AST/ALT ratio > or = 1 is not diagnostic of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Risk Factors for Progressive Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C in India

Background Liver cirrhosis (LC) caused by chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection is a major global public health concern. This study will look at the risk factors for progressive fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with persistent hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Methods In this cohort study, a total of 300 patients were included. We collected comprehensive diagnostic records for the entire study group of 200 people with chronic hepatitis C infection. For the comparison, 100 healthy people were recruited and assessed. FibroScan (Echosens, Paris, France) scores were used to categorize liver fibrosis stages: F0-F1 (no or mild fibrosis, <7 kPa), F2 (moderate fibrosis, 7-8.99 kPa), F3 (significant fibrosis, 9-12.49 kPa), and F4 (cirrhosis, ≥12.5 kPa). Their demographic, biochemical, and serological data were evaluated and compared. Results Most patients were males (47% females and 53% males). In the CHC group, the mean age of diagnosis was 37.68±11.57 years, whereas in the chronic hepatitis C-related liver cirrhosis (CHC-LC) group, the mean age was 48.89±12.30 years (p=0.01). Compared to normal individuals, CHC patients had higher body mass index (BMI) (22.37±1.89 versus 21.72±1.95, p=0.01), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (36.70±7.13 versus 82.78±82.53, p=0.01), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (34.96±6.04 versus 80.82±91.77, p=0.01). However, compared to the patients with CHC, the patients with LC have lower platelet (PLT) count (1.51±0.78 versus 1.7±0.41, p=0.01) and higher liver enzymes (AST: 117.7±186.9 versus 80.8±91.7, p=0.01; ALT: 86.71±80.24 versus 82.78±82.53, p=0.01). On regression analysis, higher BMI, older age, low hemoglobin (Hb), and higher bilirubin, ALT, AST, and prothrombin time (PT) were associated with LC. Conclusion It is imperative to shift toward prevention and early intervention as the new approach to managing patients with HCV-related cirrhosis. Cirrhosis should be suspected in older patients with CHC who are obese and have low platelet counts with higher liver enzymes.

Diagnostic Value of Non-invasive Liver Function Tests in Liver Fibrosis and Changes in These Parameters Post-metabolic Surgery

PURPOSE

This study aimed to ascertain the diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive liver function tests in liver fibrosis and assess their changes after metabolic surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

1005 individuals with severe obesity who were referred for metabolic surgery were analysed. All participants had blood samples taken for liver enzymes and lipid profile. In addition, hepatic indexes, including AAR, APRI, NFS and Fibrosis-4 (FIB4), were checked. Furthermore, all participants underwent two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE). All investigations were repeated 6-8 months after metabolic surgery. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve was utilised to determine the optimal cut-off values for baseline study parameters. Logistic regression was applied to predict the relationship between study parameters-as predictors-and change in 2D-SWE.

RESULTS

AST/ALT (AAR) was the most sensitive (79%) pre-operative non-invasive serological marker for detecting liver fibrosis, whereas NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS) was the most specific (84%). AST/upper limit of the normal AST range × 100/platelets (× 10⁹/L) (APRI) showed a positive correlation with 2D-SWE post-metabolic surgery (p-value = 0.021). Regression analysis from both adjusted and unadjusted models showed that baseline AAR was a predictor of postoperative liver status in terms of hepatic fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

AAR has a high sensitivity, whereas NFS exhibits a high specificity in diagnosing liver fibrosis. The authors recommend using both investigations in conjunction with 2D-SWE to increase the likelihood of detecting liver fibrosis.

Noninvasive Fibrosis Testing in Chronic Liver Disease Including Caveats

Assessment of liver fibrosis is important as the range of liver disease management has expanded, rendering biopsy both imperfect and impractical in many situations. Noninvasive tests of fibrosis leverage laboratory, imaging and elastography techniques to estimate disease extent, often with the goal of identifying advanced fibrosis. This review attempts to summarize their utility across a broad range of possible clinical scenarios while considering the central tenets of health care quality: access, quality, and cost. For each test, it also discusses the caveats whereby each test may have reduced effectiveness and how to consider each in a typical clinical setting.

Machine learning model for the prediction of prostate cancer in patients with low prostate-specific antigen levels: A multicenter retrospective analysis

Objective

The aim of this study was to develop a predictive model to improve the accuracy of prostate cancer (PCa) detection in patients with prostate specific antigen (PSA) levels ≤20 ng/mL at the initial puncture biopsy.

Methods

A total of 146 patients (46 with Pca, 31.5%) with PSA ≤20 ng/mL who had undergone transrectal ultrasound-guided 12+X prostate puncture biopsy with clear pathological results at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University (November 2015 to December 2021) were retrospectively evaluated. The validation group was 116 patients drawn from Changhai Hospital(52 with Pca, 44.8%). Age, body mass index (BMI), serum PSA, PSA-derived indices, several peripheral blood biomarkers, and ultrasound findings were considered as predictive factors and were analyzed by logistic regression. Significant predictors (P < 0.05) were included in five machine learning algorithm models. The performance of the models was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to estimate the clinical utility of the models. Ten-fold cross-validation was applied in the training process.

Results

Prostate-specific antigen density, alanine transaminase-to-aspartate transaminase ratio, BMI, and urine red blood cell levels were identified as independent predictors for the differential diagnosis of PCa according to multivariate logistic regression analysis. The RandomForest model exhibited the best predictive performance and had the highest net benefit when compared with the other algorithms, with an area under the curve of 0.871. In addition, DCA had the highest net benefit across the whole range of cut-off points examined.

Conclusion

The RandomForest-based model generated showed good prediction ability for the risk of PCa. Thus, this model could help urologists in the treatment decision-making process.

The age, bilirubin and albumin (ABA) index: a novel noninvasive index for predicting liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection

AIM

It was to assess the diagnostic performance characteristics of a novel index, (ABA), which utilizes age, bilirubin and albumin to predict significant and severe fibrosis, and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection.

METHODS

A total of 114 patients were included in this study. The liver biopsies were graded using the Ishak scoring system. Diagnostic performance of the ABA index was compared to aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase ratio, age platelet index, AST to platelet ratio index, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) to platelet ratio index, FIB-4, FibroQ, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index, King's score, GGT/international normalization ratio, platelet to lymphocyte ratio, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, white blood cell to platelet distribution width ratio and mean platelet volume to platelet distribution width ratio (MPV/PDW) by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

The ABA index was formulated as 1.5 + (0.065 × age) + (1.85 × bilirubin) - (1.65 × albumin) according to the multivariate logistic regression analysis. According to the ROC curve analyses, the ABA index had the area under these ROC curves (AUROCs) of 0.805 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.727-0.883] for significant fibrosis, 0.874 (95% CI, 0.804-0.943) for severe fibrosis and 0.895 (95% CI, 0.828-0.961) for cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The ABA index was found to be superior to other evaluated noninvasive indexes of liver fibrosis by use of the cutoff point of 0 and 1. These findings should be confirmed by prospective and multicenter studies in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection.

Treatment of hepatitis C virus infection with direct-acting antivirals plus ribavirin eliminates viral RNA from peripheral blood mononuclear cells and reduces virologic relapse in diverse hepatic parenchymal changes

Elimination of hepatitis C virus (HCV) may fail, leading to a non-response outcome because of inappropriate testing for viral RNA in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). Sequelae of HCV genotype 4 therapy with sofosbuvir and daclatasvir ± ribavirin were assessed in our study at the 12^th week after end of treatment (EOT) by screening for viral genomic RNA in serum and PBMCs with correlation to hepatic parenchymal changes. We recruited 102 out of 2165 patients who had received sofosbuvir/daclatasvir, either alone (n = 1573) or together with ribavirin (n = 592). Subjects were classified into three groups based on testing by single-step reverse transcription PCR: group I, HCV negative in both serum and PBMCs (n = 25); group II, HCV positive in PBMCs only (n = 52); and group III, HCV positive in both serum and PBMCs (n = 25). Groups I and II (n = 77) were selected out of 2102 (every 27^th subject), while group III (n = 25) were selected from every second or third serologic relapse (n = 63). The pre-sampling population (n = 2165) showed sustained virologic response (SVR) in 33.21%; serologic relapse in 2.91%; HCV RNA only in PBMCs (66.79%) compared to serologic relapses and potential cure (P < 0.0001); higher serologic (38 out of 63, P = 0.03210) and cellular (36 out of 52, P = 0.0002) relapses in dual therapy than in triple therapy. The post-sampling population (n = 102) showed more HCV relapses in dual (50 out of 60) than in triple (27 out of 42) therapy (P = 0.0351); increased HCV antisense RNA strand in relapses compared to positive-sense strands alone (P < 0.001); and significant SVR events in undetectable (15 out of 31) compared to early (10 out of 55, P = 0.0058) and cirrhotic liver tissue changes (0 out of 16, P = 0.0006). In summary, HCV treatment with sofosbuvir/daclatasvir is followed by higher rates of serologic and intracellular viral RNA relapse than treatment with sofosbuvir/daclatasvir plus ribavirin. Cellular and serum viral RNA relapses are accompanied by HCV-induced hepatic pathology. An increased SVR with no detectable liver tissue changes was observed after triple therapy due to elimination of HCV RNA from PBMCs.

