Diabetes Mellitus and Hypertension as Major Risk Factors of Mortality From Covid-19 Pneumonia

Genetic clues to COVID-19 severity: exploring the stromal cell-derived factor-1/CXCL12 rs2839693 polymorphism in adult Egyptians

BACKGROUND

A novel corona virus called SARS-CoV-2 was identified at the end of December 2019, and the illness induced by it was designated as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Severity of the disease could vary significantly since most of the infected individuals experience mild to moderate respiratory symptoms and recover without specialized care. Genetic polymorphisms have implications in influencing the varying degrees of COVID-19 severity. This study aims to assess the potential association between the CXCL12 rs2839693 polymorphism and the severity of COVID-19 in Assiut University Quarantine Hospital during the period from May 2022 to August 2022.

METHODS

The present study is a cross-sectional study and is applied to 300 COVID-19 patients confirmed by RT-PCR admitted to Assiut University Quarantine Hospital from May 2022 to August 2022. Based on the clinical symptoms, the recruited participants had been divided into two groups. Group I involved mild or moderate cases; Group II involved severe or critical conditions. The rs2839693 polymorphism was detected by real time PCR using TaqMan assay probe.

RESULTS

The frequency of the T allele and the TT genotype was significantly higher in the severe or critical group compared with the mild or moderate group (p value < 0.001). C-reactive protein (CRP) and D-dimers are significantly elevated in the combined variants (CT + TT) and the TT compared with the CC (P value 0.006 and 0.017 respectively) and the CC,CT genotypes (p value 0.019 and 0.002 respectively). The combined variants (CT + TT) of CXCL12 were found to be independent predictors to severe or critical COVID-19 risk with P value =  < 0.001, OR = 3.034& 95% CI = 1.805-5.098.

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed that CXCL12 rs2839693 had a role in the development and seriousness of COVID-19. Patients with the TT genotype or the T allele at increased risk developed severe or critical rather than mild or moderate disease.

Association Between Prehospital Blood Glucose Levels and Outcomes in Patients With COVID-19 Infection: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Hyperglycaemia is associated with worse outcomes in many settings. However, the association between dysglycaemia and adverse outcomes remains debated in COVID-19 patients. This study determined the association of prehospital blood glucose levels with acute medical unit (intensive care unit or high dependency unit) admission and mortality among COVID-19-infected patients.

METHODS

This was a single-centre, retrospective cohort study based on patients cared for by the prehospital medical mobile unit from a Swiss university hospital between March 2020 and April 2021. All adult patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 infection during the study period were included. Data were obtained from the prehospital medical files. The main exposure was prehospital blood glucose level. A 7.8 mmol/L cut-off was used to define high blood glucose level. Restricted cubic splines were also used to analyse the exposure as a continuous variable. The primary endpoint was acute medical unit admission; secondary endpoints were 7-day and 30-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to compute odds ratios.

RESULTS

A total of 276 patients were included. The mean prehospital blood glucose level was 8.8 mmol/l, and 123 patients presented high blood glucose levels. The overall acute medical unit admission rate was 31.2%, with no statistically significant difference according to prehospital blood glucose levels. The mortality rate was 13.8% at 7 days and 25% at 30 days. The 30-day mortality rate was higher in patients with high prehospital blood glucose levels, with an adjusted odds ratio of 2.5 (1.3-4.8).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute COVID-19 infection, prehospital blood glucose levels do not seem to be associated with acute medical unit admission. However, there was an increased risk of 30-day mortality in COVID-19 patients who presented high prehospital blood glucose levels.

