Serial circulating tumour DNA analysis for locally advanced rectal cancer treated with preoperative therapy: prediction of pathological response and postoperative recurrence

The Role of Circulating Tumor DNA for Management of Patients With Rectal Cancer: Challenges and Opportunities

ABSTRACT

Recently, organ preservation with total neoadjuvant therapy resulted in substantial progress in the management of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The PROSPECT trial showed noninferiority of de-escalation of radiotherapy for patients with low-risk LARC who do not need abdominoperineal resection. Although these escalation and de-escalation approaches offer more personalized therapeutic approaches, the current state of care for patients with rectal cancer is far from individualized management. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is known to be one of the most powerful prognostic factors for early relapse and has been investigated in several interventional clinical trials to offer more precise treatment algorithms. In this review article, we discuss recent updates from studies examining the role of ctDNA for the prediction of treatment response and recurrence for patients with rectal cancer. We also elaborate on the future potential use of ctDNA in treatment escalation and de-escalation approaches for more personalized therapeutic interventions.

Assessing circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic biomarker in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a promising biomarker in various cancer types, including locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), offering potential insights into disease progression, treatment response and recurrence. This review aims to comprehensively evaluate the utility of ctDNA as a prognostic biomarker in LARC.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science were searched as part of our review. Studies investigating the utility of ctDNA in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) were assessed for eligibility. Quality assessment of included studies was performed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS) risk of bias tool. Outcomes extracted included basic participant characteristics, ctDNA details and survival data. A meta-analysis was performed on eligible studies to determine pooled recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

Twenty-two studies involving 1676 participants were included in our analysis. Methodological quality categorised by the Newcastle Ottawa Scale was generally satisfactory across included studies. ctDNA detected at various time intervals was generally associated with poor outcomes across included studies. Meta-analysis demonstrated a pooled hazard ratio of 8.87 (95% CI 4.91-16.03) and 15.15 (95% CI 8.21-27.95), indicating an increased risk of recurrence with ctDNA positivity in the post-neoadjuvant and post-operative periods respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review provides evidence supporting the prognostic utility of ctDNA in patients with LARC, particularly in identifying patients at higher risk of disease recurrence in the post-neoadjuvant and post-operative periods.

Neoadjuvant treatment of colorectal cancer: comprehensive review

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant therapy has an established role in the treatment of patients with colorectal cancer. However, its role continues to evolve due to both advances in the available treatment modalities, and refinements in the indications for neoadjuvant treatment and subsequent surgery.

METHODS

A narrative review of the most recent relevant literature was conducted.

RESULTS

Short-course radiotherapy and long-course chemoradiotherapy have an established role in improving local but not systemic disease control in patients with rectal cancer. Total neoadjuvant therapy offers advantages over short-course radiotherapy and long-course chemoradiotherapy, not only in terms of increased local response but also in reducing the risk of systemic relapses. Non-operative management is increasingly preferred to surgery in patients with rectal cancer and clinical complete responses but is still associated with some negative impacts on functional outcomes. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may be of some benefit in patients with locally advanced colon cancer with proficient mismatch repair, although patient selection is a major challenge. Neoadjuvant immunotherapy in patients with deficient mismatch repair cancers in the colon or rectum is altering the treatment paradigm for these patients.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant treatments for patients with colon or rectal cancers continue to evolve, increasing the complexity of decision-making for patients and clinicians alike. This review describes the current guidance and most recent developments.

Advancing Personalized Medicine in the Treatment of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Rectal cancer presents a significant burden globally, often requiring multimodal therapy for locally advanced cases. Long-course chemoradiotherapy (LCRT) and short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) followed by surgery have been conventional neoadjuvant approaches. Recent trials favor LCRT due to improved local control. However, distant tumor recurrence remains a concern, prompting the exploration of total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) as a comprehensive treatment strategy. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) show promise, particularly in mismatch repair-deficient (dMMR) or microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) tumors, potentially revolutionizing neoadjuvant regimens. Nonoperative management (NOM) represents a viable alternative post-neoadjuvant therapy for selected patients achieving complete clinical response (cCR). Additionally, monitoring minimal residual disease (MRD) using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) emerges as a non-invasive method for the assessment of treatment response. This review synthesizes current evidence on TNT, ICIs, NOM, and ctDNA, elucidating their implications for rectal cancer management and highlighting avenues for future research and clinical application.

Circulating Tumor DNA to Predict Radiographic and Pathologic Response to Total Neoadjuvant Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Despite advances in treatment and response assessment in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), it is unclear which patients should undergo nonoperative management (NOM). We performed a single-center, retrospective study to evaluate post-total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in predicting treatment response. We found that post-TNT ctDNA had a sensitivity of 23% and specificity of 100% for predicting residual disease upon resection, with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 100% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 47%. For predicting poor tumor regression on MRI, ctDNA had a sensitivity of 16% and specificity of 96%, with a PPV of 75% and NPV of 60%. A commercially available ctDNA assay was insufficient to predict residual disease after TNT and should not be used alone to select patients for NOM in LARC.

Circulating Nucleic Acids in Colorectal Cancer: Diagnostic and Prognostic Value

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most prevalent cancer in the world and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality. DNA (cfDNA/ctDNA) and RNA (cfRNA/ctRNA) in the blood are promising noninvasive biomarkers for molecular profiling, screening, diagnosis, treatment management, and prognosis of CRC. Technological advancements that enable precise detection of both genetic and epigenetic abnormalities, even in minute quantities in circulation, can overcome some of these challenges. This review focuses on testing for circulating nucleic acids in the circulation as a noninvasive method for CRC detection, monitoring, detection of minimal residual disease, and patient management. In addition, the benefits and drawbacks of various diagnostic techniques and associated bioinformatics tools have been detailed.

Liquid biopsy in colorectal cancer: Onward and upward

Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. In recent years, liquid biopsy has emerged as one of the most interesting areas of research in oncology, leading to innovative trials and practical changes in all aspects of CRC management. RNAs and cell free DNA (cfDNA) methylation are emerging as promising biomarkers for early diagnosis. Post-surgical circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) can aid in evaluating minimal residual disease and personalising adjuvant treatment. In rectal cancer, ctDNA could improve response assessment to neoadjuvant therapy and risk stratification, especially in the era of organ-preservation trials. In the advanced setting, ctDNA analysis offers the opportunity to monitor treatment response and identify driver and resistance mutations more comprehensively than traditional tissue analysis, providing prognostic and predictive information. The aim of this review is to provide a detailed overview of the clinical applications and future perspectives of liquid biopsy in CRC.

A Practical Approach to Interpreting Circulating Tumor DNA in the Management of Gastrointestinal Cancers

BACKGROUND

There is accumulating evidence supporting the clinical use of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in solid tumors, especially in different types of gastrointestinal cancer. As such, appraisal of the current and potential clinical utility of ctDNA is needed to guide clinicians in decision-making to facilitate its general applicability.

