The significant survival advantage of female sex in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a propensity-matched analysis

Global burdens of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in children and young adults and predictions to 2040

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the epidemiological trend for nasopharyngeal carcinoma among children and young adults and the disease burden they caused.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. A comprehensive analysis was performed, with age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). And decomposition and frontier analyses were done. Future trends were predicted using Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

RESULTS

Globally, there were decreases in the ASIR (EAPC -0.175, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: -0.352 to 0.002), ASMR (EAPC -2.681, 95 % CI: -2.937 to -2.424), and age-standardized DALYs rates (EAPC -2.643, 95 % CI: -2.895 to -2.391). However, the ASIR for males in global (EAPC 0.454, 95 % CI: 0.302 to 0.606), Asia (EAPC 0.782, 95 % CI: 0.610 to 0.954) and America (EAPC 0.448, 95 % CI: 0.379 to 0.517), as well as females in European (EAPC 0.595, 95 % CI: 0.479 to 0.712) and American (EAPC 0.369, 95 % CI: 0.324 to 0.415), showed an increasing trend. The future ASIR per 100,000 will likely show a slight upward trend in 2020 to 2040 (increased from 0.254 to 0.284), particularly among females (increased from 0.177 to 0.206), and a continued decline in ASMR for both sexes (decreased from 0.070 to 0.061).

CONCLUSIONS

Globally, NPC in children and young adults remains a major public health issue, with the global distribution and magnitude of the burden varies markedly, highlighting the need to formulate regional and population-based policies for primary prevention.

A Joint Model Based on Post-Treatment Longitudinal Prognostic Nutritional Index to Predict Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

a low PNI in patients with NPC is linked to poor survival, but prior studies have focused on single-timepoint measurements. Our study aims to employ joint modeling to analyze longitudinal PNI data from each routine visit, exploring its relationship with overall survival.

METHODS

In this retrospective study using data from the Chang Gung Research Database (2007-2019), we enrolled patients with NPC undergoing curative treatment. We analyzed the correlation between patient characteristics, including the PNI, and overall survival. A joint model combining a longitudinal sub-model with a time-to-event sub-model was used to further evaluate the prognostic value of longitudinal PNI.

RESULTS

A total of 2332 patient were enrolled for the analysis. Separate survival analyses showed that longitudinal PNI was an independent indicator of a reduced mortality risk (adjusted HR 0.813; 95% CI, 0.805 to 0.821). Joint modeling confirmed longitudinal PNI as a consistent predictor of survival (HR 0.864; 95% CI, 0.850 to 0.879). An ROC analysis revealed that a PNI below 38.1 significantly increased the risk of 90-day mortality, with 90.0% sensitivity and 89.6% specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal PNI data independently predicted the overall survival in patients with NPC, significantly forecasting 90-day survival outcomes. We recommend routine PNI assessments during each clinic visit for these patients.

Impact of sex on treatment-related adverse effects and prognosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC), women have a lower incidence and mortality rate than men. Whether sex influences the prognosis of NPC patients remains debatable. We retrospectively examined the influence of sex on treatment-related side effects and prognosis in NPC.

METHODS

Clinical data of 1,462 patients with NPC treated at the Southern Hospital of Southern Medical University from January 2004 to December 2015 were retrospectively examined. Statistical analysis was performed to assess differences in overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), local recurrence-free survival(LRFS), and progression-free survival(PFS), as well as treatment-related adverse effects, including myelosuppression, gastrointestinal responses, and radiation pharyngitis and dermatitis, between men and women.

RESULTS

Women had better 5-year OS (81.5% vs. 87.1%, P = 0.032) and DMFS (76.2% vs. 83.9%, P = 0.004) than men. Analysis by age showed that the prognoses of premenopausal and menopausal women were better than those of men, whereas prognoses of postmenopausal women and men were not significantly different. Additionally, women had a better prognosis when stratified by treatment regimen. Furthermore, chemotherapy-related adverse effects were more severe in women than in men; however, the incidences of radiation laryngitis and dermatitis were not significantly different between the sexes. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the female sex was an independent risk factor for severe myelosuppression and gastrointestinal reactions.

CONCLUSIONS

Chemotherapy-related side effects are more severe but the overall prognosis is better in women with NPC than in men with NPC. Patients may benefit from a personalized treatment approach for NPC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Nanfang Hospital of the Southern Medical University (NFEC-201,710-K3).

Nasopharyngeal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in 185 Countries in 2020 and the Projected Burden in 2040: Population-Based Global Epidemiological Profiling

BACKGROUND

Nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) is one of the most common head and neck cancers.

OBJECTIVE

This study describes the global epidemiological profiles of NPC incidence and mortality in 185 countries in 2020 and the projected burden in 2040.

METHODS

The estimated numbers of NPC cases and deaths were retrieved from the GLOBOCAN 2020 data set. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were calculated using the world standard. The future number of NPC cases and deaths by 2040 were estimated based on global demographic projections.

RESULTS

Globally, approximately 133,354 cases and 80,008 deaths from NPC were estimated in 2020 corresponding to ASIRs and ASMRs of 1.5 and 0.9 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The largest numbers of both global cases and deaths from NPC occurred in Eastern Asia (65,866/133,354, 49.39% and 36,453/80,008, 45.56%, respectively), in which China contributed most to this burden (62,444/133,354, 46.82% and 34,810/80,008, 43.50%, respectively). The ASIRs and ASMRs in men were approximately 3-fold higher than those in women. Incidence rates varied across world regions, with the highest ASIRs for both men and women detected in South-Eastern Asia (7.7 and 2.5 per 100,000 person-years, respectively) and Eastern Asia (3.9 and 1.5 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). The highest ASMRs for both men and women were found in South-Eastern Asia (5.4 and 1.5 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). By 2040, the annual number of cases and deaths will increase to 179,476 (46,122/133,354, a 34.58% increase from the year 2020) and 113,851 (33,843/80,008, a 42.29% increase), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Disparities in NPC incidence and mortality persist worldwide. Our study highlights the urgent need to develop and accelerate NPC control initiatives to tackle the NPC burden in certain regions and countries (eg, South-Eastern Asia, China).

Sex and gender perspectives in colorectal cancer

Historically women were frequently excluded from clinical trials and drug usage to protect unborn babies from potential harm. As a consequence, the impact of sex and gender on both tumour biology and clinical outcomes has been largely underestimated. Although interrelated and often used interchangeably, sex and gender are not equivalent concepts. Sex is a biological attribute that defines species according to their chromosomal makeup and reproductive organ, while gender refers to a chosen sexual identity. Sex dimorphisms are rarely taken into account, in either preclinical or clinical research, with inadequate analysis of differences in outcomes according to sex or gender still widespread, reflecting a gap in our knowledge for a large proportion of the target population. Underestimation of sex-based differences in study design and analyses has invariably led to 'one-drug' treatment regimens for both males and females. For patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), sex also has an impact on the disease incidence, clinicopathological features, therapeutic outcomes, and tolerability to anticancer treatments. Although the global incidence of CRC is higher in male subjects, the proportion of patients presenting right-sided tumours and BRAF mutations is higher among females. Concerning sex-related differences in treatment efficacy and toxicity, drug dosage does not take into account sex-specific differences in pharmacokinetics. Toxicity associated with fluoropyrimidines, targeted therapies, and immunotherapies has been reported to be more extensive for females with CRC than for males, although evidence about differences in efficacy is more controversial. This article aims to provide an overview of the research achieved so far into sex and gender differences in cancer and summarize the growing body of literature illustrating the sex and gender perspective in CRC and their impact in relation to tumour biology and treatment efficacy and toxicity. We propose endorsing research on how biological sex and gender influence CRC as an added value for precision oncology.

