risk was higher at a lag of 5-6 months. At a shorter lag of 1 month, precipitation of 223.3 mm resulted in an 57% increase in cholera risk (relative risk, RR 1.57 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.31)). Cholera risk was greatest at 3 lag months with monthly NDVI of 0.137 (RR 1.220 (95% CI 1.042 to 1.430)), compared with the reference value of 0.2. At an RH of 54%, cholera RR was increased by 62% (RR 1.620 (95% CI 1.124 to 2.342)) at a lag of 4 months. We found that ownership of radio RR 0.29, (95% CI 0.109 to 0.776) and mobile phones RR 0.262 (95% CI 0.097 to 0.711) were significantly associated with low cholera risk. CONCLUSION The derived lagged patterns can provide appropriate lead times in a climate-driven cholera early warning system that could contribute to the prevention and management of outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chaibo Jose Armando
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Sustainable Health Section, Umeå University, Umea, Sweden
- Eduardo Mondlane University, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Joacim Rocklöv
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Sustainable Health Section, Umeå University, Umea, Sweden
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health and Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | | | - Yesim Tozan
- School of Global Public Health, NYU, New York, New York, USA
| | | | - Aditi Bunker
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Maquins Odhiambo Sewe
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Sustainable Health Section, Umeå University, Umea, Sweden
- Universitatsklinikum Heidelberg Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg, Germany
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Malaeb D, Sallam M, Younes S, Mourad N, Sarray El Dine A, Obeid S, Hallit S, Hallit R. Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice in a Sample of the Lebanese Population Regarding Cholera. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:ijerph192316243. [PMID: 36498316 PMCID: PMC9735709 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph192316243] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2022] [Revised: 11/29/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
The evaluation of knowledge, attitude, and practices towards an emerging disease is an essential component of public health preventive measures during an outbreak. In October 2022, an outbreak of cholera was reported in Lebanon, which is the first to be reported in the Middle Eastern country for 30 years. This study aimed to explore the level of knowledge as well as attitude and practice of the general public in Lebanon towards cholera. A self-administered structured questionnaire was distributed via an online link to individuals living in Lebanon during October-November 2022. The survey instrument comprised items to assess the sociodemographic data; questions on knowledge about cholera symptoms, transmission, and prevention; as well as attitude and practice questions. Our study involved 553 participants, with a median age of 24 years and a majority of females (72.5%). The results showed that the majority of respondents correctly identified diarrhea as a symptom of cholera and recognized the spread via contaminated water and food. Having a university level education compared with secondary school or less (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.09), being married compared with single (aOR = 1.67), and working in the medical field compared with unemployed (aOR = 4.19) were significantly associated with higher odds of having good cholera knowledge. Having good knowledge compared with having a poor level of cholera knowledge (aOR = 1.83) and older age (aOR = 1.03) were significantly associated with higher odds of having a good attitude towards cholera. The current study showed an overall high knowledge score on cholera among the Lebanese population. Nevertheless, gaps in cholera knowledge were identified and should be addressed, particularly among workers in the medical field. Thus, we recommend targeted health education to the general population that aims to strengthen the health resilience in the community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Diana Malaeb
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, College of Pharmacy, Gulf Medical University, Ajman P.O. Box 4184, United Arab Emirates
- School of Pharmacy, Lebanese International University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Malik Sallam
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Forensic Medicine, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
- Department of Clinical Laboratories and Forensic Medicine, Jordan University Hospital, Amman 11942, Jordan
- Department of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Lund University, 22184 Malmö, Sweden
- Correspondence: (M.S.); (S.H.); Tel.: +962-79-184-5186 (M.S.)
| | - Samar Younes
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Pharmacy, Lebanese International University, Bekaa, Lebanon
| | - Nisreen Mourad
- Pharmaceutical Sciences Department, School of Pharmacy, Lebanese International University, Bekaa, Lebanon
| | - Abir Sarray El Dine
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Arts and Sciences, Lebanese International University, Beirut P.O. Box 146404, Lebanon
| | - Sahar Obeid
- Department of Social and Education Sciences, School of Arts and Sciences, Lebanese American University, Byblos, Lebanon
| | - Souheil Hallit
- School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, Holy Spirit University of Kaslik, Jounieh P.O. Box 446, Lebanon
- Research Department, Psychiatric Hospital of the Cross, Jal Eddib, Lebanon
- Applied Science Research Center, Applied Science Private University, Amman 11931, Jordan
- Correspondence: (M.S.); (S.H.); Tel.: +962-79-184-5186 (M.S.)
