OUP accepted manuscript

Ofatumumab for multiple sclerosis with disability accumulation

BACKGROUND

The ASCLEPIOS/APLIOS/APOLITOS/ALITHIOS trials highlighted the benefits of ofatumumab in reducing relapse rates and disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, its effects on patients with severe disability status remains uncertain. This study aimed to clarify the outcomes of ofatumumab in MS patients with high Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores and prolonged disease durations.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of MS patients treated with ofatumumab at an MS center in Japan. At 12 months of treatment, patients with MS starting ofatumumab were classified into the treatment-responsive or treatment-resistant groups based on ofatumumab continuity, incidence of relapses with EDSS worsening, progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA). We used logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with ofatumumab response.

RESULTS

Seventy patients were included in the analysis; 39 (56 %) patients were relapsing-remitting (RR), and 31 (44 %) patients were secondary progressive (SP) MS. Mean age at ofatumumab initiation, age at onset, and disease duration were 48.0, 33.9, and 14.1 years, respectively. The median EDSS was 4.5 (3.0-6.5); 38(56 %) patients were classified as resistant. The resistant rates by disease type were 33 % (13/39) and 81 % (26/31) for RR and SP MS, respectively. On multivariate analysis, EDSS and No evidence of disease activity (NEDA) 3 were independent factors for ofatumumab responsiveness (OR, 1.74, 0.04; 95 % CI, 1.17-2.73, 0.00-0.47; p = 0.01, 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Ofatumumab may yield more favorable effects when initiated in patients with MS with lower EDSS scores.

Landscapes of gut microbiome and blood metabolomic signatures in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis

Although disturbances in the gut microbiome have been implicated in multiple sclerosis (MS), little is known about the changes and interactions between the gut microbiome and blood metabolome, and how these changes affect disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in preventing the progression of MS. In this study, the structure and composition of the gut microbiota were evaluated using 16S rRNA gene sequencing and an untargeted metabolomics approach was used to compare the serum metabolite profiles from patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and healthy controls (HCs). Results indicated that RRMS was characterized by phase-dependent α-phylogenetic diversity and significant disturbances in serum glycerophospholipid metabolism. Notably, α-phylogenetic diversity was significantly decreased in RRMS patients during the chronic phase (CMS) compared with those in the acute phase (AMS). A distinctive combination of two elevated genera (Slackia, Lactobacillus) and five glycerophospholipid metabolism-associated metabolites (four increased: GPCho(22:5/20:3), PC(18:2(9Z,12Z)/16:0), PE(16:0/18:2(9Z,12Z)), PE(18:1(11Z)/18:2(9Z,12Z)); one decreased: PS(15:0/22:1(13Z))) in RRMS patients when comparing to HCs. Moreover, a biomarker panel consisting of four microbial genera (three decreased: Lysinibacillus, Parabacteroides, UBA1819; one increased: Lachnoanaerobaculum) and two glycerophospholipid metabolism-associated metabolites (one increased: PE(P-16:0/22:6); one decreased: CL(i-12:0/i-16:0/i-17:0/i-12:0)) effectively discriminated CMS patients from AMS patients, which indicate correlation with higher disability. Additionally, DMTs appeared to attenuate MS progression by reducing UBA1819 and upregulating CL(i-12:0/i-16:0/i-17:0/i-12:0). These findings expand our understanding of the microbiome and metabolome roles in RRMS and may contribute to identifying novel diagnostic biomarkers and promising therapeutic targets.

PANORAMA: A 2021 Clinician Survey of Treatment Approaches for People With New Diagnoses of Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

The PANORAMA survey aimed to assess current treatment practice for individuals with new diagnoses of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) in the United Kingdom and to explore variations in treatment approaches with an emphasis on escalation vs early high-efficacy treatment (HET) and treatment goals.

METHODS

Health care professionals (HCPs) from the UK treating patients with RRMS took part in interviews facilitated by a structured questionnaire. Data were analyzed descriptively using quantitative or qualitative methods, as appropriate.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight HCPs from 38 UK centers took part in the survey, including 20 MS consultants and 13 MS specialist nurses. Seventy-four percent (n = 28 of 38) of HCPs strongly agreed and 24% (9 of 38) agreed that early treatment is essential for better outcomes. HCPs reported that they currently treat a mean (SD) of 58.3% (20.8%) and 42.1% (21.8%) of patients with new diagnoses of RRMS with early HET or escalation approaches, respectively. Thirty-four percent (13 of 38) of HCPs reported a discrepancy between current treatment approach and the approach they would like to take, which would be 66.2% favoring early HET and 33.8% favoring escalation approaches. The factors influencing the choice of treatment approach were overall patient health profile (45%, 17 of 38) and patient choice (39%, 15 of 38). The most important treatment goals were to reduce relapses (63%, 24 of 38), delay disability progression (58%, 22 of 38), and maintain quality of life (50%, 19 of 38).

CONCLUSIONS

The survey highlights variation among HCPs in the UK in current vs ideal use of escalation or early HET approaches and factors influencing choice of treatment approach.

Measuring Disease Progression in Multiple Sclerosis Clinical Drug Trials and Impact on Future Patient Care

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system characterised by inflammation, demyelination and neurodegeneration. Although several drugs are approved for MS, their efficacy in progressive disease is modest. Addressing disease progression as a treatment goal in MS is challenging due to several factors. These include a lack of complete understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms driving MS and the absence of sensitive markers of disease progression in the short-term of clinical trials. MS usually begins at a young age and lasts for decades, whereas clinical research often spans only 1-3 years. Additionally, there is no unifying definition of disease progression. Several drugs are currently being investigated for progressive MS. In addition to new medications, the rise of new technologies and of adaptive trial designs is enabling larger and more integrated data collection. Remote assessments and decentralised clinical trials are becoming feasible. These will allow more efficient and large studies at a lower cost and with less burden on study participants. As new drugs are developed and research evolves, we anticipate a concurrent change in patient care at various levels in the foreseeable future. We conducted a narrative review to discuss the challenges of accurately measuring disease progression in contemporary MS drug trials, some new research trends and their implications for patient care.

Long-term follow-up of patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (clinically isolated syndrome) who received cladribine tablets in CLASSIC-MS: Findings for the ORACLE-MS cohort

BACKGROUND

CLASSIC-MS explored long-term outcomes of patients treated with cladribine tablets.

OBJECTIVE

Assess long-term efficacy in patients previously enrolled in ORACLE-MS, a Phase III parent trial.

METHODS

ORACLE-MS included patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (FCDE or clinically isolated syndrome) who received ⩾1 course of cladribine tablets or placebo. With a median follow-up time of 9.5 years, CLASSIC-MS assessed conversion rates to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS), time-to-conversion, relapse rates, long-term mobility/disability status and subsequent disease-modifying therapy (DMT) use.

RESULTS

Of 227 patients from the ORACLE-MS cohort of 616, 68.7% were exposed to cladribine tablets and 31.3% were never exposed. Of the exposed patients at risk, 51.5% converted to CDMS with a median conversion time of 8.4 (95% confidence interval (CI): 5.4-not estimable) years, versus 80.6%, median time 0.8 (95% CI: 0.3-2.4) years, for never exposed. Exposed patients were less likely to be using a wheelchair or ambulatory device or receive subsequent DMTs, and 53.2% were relapse-free versus 28.2% never exposed.

CONCLUSIONS

Proportionally, more FCDE patients exposed to cladribine tablets experienced delayed conversion to CDMS and fewer relapses and were less likely to use a wheelchair or ambulatory device than never-exposed patients, at 9.5 years (median).

A digital version of the nine-hole peg test: Speed may be a more reliable measure of upper-limb disability than completion time in patients with multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

A digital adaptation of the nine-hole peg test (9HPT) was developed with the potential to provide novel disability features for patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS).

OBJECTIVES

The objectives were to evaluate the 9HPT features based on reliability, prognosis, and discrimination between treatment groups.

METHODS

The MS partners Advancing Technology and Health Solutions (MS PATHS) cohort data were used to derive new features including completion time and speed. Association and reliability between features and clinical outcomes were tested by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) with repeated measures. The added prognostic value of the features for a clinically meaningful decline was assessed by time-to-event analyses with likelihood ratio tests. The estimated effect size between treatment efficacy groups was acquired from linear mixed-effects models. Sample size was calculated for a hypothetical randomized clinical trial.

RESULTS

For the 10,843 PwMS, speed and completion time were associated with MS disability. Compared with time, speed showed higher reliability (ICC = 0.78 vs 0.74), added benefits in predicting disability worsening (p < 0.001), better discrimination between high- and low-efficacy groups (effect size: 0.035 vs 0.015), and an 18% reduction in required sample size for a 1-year clinical trial.

CONCLUSION

Integrating horizontal hand distances traveled over the 9HPT pegboard can be a more reliable measure of hand function.

Sexual function and related predictors in male with multiple sclerosis and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Sexual dysfunction (SF) is a prevalent and distressing comorbidity in males with multiple sclerosis (MwMS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (MwNMOSD).

AIMS

This study aimed to assess the SF in MwMS and MwNMOSD in comparison to male healthy controls (HCs) and identify its associated predictors.

METHODS

This case-control study was conducted from February 2023 to January 2024 at the MS clinic of Kashani Hospital, Isfahan, Iran. Participants included 49 MwMS, 27 MwNMOSD, and 40 HCs. Demographic, clinical, and psychological data were collected, and SF was evaluated by the International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF). Linear regression was used to assess relationships between variables.

