Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk among Ghanaians: A comparison of the risk assessment tools

Objectives

Risk stratification is a cornerstone for preventing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Ghana has yet to develop a locally derived and validated ASCVD risk model. A critical first step towards this goal is assessing how the commonly available risk models perform in the Ghanaian population. This study compares the agreement and correlation between four ASCVD risk assessment models commonly used in Ghana.

Methods

The Ghana Heart Study collected data from four regions in Ghana (Ashanti, Greater Accra, Northern, and Central regions) and excluded people with a self-declared history of ASCVD. The 10-year fatal/non-fatal ASCVD risk of participants aged 40-74 was calculated using mobile-based apps for Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE), laboratory-based WHO/ISH CVD risk, laboratory-based Framingham risk (FRS), and Globorisk, categorizing them as low, intermediate, or high risk. The risk categories were compared using the Kappa statistic and Spearman correlation.

Results

A total of 615 participants were included in this analysis (median age 55 [Inter quartile range 46, 64]) years with 365 (59.3 %) females. The WHO/ISH risk score categorized 504 (82.0 %), 58 (9.4 %), and 53 (8.6 %) as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. The PCE categorized 345 (56.1 %), 181 (29.4 %), and 89 (14.5 %) as low-, intermediate- and high-risk, respectively. The Globorisk categorized 236 (38.4 %), 273 (44.4 %), and 106 (17.2 %) as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. Significant differences in the risk categorization by region of residence and age group were noted. There was substantial agreement between the PCE vs FRS (Kappa = 0.8, 95 % CI 0.7 - 0.8), PCE vs Globorisk (Kappa = 0.6; 95 % CI 0.6 - 0.7), and FRS vs Globorisk (Kappa = 0.6; 95 % CI 0.6 - 0.7). However, there was only fair agreement between the WHO vs Globorisk (Kappa = 0.3; 95 % CI 0.3-0.4) and moderate agreement between the WHO vs PCE and WHO vs FRS.

Conclusion

There are significant differences in the ASCVD risk prediction tools in the Ghanaian population, posing a threat to primary prevention. Therefore, there is a need for locally derived and validated tools.

The importance of LDL-C lowering in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease prevention: Lower for longer is better

Cumulative exposure to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a key driver of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. An armamentarium of therapies to achieve robust and sustained reduction in LDL-C can reduce ASCVD risk. The gold standard for LDL-C assessment is ultracentrifugation but in routine clinical practice LDL-C is usually calculated and the most accurate calculation is the Martin/Hopkins equation. For primary prevention, consideration of estimated ASCVD risk frames decision making regarding use of statins and other therapies, and tools such as risk enhancing factors and coronary artery calcium enable tailoring of risk assessment and decision making. In patients with diabetes, lipid lowering therapy is recommended in most patients to reduce ASCVD risk with an opportunity to tailor therapy based on other risk factors. Patients with primary hypercholesterolemia and familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) with baseline LDL-C greater than or equal to 190 mg/dL are at elevated risk, and LDL-C lowering with high-intensity statin therapy is often combined with non-statin therapies to prevent ASCVD. Secondary prevention of ASCVD, including in patients with prior myocardial infarction or stroke, requires intensive lipid lowering therapy and lifestyle modification approaches. There is no established LDL-C level below which benefit ceases or safety concerns arise. When further LDL-C lowering is required beyond lifestyle modifications and statin therapy, additional medications include oral ezetimibe and bempedoic acid, or injectables such as PCSK9 monoclonal antibodies or siRNA therapy. A novel agent that acts independently of hepatic LDL receptors is evinacumab, which is approved for patients with homozygous FH. Other emerging agents are targeted at Lp(a) and CETP. In light of the expanding lipid treatment landscape, this manuscript reviews the importance of early, intensive, and sustained LDL-C-lowering for primary and secondary prevention of ASCVD.

Lipoprotein(a): Emerging insights and therapeutics

The strong association between lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease has led to considerations of Lp(a) being a potential target for mitigating residual cardiovascular risk. While approximately 20 % of the population has an Lp(a) level greater than 50 mg/dL, there are no currently available pharmacological lipid-lowering therapies that have demonstrated substantial reduction in Lp(a). Novel therapies to lower Lp(a) include antisense oligonucleotides and small-interfering ribonucleic acid molecules and have shown promising results in phase 2 trials. Phase 3 trials are currently underway and will test the causal relationship between Lp(a) and ASCVD and whether lowering Lp(a) reduces cardiovascular outcomes. In this review, we summarize emerging insights related to Lp(a)'s role as a risk-enhancing factor for ASCVD, association with calcific aortic stenosis, effects of existing therapies on Lp(a) levels, and variations amongst patient populations. The evolving therapeutic landscape of emerging therapeutics is further discussed.

Association between depression, antidepressant use, and the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between depression, the use of antidepressants, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

METHODS

The South Korean national claims data was used. Among a nationally representative population, 273,656 subjects who had been diagnosed with depression and prescribed antidepressants ("DEP with antidepressants") and 78,851 subjects who had been diagnosed with depression but not prescribed antidepressants ("DEP without antidepressants") were identified to be eligible. Healthy controls (HCs) were 1:1 matched with DEP with antidepressants group for age and sex. We followed up on the occurrence of ASCVD including ischemic heart diseases and ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

The risk of ASCVD was increased in the DEP with antidepressants group and decreased in the DEP without antidepressants group compared to HCs. Among those under antidepressants, tricyclic antidepressant users showed the highest risk of ASCVD compared to HCs. Among young adults, the risk of ASCVD was increased in both groups.

CONCLUSION

The risk of ASCVD increased in depression patients taking antidepressants, while it decreased in depression patients not taking antidepressants. However, the relationship showed differences according to drug class and age group.

Trajectories of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk scores as a predictor for incident chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

The relationship between atherosclerosis and renal function is well established. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores reflect atherosclerotic burden, which changes over time. We investigated the association between ASCVD risk trajectories and incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) using data from a large community-based Korean cohort with up to 16 years of follow-up.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 5032 participants without CKD from the baseline survey of the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study Ansan-Ansung cohort. Participants were categorized into stable or increasing ASCVD risk groups based on the revised ASCVD risk pooled cohort equation over a median period of exposure of 5.8 years. Incident CKD was defined as two consecutive events of an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2.

RESULTS

During a median 9.9 years of event accrual period, 449 (8.92%) new-onset CKD cases were identified. Multiple Cox proportional regression analyses showed that the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for incident CKD in the increasing group, compared to the stable group, was 2.13 (1.74-2.62) in the unadjusted model and 1.35 (1.02-1.78) in the fully-adjusted model. Significant relationships were maintained in subgroups of individuals in their 50s, without diabetes mellitus or hypertension. The prevalence of proteinuria was consistently higher in the increasing group than that in the stable group.

CONCLUSIONS

An increasing trend in ASCVD risk scores independently predicted adverse renal outcomes in patients without diabetes mellitus or hypertension. Continuous monitoring of ASCVD risk is not only important for predicting cardiovascular disease but also for predicting CKD.

Validation of the European SCORE2 models in a Canadian primary care cohort

AIMS

Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Model 2 (SCORE2) was recently developed to predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in Europe. Whether these models could be used outside of Europe is not known. The objective of this study was to test the validity of SCORE2 in a large Canadian cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A primary care cohort of persons with routinely collected electronic medical record data from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2014, in Ontario, Canada, was used for validation. The SCORE2 models for younger persons (YP) were applied to 57 409 individuals aged 40-69 while the models for older persons (OPs) were applied to 9885 individuals 70-89 years of age. Five-year ASCVD predictions from both the uncalibrated and low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 models were evaluated. The C-statistic for SCORE2-YP was 0.74 in women and 0.69 in men. The uncalibrated SCORE2-YP overestimated risk by 17% in women and underestimated by 2% in men. In contrast, the low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated worse calibration, overestimating risk by 100% in women and 36% in men. The C-statistic for SCORE2-OP was 0.64 and 0.62 in older women and men, respectively. The uncalibrated SCORE2-OP overestimated risk by more than 100% in both sexes. The low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated improved calibration but still overestimated risk by 60% in women and 13% in men.

CONCLUSION

The performance of SCORE2 to predict ASCVD risk in Canada varied by age group and depended on whether regional calibration was applied. This underscores the necessity for validation assessment of SCORE2 prior to implementation in new jurisdictions.

