Heart failure, chronic diuretic use, and increase in mortality and hospitalization: an observational study using propensity score methods

Prognostic impact of outpatient loop diuretic reduction patterns in patients with chronic heart failure

Background

The relationship between patterns of outpatient oral loop diuretic (LD) dose reduction and prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF) remains unclear.

Methods

We evaluated 679 patients with HF-prescribed LDs at baseline between September 2015 and August 2019. Dose reduction was defined as a change to a lower LD dose than the previous outpatient dose. Dose intensification was defined as a change to a higher LD dose than the previous outpatient dose. Patients were classified into no-reduction (no LD dose reduction during follow-up) and reduction groups (categorized into successive-reduction [≥2 successive LD dose reductions without intervening LD dose intensification] and single-reduction [LD dose reduction without successive dose reduction] groups). The primary outcomes were all-cause death, HF hospitalization (HFH), and the composite of cardiovascular death (CVD) or HFH.

Results

Within a median follow-up of 53.7 (range, 2.6-99.1) months, 156 deaths were recorded: 121 (29 %), 31 (15 %), and three (4 %) patients in the no-reduction (n = 411), single-reduction (n = 195), and successive-reduction (n = 73) groups, respectively. After adjusting for cofounders, the reduction group had a lower risk of primary outcomes than the no reduction group (all-cause death: hazard ratio (HR) = 0.65, 95 % confidence interval (CI) = 0.44-0.96; CVD or HFH: HR=0.69, 95 %CI=0.52-0.93; HFH: HR=0.69, 95 % CI=0.52-0.93). The successive-reduction group had a lower risk of the composite of CVD or HFH (HR=0.26, 95 % CI: 0.10-0.67) and HFH (HR=0.34, 95 % CI=0.13-0.86) than the single-reduction group.

Conclusions

Outpatient LD dose reduction patterns can be indicators of good prognosis in HF patients.

Prognostic effect of a vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist in acute congestive heart failure patients with hypoperfusion, the wet-cold pattern

PURPOSE

This study investigated whether the oral vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan has beneficial effects on mortality in real-world congestive heart failure (CHF) patients with hypoperfusion (i.e. the wet-cold pattern), from the viewpoint of cardiorenal syndrome.

METHODS

Data on 5511 consecutive CHF patients were extracted from the Tokyo CCU Network data registry. Congestion and hypoperfusion were defined by Nohria-Stevenson clinical profiles at the time of hospitalization. Propensity scores for tolvaptan use were calculated for each patient and used to assemble two matched cohorts of patients receiving tolvaptan or not in the CHF with and without hypoperfusion groups.

RESULTS

Of the entire study cohort, 1073 patients (19%) had CHF with hypoperfusion (i.e. the wet-cold pattern). In-hospital mortality was significantly higher for CHF patients with than without hypoperfusion (log-rank, P < 0.001). The rate of tolvaptan use did not differ significantly between CHF patients with and without hypoperfusion (15% vs. 14%, respectively; P = 0.7848). In the propensity-matched CHF with hypoperfusion cohort, there was a significant association between the use of tolvaptan and a reduction in in-hospital mortality (log-rank, P = 0.0052). Conversely, in the matched CHF without hypoperfusion cohort, tolvaptan use was not associated with in-hospital mortality (log-rank, P = 0.4417).

CONCLUSION

There was a significant association between the use of tolvaptan and a reduction in in-hospital mortality in CHF patients with, but not without, hypoperfusion. These findings hint at possible individualized therapies for patients with CHF.

Association of preoperative red blood cell width and postoperative 30-day mortality in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery: a retrospective cohort study using propensity-score matching

BACKGROUND

In terms of predicting surgery mortality, it is controversial whether red blood cell width works independently. In non-cardiac surgery patients older than 18 years, we intend to examine the relationship between red blood cell width and postoperative 30-day mortality.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, 90,785 Singapore General Hospital patients were matched by propensity score between January 1, 2012 and October 31, 2016. It was determined that red blood cell width at baseline and mortality within 30 days after surgery were the independent and dependent variables. We used a non-parametric multivariate logistic regression to balance the confounders among 7807 patients with high RDW and 7807 patients with non-high RDW in the propensity score matching. We investigated the association between RDW and 30-day mortality after surgery using the doubly robust estimation method.

RESULTS

Cohorts matched according to propensity score, the risk of 30-day mortality after surgery increased by 114.6.0% among the high RDW group (OR = 2.146, 95% CI 1.645-2.799, P < 0.00001). In the crude model, there was a significant association between RDW and 30-day mortality after surgery (OR = 1.877, 95% CI 1.476-2.388, P < 0.00001). In the propensity-score adjusted model, the risk of 30-day mortality after surgery in the high RDW group compared to the control group was not as high as in the non-adjusted model (OR = 1.867, 95% CI 1.467-2.376, P < 0.00001). Compared to non-high RDW group, the risk of 30-day mortality after surgery increased by 117.0% and 127.7% among high RDW group in the original cohort (OR 2.170, 95% CI 1.754-2.683, P < 0.00001) and the weighted cohort (OR 2.272, 95% CI 2.009-2.580, P < 0.00001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

According to the results of this observational, propensity score-matched cohort study, uncontrolled high RDW before surgery is associated with an increased risk of death within 30 days after surgery, that is to say, patients over the age of 18 with high preoperative RDW who undergo non-cardiac surgery have a worse postoperative prognosis than those with normal RDW.

Laparoscopic Hartmann's procedure for complicated diverticulitis is associated with lower superficial surgical site infections compared to open surgery with similar other outcomes: a NSQIP-based, propensity score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Open Hartmann's procedure has traditionally been the procedure of choice to treat complicated diverticulitis. We analyzed the ACS-NSQIP database to compare outcomes in patients who underwent emergent laparoscopic Hartmann's procedure (LHP) to those who had an open Hartmann's procedure (OHP).

STUDY DESIGN

Data analyzed from 2015 to 2019 using ICD-10 codes. Patients were matched on several important covariates using a propensity score matching method (PSM). Patients were matched in a 4:1 ratio of controls to cases based on the propensity score.

RESULTS

We identified 5026, of which 456 had LHP and 4570 had OHP. PSM analysis yielded 369 LHP and 1476 OHP patients. LHP had lower rates of superficial surgical site infection (SSSI) compared to OHP (2.44% vs. 5.89%, p = 0.007). LHP had similar post-operative outcomes compared to OHP, including 30-day mortality (5.15% vs. 2.98%, p = 0.060), organ space surgical site infection (OSSSI) (14.36% vs. 12.60%, p = 0.161), wound disruption (1.36% vs. 2.44%, p = 0.349), median LOS (8 vs. 9 days, p = 0.252), readmission within 30 days (11.92% vs. 8.67%, p = 0.176), rate of reoperation (6.0 vs. 6.5%, p = 0.897), and discharge to home (76% vs. 77%, p = 0.992). LHP had longer operative times compared to OHP (median 129 vs. 118 min, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The LHP is associated with lower rates of SSSI. However, it is not associated with lower rates of mortality, OSSSI, readmissions and reoperations within 30 days. Surgical times are longer in LHP. More studies are needed to determine whether LHP offers advantages in the long-term, particularly in rates of incisional hernia and colostomy closure.

Association between complementary use of Goreisan (a Japanese herbal Kampo medicine) and heart failure readmission: A nationwide propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND

Goreisan, a Japanese herbal medicine, possesses aquaretic properties to regulate body fluid homeostasis and may therefore be effective as a complement to standard therapy in improving outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF).

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 431,393 patients (mean age 79.2 ± 12.6 years; male 52.3 %) who were admitted for HF for the first time and were discharged alive with standard HF medications between April 2016 and March 2022, using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database. We divided patients into two groups according to the prescription of Goreisan at discharge: patients who received standard HF medications plus Goreisan and those who received standard medications alone. We compared the incidence of HF readmission within 1 year after discharge between the groups using propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Overall, Goreisan was prescribed in 1957 (0.45 %) patients at discharge. Patients who received Goreisan were older and received diuretics more frequently than those who did not. One-to-four propensity score matching created a cohort of 1957 and 7828 patients treated with and without Goreisan, respectively. No significant difference was found in the incidence of 1-year HF readmission between the groups [22.1 % vs. 21.7 %; hazard ratio (HR) = 1.02, 95 % confidence interval (CI) = 0.92-1.13]. This result was consistent with that from competing risk analysis (subdistribution HR = 1.02, 95 % CI = 0.92-1.13) and across clinically relevant subgroups except for renal disease. Goreisan use was associated with a lower incidence of HF readmission among patients with renal disease (HR = 0.77, 95 % CI = 0.60-0.97), but not among those without (HR = 1.09, 95 % CI = 0.97-1.23; p for interaction = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide propensity score-matched analysis did not demonstrate that complementary Goreisan use at discharge was associated with a lower incidence of 1-year HF readmission in patients with HF receiving standard medications. An ongoing randomized trial is awaited to establish the effectiveness of Goreisan use in patients with HF.

Association between hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients with tumor craniotomy: an analysis of data using propensity score matching

Background

Reliable quantification of the association between hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients who undergo craniotomy for tumor resection is limited. We aimed to explore the associations between these factors.

Materials and methods

This work was a retrospective cohort study that used propensity score matching (PSM) among 18,642 participants from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database between 2012 and 2015. Hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality were the independent and dependent target variables, respectively. PSM was conducted via nonparsimonious multivariate logistic regression to balance the confounders. Robust estimation methods were used to investigate the association between hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality.