OUTCOMES

SF was significantly worse in the MwMS and MwNMOSD compared to the HCs.

RESULTS

SF was significantly lower in MwMS and MwNMOSD compared to HCs. In MwMS, significant independent predictors of SF included partner's education (B = -2.7, P = .003), anxiety (B = -0.6, P = .003), and depression (B = -0.3, P = .026). In MwNMOSD, significant independent predictors of SF were EDSS (B = -5.7, P = .007) and anxiety (B = -1, P = .002).

CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Controlling risk factors such as depression and anxiety can improve SF of MwMS to a significant extent.

STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS

Despite limitations like the cross-sectional design and exclusion of certain variables, our study identifies significant associations between sexual dysfunction and various risk factors in MwMS and MwNMOSD, emphasizing the need for future longitudinal research.

CONCLUSION

MwMS and MwNMOSD exhibited worse SF than HCs. Multiple factors have been identified as independent predictors of SF within these patient groups.

Optimizing Drug Selection in Children with Multiple Sclerosis: What Do We Know and What Remains Unanswered?

Pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) refers to multiple sclerosis with onset before 18 years of age. It is characterized by a more inflammatory course, more frequent clinical relapses, and a greater number of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesions compared with adult-onset MS (AOMS), leading to significant impacts on both disability progression and cognitive outcomes in affected individuals. Managing POMS presents distinct challenges due to the unique needs of pediatric patients and the limited number of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) approved for pediatric use. Notably, only one therapy (fingolimod) is approved by the United States (US) Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and three (fingolimod, teriflunomide, and dimethyl fumarate) by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) for use in youth with MS. However, observational evidence identifies use of almost all agents off-label in this population. This review provides a comprehensive overview of literature supporting the use of DMTs for POMS, including evidence from observational studies. In this paper, we highlight the shift in clinical practice, which has led to increased use of high-efficacy therapies (HETs) at or near disease onset. We review emerging evidence indicating better cognitive and motor outcomes in this population with early initiation of therapy. Finally, in this paper, we provide a suggested treatment algorithm for managing POMS. We underscore the need for personalized approaches in POMS management. We identify special considerations unique to pediatric care, including attention to family dynamics, and strategies to improve medication adherence and a smooth transition to adult care. Further research on DMTs in POMS is essential to optimize outcomes and improve long-term prognosis.

Ocrelizumab in Early-Stage Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: The Phase IIIb ENSEMBLE 4-Year, Single-Arm, Open-Label Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Early treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) reduces disease activity and the risk of long-term disease progression. Effectiveness of ocrelizumab is established in relapsing MS (RMS); however, data in early RMS are lacking. We evaluated the 4-year effectiveness and safety of ocrelizumab as a first-line therapy in treatment-naive patients with recently diagnosed relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS).

METHODS

ENSEMBLE was a prospective, 4-year, international, multicenter, single-arm, open-label, phase IIIb study. Patients were treatment naive, aged 18-55 years, had early-stage RRMS with a disease duration ≤3 years, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≤3.5, and ≥1 clinically reported relapse(s) or ≥1 signs of brain inflammatory activity on MRI in the prior 12 months. Patients received IV ocrelizumab 600 mg every 24 weeks. Effectiveness endpoints over 192 weeks were proportion of patients with no evidence of disease activity (NEDA-3; defined as absence of relapses, 24-week confirmed disability progression [CDP], and MRI measures, with prespecified MRI rebaselining at week 8), 24-week/48-week CDP and 24-week confirmed disability improvement, annualized relapse rate (ARR), mean change in EDSS score from baseline, and safety. Cognitive status, patient-reported outcomes, and serum neurofilament light chain (NfL) were assessed. Descriptive analysis was performed on the intention-to-treat population.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics (N = 678) were consistent with early-stage RRMS (n = 539 patients, 64.6% female, age 40 years and younger; median age: 31.0 years; duration since: MS symptom onset 0.78 years, RRMS diagnosis 0.24 years; mean baseline EDSS score [SD] 1.71 [0.95]). At week 192, most of the patients had NEDA-3 (n = 394/593, 66.4%), 85.0% had no MRI activity, 90.9% had no relapses, and 81.8% had no 24-week CDP over the study duration. Adjusted ARR at week 192 was low (0.020, 95% CI 0.015-0.027). NfL levels were reduced to and remained within the healthy donor range, by week 48 and week 192, respectively. No new or unexpected safety signals were observed.

DISCUSSION

Disease activity based on clinical and MRI measures was absent in most of the patients treated with ocrelizumab over 4 years in the ENSEMBLE study. Safety was consistent with the known profile of ocrelizumab. Although this single-arm study was limited by lack of a parallel group for comparison of outcome measures, the positive benefit-risk profile observed may provide confidence to adopt ocrelizumab as a first-line treatment in newly diagnosed patients with early RMS.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class IV evidence that adult patients with early-stage MS who were treatment naive maintained low disease activity (NEDA-3) over 4 years with ocrelizumab treatment; no new safety signals were detected.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT03085810; first submitted March 16, 2017; first patient enrolled: March 27, 2017; available at clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03085810.

Workplace and social support, treatment satisfaction, and their impact on quality of life in Swedish women with multiple sclerosis: a cross-sectional survey study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate health-related quality of life (HRQoL), in relation to support from work, social, as well as treatment satisfaction, in women with multiple sclerosis (MS). Further, to predict the satisfaction on these support dimensions based on sociodemographic and clinical variables.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional survey: a web-based questionnaire conducted in 2021 of people with MS (PwMS) linked to Nationwide Swedish registers.

SETTING

Sweden.

PARTICIPANTS

Working women with MS, living in Sweden, aged 20-50 responding to the survey during the spring of 2021 (n=2967).

OUTCOME MEASURES

Health-related quality of life was measured using the EuroQol Visual Analogue Scale (EQ-VAS). Linear regression models were applied to estimate the association between demographic and clinical factors, as well as reported survey answers with HRQoL. Odds of perceived satisfactory support in one, two or all three support dimensions (work, social or treatment) were performed with multinomial logistic regressions.

RESULTS

Lower MS severity and fatigue, higher cognitive processing speed, living in cities and higher educational attainment were individually associated with higher levels of HRQoL (p<0.001). Contrary, lower HRQoL was associated with progressive type of MS, self-reported visible or invisible symptoms, and no or unsatisfactory support from work, social and treatment (p<0.001). When explored altogether, higher levels in HRQoL were predominantly explained by lower MS severity (t=-9.318, p<0.001), less fatigue (t=-22.190, p<0.001) and more support from work (t=4.824, p<0.001) and to some extent, social support (t=-2.448, p=0.014). Further, compared with women who reported no support, those experiencing lower fatigue and receiving ongoing treatment were more likely to receive support in one or more of all three dimensions (work, social and satisfaction with their treatment). In contrast, higher HRQoL (OR=1.033; CI=1.015 to 1.052) was only significant when receiving simultaneous support from all three support dimensions.

CONCLUSION

Clinical factors and support from work and social support are the strongest contributors to HRQoL in working women with MS. Further, support across several life dimensions is essential when assessing HRQoL. Particularly, satisfaction with the perceived support from work, which plays a crucial role in the HRQoL of women with MS. This underscores the importance of prioritising clinical management and strong support systems to significantly improve HRQoL outcomes in patients with MS.

An updated systematic review and meta-analysis exploring the efficacy and safety of dimethyl fumarate (DMF) for patients with multiple sclerosis (MS)

Background

Dimethyl fumarate (DMF) is increasingly used in treating multiple sclerosis (MS) with controversial results of the safety and efficacy of different DMF doses. We aimed to systematically review the literature to examine the safety and efficacy of DMF for MS patients.

Methods

We searched PubMed Medline, Cochrane, Web of Science, Scopus databases and clinicaltrials.gov up to June 2023 for the published trials evaluating the use of DMF for MS in adults. All included studies were screened and abstracted independently by two authors. Efficacy and safety outcome measures were extracted. The meta-analysis was conducted using Review Manager 5.4.

Results

10 studies including eight randomised controlled trials, one open-label and one single-arm before-after study with a total population size of 4278 patients were included. DMF group showed a statistically significant reduction in the proportion of relapses compared with the control group, (OR: 0.47, 95% CI: [0.41, 0.55], p<0.00001) with no statistical differences between 240 mg two times per day and three times a day doses. Furthermore, the DMF group had a significant reduction in Gd-enhanced lesions compared with control (MD=-1.53, 95% CI: [-1.91 to -1.41], p<0.00001). Our results showed a non-significant difference in adverse events that led to discontinuation of the study with an OR of 1.29 (95% CI: [0.98, 1.71], p value=0.07).

Discussion

DMF had significant efficacy and safety compared with the control, with no difference between the DMF doses. More studies with large sample sizes and longer follow-ups are needed to detect long-term safety and efficacy.

Retinal thinning differentiates treatment effects in relapsing multiple sclerosis below the clinical threshold

OBJECTIVE

To investigate retinal layer thinning as a biomarker of disease-modifying treatment (DMT) effects in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS).