| | - Rabih Hallit
- School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, Holy Spirit University of Kaslik, Jounieh P.O. Box 446, Lebanon
- Department of Infectious Disease, Bellevue Medical Center, Mansourieh, Lebanon
- Department of Infectious Disease, Notre Dame des Secours, University Hospital Center, Byblos, Lebanon
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Anthonj C, Setty KE, Ferrero G, A Yaya AM, Mingoti Poague KIH, Marsh AJ, Augustijn EW. Do health risk perceptions motivate water - and health-related behaviour? A systematic literature review. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 819:152902. [PMID: 34998758 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152902] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2021] [Revised: 12/30/2021] [Accepted: 12/31/2021] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Health-related risk perceptions are important determinants of health behaviours and components of behaviour change theories. What someone thinks or feels will motivate or hinder their intention or hesitancy to implement a certain behaviour. Thus, a perceived potential risk to our health and well-being can influence our health-promoting and/or health-seeking behaviour. We aimed to review and synthesize available peer-reviewed literature to better understand the links between water and health-related risk perceptions and behaviours. We conducted the first systematic review of peer-reviewed literature on risk perceptions and behaviours in the context of water and health, published between 2000 and 2021. A total of 187 publications met the inclusion criteria. We extracted data relating to study characteristics and categorized our results according to the major themes emerging from the literature, namely drinking water, sanitation, hygiene and wasterelated topics, health risk factors, diseases and mental health implications, and preventative measures. Our review shows that the literature has grown over the past twenty years, reporting information from different countries belonging to different income groups around the globe, conducted in various settings and contexts, among different target populations, from various disciplinary angles, using different methods, theories and approaches. Our review provides evidence of health risk perceptions determining behaviour particularly related to drinking water sources and water safety. Evidence on disease prevention, health seeking, variations and changes in perception and behaviour over space, geography, socioeconomic differences and time, and the relevance of cultural context is provided. Our review shows that risk perception studies are vital for WASH governance in terms of policy, raising awareness, education and behaviour change. In order to make risk perception and behaviour studies even more relevant to effective public health planning and health messaging, future research needs to increasingly focus on early culturally sensitive interventions and changes in perceptions and behaviours over time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carmen Anthonj
- Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, ITC, University of Twente, Enschede, the Netherlands.
| | - Karen E Setty
- ICF, Durham, NC, USA; The Aquaya Institute, P.O. Box 1603, San Anselmo, CA 94979, USA
| | - Giuliana Ferrero
- WASH consulting, Delft, the Netherlands; IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, the Netherlands
| | - Al-Mounawara A Yaya
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA; UNC Microbiome Core, Center for Gastrointestinal Biology and Disease, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | | | - Alan J Marsh
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA; UNC Microbiome Core, Center for Gastrointestinal Biology and Disease, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Ellen-Wien Augustijn
- Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, ITC, University of Twente, Enschede, the Netherlands
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Wiatrowski M, Czarniecka-Skubina E, Trafiałek J, Rosiak E. An Evaluation of the Hygiene Practices of Polish Street Food Vendors in Selected Food Trucks and Stands. Foods 2021; 10:2640. [PMID: 34828921 PMCID: PMC8622227 DOI: 10.3390/foods10112640] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2021] [Revised: 10/25/2021] [Accepted: 10/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Today, street food vending is becoming a dynamically developing food industry in Europe, including Poland. Lifestyle changes and socioeconomic factors, especially among young consumers, make it a convenient food alternative, even in countries without this tradition. The aim of the study was to evaluate hygiene conditions and practices in selected street food facilities in Poland. The study was carried out in accordance with an observation checklist developed on the basis of the hygienic requirements of the European Union. The study covered 550 randomly selected street food vendors in Poland in 10 cities. The hygiene of street food outlets was assessed in three aspects: ensuring proper production conditions, hygiene of production and distribution, and hygiene of personnel. The evaluation of street food outlets showed that the level of hygiene was not fully acceptable. A small percentage of the examined objects satisfactorily fulfilled the requirements of the production conditions, production and distribution hygiene, and staff hygiene. The proposed hygienic checklist for quick daily monitoring of street food outlets can be used to perform internal and external inspections. It seems that specific codes of conduct for European street foods facilities are necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Ewa Czarniecka-Skubina
- Department of Food Gastronomy and Food Hygiene, Institute of Human Nutrition Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences (WULS), Str. Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland; (M.W.); (J.T.); (E.R.)
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Dolstad HA, Franke MF, Vissieres K, Jerome JG, Ternier R, Ivers LC. Factors associated with diarrheal disease among children aged 1-5 years in a cholera epidemic in rural Haiti. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021; 15:e0009726. [PMID: 34679083 PMCID: PMC8535179 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009726] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2020] [Accepted: 08/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Diarrheal illness is a major cause of morbidity and mortality among children in Haiti, and the impact of diarrheal illness was compounded by a cholera outbreak between 2010 and 2019. Our understanding of risk factors for diarrhea among children during this outbreak is limited. We conducted a secondary analysis of data collected as part of a cholera vaccine effectiveness study to identify factors associated with medically attended diarrhea among children in central Haiti from October of 2012 through November of 2016. We identified 47 children aged one to five years old who presented to medical clinics with acute, watery diarrhea, and 166 matched controls who did not have diarrhea, and we performed conditional logistic regression to identify factors associated with diarrhea. Discontinuing exclusive breastfeeding within one month of birth was associated with increased risk of diarrhea (RR 6.9, 95% CI 1.46–32.64), and diarrhea was inversely associated with reported history of supplementation with vitamin A (RR 0.05, 95% CI 0.004–0.56) and zinc (reported among 0% of cases vs. 17% of controls). Because of the concordance in supplementation patterns, it was not possible to attribute the association to vitamin A or zinc independently. While having a respondent who correctly identified ≥3 means of avoiding cholera was associated with reduced risk of diarrhea (RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.19–1.01), reported household sanitation practices and knowledge of cholera were not consistently associated with risk of