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Schott MB, Rozeveld CN, Bhatt S, Crossman B, Krueger EW, Weller SG, Rasineni K, Casey CA, McNiven MA. Ethanol disrupts hepatocellular lipophagy by altering Rab5-centric LD-lysosome trafficking. Hepatol Commun 2024; 8:e0446. [PMID: 38780316 PMCID: PMC11124685 DOI: 10.1097/hc9.0000000000000446] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous reports suggest that lipid droplets (LDs) in the hepatocyte can be catabolized by a direct engulfment from nearby endolysosomes (microlipophagy). Further, it is likely that this process is compromised by chronic ethanol (EtOH) exposure leading to hepatic steatosis. This study investigates the hepatocellular machinery supporting microlipophagy and EtOH-induced alterations in this process with a focus on the small, endosome-associated, GTPase Rab5. METHODS AND RESULTS Here we report that this small Ras-related GTPase is a resident component of LDs, and its activity is important for hepatocellular LD-lysosome proximity and physical interactions. We find that Rab5 siRNA knockdown causes an accumulation of LDs in hepatocytes by inhibiting lysosome dependent LD catabolism. Importantly, Rab5 appears to support this process by mediating the recruitment of early endosomal and or multivesicular body compartments to the LD surface before lysosome fusion. Interestingly, while wild-type or a constituently active GTPase form (Q79L) of Rab5 supports LD-lysosome transport, this process is markedly reduced in cells expressing a GTPase dead (S34N) Rab5 protein or in hepatocytes exposed to chronic EtOH. CONCLUSIONS These findings support the novel premise of an early endosomal/multivesicular body intermediate compartment on the LD surface that provides a "docking" site for lysosomal trafficking, not unlike the process that occurs during the hepatocellular degradation of endocytosed ligands that is also known to be compromised by EtOH exposure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Micah B. Schott
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
| | - Cody N. Rozeveld
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
| | - Saumya Bhatt
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
| | - Bridget Crossman
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Eugene W. Krueger
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Shaun G. Weller
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Karuna Rasineni
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
- Department of Veterans’ Affairs, VA-Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
| | - Carol A. Casey
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
- Department of Veterans’ Affairs, VA-Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, Nebraska, USA
| | - Mark A. McNiven
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Danpanichkul P, Ng CH, Muthiah M, Suparan K, Tan DJH, Duangsonk K, Sukphutanan B, Kongarin S, Harinwan N, Panpradist N, Takahashi H, Kawaguchi T, Vichitkunakorn P, Chaiyakunapruk N, Nathisuwan S, Huang D, Arab JP, Noureddin M, Mellinger JL, Wijarnpreecha K. From Shadows to Spotlight: Exploring the Escalating Burden of Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease and Alcohol Use Disorder in Young Women. Am J Gastroenterol 2024; 119:893-909. [PMID: 38147513 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000002642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2023] [Accepted: 12/06/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The burden of alcohol-related complications is considerable, particularly alcohol-associated liver disease and alcohol use disorder (AUD). However, there are deficiencies in comprehensive epidemiological research focusing on these issues, especially among young women who display higher susceptibility to such complications compared with their male counterparts. We thus aimed to determine the global burden of these conditions in this vulnerable group. METHODS Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analyzed the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years of alcohol-associated cirrhosis (AC), liver cancer from alcohol, and AUD in young women. The findings were categorized by region, nation, and sociodemographic index. RESULTS The highest age-standardized prevalence rates were observed in AUD (895.96 [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 722.6-1,103.58]), followed by AC (65.33 [95% UI 48.37-86.49]) and liver cancer from alcohol (0.13 [95% UI 0.09-0.19]) per 100,000 people. The highest age-standardized mortality rates were observed in AC (0.75 [95% UI 0.55-0.97]), followed by AUD (0.48 [95% UI 0.43-0.53]) and liver cancer from alcohol (0.06 [95% UI 0.04-0.09]). The highest burdens of AC and AUD were observed in Central Europe, whereas the high-income Asia Pacific had the highest burden of liver cancer from alcohol. DISCUSSION Throughout the past decade, the trend of AUD varied among regions while the impact of alcohol-associated liver disease has increased, requiring urgent public health strategy to mitigate these complications, particularly in female patients in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pojsakorn Danpanichkul
- Immunology Unit, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Cheng Han Ng
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Mark Muthiah
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kanokphong Suparan
- Immunology Unit, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Darren Jun Hao Tan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kwanjit Duangsonk
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | | | | | - Nateeluck Harinwan
- Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, Mae Fah Luang University, Chiang Rai, Thailand
| | - Nuttada Panpradist