Diagnosis and staging of fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C: comparison and critical overview of current strategies

In the past years, what has always been considered undisputed true in liver fibrosis staging has been challenged. Diagnostic performance of histological evaluation has proven to be significantly influenced by sample- and observer-related variabilities. Differentiation between lower levels of fibrosis remains difficult for many, if not all, test modalities, including liver biopsy but, perhaps, such a distinction is not indispensable in light of current therapeutic approaches. Biomarkers and elastography offer, nonetheless, high predictive values for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis and correlate well with liver-related outcomes. Necroinflammation, steatosis, and hemodynamic changes may significantly interfere with elastography-based techniques, and longitudinal follow-up strategies must be tailored in light of these findings. Knowledge of different test modalities and diagnostic performance indicators can allow for better clinical decision-making and resource allocation.

The aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes

An increased aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR) has been widely used as a marker of advanced hepatic fibrosis. Increased AAR was also shown to be significantly associated with the risk of developing cardiovascular (CV) disease. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between the AAR and mortality risk in a well-characterized cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes.A cohort of 2529 type 2 diabetic outpatients was followed-up for 6 years to collect cause-specific mortality. Cox regression analyses were modeled to estimate the independent association between AAR and the risk of all-cause and CV mortality.Over the 6-year follow-up period, 12.1% of patients died, 47.5% of whom from CV causes. An increased AAR, but not its individual components, was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause (adjusted-hazard risk 1.83, confidence interval [CI] 95% 1.14-2.93, P = 0.012) and CV (adjusted-hazard risk 2.60, CI 95% 1.38-4.90, P < 0.003) mortality after adjustment for multiple clinical risk factors and potential confounding variables.The AAR was independently associated with an increased risk of both all-cause and CV mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. These findings suggest that an increased AAR may reflect more systemic derangements that are not simply limited to liver damage. Further studies are needed to elucidate the pathophysiological implications of an increased AAR.

Cost-effectiveness of non-invasive methods for assessment and monitoring of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is the reference standard for diagnosing the extent of fibrosis in chronic liver disease; however, it is invasive, with the potential for serious complications. Alternatives to biopsy include non-invasive liver tests (NILTs); however, the cost-effectiveness of these needs to be established.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic accuracy and cost-effectiveness of NILTs in patients with chronic liver disease.

DATA SOURCES

We searched various databases from 1998 to April 2012, recent conference proceedings and reference lists.

METHODS

We included studies that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of NILTs using liver biopsy as the reference standard. Diagnostic studies were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using the bivariate random-effects model with correlation between sensitivity and specificity (whenever possible). Decision models were used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the NILTs. Expected costs were estimated using a NHS perspective and health outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Markov models were developed to estimate long-term costs and QALYs following testing, and antiviral treatment where indicated, for chronic hepatitis B (HBV) and chronic hepatitis C (HCV). NILTs were compared with each other, sequential testing strategies, biopsy and strategies including no testing. For alcoholic liver disease (ALD), we assessed the cost-effectiveness of NILTs in the context of potentially increasing abstinence from alcohol. Owing to a lack of data and treatments specifically for fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the analysis was limited to an incremental cost per correct diagnosis. An analysis of NILTs to identify patients with cirrhosis for increased monitoring was also conducted.

RESULTS

Given a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20,000 per QALY, treating everyone with HCV without prior testing was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £9204. This was robust in most sensitivity analyses but sensitive to the extent of treatment benefit for patients with mild fibrosis. For HBV [hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative)] this strategy had an ICER of £28,137, which was cost-effective only if the upper bound of the standard UK cost-effectiveness threshold range (£30,000) is acceptable. For HBeAg-positive disease, two NILTs applied sequentially (hyaluronic acid and magnetic resonance elastography) were cost-effective at a £20,000 threshold (ICER: £19,612); however, the results were highly uncertain, with several test strategies having similar expected outcomes and costs. For patients with ALD, liver biopsy was the cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of £822.

LIMITATIONS

A substantial number of tests had only one study from which diagnostic accuracy was derived; therefore, there is a high risk of bias. Most NILTs did not have validated cut-offs for diagnosis of specific fibrosis stages. The findings of the ALD model were dependent on assuptions about abstinence rates assumptions and the modelling approach for NAFLD was hindered by the lack of evidence on clinically effective treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

Treating everyone without NILTs is cost-effective for patients with HCV, but only for HBeAg-negative if the higher cost-effectiveness threshold is appropriate. For HBeAg-positive, two NILTs applied sequentially were cost-effective but highly uncertain. Further evidence for treatment effectiveness is required for ALD and NAFLD.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001561.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

AST/ALT ratio is not an index of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C when aminotransferase activities are determinate according to the international recommendations

OBJECTIVE

The aspartate aminotransferase activity (AST)/alanine aminotransferase activity (ALT) ratio is used as liver fibrosis index whereas the reported data are conflicting. In chronic hepatitis C (CHC), reported diagnostic accuracies range from none to good for significant fibrosis and to excellent for cirrhosis. Assuming that AST/ALT increases are mainly due to vitamin B6 defects since pyridoxal phosphate (PLP), active form of B6, acts as coenzyme in transamination reactions, we evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the AST/ALT ratio using standardized methods for AST and ALT activities, with PLP addition as recommended, in a prospective multicenter cohort of CHC patients.

METHODS

ALT and AST activities were measured using the recommended IFCC methods with addition of pyridoxal 5'-phosphate. We evaluated the AST/ALT ratio for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis or cirrhosis in a cohort of CHC patients included in a multicenter prospective study. A liver biopsy was performed in each patient and reviewed by two independent pathologists in order to determine the fibrosis stage according to Metavir classification which was the reference standard.

RESULTS

AST/ALT ratio significantly increased with histological stage of liver fibrosis and there was a significant correlation between Metavir fibrosis stage and AST/ALT ratio (r=0.129, P<0.0035). The ROC curve analyses showed that the AST/ALT ratio does not discriminate significant fibrosis (F≥2) (AUROC=0.531) and had only very poor diagnostic accuracies for severe fibrosis (F≥3) (AUROC=0.584) or cirrhosis (F4) (AUROC=0.626).

CONCLUSION

AST/ALT ratio is not a good and discriminative index of liver fibrosis in CHC when aminotransferase activities are determinate according to the international recommendations.

Hepatitis C virus infection influences the S-methadone metabolite plasma concentration

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Heroin-dependent patients typically contract hepatitis C virus (HCV) at a disproportionately high level due to needle exchange. The liver is the primary target organ of HCV infection and also the main organ responsible for drug metabolism. Methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) is a major treatment regimen for opioid dependence. HCV infection may affect methadone metabolism but this has rarely been studied. In our current study, we aimed to test the hypothesis that HCV may influence the methadone dosage and its plasma metabolite concentrations in a MMT cohort from Taiwan.

METHODS

A total of 366 MMT patients were recruited. The levels of plasma hepatitis B virus (HBV), HCV, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antibodies (Ab), liver aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT), as well as methadone and its metabolite 2-ethylidene-1,5-dimethyl-3,3-diphenylpyrrolidine (EDDP) were measured along with the urine morphine concentration and amphetamine screening.