METHODS

From an ongoing prospective observational study, we included patients with RMS, who (i) had an optical coherence tomography (OCT) scan within 6 to 12 months after DMT start (rebaseline) and ≥1 follow-up OCT ≥12 months after rebaseline and (ii) adhered to DMT during follow-up. Differences between DMT in thinning of peripapillary-retinal-nerve-fiber-layer (pRNFL) and macular ganglion cell-plus-inner plexiform-layer (GCIPL) were analyzed using mixed-effects linear regression. Eyes suffering optic neuritis during follow-up were excluded.

RESULTS

We included 291 RMS patients (mean age 30.8 years [SD 7.9], 72.9% female, median disease duration 9 months [range 6-94], median rebaseline-to-last-follow-up-interval 32 months [12-82]). Mean annualized rates of retinal layer thinning (%/year) in reference to DMF (n = 84, GCIPL 0.28, pRNFL 0.53) were similar under TERI (n = 18, GCIPL 0.34, pRNFL 0.59), GLAT (n = 24, GCIPL 0.32, pRNFL 0.56), and IFNb (n = 13, GCIPL 0.33, pRNFL 0.60) were slightly lower under S1PM (n = 27, GCIPL 0.19, pRNFL 0.42) and CLA (n = 23, GCIPL 0.20, pRNFL 0.42), and were significantly lower under NTZ (n = 47, GCIPL 0.09, pRNFL 0.24; both p < 0.001) and antiCD20 (n = 55, GCIPL 0.10, pRNFL 0.23; both p < 0.001). In patients achieving NEDA-2, observed thinning rates were lower overall, but still significantly lower under NTZ and antiCD20.

INTERPRETATION

Applying a rebaselining concept, retinal layer thinning differentiates DMT effects even in clinically stable patients and, thus, might be a useful biomarker to monitor DMT efficacy on subclinical neuroaxonal degeneration-at least on a group level.

Fewer relapses and worse outcomes of patients with late-onset myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease

BACKGROUND

To delineate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of late-onset myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (LO-MOGAD) and compare them with those of early-onset MOGAD (EO-MOGAD).

METHODS

This observational cohort study included 199 adult patients with MOGAD. We reviewed the patients' demographic and clinical data and performed comparative analyses between EO-MOGAD and LO-MOGAD (onset age 18-50 and ≥50 years, respectively).

RESULTS

Among the 199 patients, 42 had LO-MOGAD. Compared with patients with EO-MOGAD, those with LO-MOGAD patients exhibited a significantly higher incidence of optic neuritis both at the initial attack (66.67% vs 43.31%, p=0.007) and throughout all attacks (72.15% vs 52.51%, p=0.001). Over a similar disease duration, patients with LO-MOGAD exhibited significantly fewer relapsing courses (45.16% vs 70.97%), higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and visual functional system scores at the last visit (all p<0.05). Compared with patients with EO-MOGAD, those with LO-MOGAD had a significantly lower risk of relapse (HR 0.512, 95% CI 0.268 to 0.978, p=0.034), but higher risks of reaching EDSS ≥2 (HR 2.893, 95% CI 1.524 to 5.494, p<0.001) and visual acuity ≤0.6 (HR 3.097, 95% CI 1.073 to 8.937, p=0.022). Immunosuppressive therapies significantly reduced the annualised relapse rates of patients with LO-MOGAD, although adverse events leading to drug discontinuation and hospitalisation were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with patients with EO-MOGAD, patients with LO-MOGAD exhibited fewer relapsing courses but worse disability outcomes and should be actively treated.

Serum biomarkers at disease onset for personalized therapy in multiple sclerosis

The potential for combining serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) levels to predict worsening disability in multiple sclerosis remains underexplored. We aimed to investigate whether sNfL and sGFAP values identify distinct subgroups of patients according to the risk of disability worsening and their response to disease-modifying treatments (DMTs). This multicentre study, conducted across 13 European hospitals, spanned from 15 July 1994 to 18 August 2022, with follow-up until 26 September 2023. We enrolled patients with multiple sclerosis who had serum samples collected within 12 months from disease onset and before initiating DMTs. Multivariable regression models were used to estimate the risk of relapse-associated worsening (RAW), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 3. Of the 725 patients included, the median age was 34.2 (interquartile range, 27.6-42.4) years, and 509 patients (70.2%) were female. The median follow-up duration was 6.43 (interquartile range, 4.65-9.81) years. Higher sNfL values were associated with an elevated risk of RAW [hazard ratio (HR) of 1.45; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19-1.76; P < 0.001], PIRA (HR of 1.43; 95% CI 1.13-1.81; P = 0.003) and reaching an EDSS of 3 (HR of 1.55; 95% CI 1.29-1.85; P < 0.001). Moreover, higher sGFAP levels were linked to a higher risk of achieving an EDSS score of 3 (HR of 1.36; 95% CI 1.06-1.74; P = 0.02) and, in patients with low sNfL values, to PIRA (HR of 1.86; 95% CI 1.01-3.45; P = 0.04). We also examined the combined effect of sNfL and sGFAP levels. Patients with low sNfL and sGFAP values exhibited a low risk of all outcomes and served as a reference. Untreated patients with high sNfL levels showed a higher risk of RAW, PIRA and reaching an EDSS of 3. Injectable or oral DMTs reduced the risk of RAW in these patients but failed to mitigate the risk of PIRA and reaching an EDSS of 3. Conversely, high-efficacy DMTs counteracted the heightened risk of these outcomes, except for the risk of PIRA in patients with high sNfL and sGFAP levels. Patients with low sNfL and high sGFAP values showed an increased risk of PIRA and achieving an EDSS of 3, which remained unchanged with either high-efficacy or other DMTs. In conclusion, evaluating sNfL and sGFAP levels at disease onset in multiple sclerosis might identify distinct phenotypes associated with diverse immunological pathways of disability acquisition and therapeutic response.

New insights into the use of high dose corticosteroids and plasmapheresis in persons with MOGAD and NMOSD

BACKGROUND

Anti-myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein associated disease (MOGAD) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disease (NMOSD) are antibody mediated diseases characterized by neurological symptoms including recurrent relapses of optic neuritis and/or myelitis, as well as other less frequent syndromes. The current treatment for acute attacks of NMOSD/MOGAD are based on clinical studies for other demyelinating diseases(i.e. Multiple Sclerosis). In NMOSD, high dose corticosteroids (HDS) are considered the standard first line therapy, with emerging evidence supporting the use of plasmapheresis (PLEX) as an acute therapy. In MOGAD, being a relatively new clinical syndrome, the consensus on acute treatments is yet to be reached. The objective of our study was to assess the efficacy of treatment regimens (no treatment vs. HDS vs. HDS and PLEX) on disability outcomes in persons with NMOSD and MOGAD-optic neuritis and myelitis.

METHODS

We retrospectively extracted data from the MuSicaL-NeMo database using a mixed Natural Language Processing followed by investigators verification. We assessed the change in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and Visual Acuity (VA) following HDS and PLEX, in persons with MOGAD and NMOSD following myelitis and optic neuritis. We used the novel statistical measure Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney Odd (WMW-Odd) to calculate the change through all the spectrum of each ordinal scale (VA and EDSS).

RESULTS

Eleven myelitis and 12 optic neuritis in 22 persons with MOGAD and 30 myelitis and 12 optic neuritis in 20 persons with NMOSD were included(15 Aquaporin-4 seropositive). In persons with MOGAD-optic neuritis the group receiving HDS had a WMW-Odd of 15.33(p ≤ 0.001), however those not receiving treatment also tended to improve (WMW-Odd=3.17, p = 0.06). NMOSD-optic neuritis treated with HDS only improve 33.3 % of the times (p=NS). Persons with MOGAD-myelitis receiving HDS significantly improved (WMW-Odd=7.33, p = 0.002). Persons with NMOSD-myelitis treated with HDS had an WMW-Odd of 2.56 (p = 0.002) and those treated with PLEX plus HDS (PLEX+), had similar WMW-Odd of 2.51 (p = 0.03). When correcting for disease severity by restricting inclusion to persons with NMOSD with EDSS≥4, both treatments showed a higher WMW-Odd, however the group receiving HDS continued to show higher WMW-Odd than the PLEX+ group(WMW-Odd= 3.75, p = 0.002 vs. WMW-Odd =3.05, p = 0.02, respectvely) CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that persons with MOGAD-optic neuritis improve without acute treatments, however they have very marked improvement when using HDS, as previously suggested. Patient with MOGAD-myelitis are also very responsive to HDS, however, as compared to MOGAD-optic neuritis, they displayed less improvement, if not treated. In the NMOSD group the use of PLEX in addition to HDS did not demonstrate any significant difference in EDSS outcomes. Contrary to previous suggestions, when adjusting for group differences (by only including EDSS ≥4), the use of HDS and PLEX+ did not show better results than the group using HDS.

Robotic Rigor: Validity of the Kinarm End-Point Robot Visually Guided Reaching Test in Multiple Sclerosis

Objective

To determine whether robotic metrics: (1) correlate with the Nine-Hole Peg Test (9HPT; good convergent validity); and (2) differentiate between those self-reporting "some hand problems" versus "no hand problems" (good criterion validity).

Design

Cross-sectional validation analyses.

Setting

Rehabilitation research laboratory located within a hospital.

Participants

People with multiple sclerosis self-reporting "some" (n=21; mean age, 52.52±10.69 y; females, n=16; disease duration, 18.81±10.38 y) versus "no" (n=21; age, 51.24±12.73 y; females, n=14; disease duration, 17.71±10.16 y) hand problems.