Androgen Signaling Contributes to Sex Differences in Cancer by Inhibiting NF-κB Activation in T Cells and Suppressing Antitumor Immunity

Sex is known to be an important factor in the incidence, progression, and outcome of cancer. A better understanding of the underlying mechanisms could help improve cancer prevention and treatment. Here, we demonstrated a crucial role of antitumor immunity in the sex differences in cancer. Consistent with observations in human cancers, male mice showed accelerated tumor progression compared with females, but these differences were not observed in immunodeficient mice. Androgen signaling suppressed T-cell immunity against cancer in males. Mechanistically, androgen-activated androgen receptor upregulated expression of USP18, which inhibited TAK1 phosphorylation and the subsequent activation of NF-κB in antitumor T cells. Reduction of testosterone synthesis by surgical castration or using the small-molecular inhibitor abiraterone significantly enhanced the antitumor activity of T cells in male mice and improved the efficacy of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. Together, this study revealed a novel mechanism contributing to sex differences in cancer. These results indicate that inhibition of androgen signaling is a promising approach to improve the efficacy of immunotherapy in males.

SIGNIFICANCE

Androgen signaling induces immunosuppression in cancer by blocking T-cell activity through upregulation of USP18 and subsequent inhibition of NF-κB activity, providing a targetable axis to improve antitumor immunity in males.

Prognostic models for early and late tumor progression prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: An analysis of 8292 endemic cases

OBJECTIVES

The time for posttreatment tumor progression differs between nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Herein, we established effective nomograms for predicting early tumor progression (ETP) and late tumor progression (LTP) in NPC patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 8292 NPC patients (training cohort: n = 6219; validation cohort: n = 2073). The ELP and LTP were defined as the time to tumor progression ≤24 and >24 months after treatment, respectively.

RESULTS

The ETP and LTP accounted for 52.6 and 47.4% of the total patient cohort, respectively. Patients who developed ETP had markedly worse overall survival (OS) versus patients who suffered from LTP (5-year OS: 26.2% vs. 59.7%, p < 0.001). Further, we identified 10/6 predictive factors significantly associated with ETP/LTP via logistic regression analyses. These indicators were used separately to construct two predictive nomograms for ETP and LTP. In the training group, the ETP nomogram [Harrell Concordance Index (C-index) value: 0.711 vs. 0.618; p < 0.001] and LTP nomogram (C-index value: 0.701 vs. 0.612; p < 0.001) were significantly superior for risk stratification than the TNM staging. These results were supported in the validation group with a C-index value of 0.753 and 0.738 for the ETP and LTP nomograms, respectively. High-risk patients defined by ETP/LTP nomograms had shorter progression-free survival than low-risk patients (all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The established nomograms can help in ELP or LTP risk stratification for NPC patients. Our current results might also provide insights into individualized treatment decisions and designing surveillance strategies for NPC patients.

Development and validation of an MRI-based radiomic model for predicting overall survival in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with local residual tumors after intensity-modulated radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

To investigate the potential value of the pretreatment MRI-based radiomic model in predicting the overall survival (OS) of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with local residual tumors after intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

METHODS

A total of 218 consecutive nonmetastatic NPC patients with local residual tumors after IMRT [training cohort (n = 173) and validation cohort (n = 45)] were retrospectively included in this study. Clinical and MRI data were obtained. Univariate Cox regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to select the radiomic features from pretreatment MRI. The clinical, radiomic, and combined models for predicting OS were constructed. The models' performances were evaluated using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The C-index of the radiomic model was higher than that of the clinical model, with the C-index of 0.788 (95% CI 0.724-0.852) versus 0.672 (95% CI 0.599-0.745) in the training cohort and 0.753 (95% CI 0.604-0.902) versus 0.634 (95% CI 0.593-0.675) in the validation cohort. Calibration curves showed good agreement between the radiomic model-predicted probability of 2- and 3-year OS and the actual observed probability in the training and validation groups. Decision curve analysis showed that the radiomic model had higher clinical usefulness than the clinical model. The discrimination of the combined model improved significantly in the training cohort (P < 0.01) but not in the validation cohort, with the C-index of 0.834 and 0.734, respectively. The radiomic model divided patients into high- and low-risk groups with a significant difference in OS in both the training and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Pretreatment MRI-based radiomic model may improve OS prediction in NPC patients with local residual tumors after IMRT and may assist in clinical decision-making.

Platinum Plus Tegafur-Uracil versus Platinum Alone during Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Nonmetastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Propensity-Score-Matching Analysis

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with a cisplatin-based regimen is the standard treatment for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Our study was a propensity-score-matching analysis and it aimed to investigate the oncologic outcomes of platinum plus tegafur−uracil versus platinum alone during CCRT in patient with nonmetastatic NPC. Patients with pathologic confirmed NPC in 2018−2022 were reviewed. Patients treated with platinum plus tegafur−uracil (CCRT-UP) or platinum alone (CCRT-P) during CCRT were recruited into this study. A propensity-score-matching analysis was conducted to diminish the selection bias. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were presented with Kaplan−Meier curves. The treatment-related adverse effects (AEs) were recorded according to the National Cancer Institute’s Common Terminology Criteria V3.0. A total of 44 patients with CCRT-UP and 44 patients with CCRT-P were identified after propensity score matching. The median RFS was not reached (NR) in the CCRT-UP group, and it was 12.5 months in the CCRT-P group (p < 0.001). The median OS was NR in the CCRT-UP group, and it was 15.9 months in the CCRT-P group (p < 0.001). The overall response rate and disease-control rate were insignificant between the CCRT-UP and CCRT-P groups. A subgroup analysis showed that the median OS was significantly longer in the CCRT-UP group than in the CCRT-P group, regardless of the clinical stage. A multivariate analysis exhibited that CCRT-UP was independently correlated with survival. The grade 3−4 AEs were insignificant between the CCRT-UP and CCRT-P arms. CCRT-UP had better RFS and OS in nonmetastatic NPC patients with similar toxic profiles. Further larger-scaled prospective randomized control trials are warranted to validate our conclusions.

Mortality-to-Incidence Ratio for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Is Associated with Health Expenditure

Geographic and gender-specific disparity can be observed in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). While screening and more effective therapies, such as induction chemotherapy, could improve survival rates, they are costly. This study aims to explore the correlation between healthcare expenditure and the mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) in NPC. Data were obtained from the World Health Organization and the Global Cancer Observatory. The correlation was evaluated by Spearman's rank correlation coefficient. Most new cases and deaths occur in Asia, and more males are affected than females. Our study shows that countries with higher MIRs have lower levels of health expenditure regardless of the NPC's gender-specific incidence. Correspondingly, MIRs are all significantly negatively associated with current health expenditure (CHE) per capita and CHE as a percentage of gross domestic product (CHE/GDP) in both genders. CHE per capita and CHE/GDP have a significant impact on NPC outcomes. Moreover, economic status is a potential major factor in MIR differences between countries.

