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Kura K, Mutono N, Basáñez MG, Collyer BS, Coffeng LE, Thumbi SM, Anderson RM. How Does Treatment Coverage and Proportion Never Treated Influence the Success of Schistosoma mansoni Elimination as a Public Health Problem by 2030? Clin Infect Dis 2024; 78:S126-S130. [PMID: 38662698 PMCID: PMC11045018 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/28/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The 2030 target for schistosomiasis is elimination as a public health problem (EPHP), achieved when the prevalence of heavy-intensity infection among school-aged children (SAC) reduces to <1%. To achieve this, the new World Health Organization guidelines recommend a broader target of population to include pre-SAC and adults. However, the probability of achieving EPHP should be expected to depend on patterns in repeated uptake of mass drug administration by individuals. METHODS We employed 2 individual-based stochastic models to evaluate the impact of school-based and community-wide treatment and calculated the number of rounds required to achieve EPHP for Schistosoma mansoni by considering various levels of the population never treated (NT). We also considered 2 age-intensity profiles, corresponding to a low and high burden of infection in adults. RESULTS The number of rounds needed to achieve this target depends on the baseline prevalence and the coverage used. For low- and moderate-transmission areas, EPHP can be achieved within 7 years if NT ≤10% and NT <5%, respectively. In high-transmission areas, community-wide treatment with NT <1% is required to achieve EPHP. CONCLUSIONS The higher the intensity of transmission, and the lower the treatment coverage, the lower the acceptable value of NT becomes. Using more efficacious treatment regimens would permit NT values to be marginally higher. A balance between target treatment coverage and NT values may be an adequate treatment strategy depending on the epidemiological setting, but striving to increase coverage and/or minimize NT can shorten program duration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Klodeta Kura
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London
- Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
| | - Nyamai Mutono
- Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Nairobi, Kenya
- Paul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman
| | - Maria-Gloria Basáñez
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London
- Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
| | - Benjamin S Collyer
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London
- Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
| | - Luc E Coffeng
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - S M Thumbi
- Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Nairobi, Kenya
- Paul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman
- Institute of Immunology and Infection Research, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Roy M Anderson
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London
- Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
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Evaluation of Commercial Concentration Methods for Microscopic Diagnosis of Protozoa and Helminths in Human Stool Samples in a Non-Endemic Area. Microorganisms 2022; 10:microorganisms10061237. [PMID: 35744756 PMCID: PMC9230666 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms10061237] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2022] [Revised: 06/09/2022] [Accepted: 06/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
The diagnosis of intestinal parasitic infections still widely relies on microscopic examination of stools and requires reliable reagents and staff expertise. The ParaFlo® assays (Eurobio Ingen) are ready-to-use concentration methods for parasite egg detection, and they could improve reagent traceability and ease of manipulation. Ninety-three stool samples were analyzed with the ParaFlo® concentration methods and then compared with routine microscopic methods for protozoa and helminth detection: seventy-eight were analyzed with ParaFlo® Bailenger and in-house Thebault or Bailenger concentrations, and fifty-five were analyzed with ParaFlo®DC and the in-house merthiolate-formalin diphasic concentration (DC) method. Fully concordant results were obtained for 75%, 70%, and 69% of samples when comparing ParaFlo® DC and in-house DC, ParaFlo® Bailenger and in-house Bailenger, and ParaFlo® Bailenger and Thebault, respectively. The performances of the ParaFlo® assays did not differ statistically from that obtained with their in-house counterparts (Bailenger and DC) for the detection of protozoa, but ParaFlo® Bailenger performed significantly poorer than the Thebault method (p < 0.001). No statistical differences were observed between the commercial and in-house methods for helminth detection. These marketed concentration methods could be used in routine if combined with other techniques for protozoa detection.
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Clark J, Moses A, Nankasi A, Faust CL, Adriko M, Ajambo D, Besigye F, Atuhaire A, Wamboko A, Rowel C, Carruthers LV, Francoeur R, Tukahebwa EM, Lamberton PHL, Prada JM. Translating From Egg- to Antigen-Based Indicators for Schistosoma mansoni Elimination Targets: A Bayesian Latent Class Analysis Study. FRONTIERS IN TROPICAL DISEASES 2022; 3:825721. [PMID: 35784267 PMCID: PMC7612949 DOI: 10.3389/fitd.2022.825721] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Schistosomiasis is a parasitic disease affecting over 240-million people. World Health Organization (WHO) targets for Schistosoma mansoni elimination are based on Kato-Katz egg counts, without translation to the widely used, urine-based, point-of-care circulating cathodic antigen diagnostic (POC-CCA). We aimed to standardize POC-CCA score interpretation and translate them to Kato-Katz-based standards, broadening diagnostic utility in progress towards elimination. A Bayesian latent-class model was fit to data from 210 school-aged-children over four timepoints pre- to six-months-post-treatment. We used 1) Kato-Katz and established POC-CCA scoring (Negative, Trace, +, ++ and +++), and 2) Kato-Katz and G-Scores (a new, alternative POC-CCA scoring (G1 to G10)). We established the functional relationship between Kato-Katz counts and POC-CCA scores, and the score-associated probability of true infection. This was combined with measures of sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve to determine the optimal POC-CCA scoring system and positivity threshold. A simulation parametrized with model estimates established antigen-based elimination targets. True infection was associated with POC-CCA scores of ≥ + or ≥G3. POC-CCA scores cannot predict Kato-Katz counts because low infection intensities saturate the POC-CCA cassettes. Post-treatment POC-CCA sensitivity/specificity fluctuations indicate a changing relationship between egg excretion and antigen levels (living worms). Elimination targets can be identified by the POC-CCA score distribution in a population. A population with ≤2% ++/+++, or ≤0.5% G7 and above, indicates achieving current WHO Kato-Katz-based elimination targets. Population-level POC-CCA scores can be used to access WHO elimination targets prior to treatment. Caution should be exercised on an individual level and following treatment, as POC-CCAs lack resolution to discern between WHO Kato-Katz-based moderate- and high-intensity-infection categories, with limited use in certain settings and evaluations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessica Clark
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Parasitology, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health & Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Arinaitwe Moses