RESULTS

Of the 352 subjects in our cohort with HCV test records, 95% were found to be positive for plasma anti-HCV antibody. The liver functional parameters of AST (Wilcoxon Rank-Sum test, P = 0.02) and ALT (Wilcoxon Rank-Sum test, P = 0.04), the plasma methadone concentrations (Wilcoxon Rank-Sum test, P = 0.043) and the R-enantiomer of methadone concentrations (Wilcoxon Rank-Sum test, P = 0.032) were significantly higher in the HCV antibody-positive subjects than in the HCV antibody-negative patients, but not the S-EDDP/methadone dose ratio. The HCV levels correlated with the methadone dose (β= 14.65 and 14.13; P = 0.029 and 0.03) and the S-EDDP/methadone dose ratio (β= -0.41 and -0.40; P = 0.00084 and 0.002) in both univariate and multivariate regression analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that HCV may influence the methadone dose and plasma S-EDDP/methadone dose ratio in MMT patients in this preliminary study.

Molecular serum markers of liver fibrosis

Fibrosis is a hallmark histologic event of chronic liver diseases and is characterized by the excessive accumulation and reorganization of the extracellular matrix (ECM). The gold standard for assessment of fibrosis is liver biopsy. As this procedure has various limitations, including risk of patient injury and sampling error, a non-invasive serum marker for liver fibrosis is desirable. The increasing understanding of the pathogenesis of hepatic fibrosis has suggested several markers which could be useful indicators of hepatic fibrogenesis and fibrosis. These markers include serum markers of liver function, ECM synthesis, fibrolytic processes, ECM degradation and fibrogenesis related cytokines. Recently, neo-epitopes, which are post-translational modifications of proteins, have been successfully used in bone and cartilage diseases which are characterized by extensive ECM remodeling. Increasing numbers of studies are being undertaken to identify neo-epitopes generated during liver fibrosis, and which ultimately might be useful for diagnosing and monitoring fibrogenesis. To date, the metalloproteinases generated fragment of collagen I, III, IV and VI have been proven to be elevated in two rat models of fibrosis. This review summarizes the recent efforts that have been made to identify potentially reliable non-invasive serum markers. We used the recently proposed BIPED (Burden of disease, Investigative, Prognostic, Efficacy and Diagnostic) system to characterize potential serum markers and neo-epitope markers that have been identified to date.

Quantifying liver cirrhosis by extracting significant features from MRI T2 image

Most patients with liver cirrhosis must undergo a series of clinical examinations, including ultrasound imaging, liver biopsy, and blood tests. However, the quantification of liver cirrhosis by extracting significant features from a T2-weighted magnetic resonance image (MRI) provides useful diagnostic information in clinical tests. Sixty-two subjects were randomly selected to participate in this retrospective analysis with assigned to experimental and control groups. The T2-weighted MRI was obtained and to them dynamic adjusted gray levels. The extracted features of the image were standard deviation (SD), mean, and entropy of pixel intensity in the region of interest (ROI). The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, 95% confidence intervals, and kappa statistics were used to test the significance and agreement. The analysis of area under ROC shows that SD, mean, and entropy in the ROI were significant between the experimental group and the control group. Smaller values of SD, mean, and entropy were associated with a higher probability of liver cirrhosis. The agreements between the extracted features and diagnostic results were shown significantly (P < 0.001). In this investigation, quantitative features of SD, mean, and entropy in the ROI were successfully computed by the dynamic gray level scaling of T2-weighted MRI with high accuracy.

Growth hormone, dehydroepiandrosterone and adiponectin levels in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: an endocrine signature for advanced fibrosis in obese patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Liver-related clinical consequences of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are seen only in the minority of patients with advanced fibrosis. The aim of our study was to generate insight into a potential endocrine basis of steatohepatitis with advanced fibrosis in NAFLD.

METHODS

Biopsy and blood samples were prospectively collected from patients with medically complicated obesity. Patients were categorized, according to liver histology, into: (i) normal, (ii) simple steatosis (SS), (iii) non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with fibrosis stage (FS) 0-1 and (iv) NASH with FS ≥ 2. A broad panel of potential biomarkers included DHEA-S, growth hormone (GH), homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), leptin, resistin, adiponectin and cytokeratin 18 (CK-18) fragments.

RESULTS

We studied 160 patients (mean BMI 46.8 ± 8.2 kg/m(2) ). Liver biopsies demonstrated normal histology in 10%, SS in 45%, NASH with FS 0-1 in 37.5% and NASH with FS ≥ 2 in 7.5%. C-reactive protein, IL-6, GH, CK-18, adiponectin, HOMA-IR and quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI) were significantly associated with NASH in univariate analysis, but overall predictivity of these parameters was low (AUC ROC = 0.62-0.68). In contrast, all patients with NASH with FS ≥ 2 had insulin resistance, as measured by QUICKI, and GH levels <0.45 ng/ml and all but one patient with NASH FS 2-3 had low DHEA levels (<123 μg/dl).

CONCLUSIONS

Low serum levels of GH and DHEA are very common in patients with NASH with more advanced fibrosis. Other biomarkers, including CK-18 fragment levels, have predictivity characteristics that would be of low clinical utility for distinguishing patients with normal histology or SS from those with NASH. These findings demonstrate an endocrine profile associated with advanced fibrosis.

Association of laboratory parameters with viral factors in patients with hepatitis C

Background and Aims

HCV infection may lead to hepatic fibrosis. In this study, we tried to determine whether there is any correlation of HCV genotypes and viral load to the clinical parameters such as ALT, AST, ALP, bilirubin, Hb level, patient's age and gender; and then correlated this association with disease progression in liver biopsy samples.

Methods

In cross-sectional and observational study, 6048 serum HCV RNA positive patients were chosen. The study consists of 53 months from March 2006 to September 2010. Patients were divided into three cohorts to validate our data. Statistical analysis and correlation of lab parameters with viral factors was determined by using SPSS version 16.

Results

The most prevalent genotype was 3 (70.9%) followed by 1 (13.3%) and 4 (7.4%), collectively. During Univariate analysis, in all cohorts; serum bilirubin, ALP, ALT and AAR showed significant correlation with genotypes, however multivariate analysis showed that all genotypes except 4a have no association with host biochemical markers. Disease progression was also independent of all genotypes. Serum ALP, ALT, bilirubin and viremea levels were significantly elevated in patients with genotype 4a. Viral load showed negative association with serum bilirubin (r = -0.112, P = 0.000) and ALP levels (r = -0.098, P = 0.000). We observed positive correlation of ALP and bilirubin levels, while negative associations of viral load with HCV liver disease progression.

Conclusion

Disease progression seems independent of the genotypes. Relationship between ALP and bilirubin with viral load may be an attractive marker to guess disease progression in patients with hepatitis C.

A brief review on molecular, genetic and imaging techniques for HCV fibrosis evaluation

Background

Chronic HCV is one of the major causes of morbidity and mortality in the present day world. The assessment of disease progression not only provides useful information for diagnosis and therapeutic supervision judgment but also for monitoring disease. Different invasive and non invasive methods are applied to diagnose the disease from initial to end stage (mild fibrosis to cirrhosis). Although, liver biopsy is still considered as gold standard to identify liver histological stages, an assessment of the disease development based on non-invasive clinical findings is also emerging and this may replace the need of biopsy in near future. This review gives brief insight on non-invasive methods currently available for predicting liver fibrosis in HCV with their current pros and cons to make easier for a clinician to choose better marker to assess liver fibrosis in HCV infected patients.

Methods

More than 200 studies regarding invasive and noninvasive markers available for HCV liver disease diagnosis were thoroughly reviewed. We examined year wise results of these markers based on their sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and AUROCs.

Results

We found that in all non-invasive serum markers for HCV, FibroTest, Forn's Index, Fibrometer and HepaScore have high five-year predictive value but with low AUROCs (0.60~0.85) and are not comparable to liver biopsy (AUROC = 0.97). Even though from its beginning, Fibroscan is proved to be best with high AUROCs (> 0.90) in all studies, no single noninvasive marker is able to differentiate all fibrosis stages from end stage cirrhosis. Meanwhile, specific genetic markers may not only discriminate fibrotic and cirrhotic liver but also differentiate individual fibrosis stages.

