Mobile Health-Technology-Integrated Care for Atrial Fibrillation: A Win Ratio Analysis from the mAFA-II Randomized Clinical Trial

Time to benefit and harm of direct oral anticoagulants in device-detected atrial fibrillation: A pooled analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 and ARTESiA trials

BACKGROUND

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) reduce stroke risk in patients with device-detected atrial fibrillation (DD-AFib) but increase major bleeding risk. The time to benefit (TTB) and time to harm (TTH) are not well quantified.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine TTB and TTH in DOAC-treated patients with DD-AFib.

METHODS

Studies were identified from PubMed searching until November 2023. The primary efficacy outcome was the time to the first stroke event, and the primary safety outcome was the time to the first major bleeding event. Pooled hazard ratio (HR) and its confidence interval (CI) were calculated through reconstructed patient-level data and study-level data. Weibull model and Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation were applied to determine time to specific absolute risk change thresholds.

RESULTS

Two trials involving DOACs-NOAH-AFNET 6 (Non-vitamin K antagonist Oral anticoagulants in patients with Atrial High rate episodes) and ARTESiA (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation)-were identified, which randomized 6548 adults with a mean age of >75 years and a median atrial high-rate episode duration ranging from 1.5 to 2.8 hours. DOACs decreased the risk of stroke (HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.50-0.90) but increased the risk of major bleeding (HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.21-2.04). A TTB of 2.67 years was needed to prevent 1 stroke per 100 DOAC-treated patients, while a TTH of 1.67 years was needed to observe 1 major bleeding.

CONCLUSION

In elderly patients with low durations of DD-AFib, DOACs result in a delayed and restricted stroke-preventive benefit while posing an early-onset bleeding risk. Our findings offer new insights into the risk-benefit profile and provide clinicians an additional dimension to facilitate shared decision-making discussions with patients.

The 2024 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines for Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Viewpoint from a Practicing Clinician's Perspective

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a complex disease requiring a multidomain and (usually) long-term management, thus posing a significant burden to patients with AF, practitioners, and health care system. Unlike cardiovascular conditions with a narrow referral pathway (e.g., acute coronary syndrome), AF may be first detected by a wide range of specialties (often noncardiology) or a general practitioner. Since timely initiated optimal management is essential for the prevention of AF-related complications, a concise and simple guidance is essential for practitioners managing AF patients, regardless of their specialty. Guideline-adherent management of patients with AF has been shown to translate to improved patient outcomes compared with guideline-nonadherent treatment. To facilitate guideline implementation in routine clinical practice, a good guideline document on AF should introduce only evidence-based new recommendations, while avoiding arbitrary changes, which may be confusing to practitioners. Herein, we discuss the main changes in the 2024 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) AF Guidelines relative to the previous 2020 ESC document. Whether the updates and new recommendations issued by the new guidelines will translate in high adherence in clinical practice (and hence improved prognosis of patients with AF) will need to be addressed in upcoming years.

Relationship between systolic blood pressure and renal function on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the prospective AF-GEN-UK Registry

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) extremes and renal (dys)function contribute to poor outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Using data from the prospective AF-GEN-UK study, we investigated the effect of systolic BP and interaction with renal function for prognostication.

METHODS

Baseline systolic BP (SBP) values were recorded for 1580 patients (mean [SD] age 71 [11] years, 60% male) and categorized as follows: 120-129 mmHg ( n  = 289, reference group) <110 mmHg ( n  = 165), 110-119 mmHg, ( n  = 254), 130-139 mmHg ( n  = 321), 140-159 mmHg ( n  = 385) and ≥160 mmHg ( n  = 166). Cox regression analysis, adjusted for age, oral anticoagulation (OAC) and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score established the impact of SBP, renal function and their interaction on 1-year outcomes. SBP groups were compared using ANOVA and chi-square tests.

