THE EVOLVING CONSEQUENCES OF OXYCONTIN REFORMULATION ON DRUG OVERDOSES

The devastating dance between opioid and housing crises: Evidence from OxyContin reformulation

Housing instability and drug misuse are two of the United States' most pressing challenges, each bearing profound health and societal consequences. A crucial yet largely underexplored question is the extent to which the opioid crisis has intensified housing instability. Our study ventures into this relatively uncharted nexus, investigating how the OxyContin reformulation, a pivotal moment in the U.S. opioid epidemic, impacted eviction rates. Employing a dose-response Difference-in-Differences model and analyzing eviction data from 2004 to 2016, we demonstrate that the OxyContin reformulation precipitated a significant increase in evictions, especially in areas with weak eviction protections or limited access to psychiatric treatment resources. Channel analyses reveal increased marijuana initiation and heightened mental and physical health issues following the reformulation. Moreover, the OxyContin reformulation leads to greater reliance on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, signaling an escalated financial strain on governmental resources. Finally, we find evidence of increased marital disruption post-reformulation. Our findings underscore the urgent need for collaborative efforts between public health and housing authorities to address both the opioid and housing crises.

Investigating the complexity of naloxone distribution: Which policies matter for pharmacies and potential recipients

Despite efforts to expand naloxone access, opioid-related overdoses remain a significant contributor to mortality. We study state efforts to expand naloxone distribution through pharmacies by reducing the non-monetary costs to prescribers, dispensers, and/or potential recipients of naloxone. We find that laws that only address liability costs have small and insignificant effects on the volume of naloxone dispensed through pharmacies. In contrast, we estimate large effects of laws removing the need for patients to obtain prescriptions from traditional prescribers (e.g., primary care physicians): laws authorizing non-patient-specific prescription distribution and laws granting pharmacists prescriptive authority. We test whether areas designated as primary care shortage areas-where it would be costlier to obtain a prescription-were disproportionately impacted. Shortage areas experienced sharper growth in pharmacy naloxone dispensing in states adopting prescriptive authority policies. These gains were primarily due to those facing low out-of-pocket costs, suggesting that price barriers also must be addressed to increase naloxone purchases.

The effect of combat deployments on veteran opioid abuse

Grim national statistics about the U.S. opioid crisis are increasingly well known to the American public. Far less well known is that U.S. servicemembers are at ground zero of the epidemic, with veterans facing an overdose death rate of up to twice that of civilians. Exploiting a quasi-experiment in overseas deployment assignment, this study estimates the causal impact of combat exposure among the deployed in the Global War on Terrorism on opioid abuse. We find that exposure to war theater substantially increased the risk of prescription painkiller abuse and illicit heroin use among active duty servicemen. The magnitudes of our estimates imply lower-bound combat exposure-induced healthcare costs of $1.04 billion per year for prescription painkiller abuse and $470 million per year for heroin use.

Suspected North Carolina counterfeit pill-involved deaths, 2020-2022

The NC Office of the Chief Medical Examiner regularly assumes jurisdiction over deaths that are suspicious, unusual or unattended by a medical professional. In recent years, the presence of counterfeit pills is occasionally suggested by investigatory notes and/or scene findings that document reported consumption of prescription drugs, or prescription drugs on scene, which are not reflected in the final autopsy findings after toxicological analysis of the decedent's blood samples. Counterfeit pill consumption is a major public health hazard worthy of attention from the forensic toxicology community. Seventy-five cases from January 2020 to December 2022 serve as a convenience sample of cases where prescription pills including formulations of alprazolam, oxycodone and hydrocodone were specifically referenced during the death scene investigation as recently consumed, yet an unexpected substance was found during toxicological analysis rather than the expected pharmaceutical drug. Of note, novel benzodiazepines detected included flualprazolam, etizolam, clonazolam metabolite (8-aminoclonazolam), bromazolam, flubromazolam and desalkylflurazepam. Decedents' ages ranged from 16 to 69, across 33 different NC counties. Case notes indicated that eight of the decedents obtained pills through direct personal relationships, six decedents obtained them from "the street" and one decedent likely purchased pills online. Pills were largely consumed orally or through insufflation. Seven case reports contained indication that decedents knew or suspected the counterfeit nature of their pills. This study describes the context and characteristics of 2020-2022 suspected counterfeit pill-involved deaths in NC to further the understanding of the forensic science community, law enforcement partners, public health stakeholders and those potentially at risk through the consumption of counterfeit pills.

