Ratio of early transmitral inflow velocity to early diastolic strain rate predicts atrial fibrillation following acute myocardial infarction

The ratio of early transmitral filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate (E/SRe) has been proposed as a new non-invasive measurement of left ventricular filling pressure. We aimed to investigate the ability of E/SRe to predict atrial fibrillation (AF) after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). This was a prospective cohort study of patients (n = 369) with STEMI. Patients underwent an echocardiographic examination a median of two days after pPCI. By echocardiography, transmitral early filling velocity (E) was measured by pulsed-wave Doppler, and early diastolic strain rate (SRe) was measured by speckle tracking of the left ventricle. E was indexed to SRe and the early myocardial relaxation velocity (e') to obtain the E/SRe and E/e', respectively. The endpoint was new-onset AF. During follow-up (median 5.6 years, IQR: 5.0-6.1 years), 23 (6%) of the 369 patients developed AF. In unadjusted analyses, both E/SRe and E/e' were significantly associated with AF [E/SRe: HR = 1.06; (1.03-1.10); p < 0.001, per 10 increase] and [E/e': HR = 1.11 (1.05-1.17); p < 0.001, per 1 increase] and had equal Harrell's C-statistic of 0.71. However, only E/SRe remained an independent predictor after multivariable adjustments for clinical and echocardiographic parameters [E/SRe: HR = 1.06 (1.00-1.11); p = 0.044, per 10 increase]. E/SRe was further significantly associated with AF in patients with E/e' < 14 HR = 1.09 (1.01-1.17); p = 0.030, per 10 increase), also after multivariable adjustments. E/SRe is an independent predictor of AF in STEMI patients, even in subjects with seemingly normal filling pressure.

Relationship Between Prognostic Nutritional Index and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Acute ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Multiple reports relate new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) to poor clinical outcomes in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) who received percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is a reliable indicator of immunonutritional-inflammatory status, and it is linked to clinical outcomes in cardiovascular disease patients. This research aims to explore the relationship between NOAF and PNI.Overall, 600 STEMI patients treated with PCI were recruited for this retrospective analysis. The patients were categorized into the NOAF group or sinus rhythm (SR) group. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were conducted to assess PNI estimation. Lastly, the Kaplan-Meier curve was used to compare all-cause mortality between both groups.The combined NOAF incidence in PCI-treated STEMI patients was 7.7%. PNI was independently correlated with NOAF using multivariate regression analyses (odds ratio [OR], 0.824; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.750-0.906; P < 0.001). In ROC curve analyses, the best PNI threshold value for predicting NOAF was 40.1, with sensitivity, and specificity of 76.09% and 71.30%, respectively area under the curve, 0.787; 95% CI, 0.752-0.819; P < 0.001). After a median of 41-month follow-up, the Kaplan-Meier curve revealed that the NOAF patients displayed an elevated all-cause death incidence compared with SR patients, with a log-rank of P = 0.005.This study demonstrated that PNI is an independent predictor of NOAF in STEMI patients during hospitalization after PCI, which is strongly correlated with a poor outcome upon discharge.

Predicting new onset atrial fibrillation post acute myocardial infarction: Echocardiographic assessment of left atrial size

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly occurs following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Left atrial (LA) size has been reported to predict new onset AF in this cohort, however, the optimal metric of left atrial size for risk stratification following AMI is unknown.

METHODS

Patients presenting to a tertiary hospital with incident AMI (NSTEMI or STEMI) and no history of AF were recruited. All patients underwent guideline-based workup and management for AMI, including transthoracic echocardiographic assessment. Three alternative metrics of left atrial size were determined: LA area, maximal and minimal LA volume indexed to body surface area (LAVImax and LAVImin). The primary endpoint was new onset AF diagnoses.

RESULTS

Four hundred thirty three patients were included in the analysis, of which 7.1% had a new diagnosis of AF within a median follow-up of 3.8 years. Univariate predictors of incident AF included age, hypertension, revascularization with CABG, NSTEMI presentation, right atrial area, and all three metrics of LA size. Among three multivariable models created for the prediction of new onset AF utilizing alternate metrics of LA size, LAVImin was the only LA size metric found to be an independent predictor.

CONCLUSIONS

LAVImin is an independent predictor of new onset AF post AMI. LAVImin outperforms echocardiographic assessment of diastolic dysfunction and alternative metrics of LA size (including LA area and LAVImax) for risk stratification. Further studies are needed to validate our findings in post AMI patients, and evaluate whether LAVImin holds similar advantages over LAVImax in other cohorts.

Usefulness of Diastolic Function Score as a Predictor of Long-Term Prognosis in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background: Left ventricular diastolic function (LVDF) evaluation using a combination of several echocardiographic parameters is an important predictor of adverse events in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). To date, the clinical impact of each individual LVDF marker is well-known, but the clinical significance of the sum of the abnormal diastolic function markers and the long-term clinical outcome are not well-known. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of LVDF score in predicting clinical outcomes of patients with AMI. Methods: LVDF scores were measured in a 2,030 patients with AMI who underwent successful percutaneous coronary intervention from 2012 to 2015. Four LVDF parameters (septal e' ≥ 7 cm/s, septal E/e' ≤ 15, TR velocity ≤ 2.8 m/s, and LAVI ≤ 34 ml/m²) were used for LVDF scoring. The presence of each abnormal LVDF parameter was scored as 1, and the total LVDF score ranged from 0 to 4. Mortality and hospitalization due to heart failure (HHF) in relation to LVDF score were evaluated. To compare the predictive ability of LVDF scores and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) for mortality and HHF, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and landmark analyses were performed. Results: Over the 3-year clinical follow-up, all-cause mortality occurred in 278 patients (13.7%), while 91 patients (4.5%) developed HHF. All-cause mortality and HHF significantly increased as LVDF scores increased (all-cause mortality-LVDF score 0: 2.3%, score 1: 8.8%, score 2: 16.7%, score 3: 31.8%, and score 4: 44.5%, p < 0.001; HHF-LVDF score 0: 0.6%, score 1: 1.8%, score 2: 6.3%, score 3: 10.3%, and score 4: 18.2%, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, a higher LVDF score was associated with significantly higher adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality and HHF. In landmark analysis, LVDF score was a better predictor of long-term mortality than LVEF (area under the ROC curve: 0.739 vs. 0.640, p < 0.001). Conclusion: The present study demonstrated that LVDF score was a significant predictor of mortality and HHF in patients with AMI. LVDF scores are useful for risk stratification of patients with AMI; therefore, careful monitoring and management should be performed for patients with AMI with higher LVDF scores.

