A comprehensive analysis of the effects of rivaroxaban on stroke or transient ischaemic attack in patients with heart failure, coronary artery disease, and sinus rhythm: the COMMANDER HF trial

Prognoses and risk stratification of thrombus-associated events in heart failure patients without atrial fibrillation

AIMS

We aim to assess the risk of thrombus-associated events (TAE) in patients with heart failure (HF) without atrial fibrillation (AF) and develop an effective scoring system for a risk stratification model.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective study included 450 patients (median age 64.0 years, interquartile range [55.0, 75.0]; 31.6% women) hospitalized for HF without AF and atrial flutter, but with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 55% and New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class of III-IV. A median follow-up of 47 months was conducted. In the present study, TAE during follow-up was independently associated with both all-cause death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.756, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.324-2.328, P < 0.001] and readmission for HF (HR 1.574, 95% CI 1.122-2.208, P = 0.009) after adjustment for covariates. Hypertension (HR 1.573, 95% CI 1.018-2.429, P = 0.041), atrial arrhythmia excluding AF (AAexAF) (HR 2.041, 95% CI 1.066-3.908, P = 0.031), previous ischaemic stroke (HR 2.469, 95% CI 1.576-3.869, P < 0.001), and vascular disease (HR 1.658, 95% CI 1.074-2.562, P = 0.023) were independently associated with TAE. Age (HR 1.021, 95% CI 1.008-1.033, P = 0.001), previous ischaemic stroke (HR 1.685, 95% CI 1.248-2.274, P = 0.001), LVEF ([10, 25] vs. [40, 55]) HR 1.925, 95% CI 1.311-2.826, P = 0.001; (25, 40] vs. (40, 55] HR 1.084, 95% CI 0.825-1.424, P = 0.563), and creatinine clearance rate (Ccr) (HR 0.991, 95% CI 0.986-0.996, P = 0.001) were independently associated with composite events of TAE and death (TAE-D). CHA2DS2VASc modestly predicted 5-year TAE [area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) 0.660, P < 0.001 compared with 0.5] and TAE-D (AUC 0.639, P < 0.001 compared with 0.5). (C)ACE, formed by incorporating AAexAF, LVEF, and Ccr into CHA2DS2VASc, had higher AUC for predicting 5-year TAE (0.694 vs. 0.660, P = 0.018) and TAE-D (0.708 vs. 0.639, P < 0.001) compared with CHA2DS2VASc. In patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), (C)ACE and (C)ACEN [formed by incorporating NYHA into (C)ACE] had higher AUC compared with CHA2DS2VASc in predicting 5-year TAE (0.700 and 0.707 vs. 0.649, P = 0.013 and 0.030, respectively) and TAE-D (0.712 and 0.713 vs. 0.622, P < 0.001 and <0.001, respectively). The AUC did not improve statistically from (C)ACE to (C)ACEN (0.700 vs. 0.707, P = 0.600 for TAE; 0.712 vs. 0.713, P = 0.917 for TAE-D).

CONCLUSIONS

In HF without AF, TAE during follow-up was associated with adverse prognoses. The independent risk factors of TAE or TAE-D improved CHA2DS2-VASc predictive ability, especially in patients with HFrEF. Our findings provide new evidence for TAE risk stratification in HF without AF, potentially guiding prophylactic anticoagulation.

