Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

BACKGROUND

Underweight and obesity are associated with adverse health outcomes throughout the life course. We estimated the individual and combined prevalence of underweight or thinness and obesity, and their changes, from 1990 to 2022 for adults and school-aged children and adolescents in 200 countries and territories.

METHODS

We used data from 3663 population-based studies with 222 million participants that measured height and weight in representative samples of the general population. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in the prevalence of different BMI categories, separately for adults (age ≥20 years) and school-aged children and adolescents (age 5-19 years), from 1990 to 2022 for 200 countries and territories. For adults, we report the individual and combined prevalence of underweight (BMI <18·5 kg/m2) and obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2). For school-aged children and adolescents, we report thinness (BMI <2 SD below the median of the WHO growth reference) and obesity (BMI >2 SD above the median).

FINDINGS

From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity in adults decreased in 11 countries (6%) for women and 17 (9%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 that the observed changes were true decreases. The combined prevalence increased in 162 countries (81%) for women and 140 countries (70%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. In 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity was highest in island nations in the Caribbean and Polynesia and Micronesia, and countries in the Middle East and north Africa. Obesity prevalence was higher than underweight with posterior probability of at least 0·80 in 177 countries (89%) for women and 145 (73%) for men in 2022, whereas the converse was true in 16 countries (8%) for women, and 39 (20%) for men. From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of thinness and obesity decreased among girls in five countries (3%) and among boys in 15 countries (8%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80, and increased among girls in 140 countries (70%) and boys in 137 countries (69%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. The countries with highest combined prevalence of thinness and obesity in school-aged children and adolescents in 2022 were in Polynesia and Micronesia and the Caribbean for both sexes, and Chile and Qatar for boys. Combined prevalence was also high in some countries in south Asia, such as India and Pakistan, where thinness remained prevalent despite having declined. In 2022, obesity in school-aged children and adolescents was more prevalent than thinness with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 among girls in 133 countries (67%) and boys in 125 countries (63%), whereas the converse was true in 35 countries (18%) and 42 countries (21%), respectively. In almost all countries for both adults and school-aged children and adolescents, the increases in double burden were driven by increases in obesity, and decreases in double burden by declining underweight or thinness.

INTERPRETATION

The combined burden of underweight and obesity has increased in most countries, driven by an increase in obesity, while underweight and thinness remain prevalent in south Asia and parts of Africa. A healthy nutrition transition that enhances access to nutritious foods is needed to address the remaining burden of underweight while curbing and reversing the increase in obesity.

FUNDING

UK Medical Research Council, UK Research and Innovation (Research England), UK Research and Innovation (Innovate UK), and European Union.

Insights into the interplay between Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and multiple sclerosis (MS): A state-of-the-art review and implications for vaccine development

Background and Aims

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune disease of the central nervous system (CNS). MS results from an inflammatory process leading to the loss of neural tissue and increased disability over time. The role of Epstein Barr Virus (EBV), as one of the most common global viruses, in MS development has been the subject of several studies. However, many related questions are still unanswered. This study aimed to review the connection between MS and EBV and provide a quick outline of MS prevention using EBV vaccination.

Methods

For this narrative review, an extensive literature search using specific terms was conducted across online databases, including PubMed/Medline, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, to identify pertinent studies.

Results

Several studies proved that almost 100% of people with MS showed a history of EBV infection, and there was an association between high titers of EBV antibodies and an increased risk of MS development. Various hypotheses are proposed for how EBV may contribute to MS directly and indirectly: (1) Molecular Mimicry, (2) Mistaken Self, (3) Bystander Damage, and (4) Autoreactive B cells infected with EBV.

Conclusion

Given the infectious nature of EBV and its ability to elude the immune system, EBV emerges as a strong candidate for being the underlying cause of MS. The development of an EBV vaccine holds promise for preventing MS; however, overcoming the challenge of creating a safe and efficacious vaccine presents a significant obstacle.

Global, regional, and national quality of care index of cervical and ovarian cancer: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 1990-2019

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cervical cancer is the most preventable and ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecological cancer. However, in the world, there are disparities in health care performances resulting in differences in the burden of these cancers. The objective of this study was to compare the health-system quality of care and inequities for these cancers using the Quality of Care Index (QCI).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The 1990-2019 data of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) was analyzed to extract rates of incidence, prevalence, mortality, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), Years of Life Lost (YLL), and Years of healthy life lost due to disability (YLD) of cervical and ovarian cancer. Four indices were developed as a proxy for the quality of care using the above-mentioned rates. Thereafter, a Principal Components Analysis (PCA) was applied to construct the Quality of Care Index (QCI) as a summary measure of the developed indices.

RESULTS

The incidence of cervical cancer decreased from 1990 to 2019, whereas the incidence of ovarian cancer increased between these years. However, the mortality rate of both cancers decreased in this interval. The global age-standardized QCI for cervical cancer and ovarian cancer were 43.1 and 48.5 in 1990 and increased to 58.5 and 58.4 in 2019, respectively. QCI for cervical cancer and ovarian cancer generally decreased with aging, and different age groups had inequitable QCIs. Higher-income countries generally had higher QCIs for both cancers, but exceptions were also observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Uncovering disparities in cervical and ovarian cancer care across locations, Socio-Demographic Index levels, and age groups necessitate urgent improvements in healthcare systems for equitable care. These findings underscore the need for targeted interventions and prompt future research to explore root causes and effective strategies for narrowing these gaps.

Promising applications of nanotechnology in inhibiting chemo-resistance in solid tumors by targeting epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT)

The resistance of cancer cells to chemotherapy, also known as chemo-resistance, poses a significant obstacle to cancer treatment and can ultimately result in patient mortality. Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) is one of the many factors and processes responsible for chemo-resistance. Studies have shown that targeting EMT can help overcome chemo-resistance, and nanotechnology and nanomedicine have emerged as promising approaches to achieve this goal. This article discusses the potential of nanotechnology in inhibiting EMT and proposes a viable strategy to combat chemo-resistance in various solid tumors, including breast cancer, lung cancer, pancreatic cancer, glioblastoma, ovarian cancer, gastric cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma. While nanotechnology has shown promising results in targeting EMT, further research is necessary to explore its full potential in overcoming chemo-resistance and discovering more effective methods in the future.

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Oceania, a systematic review, and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Oceania is a continent, covering more than 8 million km2, with a population of more than 44 million people. In different countries landing in Oceania, various prevalence of MS has been reported, so we designed this systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the pooled prevalence of MS in Oceania.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. We also searched references of included studies, and conference abstracts. The search was done on January 1, 2023, by two independent researchers. We extracted the name of the first author, country, publication year, prevalence period, number of study participants, total female and male population, disease duration, type of MS, mean duration of the disease, mean age at disease onset, mean Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and total female and male patients with MS.

RESULTS

A literature search revealed 81,044 records; after deleting duplicates, 38,260 records remained. One hundred and six full texts were evaluated, and finally, seventeen studies remained for systematic review. Most studies were done in Newcastle; eight studies were done in 1961, 8 in 1981, 2 in 1996, and 2 in 2001. In all other years, only one study was done. The pooled prevalence of MS in 1961 in Oceania was estimated as 19.85/100,000 (I2=70.3%, p=0.001). The pooled prevalence of MS in 1981 in Oceania was estimated as 39.07/100,000 (I2 =88%, p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The result of this systematic review and meta-analysis shows that the prevalence of MS has increased dramatically during the timespan in Oceania.

Stem Cell Treatment and Cerebral Palsy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

We designed this systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the pooled efficacy and safety profile of different types of stem cells in treating patients with cerebral palsy (CP).

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and also gray literature, including references of the included studies which were published before November 2021. We extracted data regarding the total number of participants, first author, publication year, country of origin, mean age, cell type, cell dose, cell source, method of transplantation, duration of follow-up, Gross motor function, Ashworth scale, and adverse events.

RESULTS

We found 2073 articles by literature search; after deleting duplicates, 1194 remained. Nine articles remained for meta-analysis. The SMD of GMF-66 score (after-before) treatment was 1.5 (95% CI:0.7-2.3) (I2 = 89.9%, P < 0.001). The pooled incidence of Gastrointestinal (GI) complications after transplantation was 21% (95% CI:9-33%) (I2 = 56%, P = 0.08). The pooled incidence of fever after transplantation was 18 % (95% CI:6-30%) (I2 = 87.9%, P = 0.08 < 0.001) Conclusion: The result of this systematic review and meta-analysis show that stem cell therapy in cerebral palsy has neuroprotective properties from anti-inflammatory and anti-apoptotic activities. Stem cell therapy seems to be a promising adjunct to traditional therapies for cerebral palsy patients.