Conclusions

There is a need of marker which accurately determines the stage based on simplest routine laboratory test. Genetic marker in combination of imaging technique may be the better non invasive diagnostic method in future.

Noninvasive laboratory tests proposed for predicting cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C are also useful in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND

Several noninvasive tests have been proposed to predict cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C, but not in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We assessed whether noninvasive laboratory tests designed to predict the risk of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection could be used in patients with NASH.

METHODS

The subjects were 50 patients with biopsy-proved NASH and 100 age- and sex-matched patients with HCV. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), age-platelet (AP) index, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), cirrhosis discriminant score (CDS), and the hepatitis C antiviral long-term treatment against cirrhosis (HALT-C) model were calculated.

RESULTS

The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves of the AAR, AP index, APRI, CDS, and HALT-C model for predicting cirrhosis were respectively 0.813, 0.877, 0.786, 0.949, and 0.908 in patients with NASH and 0.555, 0.652, 0.761, 0.782, and 0.782 in patients with HCV. A CDS cutoff value of less than 5 misclassified none of the 9 patients with NASH who had cirrhosis, while a value of more than 8 misclassified none of the 41 patients with NASH without cirrhosis. With the HALT-C model, a cutoff value of less than 0.6 classified non-cirrhotic NASH, while a cutoff value of 0.97 or higher classified cirrhotic NASH. The use of CDS and HALT-C model could avoid liver biopsy for predicting cirrhosis in 60 and 48% of the patients with NASH, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Noninvasive laboratory tests designed to predict cirrhosis in patients with HCV are also useful in patients with NASH.

Diagnosis and epidemiology of cirrhosis

Cirrhosis is defined histologically as an advanced form of progressive hepatic fibrosis with distortion of the hepatic architecture and regenerative nodule formation. It may be due to a variety of causes. It can be diagnosed incidentally on liver biopsy or hepatic imaging studies, or patients may present clinically with one or more features of hepatic failure. This article gives the reader a broad overview of the epidemiology, diagnosis, and natural history of cirrhosis; laying the foundation for subsequent articles, which will discuss the diagnosis and management of each of the specific cirrhosis-related complications.

Coordinate regulation of metabolic enzymes and transporters by nuclear transcription factors in human liver disease

BACKGROUND

It has been hypothesised, mainly from studies with animal models of liver disease, that the transport of substrates for metabolic enzymes and their subsequent metabolism and elimination in hepatic bile or blood is co-ordinated, but there is little information on this process in diseased human liver.

METHODS

In this study we have measured by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) major genes involved in drug metabolism from UDP-glucuronosyltransferases (UGT1A1, UGT1A6, UGT1A9, and UGT2B4) and cytochrome P450 (CYP) families (CYP1A2, CYP2C9, CYP2C19, CYP2D6, CYP2E1, and CYP3A4), transport (OATP-C, MRP2, MRP3, and MDR1) and major transcription factors (PXR, CAR, HNF1alpha, HNF4alpha, RXR, and AHR) involved in their regulation. Liver biopsy tissue from patients with viral hepatitis was scored for inflammation and fibrosis by the METAVIR system, and separated into groups with mild (A0-1; F0-1, n = 20) or severe (A2-3; F3-4, n = 19) liver disease. Correlation analysis (Spearman rank-test, P < 0.05) was used to identify metabolic enzymes and transporters which shared significant correlation with transcription factors.

RESULTS

Our results show an extensive correlation between transcription factors, transporters, and metabolic enzymes. An unexpected finding was that this was substantially greater in the severely diseased liver. Cross-talk between transcription factors was markedly increased in tissue from patients with severe liver disease, particularly between CAR, HNF4alpha, and PXR.

CONCLUSION

Our results support the hypothesis of co-ordinate regulation of metabolic enzymes and transporters in diseased human liver, as part of a widespread co-ordinated process under the control of nuclear receptor transcription factors.

Noninvasive evaluation of hepatic fibrosis using serum fibrotic markers, transient elastography (FibroScan) and real-time tissue elastography

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the accuracy of noninvasive tests, e.g. serum fibrotic markers, transient elastography and real-time tissue elastography, in the diagnosis of hepatic fibrosis, and to determine whether they can replace liver biopsy.

METHODS

119 patients with chronic liver disease were included in this study. Serum fibrotic markers including hyaluronic acid, type IV collagen, type IV collagen 7S domain and type III procollagen-N-peptide were measured. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and platelet counts were also measured to calculate the AST to platelet ratio index (APRI). Liver stiffness was measured using FibroScan and real-time tissue elastography.

RESULTS

The fibrotic stage, determined by histopathological diagnosis of a liver biopsy sample, did not correlate as well with serum fibrotic markers although it was useful to diagnose liver cirrhosis. However, the stage of hepatic fibrosis correlated well with liver stiffness measured by FibroScan. FibroScan was also a much better predictor of liver cirrhosis than APRI. Furthermore, the levels of liver strain measured by real-time tissue elastography correlated well with liver stiffness (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Serum fibrotic markers and FibroScan are useful for distinguishing liver cirrhosis (F4) from chronic hepatitis (F1-F3). In addition, real-time tissue elastography is a novel and promising method to determine the stage of hepatic fibrosis.

Open-label trial of therapeutic immunization with oral V-5 Immunitor (V5) vaccine in patients with chronic hepatitis C

We evaluated whether V-5 Immunitor (V5)--tableted therapeutic bivalent vaccine comprising heat-inactivated HCV antigens from pooled blood of HBV- and HCV-infected donors - may produce clinical benefit through induction of oral tolerance and reduction of immune-mediated liver injury. Once daily dose of V5 was administered per os to 10 patients with chronic hepatitis C in an open-label study that lasted 1 month. Every patient who entered the study had elevated liver enzyme levels, which at the end of study have decreased in 100% of analyzed patients. The reduction was highly significant, from 157.7+/-73.4 to 49.9+/-43.8 U/L (P=0.0013) and 147.0+/-79.2 to 58.7+/-56.6 U/L (P=0.0132), for ALT and AST, respectively. The AST/ALT ratio has improved from 0.93 to 1.18 (P=0.00058) indicating the reversion of progression to cirrhosis. None of intent-to-treat patients who were anti-HCV antibody positive at study entry, became negative after 1 month on V5 (P=0.998). All patients, except one, reported complete recuperation from hepatitis C-associated clinical symptoms present at baseline (P=0.0016) with Mantel Haenszel's odds ratio 9.4 (P=0.0021) at 95% confidence interval: 2.7<OR<476.3. No adverse events were observed at any time. The favorable biochemical and clinical responses have been observed in a small number of individuals for a limited time period. Larger scale and longer studies are needed to confirm our preliminary observations suggesting that V5 is safe and effective means for immunotherapy of chronic hepatitis C.

Aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) can predict liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

There have been still few valuable markers that can be used as indirect markers of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B.

AIMS

This study aimed to evaluate efficacy of several indirect markers of liver fibrosis and to identify the most valuable test in chronic hepatitis B.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 264 patients with chronic hepatitis B were consecutively enrolled. Fibrosis was staged by a single blinded pathologist according to the METAVIR system. Significant fibrosis was defined as stage >or=2. We investigated diagnostic accuracy of four indirect markers including aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index for predicting significant fibrosis.

RESULTS

Mean age was 28 years. 53% (141/264) had significant hepatic fibrosis. Of indirect markers, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index yielded the best area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-0.91). Positive predictive value/negative predictive value at 0.5, 1.5 and 2.0 of aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index score for predicting significant fibrosis were 63%/91%, 83%/74% and 86%/65%, respectively. The odds ratio for aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index >or=1.4 relative to less than aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index of 1.4 was 17.971 (p<0.0001; 95% confidence interval, 9.677-33.376).

CONCLUSIONS

Of simple markers already developed in chronic hepatitis C, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index may be the most accurate and simple marker for predicting significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B.