High Risk of Stroke in Patients With Worsening Heart Failure, Reduced Ejection Fraction, Coronary Heart Disease and Sinus Rhythm: Risk Prediction Score Analysis From the COMMANDER-HF Trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and sinus rhythm have a heightened risk of stroke. Whether anticoagulation benefits these patients is uncertain. In this post hoc analysis of the A Study to Assess the Effectiveness and Safety of Rivaroxaban in Reducing the Risk of Death, Myocardial Infarction, or Stroke in Participants with Heart Failure and Coronary Artery Disease Following an Episode of Decompensated Heart Failure (COMMANDER-HF) trial we evaluated how a previously validated risk model consisting of 3 variables (history of prior stroke, insulin-treated diabetes, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level) would perform, compared with plasma d-dimer, for stroke prediction and estimation of the benefit of low-dose rivaroxaban.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Stroke risk and treatment effect were computed across risk score and plasma d-dimer tertiles. Risk score was available in 58% of the COMMANDER-HF population (n = 2928). Over a median follow-up of 512 days (range 342-747 days), 60 patients experienced a stroke (14.6 per 1000 patient-years). The risk model did not identify patients at higher risk of stroke and showed a low overall prognostic performance (C-index = 0.53). The effect of rivaroxaban on stroke was homogeneous across risk score tertiles (P-interaction = .67). Among patients in whom the risk score was estimated, d-dimer was available in 2343 (80%). d-dimer had an acceptable discrimination performance for stroke prediction (C-index = 0.66) and higher plasma d-dimer concentrations were associated with higher rates of stroke (ie, tertile 3 vs tertile 1, hazard ratio 3.65, 95% confidence interval 1.59-8.39, P = .002). Treatment with low-dose rivaroxaban reduced the incidence of stroke in patients at highest risk by d-dimer levels (ie, >515 ng/mL, hazard ratio 0.42, 95% confidence interval 0.18-0.95, P-interaction = .074), without any safety concerns.

CONCLUSIONS

In our analysis, plasma d-dimer concentrations performed better than a previously described 3-variable risk score for stroke prediction in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, a recent clinical worsening and sinus rhythm as enrolled in the COMMANDER-HF trial. In these patients, a raised plasma d-dimer concentration identified patients who might benefit most from rivaroxaban.

Serum Homer1 is a Novel Biomarker for Predicting the Clinical Outcomes of Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients

Purpose

We aim to explore the relationship between Homer1 and the outcomes of AIS patients at 3 months.

Patients and Methods

This prospective cohort study was conducted from May 2022 to March 2023. In this study, we investigated the association between serum Homer1 levels by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay at admission and functional outcomes of patients at 3 months after AIS.

Results

Overall, 89 AIS patients (48 good outcomes and 41 poor outcomes) and 83 healthy controls were included. The median serum Homer1 level of patients at admission with poor outcomes was significantly higher than that of patients with good outcomes (39.33 vs 33.15, P<0.001). Serum Homer1 levels at admission were positively correlated with the severity of AIS (r = 0.488, P<0.001). The optimal cutoff of serum Homer1 level as an indicator for an auxiliary diagnosis of 3 months functional outcomes was 35.07 pg/mL, with a sensitivity of 75.0% and a specificity of 92.7% (AUC 0.837; 95% CI [0.744-0.907]; P<0 0.001). The odds ratio of MRS > 2 predicted by the level of serum Homer1 after 3 months was 1.665 (1.306-2.122; P<0.001).

Conclusion

Serum concentrations of Homer1 have a high predictive value for neurobehavioral outcomes after acute ischemic stroke. Higher serum Homer1 levels (>35.07 pg/mL) were positively associated with poor functional outcomes of patients 3 months post-stroke.

Assessing the Safety and Efficacy of Rivaroxaban for Stroke Prevention in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

An effective anticoagulation therapy is required for patients with atrial fibrillation because it presents a significant risk of stroke. The current study evaluates the relative safety as well as efficacy of rivaroxaban in patients who are diagnosed with atrial fibrillation. A thorough literature review of relevant databases was conducted, focusing on academic and clinical studies that were published from 2017 onward. Inclusion criteria comprised randomized controlled trials and other observational studies comparing the incidence of stroke and the safety index of rivaroxaban in atrial fibrillation. We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) for data overview reporting and overview. A total of 21 studies were selected based on the inclusion criteria. A total of 19/21 studies advocated the adoption of rivaroxaban for minimizing stroke incidence. Rivaroxaban also showed superiority in achieving the therapeutic objectives, i.e., reduction in the incidence of stroke. The results for rivaroxaban against warfarin showed an improved safety index and effectiveness of rivaroxaban. The total effect size for the analysis was calculated to be Z=2.62 (p-value=0.009). The individual effect of all studies favored the "rivaroxaban" group. The heterogeneity in the study was as follows: tau2=0.10; chi2=110.10, df=6; I2=95%. The second analysis for risk reduction and incidence of stroke after rivaroxaban therapy also showed a bias towards rivaroxaban therapy. The combined effect for the analysis was found to be as follows: HR=0.73 ((95% CI: 0.50, 1.07). The total effect was calculated to be Z=1.61 (p-value= 0.10). The heterogeneity was found to be as follows: tau2= 0.20, chi2=89.97, df=6, I2=93%. Standard dosing of rivaroxaban emerges as a preferred strategy for stroke prevention, balancing efficacy and safety. Clinical decision-making should consider individual patient characteristics and future research should delve into specific subpopulations and long-term outcomes to further refine treatment guidelines.