RESULTS

OAC use was 84% and similar across SBP groups. Renal dysfunction [estimated baseline glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min] was present in 24%, with significantly lower eGFR values in the SBP 110-119 mmHg group. History of heart failure was significantly higher in those with SBP <110 mmHg. SBP <110 mmHg was predictive of all cause-death on univariate [hazard ratio (HR) 2.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-4.64] and adjusted (aHR 9.71, 95% CI 1.73-54.5) regression. There was no statistically significant interaction between SBP and eGFR, no associations of SBP with haemorrhagic or thromboembolic events.

CONCLUSIONS

In people with AF, SBP <110 mmHg was independently predictive of all-cause death, with no significant interaction between SBP and renal (dys)function. This may reflect general poor health and/or excessive antihypertensive therapy, which should be avoided.

Usefulness of the C2HEST score to predict new onset atrial fibrillation. A systematic review and meta-analysis on >11 million subjects

BACKGROUND

The incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is increasing in the last decades. NOAF is associated with worse long-term prognosis. The C2HEST score has been recently proposed to stratify the risk of NOAF. Pooled data on the performance of the C2HEST score are lacking.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies reporting data on NOAF according to the C2HEST score. We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Google scholar databases without time restrictions until June 2023 according to PRISMA guidelines. Meta-analysis of the area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) and a sensitivity analysis according to setting of care and countries were performed.

RESULTS

Of 360 studies, 17 were included in the analysis accounting for 11,067,496 subjects/patients with 307,869 NOAF cases. Mean age ranged from 41.3 to 71.2 years. The prevalence of women ranged from 10.6 to 54.75%. The pooled analysis gave an AUC of .70 (95% CI .66-.74). A subgroup analysis on studies from general population/primary care yielded an AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.64-0.75). In the subgroup of patients with cardiovascular disease, the AUC was .71 (.69-.79). The C2HEST score performed similarly in Asian (AUC .72, 95% CI .68-.77), and in Western patients (AUC .68, 95% CI .62-.75). The best performance was observed in studies with a mean age <50 years (n = 3,144,704 with 25,538 NOAF, AUC .78, 95% CI .76-.79).

CONCLUSION

The C2HEST score may be used to predict NOAF in primary and secondary prevention patients, and in patients across different countries. Early detection of NOAF may aid prompt initiation of management and follow-up, potentially leading to a reduction of AF-related complications.

Efficacy of the ABC Pathway for Integrated Care Across Phenotypes of Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: A Latent-Class Analysis Report from the mAFA-II Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

The mAFA-II cluster randomised trial demonstrated the efficacy of a mobile health-technology implemented 'Atrial fibrillation Better Care' (ABC) pathway (mAFA intervention) for integrated care management of patients with AF.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of mAFA intervention across phenotypes of patients with AF.

DESIGN

We conducted a latent-class analysis (LCA) according to eight variables, including age and comorbidities.

PARTICIPANTS

The mAFA-II trial enrolled AF patients between June 2018 and August 2019 across 40 centres in China.

MAIN MEASURES

We evaluated the interaction between the groups identified through LCA, and the effect of mAFA intervention on the risk of the primary composite outcome of all-cause death, stroke/thromboembolism, and rehospitalisations. Results were expressed as adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

KEY RESULTS

Across the 3324 patients included in the trial (mean age 68.5 ± 13.9 years, 38.0% females), we identified three phenotypes: (i) low morbidity phenotype (n = 1234, 37.1%), (ii) hypertensive/coronary artery disease (CAD) phenotype (n = 1534, 46.2%), and (iii) mixed morbidity phenotype (n = 556, 16.7%). The effect of mAFA intervention on the primary outcome appeared greater in the low morbidity phenotype (aHR, 0.08; 95% CI 0.02-0.33) compared to the hypertensive/CAD (aHR, 0.30; 95% CI 0.16-0.58) and the mixed morbidity phenotype (aHR, 0.68; 95% CI 0.37-1.24), with a statistically significant interaction (pint = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, the ABC pathway improved prognosis across different comorbidity phenotypes, although with some differences in the magnitude of risk reduction. Patients with more complex phenotypes require further efforts to improve their outcomes, considering their high baseline risk of adverse events.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) Registration number: ChiCTR-OOC-17014138.