Results

A total of 18,642 participants (52.6% male and 47.4% female) met our inclusion criteria; 7,116 (38.17%) participants with hypertension required medication and had a 3.74% mortality rate versus an overall mortality rate of 2.46% in the adult cohort of patients who underwent craniotomy for tumor resection. In the PSM cohort, the risk of postoperative 30-day mortality significantly increased by 39.0% among patients with hypertension who required medication (OR = 1.390, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.071-1.804, p = 0.01324) after adjusting for the full covariates. Compared with participants without hypertension requiring medication, those with hypertension requiring medication had a 34.0% greater risk of postoperative 30-day mortality after adjusting for the propensity score (OR = 1.340, 95% CI: 1.040-1.727, p = 0.02366) and a 37.6% greater risk of postoperative 30-day mortality in the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW) cohort (OR = 1.376, 95% CI: 1.202, 1.576, p < 0.00001).

Conclusion

Among U.S. adult patients undergoing craniotomy for tumor resection, hypertension requiring medication is a notable contributor to 30-day mortality after surgery, with odds ratios ranging from 1.34 to 1.39.

Combination diuretic therapies in heart failure: Insights from GUIDE-IT

Introduction

Diuretics are the mainstay of maintaining and restoring euvolemia in the management of heart failure. Loop diuretics are often preferred, however, combination diuretic therapy (CDT) with a thiazide diuretic is often used to overcome diuretic resistance and increase diuretic effect. We performed an analysis of the GUIDE-IT study to assess all-cause mortality and time to first hospitalizations in patients necessitating CDT.

Methods

Patients from the GUIDE-IT dataset were stratified by their requirement for CDT with a thiazide to achieve euvolemia. A total of 894 patients were analyzed, 733 of which were treated with loop diuretics alone vs 161 used either chlorothiazide or metolazone in addition to loop diuretics. Kaplan-Meir curves were derived with log-rank p-values to evaluate for differences between the groups.

Results

There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality regardless of CDT utilization status (mean survival of 612.704 days vs 603.326 days, p = 0.083). On subgroup analysis, there was no significant difference in all-cause mortality amongst those using loop diuretics compared to CDT in the BNP-guided therapy group, (mean survival time 576.385 days vs 620.585 days, p = 0.0523), nor the control group (614.1 days vs 588.9 days; p = 0.5728). Time to first hospitalization was reduced in all using CDT compared to loop diuretics alone (280.5 days vs 407.2 days, p < 0.0001). On subgroup analysis, both the BNP-guided group as well as the control group had reduced time to first hospitalization in the CDT group compared to those who did not require CDT (BNP group: 287.503 days vs 402.475 days, p ≤0.0001; control group 248.698 days vs 399.035 days, p = 0.0009).

Conclusion

Use of CDT is associated with earlier time to hospitalization, though no association was identified with increased all-cause mortality. Further prospective studies are likely needed to determine the true risk and benefits of combination diuretic therapy.

Thiazide diuretics versus loop diuretics in stage 3-5 CKD: impact on cardiorenal outcomes

OBJECTIVES

The association between diuretic use and cardiorenal outcomes remains limited in patients with stage 3-5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) and hypertension. To address this gap, we aim to investigate the long-term clinical impact of diuretic use with its pharmacological classification in Taiwanese patients with stage 3-5 CKD and hypertension who were concurrently received angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs).

METHODS

Using data from the National Health Insurance Research Database (January 2008 to December 2019), we focused on individuals with stage 3-5 CKD receiving ACEIs/ARBs between 2010 and 2018. We categorized the cohort into non-diuretic, loop diuretic (furosemide), thiazide diuretic, and combination diuretic groups. We used a Cox proportional hazards regression model with propensity score matching to analyze the influence of diuretics on all-cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV) death, and cardiorenal adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

The study included 59,719 patients, with 17,585 in the non-diuretic group and 42,134 in the diuretic group. Diuretics including furosemide use was significantly associated the risks of hospitalization for decompensated congestive heart failure (CHF), acute renal failure (ARF), end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring dialysis, CV mortality, and all-cause mortality (p-value <0.001). Thiazide diuretics showed no such adverse outcomes associations. The group receiving both thiazide and furosemide was more associated with all-cause mortality than the nondiuretic, thiazide, and furosemide monotherapy groups (all p-value <0.001).

CONCLUSION

Among stage 3-5 CKD patients on ACEIs/ARBs, loop diuretics exposure was associated with increased mortality and hospitalization for cardiorenal events, while thiazide diuretics exposure in isolation had no such associations. In the present data, we cannot evaluate the relationship between furosemide-associated adverse outcomes and worse renal function. These findings highlight the need for randomized controlled trials to assess the safety of loop diuretics in this population, urging caution in their prescription without a clear clinical indication.

Hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the efficacy of hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) in colorectal cancer with peritoneal metastases (pmCRC) in a large international data set of patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with pmCRC from 39 centres who underwent cytoreductive surgery with HIPEC between 1991 and 2018 were selected and compared for the HIPEC protocols received-oxaliplatin-HIPEC versus mitomycin-HIPEC. Following analysis of crude data, propensity-score matching (PSM) and Cox-proportional hazard modelling were performed. Outcomes of interest were overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) and the HIPEC dose-response effects (high versus low dose, dose intensification and double drug protocols) on OS, RFS and 90-day morbidity. Furthermore, the impact of the treatment time period was assessed.

RESULTS

Of 2760 patients, 2093 patients were included. Median OS was 43 months (95% c.i. 41 to 46 months) with a median RFS of 12 months (95% c.i. 12 to 13 months). The oxaliplatin-HIPEC group had an OS of 47 months (95% c.i. 42 to 53 months) versus 39 months (95% c.i. 36 to 43 months) in the mitomycin-HIPEC group (P = 0.002), aHR 0.77, 95% c.i. 0.67 to 0.90, P < 0.001. The OS benefit persisted after PSM of the oxaliplatin-HIPEC group and mitomycin-HIPEC group (48 months (95% c.i. 42 to 59 months) versus 40 months (95% c.i. 37 to 44 months)), P < 0.001, aHR 0.78 (95% c.i. 0.65 to 0.94), P = 0.009. Similarly, matched RFS was significantly higher for oxaliplatin-HIPEC versus others (13 months (95% c.i. 12 to 15 months) versus 11 months (95% c.i. 10 to 12 months, P = 0.02)). High-dose mitomycin-HIPEC protocols had similar OS compared to oxaliplatin-HIPEC. HIPEC dose intensification within each protocol resulted in improved survival. Oxaliplatin + irinotecan-HIPEC resulted in the most improved OS (61 months (95% c.i. 51 to 101 months)). Ninety-day mortality in both crude and PSM analysis was worse for mitomycin-HIPEC. There was no change in treatment effect depending on the analysed time period.

CONCLUSIONS

Oxaliplatin-based HIPEC provided better outcomes compared to mitomycin-based HIPEC. High-dose mitomycin-HIPEC was similar to oxaliplatin-HIPEC. The 90-day mortality difference favours the oxaliplatin-HIPEC group. A trend for dose-response between low- and high-dose HIPEC was reported.

The link between initial cardiac rhythm and survival outcomes in in-hospital cardiac arrest using propensity score matching, adjustment, and weighting

The association between the initial cardiac rhythm and short-term survival in patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) has not been extensively studied despite the fact that it is thought to be a prognostic factor in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. This study aimed to look at the relationship between initial shockable rhythm and survival to hospital discharge in individuals with IHCA. 1516 adults with IHCA who received chest compressions lasting at least two minutes at the National Taiwan University Hospital between 2006 and 2014 made up the study population. Propensity scores were estimated using a fitted multivariate logistic regression model. Various statistical methodologies were employed to investigate the association between shockable rhythm and the probability of survival to discharge in patients experiencing IHCA, including multivariate adjustment, propensity score adjustment, propensity score matching, and logistic regression based on propensity score weighting. In the original cohort, the multivariate-adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 2.312 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.515-3.531, P < 0.001). In additional propensity score adjustment, the OR between shockable rhythm and the probability of survival to hospital discharge in IHCA patients was 2.282 (95% CI: 1.486, 3.504, P < 0.001). The multivariate-adjusted logistic regression model analysis revealed that patients with shockable rhythm had a 1.761-fold higher likelihood of surviving to hospital release in the propensity score-matched cohort (OR = 2.761, 95% CI: 1.084-7.028, P = 0.033). The multivariate-adjusted OR of the inverse probability for the treatment-weighted cohort was 1.901 (95% CI: 1.507-2.397, P < 0.001), and the standardized mortality ratio-weighted cohort was 2.692 (95% CI: 1.511-4.795, P < 0.001). In patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest, Initial cardiac rhythm is an independent predictor of survival to hospital discharge. Depending on various statistical methods, patients with IHCA who have a shockable rhythm have a one to two fold higher probability of survival to discharge than those who have a non-shockable rhythm. This provides a reference for optimizing resuscitation decisions for IHCA patients and facilitating clinical communication.

Pooling of primary care electronic health record (EHR) data on Huntington's disease (HD) and cancer: establishing comparability of two large UK databases

OBJECTIVES

To explore whether UK primary care databases arising from two different software systems can be feasibly combined, by comparing rates of Huntington's disease (HD, which is rare) and 14 common cancers in the two databases, as well as characteristics of people with these conditions.

DESIGN

Descriptive study.

SETTING

Primary care electronic health records from Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD and CPRD Aurum databases, with linked hospital admission and death registration data.

PARTICIPANTS

4986 patients with HD and 1 294 819 with an incident cancer between 1990 and 2019.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence and prevalence of HD by calendar period, age group and region, and annual age-standardised incidence of 14 common cancers in each database, and in a subset of 'overlapping' practices which contributed to both databases. Characteristics of patients with HD or incident cancer: medical history, recent prescribing, healthcare contacts and database follow-up.

