Epidemiological interpretation of antibiotic resistance studies - what are we missing?

Trends in infection incidence and antimicrobial resistance in the US Veterans Affairs Healthcare System: a nationwide retrospective cohort study (2007-22)

BACKGROUND

Antimicrobial resistance poses a major threat to public health. There are few comprehensive nationwide studies that quantify long-term trends in infection incidence and antimicrobial resistance for multiple pathogens. We aimed to analyse trends in inpatient infection incidence and antimicrobial resistance for nine pathogens over the past 15 years across the USA.

METHODS

In this US nationwide retrospective cohort study, we analysed clinical microbiology data from electronic health records from all patients admitted to all 138 Veterans Affairs (VA) Medical Centers with acute care wards across the USA from Feb 1, 2007, to March 31, 2022. We quantified inpatient antibiotic use as days of therapy (DOT) per 1000 patient-days and antimicrobial resistance by resistance proportion (proportion of incident isolates identified as resistant) and phenotypic incidence (incidence of infections per 1000 admissions classified as resistant, susceptible, or missing). To analyse trends before the COVID-19 pandemic and during the COVID-19 pandemic, we used generalised estimating equation models and reported average annual percentage changes (AAPC).

FINDINGS

We collected 991 527 30-day incident isolates from 507 760 patients in 138 VA Medical Centers and 50 states in the USA. Between Feb 1, 2007, and Dec 31, 2019, infection incidence and antimicrobial resistance declined for many pathogens and pathogen-drug combinations. The proportion of methicillin resistance in Staphylococcus aureus decreased from 57·7% (11 876 of 20 584 incident isolates) to 44·6% (5916 of 13 257) over these 13 years (AAPC -1·8%; 95% CI -2·4 to -1·2; p<0·0001), and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium infections decreased from 77·8% (2555 of 3285) to 65·1% (893 of 1371; AAPC -1·2%; 95% CI -2·5 to 0·0; p=0·052). Fluoroquinolone resistance declined in both proportion and incidence for most pathogens. These trends correlated with substantial reductions in fluoroquinolone use, from 125 DOT per 1000 patient-days to 20 DOT per 1000 patient-days. Third generation cephalosporin resistance increased steeply in Escherichia coli infections from 6·7% (942 of 14 042) in 2007 to 15·3% (2153 of 14 053) in 2019 (AAPC 8·5%; 95% CI 6·2 to 10·7; p<0·0001). Carbapenem resistance proportion increased in Enterobacter cloacae infections from 1·1% (30 of 2852) in 2007 to 7·3% (212 of 2919) in 2019 (AAPC 19·8%; 95% CI 13·7 to 26·2; p<0·0001), but remained low for Klebsiella pneumoniae and E coli. During the COVID-19 pandemic between Jan 1, 2020, and March 31, 2022, several pathogen-drug combinations increased in both incidence and resistance for hospital-associated infections. For some pathogen-drug combinations, trends in incidence of resistant and susceptible infections were divergent, whereas for other combinations, these trends were in the same direction.

INTERPRETATION

Significant reductions in methicillin resistance in S aureus, vancomycin-resistant E faecium, and fluoroquinolone resistance across multiple pathogens suggest that control efforts have had an effect on resistance. The rise in extended-spectrum β-lactamases-producing Enterobacterales and recent surge in hospital-associated infections emphasise the need for ongoing surveillance and interventions. Our study highlights how coupling the analysis of phenotypic incidence with resistance proportion can enhance interpretation of antimicrobial resistance data.

FUNDING

US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Epidemiology of Citrobacter spp. infections among hospitalized patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Infections due to Citrobacter species are increasingly observed in hospitalized patients and are often multidrug-resistant. Yet, the magnitude and burden of Citrobacter spp. resistance in the hospital setting have not been reported. We aimed to evaluate the epidemiology of Citrobacter spp. infections among hospitalized patients, their main resistance patterns and Citrobacter spp. involvement in hospital outbreaks.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature (PROSPERO registration Jan-2023, CRD42023390084). We searched Embase, Medline and grey literature for studies on hospitalized patients diagnosed with Citrobacter spp. infections, and nosocomial outbreaks due to Citrobacter spp. published during the years 2000-2022. We included observational, interventional, surveillance studies and outbreak reports. Outcomes of interest were the frequency of Citrobacter spp. infections among hospitalized patients and 3rd generation cephalosporin and/or carbapenem resistance percentages in these infections. We used random-effects models to generate pooled outcome estimates and evaluated risk of bias and quality of reporting of outbreaks.

RESULTS

We screened 1609 deduplicated publications, assessed 148 full-texts, and included 41 studies (15 observational, 13 surveillance and 13 outbreak studies). Citrobacter spp. urinary tract- and bloodstream infections were most frequently reported, with Citrobacter freundii being the main causative species. Hospital-acquired infection occurred in 85% (838/990) of hospitalized patients with Citrobacter infection. After 2010, an increasing number of patients with Citrobacter spp. infections was reported in observational studies. Pooled frequency estimates for Citrobacter spp. infections could not be generated due to lack of data. The pooled prevalence of ESBL and carbapenemase producers among Citrobacter isolates were 22% (95%CI 4-50%, 7 studies) and 18% (95%CI 0-63%, 4 studies), respectively. An increased frequency of reported Citrobacter outbreaks was observed after 2016, with an infection/colonization ratio of 1:3 and a case-fatality ratio of 7% (6/89 patients). Common outbreak sources were sinks, toilets, contaminated food and injection material. Implemented preventive measures included environmental cleaning, isolation of positive patients and reinforcement of hand hygiene. Only seven out of 13 outbreaks (54%) were definitively controlled.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the clinical importance of endemic and epidemic Citrobacter spp. in healthcare settings. As an emerging, multidrug‑resistant nosocomial pathogen it requires heightened awareness and further dedicated surveillance efforts.

One Health Determinants of Escherichia coli Antimicrobial Resistance in Humans in the Community: An Umbrella Review

To date, the scientific literature on health variables for Escherichia coli antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has been investigated throughout several systematic reviews, often with a focus on only one aspect of the One Health variables: human, animal, or environment. The aim of this umbrella review is to conduct a systematic synthesis of existing evidence on Escherichia coli AMR in humans in the community from a One Health perspective. PubMed, EMBASE, and CINAHL were searched on "antibiotic resistance" and "systematic review" from inception until 25 March 2022 (PROSPERO: CRD42022316431). The methodological quality was assessed, and the importance of identified variables was tabulated across all included reviews. Twenty-three reviews were included in this study, covering 860 primary studies. All reviews were of (critically) low quality. Most reviews focused on humans (20), 3 on animals, and 1 on both human and environmental variables. Antibiotic use, urinary tract infections, diabetes, and international travel were identified as the most important human variables. Poultry farms and swimming in freshwater were identified as potential sources for AMR transmission from the animal and environmental perspectives. This umbrella review highlights a gap in high-quality literature investigating the time between variable exposure, AMR testing, and animal and environmental AMR variables.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on prevalence of highly resistant microorganisms in hospitalised patients in the Netherlands, March 2020 to August 2022

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic resulted in adaptation in infection control measures, increased patient transfer, high occupancy of intensive cares, downscaling of non-urgent medical procedures and decreased travelling.AimTo gain insight in the influence of these changes on antimicrobial resistance (AMR) prevalence in the Netherlands, a country with a low AMR prevalence, we estimated changes in demographics and prevalence of six highly resistant microorganisms (HRMO) in hospitalised patients in the Netherlands during COVID-19 waves (March-June 2020, October 2020-June 2021, October 2021-May 2022 and June-August 2022) and interwaves (July-September 2020 and July-September 2021) compared with pre-COVID-19 (March 2019-February 2020).MethodsWe investigated data on routine bacteriology cultures of hospitalised patients, obtained from 37 clinical microbiological laboratories participating in the national AMR surveillance. Demographic characteristics and HRMO prevalence were calculated as proportions and rates per 10,000 hospital admissions.ResultsAlthough no significant persistent changes in HRMO prevalence were detected, some relevant non-significant patterns were recognised in intensive care units. Compared with pre-COVID-19 we found a tendency towards higher prevalence of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus during waves and lower prevalence of multidrug-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa during interwaves. Additionally, during the first three waves, we observed significantly higher proportions and rates of cultures with Enterococcus faecium (pooled 10% vs 6% and 240 vs 120 per 10,000 admissions) and coagulase-negative Staphylococci (pooled 21% vs 14% and 500 vs 252 per 10,000 admissions) compared with pre-COVID-19.ConclusionWe observed no substantial changes in HRMO prevalence in hospitalised patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Preventive Measures against Healthcare-Associated Infections from Antibiotic-Resistant ESKAPEE Pathogens: A Two-Center, Natural Quasi-Experimental Study in Greece