Atherosclerosis evaluation and cardiovascular risk estimation using coronary computed tomography angiography

Clinical risk scores based on traditional risk factors of atherosclerosis correlate imprecisely to an individual's complex pathophysiological predisposition to atherosclerosis and provide limited accuracy for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Over the past two decades, computed tomography scanners and techniques for coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) analysis have substantially improved, enabling more precise atherosclerotic plaque quantification and characterization. The accuracy of CCTA for quantifying stenosis and atherosclerosis has been validated in numerous multicentre studies and has shown consistent incremental prognostic value for MACE over the clinical risk spectrum in different populations. Serial CCTA studies have advanced our understanding of vascular biology and atherosclerotic disease progression. The direct disease visualization of CCTA has the potential to be used synergistically with indirect markers of risk to significantly improve prevention of MACE, pending large-scale randomized evaluation.

Triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio may be a better index of cardiometabolic risk in women than in men in Japan

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Few data exist regarding the gender differences in the relationship between triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and cardiometabolic risk leading to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We investigated, by gender, the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components in the Japanese, who are less obese than their Western counterparts.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A population consisting of 10,373 participants (average age, 47.6 ± 12.6 years, 60.9 % men) at the Health Planning Center of Nihon University Hospital between April 2019 and March 2020 was studied using a cross-sectional study method. The TG/HDL-C ratio and proportion of visceral obesity increased approximately parallelly with age in women; however, these parameters did not change proportionally with age in men. Accordingly, receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed the accuracy of the TG/HDL-C ratio as a predictor of visceral obesity based on the Japanese MetS criteria (women vs. men: area under the curve, 0.797 vs. 0.712, p < 0.0001; sensitivity, 82.4 % vs. 59.9 %; specificity, 61.1 % vs. 71.1 %; cutoff value, 1.075 vs. 1.933, respectively). Furthermore, a higher TG/HDL-C ratio in women reflected the status of MetS and its components compared with men in multi-logistic regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

An increased TG/HDL-C ratio in women may be involved in MetS and its components compared to men. We may pay attention to visceral obesity and increased TG/HDL-C ratio to prevent ASCVD risk in women, even in the Japanese population, which generally contains a lower proportion of obesity than in Western populations.

Estimating potential cardiovascular health benefits of improved population level control of LDL cholesterol through a twice-yearly siRNA-based approach: A simulation study of a health-system level intervention

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inclisiran, an siRNA therapy, consistently reduces low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with twice-yearly dosing. Potential cardiovascular benefits of implementing inclisiran at a population level, added to statins, were evaluated through simulation.

METHODS

For each participant in the ORION-10 and ORION-11 trials comparing inclisiran with placebo, baseline 10-year cardiovascular risk was estimated using the SMART equation. The time-adjusted LDL-C difference from baseline observed 90-540 days after baseline was assumed to persist and used to estimate potential reduction in 10-year cardiovascular risk. Impact on 500,000 ORION-like individuals was simulated with Monte-Carlo.

RESULTS

Mean baseline LDL-C and predicted 10-year major vascular risk among patients randomized to inclisiran (n = 1288) versus placebo (n = 1264) were 2.66 mmol/L versus 2.60 mmol/L and 24.9% versus 24.6%, respectively. Placebo-corrected time-adjusted absolute reduction in LDL-C with inclisiran was -1.32 mmol/L (95% CI -1.37 to -1.26; p < 0.001), which predicted a 10-year cardiovascular risk of 18.1% with inclisiran versus 24.7% with placebo (absolute difference [95% CI], -6.99% [-7.33 to -6.66]; p < 0.001) NNT 15. Extrapolating to 500,000 inclisiran-treated individuals, the model predicted large population shifts towards lower quintiles of risk with fewer remaining in high-risk categories; 3350 to 471 (≥80% risk), 11,793 to 3332 (60-<80% risk), 52,142 to 22,665 (40-<60% risk), 197,752 to 141,014 (20-<40% risk), and more moving into the lowest risk category (<20%) from 234,963 to 332,518.

CONCLUSIONS

Meaningful gains in population health might be achieved over 10 years by implementing at-scale approaches capable of providing substantial and sustained reductions in LDL-C beyond those achievable with statins.

Prognostic Significance of Soluble PD-L1 on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease

AIMS

Programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) and its ligand (PD-L1) regulate T cells, leading to immunotolerance. We previously demonstrated that patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) had increased circulating levels of soluble PD-L1 (sPD-L1). However, the prognostic significance of sPD-L1 on cardiovascular outcomes is unknown. In the present study, we evaluated the association between sPD-L1 and cardiovascular events in patients with CAD.

METHODS

We prospectively measured sPD-L1 in patients with CAD admitted to Kumamoto University Hospital between December 2017 and January 2020 and observed their cardiovascular event rate. The primary outcome was a composite of death from non-cardiovascular causes, death from cardiovascular causes, non-fatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, revascularization, hospitalization for heart failure, and ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

Finally, 627 patients were enrolled, and 35 patients were lost to follow-up. The median follow-up duration was 522 days. In total, 124 events were recorded. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the event rate was higher in the higher sPD-L1 group (median ≥ 136 pg/dL) than in the lower sPD-L1 group (25.0% vs. 16.9%; p=0.028, log-rank test). Univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, an estimated glomerular filtration rate of ＜60 mL/min/1.73m2, B-type natriuretic peptide, left ventricular ejection fraction, and sPD-L1 were significantly associated with cardiovascular events. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis of factors that were significant in univariate analysis identified that sPD-L1 was significantly and independently associated with cardiovascular events (hazard ratio: 1.364, 95% confidence interval: 1.018-1.828, p=0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher sPD-L1 levels were significantly associated with future cardiovascular events in patients with CAD.

J-shaped association between LDL cholesterol and cardiovascular events: A longitudinal primary prevention cohort of over 2.4 million people nationwide

INTRODUCTION

Low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol-lowering treatment is beneficial for the secondary or primary prevention of high-risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, the prognostic implications of low LDL cholesterol levels in patients without previous ASCVD and without statin use remain elusive.

METHODS

From a nationwide cohort, 2,432,471 participants without previous ASCVD or statin use were included. For myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS), participants were followed-up from 2009 to 2018. They were stratified according to 10-year ASCVD risk (<5 %, 5 %-<7.5 %, 7.5 %-<20 %, and ≥20 %) and LDL cholesterol level (<70, 70-99, 100-129, 130-159, 160-189, and ≥190 mg/dL).

RESULTS

The relationship between LDL cholesterol levels and ASCVD events exhibited a J-shaped curve for both MI and IS. After classification according to the ASCVD risk, this J-shaped relationship was consistently observed for the composite of MI and IS. Participants with an LDL cholesterol level <70 mg/dL showed a higher MI risk than those with a level of 70-99 mg/dL or 100-129 mg/dL in the low-ASCVD risk group. The J-shaped curve between LDL cholesterol levels and MI risk was attenuated across ASCVD risk groups. For IS, participants with an LDL cholesterol level <70 mg/dL demonstrated increased risks compared with those with a level of 70-99 mg/dL, 100-129 mg/dL, or 130-159 mg/dL in the borderline, intermediate, and high ASCVD risk groups, respectively. In contrast, a linear association was observed in participants taking statins. Interestingly, a J-shaped association was observed between LDL cholesterol and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels; the mean hs-CRP level and the proportion of individuals with increased hs-CRP levels were relatively high among individuals with an LDL cholesterol level <70 mg/dL.

CONCLUSIONS

Although high LDL cholesterol levels increase the risk of ASCVD, low LDL cholesterol levels do not warrant safety from ASCVD. Therefore, individuals with low LDL cholesterol levels should be carefully monitored.

Controlling Risk Factors Reduces Cancer Risk in Patients with Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The association of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) with cancer occurrence is not well examined, and the impact of common risk factors on the risk of cancer in ASCVD patients is not known. This study aimed to explore the effect and possible causes of ASCVD on cancer risk through a cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 14,665 age- and sex-matched pairs of participants were recruited from the Kailuan cohort (ASCVD vs non-ASCVD). A competing risk model was used to calculate the risk of cancer after ASCVD.