RESULTS

Incidence and prevalence of HD were slightly higher in CPRD GOLD than CPRD Aurum, but with similar trends over time. Cancer incidence in the two databases differed between 1990 and 2000, but converged and was very similar thereafter. Participants in each database were most similar in terms of medical history (median standardised difference, MSD 0.03 (IQR 0.01-0.03)), recent prescribing (MSD 0.06 (0.03-0.10)) and demographics and general health variables (MSD 0.05 (0.01-0.09)). Larger differences were seen for healthcare contacts (MSD 0.27 (0.10-0.41)), and database follow-up (MSD 0.39 (0.19-0.56)).

CONCLUSIONS

Differences in cancer incidence trends between 1990 and 2000 may relate to use of a practice-level data quality filter (the 'up-to-standard' date) in CPRD GOLD only. As well as the impact of data curation methods, differences in underlying data models can make it more challenging to define exactly equivalent clinical concepts in each database. Researchers should be aware of these potential sources of variability when planning combined database studies and interpreting results.

Rationale and protocol of the LAQUA-HF trial: a factorial randomised controlled trial evaluating the effects of neurohormonal and diuretic agents on health-status reported outcomes in heart failure patients

INTRODUCTION

The current guidelines strongly recommend early initiation of multiple classes of cardioprotective drugs for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction to improve prognosis and health status. However, evidence on the optimal sequencing of approved drugs is scarce, highlighting the importance of individualised treatment plans. Registry data indicate that only a portion of these patients can tolerate all four recommended classes, underscoring the need to establish the favoured sequence when using these drugs. Additionally, the choice between long-acting and short-acting loop diuretics in the present era remains uncertain. This is particularly relevant given the frequent use of angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, both of which potentiate natriuretic effects.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

In a prospective, randomised, open-label, blinded endpoint method, LAQUA-HF (Long-acting vs short-acting diuretics and neurohormonal Agents on patients' QUAlity-of-life in Heart Failure patients) will be a 2×2 factorial design, with a total of 240 patients randomised to sacubitril/valsartan versus dapagliflozin and torsemide versus furosemide in a 1:1 ratio. Most enrolment sites have participated in an ongoing observational registry for consecutive patients hospitalised for heart failure involved dedicated study coordinators, and used the same framework to enrol patients. The primary endpoint is the change in patients' health status over 6 months, defined by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire. Additionally, clinical benefit at 6 months defined as a hierarchical composite endpoint will be assessed by the win ratio as the secondary endpoint.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The medical ethics committee Keio University in Japan has approved this trial. All participants provide written informed consent prior to study entry. The results of this trial will be disseminated in one main paper and additional papers on secondary endpoints and subgroup analyses.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

UMIN000045229.

Prioritizing Variables for Observational Study Design using the Joint Variable Importance Plot

Observational studies of treatment effects require adjustment for confounding variables. However, causal inference methods typically cannot deliver perfect adjustment on all measured baseline variables, and there is often ambiguity about which variables should be prioritized. Standard prioritization methods based on treatment imbalance alone neglect variables' relationships with the outcome. We propose the joint variable importance plot to guide variable prioritization for observational studies. Since not all variables are equally relevant to the outcome, the plot adds outcome associations to quantify the potential confounding jointly with the standardized mean difference. To enhance comparisons on the plot between variables with different confounding relationships, we also derive and plot bias curves. Variable prioritization using the plot can produce recommended values for tuning parameters in many existing matching and weighting methods. We showcase the use of the joint variable importance plots in the design of a balance-constrained matched study to evaluate whether taking an antidiabetic medication, glyburide, increases the incidence of C-section delivery among pregnant individuals with gestational diabetes.

The Decrease in Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate as a Risk Factor of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmias after Acute Myocardial Infarction during Hospitalization: A Retrospective Propensity Score Matching Cohort Study

Background

To identify the decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) as an independent risk factor associated with ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VTA).

Methods

This retrospective file review collected information from patients diagnosed with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), with and without VTA, from January 2017 to December 2019. We first applied the chi-square test to assess 12 risk factors and one outcome variable (incident rate of VTA). Next, all the 12 risk factors were further adjusted using the propensity score matching (PSM) method to simulate the dataset as a randomized controlled cohort, which can reduce the defects derived from confounding factors and the imbalance in baseline characteristics. To investigate the relationship between eGFR and VTA, univariate logistic regression analysis was applied to the cohort before and after PSM analysis.

Results

A total of 503 patients diagnosed as AMI were included in the study. There were eight of twelve risk factors in baseline characteristics with a p-value < 0.05, as determined by the chi-square test before PSM matching. The result of PSM analysis indicated that 86 of 91 patients with decreased eGFR were matched, and all the risk factors were not significantly different (p-value > 0.05). The incident rates of VTA in the two groups were still significantly different (p-value < 0.001) according to the Pearson chi-square test in the cohort after PSM analysis. The results of univariate (eGFR) logistic regression indicated that the odds ratio of the cohort was 6.442 (95% confidence interval = 3.770-11.05) and 3.654 (95% confidence interval = 1.764-7.993) before and after PSM analysis respectively.

Conclusions

The decrease in eGFR ( < 60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ) has been demonstrated as an independent risk factor for VTA after AMI.

A novel fracture liaison service using digital health: impact on mortality in hospitalized elderly osteoporotic fracture patients

We examined the performance of an intelligent fracture liaison service (FLS) assisted by digital health (DH) to reduce all-cause mortality (ACM) risk. According to our findings, the new FLS reduced ACM by 36%.

INTRODUCTION

A well-designed secondary prevention program known as FLS enhances the bone densitometry-based assessment rate as well as osteoporosis (OP) medication usage following a fracture. However, there are only a few reports on FLS incorporating DH, and it remains unclear whether this integration has influenced patient ACM, which refers to the overall death rate from any cause during the study period.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study was conducted on data from the Fragility Fracture Registration System database linked to the Regional Health Registration Platform of Kunshan City and the Population Death Registration System of Jiangsu Province for one tertiary-level A hospital in China. Patients aged ≥ 50 years, who experienced an OP fracture between January 1, 2017, and July 27, 2022, requiring hospitalization, were selected for analysis. We compared the outcomes of patients who received routine fragility fracture management (the no-FLS group) or FLS (the FLS group). We employed multivariable Cox regression with inverse probability weighting based on the propensity score (PS).

RESULTS

Of 2317 patients, 756 (32.6%) received FLS and 1561 (67.4%) did not. Using PS matching, we minimized the baseline characteristic differences between the two groups in the propensity score-matched samples, relative to the unmatched samples. Based on our analysis, the new FLS reduced ACM by 36% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47 to 0.87; P-value = 0.004). Moreover, FLS patients experienced further reductions in fall-related mortality, refracture rate, and total refracture-related hospital costs, and had increased dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) testing and treatment initiation rates, relative to the no-FLS patients.

CONCLUSIONS

A new FLS model implementation assisted by DH can effectively reduce ACM among elderly patients with OP fractures requiring surgery. In future investigations, we recommend examining the scalability of this model.

Clinical relevance of serum ionized magnesium concentration in dogs with myxomatous mitral valve disease

BACKGROUND

Hypomagnesemia is associated with a poor prognosis in humans with congestive heart failure (CHF), but studies in veterinary medicine are limited.

HYPOTHESIS

Serum ionized magnesium concentration [iMg2+ ] would decrease as CHF progresses compared with the initial diagnostic levels and that lower [iMg2+ ] would be negatively associated with prognosis in dogs with CHF.

ANIMALS

A total of 181 client-owned dogs with myxomatous mitral valve disease (MMVD) were included. They were classified into the preclinical stage (NO-CHF, n = 108), stage C (n = 42), and stage D (n = 31) based on the American College of Veterinary Internal Medicine MMVD classification.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study from 2 referral centers. The [iMg2+ ] was compared among the NO-CHF, stage C, and stage D groups. Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test were used to compare the incidence of death between groups. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the association of hypomagnesemia with the death.

RESULTS

In the stage D group, the [iMg2+ ] was lower than that in the NO-CHF (P < .0001) and stage C groups (P < .003). In the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the 1-year cumulative survival rate in hypomagnesemic dogs was 53% compared with 91.5% in normomagnesemic dogs (log-rank test, P < .0001). In the multivariable Cox analysis, lower concentration of [K+ ] and [iMg2+ ], along with higher Evel , were associated with negative prognoses. Specifically, hypomagnesemia was associated with an approximately 4-fold increased risk of death (hazard ratio = 4.015; 95% confidence interval, 1.537-10.488; P = .005).

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPORTANCE

Assessing the [iMg2+ ] might serve as a potential marker for estimating the severity and prognosis indirectly in dogs with MMVD. Combining [iMg2+ ] measurement with other diagnostic methods, such as echocardiography, could improve the prognostic evaluation of MMVD in dogs.

The association between oral carbohydrate intake before orthopedic surgery for osteoporotic fractures and outcomes in elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Oral carbohydrate (CHO) intake is a safe method with effective clinical results in various surgical patients before surgery. Nevertheless, due to a lack of adequate clinical data, it is not frequently utilized in older patients undergoing orthopedic surgery for osteoporotic fractures (OPFs), especially in China. The purpose of the present study was to examine the relationship between preoperative oral CHO consumption and outcomes in elderly patients undergoing surgical treatment for OPFs.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted at a single Chinese institution and included a total of 879 elderly patients (median age: 71 years; range: 50-99 years) who underwent OPF surgery. Various exclusion criteria were established as follows: (a) the necessity for urgent surgical intervention; (b) the existence of hypoglycemia, hyperglycemia, or diabetes mellitus with blood glucose levels lower than 2.8 mmol/L; (c) a medical history of gastrointestinal motility disorders or delayed gastric emptying; (d) the utilization of local anesthesia; (e) a Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score over 2; and (f) an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score exceeding 3. After propensity score (PS) matching, 264 patients from each cohort were included in the analysis. The primary outcome was the all-cause mortality rate within 60 days post-surgery, while secondary outcomes included the length of hospital stay (LOS), hospitalization costs, intraoperative and postoperative blood transfusions, and the incidence of postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV) and aspiration. The relationship between preoperative oral CHO intake and outcomes was evaluated using multivariate regression analysis.