On approximate equality of Z-values of the statistical tests for win statistics (win ratio, win odds, and net benefit)

Dong et al. (2023) showed that the win statistics (win ratio, win odds, and net benefit) can complement each another to demonstrate the strength of treatment effects in randomized trials with prioritized multiple outcomes. This result was built on the connections among the point and variance estimates of the three statistics, and the approximate equality of Z-values in their statistical tests. However, the impact of this approximation was not clear. This Discussion refines this approach and shows that the approximate equality of Z-values for the win statistics holds more generally. Thus, the three win statistics consistently yield closely similar p-values. In addition, our simulations show an example that the naive approach without adjustment for censoring bias may produce a completely opposite conclusion from the true results, whereas the IPCW (inverse-probability-of-censoring weighting) approach can effectively adjust the win statistics to the corresponding true values (i.e. IPCW-adjusted win statistics are unbiased estimators of treatment effect).

Global voices on atrial fibrillation care in China

An aging population, coupled with the high prevalence of physical inactivity, obesity, dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus, has led to a significant increase in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in China. Managing clinical complexity of AF patients poses significant challenges. Current guidelines advocate for holistic or integrated management using the ABC (Atrial fibrillation Better Care) pathway. Compliance with the ABC pathway has demonstrated promising benefit in improving clinical outcomes. The mAFA II trial (the mHealth technology for improved screening, patient involvement, and optimized integrated care in Atrial Fibrillation) explores the potential of a mobile health technology-supported integrated care approach in reducing the risks of rehospitalization and clinical adverse events. However, disparities persist between urban and rural areas, with the likelihood of rural older individuals by themselves using intelligent devices being extremely low. Therefore, the application prospects of the mobile AF application strategy in rural areas are greatly limited. The ongoing MIRACLE-AF trial (A Novel Model of Integrated Care of Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation in Rural China) aims to address unique healthcare challenges faced by rural older patients with AF through a novel integrated care model, which is led by village doctors and supported by a digital health platform. In conclusion, innovative integrated care approaches using digital technologies offer promising solutions to enhance AF care across diverse settings in China, catering to the needs of both urban and rural populations.

Residual Risks of Thrombotic Complications in Anticoagulated Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: A Cluster Analysis Approach from the GLORIA-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

Assessment of residual thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) prescribed oral anticoagulants (OACs) remains unexplored. We performed hierarchical cluster analysis to identify phenotypic profiles of these patients and their risks of residual thromboembolic events.

METHODS

We utilised data from non-valvular AF patients on OACs, as documented in phases II and III of the GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-thrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) registry. We performed a hierarchical cluster analysis to identify distinct phenotypic profiles. We compared the incidence and risks of thromboembolic events (composite of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack, or systemic embolism) and related outcomes (major bleeding and all-cause death) across the profiles. We determined the optimal number of profiles through visual inspection of the generated dendrograms.

RESULTS

We included 22,410 patients (mean age 70 ± 8 years; 56% male), from which five phenotypes were identified: profile 1 ("uncontrolled hypertension"), profile 2 ("young with a history of coronary artery disease"), profile 3 ("young and obese"), profile 4 ("frailty"), and profile 5 ("non-paroxysmal AF with tachycardia"). Profile 4 was associated with the highest rates of thromboembolic events (1.66/100 person-years [95% confidence interval, 1.46-1.89]), major bleeding (1.92/100 person-years [1.70-2.16]), and death (6.02/100 person-years [5.62-6.43]). Profile 3 was associated with the lowest risk across all measured outcomes (thromboembolic events, 0.64 events/100 person-years [0.48-0.82]; major bleeding, 0.83 events/100 person-years [0.65-1.04]; and death, 1.44 events/100 person-years [1.21-1.71]). Profile 1 had a moderate thromboembolic event rate (1.04/100 person-years [0.91-1.08]), while profiles 2 and 5 showed lower rates.

CONCLUSIONS

The phenotypic profiles of patients with AF prescribed OACs identified using hierarchical cluster analysis are associated with distinct residual thromboembolic risks and related outcomes. This approach has the potential to enhance patient risk-stratification and holistic approaches to management.