- Global Center for Integrated Health for Women, Adolescents, and Children (Global WACh), Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Hirokazu Takahashi
- Division of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Faculty of Medicine, Saga University, Saga, Japan
| | - Takumi Kawaguchi
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan
| | - Polathep Vichitkunakorn
- Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk
- Department of Pharmacotherapy, College of Pharmacy, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
| | - Surakit Nathisuwan
- Clinical Pharmacy Division, Department of Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Daniel Huang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Juan Pablo Arab
- Departamento de Gastroenterologia, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University & London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mazen Noureddin
- Houston Methodist and Houston Research Institute, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Jessica Leigh Mellinger
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Karn Wijarnpreecha
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Arizona College of Medicine and Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Phoenix, Arizona, USA
- Department of Internal Medicine, Banner University Medical Center, Phoenix, Arizona, USA
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Díaz LA, Fuentes-López E, Idalsoaga F, Ayares G, Corsi O, Arnold J, Cannistra M, Vio D, Márquez-Lomas A, Ramirez-Cadiz C, Medel MP, Hernandez-Tejero M, Ferreccio C, Lazo M, Roblero JP, Cotter TG, Kulkarni AV, Kim W, Brahmania M, Louvet A, Tapper EB, Dunn W, Simonetto D, Shah VH, Kamath PS, Lazarus JV, Singal AK, Bataller R, Arrese M, Arab JP. Association between public health policies on alcohol and worldwide cancer, liver disease and cardiovascular disease outcomes. J Hepatol 2024; 80:409-418. [PMID: 37992972 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2023.11.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2023] [Revised: 11/01/2023] [Accepted: 11/02/2023] [Indexed: 11/24/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The long-term impact of alcohol-related public health policies (PHPs) on disease burden is unclear. We aimed to assess the association between alcohol-related PHPs and alcohol-related health consequences. METHODS We conducted an ecological multi-national study including 169 countries. We collected data on alcohol-related PHPs from the WHO Global Information System of Alcohol and Health 2010. Data on alcohol-related health consequences between 2010-2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease database. We classified PHPs into five items, including criteria for low, moderate, and strong PHP establishment. We estimated an alcohol preparedness index (API) using multiple correspondence analysis (0 lowest and 100 highest establishment). We estimated an incidence rate ratio (IRR) for outcomes according to API using adjusted multilevel generalized linear models with a Poisson family distribution. RESULTS The median API in the 169 countries was 54 [IQR 34.9-76.8]. The API was inversely associated with alcohol use disorder (AUD) prevalence (IRR 0.13; 95% CI 0.03-0.60; p = 0.010), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) mortality (IRR 0.14; 95% CI 0.03-0.79; p = 0.025), mortality due to neoplasms (IRR 0.09; 95% CI 0.02-0.40; p = 0.002), alcohol-attributable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (IRR 0.13; 95% CI 0.02-0.65; p = 0.014), and cardiovascular diseases (IRR 0.09; 95% CI 0.02-0.41; p = 0.002). The highest associations were observed in the Americas, Africa, and Europe. These associations became stronger over time, and AUD prevalence was significantly lower after 2 years, while ALD mortality and alcohol-attributable HCC incidence decreased after 4 and 8 years from baseline API assessment, respectively (p <0.05). CONCLUSIONS The API is a valuable instrument to quantify the robustness of alcohol-related PHP establishment. Lower AUD prevalence and lower mortality related to ALD, neoplasms, alcohol-attributable HCC, and cardiovascular diseases were observed in countries with a higher API. Our results encourage the development and strengthening of alcohol-related policies worldwide. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS We first developed an alcohol preparedness index, an instrument to assess the existence of alcohol-related public policies for each country. We then evaluated the long-term association of the country's alcohol preparedness index in 2010 with the burden of chronic liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma, other neoplasms, and cardiovascular disease. The strengthening of alcohol-related public health policies could impact long-term mortality rates from cardiovascular disease, neoplasms, and liver disease. These conditions are the main contributors to the global burden of disease related to alcohol use. Over time, this association has not only persisted but also grown stronger. Our results expand the preliminary evidence regarding the importance of public health policies in controlling alcohol-related health consequences.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luis Antonio Díaz
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile; Observatorio Multicéntrico de Enfermedades Gastrointestinales, OMEGA, Santiago, Chile
| | - Eduardo Fuentes-López
- Observatorio Multicéntrico de Enfermedades Gastrointestinales, OMEGA, Santiago, Chile; Departamento de Ciencias de la Salud, Facultad de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Francisco Idalsoaga
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Gustavo Ayares
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Oscar Corsi