The COVID-19 pandemic led to unprecedented stress on healthcare systems worldwide, forming settings of concern for increasing antimicrobial resistance. We investigated the impact of SARS-CoV-2 preventive measures against healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) from antibiotic-resistant bacteria in two tertiary-care hospitals. We compared infection rates between March 2019 and February 2020 (pre-intervention period) and March 2020 and February 2021 (COVID-19 intervention period) from drug-resistant ESKAPEE bacteria (methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus; vancomycin-resistant Enterococci; carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Enterobacter species and Escherichia coli). Over 24 months, 586 drug-resistant ESKAPEE HAIs occurred in 439 patients (0.3% of 179,629 inpatients) with a mean age of 63 years, with 43% being treated in intensive care units (ICUs), and having a 45% inpatient mortality rate. Interrupted time series analysis revealed increasing infection rates before the intervention that were sharply interrupted by abrupt drops for most pathogens and henceforth remained stable in the ICUs but progressively increased in ordinary wards. In the ICUs, the pooled infection rate was 44% lower over the intervention period compared to the pre-intervention period (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.56, 95%CI 0.41-0.75, p < 0.001). Pooled infection rates in the wards were slightly higher over the COVID-19 period (IRR 1.12, 95%CI 0.87-1.45, p = 0.368). The findings confirmed the ancillary beneficial impact of the enhanced bundle of transmission-based precautions adopted against SARS-CoV-2 in rapidly constraining antimicrobial-resistant HAIs in two Greek hospitals.

Selective and Cascade Reporting of Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing Results and Its Impact on Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance-National Healthcare Safety Network, April 2020 to March 2021

Selective or cascade reporting (SR/CR) of antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) results is a strategy for antimicrobial stewardship. SR/CR is often achieved by suppressing AST results of secondary drugs in electronic laboratory reports. We assessed the extent of SR/CR and its impact on cumulative antibiograms (CAs) in a large cohort of U.S. hospitals submitting AST data to the CDC's National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) through electronic data exchange. The NHSN calls for hospitals to extract AST data from their electronic systems. We analyzed the AST reported for Escherichia coli (blood and urine) and Staphylococcus aureus (blood and lower respiratory tract [LRT]) isolates from April 2020 to March 2021, used AST reporting patterns to assign SR/CR reporting status for hospitals, and compared their CAs. Sensitivity analyses were done to account for those potentially extracted complete data. At least 35% and 41% of the hospitals had AST data that were suppressed in more than 20% blood isolates for E. coli and S. aureus isolates, respectively. At least 63% (blood) and 50% (urine) routinely reported ciprofloxacin or levofloxacin for E. coli isolates; and 60% (blood) and 59% (LRT) routinely reported vancomycin for S. aureus isolates. The distribution of CAs for many agents differed between high SR/CR and low- or non-SR/CR hospitals. Hospitals struggled to obtain complete AST data through electronic data exchange because of data suppression. Use of SR/CR can bias CAs if incomplete data are used. Technical solutions are needed for extracting complete AST results for public health surveillance. IMPORTANCE This study is the first to assess the extent of using selective and/or cascade antimicrobial susceptibility reporting for antimicrobial stewardship among U.S. hospitals and its impact on cumulative antibiograms in the context of electronic data exchange for national antimicrobial resistance surveillance.

In vitro and in silico β-lactamase inhibitory properties and phytochemical profile of Ocimum basilicum cultivated in central delta of Egypt

CONTEXT

Some studies reported the chemical content and antimicrobial properties of Ocimum basilicum L. (Lamiaceae), relevant to the ecological variations in some areas of Egypt and other countries, yet no research was conducted on the plant cultivated in the central delta region of Egypt. Also, no previous data reported on inhibition of β-lactamases by O. basilicum.

OBJECTIVE

To assess β-lactamases inhibition by O. basilicum extracts and the individual constituents.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Dried aerial parts of O. basilicum were extracted by hydrodistillation for preparation of essential oil and by methanol for non-volatile constituents. Essential oil content and the methanol extract were analysed by GC-MS and UPLC-PDA-MS/MS, respectively. Methyl cinnamate was isolated and analysed by NMR. Broth microdilution method was used to investigate the antimicrobial against resistant clinical isolates of Escherichia coli identified by double disc synergy, combination disc tests and PCR. The most active oil content was further tested with a nitrocefin kit for β-lactamase inhibition and investigated by docking.

RESULTS

O. basilicum was found to contain methyl cinnamate as the major content of the essential oil. More interestingly, methyl cinnamate inhibited ESBL β-lactamases of the type CTX-M. The in vitro IC₅₀ using nitrocefin kit was 11.6 µg/mL vs. 8.1 µg/mL for clavulanic acid as a standard β-lactamase inhibitor.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to report the inhibitory activity of O. basilicum oil and methyl cinnamate against β-lactamase-producing bacteria. The results indicate that methyl cinnamate could be a potential alternative for β-lactamase inhibition.

A Multicenter Analysis of Changes in Pediatric Antibiotic Susceptibilities Among Staphylococcus aureus and Pseudomonas aeruginosa Isolates: 2014–2018

OBJECTIVE

To describe antibiotic susceptibilities for Staphylococcus aureus and Pseudomonas aeruginosa among pediatric institutions in 2018. To assess correlations between antibiotic utilization and susceptibilities.

METHODS

Institutional antibiograms from 2018 were compiled among 13 institutions via a survey. Resistant pathogens and antibiotic days of therapy/1000 patient days (PD) were collected from 6 institutions over 5 years. Correlations were assessed as pooled data among all institutions and relative changes within individual institutions.

RESULTS

All 8552 S aureus isolates in 2018 were vancomycin susceptible and 40.1% were methicillin resistant (MRSA). Among MRSA, 96.3% and 78.8% were susceptible to trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole and clindamycin, respectively. Pooled yearly MRSA/1000 PD decreased from 2014–2018 and correlated with pooled yearly decreases in vancomycin utilization (R = 0.983, p = 0.003). Institutional relative decreases in vancomycin utilization from 2014–2018 did not correlate with institutional relative decreases in MRSA susceptibility (R = −0.659, p = 0.16). Susceptibility to meropenem was 90.9% among 2315 P aeruginosa isolates in 2018. Antipseudomonal beta-lactam susceptibility ranged from 89.4% to 92.3%. Pooled yearly meropenem-resistant P aeruginosa/1000 PD and meropenem utilization did not significantly decrease over time or correlate (both p &gt; 0.6). Institutional relative change in meropenem utilization from 2013–2017 correlated with the institutional relative change in P aeruginosa susceptibility to meropenem from 2014–2018 (Rs = −0.89, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

Among included institutions, the burden of MRSA decreased over time. Institutional MRSA prevalence did not consistently correlate with institutional vancomycin utilization. Institutional changes in meropenem utilization correlated with P aeruginosa susceptibility the following year. Pooled analyses did not illustrate this correlation, likely owing to variability in utilization between institutions.

The Need for Dedicated Microbiology Leadership in the Clinical Microbiology Laboratory

Clinical microbiology laboratories play a crucial role in patient care using traditional and innovative diagnostics. Challenges faced by laboratories include emerging pathogens, rapidly evolving technologies, health care-acquired infections, antibiotic-resistant organisms, and diverse patient populations. Despite these challenges, many clinical microbiology laboratories in the United States are not directed by doctoral level microbiology-trained individuals with sufficient time dedicated to laboratory leadership. The manuscript highlights the need for medical microbiology laboratory directors with appropriate training and qualifications.