Main Outcome Measures

We assessed hand function using the criterion standard 9HPT and robotic testing. Robotic outcomes included an overall task score, as well as 2 movement planning (ie, reaction time and initial direction angle) and 2 movement correction (ie, movement time and path length ratio) spatiotemporal values. We identified participants reporting "some" versus "no" hand problems via the Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale-29. We analyzed our nonparametric data using a Mann-Whitney U test and Spearman rank-order correlation.

Results

Those reporting "some hand problems" included more right-handed individuals (P=.038); otherwise, the 2 groups were characteristically similar. Visually guided reaching task score and movement planning but not movement correction spatiotemporal values demonstrated moderate correlations with 9HPT for both the dominant (reaction time: r=0.489, P=.001; initial direction angle: r=0.429, P=.005) and nondominant (reaction time: r=0.521, P<.001; initial direction angle: r=0.321, P=.038) side. Further, reaction time, but not 9HPT or any other robotic outcome, differentiated between the 2 groups (P=.036); those reporting "no hand problems" moved faster (ie, dominant side: 0.2810 [0.2605-0.3215] vs 0.3400 [0.2735-0.3725] s).

Conclusions

Robotic test metrics demonstrated modest criterion and convergent validity in multiple sclerosis, with reaction time being the most compelling. When looking beyond the task score, spatiotemporal robotic measures may help discern subtle multiple sclerosis-related hand problems. Movement planning spatiotemporal values appear more meaningful than movement correction and could prove fruitful as the target for future intervention strategies.

Patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis show accelerated whole brain volume and thalamic volume loss early in disease

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate the dynamics of annual whole brain volume loss (BVL/year) and annual thalamic volume loss (ThalaVL/year) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (PwRRMS) during the course of the disease.

METHODS

A longitudinal database of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of 195 healthy individuals (age range, 22.8-63.7 years) and longitudinal MRI data of 256 PwRRMS (age range, 20.1-60.8 years) were analyzed and compared. BVL/year and ThalaVL/year were computed for healthy individuals as well as for all patients with MS using a Jacobian integration approach. A linear regression was used to compute the relationship between age and BVL/year and ThalaVL/year for healthy individuals. The linear regression was then used to decompose the BVL/year and ThalaVL/year into a multiple sclerosis (MS)-related and an age-related component for each PwRRMS. PwRRMS were dichotomized into early-phase RRMS (disease duration ≤ 6 years) and later-phase RRMS (disease duration > 6 years), and a t-test was performed to test for differences between these groups.

RESULTS

The 135 early-phase patients (disease duration, ≤ 6 years) had statistically significantly higher MS-related BVL/year than the later-phase patients (n = 121) (- 0.21% vs. - 0.06%, p = 0.007). For MS-related ThalaVL/year, the difference between the groups was even more pronounced (- 0.39% vs. - 0.00%, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that in PwRRMS, the MS-related components of BVL/year and ThalaVL/year are accelerated in early phases and slowdown in later phases of the disease. This might explain why early intervention often leads to improved outcomes in patients with MS.

Patterns and predictors of multiple sclerosis phenotype transition

Currently, there are limited therapeutic options for patients with non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Therefore, real-world studies have investigated differences between patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Here, we explore patterns and predictors of transitioning between these phenotypes. We performed a cohort study using data from The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry. We included patients with a relapsing-remitting phenotype, registered changes to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and subsequent transitions between relapsing and non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, which was defined by the presence of relapses in the previous 2 years. We analysed predictors of transitioning from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis to relapsing and non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, as well as between the secondary progressive states using a multi-state Markov model. We included 4413 patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Within a median follow-up of 16.2 years, 962 were diagnosed with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis by their treating physician. Of these, we classified 729 as non-relapsing and 233 as relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. The risk of transitioning from relapsing-remitting to non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis included older age (hazard ratio per increase of 1 year in age: 1.044, 95% confidence interval: 1.035-1.053), male sex (hazard ratio for female: 0.735, 95% confidence interval: 0.619-0.874), fewer relapses (hazard ratio per each additional relapse: 0.863, 95% confidence interval: 0.823-0.906), higher expanded disability status scale (hazard ratio per each additional point: 1.522, 95% confidence interval: 1.458-1.590) and longer time on disease-modifying therapies (hazard ratio per increase of 1 year in treatment, high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy: 1.095, 95% confidence interval: 1.051-1.141; hazard ratio, moderate-efficacy disease-modifying therapy: 1.073, 95% confidence interval: 1.051-1.095). We did not find significant predictors associated with the transition from relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis to non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, whereas older age (hazard ratio per increase of 1 year in age: 0.956, 95% confidence interval: 0.942-0.971) prevented the transition from non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis to relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Our study suggests that transitioning from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis to non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis depends on well-known factors affecting diagnosing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Further transitions between non-relapsing and relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis are only affected by age. These findings add to the knowledge of non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, a patient group with unmet needs in terms of therapies.

Biomarkers of response to ocrelizumab in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Objective

To ascertain the changes of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) values in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients treated with ocrelizumab and their association with treatment response.

Methods

Multicenter prospective study including 115 RRMS patients initiating ocrelizumab treatment between February 2020 and March 2022 followed during a year. Serum samples were collected at baseline and every 3 months to measure sNfL and sGFAP levels using single-molecule array (SIMOA) technology. Based on age and body mass index, sNfL values were standardized using z-score. NEDA (non-evidence of disease activity)-3 status was defined for patients free of disease activity after a year of follow-up. Inflammation (INFL) was considered when new relapses occurred during follow-up or new MRI lesions were found at 1-year exploration. PIRA (progression independent of relapse activity) was defined as disability progression occurring in the absence of relapses or new MRI activity.

Results

After a year on ocrelizumab, 85 patients (73.9%) achieved NEDA-3. Thirty patients did not achieve NEDA: 20 (17.4%) because of INFL and 10 (8.7%) because of PIRA. Of INFL patients, 6 (30.0%) had relapses, and 17 (85.0%) had at least one new MRI lesion at the 12-month examination. At baseline, INFL patients had higher sNfL (p = 0.0003) and sGFAP (p = 0.03) than the NEDA-3 group. PIRA patients mostly exhibited low sNfL and heterogeneous sGFAP levels. After a year, NEDA-3 and INFL patients showed similar decreases in sNfL (p < 0.0001) and sGFAP (p < 0.0001 for NEDA-3 and p = 0.001 for INFL ones). However, the decrease occurred earlier in NEDA-3 patients. Accordingly, sNfL > 1.5 z-score 3 months after ocrelizumab initiation indicated a higher risk of inflammation (OR = 13.6; p < 0.0001). Decrease in sGFAP values occurred later in both groups, with significant reductions observed at 12 months for INFL and 6 and 12 months for NEDA-3. No significant changes in sNfL or sGFAP were observed in PIRA patients.

Conclusion

Ocrelizumab induced normalization of sNfL and sGFAP in the majority of NEDA-3 and inflammatory patients but did not cause changes in the PIRA group. Our data suggest that normalization of sNfL and sGFAP is associated with the lack of inflammatory-associated disease progression but it may not affect non-inflammatory PIRA.

Smouldering-Associated Worsening in Multiple Sclerosis: An International Consensus Statement on Definition, Biology, Clinical Implications, and Future Directions

Despite therapeutic suppression of relapses, multiple sclerosis (MS) patients often experience subtle deterioration, which extends beyond the definition of "progression independent of relapsing activity." We propose the concept of smouldering-associated-worsening (SAW), encompassing physical and cognitive symptoms, resulting from smouldering pathological processes, which remain unmet therapeutic targets. We provide a consensus-based framework of possible pathological substrates and manifestations of smouldering MS, and we discuss clinical, radiological, and serum/cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers for potentially monitoring SAW. Finally, we share considerations for optimizing disease surveillance and implications for clinical trials to promote the integration of smouldering MS into routine practice and future research efforts. ANN NEUROL 2024;96:826-845.

Clinical trajectories of patients with multiple sclerosis from onset and their relationship with serum neurofilament light chain levels

Background

Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is a biomarker of neuroaxonal destruction that correlates with acute inflammation (AI) in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, in the treatment era, progression without AI is the main driver of long-term disability. sNfL may provide added value in detecting ongoing axonal damage and neurological worsening in patients without AI. We conducted a prospective three-year study on patients with a first MS relapse to evaluate the basal cut-off value predicting early increased disability unrelated to relapses.

Methods

sNfL levels and AI presence were measured every 6 months during the first year and the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) was monitored until the third year. Baseline cohorts were stratified by sNfL levels, using a cut-off derived from patients without AI (absence of clinical relapses, new/enlarging T2 lesions, or gadolinium enhancement in magnetic resonance imaging) at year one.

Results

Fifty-one patients were included. A sNfL cut-off of 11 pg/mL predicted sustained neurological worsening independent of AI. Patients exceeding this threshold exhibited features of highly active MS (higher proportion of AI, oligoclonal M bands and higher EDSS). Despite AI ablation, sNfL levels persisted elevated and were significantly associated with increased EDSS at baseline and year 3. Patients with low sNfL and concurrent AI (n = 8) experienced relapses in the optic nerve, brainstem, and spinal cord topographies.

Conclusion

sNfL elevation may detect patients with increased disability even when AI is controlled. This may reveal mechanisms associated with early axonal degeneration and help identify patients at higher risk of progression.

