Machine learning in asthma research: moving toward a more integrated approach

Component-specific clusters for diagnosis and prediction of allergic airway diseases

BACKGROUND

Previous studies which applied machine learning on multiplex component-resolved diagnostics arrays identified clusters of allergen components which are biologically plausible and reflect the sources of allergenic proteins and their structural homogeneity. Sensitization to different clusters is associated with different clinical outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether within different allergen component sensitization clusters, the internal within-cluster sensitization structure, including the number of c-sIgE responses and their distinct patterns, alters the risk of clinical expression of symptoms.

METHODS

In a previous analysis in a population-based birth cohort, by clustering component-specific (c-s)IgEs, we derived allergen component clusters from infancy to adolescence. In the current analysis, we defined each subject's within-cluster sensitization structure which captured the total number of c-sIgE responses in each cluster and intra-cluster sensitization patterns. Associations between within-cluster sensitization patterns and clinical outcomes (asthma and rhinitis) in early-school age and adolescence were examined using logistic regression and binomial generalized additive models.

RESULTS

Intra-cluster sensitization patterns revealed specific associations with asthma and rhinitis (both contemporaneously and longitudinally) that were previously unseen using binary sensitization to clusters. A more detailed description of the subjects' within-cluster c-sIgE responses in terms of the number of positive c-sIgEs and unique sensitization patterns added new information relevant to allergic diseases, both for diagnostic and prognostic purposes. For example, the increase in the number of within-cluster positive c-sIgEs at age 5 years was correlated with the increase in prevalence of asthma at ages 5 and 16 years, with the correlations being stronger in the prediction context (e.g. for the largest 'Broad' component cluster, contemporaneous: r = .28, p = .012; r = .22, p = .043; longitudinal: r = .36, p = .004; r = .27, p = .04).

CONCLUSION

Among sensitized individuals, a more detailed description of within-cluster c-sIgE responses in terms of the number of positive c-sIgE responses and distinct sensitization patterns, adds potentially important information relevant to allergic diseases.

Machine learning models with time-series clinical features to predict radiographic progression in patients with ankylosing spondylitis

Objective

Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is chronic inflammatory arthritis causing structural damage and radiographic progression to the spine due to repeated and continuous inflammation over a long period. This study establishes the application of machine learning models to predict radiographic progression in AS patients using time-series data from electronic medical records (EMRs).

Methods

EMR data, including baseline characteristics, laboratory findings, drug administration, and modified Stoke AS Spine Score (mSASSS), were collected from 1,123 AS patients between January 2001 and December 2018 at a single center at the time of first (T1), second (T2), and third (T3) visits. The radiographic progression of the (n+1)th visit (Pn+1=(mSASSSn+1-mSASSSn)/(Tn+1-Tn)≥1 unit per year) was predicted using follow-up visit datasets from T1 to Tn. We used three machine learning methods (logistic regression with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting algorithms) with three-fold cross-validation.

Results

The random forest model using the T1 EMR dataset best predicted the radiographic progression P2 among the machine learning models tested with a mean accuracy and area under the curves of 73.73% and 0.79, respectively. Among the T1 variables, the most important variables for predicting radiographic progression were in the order of total mSASSS, age, and alkaline phosphatase.

Conclusion

Prognosis predictive models using time-series data showed reasonable performance with clinical features of the first visit dataset when predicting radiographic progression.

Understanding the heterogeneity of childhood allergic sensitization and its relationship with asthma

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review the current state of knowledge on the relationship between allergic sensitization and asthma; to lay out a roadmap for the development of IgE biomarkers that differentiate, in individual sensitized patients, whether their sensitization is important for current or future asthma symptoms, or has little or no relevance to the disease.

RECENT FINDINGS

The evidence on the relationship between sensitization and asthma suggests that some subtypes of allergic sensitization are not associated with asthma symptoms, whilst others are pathologic. Interaction patterns between IgE antibodies to individual allergenic molecules on component-resolved diagnostics (CRD) multiplex arrays might be hallmarks by which different sensitization subtypes relevant to asthma can be distinguished. These different subtypes of sensitization are associated amongst sensitized individuals at all ages, with different clinical presentations (no disease, asthma as a single disease, and allergic multimorbidity); amongst sensitized preschool children with and without lower airway symptoms, with different risk of subsequent asthma development; and amongst sensitized patients with asthma, with differing levels of asthma severity.