Fasting Plasma Glucose Increase and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as Risk Predictors of Clinical Outcome of COVID-19 Pneumonia in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

AIM OF THE STUDY

To evaluate fasting plasma glucose (FPG) increase and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as risk predictors of severe clinical outcome of COVID-19 pneumonia in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) hospitalised patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients hospitalised between March 2020 and February 2021 were studied retrospectively. The NLR ratio at admission and FPG increase (day 7, day with maximal FPG) were evaluated in association with the clinical progression of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

RESULTS

Three hundred patients (165 men, 135 women) were included in the study. The mean age was 67.17±8.65 years. Severe COVID-19 pneumonia was diagnosed in 170 patients (56.7%). Fifty-four patients (18%) were intubated and 49 (16.3%) died. Greater increase in FPG (79.5 vs. 44.5 mg/dL for day 1-7, p<0.001; and 113.5 vs. 75 mg/dL for day 1-day with maximum glucose value, p<0.001) and higher NLR at admission (10.65 vs. 6.85) were seen in patients with need of high-flow oxygen compared to those without need, and they were associated with a higher probability of intubation and death.

CONCLUSION

FPG increase and NLR could be significant risk predictors of severe COVID-19 pneumonia in T2DM hospitalised patients.

Joint modeling of longitudinal changes of blood pressure and time to remission of hypertensive patients receiving treatment: Bayesian approach

INTRODUCTION

Hypertension is a widespread condition when the blood's force on the artery walls is extremely high to develop adverse health effects. This paper aimed to jointly model the longitudinal change of blood pressures (systolic and diastolic) and time to the first remission of hypertensive outpatients receiving treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective study design was used to collect appropriate data on longitudinal changes in blood pressure and time-to-event from the medical charts of 301 hypertensive outpatients under follow-up at Felege Hiwot referral hospital, Ethiopia. The data exploration was done using summary statistics measures, individual profile plots, Kaplan-Meier plots, and log-rank tests. To get wide-ranging information about the progression, joint multivariate models were employed.

RESULTS

A total of 301 hypertensive patients who take treatment was taken from Felege Hiwot referral hospital recorded between Sep. 2018 to Feb. 2021. Of this 153 (50.8%) were male, and 124 (49.2%) were residents from rural areas. About 83(27.6%), 58 (19.3%), 82 (27.2%), and 25 (8.3%) have a history of diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease, stroke, and HIV respectively. The median time of hypertensive patients to have first remission time was 11 months. The hazard of the patient's first remission time for males was 0.63 times less likely than the hazard for females. The time to attain the first remission for patients who had a history of diabetes mellitus was 46% lower than for those who had no history of diabetes mellitus.

CONCLUSION

Blood pressure dynamics significantly affect the time to the first remission of hypertensive outpatients receiving treatment. The patients who had a good follow-up, lower BUN, lower serum calcium, lower serum sodium, lower hemoglobin, and take the treatment enalapril showed an opportunity in decreasing their blood pressure. This compels patients to experience the first remission early. Besides, age, patient's history of diabetes, patient's history of cardiovascular disease, and treatment type were the joint determinant factors for the longitudinal change of BP and the first remission time. The Bayesian joint model approach provides specific dynamic predictions, wide-ranging information about the disease transitions, and better knowledge of disease etiology.

Sex differences in factors influencing hospital-acquired pneumonia in schizophrenia patients receiving modified electroconvulsive therapy

BACKGROUND

Sex differences may be presented in the clinical features or symptoms of schizophrenia patients but also affect the occurrence of hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP). Modified electroconvulsive therapy (mECT) is a common treatment method for schizophrenia, used in combination with antipsychotics. This retrospective research explores the sex difference in HAP affecting patients with schizophrenia who have received mECT treatment during hospitalization.

METHODS

We included schizophrenia inpatients treated with mECT and antipsychotics between January 2015 and April 2022. Blood-related and demographic data collected on admission were analyzed. Influencing factors of HAP in male and female groups were assessed separately.

RESULTS

A total of 951 schizophrenia patients treated with mECT were enrolled in the study, including 375 males and 576 females, of which 62 patients experienced HAP during hospitalization. The risk period of HAP in these patients was found to be the first day after each mECT treatment and the first three sessions of mECT treatment. Statistically significant differences in the incidence of HAP were identified in male vs. female groups, with an incidence in men about 2.3 times higher than that in women (P < 0.001). Lower total cholesterol (Z = -2.147, P = 0.032) and the use of anti-parkinsonian drugs (χ² = 17.973, P < 0.001) were found to be independent risk factors of HAP in male patients, while lower lymphocyte count (Z = -2.408, P = 0.016), hypertension (χ² = 9.096, P = 0.003), and use of sedative-hypnotic drugs (χ² = 13.636, P < 0.001) were identified in female patients.