Intrathecal IgG and IgM synthesis correlates with neurodegeneration markers and corresponds to meningeal B cell presence in MS

Intrathecal synthesis of immunoglobulins (Igs) is a key hallmark of multiple sclerosis (MS). B cells are known to accumulate in the leptomeninges of MS patients and associate with pathology in the underlying cortex and a more severe disease course. However, the role of locally produced antibodies in MS brain pathology is poorly understood. Here, we quantified the protein levels of IgA, IgM, IgG and albumin in serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples of 80 MS patients and 28 neurological controls to calculate Ig indices. In addition, we quantified presence of meningeal IgA+, IgM+ and IgG+ B cells in post-mortem brain tissue of 20 MS patients and 6 controls using immunostainings. IgM and IgG, but not IgA, indices were increased in CSF of MS patients compared to controls, with no observed differences between MS disease types. Both IgM and IgG indices correlated significantly with neurofilament light (NfL) levels in CSF, but not with clinical or radiological parameters of disease. Similarly, IgG+ and IgM+ B cells were increased in MS meninges compared to controls, whereas IgA+ B cells were not. Neuronal loss did not differ between sections with low or high IgA+, IgM+ and IgG+ B cells, but was increased in sections with high numbers of all CD19+ meningeal B cells. Similarly, high presence of CD19+ meningeal B cells and IgG+ meningeal B cells associated with increased microglial density in the underlying cortex. Taken together, intrathecal synthesis of IgG and IgM is elevated in MS, which corresponds to an increased number of IgG+ and IgM+ B cells in MS meninges. The significant correlation between intrathecal IgG and IgM production and NfL levels, and increased microglial activation in cortical areas adjacent to meningeal infiltrates with high levels of IgG+ B cells indicate a role for intrathecal IgM- and IgG-producing B cells in neuroinflammatory and degenerative processes in MS.

Obesity and Multiple Sclerosis Severity: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Obesity is implicated in the development of multiple sclerosis (MS), but its effect on disability is less well-established. This study examined the effects of various obesity measures on MS severity in 12,584 MS cases, using Mendelian randomization to mitigate confounding. Results showed a significant association between higher genetically-determined body mass index (N = 806,834) and increased MS severity (P = 0.02). This finding was supported by additional measures of general obesity but not adiposity distribution. The convergence of this genetic evidence with prior observational studies strengthens the association between obesity and adverse long-term disability in MS, suggesting weight management as a potential therapeutic strategy. ANN NEUROL 2024.

Zebrafish as a Model for Multiple Sclerosis

Background: Zebrafish have become a key model organism in neuroscience research because of their unique advantages. Their genetic, anatomical, and physiological similarities to humans, coupled with their rapid development and transparent embryos, make them an excellent tool for investigating various aspects of neurobiology. They have specifically emerged as a valuable and versatile model organism in biomedical research, including the study of neurological disorders such as multiple sclerosis. Multiple sclerosis is a chronic autoimmune disease known to cause damage to the myelin sheath that protects the nerves in the brain and spinal cord. Objective: This review emphasizes the importance of continued research in both in vitro and in vivo models to advance our understanding of MS and develop effective treatments, ultimately improving the quality of life for those affected by this debilitating disease. Conclusions: Recent studies show the significance of zebrafish as a model organism for investigating demyelination and remyelination processes, providing new insights into MS pathology and potential therapies.

Relapse-Associated and Relapse-Independent Contribution to Overall Expanded Disability Status Scale Progression in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Diagnosed in Different Eras

OBJECTIVE

The introduction of disease-modifying therapies for multiple sclerosis (MS) has led to a deceleration of disease course over the years. Although decreased relapse rate constitutes a factor, the role of relapse-associated worsening (RAW) and progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) in MS course deceleration is still unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined long-term Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression in patients referred to the MS Center of Montichiari (Italy) and diagnosed with relapsing-remitting MS from 1980 to 2022. To isolate PIRA, we deducted all EDSS changes associated with relapses from overall EDSS change. We compared the relative contribution of PIRA and RAW to EDSS progression in patients diagnosed in different periods using mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

A total of 1,405 patients were included in the study, of whom 231 were diagnosed in 1980-1996 (pre-treatment era), 577 in 1997-2008 (injectable disease-modifying therapy era), and 597 after 2008 (oral drugs, monoclonal antibodies, and anti-CD20 era). Across ages, both PIRA and RAW were reduced in patients diagnosed in more recent periods as compared with earlier periods. The average contribution of PIRA to overall EDSS progression was already predominant in patients diagnosed in 1980-1996 (78%) and in 1997-2008 (76%), but it was significantly increased (p = 0.0009) in patients diagnosed in later years (87%).

INTERPRETATION

The deceleration of MS course observed throughout the years is determined not only by fewer RAW events, but also by a reduction in PIRA. However, the shift toward a mostly relapse-independent progression highlights the importance of evaluating new therapies based on their effect on PIRA. ANN NEUROL 2024.

Long-term follow up of alemtuzumab-treated patients: a retrospective study in a Belgian tertiary care center

BACKGROUND

Pivotal studies have reported a significant proportion of patients achieving no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) after 2 cycles of treatment with alemtuzumab (ATZ), that can be maintained for several years. Long-term real-world evidence regarding ATZ as well as subsequent treatment trajectories is still scarce.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the effectiveness and safety of ATZ-treated patients in a tertiary care Belgian center.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study including 32 patients treated with ATZ between 2015 and 2021 was performed.

RESULTS

32 patients received 2 ATZ courses with a mean follow-up (FU) duration of 5.6 years (range: 2.25-8.2). 21.75% patients were treatment naïve. 40.5% were previously treated with natalizumab or fingolimod. NEDA-3 was achieved in 61.3-85% of patients, with failure mostly attributed to recurrence of radiological disease activity. During FU, annualized relapse rates remained very low (0.06-0.14), disability improvement occurred in up to 40.5%, whereas disability worsening occurred in up to 13.5%. Retreatment risk was associated with younger age (< 45 years old, Odds Ratio 8.0, p = 0.02) and a higher number of previous DMTs (Hazard ratio 2.7, 95%CI 1.3-7.4, p = 0.02). Safety in our cohort was consistent with the known profile of ATZ. At the end of FU, 65.6% patients remained untreated after 2 or 3 courses of ATZ, while the remaining switched to anti-CD20 therapy or cladribine.

CONCLUSION

ATZ is a high efficacy therapy for active MS, providing long-term remission in a significant proportion of patients. Retreatment was more frequent in younger patients or patients having failed a higher number of previous DMTs.

Hospital-Treated Infections and Risk of Disability Worsening in Multiple Sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between infections and disability worsening in people with multiple sclerosis (MS) treated with either B-cell depleting therapy (rituximab) or interferon-beta/glatiramer acetate (IFN/GA).

METHODS

This cohort study spanned from 2000 to 2021, using data from the Swedish MS Registry linked to national health care registries, comprising 8,759 rituximab and 7,561 IFN/GA treatment episodes. The risk of hospital-treated infection was estimated using multivariable Cox models. The association between infections and increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores was assessed using a doubly robust generalized estimating equations model. Additionally, a piece-wise exponential model analyzed events of increased disability beyond defined cut-off values, controlling for relapses, and MRI activity.

RESULTS

Compared with IFN/GA, rituximab displayed increased risk of both inpatient- and outpatient-treated infections (hazard ratio [HR], 2.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.50-2.90 and HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.13-1.67, respectively). An inpatient-treated infection was associated with a 0.19-unit increase in EDSS (95% CI, 0.12-0.26). Degree of worsening was greatest for progressive MS, and under IFN/GA treatment, which unlike rituximab, was more commonly associated with MRI activity. After controlling for relapses and MRI activity, inpatient-treated infections were associated with disability worsening in people with relapsing-remitting MS treated with IFN/GA (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.59-2.53), but not in those treated with rituximab.

INTERPRETATION

Compared to IFN/GA, rituximab doubled the infection risk, but reduced the risk of subsequent disability worsening. Further, the risk of worsening after hospital-treated infection was greater with progressive MS than with relapsing-remitting MS. Infection risk should be considered to improve long term outcomes. ANN NEUROL 2024;96:694-703.

Cognitive progression independent of relapse in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Substantial physical-disability worsening in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) occurs outside of clinically recorded relapse. This phenomenon, termed progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), is yet to be established for cognitive decline.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of RRMS patients. Cognitive decline was defined using reliable-change-index cut-offs for each test (Symbol Digit Modalities Test, Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised, California Verbal Learning Test-II). Decline was classified as PIRA if the following conditions were met: no relapse observed between assessments nor within 9 months of cognitive decline.

RESULTS

The study sample (n = 336) was 80.7% female with a mean (standard deviation (SD)) age, disease duration, and observation period of 43.1 (9.5), 10.8 (8.4), and 8.1 (3.1) years, respectively. A total of 169 (50.3%) subjects were cognitively impaired at baseline relative to age-, sex-, and education-matched HCs. Within subjects who experienced cognitive decline (n = 167), 89% experienced cognitive PIRA. A total of 141 (68.1%) cognitive decline events were observed independent of EDSS worsening. Cognitive PIRA was more likely to be observed with increased assessments (p < 0.001) and lower assessment density (p < 0.001), accounting for baseline clinical factors.