RESULTS

After PS matching, preoperative oral CHO intake was negatively associated with 60-day mortality in the fully adjusted model (odds ratio 0.35; 95% confidence interval 0.12-0.97; P-value: 0.04). Patients who received preoperative oral CHO intake also had a shorter LOS and lower hospitalization costs than those who did not receive CHO intake. However, none of the models showed a significant association between CHO intake and PONV or blood transfusion risk. Furthermore, no cases of aspiration were observed in either cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative oral CHO intake may be associated with reduced mortality risk and improved outcomes in elderly patients undergoing surgical treatment for OPFs. However, it is important to acknowledge the limitations of our study, including its retrospective nature, potential unmeasured confounding variables, the small sample size, incomplete data on important variables such as duration of surgery and inflammatory markers, and the limited generalizability due to the participation of only one institution. Future research with larger sample sizes and a broader range of events is warranted to validate and enhance the validity of our findings, particularly in assessing long-term results and understanding the underlying mechanisms.

Risk factors of readmission and the impact of outpatient management in heart failure patients: A national study in Japan

AIMS

Heart failure is a significant disease, and its high readmission rate is a big concern. We must identify readmission risk factors and optimize outpatient management to prevent them. This study aims to investigate the readmission risk factors, including outpatient management represented by the number of outpatient visits, and to identify the factors related to frequent outpatient visits.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used the diagnosis-procedure-combination database between April 2016 and March 2022. Based on the number of outpatient visits within 60 days after discharge, we categorized patients into <1 visits/month, (1<, ≦2) visits/month, and <2 visits/month and observed the occurrence of 60 days readmission. We performed multiple logistic regression analyses to reveal the readmission risk factors and the association between the number of outpatient visits and readmission. As a subgroup analysis, we conducted the same research in the low- and high-readmission risk groups. We compared medical contents between (1<, ≦2) visits/month and <2 visits/month. We analysed 101 239 patients and identified the following factors as a risk of readmission: older age (P < 0.001), female (P = 0.009), longer length-of-hospital-stay (P < 0.001), artificial ventilator (P < 0.001), tolvaptan (P < 0.001), top 50% dosage of loop diuretics (P = 0.036), bottom 50% dosage of class III antiarrhythmic agents (P < 0.001), hypertension (P = 0.005), atrial fibrillation (P < 0.001), dilated cardiomyopathy (P < 0.001), valvular disease (P = 0.021), myocardial infarction (P < 0.001), diabetes (P < 0.001), and renal disease (P < 0.001). We revealed that the risk of readmission increases in <2 visits/month compared to (1<, ≦2) visits/month (P < 0.001), whereas the risk of readmission decreases in ≦1 visits/month compared with (1<, ≦2) visits/month (P < 0.001). In the subgroup analysis, we found the possibility that some risk factors are specific to the subgroup. We identified that the following factors were related to frequent outpatient visits: older age (P < 0.001), home medical care (P = 0.007), tolvaptan (P < 0.001), top 50% dosage of loop diuretics (P < 0.001), diabetes (P < 0.001), renal disease (P = 0.009), 0-2 weeks follow-up (P < 0.001), 2-4 weeks follow-up (P < 0.001), cardiac rehabilitation (P < 0.001), and echocardiography (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study comprehensively identified risk factors for readmission and found outpatient visit is personalized by readmission risk. There is still room to optimize outpatient management. We suggest optimizing outpatient management according to our identified characteristics.

Carbohydrate antigen 125 in congestive heart failure: ready for clinical application?

Congestion is the permanent mechanism driving disease progression in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) and also is an important treatment target. However, distinguishing between the two different phenotypes (intravascular congestion and tissue congestion) for personalized treatment remains challenging. Historically, carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) has been a frequently used biomarker for the screening, diagnosis, and prognosis of ovarian cancer. Interestingly, CA125 is highly sensitive to tissue congestion and shows potential for clinical monitoring and optimal treatment of congestive heart failure (HF). Furthermore, in terms of right heart function parameters, CA125 levels are more advantageous than other biomarkers of HF. CA125 is expected to become a new biological alternative marker for congestive HF and thereby is expected be widely used in clinical practice.

Diuretic dose is a strong prognostic factor in ambulatory patients awaiting heart transplantation

AIMS

The prognostic value of 'high dose' loop diuretics in advanced heart failure outpatients is unclear. We aimed to assess the prognosis associated with loop diuretic dose in ambulatory patients awaiting heart transplantation (HT).

METHODS AND RESULTS

All ambulatory patients (n = 700, median age 55 years and 70% men) registered on the French national HT waiting list between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2019 were included. Patients were divided into 'low dose', 'intermediate dose', and 'high dose' loop diuretics corresponding to furosemide equivalent doses of ≤40, 40-250, and >250 mg, respectively. The primary outcome was a combined criterion of waitlist death and urgent HT. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, creatinine levels, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, and pulmonary pressures gradually increased with higher diuretic dose. At 12 months, the risk of waitlist death/urgent HT was 7.4%, 19.2%, and 25.6% (P = 0.001) for 'low dose', 'intermediate dose', and 'high dose' patients, respectively. When adjusting for confounders, including natriuretic peptides, hepatic, and renal function, the 'high dose' group was associated with increased waitlist mortality or urgent HT [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.23, 1.33 to 3.73; P = 0.002] and a six-fold higher risk of waitlist death (adjusted HR 6.18, 2.16 to 17.72; P < 0.001) when compared with the 'low dose' group. 'Intermediate doses' were not significantly associated with these two outcomes in adjusted models (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

A 'high dose' of loop diuretics is strongly associated with residual congestion and is a predictor of outcome in patients awaiting HT despite adjustment for classical cardiorenal risk factors. This routine variable may be helpful for risk stratification of pre-HT patients.

Regional Variation in the Clinical Practice and Prognosis in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction in Japan - A Report From the Japanese Registry of Acute Decompensated Heart Failure (JROADHF)

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to clarify the regional variations in clinical practice and the prognosis of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in Japan using the Japanese Registry of Acute Decompensated Heart Failure (JROADHF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We recruited data of hospitalized patients with HFrEF (n=4,329) from the JROADHF. The patients were divided into 6 groups based on the region of Japan where they were hospitalized: Hokkaido-Tohoku (n=504), Kanto (n=958), Chubu (n=779), Kinki (n=902), Chugoku-Shikoku (n=446), and Kyushu (n=740). We compared the patients' characteristics, including etiology of HF and prognosis after discharge. The age of the patients was lowest in the Kanto and Kinki regions. In contrast, there were no differences in the prevalence of comorbidities, levels of B-type natriuretic peptide, or left ventricular EF among the 6 groups. Post-discharge cardiospecific prognosis, specifically, the composite of cardiac death or HF hospitalization, cardiac death, and HF hospitalization, was comparable among the 6 regions.

CONCLUSIONS

There were no differences in cardiospecific prognosis in patients with HFrEF among the 6 regions in Japan.

Remote multiparametric monitoring and management of heart failure patients through cardiac implantable electronic devices

In this review we focus on heart failure (HF) which, as known, is associated with a substantial risk of hospitalizations and adverse cardiovascular outcomes, including death. In recent years, systems to monitor cardiac function and patient parameters have been developed with the aim to detect subclinical pathophysiological changes that precede worsening HF. Several patient-specific parameters can be remotely monitored through cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED) and can be combined in multiparametric scores predicting patients' risk of worsening HF with good sensitivity and moderate specificity. Early patient management at the time of pre-clinical alerts remotely transmitted by CIEDs to physicians might prevent hospitalizations. However, it is not clear yet which is the best diagnostic pathway for HF patients after a CIED alert, which kind of medications should be changed or escalated, and in which case in-hospital visits or in-hospital admissions are required. Finally, the specific role of healthcare professionals involved in HF patient management under remote monitoring is still matter of definition. We analyzed recent data on multiparametric monitoring of patients with HF through CIEDs. We provided practical insights on how to timely manage CIED alarms with the aim to prevent worsening HF. We also discussed the role of biomarkers and thoracic echo in this context, and potential organizational models including multidisciplinary teams for remote care of HF patients with CIEDs.

