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Rout A, Duhan S, Umer M, Li M, Kalra D. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk prediction: current state-of-the-art. Heart 2024; 110:1005-1014. [PMID: 37918900 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2023-322928] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Amit Rout
- Cardiology, University of Louisville, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
| | - Sanchit Duhan
- Cardiology, Sinai Health System, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Muhammad Umer
- Cardiology, University of Louisville, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
| | - Miranda Li
- Cardiology, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Dinesh Kalra
- Cardiology, University of Louisville, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
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2
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Kuwahara K, Ohkubo T, Inoue Y, Honda T, Yamamoto S, Nakagawa T, Okazaki H, Yamamoto M, Miyamoto T, Gommori N, Kochi T, Ogasawara T, Yamamoto K, Konishi M, Kabe I, Dohi S, Mizoue T. Blood pressure classification using the Japanese Society of Hypertension Guidelines for the Management of Hypertension and cardiovascular events among young to middle-aged working adults. Hypertens Res 2024; 47:1861-1870. [PMID: 38584158 DOI: 10.1038/s41440-024-01653-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Revised: 02/29/2024] [Accepted: 03/01/2024] [Indexed: 04/09/2024]
Abstract
The Japanese Society of Hypertension updated guidelines for hypertension management (JSH2019), changing the blood pressure (BP) classification. However, evidence is sparse regarding the association of the classification with cardiovascular disease (CVD) events among young to middle-aged workers in Japan. We examined this issue using longitudinal data from Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study with a prospective cohort design. Participants were 81,876 workers (aged 20-64 years) without taking antihypertensive medication at baseline. BP in 2011 or 2010 was used as exposure. CVD events that occurred from 2012 to 2021 were retrieved from a within-study registry. Cox regression was used to calculate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of CVD events. During 0.5 million person-years of follow-up, 334 cardiovascular events, 75 cardiovascular deaths, and 322 all-cause deaths were documented. Compared with normal BP (systolic BP [SBP] < 120 mmHg and diastolic BP [DBP] < 80 mmHg), multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of cardiovascular events were 1.98 (1.49-2.65), 2.10 (1.58-2.77), 3.48 (2.33-5.19), 4.12 (2.22-7.64), and 7.81 (3.99-15.30) for high normal BP (SBP120-129 mmHg and DBP < 80 mmHg), elevated BP (SBP130-139 mmHg and/or DBP80-89 mmHg), stage 1 hypertension (SBP140-159 mmHg and DBP90-99 mmHg), stage 2 hypertension (SBP160-179 mmHg and/or DBP100-109 mmHg), and stage 3 hypertension (SBP ≥ 180 mmHg and/or DBP ≥ 110 mmHg), respectively. The highest population attributable fraction was observed in elevated BP (17.8%), followed by stage 1 hypertension (14.1%). The present data suggest that JSH2019 may help identify Japanese workers at a higher cardiovascular risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keisuke Kuwahara
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Center for Clinical Sciences, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
- Department of Public Health, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Kanagawa, Japan.
- Department of Health Data Science, Graduate School of Data Science, Yokohama City University, Kanagawa, Japan.
- Teikyo University Graduate School of Public Health, Tokyo, Japan.
| | - Takayoshi Ohkubo
- Department of Hygiene and Public Health, Teikyo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yosuke Inoue
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Center for Clinical Sciences, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Toru Honda
- Hitachi Healthcare Center, Hitachi, Ltd, Ibaraki, Japan
| | | | | | | | | | - Toshiaki Miyamoto
- EAST NIPPON WORKS Kimitsu Area, NIPPON STEEL CORPORATION, Chiba, Japan
| | - Naoki Gommori
- East Japan Works (Kehin), JFE Steel Corporation, Kanagawa, Japan
| | | | | | - Kenya Yamamoto
- Division of Chemical Information, National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, Kawasaki, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Maki Konishi
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Center for Clinical Sciences, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | | | - Tetsuya Mizoue
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Center for Clinical Sciences, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
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3
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Kario K, Hoshide S, Yamamoto K, Okura A, Rakugi H. Clinical studies on pharmacological treatment of hypertension in Japan. J Hum Hypertens 2024; 38:486-499. [PMID: 33963269 DOI: 10.1038/s41371-021-00533-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2020] [Revised: 03/12/2021] [Accepted: 03/26/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
Differences in the epidemiology and phenotypes of hypertension in Japan compared with Western countries mean that optimal approaches to the pharmacological management of hypertension should be based on local data. Fortunately, there is a large body of evidence from studies conducted in Japanese populations to inform guidelines and treatment decisions. This article highlights treatment recommendations and BP targets for Japanese patients with hypertension, and summarizes key literature supporting these recommendations. The latest version of the Japanese Society of Hypertension (JSH) guidelines is consistent with US and European guidelines in recommending that the general BP target should be <130/80 mmHg for office blood pressure (BP) and <125/75 mmHg for home BP. There is good local evidence to support these targets. The JSH guidelines also strongly recommend that antihypertensive therapy is managed and monitored based on home BP, due to the closer association of this parameter with cardiovascular risk compared with office BP. Japan is a leader in out-of-office BP research, meaning that there is good evidence for the Japanese recommendations. Key features of antihypertensive agents for use in Japanese patients with hypertension include the ability to reduce stroke risk provide antihypertensive efficacy throughout the 24-h dosing period. Calcium channel blockers appear to be particularly effective in Asian populations, and are the most commonly prescribed agents in Japan. Again consistent with international recommendations, antihypertensive therapy should be started with a combination of agents to maximize the chances of achieving target BP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kazuomi Kario
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Tochigi, Japan.