CONCLUSION

These results establish the concept of cognitive PIRA and further our understanding of progressive cognitive decline in RRMS.

Disability trajectories by progression independent of relapse activity status differ in pediatric, adult and late-onset multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

To compare Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) trajectories over time between Multiple Sclerosis (MS) groups with pediatric (POMS), adult (AOMS) and late (LOMS) onset, and between patients with and without progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA).

METHODS

Patients with a first visit within 1 year from onset, ≥ 5-year follow-up and ≥ 1 visit every 6 months were selected from the Italian MS Register. Adjusted disability trajectories were assessed by longitudinal models for repeated measures. Comparisons between groups and between patients with and without PIRA in subgroups were performed by evaluating the yearly differences of mean EDSS score changes versus baseline (delta-EDSS). A first CDA event was defined as a 6-months confirmed disability increase from study baseline, measured by EDSS (increase ≥ 1.5 points with baseline EDSS = 0; ≥ 1.0 with baseline EDSS score ≤ 5.0 and ≥ 0.5 point with baseline EDSS > 5.5). PIRA was defined as a CDA event occurring more than 90 days after and more than 30 days before the onset of a relapse.

RESULTS

3777 MS patients (268 POMS, 3282 AOMS, 227 LOMS) were included. The slope of disability trajectories significantly diverged in AOMS vs POMS starting from the second year of follow-up (Year 2: delta2-EDSS 0.18 (0.05; 0.31), p = 0.0054) and then mean delta2-EDSS gradually increased up to 0.23 (0.07; 0.39, p = 0.004) at year 5. Patients with PIRA had significant (p < 0.0001) steeper increase in EDSS scores than those without PIRA in all groups, although in POMS, the disability trajectories began to diverge later and at a lesser extent with delta-EDSS score of 0.48 vs 0.83 in AOMS and 1.57 in LOMS, at 3 years after the first PIRA.

CONCLUSIONS

Age is relevant in determining disability progression in MS. POMS shows a less steep increase in EDSS scores over time than older patients. The effect of PIRA in accelerating EDSS progression is less pronounced in POMS than in AOMS and LOMS.

The time to include cognition in the multiple sclerosis concept of progression independent from relapse activity is now

Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) has been recently proposed in multiple sclerosis (MS) as a model identifying a continuous silent progression of disability without the manifestation of new clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) events that contribute to MS worsening. Despite evidence suggesting that clinical MS manifestations often affect cognitive functioning and the importance of neuropsychological monitoring over time, attention to silent cognitive progression is lacking, and the PIRA concept does not include a measure of cognitive function. In this personal viewpoint, we highlight the need to include cognition in the PIRA model to have a more comprehensive understanding of clinical progression in patients with MS.

Accuracy of MSBase criteria to diagnose secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in large German real-world patient cohort

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate diagnosis of secondary progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) remains a challenge since standardized criteria are missing. In 2016, the MSBase registry presented an algorithm that enabled the diagnosis of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) more than three years earlier compared to diagnosis by neurologists. This work aimed to test whether this approach is equally effective in a real-world cohort of MS patients.

METHODS

This longitudinal retrospective study analyzed clinical data of outpatients with MS recorded until October 2020 in the NeuroTransData registry, a Germany-wide network of 153 certified neurologists. Patient data had been captured in time during clinical visits employing a defined standardized clinical data set in the webbased NeuroTransData patient management platform DESTINY®. The time between the diagnosis of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to SPMS onset was compared with one determined using MSBase criteria (MSBC). Group 1 consisted of patients diagnosed with SPMS during the observation period, whereas group 2 included RRMS patients who did not convert to SPMS during the observation period.

RESULTS

Of 21,281 patients with MS included in our registry, 194 and 9506 patients were allocated to groups 1 and 2, respectively. 10.3% of patients with RRMS were diagnosed with SPMS simultaneously, whereas 60.8% were diagnosed with SPMS at least 3 months earlier by treating neurologists compared to the MSBC. In group 1, the MSBC showed a low sensitivity of 32.0% and an accuracy of 61.4% but a high specificity of 89.6%. In group 2, the MSBC identified 7.8% of patients with SPMS at some point during the observation time. Moreover, test-retest variability remains a challenge since 29.4% of patients diagnosed with SPMS by treating physicians did not fulfil the MSBC at a later point in time.

DISCUSSION

These results are inconsistent with earlier SPMS diagnosis using the MSBC compared to clinical diagnosis by treating physicians. Therefore, there remains a need for an operational, structured, and validated approach to SPMS diagnosis.

COMBAT-MS: A Population-Based Observational Cohort Study Addressing the Benefit-Risk Balance of Multiple Sclerosis Therapies Compared with Rituximab

OBJECTIVE

To assess comparative effectiveness, safety, and tolerability of off-label rituximab, compared with frequently used therapies approved for multiple sclerosis (MS).

METHODS

A Swedish cohort study of persons with relapsing-remitting MS, age 18 to 75 years at inclusion and with a first therapy start or a first therapy switch between 2011 and 2018. Low-dose rituximab was compared with MS-approved therapies. Primary outcomes were proportions with 12 months confirmed disability worsening and change in MS Impact Scale-29 (MSIS-29) scores, respectively. Secondary endpoints included relapses, therapy discontinuation, and serious adverse events. Analyses used an intention-to-treat approach and were adjusted for demographics, MS features, and health characteristics.

RESULTS

We included 2,449 participants as first therapy start and 2,463 as first therapy switch. Proportions with disability worsening at 3 years were 9.1% for rituximab as first therapy and 5.1% after therapy switch, with no differences to MS-approved comparators. Worsening on rituximab was mostly independent of relapses. MSIS-29 with rituximab at 3 years improved by 1.3/8.4 points (physical/psychological) for first disease-modifying therapy (DMT) and 0.4/3.6 for DMT switch, and was mostly similar across therapies. Rituximab had lower relapse rates and higher therapy persistence in both groups. The rate of hospital-treated infections was higher with rituximab after a therapy switch, but not as a first therapy.

INTERPRETATION

This population-based real-world cohort study found low rates of disability progression, mostly independent of relapses, and without significant differences between rituximab and MS-approved comparators. Rituximab led to lower rates of inflammatory activity and higher treatment persistence, but was associated with an increased rate of serious infections. ANN NEUROL 2024;96:678-693.

Predicting multiple sclerosis disease progression and outcomes with machine learning and MRI-based biomarkers: a review

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating neurological disorder with a highly heterogeneous clinical presentation and course of progression. Disease-modifying therapies are the only available treatment, as there is no known cure for the disease. Careful selection of suitable therapies is necessary, as they can be accompanied by serious risks and adverse effects such as infection. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) plays a central role in the diagnosis and management of MS, though MRI lesions have displayed only moderate associations with MS clinical outcomes, known as the clinico-radiological paradox. With the advent of machine learning (ML) in healthcare, the predictive power of MRI can be improved by leveraging both traditional and advanced ML algorithms capable of analyzing increasingly complex patterns within neuroimaging data. The purpose of this review was to examine the application of MRI-based ML for prediction of MS disease progression. Studies were divided into five main categories: predicting the conversion of clinically isolated syndrome to MS, cognitive outcome, EDSS-related disability, motor disability and disease activity. The performance of ML models is discussed along with highlighting the influential MRI-derived biomarkers. Overall, MRI-based ML presents a promising avenue for MS prognosis. However, integration of imaging biomarkers with other multimodal patient data shows great potential for advancing personalized healthcare approaches in MS.

Rituximab in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy of rituximab (RTX) in stabilizing disability progression in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS).

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted, encompassing studies from inception to April 2023, utilizing the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases. Inclusion criteria comprised studies with a minimum of 3 SPMS patients receiving intravenous RTX in at least one infusion, with a follow-up duration of at least 6 months. Primary outcome measures included changes in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores. Mean differences in pre- and post-RTX EDSS scores were analyzed using a random-effects model. Meta-regression examined age at RTX initiation, pre-RTX EDSS scores, disease duration, and outcome reported time as variables. Secondary outcomes assessed changes in the annualized relapse rate (ARR).

RESULTS

Thirteen studies, involving 604 SPMS patients, met the inclusion criteria. Following a mean follow-up of 2 years, the mean difference in EDSS scores (ΔEDSS = EDSSpre-RTX - EDSSpost-RTX) was -0.21 (95% CI -0.51 to 0.08, p = 0.16), indicating no significant variation. Multivariable meta-regression identified significant associations between EDSS score mean difference and pre-RTX EDSS scores, disease duration at RTX initiation, and outcome reported time. However, age at RTX initiation showed no significant association. Pre- and post-RTX ARR data were available for 245 out of 604 SPMS patients across seven studies, revealing a mean difference in ARR (ΔARR = ARRpre-RTX - ARRpost-RTX) of 0.74 (95% CI 0.19-1.29, p = 0.008).

INTERPRETATION

RTX demonstrates efficacy in reducing relapse frequency and exhibits potential in stabilizing disability progression over a 2-year follow-up, particularly among individuals with shorter disease duration.

Prognostic factors for worsening and improvement in multiple sclerosis using a multistate model

BACKGROUND

The long-term disease trajectory of people living with multiple sclerosis (MS) can be improved by initiating efficacious treatment early. More quantitative evidence is needed on factors that affect a patient's risk of disability worsening or possibility of improvement to inform timely treatment decisions.