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Jorge Arnold
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Macarena Cannistra
- Escuela de Medicina, Facultad de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Danae Vio
- Escuela de Medicina, Facultad de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Carolina Ramirez-Cadiz
- Department of Anesthesiology, London Health Sciences Centre, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - María Paz Medel
- Departamento de Medicina Familiar, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Catterina Ferreccio
- Public Health Department, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile; Advanced Center for Chronic Diseases, ACCDis, Santiago, Chile
| | - Mariana Lazo
- Department of Community Health and Prevention, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Urban Health Collaborative, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Division of General Internal Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Juan Pablo Roblero
- Sección Gastroenterología, Hospital Clínico Universidad de Chile, Escuela de Medicina Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Thomas G Cotter
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Anand V Kulkarni
- Department of Hepatology, Asian Institute of Gastroenterology, Hyderabad, India
| | - Won Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Mayur Brahmania
- Univeristy of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Alexandre Louvet
- Hôpital Claude Huriez, Services des Maladies de l'Appareil Digestif, CHRU Lille, and Unité INSERM 995, Lille, France
| | - Elliot B Tapper
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Gastroenterology Section, Veterans Affairs Ann Arbor Healthcare System, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | | | - Douglas Simonetto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Vijay H Shah
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Patrick S Kamath
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Jeffrey V Lazarus
- CUNY Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy (CUNY SPH), New York, NY, USA; Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clinic, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Ashwani K Singal
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Louisville School of Medicine, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
| | | | - Marco Arrese
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile; Observatorio Multicéntrico de Enfermedades Gastrointestinales, OMEGA, Santiago, Chile
| | - Juan Pablo Arab
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile; Observatorio Multicéntrico de Enfermedades Gastrointestinales, OMEGA, Santiago, Chile; Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University & London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada.
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Naimi TS, Lira MC, Pessar SC, Smart R, Blanchette J, Pacula RL. Relationships Between Alcohol and Cannabis Policies in U.S. States, 1999-2019. J Stud Alcohol Drugs 2024; 85:254-260. [PMID: 38147075 PMCID: PMC10941819 DOI: 10.15288/jsad.23-00035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2023] [Accepted: 12/02/2023] [Indexed: 12/27/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE A crucial question regarding the public health impacts of cannabis legalization is its impact on alcohol consumption and alcohol-related harm. However, little is known about whether these changing cannabis policies are occurring in liberal or in restrictive alcohol policy environments, either of which likely affect public health outcomes. We constructed comprehensive state-level alcohol and cannabis policy indices and explored relationships between them. METHOD We assessed relationships between the Alcohol Policy Scale (APS) and the Cannabis Policy Scale (CPS) from 1999 to 2019. The APS and CPS were based on 29 and 17 state-level policies, respectively, and each policy was weighted for its relative efficacy and degree of state-year implementation. RESULTS From 1999 to 2019, average state APS scores increased modestly (became more restrictive) by 4.11 points (2019 M = 43.23, range: 24.44-66.31) and average CPS scores decreased (became less restrictive) by 15.33 points (2019 M = 76.40, range: 29.40-95.74) on a 100-point scale. In 2019, average APS scores were similar among states that prohibited (criminalized) possession of cannabis (42.00), decriminalized possession (41.33), legalized medical cannabis (44.36), and legalized recreational cannabis (43.32). Across states, there was no correlation between the restrictiveness of state-level alcohol and cannabis policies (r = .03, p = .37) in unadjusted models, although there was some variation by time, geographic region, and political party, with a weak negative correlation in state fixed-effects models. CONCLUSIONS Although cannabis policies liberalized rapidly from 1999 to 2019, alcohol policies stayed relatively stable and did not differ by degree of cannabis policy liberalization. In general, there were weak associations between cannabis and alcohol policies among states; however, there was some temporal, regional, and political variation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Timothy S. Naimi
- Canadian Institute for Substance Use Research, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Marlene C. Lira
- Clinical Addiction Research and Education (CARE) Unit, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Seema Choksy Pessar
- Leonard D. Schaeffer Center for Health Policy & Economics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | | | - Jason Blanchette
- Department of Health Policy, Law, and Management, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Rosalie Liccardo Pacula