Efficacy and Safety of Different Dosing Regimens of Rivaroxaban in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) poses a substantial risk of stroke, necessitating effective anticoagulation therapy. This systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) evaluates the efficacy and safety of different dosing regimens of rivaroxaban in patients with AF. A comprehensive search of relevant databases, focusing on studies published from 2017 onward, was conducted. Inclusion criteria comprised randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies comparing standard and reduced dosing of rivaroxaban in AF. Data extraction and risk of bias (ROB) assessment were performed, and a meta-analysis was conducted for relevant outcomes. A total of 21 studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Standard dosing demonstrates a slightly lower risk of composite effectiveness outcomes and safety outcomes (HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.66-0.94, P=0.01) compared to reduced dosing (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.71-0.97, P=0.02). Notable differences in major bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB), and intracranial bleeding favored standard dosing. Hemorrhagic stroke and all-cause stroke rates differed significantly, with standard dosing showing a more favorable profile for ischemic stroke prevention. This study highlights the pivotal role of personalized anticoagulation therapy in AF. Standard dosing of rivaroxaban emerges as a preferred strategy for stroke prevention, balancing efficacy and safety. Clinical decision-making should consider individual patient characteristics and future research should delve into specific subpopulations and long-term outcomes to further refine treatment guidelines. The study bridges evidence from clinical trials to real-world practice, offering insights into the evolving landscape of AF management.

In-Hospital and readmission outcomes of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms and heart failure: Insights from the National Readmissions Database

Background

Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are chronic leukemias associated with increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) events. Prior studies suggest patients with MPN are at increased risk of HF. Additionally, pre-clinical murine models harboring the JAK2 mutation, the most common driver mutation in MPNs, have shown accelerated adverse cardiac remodeling in myocardial infarction and pressure overload HF models. However, clinical outcomes, including in-hospital and readmission outcomes, of patients with MPN admitted for HF have not been well characterized.

Methods

Patients hospitalized for HF with and without MPN were identified using the 2017 and 2018 National Readmission Database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to match 1 MPN with 10 non-MPN controls. Outcomes were in-hospital death, 90-day CV-related, HF-related, and all-cause readmissions. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate risk of in-hospital death and 90-day readmission outcomes, respectively.

Results

After PSM, 4,626 patients with MPN were matched with 46,260 without. Patients with MPN were associated with increased risk of in-hospital death (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.00 - 1.35), 90-day CV-related (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.18) and all-cause (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.17 - 1.31) but not HF-related (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.97 - 1.14) readmissions.

Conclusion

Among patients hospitalized for HF, MPN was associated with increased risk of in-hospital death, and 90-day CV-related readmissions (driven primarily by thrombotic readmissions). Further investigation is needed in order to improve outcomes in patients with MPN and HF.

