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Spampinato MD, Caputo F, Guarino M, Iantomasi C, Luppi F, Benedetto M, Perna B, Portoraro A, Passaro A, Pellicano R, DE Giorgio R. Predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis in the ED: a direct, retrospective comparison of four clinical and radiological prognostic scores. Minerva Gastroenterol (Torino) 2024; 70:147-157. [PMID: 37199713 DOI: 10.23736/s2724-5985.23.03389-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis can be a severe disease that significantly impacts patients' quality of life and outcome. The clinical course is variable and predictive scoring systems have a debated role in early prognosis. This study aims to compare the prognostic accuracy of Balthazar, BISAP, HAPS and SOFA scores in the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis. METHODS This is a retrospective, single-center cohort study conducted in the Emergency Department of a third-level university hospital. Patients aged >18 years admitted from 1st January 2018 to 31st December 2021 for the first episode of acute pancreatitis were included. RESULTS A total of 385 patients (mean age of 65.4 years and 1.8% in-hospital mortality) were studied. Balthazar, BISAP and SOFA scores were significantly higher in patients with in-hospital mortality and AUROCs were equal to 0.95 (95% CI 0.91-0.99, P<0.001), 0.96 (95% CI 0.89-1, P=0.001), 0.91 (95% CI 0.81-1, P=0.001) with no differences among them and absence of in-hospital mortality in patients with HAPS=0. CONCLUSIONS Our data support the concept that clinical prediction scores can be useful for risk stratification in the Emergency Department. However, no single score has shown superiority in predicting acute pancreatitis-related in-hospital mortality among tested tools.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michele D Spampinato
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Fabio Caputo
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Matteo Guarino
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Chiara Iantomasi
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Francesco Luppi
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Marcello Benedetto
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Benedetta Perna
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Andrea Portoraro
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Angelina Passaro
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Rinaldo Pellicano
- Unit of Gastroenterology, Molinette ‒ S. Giovanni Antica Sede Hospital, Turin, Italy -
| | - Roberto DE Giorgio
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
- School of Emergency Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
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Bozgul SMK, Kurtulmus IA, Gunes A, Koymen G, Bozkurt D, Karaman ZT, Islamoglu K, Ozkilic B, Barutcuoglu B, Cilli FF, Soyer NA. Lactate level is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with hematologic malignancy receiving urgent chemotherapy in intensive care unit. Curr Res Transl Med 2024; 72:103451. [PMID: 38677199 DOI: 10.1016/j.retram.2024.103451] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Revised: 04/16/2024] [Accepted: 04/21/2024] [Indexed: 04/29/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Intensive care unit (ICU) survival of cancer patients has improved. Urgent chemotherapy has become feasible in critically ill patients with specific organ dysfunction due to hematological malignancies. OBJECTIVE The aim of the study was to assess ICU mortality rates and the factors associated with mortality in patients with hematologic malignancies receiving urgent chemotherapy in the ICU. METHODS We retrospectively included all patients admitted to the ICU who received chemotherapy due to hematologic malignancy in 2012-2022. RESULTS Of the 129 patients undergoing chemotherapy in the ICU, 50 (38.7 %) died during the ICU follow-up. The following conditions were significantly more common among nonsurvivors: presence of infection at the time of ICU admission (p < 0.001), the requirement for mechanical ventilation during ICU stay (p < 0.001), the need for noninvasive mechanical ventilation during ICU stay (p = 0.014), vasopressor support (p < 0.001), and sepsis (p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that among laboratory parameters on ICU admission, lactate (p = 0.008), albumin (p = 0.022), C-reactive protein (p = 0.046), baseline sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (p < 0.001), newly developed heart failure (p = 0.006), and the requirement for vasopressor agents during ICU stay (p < 0.001) significantly influenced the risk of mortality in the univariate analysis. The multivariate analysis revealed lactate levels (p = 0.047) on ICU admission as an independent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSION The development of heart failure and lactate levels on admission were the main predictors of mortality. Additionally, higher SOFA scores revealed that illness severity was closely associated with mortality. Future studies should focus on strategies to further reduce these risks and achieve the best outcomes for these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Ilkce Akgun Kurtulmus
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
| | - Ajda Gunes
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Hematology, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye.