Microbiomes and Pediatric onset multiple sclerosis (MS): A systematic review

Background

Gut microbiomes play a role in developing and regulating autoimmune diseases such as multiple sclerosis (MS). We designed this systematic review to summarize the evidence of the effect of gut microbiota in developing pediatric-onset MS.

Methods

PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, Google Scholar, references of the references and conference abstracts were comprehensively searched by two independent researchers. The search was done on January 1st, 2023. Data regarding the total number of patients, the name of the first author, publication year, country of origin, mean age, duration of the disease, body mass index (BMI), type of MS, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), age at disease onset and stool composition were extracted.

Results

A literature search revealed 4237 published studies. After removing duplicates, we had 2045 records for evaluation. Twenty-three full texts were evaluated, and four case-control studies remained for systematic review. Three studies were conducted in the United States and one in the Netherlands. The number of participants in included studies ranged between 24 and 68. The mean age of patients at the time of study varied between 11.9 and 17.9 years, and the mean age at the onset of the disease ranged between 11.5 and 14.3 years. Most included patients were female. The results show that median richness (the number of unique taxa identified, which was provided by two studies) was higher in controls, and also Margalef index, which was reported by one study was higher in control group than the case group. The results of two studies also demonstrated that median evenness indexes (taxon distribution, Shannon, Simpson) were higher in control groups, as well as PD index (Faith's phylogenic diversity metric).

Conclusion

The result of this systematic review (including four studies) showed disruption of the microbiota-immune balance in pediatric-onset MS cases.

The burden of rheumatoid arthritis and low back pain in North Africa and Middle East from 1990 to 2019: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and low back pain (LBP) are among the most prevalent musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs). The need for investigation of regional and local patterns of these two MSDs seems inevitable for better policy-making. The current study presents updated results of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 and reports the burden of RA and LBP in North Africa and Middle East (NAME) countries from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and risk factors, including high body mass index, occupational ergonomic factors, and smoking, were extracted based on the GBD 2019 data.

RESULTS

The age-standardized prevalence and mortality of RA were 120.6 (95% uncertainty interval [95% UI] 107.0-135.7) and 0.1 (95% UI 0.1-0.2) per 100 000 population in 2019 with 28.3% (95% UI 25.5%-30.9%) increase and 7.5% (95% UI -37.5% to 32.5%) decrease since 1990, respectively. Turkey had the highest age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and DALYs of RA in 2019. All RA burden measures were higher for women; however, the incidence was almost the same at ages greater than 65 years. The age-standardized prevalence and DALYs of LBP were 7668.2 (95% UI 6798.0-8636.3) and 862 (95% UI 605.5-1153.3) in 2019, which had decreased by 5.8% (95% UI -7.4% to -4.3%) and 6.0% (95% UI -7.7% to -4.2%) since 1990, respectively. Moreover, although Turkey had the highest incidence and prevalence in 1990, Iran was at the top in 2019. The regional age-standardized DALY rates due to RA and LBP attributed to smoking were 1.7 (95% UI 0.5-3.2) and 139.4 (95% UI 87.3-198.8) in 2019, respectively, which had decreased 2.2% (95% UI -19.2% to 13.7%) and 15.4% (95% UI -19.4% to -10.5%) since 1990, respectively.

CONCLUSION

RA still imposes a significant burden in the NAME region as the burden measures have increased from 1990 to 2019. On the other hand, regarding LBP, a decreasing pattern was observed. Differences among the countries and between ages and genders can have implications, and the results of this study may be helpful for policy-makers in the NAME countries.

Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c

Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) are both used to diagnose diabetes, but these measurements can identify different people as having diabetes. We used data from 117 population-based studies and quantified, in different world regions, the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes, and whether those who were previously undiagnosed and detected as having diabetes in survey screening, had elevated FPG, HbA1c or both. We developed prediction equations for estimating the probability that a person without previously diagnosed diabetes, and at a specific level of FPG, had elevated HbA1c, and vice versa. The age-standardized proportion of diabetes that was previously undiagnosed and detected in survey screening ranged from 30% in the high-income western region to 66% in south Asia. Among those with screen-detected diabetes with either test, the age-standardized proportion who had elevated levels of both FPG and HbA1c was 29-39% across regions; the remainder had discordant elevation of FPG or HbA1c. In most low- and middle-income regions, isolated elevated HbA1c was more common than isolated elevated FPG. In these regions, the use of FPG alone may delay diabetes diagnosis and underestimate diabetes prevalence. Our prediction equations help allocate finite resources for measuring HbA1c to reduce the global shortfall in diabetes diagnosis and surveillance.

Global and regional quality of care index (QCI) by gender and age in oesophageal cancer: A systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to examine the quality of care by age and gender in oesophageal cancer using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database.

METHODS

Patients aged 20 and over with oesophageal cancer were included in this longitudinal study using GBD 1990-2019 data. We used the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) to classify the regions. We used Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method to calculate the Quality of Care Index (QCI). The QCI was rescaled into a 0-100 single index, demonstrating that the higher the score, the better the QC.

RESULTS

The age-standardized QCI for oesophageal cancer dramatically increased from 23.5 in 1990 to 41.1 in 2019 for both sexes, globally. The high SDI regions showed higher QCI than the rest of the regions (45.1 in 1990 and 65.7 in 2019) whereas the low SDI regions had the lowest QCI, which showed a 4.5% decrease through the years (from 13.3 in 1990 to 12.7 in 2019). Globally, in 2019, the QCI showed the highest scores for patients aged 80-84, reported 48.2, and the lowest score for patients aged 25-29 reported 31.5, for both sexes. Globally, in 2019, age-standardized Gender Disparity Ratio (GDR) was 1.2, showing higher QCI in females than males.

CONCLUSION

There were fundamental differences in the QCI both globally and regionally between different age groups as well as between males and females. To achieve the goal of providing high-quality services equally to people in need in all over the world, health systems need to invest in effective diagnostic services, treatments, facilities, and equipment and to plan for screening and surveillance of high-risk individuals.

Low bone mineral density, a neglected condition in North Africa and Middle East: estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study, 1990-2019

Due to the high prevalence of low bone mineral density in North Africa and Middle East region, estimating its attributable burden would help to a better understanding of this neglected condition for policymakers and health researchers. This study presented the number of attributable deaths has doubled from 1990 to 2019.

PURPOSE

This study provides the latest estimates of the burden of low bone mineral density (BMD) from 1990 to 2019 in North Africa and Middle East (NAME) region.

METHODS

The data were extracted from the global burden of disease (GBD) 2019 study to estimate epidemiological indices such as deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and summary exposure value (SEV). SEV is a measure of the exposure of the population to a risk factor that considers the amount of exposure by the level of risk.

RESULTS

Our findings showed that in 1990-2019, the number of deaths and DALYs attributable to low BMD had almost doubled in the region and caused 20,371 (95% uncertainty intervals: 14,848-24,374) deaths and 805,959 (630,238-959,581) DALYs in 2019. However, DALYs and death rates showed a decreasing trend after age standardization. Saudi Arabia had the highest, and Lebanon had the lowest age-standardized DALYs rates in 2019, with rates of 434.2 (329.6-534.3) and 90.3 (70.6-112.1) per 100,000, respectively. The highest burden attributable to low BMD was in the 90-94 and over 95 age groups. Also, there was a decreasing trend in age-standardized SEV to low BMD for both sexes.

CONCLUSION

Despite the decreasing trend of age-standardized burden indices, considerable amounts of deaths and DALYs were attributable to low BMD, especially in the elderly population, in the region in 2019. As the positive effects of proper interventions will be detectable in the long term, robust strategies and comprehensive stable policies are the ultimate solutions to achieving desired goals.

Prevalence and risk of developing sexual dysfunction in women with multiple sclerosis (MS): a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the pooled prevalence of sexual dysfunction (SD) in women with multiple sclerosis (MS).