| | - Satoshi Hoshide
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Tochigi, Japan
| | - Koichi Yamamoto
- Department of Geriatric and General Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Suita, Japan
| | - Ayako Okura
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Tochigi, Japan
| | - Hiromi Rakugi
- Department of Geriatric and General Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Suita, Japan
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4
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Okamura T, Tsukamoto K, Arai H, Fujioka Y, Ishigaki Y, Koba S, Ohmura H, Shoji T, Yokote K, Yoshida H, Yoshida M, Deguchi J, Dobashi K, Fujiyoshi A, Hamaguchi H, Hara M, Harada-Shiba M, Hirata T, Iida M, Ikeda Y, Ishibashi S, Kanda H, Kihara S, Kitagawa K, Kodama S, Koseki M, Maezawa Y, Masuda D, Miida T, Miyamoto Y, Nishimura R, Node K, Noguchi M, Ohishi M, Saito I, Sawada S, Sone H, Takemoto M, Wakatsuki A, Yanai H. Japan Atherosclerosis Society (JAS) Guidelines for Prevention of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Diseases 2022. J Atheroscler Thromb 2024; 31:641-853. [PMID: 38123343 DOI: 10.5551/jat.gl2022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Tomonori Okamura
- Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Keio University School of Medicine
| | | | | | - Yoshio Fujioka
- Faculty of Nutrition, Division of Clinical Nutrition, Kobe Gakuin University
| | - Yasushi Ishigaki
- Division of Diabetes, Metabolism and Endocrinology, Department of Internal Medicine, Iwate Medical University
| | - Shinji Koba
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Showa University School of Medicine
| | - Hirotoshi Ohmura
- Department of Cardiovascular Biology and Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Tetsuo Shoji
- Department of Vascular Medicine, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate school of Medicine
| | - Koutaro Yokote
- Department of Endocrinology, Hematology and Gerontology, Chiba University Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Hiroshi Yoshida
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Jikei University Kashiwa Hospital
| | | | - Juno Deguchi
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Saitama Medical Center, Saitama Medical University
| | - Kazushige Dobashi
- Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of Yamanashi
| | | | | | - Masumi Hara
- Department of Internal Medicine, Mizonokuchi Hospital, Teikyo University School of Medicine
| | - Mariko Harada-Shiba
- Cardiovascular Center, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University
- Department of Molecular Pathogenesis, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center Research Institute
| | - Takumi Hirata
- Institute for Clinical and Translational Science, Nara Medical University
| | - Mami Iida
- Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, Gifu Prefectural General Medical Center
| | - Yoshiyuki Ikeda
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Hypertension, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Kagoshima University
| | - Shun Ishibashi
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Jichi Medical University, School of Medicine
- Current affiliation: Ishibashi Diabetes and Endocrine Clinic
| | - Hideyuki Kanda
- Department of Public Health, Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama University
| | - Shinji Kihara
- Medical Laboratory Science and Technology, Division of Health Sciences, Osaka University graduate School of medicine
| | - Kazuo Kitagawa
- Department of Neurology, Tokyo Women's Medical University Hospital
| | - Satoru Kodama
- Department of Prevention of Noncommunicable Diseases and Promotion of Health Checkup, Department of Hematology, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Niigata University Faculty of Medicine
| | - Masahiro Koseki
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Yoshiro Maezawa
- Department of Endocrinology, Hematology and Gerontology, Chiba University Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Daisaku Masuda
- Department of Cardiology, Center for Innovative Medicine and Therapeutics, Dementia Care Center, Doctor's Support Center, Health Care Center, Rinku General Medical Center
| | - Takashi Miida
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine
| | | | - Rimei Nishimura
- Department of Diabetes, Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Jikei University School of Medicine
| | - Koichi Node
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Saga University
| | - Midori Noguchi
- Division of Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University
| | - Mitsuru Ohishi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Hypertension, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Kagoshima University
| | - Isao Saito
- Department of Public Health and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University
| | - Shojiro Sawada
- Division of Metabolism and Diabetes, Faculty of Medicine, Tohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University
| | - Hirohito Sone
- Department of Hematology, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Niigata University Faculty of Medicine
| | - Minoru Takemoto
- Department of Diabetes, Metabolism and Endocrinology, International University of Health and Welfare
| | | | - Hidekatsu Yanai
- Department of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, National Center for Global Health and Medicine Kohnodai Hospital
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Fujiyoshi A, Kohsaka S, Hata J, Hara M, Kai H, Masuda D, Miyamatsu N, Nishio Y, Ogura M, Sata M, Sekiguchi K, Takeya Y, Tamura K, Wakatsuki A, Yoshida H, Fujioka Y, Fukazawa R, Hamada O, Higashiyama A, Kabayama M, Kanaoka K, Kawaguchi K, Kosaka S, Kunimura A, Miyazaki A, Nii M, Sawano M, Terauchi M, Yagi S, Akasaka T, Minamino T, Miura K, Node K. JCS 2023 Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Coronary Artery Disease. Circ J 2024; 88:763-842. [PMID: 38479862 DOI: 10.1253/circj.cj-23-0285] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/26/2024]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Shun Kohsaka
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine
| | - Jun Hata
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University
| | - Mitsuhiko Hara
- Department of Health and Nutrition, Wayo Women's University
| | - Hisashi Kai
- Department of Cardiology, Kurume Univeristy Medical Center
| | | | - Naomi Miyamatsu
- Department of Clinical Nursing, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Yoshihiko Nishio
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrine Medicine, Kagoshima University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
| | - Masatsune Ogura
- Department of General Medical Science, Chiba University School of Medicine
- Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Eastern Chiba Medical Center
| | - Masataka Sata
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokushima University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences
| | | | - Yasushi Takeya
- Division of Helath Science, Osaka University Gradiate School of Medicine
| | - Kouichi Tamura
- Department of Medical Science and Cardiorenal Medicine, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine
| | | | - Hiroshi Yoshida
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Jikei University Kashiwa Hospital
| | - Yoshio Fujioka
- Division of Clinical Nutrition, Faculty of Nutrition, Kobe Gakuin University
| | | | - Osamu Hamada
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Takatsuki General Hospital
| | | | - Mai Kabayama
- Division of Health Sciences, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Koshiro Kanaoka
- Department of Medical and Health Information Management, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center
| | - Kenjiro Kawaguchi
- Division of Social Preventive Medical Sciences, Center for Preventive Medical Sciences, Chiba University
| | | | | | | | - Masaki Nii
- Department of Cardiology, Shizuoka Children's Hospital
| | - Mitsuaki Sawano
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine
- Yale New Haven Hospital Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation
| | | | - Shusuke Yagi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokushima University Hospital
| | - Takashi Akasaka
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Nishinomiya Watanabe Cardiovascular Cerebral Center
| | - Tohru Minamino
- Department of Cardiovascular Biology and Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Meidicine
| | - Katsuyuki Miura
- Department of Preventive Medicine, NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Koichi Node
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Saga University
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Tangjitgamol S, Udayachalerm W, Panyarachun S, Wanishsawad C, Kaewwanna W, Manusirivithaya S. The 10-year cardiovascular risk of physicians estimated by the Thai CV risk score and its association with current coronary artery disease: A retrospective study. Health Sci Rep 2024; 7:e2009. [PMID: 38629110 PMCID: PMC11019138 DOI: 10.1002/hsr2.2009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2023] [Revised: 02/04/2024] [Accepted: 03/13/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and Aims To assess the 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among Thai physicians. The risk compared to the general population and their relationship with the current coronary artery disease (CAD) were also examined. Methods This retrospective study collected data of Thai physicians who underwent cardiovascular assessments between February 14, 2022, and October 31, 2022. The CVD risk was calculated using the Thai CVD risk (TCVR) score, which incorporated variables of age, gender, smoking, diabetes mellitus, blood pressure, and total cholesterol. Additional collected data included family history of CAD, weekly work hours, fiber diet, exercise, body mass index, coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, and presence of CAD. The association between the risk levels with presence of CAD and clinical features including CAC score were analyzed. Results Of 1225 physicians, the risk for CVD development was categorized as low in 80.0%, moderate in 11.2%, high in 4.9%, and very high in 3.9%. Among these, 33.6% were found to have higher relative risk compared to the general population of the same age and gender. The overall prevalence of CAD was 11.2%. This prevalence was escalated by risk or relative risk groups: 4.9% in low-, 33.8% in moderate-, 35.1% in high-, and 46.8% in very high-risk groups or 7.2% in lower risk, 8.0% the same risk, and 18.4% higher relative risk groups. Conclusions Approximately, 20% of Thai physicians in the study exhibited a moderate to very high 10-year risk of CVD. Furthermore, 33.6% of the physicians had higher risk than individuals of the same age and gender in the general population. The prevalence of CAD increased with higher CVD risk and higher relative risk.