CONTENT

In this review, we firstly discuss considerations surrounding specimen collection, processing, storage, and analysis, which affect reporting and interpretation of results. Secondly, we evaluate a selection of studies on colorectal, esophago-gastric, and pancreatic cancer to determine the level of evidence for the use of ctDNA in disease screening, detection of molecular residual disease (MRD) and disease recurrence during surveillance, assessment of therapy response, and guiding targeted therapy. Lastly, we highlight current limitations in the clinical utility of ctDNA and future directions.

SUMMARY

Current evidence of ctDNA in gastrointestinal cancer is promising but varies depending on its specific clinical role and cancer type. Larger prospective trials are needed to validate different aspects of ctDNA clinical utility, and standardization of collection protocols, analytical assays, and reporting guidelines should be considered to facilitate its wider applicability.

Total neoadjuvant therapy in oesophageal and gastro-oesophageal junctional adenocarcinoma

Adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus and gastro-oesophageal junction represent a large burden of cancer death in the Western World with an increasing incidence. In the past two decades, the overall survival of patients on a potentially curative treatment pathway has more than doubled due to the addition of perioperative oncological therapies to surgery. However, patients often fail to respond to oncological treatment or struggle to complete their treatment after surgery. In this review, we discuss the current evidence for total neoadjuvant therapy and options for assessment of treatment response.

Metachronous colorectal cancer metastasis: Who, what, when and what to do about it

Metachronous colorectal cancer (CRC) metastasis occurs due to micrometastatic disease, in up to 23% of patients who have undergone curative-intent treatment. Metachronous metastasis tends to occur within 2 years of initial treatment. Diagnosis relies on posttreatment surveillance strategies. Care for patients with metachronous CRC metastasis is complex and requires careful multidisciplinary consideration. Those with isolated and technically resectable diseases are recommended to undergo metastasectomy with adjunct chemotherapy, however, survival, even after curative-intent resection, is poor.

Prognostic Value of ctDNA Detection in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly used as a biomarker for metastatic rectal cancer and has recently shown promising results in the early detection of recurrence risk.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the prognostic value of ctDNA detection in LARC patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). We systematically searched electronic databases for observational or interventional studies that included LARC patients undergoing nCRT. Study selection according to the PRISMA guidelines and quality assessment of the REMARK tool for biomarker studies. The primary endpoint was the impact of ctDNA detection at different time points (baseline, post-nCRT, post-surgery) on relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The secondary endpoint was to study the association between ctDNA detection and pathological complete response(pCR) at different time points.

RESULTS

After further review and analysis of the 625 articles initially retrieved, we finally included 10 eligible studies. We found no significant correlation between ctDNA detection at baseline and long-term survival outcomes or the probability of achieving a pCR. However, the presence of ctDNA at post-nCRT was associated with worse RFS (HR = 9.16, 95% CI, 5.48-15.32), worse OS (HR = 8.49, 95% CI, 2.20-32.72), and worse pCR results (OR = 0.40, 95%CI, 0.18-0.89). The correlation between the presence of ctDNA at post-surgery and worse RFS was more obvious (HR = 14.94; 95% CI, 7.48-9.83).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that ctDNA detection is a promising biomarker for the evaluation of response and prognosis in LARC patients undergoing nCRT, which merits further evaluation in the following prospective trials.

A Review of Circulating Tumor DNA as a Biomarker Guide for Total Neoadjuvant Therapy in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

PURPOSE

Non-operative management of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is emerging as a popular approach for patients that have no evidence of disease following neoadjuvant therapy. However, high rates of local recurrence or distant metastases have highlighted the urgent need for robust biomarker strategies to aid clinical management of these patients.

METHODS

This review summarizes recent advances in the utility of cell-free (cf) and circulating tumor (ct) DNA as potential biomarkers to help guide individualized non-operative management strategies for LARC patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy.

RESULTS

Liquid biopsies and the detection of cfDNA/ctDNA is an emerging technology with the potential to provide a non-invasive approach to monitor disease response and improve the identification of patients with LARC that would best benefit from non-operative management.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial work is still needed before cfDNA/ctDNA monitoring can be widely adopted in the clinical setting. Studies reviewed herein highlight several areas of opportunity for improving the effectiveness and utility of cfDNA/ctDNA for managing patients with LARC.

The Crying Need for a Better Response Assessment in Rectal Cancer

OPINION STATEMENT

Since total neoadjuvant treatment achieves almost 30% pathologic complete response, organ preservation has been increasingly debated for good responders after neoadjuvant treatment for patients diagnosed with rectal cancer. Two organ preservation strategies are available: a watch and wait strategy and a local excision strategy including patients with a near clinical complete response. A major issue is the selection of patients according to the initial tumor staging or the response assessment. Despite modern imaging improvement, identifying complete response remains challenging. A better selection could be possible by radiomics analyses, exploiting numerous image features to feed data characterization algorithms. The subsequent step is to include baseline and/or pre-therapeutic MRI, PET-CT, and CT radiomics added to the patients' clinicopathological data, inside machine learning (ML) prediction models, with predictive or prognostic purposes. These models could be further improved by the addition of new biomarkers such as circulating tumor biomarkers, molecular profiling, or pathological immune biomarkers.

Circulating Tumour DNA as Biomarker for Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is a potential biomarker that could contribute to more judicious patient selection for personalised treatment. This review and meta-analysis gives an overview of the current knowledge in the literature investigating the value of ctDNA in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). A systematic search was conducted in electronic databases for studies published prior to the 26th of May 2023. Studies investigating the association between ctDNA and oncological outcomes in patients undergoing curative-intent local therapy for CRLM were included. Meta-analyses were performed to pool hazard ratios (HR) for the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). A total of eleven studies were included and nine were eligible for meta-analyses. Patients with detectable ctDNA after surgery experienced a significantly higher chance of recurrence (HR 3.12, 95% CI 2.27-4.28, p < 0.000010) and shorter OS (HR 5.04, 95% CI 2.53-10.04, p < 0.00001) compared to patients without detectable ctDNA. A similar association for recurrence was found in patients with detectable ctDNA after the completion of adjuvant therapy (HR 6.39, 95% CI 2.13-19.17, p < 0.0009). The meta-analyses revealed no association between detectable ctDNA before surgery and the RFS and OS. These meta-analyses demonstrate the strong association between detectable ctDNA after treatment and oncological outcomes in CRLM patients.