| | - Gorkem Koymen
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
| | - Devrim Bozkurt
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
| | - Zehra Tuba Karaman
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
| | | | | | - Burcu Barutcuoglu
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
| | - Fatma Feriha Cilli
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Medical Microbiology, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
| | - Nur Akad Soyer
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Hematology, Ege University, İzmir, Türkiye
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İlhan B, Bozdereli Berikol G, Doğan H, Beştemir A, Kaya A. The Prognostic Accuracy of Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure Score Alone and with Lactate Among Acute Symptomatic Heart Failure Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Anatol J Cardiol 2024; 28:305-311. [PMID: 38629352 PMCID: PMC11168711 DOI: 10.14744/anatoljcardiol.2024.4116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2023] [Accepted: 03/07/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) score, Shock Index (SI), Modified Shock Index (MSI), and Age Shock Index (Age-SI) alone and with lactate in patients with acute symptomatic heart failure (HF). METHODS A retrospective cohort study was conducted in the emergency department of a tertiary hospital between January 1, 2019, and December 31, 2019. Patients aged >18 years and diagnosed with acute symptomatic HF were consecutively included in the study. Patients referred from another center and missing medical records were excluded. Arrival type, vital parameters, demographic characteristics, comorbid diseases, consciousness status, laboratory results, and outcomes of the patients were recorded. The primary endpoint of the study was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS A total of 368 patients were included in the final analysis. The in-hospital mortality rate of the patients was 7.6%. The GWTG-HF score outperformed other scores in predicting in-hospital, 24-hour, and 30-day mortality (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.807, 0.844, and 0.765, P <.001, respectively). The overall performance of the GWTG-HF score with lactate (GWTG-HF+L) was better in predicting in-hospital, 24-hour, and 30-day mortality than the original GWTG-HF score (AUC = 0.872, 0.936, and 0.801, P <.001, respectively). Adding lactate values to the SI, MSI, and Age-SI improved their overall performance for all 3 outcomes. CONCLUSION Both the GWTG-HF and GWTG-HF+L scores have acceptable discriminatory power in patients with acute symptomatic HF. The GWTG-HF score, SI, MSI, and Age-SI can be used together with lactate to predict mortality in patients with acute HF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Buğra İlhan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Kırıkkale University Faculty of Medicine, Kırıkkale, Türkiye
| | | | - Halil Doğan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Bakırköy Dr. Sadi Konuk Training and Research Hospital, İstanbul, Türkiye
| | | | - Adnan Kaya
- Department of Cardiology, Bahçeşehir University Faculty of Medicine, İstanbul, Türkiye
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Azmi YA, Alkaff FF, Renaldo J, Wirjopranoto S, Prasetiyanti R, Soetanto KM, Salamah S, Purba AKR, Postma MJ. Comparison of different scoring systems for predicting in-hospital mortality for patients with Fournier gangrene. World J Urol 2023; 41:2751-2757. [PMID: 37580468 PMCID: PMC10581919 DOI: 10.1007/s00345-023-04552-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2023] [Accepted: 07/23/2023] [Indexed: 08/16/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To compare different scoring systems for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with Fournier gangrene (FG). METHODS A comprehensive literature search was performed to find all scoring systems that have been proposed previously as a predictor for in-hospital mortality in patients with FG. Data of all patients with FG who were hospitalized in one of Indonesia's largest tertiary referral hospitals between 2012 and 2022 were used. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the scoring systems. RESULTS Ten scoring systems were found, i.e., Fournier's Gangrene Severity Index (FGSI), Uludag FGSI, simplified FGSI, NUMUNE Fournier score (NFS), Laboratory Risk Indicator for Necrotizing Fasciitis, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), quick SOFA, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, and surgery APGAR score (SAS). Of 164 FG patients included in the analyses, 26.4% died during hospitalization. All scoring systems except SAS could predict in-hospital mortality of patients with FG. Three scoring systems had areas under the ROC curve (AUROC) higher than 0.8, i.e., FGSI (AUROC 0.905, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.860-0.950), SOFA (AUROC 0.830, 95% CI 0.815-0.921), and NFS (AUROC 0.823, 95% CI 0.739-0.906). Both FGSI and SOFA had sensitivity and NPV of 1.0, whereas NFS had a sensitivity of 0.74 and an NPV of 0.91. CONCLUSION This study shows that FGSI and SOFA are the most reliable scoring systems to predict in-hospital mortality in FG, as indicated by the high AUROC and perfect sensitivity and NPV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yufi Aulia Azmi
- Department of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Airlangga-Dr. Soetomo General Academic Hospital, Surabaya, Indonesia.
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
| | - Firas F Alkaff
- Division of Pharmacology and Therapy, Department of Anatomy, Histology, and Pharmacology, Faculty of Medicine Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia.