Prenatal opioid exposure by likelihood of exposure and risk to prenatal development: Medicaid-covered births in Wisconsin, 2010-2019

Prenatal opioid exposure is an established public health problem, in particular among Medicaid-covered births. Yet, existing prevalence rates are plausibly underestimated. We leverage extensive linked longitudinal administrative data for all Medicaid-covered live births in Wisconsin from 2010 to 2019 to estimate a range of prevalence rates using an innovative strategy that jointly accounts for both likelihood of exposure and potential risk to prenatal development. We find that 20.8% of infants may have been prenatally exposed to opioids, with 1.7% diagnosed with neonatal abstinence syndrome and an additional 1.2% having a high combined likelihood of exposure and potential risk to prenatal development, 2.6% a moderate combined likelihood and risk, and 15.3% a low or uncertain combined likelihood and risk. We assess improvements in prevalence estimates based on our nuanced classification relative to those of prior studies. Our strategy could be broadly used to quantify the scope of the opioid crisis for pregnant populations, target interventions, and promote child health and development.

Beyond the brink: Unraveling the opioid crisis and its profound impacts

This paper examines the long-standing and severe public health crisis, the opioid epidemic in the United States, which has been worsening since the mid-1990s. In contrast to previous research, it investigates the broader impacts of this epidemic, particularly on family members and healthcare systems. Using a comprehensive dataset spanning from 1998 to 2010, the study analyzes opioid use at the three-digit ZIP code level, utilizing data from the Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) and individual-level data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) in a two-way fixed effect model. The findings reveal significant negative effects on family caregivers, notably adult children, due to the opioid epidemic. Additionally, opioid exposure is associated with increased healthcare utilization, including home health care and hospital use. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of the multifaceted consequences of the opioid epidemic.

Predicting first use of heroin from prescription opioid use subtypes: Insights from the Monitoring the Future longitudinal panel

BACKGROUND

Only a small proportion of individuals who initiate nonmedical use of prescription opioids (NUPO) transition to heroin, suggesting that more nuanced aspects of NUPO may be better indicators of risk for escalating opioid use trajectories. This study leveraged panel data to identify NUPO typologies based on NUPO characteristics associated with opioid risk trajectories (route of administration, motives) and compared rates of heroin initiation at follow-up across typologies.

METHODS

Latent class analyses were run among respondents with no history of heroin use from the Monitoring the Future Panel Study (base year N=10,408) at modal ages 18, 19/20, 21/22, 23/24, and 25/26. Indicators included oral NUPO, nonoral NUPO, and NUPO motives to experiment, have a good time with friends, get high, escape problems, manage pain, relax, and sleep. Heroin initiation at follow-ups through modal age 29/30 was predicted from class membership.

RESULTS

No NUPO, self-medication (oral, manage pain), recreational (oral, nonoral, experiment, get high, have a good time with friends), and mixed-motive (all routes, all motives) classes emerged. Heroin initiation rates did not differ across no NUPO and self-medication classes; recreational and mixed-motives classes initiated heroin at higher rates than the other classes and comparable rates to each other. Non-NUPO drug use prior to heroin initiation was prevalent in recreational and mixed-motive classes.

CONCLUSIONS

NUPO does not uniformly or uniquely increase risk for heroin initiation. Leveraging more nuanced indicators of risk for heroin use and targeting polysubstance use in addition to opioid-specific programming may enhance the efficacy of public health efforts.