Comprehensive Use of Routine Clinical Parameters to Identify Patients at Risk of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Acute Myocardial Infarction

(1) Background: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a significant complication of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Our study aimed to investigate whether routinely checked clinical parameters aid in NOAF identification in modernly treated AMI patients. (2) Patients and methods: Patients admitted consecutively within 2017 and 2018 to the University Clinical Centre in Gdańsk (Poland) with AMI diagnosis (necrosis evidence in a clinical setting consistent with acute myocardial ischemia) were enrolled. Medical history and clinical parameters were checked during NOAF prediction. (3) Results: NOAF was diagnosed in 106 (11%) of 954 patients and was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 4.54, 95% CI 2.50-8.33, p < 0.001). Age, B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), C-reactive protein (CRP), high-sensitivity troponin I, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, potassium, hemoglobin, leucocytes, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, left atrium size, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were associated with NOAF in the univariate logistic analysis, whereas age ≥ 66 yo, BNP ≥ 340 pg/mL, CRP ≥ 7.7 mg/L, and LVEF ≤ 44% were associated with NOAF in the multivariate analysis. (4) Conclusions: NOAF is a multifactorial, significant complication of AMI, leading to a worse prognosis. Simple, routinely checked clinical parameters could be helpful indices of this arrhythmia in current invasively treated patients with AMI.

Risk of arrhythmias after myocardial infarction in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction according to mode of revascularization: a Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial infArction (CARISMA) substudy

AIMS

The Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial infArction (CARISMA) study was an observational trial including 312 patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <40%. Primary percutaneous intervention (pPCI) was introduced 2 years after start of the enrolment, dividing the population into two groups: pre- and post-pPCI. This substudy sought to describe the influence of the mode of revascularization on long-term risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF), bradyarrhythmia, and ventricular tachycardia and the subsequent risk of relevant major cardiovascular events (MACE).

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study included the 268 patients without a history of AF. All patients received an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM) and were followed for 2 years. The choice of revascularization was made by the treating team independently of the trial and retrospectively divided into pPCI, subacute PCI, primary thrombolysis, or no revascularization. Endpoints were new-onset arrhythmia and MACE.A total of 77 patients received no revascularization, whereas 49 received thrombolysis only and 142 received any PCI. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for developing any arrhythmia and the subsequently risk of MACE were increased in non-revascularized or thrombolysed patients compared with PCI-patients (any arrhythmia, non-revascularization: HR = 1.7, P = 0.01 and thrombolysis: HR = 1.6, P = 0.05; MACE, non-revascularization: HR = 3.1, P = 0.05 and thrombolysis: HR = 3.1, P = 0.08). All HRs were adjusted for significant baseline and clinically considered covariates and stratified for calendar year.

CONCLUSION

This study is the first to demonstrate that the long-term risk of arrhythmia documented by an ICM and the subsequent risk of MACE were increased in non-revascularized or thrombolysed patients compared with PCI-patients in a post-MI population with LVEF <40%.

Diastolic function assessed with speckle tracking over a decade and its prognostic value: The Copenhagen City Heart Study

BACKGROUND

The ratio of transmitral early filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) may be a more accurate measure of LV filling pressure then ratio of early filling pressure to early tissue velocity. The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of age, sex, obesity, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, physical activity level, socioeconomic, and psychosocial status on E/e'sr over a decade. Additionally, the predictive value of ΔE/e'sr on future major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has never been explored.

METHOD

The study included 623 participants from the general population, who participated in the 4th and 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS4 and CCHS5). Examinations were median 10 years apart. MACE was the composite endpoint of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and all-cause death.

RESULTS

Follow-up time was median 5.7 years, and 43 (7%) experienced MACE. Mean age was 51 ± 14 years, and 43% were male. Mean ΔE/e'sr was 2.1 ± 23.0 cm. After multivariable adjustment for demographic, clinical, and biochemistry variables, high age (stand. β-coef. = .24, P < .001) and mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) (stand. β-coef. = .17, P < .001) were significantly associated with an accelerated increase in E/e'sr In multivariable Cox regression, E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of MACE (HR = 1.20, 95% CI [1.01; 1.42] per 10 cm increase for both). ΔE/e'sr did only provide incremental prognostic value to change in left atrial volume index of the conventional diastolic measurements.

CONCLUSION

In the general population, age and MAP were predictors of an accelerated increase in E/e'sr over a decade. E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of future MACE.

Machine Learning Methods for Identifying Atrial Fibrillation Cases and Their Predictors in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: The HCM-AF-Risk Model

Background

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients have a high incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and increased stroke risk, even with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age diabetes, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack) scores. Hence, there is a need to understand the pathophysiology of AF/stroke in HCM. In this retrospective study, we develop and apply a data-driven, machine learning–based method to identify AF cases, and clinical/imaging features associated with AF, using electronic health record data.

Methods

HCM patients with documented paroxysmal/persistent/permanent AF (n = 191) were considered AF cases, and the remaining patients in sinus rhythm (n = 640) were tagged as No-AF. We evaluated 93 clinical variables; the most informative variables useful for distinguishing AF from No-AF cases were selected based on the 2-sample t test and the information gain criterion.

Results

We identified 18 highly informative variables that are positively (n = 11) and negatively (n = 7) correlated with AF in HCM. Next, patient records were represented via these 18 variables. Data imbalance resulting from the relatively low number of AF cases was addressed via a combination of oversampling and undersampling strategies. We trained and tested multiple classifiers under this sampling approach, showing effective classification. Specifically, an ensemble of logistic regression and naïve Bayes classifiers, trained based on the 18 variables and corrected for data imbalance, proved most effective for separating AF from No-AF cases (sensitivity = 0.74, specificity = 0.70, C-index = 0.80).

Conclusions

Our model (HCM-AF-Risk Model) is the first machine learning–based method for identification of AF cases in HCM. This model demonstrates good performance, addresses data imbalance, and suggests that AF is associated with a more severe cardiac HCM phenotype.