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
| | - Johan Renaldo
- Department of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Airlangga-Dr. Soetomo General Academic Hospital, Surabaya, Indonesia.
| | - Soetojo Wirjopranoto
- Department of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Airlangga-Dr. Soetomo General Academic Hospital, Surabaya, Indonesia
| | - Rinta Prasetiyanti
- Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Airlangga-Dr. Soetomo General Academic Hospital, Surabaya, Indonesia
| | - Kevin Muliawan Soetanto
- Department of Immunology, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Sovia Salamah
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia
| | - Abdul Khairul Rizki Purba
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Division of Pharmacology and Therapy, Department of Anatomy, Histology, and Pharmacology, Faculty of Medicine Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia
| | - Maarten J Postma
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Institute of Science in Healthy Ageing and Healthcare (SHARE), University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Unit of Pharmacotherapy, Epidemiology and Economics (PTE2), Department of Pharmacy, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Department of Economics, Econometrics and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
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Liang Y, Zhao L, Huang J, Wu Y. A nomogram to predict 28-day mortality in neonates with sepsis: a retrospective study based on the MIMIC-III database. Transl Pediatr 2023; 12:1690-1706. [PMID: 37814720 PMCID: PMC10560361 DOI: 10.21037/tp-23-150] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2023] [Accepted: 08/02/2023] [Indexed: 10/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Sepsis is the second-leading cause of death in neonates. We established a predictive nomogram to identify critically ill neonates early and reduce the time to treatment. Methods It is a retrospective case-control study based on the MIMIC-III database. The study population comprised 924 neonates diagnosed with sepsis. Results Neonates with sepsis included in the MIMIC-III database were enrolled, including 880 surviving neonates and 44 neonates who died. In the derivation dataset, stepwise regression and the Lasso algorithm were employed to select predictive variables, and the neonatal sequential organ failure assessment score (nSOFA) was calculated simultaneously. Bootstrap resampling was utilized to perform internal validation. The results indicated that the Lasso algorithm displayed superior discrimination, sensitivity, and specificity relative to stepwise regression and nSOFA scores. After 500 bootstrap resampling tests, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the Lasso algorithm was 0.912 (95% CI: 0.870-0.977). The nomogram based on the Lasso algorithm outperformed stepwise regression and nSOFA scores in terms of calibration and the clinical net benefit. This nomogram can assist in prognosticating neonatal severe sepsis and aid in guiding clinical practice while concurrently improving patient outcomes. Conclusions The established nomogram revealed that jaundice, corticosteroid use, weight, serum calcium, inotropes and base excess are all important predictors of 28-day mortality in neonates with sepsis. This nomogram can facilitate the early identification of neonates with severe sepsis. However, it still requires further modification and external validation to make it widely available.
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Zhang X, Zhou K, You L, Zhang J, Chen Y, Dai H, Wan S, Guan Z, Hu M, Kang J, Liu Y, Shang H. Risk prediction models for mortality and readmission in patients with acute heart failure: A protocol for systematic review, critical appraisal, and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0283307. [PMID: 37523342 PMCID: PMC10389735 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283307] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2022] [Accepted: 03/07/2023] [Indexed: 08/02/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION A considerable number of risk models, which predict outcomes in mortality and readmission rates, have been developed for patients with acute heart failure (AHF) to help stratify patients by risk level, improve decision making, and save medical resources. However, some models exist in a clinically useful manner such as risk scores or online calculators, while others are not, providing only limited information that prevents clinicians and patients from using them. The reported performance of some models varied greatly when predicting at multiple time points and being validated in different cohorts, which causes model users uncertainty about the predictive accuracy of these models. The foregoing leads to users facing difficulties in the selection of prediction models, and even sometimes being reluctant to utilize models. Therefore, a systematic review to assess the performance at multiple time points, applicability, and clinical impact of extant prediction models for mortality and readmission in AHF patients is essential. It may facilitate the selection of models for clinical implementation. METHOD AND ANALYSIS Four databases will be searched from their inception onwards. Multivariable prognostic models for mortality and/or readmission in AHF patients will be eligible for review. Characteristics and the clinical impact of included models will be summarized qualitatively and quantitatively, and models with clinical utility will be compared with those without. Predictive performance measures of included models with an analogous clinical outcome appraised repeatedly, will be compared and synthesized by a meta-analysis. Meta-analysis of validation studies for a common prediction model at the same time point will also be performed. We will also provide an overview of critical appraisal of the risk of bias, applicability, and reporting transparency of included studies using the PROBAST tool and TRIPOD statement. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION PROSPERO registration number CRD42021256416.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xuecheng Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Kehua Zhou
- Department of Hospital Medicine, ThedaCare Regional Medical Center -Appleton, Appleton, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Liangzhen You