Antimicrobial Resistance Following Azithromycin Mass Drug Administration: Potential Surveillance Strategies to Assess Public Health Impact

The reduction in childhood mortality noted in trials investigating azithromycin mass drug administration (MDA) for trachoma control has been confirmed by a recent large randomized controlled trial. Population-level implementation of azithromycin MDA may lead to selection of multiresistant pathogens. Evidence suggests that repeated azithromycin MDA may result in a sustained increase in macrolide and other antibiotic resistance in gut and respiratory bacteria. Current evidence comes from standard microbiological techniques in studies focused on a time-limited intervention, while MDA implemented for mortality benefits would likely repeatedly expose the population over a prolonged period and may require a different surveillance approach. Targeted short-term and long-term surveillance of resistance emergence to key antibiotics, especially those from the World Health Organization Access group, is needed throughout any implementation of azithromycin MDA, focusing on a genotypic approach to overcome the limitations of resistance surveillance in indicator bacteria.

Impact of antibiotic prescription on the resistance of Klebsiella pneumoniae at a tertiary hospital in China, 2012-2019

BACKGROUND

The incidence of Klebsiella pneumoniae (KP) infections is worrisome. Previous studies have shown that increased antibiotic treatment might affect the resistance profile of this organism. The objective of this study was to describe the resistance profile of KP strains and to correlate it with antibiotics consumption.

METHODS

A retrospective observational analysis was performed to examine exposure to antibiotics and resistant profile, comparing the results of different measuring outcomes of resistance (the incidence and the percentage of resistant KP) during January 2012 to June 2019 by using the autoregressive integrated moving average and transfer function model.

RESULTS

During the study period, the use of some third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenems continued to increase and a total of 5,519 KP isolates were collected. There were positive relationships between amikacin-resistant KP, ciprofloxacin-resistant KP, and corresponding antibiotic use in the transfer function models; both for the incidence rate and the resistant rate (time lag = 0) (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study confirms that the history of amikacin or ciprofloxacin use influences the susceptibility of these agents against KP with no delay. Similar results were obtained with different measuring outcomes of resistance.

The preparation of a difunctional porous β-tricalcium phosphate scaffold with excellent compressive strength and antibacterial properties

Porous β-tricalcium phosphate (β-Ca3(PO4)2, β-TCP) scaffolds are widely applied in the field of bone tissue engineering due to their nontoxicity, degradability, biocompatibility, and osteoinductivity. However, poor compressive strength and a lack of antibacterial properties have hindered their clinical application. In order to address these disadvantages, graphene (G) and silver nanoparticles were introduced into β-TCP through a two-step method. In the synthesis process, G-β-TCP was prepared via an in situ synthesis method, and then silver nanoparticles and HAp particles were coated on the surface of the G-β-TCP scaffold in an orderly fashion using dopamine as a binder. From the results of characterization, when the content of graphene was 1 wt% of β-TCP, the G-β-TCP scaffold had the highest compression strength (127.25 MPa). And core-shell G-β-TCP-Ag-HAp not only had reduced cytotoxicity via the continuous release of Ag+, but it also achieved long-term antibacterial properties. Besides, the material still showed good cell activity and proliferation.

The influence of hospital antimicrobial use on carbapenem-non-susceptible Enterobacterales incidence rates according to their mechanism of resistance: a time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

Carbapenem non-susceptible Enterobacterales (CNSE) can be broadly divided into those that produce carbapenemases (carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE)), and those that harbour other mechanisms of resistance (non-carbapenemase-producing CNSE (NCP-CNSE)).

AIM

To determine the predictors of CNSE nosocomial incidence rates according to their mechanism of resistance.

METHODS

A time-series analysis was conducted (July 2013 to December 2018) to evaluate the relationship in time between hospital antibiotic use and the percentage of adherence to hand hygiene with the CNSE rates.

FINDINGS

In all, 20,641 non-duplicated Enterobacterales isolates were identified; 2.2% were CNSE. Of these, 48.1% and 51.9% were CPE and NCP-CNSE, respectively. Of the CPE, 78.3% possessed a bla_OXA-232 gene. A transfer function model was identified for CNSE, CPE, and OXA-232 CPE that explained 20.8%, 19.3%, and 24.2% of their variation, respectively. According to the CNSE and CPE models, an increase in piperacillin-tazobactam (TZP) use of 1 defined daily dose (DDD) per 100 hospital patient-days (HPD) would lead to an increase of 0.69 and 0.49 CNSE and CPE cases per 10,000 HPD, respectively. The OXA-232 CPE model estimates that an increase of 1 DDD per 100 HPD of TZP use would lead to an increase of 0.43 OXA-232 CPE cases per 10,000 HPD. A transfer function model was not identified for NCP-CNSE, nor was there an association between the adherence to handhygiene and the CNSE rates.

CONCLUSION

The use of TZP is related in time with the CPE nosocomial rates, mostly explained by its effect on OXA-232 CPE.

Effect of a "handshake" stewardship program versus a formulary restriction policy on High-End antibiotic use, expenditure, antibiotic resistance, and patient outcome

This study reports the effect of implementing an antibiotic stewardship program (ASP) based on the "handshake" strategy for 2 years on multiple endpoints compared with that in a preceding period when an antimicrobial restriction policy was only applied in the absence of a complete program in a tertiary-care Lebanese hospital. The studied endpoints were broad-spectrum antibiotic consumption, antibiotic expenditure, nosocomial bacteremia incidence rate, and patient outcome.An interrupted time series analysis was undertaken to assess the changes in the trend (ΔT) and level (ΔL) of the aforementioned endpoints among adult inpatients before (October 2013 to September 2015) and after the introduction of the ASP (October 2016 to September 2018).After the implementation of the "handshake" ASP, marked changes were observed in the consumption of broad-spectrum antibiotics. The mean use density levels for imipenem and meropenem decreased by 13.72% (P = 0.017), coupled with a decreasing rate of prescription (ΔT = -24.83 defined daily dose [DDD]/1,000 patient days [PD]/month; P = 0.02). Tigecycline use significantly decreased in level by 69.19% (P < 0.0001) and in trend (ΔT = -25.63 DDD/1,000 PD/month; P < 0.0001). A reduction in the use of colistin was also documented but did not reach statistical significance (ΔL = -8.71%, P = 0.56; ΔT = -5.51 DDD/1,000 PD/month = -5.5; P = 0.67). Antibiotic costs decreased by 24.6% after ASP implementation (P < 0.0001), and there was a distinct change from an increasing rate to a decreasing rate of expenditure (ΔT = -12.19 US dollars/PD/month; P = 0.002). The incidence rate of nosocomial bacteremia caused by carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria (CRGNB) decreased by 34.84% (P = 0.13) coupled with a decreasing trend (ΔT = -0.23 cases/1,000 PD/month, P = 0.08). Specifically, a noticeable reduction in the incidence rate of bacteremia due to carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii was documented (ΔL = -54.34%, P = 0.01; ΔT = -0.24 cases/1000 PD/month, P = 0.01). Regarding patient outcome, all-cause mortality rates did not increase in level or in rate (ΔL = -3.55%, P = 0.59; ΔT = -0.29 deaths/1000 PD/month, P = 0.6). The length of stay and 7-day readmission rate remained stable between the two periods.In conclusion, the "handshake" ASP succeeded in controlling the prescription rates of antibiotics and in decreasing the nosocomial bacteremia rates caused by CRGNB without compromising patient outcome in our facility. It also had an economic effect in reducing antibiotic costs compared with the previous restriction policy on antimicrobial dispensing.

Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods

The increase of multidrug resistance and resistance to last-line antibiotics is a major global public health threat. Although surveillance programs provide useful current and historical information on the scale of the problem, the future emergence and spread of antibiotic resistance is uncertain, and quantifying this uncertainty is crucial for guiding decisions about investment in antibiotics and resistance control strategies. Mathematical and statistical models capable of projecting future rates are challenged by the paucity of data and the complexity of the emergence and spread of resistance, but experts have relevant knowledge. We use the Classical Model of structured expert judgment to elicit projections with uncertainty bounds of resistance rates through 2026 for nine pathogen-antibiotic pairs in four European countries and empirically validate the assessments against data on a set of calibration questions. The performance-weighted combination of experts in France, Spain, and the United Kingdom projected that resistance for five pairs on the World Health Organization’s priority pathogens list (E. coli and K. pneumoniae resistant to third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenems and MRSA) would remain below 50% in 2026. In Italy, although upper bounds of 90% credible ranges exceed 50% resistance for some pairs, the medians suggest Italy will sustain or improve its current rates. We compare these expert projections to statistical forecasts based on historical data from the European Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Network (EARS-Net). Results from the statistical models differ from each other and from the judgmental forecasts in many cases. The judgmental forecasts include information from the experts about the impact of current and future shifts in infection control, antibiotic usage, and other factors that cannot be easily captured in statistical forecasts, demonstrating the potential of structured expert judgment as a tool for better understanding the uncertainty about future antibiotic resistance.

Antimicrobial Resistance Diversity Suggestive of Distinct Salmonella Typhimurium Sources or Selective Pressures in Food-Production Animals

Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serovar Typhimurium is a common cause of enterocolitis in humans globally, with multidrug resistant (MDR) strains posing an enhanced threat. S. Typhimurium is also a pathogen in food-production animals, and these populations can act as reservoirs of the bacterium. Therefore, surveillance and control measures within food-production animal populations are of importance both to animal and human health and have the potential to be enhanced though improved understanding of the epidemiology of S. Typhimurium within and between food-production animal populations. Here, data from Scotland and national surveillance England and Wales data for isolates from cattle (n = 1115), chickens (n = 248) and pigs (n = 2174) collected between 2003 and 2014 were analyzed. Ecological diversity analyses and rarefaction curves were used to compare the diversity of observed antimicrobial resistance (AMR) profiles between the host species, and within host species populations. Higher AMR profile diversity was observed in isolates from pigs compared to chickens across diversity measures and isolates from cattle for three of four diversity measures. Variation in AMR profile diversity between production sectors was noted, with higher AMR diversity of isolates from broiler compared to layer chickens, breeder compared to rearer and finisher pigs and beef compared to dairy cattle. Findings indicate variation in AMR profile diversity both within and between food-production animal host species. These observations suggest alternate sources of AMR bacteria and/or variation in selective evolutionary pressures within and between food-production animal host species populations.

Novel blaCTX-M variants and genotype-phenotype correlations among clinical isolates of extended spectrum beta lactamase-producing Escherichia coli

The rapid emergence of multiresistant microbial pathogens, dubbed superbugs, is a serious threat to human health. Extended spectrum beta lactamase (ESBL)-producing Escherichia coli is a superbug causing worldwide outbreaks, necessitating timely and accurate tracking of resistant strains. Accordingly, this study was designed to investigate the spread of ESBL-producing Escherichia coli isolates, to analyze the effect of different genotypic and phenotypic factors on in vitro resistance patterns, and to assess the diagnostic value of commonly used ESBL genetic markers. For that purpose, we cultured 250 clinical isolates and screened their susceptibility to beta-lactam antibiotics. Among 12 antibiotics screened, only imipenem seems to have remained resilient. We subsequently analyzed the ESBL phenotype of Escherichia coli isolates and examined potential associations between their resistance phenotypes and patient-related factors. ESBL genotyping of 198 multiresistant isolates indicated that 179 contained at least one bla_CTX-M gene. As we statistically dissected the data, we found associations between overall resistance and body site / type of disease. Additionally, we confirmed the diagnostic value of testing both bla_CTX-M-1 and bla_CTX-M-15 in providing better prediction of overall resistance. Finally, on sequencing the amplification products of detected bla_CTX-M genes, we discovered two novel variants, which we named bla_CTX-M-14.2 and bla_CTX-M-15.2.

Estimating the number of infections caused by antibiotic-resistant Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in 2014: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

The number of infections caused by resistant organisms is largely unknown. We estimated the number of infections worldwide that are caused by the WHO priority pathogens third-generation cephalosporin-resistant and carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae.

METHODS

We calculated a uniform weighted mean incidence of serious infections caused by antibiotic-susceptible E coli and K pneumoniae using data from 17 countries. Using this uniform incidence, as well as population sizes and country-specific resistance levels, we estimated the number of infections caused by third-generation cephalosporin-resistant and carbapenem-resistant E coli and K pneumoniae in 193 countries in 2014. We also calculated interval estimates derived from changing the fixed incidence of susceptible infections to 1 SD below and above the weighted mean. We compared an additive model with combination models in which resistant infections were replaced by susceptible infections. We distinguished between higher-certainty regions (those with good-quality data sources for resistance levels and resistance ≤30%), moderate-certainty regions (those with good-quality data sources for resistance levels and including some countries with resistance >30%), and low-certainty regions (those in which good-quality data sources for resistance levels were unavailable for countries comprising at least 20% of the region's population, regardless of resistance level).

FINDINGS

Using the additive model, we estimated that third-generation cephalosporin-resistant E coli and K pneumoniae caused 6·4 million (interval estimate 3·5-9·2) bloodstream infections and 50·1 million (27·5-72·8) serious infections in 2014; estimates were 5·5 million (3·0-7·9) bloodstream infections and 43·1 million (23·6-62·2) serious infections in the 25% replacement model, 4·6 million (2·5-6·6) bloodstream infections and 36·0 million (19·7-52·2) serious infections in the 50% replacement model, and 3·7 million (2·0-5·3) bloodstream infections and 28·9 million (15·8-41·9) serious infections in the 75% replacement model. Carbapenem-resistant strains caused 0·5 million (0·3-0·7) bloodstream infections and 3·1 million (1·8-4·5) serious infections based on the additive model, 0·5 million (0·3-0·7) bloodstream infections and 3·0 million (1·7-4·3) serious infections based on the 25% replacement model, 0·4 million (0·2-0·6) bloodstream infections and 2·8 million (1·6-4·1) serious infections based on the 50% replacement model, and 0·4 million (0·2-0·6) bloodstream infections and 2·7 million (1·5-3·8) serious infections based on the 75% replacement model.

INTERPRETATION

To our knowledge, this study is the first to report estimates of the global number of infections caused by antibiotic-resistant priority pathogens. Uncertainty stems from scant data on resistance levels from low-income and middle-income countries and insufficient knowledge regarding resistance dynamics when resistance is high.

FUNDING

Innovative Medicines Initiative.

Colistin resistance in carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream isolates: Evolution over 15 years and temporal association with colistin use by time series analysis

Colistin is often the only available treatment option against infections caused by carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (CP-Kp). In this study, the evolution of colistin resistance among CP-Kp and its relationship with colistin use in a tertiary-care hospital in Athens, Greece, was investigated. All CP-Kp blood isolates recovered between January 2002 and June 2016 were tested for susceptibility to colistin by agar dilution and broth microdilution methods. Data on colistin use were collected from the pharmacy database. Time series of colistin use and resistance were analysed using the Box and Jenkins method. A transfer function model was built to quantify the dynamic relationship between colistin use and resistance. Overall, 313 CP-Kp isolates were identified. The percentage colistin resistance increased from 0% in 2002 to 26.9% in 2016 (R² = 0.5, P < 0.01). A temporal association between colistin use and resistance was observed; an increase in colistin use by 1 DDD/100 patient-days led to a 0.05 increase in the incidence rate of colistin resistance. The time lag between the effect of colistin use on subsequent variations in colistin resistance was 3 months. Colistin use and prior levels of colistin resistance could explain 69% of colistin resistance; in the remaining 31%, other factors might have played a role. The results presented here demonstrate a significant temporal association between colistin use and colistin resistance. These findings have important implications in implementing strategies to contain colistin resistance.