Prognostic value of ratio of transmitral early filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate in patients with Type 2 diabetes

AIMS

The ratio of early mitral inflow velocity to global diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) has recently emerged as a novel measure of left ventricular filling pressure. E/e'sr has in previous studies demonstrated to have good prognostic value in various patient populations. The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic value of E/e'sr in a large cohort of patients with Type 2 diabetes in relation to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this prospective study, 848 Type 2 diabetic patients (mean age 63.6 ± 10.3 years, 64.7% male) underwent comprehensive echocardiographic examination including 2D speckle tracking in which E/e'sr along with novel and conventional echocardiographic variables were obtained. During follow-up (median: 4.8 years, interquartile range: 4.0-5.3), 122 (14.1%) met the composite outcome of cardiovascular disease, hospitalization, and mortality. Both E/e'sr and E/e' were significantly associated with the outcome [E/e'sr: hazard ratio (HR) 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.05-1.10; P < 0.001, per 0.10 m increase] and (E/e': HR 1.07, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10; P = 0.001, per 1 unit increase). E/e'sr remained an independent predictor after multivariable adjustment for demographical, clinical, and echocardiographic parameters (HR 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01-1.12; P = 0.032, per 10 cm increase). The same was true for E/e' (HR 1.09, 95% CI: 1.04-1.14; P < 0.001, per 1 unit increase). Additionally, E/e'sr provided incremental prognostic information beyond the UK 'Prospective Diabetes Study risk engine' 0.72 (0.68-0.77) vs. 0.74 (0.70-79), P = 0.040.

CONCLUSION

In patients with Type 2 diabetes, E/e'sr provides independent and incremental prognostic information regarding cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.

Coronary heart disease and atrial fibrillation: a vicious cycle

The population suffering from coronary heart disease (CHD) complicated by atrial fibrillation (AF) is rising rapidly. A strong correlation between the two diseases has been reported, and the many common risk factors they share may play prominent roles in their development. In addition, CHD can directly promote the progression of AF by affecting reentry formation, focal ectopic activity, and neural remodeling. At the same time, AF also affects CHD through three aspects: 1) atherosclerosis, 2) the mismatch of blood supply and oxygen consumption, and 3) thrombosis. In conclusion, CHD and AF can aggravate each other and seem to form a vicious cycle. For patients with CHD complicated by AF, principal studies and guidelines have focused on antithrombotic treatment and rhythm control, which are paramount for these patients. Of note, our review sheds light on the strategies to break the cycle of the two diseases, which may be fundamental to treat these patients and optimize the benefit.

Impact of Glomerular Filtration Rate on the Incidence and Prognosis of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent complication of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and is associated with a worse prognosis. Patients with chronic kidney disease are more likely to develop AF. Whether the association between AF and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is also true in AMI has never been investigated. Methods: We prospectively enrolled 2445 AMI patients. New-onset AF was recorded during hospitalization. Estimated GFR was estimated at admission, and patients were grouped according to their GFR (group 1 (n = 1887): GFR >60; group 2 (n = 492): GFR 60–30; group 3 (n = 66): GFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m²). The primary endpoint was AF incidence. In-hospital and long-term (median 5 years) mortality were secondary endpoints. Results: The AF incidence in the population was 10%, and it was 8%, 16%, 24% in groups 1, 2, 3, respectively (p < 0.0001). In the overall population, AF was associated with a higher in-hospital (5% vs. 1%; p < 0.0001) and long-term (34% vs. 13%; p < 0.0001) mortality. In each study group, in-hospital mortality was higher in AF patients (3.5% vs. 0.5%, 6.5% vs. 3.0%, 19% vs. 8%, respectively; p < 0.0001). A similar trend was observed for long-term mortality in three groups (20% vs. 9%, 51% vs. 24%, 81% vs. 50%; p < 0.0001). The higher risk of in-hospital and long-term mortality associated with AF in each group was confirmed after adjustment for major confounders. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that new-onset AF incidence during AMI, as well as the associated in-hospital and long-term mortality, increases in parallel with GFR reduction assessed at admission.

Relationship between left atrial strain, diastolic dysfunction and subclinical atrial fibrillation in patients with cryptogenic stroke: the SURPRISE echo substudy

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) may be the cause of a substantial part of cryptogenic strokes (CS). Echocardiography could assist risk stratification for PAF to select patients in need of prolonged rhythm monitoring. We aimed to assess the value of left atrial (LA) strain and a revised diastolic dysfunction (DDF) model with LA strain for predicting PAF. This was a prospective study of 56 CS patients who had a cardiac monitor implanted for 3 year monitoring for PAF, and an echocardiogram performed prior to monitoring. Conventional echocardiography, global longitudinal strain (GLS) and LA strain were performed. LA speckle tracking provided the LA reservoir strain (LAs). Patients were stratified into high versus low LAs by ROC curves (28.2%), and this cut-off was used to refine DDF grading. During follow-up of median 20 months, 13 (23%) patients were diagnosed with PAF. No conventional echocardiographic parameters differed between patients who developed PAF and those without PAF. However, LAs was significantly impaired in PAF patients (LAs: 30 vs. 27% for non-PAF and PAF, p = 0.046). Low LAs significantly predicted PAF independent of LA volume and GLS [OR 5.88 (1.30; 26.55), p = 0.021]. Revised DDF grading significantly predicted PAF, even when adjusted for the CHADS₂ risk-score (OR 1.88 [1.01;3.50], per increase in DDF grade, p for trend = 0.047), which was not the case for conventional DDF grading. In conclusion, LAs associates with PAF independent of GLS and LA size, and may be used to improve the performance of DDF grading for identifying PAF in CS patients.

Early Versus Late New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Acute Myocardial Infarction: Differences in Clinical Characteristics and Predictors

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) during acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has significant consequences but is often misdiagnosed. The aim of the study was to evaluate predictors of NOAF throughout different phases of AMI. Patients with AMI admitted to a tertiary medical center were analyzed. Exclusion criteria were preexisting AF, AMI onset ≥24 hours prior to admission, in-hospital death, significant valvular disease, and in-hospital coronary artery bypass graft. Study population were AMI without-NOAF, early-AF (AF terminated within 24 hours of admission), and late-AF (beyond the first 24 hours). Overall 5946 patients were included, age: 64.8 ±14.8 years; 30% women. The incidence of NOAF was 4.6%: 1.6% early-AF, and 3% late-AF. Patients with NOAF comprised greater rate of women, cardiovascular risk-factors burden, severe left ventricular-dysfunction, pulmonary hypertension, valvular disorders, and left atrial enlargement compared with patients without-NOAF. Non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction and inferior-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) were significantly more prevalent among early-AF group, while anterior-STEMI, in late-AF. The final multivariate models showed c-statistics of 0.73 and 0.76 for the prediction of new-onset early-AF and late-AF, respectively. In conclusion, there are different clinical predictors of early- versus late-NOAF. The study points out “high risk” AMI population for more meticulous heart rate monitoring for NOAF.