SUMMARY

The use of machine learning-based methodologies on complex CRD data can help us to design better diagnostic tools to help practising physicians differentiate between benign and clinically important sensitization.

Understanding progression from pre-school wheezing to school-age asthma: Can modern data approaches help?

Preschool wheezing and childhood asthma create a heavy disease burden which is only exacerbated by the complexity of the conditions. Preschool wheezing exhibits both "curricular" and "aetiological" heterogeneity: that is, heterogeneity across patients both in the time-course of its development and in its underpinning pathological mechanisms. Since these are not fully understood, but clinical presentations across patients may nonetheless be similar, current diagnostic labels are imprecise-not mapping cleanly onto underlying disease mechanisms-and prognoses uncertain. These uncertainties also make a identifying new targets for therapeutic intervention difficult. In the past few decades, carefully designed birth cohort studies have collected "big data" on a large scale, incorporating not only a wealth of longitudinal clinical data, but also detailed information from modalities as varied as imaging, multiomics, and blood biomarkers. The profusion of big data has seen the proliferation of what we term "modern data approaches" (MDAs)-grouping together machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data science-to make sense and make use of this data. In this review, we survey applications of MDAs (with an emphasis on machine learning) in childhood wheeze and asthma, highlighting the extent of their successes in providing tools for prognosis, unpicking the curricular heterogeneity of these conditions, clarifying the limitations of current diagnostic criteria, and indicating directions of research for uncovering the etiology of the diseases underlying these conditions. Specifically, we focus on the trajectories of childhood wheeze phenotypes. Further, we provide an explainer of the nature and potential use of MDAs and emphasize the scope of what we can hope to achieve with them.

Current state and prospects of artificial intelligence in allergy

The field of medicine is witnessing an exponential growth of interest in artificial intelligence (AI), which enables new research questions and the analysis of larger and new types of data. Nevertheless, applications that go beyond proof of concepts and deliver clinical value remain rare, especially in the field of allergy. This narrative review provides a fundamental understanding of the core concepts of AI and critically discusses its limitations and open challenges, such as data availability and bias, along with potential directions to surmount them. We provide a conceptual framework to structure AI applications within this field and discuss forefront case examples. Most of these applications of AI and machine learning in allergy concern supervised learning and unsupervised clustering, with a strong emphasis on diagnosis and subtyping. A perspective is shared on guidelines for good AI practice to guide readers in applying it effectively and safely, along with prospects of field advancement and initiatives to increase clinical impact. We anticipate that AI can further deepen our knowledge of disease mechanisms and contribute to precision medicine in allergy.

Phenotype and endotype based treatment of preschool wheeze

INTRODUCTION

Preschool wheeze (PSW) is a significant public health issue, with a high presentation rate to emergency departments, recurrent symptoms, and severe exacerbations. A heterogenous condition, PSW comprises several phenotypes that may relate to a range of pathobiological mechanisms. However, treating PSW remains largely generalized to inhaled corticosteroids and a short acting beta agonist, guided by symptom-based labels that often do not reflect underlying pathways of disease.

AREAS COVERED

We review the observable features and characteristics used to ascribe phenotypes in children with PSW and available pathobiological evidence to identify possible endotypes. These are considered in the context of treatment options and future research directions. The role of machine learning (ML) and modern analytical techniques to identify patterns of disease that distinguish phenotypes is also explored.

EXPERT OPINION

Distinct clusters (phenotypes) of severe PSW are characterized by different underlying mechanisms, some shared and some unique. ML-based methodologies applied to clinical, biomarker, and environmental data can help design tools to differentiate children with PSW that continues into adulthood, from those in whom wheezing resolves, identifying mechanisms underpinning persistence and resolution. This may help identify novel therapeutic targets, inform mechanistic studies, and serve as a foundation for stratification in future interventional therapeutic trials.

A scoping review of asthma and machine learning

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to determine the extent of machine learning (ML) application in asthma research and to identify research gaps while mapping the existing literature.

DATA SOURCES

We conducted a scoping review. PubMed, ProQuest, and Embase Scopus databases were searched with an end date of September 18, 2020.

STUDY SELECTION

DistillerSR was used for data management. Inclusion criteria were an asthma focus, human participants, ML techniques, and written in English. Exclusion criteria were abstract only, simulation-based, not human based, or were reviews or commentaries. Descriptive statistics were presented.