National laboratory-based surveillance system for antimicrobial resistance: a successful tool to support the control of antimicrobial resistance in the Netherlands

An important cornerstone in the control of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a well-designed quantitative system for the surveillance of spread and temporal trends in AMR. Since 2008, the Dutch national AMR surveillance system, based on routine data from medical microbiological laboratories (MMLs), has developed into a successful tool to support the control of AMR in the Netherlands. It provides background information for policy making in public health and healthcare services, supports development of empirical antibiotic therapy guidelines and facilitates in-depth research. In addition, participation of the MMLs in the national AMR surveillance network has contributed to sharing of knowledge and quality improvement. A future improvement will be the implementation of a new semantic standard together with standardised data transfer, which will reduce errors in data handling and enable a more real-time surveillance. Furthermore, the scientific impact and the possibility of detecting outbreaks may be amplified by merging the AMR surveillance database with databases from selected pathogen-based surveillance programmes containing patient data and genotypic typing data.

Semi-Automated Visualization and ANalysis of Trends: A "SAVANT" for Facilitating Antimicrobial Stewardship Using Antistaphylococcal Resistance and Consumption as a Prototype

Background

Governments and health care regulators now require hospitals and nursing homes to establish programs to monitor and report antimicrobial consumption and resistance. However, additional resources were not provided. We sought to develop an approach for monitoring antimicrobial resistance and consumption that health care systems can implement with minimal added costs or modifications to existing diagnostic and informatics infrastructure.

Methods

Using (1) the electronic laboratory information system of a nationwide managed care network, (2) the 3 most widely used commercial microbiology diagnostic platforms, and (3) Staphylococcus aureus, one of the most common causes of infections worldwide, as a prototype, we validated the approach dubbed "SAVANT" for Semi-Automated Visualization and ANalysis of Trends. SAVANT leverages 3 analytical methods (time series analysis, the autoregressive integrated moving average, and generalized linear regression) on either commercial or open source software to report trends in antistaphylococcal use and resistance.

Results

All laboratory results from January 2010 through December 2015 from an annual average of 9.2 million health care beneficiaries were queried. Inpatient and outpatient prescription rates were calculated for 8 key antistaphylococcal compounds. Trends and relationships of antistaphylococcal consumption and resistance among 81 840 unique S. aureus isolates from >6.5 million cultures were revealed.

Conclusions

Using existing or freely available resources, SAVANT was successfully implemented across a complex and geographically dispersed 280-hospital network, bridging a critical gap between medical informatics, large-scale data analytics, and mandatory reporting of health care quality metrics.

Trends and relationship between antimicrobial resistance and antibiotic use in Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, China: Based on a 3 year surveillance data, 2014-2016

PURPOSES

The objective of the study was to identify the trends and relations between antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and antibiotic use in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in Western China from 2014 to 2016.

METHODS

A retrospective, descriptive analysis of AMR prevalence, and trends and relations between AMR and antibiotic use during the 3-year period was performed.

RESULTS

Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant Escherichia coli was the most prevalent resistant pathogen in terms of both resistance density and resistance proportion. A significant correlation was found between resistance density of third-generation cephalosporin-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae and the use of beta-lactam-beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations (cc=0.63, p=0.03), quinolones (cc=0.60, p=0.04), and carbapenems (cc=0.76, p=0.004), among which only beta-lactam-beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations showed a significant correlation with third-generation cephalosporin-resistant E. coli (cc=0.63, p=0.03). For carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa, not only carbapenem use (cc=0.65, p=0.02) but also penicillin (cc=0.76, p=0.004) and quinolone (cc=0.69, p=0.01) use showed significant correlation. A strong correlation was observed between the resistant proportion of third-generation cephalosporin-resistant E. coli and only the use of beta-lactam-beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations (cc=0.61, p=0.03).

CONCLUSION

The association between antibiotic use and AMR, especially the implication of the difference in resistance density and resistance proportion, is crucial for local physicians and decision-makers to better use of antibiotics and allocate healthcare resources more effectively, as well as to better implement antimicrobial stewardship and effective infection control strategies.

Identifying Hospital Antimicrobial Resistance Targets via Robust Ranking

We develop a robust ranking procedure to uncover trends in variation in antibiotic resistance (AR) rates across hospitals for some antibiotic-bacterium pairs over several years. We illustrate how the method can be used to detect potentially dangerous trends and to direct attention to hospitals' management practices. A robust method is indicated due to the fact that some unusual reported resistance rates may be due to measurement protocol differences and not any real difference in AR rates. Our proposed method is less sensitive to outlier observations than other robust methods. The application on real AR data shows how a dangerous trend in a particular AR rate would be detected. Our results indicate the potential benefits of systematic AR rate collection and AR reporting systems across hospitals.

Surveillance of Gram-negative bacteria: impact of variation in current European laboratory reporting practice on apparent multidrug resistance prevalence in paediatric bloodstream isolates

This study evaluates whether estimated multidrug resistance (MDR) levels are dependent on the design of the surveillance system when using routine microbiological data. We used antimicrobial resistance data from the Antibiotic Resistance and Prescribing in European Children (ARPEC) project. The MDR status of bloodstream isolates of Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae and Pseudomonas aeruginosa was defined using European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)-endorsed standardised algorithms (non-susceptible to at least one agent in three or more antibiotic classes). Assessment of MDR status was based on specified combinations of antibiotic classes reportable as part of routine surveillance activities. The agreement between MDR status and resistance to specific pathogen-antibiotic class combinations (PACCs) was assessed. Based on all available antibiotic susceptibility testing, the proportion of MDR isolates was 31% for E. coli, 30% for K. pneumoniae and 28% for P. aeruginosa isolates. These proportions fell to 9, 14 and 25%, respectively, when based only on classes collected by current ECDC surveillance methods. Resistance percentages for specific PACCs were lower compared with MDR percentages, except for P. aeruginosa. Accordingly, MDR detection based on these had low sensitivity for E. coli (2-41%) and K. pneumoniae (21-85%). Estimates of MDR percentages for Gram-negative bacteria are strongly influenced by the antibiotic classes reported. When a complete set of results requested by the algorithm is not available, inclusion of classes frequently tested as part of routine clinical care greatly improves the detection of MDR. Resistance to individual PACCs should not be considered reflective of MDR percentages in Enterobacteriaceae.

Serotype/serogroup-specific antibiotic non-susceptibility of invasive and non-invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae, Switzerland, 2004 to 2014

Concurrent analysis of antibiotic resistance of colonising and invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae gives a more accurate picture than looking at either of them separately. Therefore, we analysed 2,129 non-invasive and 10,996 invasive pneumococcal isolates from Switzerland from 2004 to 2014, which spans the time before and after the introduction of the heptavalent (PCV7) and 13-valent (PCV13) conjugated pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccines. Serotype/serogroup information was linked with all antibiotic resistance profiles. During the study period, the proportion of non-susceptible non-invasive and invasive isolates significantly decreased for penicillin, ceftriaxone, erythromycin and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX). This was most apparent in non-invasive isolates from study subjects younger than five years (penicillin (p = 0.006), erythromycin (p = 0.01) and TMP-SMX (p = 0.002)). Resistant serotypes/serogroups included in PCV7 and/or PCV13 decreased and were replaced by non-PCV13 serotypes (6C and 15B/C). Serotype/serogroup-specific antibiotic resistance rates were comparable between invasive and non-invasive isolates. Adjusted odds ratios of serotype/serogroup-specific penicillin resistance were significantly higher in the west of Switzerland for serotype 6B (1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4-4.8), 9V (3.4; 95% CI: 2.0-5.7), 14 (5.3; 95% CI: 3.8-7.5), 19A (2.2; 95% CI: 1.6-3.1) and 19F (3.1; 95% CI: 2.1-4.6), probably due to variations in the antibiotic consumption.

Benefits and unintended consequences of antimicrobial de-escalation: Implications for stewardship programs

Sequential antimicrobial de-escalation aims to minimize resistance to high-value broad-spectrum empiric antimicrobials by switching to alternative drugs when testing confirms susceptibility. Though widely practiced, the effects de-escalation are not well understood. Definitions of interventions and outcomes differ among studies. We use mathematical models of the transmission and evolution of Pseudomonas aeruginosa in an intensive care unit to assess the effect of de-escalation on a broad range of outcomes, and clarify expectations. In these models, de-escalation reduces the use of high-value drugs and preserves the effectiveness of empiric therapy, while also selecting for multidrug-resistant strains and leaving patients vulnerable to colonization and superinfection. The net effect of de-escalation in our models is to increase infection prevalence while also increasing the probability of effective treatment. Changes in mortality are small, and can be either positive or negative. The clinical significance of small changes in outcomes such as infection prevalence and death may exceed more easily detectable changes in drug use and resistance. Integrating harms and benefits into ranked outcomes for each patient may provide a way forward in the analysis of these tradeoffs. Our models provide a conceptual framework for the collection and interpretation of evidence needed to inform antimicrobial stewardship.