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Choi J, Sung S, Park SK, Park S, Kim H, Cho MC, Williams B, Lee HY. SCORE and SCORE2 in East Asian Population: A Performance Comparison. JACC. ASIA 2024; 4:265-274. [PMID: 38660103 PMCID: PMC11035948 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacasi.2023.10.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2023] [Revised: 10/03/2023] [Accepted: 10/23/2023] [Indexed: 04/26/2024]
Abstract
Background Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) and SCORE2-Older Persons (OP) models have been proposed as new cardiovascular risk evaluation tools. Objectives This study evaluated the performance of SCORE/SCORE-OP and SCORE2/SCORE2-OP in the East Asian population by using population-based cohort data from the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) Health Screening Cohort of Korea. Methods A total of 324,384 NHIS examinees from 2004 to 2005 were divided into 5 age groups: 40-49 years, 50-59 years, 60-69 years,70-79 years, and more than 80 years. The examinees had their predicted cardiovascular disease risks calculated by using SCORE, SCORE2, SCORE-OP, and SCORE2-OP models. The low-risk model was applied on the basis of the cohort's observed event rates. The observed and predicted cardiovascular risks were compared. Results A total of 324,384 subjects were included (mean age 51.4 ± 7.3 years; women, 37.9% for the SCORE/SCORE2 group and mean age 73.0 ± 2.8 years; women, 47.5% for the SCORE/SCORE2-OP group). Over a median follow-up of 9 years, cardiovascular events occurred in 15.0% and 28.9% in SCORE/SCORE2 and SCORE/SCORE2-OP groups, respectively. The SCORE/SCORE-OP model underestimated cardiovascular disease risk in young men (aged 40-49 years) and women (aged 40-59 years) and overestimated it in older age groups. In contrast, SCORE2/SCORE2-OP invariably overestimated the risk in all age groups and sexes. SCORE2/SCORE2-OP showed no improvement in Harrell's concordance index (C-index) compared with SCORE/SCORE-OP. Calibration plots favored SCORE2 over SCORE but not SCORE2-OP over SCORE-OP. Conclusions Both SCORE2/SCORE2-OP and SCORE/SCORE-OP overestimated cardiovascular disease risk with low performance. SCORE2/SCORE2-OP showed slight improvement over older versions, but modifications are necessary for the East Asian population.
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Affiliation(s)
- JungMin Choi
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Soseul Sung
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Cancer Research Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sue K. Park
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Cancer Research Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seyong Park
- Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyoyeong Kim
- Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Myeong-Chan Cho
- Department of Internal Medicine, Chungbuk National University College of Medicine, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Bryan Williams
- UCL Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Hae-Young Lee
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
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Ma E, Ohira T, Miyazaki M, Fukasawa M, Yoshimoto M, Suzuki T, Furuyama A, Kataoka M, Yasumura S, Hosoya M. Prediction of the 4-Year Incidence Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Healthy Japanese Adults: The Fukushima Health Database. J Atheroscler Thromb 2024; 31:259-272. [PMID: 37661424 PMCID: PMC10918050 DOI: 10.5551/jat.64018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2022] [Accepted: 07/20/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM Estimating the risk of developing ischemic stroke (IS) may assist health professionals in motivating individuals to modify their risk behavior. METHODS A predictive model was derived from 178,186 participants from Fukushima Health Database, aged 40-74 years, who attended the health checkup in 2014 and completed at least one annual health checkup by 2018 (Cohort I). Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to build a 4-year prediction model, thus the risk scores were based on the regression coefficients. External validation for the risk scores was conducted in another cohort of 46,099 participants following between 2015 and 2019 (Cohort II). RESULTS The 4-year cumulated incidence rate of IS was 179.80/100,000 person-years in Cohort I. The predictive model included age, sex, blood pressure, hypertension treatment, diabetes, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, walking pace, and body weight change of 3 kg within one year. Risk scores were interpreted based on the Cohort I predictive model function. The Harrell's C-statistics of the discrimination ability of the risk score model (95% confidence interval) was 0.744 (0.729-0.759) in Cohort I and 0.770 (0.743-0.797) in Cohort II. The overall agreement of the risk score probability of IS incidence for the observed/expected case ratio and 95% CI was 0.98 (0.92-1.05) in Cohort I and 1.08 (0.95-1.22) in Cohort II. CONCLUSIONS The 4-year risk prediction model revealed a good performance for IS incidence, and risk scores could be used to estimate individual incidence risk of IS. Updated models with additional confirmed risk variables may be needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Enbo Ma
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Tetsuya Ohira
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
- Radiation Medical Science Center for Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Makoto Miyazaki
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Radiation Medical Science Center for Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Maiko Fukasawa
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Masayo Yoshimoto
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Tomonori Suzuki
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Aizu, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Ayako Furuyama
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Mariko Kataoka
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Seiji Yasumura
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Radiation Medical Science Center for Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Public Health, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Mitsuaki Hosoya
- Health Promotion Center, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Radiation Medical Science Center for Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Pediatrics, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
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Tse G, Lee Q, Chou OHI, Chung CT, Lee S, Chan JSK, Li G, Kaur N, Roever L, Liu H, Liu T, Zhou J. Healthcare Big Data in Hong Kong: Development and Implementation of Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Predictive Models for Risk Stratification. Curr Probl Cardiol 2024; 49:102168. [PMID: 37871712 DOI: 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2023.102168] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2023] [Accepted: 10/20/2023] [Indexed: 10/25/2023]
Abstract