The clinical application of ctDNA to predict response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally-advanced rectal cancer

Colorectal cancer is a major cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. A third of colorectal cancers reside in the rectum. Many patients with rectal cancer present in the locally-advanced stage which needs multi-modality therapy usually starting with neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant systemic chemotherapy. Total neoadjuvant therapy, defined as the preoperative administration of both neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and systemic chemotherapy is also an evolving treatment that can be delivered if indications for preoperative chemotherapy exist. Identifying biomarkers to predict response to neoadjuvant therapy, can improve patient selection for a non-surgical, active surveillance approach. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can be detected in about 75% of patients with locally-advanced rectal cancer (LARC) at the baseline and in about 15-20% of patients in the post-neoadjuvant, or postoperative setting. ctDNA clearance rate after delivering neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, or integrating baseline ctDNA with other conventional markers of clinical response can be a promising marker to select and monitor patients on the "watch and wait" approach. In this article, we aimed to integrate the recent findings and provide a unique insight into the utilization of preoperative ctDNA to predict clinical response in patients with LARC. We also sought to highlight the potential areas for future research in this field. Further studies with a larger number of participants from diverse populations and settings are needed to increase external validity of such investigations and determine the role of ctDNA in guiding clinical decisions and management of patients with LARC.

The potential role of minimal/molecular residual disease in colorectal cancer: curative surgery, radiotherapy and beyond

Detection of minimal/molecular residual disease (MRD) based on ctDNA assay develops from hematological malignancies to solid tumors. Generally, there are two mainstream assays in MRD testing technology: tumor-informed and tumor-agnostic. For colorectal cancer (CRC), MRD is used not only to monitor recurrence and predict prognosis, but also to help in clinical decision making and assessment of clinical efficacy in the settings of curative surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and surveillance. Accumulated clinical trials are exploring roles of MRD in early or advanced stages of CRC. Here, we give an overview of how MRD is and will be used in CRC.

Treatment stratification and prognosis assessment using circulating tumor DNA in locally advanced rectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is an emerging biomarker for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), giving hope for stratified treatment. As the completed studies have small sample sizes and different experimental methods, systematic review and meta-analysis were performed to explore their role in predicting pathological complete response (pCR), tumor recurrence, and prognosis.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and the Web of Science were searched for potentially eligible studies published up to September 6, 2022. Pooled relative risk (RR) was calculated to predict pCR and tumor recurrence, and pooled hazard ratio (HR) was calculated to evaluate the prognosis of overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and metastasis-free survival (MRS).

RESULTS

Twelve studies published between 2018 and 2022 included 931 patients, and 2544 serum samples were eventually included in the meta-analysis. The pooled revealed that ctDNA-negative patients were more likely to have a pCR (RR = 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.26-2.12). The pooled revealed that ctDNA-positive patients were at high risk of recurrence (RR = 3.37, 95% CI: 2.34-4.85) and had a poorer prognosis for OS (HR = 3.03, 95% CI: 1.86-4.95), RFS (HR = 7.08, 95% CI: 4.12-12.14), and MRS (HR = 2.77, 95% CI: 2.01-3.83).

CONCLUSION

ctDNA may be useful for stratifying treatment and assessing prognosis in patients with LARC, but its clinical application still needs to be confirmed in a prospective multicenter study with large samples.

Practical recommendations for using ctDNA in clinical decision making

The continuous improvement in cancer care over the past decade has led to a gradual decrease in cancer-related deaths. This is largely attributed to improved treatment and disease management strategies. Early detection of recurrence using blood-based biomarkers such as circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is being increasingly used in clinical practice. Emerging real-world data shows the utility of ctDNA in detecting molecular residual disease and in treatment-response monitoring, helping clinicians to optimize treatment and surveillance strategies. Many studies have indicated ctDNA to be a sensitive and specific biomarker for recurrence. However, most of these studies are largely observational or anecdotal in nature, and peer-reviewed data regarding the use of ctDNA are mainly indication-specific. Here we provide general recommendations on the clinical utility of ctDNA and how to interpret ctDNA analysis in different treatment settings, especially in patients with solid tumours. Specifically, we provide an understanding around the implications, strengths and limitations of this novel biomarker and how to best apply the results in clinical practice.

Circulating tumor DNA detection after neoadjuvant treatment and surgery predicts recurrence in patients with early-stage and locally advanced rectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Patients with early-stage and locally advanced rectal cancer are often treated with neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery or watch and wait. This study evaluated the role of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to measure disease after neoadjuvant treatment and surgery to optimize treatment choices.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with rectal cancer treated with both chemotherapy and radiotherapy were included and diagnostic biopsies were analyzed for tumor-specific mutations. Presence of ctDNA was measured in plasma by tracing the tumor-informed mutations using a next-generation sequencing panel. The association between ctDNA detection and clinicopathological characteristics and progression-free survival was measured.

RESULTS

Before treatment ctDNA was detected in 69% (35/51) of patients. After neoadjuvant therapy ctDNA was detected in only 15% (5/34) of patients. In none of the patients with a complete clinical response who were selected for a watch and wait strategy (0/10) or patients with ypN0 disease (0/8) ctDNA was detected, whereas it was detected in 31% (5/16) of patients with ypN + disease. After surgery ctDNA was detected in 16% (3/19) of patients, of which all (3/3) developed recurrent disease compared to only 13% (2/16) in patients with undetected ctDNA after surgery. In an exploratory survival analysis, both ctDNA detection after neoadjuvant therapy and after surgery was associated with worse progression-free survival (p = 0.01 and p = 0.007, respectively, Cox-regression).

CONCLUSION

These data show that in patients with early-stage and locally advanced rectal cancer tumor-informed ctDNA detection in plasma using ultradeep sequencing may have clinical value to complement response prediction after neoadjuvant therapy and surgery.

Circulating tumour DNA in colorectal cancer management

Circulating tumour DNA analysis can be performed using two opposing paradigms: tumour-informed and tumour-agnostic approaches. The first requires sequencing data from the primary tumour sample to identify tumour DNA in circulation, whereas the latter occurs without previous primary tumour genetic profiling.

Several preanalytical and laboratory considerations need to be taken into account before proceeding with in-house circulating tumour DNA analysis.

Detection of circulating tumour DNA after curative resection is associated with a significant risk of recurrence. For those with stage II disease and detectable postoperative circulating tumour DNA, administration of adjuvant chemotherapy results in a reduction in the number of patients receiving chemotherapy while providing non-inferior recurrence-free survival compared with standard histopathological decision-making algorithms.

Monitoring circulating tumour DNA during post-treatment surveillance may provide a significantly earlier diagnosis of recurrence.

Evaluation of ctDNA in the Prediction of Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy and Prognosis in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients: A Prospective Study

“Watch and wait” is becoming a common treatment option for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) submitted to neoadjuvant treatment. However, currently, no clinical modality has an acceptable accuracy for predicting pathological complete response (pCR). The aim of this study was to assess the clinical utility of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in predicting the response and prognosis in these patients. We prospectively enrolled a cohort of three Iberian centers between January 2020 and December 2021 and performed an analysis on the association of ctDNA with the main response outcomes and disease-free survival (DFS). The rate of pCR in the total sample was 15.3%. A total of 24 plasma samples from 18 patients were analyzed by next-generation sequencing. At baseline, mutations were detected in 38.9%, with the most common being TP53 and KRAS. Combination of either positive magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) extramural venous invasion (mrEMVI) and ctDNA increased the risk of poor response (p = 0.021). Also, patients with two mutations vs. those with fewer than two mutations had a worse DFS (p = 0.005). Although these results should be read carefully due to sample size, this study suggests that baseline ctDNA combined with mrEMVI could potentially help to predict the response and baseline ctDNA number of mutations might allow the discrimination of groups with different DFS. Further studies are needed to clarify the role of ctDNA as an independent tool in the selection and management of LARC patients.