- Leonard D. Schaeffer Center for Health Policy & Economics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
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Julien J, Ayer T, Tapper EB, Chhatwal J. The Rising Costs of Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease in the United States. Am J Gastroenterol 2024; 119:270-277. [PMID: 37463414 PMCID: PMC10872874 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000002405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2023] [Accepted: 07/05/2023] [Indexed: 07/20/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is rising in the United States because of an increase in high-risk drinking, but population-level ALD cost is unknown. Our aim was to project the direct and indirect costs associated with ALD in the US population through 2040. METHODS We used a previously validated microsimulation model of alcohol consumption and ALD with model parameters estimated from publicly available data sources, including the National Epidemiologic Survey Alcohol and Related Conditions-III, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and published studies informing the impact of alcohol consumption on ALD severity in the United States resident population. The simulated scenario included current and projected ALD-associated costs. RESULTS From 2022 to 2040, the ALD is projected to cost $880 billion, $355 billion in direct healthcare-related costs, and $525 billion in lost labor and economic consumption. The annual cost of ALD is projected to increase from $31 billion in 2022 to $66 billion (118% increase) in 2040. Although the female population makes up 29% of these costs in 2022, by 2040 on a per annum basis, female costs would be 43% of the total annual expenditure. DISCUSSION Increased consumption of alcohol in the US population, especially in females, will cause a steep rise in the economic burden of ALD in the United States. These findings highlight the need for planners and policymakers to plan for the increased impact of liver disease in the United States.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jovan Julien
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Turgay Ayer
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
| | | | - Jagpreet Chhatwal
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
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Abstract
Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related death and a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. The predominant cause of HCC is shifting from viral to nonviral causes, in parallel with the high global prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and increasing alcohol consumption in many countries. There have been promising recent advances in the treatment of all stages of HCC; however, improvements in early detection, increased utilization of HCC surveillance, and equitable access to HCC therapies are needed to curb increases in HCC mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicole E Rich
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Harold C. Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, UT Southwestern Medical Center, 5959 Harry Hines Boulevard, Professional Office Building 1, Suite 4.420G, Dallas, TX 75390-8887, USA.
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Jophlin LL, Singal AK, Bataller R, Wong RJ, Sauer BG, Terrault NA, Shah VH. ACG Clinical Guideline: Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2024; 119:30-54. [PMID: 38174913 PMCID: PMC11040545 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000002572] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Accepted: 10/04/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
ABSTRACT Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is the most common cause of advanced hepatic disease and frequent indication for liver transplantation worldwide. With harmful alcohol use as the primary risk factor, increasing alcohol use over the past decade has resulted in rapid growth of the ALD-related healthcare burden. The spectrum of ALD ranges from early asymptomatic liver injury to advanced disease with decompensation and portal hypertension. Compared with those with other etiologies of liver disease, patients with ALD progress faster and more often present at an advanced stage. A unique phenotype of advanced disease is alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) presenting with rapid onset or worsening of jaundice, and acute on chronic liver failure in severe forms conveying a 1-month mortality risk of 20%-50%. The model for end stage disease score is the most accurate score to stratify AH severity (>20 defined as severe disease). Corticosteroids are currently the only available therapeutic with proven efficacy for patients with severe AH, providing survival benefit at 1 month in 50%-60% of patients. Abstinence of alcohol use, a crucial determinant of long-term outcomes, is challenging to achieve in ALD patients with concurrent alcohol use disorder (AUD). As patients with ALD are rarely treated for AUD, strategies are needed to overcome barriers to AUD treatment in patients with ALD and to promote a multidisciplinary integrated care model with hepatology, addiction medicine providers, and social workers to comprehensively manage the dual pathologies of liver disease and of AUD. Liver transplantation, a definitive treatment option in patients with advanced cirrhosis, should be considered in selected patients with AH, who are unresponsive to medical therapy and have a low risk of relapse to posttransplant alcohol use. Level of evidence and strength of recommendations were evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations system. This guideline was developed under the American College of Gastroenterology Practice Parameters Committee.