Value of Syntax Score II in Prediction of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With NSTE-ACS Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) has been associated with poor outcome in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACSs). The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between the development of NOAF and severity of coronary artery disease using the SYNTAX score (SS) and SYNTAX score II (SSII) in patients with non-ST-segment elevation ACS (NSTE-ACS) who were treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). A total of 662 patients with NSTE-ACS were consecutively enrolled. The incidence of NOAF was 11.4% among the patients with NSTE-ACS. Mean age was significantly higher in NOAF group ( P = .011). White blood cell count, peak troponin I, high sensitivity C-reactive protein, uric acid, left atrial volume index, and ratio between early mitral inflow velocity and mitral annular early diastolic velocity were significantly higher in NOAF group (respectively, P = .024, P = .017, P = .002, P = .009, P = .025, P < .001, and P < .001). The hemoglobin, ejection fraction, and post PCI thrombolysis in myocardial infarction grade <3 were significantly lower in NOAF group ( P = 001, P = .010, P = .038). The SS and SSII were significantly higher in NOAF group (all P < .001). According to the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis, the SSII was correlated with NOAF ( P < .001) in the study groups. We demonstrated that high SSII is significantly associated with NOAF.

Ratio of Transmitral Early Filling Velocity to Early Diastolic Strain Rate as a Predictor of Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality Following Acute Coronary Syndrome

The ratio of early mitral inflow velocity (E) to early diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) is a significant predictor of cardiac outcomes in various patient populations. This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of E/e'sr for heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, and death due to cardiovascular disease following acute coronary syndrome (ACS). In total, 432 ACS patients underwent echocardiography following percutaneous coronary intervention. The end point was the composite of heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, and death due to cardiovascular disease. Median follow-up was 4.4 (interquartile range 0.2 to 6.3) years. During the follow-up period, 199 (46.1%) met the composite outcome. Mean value of E/e'sr in patients was 0.70 ± 0.37 m. In univariable Cox regression, E/e'sr was a predictor of the composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03 to 1.07, p <0.001, per 0.10 m increase). After multivariable adjustment for demographic and clinical parameters, E/e'sr remained an independent predictor (HR 1.03; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.06; p = 0.013, per 0.10 m increase). Global longitudinal strain (GLS) modified the relation between E/e'sr and outcome (p value for interaction = 0.011). In ACS patients with a relatively preserved systolic function assessed by GLS (GLS ≥ 13.2%), E/e'sr showed to be a significant predictor (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.06 to 1.36; p = 0.005, per 0.10 m increase). In contrast, E/e'sr was not a significant predictor in ACS patients with impaired systolic function (GLS < 13.2%; HR 1.02; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.04; p = 0.28). In conclusion, E/e'sr provides important prognostic information regarding cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in ACS patients. However, E/e'sr was not an independent predictor over that of echocardiographic parameters. Furthermore, E/e'sr is a stronger prognosticator in patients with relatively preserved systolic function as opposed to patients with impaired systolic function.

The value of syntax score to predict new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND AND AIM

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) has been associated with poor outcome in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Also, Syntax score (SS) is a scoring system that is derived from angiographic images and is associated with long-term mortality and major adverse cardiac events. In this study, we aimed to assess the relationship between SS and NOAF with known predictors of atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

In a prospective, single-center, cross-sectional study, 692 patients who were diagnosed with coronary artery disease for the first time were enrolled consecutively. NOAF was defined as atrial fibrillation, which was documented after hospital admission. SS was calculated by a computer software. Multivariable logistic regression analyzes were used to detect the relationship between variables and NOAF.

RESULTS

New-onset atrial fibrillation was detected in 82 patients (11.8%). Patients with NOAF had higher SS (22, interquartile range 18.3-25.1, vs. 12, interquartile range 7-19.5, p < 0.001). According to multivariable logistic regression analysis for NOAF, SS were independently and significantly associated (OR, 1.103; 95% confidence interval, 1.047-1.163; p < 0.001). Other independent predictors of NOAF were TIMI flow <3, C reactive protein, left ventricular ejection fraction, left atrial volume index and E/E' ratio. The optimal cut-off value for SS was 18 for the development of NOAF with 82% sensitivity and 68% specificity (area under the curve: 0.795, 95% confidence interval 0.749-0.841, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Syntax score may be helpful to identify for patients who would develop atrial fibrillation in the setting of ACS.

Correlation between ST segment shift and cardiac diastolic function in patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Diastolic dysfunction is the early sign of myocardial ischemia that usually occurs earlier than ECG changes.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To determine the existence of a correlation between ST segment shift and diastolic dysfunction among patients with AMI.

METHODS

Fourty six patients with significant ST segment elevation or depression and having symptoms of acute myocardial infarction for <12 h were enrolled in this study. Patients were examined for serial ECG, cardiac enzymes, and echocardiography.

RESULTS

There was no significant correlation between ST segment elevation or depression and majority of the diastolic indices. Few diastolic parameters; such as, E/A ratio of the mitral valve and deceleration time of the tricuspid valve showed a direct correlation with the ECG changes. Whereas, the Tei Index of the LV function showed a borderline correlation to the ST segment elevation at discharge.

CONCLUSION

Overall, there was no correlation between either ST segment elevation or depression and the LV or RV diastolic function in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Improvement of the ST segment total score was associated with improvement of the diastolic function grades at discharge. Moreover, this association has shown an evidence of dose response relationship, the more improvement in total score at discharge the more improvement in diastolic function grade level.

Development and validation of a risk stratification score for new-onset atrial fibrillation in STEMI patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention

AIM

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a complication not infrequent in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) and has been associated with worse in-hospital and long-term prognosis. We aimed to develop and validate a risk score based on common clinical risk factors and routine blood biomarkers to assess the early incidence of NOAF post-pPCI, before discharge.

METHODS

The risk score for NOAF occurrence during hospitalisation (about 5 days) was developed in a cohort of 1135 consecutive STEMI patients undergoing pPCI while was externally validated in a temporal cohort of 771 STEMI patients. Biomarkers and clinical variables significantly contributing to predicting NOAF were assessed by multivariate Cox-regression analysis.