Extramural vascular invasion nomogram before radical resection of rectal cancer based on magnetic resonance imaging

Purpose

This study verified the value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to construct a nomogram to preoperatively predict extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) in rectal cancer using MRI characteristics.

Materials and methods

There were 55 rectal cancer patients with EMVI and 49 without EMVI in the internal training group. The external validation group consisted of 54 rectal cancer patients with EMVI and 55 without EMVI. High-resolution rectal T2WI, pelvic diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) sequences, and dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) were used. We collected the following data: distance between the lower tumor margin and the anal margin, distance between the lower tumor margin and the anorectal ring, tumor proportion of intestinal wall, mrT stage, maximum tumor diameter, circumferential resection margin, superior rectal vein width, apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), T2WI EMVI score, DWI and DCE-MRI EMVI scores, demographic information, and preoperative serum tumor marker data. Logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors of EMVI. A nomogram prediction model was constructed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis verified the predictive ability of the nomogram. P &lt; 0.05 was considered significant.

Result

Tumor proportion of intestinal wall, superior rectal vein width, T2WI EMVI score, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 were significant independent predictors of EMVI in rectal cancer and were used to create the model. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivities, and specificities of the nomogram were 0.746, 65.45%, and 83.67% for the internal training group, respectively, and 0.780, 77.1%, and 71.3% for the external validation group, respectively.

Data conclusion

A nomogram including MRI characteristics can predict EMVI in rectal cancer preoperatively and provides a valuable reference to formulate individualized treatment plans and predict prognosis.

Optimizing Circulating Tumour DNA Use in the Perioperative Setting for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Diagnosis, Screening, Minimal Residual Disease Detection and Treatment Response Monitoring

In this review, we present the current evidence and future perspectives on the use of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in the diagnosis, management and understanding the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) undergoing surgery. Liquid biopsies or ctDNA maybe utilized to: (1) determine the molecular profile of the tumour and therefore guide the selection of molecular targeted therapy in the neoadjuvant setting, (2) form a surveillance tool for the detection of minimal residual disease or cancer recurrence after surgery, and (3) diagnose and screen for early iCCA detection in high-risk populations. The potential for ctDNA can be tumour-informed or -uninformed depending on the goals of its use. Future studies will require ctDNA extraction technique validations, with standardizations of both the platforms and the timing of ctDNA collections.

Circulating tumour DNA as biomarker for rectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analyses

Background

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has been established as a promising (prognostic) biomarker with the potential to personalise treatment in cancer patients. The objective of this systematic review is to provide an overview of the current literature and the future perspectives of ctDNA in non-metastatic rectal cancer.

Methods

A comprehensive search for studies published prior to the 4^th of October 2022 was conducted in Embase, Medline, Cochrane, Google scholar, and Web of Science. Only peer-reviewed original articles and ongoing clinical trials investigating the association between ctDNA and oncological outcomes in non-metastatic rectal cancer patients were included. Meta-analyses were performed to pool hazard ratios (HR) for recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

A total of 291 unique records were screened, of which 261 were original publications and 30 ongoing trials. Nineteen original publications were reviewed and discussed, of which seven provided sufficient data for meta-analyses on the association between the presence of post-treatment ctDNA and RFS. Results of the meta-analyses demonstrated that ctDNA analysis can be used to stratify patients into very high and low risk groups for recurrence, especially when detected after neoadjuvant treatment (HR for RFS: 9.3 [4.6 - 18.8]) and after surgery (HR for RFS: 15.5 [8.2 - 29.3]). Studies investigated different types of assays and used various techniques for the detection and quantification of ctDNA.

Conclusions

This literature overview and meta-analyses provide evidence for the strong association between ctDNA and recurrent disease. Future research should focus on the feasibility of ctDNA-guided treatment and follow-up strategies in rectal cancer. A blueprint for agreed-upon timing, preprocessing, and assay techniques is needed to empower adaptation of ctDNA into daily practice.

Promises and Challenges of Predictive Blood Biomarkers for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Treated with Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

The treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) requires a multimodal approach combining neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and surgery. Predicting tumor response to CRT can guide clinical decision making and improve patient care while avoiding unnecessary toxicity and morbidity. Circulating biomarkers offer both the advantage to be easily accessed and followed over time. In recent years, biomarkers such as proteins, blood cells, or nucleic acids have been investigated for their predictive value in oncology. We conducted a comprehensive literature review with the aim to summarize the status of circulating biomarkers predicting response to CRT in LARC. Forty-nine publications, of which forty-seven full-text articles, one review and one systematic review, were retrieved. These studies evaluated circulating markers (CEA and CA 19-9), inflammatory biomarkers (CRP, albumin, and lymphocytes), hematologic markers (hemoglobin and thrombocytes), lipids and circulating nucleic acids (cell-free DNA [cfDNA], circulating tumor DNA [ctDNA], and microRNA [miRNA]). Post-CRT CEA levels had the most consistent association with tumor response, while cfDNA integrity index, MGMT promoter methylation, ERCC-1, miRNAs, and miRNA-related SNPs were identified as potential predictive markers. Although circulating biomarkers hold great promise, inconsistent results, low statistical power, and low specificity and sensibility prevent them from reliably predicting tumor response following CRT. Validation and standardization of methods and technologies are further required to confirm results.

Circulating tumour DNA in the evolving treatment landscape of locally advanced rectal cancer: where does it fit in?

The management of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) requires multimodality treatment, typically with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision. However, the treatment landscape is rapidly evolving with total neoadjuvant therapy and non-operative management for selected patients emerging as other novel treatment approaches. With so many treatment options, there is a need for biomarkers to direct a more personalised treatment strategy for patients with LARC. In this review, we summarise the available data regarding the use of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in patients with LARC, as both a marker of treatment response to neoadjuvant therapy and as a marker of minimal residual disease (MRD) after patients have completed definitive local treatment. To date, the ability of ctDNA status to predict for pathologic complete response at any timepoint during multimodality treatment has been variably reported. The most consistent finding across available studies is the ability of ctDNA to detect MRD after CRT and surgery, the presence of which confers a significantly poor prognosis, with increased risk of cancer recurrence and worse overall survival. It is yet to be determined if providing additional therapies to patients with MRD improves outcomes. The available studies assessing the potential utility of ctDNA in LARC are limited by significant heterogeneity in the choice of ctDNA assay, timepoint at which ctDNA was collected, treatment that patients received and length of follow-up, leading to uncertainties about how to implement it into daily clinical practice. As the treatment landscape evolves, larger randomised trials assessing the role of ctDNA in LARC are needed.