Dapagliflozin and diuretic utilization in heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction: the DELIVER trial

AIMS

Dapagliflozin reduced the combined risk of worsening heart failure or cardiovascular death among patients with heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction. In this study, the safety and efficacy of dapagliflozin according to background diuretic therapy and the influence of dapagliflozin on longitudinal diuretic use were evaluated.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this pre-specified analysis of the Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the LIVEs of Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure (DELIVER) trial, the effects of dapagliflozin vs. placebo were assessed in the following subgroups: no diuretic, non-loop diuretic, and loop diuretic furosemide equivalent doses of <40, 40, and >40 mg, respectively. Of the 6263 randomized patients, 683 (10.9%) were on no diuretic, 769 (12.3%) were on a non-loop diuretic, and 4811 (76.8%) were on a loop diuretic at baseline. Treatment benefits of dapagliflozin on the primary composite outcome were consistent by diuretic use categories (Pinteraction = 0.64) or loop diuretic dose (Pinteraction = 0.57). Serious adverse events were similar between dapagliflozin and placebo arms, irrespective of diuretic use or dosing. Dapagliflozin reduced new initiation of loop diuretics by 32% [hazard ratio (HR) 0.68; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.55-0.84, P < 0.001] but did not influence discontinuations/disruptions (HR 0.98; 95% CI: 0.86-1.13, P = 0.83) in follow-up. First sustained loop diuretic dose increases were less frequent, and sustained dose decreases were more frequent in patients treated with dapagliflozin: net difference of -6.5% (95% CI: -9.4 to -3.6; P < 0.001). The mean dose of loop diuretic increased over time in the placebo arm, a longitudinal increase that was significantly attenuated with treatment with dapagliflozin (placebo-corrected treatment effect of -2.5 mg/year; 95% CI: -1.5, -3.7, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In patients with heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction, the clinical benefits of dapagliflozin relative to placebo were consistent across a wide range of diuretic categories and doses with a similar safety profile. Treatment with dapagliflozin significantly reduced new loop diuretic requirement over time.

Correlation analysis of hysterectomy and ovarian preservation with depression

The relationship between hysterectomy and ovarian preservation and depression is controversial. This study aimed to determine the association of hysterectomy and ovarian preservation with depression using National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. To assess the association between hysterectomy with or without ovariectomy and depression, we used 3 methods. Method 1: propensity score model (PSM) was established. Method 2 was logistics regression analysis of hysterectomy and depression before and after PSM. Method 3 was a logistics regression analysis of the relationship between hysterectomy and different depressive symptoms. At the same time, in order to evaluate the association between hysterectomy with or without oophorectomy and depression, we explored the effect of four different surgical procedures on depression using logistic regression equations. We enrolled 12,097 women, of whom 2763 underwent hysterectomy, 34.455% were positive for depression. After weighting, 33.825% of the total sample had a PHQ ≥ 5. Finally, a total of 2778 women were successfully matched by propensity score, and 35.537% of them were positive for depression. The OR for PHQ ≥ 5 was 1.236 after crude adjustment of covariates and 1.234 after exact adjustment. This suggests that Hysterectomy is strongly associated with positive depression. Positive depression (PHQ ≥ 5) was associated with little interest, feeling down and trouble concentrating. It was not associated with trouble sleeping, feeling tired, poor appetite, feeling bad, slow moving or speaking, and suicidal thoughts. Oophorectomy-alone is not associated with depression. Hysterectomy-alone is a risk factor for depression, but Hysterectomy combined with Oophorectomy has a stronger correlation with depression than Hysterectomy-alone. Women who have had a Hysterectomy are at higher risk of depression than women who have not had a Hysterectomy, and this risk may be exacerbated if the uterus and ovaries are removed. When clinically appropriate, surgeons should try to preserve the patient's ovaries.

Positive sputum culture of Candida spp. as a risk factor for 30-day mortality in patients with hospital-acquired pneumonia: A propensity-score matched retrospective clinical study

Background

Candida species (Candida spp.) are commonly isolated microorganisms from lower respiratory tract (LRT) specimens of patients with hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP); however, the clinical significance remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between Candida spp. in the LRT and the clinical features and prognosis of HAP.

Methods

This retrospective analysis included eligible patients with HAP from the database of a prospective study carried out between 2018 and 2019 in nine Chinese hospitals. Data on demographics, clinical characteristics, and prognosis were collected and analyzed. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the baseline characteristics.

Results

A total of 187 HAP patients were enrolled. After PSM of severity score, 27 cases with positive sputum culture of Candida spp. were compared with the control group at a ratio of 1:1. The Candida-positive group had more bacterial isolates in blood culture than the Candida-negative group (39.1% [9/23] vs. 7.7% [2/26],χ 2  = 6.928, effect size [ES] = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.12-0.61, P = 0.008). The proportion of patients with chronic lung diseases was significantly higher in the Candida-positive group (55.6% [15/27] vs. 22.2% [6/27],χ 2  = 6.312, ES = 0.34, 95% CI: 0.07-0.59, P = 0.012). The 30-day prognosis of HAP was significantly different between the two groups (80.8% [21/26] vs. 38.5% [10/26],χ 2  = 9.665, ES = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.19-0.66, P = 0.002). Univariable logistic regression analysis showed that LRT Candida spp. colonization was a risk factor for 30-day mortality of HAP (OR = 6.720, 95% CI: 1.915-23.577, P = 0.003).

Conclusions

Candida spp. in the LRT was associated with 30-day mortality of HAP. Patients with chronic underlying lung diseases tend to have Candida spp. colonization.

An optimization for postpartum depression risk assessment and preventive intervention strategy based machine learning approaches

BACKGROUND

Postpartum depression (PPD) is one of the most common psychiatric disorders for women after delivery. The establishment of an effective PPD prediction model helps to distinguish high-risk groups, and verifying whether such high-risk groups can benefit from drug intervention is very important for clinical guidance.

METHODS

We collected data of parturients that underwent a cesarean delivery. The Control group was divided into a training cohort and a testing cohort. Six different ML models were constructed and we compared their prediction performance in the testing cohort. For model interpretation, we introduced SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Then, training cohort, ketamine group and dexmedetomidine (DEX) group were classified as high or low risk for PPD by the model. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to compare the incidence of PPD between two groups in different risk cohorts.

RESULTS

Extreme gradient enhancement (XGB) had the best recognition effect, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.789 (95 % CI 0.742-0.836) in the training cohort and 0.744 (95 % CI 0.655-0.823) in the testing cohort, respectively. A threshold of 21.5 % PPD risk probability was determined. After PSM, the results showed that the incidence of PPD in the two intervention groups was significantly different from the control group in the high-risk cohort (P < 0.001) but not in the low-risk cohort (P > 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated that the XGB algorithm provided a more accurate in prediction of PPD risk, and it was beneficial to receive early intervention for the high-risk groups distinguished by the model.

Association between the volume of fluid resuscitation and mortality modified by disease severity in patients with sepsis in ICU: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The important effect modifiers of high disease severity on the relationship between the different volumes of early fluid resuscitation and prognosis in septic patients are unknown. Thus, this study was designed to assess whether the efficacy of different volumes in the early fluid resuscitation treatment of sepsis is affected by disease severity.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis from 2001 to 2012 in the MIMIC-III database.

INTERVENTIONS

The intravenous fluid volume within 6 hours after the sepsis diagnosis serves as the primary exposure. The patients were divided into the standard (≥ 30 mL/kg) and restrict (<30 mL/kg) groups. Disease severity was defined by the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score at ICU admission. Propensity score matching analysis was performed to ensure the robustness of our results.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary endpoint of this study was 28-day mortality. Days without needing mechanical ventilation or vasopressor administration within 28-day of ICU admission serving as the secondary endpoint.

RESULTS

In total, 5154 consecutive individuals were identified in data analysis, 776 patients had a primary end-point event, 386 (49.68%) in the restrict group and 387 (49.81%) in the standard group. Compared with the restrict group, the standard group had higher 28-day mortality (adjusted HR, 1.32; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.70; p=0.03) in the subgroup with a sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score ≥10. By contrast, the risk of mortality reduction was modest in the subgroup with an SOFA score <10 (adjusted HR, 0.85; 95% CI 0.70 to 1.03; p=0.10). The effect of the interaction between the SOFA score and fluid resuscitation strategies on the 28-day mortality was significant (p=0.0035).

CONCLUSIONS

High disease severity modifies the relationship between the volume of fluid resuscitation and mortality in patients with sepsis in the ICU; future studies investigating this interaction are warranted.

Predictors of Poor Very Early Diuretic Response and Effectiveness of Early Tolvaptan in Symptomatic Acute Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Diuretic response (DR) in patients with symptomatic acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) has an impact on prognosis. This study aimed to identify predictive factors influencing acute 6 h poor DR and to assess DR after early administration of tolvaptan (TLV).

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included 1670 patients who were admitted for ADHF and received intravenous furosemide within 1 h of presentation in clinical scenario 1 or 2 defined based on initial systolic blood pressure ≥100 mmHg with severe symptoms (New York Heart Association class III or IV (n = 830). The score for the poor DR factors in the very acute phase was calculated in patients treated with furosemide-only diuretics (n = 439). The DR to TLV administration was also assessed in patients who received an additional dose of TLV within 6 h (n = 391).

RESULTS

The time since discharge from the hospital for a previous heart failure < 3 months (odds ratio [OR] 2.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-5.83; p = 0.006), loop diuretics at admission (OR 3.05, 95% CI 1.74-5.36; p < 0.0001), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45 mL/min/1.73 m² (OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.58-5.74; p = 0.0007) were independent determinants of poor DR. The frequency of poor DR according to the risk stratification group was low risk (no risk factor), 18.9%; middle risk (one risk factor), 33.1%; and high risk (two to three risk factors), 58.0% (p < 0.0001). All risk groups demonstrated a significantly lower incidence of poor DR with early TLV administration: 10.7% in the early TLV group versus 18.9% in the loop diuretics group (p = 0.09) of the low-risk group; 18.4% versus 33.1% (p = 0.01) in the middle-risk group, and 20.2% versus 58.0% (p < 0.0001) in the high-risk group.

CONCLUSION

Early administration of TLV in patients with predicted poor DR contributed to a significant diuretic effect and suppression of worsening renal function.