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, and google scholar and also gray literature up to October 2021. The search strategy includes: ("Multiple Sclerosis" OR "MS" OR "Disseminated Sclerosis" OR (Disseminated AND Sclerosis) OR (Sclerosis AND Multiple)) AND ("Sexual Dysfunction" OR (Sexual AND Dysfunction) OR (Sexual AND Dysfunctions) OR (Sexual AND Disorders) OR (Sexual AND Disorder) OR "Sexual Dysfunctions" OR "Sexual Disorders" OR "Sexual Disorder" OR "Psychosexual Dysfunctions" OR (Dysfunction AND Psychosexual) OR (Dysfunctions AND Psychosexual) OR "Psychosexual Dysfunction" OR "Psychosexual Disorders" OR (Disorder AND Psychosexual) OR (Disorders AND Psychosexual) OR "Psychosexual Disorder" OR "Hypoactive Sexual Desire Disorder" OR "Sexual Aversion Disorder" OR (Aversion Disorders AND Sexual) OR (Disorders AND Sexual Aversion) OR "Sexual Aversion Disorders" OR "Orgasmic Disorder" OR (Disorders AND Orgasmic) OR "Orgasmic Disorders" OR "Sexual Arousal Disorder" OR (Arousal Disorders AND Sexual) OR (Disorders AND Sexual Arousal) OR "Sexual Arousal Disorders" OR "Frigidity").

RESULTS

We found 2150 articles by literature search, after deleting duplicates 1760 remained. Fifty-six articles remained for meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of SD in MS patients estimated as 61% (95%CI:56-67%) (I²:95.7%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of Anorgasmia in MS patients estimated as 29% (95%CI:20-39%) (I²:85.3%, P < 0.001). The pooled odds of developing SD in MS women estimated as 3.05(95%CI: 1.74-5.35) (I²:78.3%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of decreased vaginal lubrication in MS patients estimated as 32%(95%CI:27-37%) (I² = 94.2%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of reduced libido was 48%(95%CI:36-61%) (I²:92.6%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of arousal problems was 40%(95%CI: 26-54%) (I²:97.4%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of intercourse satisfaction was 27% (95%CI: 8-46%) (I²:99%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The result of this systematic review and meta-analysis show that the pooled prevalence of SD in women with MS is 61% and the odds of developing SD in comparison with controls is 3.05.

Human papillomavirus vaccination in low- and middle-income countries: progression, barriers, and future prospective

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a viral infection that, if does not go away, can cause health problems like genital warts and cancer. The national immunization schedules for individuals before sexual debut, significantly decreased HPV-associated mortality and it will be affordable. However, immunization programs remain vulnerable to macroeconomic factors such as inflation, fiscal policy, employment levels, and national income. This review aims to investigate the association between national income in lower-middle-income countries to explore recent advances and potential issues, as well as how to deal with challenges.

Global and regional quality of care index for prostate cancer: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease study 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer (PCa) is one of the most prevalent cancers worldwide, with a significant burden on societies and healthcare providers. We aimed to develop a metric for PCa quality of care that could demonstrate the disease's status in different countries and regions (e.g., socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles) and assist in improving healthcare policies.

METHODS

Basic burden of disease indicators for various regions and age-groups were retrieved from Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019, which then were used to calculate four secondary indices: mortality to incidence ratio, DALYs to prevalence ratio, prevalence to incidence ratio, and YLLs to YLDs ratio. These four indices were combined through a principal component analysis (PCA), producing the quality of care index (QCI).

RESULTS

PCa's age-standardized incidence rate increased from 34.1 in 1990 to 38.6 in 2019, while the age-standardized death rate decreased in the same period (18.1 to 15.3). From 1990 to 2019, global QCI increased from 74 to 84. Developed regions (high SDI) had the highest PCa QCIs in 2019 (95.99), while the lowest QCIs belonged to low SDI countries (28.67), mainly from Africa. QCI peaked in age groups 50 to 54, 55 to 59, or 65 to 69, depending on the socio-demographic index.

CONCLUSIONS

Global PCa QCI stands at a relatively high value (84 in 2019). Low SDI countries are affected the most by PCa, mainly due to the lack of effective preventive and treatment methods in those regions. In many developed countries, QCI decreased or stopped rising after recommendations against routine PCa screening in the 2010-2012 period, highlighting the role of screening in reducing PCa burden.

Prevalence of dysphagia in patients with multiple sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Dysphagia is a major disorder observed in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), yet different prevalence rates are reported for it. Therefore, we designed this study to estimate the pooled prevalence of dysphagia in patients with MS.

METHOD

We searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, and gray literature including references from the identified studies, reviews studies, and conference abstracts which were published up to May 2022. Articles that were relevant to our topic and could provide information regarding the prevalence of dysphagia among MS patients were included; however, articles with self-report screening strategies were excluded.

RESULTS

The literature search found 997 articles. After eliminating duplicates, 672 articles remained. Two conference abstracts were included for final analysis. A total of 11,266 MS cases and 5047 MS patients with dysphagia were included in the meta-analysis. The overall prevalence of dysphagia across all 54 studies was 44.8 % (95 % CI: [40.4 %-49.2 %]), with a high level of heterogeneity between countries (Q=; I² = 94.96 %; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The results of this systematic review shows that the prevalence of dysphagia in MS patients is 45% which is greatly higher compared to the general population.

CNS demyelinating disease following inactivated or viral vector SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: A case series

BACKGROUND

Several reports have been documented in possible association with the administration of different severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccines and central nervous system (CNS)demyelinating disorders, specifically post mRNA vaccines. We report twelve cases of developing Multiple sclerosis (MS) or Neuromyelitis Optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) following neither the first nor second dose of inactivated or viral vector COVID-19 vaccine.

METHODS

We retrospectively compiled twelve patients' medical information with a new onset of MS or NMOSD in their first six weeks following a COVID-19 vaccine.

RESULTS

We report twelve cases of MS (n = 9), clinically isolated syndrome (CIS)(n = 1), and NMOSD (n = 2) following COVID-19 inactivated vaccines (n = 11) or viral vector vaccines (n = 1), within some days following either the first (n = 3), second dose (n = 8), or third dose (n = 1). Their median age was 33.3 years, ranging from 19 to 53 years. Ten were women (83 %). All patients fully (n = 5) or partially (n = 2) recovered after receiving 3 doses of Corticosteroids. Common medications were Natalizumab, Teriflunomide, Dimethyl fumarate, and Rituximab. Also, Interferon beta 1-a was administered to one patient with severe symptoms of numbness.

CONCLUSION

Our case series identifies the Sinopharm BBIBP-CorV and the AstraZeneca AZD1222 vaccines as potential triggers for CNS demyelinating diseases. Vaccine administration routines are not affected by these rare and coincidental events. However, these manifestations are not deniable and require serious attention. Further investigations are needed to clarify the actual mechanisms and real associations.

National and subnational burden of brain and central nervous system cancers in Iran, 1990-2019: Results from the global burden of disease study 2019

INTRODUCTION

Central nervous system cancers (CNS cancers) impose a significant burden upon healthcare systems worldwide. Currently, the lack of a comprehensive study to assess various epidemiological indexes of CNS cancers on national and subnational scales in Iran can hamper healthcare planning and resource allocation in this regard. This study aims to fill this gap by providing estimates of CNS cancer epidemiological measures on national and subnational levels in Iran from 1990 to 2019.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study is a part of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 that contains epidemiological measures including prevalence, incidence, mortality, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), Years Lived with Disability (YLDs), and Years of Life Lost (YLLs) of CNS cancers. Age standardization was utilized for comparing different provinces.

RESULTS

In 2019, 5811 (95% Uncertainty Interval: 2942-7046) national new cases and 3494 (1751-4173) deaths due to CNS cancers were reported. National age-standardized incidence (ASIR), deaths (ASDR), and DALYs rates were 7.3 (3.7-8.8), 4.6 (2.3-5.5), and 156.4 (82.0-187.0) per 100,000 in 2019, respectively. Subnational results revealed that ASDR and ASIR have increased in the past 30 years in all provinces. Although incidence rates have increased in all age groups and genders since 1990, death rates have remained the same for most age groups and genders except for young patients aged under 15, where a decrease in mortality and YLLs can be observed.

CONCLUSION

The incidence, deaths, and DALYs of CNS cancers increased at national and subnational levels. These findings should be considered for planning and resource allocation.