Sex differences in cancer incidence and mortality among patients managed at King Hussein Cancer Center

We investigated if female survival advantage trends in cancer are consistent within Jordanian patients with cancer across different age groups and non-sex specific cancer types. We explored the King Hussein Cancer Center registry for primary malignant tumors from 2006 to 2019. The registry (n = 16,454) was stratified into three groups based on age: children (<15 years), adolescents and young adults (AYA) (modified; 15 - 49 years), and older adults (≥50 years). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the 5-year all-site cancer-specific survival probabilities, which were compared using the log-rank test by sex and age group. Out of 16,454 eligible records, 2286 (13.9%) were children, 5975 (36.3%) were AYAs, and 8193 (49.8%) were older adults. Males outnumbered females 10,339 (62.8%) to 6115 (37.2%). The 5-year OS rates were 74.0% (71.6%-76.4%) and 72.7% (69.9%-75.5%) for pediatric males and females, respectively, 57.3% (55.6%-59.0%) and 64.5% (62.6%-66.4%) for male and female AYAs, respectively, and 37.5% (36.2%-38.9%) and 44.2% (42.3%-46.2%) for older adult males and females, respectively. Females demonstrated significantly better overall survival in the AYA and older adults' groups. In conclusion, females exhibit a survival advantage in terms of non-sex specific cancers. This advantage peaks at the AYA age stratum and mitigates thereafter. Further studies are warranted to examine the etiological factors behind such discrepancy on a site-by-site basis so that sex-specific interventions can be designed and validated. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Sex Differences in the Prevalence of Head and Neck Cancers: A 10-Year Follow-Up Study of 10 Million Healthy People

Background: Descriptive epidemiologists have repeatedly reported that males are more susceptible to head and neck cancers. However, most published data are those of cross-sectional studies, and no population-based cohort study has yet been published. The aim of this study was to compare the prevalence of head and neck cancers in healthy males with females. Methods: A retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database on 9,598,085 individuals who underwent regular health checkups from 1 January to 31 December 2009. We sought head and neck cancers developed during the 10-year follow-up. Results: A total of 10,732 (incidence rate (IR) per 1000 person-years 0.25) individuals were newly diagnosed with head and neck cancer among the 9,598,085 individuals during the 10-year follow-up. The IR was 0.19 in males (8500 affected) and 0.06 in females (2232 affected). Notably, the male−female ratio increased with age below 70 years but decreased thereafter. The male−female difference was most apparent for laryngeal cancer; the male IR was 11-fold higher in the 40 s and 20-fold higher in the 60 s, followed by hypopharyngeal cancer (6.8- and 24.2-fold). Males smoked more and drank more alcohol than females (p < 0.0001 *, p < 0.0001 *). When never-smokers/-drinkers (only) were compared, males remained at a 2.9-fold higher risk of head and neck cancer than females. The hazard ratios for head and neck cancers in males tended to increase in the lower part of the upper aerodigestive tract: larynx (13.9) > hypopharynx (10.9) > oropharynx (4.4) > nasopharynx (2.9) > sinonasal region (1.8) > oral (1.6). Only the salivary gland cancer incidence did not differ between the sexes; the gland is not in the upper aerodigestive tract. Conclusion: Males are much more susceptible to head and neck cancers than females regardless of whether they drink alcohol or smoke tobacco. Sex differences in the incidence of head and neck cancer are most evident in the 60 s in the lower part of the upper aerodigestive tract, such as the larynx and hypopharynx.

Health Insurance Coverage and Survival Outcomes among Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients: A SEER Retrospective Analysis

Objectives Insurance coverage plays a critical role in head and neck cancer care. This retrospective study examines how insurance coverage affects nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) survival in the United States using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program database.

Design, Setting, and Participants A total of 2,278 patients aged 20 to 64 years according to the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O) codes C11.0–C11.9 and ICD-O histology codes 8070–8078 and 8080–8083 between 2007 and 2016 were included and grouped into privately insured, Medicaid, and uninsured groups. Log-rank test and multivariable Cox's proportional hazard model were performed.

Main Outcome Measures Tumor stage, age, sex, race, marital status, disease stage, year of diagnosis, median household county income, and disease-specific survival outcomes including cause of death were analyzed.

Results Across all tumor stages, privately insured patients had a 59.0% lower mortality risk than uninsured patients (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.410, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [0.320, 0.526], p < 0.01). Medicaid patients were also estimated to have 19.0% lower mortality than uninsured patients (HR: 0.810, 95% CI: [0.626, 1.048], p = 0.108). Privately insured patients with regional and distant NPC had significantly better survival outcomes compared with uninsured individuals. Localized tumors did not show any association between survival and type of insurance coverage.

Conclusion Privately insured individuals had significantly better survival outcomes than uninsured or Medicaid patients, a trend that was preserved after accounting for tumor grade, demographic and clinicopathologic factors. These results underscore the difference in survival outcomes when comparing privately insured to Medicaid/uninsured populations and warrant further investigation in efforts for health care reform.

A panel of three serum microRNA can be used as potential diagnostic biomarkers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is cancer with unique epidemiological characteristics, showing obvious ethnicity, gender, and geographical prevalence. More and more evidence shows that microRNAs are stable in serum and are specific to different tumor types. Therefore, miRNA is a new non-invasive biomarker for cancer detection.

METHODS

The experiment is divided into three stages, namely, the screening stage, the training stage, and the verification stage. We took 54 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 108 healthy controls as the research objects. We use the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC curve (AUC) to evaluate the diagnostic value of miRNA. Finally, a three-miRNA panel with high diagnostic efficiency was constructed. In addition, we conducted biological information analysis of these miRNAs to explore their functions.

RESULTS

In NPC patients, the expression of five serum miRNAs (miR-29c-3p, miR-143-5p, miR-150-5p, miR-145-3p, and miR-205-5p) is significantly dysregulated. Among them, the diagnostic value of these three miRNAs (miR-29c-3p, AUC = 0.702; miR-143-5p, AUC = 0.733; and miR-205-5p, AUC = 787) is more prominent. The diagnostic panel constructed by them has a higher diagnostic value (AUC = 0.902). Through the analysis of the TCGA data set, the target gene of the three-miRNA panel may be KLF7, NRG1, SH3BGRL2, and SYNPO2.

CONCLUSION

The three-miRNA panel (miR-29c-3p, miR-143-5p, and miR-205-5p) may become a novel non-invasive biological marker for nasopharyngeal cancer screening.

MRI-Based Back Propagation Neural Network Model as a Powerful Tool for Predicting the Response to Induction Chemotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pretreatment individualized assessment of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (ICT) is a need in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). Imaging method plays vital role in tumor response assessment. However, powerful imaging method for ICT response prediction in LANPC is insufficient.

PURPOSE

To establish a robust model for predicting response to ICT in LANPC by comparing the performance of back propagation neural network (BPNN) model with logistic regression model.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

A total of 286 LANPC patients were assigned to training (N = 200, 43.8 ± 10.9 years, 152 male) and testing (N = 86, 43.5 ± 11.3 years, 57 male) cohorts.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

T₂ -weighted imaging, contrast enhanced-T₁ -weighted imaging using fast spin echo sequences at 1.5 T scanner.

ASSESSMENT

Predictive clinical factors were selected by univariate and multivariate logistic models. Radiomic features were screened by interclass correlation coefficient, single-factor analysis, and the least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO). Four models based on clinical factors (Model^clinic ), radiomics features (Model^radiomics ), and clinical factors + radiomics signatures using logistic (Model^combined ), and BPNN (Model^BPNN ) methods were established, and model performances were compared.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U-test, and Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test were used for comparison analysis. The performance of models was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and Delong test. P < 0.05 was considered statistical significance.

RESULTS

Three significant clinical factors: Epstein-Barr virus-DNA (odds ratio [OR] = 1.748; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.969-3.171), sex (OR = 2.883; 95% CI, 1.364-6.745), and T stage (OR = 1.853; 95% CI, 1.201-3.052) were identified via univariate and multivariate logistic models. Twenty-four radiomics features were associated with treatment response. Model^BPNN demonstrated the highest performance among Model^combined , Model^radiomics , and Model^clinic (AUC of training cohort: 0.917 vs. 0.808 vs. 0.795 vs. 0.707; testing cohort: 0.897 vs. 0.755 vs. 0.698 vs. 0.695).