RESULTS

A total of 1124 cancers occurred after 5.80 (3.05-9.44) years of follow-up. The ASCVD group had a reduced risk of cancer (hazard ratio 0.74; 95% confidence interval, 0.65-0.85). Also, the risk of cancer in the digestive system, respiratory system, urinary system, and reproductive system was reduced by 17%, 16%, 14%, and 52%, respectively. According to the status of systolic and diastolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and body mass index after ASCVD, the risk of overall cancer and digestive system cancer decreased with the increase in the number of ideal indicators (P for trend < .01). With the increase of follow-up time, the risk of cancer and the 5 site-specific cancers gradually decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer risk can be reduced by controlling for common risk factors after ASCVD event. This risk reduction is site-specific-, time-, and the number of ideal indicator-dependent.

Effects of glucose-lowering drugs on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: an update

INTRODUCTION

Over the last few years, there has been a substantial increase in the data available about the benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) in improving cardiovascular and renal outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Very little new information is available for the other groups of glucose-lowering drugs.

AREAS COVERED

This brief report summarizes the recent information about the respective benefits of the two newer groups of glucose-lowering drugs and the effects on cardiovascular risk factors that may be involved in these benefits. The articles reviewed were identified by a Medline search.

EXPERT OPINION

Recent guidelines recommend SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 RAs with proven cardiovascular disease benefits as potential first line treatment for patients with T2D and established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or those with high risk of ASCVD or with chronic kidney disease or heart failure. Both groups of drugs have been shown to reduce major adverse cardiovascular events, but the mechanisms vary between them. SGLT2 inhibitors are preferred for the treatment and prevention of heart failure and chronic kidney disease, whereas GLP-1 RAs are more effective in reducing body weight and improving glycemic control in patients with T2D.

Inhibition of PCSK9 with evolocumab modulates lipoproteins and monocyte activation in high-risk ASCVD subjects

BACKGROUND

Mechanistic studies suggest that proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors can modulate inflammation.

METHODS

Double-blind, placebo-controlled trial randomized 41 ASCVD subjects with type 2 diabetes with microalbuminuria and LDL-C level >70 mg/dL on maximum tolerated statin therapy received subcutaneous evolocumab 420 mg every 4 weeks or matching placebo. The primary outcomes were change in circulating immune cell transcriptional response, lipoproteins and blood viscosity at 2 weeks and 12 weeks. Safety was assessed in all subjects who received at least one dose of assigned treatment and analyses were conducted in the intention-to-treat population.

RESULTS

All 41 randomized subjects completed the 2-week visit. Six subjects did not receive study medication consistently after the 2-week visit due to COVID-19 pandemic suspension of research activities. The groups were well-matched with respect to age, comorbidities, baseline LDL-C, white blood cell counts, and markers of systemic inflammation. Evolocumab reduced LDL-C by -68.8% (p < 0.0001) and -52.8% (p < 0.0001) at 2 and 12 weeks, respectively. There were no differences in blood viscosity at baseline nor at 2 and 12 weeks. RNA-seq was performed on peripheral blood mononuclear cells with and without TLR4 stimulation ("Stress" transcriptomics). "Stress" transcriptomics unmasked immune cell phenotypic differences between evolocumab and placebo groups at 2 and 12 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

This trial is the first to demonstrate that PCSK9 mAB with evolocumab can modulate circulating immune cell properties and highlights the importance of "stress" profiling of circulating immune cells that more clearly define immune contributions to ASCVD.

Association between plasma maresin 1 and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Chinese adults: A community-based cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It has been reported that maresin 1 (MaR1) is able to protect against the development of atherogenesis in cellular and animal models. This study was performed to investigate whether plasma MaR1 is associated with the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) at the population level.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study included 2822 non-ASCVD participants from a community-based cohort who were followed for about 8 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for ASCVD events according to baseline MaR1 quartiles were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. During follow-up, a total of 290 new ASCVD cases were identified. The restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a linear dose-response association between plasma MaR1 and incident ASCVD. In addition, the adjusted-HR (95% CI) for ASCVD events associated with one standard deviation increase in MaR1 was 0.79 (0.68-0.91). Moreover, the adjusted-HRs (95% CIs) for ASCVD events associated with the second, third and fourth quartiles versus the first quartile of plasma MaR1 were 1.00, 1.04 (0.76, 1.42), 0.88 (0.64, 1.22) and 0.58 (0.41, 0.84), respectively. Mediation analyses showed that the association between MaR1 and incident ASCVD was partially mediated by small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, with a mediation proportion of 9.23%. Further, the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement of ASCVD risk were significantly improved when MaR1 was added to basic model established by conventional risk factors (all p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated plasma MaR1 concentrations are associated with a lower risk of ASCVD development.

Age- and sex-based heterogeneity in coronary artery plaque presence and burden in familial hypercholesterolemia: A multi-national study

Objectives

Individuals with familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) are at an increased risk for coronary artery disease (CAD). While prior research has shown variability in coronary artery calcification (CAC) among those with FH, studies with small sample sizes and single-center recruitment have been limited in their ability to characterize CAC and plaque burden in subgroups based on age and sex. Understanding the spectrum of atherosclerosis may result in personalized risk assessment and tailored allocation of costly add-on, non-statin lipid-lowering therapies. We aimed to characterize the presence and burden of CAC and coronary plaque on computed tomography angiography (CTA) across age- and sex-stratified subgroups of individuals with FH who were without CAD at baseline.

Methods

We pooled 1,011 patients from six cohorts across Brazil, France, the Netherlands, Spain, and Australia. Our main measures of subclinical atherosclerosis included CAC ranges (i.e., 0, 1-100, 101-400, >400) and CTA-derived plaque burden (i.e., no plaque, non-obstructive CAD, obstructive CAD).

Results

Ninety-five percent of individuals with FH (mean age: 48 years; 54% female; treated LDL-C: 154 mg/dL) had a molecular diagnosis and 899 (89%) were on statin therapy. Overall, 423 (42%) had CAC=0, 329 (33%) had CAC 1-100, 160 (16%) had CAC 101-400, and 99 (10%) had CAC >400. Compared to males, female patients were more likely to have CAC=0 (48% [n = 262] vs 35% [n = 161]) and no plaque on CTA (39% [n = 215] vs 26% [n = 120]). Among patients with CAC=0, 85 (20%) had non-obstructive CAD. Females also had a lower prevalence of obstructive CAD in CAC 1-100 (8% [n = 15] vs 18% [n = 26]), CAC 101-400 (32% [n = 22] vs 40% [n = 36]), and CAC >400 (52% [n = 16] vs 65% [n = 44]). Female patients aged 50-59 years were less likely to have obstructive CAD in CAC >400 (55% [n = 6] vs 70% [n = 19]).

Conclusion

In this large, multi-national study, we found substantial age- and sex-based heterogeneity in CAC and plaque burden in a cohort of predominantly statin-treated individuals with FH, with evidence for a less pronounced increase in atherosclerosis among female patients. Future studies should examine the predictors of resilience to and long-term implications of the differential burden of subclinical coronary atherosclerosis in this higher risk population.

Role of statins in the management of dyslipidaemia

Blood cholesterol has firmly been established as a crucial risk factor for the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) by elegant epidemiological studies. Naturally, means to reduce blood cholesterol level took the centerstage of research in this field. After initial lukewarm results with nicotinic acid, fibrates and some other agents, statins emerged as the most effective class of medicine to reduce blood cholesterol; in particular, the most atherogenic low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). Also, they are very safe and well tolerated. As ASCVD comes in various stages, statins have also been tried in different settings, e.g., primary prevention, secondary prevention, as part of coronary intervention strategy, familial hypercholesterolemia, etc. Almost in all clinical scenarios, statins proved themselves to impart clinical benefit. Though side effects of statins are outweighed by their benefits, nonetheless clinicians should detect the side effects early to avoid major problems.

Real-World Risk of Recurrent Cardiovascular Events in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Patients with LDL-C Above Guideline-Recommended Threshold: A Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

The 2021 Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) guidelines recommend intensive low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) reduction for patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). For patients above LDL-C threshold on maximally tolerated statins, adding ezetimibe and/or a proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitor (PCSK9i) is recommended. This population-based, real-world study examined cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with ASCVD who are on statins and above current guideline threshold LDL-C levels.

METHODS

Using administrative health data in Alberta, Canada, we identified patients with myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke (IS), or peripheral artery disease with LDL-C > 1.8 mmol/L on statins between April 1, 2010 and March 31, 2016. Exploratory subgroups included very high-risk patients with ASCVD shown to derive the most benefit from PCSK9i intensification as identified by the CCS guidelines, including those with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) or recent MI. Frequencies and rates of individual and composite CV events (primary outcome: MI, IS, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, cardiovascular death; secondary outcome: MI, IS, CV death) were calculated over follow-up.

