Evaluation of Phylogenetic Methods for Inferring the Direction of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Transmission: HIV Prevention Trials Network (HPTN) 052

Phylogenetic inference of pneumococcal transmission from cross-sectional data, a pilot study

Background: Inference on pneumococcal transmission has mostly relied on longitudinal studies which are costly and resource intensive. Therefore, we conducted a pilot study to test the ability to infer who infected whom from cross-sectional pneumococcal sequences using phylogenetic inference. Methods: Five suspected transmission pairs, for which there was epidemiological evidence of who infected whom, were selected from a household study. For each pair, Streptococcus pneumoniae full genomes were sequenced from nasopharyngeal swabs collected on the same day. The within-host genetic diversity of the pneumococcal population was used to infer the transmission direction and then cross-validated with the direction suggested by the epidemiological records. Results: The pneumococcal genomes clustered into the five households from which the samples were taken. The proportion of concordantly inferred transmission direction generally increased with increasing minimum genome fragment size and single nucleotide polymorphisms. We observed a larger proportion of unique polymorphic sites in the source bacterial population compared to that of the recipient in four of the five pairs, as expected in the case of a transmission bottleneck. The only pair that did not exhibit this effect was also the pair that had consistent discordant transmission direction compared to the epidemiological records suggesting potential misdirection as a result of false-negative sampling. Conclusions: This pilot provided support for further studies to test if the direction of pneumococcal transmission can be reliably inferred from cross-sectional samples if sequenced with sufficient depth and fragment length.

Human immunodeficiency virus 1 5'-leader mutations in plasma viruses before and after the development of reverse transcriptase inhibitor-resistance mutations

Human immunodeficiency virus 1 (HIV-1) reverse transcriptase (RT) initiation depends on interaction between viral 5'-leader RNA, RT and host tRNA3Lys. Therefore, we sought to identify co-evolutionary changes between the 5'-leader and RT in viruses developing RT-inhibitor resistance mutations. We sequenced 5'-leader positions 37-356 of paired plasma virus samples from 29 individuals developing the nucleoside RT inhibitor (NRTI)-resistance mutation M184V, 19 developing a non-nucleoside RT inhibitor (NNRTI)-resistance mutation and 32 untreated controls. 5'-Leader variants were defined as positions where ≥20 % of next-generation sequencing (NGS) reads differed from the HXB2 sequence. Emergent mutations were defined as nucleotides undergoing a ≥4-fold change in proportion between baseline and follow-up. Mixtures were defined as positions containing ≥2 nucleotides each present in ≥20 % of NGS reads. Among 80 baseline sequences, 87 positions (27.2 %) contained a variant; 52 contained a mixture. Position 201 was the only position more likely to develop a mutation in the M184V (9/29 vs 0/32; P=0.0006) or NNRTI-resistance (4/19 vs 0/32; P=0.02; Fisher's exact test) groups than the control group. Mixtures at positions 200 and 201 occurred in 45.0 and 28.8 %, respectively, of baseline samples. Because of the high proportion of mixtures at these positions, we analysed 5'-leader mixture frequencies in two additional datasets: five publications reporting 294 dideoxyterminator clonal GenBank sequences from 42 individuals and six National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) BioProjects reporting NGS datasets from 295 individuals. These analyses demonstrated position 200 and 201 mixtures at proportions similar to those in our samples and at frequencies several times higher than at all other 5'-leader positions. Although we did not convincingly document co-evolutionary changes between RT and 5'-leader sequences, we identified a novel phenomenon, wherein positions 200 and 201 immediately downstream of the HIV-1 primer binding site exhibited an extraordinarily high likelihood of containing a nucleotide mixture. Possible explanations for the high mixture rates are that these positions are particularly error-prone or provide a viral fitness advantage.

Community Insights in Phylogenetic HIV Research: The CIPHR Project Protocol

Inferring HIV transmission networks from HIV sequences is gaining popularity in the field of HIV molecular epidemiology. However, HIV sequences are often analyzed at distance from those affected by HIV epidemics, namely without the involvement of communities most affected by HIV. These remote analyses often mean that knowledge is generated in absence of lived experiences and socio-economic realities that could inform the ethical application of network-derived information in 'real world' programmes. Procedures to engage communities are noticeably absent from the HIV molecular epidemiology literature. Here we present our team's protocol for engaging community activists living in Nairobi, Kenya in a knowledge exchange process - The CIPHR Project (Community Insights in Phylogenetic HIV Research). Drawing upon a community-based participatory approach, our team will (1) explore the possibilities and limitations of HIV molecular epidemiology for key population programmes, (2) pilot a community-based HIV molecular study, and (3) co-develop policy guidelines on conducting ethically safe HIV molecular epidemiology. Critical dialogue with activist communities will offer insight into the potential uses and abuses of using such information to sharpen HIV prevention programmes. The outcome of this process holds importance to the development of policy frameworks that will guide the next generation of the global response.