CONCLUSION

A machine-learning approach using BPNN showed better ability than logistic regression model to predict tumor response to ICT in LANPC.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Selectively recommend 18F-FDG PET/CT for patients with de novo nasopharyngeal carcinoma in endemic areas

INTRODUCTION

To identify the subset of patients with de novo nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) for whom [¹⁸F] fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography and computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) should be recommended, and to determine whether PET/CT is a cost-effective decision for precise M staging in endemic areas.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of data of 4469 patients diagnosed with de novo NPC between January 2014 and December 2019. The detection rate of distant metastasis was compared between different groups. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis was applied to identify the risk factors for distant metastasis. The cost-effectiveness of the diagnostic strategies was assessed.

RESULTS

The detection rate of distant metastasis in the whole cohort was 5.46%. In multivariate analysis, male sex, T3-4 stage, N2-3 stage, and high plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA (≥ 14,650 copies/mL) were risk factors for distant metastases. NPC patients with T3-4 stage combined with N2-3 stage, high EBV DNA combined with male sex, or N2-3 stage combined with high EBV DNA were defined as recommended group with relatively higher tendency for metastasis. Distant metastasis incidence in recommended group and unrecommended group were 10.25% and 1.75%, respectively (P < 0.001). In the recommended group, PET/CT significantly improved the detection rate of distant metastasis (13.25% vs 9.02%, P = 0.005). Cost-effectiveness analysis revealed that additional cost for every one percent increase in distant metastasis detection rate was $22,785.58 in the recommended group (< Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $32,700.00) and $310,912.90 in the unrecommended group.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with de novo NPC, the tendency for metastasis can be predicted based on clinical parameters. ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT should be selectively recommended for the subset of patients with a relatively higher tendency for metastasis.

Epidemiological Profile and Clinicopathological, Therapeutic, and Prognostic Characteristics of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in Northern Morocco

Background

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is a multifactorial disease mainly affecting the Asian and North African populations including Morocco. This study aimed to determine the epidemiological profile of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Northern Morocco as well as its clinicopathological, therapeutic, and prognostic characteristics.

Methods

129 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma followed at the regional center of oncology of Tangier in the period between April 2017 and July 2019, and diagnosed elsewhere from March 2000 to February 2019, were included in this study. Statistical analysis of the data was realized using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) software.

Results

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) represented 5% of all cases with a median age of 50. The most affected age group was 40–54 years (41.1%). Of all patients, 65.9% were men and 34.1% were women with a sex ratio of 1.93 (Male/Female). Undifferentiated nasopharyngeal carcinomas were the most common histological type affecting 96.12% of patients. At diagnosis, the majority of patients (82.2%) had an advanced stage of NPC (III, VIa, b, c) including 5.4% of metastatic cases (IVc). Most cases (86%) had lymph node involvement with cervical mass being the most common clinical presentation. 81.4% of patients received radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy. Among these patients, 54.3% had concurrent radiochemotherapy preceded by induction chemotherapy. The 5-year overall survival (OS) was 86.8% for all patients. It represented 91.3% for early stages, 87.9% for locally advanced stages, and 57.1% for the metastatic stage significantly. The disease-free survival (DFS) at 5 years was 87.6% knowing that relapse occurred in 16 cases.

Conclusions

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is a particular disease with a late declaration. It is common in Morocco as is the case in other endemic areas with a high prevalence. Patients’ survival is significantly influenced by disease staging.

A Clinical Update on the Prognostic Effect of microRNA Biomarkers for Survival Outcome in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

Current estimates by GLOBOCAN now incorporate NPC as a malignancy discrete from other head and neck malignancies among the 36 disease locales assessed. Based on the latest report, the global cancer burden is estimated to have risen to 19.3 million new cases, and 9.6 million malignancies were recorded in 2020 throughout the world. The study has clinical implications and could improve treatment decision-making and post-treatment care. The study could also motivate future clinical research and development in the arena of NPC prognostic biomarkers.ve men and one in every six women develops cancer during their lifetime, and one out of eight men and one in every 11 women progresses to chronic stage. The study has clinical implications and could improve treatment decision-making and post-treatment care. The study could also motivate future clinical research and development in the arena of NPC prognostic biomarkers.

Abstract

Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), a relatively uncommon malignancy in the Western world, is highly prevalent in Southeast Asia where the treatment outcomes are poor. Despite recent improvements in diagnosis and treatment locoregional control, distant metastasis and chemoresistance continue to be a significant cause of mortality. Identification of a reliable and comprehensive prognostic biomarker is highly desirable. The potential relevance of microRNAs (miRNAs) as prognostic markers in NPC is assessed in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods: A systematic review was performed using the PubMed and Science Direct databases. The search was limited to search results between 2018 and 2020 with the keywords and search strings developed as per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. The recovered articles were carefully screened based on the selection criteria. In the meta-analysis study, high and low expression levels of miRNAs were measured using the hazard ratio (HR) and 95 percent confidence interval (CI) for patients’ survival outcomes. Egger’s bias indicator test and funnel plot symmetry were used to assess the risk of bias. Results: Amongst the 25 studies, 13 fulfilled the conditions of inclusion in this meta-analysis. The researchers further delved into the 21 miRNA expression levels from 3015 NPC patients to ascertain a link between miRNA’s predictive role and survival outcomes. The majority of the articles retrieved during this study were from China, with two studies from Canada and Malaysia. The overall pooled effect size estimation (HR) for dysregulated miRNAs was 1.590 (95% CI: 1.253–2.017), displaying that miRNA marker expression increased the risk of mortality in NPC patients by 59%. Conclusions: This meta-analysis is novel and looks at the prognostic significance of miRNAs as biomarkers in NPC patients using a continuous version pooled meta-analysis. Although our findings are ambiguous, they do show that greater miRNA expression in NPC may be associated with a lower overall survival rate. To acquire clear conclusions, more prospective studies with large cohorts are required to determine the clinical utility of miRNAs as prognostic biomarkers.

The global burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma from 2009 to 2019: an observational study based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

PURPOSE

The incidence and mortality rate of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has changed in recent years. Our goal is to determine the epidemiological pattern of NPC to help policymakers allocate limited medical resources.

METHODS

Detailed information about NPC from 2009 to 2019 was collected from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) and corresponding estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess NPC's incidence and mortality trends.

RESULTS

Globally, there was a consistent increase in the NPC incidence cases from 2009 to 2019 (from 121.65 × 10³ cases in 2009 to 176.50 × 10³ cases in 2019, increasing by 45.09%). The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of NPC increased from 1.81 in 2009 to 2.12 in 2019 (EAPC = 1.59, 95% CI 1.36-1.81). On the contrary, the mortality of NPC showed a downward trend (ASDR: 0.93 in 2009 and 0.86 in 2019; EAPC = - 0.63, 95% CI - 0.78 to - 0.48), and it was negatively correlated with the social demographic index (SDI) in most regions. Both incidence and mortality rates of high-incidence territories tended to be stable or decline. Males had significantly higher incidence and mortality of NPC than females. The number of patients with onset age greater than 50 years old accounted for the highest proportion. We found that smoking, occupational exposure to formaldehyde, and alcohol use were the main risk factors for NPC-related mortality.

CONCLUSION

Globally, the incidence rate of NPC has been slightly increasing, while the mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) have been decreasing. NPC burden in high-middle and middle SDI areas was the heaviest. The current prevention strategy should be repositioned, and some countries should formulate more targeted approaches to reduce the current burden of NPC.