The relationship between retinal layer thickness and cognition in patients with multiple sclerosis: A systematic review of current literature

Background: This study was conducted to evaluate the relationship between retinal layer thickness (RLT) and cognition in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). Methods: We searched PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. The search strategy included the MeSH and text words as ["ora serrata" OR "retina" OR ("coherence tomography" AND "optical") OR "OCT tomography" OR (tomography AND OCT) OR "optical coherence tomography" OR "OCT" OR "retinal thickness" OR "inner plexiform layer" OR "nerve fiber layer" OR "ganglion cell layer" OR "inner nuclear layer" OR "outer plexiform layer" OR "outer nuclear layer" OR "external limiting membrane" OR "inner segment layer" OR "outer segment layer" OR "retinal pigment epithelium"] AND ["cognition"* OR "cognitive function"* OR (function* AND cognitive)] AND [(sclerosis AND multiple) OR (sclerosis AND disseminated) OR "disseminated sclerosis" OR "multiple sclerosis" OR "acute fulminating"]. Results: The literature search revealed 1090 articles; after deleting duplicates, 980 remained. Finally, 14 studies were included. Totally, 1081 patients were evaluated. Mean age ranged from 31 to 55 years. In some studies, there was a correlation between cognition and retinal thickness, while others did not confirm this finding. Some authors found cognitive impairment (CI) in patients with MS with RLT. Conclusion: The results of this systematic review show that there are discrepancies between the results of studies regarding the relationship between RLT and cognition status in patients with MS. Further studies with more included original studies and meta-analysis are recommended.

The prevalence of restless legs syndrome (RLS) in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS): a systematic review and meta-analysis-an update

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of restless legs syndrome (RLS) is reported to vary in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) in studies which are conducted in different populations. The goal of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to update the prevalence of RLS in MS cases.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and gray literature including references from identified studies and conference abstracts which were published up to June 2021. Data on the total number of participants, first author, country, disease duration, number of controls, mean patient age, male and female numbers, mean EDSS, and number of cases and/or controls with RLS were extracted from the included studies.

RESULTS

The literature search revealed 855 articles; after deleting duplicates, 530 remained. For the meta-analysis, 75 studies were included (Fig. 1). In six articles, the authors did not differentiate between CIS and MS cases when reporting RLS cases. In total, 15,411 MS/CIS patients were evaluated and 4309 had RLS. The pooled prevalence of RLS was 28% (95% CI: 24-33%). The pooled prevalence of RLS in men was 22% (95% CI: 17-26%), and the pooled prevalence of RLS in women was 30% (95% CI: 25-35%). The pooled prevalence of RLS in controls was 8% (95% CI: 6-10%).

CONCLUSION

The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis show that the pooled prevalence of RLS is 28% in MS cases and 8%. The pooled prevalence is higher in women than men (30% vs 22%).

Predicting Iran's achievement to Sustainable Development Goal 3.2: A systematic analysis of neonatal mortality with scenario-based projections to 2030

BACKGROUND

Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 (SDG 3.2) is to reduce Under-5 and neonatal mortality rates (U5MR and NMR), two major health systems' performance indicators, globally by 2030. We aimed to report Iran's U5MR and NMR status during 2010-2017 and its achievement of SDG 3.2 by 2030, using scenario-based projection.

STUDY DESIGN

To estimate the national and subnational levels of U5MR and NMR, we applied an Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging (EBMA) with Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and Spatio_temporal models. We used all available data sources including: 12-year data from the Death Registration System (DRS), two censuses, and a demographic and health surveys (DHS). This study employed two approaches, Maternal Age Cohort (MAC) and Maternal Age Period (MAP), to analyze summary birth history data obtained from censuses and DHS. In addition, we calculated the child mortality rate directly from DHS using the complete birth history method. National and subnational NMR was projected up to 2030 with a scenario-based method using average Annual Rate of Reduction (ARR) introduced by UN-IGME.

RESULTS

In 2017, national U5MR and NMR were 15·2 (12·4-18·0) and 11·8 (10·4-13·2), with an average ARR of 5·1% (2·1-8·9) and 3·1% (0·9-5·8) during 2010-2017, respectively. According to our projection scenarios, 17 provinces have not fulfilled SDG 3.2 for NMR yet, and the current trend (the current trend of NMR improvement in Iran) will not result in reaching SDG for some provinces by 2030; However, if each province has the same neonatal mortality annual reduction rate as the best-performing province in the same region, besides achieving SDG, the national NMR will be reduced to 5·2, and almost 92,000 newborn lives will be saved.

CONCLUSIONS

Iran has achieved SDG3.2 regarding U5MR and NMR; however, there are provincial inequalities. For all provinces to reach SDG3.2, health policies should focus on reducing provincial inequalities by precise planning for neonatal health care.

Is elevated ALT associated with lifestyle risk factors? A population-based survey

Purpose

Given the high prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and the role of Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) in diagnosing liver injury along with the increasing prevalence of lifestyle risk factors, we aimed to evaluate the association between serum ALT level and lifestyle risk factors in a population-based survey.

Methods

This was a population-based study conducted in rural and urban areas of Iran in 2016. Cluster sampling method was applied to enroll a total of 31,050 participants aged ≥ 18. Demographic data, anthropometric measures, and laboratory samples were gathered. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed using three different cut-off levels for elevated ALT to assess the relationship between elevated ALT and lifestyle risk factors.

Results

The prevalence of elevated ALT was significantly higher in men with elevated body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WTH), hip circumference, and salt consumption, likewise, in women with higher BMI and WTH. In the multivariate logistic model adjusted for age and sex, high WTH (adjusted odds ratio: 1.73; 95% CI 1.52-1.96), BMI > 25 (1.51; 95% CI 1.29-1.76), hip circumference (1.26; 95% CI 1-1.58), and current smoking (0.67; 95% CI 0.56-0.8) were associated with elevated ALT levels using American cut-off (ALT > 33U/L for male and ALT > 25U/L for female). Only physical measurements (BMI, WTH) but not lifestyle risk factors were related to the increased ALT regardless of the selected cut-offs.

Conclusion

As elevated ALT was associated with several lifestyle risk factors, stewardship programs should be established to modify lifestyle risk factors, such as abdominal obesity and physical inactivity.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-022-01137-6.

The socioeconomic gradient of alcohol use: an analysis of nationally representative survey data from 55 low-income and middle-income countries

BACKGROUND

Alcohol is a leading risk factor for over 200 conditions and an important contributor to socioeconomic health inequalities. However, little is known about the associations between individuals' socioeconomic circumstances and alcohol consumption, especially heavy episodic drinking (HED; ≥5 drinks on one occasion) in low-income or middle-income countries. We investigated the association between individual and household level socioeconomic status, and alcohol drinking habits in these settings.

METHODS

In this pooled analysis of individual-level data, we used available nationally representative surveys-mainly WHO Stepwise Approach to Surveillance surveys-conducted in 55 low-income and middle-income countries between 2005 and 2017 reporting on alcohol use. Surveys from participants aged 15 years or older were included. Logistic regression models controlling for age, country, and survey year stratified by sex and country income groups were used to investigate associations between two indicators of socioeconomic status (individual educational attainment and household wealth) and alcohol use (current drinking and HED amongst current drinkers).

FINDINGS

Surveys from 336 287 participants were included in the analysis. Among males, the highest prevalence of both current drinking and HED was found in lower-middle-income countries (L-MICs; current drinking 49·9% [95% CI 48·7-51·2] and HED 63·3% [61·0-65·7]). Among females, the prevalence of current drinking was highest in upper-middle-income countries (U-MIC; 29·5% [26·1-33·2]), and the prevalence of HED was highest in low-income countries (LICs; 36·8% [33·6-40·2]). Clear gradients in the prevalence of current drinking were observed across all country income groups, with a higher prevalence among participants with high socioeconomic status. However, in U-MICs, current drinkers with low socioeconomic status were more likely to engage in HED than participants with high socioeconomic status; the opposite was observed in LICs, and no association between socioeconomic status and HED was found in L-MICs.

INTERPRETATION

The findings call for urgent alcohol control policies and interventions in LICs and L-MICs to reduce harmful HED. Moreover, alcohol control policies need to be targeted at socially disadvantaged groups in U-MICs.

FUNDING

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the US National Institutes of Health.