RESULTS

Independent predictors of NOAF were age ≥80 years (6.97 [3.40-14.30], hazard ratio [95% CI], P < .001), leukocyte count > 9.68 × 10³ /μL (2.65 [1.57-4.48], P < .001), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) > 80 ng/L (2.37 [1.13-4.95], P = .02) and obesity (2.07 [1.09-3.92], P = .03). By summing the hazard ratios of these predictors we derived the ALBO (acronym derived from: Age, Leucocyte, BNP and Obesity) risk score which yielded high C-statistics in both the derivation (0.734 [0.675-0.793], P < .001) and validation cohort (0.76 [0.688-0.831], P < .001). In both cohorts, using Kaplan-Meier risk analysis, the ALBO score identified a tertile of patients at highest risk (ALBO >4 points), with percentages of NOAF incidence of 30.8% and 27.4% in the derivation and validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The ALBO risk score, comprising biomarkers and clinical variables that can be assessed in hospital setting, could help to identify high-risk patients for NOAF after pPCI so that a prompter action can be taken.

Diastolic Electrocardiographic Parameters Predict Implantable Device Detected Asymptomatic Atrial Fibrillation

Background:

Atrial fibrillation is the most common clinically significant arrhythmia. It is now established that atrial high-rate episodes are highly correlated with atrial fibrillation.

Aims:

To investigate the relation between diastolic electrocardiographic parameters and subclinical atrial fibrillation detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices.

Study Design:

Ccross-sectional study.

Methods:

A total of 203 patients who had a dual-chamber, rate-modulated pacing pacemaker implanted due to sinus node dysfunction were prospectively enrolled in this study. Atrial high-rate episodes were defined as any lasting more than 5 min with an atrial rate of ≥220 beats per minute during the previous year. Patient groups were categorized on the basis of pacemaker interrogation as the absence of atrial high-rate episodes [atrial high-rate episodes (-)] and the presence of atrial high-rate episodes [atrial high-rate episodes (+)]. Episodes related to atrial over sensing were excluded. Twelve-lead surface electrocardiography was independently analyzed by two experienced readers for the measurement of diastolic electrocardiography parameters.

Results:

Among 203 patients (mean age: 67.5±9.1, 60.1% male), 51 (25.1%) with atrial high-rate episodes were defined as group 1 and 152 (74.9%) without atrial high-rate episodes were defined as group 2. Both groups were similar in terms of demographic characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors. Tend-Q and Tend-P were significantly longer in group 2. PQ interval was statistically longer in group 1. Corrected QT interval was significantly longer in group 1. Diastolic electrocardiography index, heart rate and PQ and QT intervals were the only independent predictors of atrial high-rate episodes in patients with dual pacemakers in multivariate analysis.

Conclusion:

Abnormal diastolic electrocardiography parameters are powerful predisposing factors for the initiation of incident atrial fibrillation. Diastolic electrocardiography parameters and a novel diastolic index predict atrial high-rate episodes. Evaluating these parameters enables clinicians to identify patients who are at high risk and who may benefit from prophylactic treatment.

The Effect of Metformin on Diastolic Function in Patients Presenting with ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Introduction

Diastolic dysfunction is an important predictor of poor outcome after myocardial infarction. Metformin treatment improved diastolic function in animal models and patients with diabetes. Whether metformin improves diastolic function in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is unknown.

Methods

The GIPS-III trial randomized STEMI patients, without known diabetes, to metformin or placebo initiated directly after PCI. The previously reported primary endpoint was left ventricular ejection fraction at 4 months, which was unaffected by metformin treatment. This is a predefined substudy to determine an effect of metformin on diastolic function. For this substudy trans-thoracic echocardiography was performed during hospitalization and after 4 months. Diastolic dysfunction was defined as having the combination of a functional alteration (i.e. decreased tissue velocity: mean of septal e’ and lateral e’) and a structural alteration (i.e. increased left atrial volume index (LAVI)). In addition, left ventricular mass index and transmitral flow velocity (E) to mean e' ratio (E/e’) were measured to determine an effect of metformin on individual echocardiographic markers of diastolic function.

Results

In 237 (63%) patients included in the GIPS-III trial diastolic function was measured during hospitalization as well as at 4 months. Diastolic dysfunction was present in 11 (9%) of patients on metformin and 11 (9%) patients on placebo treatment (P = 0.98) during hospitalization. After 4 months 22 (19%) of patients with metformin and 18 (15%) patients with placebo (P = 0.47) had diastolic dysfunction. In addition, metformin did not improve any of the individual echocardiographic markers of diastolic function.

Conclusions

In contrast to experimental and observational data, our randomized placebo controlled trial did not suggest a beneficial effect of short-term metformin treatment on diastolic function in STEMI patients.

Global longitudinal strain predicts incident atrial fibrillation and stroke occurrence after acute myocardial infarction

Patients with acute myocardial infarction are at increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation. We aimed to evaluate whether speckle tracking echocardiography improves risk stratification for atrial fibrillation in these patients.The study comprised of 373 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention. Patients had an echocardiogram performed at a median of 2 days after their STEMI. The echocardiograms consisted of conventional measurements and myocardial strain analysis by speckle tracking from 3 apical projections. The endpoint was a composite of new-onset atrial fibrillation and ischemic stroke. At a median follow-up time of 5.5 years (interquartile range 4.9, 6.1 years), 44 patients developed the endpoint (atrial fibrillation: n = 24, ischemic stroke: n = 24, both: n = 4). Patients who reached the endpoint had significantly reduced systolic function by the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (43% vs 46%; P = 0.042) and global longitudinal strain (10.9% vs 12.6%; P = 0.004), both being univariable predictors. However, only global longitudinal strain remained a significantly independent predictor (hazard ratio 1.12, 95% confidence interval 1.00; 1.25, P = 0.042, per 1% decrease) after multivariable adjustment for baseline predictors (age, sex, diabetes, hypertension, diastolic dysfunction, and LVEF) using Cox regression. Furthermore, global longitudinal strain resulted in significantly higher c-statistics for prediction of outcome compared with LVEF <45% (0.63 vs 0.52; P = 0.026). When stratified into tertiles of global longitudinal strain, it became evident that patients in the lowest tertile mediated this signal with a 2-fold increased risk compared with the highest tertile (hazard ratio 2.10, 95% confidence interval 1.04; 4.25).Global longitudinal strain predicts atrial fibrillation after STEMI and may add valuable information which can help facilitate arrhythmia detection in these patients.