CONCLUSION

Influencing factors of HAP in schizophrenia patients treated with mECT have gender differences. The first day after each mECT treatment and the first three sessions of mECT treatment were identified to have the greatest risk for HAP development. Therefore, it would be imperative to monitor clinical management and medications during this period according to these gender differences.

Effects of Hypertension Alone and in Comorbidity with Diabetes on Death within 30 Days among Inpatients with COVID-19 Infection

BACKGROUND

Hypertension and diabetes are common comorbidities in patients with COVID-19 and could be influencing the mortality of such patients. The present study aimed to evaluate the effects of hypertension alone and in comorbidity with diabetes on the death within 30 days among inpatients with COVID-19 in presence of well-known determinates of COVID-19 death.

STUDY DESIGN

A case-control study.

METHODS

Four groups of COVID-19 inpatients including controls, diabetes alone, hypertension alone, and hypertension and diabetes comorbidities were defined. Each study groups did not have underlying diseases other than hypertension and diabetes. Demographic and general characteristics, underlying diseases, and hospital course events were extracted from medical records. The outcome of interest was alive at discharge/ death within 30 days after admission. Multivariable binary logistic analysis was employed to estimate the effect measures.

RESULTS

The number of death within 30 days among controls (n=1359), diabetes alone (159), hypertension alone (406) and hypertension and diabetes comorbidities (188) were 12.68%, 15.72%, 20.74% and 26.74%, respectively. According to three multivariable analyses after adjusting older age, hospital length of stay, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission separately, the odds of death within 30 days in COVID-19 patients with having hypertension and diabetes comorbidities was 1.58, 2.13 and 1.91 times of patients without such comorbidities, respectively (P<0.015). The effect of hypertension alone was also significant after adjusting hospital length of stay and ICU admission but not for older age.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that comorbidities, such as hypertension and diabetes may be associated with COVID-19-related deaths independent of other underlying diseases, older age, and adverse hospital course events.

A Scoping Review of Three Dimensions for Long-Term COVID-19 Vaccination Models: Hybrid Immunity, Individual Drivers of Vaccinal Choice, and Human Errors

The virus that causes COVID-19 changes over time, occasionally leading to Variants of Interest (VOIs) and Variants of Concern (VOCs) that can behave differently with respect to detection kits, treatments, or vaccines. For instance, two vaccination doses were 61% effective against the BA.1 predominant variant, but only 24% effective when BA.2 became predominant. While doses still confer protection against severe disease outcomes, the BA.5 variant demonstrates the possibility that individuals who have received a few doses built for previous variants can still be infected with newer variants. As previous vaccines become less effective, new ones will be released to target specific variants and the whole process of vaccinating the population will restart. While previous models have detailed logistical aspects and disease progression, there are three additional key elements to model COVID-19 vaccination coverage in the long term. First, the willingness of the population to participate in regular vaccination campaigns is essential for long-term effective COVID-19 vaccination coverage. Previous research has shown that several categories of variables drive vaccination status: sociodemographic, health-related, psychological, and information-related constructs. However, the inclusion of these categories in future models raises questions about the identification of specific factors (e.g., which sociodemographic aspects?) and their operationalization (e.g., how to initialize agents with a plausible combination of factors?). While previous models separately accounted for natural- and vaccine-induced immunity, the reality is that a significant fraction of individuals will be both vaccinated and infected over the coming years. Modeling the decay in immunity with respect to new VOCs will thus need to account for hybrid immunity. Finally, models rarely assume that individuals make mistakes, even though this over-reliance on perfectly rational individuals can miss essential dynamics. Using the U.S. as a guiding example, our scoping review summarizes these aspects (vaccinal choice, immunity, and errors) through ten recommendations to support the modeling community in developing long-term COVID-19 vaccination models.