RESULTS

The study included 32,984 patients with a mean (standard deviation) follow-up of 40.8 (21.0) months. Overall, 17.7% and 15.6% experienced a primary and secondary outcome, respectively, with rates of 5.58 and 4.83 per 100 patient-years, respectively. CV death and MI were the most common events. Subgroups with recurrent MI and comorbid diabetes exhibited higher CV event rates (23.6% and 22.2% had a primary outcome, respectively). Rates of CV events were notably high in patients with ACS or recent MI (49.4% and 54.0% had a primary outcome, respectively).

CONCLUSION

This real-world study confirms that statin-treated high-risk patients with ASCVD and above-threshold LDL-C levels have substantial incidence of recurrent CV events. These findings reinforce the opportunity for lipid-lowering therapy intensification in high-risk patients to levels below guideline-recommended threshold in order to reduce CV risk.

A cross-sectional study exploring the relationship between oxidative balance score and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2011-2020)

BACKGROUND

The intricate interaction between oxidative stress and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is an essential area of research because of the potential role of oxidative homeostasis in regulating ASCVD risk. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the oxidative balance score (OBS) and the 10-years risk of ASCVD to gain insight into how oxidative balance affects cardiovascular health.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study analyzed National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2020 data (40-79 age group), exploring OBS's link to 10-years ASCVD risk. OBS categorized dietary and lifestyle factors. Multivariate logistic regression controlled for age, sex, race, and demographics. A restricted cubic spline examined linear relationships; robustness was ensured through subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

Analysis of 4955 participants reveals a negative association between OBS and 10-years ASCVD risk. Continuous OBS adjusted OR: 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95∼0.99, p < .001). Quartile analysis shows reduced risk in Q2 0.88 (95% CI: 0.63∼1.22, p = .43), Q3 0.92 (95% CI: 0.66∼1.28, p = .614), and Q4 0.59 (95% CI: 0.42∼0.83, p = .002) compare Q1. Quartile analysis indicated decreasing risk in higher OBS quartiles. Lifestyle OBS and Dietary OBS demonstrated similar trends. Stratified analyses highlight race and hypertension as effect modifiers (p < .05).

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests an association between higher OBS and a reduced 10-years ASCVD risk. However, causation should not be inferred, and in the future, more extensive clinical and fundamental research is required to delve deeper into this association.

Executive summary of the Hellenic Atherosclerosis Society guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of dyslipidemias - 2023

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains the main cause of death worldwide, and thus its prevention, early diagnosis and treatment is of paramount importance. Dyslipidemia represents a major ASCVD risk factor that should be adequately managed at different clinical settings. 2023 guidelines of the Hellenic Atherosclerosis Society focus on the assessment of ASCVD risk, laboratory evaluation of dyslipidemias, new and emerging lipid-lowering drugs, as well as diagnosis and treatment of lipid disorders in women, the elderly and in patients with familial hypercholesterolemia, acute coronary syndromes, heart failure, stroke, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, autoimmune diseases, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Statin intolerance is also discussed.

Novel plasma biomarkers of coronary artery calcium incidence or progression: Insights from the prospective multi-ethnic Dallas Heart Study cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Identifying the association of novel plasma biomarkers with coronary artery calcium (CAC) incidence or progression may provide insights into the pathophysiology of atherogenesis and plaque formation.

METHODS

Participants of the Dallas Heart Study (DHS), a multi-ethnic cohort of ambulatory individuals at low-intermediate risk for future atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), who had their blood tested for 31 biomarkers reflecting multiple pathophysiological pathways, underwent 2 serial non-contrast computed tomography assessments for CAC a median ∼7 years apart. The collected biomarkers were explored for association with CAC incidence or progression using univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1424 participants were included; mean age 43 years, 39 % male, and nearly half African-American. Over a 7-year interval between the two CAC measurements, 340 participants (23.9 %) had CAC incidence or progression, 105 (7.4 %) with incident CAC, and 309 (21.7 %) with CAC progression. Although several plasma biomarkers were associated with CAC incidence or progression in a univariate model, only soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1), related to atherosclerosis by the inflammatory pathway, remained independently associated in a multivariate model adjusted for traditional risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Further studies are needed to characterize the role of sICAM-1 in CAC evolvement to establish whether it has a pivotal mechanistic contribution or is rather an innocent bystander. Alternate measures of coronary atherosclerosis may be needed to elucidate contributors to atherosclerosis incidence or progression.

In-hospital and mid-term follow-up of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and target-goal attainment among patients with acute cerebral infarction: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the baseline and six-month follow-up data of the main lipid indices as well as low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) target goal attainment in accordance with the current guidelines among patients with acute cerebral infarction (ACI).

METHODS

One thousand ninety-nine patients were consecutively enrolled from January 2021 to December 2022 and divided into ACI, old cerebral infarction (OCI), and control groups. General data [sex, age, body mass index (BMI), medications, smoking status, disease history, etc.], baseline data, and six-month follow-up main laboratory data were collected and analyzed. ACI patients were grouped into dyslipidemia and normal groups according to the lipid management guidelines of the European, American, and Chinese populations. Statistical methods were used to screen for possible predictors of dyslipidemia.

RESULTS

Patients with ACI or OCI had higher total cholesterol (TC) and LDL-C levels than did the control group (all P < 0.05). According to European (94.7%, 89.0% and 13.4%, P < 0.01), American (94.7% vs. 67.7% vs. 45.9%, P < 0.001) and Chinese (85.1% vs. 59.1% vs. 18.6%, P < 0.001) standards, the proportion of dyslipidemia in the ACI group was greater than that in the OCI and control groups. According to European and American standards, increases in BMI and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are predictors of dyslipidemia in ACI patients. According to Chinese standards, increases in BMI, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels, and eGFRs are independent predictors of dyslipidemia in ACI patients. The 6-month follow-up of the main lipid levels revealed that among the ACI group, TC, LDL-C and triglyceride(TG) levels (4.86 vs. 3.79, P < 0.001; 2.98 vs. 2.01, P < 0.001; 1.46 vs. 1.20, P < 0.001) and the proportion of dyslipidemia decreased significantly in accordance with European/American and Chinese standards (86.8% vs. 64.6%, P = 0.015; 97.2% vs. 84.7%, P = 0.012).

CONCLUSION

These results revealed that lipid management is still not optimal for patients with ACI. More attention should be given to ACI patients with elevated BMI, eGFR, and HbA1c values, which could lead to more individualized lipid management. Although the main lipid levels decreased significantly 6 months after discharge with lipid-lowering therapy, there is still a long way to go to enable more ACI patients to meet the guideline-recommended LDL-C target goal.

Evolocumab in paediatric heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia: cognitive function during 80 weeks of open-label extension treatment

AIMS

PCSK9 inhibition intensively lowers low density lipoprotein cholesterol and is well tolerated in adults and paediatric patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia (FH). HAUSER-RCT showed that 24 weeks of treatment with evolocumab in paediatric patients did not affect cognitive function. This study determined the effects of 80 additional weeks of evolocumab treatment on cognitive function in paediatric patients with heterozygous FH.

METHODS AND RESULTS

HAUSER-OLE was an 80-week open-label extension of HAUSER-RCT, a randomized, double-blind, 24-week trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of evolocumab in paediatric patients (ages 10-17 years) with FH. During the OLE, all patients received monthly 420 mg subcutaneous evolocumab injections. Tests of psychomotor function, attention, visual learning, and executive function were administered at baseline and Weeks 24 and 80 of the OLE. Changes over time were analysed descriptively and using analysis of covariance. Cohen's d statistic was used to evaluate the magnitude of treatment effects. Analysis of covariance results indicated no decrease in performance across visits during 80 weeks of evolocumab treatment for Groton Maze Learning, One Card Learning accuracy, Identification speed, or Detection speed (all P > 0.05). Performance on all tasks was similar for those who received placebo or evolocumab in the RCT (all P > 0.05). For all tests, the least square mean differences between patients who received placebo vs. evolocumab in the parent study were trivial (all Cohen's d magnitude < 0.2).