diarrhea. These findings support ongoing efforts to reduce barriers to breastfeeding and promote pediatric supplementation with vitamin A and zinc in Haiti. Given the reduced efficacy of current oral cholera vaccines (OCV) among children, the results reinforce the importance of breastfeeding and micronutrient supplementation in preventing all-cause pediatric diarrheal illness generally and during cholera outbreaks. Diarrheal diseases are leading causes of illness and death among children throughout the world, and children in Haiti were particularly impacted by diarrhea during the cholera outbreak that started in 2010. Between 2012 and 2016, data were collected as part of a case-control study of oral cholera vaccine (OCV) effectiveness in Haiti. We analyzed data from that study to identify factors associated with diarrheal illness, including cholera and non-cholera diarrhea, among children ages one through five years old. We found a direct association between longer duration of exclusive breastfeeding and supplementation with vitamin A and zinc and a reduced risk of diarrhea. These findings shed light on potentially important components of efforts to reduce pediatric diarrheal illness in Haiti generally, and to reduce pediatric diarrhea in the context of cholera outbreaks in Haiti and elsewhere.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hilary A. Dolstad
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Molly F. Franke
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | | | | | | | - Louise C. Ivers
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Center for Global Health, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
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6
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Ogisma L, Li T, Xiao H, O'Donnell F, Molnar J. Analysis of community-level factors contributing to cholera infection and water testing access in the Northern Corridor of Haiti. WATER ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH : A RESEARCH PUBLICATION OF THE WATER ENVIRONMENT FEDERATION 2021; 93:1819-1828. [PMID: 34036666 DOI: 10.1002/wer.1591] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2021] [Revised: 04/14/2021] [Accepted: 05/13/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Vibrio cholera, the bacteria that cause cholera, is endemic in Haiti with a presence in both cities and remote areas. Improved access to drinking water testing and treatment in remote areas may reduce the impact of the disease. This case study uses correlation and regression analysis to identify the main factors that hinder access to water testing and that lead to high cholera infection rates among communities in the Northern Corridor of Haiti. Poor road conditions, mountainous terrain, and limited transportation options lead to high travel times up to 5.7 min/km between remote communities and drinking water testing facilities. The presence of springs in a community has a significant positive correlation with cholera infection rates in the Northern Corridor. However, socioeconomic factors had no significant correlation with cholera infection rate. The results of this study will be used to plan the implementation of a new drinking water testing laboratory near the city of Cap-Haitian and other programs for vulnerable remote areas. PRACTITIONER POINTS: Topography and road conditions may be more important than distance in determining the accessibility of water testing facilities for rural communities. A lack of access to private vehicles is a substantial challenge for many rural communities in accessing water testing. The presence of springs in a community had a significant positive correlation with cholera infection rate.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lonege Ogisma
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA
| | - Tonghui Li
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA
| | - Han Xiao
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA
| | - Frances O'Donnell
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA
| | - Joseph Molnar
- Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA
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7
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Griffiths K, Moise K, Piarroux M, Gaudart J, Beaulieu S, Bulit G, Marseille JP, Jasmin PM, Namphy PC, Henrys JH, Piarroux R, Rebaudet S. Delineating and Analyzing Locality-Level Determinants of Cholera, Haiti. Emerg Infect Dis 2021; 27:170-181. [PMID: 33350917 PMCID: PMC7774537 DOI: 10.3201/eid2701.191787] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Centre Department, Haiti, was the origin of a major cholera epidemic during 2010–2019. Although no fine-scale spatial delineation is officially available, we aimed to analyze determinants of cholera at the local level and identify priority localities in need of interventions. After estimating the likely boundaries of 1,730 localities by using Voronoi polygons, we mapped 5,322 suspected cholera cases reported during January 2015–September 2016 by locality alongside environmental and socioeconomic variables. A hierarchical clustering on principal components highlighted 2 classes with high cholera risk: localities close to rivers and unimproved water sources (standardized incidence ratio 1.71, 95% CI 1.02–2.87; p = 0.04) and urban localities with markets (standardized incidence ratio 1.69, 95% CI 1.25–2.29; p = 0.0006). Our analyses helped identify and characterize areas where efforts should be focused to reduce vulnerability to cholera and other waterborne diseases; these methods could be used in other contexts.
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Miller AC, Rohloff P, Blake A, Dhaenens E, Shaw L, Tuiz E, Grandesso F, Mendoza Montano C, Thomson DR. Feasibility of satellite image and GIS sampling for population representative surveys: a case study from rural Guatemala. Int J Health Geogr 2020; 19:56. [PMID: 33278901 PMCID: PMC7718677 DOI: 10.1186/s12942-020-00250-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2020] [Accepted: 11/19/2020] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Population-representative household survey methods require up-to-date sampling frames and sample designs that minimize time and cost of fieldwork especially in low- and middle-income countries. Traditional methods such as multi-stage cluster sampling, random-walk, or spatial sampling can be cumbersome, costly or inaccurate, leading to well-known biases. However, a new tool, Epicentre's Geo-Sampler program, allows simple random sampling of structures, which can eliminate some of these biases. We describe the study design process, experiences and lessons learned using Geo-Sampler for selection of a population representative sample for a kidney disease survey in two sites in Guatemala. RESULTS We successfully used Epicentre's Geo-sampler tool to sample 650 structures in two semi-urban Guatemalan communities. Overall, 82% of sampled structures were residential and could be approached for recruitment. Sample selection could be conducted by one person after 30 min of training. The process from sample selection to creating field maps took approximately 40 h. CONCLUSION In combination with our design protocols, the Epicentre Geo-Sampler tool provided a feasible, rapid and lower-cost alternative to select a representative population sample for a prevalence survey in our semi-urban Guatemalan setting. The tool may work less well in settings with heavy arboreal cover or densely populated urban settings with multiple living units per structure. Similarly, while the method is an efficient step forward for including non-traditional living arrangements (people residing permanently or temporarily in businesses, religious institutions or other structures), it does not account for some of the most marginalized and vulnerable people in a population-the unhoused, street dwellers or people living in vehicles.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ann C Miller
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, 641 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Peter Rohloff