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Affiliation(s)
- Loretta L. Jophlin
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Louisville Health, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
| | - Ashwani K. Singal
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of South Dakota, Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA
| | - Ramon Bataller
- Liver Unit, Department of Digestive and Metabolic Diseases, Hospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Robert J. Wong
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Healthcare System, Palo Alto, California, USA
| | - Bryan G. Sauer
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA
| | - Norah A. Terrault
- Division of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Vijay H. Shah
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Ochoa-Allemant P, Marrero JA, Serper M. Racial and ethnic differences and the role of unfavorable social determinants of health across steatotic liver disease subtypes in the United States. Hepatol Commun 2023; 7:e0324. [PMID: 38051551 PMCID: PMC10697602 DOI: 10.1097/hc9.0000000000000324] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2023] [Accepted: 10/06/2023] [Indexed: 12/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The global liver community established a more precise criteria to characterize steatotic liver disease (SLD), specifically metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated and alcohol-associated liver disease (MetALD). We aimed to estimate the burden of SLD subtypes and unfavorable social determinants of health (SDOH) in US adults and whether clinical and social factors drive disparities across racial/ethnic subgroups. METHODS We evaluated 4263 persons aged 20 years or older from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2018. We estimated the weighted age-adjusted prevalence and severity of SLD, examined the prevalence of SDOH across SLD subtypes, and performed stepwise regression analysis to evaluate associations between race/ethnicity and SLD, accounting for metabolic risks, alcohol use, and SDOH. RESULTS Hispanic adults had the highest prevalence of MASLD (22.3%), MASLD-predominant MetALD (10.3%), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD)-predominant MetALD (5.6%), and ALD (5.4%). Hispanic adults with MASLD had the highest prevalence of high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (18.0%) and advanced fibrosis (21.1%), whereas non-Hispanic (NH) White adults with MetALD had the highest prevalence of high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (19.3%), advanced fibrosis (19.5%), and cirrhosis (8.1%). Adults with ALD-predominant MetALD and ALD had an increased burden of unfavorable SDOH than those with MASLD, particularly food insecurity, limited health care access, and single living. In stepwise regression, the odds of SLD in Hispanic adults decreased after adjusting for metabolic risks (OR 1.40, 95% CI, 1.06-1.84) and alcohol use (OR 1.36, 95% CI, 1.01-1.82). Differences did not persist after adjusting for cumulative SDOH and nativity status (OR 1.22, 95% CI, 0.89-1.68). CONCLUSIONS We found substantial disparities in the burden of unfavorable SDOH across SLD subtypes, particularly among those with ALD-predominant MetALD and ALD. Population-based approaches targeting SDOH may mitigate racial/ethnic differences among US adults with SLD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pedro Ochoa-Allemant
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Jorge A. Marrero
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Marina Serper
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, US Department of Veterans Affairs, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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9
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Wang C, Gao H, Liu W, Chen J, Guo Y, Zhao P. Alcoholic cardiomyopathy in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis: a study across 10 years. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 35:600-603. [PMID: 36966758 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000002541] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/30/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Available data regarding cardiomyopathy in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC) are very limited because it often requires multidisciplinary assessments. The study aims to evaluate the prevalence of alcoholic cardiomyopathy in ALC and their clinical correlations. METHODS Adult ALC patients without a previous diagnosis of cardiovascular diseases between January 2010 and December 2019 were included in the study. The prevalence rate of alcoholic cardiomyopathy in patients with ALC was calculated together with a 95% confidence interval (CI) using the Clopper-Pearson exact method. RESULTS A total of 1022 ALC patients were included. Male patients predominated (90.5%). ECG abnormalities were observed in 353 patients (34.5%). Prolonged QT interval was most common in ALC patients with ECG abnormalities, which occurred in 109. Thirty-five ALC patients underwent the cardiac MRI examination and only one patient was found with cardiomyopathy. The estimated prevalence rate of alcoholic cardiomyopathy in all the ALC patients was 0.0286 (95% CI, 0.0007-0.1492). There was no statistical difference regarding the prevalence rate between the group of patients with ECG abnormalities and the group without ECG abnormalities (0.0400 vs. 0.0000, P = 1.000). CONCLUSION Although ECG abnormalities, especially QT prolongation, existed in a proportion of ALC patients, cardiomyopathy in the patient population was not common. Further larger-sample studies based on cardiac MRI are needed to verify our results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chunya Wang
- Coronary Heart Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University