The prevalence of cancer in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) who received rituximab: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the pooled prevalence of cancer in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) cases who were under treatment with rituximab.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, and google scholar along with gray literature up to April 2021. The search strategy included the MeSH and text words as (("CD20 Antibody" AND Rituximab) OR "Rituximab CD20 Antibody" OR Mabthera OR "IDEC-C2B8 Antibody" OR "IDEC C2B8 Antibody" OR IDEC-C2B8 OR "IDEC C2B8" OR GP2013 OR Rituxan OR rituximab) AND ((Sclerosis AND multiple) OR (sclerosis AND disseminated) OR "disseminated sclerosis" OR "multiple sclerosis" OR "acute fulminating").

RESULTS

The literature search revealed 3577 articles, after deleting duplicates 2066 remained. For the meta-analysis, 22 studies were included. Totally, 15599 patients were enrolled while 133 cancers were detected. The pooled prevalence of cancer in MS patients under treatment with rituximab is 1in 100,000 (I2 = 99.9%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis show that the pooled prevalence of cancer in MS patients who received rituximab is 1 in 100,000 cases.

Burden of stroke in North Africa and Middle East, 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019

BACKGROUND

While several studies investigated the epidemiology and burden of stroke in the North Africa and Middle East region, no study has comprehensively evaluated the age-standardized attributable burden to all stroke subtypes and their risk factors yet.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study is to explore the regional distribution of the burden of stroke, including ischemic stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and intracerebral hemorrhage, and the attributable burden to its risk factors in 2019 among the 21 countries of North Africa and Middle East super-region.

METHODS

The data of the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 on stroke incidence, prevalence, death, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs) rates, and attributed deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs to stroke risk factors were used for the present study.

RESULTS

The age-standardized deaths, DALYs, and YLLs rates were diminished statistically significant by 27.8, 32.0, and 35.1% from 1990 to 2019, respectively. Attributed deaths, DALYs, and YLLs to stroke risk factors, including high systolic blood pressure, high body-mass index, and high fasting plasma glucose shrank statistically significant by 24.9, 25.8, and 28.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

While the age-standardized stroke burden has reduced during these 30 years, it is still a concerning issue due to its increased burden in all-age numbers. Well-developed primary prevention, timely diagnosis and management of the stroke and its risk factors might be appreciated for further decreasing the burden of stroke and its risk factors and reaching Sustainable Development Goal 3.4 target for reducing premature mortality from non-communicable diseases.

Aptamer-conjugated carbon-based nanomaterials for cancer and bacteria theranostics: A review

Aptamers are single-stranded oligonucleotides that link to various substrates with great affinity and selectivity, including small molecules, peptides, proteins, cells, and tissues. For this reason, they can be used as imaging agents for cancer imaging techniques. Multifunctional nanomaterials combined with imaging probes and drugs are promising cancer diagnosis and treatment candidates. On the other hand, carbon-based nanomaterials (CNMs), including such as fullerene, carbon nanotubes, carbon-based quantum dots, carbon nanohorns, graphene oxide and its derivatives carbon nanodots, and nanodiamonds, are sort of smart materials that can be used in a variety of theranostic applications, including photo-triggered therapies. The remarkable physical characteristics, functionalizable chemistry, biocompatibility, and optical properties of these nanoparticles have enabled their utilization in less-invasive therapies. The theranostic agents that emerged by combining aptamers with CNMs have opened a novel alternative for personified medicine of cancer, target-specific imaging, and label-free diagnosis of a broad range of cancers, as well as pathogens. Aptamer-functionalized CNMs have been used as nanovesicles for targeted delivery of anti-cancer agents (i.e., doxorubicin and 5-fluorouracil) to tumor sites. Furthermore, these CNMs conjugated with aptamers have shown great advantages over standard CNMs to sensitively detect Mycobacterium tuberculosis, Escherichia coli, staphylococcus aureus, Vibrio parahaemolyticus, Salmonella typhimurium, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Citrobacter freundii. Regrettably, CNMs can form compounds defined as NOAA (nano-objects, and their aggregates and agglomerates larger than 100 nm), that accumulate in the body and cause toxic effects. Surface modification and pretreatment with albumin avoid agglomeration and increase the dispersibility of CNMs, so it is needed to guarantee the desirable interactions between functionalized CNMs and blood plasma proteins. This preliminary review aimed to comprehensively discuss the features and uses of aptamer-conjugated CNMs to manage cancer and bacterial infections.

Olfactory dysfunction in patients with multiple sclerosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The importance and prevalence of olfactory dysfunction is recently gaining attention in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) as a result of their chronic inflammatory disease, yet different prevalence rates are reported for it. Therefore, we have designed this systematic review to estimate the pooled prevalence of olfactory dysfunction in patients with MS. To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review and meta-analysis on the prevalence of olfactory dysfunction in MS patients.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, ProQuest, and gray literature including references from the identified studies, review studies, and conference abstracts which were published up to January 2021. Articles that were relevant to our topic and could provide information regarding the prevalence of olfactory dysfunction, or the scores of smell threshold, discrimination, or identification (TDI) among MS patients and healthy individuals were included. The pooled prevalence was calculated using a random-effects model and a funnel plot and Egger’s regression test were used to see publication bias.

Results

The literature search found 1630 articles. After eliminating duplicates, 897 articles remained. Two conference abstracts were included for final analysis. A total of 1099 MS cases and 299 MS patients with olfactory dysfunction were included in the analysis. The pooled prevalence of olfactory dysfunction in the included studies was 27.2%. Also, the overall TDI score in MS patients was lower than that in the control group, and the level of Threshold, Discrimination, and Identification per se were lower in MS compared with control respectively.

Conclusion

The results of this systematic review show that the prevalence of olfactory dysfunction in MS patients is high and more attention needs to be drawn to this aspect of MS.

COVID-19 susceptibility and outcomes among patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD): A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We conducted this systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the risk of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), clinical features and outcome among patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD).

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase from December 1, 2019, to July 2, 2021. The gray literature including the references of original studies, review studies, conference abstracts, and WHO COVID-19 database was also searched. We included any type of studies that reported NMOSD patients with COVID-19, prevalence of COVID-19 among NMOSD patients or the infection outcome (hospitalization, intensive care unit [ICU] admission, or mortality).

RESULTS

Out of 540 records, a total of 23 studies (19 published articles and 4 conference abstracts) including 112 NMOSD patients with COVID-19 met the inclusion criteria. Nine studies reporting risk of COVID-19 and nine studies on outcome were included in a quantitative synthesis. The pooled prevalence of COVID-19 was 1.2% (95% CI: 0.001%-0.030%; I2 = 92%, p< 0.001), with hospitalization of 33.7% (95% CI: 23.3-44.8%; I2 = 9.1%, p = 0.360) with 52.9% on rituximab treatment. ICU admission was 15.4% (95% CI: 7.6%-24.7%; I2 = 20.7%, p = 0.272) and mortality was 3.3% (95% CI: 0-9.7%; I2 = 21.3%, p = 0.253). Thirty-eight patients (48.7%) reported at least one comorbidity. The mean age of the included patients was 40.8 (10.63) years, female/male ratio was 3.35:1. The most common COVID-19 symptom was fever (54.5%), followed by fatigue/asthenia (42.9%), headache (41.6%), and cough (40.3%). Four patients developed neurological worsening. The Begg's and Egger's tests showed no evidence of publication bias.

CONCLUSION

The analysis suggests that comorbidity and treatment with rituximab may be risk factors for COVID-19 infection in NMOSD patients.

Parkinson's disease and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) are at higher risk of COVID-19 infection as most of them are at older age. The goal of this study is to update the pooled prevalence of COVID-19 infection in patients with PD.

METHODS

Two researchers systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and also gray literature including references of the included studies which were published before September 2021. We extracted data regarding the total number of participants, first author, publication year, the country of origin, mean age, number with COVID-19, symptoms, hospitalization, and death.

RESULTS

We found 1693 articles by literature search; after deleting duplicates, 798 remained. Thirty articles remained for meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of COVID-19 infection in PD cases was 5% (95%CI: 4-6%) (I² = 98.1%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of fever in cases with PD was 4% (95%CI: 2-6%) (I² = 96%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of cough in cases with PD was 3% (95%CI: 2-4%) (I² = 95.9%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of hospitalization in cases with COVID-19 infection was 49% (95%CI: 29-52%) (I²: 93.5%, P < 0.001). The pooled prevalence of mortality in COVID-19 cases was 12% (95%CI: 10-14%) (I² = 97.6%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis show that the pooled prevalence of COVID-19 infection in PD cases is 5% besides hospitalization and mortality rates which are 49% and 12%.