Routinely collected electronic health records (EHRs) data contain a vast amount of valuable information for conducting epidemiological studies. With the right tools, we can gain insights into disease processes and development, identify the best treatment and develop accurate models for predicting outcomes. Our recent systematic review has found that the number of big data studies from Hong Kong has rapidly increased since 2015, with an increasingly common application of artificial intelligence (AI). The advantages of big data are that i) the models developed are highly generalisable to the population, ii) multiple outcomes can be determined simultaneously, iii) ease of cross-validation by for model training, development and calibration, iv) huge numbers of useful variables can be analyzed, v) static and dynamic variables can be analyzed, vi) non-linear and latent interactions between variables can be captured, vii) artificial intelligence approaches can enhance the performance of prediction models. In this paper, we will provide several examples (cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, Brugada syndrome, long QT syndrome) to illustrate efforts from a multi-disciplinary team to identify data from different modalities to develop models using territory-wide datasets, with the possibility of real-time risk updates by using new data captured from patients. The benefit is that only routinely collected data are required for developing highly accurate and high-performance models. AI-driven models outperform traditional models in terms of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic and precision-recall curve, and F1 score. Web and/or mobile versions of the risk models allow clinicians to risk stratify patients quickly in clinical settings, thereby enabling clinical decision-making. Efforts are required to identify the best ways of implementing AI algorithms on the web and mobile apps.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gary Tse
- School of Nursing and Health Studies, Hong Kong Metropolitan University, Hong Kong, China; Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin 300211, China.
| | - Quinncy Lee
- Family Medicine Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Research Institute, Hong Kong, China
| | - Oscar Hou In Chou
- Family Medicine Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Research Institute, Hong Kong, China; Division of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics, Department of Medicine, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Cheuk To Chung
- Family Medicine Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Research Institute, Hong Kong, China
| | - Sharen Lee
- Family Medicine Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Research Institute, Hong Kong, China
| | - Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan
- Family Medicine Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Research Institute, Hong Kong, China
| | - Guoliang Li
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China
| | - Narinder Kaur
- Family Medicine Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Research Institute, Hong Kong, China; School of Cardiovascular Science & Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, UK
| | - Leonardo Roever
- Department of Clinical Research, Federal University of Uberlândia, Uberlândia, MG 38400384, Brazil
| | - Haipeng Liu
- Research Centre for Intelligent Healthcare, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Coventry University, Coventry, UK
| | - Tong Liu
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin 300211, China
| | - Jiandong Zhou
- Division of Health Science, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
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10
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Ogasawara K, Akamatsu Y, Chida K, Kobayashi M, Yoshida K, Fujiwara S, Terasaki K, Koji T, Kubo Y. Influence of atherosclerotic burden on adult patients with ischemic moyamoya disease: combined analysis of two prospective cohorts. Neurol Res 2023; 45:1011-1018. [PMID: 37634169 DOI: 10.1080/01616412.2023.2252285] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2023] [Accepted: 08/21/2023] [Indexed: 08/29/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to determine the influence of atherosclerotic risk factors on initial and further cerebrovascular events in adult patients with moyamoya disease (MMD) by combined analysis of two prospective cohorts in which patients received pharmacotherapy alone and were prospectively followed-up for 5 years. METHODS In 71 patients, smoking status, home blood pressure, hemoglobin (Hb)A1c and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-chol) were checked at inclusion and at further cerebrovascular event or at the end of 5-year follow-up. When a patient had daily smoking, increased HbA1c, increased LDL-chol, increased systolic blood pressure, or increased diastolic blood pressure, the patient was categorized as showing atherosclerotic burden. Angiographic disease progression was determined using changes on magnetic resonance angiography. RESULTS Eleven patients showed angiographic disease progression and seven of these 11 patients experienced further cerebrovascular events during the follow-up period. The remaining 60 patients did not exhibit either condition. At inclusion, the incidence of atherosclerotic burden was significantly greater in patients without angiographic disease progression (80%) than in those with such progression (45%; p = 0.0249). For patients without angiographic disease progression, values or incidence of almost all variables showed significant interval decreases at the end of 5-year follow-up (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Adult patients with ischemic MMD who do not exhibit angiographic disease progression appear more strongly affected by atherosclerotic burden at the initial onset of cerebrovascular events than those exhibiting angiographic disease progression. A reduction in atherosclerotic burden by medical treatments for the former patients prevents further cerebrovascular events.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kuniaki Ogasawara
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Yosuke Akamatsu
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Kohei Chida
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Masakazu Kobayashi
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Kenji Yoshida
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Shunrou Fujiwara
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Kazunori Terasaki
- Institute for Biomedical Sciences, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Takahiro Koji
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
| | - Yoshitaka Kubo
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University, Morioka, Japan
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11
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Hisamatsu T, Kinuta M. Coronary Artery Calcium in Assessment of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk and its Role in Primary Prevention. J Atheroscler Thromb 2023; 30:1289-1302. [PMID: 37394660 PMCID: PMC10564647 DOI: 10.5551/jat.rv22009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 05/26/2023] [Indexed: 07/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Coronary artery calcium (CAC), which is detected using computed tomography scanning, is a well-established indicator of subclinical atherosclerosis. The CAC score is independently associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) outcomes and provides improved predictive values for estimating the risk of ASCVD beyond traditional risk factors. Thus, CAC is considered to have important implications for reclassification as a decision aid among individuals in the preclinical phase and as the primary prevention of ASCVD. This review is focused on epidemiological evidence on CAC in asymptomatic population-based samples from Western countries and Japan. We also discuss the usability of CAC as a tool for assessing ASCVD risk and its role in the primary prevention of ASCVD. A lack of evidence for the CAC score in ASCVD risk assessment beyond traditional risk factors in populations other than those in Western countries (including Japan) warrants further investigation. Clinical trials are also necessary to demonstrate the usefulness and safety of CAC screening in the primary prevention of ASCVD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takashi Hisamatsu