Age-dependent changes of gender disparities in nasopharyngeal carcinoma survival

Background

The mortality of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is usually lower in females than in males, but the underlying mechanism remains largely unknown. We sought to describe the age-dependent patterns of gender disparities in NPC survival and explore the extent to which the confounder or mediation effects could explain these differences.

Methods

A total of 11,980 patients with NPC were reviewed. The effect of gender on cancer-specific survival (CSS) was assessed using Cox regression analyses. Two propensity score methods were conducted to control the confounding bias between genders. Restricted cubic spline regression was used to model the association of gender and age with mortality flexibly. Multiple mediation analysis was applied to estimate the direct or indirect effect of gender on CSS.

Results

Overall, 7026 males and 2320 females were analyzed. The crude CSS was significantly higher for females than males (10-year CSS 78.4% vs 70.3%; P < 0.001). Similar results were observed after adjusting for confounding bias. Gender disparities in NPC-specific mortality were age-dependent, where they would increase with age until peaking at age 55–60 years and decline rapidly afterward. Subgroup analyses revealed that females’ survival advantage was observed in the 18–45 age group and was more prominent in the 46–55 age group, but vanished in the > 55 age group. Either confounder or mediation effects only accounted for approximately 20% of the gender differences.

Conclusions

Gender disparities in cancer-specific mortality for patients with NPC were age-dependent. The differences mostly cannot be explained by confounder or mediation effects.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13293-021-00361-8.

Treatment and outcomes of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in a unique non-endemic population

OBJECTIVE

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is common in Southeast Asia. Due to the influx of immigrants from this region, the incidence in British Columbia is increasing. Current literature from non-endemic populations encompasses heterogeneous cohorts. This study examines NPC in a North American population, with a high incidence, to understand the population's characteristics, treatment outcomes and recurrence patterns.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A retrospective analysis of patients treated for primary and recurrent NPC over 15-years. Regression analyses were used to identify predictors of disease recurrence and death. A subgroup analysis of the locoregional recurrence cohort was conducted. Five-year survival outcomes were determined.

RESULTS

601 patients were included. Asian ethnicity comprised 77% and the majority had non-keratinizing carcinoma (81%). In total, 19.3% of patients experienced recurrence: 58% local, 22% regional and 20% distant. Five-year overall survival was 70%. Smoking, advancing T-stage, poorer performance status and advanced overall stage were all associated with worse overall survival (p < 0.05). Asian ethnicity improved overall survival but not recurrence free survival. Similar features in addition to non-keratinizing histology were associated with increased locoregional recurrence (p < 0.05). Competing risk analysis indicated radiotherapy alone had a higher recurrence relative to chemoradiotherapy (HR 1.91, CI 1.17-3.09, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We report the largest study evaluating treatment and outcomes of NPC in a non-endemic population. This unique population falls between described endemic and non-endemic populations. Non-keratinizing pathology and primary radiotherapy did not affect survival; however, both had a propensity for recurrence. Finally, patients experienced more locoregional and less distant recurrence, supporting that this cohort may be amenable to curative salvage therapy.

The Survival Advantage of Females at Premenopausal Age Is Race Dependent in Colorectal Cancer

Background

A female prognostic advantage in younger individuals has been demonstrated in various cancers. Several large-scale analyses based on different racial backgrounds have reported inconsistent results in colorectal cancer. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of sex and age in patients with colorectal cancer of different ethnic groups.

Methods

We identified 71,812 eligible patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. According to age at diagnosis, the patients were categorized into premenopausal age (≤45 yrs), menopausal age (46–54 yrs), and postmenopausal age (≥55 yrs) subgroups for further analysis.

Results

Multivariate analysis identified the female survival advantage to be significant in the premenopausal age subgroup (P = 0.002, HR (95% CI): 0.73 (0.60–0.89)), diminished in the menopausal age subgroup (P = 0.09), and absent in the postmenopausal age subgroup (P = 0.96). Furthermore, the female survival advantage at premenopausal age was significant only in white patients (P = 0.001, HR (95% CI): 0.68 (0.54–0.87)) and not in either American Indian/Alaska Native or Asian or Pacific Islander patients. There was a trend of better survival of females in black patients (P = 0.07).

Conclusions

Sex was a major prognostic factor in colorectal cancer patients, especially premenopausal women, and the difference was also associated with race.

Sex differences in oncogenic mutational processes

Sex differences have been observed in multiple facets of cancer epidemiology, treatment and biology, and in most cancers outside the sex organs. Efforts to link these clinical differences to specific molecular features have focused on somatic mutations within the coding regions of the genome. Here we report a pan-cancer analysis of sex differences in whole genomes of 1983 tumours of 28 subtypes as part of the ICGC/TCGA Pan-Cancer Analysis of Whole Genomes (PCAWG) Consortium. We both confirm the results of exome studies, and also uncover previously undescribed sex differences. These include sex-biases in coding and non-coding cancer drivers, mutation prevalence and strikingly, in mutational signatures related to underlying mutational processes. These results underline the pervasiveness of molecular sex differences and strengthen the call for increased consideration of sex in molecular cancer research.

Efficacy and safety of intensity-modulated radiotherapy alone versus intensity-modulated radiotherapy plus chemotherapy for treatment of intermediate-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

This study directs to evaluate the efficacy and safety of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) alone versus IMRT plus chemotherapy in intermediate-risk NPC (stage II and T₃N₀M₀).

Methods

A total of 124 patients with stage II and T₃N₀M₀ NPC were pair-matched (1:1 ratio) to form two groups: an IMRT-alone group and an IMRT/chemotherapy group. Survival outcomes (overall survival [OS], disease–free survival [DFS], locoregional relapse–free survival [LRRFS], distant metastasis–free survival [DMFS]) and treatment-related grade 3–4 acute toxicity events were compared between the groups.

Results

Survival outcomes for patients with stage II and T₃N₀M₀ NPC were quiet comparable between patients treated with IMRT alone versus patients treated with IMRT/chemotherapy: 5-year OS was 91.9% vs. 90.3%, respectively (P = 0.727); DFS was 87.1% vs. 88.7%, respectively (P = 0.821); LRFFS was 96.8% vs. 95.2%, respectively (P = 0.646), and DMFS was 91.9% vs. 91.5%, respectively (P = 0.955). Grade 3 acute toxicities were significantly higher with IMRT/chemotherapy than with IMRT alone: mucositis, 15% vs. 5% (P = 0.004); leukopenia/neutropenia, 8% vs. 1% (P <  0.015); and nausea/vomiting, 22% vs. 3% (P <  0.001).

Conclusion

For intermediate-risk (stage II and T₃N₀M₀) NPC patients, the addition of chemotherapy to IMRT does not appear to provide any survival benefit. Moreover, grade 3 acute toxicities are also more common in patients receiving IMRT plus chemotherapy.

Impact of gender on survival in patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

In the world, there are approximately 160,000 cases of laryngeal cancer newly diagnosed every year and 95% of the cases are squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC). We conduct this study to investigate the influencing factors in LSCC.

METHOD

We used cohort of LSCC cases form the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (1973-2014) to investigate the relationship between gender and survival. We conducted 1:1 propensity matching to mimic randomized controlled trials. Using the matched group, we investigate the effect of gender on cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULT

In total, 47881 patients were brought into an unmatched cohort and 17985 cases were brought into a matched cohort. Using the matched group, we conducted a survival analysis. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSS and OS rates were better in female patients and the subgroup analysis showed the same trend. Cox regression analysis showed gender was an independent prognostic indicator for LSCC patients.

CONCLUSION

Gender is an independent prognostic indicator for LSCC patients. Male patients are a high-risk population.