Scientometric Analysis of Global Scientific Publications on COVID-19 and Diabetes with an Emphasis on Middle Eastern Countries

BACKGROUND

Due to the worldwide spread of COVID-19, various countries have designed scientific studies on different aspects of the disease. Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) have been proven to be at higher risk of COVID-19-related complications, hospitalization, and death.

OBJECTIVES

The aim was to conduct a scientometric analysis of scholarly outputs on diabetes and COVID-19.

METHODS

Web of Science was searched for scientific publications on diabetes and COVID-19 by Middle Eastern researchers until September 14, 2021. Collected data were analyzed for document type, subject area, countries, top journals, citation number, and authors' collaboration network using VOS viewer 1.6.15 and bibliometrix R-package 4.1.1.

RESULTS

Overall, the characteristics of 603 documents on DM and COVID-19 were analyzed. The top three productive countries in the field were Iran, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia. The top affiliation was from Iran; "Tehran University of Medical Sciences" (n = 168), followed by "Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences" (n = 82). The total citation number was 3704 times. The highest cited paper (348) was a systematic review from Iran, published in arch Acad Emerg Med. The top source was "Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome: Clinical Research & Reviews," with 26 documents.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study provides an overview of the quantity and quality of published scholarly documents on the intersection of DM and COVID-19 in the region. Our findings help scientists find the existing gaps, manage the research budgets, identify active authors and scientific institutes to collaborate with, and use their experience to produce new knowledge in the future.

Etiology of Severe Community Acquired Pneumonia in Adults Identified by Combined Detection Methods: A Multi-center Prospective Study in China

Severe Community Acquired Pneumonia (SCAP) challenges public health globally. Considerable improvements in molecular pathogen testing emerged in the last few years. Our prospective study combinedly used traditional culture, antigen tests, PCR and mNGS in SCAP pathogen identification with clinical outcomes. From June 2018 to December 2019, we conducted a multi-centre prospective study in 17 hospitals of SCAP patients within 48 hours of emergency room stay or hospitalization in China. All clinical data were uploaded into an online database. Blood, urine and respiratory specimens were collected for routine culture, antigen detection, PCR and mNGS as designed appropriately. Aetiology confirmation was made by the local attending physician group and scientific committee according to microbiological results, clinical features, and response to the treatment. Two hundred seventy-five patients were included for final analysis. Combined detection methods made identification rate up to 74.2% (222/299), while 14.4% (43/299) when only using routine cultures and 40.8% (122/299) when not using mNGS. Influenza virus (23.2%, 46/198), S. pneumoniae (19.6%, 39/198), Enterobacteriaceae (14.6%, 29/198), Legionella pneumophila (12.6%, 25/198), Mycoplasma pneumoniae (11.1%, 22/198) were the top five common pathogens. The in-hospital mortality of patients with pathogen identified and unidentified was 21.7% (43/198) and 25.9% (20/77), respectively. In conclusion, early combined detection increased the pathogen identification rate and possibly benefitted survival. Influenza virus, S. pneumoniae, Enterobacteriaceae was the leading cause of SCAP in China, and there was a clear seasonal distribution pattern of influenza viruses. Physicians should be aware of the emergence of uncommon pathogens, including Chlamydia Psittaci and Leptospira.

Efficacy of interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir compared with remdesivir alone in hospitalised adults with COVID-19: a double-bind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Functional impairment of interferon, a natural antiviral component of the immune system, is associated with the pathogenesis and severity of COVID-19. We aimed to compare the efficacy of interferon beta-1a in combination with remdesivir compared with remdesivir alone in hospitalised patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