Components of the Atrial fibrillation Better Care pathway for holistic care of patients with atrial fibrillation: a win ratio analysis from the COOL-AF registry

AIMS

Compliance with integrated care based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway has been associated with improved clinical outcomes. The primary objective of this study was to compare clinical outcomes of AF patients according to the compliant status of each component of the ABC pathway in a hierarchical win ratio approach.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied AF patients in the COOL-AF registry. Each patient was followed every 6 months until 3 years. A win ratio analysis was performed, as not all clinical outcomes are equivalent. The hierarchical outcomes were (1) all-cause death, (2) intracranial haemorrhage (ICH), (3) ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism, (4) non-ICH major bleedings, and (5) acute myocardial infarction or heart failure. We also assessed win ratio and win proportion variance over the follow-up time, and the variations over time. A total of 3405 patients (mean age 67.8 ± 11.3; 41.8% female) were studied. Win ratio of ABC-compliant (all three components) vs. ABC-not-compliant was 1.57 (1.35-1.83), P < 0.001. When adding time in therapeutic range (TTR) data for compliant criteria for those who were on warfarin, the win ratio increased to 2.28 (1.89-2.75), P < 0.001. The A-compliant group (plus TTR data), B-compliant, and C-compliant had the win ratio of 1.81 (1.51-2.12), 1.82 (1.53-2.16), and 1.39 (1.18-1.62), all P < 0.001, compared to not compliant group.

CONCLUSION

Management of AF patients according to each component of the ABC pathway is associated with better clinical outcomes compared to those non-compliant to ABC pathway. This finding underscores the importance of a holistic management approach strategy for AF patients.

Practical approach for atrial cardiomyopathy characterization in patients with atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) causes progressive structural and electrical changes in the atria that can be summarized within the general concept of atrial remodeling. In parallel, other clinical characteristics and comorbidities may also affect atrial tissue properties and make the atria susceptible to AF initiation and its long-term persistence. Overall, pathological atrial changes lead to atrial cardiomyopathy with important implications for rhythm control. Although there is general agreement on the role of the atrial substrate for successful rhythm control in AF, the current classification oversimplifies clinical management. The classification uses temporal criteria and does not establish a well-defined strategy to characterize the individual-specific degree of atrial cardiomyopathy. Better characterization of atrial cardiomyopathy may improve the decision-making process on the most appropriate therapeutic option. We review current scientific evidence and propose a practical characterization of the atrial substrate based on 3 evaluation steps starting with a clinical evaluation (step 1), then assess outpatient complementary data (step 2), and finally include information from advanced diagnostic tools (step 3). The information from each of the steps or a combination thereof can be used to classify AF patients in 4 stages of atrial cardiomyopathy, which we also use to estimate the success on effective rhythm control.

Clinical outcomes of patients with atrial fibrillation in relation to multimorbidity status changes over time and the impact of ABC pathway compliance: a nationwide cohort study

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly have associated comorbidities. The primary aim was to determine the effect of increasing numbers of comorbidity on clinical outcomes. The secondary aims were (1) the association of comorbidities with oral anticoagulants (OAC) discontinuation, and quality control, (2) the impact of holistic care based on the ABC pathway on clinical outcomes. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, and heart failure. A total of 3405 patients were enrolled; mean age 67.8 ± 11.3 years, 41.8% female. Compared to low comorbidity group [n = 897 (26.3%)], hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the composite outcome in the high [n = 929 (27.3%)] and moderate comorbidity [n = 1579 (46.4%)] groups were 5.40 (4.20-6.94) and 2.54 (1.97-3.27), respectively. ABC pathway adherence was associated with reduction of the composite outcome overall (HR 0.63; 0.54-0.74). High comorbidity adversely impacted on OAC use, OAC discontinuation, and quality of warfarin control. If quality of anticoagulation control was included as part of the ABC pathway adherence, the reduction in composite outcome risk was greater (HR 0.46; 0.36-0.58). During 3-year follow-up, 33.9% changed from low- to the moderate-high comorbidity groups and 22.3% changed from moderate- to the high comorbidity group. In conclusion, comorbidity burden in AF patients is an important determinant of clinical outcomes, and changed over time. OAC use, OAC discontinuation, and quality of OAC control were impacted by comorbidity burden. ABC pathway adherence was associated with a reduced risk of adverse clinical outcomes.