Accuracy of liver stiffness measurement for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver diseases

A proper diagnosis of cirrhosis is essential for the management of patients with chronic liver diseases. We assessed the accuracy of liver stiffness measurement by Fibroscan for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in 1,257 patients with chronic liver diseases of various causes enrolled in a prospective multicenter study as well as clarified causes of discrepancies between liver histology and Fibroscan. One hundred thirty-two patients had unsuitable biopsy specimens, and 118 had unreliable liver stiffness measurements. Because 232 patients overlapped with a previous study, analysis was performed in the 775 new patients then derived in the whole population (1,007; 165 cirrhosis). Diagnostic accuracy was assessed by receiver operator curve (ROC) analysis. Liver samples were re-analyzed in case of discrepancies. The area under the ROC (AUROC) was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.93-0.96) for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in either 775 or 1,007 patients. The cutoff value with optimal diagnosis accuracy was 14.6 kPa in 1,007 patients (positive and negative predictive values, 74% and 96%) with discrepancies among the etiological groups. Eighty patients were misclassified: (1) among 45 patients without cirrhosis with liver stiffness 14.6 kPa or greater, 27 (60%) had extensive fibrosis and 10 (22%) significant perisinusoidal fibrosis; and (2) among 35 patients with cirrhosis and liver stiffness less than 14.6 kPa, 10 (29%) had a macronodular pattern and 25 (71%) either none or mild activity. In conclusion, Fibroscan is a reliable method for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver diseases, better at excluding than at predicting cirrhosis using a threshold of 14.6 kPa. False-negatives are mainly attributable to inactive or macronodular cirrhosis.

Comparison of simple tests for the non-invasive diagnosis of clinically silent cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Biopsy is the gold standard for assessing cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection, but it is expensive and at risk of complications. Alternative non-invasive methods have been developed but their usefulness remains uncertain.

AIM

To compare the accuracy of five non-invasive scores in detecting cirrhosis.

METHODS

We reviewed the charts and liver biopsies of 228 consecutive, treatment-naïve, hepatitis C virus-positive patients, 13.2% of whom with histological diagnosis of cirrhosis. The five alternative scores were age-platelet index, cirrhosis discriminant score, aspartate transaminases to platelet ratio index, Pohl's index, and aspartate transaminases/alanine transaminases ratio.

RESULTS

The specificities of the scores were good (87-100%), but not so their sensitivities (17-67%). Accordingly positive likelihood ratios were generally good but negative likelihood ratios were suboptimal. Combinations of the scores independently related to cirrhosis only slightly change this diagnostic accuracy. Using double cut-offs to exclude/diagnoses cirrhosis, cirrhosis discriminant score classified 21% of patients without misdiagnoses and aspartate transaminases to platelet ratio index classified 85% of case with 9% of misdiagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

The five scores showed variable sensitivities and specificities in detecting liver cirrhosis, both individually and in combination. The use of double cut-off points may make the cirrhosis discriminant score and aspartate transaminases to platelet ratio index useful to reduce the number of patients submitted to liver biopsy.

The AST/ALT ratio as an indicator of cirrhosis in patients with PBC

OBJECTIVES

A non-invasive, simple and non-expensive test to predict cirrhosis would be highly desirable. The aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio has been proven to be such an indicator of cirrhosis in alcoholic liver disease, hepatitis C.

AIM

To test whether the AST/ALT ratio is a marker of cirrhosis also in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC).

METHODS

The study consisted of 160 patients. In 126 patients, we had clinical and laboratory data at the time of diagnosis and follow-up with outcome: liver-related death, liver transplantation and survival. In 121 patients, we had laboratory data and liver histology.

RESULTS

We found that the AST/ALT ratio was significantly higher in cirrhotic patients than in non-cirrhotic patients. A high AST/ALT ratio was significantly associated with esophageal varices and ascites. In a multivariate analysis, bilirubin and ALP were predictors of poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The AST/ALT ratio seems to be of clinical value as a hint to the diagnosis of cirrhosis in patients with PBC but not as a prognostic factor.

Non-invasive models for predicting histology in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIM

In contrast to chronic hepatitis C (CHC), few studies had been performed in assessing non-invasive models for predicting significant fibrosis or cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. We aimed to evaluate non-invasive markers for diagnosing significant fibrosis/cirrhosis in patients with CHB, and to evaluate accuracy of models from CHC in CHB patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Liver biopsies from consecutive treatment-naïve CHB patients were evaluated histologically by a pathologist blindly, using the Ishak score. Patients were divided randomly into a training (65%) and a validation sets (35%). Markers of fibrosis were evaluated by univariate followed by multivariate analysis in the training set. Area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was assessed and validated in the training set. AUROC of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), AST/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, and AST-platelets ratio index (APRI) (derived from studies from CHC) in diagnosing significant fibrosis/cirrhosis were also assessed.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and eighteen CHB patients were evaluated: 83% male, 86% Chinese, 47% having significant fibrosis, 19% having cirrhosis. Platelets were the only factor significantly associated with significant fibrosis and cirrhosis at multivariate analysis but the AUROC was only modest at 0.63 and 0.73, respectively. Models derived from studies from CHC were even less accurate.

CONCLUSION

Models with non-invasive markers in predicting histology from CHC patients were unsuitable for CHB patients. No variables consisting of simple and readily available markers were able to predict cirrhosis accurately in patients with CHB.

A predictive index for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in hepatitis C based on clinical, laboratory, and ultrasound findings

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a non-invasive index to predict the presence of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C on the basis of clinical, laboratory, and ultrasound findings.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from the complete history and physical examination, serologic studies, liver ultrasound, and liver biopsy of patients with chronic hepatitis C were analyzed using multivariate regression to develop a cirrhosis predictive index. This index was then applied prospectively to another group of patients with chronic hepatitis C to determine its accuracy.

RESULTS

Three hundred and thirty-two patients were included (mean age, 48.5+/-18.7 years; male-female ratio, 1.27). Sixty-seven patients (20%) had cirrhosis at histology. Logistic regression identified seven variables that predicted cirrhosis: age>or=60 years, platelet count<or=100 (x10/L), AST/ALT>or=1, prothrombin time (Ratio)>or=1.1, caudate hypertrophy, right lobe atrophy and splenomegaly. Patients scoring>or=22 in total had a statistically significant probability of cirrhosis (sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 96%; and diagnostic accuracy, 94%).

CONCLUSION

Cirrhosis can be predicted in patients with chronic hepatitis C by the evaluation of seven clinical, laboratory, and sonographic variables. The index will be useful for the management and follow-up of hepatitis C patients drastically reducing the indications for biopsy in this context.

Simple clinical variables predict liver histology in hepatitis C: prospective validation of a clinical prediction model

OBJECTIVE

A recent single-center multivariate analysis of hepatitis C (HCV) patients showed that having any two criteria: 1) ferritin > or =200 microg/l and 2) spider nevi and/or albumin < or = 35 g/l predicted grade 2 or greater histological inflammation; the presence of any two of the following criteria: spider nevi, platelets < or =150 x 109/l, palpable splenomegaly and/or albumin < or =35 g/l predicted stage 2 or greater histological fibrosis. Absence of predictors also predicted a lack of inflammation and fibrosis. Our aim was prospectively to validate this clinical prediction model using an independent multicenter sample.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Eighty-one patients with previously untreated active chronic HCV underwent physical examination, laboratory investigation, and liver biopsy. Biopsies were read, in blinded fashion, by a single pathologist, using a modified Hytiroglou (1995) scale. The clinical scoring system was correlated with histology; likelihood ratios (LRs), Fisher's exact p-values, and receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Data recording was complete in 77 and 38 patients regarding fibrotic stage and inflammatory grade, respectively. For fibrosis, 3/3 patients with any three criteria (LR 17, positive predictive value (PPV) 100%), 4/5 patients with any two criteria (LR 5.1), and 15/47 with no criteria (LR 0.6, negative predictive value (NPV) 68%) had stage 2 or greater fibrosis on biopsy (p=0.01). For inflammation, 5/5 patients with both criteria (LR 15, PPV 100%), and 8/19 patients with no criteria (LR 0.5, NPV 58%) had moderate-severe inflammation on liver biopsy (p=0.036). When missing variables were assumed to be normal, recalculated LRs were almost identical. An alanine aminotransferase (ALAT) level <60 U/l may increase the NPVs.