CONCLUSION

In paediatric patients with FH, 80 weeks of open-label evolocumab treatment had no negative impact on cognitive function.

REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02624869.

[C-reactive protein, cardiovascular issues of an acute-phase protein: an update for theclinician]

Inflammation is an important pathogenic factor for the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Currently, the most frequently used biomarker reflecting systemic inflammation is C-reactive protein (CRP), an acute-phase protein produced primarily by hepatocytes under the influence of interleukin-6, interleukin-1 beta, and tumor necrosis factor. Growing evidence from epidemiological studies has shown a robust association between elevated serum or plasma CRP concentrations and the incidence of a first cardiovascular adverse event (including acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and sudden cardiac death) in the general population, as well as recurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events among patients with established disease. The additive value that CRP measurement gives to traditional risk factors is reflected in novel cardiovascular risk calculators and in current intervention regimens, which already consider CRP as a target therapeutic. However, the variations in CRP levels, that depend on sex, ethnicity, hormonal status, and some peculiarities of the measurement assays, must be taken into consideration when deciding to implement CRP as a useful biomarker in the study and treatment of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. This review aims to offer an updated vision of the importance of measuring CRP levels as a biomarker of cardiovascular risk beyond the traditional factors that estimate the risk of atherosclerotic disease.

Under-utilization of statins among people with HIV who were aged 40 years or older

From June 2022 to April 2023, 1629 HIV-positive participants were assessed for the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The 10-year ASCVD risk of <5 %, 5 % to <7.5 %, ≥7.5 % to <20 % and ≥20 % were 59.9 %, 14.4 %, 20.7 % and 5.0 %, respectively; 440 (27.0 %) participants met the criteria for statin therapy, but only 171 (38.8 %) were prescribed statins.

Cardiovascular risk assessment in women: which women are suited for menopausal hormone therapy?

Individual risk assessment for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is important for safe menopausal hormone prescription. Besides the traditional risk factors, female-specific risk variables related to pregnancy and gynecologic conditions importantly contribute to a more tailored risk assessment in women at middle age. Of these, prior pre-eclampsia/HELLP (hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes and low platelets) syndrome and early spontaneous menopause (<40 years) seem to be the strongest adverse risk variables. Concomitant inflammatory disorders should also be taken into account. Adding a coronary artery calcium score with a computed tomography scan to risk assessment has a high predictive value for future cardiovascular events. This should be considered to discriminate between low-risk and high-risk women when uncertainty exists. In women at intermediate risk, menopausal hormone therapy can be easily combined with preventive medication if cardiovascular risk factors are present. In women at higher risk who have severe disabling vasomotor symptoms, a lower dosage of hormone therapy can be considered in good collaboration between the gynecologist and the cardiologist/vascular specialist.

Obesity and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in adults with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia: An analysis from HELLAS-FH registry

BACKGROUND

Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) and obesity are well-established risk factors of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Despite high prevalence, their joint association with ASCVD remains largely unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of obesity with prevalent ASCVD in individuals with heterozygous FH (HeFH) enrolled in the Hellenic Familial Hypercholesterolemia Registry (HELLAS-FH).

METHODS

FH diagnosis was based on Dutch Lipid Clinic Network (DLCN) criteria. Adults with at least possible FH diagnosis (DLCN score ≥3) and available body mass index (BMI) values were included. Homozygous FH individuals were excluded.

RESULTS

1655 HeFH adults (mean age 51.0 ± 14.4 years, 48.6% female) were included; 378 (22.8%) and 430 (26.0%) were diagnosed with probable and definite FH, respectively. Furthermore, 371 participants (22.4%) had obesity and 761 (46.0%) were overweight. Prevalence of ASCVD risk factors increased progressively with BMI. Prevalence of coronary artery disease (CAD) was 23.4% (3.2% for stroke and 2.7% for peripheral artery disease, PAD), and increased progressively across BMI groups. After adjusting for traditional ASCVD risk factors and lipid-lowering medication, individuals with obesity had higher odds of established CAD (OR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.04-2.27, p = 0.036) as well as premature CAD (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.17-2.60, p = 0.009) compared with those with normal BMI. No association was found with stroke or PAD.

CONCLUSIONS

Over half of adults with HeFH have overweight or obesity. Obesity was independently associated with increased prevalence of CAD in this population.

Epidemiology of multimorbidity associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in the United States, 1999-2018

BACKGROUND

The multimorbidity of Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and many other chronic conditions is becoming common. This study aimed to assess multimorbidity distribution in ASCVD among adults in the United States from 1999 to 2018.

METHODS

This cross-sectional survey from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2018 using stratified multistage probability design. Among the 53,083 survey respondents during the study period, 5,729 US adults aged ≥ 20 years with ASCVD. Joinpoint regression was used to assess the statistical significance of prevalence trends in the prevalence of ASCVD stratified by multimorbidity. The Apriori association rule mining algorithm was used to identify common multimorbidity association patterns in ASCVD patients.

RESULTS

Overall, 5,729 of 53,083 individuals had ASCVD, and the prevalence showed a slow declining trend (biannual percentage change = -0.81%, p = 0.035, average 7.71%). The prevalence of ASCVD significantly decreased in populations without dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and arthritis (all groups, p < 0.05). Additionally, 65.6% of ASCVD patients had at least four of the 12 selected chronic conditions, with four and five being the most common numbers of conditions (17.9% and 17.7%, respectively). The five most common chronic conditions were (in order) dyslipidemia, hypertension, arthritis, chronic kidney disease, and DM. The coexistence of hypertension and dyslipidemia had the highest support in association rules (support = 0.63), while the coexistence of dyslipidemia, hypertension, metabolic syndrome, and DM had the highest lift (lift = 1.82).

CONCLUSIONS

During the 20-year survey period, there was a significant decrease in the overall prevalence of ASCVD. However, this reduction was primarily observed in individuals without dyslipidemia, DM, hypertension, asthma, COPD, and arthritis. Among populations with any of the evaluated chronic conditions, the prevalence of ASCVD remained unchanged. Most of ASCVD patients had four or more concurrent chronic conditions.

Unlocking the mysteries of VLDL: exploring its production, intracellular trafficking, and metabolism as therapeutic targets

Reducing circulating lipid levels is the centerpiece of strategies for preventing and treating atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Despite many available lipid-lowering medications, a substantial residual cardiovascular risk remains. Current clinical guidelines focus on plasma levels of low-density lipoprotein (LDL). Recent attention has been given to very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL), the precursor to LDL, and its role in the development of coronary atherosclerosis. Preclinical investigations have revealed that interventions targeting VLDL production or promoting VLDL metabolism, independent of the LDL receptor, can potentially decrease cholesterol levels and provide therapeutic benefits. Currently, methods, such as mipomersen, lomitapide, and ANGPTL3 inhibitors, are used to reduce plasma cholesterol and triglyceride levels by regulating the lipidation, secretion, and metabolism of VLDL. Targeting VLDL represents an avenue for new lipid-lowering strategies. Interventions aimed at reducing VLDL production or enhancing VLDL metabolism, independent of the LDL receptor, hold promise for lowering cholesterol levels and providing therapeutic benefits beyond LDL in the management of ASCVD.

Factors associated with the presence of tendon xanthomas in familial hypercholesterolemia

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Tendon xanthomas (TX) are lipid deposits highly specific to familial hypercholesterolemia (FH). However, there is significant variability in their presentation among FH patients, primarily due to largely unknown causes. Lipoprotein(a) is a well-established independent risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in the general population as well as in FH. Given the wide variability of lipoprotein(a) among FH individuals and the likelihood that TX may result from a proatherogenic and proinflammatory condition, the objective of this study was to analyze the size of TX in the Achilles tendons of FH participants and the variables associated with their presence, including lipoprotein(a) concentration.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted on 377 participants with a molecular diagnosis of heterozygous FH. Achilles tendon maximum thickness (ATMT) was measured using ultrasonography with standardized equipment and procedures. Demographic variables and lipid profiles were collected. A multivariate linear regression model using a log-Gaussian approach was used to predict TX size. Classical cardiovascular risk factors and lipoprotein(a) were included as explanatory variables.

RESULTS

The mean low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level was 277mg/dL without lipid-lowering treatment, and the median ATMT was 5.50mm. We demonstrated that age, sex, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipoprotein(a) were independently associated with ATMT. However, these 4 variables did not account for most the interindividual variability observed (R2=0.205).