Multinational appraisal of the epidemiological distribution of opioid fatalities: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The global or multinational scientific evidence on the distribution of opioid fatality is unknown. Hence, the current study collects epidemiological characteristics to shed light on the ongoing global or multinational opioid crisis and to promote the development of public health prevention/management strategies.

Method

All documents on PRISMA standards were retrieved via electronic databases.

Results

Among the 47 articles relevant to our studies, which depict a total population size of 10,191 individuals, the prevalence of opioid fatal overdose was 15,022 (14.74%). Among the 47 articles, 14 of them reported the gender of the participants, with 22,125 (15.79%) male individuals and 7,235 (5.17%) female individuals, and the age distribution of the participants that was most affected by the overdose was as follows: 29,272 (31.13%) belonged to the 18-34-year-old age group and 25,316 (26.92%) belonged to the less than 18-year-old age group. Eighteen studies qualified for the meta-analysis of the multinational prevalence of fatal opioid overdose, depicting an overall pooled prevalence estimate of 19.66%, with 95% CIs (0.13-0.29), I2 = 99.76% determined using the random-effects model, and Q statistic of 7198.77 (p < 0.0001). The Egger test models of publication bias revealed an insubstantial level of bias (p = 0.015). The subgroup analysis of the study design (cohort or other) revealed that others have the highest prevalence estimate of 34.37, 95% CIs (0.1600-0.5901), I2 = 97.04%, and a sample size of less than 1,000 shows the highest prevalence of 34.66, 95% CIs (0.2039-0.5234), I2 = 97.82%, compared to that of more than 1,000 with a prevalence of 12.28, 95% CIs (0.0675-0.2131), I2 = 99.85%. The meta-regression analysis revealed that sample size (less-than or greater-than 1,000), (p = 0.0098; R2 = 3.83%) is significantly associated with the observed heterogeneity.

Conclusion

Research-based findings of fatal opioid overdose are grossly lacking in middle- and low-income nations. We established that there is a need for opioid fatality surveillance systems in developing nations.

Growth in Suicide Rates Among Children During the Illicit Opioid Crisis

This article documents child suicide rates from 1980 to 2020 in the United States using the National Vital Statistics System Multiple Cause of Death database. After generally declining for decades, suicide rates among children aged 10-17 accelerated from 2011 to 2018 in an unprecedented rise in both duration and magnitude. I consider the role of the illicit opioid crisis in driving this mental health crisis. In August 2010, an abuse-deterrent version of OxyContin was introduced and the original formulation was removed from the market, leading to a shift to illicit opioids and stimulating growth in illicit opioid markets. Areas more exposed to reformulation-as measured by pre-reformulation rates of OxyContin misuse in the National Survey on Drug Use and Health-were more affected by the transition to illicit opioids and experienced sharper growth in child suicide rates. The evidence suggests that children's illicit opioid use did not increase, implying that the illicit opioid crisis engendered higher suicide propensities by increasing suicidal risk factors for children, such as increasing rates of child neglect and altering household living arrangements. In complementary analyses, I document how living conditions declined for children during this time period.

Cannabinoids for Substance Use Disorder Treatment: What Does the Current Evidence Say?

Background: The prevalence of Substance Use Disorder (SUD) is increasing along with the need to develop approaches to reduce the harm associated with substance use, including investigating alternatives such as cannabinoids, which show promising results, although the current evidence is limited. This scoping review focuses on the limitations and potentials of cannabinoid-based treatments for SUDs. Methods: We examined between-subject randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the use of CBD and THC as pharmacological treatment for SUDs in adults, with the procedures attending the expectations of the Preferred Reporting Items for Scoping reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) for Scoping Reviews guidelines and assessed risk of bias using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool 2. Results: Ten RCTs were included, with six demonstrating low risk of bias, and positive results were found for treating Cannabis Use Disorder, while contradictory results were found for Opioid Use Disorder, and inconclusive results for treating Cocaine Use Disorder. Conclusions: CBD and THC demonstrate potential for treating some SUDs, but evidence is limited. Robust RCTs with larger samples and longer follow-up periods are necessary to assess carefully developed outcomes for different SUD patients. New cannabinoid-based medications and scientific-based policies may advance SUD treatment. A comprehensive approach to treatment and careful methodological choices may benefit patients with SUD.