Risk Factors with 30-Day Readmission and the Impact of Length of Hospital Stay on It in Patients with Heart Failure: A Retrospective Observational Study Using a Japanese National Database

Heart failure is a major disease, and its 30-day readmission (readmission within 30-day after discharge) negatively impacts patients and society. Thus, we need to stratify the risk and prevent readmission. We aimed to investigate risk factors associated with 30-day readmission and examine the impact of length of hospital stay (LOS) on 30-day readmission. Using the Diagnosis-Procedure-Combination database from April 2018 to March 2021, we conducted multiple logistic regression to investigate risk factors with 30-day readmission. Also, we conducted subgroup analysis in the short LOS group. To examine the association between LOS and 30-day readmission, we performed propensity score matching between the short and middle LOS groups. As a result, we categorized 10,283 patients and 169,842 patients into the readmission group and the no-readmission group. We identified the following factors as the risk of readmission: short LOS, female, smoking, older age, lower body mass index, lower barthel index, artificial ventilator, beta-blockers, thiazides, tolvaptan, loop diuretics, carperitides, class Ⅲ antiarrhythmic agents, myocardial infarction, diabetes, renal disease, atrial fibrillation, dilated cardiomyopathy, and discharge to home. As a subgroup analysis in the short LOS group, we revealed that the short LOS group risk factors differed from overall. After propensity score matching in the short LOS group and middle LOS group, 37,199 pairs were matched, and we revealed that shorter LOS increases the risk of readmission. These results demonstrated that shortened LOS increases 30-day readmission, and risk factors are unique to each LOS. We suggest stratifying the readmission risk and being careful with early discharge.

Association Between Hypertension and New-Onset Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Chinese Non-Obese People: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Quantification of the relationship between hypertension and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) risk is limited and controversial. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between hypertension and NAFLD in non-obese Chinese and to use different methods to demonstrate that hypertension is an independent risk factor for NAFLD.

METHODS

On 16,153 nonobese individuals, a retrospective cohort study was conducted in China to examine the impact of hypertension on incident NAFLD. We compared five methods: multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression, propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis, propensity score adjustment method (considering the propensity score as a covariate in a multivariable Cox proportional-hazard regression), and two propensity score-based weighted methods-The first one estimated the hypertension effect in the overall study population-inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW), the other in the hypertensive population-standardized mortality ratio (SMR) weights. We also used a genetic matching (GenMatch) algorithm to match the participants for sensitive analysis.

RESULTS

Between 2010 and 2014, 16,153 participants met our inclusion criteria, including 2427 (15.03%) with hypertension. A total of 2321 (14.37%) participants developed NAFLD during the median follow-up of 2.98 years. The crude hazard ratio (HR) between hypertension and incident NAFLD was 2.05 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.87, 2.25). The adjusted HR depended on the different methods, ranging from 1.09 (95% CI: 0.77, 1.23) for the PSM method to 2.24 (95% CI: 2.05, 2.44) for the SMR weighted analysis. Hypertensive participants with high propensity scores had a higher risk of developing NAFLD in the future. Excluding participants with propensity scores <8% yielded comparable hazard ratios with a narrower range, from 1.04 to 1.80. After adjusting for the confounding variables, the relationship also existed in the GenMatch cohort as a sensitivity analysis (HR=1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.13).

CONCLUSION

Hypertension is a significant cause of NAFLD in Chinese adults in non-obese Chinese adults, with the hazard ratio ranging from 1.09 to 2.24.

Temporal Improvements in COVID-19 Outcomes for Hospitalized Adults: A Post Hoc Observational Study of Remdesivir Group Participants in the Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 standard of care (SOC) evolved rapidly during 2020 and 2021, but its cumulative effect over time is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether recovery and mortality improved as SOC evolved, using data from ACTT (Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial).

DESIGN

ACTT is a series of phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials that evaluated COVID-19 therapeutics from February 2020 through May 2021. ACTT-1 compared remdesivir plus SOC to placebo plus SOC, and in ACTT-2 and ACTT-3, remdesivir plus SOC was the control group. This post hoc analysis compared recovery and mortality between these comparable sequential cohorts of patients who received remdesivir plus SOC, adjusting for baseline characteristics with propensity score weighting. The analysis was repeated for participants in ACTT-3 and ACTT-4 who received remdesivir plus dexamethasone plus SOC. Trends in SOC that could explain outcome improvements were analyzed. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04280705 [ACTT-1], NCT04401579 [ACTT-2], NCT04492475 [ACTT-3], and NCT04640168 [ACTT-4]).

SETTING

94 hospitals in 10 countries (86% U.S. participants).

PARTICIPANTS

Adults hospitalized with COVID-19.

INTERVENTION

SOC.

MEASUREMENTS

28-day mortality and recovery.

RESULTS

Although outcomes were better in ACTT-2 than in ACTT-1, adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were close to 1 (HR for recovery, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.92 to 1.17]; HR for mortality, 0.90 [CI, 0.56 to 1.40]). Comparable patients were less likely to be intubated in ACTT-2 than in ACTT-1 (odds ratio, 0.75 [CI, 0.53 to 0.97]), and hydroxychloroquine use decreased. Outcomes improved from ACTT-2 to ACTT-3 (HR for recovery, 1.43 [CI, 1.24 to 1.64]; HR for mortality, 0.45 [CI, 0.21 to 0.97]). Potential explanatory factors (SOC trends, case surges, and variant trends) were similar between ACTT-2 and ACTT-3, except for increased dexamethasone use (11% to 77%). Outcomes were similar in ACTT-3 and ACTT-4. Antibiotic use decreased gradually across all stages.

LIMITATION

Unmeasured confounding.

CONCLUSION

Changes in patient composition explained improved outcomes from ACTT-1 to ACTT-2 but not from ACTT-2 to ACTT-3, suggesting improved SOC. These results support excluding nonconcurrent controls from analysis of platform trials in rapidly changing therapeutic areas.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Mortality in Elderly Patients Taking Furosemide: Prospective Cohorts Study

Objectives

Low blood pressure (BP) has been proposed as a risk factor of death in elderly patients. However, this association could be partially accounted for by the deleterious effects of BP-lowering drugs. We analyzed whether these drugs are associated to an increased risk of death in elderly patients taking multiple potential confounders into account.

Design

This is a prospective cohort study. Setting and Participants. Probabilistic sample of 772 community-dwelling patients aged >65 years living in Spain, who were appointed for an initial clinical visit and followed up through telephone calls 4, 6, 9, 12, and 60 months afterwards.

Methods

At baseline visit, BP was measured using standardized methods, and BP medications and risk factors of death in elderly patients (BMI, oxygen saturation, toxic habits, comorbidity, muscular strength, and functional and cognitive capacity) were collected. During the follow-up, the vital status of patients and the date of death were ascertained.

Results

During a median 5-year follow-up, 226 all-cause deaths occurred among the 686 participants included in the analysis. In a Cox regression model that included all the BP drug classes, diuretics and nitrites were significantly associated with mortality (p < 0.005). Within diuretics, furosemide was found to be responsible for the association of the group. In multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for BP and the rest of the mortality risk factors, furosemide remained as the only BP drug that was independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio 2.34; p < 0.01).

Conclusions

Furosemide was prospectively associated with increased mortality in older people. If confirmed, this drug should be taken into account by prescribers and considered a confounder in BP studies.

Clinical impact of blood urea nitrogen, regardless of renal function, in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) reflects decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR). The effect of BUN on clinical outcomes, excluding the impact of GFR, in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) patients remains unknown.

METHODS

We enrolled HFpEF (left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%) patients hospitalized due to acute decompensated heart failure (HF) from PURSUIT-HFpEF registry which was prospective, multicenter and observational study. For excluding the effect of renal function on BUN value, propensity score-matching was performed using the variables which were associated with GFR. The incidence of composite of all-cause death and HF readmission among the patients stratified by BUN and the association between BUN and echocardiographic parameters in HFpEF patients were evaluated.

RESULTS

We finally analyzed 1029 patients. In the present study, BUN cut-off value was defined as 24.4 mg/dL, which was the median value in overall population. The high and low BUN groups consisted of 193 patients after 1:1 propensity score-matching, respectively. The median follow-up duration was 401 days and the composite endpoint occurred in 129 patients (33.4%). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed the high BUN group had a significantly greater risk of the composite endpoint than the low group in the propensity score-matched pairs (p = 0.032). BUN value significantly correlated with left atrial volume index by multiple regression analysis using echocardiographic parameters (standardized beta-coefficient = 0.139, p = 0.043).

CONCLUSION

BUN was a useful marker for the composite of all-cause death and HF readmission, regardless of the baseline renal function and correlated with left atrial function in HFpEF patients.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN000021831 <https://uplaod.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000024414>; PURSUIT-HFpEF.

Recommendations for the use of propensity score methods in multiple sclerosis research

BACKGROUND

With many disease-modifying therapies currently approved for the management of multiple sclerosis, there is a growing need to evaluate the comparative effectiveness and safety of those therapies from real-world data sources. Propensity score methods have recently gained popularity in multiple sclerosis research to generate real-world evidence. Recent evidence suggests, however, that the conduct and reporting of propensity score analyses are often suboptimal in multiple sclerosis studies.

OBJECTIVES

To provide practical guidance to clinicians and researchers on the use of propensity score methods within the context of multiple sclerosis research.

METHODS

We summarize recommendations on the use of propensity score matching and weighting based on the current methodological literature, and provide examples of good practice.

RESULTS

Step-by-step recommendations are presented, starting with covariate selection and propensity score estimation, followed by guidance on the assessment of covariate balance and implementation of propensity score matching and weighting. Finally, we focus on treatment effect estimation and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

This comprehensive set of recommendations highlights key elements that require careful attention when using propensity score methods.