Fabrication of core–shell Ag@pDA@HAp nanoparticles with the ability for controlled release of Ag+and superior hemocompatibility

We report a convenient and effective method to prepare Ag-NPs and core–shell Ag@pDA@HAp-NPs.

Evaluating state-specific antibiotic resistance measures derived from central line-associated bloodstream infections, national healthcare safety network, 2011

DISCLOSURE The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the Agency for Toxic Substances and Diseases Registry. OBJECTIVE Describe the impact of standardizing state-specific summary measures of antibiotic resistance that inform regional interventions to reduce transmission of resistant pathogens in healthcare settings. DESIGN Analysis of public health surveillance data. METHODS Central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) data from intensive care units (ICUs) of facilities reporting to the National Healthcare Safety Network in 2011 were analyzed. For CLABSI due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), extended-spectrum cephalosporin (ESC)-nonsusceptible Klebsiella species, and carbapenem-nonsusceptible Klebsiella species, we computed 3 state-level summary measures of nonsusceptibility: crude percent nonsusceptible, model-based adjusted percent nonsusceptible, and crude infection incidence rate. RESULTS Overall, 1,791 facilities reported CLABSIs from ICU patients. Of 1,618 S. aureus CLABSIs with methicillin-susceptibility test results, 791 (48.9%) were due to MRSA. Of 756 Klebsiella CLABSIs with ESC-susceptibility test results, 209 (27.7%) were due to ESC-nonsusceptible Klebsiella, and among 661 Klebsiella CLABSI with carbapenem susceptibility test results, 70 (10.6%) were due to carbapenem-nonsusceptible Klebsiella. All 3 state-specific measures demonstrated variability in magnitude by state. Adjusted measures, with few exceptions, were not appreciably different from crude values for any phenotypes. When linking values of crude and adjusted percent nonsusceptible by state, a state's absolute rank shifted slightly for MRSA in 5 instances and only once each for ESC-nonsusceptible and carbapenem-nonsusceptible Klebsiella species. Infection incidence measures correlated strongly with both percent nonsusceptibility measures. CONCLUSIONS Crude state-level summary measures, based on existing NHSN CLABSI data, may suffice to assess geographic variability in antibiotic resistance. As additional variables related to antibiotic resistance become available, risk-adjusted summary measures are preferable.

A targeted infection prevention intervention in nursing home residents with indwelling devices: a randomized clinical trial

IMPORTANCE

Indwelling devices (eg, urinary catheters and feeding tubes) are often used in nursing homes (NHs). Inadequate care of residents with these devices contributes to high rates of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) and device-related infections in NHs.

OBJECTIVE

To test whether a multimodal targeted infection program (TIP) reduces the prevalence of MDROs and incident device-related infections.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Randomized clinical trial at 12 community-based NHs from May 2010 to April 2013. Participants were high-risk NH residents with urinary catheters, feeding tubes, or both.

INTERVENTIONS

Multimodal, including preemptive barrier precautions, active surveillance for MDROs and infections, and NH staff education.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the prevalence density rate of MDROs, defined as the total number of MDROs isolated per visit averaged over the duration of a resident's participation. Secondary outcomes included new MDRO acquisitions and new clinically defined device-associated infections. Data were analyzed using a mixed-effects multilevel Poisson regression model (primary outcome) and a Cox proportional hazards model (secondary outcome), adjusting for facility-level clustering and resident-level variables.

RESULTS

In total, 418 NH residents with indwelling devices were enrolled, with 34,174 device-days and 6557 anatomic sites sampled. Intervention NHs had a decrease in the overall MDRO prevalence density (rate ratio, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62-0.94). The rate of new methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus acquisitions was lower in the intervention group than in the control group (rate ratio, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.64-0.96). Hazard ratios for the first and all (including recurrent) clinically defined catheter-associated urinary tract infections were 0.54 (95% CI, 0.30-0.97) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.49-0.99), respectively, in the intervention group and the control group. There were no reductions in new vancomycin-resistant enterococci or resistant gram-negative bacilli acquisitions or in new feeding tube-associated pneumonias or skin and soft-tissue infections.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Our multimodal TIP intervention reduced the overall MDRO prevalence density, new methicillin-resistant S aureus acquisitions, and clinically defined catheter-associated urinary tract infection rates in high-risk NH residents with indwelling devices. Further studies are needed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of this approach as well as its effects on the reduction of MDRO transmission to other residents, on the environment, and on referring hospitals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01062841.

Absence of Association between Use of Ertapenem and Change in Antipseudomonal Carbapenem Susceptibility Rates in 25 Hospitals

Objective.

Ertapenem exposure has been reported to select for cross-resistance to other carbapenems in Pseudomonas aeruginosa in vitro. Single-center investigations report conflicting results. We evaluated ertapenem use and antipseudomonal carbapenem susceptibility for 6 years spanning the time of ertapenem adoption at each of 25 US hospitals.

Design.

Retrospective primary and secondary data analysis.

Methods.

Use density ratios for imipenem and meropenem (collectively, “other carbapenems”) and ertapenem were derived from data in a commercial database on the total number of grams used in the 3 years before and the 3 years after adoption of ertapenem at each hospital. A general linear model using repeated measures analysis of variance was used to explore associations between the 6-year change in antipseudomonal carbapenem susceptibility rates (determined from hospital antibiograms) and ertapenem use in each year, while controlling for other carbapenem use.

Results.

Ertapenem use increased once adopted. With regard to the postadoption period, the median use density ratio for year 4 was 4.1 (interquartile range [IQR], 1.7-5.2), for year 5 was 6.0 (IQR, 2.7-8.5), and for year 6 was 6.5 (IQR, 4.0-11.6). The median use density ratio for other carbapenem use for year 1 was 8.7 (IQR, 5.7-13.5), and by year 6 it had increased to 19.3 (IQR, 9.6-26.2). Change in mean antipseudomonal carbapenem susceptibility across time (85% in year 1 to 82% in year 6) was not significant (P = .22). Change in 6-year antipseudomonal carbapenem susceptibility was not associated with ertapenem use in any year while controlling for other carbapenem use (P &gt; .20 for all years of ertapenem use).

Conclusion.

Although significant change in P. aeruginosa susceptibility to antipseudomonal carbapenems was not detected during this multicenter study, which to our knowledge is the most extensive assessment to date of this important drug use-susceptibility relationship, continued evaluation of the relationship is prudent.

Impact of ertapenem on antimicrobial resistance in a sentinel group of Gram-negative bacilli: a 6 year antimicrobial resistance surveillance study

OBJECTIVES

To determine the association between ertapenem and resistance of Escherichia coli, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Klebsiella pneumoniae and Acinetobacter baumannii-calcoaceticus complex to different antimicrobials while adjusting for relevant hospital factors.

METHODS

This was a retrospective time-series study conducted at a tertiary care centre from September 2002 to August 2008. The specific impact of ertapenem on the resistance of these Gram-negative bacilli (GNB) was assessed by multiple linear regression analysis, adjusting for the average length of stay, rate of hospital-acquired infections and use of 10 other antimicrobials, including type 2 carbapenems.

RESULTS

Unadjusted analyses revealed significant increases over the duration of the study in the number of GNB resistant to meropenem/imipenem among 1000 isolates each of E. coli (0.46 ± 0.22, P < 0.05), P. aeruginosa (6.26 ± 2.26, P < 0.05), K. pneumoniae (8.06 ± 1.50, P < 0.0005) and A. baumannii-calcoaceticus complex (25.39 ± 6.81, P < 0.0005). Increased resistance to cefepime (and other extended-spectrum cephalosporins) was observed in E. coli (9.55 ± 1.45, P < 0.0005) and K. pneumoniae (15.21 ± 2.42, P < 0.0005). A. baumannii-calcoaceticus complex showed increased resistance to all antimicrobials except amikacin. After controlling for confounders, ertapenem was not significantly associated (P > 0.05) with changes in resistance for any pathogen/antimicrobial combination.