Local tumor regrowth after clinical complete response following neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer: what happens when organ preservation falls short

Organ preservation strategies, especially watch and wait, after neoadjuvant treatment in locally advanced rectal cancer, have become topics that generate significant interest, for both patients and clinicians. The obvious advantage of these strategies is the avoidance of surgery with its associated risks and functional consequences. Over time, it has become evident that these strategies offer acceptable safety in oncological terms and, in most patients, allows preservation of the rectum without harming patients in terms of distant metastasis or survival. However, there is a small group of patients in whom the tumor returns after an initially diagnosed clinical complete response; patients with local tumor regrowth. The main threat in these patients is not simply local disease, which can be successfully managed in most cases, but the possible effects it may have on distant metastases. The pathophysiology of the phenomenon of local tumor regrowth is not well known and, therefore, strategies to minimize possible impact on survival are not well defined. Our aim is to review key issues in this subgroup that pose a substantial threat to the safety and viability of organ-preserving and watch-and-wait strategies. We also explore possible pathophysiologic explanations and future directions and perspectives that may improve both local and systemic disease control.

Clinical applications of circulating tumor-derived DNA in the management of gastrointestinal cancers – current evidence and future directions

Advances in Next Generation Sequencing (NGS) technologies have enabled the accurate detection and quantification of circulating tumor-derived (ct)DNA in most gastrointestinal (GI) cancers. The prognostic and predictive utility of ctDNA in patiets with different stages of colorectal (CRC), gastro-esophageal (GEC) and pancreaticobiliary cancers (PBC) are currently under active investigation. The most mature clinical data to date are derived from studies in the prognostic utility of personalized ctDNA-based NGS assays in the detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) and early recurrence after surgery in CRC and other GI cancers. These findings are being validated in several prospective studies which are designed to test if ctDNA could outperform conventional approaches in guiding adjuvant chemotherapy, and in post-operative surveillance in some GI cancers. Several adaptive studies using ctDNA as a screening platform are also being used to identify patients with actionable genomic alterations for clinical trials of targeted therapies. In the palliative setting, ctDNA monitoring during treatment has shown promise in the detection and tracking of clonal variants associated with acquired resistance to targeted therapies and immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Moreover, ctDNA may help to guide the therapeutic re-challenge of targeted therapies in patients who have prior exposure to such treatment. This review will examine the most updated research findings on ctDNA as a biomarker in CRC, GEC and PBCs. It aims to provide insights into how the unique strengths of this biomarker could be optimally leveraged in improving the management of these GI cancers.

The Role of Biomarkers in the Management of Colorectal Liver Metastases

Simple Summary

Colorectal cancer remains one of the most significant sources of cancer-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. The liver is the most common site of metastatic spread. Multiple modalities exist to manage and potentially cure patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. However, reliable biomarkers to assist with clinical decision-making are limited. Recent advances in genomic sequencing technology have greatly expanded our knowledge of colorectal cancer carcinogenesis and significantly reduced the cost and timing of the investigation. In this article, we discuss the current utility of biomarkers in the management of colorectal cancer liver metastases.

Abstract

Surgical management combined with improved systemic therapies have extended 5-year overall survival beyond 50% among patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Furthermore, a multitude of liver-directed therapies has improved local disease control for patients with unresectable CRLM. Unfortunately, a significant portion of patients treated with curative-intent hepatectomy develops disease recurrence. Traditional markers fail to risk-stratify and prognosticate patients with CRLM appropriately. Over the last few decades, advances in molecular sequencing technology have greatly expanded our knowledge of the pathophysiology and tumor microenvironment characteristics of CRLM. These investigations have revealed biomarkers with the potential to better inform management decisions in patients with CRLM. Actionable biomarkers such as RAS and BRAF mutations, microsatellite instability/mismatch repair status, and tumor mutational burden have been incorporated into national and societal guidelines. Other biomarkers, including circulating tumor DNA and radiomic features, are under active investigation to evaluate their clinical utility. Given the plethora of therapeutic modalities and lack of evidence on timing and sequence, reliable biomarkers are needed to assist clinicians with the development of patient-tailored management plans. In this review, we discuss the current evidence regarding biomarkers for patients with CRLM.

Predicting neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response with functional imaging and liquid biomarkers in locally advanced rectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Non-invasive predictive quantitative biomarkers are required to guide treatment individualization in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) in order to maximise therapeutic outcomes and minimise treatment toxicity. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), positron emission tomography (PET) and blood biomarkers have the potential to predict chemoradiotherapy (CRT) response in LARC.

AREAS COVERED

This review examines the value of functional imaging (MRI and PET) and liquid biomarkers (circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and circulating tumor nucleic acid (ctNA)) in the prediction of CRT response in LARC. Selected imaging and liquid biomarker studies are presented and the current status of the most promising imaging (apparent diffusion co-efficient (ADC), K^trans, SUV_max, metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and liquid biomarkers (circulating tumor cells (CTCs), circulating tumor nucleic acid (ctNA)) is discussed. The potential applications of imaging and liquid biomarkers for treatment stratification and a pathway to clinical translation are presented.

EXPERT OPINION

Functional imaging and liquid biomarkers provide novel ways of predicting CRT response. The clinical and technical validation of the most promising imaging and liquid biopsy biomarkers in multi-centre studies with harmonised acquisition techniques is required. This will enable clinical trials to investigate treatment escalation or de-escalation pathways in rectal cancer.

ctDNA for Risk of Recurrence Assessment in Patients Treated with Neoadjuvant Treatment: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We wanted to investigate the association between circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection at baseline, during and after neoadjuvant treatment, after surgery, and recurrence, in patients with nonmetastatic cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we included studies that investigated patients undergoing neoadjuvant treatment for nonmetastatic cancer and provided recurrence indices stratified for ctDNA status at the following timepoints: baseline, during treatment, posttreatment, and postsurgery. Study quality was reported with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale, REMARK checklist, and GRADE approach. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were our data sources (inception to 3 June 2021). The main outcome was risk of recurrence.

RESULTS

We identified ten studies including 727 patients with rectal, breast, gastric, and bladder cancer. All studies reported posttreatment ctDNA analysis, while seven, four, and six reported baseline, during treatment, and postsurgery ctDNA analysis, respectively. ctDNA detection was associated to recurrence across all timepoints [baseline: risk ratio (RR) 2.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-6.14, during treatment: RR 3.81, 95% CI 2.09-6.92, posttreatment: RR 4.29, 95% CI 2.79-6.60, postsurgery: RR 8.03, 95% CI 3.16-20.43]. Heterogeneity was low to moderate.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis of observational studies found that ctDNA detection in patients undergoing neoadjuvant treatment for nonmetastatic cancer was associated with recurrence. A stronger association was evident in posttreatment and postsurgery timepoints. However, some studies reported low negative predictive value (NPV) of pathological complete response, showing that ctDNA-detection-guided escalation and de-escalation studies following neoadjuvant treatment regimens are needed before its role as a treatment guidance can be affirmed.