Atrial fibrillation accelerates functional decline in older adults: a 15-year follow-up population-based study

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has been associated with functional impairment. However, the role exerted by AF on the long-term trajectories of functional mobility remains to be elucidated. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of AF on functional mobility by tracing walking speed (WS) trajectories over 15 years of follow-up in a population-based cohort of individuals aged 60+ years.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This population-based cohort study included 3141 community-dwelling participants (mean age 73.7 years; 63.6% women) from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen, who were regularly examined from 2001-2004 to 2016-2019. Functional mobility was assessed by measuring WS in a standardized way. The association between AF and WS trajectories was assessed by multivariable joint models accounting for the longitudinal dropouts due to death. Stratified analyses by demographic and clinical factors were performed. The effect-modifying role of oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC), incident heart failure (HF), and incident stroke was finally investigated. At baseline, 285 (9.1%) participants were ascertained to have AF. A faster annual WS decline was observed in persons with AF than in non-AF peers (adjusted β coefficient per year = -0.011, 95% confidence interval: -0.016 to -0.005). Incident HF and stroke were associated with greater WS decline in participants with AF. OAC use was not associated with a slower functional decline.

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation is associated with a faster physical function decline in older individuals. Incident HF and stroke possibly accelerate WS decline over time in AF participants.

Oral anticoagulants and cognitive impairment in patients with atrial fibrillation: A systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis

BACKGROUND

This systematic review assesses the likelihood of developing dementia and cognitive impairment in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) receiving non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) as opposed to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs).

METHODS

We performed a systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis (TSA), which encompassed both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. The objective was to assess the impact of NOACs and VKAs on the incidence of dementia in individuals diagnosed with AF.

RESULTS

Out of 1914 studies that were screened, 31 studies were included in the final analysis, which consisted of nine RCTs or their subsequent post-hoc analyses, in addition to 22 observational studies. The meta-analysis shows that NOACs were associated with a decreased probability of developing dementia of any cause [Rate Ratio (RR): 0.88; 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI): 0.82-0.94], especially in patients below the age of 75 (RR: 0.78; 95 % CI: 0.73-0.84). Consistent patterns were observed across all forms of dementia and cognitive function decline. The overall evidence indicates notable variability in the outcome with a moderate-to-low degree of certainty. The TSA suggests that the total sample size of the included trials (155,647 patients) was significantly smaller than the required information size of 784,692 patients to discern the true effect of NOAC versus VKA in terms of reducing dementia risk.

CONCLUSION

NOACs may reduce the likelihood of developing dementia in patients with AF, particularly in those under the age of 75. This review highlights the urgent necessity for thorough research to determine the efficacy of NOACs in safeguarding cognitive health.

Ischaemic stroke in women with atrial fibrillation: temporal trends and clinical implications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Female sex has been linked with higher risk of ischaemic stroke (IS) in atrial fibrillation (AF), but no prior study has examined temporal trends in the IS risk associated with female sex.

METHODS

The registry-linkage Finnish AntiCoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation (FinACAF) study included all patients with AF in Finland from 2007 to 2018. Ischaemic stroke rates and rate ratios were computed.

RESULTS

Overall, 229 565 patients with new-onset AF were identified (50.0% women; mean age 72.7 years). The crude IS incidence was higher in women than in men across the entire study period (21.1 vs. 14.9 events per 1000 patient-years, P < .001), and the incidence decreased both in men and women. In 2007-08, female sex was independently associated with a 20%-30% higher IS rate in the adjusted analyses, but this association attenuated and became statistically non-significant by the end of the observation period. Similar trends were observed when time with and without oral anticoagulant (OAC) treatment was analysed, as well as when only time without OAC use was considered. The decrease in IS rate was driven by patients with high IS risk, whereas in patients with low or moderate IS risk, female sex was not associated with a higher IS rate.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between female sex and IS rate has decreased and become non-significant over the course of the study period from 2007 to 2018, suggesting that female sex could be omitted as a factor when estimating expected IS rates and the need for OAC therapy in patients with AF.