- Department of Public Health, Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences,
Okayama, Japan
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga, Japan
| | - Minako Kinuta
- Department of Public Health, Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences,
Okayama, Japan
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12
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Ueshima H. What is the Cause of Continuous and Marked Increase of Japanese High Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol? J Atheroscler Thromb 2023; 30:861-862. [PMID: 36696973 PMCID: PMC10406636 DOI: 10.5551/jat.ed223] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2022] [Accepted: 12/20/2022] [Indexed: 01/26/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Hirotsugu Ueshima
- Shiga University of Medical Science, NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga, Japan
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13
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Arafa A, Kashima R, Yasui Y, Kawachi H, Matsumoto C, Nosaka S, Teramoto M, Matsuo M, Kokubo Y. Development of new scores for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease using specific medical examination items: the Suita Study. Environ Health Prev Med 2023; 28:61. [PMID: 37899208 PMCID: PMC10613553 DOI: 10.1265/ehpm.23-00099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Accepted: 08/13/2023] [Indexed: 10/31/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We previously developed risk models predicting stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) among Japanese people from the Suita Study. Yet, applying these models at the national level was challenging because some of the included risk factors differed from those collected in the Japanese governmental health check-ups, such as Tokutei-Kenshin. We, therefore, conducted this study to develop new risk models for stroke, CHD, and atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD), based on data from the Suita Study. The new models used traditional cardiovascular risk factors similar to those in the Japanese governmental health check-ups. METHODS We included 7,413 participants, aged 30-84 years, initially free from stroke and CHD. All participants received baseline health examinations, including a questionnaire assessing their lifestyle and medical history, medical examination, and blood and urine analysis. The risk factors of stroke, CHD, and ASCVD (cerebral infarction or CHD) were determined using the multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. The models' performance was assessed using the C-statistics for discrimination and the Hosmer-Lemeshow for calibration. We also developed three simple scores (zero to 100) that could predict the 10-year incidence of stroke, CHD, and ASCVD. RESULTS Within 110,428 person-years (median follow-up = 16.6 years), 410 stroke events, 288 CHD events, and 527 ASCVD events were diagnosed. Age, smoking, hypertension, and diabetes were associated with stroke, CHD, and ASCVD risk. Men and those with decreased high-density lipoproteins or increased low-density lipoproteins showed a higher risk of CHD and ASCVD. Urinary proteins were associated with an increased risk of stroke and ASCVD. The C-statistic values of the risk models were >0.750 and the p-values of goodness-of-fit were >0.30. The 10-year incidence of stroke, CVD, and ASCVD events was 3.8%, 3.5%, and 5.7% for scores 45-54, 10.3%, 11.8%, and 19.6% for scores 65-74, and 27.7%, 23.5%, and 60.5% for scores ≥85, respectively. CONCLUSIONS We developed new Suita risk models for stroke, CHD, and ASCVD using variables similar to those in the Japanese governmental health check-ups. We also developed new risk scores to predict incident stroke, CHD, and ASCVD within 10 years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmed Arafa
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Beni-Suef University, Beni-Suef, Egypt
| | - Rena Kashima
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Department of Cardiovascular Pathophysiology and Therapeutics, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Suita, Japan
| | - Yuka Yasui
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Graduate School of Human Life and Science, Doshisha Women’s College of Liberal Arts, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Haruna Kawachi
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Department of Environmental Medicine and Population Sciences, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Suita, Japan
| | - Chisa Matsumoto
- Department of Cardiology, Center for Health Surveillance and Preventive Medicine, Tokyo Medical University Hospital, Shinjuku, Japan
| | - Saya Nosaka
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Masayuki Teramoto
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Miki Matsuo
- Department of Hypertension and Nephrology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Yoshihiro Kokubo
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
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14
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Poznyak AV, Sadykhov NK, Kartuesov AG, Borisov EE, Melnichenko AA, Grechko AV, Orekhov AN. Hypertension as a risk factor for atherosclerosis: Cardiovascular risk assessment. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:959285. [PMID: 36072873 PMCID: PMC9441708 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.959285] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2022] [Accepted: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Atherosclerosis is a predecessor of numerous cardiovascular diseases (CVD), which often lead to morbidity and mortality. Despite the knowledge of the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis, an essential gap in our understanding is the exact trigger mechanism. A wide range of risk factors have been discovered; however, a majority of them are too general to clarify the launching mechanism of atherogenesis. Some risk factors are permanent (age, gender, genetic heritage) and others can be modified [tobacco smoking, physical inactivity, poor nutrition, high blood pressure, type 2 diabetes (T2D), dyslipidemia, and obesity]. All of them have to be taken into account. In the scope of this review, our attention is focused on hypertension, which is considered the most widespread among all modifiable risk factors for atherosclerosis development. Moreover, high blood pressure is the most investigated risk factor. The purpose of this review is to summarize the data on hypertension as a risk factor for atherosclerosis development and the risk assessment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anastasia V. Poznyak
- Institute for Atherosclerosis Research, Moscow, Russia
- *Correspondence: Anastasia V. Poznyak,
| | | | - Andrey G. Kartuesov
- Laboratory of Angiopathology, Institute of General Pathology and Pathophysiology, Moscow, Russia
| | | | - Alexandra A. Melnichenko
- Laboratory of Angiopathology, Institute of General Pathology and Pathophysiology, Moscow, Russia
| | - Andrey V. Grechko
- Federal Research and Clinical Center of Intensive Care Medicine and Rehabilitology, Moscow, Russia
| | - Alexander N. Orekhov
- Institute for Atherosclerosis Research, Moscow, Russia
- Petrovsky National Research Centre of Surgery, Moscow, Russia
- Laboratory of Angiopathology, Institute of General Pathology and Pathophysiology, Moscow, Russia
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15