Global, regional, and national burden and quality of care index of endocarditis: the global burden of disease study 1990-2019

AIMS

Endocarditis accounts for significant morbidity and mortality. Timely diagnosis and prompt treatment are of paramount importance for optimal patient outcome. However, only few studies have assessed quality of care (QoC) in endocarditis. We aimed to describe QoC and changes in epidemiological features of endocarditis from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using primary indices of mortality, incidence, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life year, obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we calculated four secondary measures. Principal component analysis was performed to calculate QoC index (QCI), scored on a scale of 0-100 with higher values indicating better QoC, for different locations, age groups, and genders from 1990 to 2019. The all-ages incidence rate of endocarditis was estimated to increase significantly from 1990 to 2019, while mortality rate did not change. The age-standardized QCI was 73.6% globally, with higher values in high-income countries than in low-income countries. High-income North America (82.0%) and Asia Pacific (81.1%) had the highest QCI, whereas Eastern Europe (43.3%) had the lowest. Globally, the 30-49 and 95+ age groups had the highest (91.3%) and the lowest (71.7%) QCI, respectively. In most countries, particularly those with lower socio-demographic index, women had better QCI.

CONCLUSION

This is the first global assessment of QCI, shedding light on the current trends and highlighting the necessity of improving the endocarditis QoC, mainly by timely case detection, adherence to antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines, utilizing targeted antibiotics and advanced treatments, in the African region and resolving gender inequality in selected countries.

Global, regional, and national survey on the burden and quality of care of pancreatic cancer: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease study 1990-2017

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is among the most lethal cancers worldwide, and the quality of care provided to PC patients is a vital public health concern. We aimed to investigate the quality of care of PC globally and to report its current burden.

METHODS

The Quality of Care Index (QCI) was achieved by performing a Principal Component Analysis utilizing the results of the GBD study 2017. The QCI was defined as a range between 0 and 100, in which higher QCIs show higher quality of care. Possible gender- and age-related inequalities in terms of QCI were explored based on WHO world regions and the sociodemographic index (SDI).

RESULTS

In 2017, Japan had the highest QCI among all countries (QCI = 99/100), followed by Australia (QCI = 83/100) and the United States (QCI = 76/100). In Japan and Australia, males and females had almost the same QCIs in 2017, while in the United States, females had lower QCIs than males. In contrast to these high-QCI nations, African countries had the lowest QCIs in 2017. Besides, QCI increased by SDI, and high-SDI regions had the highest QCIs. Regarding patients' age, elderly cases had higher QCIs than younger patients globally and in high-SDI regions.

CONCLUSION

This study provides clinicians and health authorities with a wider vision around the quality of care of PC worldwide and highlights the existing disparities. This could help them investigate possible effective strategies to improve the quality of care in regions with lower QCIs and higher gender- and age-related inequities.

Estimating the attributable risk of vascular disorders in different ranges of fasting plasma glucose and assessing the effectiveness of anti-diabetes agents on risk reduction; questioning the current diagnostic criteria

INTRODUCTION

Attributable risk of cardiovascular disorders (CVDs) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in association with diabetes and pre-diabetes is under debate. Moreover, the role of anti-diabetes agents in risk reduction of such conditions is obscure. The purpose of this work is to define the population attributable fraction (PAF) of CVDs and CKD in different rages of plasma glucose.

METHOD

Iranian stepwise approach for surveillance of non-communicable disease risk factors (STEPs) was used to calculate PAF in four subsequent phases. Phase 0: whole population regardless of diagnosis; Phase I: in three CVD risk groups: minimal risk (FPG < 100 mg/dL), low risk (FPG 100-126 mg/dL), and high risk (FPG ≥ 126 mg/dL) groups; Phase II: three diagnostic groups: normal, pre-diabetes, and diabetes; Phase III: diabetes patients either receiving or not receiving anti-diabetes agents.

RESULT

A total of 19,503 participants [female-to-male ratio 1.17:1] had at least one FPG measurement and were enrolled. Phase 0: PAF of young adults was lower in the general population (PAF range for CVDs 0.05 ─ 0.27 [95% CI 0.00 ─ 0.32]; CKD 0.03 ─ 0.41 [0.00 ─ 0.62]). Phase I: High-risk group comprised the largest attributable risks (0.46 ─ 0.97 [0.32 ─ 1]; 0.74 ─ 0.95 [0.58 ─ 1]) compared to low-risk (0.16 ─ 0.41 [0.04 ─ 0.66]; 0.29 ─ 0.35 [0.07 ─ 0.5]) and minimal risk groups (negligible estimates) with higher values in young adults. Phase II: higher values were detected in younger ages for diabetes (0.38 ─ 0.95 [0.29 ─ 1]; 0.65 ─ 0.94 [0.59 ─ 1] and pre-diabetes patients (0.15 ─ 0.4 [0.13 ─ 0.45]; 0.26 ─ 0.35 [0.22 ─ 0.4]) but not normal counterparts (negligible estimates). Phase III: Similar estimates were found in both treatment (0.31 ─ 0.98 [0.17 ─ 1]; 0.21 ─ 0.93 [0.12 ─ 1]) and drug-naïve (0.39 ─ 0.9 [0.27 ─ 1]; 0.63 ─ 0.97 [0.59 ─ 1]) groups with larger values for younger ages.

CONCLUSION

Globalized preventions have not effectively controlled the burden of vascular events in Iran. CVDs and CKD PAFs estimated for pre-diabetes were not remarkably different from normal and diabetes counterparts, arguing current diagnostic criteria. Treatment strategies in high-risk groups are believed to be more beneficial. However, the effectiveness of medical interventions for diabetes in controlling CVDs and CKD burden in Iran is questionable.

National and Subnational Trends of Incidence and Mortality of Female Genital Cancers in Iran; 1990-2016

BACKGROUND

The present study aims to assess the incidence and mortality rates of gynecological cancers and their changes from 1990 to 2016 at national and subnational levels in Iran.

METHODS

Annual estimates of incidence and mortality for gynecological cancers from 1990 to 2016 at national and subnational levels were generated as part of a larger project entitled National and Subnational Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (NASBOD). After the precise processing of data extracted from the Iran Cancer Registry, annual age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated for each cancer, province, year and age group during the period of the study.

RESULTS

In 2016, gynecological cancers constituted 8.0% of new cancer cases among women of all ages compared to 3.7% of new cases of cancer among women in 1990. The incidence rate of gynecological cancers has increased from 2.5 (0.9-5.6) per 100000 women in 1990 to 12.3 (9.3-15.7) per 100000 women in 2016, and the most common gynecological cancer has changed from cervical cancer in 1990 to corpus uteri cancer in 2016. Age-standardized incidence rates of ovarian, corpus uteri and vulvovaginal cancers increased from 1.3 (0.5-2.4), 1.7 (0.6-3.0), and 0.3 (0.0-0.7) in 1990 to 4.4 (3.6-5.2), 9.9 (6.8-13.4), and 0.6 (0.2-1.0) in 2016, respectively, showing a 3.3, 5.8 and 1.7-fold increase during this period. Age-standardized incidence rate of cervical cancer was 2.4 (1.7-3.3) cases per 100000 women in 2016 and did not differ significantly from the beginning of the study. An overall reduction was seen in national mortality to incidence ratios (MIR) from 2000 to 2015.

CONCLUSION

The incidence rates of all gynecological cancers in different provinces have shown a converging trend that could indicate that attempts toward health equality have been effective. The declining trend of MIR could be interpreted as advancements in detection of cancer in its early stages and also improvements in treatments, in turn reflecting improvements in access to and quality of care.

Improved Population Health in Iran from 1979 to 2019; Decreasing Mortality Rates and Increasing Life Expectancy

BACKGROUND

In this study, we seek to evaluate the population health improvements during the previous four decades in Iran. We have estimated the levels and trends of child and adult mortality in addition to life expectancy from 1979 to 2019 at national and sub-national levels using all the available data.

METHODS

In this study, we used data from National and Sub-National Burden of Diseases study and employed Bayesian Averaging Model (BAM) to predict mortality rates and life expectancy from 1979 to 2019. By including all available data sources of death information of Iran, including national level data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), national censuses, Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), and Death Registration System (DRS) and using Spatio-Temporal and Gaussian Process Regression (ST-GPR) models, we estimated mortality rates and life expectancy from 1990 to 2015. We also used a BAM to project our desired indices until 2019.