Early OxyContin Marketing Linked To Long-Term Spread Of Infectious Diseases Associated With Injection Drug Use

The initial marketing of the opioid analgesic OxyContin in 1996 increased fatal drug overdoses over the course of the opioid epidemic in the US. However, the long-term impacts of this marketing on complications of injection drug use, a key feature of the ongoing crisis, are undetermined. This study evaluated the effects of exposure to initial OxyContin marketing on the long-term trajectories of injection drug use-related outcomes in the US. We used a difference-in-differences analysis to compare outcomes in states with high versus low exposure to initial marketing before and after the 2010 reformulation of OxyContin, which facilitated the use of illicit drugs and the spread of infectious disease. Exposure to initial OxyContin marketing statistically significantly increased rates of fatal synthetic opioid-related overdoses; acute hepatitis A, B, and C viral infections; and infective endocarditis-related deaths. The greatest burden of adverse long-term outcomes has been in states that experienced the highest exposure to early OxyContin marketing. Our findings indicate that OxyContin marketing decisions from the mid-1990s increased viral and bacterial complications of injection drug use and illicit opioid-related overdose deaths twenty-five years later.

Understanding the rise in overdose deaths involving opioids and non-opioid prescription drugs in the United States

BACKGROUND

Previous studies demonstrate that the reformulation of OxyContin in the U.S. in 2010 induced substitution to illicit opioids, causing illicit opioid markets to grow disproportionately fast in states more exposed to the reformulation. In this paper, we examine if this shift to the illicit market also led to a rise in polysubstance overdose deaths involving non-opioid prescription drugs, including gabapentinoids and "Z-drugs" and, separately, benzodiazepines.

METHODS

Using a difference-in-differences framework, the relationship between exposure to reformulation and overdose death rates including specific substances was studied in each year from 1999 to 2020 while accounting for fixed differences across states, common nationwide shocks, and state-level differences in pain reliever misuse prior to reformulation. Exposure to reformulation was measured as the pre-reformulation rate of OxyContin misuse.

RESULTS

Exposure to reformulation predicted growth in overdose deaths involving gabapentinoids and Z-drugs. There is less evidence that it predicted growth in overdose deaths involving benzodiazepines. However, for all substances, there is strong evidence that pre-reformulation OxyContin misuse rates predicted post-reformulation growth in overdose deaths concurrently involving synthetic opioids.

DISCUSSION

The opioid crisis has changed in radical ways. This study links a major supply-side intervention to the increase in polysubstance overdose deaths involving non-opioid prescription drugs, specifically gabapentinoids and Z-drugs.

Does paid sick leave encourage staying at home? Evidence from the United States during a pandemic

We study the impact of a temporary U.S. paid sick leave mandate that became effective April 1st, 2020 on self-quarantining, proxied by physical mobility behaviors gleaned from cellular devices. We study this policy using generalized difference-in-differences methods, leveraging pre-policy county-level heterogeneity in the share of workers likely eligible for paid sick leave benefits. We find that the policy leads to increased self-quarantining as proxied by staying home. We also find that COVID-19 confirmed cases decline post-policy.