CONCLUSIONS

TX, a characteristic hallmark of FH, exhibit heterogeneity in their presentation. Interindividual variability can partially be explained by age, male sex, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipoprotein(a) but these factors account for only 20% of this heterogeneity.

Metformin versus sodium glucose co-transporters inhibitors as first-line for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: A meta-analysis

There is growing evidence of prescribing sodium glucose co-transporters-2 inhibitor (SGLT-2) to patients with/at high risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease as first-line (instead of metformin). This is the first meta-analysis to compare SGLT-2 inhibitors regarding the same. We aimed to compare SGLT-2 inhibitors and metformin regarding heart failure, acute coronary syndrome, and ischemic stroke. We systematically searched PubMed and Cochrane Library for relevant articles from the first article up to August 2022. The following keywords were used: Metformin, Salt glucose co-transporters inhibitors, SGLT-2 inhibitors, empagliflozin, dapagliflozin, canagliflozin, and first-line. The retrieved data were exported to an excel sheet detailing the author's names, the country of origin of the study, the number of patients and control subjects, the study duration, and the total number of events in the interventional and exercise groups. Out of 108 articles screened, only three studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria, a databased study, and two cohorts with 10309 events and 86487 patients. The present meta-analysis showed that SGLT-2 inhibitors had lower rates of heart failure (odd ratio, 1.51, 95% CI, 1.10-2.08) and myocardial infarction (odd ratio, 1.45, 95% CI, 1.08-1.96) than metformin with a similar rate of stroke (odd ratio, 1.03, 95% CI, 0.66-1.61). Significant heterogeneity was observed. Sodium-glucose co-transporter inhibitors-2 as first-line therapy showed a lower heart failure and myocardial infarction compared to metformin. No significant difference was found between the two drugs regarding ischemic stroke. Further larger studies comparing the adverse event are needed.

Effect of PCSK9 inhibition on plasma levels of small dense low density lipoprotein-cholesterol and 7-ketocholesterol

BACKGROUND

Oxidized forms of cholesterol (oxysterols) are implicated in atherogenesis and can accumulate in the body via direct absorption from food or through oxidative reactions of endogenous cholesterol, inducing the formation of LDL particles loaded with oxidized cholesterol. It remains unknown whether drastic reductions in LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C) are associated with changes in circulating oxysterols and whether small dense LDL (sdLDL) are more likely to carry these oxysterols and susceptible to the effects of PCSK9 inhibition (PCSK9i).

OBJECTIVE

We investigate the effect of LDL-C reduction accomplished via PCSK9i on changes in plasma levels of sdLDL-cholesterol (sdLDL-C) and a common, stable oxysterol, 7-ketocholesterol (7-KC), among 134 patients referred to our Preventive Cardiology clinic.

METHODS

Plasma lipid panel, sdLDL-C, and 7-KC measurements were obtained from patients before and after initiation of PCSK9i.

RESULTS

The intervention caused a significant lowering of LDL-C (-55.4 %). The changes in sdLDL-C levels (mean reduction 51.4 %) were highly correlated with the reductions in LDL-C levels (R = 0.829, p < 0.001). Interestingly, whereas changes in plasma free 7-KC levels with PCSK9i treatment were much smaller than (-6.6 %) and did not parallel those of LDL-C and sdLDL-C levels, they did significantly correlate with changes in triglycerides and very low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (VLDL-C) levels (R = 0.219, p = 0.025).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest a non-preferential clearance of LDL subparticles as a consequence of LDL receptor upregulation caused by PCSK9 inhibition. Moreover, the lack of significant reduction in 7-KC with PCSK9i suggests that 7-KC may be in part carried by VLDL and lost during lipoprotein processing leading to LDL formation.

Association of Higher N-3 Polyunsaturated Fatty Acid Consumption and Aerobic Exercise with Lower Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio: Implications of Anti-Atherosclerotic Effect of Fish Consumption

INTRODUCTION

N-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 PUFAs), abundant in oily fish, exert anti-inflammatory cardiovascular protective effects. We aimed to investigate the association between fish-derived n-3 PUFAs, lifestyle habits, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), an atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) marker.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 6,950 participants with no history of ASCVD, who underwent annual health check-ups (average age, 46.3 ± 13.0 years; male:female ratio, 58.8%) between April 2019 and March 2020 at the Health Planning Center, Nihon University Hospital. We calculated n-3 PUFA consumption using a questionnaire and the Japan National Health and Nutrition Survey.

RESULTS

The average fish consumption frequency and fish-derived n-3 PUFA consumption were 2.20 ± 1.28 days/week and 5.20 ± 3.11 g/week, respectively. A higher fish-derived n-3 PUFA consumption was associated with a lower NLR. Multiple-stepwise regression analysis revealed that higher fish-derived n-3 PUFA consumption and more aerobic exercise habits were significant independent determinants of lower NLR. Furthermore, higher fish-derived n-3 PUFA consumption was associated with habitual aerobic exercise habits.

CONCLUSION

Thus, higher fish-derived n-3 PUFA consumption and more aerobic exercise habits may be synergistically associated with lower NLR. This association may explain the preventive effects of fish consumption on the ASCVD risk.

Investigating linear and nonlinear associations of LDL cholesterol with incident chronic kidney disease, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: A prospective and Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Observational studies suggest potential nonlinear associations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with cardio-renal diseases and mortality, but the causal nature of these associations is unclear. We aimed to determine the shape of causal relationships of LDL-C with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and all-cause mortality, and to evaluate the absolute risk of adverse outcomes contributed by LDL-C itself.

METHODS

Observational analysis and one-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) with linear and nonlinear assumptions were performed using the UK Biobank of >0.3 million participants with no reported prescription of lipid-lowering drugs. Two-sample MR on summary-level data from the Global Lipid Genetics Consortium (N = 296,680) and the CKDGen (N = 625,219) was employed to replicate the relationship for kidney traits. The 10-year probabilities of the outcomes was estimated by integrating the MR and Cox models.

RESULTS

Observationally, participants with low LDL-C were significantly associated with a decreased risk of ASCVD, but an increased risk of CKD and all-cause mortality. Univariable MR showed an inverse total effect of LDL-C on incident CKD (HR [95% CI]:0.84 [0.73-0.96]; p = 0.011), a positive effect on ASCVD (1.41 [1.29-1.53]; p<0.001), and no significant causal effect on all-cause mortality. Multivariable MR, controlling for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglycerides, identified a positive direct effect on ASCVD (1.32 [1.18-1.47]; p<0.001), but not on CKD and all-cause mortality. These results indicated that genetically predicted low LDL-C had an inverse indirect effect on CKD mediated by HDL-C and triglycerides, which was validated by a two-sample MR analysis using summary-level data from the Global Lipid Genetics Consortium (N = 296,680) and the CKDGen consortium (N = 625,219). Suggestive evidence of a nonlinear causal association between LDL-C and CKD was found. The 10-year probability curve showed that LDL-C concentrations below 3.5 mmol/L were associated with an increased risk of CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

In the general population, lower LDL-C was causally associated with lower risk of ASCVD, but appeared to have a trade-off for an increased risk of CKD, with not much effect on all-cause mortality. LDL-C concentration below 3.5 mmol/L may increase the risk of CKD.

Performance of nonalcoholic fatty liver fibrosis score in estimating atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is currently unclear whether the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score, when compared to major anthropometric indices, is useful in estimating the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included 3886 adults undergoing a health checkup. An elevated risk of ASCVD was determined as a 10-year ASCVD risk ≥7.5% using Pooled Cohort Equations. NAFLD was diagnosed with abdominal ultrasonography. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the performance of estimating an elevated ASCVD risk. Among study participants, 521 (13.4%) had an elevated ASCVD risk and 1473 (37.9%) had NAFLD. Subjects with NAFLD had a significantly higher rate of ASCVD risk ≥7.5% (p < 0.001) compared to those without NAFLD. After adjusting for cardiometabolic risk factors, NAFLD (OR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.10-2.00, p = 0.009) in all participants and NAFLD fibrosis score >0.676 (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.30-2.92, p = 0.001) in individuals with NAFLD were significantly associated with an elevated risk of ASCVD. When compared to different anthropometric indices, NAFLD fibrosis score exhibited the largest area under the curve (AUC) in individuals with NAFLD (AUC = 0.750) in estimating an elevated ASCVD risk. Furthermore, NAFLD fibrosis score displayed the best predictive performance for identifying an elevated ASCVD risk in male participants with NAFLD (AUC = 0.737).