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, 641 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA, USA
- Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Wuqu' Kawoq, Maya Health Alliance, Santiago Sacatepéquez, Guatemala
| | | | - Eloin Dhaenens
- Wuqu' Kawoq, Maya Health Alliance, Santiago Sacatepéquez, Guatemala
| | - Leah Shaw
- Wuqu' Kawoq, Maya Health Alliance, Santiago Sacatepéquez, Guatemala
| | - Eva Tuiz
- Wuqu' Kawoq, Maya Health Alliance, Santiago Sacatepéquez, Guatemala
| | | | - Carlos Mendoza Montano
- Institute of Nutrition of Central America and Panama (Instituto de Nutrición de Centroamérica, INCAP), y Panamá, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Dana R Thomson
- Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton, Southampton, England
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Kigen HT, Boru W, Gura Z, Githuka G, Mulembani R, Rotich J, Abdi I, Galgalo T, Githuku J, Obonyo M, Muli R, Njeru I, Langat D, Nsubuga P, Kioko J, Lowther S. A protracted cholera outbreak among residents in an urban setting, Nairobi county, Kenya, 2015. Pan Afr Med J 2020; 36:127. [PMID: 32849982 PMCID: PMC7422748 DOI: 10.11604/pamj.2020.36.127.19786] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2019] [Accepted: 06/03/2020] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction in 2015, a cholera outbreak was confirmed in Nairobi county, Kenya, which we investigated to identify risk factors for infection and recommend control measures. Methods we analyzed national cholera surveillance data to describe epidemiological patterns and carried out a case-control study to find reasons for the Nairobi county outbreak. Suspected cholera cases were Nairobi residents aged >2 years with acute watery diarrhea (>4 stools/≤12 hours) and illness onset 1-14 May 2015. Confirmed cases had Vibrio cholerae isolated from stool. Case-patients were frequency-matched to persons without diarrhea (1:2 by age group, residence), interviewed using standardized questionaires. Logistic regression identified factors associated with case status. Household water was analyzed for fecal coliforms and Escherichia coli. Results during December 2014-June 2015, 4,218 cholera cases including 282 (6.7%) confirmed cases and 79 deaths (case-fatality rate [CFR] 1.9%) were reported from 14 of 47 Kenyan counties. Nairobi county reported 781 (19.0 %) cases (attack rate, 18/100,000 persons), including 607 (78%) hospitalisations, 20 deaths (CFR 2.6%) and 55 laboratory-confirmed cases (7.0%). Seven (70%) of 10 water samples from communal water points had coliforms; one had Escherichia coli. Factors associated with cholera in Nairobi were drinking untreated water (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 6.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.3-18.8), lacking health education (aOR 2.4, CI 1.1-7.9) and eating food outside home (aOR 2.4, 95% CI 1.2-5.7). Conclusion we recommend safe water, health education, avoiding eating foods prepared outside home and improved sanitation in Nairobi county. Adherence to these practices could have prevented this protacted cholera outbreak.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hudson Taabukk Kigen
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Waqo Boru
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Zeinab Gura
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - George Githuka
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Robert Mulembani
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Jacob Rotich
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Isack Abdi
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Tura Galgalo
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya.,African Field Epidemiology Network, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Jane Githuku
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Mark Obonyo
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Nairobi, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Raphael Muli
- Department of Health, County Government of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Ian Njeru
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Division of Disease Surveillance and Response, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Daniel Langat
- Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.,Division of Disease Surveillance and Response, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya
| | | | | | - Sara Lowther
- US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
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Jones N, Bouzid M, Few R, Hunter P, Lake I. Water, sanitation and hygiene risk factors for the transmission of cholera in a changing climate: using a systematic review to develop a causal process diagram. JOURNAL OF WATER AND HEALTH 2020; 18:145-158. [PMID: 32300088 DOI: 10.2166/wh.2020.088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Cholera is a severe diarrhoeal disease affecting vulnerable communities. A long-term solution to cholera transmission is improved access to and uptake of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH). Climate change threatens WASH. A systematic review and meta-analysis determined five overarching WASH factors incorporating 17 specific WASH factors associated with cholera transmission, focussing upon community cases. Eight WASH factors showed lower odds and six showed higher odds for cholera transmission. These results were combined with findings in the climate change and WASH literature, to propose a health impact pathway illustrating potential routes through which climate change dynamics (e.g. drought, flooding) impact on WASH and cholera transmission. A causal process diagram visualising links between climate change dynamics, WASH factors, and cholera transmission was developed. Climate change dynamics can potentially affect multiple WASH factors (e.g. drought-induced reductions in handwashing and rainwater use). Multiple climate change dynamics can influence WASH factors (e.g. flooding and sea-level rise affect piped water usage). The influence of climate change dynamics on WASH factors can be negative or positive for cholera transmission (e.g. drought could increase pathogen desiccation but reduce rainwater harvesting). Identifying risk pathways helps policymakers focus on cholera risk mitigation, now and in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Natalia Jones
- School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia UEA, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK E-mail:
| | - Maha Bouzid
- Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia UEA, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
| | - Roger Few
- School of International Development, University of East Anglia UEA, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
| | - Paul Hunter
- Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia UEA, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
| | - Iain Lake
- School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia UEA, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK E-mail:
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Tannic acid-mediated rapid layer-by-layer deposited non-leaching silver nanoparticles hybridized cellulose membranes for point-of-use water disinfection. Carbohydr Polym 2020; 231:115746. [DOI: 10.1016/j.carbpol.2019.115746] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2019] [Revised: 12/13/2019] [Accepted: 12/16/2019] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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D’Mello-Guyett L, Gallandat K, Van den Bergh R, Taylor D, Bulit G, Legros D, Maes P, Checchi F, Cumming O. Prevention and control of cholera with household and community water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) interventions: A scoping review of current international guidelines. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0226549. [PMID: 31914164 PMCID: PMC6948749 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0226549] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2019] [Accepted: 12/03/2019] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Cholera remains a frequent cause of outbreaks globally, particularly in areas with inadequate water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) services. Cholera is spread through faecal-oral routes, and studies demonstrate that ingestion of Vibrio cholerae occurs from consuming contaminated food and water, contact with cholera cases and transmission from contaminated environmental point sources. WASH guidelines recommending interventions for the prevention and control of cholera are numerous and vary considerably in their recommendations. To date, there has been no review of practice guidelines used in cholera prevention and control programmes. METHODS We systematically searched international agency websites to identify WASH intervention guidelines used in cholera programmes in endemic and epidemic settings. Recommendations listed in the guidelines were extracted, categorised and analysed. Analysis was based on consistency, concordance and recommendations were classified on the basis of whether the interventions targeted within-household or community-level transmission. RESULTS Eight international guidelines were included in this review: three by non-governmental organisations (NGOs), one from a non-profit organisation (NPO), three from multilateral organisations and one from a research institution. There were 95 distinct recommendations identified, and concordance among guidelines was poor to fair. All categories of WASH interventions were featured in the guidelines. The majority of recommendations targeted community-level transmission (45%), 35% targeted within-household transmission and 20% both. CONCLUSIONS Recent evidence suggests that interventions for effective cholera control and response to epidemics should focus on case-centred approaches and within-household transmission. Guidelines did consistently propose interventions targeting transmission within households. However, the majority of recommendations listed in guidelines targeted community-level transmission and tended to be more focused on preventing contamination of the environment by cases or recurrent outbreaks, and the level of service required to interrupt community-level transmission was often not specified. The guidelines in current use were varied and interpretation may be difficult when conflicting recommendations are provided. Future editions of guidelines should reflect on the inclusion of evidence-based approaches, cholera transmission models and resource-efficient strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauren D’Mello-Guyett
- Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Environmental Health Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Karin Gallandat
- Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Rafael Van den Bergh
- LuxOR, Luxembourg Operational Research Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Luxembourg
| | - Dawn Taylor
- Public Health Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Gregory Bulit
- Water, Sanitation and Hygiene, UNICEF, New York, New York, United States of America
| | - Dominique Legros
- Global Task Force on Cholera Control, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Peter Maes
- Environmental Health Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Francesco Checchi
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Oliver Cumming
- Department of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Polonsky JA, Baidjoe A, Kamvar ZN, Cori A, Durski K, Edmunds WJ, Eggo RM, Funk S, Kaiser L, Keating P, de Waroux OLP, Marks M, Moraga P, Morgan O, Nouvellet P, Ratnayake R, Roberts CH, Whitworth J, Jombart T. Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 2019; 374:20180276. [PMID: 31104603 PMCID: PMC6558557 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0276] [Citation(s) in RCA: 81] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/04/2018] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Despite continued efforts to improve health systems worldwide, emerging pathogen epidemics remain a major public health concern. Effective response to such outbreaks relies on timely intervention, ideally informed by all available sources of data. The collection, visualization and analysis of outbreak data are becoming increasingly complex, owing to the diversity in types of data, questions and available methods to address them. Recent advances have led to the rise of outbreak analytics, an emerging data science focused on the technological and methodological aspects of the outbreak data pipeline, from collection to analysis, modelling and reporting to inform outbreak response. In this article, we assess the current state of the field. After laying out the context of outbreak response, we critically review the most common analytics components, their inter-dependencies, data requirements and the type of information they can provide to inform operations in real time. We discuss some challenges and opportunities and conclude on the potential role of outbreak analytics for improving our understanding of, and response to outbreaks of emerging pathogens. This article is part of the theme issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: epidemic forecasting and control'. This theme issue is linked with the earlier issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: approaches and important themes'.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan A. Polonsky
- Department of Health Emergency Information and Risk Assessment, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, 1 rue Michel-Servet, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Amrish Baidjoe
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG, UK
| | - Zhian N. Kamvar
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG, UK
| | - Anne Cori
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG, UK
| | - Kara Durski
- Department of Infectious Hazard Management, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - W. John Edmunds
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Rosalind M. Eggo
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Sebastian Funk
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Laurent Kaiser
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, 1 rue Michel-Servet, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Patrick Keating
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- UK Public Health Rapid Support Team, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Olivier le Polain de Waroux
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- UK Public Health Rapid Support Team, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Public Health England, Wellington House, 133–155 Waterloo Road, London SE1 8UG, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Paula Moraga
- Centre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics (CHICAS), Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YW, UK
| | - Oliver Morgan
- Department of Health Emergency Information and Risk Assessment, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Pierre Nouvellet
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG, UK
- School of Life Sciences, University of Sussex, Sussex House, Brighton BN1 9RH, UK
| | - Ruwan Ratnayake
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Chrissy H. Roberts
- Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Jimmy Whitworth
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- UK Public Health Rapid Support Team, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Thibaut Jombart
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG, UK
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- UK Public Health Rapid Support Team, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK
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Richterman A, Sainvilien DR, Eberly L, Ivers LC. Individual and Household Risk Factors for Symptomatic Cholera Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. J Infect Dis 2018; 218:S154-S164. [PMID: 30137536 PMCID: PMC6188541 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiy444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Cholera has caused 7 global pandemics, including the current one which has been ongoing since 1961. A systematic review of risk factors for symptomatic cholera infection has not been previously published. Methods In accordance with PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual and household risk factors for symptomatic cholera infection. Results We identified 110 studies eligible for inclusion in qualitative synthesis. Factors associated with symptomatic cholera that were eligible for meta-analysis included education less than secondary level (summary odds ratio [SOR], 2.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41-4.92; I2 = 8%), unimproved water source (SOR, 3.48; 95% CI, 2.18-5.54; I2 = 77%), open container water storage (SOR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.09-3.76; I2 = 62%), consumption of food outside the home (SOR, 2.76; 95% CI, 1.62-4.69; I2 = 64%), household contact with cholera (SOR, 2.91; 95% CI, 1.62-5.25; I2 = 89%), water treatment (SOR, 0.37; 95% CI, .21-.63; I2 = 74%), and handwashing (SOR, 0.29; 95% CI, .20-.43; I2 = 37%). Other notable associations with symptomatic infection included income/wealth, blood group, gastric acidity, infant breastfeeding status, and human immunodeficiency virus infection. Conclusions We identified potential risk factors for symptomatic cholera infection including environmental characteristics, socioeconomic factors, and intrinsic patient factors. Ultimately, a combination of interventional approaches targeting various groups with risk-adapted intensities may prove to be the optimal strategy for cholera control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aaron Richterman
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
| | | | - Lauren Eberly
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Louise C Ivers
- Center for Global Health, Massachusetts General Hospital
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
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Wolfe M, Kaur M, Yates T, Woodin M, Lantagne D. A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Association between Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene Exposures and Cholera in Case-Control Studies. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2018; 99:534-545. [PMID: 29968551 PMCID: PMC6090371 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.17-0897] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Case-control studies are conducted to identify cholera transmission routes. Water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) exposures can facilitate cholera transmission (risk factors) or interrupt transmission (protective factors). To our knowledge, the association between WASH exposures and cholera from case-control studies has not been systematically analyzed. A systematic review was completed to close this gap, including describing the theory of risk and protection, developing inclusion criteria, searching and selecting studies, assessing quality of evidence, and summarizing associations between cholera and seven predicted WASH protective factors and eight predicted WASH risk factors using meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis. Overall, 47 articles describing 51 individual studies from 30 countries met the inclusion criteria. All eight predicted risk factors were associated with higher odds of cholera (odds ratio [OR] = 1.9-5.6), with heterogeneity (I2) of 0-92%. Of the predicted protective factors, five of seven were associated with lower odds of cholera (OR = 0.35-1.4), with heterogeneity of 57-91%; exceptions were insignificant associations for improved water source (OR = 1.1, heterogeneity 91%) and improved sanitation (OR = 1.4, heterogeneity 68%). Results were robust; 3/70 (5%) associations changed directionality or significance in sensitivity analysis. Meta-analysis results highlight that predicted risk factors are associated with cholera; however, predicted protective factors are not as consistently protective. This variable protection is attributed to 1) cholera transmission via multiple routes and 2) WASH intervention implementation quality variation. Water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions should address multiple transmission routes and be well implemented, according to international guidance, to ensure that field effectiveness matches theoretical efficacy. In addition, future case-control studies should detail WASH characteristics to contextualize results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marlene Wolfe
- Tufts University Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Medford, Massachusetts
| | - Mehar Kaur
- Tufts University Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Medford, Massachusetts
| | - Travis Yates
- Tufts University Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Medford, Massachusetts
| | - Mark Woodin
- Tufts University Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Medford, Massachusetts
| | - Daniele Lantagne
- Tufts University Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Medford, Massachusetts
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Cholera: an overview with reference to the Yemen epidemic. Front Med 2018; 13:213-228. [DOI: 10.1007/s11684-018-0631-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2017] [Accepted: 12/18/2017] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
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18
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Camacho A, Bouhenia M, Alyusfi R, Alkohlani A, Naji MAM, de Radiguès X, Abubakar AM, Almoalmi A, Seguin C, Sagrado MJ, Poncin M, McRae M, Musoke M, Rakesh A, Porten K, Haskew C, Atkins KE, Eggo RM, Azman AS, Broekhuijsen M, Saatcioglu MA, Pezzoli L, Quilici ML, Al-Mesbahy AR, Zagaria N, Luquero FJ. Cholera epidemic in Yemen, 2016-18: an analysis of surveillance data. LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH 2018; 6:e680-e690. [PMID: 29731398 PMCID: PMC5952990 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(18)30230-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 103] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2018] [Accepted: 04/18/2018] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
Background In war-torn Yemen, reports of confirmed cholera started in late September, 2016. The disease continues to plague Yemen today in what has become the largest documented cholera epidemic of modern times. We aimed to describe the key epidemiological features of this epidemic, including the drivers of cholera transmission during the outbreak. Methods The Yemen Health Authorities set up a national cholera surveillance system to collect information on suspected cholera cases presenting at health facilities. Individual variables included symptom onset date, age, severity of dehydration, and rapid diagnostic test result. Suspected cholera cases were confirmed by culture, and a subset of samples had additional phenotypic and genotypic analysis. We first conducted descriptive analyses at national and governorate levels. We divided the epidemic into three time periods: the first wave (Sept 28, 2016, to April 23, 2017), the increasing phase of the second wave (April 24, 2017, to July 2, 2017), and the decreasing phase of the second wave (July 3, 2017, to March 12, 2018). We reconstructed the changes in cholera transmission over time by estimating the instantaneous reproduction number, Rt. Finally, we estimated the association between rainfall and the daily cholera incidence during the increasing phase of the second epidemic wave by fitting a spatiotemporal regression model. Findings From Sept 28, 2016, to March 12, 2018, 1 103 683 suspected cholera cases (attack rate 3·69%) and 2385 deaths (case fatality risk 0·22%) were reported countrywide. The epidemic consisted of two distinct waves with a surge in transmission in May, 2017, corresponding to a median Rt of more than 2 in 13 of 23 governorates. Microbiological analyses suggested that the same Vibrio cholerae O1 Ogawa strain circulated in both waves. We found a positive, non-linear, association between weekly rainfall and suspected cholera incidence in the following 10 days; the relative risk of cholera after a weekly rainfall of 25 mm was 1·42 (95% CI 1·31–1·55) compared with a week without rain. Interpretation Our analysis suggests that the small first cholera epidemic wave seeded cholera across Yemen during the dry season. When the rains returned in April, 2017, they triggered widespread cholera transmission that led to the large second wave. These results suggest that cholera could resurge during the ongoing 2018 rainy season if transmission remains active. Therefore, health authorities and partners should immediately enhance current control efforts to mitigate the risk of a new cholera epidemic wave in Yemen. Funding Health Authorities of Yemen, WHO, and Médecins Sans Frontières.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anton Camacho