A Pilot, Prospective, Observational Study to Investigate the Value of NGS in Liquid Biopsies to Predict Tumor Response After Neoadjuvant Chemo-Radiotherapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: The LiBReCa Study

Introduction

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) correlates with the response to therapy in different types of cancer. However, in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), little is known about how ctDNA levels change with neoadjuvant chemoradiation (Na-ChRT) and how they correlate with treatment response. This work aimed to explore the value of serial liquid biopsies in monitoring response after Na-ChRT with the hypothesis that this could become a reliable biomarker to identify patients with a complete response, candidates for non-operative management.

Materials and Methods

Twenty-five consecutive LARC patients undergoing long-term Na-ChRT therapy were included. Applying next-generation sequencing (NGS), we characterized DNA extracted from formalin-fixed paraffin embedded diagnostic biopsy and resection tissue and plasma ctDNA collected at the following time points: the first and last days of radiotherapy (T0, Tend), at 4 (T4), 7 (T7) weeks after radiotherapy, on the day of surgery (Top), and 3–7 days after surgery (Tpost-op). On the day of surgery, a mesenteric vein sample was also collected (TIMV). The relationship between the ctDNA at those time-points and the tumor regression grade (TRG) of the surgical specimen was statistically explored.

Results

We found no association between the disappearance of ctDNA mutations in plasma samples and pathological complete response (TRG1) as ctDNA was undetectable in the majority of patients from Tend on. However, we observed that the poor (TRG 4) response to Na-ChRT was significantly associated with a positive liquid biopsy at the Top.

Conclusions

ctDNA evaluation by NGS technology may identify LARC patients with poor response to Na-ChRT. In contrast, this technique does not seem useful for identifying patients prone to developing a complete response.

The Prognostic Importance of ctDNA in Rectal Cancer: A Critical Reappraisal

Simple Summary

An individualized treatment approach is necessary to improve survival and quality of life in rectal cancer. Tools to stratify patients are missing, but ctDNA seems to be a good candidate. Current results are sparse, conflicting and characterized by lack of a uniform approach. As the interpretation of results is dependent on the quality of reporting, we aimed to address this issue in our paper. Our results indicate an association between ctDNA status and outcome. In six out of nine papers, bias was low. However, a conclusion is dubious because of the heterogeneity among the studies and lack of standardized methods. Studies addressing these issues are warranted.

Abstract

The treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) has evolved during the last decades, but recurrence remains a problem. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may result in an individualized treatment approach with improved survival and quality of life, but diverging results impede further development. In this systematic review, we addressed the quality of reporting and its impact on the interpretation of ctDNA results. We performed a systematic literature search using subject headings and search terms related to ctDNA and rectal cancer. The Quality of Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to assess bias. Nine studies, with substantial heterogeneity, were included in the analysis. Three out of nine articles had moderate or high risk of bias. No association was found between treatment response and ctDNA status at baseline. There was a negative association between ctDNA positivity at baseline, before and after surgery and survival. The ctDNA status may be of importance to the long-term prognosis, but the area of research is new and is short of dedicated studies. There is an obvious need for standardization in ctDNA research, and the issue should be addressed in future research.

Nucleic acid-based markers of response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

The progress that has been made in the treatment of rectal cancer has mostly resulted from multimodality strategy approach that combines surgery, chemotherapy and radiotherapy. In locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), surgery remains the primary treatment, while neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) is used to downsize or downstage the tumor before surgical resection. Highly variable response to nCRT observed in LARC patients raises the need for biomarkers to enable prediction and evaluation of treatment response in a more efficient and timely manner than currently available tools. The search for predictive biomarkers continues beyond blood proteins, which have failed in subsequent validation studies. This review presents nucleic acids-based markers and their predictive potential in LARC patients. Most of the candidate biomarkers come from relatively small single-institution studies. The only candidate biomarker that emerged as relevant in more than a single study was elevated levels of Fusobacterium nucleatum nucleic acids in tumor tissue. Considering that this marker is easily accessible through non-invasive analysis of faecal samples, its predictive potential is worth further validation. The other candidate nucleic acid-based biomarkers require more consistent studies on larger cohorts before they can be considered for use in clinical setting.

Liquid biopsies to monitor and direct cancer treatment in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most prevalent and deadly cancers worldwide. Despite recent improvements in treatment and prevention, most of the current therapeutic options are weighted by side effects impacting patients’ quality of life. Better patient selection towards systemic treatments represents an unmet clinical need. The recent multidisciplinary and molecular advancements in the treatment of CRC patients demand the identification of efficient biomarkers allowing to personalise patient care. Currently, core tumour biopsy specimens represent the gold-standard biological tissue to identify such biomarkers. However, technical feasibility, tumour heterogeneity and cancer evolution are major limitations of this single-snapshot approach. Genotyping circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has been addressed as potentially overcoming such limitations. Indeed, ctDNA has been retrospectively demonstrated capable of identifying minimal residual disease post-surgery and post-adjuvant treatment, as well as spotting druggable molecular alterations for tailoring treatments in metastatic disease. In this review, we summarise the available evidence on ctDNA applicability in CRC. Then, we review ongoing clinical trials assessing how liquid biopsy can be used interventionally to guide therapeutic choice in localised, locally advanced and metastatic CRC. Finally, we discuss how its widespread could transform CRC patients’ management, dissecting its limitations while suggesting improvement strategies.

Predicting response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer: from biomarkers to tumor models

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a major contributor to cancer-associated morbidity worldwide and over one-third of CRC is located in the rectum. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by surgical resection is commonly applied to treat locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). In this review, we summarize current and novel concepts of neoadjuvant therapy for LARC such as total neoadjuvant therapy and describe how these developments impact treatment response. Moreover, as response to nCRT is highly divergent in rectal cancers, we discuss the role of potential predictive biomarkers. We review recent advances in biomarker discovery, from a clinical as well as a histopathological and molecular perspective. Furthermore, the role of emerging predictive biomarkers derived from the tumor environment such as immune cell composition and gut microbiome is presented. Finally, we describe how different tumor models such as patient-derived cancer organoids are used to identify novel predictive biomarkers for chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in rectal cancer.