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Andrina Nankasi
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Christina L. Faust
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Parasitology, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health & Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Moses Adriko
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Diana Ajambo
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Fred Besigye
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Arron Atuhaire
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Aidah Wamboko
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Candia Rowel
- Vector Control Division, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Lauren V. Carruthers
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Parasitology, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health & Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Rachel Francoeur
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Parasitology, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health & Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
- Faculty of Science and Engineering, University of Chester, Chester, United Kingdom
| | | | - Poppy H. L. Lamberton
- Wellcome Centre for Integrative Parasitology, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health & Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Joaquin M. Prada
- Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, United Kingdom
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Kura K, Ayabina D, Hollingsworth TD, Anderson RM. Determining the optimal strategies to achieve elimination of transmission for Schistosoma mansoni. Parasit Vectors 2022; 15:55. [PMID: 35164842 PMCID: PMC8842958 DOI: 10.1186/s13071-022-05178-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2021] [Accepted: 01/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In January 2021, the World Health Organization published the 2021-2030 roadmap for the control of neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). The goal for schistosomiasis is to achieve elimination as a public health problem (EPHP) and elimination of transmission (EOT) in 78 and 25 countries (by 2030), respectively. Mass drug administration (MDA) of praziquantel continues to be the main strategy for control and elimination. However, as there is limited availability of praziquantel, it is important to determine what volume of treatments are required, who should be targeted and how frequently treatment must be administered to eliminate either transmission or morbidity caused by infection in different endemic settings with varied transmission intensities. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this paper, we employ two individual-based stochastic models of schistosomiasis transmission developed independently by the Imperial College London (ICL) and University of Oxford (SCHISTOX) to determine the optimal treatment strategies to achieve EOT. We find that treating school-age children (SAC) only is not sufficient to achieve EOT within a feasible time frame, regardless of the transmission setting and observed age-intensity of infection profile. Both models show that community-wide treatment is necessary to interrupt transmission in all endemic settings with low, medium and high pristine transmission intensities. CONCLUSIONS The required MDA coverage level to achieve either transmission or morbidity elimination depends on the prevalence prior to the start of treatment and the burden of infection in adults. The higher the worm burden in adults, the higher the coverage levels required for this age category through community-wide treatment programmes. Therefore, it is important that intensity and prevalence data are collected in each age category, particularly from SAC and adults, so that the correct coverage level can be calculated and administered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Klodeta Kura
- grid.512598.2London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, London, UK ,grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary’s Campus, Imperial College London, London, UK ,grid.14105.310000000122478951MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, London, UK
| | - Diepreye Ayabina
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7LF UK
| | - T. Deirdre Hollingsworth
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7LF UK
| | - Roy M. Anderson
- grid.512598.2London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, London, UK ,grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary’s Campus, Imperial College London, London, UK ,grid.14105.310000000122478951MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, London, UK ,grid.35937.3b0000 0001 2270 9879The DeWorm3 Project, The Natural History Museum of London, London, UK
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Fergus CA, Ozunga B, Okumu N, Parker M, Kamurari S, Allen T. Shifting the dynamics: implementation of locally driven, mixed-methods modelling to inform schistosomiasis control and elimination activities. BMJ Glob Health 2022; 7:e007113. [PMID: 35110273 PMCID: PMC8811568 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2021] [Accepted: 01/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The integration of more diverse perspectives into the development of evidence for decision-making has been elusive, despite years of rhetoric to the contrary. This has led to cycles of population-based health interventions which have not delivered the promised results. The WHO most recently set a target for schistosomiasis elimination by 2030 and called for cross-cutting approaches to be driven by endemic countries themselves. The extent to which elimination is feasible within the time frame has been a subject of debate. METHODS Systems maps were developed through participatory modelling activities with individuals working on schistosomiasis control and elimination activities from the village through national levels in Uganda. These maps were first synthesised, then used to frame the form and content of subsequent mathematical modelling activities, and finally explicitly informed model parameter specifications for simulations, using the open-source SCHISTOX model, driven by the participants. RESULTS Based on the outputs of the participatory modelling, the simulation activities centred around reductions in water contact. The results of the simulations showed that mass drug administration, at either the current or target levels of coverage, combined with water contact reduction activities, achieved morbidity control in high prevalence Schistosoma mansoni settings, while both morbidity control and elimination were achieved in high prevalence S. haematobium settings within the 10-year time period. CONCLUSION The combination of participatory systems mapping and individual-based modelling was a rich strategy which explicitly integrated the perspectives of national and subnational policymakers and practitioners into the development of evidence. This strategy can serve as a method by which individuals who have not been traditionally included in modelling activities, and do not hold positions or work in traditional centres of power, may be heard and truly integrated into the development of evidence for decision-making in global health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristin Alexis Fergus
- Firoz Lalji Institute for Africa, LSE, London, UK
- Department of International Development, LSE, London, UK
| | - Bono Ozunga
- Vector Control Division, Republic of Uganda Ministry of Health, Mayuge, Uganda
| | - Noah Okumu
- Vector Control Division, Republic of Uganda Ministry of Health, Pakwach, Uganda
| | - Melissa Parker
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | | | - Tim Allen
- Firoz Lalji Institute for Africa, LSE, London, UK
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