Loop Diuretic Use is Associated With Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients With Low Volume Status: Loop diuretics in AMI patient

BACKGROUND

Little information is available on the difference in the prognostic impact of loop diuretics in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) based on plasma volume status.

METHODS

A total of 3,364 survivors of AMI who were registered in the large database of the Osaka Acute Coronary Insufficiency Study (OACIS) were studied. Plasma volume status was assessed by the estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) that was calculated based on a weight- and hematocrit-based formula at discharge. The endpoint was a composite endpoint of all-cause death and rehospitalization due to heart failure for 5 years.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 1.9 years, 90 and 223 patients had events in the groups with low ePVS (<median value of 4.07%) and high ePVS (≥4.07%), respectively. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that loop diuretics use was independently associated with an increased risk of the composite endpoint in the low ePVS group (hazard ratio [HR], 2.572; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.386-4.771; p=0.002), but not in the high ePVS group (HR, 1.028; 95% CI, 0.698-1.512; p=0.890). These results were unchanged even in the propensity-score matched cohorts. There was no heterogeneity in the increased risk of the primary endpoints between various patient characteristics and loop diuretic use in the matched cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Prescription of loop diuretics at discharge was associated with increased risk of poor long-term prognosis in patients with AMI without PV expansion, but not with PV expansion. Therefore, careful observation is needed when loop diuretics are prescribed for AMI patients without PV expansion.

Use of short-acting vs. long-acting loop diuretics after heart failure hospitalization

AIMS

Furosemide, a short-acting loop diuretic (SD), is the dominant agent prescribed for heart failure (HF) in clinical practice. However, accumulating data suggests that long-acting loop diuretics (LD), such as torsemide or azosemide, might have more favourable pharmacological profiles. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the type of loop diuretics and long-term outcomes among patients hospitalized for acute HF enrolled in a contemporary multicentre registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Within the West Tokyo Heart Failure Registry from 2006 to 2017, a total of 2680 patients (60.1% men with a median age of 77 years) were analysed. The patients were characterized by the type of diuretics used at the time of discharge; 2073 (77.4%) used SD, and 607 (22.6%) used LD. The primary endpoint was composite of all-cause death or HF re-admission after discharge, and the secondary endpoints were all-cause death and HF re-admission, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 2.1 years, 639 patients died [n = 519 (25.0%) in the SD group; n = 120 (19.8%) in the LD group], and 868 patients were readmitted for HF [n = 697 (33.6%) in the SD group; n = 171 (28.2%) in the LD group]. After multivariable adjustment, the LD group had lower risk for the composite outcome [hazard ratio (HR), 0.80; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.66-0.96; P = 0.017], including all-cause death (HR; 0.73; 95% CI; 0.54-0.99; P = 0.044) and HF re-admission (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.66-0.99; P = 0.038), than the SD group. Propensity score matching yielded estimates that were consistent with those of the multivariable analyses, with sub-group analyses demonstrating that use of LD was associated with favourable outcomes predominantly in younger patients with reduced ejection fraction.

CONCLUSIONS

LD was associated with lower risk of long-term outcomes in patients with HF and a recent episode of acute decompensation.

The Association Between Congestive Heart Failure and One-Year Mortality After Surgery in Singaporean Adults: A Secondary Retrospective Cohort Study Using Propensity-Score Matching, Propensity Adjustment, and Propensity-Based Weighting

Background

Although congestive heart failure (CHF) is considered a risk factor for postoperative mortality, reliable quantification of the relationship between CHF and postoperative mortality risk is limited. We aimed to investigate the association between CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery in a large cohort of the Singaporean population.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, the study population included 69,032 adult patients who underwent surgery at Singapore General Hospital between 1 January 2012 and 31 October 2016. The target independent and dependent variables were CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery, respectively. Propensity score was estimated using a non-parsimonious multivariable logistic regression model. Multivariable adjustment, propensity score matching, propensity score adjustment, and propensity score-based weighting Cox proportional-hazards regression were performed to investigate the association between CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery.

Results

The multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) in the original cohort was 1.39 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.20–1.61, P < 0.001). In additional propensity score adjustment, the HR between CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery was 1.34 (95% CI: 1.15–1.56, P < 0.001). In the propensity score-matched cohort, the multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed participants with CHF had a 54% increased risk of 1-year mortality after surgery (HR 1.54, 95% CI: 1.19–1.98, P < 0.001). The multivariate-adjusted HR of the inverse probability of treatment-weighted and standardised mortality ratio-weighted cohorts was 1.34 (95% CI: 1.10–1.62, P = 0.004) and 1.24 (95% CI: 1.17–1.32, P < 0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

CHF is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality after surgery in patients undergoing surgery. Depending on the statistical method, patients with CHF had a 24–54% increased risk of 1-year all-cause mortality after surgery. This provides a reference for optimising clinical decision-making, improving preoperative consultation, and promoting clinical communication.

Effect of surgical treatment for anorectal melanoma: a propensity score-matched analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results programme data

OBJECTIVE

Anorectal melanoma (AM) is a rare but aggressive tumour with limited information in the existing literature. This study aimed to assess the effect of surgical treatment for AM and predict the prognosis of affected patients.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Data of patients diagnosed with AM between 1975 and 2016 in the USA were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

PARTICIPANTS

This study enrolled a total of 795 patients with AM from the SEER database and the validation cohort comprised 40 patients with AM enrolled from Chinese institutes.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Overall survival (OS) and AM-specific survival (AM-SS).

RESULTS

A total of 795 patients with AM diagnosed between 1975 and 2016 were enrolled in this study. Data over the past four decades showed a trend of increase in incidence rate. A nomogram based on a multivariate Cox regression model was generated to predict AM-SS. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.74 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.77) on internal verification. In the validation cohort, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.72 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.76). The results of propensity score matching (PSM) analysis showed that patients who underwent surgical treatment achieved significant survival (OS: log-rank=17.41, p<0.001; AM-SS: log-rank=14.55, p<0.001). Patients who underwent surgery were stratified into local and extended surgery subgroups. AM-SS and OS were also compared after PSM, but the results were not significantly different between the two surgery subgroups (all p>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram based on the analysis of SEER data showed good performance in predicting OS and AM-SS. Patients with AM can benefit from surgery; however, extensive surgery and appendectomy may not improve AM-SS or OS.

Selecting External Controls for Internal Cases Using Stratification Score Matching Methods

Rare-disease registries can be useful for studying the associations between environmental exposures and disease severity, but often require the addition of a healthy comparison control group. Defining a surrogate control group, matched and balanced on potentially confounding variables, would allow for the comparison of exposure distributions with cases from a registry. In the present study, we assess whether controls selected externally, using stratification score (SS) matching, can serve as effective proxies for internal controls. In addition, we use methyl paraben (MEPB) to compare the estimated associations between an externally matched sample and case-control frequencies in a cohort with internally matched controls. We started with 225 eligible cases of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) from Childhood Autism Risks from Genetics and the Environment (CHARGE), 241 internal controls from CHARGE, and 265 external controls from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycles 2005-2016. We calculated the SSs using demographic covariates and matched 1:1 using a caliper method without a replacement. The distribution of the covariates and the mean squared error of the paired differences (MSEpaired) in the SSs between the internal and external group were similar (MSEpaired = 0.007 and 0.011, respectively). The association between MEPB and ASD compared to the controls was similar between the externally matched SS pairs and the original frequency matched cohort. Controls selected externally, via SS matching, can provide a comparable bias reduction to that provided by the internal controls, and therefore may be a useful strategy in situations when the internal controls are not available.

Inferior Vena Cava Edge Tracking Echocardiography: A Promising Tool with Applications in Multiple Clinical Settings

Ultrasound (US)-based measurements of the inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter are widely used to estimate right atrial pressure (RAP) in a variety of clinical settings. However, the correlation with invasively measured RAP along with the reproducibility of US-based IVC measurements is modest at best. In the present manuscript, we discuss the limitations of the current technique to estimate RAP through IVC US assessment and present a new promising tool developed by our research group, the automated IVC edge-to-edge tracking system, which has the potential to improve RAP assessment by transforming the current categorical classification (low, normal, high RAP) in a continuous and precise RAP estimation technique. Finally, we critically evaluate all the clinical settings in which this new tool could improve current practice.

The development and application of a prediction model for postpartum depression: optimizing risk assessment and prevention in the clinic

BACKGROUND

Preventive intervention can significantly reduce the human and economic costs of postpartum depression (PPD) compared with treatment post-diagnosis. However, identifying women with a high PPD risk and making a judgement as to the benefits of preventive intervention is a major challenge.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of parturients that underwent a cesarean delivery. Control group was used as development cohort and validation cohort to construct the risk prediction model of PPD and determine a risk threshold. Ketamine group and development cohort were used to verify the risk classification of parturients by evaluating whether the incidence of PPD decreased significantly after ketamine treatment in high-risk for PPD population.

RESULTS

The AUC for the development cohort and validation cohort of the PPD prediction model were 0.751 (95%CI:0.700-0.802) and 0.748 (95%CI:0.680-0.816), respectively. A threshold of 19% PPD risk probability was determined, with a specificity and sensitivity in the validation cohort are 0.766 and 0.604, respectively. After matching the high-risk group and the low-risk group by propensity score, the results demonstrated that PPD incidence significantly reduced in the high-risk group following ketamine, versus non-ketamine, intervention (p < 0.01). In contrast, intervention in the low-risk group showed no significant difference in PPD outcomes (p > 0.01).

LIMITATION

Randomized trials are needed to further verify the feasibility of the model and the thresholds proposed.