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Zhang Y, Miao H, Chia YC, Buranakitjaroen P, Siddique S, Shin J, Turana Y, Park S, Tsoi K, Chen CH, Cheng HM, Li Y, Minh HV, Nagai M, Nailes J, Sison J, Soenarta AA, Sogunuru GP, Sukonthasarn A, Tay JC, Teo BW, Verma N, Wang TD, Hoshide S, Kario K, Wang J. Cardiovascular risk assessment tools in Asia. J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) 2022; 24:369-377. [PMID: 34981620 PMCID: PMC8989745 DOI: 10.1111/jch.14336] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2020] [Revised: 07/18/2021] [Accepted: 07/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is becoming the most important burden to health care systems in most part of the world, especially in Asia. Aiming at identifying high risk individuals and tailoring preventive treatment, many cardiovascular risk assessment tools have been established and most of them were developed in Western countries. However, these cardiovascular risk assessment tools cannot be used interchangeably without recalibration because of the different risk factor profiles (ie, greater absolute burden of hypertension and lower level of total‐cholesterol in Asians and higher prevalence of metabolic disorders in South Asians) and different CVD profiles (higher ratio of stroke/coronary heart disease in Asians) between Western and Asian populations. Original risk models such as Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China‐PAR) and Japan Arteriosclerosis Longitudinal Study (JALS) score have been developed and well validated for specific countries, while most of countries/regions in Asia are using established models. Due to higher incidence of stroke in Asians, risk factors like hypertension should weigh more in cardiovascular risk assessment comparing with Western populations, but their actual proportions should be based on CVD profiles in specific countries/regions. The authors encourage the development of new cardiovascular risk assessment tools for Asians, if possible. Still, modifying established models with native epidemiological data of risk factor as well as CVD is acceptable in regions where health care resources are insufficient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuqing Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, Fu Wai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Huanhuan Miao
- Department of Cardiology, Fu Wai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yook-Chin Chia
- Department of Medical Sciences, School of Healthcare and Medical Sciences, Sunway University, Bandar Sunway, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia.,Department of Primary Care Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya Kuala, Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - Peera Buranakitjaroen
- Department of Medicine, Division of Hypertension, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | | | - Jinho Shin
- Faculty of Cardiology Service, Hanyang University Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Yuda Turana
- School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Atma Jaya Catholic University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - Sungha Park
- Division of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei Health System, Seoul, Korea
| | - Kelvin Tsoi
- JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong
| | - Chen-Huan Chen
- Institute of Public Health and Community Medicine Research Center, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Hao-Min Cheng
- Institute of Public Health and Community Medicine Research Center, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Medical Education, Center for Evidence-based Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yan Li
- Centre for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluations, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Huynh Van Minh
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Hue University, Hue City, Vietnam
| | - Michiaki Nagai
- Department of Internal Medicine, General Medicine and Cardiology, Hiroshima City Asa Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Jennifer Nailes
- Department of Preventive and Community Medicine and Research Institute for Health Sciences, University of the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Center Inc., Quezon City, Philippines
| | - Jorge Sison
- Department of Medicine, Section of Cardiology, Medical Center Manila, Manila, Philippines
| | - Arieska Ann Soenarta
- Department of Cardiology and Vascular Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia-National Cardiovascular Center, Harapan Kita, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - Guru Prasad Sogunuru
- MIOT International Hospital, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.,College of Medical Sciences, Kathmandu University, Bharatpur, Nepal
| | - Apichard Sukonthasarn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cardiology Division, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Jam Chin Tay
- Department of General Medicine, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Boon Wee Teo
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Narsingh Verma
- Department of Physiology, King George's Medical University, Lucknow, India
| | - Tzung-Dau Wang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cardiovascular Center and Division of Cardiology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei City, Taiwan.,Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Hospital Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Satoshi Hoshide
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Tochigi, Japan
| | - Kazuomi Kario
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Tochigi, Japan
| | - Jiguang Wang
- Department of Hypertension, Centre for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials, the Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
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16
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Comparison of the usefulness of the cardio-ankle vascular index and augmentation index as an index of arteriosclerosis in patients with essential hypertension. Hypertens Res 2021; 45:455-463. [PMID: 34934159 DOI: 10.1038/s41440-021-00823-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2021] [Revised: 10/29/2021] [Accepted: 11/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
Arteriosclerosis leads to various serious diseases that substantially reduce the quality of life. When treating hypertension, it is important to evaluate the degree of arteriosclerosis. In recent years, the cardio-ankle vascular index and augmentation index have been frequently used as indicators of arterial wall sclerosis. However, the superiority of either the cardio-ankle vascular index or the augmentation index as an index of arteriosclerosis remains unclear. Therefore, the present study compared the usefulness of these two indices as an index of arteriosclerosis. Associations between the cardio-ankle vascular index or augmentation index and risk factors for arteriosclerosis and other indices of arteriosclerosis in 535 consecutive patients with essential hypertension were evaluated. The cardio-ankle vascular index was significantly correlated with age, hemoglobin A1c, brain natriuretic peptide, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. In contrast, the augmentation index showed significant correlations only with age, brain natriuretic peptide, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. In addition, these correlations with the augmentation index were generally weaker than those with the cardio-ankle vascular index. The cardio-ankle vascular index, but not the augmentation index, was significantly correlated with flow-mediated dilation, an index of vascular endothelial function, and carotid intima-media thickness, an index of carotid atherosclerosis. Similar results were observed in subgroups stratified by sex and age. These data indicate that the cardio-ankle vascular index is more closely associated with risk factors for arteriosclerosis and other indices of arteriosclerosis than the augmentation index, suggesting that the cardio-ankle vascular index may be superior to the augmentation index as an index of arteriosclerosis.