Associations of Lifetime Nonmedical Opioid, Methamphetamine, and Kratom Use within a Nationally Representative US Sample

Co-use of non-medical opioids (NMO) and methamphetamine is increasing. So too is the use of the psychoactive botanical "kratom," including among people with NMO and methamphetamine use histories. We assessed characteristics associated with respondent groups who reported lifetime methamphetamine and/or kratom use within a nationally representative US sample using 2019 National Survey on Drug Use and Health data from respondents reporting lifetime NMO use (diverted prescription opioids, heroin). Weighted prevalence estimates for demographic, mental health, and substance use outcomes were determined. Logistic regression examined associations between group membership and outcomes. Among this sample of respondents with lifetime NMO use, 67.6% (95% CI = 65.6-69.4%) reported only NMO use; 4.6% (3.9-5.4%) reported NMO+Kratom; 24.7% (22.7-26.7%) reported NMO+Methamphetamine; and 3.2% (2.5-3.9%) reported NMO+Methamphetamine+Kratom. Compared to those in the NMO-only group, the NMO+Kratom group was more likely to report past-year serious mental illness (SMI; OR = 2.27), suicidality (OR = 1.89), and past-month psychological distress (OR = 1.88). The NMO+Methamphetamine+Kratom group was more likely to report past-year SMI (OR = 2.65), past-month psychological distress (OR = 2.06), and unmet mental health needs (OR = 2.03); increased odds for drug injection, opioid withdrawal, and perceived treatment need also emerged. Risk factors were observed for all groups but were greatest among those reporting use of all three substances.

Demographic and Geographic Variation in Fatal Drug Overdoses in the United States, 1999-2020

The U.S. drug overdose crisis has been described as a national disaster that has affected all communities. But overdose rates are higher among some subpopulations and in some places than they are in others. This article describes demographic (sex, racial/ethnic, age) and geographic variation in fatal drug overdose rates in the United States from 1999 to 2020. Across most of that timespan, rates were highest among young and middle-age (25-54 years) White and American Indian males and middle-age and older (45+ years) Black males. Rates have been consistently high in Appalachia, but the crisis has spread to several other regions in recent years, and rates are high across the urban-rural continuum. Opioids have been the main contributor, but overdoses involving cocaine and psychostimulants have also increased dramatically in recent years, demonstrating that our problem is bigger than opioids. Evidence suggests that supply-side interventions are unlikely to be effective in reducing overdoses. I argue that the U.S. should invest in policies that address the upstream structural drivers of the crisis.

The effects of opioid policy changes on transitions from prescription opioids to heroin, fentanyl and injection drug use: a qualitative analysis

BACKGROUND

Beginning in the 1990s, nonmedical use of prescription opioids (POs) became a major public health crisis. In response to rising rates of opioid dependence and fatal poisonings, measures were instituted to decrease the prescription, diversion, and nonmedical use of POs including prescription drug monitoring programs (PDMPs), pain clinic laws, prescription duration limits, disciplining doctors who prescribed an excessive number of POs, and the advent of abuse deterrent formulations of POs. This paper explores the unintended effects of these policies in the descriptions of why people who use opioids transitioned from PO to injection or heroin/fentanyl use.

METHODS

We conducted 148 in-depth-interviews with people who use prescription opioids nonmedically, fentanyl or heroin from a rural, urban and suburban area in three states, Connecticut, Kentucky and Wisconsin. Interviews with people who use opioids (PWUO) focused on how they initiated their opioid use and any transitions they made from PO use to heroin, fentanyl or injection drug use.

RESULTS

The majority of participants reported initiating use with POs, which they used for medical or nonmedical purposes. They described needing to take more POs or switched to heroin or fentanyl as their tolerance increased. As more policies were passed to limit opioid prescribing, participants noticed that doctors were less likely to prescribe or refill POs. This led to scarcity of POs on the street which accelerated the switch to heroin or fentanyl. These transitions likely increased risk of overdose and HIV/HCV infection.

CONCLUSIONS

A careful analysis of how and why people say they transitioned from PO to heroin or fentanyl reveals many unintended harms of policy changes to prevent overprescribing and diversion. Results highlight the importance of mitigating harms that resulted from policy changes.