| | - Hai Gao
- Coronary Heart Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University
| | - Weibin Liu
- Department of Interventional Radiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University
| | - Jing Chen
- The Fifth Medical Center (formerly Beijing 302 Hospital), Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing
| | - Yupeng Guo
- College of Public Health, Mudanjiang Medical University, Mudanjiang, Heilongjiang, China
| | - Pan Zhao
- The Fifth Medical Center (formerly Beijing 302 Hospital), Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing
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10
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Hundt MA, Tien C, Kahn JA. Addressing sex-based disparities in liver transplantation. Curr Opin Organ Transplant 2023; 28:110-116. [PMID: 36437701 DOI: 10.1097/mot.0000000000001040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Disparities in access to liver transplantation by sex have been well described, disadvantaging women. Understanding the multifactorial causes of these disparities as well as the variety of proposed solutions is critical to improving access to this life-saving intervention for women. This review aims to summarize the current body of evidence on observed sex disparities in liver transplantation and highlight actionable, evidence-based mechanisms by which these disparities can be addressed. RECENT FINDINGS Strategies for addressing sex disparities in liver transplantation include increasing organ utilization, changing allocation policy, and leveraging public policies to reduce the incidence of end-stage liver disease. Several other promising interventions are currently being explored. SUMMARY In the United States, women face additional barriers to liver transplantation on the basis of sex. Immediate action is necessary to systematically address these inequities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Melanie A Hundt
- Division of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases
- Department of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Christine Tien
- Department of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Jeffrey A Kahn
- Division of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases
- Department of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
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11
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Kardashian A, Serper M, Terrault N, Nephew LD. Health disparities in chronic liver disease. Hepatology 2023; 77:1382-1403. [PMID: 35993341 PMCID: PMC10026975 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32743] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 46.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2022] [Revised: 06/14/2022] [Accepted: 06/16/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
The syndemic of hazardous alcohol consumption, opioid use, and obesity has led to important changes in liver disease epidemiology that have exacerbated health disparities. Health disparities occur when plausibly avoidable health differences are experienced by socially disadvantaged populations. Highlighting health disparities, their sources, and consequences in chronic liver disease is fundamental to improving liver health outcomes. There have been large increases in alcohol use disorder in women, racial and ethnic minorities, and those experiencing poverty in the context of poor access to alcohol treatment, leading to increasing rates of alcohol-associated liver diseases. Rising rates of NAFLD and associated fibrosis have been observed in Hispanic persons, women aged > 50, and individuals experiencing food insecurity. Access to viral hepatitis screening and linkage to treatment are suboptimal for racial and ethnic minorities and individuals who are uninsured or underinsured, resulting in greater liver-related mortality and later-stage diagnoses of HCC. Data from more diverse cohorts on autoimmune and cholestatic liver diseases are lacking, supporting the need to study the contemporary epidemiology of these disorders in greater detail. Herein, we review the existing literature on racial and ethnic, gender, and socioeconomic disparities in chronic liver diseases using a social determinants of health framework to better understand how social and structural factors cause health disparities and affect chronic liver disease outcomes. We also propose potential solutions to eliminate disparities, outlining health-policy, health-system, community, and individual solutions to promote equity and improve health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ani Kardashian
- Division of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Marina Serper
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Norah Terrault
- Division of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Lauren D. Nephew
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA
- Indiana University Simon Comprehensive Cancer Center, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA
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12
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Lee HM, Lidofsky SD, Taddei TH, Townshend‐Bulson LJ. Attacking the public health crisis of hepatocellular carcinoma at its roots. Hepatology 2023; 77:1456-1459. [PMID: 35989555 PMCID: PMC10026951 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32741] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2022] [Accepted: 08/11/2022] [Indexed: 12/08/2022]
Abstract