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17
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Arafa A, Kokubo Y, Sheerah HA, Sakai Y, Watanabe E, Li J, Honda-Kohmo K, Teramoto M, Kashima R, Nakao YM, Koga M. Developing a Stroke Risk Prediction Model Using Cardiovascular Risk Factors: The Suita Study. Cerebrovasc Dis 2021; 51:323-330. [PMID: 34844243 DOI: 10.1159/000520100] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2021] [Accepted: 10/04/2021] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Stroke remains a major cause of death and disability in Japan and worldwide. Detecting individuals at high risk for stroke to apply preventive approaches is recommended. This study aimed to develop a stroke risk prediction model among urban Japanese using cardiovascular risk factors. METHODS We followed 6,641 participants aged 30-79 years with neither a history of stroke nor coronary heart disease. The Cox proportional hazard model estimated the risk of stroke incidence adjusted for potential confounders at the baseline survey. The model's performance was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics. The internal validity of the risk model was tested using derivation and validation samples. Regression coefficients were used for score calculation. RESULTS During a median follow-up duration of 17.1 years, 372 participants developed stroke. A risk model including older age, current smoking, increased blood pressure, impaired fasting blood glucose and diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and atrial fibrillation predicted stroke incidence with an area under the curve = 0.76 and p value of the goodness of fit = 0.21. This risk model was shown to be internally valid (p value of the goodness of fit in the validation sample = 0.64). On a risk score from 0 to 26, the incidence of stroke for the categories 0-5, 6-7, 8-9, 10-11, 12-13, 14-15, and 16-26 was 1.1%, 2.1%, 5.4%, 8.2%, 9.0%, 13.5%, and 18.6%, respectively. CONCLUSION We developed a new stroke risk model for the urban general population in Japan. Further research to determine the clinical practicality of this model is required.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmed Arafa
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Beni-Suef University, Beni-Suef, Egypt
| | - Yoshihiro Kokubo
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Haytham A Sheerah
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan
| | - Yukie Sakai
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Emi Watanabe
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Jiaqi Li
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan
| | - Kyoko Honda-Kohmo
- Division of Preventive Healthcare, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | - Masayuki Teramoto
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan
| | - Rena Kashima
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Public Health Division, Ibaraki Public Health Center, Osaka Prefectural Government, Osaka, Japan
| | - Yoko M Nakao
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Center for Cerebral and Cardiovascular Disease Information, Open Innovative Center, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
- Leeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Masatoshi Koga
- Division of Cerebrovascular Medicine, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
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18
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Ganbaatar N, Kadota A, Hisamatsu T, Araki S, Kume S, Fujiyoshi A, Kadowaki S, Torii S, Kondo K, Segawa H, Salman E, Miyazawa I, Yamamoto T, Nakagawa Y, Maegawa H, Miura K, Ueshima H. Relationship between Kidney Function and Subclinical Atherosclerosis Progression Evaluated by Coronary Artery Calcification. J Atheroscler Thromb 2021; 29:1359-1371. [PMID: 34690221 PMCID: PMC9444674 DOI: 10.5551/jat.63030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Aims: The roles of urinary albumin, eGFRcystatin (eGFRcys), and eGFRcreatinine (eGFRcre) in the progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) remain unclear. Therefore, the present study investigated the relationship between kidney function and CAC progression.
Methods: A total of 760 Japanese men aged 40-79 years were enrolled in this population-based study. Kidney function was measured using eGFRcre, eGFRcys, and the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio. CAC scores were calculated using the Agatston method. CAC progression was defined as an annual increase of >10 Agatston units (AU) among men with 0<CAC<100 AU at baseline, that of >10% among those with CAC ≥ 100 AU, and any progression for those with CAC=0 at baseline. The relative risk (RR) of CAC progression based on kidney function was assessed using a robust Poisson regression model.
Results: The mean follow-up period was 4.9 years. CAC progression was detected in 45.8% of participants. Positive associations between CAC progression and albuminuria (>30mg/g) (RR: 1.29; 1.09 to 1.53;p=0.004) and low eGFRcys (<60ml/min/1.73m2) (RR: 1.27; 1.05 to 1.53;p=0.012) remained significant after adjustments for age, the follow-up time, and computerized tomography type. Following further adjustments for hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, C-reactive protein, and lifestyle factors, CAC progression was associated with albuminuria (RR: 1.20; 1.01 to 1.43;p=0.04) and low eGFRcys (RR: 1.19; 0.99 to 1.43;p=0.066), but not with eGFRcre.
Conclusion: CAC progression was associated with albuminuria; however, its relationship with eGFRcys was weakened by adjustments for risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Namuun Ganbaatar
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Aya Kadota
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Takashi Hisamatsu
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science.,Department of Public Health, Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences
| | - Shinichi Araki
- Department of Medicine, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Shinji Kume
- Department of Medicine, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Akira Fujiyoshi
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science.,Department of Hygiene, Wakayama Medical University
| | - Sayaka Kadowaki
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Sayuki Torii
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Keiko Kondo
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Hiroyoshi Segawa
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Ebtehal Salman
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Itsuko Miyazawa
- Department of Medicine, Shiga University of Medical Science.,Education Center for Medicine and Nursing, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | | | | | | | - Katsuyuki Miura
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Hirotsugu Ueshima
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
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19
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Li Y, Yatsuya H, Tanaka S, Iso H, Okayama A, Tsuji I, Sakata K, Miyamoto Y, Ueshima H, Miura K, Murakami Y, Okamura T. Estimation of 10-Year Risk of Death from Coronary Heart Disease, Stroke, and Cardiovascular Disease in a Pooled Analysis of Japanese Cohorts: EPOCH-JAPAN. J Atheroscler Thromb 2020; 28:816-825. [PMID: 33041313 PMCID: PMC8326173 DOI: 10.5551/jat.58958] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
AIMS We aimed to develop and validate risk prediction models to estimate the absolute 10-year risk of death from coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS We evaluated a total of 44,869 individuals aged 40-79 years from eight Japanese prospective cohorts to derive coefficients of risk equations using cohort-stratified Cox proportional hazard regression models. Discrimination (C-index) of the equation was examined in each cohort and summarised using random-effect meta-analyses. Calibration of the equation was assessed using Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-squared statistic. RESULTS Within a median follow-up of 12.7 years, we observed 765 deaths due to CVD (276 CHDs and 489 strokes). After backward selection, age, sex, current smoking, systolic blood pressure (SBP), proteinuria, prevalent diabetes mellitus, the ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TC/HDLC), interaction terms of age by SBP, and age by current smoking were retained as predictors for CHD. Sex was excluded in the stroke equation. We did not consider TC/HDLC as a risk factor for the stroke and CVD equations. The pooled C-indices for CHD, stroke, and CVD were 0.83, 0.80, and 0.81, respectively, and the corresponding p-values of the Hosmer-Lemeshow tests were 0.18, 0.003, and 0.25, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Risk equations in the present study can adequately estimate the absolute 10-year risk of death from CHD, stroke, and CVD. Future work will evaluate the system as an education and risk communication tool for primary prevention of CHD and stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuanying Li