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Jingjing Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Ying Chen
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Hengheng Dai
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Siqi Wan
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Zhiyue Guan
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Mingzhi Hu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Kang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Yan Liu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Hongcai Shang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
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Ma H, Lin S, Xie Y, Mo S, Huang Q, Ge H, Shi Z, Li S, Zhou D. Association between BUN/creatinine ratio and the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with trauma-related acute respiratory distress syndrome: a single-centre retrospective cohort from the MIMIC database. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e069345. [PMID: 37116992 PMCID: PMC10151966 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-069345] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/30/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Recent studies have shown that blood urea nitrogen to creatinine (BUN/Cr) ratio might be an effective marker for the prognosis of patients with respiratory diseases. Herein, we aimed to assess the association between BUN/Cr ratio and the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with trauma-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). DESIGN A retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS 1034 patients were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality, defined by the vital status at the time of hospital discharge (ie, survivors and non-survivors). RESULTS Of the total patients, 191 (18.5%) died in hospital. The median follow-up duration was 16.0 (8.3-26.6) days. The results showed that high level of BUN/Cr ratio was significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality (15.54-21.43: HR=2.00, 95% CI: (1.18 to 3.38); >21.43: HR=1.76, 95% CI: (1.04 to 2.99)) of patients with trauma-related ARDS. In patients with trauma-related ARDS that aged ≥65 years old, male and female, Onychomycosis Severity Index (OSI)>98, Revised Trauma Score (RTS)>11, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS-II)>37 and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores≤7, BUN/Cr ratio was also related to the increased risk of in-hospital mortality (all p<0.05). The predictive performance of BUN/Cr ratio for in-hospital mortality was superior to BUN or Cr, respectively, with the area under the curve of receiver operator characteristic curve at 0.6, and that association was observed in age, gender, OSI, RTS, SAPS-II and SOFA score subgroups. CONCLUSION BUN/Cr ratio may be a potential biomarker for the risk of in-hospital mortality of trauma-related ARDS, which may help the clinicians to identify high-risk individuals and to implement clinical interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huayi Ma
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Song Lin
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - You Xie
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Song Mo
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Qiang Huang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Hongfei Ge
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Zhanying Shi
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Sixing Li
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Dan Zhou
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Liuzhou Workers' Hospital, Liuzhou, China
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Ji Q, Tang J, Li S, Chen J. Survival and analysis of prognostic factors for severe burn patients with inhalation injury: based on the respiratory SOFA score. BMC Emerg Med 2023; 23:1. [PMID: 36604623 PMCID: PMC9813898 DOI: 10.1186/s12873-022-00767-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2022] [Accepted: 12/20/2022] [Indexed: 01/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is important to determine the severity of inhalation injury in severely burned patients. The oxygenation index PaO2/FiO2(PF) ratio is a key clinical indicator of inhalation injury. Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) is developed to assess the acute incidence of critical illness in the population. We hope to provide an assessment of survival or prognostic factor for severely burned patients with inhalation injury based on the respiratory SOFA score. METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study of all admissions to Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from July 2010 to March 2021. Data was analyzed using Cox regression models to determine significant predictors of mortality. Survival analysis with time to death event was performed using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve with the log-rank test. All potential risk factors were considered independent variables, while survival was considered the risk dependent variable. RESULTS One hundred eighteen severe burn patients with inhalation injury who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were admitted, including men accounted for 76.3%. The mean age and length of stay were 45.9 (14.8) years and 44.3 (38.4) days. Flame burns are the main etiology of burn (74.6%). Patients with the respiratory SOFA score greater than 2 have undergone mechanical ventilation. Univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis identified age, total body surface area burned (TBSA), ICU admission and the respiratory SOFA score as significant factors on survival. Cox regression analysis showed that TBSA and the respiratory SOFA score were associated with patient survival (p < 0.001). In some patients with severe burns and inhalation damage, the survival probability drops to less than 10% (TBSA greater than 80%: 8.9% and respiratory SOFA score greater than 2: 5.6%). This study statistically found that the TBSA with the respiratory SOFA score model (AUROC: 0.955) and the rBaux score (AUROC: 0.927) had similar predictive value (p = 0.175). CONCLUSION The study indicates that a high respiratory system SOFA score was identified as a strong and independent predictor of severely burned patients with inhalation injury during hospitalization. When combined with TBSA, the respiratory SOFA scores can dynamically assess the severity of the patient's lung injury and improve the predictive level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiang Ji