As the third most common cause of cancer-related death worldwide with significant mortality rates in the United States, hepatocellular carcinoma has strong association with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) with a growing at-risk population from the rise in chronic liver disease from alcohol use and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Despite this, progress in identifying at-risk individuals and early detection of HCC in these populations have lagged behind treatment advances.The lack of consensus may undermine widespread adoption of surveillance programs, thus preventing HCC detection at a curable stage. This public policy corner piece focuses on opportunities for prevention of HCC by focusing on its principal risk factors: viral hepatitis, NAFLD, and alcohol-related liver disease, and three key action points to reverse the course of this public health crisis: 1) Awareness and education; 2) Screening and diagnosis, and 3) Partnerships and advocacy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah M. Lee
- Stravitz‐Sanyal Institute for Liver Disease and Metabolic Health, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Steven D. Lidofsky
- Department of Medicine, Larner College of Medicine, University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont, USA
| | - Tamar H. Taddei
- Department of Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
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13
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Anouti A, Mellinger JL. The Changing Epidemiology of Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease: Gender, Race, and Risk Factors. Semin Liver Dis 2023; 43:50-59. [PMID: 36529138 DOI: 10.1055/a-2000-6680] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
Cases of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) are increasing at a steady rate in the United States with more patients presenting with alcohol-associated hepatitis and alcohol-associated cirrhosis. While alcohol use has increased across many demographic groups, women are suffering from a greater increase in alcohol use disorder (AUD), and are at a greater risk of ALD due to pathophysiological differences which include absorption of alcohol, first pass metabolism, and hormonal differences. Differences across race have also been found with Native Americans and Hispanics suffering from some of the largest increases in ALD rates. Younger adults are heavily impacted by rising rates of both AUD and ALD. Comorbidities such as obesity and NASH have been shown to augment the deleterious effects of AUD and ALD, resulting in more advanced liver disease. Finally, COVID-19 and policies related to the pandemic have resulted in increased AUD across many cohorts, which have resulted in marked increases in ALD. In conclusion, ALD rates are rising, with young people and women particularly impacted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmad Anouti
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | - Jessica L Mellinger
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, Michigan
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14
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Rural-Urban Disparities in Mortality From Cirrhosis in the United States From 1999 to 2019. Am J Gastroenterol 2022; 117:1162-1165. [PMID: 35213405 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000001712] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2021] [Accepted: 02/23/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION We examined trends in rural-urban cirrhosis mortality disparities in the United States from decedents aged 25 years and older from 1999 to 2019. METHODS We calculated cirrhosis age-adjusted mortality rates across 3 population categories: large metropolitan (≥1 million), medium/small metropolitan (50,000-999,999), and rural (<50,000) areas using the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging ONline Data for Epidemiologic Research database. RESULTS We found an almost 20-fold increase in the absolute difference in cirrhosis age-adjusted mortality rates between rural and large metropolitan areas between 1999 and 2019. DISCUSSION Future research is needed to investigate reasons for this widening rural-urban disparity to improve rural cirrhosis care.
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15
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Alcohol-associated Liver Disease Is Now the Most Common Indication for Liver Transplant Waitlisting Among Young American Adults. Transplantation 2022; 106:2000-2005. [PMID: 35642977 DOI: 10.1097/tp.0000000000004202] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mortality from cirrhosis is increasing and is the highest among young adults with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). The aim of this study was to describe rates of liver transplant (LT) waitlisting stratified by age, sex, and cirrhosis etiology. METHODS Retrospective population-based study from 2003 to 2018 using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database. Adults newly registered on the LT waitlist were included, and age at listing was dichotomized to ±40 y. Annual standardized incidence proportions of LT waitlisting by age group, sex, and etiology were calculated using census data. Changes in annual rates were described with Poisson regression. RESULTS A total of 209 399 unique individuals were included, 10 326 (5%) <40 y at listing. In those <40 y of age, listing increased most for ALD (4-fold increase) followed by nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD; 2-fold increase). Compared to young adult males, young females were more likely to be listed for ALD and less likely to be listed for NAFLD. In those ≥40 y of age, listings increased most for ALD (2-fold increase) and NAFLD (2-fold increase). Hepatitis C virus increased from 2003 to 2013 and declined post-2014 in the ≥40-y age group. CONCLUSIONS LT waitlisting is increasing substantially in young Americans, driven primarily by ALD. These data support ongoing efforts to identify adolescents and young adults with early stages of ALD where interventions can be implemented to prevent the development of cirrhosis and liver-related complications.