- Department of Public Health, Fujita Health University School of Medicine
| | - Hiroshi Yatsuya
- Department of Public Health, Fujita Health University School of Medicine.,Department of Public Health and Health Systems, Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya University
| | - Sachiko Tanaka
- Department of Medical Statistics, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Hiroyasu Iso
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Akira Okayama
- Research Institute for Lifestyle-Related Disease Prevention
| | - Ichiro Tsuji
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Health Informatics & Public Health, Tohoku University School of Public Health, Graduate School of Medicine
| | - Kiyomi Sakata
- Department of Hygiene and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Iwate Medical University
| | - Yoshihiro Miyamoto
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center
| | | | - Katsuyuki Miura
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science.,Center for Epidemiologic Research in Asia, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | | | - Tomonori Okamura
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Keio University School of Medicine
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20
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Fujishima S, Kodama S, Tsuchihashi T. Achievement rate of blood pressure <140/90 mmHg and <130/80 mmHg in subjects with hypertension; findings from a Japanese health checkup in 2017. Clin Exp Hypertens 2020; 42:648-655. [PMID: 32419520 DOI: 10.1080/10641963.2020.1764017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
Blood pressure (BP) control status was investigated using data of a health checkup held in a Japanese city. In fiscal year 2017, 54,287 persons (age, 40-74 years; males, 49%) underwent the checkup; 28,167 examinees had a systolic BP ≥140 mmHg, a diastolic BP ≥90 mmHg, or took antihypertensive agents. Of these subjects, 20,153 subjects took antihypertensive agents. A BP <140/90 was achieved in 66.6% (13,426) of the treated subjects; however, a BP <130/80 was achieved only in 30.7% (6,188). In conclusion, in 2017, although a relatively large proportion of treated subjects achieved a BP <140/90 mmHg with antihypertensive agents, only approximately half of these subjects reached a BP <130/80 mmHg, which is the latest treatment target for persons aged 75 years or less according to the Japanese hypertension guidelines 2019.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shinichiro Fujishima
- Department of Cardiology and Hypertension, Steel Memorial Yawata Hospital , Kitakyushu, Japan
| | - Satoko Kodama
- Department of Health and Welfare, Kitakyushu Municipal Office , Kitakyushu, Japan
| | - Takuya Tsuchihashi
- Department of Cardiology and Hypertension, Steel Memorial Yawata Hospital , Kitakyushu, Japan
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21
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The Japanese Society of Hypertension Guidelines for the Management of Hypertension (JSH 2019). Hypertens Res 2020; 42:1235-1481. [PMID: 31375757 DOI: 10.1038/s41440-019-0284-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 997] [Impact Index Per Article: 249.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
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22
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Impact of hypertension stratified by diabetes on the lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease mortality in Japan: a pooled analysis of data from the Evidence for Cardiovascular Prevention from Observational Cohorts in Japan study. Hypertens Res 2020; 43:1437-1444. [PMID: 32620896 DOI: 10.1038/s41440-020-0502-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2020] [Revised: 05/26/2020] [Accepted: 06/03/2020] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
Lifetime risk is an informative estimate to motivate people to change lifestyle behaviors, especially from a younger age, in public health education. The impact of the combination of hypertension and diabetes on the lifetime risk of cardiovascular mortality has not been investigated in Asian populations. A pooled analysis of individual data from nine cohorts was performed. A total of 57,339 Japanese men and women were eligible for the analysis. We used the modified Kaplan-Meier approach and estimated the remaining lifetime risk of cardiovascular mortality starting from the index age of 35 years. Participants were classified into four categories defined by hypertension and diabetes. The lifetime risk was increased in the order of those without either risk, those without hypertension but with diabetes, those with hypertension but without diabetes, and those with both risks. The lifetime risk of cardiovascular mortality at the 35-year index age was as follows: 7.8% in men and 6.2% in women for those without either hypertension or diabetes, 13.2% in men and 9.5% in women for those without hypertension but with diabetes, 17.2% in men and 11.7% in women for those with hypertension but without diabetes, and 19.4% in men and 15% in women for those with both risks. These findings reinforce the need for a life-course perspective in the management of hypertension and diabetes from a younger age.
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23
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Qin W, Zhang L, Li Z, Xiao D, Zhang Y, Yang H, Zhang H, Xu C, Zhang Y. Metoprolol protects against myocardial infarction by inhibiting miR-1 expression in rats. J Pharm Pharmacol 2019; 72:76-83. [PMID: 31702064 DOI: 10.1111/jphp.13192] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2019] [Accepted: 10/21/2019] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Metoprolol is regarded as a first-line medicine for the treatment of myocardial infarction (MI). However, the underlying mechanisms remain largely unknown. This study aimed to investigate the involvement of miR-1 in the pharmacological function of metoprolol. METHODS In vivo MI model was established by left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) ligation. The effects of metoprolol on infarct size and cardiac dysfunction were determined by triphenyltetrazolium chloride staining and cardiac echocardiography, respectively. In vitro oxidative stress cardiomyocyte model was established by H2 O2 treatment. The effect of metoprolol on the expression of miR-1 and connexin43 (Cx43) was quantified by real-time PCR and western blot, respectively. The intercellular communication was evaluated by lucifer yellow dye diffusion. KEY FINDINGS Left anterior descending ligation-induced MI injury was markedly attenuated by metoprolol as shown by reduced infarct size and better cardiac function. Metoprolol reversed the up-regulation of miR-1 and down-regulation of Cx43 in MI heart. Moreover, in H2 O2 -stimulated cardiomyocytes, overexpression of miR-1 abolished the effects of metoprolol on Cx43 up-regulation and increased intercellular communication, indicating that miR-1 may be a necessary mediator for the cardiac protective function of metoprolol. CONCLUSIONS Metoprolol relieves MI injury via suppression miR-1, thus increasing its target protein Cx43 and improving intercellular communication.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Qin
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.,School of Pharmacy, Jining Medical University, Rizhao, China
| | - Longyin Zhang
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Zhange Li
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Dan Xiao
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Yue Zhang
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Huan Yang
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Haiying Zhang
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Chaoqian Xu
- Mudanjiang Medical University, Mudanjiang, China
| | - Yong Zhang
- Department of Pharmacology (State-Province Key Laboratories of Biomedicine-Pharmaceutics of China, Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Research, Ministry of Education), Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.,Institute of Cardiovascular Research, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
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