Biological significance of miR-126 expression in atrial fibrillation and heart failure

We investigated the biological significance of microRNA-126 (miR-126) expression in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or heart failure (HF) to examine the possible mechanism of miR-126-dependent AF and development of HF. A total of 103 patients were divided into three groups: AF group (18 men and 17 women, mean age: 65.62±12.72 years), HF group (17 men and 15 women, mean age: 63.95±19.71 years), and HF-AF group (20 men and 16 women, mean age: 66.56±14.37 years). Quantitative real-time PCR was used to measure relative miR-126 expression as calculated by the 2-ΔΔCt method. miR-126 was frequently downregulated in the 3 patient groups compared with controls. This reduction was significantly lower in permanent and persistent AF patients than in those with paroxysmal AF (P<0.05, t-test). Moreover, miR-126 expression was markedly lower in the HF-AF group compared with the AF and HF groups. The 3 patient groups had higher N-terminal prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels, lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), larger left atrial diameter, and higher cardiothoracic ratio compared with controls. There were significant differences in NT-proBNP levels and LVEF among the AF, HF, and HF-AF groups. Pearson correlation analysis showed that relative miR-126 expression was positively associated with LVEF, logarithm of NT-proBNP, left atrial diameter, cardiothoracic ratio, and age in HF-AF patients. Multiple linear regression analysis showed that miR-126 expression was positively correlated with LVEF, but negatively correlated with the logarithm of NT-pro BNP and the cardiothoracic ratio (all P<0.05). Serum miR-126 levels could serve as a potential candidate biomarker for evaluating the severity of AF and HF. However, to confirm these results, future studies with a larger and diverse patient population are necessary.

Association between diastolic dysfunction and future atrial fibrillation in the Tromsø Study from 1994 to 2010

Objective

To investigate the association between echocardiographic measurements with emphasis on diastolic dysfunction and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a population-based cohort study.

Methods

We followed 2406 participants from the Tromsø Study from 1994 to 2010. Left atrial (LA) size and mitral Doppler indices as measured by echocardiography were used for evaluating diastolic dysfunction. Information concerning age, systolic blood pressure, height, heart rate, body mass index, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, self-reported use of alcohol, smoking, coffee, physical activity, antihypertensive treatment, prevalent coronary heart disease, valvular heart disease, heart failure, hypertrophy, diabetes and palpitations were obtained at baseline. The outcome measure was clinical AF, documented by an ECG.

Results

AF was detected in 462 subjects (193 women). Mean age at baseline was 62.6 years. Incidence rate of clinical AF was 12.6 per 1000 person-years. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, moderately enlarged LA was associated with 60% (95% CI 1.2 to 2.0) increased risk of AF. Severely enlarged LA had HR for AF of 4.2 (95% CI 2.7 to 6.5) with p value for linear trend <0.001, and the association was similar in both sexes. Abnormal mitral Doppler flow adjusted for predictor variables did not show a statistically significant association with AF risk. However, when LA size was also adjusted for, the risk of AF increased by 30% (95% CI 1.0 to 1.6).

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that enlarged LA as a measure for diastolic dysfunction is a significant risk factor for AF in both sexes, and adding measures of abnormal diastolic flow increased the predictive ability significantly.

Postoperative atrial fibrillation in liver transplantation

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is common after major surgeries and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. POAF after liver transplantation (LT) has not been reported. This study was undertaken to investigate the incidence, impact, and risk factors of POAF in LT patients. After IRB approval, LT between January 2006 and August 2013 at our center were retrospectively reviewed. POAF that occurred within 30 days after LT was included. Patients with and without POAF were compared and independent risk factors were identified by logistic regression. Of 1387 adults LT patients, 102 (7.4%) developed POAF during the study period. POAF was associated with significantly increased mortality, graft failure, acute kidney injury and prolonged hospital stay. Independent risk factors included age, body weight, MELD score, presence of previous history of AF, the vasopressors use prior to LT and pulmonary artery diastolic pressure at the end of LT surgery (odds ratios 2.0-7.2, all p < 0.05). A risk index of POAF was developed and patients with the high-risk index had more than 60% chance of developing POAF. These findings may be used to stratify patients and to guide prophylaxis for POAF in the posttransplant period.

Echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function are associated with risk of atrial fibrillation in blacks: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Background

Several studies have examined the link between atrial fibrillation (AF) and various echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function in whites and other racial groups but not in blacks. Exploring AF risk factors in blacks is important given that the lower incidence of AF in this racial group despite higher risk factors, is not completely explained.

Methods

We examined the association of echocardiographic measures with AF incidence in 2283 blacks (64.5% women, mean age 58.8 years) free of diagnosed AF and enrolled in the Jackson cohort of Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a prospective study of cardiovascular disease. Echocardiography was performed in 1993–1995, and incident AF was determined by electrocardiograms at a follow-up study exam, hospitalization discharge codes and death certificates through the end of 2009. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for AF associated with the echocardiographic measures, adjusting for age, sex, and known AF risk factors.

Results

During an average follow-up of 13.5 years, 191 (8.4%) individuals developed AF. Left ventricular (LV) internal diameter 2-D (diastole) and percent fractional shortening of LV diameter displayed a U-shaped relationship with risk of AF, while left atrial diameter displayed a J-shaped nonlinear association. LV mass index was associated positively with AF. E/A ratio <0.7 or >1.5 and ejection fraction (EF <50%) were also associated with higher AF risk. These measures improved risk stratification for AF in addition to traditional risk factors, although not significantly {C-statistic of 0.767 (0.714–0.819) vs. 0.744 (0.691–0.797)}.

Conclusions

In a community-based population of blacks, echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function are significantly associated with an increased risk of AF.

Relationship between brain natriuretic peptides and recurrence of atrial fibrillation after successful direct current cardioversion: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence is common after successful direct current cardioversion (DCCV), with a 40% rate of recurrence within the first month. Several studies have investigated the potential association between brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or N-terminal (NT)-proBNP levels before DCCV and the risk of AF recurrence, but results have been inconsistent. We, therefore, conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of all available data to determine whether sinus rhythm (SR) maintenance after successful DCCV may be determined by preprocedural BNP and NT-proBNP levels.