METHODS

We developed a multistate model to quantify the influence of demographic, clinical, and imaging factors on disability worsening and disability improvement simultaneously across the disability spectrum as measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). We used clinical trial data from the Novartis-Oxford MS database including ~130,000 EDSS assessments from ~8000 patients, spanning all MS phenotypes.

RESULTS

Higher brain volume was positively associated with disability improvement at all disability levels (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.09-1.19; 95% credible interval (CI) = 1.02-1.27). Higher T2 lesion volume was negatively associated with disability improvement up to EDSS 6 (HR = 0.80-0.89; 95% CI = 0.75-0.94). Older age, time since first symptoms, and the number of relapses in the past year were confirmed as predictors of future disability worsening.

CONCLUSIONS

Brain damage was identified as the most consistent factor limiting the patient's probability for improvements from the earliest stages and across the whole course of MS. Protecting brain integrity early in MS should have greater weight in clinical decision-making.

Assessing disease progression and treatment response in progressive multiple sclerosis

Progressive multiple sclerosis poses a considerable challenge in the evaluation of disease progression and treatment response owing to its multifaceted pathophysiology. Traditional clinical measures such as the Expanded Disability Status Scale are limited in capturing the full scope of disease and treatment effects. Advanced imaging techniques, including MRI and PET scans, have emerged as valuable tools for the assessment of neurodegenerative processes, including the respective role of adaptive and innate immunity, detailed insights into brain and spinal cord atrophy, lesion dynamics and grey matter damage. The potential of cerebrospinal fluid and blood biomarkers is increasingly recognized, with neurofilament light chain levels being a notable indicator of neuro-axonal damage. Moreover, patient-reported outcomes are crucial for reflecting the subjective experience of disease progression and treatment efficacy, covering aspects such as fatigue, cognitive function and overall quality of life. The future incorporation of digital technologies and wearable devices in research and clinical practice promises to enhance our understanding of functional impairments and disease progression. This Review offers a comprehensive examination of these diverse evaluation tools, highlighting their combined use in accurately assessing disease progression and treatment efficacy in progressive multiple sclerosis, thereby guiding more effective therapeutic strategies.

Active and non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis patients exhibit similar disability progression: results of an Italian MS registry study (ASPERA)

'Active' and 'non-active' secondary progressive MS (SPMS) have distinct pathophysiological mechanisms and clinical characteristics, but there is still no consensus regarding the frequency of these MS forms in the real-world setting. We aimed to evaluate the frequency of 'active' and 'non-active' SPMS in a large cohort of Italian MS patients and the differences in terms of clinical and MRI characteristics and disease progression. This multicenter study collected data about MS patients who have transitioned to the SP form in the period between 1st January 2014 and 31st December 2019 and followed by the MS centers contributing to the Italian MS Registry. Patients were divided into 'active SPMS' and 'non-active SPMS', based on both reported MRI data and relapse activity in the year before conversion to SPMS. Out of 68,621, 8,316 (12.1%) patients were diagnosed with SPMS. Out of them, 872 (10.5%) were classified into patients with either 'active' or 'non-active' SPMS. A total of 237 were classified into patients with 'active SPMS' (27.2%) and 635 as 'non-active SPMS' (72.8%). 'Non-active SPMS' patients were older, with a longer disease duration compared to those with 'active SPMS'. The percentages of patients showing progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) at 24 months were similar between 'active' and 'non-active' SPMS patients (67 [27.4%] vs 188 [29.6%]; p = 0.60). In the 'active' group, 36 (15.2%) patients showed relapse-associated worsening (RAW). Comparison of the survival curves to EDSS 6 and 7 according to disease activity did not show significant differences (p = 0.68 and p = 0.71). 'Active' and 'non-active' SPMS patients had a similar risk of achieving disability milestones, suggesting that progression is primarily attributed to PIRA and only to a small extent to disease activity.

Characterization of Japanese multiple sclerosis patients with progression independent of relapse activity: A 2-year multicenter cohort study

Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is prevalent among Caucasian patients with relapsing and remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However, there is limited knowledge regarding the characteristics of PIRA in Asian patients with RRMS. Therefore, we retrospectively analyzed the clinical and radiological progression of 95 Japanese patients with RRMS during a 2-year observation period. PIRA was observed in three patients who were characterized by young age, large T2 lesion volume, and great reduction in brain volume. Despite having highly active disease, fewer patients with PIRA (33.3%) were treated with high-efficacy drugs compared with those without disease activity (60.7%).

The therapeutic potential of exercise for improving mobility in multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune disease characterized by inflammation and demyelination in the central nervous system (CNS) with subsequent axonal and neuronal degeneration. These changes are associated with a broad range of symptoms including skeletal muscle dysfunction. Importantly, musculoskeletal impairments manifest in various ways, compromise the quality of life and often precede the later development of mobility disability. As current standard disease modifying therapies for MS predominantly act on neuroinflammation, practitioners and patients face an unmet medical need for adjunct therapies specifically targeting skeletal muscle function. This review is intended to detail the nature of the skeletal muscle dysfunctions common in people with MS (pwMS), describe underlying intramuscular alterations and outline evidence-based therapeutic approaches. Particularly, we discuss the emerging role of aerobic and resistance exercise for reducing the perception of fatigue and increasing muscle strength in pwMS. By integrating the most recent literature, we conclude that both exercise interventions should ideally be implemented as early as possible as they can address MS-specific muscle impairments. Aerobic exercise is particularly beneficial for pwMS suffering from fatigue and metabolic impairments, while resistance training efficiently counters muscle weakness and improves the perception of fatigue. Thus, these lifestyle interventions or possible pharmacological mimetics have the potential for improving the general well-being and delaying the functional declines that are relevant to mobility.

Causal relationship between thyroid function and multiple sclerosis: A bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

An association between thyroid function and multiple sclerosis (MS) has been reported in several observational studies, but the causal relationship between them is still unclear. Thus, this study used a bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate the associations between thyroid function and MS. Bidirectional MR was used to explore the causal relationship between thyroid function (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], free thyroxine [FT4], hyperthyroidism, and hypothyroidism) and MS. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) data of thyroid function and MS were obtained from the ThyroidOmics Consortium and the FinnGen Consortium, respectively. Inverse-variance weighted method (IVW) was the primary analysis method to assess causality with Weighted median, MR-Egger regression, weighted mode, and simple mode as auxiliary methods. Sensitivity analyses were performed using heterogeneity tests, horizontal pleiotropy tests and leave-one-out method. There was a positive causal relationship between TSH and MS (IVW: OR = 1.202, 95% CI: 1.040-1.389, P = .013), and no strong evidence was found for an effect of FT4 (IVW: OR = 1.286, 95% CI: 0.990-1.671, P = .059), hypothyroidism (IVW: OR = 1.247, 95% CI: 0.961-1.617, P = .096), and hyperthyroidism (IVW: OR = 0.966, 95% CI: 0.907-1.030, P = .291) on the risk of MS. In the reverse MR results, there was no causal relationship between MS and TSH (IVW: β = -0.009, P = .184), FT4 (IVW: β = -0.011, P = .286), hypothyroidism (IVW: OR = 0.992, 95% CI: 0.944-1.042, P = .745), and hyperthyroidism (IVW: OR = 1.026, 95% CI: 0.943-1.117, P = .549). Cochran's Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, MR-PRESSO global test, and Leave-one-out did not observe horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneity. In conclusion, MR analysis supported a positive causal relationship between TSH and MS.

Proteomic profile of extracellular vesicles from plasma and CSF of multiple sclerosis patients reveals disease activity-associated EAAT2

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

There is an urgent need to discover blood-based biomarkers of multiple sclerosis (MS) to better define the underlying biology of relapses and monitor disease progression. The main goal of this study is to search for candidate biomarkers of MS relapses associated with circulating extracellular vesicles (EVs), an emerging tool for biomarker discovery.

METHODS

EVs, purified from unpaired plasma and CSF samples of RRMS patients by size-exclusion chromatography (SEC), underwent proteomic analysis to discover novel biomarkers associated with MS relapses. The candidate biomarkers of disease activity were detected by comparison approach between plasma- and CSF-EV proteomes associated with relapses. Among them, a selected potential biomarker was evaluated in a cohort of MS patients, using a novel and highly reproducible flow cytometry-based approach in order to detect low abundant EV subsets in a complex body fluid such as plasma.

RESULTS

The proteomic profiles of both SEC-purified plasma EVs (from 6 patients in relapse and 5 patients in remission) and SEC-purified CSF EVs (from 4 patients in relapse and 3 patients in remission) revealed a set of proteins associated with MS relapses significant enriched in the synaptic transmission pathway. Among common proteins, excitatory amino-acid transporter 2, EAAT2, responsible for the majority of the glutamate uptake in CNS, was worthy of further investigation. By screening plasma samples from 110 MS patients, we found a significant association of plasma EV-carried EAAT2 protein (EV-EAAT2) with MS relapses, regardless of disease-modifying therapies. This finding was confirmed by investigating the presence of EV-EAAT2 in plasma samples collected longitudinally from 10 RRMS patients, during relapse and remission. Moreover, plasma EV-EAAT2 levels correlated positively with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score in remitting MS patients but showed a negative correlation with age in patients with secondary progressive (SPMS).