CONCLUSIONS

This independent multicenter data set has validated our published model which uses simple clinical variables accurately and significantly to predict hepatic fibrosis and inflammation in HCV patients.

Predicting cirrhosis in patients with hepatitis C based on standard laboratory tests: results of the HALT-C cohort

Knowledge of the presence of cirrhosis is important for the management of patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Most models for predicting cirrhosis were derived from small numbers of patients and included subjective variables or laboratory tests that are not readily available. The aim of this study was to develop a predictive model of cirrhosis in patients with CHC based on standard laboratory tests. Data from 1,141 CHC patients including 429 with cirrhosis were analyzed. All biopsies were read by a panel of pathologists (blinded to clinical features), and fibrosis stage was determined by consensus. The cohort was divided into a training set (n = 783) and a validation set (n = 358). Variables that were significantly different between patients with and without cirrhosis in univariate analysis were entered into logistic regression models, and the performance of each model was compared. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the final model comprising platelet count, AST/ALT ratio, and INR in the training and validation sets was 0.78 and 0.81, respectively. A cutoff of less than 0.2 to exclude cirrhosis would misclassify only 7.8% of patients with cirrhosis, while a cutoff of greater than 0.5 to confirm cirrhosis would misclassify 14.8% of patients without cirrhosis. The model performed equally well in fragmented and nonfragmented biopsies and in biopsies of varying lengths. Use of this model might obviate the requirement for a liver biopsy in 50% of patients with CHC. In conclusion, a model based on standard laboratory test results can be used to predict histological cirrhosis with a high degree of accuracy in 50% of patients with CHC.

Cirrhosis in hepatitis C virus-infected patients can be excluded using an index of standard biochemical serum markers

OBJECTIVE

Assessment of liver histology is pivotal in prognostication and decision-making regarding therapeutic intervention in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). Being an invasive procedure, the liver biopsy is associated with complications, and a non-invasive alternative would be preferable.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Sera samples from 179 patients with chronic HCV infection collected at the time of liver biopsy were analyzed using routinely available biochemical markers of liver disease, and liver histology was evaluated using the Ishak protocol. The relationship between the serum biochemical markers and cirrhosis (Ishak stage > or = 5) as well as bridging fibrosis (Ishak stage > or = 3) was examined.

RESULTS

A strong association was found in the multivariate logistic regression analysis between fibrosis stage and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), platelet count and prothrombin-INR (international normalized ratio). An index (the Göteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI)) was calculated using these variables: normalized ASTxprothrombin-INRx100/platelet count (x 10(9)/l). Using a cut-off value of 1.0, the sensitivity was 80% and the specificity 78% for diagnosis of cirrhosis, and the negative predictive values (NPV) and positive predictive values (PPV) were 97% and 31%, respectively. The GUCI score proved slightly superior for sensitivity, specificity, NPV, PPV, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for prediction of cirrhosis and bridging fibrosis compared with the AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), which has been reported as a predictor of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

An index using routinely available biochemical markers can with a high degree of accuracy discriminate patients with from those without hepatitis C-related cirrhosis.

Comparison and validation of simple noninvasive tests for prediction of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

Liver biopsy is recommended before antiviral treatment, particularly for patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 infection, but it may cause complications and is limited by sampling error. Several non-invasive tests comprising routine laboratory parameters (simple fibrosis tests) have been proposed to predict fibrosis in chronic HCV. The aim of the current study was to validate and compare the diagnostic accuracies of the simple fibrosis tests, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), cirrhosis discriminant score (CDS), age-platelet (AP) index, Pohl score, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and platelet count per se. Staging was performed in liver biopsy specimens of 194 treatment-naive patients with chronic HCV according to Ishak et al. by two independent pathologists. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed comparable diagnostic accuracies of CDS, AP index, APRI, and platelet count for prediction of significant fibrosis (F3-F6) (area under the ROC curve [AUROC], 0.71, 0.74, 0.80, and 0.71, respectively; pathologist A) and for prediction of cirrhosis (F5-F6) (AUROC, 0.91, 0.91, 0.90, and 0.89, respectively; pathologist A). Diagnostic accuracy of APRI for prediction of significant fibrosis was superior to that of AAR (P < .05). Significant fibrosis was reliably predicted by APRI > or = 1.5 and platelet count <150 x10(9)/L in 24% and 22% of the patients, respectively, whereas cirrhosis was reliably excluded by APRI <2.0 and platelet count > or = 150 x10(9)/L in 85% and 78% of the patients, respectively. In conclusion, simple fibrosis tests may render liver biopsy unnecessary only in a minority of patients with chronic HCV. Improved serum fibrosis markers with greater sensitivity for severe fibrosis or cirrhosis are needed.

Estudio comparativo de dos modelos que utilizan parámetros bioquímicos en el diagnóstico no invasivo de la fibrosis hepática en pacientes con hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Several models for the prediction of liver fibrosis have been developed which consist of the measurement of routine laboratory data: a) a model combining platelets, gamma-glutamil-transpeptidase, cholesterol and age (Forns model), and b) a model using an aspartate-aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI). Our study was aimed to compare both non-invasive methods to predict mild fibrosis (F0-F1) or to confirm advanced fibrosis (F3, F4) in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

We included 199 patients with chronic hepatitis. The average age (standard deviation) was 41 (11) years (16-66), and there were 117 men and 82 women. We found a genotype 1 in 108 patients (54.2%), 45 had a non-1 genotype (22.6%), and 46 (23.1%) had an unknown genotype. Mild fibrosis stage (F0-F1) was found in 96 patients, F2 in 52 and advanced fibrosis (F3-F4) in 51 patients. We calculated the APRI and the Forns's index.

RESULTS

Patients infected with genotype 1 were older (44 [11] vs 36 [4.3] years; p = 0.001), presented higher levels of cholesterol (179 [40] vs 160 [42] mg/dl; p = 0.05) and lower levels of alanine-aminotransferase (112 [86] vs 169 [87] IU/l; p = 0.03). The Forns's model predicted mild fibrosis (F0-F1) in 71.4% while the APRI model did it in 72.7%. The Forns's model confirmed advanced fibrosis in 78.6% against 54.2% from the APRI one. The predictive capacity in both models increased when analyzing patients with the genotype 1. Moreover, the predictive capacity of advanced fibrosis or exclusion of significant fibrosis reached more than 90% when both models were used together in patients with a genotype 1.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-invasive methods for the prediction of liver fibrosis can be very useful in clinical practice, mainly in patients with genotype 1 when the two methods are used together.

The importance of aminotransferases and platelets count in non-invasive evaluation stages of chronic hepatitis C

143 patients with chronic hepatitis C were investigated. The following two parameters were determined: the asparate to alanine aminotransferase ratio and the asparate aminotransferase to platelets count index. A liver biopsy was performed for every patient and stages of liver fibrosis were evaluated. Both parameters confirmed a positive correlation with liver fibrosis, which can be useful in predicting the progression of chronic hepatitis C.

Hepatitis C Infection: A Clinical Review

Nearly three million persons in the United States are viremic with hepatitis C (HCV). Despite a decreasing incidence of HCV in this country, the prevalence of HCV-related chronic liver disease is increasing. Most infections in the United States are acquired by intravenous drug use. The chronicity rate of HCV is high, reaching 85% in some populations, and the risk of progression to advanced liver disease is as high as 20% within twenty years of infection. Host factors like alcohol use accelerate the rate of progression. The enzyme immunoassay is the preferred initial test for diagnosis; the third generation assay has greater than a 99% specificity in immunocompetent patients. Barring contraindications, the standard of care for treatment of chronic HCV has become pegylated interferon and ribavirin. With this therapy, the cure rate for treatment-naïve patients is about 55%, but rates are higher in certain groups. Common side effects of therapy include neuropsychiatric symptoms, influenza-like symptoms and hematological abnormalities.