- grid.412901.f0000 0004 1770 1022Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guoxue Alley, Wuhou District, 610041 Chengdu, China
| | - Jun Tang
- grid.412901.f0000 0004 1770 1022Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guoxue Alley, Wuhou District, 610041 Chengdu, China
| | - Shulian Li
- grid.412901.f0000 0004 1770 1022Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guoxue Alley, Wuhou District, 610041 Chengdu, China ,grid.412901.f0000 0004 1770 1022 Department of Thyroid Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guoxue Alley, Wuhou District, 610041 Chengdu, China
| | - Junjie Chen
- grid.412901.f0000 0004 1770 1022Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guoxue Alley, Wuhou District, 610041 Chengdu, China
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Li M, Zhuang Q, Zhao S, Huang L, Hu C, Zhang B, Hou Q. Development and deployment of interpretable machine-learning model for predicting in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with acute kidney disease. Ren Fail 2022; 44:1886-1896. [DOI: 10.1080/0886022x.2022.2142139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Mingxia Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qinghe Zhuang
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Shuangping Zhao
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders, Changsha, China
- Hunan Provincial Clinical Research Center of Intensive Care Medicine, Changsha, China
| | - Li Huang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Chenghuan Hu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Buyao Zhang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qinlan Hou
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
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Amado-Rodríguez L, Rodríguez-Garcia R, Bellani G, Pham T, Fan E, Madotto F, Laffey JG, Albaiceta GM. Mechanical ventilation in patients with cardiogenic pulmonary edema: a sub-analysis of the LUNG SAFE study. J Intensive Care 2022; 10:55. [PMID: 36567347 PMCID: PMC9791731 DOI: 10.1186/s40560-022-00648-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2022] [Accepted: 12/18/2022] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with acute respiratory failure caused by cardiogenic pulmonary edema (CPE) may require mechanical ventilation that can cause further lung damage. Our aim was to determine the impact of ventilatory settings on CPE mortality. METHODS Patients from the LUNG SAFE cohort, a multicenter prospective cohort study of patients undergoing mechanical ventilation, were studied. Relationships between ventilatory parameters and outcomes (ICU discharge/hospital mortality) were assessed using latent mixture analysis and a marginal structural model. RESULTS From 4499 patients, 391 meeting CPE criteria (median age 70 [interquartile range 59-78], 40% female) were included. ICU and hospital mortality were 34% and 40%, respectively. ICU survivors were younger (67 [57-77] vs 74 [64-80] years, p < 0.001) and had lower driving (12 [8-16] vs 15 [11-17] cmH2O, p < 0.001), plateau (20 [15-23] vs 22 [19-26] cmH2O, p < 0.001) and peak (21 [17-27] vs 26 [20-32] cmH2O, p < 0.001) pressures. Latent mixture analysis of patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation on ICU day 1 revealed a subgroup ventilated with high pressures with lower probability of being discharged alive from the ICU (hazard ratio [HR] 0.79 [95% confidence interval 0.60-1.05], p = 0.103) and increased hospital mortality (HR 1.65 [1.16-2.36], p = 0.005). In a marginal structural model, driving pressures in the first week (HR 1.12 [1.06-1.18], p < 0.001) and tidal volume after day 7 (HR 0.69 [0.52-0.93], p = 0.015) were related to survival. CONCLUSIONS Higher airway pressures in invasively ventilated patients with CPE are related to mortality. These patients may be exposed to an increased risk of ventilator-induced lung injury. Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02010073.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Amado-Rodríguez
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Principado de Asturias, Oviedo, Spain
- Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos Cardiológicos, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, Avenida del Hospital Universitario s/n, 33011, Oviedo, Spain
- Instituto Universitario de Oncología del Principado de Asturias, Universidad de Oviedo, Oviedo, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red (CIBER)-Enfermedades Respiratorias, Madrid, Spain
| | - Raquel Rodríguez-Garcia
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Principado de Asturias, Oviedo, Spain
- Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos Cardiológicos, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, Avenida del Hospital Universitario s/n, 33011, Oviedo, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red (CIBER)-Enfermedades Respiratorias, Madrid, Spain
| | - Giacomo Bellani
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milan-Bicocca, Monza, Italy
- Department of Emergency and Intensive Care, San Gerardo Hospital, Monza, Italy
| | - Tài Pham
- Service de Médecine Intensive-Réanimation, AP-HP, Hôpital de Bicêtre, DMU 4 CORREVE Maladies du Cœur et des Vaisseaux, FHU Sepsis, Groupe de Recherche Clinique CARMAS, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
- Université Paris-Saclay, UVSQ, Inserm U1018, Equipe d'Epidémiologie Respiratoire Intégrative, CESP, 94807, Villejuif, France
| | - Eddy Fan
- Department of Medicine, University Health Network and Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine and Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Fabiana Madotto
- Department of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Emergency' Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - John G Laffey
- Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, Galway University Hospitals, Galway, Ireland
- School of Medicine, Regenerative Medicine Institute at CÚRAM Centre for Research in Medical Devices, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland
| | - Guillermo M Albaiceta
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Principado de Asturias, Oviedo, Spain.
- Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos Cardiológicos, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, Avenida del Hospital Universitario s/n, 33011, Oviedo, Spain.
- Instituto Universitario de Oncología del Principado de Asturias, Universidad de Oviedo, Oviedo, Spain.
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red (CIBER)-Enfermedades Respiratorias, Madrid, Spain.
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Tang Y, Chen Q, Liang B, Peng B, Wang M, Sun J, Liu Z, Zha L, Yu Z. A retrospective cohort study on the association between early coagulation disorder and short-term all-cause mortality of critically ill patients with congestive heart failure. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:999391. [PMID: 36187010 PMCID: PMC9524154 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.999391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2022] [Accepted: 08/30/2022] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose Coagulation disorder in congestive heart failure (CHF) has been well-documented. The prognostic value of a composite coagulation disorder score, which combines the absolute platelet count, international normalized ratio (INR), and activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), has not been assessed in CHF. The present study endeavored to explore the association between the coagulation disorder score and adverse outcomes of critically ill patients with CHF. Methods Patients diagnosed with CHF in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database were included in the present retrospective cohort study. The coagulation disorder score was calculated according to the abnormalities of the absolute platelet count, INR, and APTT within 24 h after intensive care unit admission. The primary outcomes were the short-term all-cause mortality, including 30-, 90-day and in-hospital mortalities. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve and the Cox proportional hazard model were performed to assess the correlation between coagulation disorder score and outcome events. Results A total of 6,895 patients were enrolled in this study and divided into four groups according to the coagulation disorder score. K-M survival curve preliminarily indicated that subjects with higher coagulation disorder score presented lower survival rate and shorter survival time. After adjustment for potential confounders, the multivariate Cox analysis further illustrated that elevated coagulation disorder score as a quartile variable was significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality (quartile 4 vs. quartile 1, 30-day: HR [95% CI], 1.98 [1.50, 2.62], 90-day: HR [95% CI], 1.88 [1.49, 2.37], in-hospital: HR [95%CI], 1.93 [1.42, 2.61]). Conclusion In critically ill patients with CHF, ones with high coagulation disorder score tend to be worse clinical prognosis, which would be a promising biomarker and helpful for the management of CHF patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yiyang Tang
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qin Chen
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Benhui Liang
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Baohua Peng
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Meijuan Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Jing Sun
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Zhenghui Liu
- Department of Neurology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Lihuang Zha
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China,National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders (Xiang Ya), Changsha, China,Lihuang Zha
| | - Zaixin Yu
- Department of Cardiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China,National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders (Xiang Ya), Changsha, China,*Correspondence: Zaixin Yu
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12
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Lin M, Zhan J, Luan Y, Li D, Shan Y, Xu T, Fu G, Zhang W, Wang M. Development and Validation of a Risk Score in Chinese Patients With Chronic Heart Failure. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:865843. [PMID: 35647038 PMCID: PMC9130568 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.865843] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2022] [Accepted: 04/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BackgroundAcute exacerbation of chronic heart failure contributes to substantial increases in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The study developed a risk score to evaluate the severity of heart failure which was related to the risk of MACE.MethodsThis single-center retrospective observational study included 5,777 patients with heart failure. A credible random split-sample method was used to divide data into training and validation dataset (split ratio = 0.7:0.3). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) logistic regression was applied to select predictors and develop the risk score to predict the severity category of heart failure. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and calibration curves were used to assess the model’s discrimination and accuracy.ResultsBody-mass index (BMI), ejection fraction (EF), serum creatinine, hemoglobin, C-reactive protein (CRP), and neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were identified as predictors and assembled into the risk score (P < 0.05), which showed good discrimination with AUC in the training dataset (0.770, 95% CI:0.746–0.794) and validation dataset (0.756, 95% CI:0.717–0.795) and was well calibrated in both datasets (all P > 0.05). As the severity of heart failure worsened according to risk score, the incidence of MACE, length of hospital stay, and treatment cost increased (P < 0.001).ConclusionA risk score incorporating BMI, EF, serum creatinine, hemoglobin, CRP, and NLR, was developed and validated. It effectively evaluated individuals’ severity classification of heart failure, closely related to MACE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maoning Lin