Association between types of antihypertensive medication and the risk of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population study

Background

Patients with hypertension are at a high risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Recent research has indicated the varying effects of antihypertensive medications on developing AF.

Objectives

We investigated the relationship between different types of antihypertensive medications and the risk of AF occurrence.

Methods

We analyzed data from 113,582 subjects with national health screening examinations between 2009 and 2014. The study population was categorized according to antihypertensive medication type. The primary outcome was the incidence of AF.

Results

Among 113,582 subjects (mean age 59.4 ± 12.0 years, 46.7% men), 93,557 received monotherapy [angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi), beta-blockers, calcium channel blockers (CCB), or diuretics], while 34,590 received combination therapy (ARB/beta-blockers, ARB/CCB, ARB/diuretics, or ARB/CCB/diuretics). During a mean follow-up duration of 7.6 ± 2.1 years, 3.9% of patients were newly diagnosed with AF. In monotherapy, ACEi and CCB had similar AF risks as ARB, while beta-blockers and diuretics showed higher AF risks than ARB. In combination therapy, ARBs/CCBs and ARBs/diuretics had the lowest AF risk, whereas ARBs/beta-blockers had the highest compared to ARB/CCB. Among the specific ARBs, the AF risk varied insignificantly, except for telmisartan and candesartan.

Conclusions

In hypertensive patients receiving monotherapy, ACEi and CCB showed a similar AF risk as ARBs, while beta-blockers and diuretics were associated with a higher risk. Among those receiving combination therapy, ARBs/CCBs and ARBs/diuretics had the lowest AF risk, whereas ARBs/beta-blockers showed the highest risk. Various types of ARBs have different associations with AF risk.

Fibrinaloid Microclots and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a comorbidity of a variety of other chronic, inflammatory diseases for which fibrinaloid microclots are a known accompaniment (and in some cases, a cause, with a mechanistic basis). Clots are, of course, a well-known consequence of atrial fibrillation. We here ask the question whether the fibrinaloid microclots seen in plasma or serum may in fact also be a cause of (or contributor to) the development of AF. We consider known 'risk factors' for AF, and in particular, exogenous stimuli such as infection and air pollution by particulates, both of which are known to cause AF. The external accompaniments of both bacterial (lipopolysaccharide and lipoteichoic acids) and viral (SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) infections are known to stimulate fibrinaloid microclots when added in vitro, and fibrinaloid microclots, as with other amyloid proteins, can be cytotoxic, both by inducing hypoxia/reperfusion and by other means. Strokes and thromboembolisms are also common consequences of AF. Consequently, taking a systems approach, we review the considerable evidence in detail, which leads us to suggest that it is likely that microclots may well have an aetiological role in the development of AF. This has significant mechanistic and therapeutic implications.

Adherence to an integrated care pathway for stroke is associated with lower risk of major cardiovascular events: A report from the Athens Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND

A recent European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Council on Stroke position paper proposed a holistic integrated care management approach for stroke patients, to improve cardiovascular outcomes. The impact of implementing the ABCstroke pathway 'concept' on clinical outcomes has never been estimated before. In order to investigate the potential effect of ABCstroke pathway adherence to cardiovascular outcomes post stroke, we performed a post-hoc analysis from the Athens Stroke Registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This analysis was performed in the Athens Stroke Registry, which includes all consecutive patients with acute first-ever ischemic stroke. The Kaplan-Meier product limit was used to estimate the cumulative hazard of each outcome according to adherence with the ABCstroke pathway. We studied 2513 patients [median (IQR) age 71 (62-78) years; 37.7 % female] with ischemic stroke with median follow-up period of 30 (6-75) months. Full adherence to the ABC pathway was identified in 156 (6.2 %) of the patients, while 192 (7.6 %) did not adhere to any of the therapeutic pillars of ABCstroke. Full adherence to ABC treatment pathway was associated with significant reduction of stroke recurrence, compared to patients with no or partial adherence (aHR: 0.61; 95 %CI: 0.37-0.99), as well as a lower risk of MACE (HR: 0.59; 0.39-0.88) and death (aHR: 0.22; 95 %CI: 0.12-0.41).