A simple noninvasive index can predict both significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Information on the stage of liver fibrosis is essential in managing chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients. However, most models for predicting liver fibrosis are complicated and separate formulas are needed to predict significant fibrosis and cirrhosis. The aim of our study was to construct one simple model consisting of routine laboratory data to predict both significant fibrosis and cirrhosis among patients with CHC. Consecutive treatment-naive CHC patients who underwent liver biopsy over a 25-month period were divided into 2 sequential cohorts: training set (n = 192) and validation set (n = 78). The best model for predicting both significant fibrosis (Ishak score > or = 3) and cirrhosis in the training set included platelets, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and alkaline phosphatase with an area under ROC curves (AUC) of 0.82 and 0.92, respectively. A novel index, AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), was developed to amplify the opposing effects of liver fibrosis on AST and platelet count. The AUC of APRI for predicting significant fibrosis and cirrhosis were 0.80 and 0.89, respectively, in the training set. Using optimized cut-off values, significant fibrosis could be predicted accurately in 51% and cirrhosis in 81% of patients. The AUC of APRI for predicting significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in the validation set were 0.88 and 0.94, respectively. In conclusion, our study showed that a simple index using readily available laboratory results can identify CHC patients with significant fibrosis and cirrhosis with a high degree of accuracy. Application of this index may decrease the need for staging liver biopsy specimens among CHC patients.

Evaluation of hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus-infected renal allograft recipients with liver biopsy and noninvasive parameters

BACKGROUND

Patients with end-stage renal disease are at high risk for hepatitis B (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Because therapy indication for viral hepatitis depends on virologic, biochemical, and histologic criteria, liver biopsy usually is necessary. Recently, a panel of serum fibrosis markers has been postulated to allow quantification of liver fibrosis by noninvasive means.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of all hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)- and anti-HCV-positive renal allograft recipients among 900 renal allograft recipients regularly controlled in the authors' outpatient nephrology service was performed. The correlation between histologic, biochemical, and virologic parameters was assessed with an emphasis on the fibrosis marker hyaluronate in this immunosuppressed population.

RESULTS

Twenty-two HBsAg- and 62 anti-HCV-positive patients were analyzed. Based on polymerase chain reaction results, 86% of anti-HCV-positive and 95% of HBsAg-positive patients had actively replicating infection. In 41 of 67 (61%) patients with replicating disease, liver biopsy was performed, and the association of various biochemical parameters with the histologic scores for necroinflammation and fibrosis was investigated. Less than 10% of these patients had advanced fibrosis, although the mean time of infection was more than 15 years. We found no correlation of any of the serum parameters (including hyaluronate) with histologic activity of liver disease except for the peak glutamate-oxalacetate transaminase value recorded during the entire posttransplant period.

CONCLUSION

Liver biopsy remains the gold standard for evaluation of liver disease and therapy decision in immunosuppressed renal allograft recipients.

Feasibility of histological grading and staging of chronic viral hepatitis using specimens obtained by thin-needle biopsy

We performed a retrospective study to investigate the feasibility of grading and staging of chronic viral hepatitis on specimens obtained by means of thin-needle biopsy (TNB; 20G) using the modified Ishak-system (J Hepatol 1995; 22:696-699). Specimens obtained using large-needle biopsy (LNB; 17G) served as a control. A total of 100 biopsy specimens from 88 patients were included in the study. Of the patients, 30 suffered from chronic hepatitis B, 54 from chronic hepatitis C, and 4 from both; 59 specimens were obtained by TNB and 41 by LNB. All four categories of the Ishak-system, i.e., interface hepatitis, confluent necrosis, lobular inflammation and portal inflammation, could be applied to TNB specimens and provided similar total scores to those observed in LNB specimens. Specimens obtained by TNB facilitated the diagnosis of liver cirrhosis. However, they bore the risk of underestimating the presence of cirrhosis in favor of advanced bridging fibrosis, whereas no differences were found in the overall recognition of liver fibrosis. Intra- and interobserver variabilities were not affected by the needle size. For the interobserver agreement, the kappa values for the category of inflammation ranged from 0.003 to 0.419 (TNB) and 0.096 to 0.470 (LNB) and for staging we noted kappa values of 0.351 (TNB) and 0.456 (LNB). Reproducibility increased when a tolerance of +/-1 was accepted for grading (total score) and staging; in this case, observer variability was less than 20%. This study showed that grading and staging of chronic viral hepatitis is feasible in TNB specimens and that intra- and interobserver variability poses a greater problem than needle size.

The role of liver biopsy in chronic hepatitis C

The report of the 1997 National Institutes of Health Consensus Development Conference on hepatitis C endorsed pretreatment liver biopsy. We revisit the following questions: Does liver histology help determine the urgency of, and predict the likelihood of response to, antiviral therapy, and can surrogate markers supplant histological assessment? Because the rate of progression of chronic hepatitis C is influenced by baseline histological grade/stage, patients can be stratified into those with moderate to severe hepatitis, who merit imminent therapy, and those with mild hepatitis, in whom therapy can be postponed until more effective/tolerable treatments become available. Less advanced baseline histology has been shown to be an independent predictor of responsiveness to antiviral therapy. Although the predictive value of biopsy is insufficient to withhold therapy from patients with advanced fibrosis, baseline biopsy helps gauge expectations for the outcome of therapy. Reports have been published recently suggesting that laboratory markers can predict distinctions between low-grade fibrosis and therapy-indicating septal fibrosis/cirrhosis. These indices, however, are insufficiently reliable to predict histological distinctions in populations with varying prevalences of fibrosis/cirrhosis or to provide anything more than broad qualitative distinctions, far short of the potential information in a liver biopsy. For most patients, the value of pretreatment liver biopsy outweighs its risks, provides information about the urgency of treatment, and should be retained. Studies to identify noninvasive laboratory markers of histological activity and stage, especially genetic predictors of accelerated disease progression, command a high priority.

The 1-year and 3-month prognostic utility of the AST/ALT ratio and model for end-stage liver disease score in patients with viral liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVES

The AST/ALT ratio has shown good diagnostic accuracy in patients with chronic viral liver disease. However, its prognostic utility has never been tested. Recently, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) has been proposed as a simple and effective tool to predict survival in patients with liver cirrhosis. The aims of this study were to assess the 3-month and 1-yr prognostic ability of the AST/ALT ratio in a series of patients with virus-related liver cirrhosis, and to evaluate the relationship between the AST/ALT ratio and the MELD score and to compare their prognostic ability.

METHODS

The AST/ALT ratios and MELD scores of 99 patients with liver cirrhosis of viral etiology (73 patients with hepatitis C virus and 26 with hepatitis B virus) who had been followed-up for at least 1 yr were retrospectively calculated and correlated with the patients' 3-month and 1-yr prognosis. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine the AST/ALT ratio and the MELD score cut-offs with the best sensitivity (SS) and specificity (SP) in discriminating between patients who survived and those who died. Univariate survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method using the cut-offs identified by means of receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

AST/ALT ratios and MELD scores showed a significant correlation (r(s) = 0.503, p = 0.0001). In all, 8% and 30% of the patients had died after 3 months and 1 yr of follow-up, respectively. AST/ALT ratios and MELD scores were significantly higher among the patients who died during both 3-month and 1-yr follow-up. An AST/ALT ratio cut-off of 1.17 had 87% SS and 52% SP, whereas a MELD cut-off of 9 had 57% SS and 74% SP in discriminating between patients who survived and those who died after I yr. The combined assessment of the AST/ALT ratio and/or MELD score had 90% SS and 78% SP. Survival curves of the patients showed that both parameters clearly discriminated between patients who survived and those who died in the short term (AST/ALT ratio, p = 0.0094; MELD score, p = 0.0089) as well as in the long term (AST/ALT ratio, p < 0.0005; MELD score, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with virus-related cirrhosis, the AST/ALT ratio has prognostic capability that is not significantly different from that of an established prognostic score such as MELD. Combined assessment of the two parameters increases the medium-term prognostic accuracy.