CONCLUSION

Our results emphaticize the usefulness of plasma EVs as a source of accessible biomarkers to remotely analyse the CNS status. Plasma EV-EAAT2 showed to be a promising biomarker for MS relapses. Further studies are required to assess the clinical relevance of this biomarker also for disability progression independent of relapse activity and transition from RRMS towards SPMS.

Multiple sclerosis: emerging epidemiological trends and redefining the clinical course

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic, inflammatory, and neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system and a major cause of neurological disability in young adults. Its prevalence and incidence are increasing, and it has been estimated at over 2.8 million cases worldwide, in addition to recent trends towards a shift in MS prevalence to older ages, with peak prevalence estimates in the sixth decade of life. Although historically the relapsing and progressive phases of the disease have been considered separate clinical entities, recent evidence of progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) has led to a reconsideration of multiple sclerosis as a continuum, in which relapsing and progressive features variably coexist from the earliest stages of the disease, challenging the traditional view of the disease course. In this Series article, we provide an overview of how the traditional description of the clinical course of MS and epidemiological trends in Europe have evolved. For this purpose, we focus on the concept of PIRA, discussing its potential as the main mechanism by which patients acquire disability, how its definition varies between studies, and ongoing research in this field. We emphasise the importance of incorporating the assessment of hidden clinical manifestations into patient management to help uncover and quantify the PIRA phenomenon and the possible implications for future changes in the clinical classification of the disease. At the same time, we provide insights into overcoming the challenges of identifying and defining PIRA and adopting a new understanding of the clinical course of MS.

Progression independent of relapse activity can be predicted by passively acquired tapping speed through a smartphone for 1 month: A prospective study

BACKGROUND

Tapping speed (TS) correlates with baseline disability scales in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS).

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to address if progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) could be predicted by first-month measurement of TS.

METHODS

Prospective study including pwMS in one referral MS center. Consecutive patients were included and keys/second (Keys/s) were passively measured each day using an in-house smartphone application for 1 month. Median, mean, and maximum keys/s were obtained. Multivariate logistic regression models (including keys/s, age, sex, and baseline disability scores) were obtained for prediction of a PIRA event after 1 year.

RESULTS

Overall, 59 patients were included in the final analysis (64.4% women, median age of 44.5 years). However, 10 patients presented a PIRA event, without differences regarding baseline characteristics between PIRA and no-PIRA groups. PIRA group presented lower median keys/s (2 vs 4 keys/s, p = 0.002) and mean keys/s (2.8 vs 4.6, p = 0.008), while maximum keys/s were similar (p = 0.32). A median ⩽ 3 keys/s was independently associated with PIRA (aOR = 16.8, p = 0.03), as did a mean ⩽ 3.7 keys/s (aOR = 17, p = 0.02). These differences were not detected regarding other variables analyzed.

CONCLUSION

Low median or mean keys/s obtained during initial month of assessment were indicative of a PIRA event within the next year.

Quality of life and tolerability of B-cell directed therapy of multiple sclerosis with ofatumumab in a patient-centered real-world observational study

INTRODUCTION

Ofatumumab (Kesimpta®) is a subcutaneous CD20-targeting antibody approved in Germany in 2021 for the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). After careful instruction, patients can administer the treatment themselves. We previously reported data of 101 patients (Klimas et al. in Nervenarzt 94:923-933, 2023). The objective of this longitudinal study is to explore the tolerability and acceptability of ofatumumab from a patient perspective over a follow up period of 6 months.

METHODS

In this prospective observational real-world study, we report follow up data of 81 patients. We evaluated sociodemographic data, disease duration, duration and side effects of ofatumumab use, expanded disability status scale (EDSS), Beck Depression Inventory II (BDI-II), Short-Form 36 (SF-36), Fatigue Scale of Motor and Cognitive Functions (FSMC), and modified Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite Test (MSFC). In addition, we asked for subjective treatment outcomes, such as impact on quality of life, walking distance, concentration, mood, medication adherence, fatigue and the subjective course of MS on a numerical rating scale (1 = very negative; 5 = very positive). Furthermore, treatment discontinuations were recorded.

RESULTS

The average duration of ofatumumab treatment was 10 months. In comparison to previous published data of our cohort, patients reported a significant increase in headache (10% up to 26%, p = 0.004) and limb pain (5% up to 26%, p < 0.001) as persistent side effects after the injections. More patients reported a very positive effect (p < 0.0001) on quality of life. 4 confirmed relapses occurred but no EDSS worsening, and no treatment discontinuations were documented during the observation period.

DISCUSSION

As previously described, our prospective study indicates that patients have a good tolerability of ofatumumab, precisely because of the mild and few side effects at the first administration. However, the longer the observation period, the more headaches and limb pain occurred after the injections. Despite this, patients' subjective quality of life improved. There were no discontinuations during the follow-up period, with the limitation of a high loss to follow-up.

De-escalation and Discontinuation of Disease-Modifying Therapies in Multiple Sclerosis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Long-term use of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is standard practice to prevent accumulation of disability. Immunosenescence and other age-related changes lead to an altered risk-benefit ratio for older patients on DMTs. This article reviews recent research on the topic of de-escalation and discontinuation of MS DMTs.

RECENT FINDINGS

Observational and interventional studies have shed light on what happens to patients who de-escalate or discontinue DMTs and the factors, such as age, treatment type, and presence of recent disease activity, that influence outcomes. Though many questions remain, recent findings have been valuable for the development of an evidence-based approach to making de-escalation and discontinuation decisions in MS.

Disability patterns in multiple sclerosis: A meta-analysis on RAW and PIRA in the real-world context

OBJECTIVE

To summarize the current evidence on relapse-associated worsening (RAW) and progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) through a quantitative synthesis of real-world studies.

METHODS

Scientific databases were searched to identify suitable articles. Random-effects meta-analyses, subgroup analyses and meta-regression models were ran to provide pooled estimates of RAW and PIRA events and to identify their potential moderators (PROSPERO registration: CRD42024503895).

RESULTS

Eighteen articles met the eligibility criteria, with a pooled sample size of 52,667 patients (93% relapsing-remitting, 6% clinically isolated syndrome and 1% progressive) followed for 2.4 to 12.1 years, yielding to 415,825 patient-years. Pooled event rates for RAW and PIRA were 1.6 (95 confidence interval (CI) = 1.1-2.1) and 3.1 (95% CI = 2.3-3.9) per 100 patient-years, respectively. Less RAW events were found in cohorts including patients with progressive course (β = -0.069, p = 0.006) and under high-efficacy disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) (β = -0.031, p = 0.007), while PIRA events were directly related to older age (β = 0.397, p = 0.027). In addition, we found significant differences in PIRA event rates according to the criteria adopted to define confirmed disability accrual (p < 0.05).

DISCUSSION

PIRA accounts for most events causing disability accumulation in the real-world setting, even at the earlier disease stages, whereas RAW represents a less frequent phenomenon, likely due to effective treatments. The detection and statistical analysis of PIRA outcomes pose challenges, raising the risk of erroneous inference. When interpreting our findings, caution is needed given the wide heterogeneity of included studies.

Individual Prognostication of Disease Activity and Disability Worsening in Multiple Sclerosis With Retinal Layer Thickness z Scores

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) provides promising prognostic imaging biomarkers for future disease activity in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, raw OCT-derived measures have multiple dependencies, supporting the need for establishing reference values adjusted for possible confounders. The purpose of this study was to investigate the capacity for age-adjusted z scores of OCT-derived measures to prognosticate future disease activity and disability worsening in people with MS (PwMS).

METHODS

We established age-adjusted OCT reference data using generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape for peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (pRNFL) and ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (GCIP) thicknesses, involving 910 and 423 healthy eyes, respectively. Next, we transformed the retinal layer thickness of PwMS from 3 published studies into age-adjusted z scores (pRNFL-z and GCIP-z) based on the reference data. Finally, we investigated the association of pRNFL-z or GCIP-z as predictors with future confirmed disability worsening (Expanded Disability Status Scale score increase) or disease activity (failing of the no evidence of disease activity [NEDA-3] criteria) as outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models or logistic regression analyses were applied according to the original studies. Optimal cutoffs were identified using the Akaike information criterion as well as location with the log-rank and likelihood-ratio tests.

RESULTS

In the first cohort (n = 863), 172 PwMS (24%) had disability worsening over a median observational period of 2.0 (interquartile range [IQR]:1.0-3.0) years. Low pRNFL-z (≤-2.04) were associated with an increased risk of disability worsening (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95% CI] = 2.08 [1.47-2.95], p = 3.82e-5). In the second cohort (n = 170), logistic regression analyses revealed that lower pRNFL-z showed a higher likelihood for disability accumulation at the two-year follow-up (reciprocal odds ratio [95% CI] = 1.51[1.06-2.15], p = 0.03). In the third cohort (n = 78), 46 PwMS (59%) did not maintain the NEDA-3 status over a median follow-up of 2.0 (IQR: 1.9-2.1) years. PwMS with low GCIP-z (≤-1.03) had a higher risk of showing disease activity (aHR [95% CI] = 2.14 [1.03-4.43], p = 0.04). Compared with raw values with arbitrary cutoffs, applying the z score approach with optimal cutoffs showed better performance in discrimination and calibration (higher Harrell's concordance index and lower integrated Brier score).

DISCUSSION

In conclusion, our work demonstrated reference cohort-based z scores that account for age, a major driver for disease progression in MS, to be a promising approach for creating OCT-derived measures useable across devices and toward individualized prognostication.