CONCLUSION

NAFLD was a significant risk factor for elevated ASCVD risk. NAFLD fibrosis score >0.676 was associated with increased ASCVD risk in individuals with NAFLD. Compared with anthropometric indices, NAFLD fibrosis score demonstrated the best performance in estimating elevated ASCVD risk among those with NAFLD.

Differences in predictors of incident heart failure according to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease status

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality, related to a broad range of sociodemographic, lifestyle, cardiometabolic, and comorbidity risk factors, which may differ according to the presence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We assessed the association between incident HF with baseline status across these domains, overall and separated according to ASCVD status.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 5758 participants from the Baker Biobank cohort without HF at baseline enrolled between January 2000 and December 2011. The primary endpoint was incident HF, defined as hospital admission or HF-related death, determined through linkage with state-wide administrative databases (median follow-up 12.2 years). Regression models were fitted adjusted for sociodemographic variables, alcohol intake, smoking status, measures of adiposity, cardiometabolic profile measures, and individual comorbidities. During 65 987 person-years (median age 59 years, 38% women), incident HF occurred among 784 participants (13.6%) overall. Rates of incident HF were higher among patients with ASCVD (624/1929, 32.4%) compared with those without ASCVD (160/3829, 4.2%). Incident HF was associated with age, socio-economic status, alcohol intake, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C and HDL-C), with non-linear relationships observed for age, alcohol intake, BMI, waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, SBP, LDL-C, and HDL-C. Risk factors for incident HF were largely consistent regardless of ASCVD status, although diabetes status had a greater association with incident HF among patients without ASCVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Incident HF is associated with a broad range of baseline sociodemographic, lifestyle, cardiometabolic, and comorbidity factors, which are mostly consistent regardless of ASCVD status. These data could be useful in efforts towards developing risk prediction models that can be used in patients with ASCVD.

Lipid Lowering Drugs in Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS)

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose of this review is to critically discuss whether more aggressive lipid-lowering strategies are needed in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS).

RECENT FINDINGS

Currently, available data on early (in-hospital/discharge) administration of potent lipid-lowering drugs, such as proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors in patients during the vulnerable post-ACS phase, have clearly demonstrated clinical efficacy of the "strike early and strike strong" approach not only for rapid reduction of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) to unprecedentedly low levels, but also for associated favorable composition of coronary plaque. Intensive lipid-lowering therapy with rapid achievement of the LDL-C treatment goal in ACS patients seems reasonable. However, whether such profound LDL-C reduction would result in additional benefit on the reduction of future CV events still has to be established. Thus, data addressing CV outcomes in such vulnerable patients at extreme CV risk are urgently needed.

Lipoprotein(a), Interleukin-6 inhibitors, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: Is there an association?

Background and aims

Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and interleuking-6 (IL-6), an inflammation biomarker, have been established as distinct targets of the residual atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. We aimed to investigate the association between them, and the potential clinical implications in ASCVD prevention.

Methods

A literature search was conducted in PubMed until December 31st, 2022, using relevant keywords.

Results

Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels constitute the most common inherited lipid disorder associated with ASCVD. Although Lp(a) levels are mostly determined genetically by the LPA gene locus, they may be altered by acute conditions of stress and chronic inflammatory diseases. Considering its resemblance with low-density lipoproteins, Lp(a) is involved in atherosclerosis, but it also exerts oxidative, thrombotic, antifibrinolytic and inflammatory properties. The cardiovascular efficacy of therapies lowering Lp(a) by >90% is currently investigated. On the other hand, interleukin (IL)-1b/IL-6 pathway also plays a pivotal role in atherosclerosis and residual ASCVD risk. IL-6 receptor inhibitors [IL-6(R)i] lower Lp(a) by 16-41%, whereas ongoing trials are investigating their potential anti-atherosclerotic effect. The Lp(a)-lowering effect of IL-6(R)i might be attributed to the inhibition of the IL-6 response elements in the promoter region of the LPA gene.

Conclusions

Although the effect of IL-6(R)i on Lp(a) levels is inferior to that of available Lp(a)-lowering therapies, the dual effect of the former on both inflammation and apolipoprotein (a) synthesis may prove of equal or even greater significance when it comes ASCVD outcomes. More trials are required to establish IL-6(R)i in ASCVD prevention and elucidate their interplay with Lp(a) as well as its clinical significance.

Once-weekly glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists vs dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors: cardiovascular effects in people with diabetes and cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs), which have proven cardiovascular benefits, are recommended in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, there is limited real-world evidence comparing the effects of once-weekly (OW) GLP-1 RAs and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is). This observational cohort study (1/1/2017-9/30/2021) used data from the Optum Clinformatics® Data Mart to compare time to incident clinical cardiovascular outcomes, health care resource utilization (HCRU), and medical costs in new adult users of OW GLP-1 RAs and DPP-4is with T2D and ASCVD.

METHODS

Time to occurrence of ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), or their composite and ASCVD-related and all-cause HCRU and medical costs were investigated. Baseline characteristics were balanced using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Survival analyses were conducted to compare risks during exposure.

RESULTS

OW GLP-1 RA users (weighted N = 25,287) had 26%, 22%, and 24% lower risk of ischemic stroke, MI, and their composite, respectively, compared with DPP-4i users (weighted N = 39,684; all P < 0.01). Compared with DPP-4i users, OW GLP-1 RA users had 25% and 26% lower ASCVD-related and all-cause hospitalization costs, 19% and 23% lower ASCVD-related and all-cause medical costs, 23% and 27% fewer ASCVD-related and all-cause hospitalizations, 13% and 8% fewer ASCVD-related and all-cause outpatient visits, and 8% fewer all-cause ER visits (all P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with T2D and ASCVD, OW GLP-1 RAs are associated with reduced stroke and MI risks and ASCVD-related and all-cause HCRU and costs vs DPP-4is.

Prevalence, patterns and associated risk factors for dyslipidaemia among individuals attending the diabetes clinic at a tertiary hospital in Central Malawi

BACKGROUND

Dyslipidaemia among individuals with diabetes is a significant modifiable risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs). ASCVDs are a major cause of mortality and morbidity globally, especially in people with diabetes. In Malawi, limited data exist on the prevalence and biochemical characteristics of diabetic dyslipidaemia. This study investigated the prevalence and biochemical characteristics of dyslipidaemia in individuals attending the diabetes clinic at Kamuzu Central Hospital, the largest tertiary referral hospital in Central Malawi.

METHODS

Using a cross-sectional design, sociodemographic, medical and anthropometric data were collected from 391 adult participants who were enrolled in the study. Blood samples were analysed for glycosylated haemoglobin (HBA1c) and fasting lipid profiles. The prevalence of dyslipidaemia was calculated, and the biochemical characteristics of the dyslipidaemia were defined. The associations between dyslipidaemia and risk factors such as sociodemographic characteristics, obesity, and HBA1c levels were evaluated using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Prevalence of dyslipidaemia was observed in 71% of the participants, and elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was the most frequent lipid abnormality among the study participants. None of the participants were receiving any lipid-lowering therapy. On bivariate analysis, dyslipidemia was positively associated with female sex [OR 1.65 (95% CI 1.05- 2.58); p = 0.09], age ≥ 30 years [OR 3.60 (95% CI 1.17-7.68); p = 0.001] and overweight and obesity [OR 2.11 (95% CI 1.33-3.34); p = 0.002]. On multivariate analysis, being overweight or obese was an independent predictor of dyslipidaemia [AOR 1.8;(95% CI 1.15- 3.37); p = 0.04].