- Epicentre, Paris, France; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Marc Poncin
- Médecins Sans Frontières, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Andrew S Azman
- Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | | | | | - Marie-Laure Quilici
- National Reference Center for Vibrios and Cholera, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
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Uprety S, Hong PY, Sadik N, Dangol B, Adhikari R, Jutla A, Shisler JL, Degnan P, Nguyen TH. The Effect of the 2015 Earthquake on the Bacterial Community Compositions in Water in Nepal. Front Microbiol 2017; 8:2380. [PMID: 29270153 PMCID: PMC5724148 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2017.02380] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2017] [Accepted: 11/17/2017] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
We conducted a study to examine the effect of seasonal variations and the disruptive effects of the 2015 Nepal earthquake on microbial communities associated with drinking water sources. We first characterized the microbial communities of water samples in two Nepali regions (Kathmandu and Jhapa) to understand the stability of microbial communities in water samples collected in 2014. We analyzed additional water samples from the same sources collected from May to August 2015, allowing the comparison of samples from dry-to-dry season and from dry-to-monsoon seasons. Emphasis was placed on microbes responsible for maintaining the geobiochemical characteristics of water (e.g., ammonia-oxidizing and nitrite-oxidizing bacteria and archaea and sulfate-reducing bacteria) and opportunistic pathogens often found in water (Acinetobacter). When examining samples from Jhapa, we identified that most geobiochemical microbe populations remained similar. When examining samples from Kathmandu, the abundance of microbial genera responsible for maintaining the geobiochemical characteristics of water increased immediately after the earthquake and decreased 8 months later (December 2015). In addition, microbial source tracking was used to monitor human fecal contamination and revealed deteriorated water quality in some specific sampling sites in Kathmandu post-earthquake. This study highlights a disruption of the environmental microbiome after an earthquake and the restoration of these microbial communities as a function of time and sanitation practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sital Uprety
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
| | - Pei-Ying Hong
- Water Desalination and Reuse Center, Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia
| | - Nora Sadik
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
| | - Bipin Dangol
- Environment and Public Health Organization, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | | - Antarpreet Jutla
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, United States
| | - Joanna L. Shisler
- Department of Microbiology, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
| | - Patrick Degnan
- Department of Microbiology, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
| | - Thanh H. Nguyen
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
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Matias WR, Teng JE, Hilaire IJ, Harris JB, Franke MF, Ivers LC. Household and Individual Risk Factors for Cholera among Cholera Vaccine Recipients in Rural Haiti. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2017; 97:436-442. [PMID: 28722575 PMCID: PMC5544067 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0407] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Oral cholera vaccination was used as part of cholera control in Haiti, but the vaccine does not provide complete protection. We conducted secondary data analyses of a vaccine effectiveness study in Haiti to evaluate risk factors for cholera among cholera vaccine recipients. Individuals vaccinated against cholera that presented with acute watery diarrhea and had a stool sample positive for Vibrio cholerae O1 were included as cases. Up to four vaccinated individuals who did not present for treatment of diarrhea were included as controls for each case, and matched by location of residence, enrollment time, and age. We evaluated sociodemographic characteristics and risk factors for cholera. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were performed to identify risk factors for cholera among vaccinees. Thirty-three vaccine recipients with culture-confirmed cholera were included as cases. One-hundred-and-seventeen of their matched controls reported receiving vaccine and were included as controls. In a multivariable analysis, self-reporting use of branded household water disinfection products as a means of treating water (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 44.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.19-468.05, P = 0.002), and reporting having a latrine as the main household toilet (aRR = 4.22, 95% CI = 1.23-14.43, P = 0.02), were independent risk factors for cholera. Self-reporting always treating water (aRR = 0.09, 95% CI = 0.01-0.57, P = 0.01) was associated with protection against cholera. The field effectiveness of water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions used in combination with cholera vaccination in cholera control should be measured and monitored over time to identify and remediate shortcomings, and ensure successful impact on disease control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wilfredo R Matias
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.,Partners In Health, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Jessica E Teng
- Partners In Health, Boston, Massachusetts.,Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
| | | | - Jason B Harris
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.,Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Molly F Franke
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Louise C Ivers
- Partners In Health, Boston, Massachusetts.,Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.,Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
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Ujjiga TTA, Wamala JF, Mogga JJH, Othwonh TO, Mutonga D, Kone-Coulibaly A, Shaikh MA, Mpairwe AM, Abdinasir A, Abdi MA, Yoti Z, Olushayo O, Nyimol P, Lul R, Lako RL, Rumunu J. Risk Factors for Sustained Cholera Transmission, Juba County, South Sudan, 2014. Emerg Infect Dis 2016; 21:1849-52. [PMID: 26402715 PMCID: PMC4593433 DOI: 10.3201/eid2110.142051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
We conducted a case–control study to identify risk factors for the 2014 cholera outbreak in Juba County, South Sudan. Illness was associated with traveling or eating away from home; treating drinking water and receiving oral cholera vaccination were protective. Oral cholera vaccination should be used to complement cholera prevention efforts.