Clinical Validity of Circulating Tumor DNA as Prognostic and Predictive Marker for Personalized Colorectal Cancer Patient Management

Simple Summary

CtDNA analysis is a promising tool in liquid biopsy for the detection of tumor recurrence and progression, and is increasingly adopted into clinical practice. Still, guidelines for the accurate clinical interpretation of ctDNA analysis results are largely lacking, especially for tumor mutant variants detected at very low frequencies. Here, we show that cutoff determination for the detection and quantification of low-frequency mutant variants enables the accurate prediction of residual disease, tumor recurrence and progression, even before clinical evidence. CtDNA analysis using these cutoffs outperformed cfDNA and CEA level measurements. With these findings, we highlight the need to thoroughly validate each liquid biopsy assay and define the assay-specific limit of blanks (LOB) and limit of quantifications (LOQ) of BRAF p.V600E and KRAS p.G12/p.G13 assays for clinical interpretation. Our approach enables accurate clinical interpretation to support clinical decision making.

Abstract

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a promising liquid biopsy (LB) marker to support clinical decisions in precision medicine. For implementation into routine clinical practice, clinicians need precise ctDNA level cutoffs for reporting residual disease and monitoring tumor burden changes during therapy. We clinically validated the limit of blank (LOB) and the limit of quantification (LOQ) of assays for the clinically most relevant somatic variants BRAF p.V600E and KRAS p.G12/p.G13 in colorectal cancer (CRC) in a study cohort encompassing a total of 212 plasma samples. We prove that residual disease detection using the LOB as a clinically verified cutoff for ctDNA positivity is in concordance with clinical evidence of metastasis or recurrence. We further show that tumor burden changes during chemotherapy and the course of disease are correctly predicted using the LOQ as a cutoff for quantitative ctDNA changes. The high potential of LB using ctDNA for accurately predicting the course of disease was proven by direct comparison to the routinely used carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) as well as the circulating free DNA (cfDNA) concentration. Our results show that LB using validated ctDNA assays outperforms CEA and cfDNA for residual disease detection and the prediction of tumor burden changes.

The "Immunoscore" in rectal cancer: could we search quality beyond quantity of life?

Because of the function and anatomical environment of the rectum, therapeutic strategies for local advanced rectal cancer (LARC) must deal with two challenging stressors that are a high-risk of local and distal recurrences and a high-risk of poor quality of life (QoL). Over the last three decades, advances in screening tests, therapies, and combined-modality treatment options and strategies have improved the prognosis of patients with LARC. However, owing to the heterogeneous nature of LARC and genetic status, the patient may not respond to a specific therapy and may be at increased risk of side-effects without the life-prolonging benefit. Indeed, each therapy can cause its own side-effects, which may worsen by a combination of treatments resulting in long-term poor QoL. In LARC, QoL has become even more essential with the increasing incidence of rectal cancer in young individuals. Herein, we analyzed the value of the Immunoscore-Biopsy (performed on tumor biopsy at diagnosis) in predicting outcomes, alone or in association with clinical and imaging data, for each therapy used in LARC.

Optimized tools and timing of response reassessment after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in rectal cancer

PURPOSE

Reassessment tools of response to long-course neoadjuvant chemoradiation treatment (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) are important in predicting complete response (CR) and thus deciding whether a wait-and-watch strategy can be implemented in these patients. Choosing which routine reassessment tools are optimal and when to use them is still unclear and will be researched in the study.

METHODS

Altogether, 250 patients with LARC who received nCRT from 2013 to 2021 and were followed up were retrospectively reviewed. Common reassessment tools of response included digital rectal examination (DRE), clinical examination and symptoms, endoscopy, biopsy, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and blood biomarkers.

RESULTS

Overall, 27.20% (68/250) patients had a complete response and 72.80% (182/250) did not. The combination of MRI, endoscopy, and biopsy showed the best performance in terms of accuracy of 74% and area under the curve (AUC, 0.714, 95% CI 0.546-0.882). Reassessing through DRE and presence of symptoms failed to improve the efficacy of response reassessment. After 100 days, biopsy as an assessment tool would obtain a substantial rise in accuracy from 51.28 to 100% (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

The combination of MRI, endoscopy, and biopsy is suitable as the reassessment tool of response for applying a wait-and-watch strategy after long-course nCRT in patients with LARC. The accuracy of biopsy as reassessment tools would be improved if they were used over 100 days after nCRT in patients with rectal cancer.

Circulating miRNA Signature Predicts Response to Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) are recommended to receive preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) followed by surgery. Response to PCRT varies widely: 60%-70% of patients with LARC do not derive therapeutic benefit from PCRT, whereas 15%-20% of patients achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). We sought to develop a liquid biopsy assay for identifying response to PCRT in patients with LARC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed two genome-wide microRNA (miRNA) expression profiling data sets from tumor tissue samples for in silico discovery (GSE68204) and validation (GSE29298). We prioritized biomarkers in pretreatment plasma specimens from clinical training (n = 41; 15 responders and 26 nonresponders) and validation (n = 65; 29 responders and 36 nonresponders) cohorts of patients with LARC. We developed an integrated miRNA panel and established a risk assessment model, which was combined with the miRNA panel and carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

RESULTS

Our comprehensive discovery effort identified an 8-miRNA panel that robustly predicted response to PCRT, with an excellent accuracy in the discovery (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.95) and validation (AUC = 0.92) cohorts. We successfully established a circulating miRNA panel with remarkable diagnostic accuracy in the clinical training (AUC = 0.82) and validation (AUC = 0.81) cohorts. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of the panel was significantly superior to conventional clinical factors in both cohorts (P < .01) and the risk assessment model was superior (AUC = 0.83). Finally, we applied our model to detect patients with pathologic complete response and showed that it was dramatically superior to currently used pathologic features (AUC = 0.92).

CONCLUSION

Our novel risk assessment signature for predicting response to PCRT has a potential for clinical translation as a liquid biopsy assay in patients with LARC.

Biomarkers in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Review

Locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC) are the subject of a rapidly evolving treatment paradigm. The critical timepoints where management decisions are required during the care of the LARC patient are: prior to the institution of any treatment, post neoadjuvant therapy and post-surgery. This article reviews the clinical, imaging, blood-based, tissue-based, and molecular biomarkers that can assist clinicians at these timepoints in the patient's management, in prognosticating for their LARC patients or in predicting responses to therapy in the multi-modality neoadjuvant treatment era.

ctDNA: An emerging neoadjuvant biomarker in resectable solid tumors

Christopher Abbosh and Charles Swanton discuss circulating tumor DNA as a potential biomarker for neoadjuvant treatment response in solid tumors.

Clinical Applications of Minimal Residual Disease Assessments by Tumor-Informed and Tumor-Uninformed Circulating Tumor DNA in Colorectal Cancer

Simple Summary

Circulating tumor DNA, or ctDNA, are fragments of tumor DNA that can be detected in the blood of patients with colorectal cancer. Measuring ctDNA levels in the blood has shown the potential to provide important information that can be helpful in the clinical care of patients with colorectal cancer. For example, in patients with colon cancer that has been removed by surgery, measuring ctDNA in the blood can predict the likelihood of cancer recurrence, while in those with metastatic colorectal cancer, measuring ctDNA can inform the clinician whether chemotherapy is effective at earlier timepoints than currently available tests. In this review, we discuss the results from ongoing studies describing the utility of ctDNA measurements across all stages of colorectal cancer. We also discuss the various clinical scenarios that ctDNA may have the most immediate impact in colorectal cancer management.