Circulating tumor cells: a valuable marker of poor prognosis for advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Purpose

To evaluate the prognostic value of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods

Cox’s proportional hazards regression models were used to identify whether CTCs was a poor prognostic factor for NPC. Chi-square tests were used to analyze and compare the distribution characteristics of CTCs in NPC. ROC curve was used to estimate the cut-off point of CTCs. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used to observe the prognostic value of CTCs alone and in combined with Epstein-Barr Virus DNA (EBV-DNA).

Results

CTCs was confirmed to be an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of NPC by Cox’s regression models that enrolled 370 NPC cases and took age, gender, EBV-DNA and CTCs as variables. The proportion of CTCs in stage IV NPC was statistically different from that in stage III; the cut-off point of CTCs between stage IV (288 cases) and stage III (70 cases) NPC estimated by ROC curve was 0.5. The prognosis of advanced NPC patients became worse with the increase of CTCs count. The combined detection of CTCs and EBV-DNA could better predict the prognosis of NPC compared with the single detection of EBV-DNA.

Distinct molecular etiologies of male and female hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sex-differences in cancer occurrence and mortality are evident across tumor types; men exhibit higher rates of incidence and often poorer responses to treatment. Targeted approaches to the treatment of tumors that account for these sex-differences require the characterization and understanding of the fundamental biological mechanisms that differentiate them. Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with the incidence rapidly rising. HCC exhibits a male-bias in occurrence and mortality, but previous studies have failed to explore the sex-specific dysregulation of gene expression in HCC.

METHODS

Here, we characterize the sex-shared and sex-specific regulatory changes in HCC tumors in the TCGA LIHC cohort using combined and sex-stratified differential expression and eQTL analyses.

RESULTS

By using a sex-specific differential expression analysis of tumor and tumor-adjacent samples, we uncovered etiologically relevant genes and pathways differentiating male and female HCC. While both sexes exhibited activation of pathways related to apoptosis and cell cycle, males and females differed in the activation of several signaling pathways, with females showing PPAR pathway enrichment while males showed PI3K, PI3K/AKT, FGFR, EGFR, NGF, GF1R, Rap1, DAP12, and IL-2 signaling pathway enrichment. Using eQTL analyses, we discovered germline variants with differential effects on tumor gene expression between the sexes. 24.3% of the discovered eQTLs exhibit differential effects between the sexes, illustrating the substantial role of sex in modifying the effects of eQTLs in HCC. The genes that showed sex-specific dysregulation in tumors and those that harbored a sex-specific eQTL converge in clinically relevant pathways, suggesting that the molecular etiologies of male and female HCC are partially driven by differential genetic effects on gene expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Sex-stratified analyses detect sex-specific molecular etiologies of HCC. Overall, our results provide new insight into the role of inherited genetic regulation of transcription in modulating sex-differences in HCC etiology and provide a framework for future studies on sex-biased cancers.

Sex Differences in Cancer Driver Genes and Biomarkers

Cancer differs significantly between men and women; even after adjusting for known epidemiologic risk factors, the sexes differ in incidence, outcome, and response to therapy. These differences occur in many but not all tumor types, and their origins remain largely unknown. Here, we compare somatic mutation profiles between tumors arising in men and in women. We discovered large differences in mutation density and sex biases in the frequency of mutation of specific genes; these differences may be associated with sex biases in DNA mismatch repair genes or microsatellite instability. Sex-biased genes include well-known drivers of cancer such as β-catenin and BAP1 Sex influenced biomarkers of patient outcome, where different genes were associated with tumor aggression in each sex. These data call for increased study and consideration of the molecular role of sex in cancer etiology, progression, treatment, and personalized therapy.Significance: This study provides a comprehensive catalog of sex differences in somatic alterations, including in cancer driver genes, which influence prognostic biomarkers that predict patient outcome after definitive local therapy. Cancer Res; 78(19); 5527-37. ©2018 AACR.

Neoadjuvant or Adjuvant Chemotherapy Plus Concurrent CRT Versus Concurrent CRT Alone in the Treatment of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Study Based on EBV DNA

Background: The goal of this study was to explore the value of adding neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) or adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with different risks of treatment failure. Patients and Methods: A total of 2,263 eligible patients with stage III–IVb NPC treated with CCRT ± NACT or ACT were included in this retrospective study. Distant metastasis–free survival (DMFS), overall survival, and progression-free survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared using the log-rank test. Results: Patients in the low-risk group (stage N0–1 disease and Epstein-Barr virus [EBV] DNA <4,000 copies/mL) who received NACT followed by CCRT achieved significantly better 5-year DMFS than those treated with CCRT alone (96.2% vs 91.3%; P= .008). Multivariate analyses also demonstrated that additional NACT was the only independent prognostic factor for DMFS (hazard ratio, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.22–0.80; P=.009). In both the intermediate-risk group (stage N0–1 disease and EBV DNA ≥4,000 copies/mL and stage N2–3 disease and EBV DNA <4,000 copies/mL) and the high-risk group (stage N2–3 disease and EBV DNA ≥4,000 copies/mL), comparison of NACT or ACT + CCRT versus CCRT alone indicated no significantly better survival for all end points. Conclusions: The addition of NACT to CCRT could reduce distant failure in patients with low risk of treatment failure.

Competing risk nomograms for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy era: A big-data, intelligence platform-based analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Lacking quantitative evaluations of competing risk data of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), we aimed to evaluate the probability of NPC- and other cause-specific mortality (NPC-SM; OCSM) and develop competing risk nomograms to quantify survival differences.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

Using the institutional big-data intelligence platform, 7251 NPC patients undergoing intensity-modulated radiotherapy between 2009-2014 were identified to establish nomograms based on Fine and Gray's competing risk analysis.

RESULTS

The 5-year NPC-SM and OCSM of the cohort were 13.1% and 1.2%, respectively, and elevated 5-year OCSMs were observed in patients aged ≥65 years (5.5%) or with severe comorbidities (4.3%). Age was most predictive of OCSM: patients aged 55-64 and ≥65 years exhibited subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) of 2.70 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.64-4.4; P < .001) and 5.78 (95% CI, 3.32-10.08; P < .001), respectively. Comorbidity measured using the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was also strongly predictive of OCSM: patients with CCI scores of 1 and ≥2 exhibited SHRs of 2.33 (95% CI, 1.46-3.71; P < .001) and 2.58 (95% CI, 1.16-5.73; P = .020), respectively. All validated factors were integrated into the competing nomograms: age, sex, histology type, tumor and node stages, plasma Epstein-Barr virus-DNA level, lactate dehydrogenase level, and C-reactive protein (CRP) level into the NPC-SM model (concordance [c]-index = 0.743); and age, CCI, Albumin level, and CRP level into the OCSM model (c-index = 0.793).

CONCLUSION

OCSM represents a significant competing event for NPC-SM in elderly patients and patients with comorbidities. We present the first prognostic nomograms to quantify competing risks, which may help to tailor individualized treatment.

External validity of a prognostic nomogram for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on the 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system does not perform well for guiding individualized induction or adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We attempted to externally validate the Pan's nomogram, developed based on the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) staging system, for patients with locoregionally advanced disease. In addition, we investigated the reliability of Pan's nomogram for selection of participants in future clinical trials.

METHODS

This study included 535 patients with locoregionally advanced NPC who were treated between March 2007 and January 2012. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with predicted outcomes. The calibration was tested using calibration plots and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Discrimination ability, which was assessed using the concordance index, as compared with other predictors.