RESULTS

Both child and adult mortality rates decreased dramatically over the period. At the national level in Iran, in 2019, child mortality rate (deaths per 1000 livebirths), was 16.0 (95%UI: 13.0-19.6), adult mortality rates [probability of death (%)] for females and males were 6.1 (5.4-6.8) and 11.5 (10.3-12.8), respectively. Also, life expectancy values for females and males were 81.6 (80.7-82.2) and 76.1 (75.3-76.6), respectively. The results were consistent for both sexes. Despite the total narrowing gaps among provinces, a difference can still be observed particularly for the border provinces regarding child mortality rates. However, the difference in the other measures are inconsiderable. From 1979 to 2019, the overall change percent in child mortality rate, adult mortality rate for females and males and life expectancy for females and males were -86.3% (-89.0%--83.1%), -52.5% (-60.9%--42.9%), -48.7% (-56.9%- -39.6%), 25.3% (20.8%-31.5%), and 31.3% (25.5%-41.3%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study provides an overview of the previous 40 years of mortality rates (child and adult) and life expectancy. The provided framework of national and sub-national evaluation can be used by researchers to continue the path of providing information for prioritization and evaluation of programs and also performing cost-effectiveness analysis for proposing efficient strategies to policy makers.

Phenotyping and long-term follow up of patients with hyper IgE syndrome

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Long-term follow up of patients with hyper IgE syndrome (HIES), as a primary immunodeficiency disorder, has been poorly investigated. This study describes common clinical and immunological features of patients with HIES in the last 10 years in Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.

METHODS AND PATIENTS

In this cross-sectional study, the symptoms and medical records of 18 patients, who were diagnosed with HIES, were observed. Genetic and immunologic study was also performed.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients with the mean age of 13 years old were investigated. Ten patients were detected to have mutations in DOCK8 gene and autosomal recessive HIES (AR-HIES); and four patients were found with STAT3 mutation and autosomal dominant HIES (AD-HIES). So, 14 patients with known genetic results were considered for further data analysis. Food allergy, eczema, viral and skin infections were the major complications of AR-HIES patients. The major clinical complications of AD-HIES patients were pneumonia, skin infections and eczema. Food allergy and viral infection were significantly higher in DOCK8 deficient patients. The most common causes of hospitalization in both AR-HIES and AD-HIES patients were pneumonia, skin infections and sepsis. The most common cause of death was found to be sepsis.

CONCLUSIONS

AD-HIES and AR-HIES cannot be differentiated only based on the clinical presentations. Genetic features are also necessary for better diagnosis. This study, summarizing the clinical, immunological and genetic information of the patients with AD-HIES and AR-HIES, may open a way for better diagnosis and management of HIES.

Bayesian framework for parametric bivariate accelerated lifetime modeling and its application to hospital acquired infections

Infectious diseases that can be spread directly or indirectly from one person to another are caused by pathogenic microorganisms such as bacteria, viruses, parasites, or fungi. Infectious diseases remain one of the greatest threats to human health and the analysis of infectious disease data is among the most important application of statistics. In this article, we develop Bayesian methodology using parametric bivariate accelerated lifetime model to study dependency between the colonization and infection times for Acinetobacter baumannii bacteria which is leading cause of infection among the hospital infection agents. We also study their associations with covariates such as age, gender, apache score, antibiotics use 3 months before admission and invasive mechanical ventilation use. To account for singularity, we use Singular Bivariate Extreme Value distribution to model residuals in Bivariate Accelerated lifetime model under the fully Bayesian framework. We analyze a censored data related to the colonization and infection collected in five major hospitals in Turkey using our methodology. The data analysis done in this article is for illustration of our proposed method and can be applied to any situation that our model can be used.

Optimizing Trehalose-Based Quantification of Live Eggs in Potato Cyst Nematodes (Globodera rostochiensis and G. pallida)

Integrated management of potato cyst nematodes (PCN; Globodera rostochiensis and G. pallida) relies heavily on the determination of cyst population densities in soil as well as the viability of the eggs inside the cysts. This study aimed to optimize a quantitative method to determine the number of viable eggs of PCN based on trehalose present in live eggs. Trehalose was extracted from cysts and from a dilution series of eggs and quantified. More trehalose was detected when cysts were crushed than when left intact. Reaction volumes were adapted to the number of eggs because small reaction volumes hampered an accurate extraction of trehalose. A maximum of 10.5 eggs/μl of reaction volume should be used to obtain a significant linear relationship between detected trehalose content and egg numbers. The sensitivity of the trehalose-based method was evaluated by determining the lowest egg detection limit and was defined as five viable eggs. The reliability of this method was tested by comparing efficacy with that of two commonly used assays, visual assessment and hatching test. The trehalose-based method gave viability results similar to those of the visual assessment, which is time consuming, requires trained personnel, and can involve some subjectivity. The hatching test identified fewer viable eggs than the other two methods. In addition, the viability of dead eggs (heated and naturally dead) was tested. No false-positive results (dead eggs declared viable) were obtained with the trehalose-based method. The robustness of the test was demonstrated by measuring the viability of eggs of PCN in different experiments repeated in time. The viability assessment method based on trehalose proved to be an objective as well as sensitive, reliable, robust, fast, and cheap technique for assessing the number of viable eggs in PCN cysts.

An audit of the efficacy of a structured handover tool in obstetric anaesthesia

INTRODUCTION

The SAFE handover tool was developed to reduce critical omissions during handovers in obstetric anaesthesia. It comprises a simple proforma onto which the outgoing team documents patients who fall into one of four anaesthetically relevant categories: Sick patients; At-risk patients (of emergency caesarean section, major haemorrhage or anaesthetic problems); Follow-ups; and Epidurals. We hypothesised that its use would reduce the number of critical omissions at handover.

METHODS

The efficacy of the SAFE handover tool was assessed through several audit cycles in a single maternity unit. The four SAFE categories were considered the gold standard, since they encompassed the consensus opinion of senior obstetric anaesthetists with respect to parturients they most wanted to know about at handover. Against these criteria it was possible to compare the number of cases that should have been handed-over against the number that were actually handed-over.

RESULTS

After implementation of the handover tool, patients were four times more likely to be handed-over than without the use of the tool: an increase from 49% to 79% of relevant cases (P<0.0001, OR 4.1, 95% CI 2.19-7.6). The handover tool was particularly effective at increasing the handover rates of Sick and At-risk parturients, which increased from 21% to 67% (P<0.0001, OR 7.7, 95% CI 2.7-21.7) and 25% to 78% (P<0.01, OR 9.9, 95% CI 1.6-61.6), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The SAFE handover tool significantly increased handover rates of anaesthetically relevant parturients. It is easy to remember and consistent with UK National Health Service Litigation Authority's guidance on risk management in maternity units.

Stent conformity in curved vascular models with simulated aneurysm necks using flat-panel CT: an in vitro study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Radiographic visibility of self-expandable intracranial stents is insufficient for assessment of conformability and deployment characteristics. The purpose of this study was to evaluate stent mechanics in a curved vessel model by using Flat-Panel CT (FPCT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The following stents were used: Neuroform 2, Neuroform Treo, Enterprise, and LEO. All stents were bent in the same polytetrafluoroethylene tubes with various angles ranging from 150 degrees to 30 degrees . To visualize potential prolapse of the stent struts, 4-, 5-, and 8-mm openings were created. FPCTs were obtained using a C-arm with flat detector.

RESULTS

FPCT scans provided excellent visualization of deployment characteristics and stent mechanics and was superior to digital subtraction angiography (DSA) and digital radiography (DR). The Neuroform2/Treo showed, with increasing angle and diameter of the opening, a continuous increase in cell size. These stents also showed an outward prolapse at the convexity and an inwards prolapse of struts at the concavity of the curvature. The Enterprise showed an increasing trend to flatten and to kink with curvatures that are more acute. The LEO showed fewer trends to kink but an inward crimping of its ends with more acute angles.

CONCLUSIONS

Deployment characteristics and conformability to a curved vessel model vary considerably, depending on the angle and the stent design. Adverse mechanics such as increased cell opening, strut prolapse, flattening, and kinking occur during stent placement in a curved vessel model, and may gain clinical importance. FPCT is superior to DSA and DR in visualizing small metallic stents and enables accurate detection of adverse stent mechanics.