Abstract

Emerging data suggest that circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can detect colorectal cancer (CRC)-specific signals across both non-metastatic and metastatic settings. With the development of multiple platforms, including tumor-informed and tumor-agnostic ctDNA assays and demonstration of their provocative analytic performance to detect minimal residual disease, there are now ongoing, phase III randomized clinical trials to evaluate their role in the management paradigm of CRC. In this review, we highlight landmark studies that have formed the basis for ongoing studies on the clinically applicability of plasma ctDNA assays in resected, stage I–III CRC and metastatic CRC. We discuss clinical settings by which ctDNA may have the most immediate impact in routine clinical practice. These include the potential for ctDNA to (1) guide surveillance and intensification or de-intensification strategies of adjuvant therapy in resected, stage I–III CRC, (2) predict treatment response to neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancer inclusive of total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT), and (3) predict response to systemic and surgical therapies in metastatic disease. We end by considering clinical variables that can influence our ability to reliably interpret ctDNA dynamics in the clinic.

ctDNA on liquid biopsy for predicting response and prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

The management of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) requires a multidisciplinary approach, with an increasing interest for non-operative strategies. Liquid biopsy for obtaining circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can provide information on neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) pathological response and cancer-specific prognosis, and therefore might be a promising guide for these treatments.

METHODS

A systematic review of the studies available in literature has been performed to assess the role of ctDNA as a predictive and prognostic biomarker in LARC patients.

RESULTS

We retrieved 21 publications, of which 17 full-text articles and 4 abstracts. Results have been labelled into two groups: predictive and prognostic. Data about the usefulness of liquid biopsy in this setting is still inconclusive. However, baseline higher levels of longer fragments of cell-free DNA and integrity index, tumor-specific mutations and certain methylated genes could predict non-responders. Also, undetectable baseline ctDNA and decrease of common rectal cancer mutations throughout treatment (dynamic monitoring) were predictive factors of pathological complete response. The continuous detection of ctDNA in different timepoints of treatment (minimal residual disease) was consistently associated with worse prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

ctDNA is a promising biomarker that could assist predicting treatment response to nCRT and prognosis in patients with LARC. The ideal methods and timings for the liquid biopsy still have to be defined.

Utility of ctDNA in predicting response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and prognosis assessment in locally advanced rectal cancer: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

For locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients who receive neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), there are no reliable indicators to accurately predict pathological complete response (pCR) before surgery. For patients with clinical complete response (cCR), a "Watch and Wait" (W&W) approach can be adopted to improve quality of life. However, W&W approach may increase the recurrence risk in patients who are judged to be cCR but have minimal residual disease (MRD). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a major tool to evaluate response to nCRT; however, its ability to predict pCR needs to be improved. In this prospective cohort study, we explored the value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in combination with MRI in the prediction of pCR before surgery and investigated the utility of ctDNA in risk stratification and prognostic prediction for patients undergoing nCRT and total mesorectal excision (TME).

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We recruited 119 Chinese LARC patients (cT3-4/N0-2/M0; median age of 57; 85 males) who were treated with nCRT plus TME at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (China) from February 7, 2016 to October 31, 2017. Plasma samples at baseline, during nCRT, and after surgery were collected. A total of 531 plasma samples were collected and subjected to deep targeted panel sequencing of 422 cancer-related genes. The association among ctDNA status, treatment response, and prognosis was analyzed. The performance of ctDNA alone, MRI alone, and combining ctDNA with MRI was evaluated for their ability to predict pCR/non-pCR. Ranging from complete tumor regression (pathological tumor regression grade 0; pTRG0) to poor regression (pTRG3), the ctDNA clearance rate during nCRT showed a significant decreasing trend (95.7%, 77.8%, 71.1%, and 66.7% in pTRG 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups, respectively, P = 0.008), while the detection rate of acquired mutations in ctDNA showed an increasing trend (3.8%, 8.3%, 19.2%, and 23.1% in pTRG 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups, respectively, P = 0.02). Univariable logistic regression showed that ctDNA clearance was associated with a low probability of non-pCR (odds ratio = 0.11, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 0.01 to 0.6, P = 0.04). A risk score predictive model, which incorporated both ctDNA (i.e., features of baseline ctDNA, ctDNA clearance, and acquired mutation status) and MRI tumor regression grade (mrTRG), was developed and demonstrated improved performance in predicting pCR/non-pCR (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.886, 95% CI = 0.810 to 0.962) compared with models derived from only ctDNA (AUC = 0.818, 95% CI = 0.725 to 0.912) or only mrTRG (AUC = 0.729, 95% CI = 0.641 to 0.816). The detection of potential colorectal cancer (CRC) driver genes in ctDNA after nCRT indicated a significantly worse recurrence-free survival (RFS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 9.29, 95% CI = 3.74 to 23.10, P < 0.001). Patients with detectable driver mutations and positive high-risk feature (HR_feature) after surgery had the highest recurrence risk (HR = 90.29, 95% CI = 17.01 to 479.26, P < 0.001). Limitations include relatively small sample size, lack of independent external validation, no serial ctDNA testing after surgery, and a relatively short follow-up period.

CONCLUSIONS

The model combining ctDNA and MRI improved the predictive performance compared with the models derived from individual information, and combining ctDNA with HR_feature can stratify patients with a high risk of recurrence. Therefore, ctDNA can supplement MRI to better predict nCRT response, and it could potentially help patient selection for nonoperative management and guide the treatment strategy for those with different recurrence risks.

Biomarker Technologies to Support Early Clinical Immuno-oncology Development: Advances and Interpretation

Today, there is a huge effort to develop cancer immunotherapeutics capable of combating cancer cells as well as the biological environment in which they can grow, adapt, and survive. For such treatments to benefit more patients, there is a great need to dissect the complex interplays between tumor cells and the host's immune system. Monitoring mechanisms of resistance to immunotherapeutics can delineate the evolution of key players capable of driving an efficacious antitumor immune response. In doing so, simultaneous and systematic interrogation of multiple biomarkers beyond single biomarker approaches needs to be undertaken. Zooming into cell-to-cell interactions using technological advancements with unprecedented cellular resolution such as single-cell spatial transcriptomics, advanced tissue histology approaches, and new molecular immune profiling tools promises to provide a unique level of molecular granularity of the tumor environment and may support better decision-making during drug development. This review will focus on how such technological tools are applied in clinical settings, to inform the underlying tumor-immune biology of patients and offer a deeper understanding of cancer immune responsiveness to immuno-oncology treatments.