CONCLUSION

This prediction model developed in this study shows utility in predicting PPD risk. Ketamine intervention significantly lowers PPD incidence in parturients with a risk classification threshold greater than 19%.

The impact of hyperglycaemic crisis episodes on long-term outcomes for inpatients presenting with acute organ injury: A prospective, multicentre follow-up study

BACKGROUND

The long-term clinical outcome of poor prognosis in patients with diabetic hyperglycaemic crisis episodes (HCE) remains unknown, which may be related to acute organ injury (AOI) and its continuous damage after hospital discharge. This study aimed to observe the clinical differences and relevant risk factors in HCE with or without AOI.

METHODS

A total of 339 inpatients were divided into an AOI group (n=69) and a non-AOI group (n=270), and their differences and risk factors were explored. The differences in clinical outcomes and prediction models for evaluating the long-term adverse events after hospital discharge were established.

RESULTS

The mortality among cases complicated by AOI was significantly higher than that among patients without AOI [8 (11.59%) vs. 11 (4.07%), Q = 0.034] during hospitalization. After a 2-year follow-up, the mortality was also significantly higher in patients with concomitant AOI than in patients without AOI after hospital discharge during follow-up [13 (21.31%) vs. 15 (5.8%), Q < 0.001]. The long-term adverse events in patients with concomitant AOI were significantly higher than those in patients without AOI during follow-up [15 (24.59%) vs. 31 (11.97%), Q = 0.015]. Furthermore, Blood β-hydroxybutyric acid (P = 0.003), Cystatin C (P <0.001), serum potassium levels (P = 0.001) were significantly associated with long-term adverse events after hospital discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

The long-term prognosis of HCE patients complicated with AOI was significantly worse than that of HCE patients without AOI. The laboratory indicators were closely correlated with AOI, and future studies should explore the improvement of clinical outcome in response to timely interventions.

Cost-Effectiveness of long-term tolvaptan administration for chronic heart failure treatment in Japan

BACKGROUND

Tolvaptan (TLV) is effective for acute heart failure (HF) with congestion, but its long-term administration in patients with chronic HF (CHF) remains controversial. Moreover, the cost-effectiveness of TLV for CHF treatment has not yet been investigated. Thus, we sought to validate the cost-effectiveness of TLV for CHF treatment in Japan.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to compare total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between long-term TLV strategy and the standard strategy using furosemide for CHF. The target population included 75-year-old patients with CHF. The effectiveness of the TLV strategy for CHF treatment was determined based on a systematic review and meta-analysis. We used a 10-year horizon, with sensitivity analyses for significant variables and a scenario analysis for patients with CHF receiving high-dose furosemide (≥60 mg per day).

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, the total cost of the long-term TLV strategy was higher than that of the standard strategy (\3,243,779 vs. \1,179,964). The total QALYs of the long-term TLV strategy were lower than those of the standard strategy (4.52 vs 4.59). Thus, a standard TLV prescription for CHF treatment has no clinical or economic benefit. In the scenario analysis (i.e. in patients with CHF receiving high-dose furosemide), the long-term TLV strategy was more effective (total QALYs, 5.10 vs. 4.41) but more expensive (total costs, \3,540,558 vs. \1,272,208) than the standard strategy. The ICER of the TLV strategy against the standard strategy (¥3,289,579/QALY) was below the willingness-to-pay of \5,000,000, which suggests that the long-term TLV strategy is cost-effective relative to the standard strategy in patients with CHF receiving high-dose furosemide.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term TLV administration did not provide a clear benefit for all patients with CHF. However, this treatment strategy may be a cost-effective therapeutic option for patients who require high-dose furosemide.

Temporal trends in tolvaptan use after revision of national heart failure guidelines in Japan

Within no definite diuretic protocol for acute heart failure (AHF) patients and its variation in regional clinical guidelines, the latest national guidelines in Japan commends use of tolvaptan in diuretic-resistant patients. This study aimed to examine trends in tolvaptan usage and associated outcomes of AHF patients requiring hospitalization. Between April, 2018 and October, 2019, 1343 consecutive AHF patients (median 78 [69-85] year-old) were enrolled in a prospective, multicenter registry in Japan. Trends over time in tolvaptan usage, along with the severity of heart failure status based on the Get With The Guideline-Heart Failure [GWTG-HF] risk score, and in-hospital outcomes were investigated. During the study period, tolvaptan usage has increased from 13.0 to 28.7% over time (p for trend = 0.07), and 49.4% started tolvaptan within 3 days after admission. The GWTG-HF risk score in the tolvaptan group has significantly decreased over time, while that in the non-tolvaptan group has unchanged. There were no differences in the in-hospital mortality rate between the patients with and without tolvaptan (6.7% vs. 5.8%). After revision of the Japanese clinical practice guidelines for AHF in March 2018, tolvaptan usage for AHF patients has steadily increased. However, in-hospital outcomes including mortality do not seem to be affected.

The change in postoperative opioid prescribing after lumbar decompression surgery following state-level opioid prescribing reform

OBJECTIVE

On August 31, 2017, the state of Ohio implemented legislation limiting the dosage and duration of opioid prescriptions. Despite the widespread adoption of such restrictions, few studies have investigated the effects of these reforms on opioid prescribing and patient outcomes. In the present study, the authors aimed to evaluate the effect of recent state-level reform on opioid prescribing, patient-reported outcomes (PROs), and postoperative emergency department (ED) visits and hospital readmissions after elective lumbar decompression surgery.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent elective lumbar laminectomy for degenerative disease at one of 5 hospitals within a single health system in the years prior to and after the implementation of the statewide reform (September 1, 2016-August 31, 2018). Patients were classified according to the timing of their surgery relative to implementation of the prescribing reform: before reform (September 1, 2016-August 31, 2017) or after reform (September 1, 2017- August 31, 2018). The outcomes of interest included total outpatient opioids prescribed in the 90 days following discharge from surgery as measured in morphine-equivalent doses (MEDs), total number of opioid refill prescriptions written, patient-reported pain at the first postoperative outpatient visit as measured by the Numeric Pain Rating Scale, improvement in patient-reported health-related quality of life as measured by the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System-Global Health (PROMIS-GH) questionnaire, and ED visits or hospital readmissions within 90 days of surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 1031 patients met the inclusion criteria for the study, with 469 and 562 in the before- and after-reform groups, respectively. After-reform patients received 26% (95% CI 19%-32%) fewer MEDs in the 90 days following discharge compared with the before-reform patients. No significant differences were observed in the overall number of opioid prescriptions written, PROs, or postoperative ED or hospital readmissions within 90 days in the year after the implementation of the prescribing reform.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients undergoing surgery in the year after the implementation of a state-level opioid prescribing reform received significantly fewer MEDs while reporting no change in the total number of opioid prescriptions, PROs, or postoperative ED visits or hospital readmissions. These results demonstrate that state-level reforms placing reasonable limits on opioid prescriptions written for acute pain may decrease patient opioid exposure without negatively impacting patient outcomes after lumbar decompression surgery.

Income disparity and incident cardiovascular disease in older Americans

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between income and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

Of the 5795 Medicare-eligible community-dwelling older Americans aged 65-100 years in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), 4518 (78%) were free of baseline CVD, defined as heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease. Of them, 1846 (41%) had lower income, defined as a total annual household income <$16,000. Using propensity scores for lower income, estimated for each of the 4518 participants, we assembled a matched cohort of 1078 pairs balanced on 42 baseline characteristics. Outcomes included centrally adjudicated incident CVD and mortality.

RESULTS

Matched participants (n = 2156) had a mean age of 73 years, 63% were women, and 13% African American. During an overall follow-up of 23 years, incident CVD, all-cause mortality and the combined endpoint of incident CVD or mortality occurred in 1094 (51%), 1726 (80%) and 1867 (87%) individuals, respectively. Compared with the higher income group, hazard ratio (HR) for time to the first occurrence of incident CVD in the lower income group was 1.16 with a 95% confidence interval of 1.03 to 1.31. A lower income was also associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30), and consequently a higher risk of the combined endpoint of incident CVD or death (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.09-1.31).

CONCLUSION

Among community-dwelling older Americans free of baseline CVD, an annual household income <$16,000 is independently associated with significantly higher risks of new-onset CVD and death.

Temporal trends in outcome and patient characteristics in dilated cardiomyopathy, data from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry 2003-2015

Background

Temporal trends in clinical composition and outcome in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) are largely unknown, despite considerable advances in heart failure management. We set out to study clinical characteristics and prognosis over time in DCM in Sweden during 2003–2015.

Methods

DCM patients (n = 7873) from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry were divided into three calendar periods of inclusion, 2003–2007 (Period 1, n = 2029), 2008–2011 (Period 2, n = 3363), 2012–2015 (Period 3, n = 2481). The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, transplantation and hospitalization during 1 year after inclusion into the registry.

Results

Over the three calendar periods patients were older (p = 0.022), the proportion of females increased (mean 22.5%, 26.4%, 27.6%, p = 0.0001), left ventricular ejection fraction was higher (p = 0.0014), and symptoms by New York Heart Association less severe (p < 0.0001). Device (implantable cardioverter defibrillator and/or cardiac resynchronization) therapy increased by 30% over time (mean 11.6%, 12.3%, 15.1%, p < 0.0001). The event rates for mortality, and hospitalization were consistently decreasing over calendar periods (p < 0.0001 for all), whereas transplantation rate was stable. More advanced physical symptoms correlated with an increased risk of a composite outcome over time (p = 0.0043).

Conclusions

From 2003 until 2015, we observed declining mortality and hospitalizations in DCM, paralleled by a continuous change in both demographic profile and therapy in the DCM population in Sweden, towards a less affected phenotype.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-021-02124-0.