CONCLUSIONS

After controlling for confounders, ertapenem was not associated with changes in resistance in a group of sentinel GNB, although significant variations in resistance to different antimicrobials were observed in the unadjusted analyses. These results emphasize the importance of implementation of local resistance surveillance platforms and stewardship programmes to combat the global emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistance.

Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae and the correlation between carbapenem and fluoroquinolone usage and resistance in the US military health system

Whether carbapenem or fluoroquinolone usage is correlated with carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) has not been investigated at the level of an entire US nationwide managed health care system. We analyzed 75 million person-years of surveillance and 1,969,315 cultures from all 266 hospitals in the geographically dispersed US military health system. Incidences of CRE remained under 1 case per 100,000 person-years. Incidences of CRE increased relative to 2005 baseline levels in 3 of 7 subsequent years, then decreased in 2012 (P<0.05). Incident proportions of carbapenem resistance (CR) differed significantly among years, geographical regions, and bacterial species. Although use and resistance strongly correlated (R>0.80) for several "drug-bug" combinations, none were significant at the national or facility level. One exception was that inpatient consumption of fluoroquinolones was significantly correlated (P=0.0007) with CR in Escherichia coli when data from the major referral centers of the Southern and Northern regions were combined.

Nanosilver-based antibacterial drugs and devices: mechanisms, methodological drawbacks, and guidelines

Despite the current advancement in drug discovery and pharmaceutical biotechnology, infection diseases induced by bacteria continue to be one of the greatest health problems worldwide, afflicting millions of people annually. Almost all microorganisms have, in fact, an intrinsic outstanding ability to flout many therapeutic interventions, thanks to their fast and easy-to-occur evolutionary genetic mechanisms. At the same time, big pharmaceutical companies are losing interest in new antibiotics development, shifting their capital investments in much more profitable research and development fields. New smart solutions are, thus, required to overcome such concerns, and should combine the feasibility of industrial production processes with cheapness and effectiveness. In this framework, nanotechnology-based solutions, and in particular silver nanoparticles (AgNPs), have recently emerged as promising candidates in the market as new antibacterial agents. AgNPs display, in fact, enhanced broad-range antibacterial/antiviral properties, and their synthesis procedures are quite cost effective. However, despite their increasing impact on the market, many relevant issues are still open. These include the molecular mechanisms governing the AgNPs-bacteria interactions, the physico-chemical parameters underlying their toxicity to prokaryotes, the lack of standardized methods and materials, and the uncertainty in the definition of general strategies to develop smart antibacterial drugs and devices based on nanosilver. In this review, we analyze the experimental data on the bactericidal effects of AgNPs, discussing the complex scenario and presenting the potential drawbacks and limitations in the techniques and methods employed. Moreover, after analyzing in depth the main mechanisms involved, we provide some general strategies/procedures to perform antibacterial tests of AgNPs, and propose some general guidelines for the design of antibacterial nanosystems and devices based on silver/nanosilver.

Antimicrobial resistance in Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus uberis and Streptococcus dysgalactiae from dairy cows with mastitis

AIMS

To determine the minimal inhibitory concentrations (MIC) of antimicrobials for common mastitis pathogens from dairy cows in New Zealand; and to assess the effect of source of the isolates, i.e. commercial veterinary laboratories or collected as part of research studies; the clinical status of the cow, i.e. subclinical or clinical mastitis; cow age and herd on the distribution of the MIC.

METHODS

Minimal inhibitory concentrations for Staphylococcus aureus (n=364), Streptococcus dysgalactiae (n=65) and Streptococcus uberis (n=102) isolated from milk samples from dairy cows were determined for a variety of antimicrobials using broth microdilution. Isolates of S. aureus were sourced from research studies from both subclinically (n=161) and clinically (n=104) affected cows, as well as from commercial veterinary laboratories (n=101); while all the streptococcal isolates were from commercial laboratories. Resistance was defined using the cut-points provided by the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute (CLSI).

RESULTS

The distribution of MIC varied among the bacterial species for every antimicrobial tested (p<0.001). Of the S. aureus isolates, 28, 2 and 0.5% were resistant to penicillin, ampicillin and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, respectively. For S. dysgalactiae and S. uberis isolates, 17 and 13% were resistant to trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, respectively. One isolate (1%) of S. uberis was resistant to penicillin. The distribution of MIC of S. aureus varied with clinical status, between herds, and with age of cow (p<0.05). The distribution of MIC for S. aureus for penicillin, amoxicillin/clavulanic acid, cloxacillin and ampicillin were lower from clinical than subclinical cases, and those for amoxicillin/clavulanic acid and oxytetracycline from isolates from veterinary laboratories were lower than for those from research studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Resistance to some beta-lactam antimicrobials and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole were found in isolates from cases of bovine mastitis. The distribution of MIC for isolates of S. aureus varied with clinical status of the cow, the age of the cow, the herd and with the source of isolate.

CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE

Resistance to penicillin was found in a quarter of S. aureus isolates, but in virtually no Streptococcus isolates; therefore microbial identification and sensitivity testing would be beneficial when assessing treatment options. The source of the isolates affected the estimated MIC, suggesting that selection of isolates for monitoring of resistance requires care and that use of routine submissions to commercial laboratories to assess antimicrobial resistance patterns may result in biased estimates of prevalence of resistance.

Epidemiological interpretation of studies examining the effect of antibiotic usage on resistance

Bacterial resistance to antibiotics is a growing clinical problem and public health threat. Antibiotic use is a known risk factor for the emergence of antibiotic resistance, but demonstrating the causal link between antibiotic use and resistance is challenging. This review describes different study designs for assessing the association between antibiotic use and resistance and discusses strengths and limitations of each. Approaches to measuring antibiotic use and antibiotic resistance are presented. Important methodological issues such as confounding, establishing temporality, and control group selection are examined.

Can the antibiogram be used to assess microbiologic outcomes after antimicrobial stewardship interventions? A critical review of the literature

Hospitals are implementing antimicrobial stewardship programs (ASPs) in response to national guidelines to improve the use and to extend the utility of antiinfective drugs. An often implied purpose of ASPs is to curb or reverse the emergence of resistant bacteria. Because antibiotic use causes antibiotic resistance, there is a natural tendency to link local measures of antibiotic use to local measures of bacterial resistance, and the hospital antibiogram is a readily available measure of resistance. We performed a literature review to identify published reports that used hospitalwide and unit-specific antibiograms to assess the relationship of ASP interventions to changes in resistance. Eight studies were identified and reviewed. The relationship between hospital antibiotic use and resistance is complex, and the existing literature has several limitations. Furthermore, the antibiogram itself is neither designed nor well suited to reflect changes in hospital antimicrobial drug use. The literature on the effectiveness of ASPs in reducing resistance continues to emerge, but at this time the antibiogram bears an inconsistent relationship with changes in hospital antibiotic use and cannot be recommended to reliably evaluate an ASP intervention. Interrupted time series analysis is a superior strategy to assess the effect of an ASP intervention on bacterial resistance, but it is not widely used because of its complexity and greater data requirements. Nevertheless, before ASP efforts can be convincingly demonstrated to have a favorable impact on resistance, a more sophisticated approach that links drug use to resistance should become a priority, at least for hospitals that have sufficient resources.

Nanotechnology tools for antibacterial materials

The understanding of the interactions between biological systems and nanoengineered devices is crucial in several research fields, including tissue engineering, biomechanics, synthetic biology and biomedical devices. This review discusses the current knowledge of the interactions between bacteria and abiotic nanostructured substrates. First, the effects of randomly organized nanoscale topography on bacterial adhesion and persistence are described. Second, the interactions between microorganisms and highly organized/ordered micro- and nano-patterns are discussed. Finally, we survey the most promising approaches for the fabrication of silver polymeric nanocomposites, which have important applications as antimicrobial materials. The advantages, drawbacks and limitations of such nanotechnologies are critically discussed in view of potential future applications.