SOPHIE: Viral outbreak investigation and transmission history reconstruction in a joint phylogenetic and network theory framework

Genomic epidemiology is now widely used for viral outbreak investigations. Still, this methodology faces many challenges. First, few methods account for intra-host viral diversity. Second, maximum parsimony principle continues to be employed for phylogenetic inference of transmission histories, even though maximum likelihood or Bayesian models are usually more consistent. Third, many methods utilize case-specific data, such as sampling times or infection exposure intervals. This impedes study of persistent infections in vulnerable groups, where such information has a limited use. Finally, most methods implicitly assume that transmission events are independent, although common source outbreaks violate this assumption. We propose a maximum likelihood framework, SOPHIE, based on the integration of phylogenetic and random graph models. It infers transmission networks from viral phylogenies and expected properties of inter-host social networks modeled as random graphs with given expected degree distributions. SOPHIE is scalable, accounts for intra-host diversity, and accurately infers transmissions without case-specific epidemiological data.

Integrated molecular and affiliation network analysis: Core-periphery social clustering is associated with HIV transmission patterns

This study investigates the two-mode core-periphery structures of venue affiliation networks of younger Black men who have sex with men (YBMSM). We examined the association between these structures and HIV phylogenetic clusters, defined as members who share highly similar HIV strains that are regarded as a proxy for sexual affiliation networks. Using data from 114 YBMSM who are living with HIV in two large U.S. cities, we found that HIV phylogenetic clustering patterns were associated with social clustering patterns whose members share affiliation with core venues that overlap with those of YBMSM. Distinct HIV transmission patterns were found in each city, a finding that can help to inform tailored venue-based and network intervention strategies.

Identification of Genetically Related HCV Infections Among Self-Described Injecting Partnerships

BACKGROUND

The current opioid epidemic across the United States has fueled a surge in the rate of new hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections among young persons who inject drugs (PWIDs). Paramount to interrupting transmission is targeting these high-risk populations and understanding the underlying network structures facilitating transmission within these communities.

METHODS

Deep sequencing data were obtained for 52 participants from 32 injecting partnerships enrolled in the U-Find-Out (UFO) Partner Study, which is a prospective study of self-described injecting dyad partnerships from a large community-based study of HCV infection in young adult PWIDs from San Francisco. Phylogenetically linked transmission events were identified using traditional genetic-distance measures and viral deep sequence phylogenies reconstructed to determine the statistical support of inferences and the direction of transmission within partnerships.

RESULTS

Using deep sequencing data, we found that 12 of 32 partnerships were genetically similar and clustered. Three additional phylogenetic clusters were found describing novel putative transmission links outside of the injecting relationship. Transmission direction was inferred correctly for 5 partnerships with the incorrect transmission direction inferred in more than 50% of cases. Notably, we observed that phylogenetic linkage was most often associated with a lower number of network partners and involvement in a sexual relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

Deep sequencing of HCV among self-described injecting partnerships demonstrates that the majority of transmission events originate from outside of the injecting partnership. Furthermore, these findings caution that phylogenetic methods may be unable to routinely infer the direction of transmission among PWIDs especially when transmission events occur in rapid succession within high-risk networks.

Addressing Ethical Challenges in US-Based HIV Phylogenetic Research

In recent years, phylogenetic analysis of HIV sequence data has been used in research studies to investigate transmission patterns between individuals and groups, including analysis of data from HIV prevention clinical trials, in molecular epidemiology, and in public health surveillance programs. Phylogenetic analysis can provide valuable information to inform HIV prevention efforts, but it also has risks, including stigma and marginalization of groups, or potential identification of HIV transmission between individuals. In response to these concerns, an interdisciplinary working group was assembled to address ethical challenges in US-based HIV phylogenetic research. The working group developed recommendations regarding (1) study design; (2) data security, access, and sharing; (3) legal issues; (4) community engagement; and (5) communication and dissemination. The working group also identified areas for future research and scholarship to promote ethical conduct of HIV phylogenetic research.