RESULTS

A total of 6,317 potential articles were found. After removing duplicates, and reviewing the titles and abstracts, 102 articles were included for the full text analysis. Asthma episode prediction (24.5%), asthma phenotype classification (16.7%), and genetic profiling of asthma (12.7%) were the top three study topics. Cohort (52.9%), cross-sectional (20.6%), and case-control studies (11.8%) were the study designs most frequently used. Regarding the ML techniques, 34.3% of the studies used more than one technique. Neural networks, clustering, and random forests were the most common ML techniques used where they were used in 20.6%, 18.6%, and 17.6% of studies, respectively. Very few studies considered location of residence (i.e. urban or rural status).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of ML in asthma studies has been increasing with most of this focused on the three major topics (>50%). Future research using ML could focus on gaps such as a broader range of study topics and focus on its use in additional populations (e.g. location of residence).

Supplemental data for this article is available online at http://dx.doi.org/ .

Severe asthma and personalized approach in the choice of biologic

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Severe asthma requires intensive pharmacological treatment to achieve disease control. Oral corticosteroids are effective, but their use is burdened with important side effects. Biologics targeting the specific inflammatory pathways underpinning the disease have been shown to be effective but not all patients respond equally well. As we treat more patients than those who can respond, our inability to predict responders has important healthcare costs considering that biologics are expensive drugs. Thus, a more precise choice of the 'right patients' to be prescribed with the 'right biologics' would be desirable.

RECENT FINDINGS

Machine learning techniques showed that it is possible to increase our ability to predict outcomes in patients treated with biologics. Recently, we identified by cluster analysis four different clusters within the T2 high phenotype with differential benralizumab response. Two of these clusters, characterized by higher levels of inflammatory markers, showed the highest response rate (80-90%).

SUMMARY

Machine learning holds promise for asthma research enabling us to predict which patients will respond to which drug. These techniques can facilitate the diagnostic workflow and increase the chance of selecting the more appropriate treatment option for the individual patient, enhancing patient care and satisfaction.

Data-driven research on eczema: Systematic characterization of the field and recommendations for the future

Background

The past decade has seen a substantial rise in the employment of modern data-driven methods to study atopic dermatitis (AD)/eczema. The objective of this study is to summarise the past and future of data-driven AD research, and identify areas in the field that would benefit from the application of these methods.

Methods

We retrieved the publications that applied multivariate statistics (MS), artificial intelligence (AI, including machine learning-ML), and Bayesian statistics (BS) to AD and eczema research from the SCOPUS database over the last 50 years. We conducted a bibliometric analysis to highlight the publication trends and conceptual knowledge structure of the field, and applied topic modelling to retrieve the key topics in the literature.

Results

Five key themes of data-driven research on AD and eczema were identified: (1) allergic co-morbidities, (2) image analysis and classification, (3) disaggregation, (4) quality of life and treatment response, and (5) risk factors and prevalence. ML&AI methods mapped to studies investigating quality of life, prevalence, risk factors, allergic co-morbidities and disaggregation of AD/eczema, but seldom in studies of therapies. MS was employed evenly between the topics, particularly in studies on risk factors and prevalence. BS was focused on three key topics: treatment, risk factors and allergy. The use of AD or eczema terms was not uniform, with studies applying ML&AI methods using the term eczema more often. Within MS, papers using cluster and factor analysis were often only identified with the term AD. In contrast, those using logistic regression and latent class/transition models were "eczema" papers.

Conclusions

Research areas that could benefit from the application of data-driven methods include the study of the pathogenesis of the condition and related risk factors, its disaggregation into validated subtypes, and personalised severity management and prognosis. We highlight BS as a new and promising approach in AD and eczema research.

Does machine learning have a role in the prediction of asthma in children?

Asthma is the most common chronic lung disease in childhood. There has been a significant worldwide effort to develop tools/methods to identify children's risk for asthma as early as possible for preventative and early management strategies. Unfortunately, most childhood asthma prediction tools using conventional statistical models have modest accuracy, sensitivity, and positive predictive value. Machine learning is an approach that may improve on conventional models by finding patterns and trends from large and complex datasets. Thus far, few studies have utilized machine learning to predict asthma in children. This review aims to critically assess these studies, describe their limitations, and discuss future directions to move from proof-of-concept to clinical application.