Trends in aminoglycoside use and gentamicin-resistant gram-negative clinical isolates in US academic medical centers: implications for antimicrobial stewardship

OBJECTIVE

To measure trends in aminoglycoside antibiotic use and gentamicin-resistant clinical isolates across a network of hospitals and compare network-level relationships with those of individual hospitals.

DESIGN

Longitudinal observational investigation.

SETTING

US academic medical centers.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult inpatients.

METHODS

Adult aminoglycoside use was measured from 2002 or 2003 through 2009 in 29 hospitals. Hospital-wide antibiograms assessed gentamicin resistance by proportions and incidence rates for Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Acinetobacter baumannii, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Escherichia coli. Mixed-effects analysis of variance was used to assess the significance of changes in aminoglycoside use and changes in resistance rates and proportions. Generalized estimating equations were used to assess the relationship between aminoglycoside use and resistance.

RESULTS

Mean aminoglycoside use declined by 41%, reflecting reduced gentamicin (P < .0001) and tobramycin (P < .005) use; amikacin use did not change. The rate and proportion of gentamicin-resistant P. aeruginosa decreased by 48% (P < .0001) and 31% (P < .0001), respectively. The rate and proportion of gentamicin-resistant E. coli increased by 166% and 124%, respectively (P < .0001), and they were related to increasing quinolone resistance in E. coli. Resistance among K. pneumoniae and A. baumannii did not change. Relationships between aminoglycoside use and resistance at the network level were highly variable at the individual hospital level.

CONCLUSIONS

Mean aminoglycoside use declined in this network of US hospitals and was associated with significant and opposite changes in rates of resistance for some organisms and no change for others. At the individual hospital level, antibiograms appear to be an unreliable reflection of antibiotic use, at least for aminoglycosides.

The effects of group 1 versus group 2 carbapenems on imipenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa: an ecological study

Use of the group 2 carbapenems, imipenem and meropenem, may lead to emergence of Pseudomonas aeruginosa resistance. The group 1 carbapenem ertapenem has limited activity against P. aeruginosa and is not associated with imipenem-resistant P. aeruginosa (IMP-R PA) in vitro. This retrospective, group-level, longitudinal study collected patient, antibiotic use, and resistance data from 2001 to 2005 using a hospital database containing information on 9 medical wards. A longitudinal data time series analysis was done to evaluate the association between carbapenem use (defined daily doses, or DDDs) and IMP-R PA. A total of 139 185 patient admissions were included, with 541 150 antibiotics DDDs prescribed: 4637 DDDs of group 2 carbapenems and 2130 DDDs of ertapenem. A total of 779 IMP-R PA were isolated (5.6 cases/1000 admissions). Univariate analysis found a higher incidence of IMP-R PA with group 2 carbapenems (P < 0.001), aminoglycosides (P = 0.034), and penicillins (P = 0.05), but not with ertapenem. Multivariate analysis showed a yearly increase in incidence of IMP-R-PA (3.8%, P < 0.001). Group 2 carbapenem use was highly associated with IMP-R PA, with a 20% increase in incidence (P = 0.0014) for each 100 DDDs. Group 2 carbapenem use tended to be associated with an increased proportion of IMP-R PA (P = 0.0625) in multivariate analysis. Ertapenem was not associated with IMP-R PA. These data would support preferentially prescribing ertapenem rather than group 2 carbapenems where clinically appropriate.

Is methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus replacing methicillin-susceptible S. aureus?

Despite extensive research on the emergence of and treatments for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), prior studies have not rigorously evaluated the impact of methicillin resistance on the overall incidence of S. aureus infections. Yet, there are direct clinical and research implications of determining whether methicillin-susceptible S. aureus (MSSA) infection rates remain stable in the face of increasing MRSA prevalence or whether MSSA will be replaced over time. A synthesis of prior studies indicates that the emergence of healthcare-associated MRSA (HA-MRSA) and community-associated MRSA (CA-MRSA) has led to an increase in the overall incidence of S. aureus infections, with MRSA principally adding to, rather than replacing, MSSA. However, colonization with CA-MRSA may at least partially replace colonization with MSSA. So far, evidence indicates that MSSA still accounts for many infections. Therefore, eradication of MRSA alone is not sufficient to address the public health burden of S. aureus.

MRSA prevalence in European healthcare settings: a review

BACKGROUND

During the past two decades, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) has become increasingly common as a source of nosocomial infections. Most studies of MRSA surveillance were performed during outbreaks, so that results are not applicable to settings in which MRSA is endemic. This paper gives an overview of MRSA prevalence in hospitals and other healthcare institutions in non-outbreak situations in Western Europe.

METHODS

A keyword search was conducted in the Medline database (2000 through June 2010). Titles and abstracts were screened to identify studies on MRSA prevalence in patients in non-outbreak situations in European healthcare facilities. Each study was assessed using seven quality criteria (outcome definition, time unit, target population, participants, observer bias, screening procedure, swabbing sites) and categorized as 'good', 'fair', or 'poor'.

RESULTS

31 observational studies were included in the review. Four of the studies were of good quality. Surveillance screening of MRSA was performed in long-term care (11 studies) and acute care (20 studies). Prevalence rates varied over a wide range, from less than 1% to greater than 20%. Prevalence in the acute care and long-term care settings was comparable. The prevalence of MRSA was expressed in various ways - the percentage of MRSA among patients (range between 1% and 24%), the percentage of MRSA among S. aureus isolates (range between 5% and 54%), and as the prevalence density (range between 0.4 and 4 MRSA cases per 1,000 patient days). The screening policy differed with respect to time points (on admission or during hospital stay), selection criteria (all admissions or patients at high risk for MRSA) and anatomical sampling sites.

CONCLUSIONS

This review underlines the methodological differences between studies of MRSA surveillance. For comparisons between different healthcare settings, surveillance methods and outcome calculations should be standardized.

Fluoroquinolone use is not associated with the change in imipenem susceptibility of Pseudomonas aeruginosa in 25 hospitals

INTRODUCTION

Evidence suggests use of fluoroquinolones is associated with carbapenem resistance in Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and fluoroquinolone use has been identified as a risk factor for clinical acquisition of imipenem-resistant P. aeruginosa in single-center studies. Imipenem susceptibility and fluoroquinolone use was evaluated within 25 hospitals over 9 years.

METHODS

Use density ratios (UDR) for fluoroquinolones: ciprofloxacin, gatifloxacin, levofloxacin, and moxifloxacin, and for three other antibiotic classes (carbapenems: ertapenem, doripenem, imipenem, and meropenem; other antipseudomonal beta-lactams: cefepime, ceftazidime, and piperacillin/tazobactam; and aminoglycosides: gentamicin and tobramycin) were derived from drug purchase data for up to 9 years, ending in 2008. Susceptibility data were obtained from hospital antibiograms in corresponding years. A mixed model repeated measures ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) explored associations between 9-year repeated imipenem susceptibility and fluoroquinolone UDR in each year while controlling for other drug classes, teaching status, and number of beds.

RESULTS

All sites had 7 years of data; n=22 had 8 years; n=18 had 9 years. Teaching hospitals were 36% of the cohort; median number of beds was 714 for teaching hospitals and 381 for nonteaching hospitals. Fluoroquinolone use declined from year (Y) 1-5; such use then rose over Y6-9, which was heavily influenced by ciprofloxacin/moxifloxacin: mean fluoroquinolone UDR from Y1-9 was: 303.8, 186.5, 156.8, 174.4, 169.1, 275.0, 504.2, 477.0, and 423.3. Mean imipenem susceptibility was (Y1-9 %) 85.2, 82.8, 82.7, 82.2, 82.8, 82.4, 82.3, 81.7, and 80.6; this change across time was not significant (P=0.46). Change in 9-year imipenem susceptibility was not associated with fluoroquinolone UDR (P=0.17), nor with any other drug class (P>0.40 for each). Results were not different when considering only sites with top 25% fluoroquinolone UDR during Y7-9.

CONCLUSION

Single-center studies of fluoroquinolone use have reported changes in P. aeruginosa susceptibility to carbapenems. Our study finds no such association while controlling for other drug classes. As such, resistance development in individual patients versus institutions warrants further research.