First Report of Pratylenchus neglectus and P. thornei Infecting Canola and Weeds in Iran

Cultivation of canola (Brassica napus L.) is relatively new in Iran. Because nearly 90% of Iran's edible oil is imported, farmers are subsidized and encouraged to grow this crop. Except for the sugar beet cyst nematode, Heterodera schachtii, to which susceptibility of some canola cultivars has been established (1), information on other nematode pests of canola is lacking. During a survey from April-May 2002 and repeated in 2003, soil and root samples of winter canola and weeds were collected at harvest of canola from research stations and farmers' fields in the south, west, and northwest of Tehran Province. Each sample was a composite of 25 roots and 2 kg of soil per hectare, collected from the rhizosphere of canola with a 2.5-cm-diameter soil corer. Samples were put in plastic bags and kept at 5°C until they were processed, within 2 weeks from sampling. Samples were sieved through a 0.840-cm aperture sieveand mixed thoroughly. Nematodes were extracted from subsamples of 5 g of roots and 250 g of soil with a modification of the sugar centrifugal flotation method (2), counted, and identified. Two species of root lesion nematodes, Pratylenchus neglectus and P. thornei, were found. When they were present in the same field, they occurred in the roots of both Regents × Cobra and Orient cultivars. Averages of 28 and 321 P. thornei per gram were found in the roots of cvs. Regents × Cobra and Orient, respectively. Averages of 30, 1,026, 626, and 450 P. neglectus per gram of roots of cvs. Regents × Cobra, Orient, Ocapi, and GLSIO were detected, respectively, in different fields. Heavily infected plants were stunted and had roots with dark lesions, a symptom typical of the attacks by these nematodes. Generally, greater nematode densities were in the roots than in the soil and both nematode species were more abundant in cooler than in warmer areas of the province. Since these nematodes are also severe pests of wheat, which is also grown in the province, they could pose a potential threat to both crops. Weeds that were present in the sampled fields belonged to the botanical families Scrophulariaceae, Gramineae, Euphorbiaceae, Crucifereae, and Compositeae. Between 22 and 1,500 P. thornei and 17 P. neglectus per gram of roots of Crucifereae and 280 P. thornei per gram of roots of Gramineae were found. To our knowledge, this is the first report of lesion nematodes infecting canola plants in Iran. References: (1) S. Fatemy and E. Abootorabi. Nematol. Mediterr. 30:163, 2002. (2) W. R. Jenkins. Plant Dis. Rep. 48:692, 1964.

Topical H2 antagonist prevents periodontitis in a rabbit model

Cimetidine is a powerful H2 receptor antagonist that eliminates histamine's effects on chemotaxis, phagocytosis, and superoxide anion production by phagocytes. The purpose of this study was to analyze the clinical and histopathological changes associated with experimental periodontitis in rabbits in response to topically applied cimetidine. Experimental periodontitis was induced in 21 New Zealand White rabbits using Porphyromonas gingivalis (10(9) CFU) topically applied three times a week for a 6-week period to previously ligatured teeth. Topical application of cimetidine in a liposome carrier for the prevention of periodontitis was evaluated in four groups of four animals each: 1, 10, and 100 mg/ml and no treatment (positive control). In addition, there was a vehicle group (n = 3) that received liposome preparation (carrier) only, and two animals with ligature application alone served as negative controls. Periodontal disease was quantified by direct visualization and radiographical evaluation of bone loss on defleshed skulls and by histological analyses of sections stained with hematoxylin-eosin and tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase. In the no-treatment (positive control) and liposome (vehicle) groups, direct visualization and radiological measurements revealed statistically significant bone loss compared to the negative control. Application of cimetidine at all concentrations tested inhibited inflammation and bone loss by >90%. Histological findings revealed that ligated sites of the positive control and vehicle groups showed significant reduction in bone level (P < 0.05) compared to the three cimetidine groups, with a marked decrease in inflammation. The findings of this study provide morphological and histological evidence that topically active cimetidine is a potent inhibitor of P. gingivalis-elicited periodontal inflammation, arresting and/or preventing tissue destruction and influencing cell populations present in the inflammatory cell infiltrate.

RvE1 protects from local inflammation and osteoclast- mediated bone destruction in periodontitis

Periodontitis is a well-appreciated example of leukocyte-mediated bone loss and inflammation that has pathogenic features similar to those observed in other inflammatory diseases such as arthritis. Resolvins are a new family of bioactive products of omega-3 fatty acid transformation circuits initiated by aspirin treatment that counter proinflammatory signals. Because it is now increasingly apparent that local inflammation plays a critical role in many diseases, including cardiovascular disease, atherosclerosis, and asthma, experiments were undertaken to evaluate the actions of the newly described EPA-derived Resolvin E1 (RvE1) in regulation of neutrophil tissue destruction and resolution of inflammation. The actions of an aspirin-triggered lipoxin (LX) analog and RvE1 in a human disease, localized aggressive periodontitis (LAP), were determined. Results indicate that neutrophils from LAP are refractory to anti-inflammatory molecules of the LX series, whereas LAP neutrophils respond to RvE1. In addition, RvE1 specifically binds to human neutrophils at a site that is functionally distinct from the LX receptor. Consistent with these potent actions, topical application of RvE1 in rabbit periodontitis conferred dramatic protection against inflammation induced tissue and bone loss associated with periodontitis.

Occurrence of plant parasitic nematodes (Tylenchina) in sugar beet fields in Fars province, Iran

On a survey of plant parasitic nematode fauna, belonging to the suborder Tylenchina, about 110 soil and root samples were collected from different sugar beet field in fars Province in Iran. The samples were washed and the nematodes were extracted by Centrifugal Flotation Technique according to the modified method by De Grisse, 1969. They were fixed and transferred to glycerine, then permanent slides were mounted. Morphological and morphometrical characters of collected species were carefully studied and the characters were compared with the original descriptions and differences were discussed. In this study 18 species belonging to 11 different genera of subordes Tylenchina were identified as follows. Boleodorus thylactus, Ditylenchus destructor, D. dipsaci Geocenamus brevidens, G. rugosus, Helicotylenchus digonicus, H. pseudorobustus, H. vulgaris, Heterodera filipjevi, H. schachtii, Pratylenchus neglectus, P. thornei, Psilenchus hilarulus, P. hilarus, Stictylus mucronatus, Tylenchorhynchus ventrosinatus, Tylenchus davainei and Zygotylenchus guevarai. The species of the genera Ditylenchus, Heterodera, Pratylenchus and Psilenchus were comparatively more distributed than the others. This investigation revealed that sugar beet cyst nematode (Heterodera schachti) was found already in most sugar beet fields in this Province. Fathabod, Marvdasht and Tasuj-kwar were the most infested areas. Cysts collected from 100 gr. Of soil samples were 120 to 121 in number and the eggs and second stage larvae in each gr. of soil were 104.1 to 104.5 respectively.

Initial outcomes in the Multicenter Study of Epilepsy Surgery

OBJECTIVE

To obtain prospective data regarding seizures, anxiety, depression, and quality of life (QOL) outcomes after resective epilepsy surgery.

METHODS

The authors characterized resective epilepsy surgery patients prospectively at yearly intervals for seizure outcome, QOL, anxiety, and depression, using standardized instruments and patient interviews.

RESULTS

Of 396 patients who underwent resective surgical procedures, 355 were followed for at least 1 year. Of these, 75% achieved a 1-year remission at some time during follow-up; patients with medial temporal (77%) were more likely than neocortical resections (56%) to achieve remission (p = 0.01). Relapse occurred in 59 (22%) patients who remitted, more often in medial temporal (24%) than neocortical (4%) resected patients (p = 0.02). QOL, anxiety, and depression all improved dramatically within 3 months after surgery (p < 0.0001), with no significant difference based on seizure outcome. After 3 months, QOL in seizure-free patients further improved gradually, and patients with seizures showed gradual declines. By 12 and 24 months, overall QOL and its epilepsy-targeted and physical health domains were significantly different in the two outcome groups. (Anxiety and depression scores also gradually diverged, with improvements in seizure-free and declines in continued seizure groups, but differences were not significant.)

CONCLUSION

Resective surgery for treatment of epilepsy significantly reduces seizures, most strikingly after medial temporal resection (77% 1 year remission) compared to neocortical resection (56% 1 year remission). Resective epilepsy surgery has a gradual but lasting effect on QOL, but minimal effects on anxiety and depression. Longer follow-up will be essential to determine ultimate seizure, QOL, and psychiatric outcomes of epilepsy surgery.