ORIGINS OF THE OPIOID CRISIS AND ITS ENDURING IMPACTS

Overdose deaths involving opioids have increased dramatically since the 1990s, leading to the worst drug overdose epidemic in U.S. history, but there is limited empirical evidence about the initial causes. In this article, we examine the role of the 1996 introduction and marketing of OxyContin as a potential leading cause of the opioid crisis. We leverage cross-state variation in exposure to OxyContin's introduction due to a state policy that substantially limited the drug's early entry and marketing in select states. Recently unsealed court documents involving Purdue Pharma show that state-based triplicate prescription programs posed a major obstacle to sales of OxyContin and suggest that less marketing was targeted to states with these programs. We find that OxyContin distribution was more than 50% lower in "triplicate states" in the years after the drug's launch. Although triplicate states had higher rates of overdose deaths prior to 1996, this relationship flipped shortly after the launch and triplicate states saw substantially slower growth in overdose deaths, continuing even 20 years after OxyContin's introduction. Our results show that the introduction and marketing of OxyContin explain a substantial share of overdose deaths over the past two decades.

The release of abuse-deterrent OxyContin and adolescent heroin use

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between the abuse-deterrent reformulation of OxyContin and adolescent lifetime heroin use in the United States.

METHODS

The quasi-experimental study uses individual survey data from the 1999-2019 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System to examine whether the reformulation of OxyContin in August 2010 affected adolescent lifetime heroin use, exploiting heterogeneity in state-level rates of OxyContin misuse before the reformulation. Multiple regression analysis adjusted for state and year fixed effects, adolescent demographics, and time-varying state characteristics and policies.

RESULTS

The release of the abuse-deterrent reformulation of OxyContin was associated with a reduction in adolescents reporting ever using heroin. An adolescent in a state with a one percentage point higher state-level rate of pre-reformulation OxyContin misuse was 1.7% points less likely to report ever using heroin after the reformulation (95% confidence interval, [(CI) = -0.007, -0.027]). These effects are strongest for adolescent males (estimate: -0.028, [(CI) = -0.016, 0.040]) and non-whites (estimate: -0.021, [(CI) = -0.005, -0.037]).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest the release of abuse-deterrent OxyContin is associated with a decrease in the likelihood of adolescent lifetime heroin use in states with higher pre-reformulation rates of OxyContin misuse. Pharmaceutical innovations and policies that reduce the likelihood of prescription opioid misuse may be effective in reducing adolescent lifetime heroin use.

Can electronic prescribing mandates reduce opioid-related overdoses?

As the opioid crisis has escalated, states have enacted numerous policies targeting opioid access and monitoring possible misuse. Recently, the majority of states have passed electronic prescribing mandates for controlled substances. These mandates require that controlled substances be prescribed electronically directly to the pharmacy. The electronic system maintains a rich patient history that prescribers will observe when issuing a prescription while also reducing opportunities for fraud. The first enforced mandate was implemented in New York in March 2016; thus empirical evidence about the effects of such mandates is limited. We study how adoption of the New York e-prescribing mandate affected opioid supply and opioid-related overdoses. We estimate that the mandate reduced the rate of overdoses involving natural and semi-synthetic opioids by 22 %. We find little evidence of any corresponding changes in overdose rates involving illicit opioids.

Is the rise in illicit opioids affecting labor supply and disability claiming rates?

This paper examines how the recent transition of the opioid crisis from prescription opioids to more prevalent misuse of illicit opioids, such as heroin and fentanyl, altered labor supply behavior and disability insurance claiming rates. We exploit differential geographic exposure to the reformulation of OxyContin, the largest reduction in access to abusable prescription opioids to date, to study the effects of substitution to illicit markets. We observe meaningful reductions in labor supply measured in terms of employment-to-population ratios, hours worked, and earnings in states more exposed to reformulation relative to those less exposed. We also find evidence of increases in disability applications and beneficiaries.