The role of liver biopsy in chronic hepatitis C

The report of the 1997 National Institutes of Health Consensus Development Conference on hepatitis C endorsed pretreatment liver biopsy. We revisit the following questions: Does liver histology help determine the urgency of, and predict the likelihood of response to, antiviral therapy, and can surrogate markers supplant histological assessment? Because the rate of progression of chronic hepatitis C is influenced by baseline histological grade/stage, patients can be stratified into those with moderate to severe hepatitis, who merit imminent therapy, and those with mild hepatitis, in whom therapy can be postponed until more effective/tolerable treatments become available. Less advanced baseline histology has been shown to be an independent predictor of responsiveness to antiviral therapy. Although the predictive value of biopsy is insufficient to withhold therapy from patients with advanced fibrosis, baseline biopsy helps gauge expectations for the outcome of therapy. Reports have been published recently suggesting that laboratory markers can predict distinctions between low-grade fibrosis and therapy-indicating septal fibrosis/cirrhosis. These indices, however, are insufficiently reliable to predict histological distinctions in populations with varying prevalences of fibrosis/cirrhosis or to provide anything more than broad qualitative distinctions, far short of the potential information in a liver biopsy. For most patients, the value of pretreatment liver biopsy outweighs its risks, provides information about the urgency of treatment, and should be retained. Studies to identify noninvasive laboratory markers of histological activity and stage, especially genetic predictors of accelerated disease progression, command a high priority.

Development and validation of a model to diagnose cirrhosis in patients with hepatitis C

OBJECTIVE

Although noninvasive markers predictive of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C have been examined, none has proved sufficiently accurate for clinical use. The aim of this study was to develop an accurate model that can be easily used by clinicians to predict the probability of cirrhosis in hepatitis C patients from readily available clinical and laboratory information.

METHODS

We identified 264 consecutive patients with established chronic hepatitis C infection and extracted multiple physical examination and biochemical variables (recorded before liver biopsy). Similar data were extracted from charts at another hospital.

RESULTS

Logistic regression identified the following independent predictors of cirrhosis: platelet count < or = 140,000/ mm3, spider nevi, AST > 40 IU/L, and male gender. Male and female patients with normal values for platelet count and AST and no spider nevi had low probabilities of cirrhosis: 1.8% (95% CI = 0.4-7) and 0.03% (95% CI = 0.003-0.04), respectively. Male patients with abnormal values on all three other predictors had a probability of cirrhosis of 99.8% (95% CI = 98.7-100). Over 48% of study patients had a low (< or = 1.8%) or a very high (> or = 99.8%) predicted probability of cirrhosis. The model had area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.938 (95% CI = 0.91-0.97) and 93.4% in an internal validation. The model accurately distinguished patients with and without cirrhosis (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 93.3%) in 102 hepatitis C patients from another hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with hepatitis C, four readily available variables together predict cirrhosis accurately. Successful validation in hepatitis C patients at another hospital with lower prevalence of cirrhosis suggests this model's potential for broad applicability.

Serum aminotransferase levels and platelet counts as predictors of degree of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C virus infection

OBJECTIVE

In patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, liver fibrosis stage is a prognostic factor for therapy outcome. So far, a liver biopsy is necessary to determine disease stage accurately. We sought to develop a simple, noninvasive method of accurately predicting the degree of liver fibrosis in chronic HCV infection.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 211 consecutive patients with chronic HCV, who received a liver biopsy at the Liver Center of the University of California, San Diego. A total of 58 of these patients had a positive history of alcohol abuse, and we analyzed them separately in a sensitivity analysis. AST/ALT ratio and platelet counts were determined in all patients. Fibrosis was staged using the METAVIR score.

RESULTS

Both AST/ALT ratio and platelet counts correlated significantly with the disease stage (r = 0.190, p = 0.006, and r = -0.543, p < 0.00, respectively). In a sensitivity analysis, there was no correlation between AST/ALT ratio and disease stage for patients with a history of alcohol abuse. For patients without history of alcohol abuse, the correlation between disease stage, AST/ALT ratio, and platelet counts was r = 0.297, p < 0.00, and r = 0.560, p < 0.00, respectively. In these patients, AST/ALT ratio > or =1 in combination with a platelet count of <150,000/mm3 can identify patients with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis (stages 3 and 4) with a positive predictive value of 93.1%. Sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value were 41.2%, 99.1%, and 85.0%, respectively. In patients with ALT/AST ratio of <1 or platelet counts of >150,000/mm3, these laboratory parameters cannot predict liver fibrosis stage.

CONCLUSION

AST/ALT ratio in combination with platelet counts may obviate a liver biopsy for fibrosis staging in some patients with chronic HCV infection.

Historical features are poor predictors of liver fibrosis in Canadian patients with chronic hepatitis C

The progression of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C infection (HCV) is related to host factors including age, gender and alcohol consumption. Due to the morbidity and potential mortality of liver biopsy, a noninvasive method of assessing hepatic fibrosis is needed. The aim of this study was to assess the utility of historical features in predicting fibrosis using published rates of fibrosis progression. The charts of 239 untreated patients with HCV were reviewed; patients who had a liver biopsy and whose duration of infection could be estimated (n=106) were categorized according to gender, age at infection (< or = or > 40 years) and peak alcohol consumption (< or > or = 50 g/day). Estimates of fibrosis were calculated using the product of the interval between infection and biopsy and published rates of fibrosis progression. Estimates were compared with liver biopsies staged according to the Metavir system (F0-F4; F0=no fibrosis; F4= cirrhosis). The mean age of patients was 42 +/- 8 years, 61% were male and 36% consumed > 50 g of alcohol daily. The mean duration of infection was 19 +/- 9 years (range, 1-40) and ALT was elevated > 1.5 times upper normal in 63%. When patients were classified into those with mild (F0-F2) and severe (F3-F4) fibrosis, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of an estimate of mild fibrosis was 60%, 55%, 78% and 34%, respectively. An estimate of severe fibrosis had a sensitivity of 55%, specificity of 60%, positive predictive value of 34% and negative predictive value of 78%. Agreement between fibrosis estimates and actual histological stages was poor (kappa = 0.13, P=0.08). The prediction of hepatic fibrosis in HCV infection using historical features and published rates of fibrosis progression is poor in a Canadian clinical practice setting. Alternate noninvasive methods of predicting hepatic fibrosis are needed.

Need for validation of clinical decision aids: use of the AST/ALT ratio in predicting cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C

OBJECTIVE

A value of > or = 1 for the ratio of aspartate amino-transferase to alanine aminotransferase (the AST/ALT ratio or AAR) has been shown to have a positive predictive value of 100% for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. If validated on separate cohorts, an AAR > or = 1 might obviate the need for liver biopsy in some patients with hepatitis C.

METHODS

We attempted to validate the AAR by abstracting demographic and clinical data from a database of consecutive patients with hepatitis C who had a liver biopsy between 1993 and 1998. We used definitions, methods of data collection, and analyses comparable to those of the published study. A hepatopathologist blindly reviewed 49 liver biopsies for histological grade and stage.

RESULTS

The current cohort of 177 patients and the previous cohort of 139 patients were comparable in mean age (42.3 vs 43.8 yr), percentage of men (63 vs 67), percentage with an AAR > or =1 (20 vs 17), and Child-Pugh distribution, but differed in substantial use of ethanol (11% vs 3.6%; p = 0.01) and in the prevalence of cirrhosis (23% vs 34%, p = 0.06). Respective sensitivities of the AAR were 56% and 53%. An AAR > or =1 had a positive predictive value of 64% (95% confidence interval 48-78%) for the current cohort. Thirteen of 36 patients (36%) with an AAR > or =1 were incorrectly identified as having cirrhosis. Of these 13 patients, 6 had a normal AST and ALT, 5 had a minimally elevated AST or ALT, and 1 had advanced fibrosis without cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that an AAR > or =1 may not be as useful for predicting cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C as previously thought, and emphasizes the need for validation of clinical decision aids on independent patient cohorts.

Abnormal findings on liver function tests. Interpreting results to narrow the diagnosis and establish a prognosis

Evaluating abnormal liver test results requires careful attention to the corresponding clinical data obtained during history taking and physical examination. Generally, it is helpful to separate liver tests into three categories: tests that assess synthetic function, tests that assess hepatocellular necrosis (hepatocellular enzymes), and tests that assess cholestasis. The clinical setting together with the specific pattern of liver function abnormalities can narrow differential diagnosis and provide a cost-effective approach to assessing patients and identifying those who need liver biopsy.