CONCLUSION

Full adherence to the ABCstroke pathway based on the current guidelines was evident in only 6.2 % of our ischaemic stroke cohort but was independently associated with lower risks of stroke recurrence, major cardiovascular events and mortality. This highlights a potential opportunity to improve clinical outcomes post-stroke with a holistic or integrated care management approach.

The Role of Risk Factor Modification in Atrial Fibrillation: Outcomes in Catheter Ablation

The management of atrial fibrillation has evolved significantly over the last ten years with advancements in medical and catheter ablation approaches, but these have limited success when used in isolation. Trends in the management of lifestyle modifications have surfaced, as it is now better understood that modifiable risk factors contribute significantly to the development and propagation of atrial fibrillation, as well as failure of treatment. International guidelines have integrated the role of lifestyle modification in the management of atrial fibrillation and specifically in the persistent form of atrial fibrillation; these guidelines must be addressed prior to considering catheter ablation. Effective risk factor modification is critical in increasing the likelihood of an arrhythmia-free survival following catheter ablation.

Combination of early rhythm control and healthy lifestyle on the risk of stroke in elderly patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Background

The impact of early rhythm control (ERC) combined with healthy lifestyle (HLS) on the risk of ischemic stroke in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unaddressed.

Objective

To evaluate the impact of combined ERC and HLS on the risk of stroke in elderly patients with new-onset AF.

Methods

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we included patients aged ≥75 years with new-onset AF from January 2009 to December 2016 (n = 41,315). Patients who received rhythm control therapy within 2 years of AF diagnosis were defined as the ERC group. Non-smoking, non-to-mild alcohol consumption (<105 g/week), and regular exercise were defined as HLS. Subjects were categorized into four groups: group 1 (without ERC and HLS, n = 25,093), 2 (HLS alone, n = 8,351), 3 (ERC alone, n = 5,565), and 4 (both ERC and HLS, n = 2,306). We assessed the incidence of ischemic stroke as the primary outcome, along with admissions for heart failure, all-cause death, and the composite of ischemic stroke, admission for heart failure, and all-cause death.

Results

Median follow-up duration of the study cohort was 3.4 years. After adjusting for multiple variables, groups 2 and 3 were associated with a lower stroke risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.867, 0.794-0.948 and 0.713, 0.637-0.798, respectively) than that of group 1. Compared to Group 1, group 4 showed the lowest stroke risk (aHR: 0.694, 95% CI: 0.586-0.822) among all groups, followed by group 3 (0.713, 0.637-0.798) and group 2 (0.857, 0.794-0.948), respectively. Group 4 was associated with the lowest risk of all-cause death (aHR: 0.680, 95% CI: 0.613-0.754) and the composite outcome (aHR: 0.708, 95% CI: 0.649-0.772).

Conclusion

ERC and HLS were associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke in elderly patients with new-onset AF. Concurrently implementing ERC and maintaining HLS was associated with the lowest risk of death and the composite outcome, with a modest synergistic effect on stroke prevention.

The Report of Community-Based and Government-Endorsed Screening Program of Atrial Fibrillation in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

 Although international guidelines recommended opportunistic screening for atrial fibrillation (AF), the community-based AF screening program incorporated into the government-endorsed health care system is rarely reported in Asian countries.

OBJECTIVES

 We aimed to test the feasibility of adding AF screening into the preexistent adult health check program and report the AF detection rate and percentages of OAC prescriptions before and after AF screening with the involvement of public health care systems.