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Moradi G, Rasouli MA, Mohammadi P, Elahi E, Barati H. A cholera outbreak in Alborz Province, Iran: a matched case-control study. Epidemiol Health 2016; 38:e2016018. [PMID: 27188308 PMCID: PMC4967910 DOI: 10.4178/epih.e2016018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2016] [Accepted: 05/14/2016] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES A total of 229 confirmed cholera cases were reported in Alborz Province during an outbreak that lasted from June 2011 to August 2011. This study aimed to identify potential sources of transmission in order to determine suitable interventions in similar outbreaks. In other words, the lessons learned from this retrospective study can be utilized to manage future similar outbreaks. METHODS An age-matched and sex-matched case-control study was conducted during the outbreak. For each case, two control subjects were selected from the neighborhood. A case of cholera was defined as a bacteriologically confirmed case with signs and symptoms of cholera. This study was conducted from June 14, 2011 through August 23, 2011. The data were analyzed by calculating odds ratios (ORs) using the logistic regression method. RESULTS In this outbreak, 229 confirmed cholera cases were diagnosed. The following risk factors were found to be associated with cholera: consumption of unrefrigerated leftover food (OR, 3.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.72 to 5.41), consumption of vegetables and fruits in the previous three days (OR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.95 to 3.89), and a history of traveling in the previous five days (OR, 5.31; 95% CI, 2.21 to 9.72). CONCLUSIONS Consumption of vegetables and fruits has remained an unresolved risk factor in cholera outbreaks in Iran in recent years. In order to reduce the risk of cholera, sanitary standards for fruits and vegetables should be observed at all points from production to consumption, the population should be educated regarding hygienic food storage during outbreaks, and sanitary standards should be maintained when traveling during cholera outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ghobad Moradi
- Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - Mohammad Aziz Rasouli
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - Parvin Mohammadi
- Department of Nursing and Midwifery, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran
| | - Elham Elahi
- Health Education and Health Promotion, School of Public Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hojatollah Barati
- Health Department, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran
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Samapundo S, Climat R, Xhaferi R, Devlieghere F. Food safety knowledge, attitudes and practices of street food vendors and consumers in Port-au-Prince, Haiti. Food Control 2015. [DOI: 10.1016/j.foodcont.2014.09.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
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Waldram A, McKerr C, Gobin M, Adak G, Stuart JM, Cleary P. Control selection methods in recent case-control studies conducted as part of infectious disease outbreaks. Eur J Epidemiol 2015; 30:465-71. [PMID: 25762171 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-015-0005-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2014] [Accepted: 02/20/2015] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
Successful investigation of national outbreaks of communicable disease relies on rapid identification of the source. Case-control methodologies are commonly used to achieve this. We assessed control selection methods used in recently published case-control studies for methodological and resource issues to determine if a standard approach could be identified. Neighbourhood controls were the most frequently used method in 53 studies of a range of different sizes, infections and settings. The most commonly used method of data collection was face to face interview. Control selection issues were identified in four areas: method of identification of controls, appropriateness of controls, ease of recruitment of controls, and resource requirements. Potential biases arising from the method of control selection were identified in half of the studies assessed. There is a need to develop new ways of selecting controls in a rapid, random and representative manner to improve the accuracy and timeliness of epidemiological investigations and maximise the effectiveness of public health interventions. Innovative methods such as prior recruitment of controls could improve timeliness and representativeness of control selection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alison Waldram
- Field Epidemiology Service Liverpool, Public Health England, Liverpool, UK,
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Abstract
A relatively short list of reference viral, bacterial and protozoan pathogens appears adequate to assess microbial risks and inform a system-based management of drinking waters. Nonetheless, there are data gaps, e.g. human enteric viruses resulting in endemic infection levels if poorly performing disinfection and/or distribution systems are used, and the risks from fungi. Where disinfection is the only treatment and/or filtration is poor, cryptosporidiosis is the most likely enteric disease to be identified during waterborne outbreaks, but generally non-human-infectious genotypes are present in the absence of human or calf fecal contamination. Enteric bacteria may dominate risks during major fecal contamination events that are ineffectively managed. Reliance on culture-based methods exaggerates treatment efficacy and reduces our ability to identify pathogens/indicators; however, next-generation sequencing and polymerase chain reaction approaches are on the cusp of changing that. Overall, water-based Legionella and non-tuberculous mycobacteria probably dominate health burden at exposure points following the various societal uses of drinking water.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas J. Ashbolt
- School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Room 3-57D, South Academic Building, Alberta, T6G 2G7 Canada
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