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16
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Sherk A, Esser MB, Stockwell T, Naimi TS. Estimating alcohol-attributable liver disease mortality: A comparison of methods. Drug Alcohol Rev 2022; 41:1245-1253. [PMID: 35363378 DOI: 10.1111/dar.13470] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2021] [Revised: 03/15/2022] [Accepted: 03/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Alcohol is a leading contributor to liver disease, however, estimating the proportion of liver disease deaths attributable to alcohol use can be methodologically challenging. METHODS We compared three approaches for estimating alcohol-attributable liver disease deaths (AALDD), using the USA as an example. One involved summing deaths from alcoholic liver disease and a proportion from unspecified cirrhosis (direct method); two used population attributable fraction (PAF) methodology, including one that adjusted for per capita alcohol sales. For PAFs, the 2011-2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and per capita sales from the Alcohol Epidemiologic Data System were used to derive alcohol consumption prevalence estimates at various levels (excessive alcohol use was defined by medium and high consumption levels). Prevalence estimates were used with relative risks from two meta-analyses, and PAFs were applied to the 2011-2015 average annual number of deaths from alcoholic cirrhosis and unspecified cirrhosis (using National Vital Statistics System data) to estimate AALDD. RESULTS The number of AALDD was higher using the direct method (28 345 annually) than the PAF methods, but similar when alcohol prevalence was adjusted using per capita sales and all alcohol consumption levels were considered (e.g. 25 145 AALDD). Using the PAF method, disaggregating non-drinkers into lifetime abstainers and former drinkers to incorporate relative risks for former drinkers yielded higher AALDD estimates (e.g. 27 686) than methods with all non-drinkers combined. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS Using PAF methods that adjust for per capita sales and model risks for former drinkers yield more complete and possibly more valid AALDD estimates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adam Sherk
- Canadian Institute for Substance Use Research, Victoria, Canada
| | - Marissa B Esser
- National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, USA
| | - Tim Stockwell
- Canadian Institute for Substance Use Research, Victoria, Canada
| | - Timothy S Naimi
- Canadian Institute for Substance Use Research, Victoria, Canada
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17
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Flemming JA, Djerboua M, Groome PA, Booth CM, Terrault NA. NAFLD and Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease Will Be Responsible for Almost All New Diagnoses of Cirrhosis in Canada by 2040. Hepatology 2021; 74:3330-3344. [PMID: 34174003 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2020] [Revised: 06/02/2021] [Accepted: 06/08/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Mortality secondary to cirrhosis in North America is increasing. We describe the incidence of cirrhosis stratified by birth cohort and cirrhosis etiology and project disease burden to 2040. APPROACH AND RESULTS This is a retrospective cohort study in Ontario, Canada, using population-based administrative health care data. Individuals with incident cirrhosis (2000-2017) were identified, and etiology was defined as HCV, HBV, NAFLD, alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), or autoimmune liver disease/other using validated case definitions. Annual age/sex-adjusted cirrhosis incidence rate per 100,000 person-years was calculated with incidence projection to 2040 using age-period-cohort modeling along with average annual percent change (AAPC) in cirrhosis incidence stratified by birth cohort and etiology. In total, 159,549 incident cases of cirrhosis were identified. Incidence increased by 26% with an AAPC of 2%/year (95% CI, 1.6-2.4; P < 0.001). The largest increases were for HCV (AAPC, 4.1%/year; 95% CI, 2.6-5.7; P < 0.001) and NAFLD (AAPC, 3.3%/year; 95% CI, 2.6-4.1%; P < 0.001). ALD and HCV cirrhosis in those born >1980 increased by 11.6%/year (95% CI, 9.3-13.9; P < 0.001) and 9.5%/year (95% CI, 6.2-13.0; P < 0.001), respectively. However, by 2040, cirrhosis incidence is projected to continue to increase, driven mostly by NAFLD, especially in postmenopausal women, and ALD in individuals born >1980. CONCLUSIONS Cirrhosis incidence will continue to increase over the next two decades secondary to NAFLD with a worrisome rapid rise in ALD cirrhosis among young adults. Public education, policy, and intervention targeting NAFLD risk factors and alcohol use in young adults are urgently needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer A Flemming
- Department of Medicine, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,ICES, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,Public Health Sciences, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada
| | | | - Patti A Groome
- ICES, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,Public Health Sciences, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada
| | - Christopher M Booth
- ICES, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,Public Health Sciences, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.,Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada
| | - Norah A Terrault
- Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA
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