METHODS

 We performed this program in three counties (Chiayi county, Keelung City, and Yilan county) in Taiwan which have their own official preexistent adult health check programs conducted by public health bureaus for years. However, electrocardiography (ECG) was not included in these programs before. We cooperated with the public health bureaus of the three counties and performed single-lead 30-second ECG recording for every participant.

RESULTS

 From January to December 2020, AF screening was performed in 199 sessions with 23,572 participants. AF was detected in 278 subjects with a detection rate of 1.19% (age ≥65 years: 2.39%; ≥75 years: 3.73%). The mean CHA2DS2-VASc score of these 278 subjects was 2.36, with 91% of them had a score ≥1 (males) or ≥2 (females). The number needed to screen was 42 and 27 for subjects aged ≥65 and ≥75 years, respectively. The prescription rate of OACs significantly increased from 11.4 to 60.6% in Chiayi county and from 15.8 to 50.0% in Keelung City after screening (both p-values <0.001).

CONCLUSION

 This community-based and government-endorsed AF screening project in Taiwan demonstrated that incorporation of AF screening into the preexistent adult health check programs through co-operations with the government was feasible. Actions to detect AF, good education, and well-organized transferring plan after AF being detected with the involvement of public health care systems could result in a substantial increase in the prescription rate of OACs.

Challenging anticoagulation decisions in atrial fibrillation: a narrative review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common and warrants consideration of oral anticoagulant (OAC) medication. Usually, the decision is straightforward, following the pathway outlined in the European Society of Cardiology's guideline; however, certain situations fall outside of this evidence base - such as a diagnosis of subclinical AF made via implanted devices or wearable electrocardiogram monitors, or alternatively diagnosis of 'secondary AF' following a major stressor. Subclinical AF is associated with stroke, though not to the extent of clinical AF, and the benefits of anticoagulation appear to be lower. Longer episodes are more clinically meaningful, and recent randomised controlled trials have demonstrated that some patients derive benefit from OAC. Similarly, when AF is triggered by sepsis or non-cardiac surgery, specific evidence supporting OAC initiation is lacking and clinician behaviour is variable. Observational data demonstrate poorer outcomes in these patients, implying that the perception of a transient, reversible phenomenon may not be correct. Contrastingly, cardiac surgery very frequently induces AF, and the benefits of anticoagulation rarely outweigh the risks of bleeding. Following ischaemic stroke, recent evidence suggests that early (re-)initiation of OAC should be considered as this does not increase the risk of haemorrhagic transformation as previously hypothesised. This narrative review summarises the available literature and outlines, where possible, practical advice for clinicians facing these common clinical dilemmas.

Non-vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant, Warfarin, and ABC Pathway Adherence on Hierarchical Outcomes: Win Ratio Analysis of the COOL-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

 Atrial fibrillation (AF) Better Care (ABC) pathway adherence is associated with improved outcomes. Clinical trials have shown that non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are as least as effective as warfarin for stroke prevention in AF patients. The Win Ratio method, analyzing hierarchical composite outcomes considering event timing and severity, has limited data on its use in Asians.

OBJECTIVES

 We aim to apply Win Ratio in a registry to access the comparative effectiveness of NOACs versus warfarin and ABC adherence versus nonadherence in Asian patients with AF.

METHODS

 Our study included nonvalvular AF patients from the nationwide prospective COOL-AF registry in Thailand. The NOAC-treated group was compared with the warfarin-treated group using the Win Ratio, with the following order: all-cause death, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism, non-ICH major bleeding, and myocardial infarction or heart failure. ABC pathway adherence versus nonadherence was also compared. A Win Ratio greater than 1.00 indicating a better outcome.

RESULTS

 The analysis included 2,568 patients, with 228 in the NOAC group and 2,340 in the warfarin group. The NOAC group had more wins than the warfarin group, with an unmatched Win Ratio of 1.64 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22-2.20; p < 0.001). When compared with nonadherence, ABC pathway adherence was associated with a Win Ratio of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.33-1.85; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

 This Win Ratio analysis demonstrates the significant benefits of NOACs over warfarin and ABC pathway adherence over nonadherence in reducing the composite outcome in patients with AF.