We did a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial at 63 hospitals across five countries (Japan, Mexico, Singapore, South Korea, and the USA). Eligible patients were hospitalised adults (aged ≥18 years) with SARS-CoV-2 infection, as confirmed by a positive RT-PCR test, and who met one of the following criteria suggestive of lower respiratory tract infection: the presence of radiographic infiltrates on imaging, a peripheral oxygen saturation on room air of 94% or less, or requiring supplemental oxygen. Patients were excluded if they had either an alanine aminotransferase or an aspartate aminotransferase concentration more than five times the upper limit of normal; had impaired renal function; were allergic to the study product; were pregnant or breast feeding; were already on mechanical ventilation; or were anticipating discharge from the hospital or transfer to another hospital within 72 h of enrolment. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous remdesivir as a 200 mg loading dose on day 1 followed by a 100 mg maintenance dose administered daily for up to 9 days and up to four doses of either 44 μg interferon beta-1a (interferon beta-1a group plus remdesivir group) or placebo (placebo plus remdesivir group) administered subcutaneously every other day. Randomisation was stratified by study site and disease severity at enrolment. Patients, investigators, and site staff were masked to interferon beta-1a and placebo treatment; remdesivir treatment was given to all patients without masking. The primary outcome was time to recovery, defined as the first day that a patient attained a category 1, 2, or 3 score on the eight-category ordinal scale within 28 days, assessed in the modified intention-to-treat population, defined as all randomised patients who were classified according to actual clinical severity. Safety was assessed in the as-treated population, defined as all patients who received at least one dose of the assigned treatment. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04492475.

FINDINGS

Between Aug 5, 2020, and Nov 11, 2020, 969 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group (n=487) or to the placebo plus remdesivir group (n=482). The mean duration of symptoms before enrolment was 8·7 days (SD 4·4) in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group and 8·5 days (SD 4·3) days in the placebo plus remdesivir group. Patients in both groups had a time to recovery of 5 days (95% CI not estimable) (rate ratio of interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group vs placebo plus remdesivir 0·99 [95% CI 0·87-1·13]; p=0·88). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of mortality at 28 days was 5% (95% CI 3-7%) in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group and 3% (2-6%) in the placebo plus remdesivir group (hazard ratio 1·33 [95% CI 0·69-2·55]; p=0·39). Patients who did not require high-flow oxygen at baseline were more likely to have at least one related adverse event in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group (33 [7%] of 442 patients) than in the placebo plus remdesivir group (15 [3%] of 435). In patients who required high-flow oxygen at baseline, 24 (69%) of 35 had an adverse event and 21 (60%) had a serious adverse event in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group compared with 13 (39%) of 33 who had an adverse event and eight (24%) who had a serious adverse event in the placebo plus remdesivir group.

INTERPRETATION

Interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir was not superior to remdesivir alone in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Patients who required high-flow oxygen at baseline had worse outcomes after treatment with interferon beta-1a compared with those given placebo.

FUNDING

The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (USA).

Unexpectedly lower mortality rates in COVID-19 patients with and without type 2 diabetes in Istanbul

AIMS

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a risk factor for severe COVID-19. Our aim was to compare the clinical outcomes of patients with and without T2DM during the first hit of COVID-19 in Istanbul.

METHODS

A retrospective population-based study was conducted including all consecutive adult symptomatic COVID-19 cases. Patients were confirmed with rt-PCR; treated and monitored in accordance with standard protocols. The primary endpoints were hospitalization and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 93,571 patients, 22.6% had T2DM, with older age and higher BMI. Propensity Score matched evaluation resulted in significantly higher rates of hospitalization (1.5-fold), 30-day mortality (1.6-fold), and pneumonia (1.4-fold). They revealed more severe laboratory deviations, comorbidities, and frequent drug usage than the Non-DM group. In T2DM age, pneumonia, hypertension, obesity, and insulin-based therapies were associated with an increased likelihood of hospitalization; whereas age, male gender, lymphopenia, obesity, and insulin treatment were considerably associated with higher odds of death.

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 patients with T2DM had worse clinical outcomes with higher hospitalization and 30-day mortality rates than those without diabetes. Compared to most territories of the world, COVID-19 mortality was much lower in Istanbul, which may be associated with accessible healthcare provision and the younger structure of the population.