METHODS

We systematically searched Scopus, the Cochrane library, EMBASE, and MEDLINE databases to identify publications evaluating BNP or NT-proBNP levels in relation to post-DCCV AF recurrence, indexed from inception to September 2013. Among the initial 1,067 citations, 18 studies fulfilled the specified criteria. The difference in BNP and NT-proBNP concentrations in the AF recurrence and the SR-maintaining group was estimated by the standardized mean difference and the estimates of the pooled outcomes were evaluated using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Baseline BNP levels in the AF recurrence group were significantly higher compared to BNP levels in the SR-maintaining group (standardized mean difference [SMD] -1.51, confidence interval [CI] [-2.53, -0.48], P = 0.004). Similar results were observed for NT-proBNP levels, which were significantly higher in the AF recurrence group compared with the SR-maintaining group (SMD -0.63, CI [-1.13, -0.14], P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggests that low preprocedural BNP/NT-proBNP levels are associated with SR maintenance. The use of BNP or NT-proBNP for prediction of long-term response to DCCV appears to be useful and should be further evaluated.

Effect of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction on outcomes of atrial fibrillation ablation

Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) is an important pathogenic factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). There are few data on the effect of LVDD on recurrence of AF after catheter ablation. A cohort of 124 patients (59.9 ± 11.7 years, 73.9% male, and 55% with paroxysmal AF) with recalcitrant AF and normal left ventricular systolic function (left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%) undergoing ablation was studied. Each patient underwent transthoracic echocardiography, and LVDD was meticulously graded using rhythm-independent (AF or sinus rhythm) transmitral and tissue Doppler parameters. Patients underwent catheter ablation of AF using a stepwise protocol. All patients were followed up at 3, 6, and 12 months with recurrent AF (>30 seconds) captured by electrocardiography and/or 7-day monitor. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model were used. There was no LVDD in 72 patients (58%), whereas 33 (26.6%), 10 (8.1%), and 9 (7.3%) patients had grades 1, 2, and 3 LVDD, respectively. AF recurred in 49 patients (39.5%) with median time to recurrence of 248 days. Patients with higher grade of LVDD were increasingly more likely to have recurrence (37.5% for no LVDD and 30.3%, 60%, and 66.7% for grades 1, 2, and 3 LVDD, respectively). Significant LVDD (grade 2 or 3) was an independent predictor of recurrence (hazard ratio 2.6, p = 0.009) after adjusting for persistent (vs paroxysmal) AF and left atrial volume. In conclusion, patients with more severe LVDD have a higher risk of AF recurrence after catheter ablation. These patients may derive less benefit from ablation or may require a more extensive ablation approach.

New-onset atrial fibrillation during acute coronary syndromes: predictors and prognosis

INTRODUCTION

New-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently complicates myocardial infarction, with an incidence of 6-21%.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictors and prognosis of new-onset AF during acute coronary syndromes (ACS).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational cohort study including 902 consecutive patients (mean age 64 years, 77.5% male) admitted to a single center over a two-year period, with a six-month follow-up.

RESULTS

AF rhythm was identified in 13.8% patients, of whom 73.3% presented new-onset AF and 26.8% pre-existing AF. New-onset AF was more frequent in older (p<0.001) and hypertensive patients (p=0.001) and in those with previous valvular heart disease (p<0.001) and coronary artery bypass grafting (p=0.049). During hospitalization, patients with new-onset AF more often had respiratory infection (p=0.002) and heart failure (p<0.001), and higher values of NT-proBNP (p=0.007) and peak creatinine (p=0.001). On echocardiography they had greater left atrial (LA) diameter (p<0.001) and more frequent significant mitral regurgitation (p<0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤40% (p<0.001) and were less likely to have significant coronary lesions (p=0.009) or to have undergone coronary revascularization (p<0.001). In multivariate analysis, age (OR 1.06, p=0.021), LVEF ≤40% (OR 4.91, p=0.002) and LA diameter (OR 1.14, p=0.008) remained independent predictors of new-onset AF. Together with age, diabetes and maximum Killip class, this arrhythmia was an independent predictor of overall mortality (OR 3.11, p=0.032).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, LVEF ≤40% and LA diameter are independent predictors of new-onset AF during ACS. This arrhythmia is associated with higher overall mortality (in-hospital and in follow-up).

Natriuretic Peptides as Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Recurrences Following Electrical Cardioversion

Electrical cardioversion (ECV) can be effective in restoring sinus rhythm (SR) in the majority of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Several factors that predispose to AF recurrences, such as age, AF duration and left atrial size have been used to guide a decision for cardioversion, but increasing evidence suggests that they may be rather poor markers of left atrial structural remodeling that determines the long-term success of a rhythm control strategy. In this context, the use of easily obtainable biomarkers, such as the levels of atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), to predict AF recurrences may be preferable. Since ANP production is associated with the extent of functional atrial myocardium, and both ANP and BNP reflect atrial pressure and mechanical stretching, these peptides are good candidate biomarkers to assess predisposition to AF recurrences. In this review we focus on the pathophysiological mechanisms and the available clinical evidence regarding the prediction of AF recurrences following successful ECV from pre-procedural ANP and BNP levels.

Elevated left ventricular filling pressure estimated by E/E' ratio after exercise predicts development of new-onset atrial fibrillation independently of left atrial enlargement among elderly patients without obvious myocardial ischemia

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether elevated left ventricular (LV) filling pressure estimated by raised Doppler E velocity to tissue Doppler E' velocity ratio (E/E') after exercise is associated with increased risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in non-ischemic elderly patients.

BACKGROUND

Prognostic importance of exercise induced LV diastolic dysfunction remains uncertain.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied 147 elderly patients (73 ± 5 years) who underwent treadmill stress echocardiography. Patients with exercise induced LV wall motion abnormality were not included. Doppler and tissue Doppler measurements were done before treadmill exercise and immediately after the post-stress image acquisition, and E/E' ratio was measured. Raised E/E' was defined as E/E'≥ 15, and left atrial (LA) enlargement was defined as LA volume index ≥ 34 ml/m(2). Using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, predictor of new-onset AF was determined. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, we evaluated association between raised post-exercise E/E' or LA enlargement with new-onset AF.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period (median=67 months), there were 25 new-onset AF. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis demonstrated that male gender [hazard ratio (HR) 3.294; p=0.0117], LA enlargement (HR 3.576; p=0.0017), and raised post-exercise E/E' (HR 3147; p=0.0068) were the best predictors of new-onset AF. Kaplan-Meier survival plot demonstrated that patients with both LA enlargement and raised post-exercise E/E' developed new-onset AF most frequently. There was no significant difference in outcome between patients with isolated raised post-exercise E/E' or isolated LA enlargement.