CONCLUSION

Dyslipidaemia was highly prevalent among individuals with diabetes in this study, and elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was the most frequent lipid abnormality. Overweight and obesity were also highly prevalent and positively predicted dyslipidaemia. This study highlights the importance of appropriately addressing dyslipidaemia, overweight and obesity among individuals with diabetes in Malawi and other similar settings in Africa as one of the significant ways of reducing the risk of ASCVDs among this population.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio an inflammatory biomarker, and prognostic marker in heart failure, cardiovascular disease and chronic inflammatory diseases: New insights for a potential predictor of anti-cytokine therapy responsiveness

In the 20th century, research focused on cholesterol and lipoproteins as the key mechanism in establishing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Given that some studies demonstrated subclinical atherosclerosis in subjects without conventional cardiovascular risk factors, the elevated low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels alone cannot account for the entire burden of atherosclerosis. Hence, large-scale clinical trials demonstrated the operation of immune and inflammatory pathways in ASCVD. In this regard, the evidence establishes that cells of the immune system, both the innate (neutrophils, macrophages) and adaptive (T cell and other lymphocytes) limbs, contribute to atherosclerosis and atherothrombosis. Besides, basic science studies have identified proatherogenic cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-1, IL-12, and IL-18. In this regard, some studies showed that antiinflammatory therapy targeting the immune system by modulating or blocking interleukins, also known as anti-cytokine therapy, can reduce the risk of major cardiovascular adverse events. The neutrophils play a key role in the innate immune system, representing the acute phase of an inflammatory response. In contrast, lymphocytes represent the adaptive immune system and promote the induction of autoimmune inflammation, especially in the chronic inflammatory response. Through the literature review, we will highlight the inflammatory pathway for the physiopathology of ASCVD, HF, and COVID-19. In this regard, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) integrates the innate immune and adaptive immune systems, making the NLR a biomarker of inflammation. In addition, we provided an update on the evidence showing that high NLR is associated with worse prognosis in heart failure (HF), ASCVD, and COVID-19, as well as their clinical applications showing that the normalization of NLR after anti-cytokine therapy is a potential predictor of therapy responsiveness and is associated with reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events.

Evaluation of the efficacy and safety of bempedoic acid in women and men: Pooled analyses from phase 3 trials

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sex-specific differences in the response to lipid-lowering therapies have been reported. Here, we assessed the effect of bempedoic acid in women and men using pooled, patient-level data from four phase 3 clinical trials of bempedoic acid.

METHODS

Patients were grouped into two pools: 1) atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and/or heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) "on statins" and 2) "low-dose or no statin". Percent changes from baseline to at least week 12 in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), apolipoprotein B (Apo B), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), as well as safety, were analyzed by statin pool and sex.

RESULTS

Overall, 3623 patients were included (bempedoic acid, 2425; placebo, 1198). Significant reductions in lipid parameters and hsCRP were observed with bempedoic acid vs. placebo in both sexes in the ASCVD and/or HeFH on statins (n = 3009) and the low-dose or no statin (n = 614) pools (p ≤ 0.002). Compared with men, women had significantly greater placebo-corrected reductions in LDL-C (-21.2% vs. -17.4%; p = 0.044), non-HDL-C (-17.3% vs. -12.1%; p = 0.003), TC (-13.8% vs. -10.5%; p = 0.012), and Apo B (-16.0% vs. -11.3%; p = 0.004) in the ASCVD and/or HeFH on statins pool. Women had similar reductions to men in lipid parameters in the low-dose or no statin pool and hsCRP in both pools. The safety of bempedoic acid was comparable between sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

In this pooled analysis, women experienced significant improvements in levels of LDL-C and other lipid parameters with bempedoic acid.

Machine learning for the prediction of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease during 3-year follow up in Chinese type 2 diabetes mellitus patients

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

Clinical guidelines for the management of individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus endorse the systematic assessment of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk for early interventions. In this study, we aimed to develop machine learning models to predict 3-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in Chinese type 2 diabetes mellitus patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical records of 4,722 individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus admitted to 94 hospitals were used. The features included demographic information, disease histories, laboratory tests and physical examinations. Logistic regression, support vector machine, gradient boosting decision tree, random forest and adaptive boosting were applied for model construction. The performance of these models was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Additionally, we applied SHapley Additive exPlanation values to explain the prediction model.

RESULTS

All five models achieved good performance in both internal and external test sets (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve >0.8). Random forest showed the highest discrimination ability, with sensitivity and specificity being 0.838 and 0.814, respectively. The SHapley Additive exPlanation analyses showed that previous history of diabetic peripheral vascular disease, older populations and longer diabetes duration were the three most influential predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

The prediction models offer opportunities to personalize treatment and maximize the benefits of these medical interventions.

Prevention of cardiovascular disease in young adults: Focus on gender differences. A collaborative review from the EAS Young Fellows

A steady rise in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality has been observed in young adults within the last decades. This trend corresponds to an increasing prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as obesity and diabetes mellitus type 2 among young adults living in developed countries. Moreover, age-specific risk factors, such as substance abuse, contraceptive medication, and pregnancy-related diseases also correlate with an increased incidence of cardiovascular diseases. In this review, we discuss the available data for young adults on the epidemiology and the rationale for the causality of traditional and newly emerging risk factors of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases. We focus on gender-related differences in the exposure to these risk factors, investigate the recent data regarding screening and risk stratification in the young adult population, and describe the current state of the art on lifestyle and therapeutic intervention strategies in the primary prevention setting.

Bempedoic Acid: Lipid Lowering for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention

The management of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels is a central strategy for the prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Current United States (2018 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Multisociety) and European (2019 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society) guidelines endorse statin therapy as the first-line therapy for pharmacologic LDL-C lowering. However, in clinical practice up to 30% of patients report partial or complete intolerance to statin therapy. While the nocebo effect with statins is well described, perceived statin intolerance prevents many patients from achieving LDL-C thresholds associated with clinical benefit. Bempedoic acid is a novel, oral, non-statin lipid-l owering therapy that works by inhibiting adenosine triphosphate-citrate lyase, an enzymatic reaction upstream of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase in the hepatic cholesterol synthesis pathway. Bempedoic acid confers reduction in LDL-C of ~18% on background statin therapy,~21% in patients with statin intolerance, and ~38% when given in fixed-dose combination with ezetimibe. The CLEAR Outcomes trial, which enrolled high-risk primary and secondary prevention patients with reported statin intolerance and LDL-C levels ≥100 mg/dL, showed that bempedoic acid compared with placebo reduced 4-component major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) by 13% (hazard ratio 0.87, 95% confidence interval 0.79-0.96). Bempedoic acid also reduced 3-component MACE by 15%, myocardial infarction by 23% and coronary revascularization by 19%. The benefit was even greater in the primary prevention cohort (hazard ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.55-0.89) for 4-component MACE. Bempedoic acid was associated with increases in uric acid levels and cholelithiasis, but numerically fewer events of myalgia and new-onset diabetes. These findings confirm that bempedoic acid is an effective approach to reduce cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk patients with statin intolerance who require further reduction in LDL-C.

Identification and risk stratification of coronary disease by artificial intelligence-enabled ECG

Background

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide, driven primarily by coronary artery disease (CAD). ASCVD risk estimators such as the pooled cohort equations (PCE) facilitate risk stratification and primary prevention of ASCVD but their accuracy is still suboptimal.

Methods

Using deep electronic health record data from 7,116,209 patients seen at 70+ hospitals and clinics across 5 states in the USA, we developed an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram analysis tool (ECG-AI) to detect CAD and assessed the additive value of ECG-AI-based ASCVD risk stratification to the PCE. We created independent ECG-AI models using separate neural networks including subjects without known history of ASCVD, to identify coronary artery calcium (CAC) score ≥300 Agatston units by computed tomography, obstructive CAD by angiography or procedural intervention, and regional left ventricular akinesis in ≥1 segment by echocardiogram, as a reflection of possible prior myocardial infarction (MI). These were used to assess the utility of ECG-AI-based ASCVD risk stratification in a retrospective observational study consisting of patients with PCE scores and no prior ASCVD. The study period covered all available digitized EHR data, with the first available ECG in 1987 and the last in February 2023.

Findings

ECG-AI for identifying CAC ≥300, obstructive CAD, and regional akinesis achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) values of 0.88, 0.85, and 0.94, respectively. An ensembled ECG-AI identified 3, 5, and 10-year risk for acute coronary events and mortality independently and additively to PCE. Hazard ratios for acute coronary events over 3-years in patients without ASCVD that tested positive on 1, 2, or 3 versus 0 disease-specific ECG-AI models at cohort entry were 2.41 (2.14-2.71), 4.23 (3.74-4.78), and 11.75 (10.2-13.52), respectively. Similar stratification was observed in cohorts stratified by PCE or age.

Interpretation

ECG-AI has potential to address unmet need for accessible risk stratification in patients in whom PCE under, over, or insufficiently estimates ASCVD risk, and in whom risk assessment over time periods shorter than 10 years is desired.

Funding

Anumana.