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
| | - Jiachen Zhan
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
- Department of Cardiology, Zhuji People’s Hospital, Zhuji, China
| | - Yi Luan
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
| | - Duanbin Li
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yu Shan
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
| | - Tian Xu
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
| | - Guosheng Fu
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
- *Correspondence: Guosheng Fu,
| | - Wenbin Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
- Wenbin Zhang,
| | - Min Wang
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, College of Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Intervention and Regenerative Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China
- Min Wang,
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13
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van Diepen S, Katz JN. A Call to Move from Point-in-Time towards Comprehensive Dynamic Risk Prediction in Critically Ill Patients with Heart Failure. J Card Fail 2022; 28:1100-1103. [PMID: 35561895 DOI: 10.1016/j.cardfail.2022.04.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2022] [Accepted: 04/27/2022] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sean van Diepen
- Department of Critical Care Medicine and Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; Canadian VIGOUR Center, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
| | - Jason N Katz
- Divison of Cardiology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA
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14
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He G, Zhang L, Huo X, Wang Q, Hu D, Huang X, Ge J, Wu Y, Li J. Multi-Biomarker Points and Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized for Heart Failure: Insights From the China PEACE Prospective Heart Failure Study. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:835465. [PMID: 35463743 PMCID: PMC9021370 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.835465] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2021] [Accepted: 02/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective To quantitatively characterize the pattern of systemic impairment reflected by conventional biomarkers and assess how it relates to clinical outcomes and quality of life among patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF). Methods Patients hospitalized for HF from 52 hospitals in China were enrolled between 2016 and 2018. They were divided into developing and validating cohorts; the developing cohort was used for calculating the weights of biomarkers and constructing the multi-biomarker panel, while the validating one was used for evaluating the relationship between multi-biomarker points and outcomes. In total, five conventional biomarkers reflecting various pathophysiological processes were included in the panel: N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T, hemoglobin, albumin, and creatinine. The weights of the biomarkers were defined based on their relationship with cardiovascular death, and each patient had a multi-biomarker point ranging from 0 to 12. The primary clinical outcome was cardiovascular death, and the other clinical outcomes included rehospitalization for HF, all-cause death, and all-cause rehospitalization in 1-year. The quality of life was measured using Kansas City Cardiovascular Questionnaire. Multi-variable Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the risks of clinical outcomes, and generalized linear models were used to evaluate the quality of life. Results In total, 4,693 patients hospitalized for HF were included in this analysis; the median (interquartile range, IQR) age was 67 (57-75) years old and 1,763 (37.6%) were female. The median multi-biomarker point was 5 (IQR, 2-6). There were 18.0% of patients in the low point group (<2), 29.4% in the mid-low point group (2-4), 27.8% in the mid-high point group (5-6), and 24.7% in the high point group (>6). Compared with those in the low point group, the patients in the high point group had a significantly excess risk of cardiovascular death (adjusted hazard ratio: 5.69, 95% CI, 3.33-9.70). Furthermore, patients with higher points were also more prone to worse quality of life. Conclusion Systemic impairment reflected by abnormal conventional biomarker values was common amongst patients hospitalized for HF and had substantially cumulative adverse influence on clinical outcomes and quality of life.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Jing Li
- National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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15
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Wei X, Min Y, Yu J, Wang Q, Wang H, Li S, Su L. The Value of Admission Serological Indicators for Predicting 28-Day Mortality in Intensive Care Patients With Acute Heart Failure: Construction and Validation of a Nomogram. Front Cardiovasc Med 2021; 8:741351. [PMID: 34926602 PMCID: PMC8678052 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.741351] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2021] [Accepted: 11/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Acute heart failure (AHF) is a severe clinical syndrome characterized as rapid onset or worsening of symptoms of chronic heart failure (CHF). Risk stratification for patients with AHF in the intensive care unit (ICU) may help clinicians to predict the 28-day mortality risk in this subpopulation and further raise the quality of care. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed and analyzed the demographic characteristics and serological indicators of patients with AHF in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC III) (version 1.4) between June 2001 and October 2012 and our medical center between January 2019 and April 2021. The chi-squared test and the Fisher's exact test were used for comparison of qualitative variables among the AHF death group and non-death group. The clinical variables were selected by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. A clinical nomogram for predicting the 28-day mortality was constructed based on the multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis and further validated by the internal and external cohorts. Results: Age > 65 years [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.47], the high Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (≥3 and ≤8, HR = 2.21; ≥9 and ≤20, HR = 3.29), lactic acid (Lac) (>2 mmol/l, HR = 1.40), bicarbonate (HCO3-) (>28 mmol/l, HR = 1.59), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (>21 mg/dl, HR = 1.75), albumin (<3.5 g/dl, HR = 2.02), troponin T (TnT) (>0.04 ng/ml, HR = 4.02), and creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB) (>5 ng/ml, HR = 1.64) were the independent risk factors for predicting 28-day mortality of intensive care patients with AHF (p < 0.05). The novel nomogram was developed and validated with a promising C-index of 0.814 (95% CI: 0.754–0.882), 0.820 (95% CI: 0.721–0.897), and 0.828 (95% CI: 0.743–0.917), respectively. Conclusion: This study provides a new insight in early predicting the risk of 28-day mortality in intensive care patients with AHF. The age, the SOFA score, and serum TnT level are the leading three predictors in evaluating the short-term outcome of intensive care patients with AHF. Based on the nomogram, clinicians could better stratify patients with AHF at high risk and make adequate treatment plans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoyuan Wei
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yu Min
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jiangchuan Yu
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Qianli Wang
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Han Wang
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Shuang Li
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Li Su
- Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
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Levin B, Ortoleva J, Tagliavia A, Colon K, Crowley J, Shelton K, Dalia AA. 1-year Survival for Adult Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Patients Requiring Renal Replacement Therapy. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2021; 36:1942-1948. [DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2021.12.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/16/2021] [Revised: 12/16/2021] [Accepted: 12/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
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Garcia MVF, Souza R, Costa ELV, Fernandes CJCS, Jardim CVP, Caruso P. Outcomes and prognostic factors of decompensated pulmonary hypertension in the intensive care unit. Respir Med 2021; 190:106685. [PMID: 34823189 DOI: 10.1016/j.rmed.2021.106685] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2021] [Revised: 10/26/2021] [Accepted: 11/08/2021] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with acute decompensation of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) have high in-hospital mortality. We hypothesized that pulmonary hypertension (PH) severity, measured by a simplified version of European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) risk assessment, and the severity of organ dysfunction upon ICU admission, measured by sequential organ failure assessment score (SOFA) were associated with in-hospital mortality in decompensated patients with PAH and CTEPH. We also described clinical and laboratory variables during ICU stay. METHODS Observational study including adults with decompensated PAH or CTEPH with unplanned ICU admission between 2014 and 2019. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association of ESC/ERS risk assessment and SOFA score with in-hospital mortality. ESC/ERS risk assessment and SOFA score were included in a decision tree to predict in-hospital mortality. RESULTS 73 patients were included. In-hospital mortality was 41.1%. ESC/ERS high-risk group (adjusted odds ratio = 95.52) and SOFA score (adjusted odds ratio = 1.80) were associated with in-hospital mortality. The decision tree identified four groups with in-hospital mortality between 8.1% and 100%. Nonsurvivors had a lower central venous oxygen saturation, higher arterial lactate and higher brain natriuretic peptide in the end of first week in the ICU. CONCLUSIONS High-risk on a simplified version of ERS/ESC risk assessment and SOFA score upon ICU admission are associate with in-hospital mortality. A decision tree based on ESC/ERS risk assessment and SOFA score identifies four groups with in-hospital mortality between 8.1% and 100%.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marcos Vinicius Fernandes Garcia
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clínicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
| | - Rogerio Souza
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clínicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Eduardo Leite Vieira Costa
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clínicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; Research and Education Institute, Hospital Sirio-Libanês, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Caio Julio Cesar Santos Fernandes
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clínicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Carlos Viana Poyares Jardim
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clínicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Pedro Caruso
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clínicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; Intensive Care Unit, AC Camargo Cancer Center, São Paulo, Brazil
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