CONCLUSIONS

Raised E/E' ratio after exercise provides significant prognostic information for predicting new-onset AF in non-ischemic elderly patients. This prognostic value of raised post-exercise E/E' is independent of and incremental to the LA enlargement.

Early diastolic strain rate in relation to systolic and diastolic function and prognosis in acute myocardial infarction: a two-dimensional speckle-tracking study

AIMS

Diastolic dysfunction in acute myocardial infarction (MI) is associated with adverse outcome. Recently, the ratio of early mitral inflow velocity (E) to global diastolic strain rate (e'sr) has been proposed as a marker of elevated LV filling pressure. However, the prognostic value of this measure has not been demonstrated in a large-scale setting when existing parameters of diastolic function are known. We hypothesized that the E/e'sr ratio would be independently associated with an adverse outcome in patients with MI.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We prospectively included patients with MI and performed echocardiography with comprehensive diastolic evaluation including E/e'sr. The relationship between E/e'sr and the primary composite endpoint (all-cause mortality, hospitalization for heart failure (HF), stroke, and new onset atrial fibrillation) was analysed with Cox models. A total of 1048 patients (mean age 63 ± 12, 73% male) were included and 142 patients (13.5%) reached the primary endpoint (median follow-up 29 months). A significant prognostic value was found for E/e'sr [hazard ratio (HR) per 1 unit change: 2.36, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.02-2.75, P < 0.0001]. After multivariable adjustment E/e'sr remained independently related to the combined endpoint (HR per 1 unit change, 1.50; CI: 1.05-2.13, P = 0.02). The prognostic value of E/e'sr was driven by mortality (HR per 1 unit change, 2.52; CI: 2.09-3.04, P < 0.0001) and HF admissions (HR per 1 unit change, 2.79; CI: 2.23-3.48, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Deformation-based E/e'sr contributes important information about global myocardial relaxation superior to velocity-based analysis and is independently associated with the outcome in acute MI.

Atrial fibrillation in acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction: clinical and prognostic features

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia in the setting of acute coronary syndrome and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). This review summarizes recent evidence on the clinical and prognostic significance of pre-existent and new-onset AF in acute STEMI patients and highlights new emerging predictors of AF development in the era of contemporary treatment.

Hormone replacement therapy and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation after myocardial infarction--a nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to assess the association between use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) after myocardial infarction.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We used Danish nationwide registers of hospitalizations and prescriptions to identify all women admitted with myocardial infarction in the period 1997 to 2009 and with no known diagnosis of AF. Their use of overall HRT and HRT categories was assessed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to calculate the risk of new-onset AF first year after discharge, comparing use of HRT to no use.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

New-onset atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS

In the period 1997 to 2009, 32 925 women were discharged alive after MI. In the first year after MI, new-onset AF was diagnosed in 1381 women (4.2%). Unadjusted incidence rates of AF decreased with use of HRT (incidence rate 37.4 for use of overall HRT and 53.7 for no use). Overall HRT was associated with a decreased risk of AF (HR 0.82, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-1.00). The lowest risk of AF was found in women ≥80 years old for use of overall HRT and vaginal estrogen (HR 0.63, CI 0.42-0.94, and HR 0.58, CI 0.34-0.99, respectively). Decreased risk of AF with use of overall HRT and HRT categories was also found in other age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of HRT is associated with a decreased risk of new-onset AF in women with myocardial infarction first year after discharge. The underlying mechanisms remain to be determined. Unmeasured confounding might be one of them.

Heart failure, diastolic dysfunction and atrial fibrillation; mechanistic insight of a complex inter-relationship

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) commonly coexist, and their co-presence is associated with adverse outcomes relating to thromboembolic events, HF progression, hospitalisation and death. Diastolic dysfunction (DD) is also frequently present in patients with HF and is an independent predictor of hospitalisation and mortality. The presence of DD is a strong predictor of incident AF in patients with HF. In this review, we provide mechanistic insight into pathophysiological processes that frequently promote the occurrence of AF, HF and DD and outline the yin-yang relationship between AF, DD and HF. More recently, invasive studies have also shown that asymptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) is a common phenomenon in HF patients. We examine complex inter-relationships between PAF, HF and DD and speculate upon the possible clinical influence of undiagnosed PAF in HF patients.

Restrictive left ventricular filling pattern and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation after acute myocardial infarction

Mechanisms for atrial arrhythmias that occur in the context of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have not been well characterized. AMI often leads to alterations in left ventricular (LV) filling dynamics, which may result in advanced diastolic dysfunction. Diastolic dysfunction may produce increased left atrial (LA) pressure and initiate LA remodeling, promoting the progression to atrial fibrillation (AF). We studied 1,169 patients admitted with AMI. Advanced diastolic dysfunction was defined as a restrictive filling pattern (RFP), defined as ratio of early to late transmitral velocity of mitral inflow >1.5 or deceleration time <130 ms. The relation between RFP and the primary end point of new-onset AF occurring within 6 months was analyzed using multivariable Cox models. Of 1,169 patients (70% men, mean ± SD 64 ± 10 years of age), 110 (9.4%) developed new-onset AF (19.6% and 7.5% in patients with and without RFP, respectively, p <0.0001). RFP was associated with a hazard ratio of 2.72 for AF (95% confidence interval 1.83 to 4.05, p <0.0001). After multivariable adjustments for clinical variables, LV ejection fraction (EF) and LA size, RFP remained an independent predictor of AF (hazard ratio 2.17, 95% confidence interval 1.42 to 3.32, p <0.0001). Risk of AF was higher in patients with RFP for preserved (≥45%, hazard ratio 2.14, 95% confidence interval 1.09 to 4.20, p = 0.03) or decreased (hazard ratio 2.80, 95% confidence interval 1.63 to 4.82, p <0.0001) LVEF. In contrast, decreased LVEF in the absence of RFP was similar to that of patients with preserved LVEF and without RFP. In conclusion, in patients with AMI, presence of advanced diastolic dysfunction was independently associated with new-onset AF, suggesting that increased filling pressures may contribute to the development of AF after AMI.