RESULTS

Pan's nomogram was observed to underestimate the 5-year OS of the entire cohort by 8.65% [95% confidence interval (CI) - 9.70 to - 7.60%, P < 0.001] and underestimated the 5-year OS of each risk group. The differences between the predicted and observed 5-year OS rates were smallest among low-risk patients (< 135 points calculated using Pan's nomogram; which predicted minus observed OS, - 6.41%, 95% CI - 6.75 to - 6.07%, P < 0.001) and were largest among high-risk patients (≥ 160 points) (- 13.56%, 95% CI - 15.48 to - 11.63%, P < 0.001). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test suggested that the predicted and observed 5-year OS rates had no ideal relationship (P < 0.001). Pan's nomogram had better discriminatory ability compared with the levels of Epstein-Barr virus DNA acid (EBV DNA) and the 7th or 8th AJCC/UICC staging system, although not better compared with the combination of EBV DNA and the 8th staging system. Additionally, Pan's nomogram was marginally inferior to our predictive model, which included the 8th AJCC/UICC N-classification, age, gross primary tumor volume, lactate dehydrogenase, and body mass index.

CONCLUSIONS

Pan's nomogram underestimated the 5-year OS of patients with locoregionally advanced NPC at our cancer center, and may not be a precise tool for selecting participants for clinical trials.

Effect of intensity-modulated radiotherapy versus two-dimensional conventional radiotherapy alone in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

Albeit intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) is currently the recommended radiation technique in treating nasopharyngeal carcinoma, the effect of IMRT versus two-dimensional conventional radiotherapy (2DCRT) alone is still contradictory.

Results

In the original unmatched cohort of 1198 patients, IMRT obtained comparable 5-year overall survival (OS) (91.3% vs 87.1%, P = 0.120), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) (92.3% vs 90.4%, P = 0.221) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (92.9% vs 92.1%, P = 0.901) to 2DCRT. In the propensity-matched cohort of 604 patients, no significant survival differences were observed between the two arms (5-year OS 90.9% vs 90.5%, P = 0.655; LRFS 92.5% vs 92.4%, P = 0.866; DMFS 92.5% vs 92.9%, P = 0.384). In multivariate analysis, IMRT did not significantly lower the risk of death, locoregional relapse or distant metastasis, irrespective of tumor stage.

Methods

Overall, 1198 patients who underwent IMRT (316 patients) or 2DCRT (882 patients) without any chemotherapy was retrospectively analyzed. Patients in both arms were matched at equal ratio using propensity-score matching method. OS, LRFS and DMFS were assessed with Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and Cox regression.

Conclusions

In this propensity-matched study, IMRT showed no survival advantage over 2DCRT alone in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

A National Study of Survival Trends and Conditional Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Analysis of the National Population-Based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Registry

Purpose

Conditional survival (CS) provides important information on survival for a period of time after diagnosis. Currently, information on CS patterns of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is lacking. We aimed to analyze survival rate over time and estimate CS for NPC patients using a national population-based registry.

Materials and Methods

Patients diagnosed with NPC between 1973 and 2007 with at least 5-year follow-up were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results registry. Traditional survival rates and crude CS estimateswere calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk-adjusted survival curves were plotted from the proportional hazards model using the correct group prognosis method.

Results

registry. Traditional survival rates and crude CS estimateswere calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk-adjusted survival curves were plotted from the proportional hazards model using the correct group prognosis method.

Results

For 7,713 patients analyzed, adjusted baseline 5-year overall survival improved significantly from 36.0% in patients diagnosed in 1973-1979, 41.7% in 1980-1989, 46.6% in 1990-1999, to 54.7% in 2000-2007 (p < 0.01). CS analysis demonstrated that for every additional year survived, adjusted probability of surviving the next 5 years increased from 66.7% (localized), 54.0% (regional), and 35.3% (distant) at the time of diagnosis, to 83.7% (localized), 75.0% (regional), and 62.2% (distant) for patients who had survived 5 years. Adjusted 5-year CS differed among age, sex, tumor histology, ethnicity, and stage subgroups initially, but converged with time.

Conclusion

Treatment outcomes of NPC patients have greatly improved over the decades. Increases in CS become more prominent in patients with distant disease than in those with localized or regional disease as patients survive longer. CS provides more dynamic prognostic information for patients who have survived a period of time after diagnosis.

Ten-year survival outcomes for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma receiving intensity-modulated radiotherapy: An analysis of 614 patients from a single center

OBJECTIVES

Intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) has been applied in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) for nearly twenty years, while little is known about the ten-year survival outcomes. This study aimed at evaluating the 10-year survival outcomes for patients with NPC receiving IMRT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data on 614 patients with newly diagnosed, non-disseminated NPC treated by IMRT between 2004 and 2008 were retrospectively reviewed. Survival outcomes stratified by tumor stage were compared.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 112.7months (range, 7.6-156.8months) for the entire cohort. The 10-year local relapse-free survival rates for T1, T2 and T3 were 94.2%, 92.5% and 91.4% (P>0.05), respectively, and significantly higher than that of T4 disease (79.3%, P<0.05 for all rates). As N category increased from N0 to N3, the 10-year distant metastasis-free survival rates significantly decreased accordingly (P<0.01 for all rates). Furthermore, the 10-year overall survival rates were 100%, 87.1%, 75.5% and 55.6% for stage I, II, III and IV, respectively (P<0.05 except stage I and II). Multivariate analysis established tumor stage and age as independent prognostic factors. Late toxicities were assessable for 495 (80.6%) patients and most were Grade I/II damages. Xerostomia (387 of 489, 79.1%) and hearing impairment (212 of 495, 42.8%) remained the most troublesome.

CONCLUSION

IMRT could achieve satisfactory survival outcomes for NPC patients with acceptable late toxicities. However, distant control still remains poor, especially for patients with N3 disease.

Validation of published nomograms and accordingly individualized induction chemotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

We have attempted to validate two published nomograms in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and individualize induction chemotherapy (IC) accordingly.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 2007 to 2011, 920 patients were included in the study. The validity of the nomograms was assessed by Harrell's concordance index (C-index), areas under the curve (AUC), and calibration curves. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) by IC were evaluated in and out of risk stratified patients with and without propensity score matching analysis.

RESULTS

Compared with the 7th edition of the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) staging system, Tang's nomogram better discriminated DFS (C-index 0.629 versus 0.569, P=0.002; AUC 0.635 versus 0.576, P=0.018), whereas Yang's nomogram had no advantage in predicting OS (C-index 0.648 versus 0.606, P=0.184; AUC 0.643 versus 0.604, P=0.157). Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and observed DFS or OS probability. Without risk stratification, patients achieved no benefit from IC in DFS (P⩾0.101) or OS (P⩾0.370). However, among 580 high-risk patients stratified by Tang's nomogram, IC improved five-year DFS from 68.8 to 74.8% (P=0.072), and OS from 82.6 to 87.9% (P=0.065), and the improvement of DFS and OS increased to 9.3% (P=0.019) and 7.3% (P=0.036), respectively, in 426 propensity-matched patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Tang's nomogram helps to stratify stage III-IVa-b NPC, and IC is beneficial to high-risk patients in clinical practice.

Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A 15 Year Study with Respect to Clinicodemography and Survival Analysis

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a rare malignancy in Kashmir with distinct pattern, hence we planned to study its clinicodemographic and survival profile. Kashmir has unique lifestyle and dietary habits which may be the source of carcinogenic compounds, most likely implicated in causation of NPC. A total of 148 patients of NPC registered from January 2000 to December 2014 were analyzed. The Mean ± SD age was 45.15 ± 17.092 years (range 11-85 years). The males were 72.3 % (N = 107) with male: female ratio of 2.61:1. Most of the patients were from rural area 81.90 % (N = 95) and non-smokers were 53.44 % (N = 62). Neck swelling was commonest presentation. WHO Type III NPC was commonest histopathological diagnosis 65.3 % (N = 92). Stage IV 36.1 % (N = 51) was commonest stage followed by stage III was 32 % (N = 46). Majority of the patients of NPC received CCRT 68.7 % (N = 78) followed by SCRT 13 % (N = 15) and Induction + CCRT 13 % (N = 15). The overall mean survival of NPC was 49.56 months. There was no significant correlation of age, gender, smoking, histopathology and treatment on the overall survival. However the stage was the only strong predictor of overall survival. Also the patients with intracranial extension had low survival which is turn depicts the advanced stage of disease. NPC survival is directly related to the stage of the disease irrespective of the treatment modality received. The negative EBV status in our patients implies that there are other risk factors involved in the causation of NPC for which further studies are needed to establish the etiological insult.

The causal effect of increased primary schooling on child mortality in Malawi: Universal primary education as a natural experiment

The primary objective of this analysis is to investigate the causal effect of mother's schooling on under-five health - and the passageways through which schooling propagates - by exploiting the exogenous variability in schooling prompted by the 1994 universal primary schooling program in Malawi. This education policy, which saw the elimination of tuition fees across all primary schooling grades, creates an ideal setting for observing the causal influence of improved primary school enrollment on the under-five fatality rates of the subsequent generation. Our analysis uses data from three waves of the nationally representative Malawi Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in 2000, 2004/05, and 2010. To address the potential endogeneity of schooling, we employ the mother's age at implementation of the tuition-free primary school policy in 1994 as an instrumental variable for the prospect of finishing primary level instruction. The results suggest that spending one year in school translated to a 3.22 percentage point reduction in mortality for infants and a 6.48 percent reduction for children under age five years. For mothers younger than 19 years, mortality was reduced by 5.95 percentage points. These figures remained approximately the same even after adjusting for potential confounders. However, we failed to find any statistically meaningful effect of the mother's education on neonatal survival. The juvenile fatality estimates we find are weakly robust to several robustness checks. We also explored the potential mechanisms by which increased maternal schooling might help enhance child survival. The findings indicated that an added year of motherly learning considerably improves the prospect of prenatal care use, literacy levels, father's educational level, and alters fertility behavior. Our results suggest that increasing the primary schooling prospects for young women might help reduce under-five mortality in less-industrialized regions experiencing high under-five fatalities such as in sub-Saharan Africa.

Age-specific cancer mortality trends in 16 countries

OBJECTIVES

This study explored previously little-known cancer mortality trends with a focus on changes with age and sex differences in 16 countries.

METHODS

Time series age-sex-specific cancer mortality, deaths from all causes, and population data were used for statistical description.

RESULTS

The cancer mortality rate (CMR) peaked and declined with age in 11 countries. CMRs appeared to peak earlier and decline more dramatically in earlier time periods rather than later periods and for males rather than females. CMR peaking could have possibly been historically delayed. Moreover, "percentage of deaths from cancer" (PDC) in all 16 countries plunged after about age 60. Middle-aged women may have higher CMRs than men. Premenopausal women may have higher PDCs than postmenopausal women.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings make significant contributions to the literature, though their interpretation and application have limitations due to data quality and availability. Future research should explore if and how the findings apply to other countries and time periods. Public health practitioners and policy makers should consider age-sex-specific strategies for more effective cancer control.

A nomogram for predicting survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with metachronous metastasis

Patients with metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) differ significantly in survival outcomes. The aim of this study is to build a clinically practical nomogram incorporating known tumor prognostic factors to predict survival for metastatic NPC patients in epidemic areas.A total of 860 patients with metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma were analyzed retrospectively. Variables assessed were age, gender, body mass index, Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) T and N stages, World Health Organization (WHO) histology type, serum lactate dehydrogenase (sLDH) level, serum Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) level, treatment modality, specific metastatic location (lung/liver/bone), number of metastatic location(s) (isolated vs multiple), and number of metastatic lesion(s) in metastatic location(s) (single vs multiple). The independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) by Cox-regression model were utilized to build the nomogram.Independent prognostic factors for OS of metastatic NPC patients included age, UICC N stage, KPS, sLDH, number of metastatic locations, number of metastatic lesions, involvement of liver metastasis, and involvement of bone metastasis. Calibration of the final model suggested a c-index of 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.69). Based on the total point (TP) by nomogram, we further subdivided the study cohort into 4 groups. Group 1 (TP < 320, 208 patients) had the lowest risk of dying. Discrimination was visualized by the differences in survival between these 4 groups (group 2/group 1: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.61, 95%CI: 1.24-2.09; group 3/group 1: HR = 2.20, 95%CI: 1.69-2.86; and group 4/group 1: HR = 3.66, 95%CI: 2.82-4.75).The developed nomogram can help guide the prognostication of patients with metachronous metastatic NPC in epidemic areas.

Sexual dimorphism in cancer

The incidence of many types of cancer arising in organs with non-reproductive functions is significantly higher in male populations than in female populations, with associated differences in survival. Occupational and/or behavioural factors are well-known underlying determinants. However, cellular and molecular differences between the two sexes are also likely to be important. In this Opinion article, we focus on the complex interplay that sex hormones and sex chromosomes can have in intrinsic control of cancer-initiating cell populations, the tumour microenvironment and systemic determinants of cancer development, such as the immune system and metabolism. A better appreciation of these differences between the two sexes could be of substantial value for cancer prevention as well as treatment.

Global trends in incidence and mortality of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a rare malignancy with an extraordinarily skewed geographic distribution worldwide. Although decreasing trends in incidence and mortality of NPC have been sporadically reported in some high-risk areas, no comprehensive description of the global trends has ever been made. We accessed incidence (1970-2007) and mortality (1970-2013) data from multiple sources, with the main ones being the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) series and the World Health Organization (WHO) cancer mortality database. During the entire period studied, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of NPC decreased significantly in southern and eastern Asia, north America and Nordic countries with average annual percent changes (AAPCs) of -0.9% to -5.4% in males and -1.1% to -4.1% in females. Declines in age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) are even more remarkable and extensive, with AAPCs varying from -0.9% and -0.8% to -3.7% and -6.5% in males and females, respectively. Decreasing trends in NPC incidence are probably due to tobacco control, changes in diets and economic development. Declines in mortality rates are the results of advancements in diagnostic and radiotherapy techniques, as well as decreased incidence rates.

Pretreatment anemia and survival in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Due to the low incidence of pretreatment anemia in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), the true prognostic impact of pretreatment anemia may be underestimated before. We retrospectively analyzed the association of pretreatment anemia with disease-specific survival (DSS), distant-metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional-relapse-free survival (LRFS) by Cox regression in a cohort of 5830 patients, stratifying by midtreatment anemia, smoking, body mass index (BMI), etc. Pretreatment anemia was significantly associated with adverse DSS (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.15, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.62-2.85, P < 0.001) and DMFS (HR = 1.53, 95 % CI 1.08-2.17, P = 0.018), comparing to patients with normal hemoglobin, after adjusting for covariates. Moreover, the association with DSS remained unchanged regardless of smoking status and clinical stage, whereas it was limited in the subgroups of above 45 years, male sex, and BMI <25 kg/m(2). With restriction to midtreatment anemic patients, pretreatment anemia was still strongly correlated with inferior DSS and DMFS. This study, in the largest reported cohort, is the first to show the adverse prognostic impact of pretreatment anemia on DSS and DMFS in NPC.