Interaction of heart failure and stroke: A clinical consensus statement of the ESC Council on Stroke, the Heart Failure Association (HFA) and the ESC Working Group on Thrombosis

Heart failure (HF) is a major disease in our society that often presents with multiple comorbidities with mutual interaction and aggravation. The comorbidity of HF and stroke is a high risk condition that requires particular attention to ensure early detection of complications, efficient diagnostic workup, close monitoring, and consequent treatment of the patient. The bi-directional interaction between the heart and the brain is inherent in the pathophysiology of HF where HF may be causal for acute cerebral injury, and - in turn - acute cerebral injury may induce or aggravate HF via imbalanced neural and neurovegetative control of cardiovascular regulation. The present document represents the consensus view of the ESC Council on Stroke, the Heart Failure Association and the ESC Working Group on Thrombosis to summarize current insights on pathophysiological interactions of the heart and the brain in the comorbidity of HF and stroke. Principal aspects of diagnostic workup, pathophysiological mechanisms, complications, clinical management in acute conditions and in long-term care of patients with the comorbidity are presented and state-of-the-art clinical management and current evidence from clinical trials is discussed. Beside the physicians perspective, also the patients values and preferences are taken into account. Interdisciplinary cooperation of cardiologists, stroke specialists, other specialists and primary care physicians is pivotal to ensure optimal treatment in acute events and in continued long-term treatment of these patients. Key consensus statements are presented in a concise overview on mechanistic insights, diagnostic workup, prevention and treatment to inform clinical acute and continued care of patients with the comorbidity of HF and stroke.

Stroke in patients with heart failure and reduced or preserved ejection fraction

AIMS

Stroke is an important problem in patients with heart failure (HF), but the intersection between the two conditions is poorly studied across the range of ejection fraction. The prevalence of history of stroke and related outcomes were investigated in patients with HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Individual patient meta-analysis of seven clinical trials enrolling patients with HF with reduced (HFrEF) and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Of the 20 159 patients with HFrEF, 1683 (8.3%) had a history of stroke, and of the 13 252 patients with HFpEF, 1287 (9.7%) had a history of stroke. Regardless of ejection fraction, patients with a history of stroke had more vascular comorbidity and worse HF. Among those with HFrEF, the incidence of the composite of cardiovascular death, HF hospitalization, stroke, or myocardial infarction was 18.23 (16.81-19.77) per 100 person-years in those with prior stroke vs. 13.12 (12.77-13.48) in those without [hazard ratio 1.37 (1.26-1.49), P < 0.001]. The corresponding rates in patients with HFpEF were 14.16 (12.96-15.48) and 9.37 (9.06-9.70) [hazard ratio 1.49 (1.36-1.64), P < 0.001]. Each component of the composite was more frequent in patients with stroke history, and the risk of future stroke was doubled in patients with prior stroke. Among patients with prior stroke, 30% with concomitant atrial fibrillation were not anticoagulated, and 29% with arterial disease were not taking statins; 17% with HFrEF and 38% with HFpEF had uncontrolled systolic blood pressure (≥140 mmHg).

CONCLUSION

Heart failure patients with a history of stroke are at high risk of subsequent cardiovascular events, and targeting underutilization of guideline-recommended treatments might be a way to improve outcomes in this high-risk population.

Cardiovascular effects of rivaroxaban in heart failure patients with sinus rhythm and coronary disease with and without diabetes: a retrospective international cohort study from COMMANDER-HF

OBJECTIVES

COMMANDER-HF was a randomised trial comparing rivaroxaban 2.5 mg two times a day to placebo, in addition to antiplatelet therapy, in patients hospitalised for worsening heart failure with coronary artery disease and sinus rhythm. Patients with diabetes are at increased risk of cardiovascular events and therefore have more to gain.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this post-hoc analysis, we evaluated the efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban in patients with (n=2052) and without diabetes (n=2970). The primary outcome was the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI) or ischaemic stroke. HRs and 95% CIs with interaction analyses were used to describe event-rates and treatment effects. Patients with diabetes had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidities (eg, hypertension, obesity) and increased incidence of cardiovascular events. Adjusted HRs for events in people with versus without diabetes were 1.34 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.50) for the primary outcome, 1.21 (95% CI 0.84 to 1.75) for stroke, 1.51 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.99) for MI, 1.17 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.31) for heart failure hospitalisation and 1.06 (95% CI 0.56 to 2.01) for major bleeding. Rivaroxaban had no significant effect on event-rates in patients with and without diabetes (all interaction p values >0.05). Low-dose rivaroxaban was associated with an overall reduction in ischaemic stroke (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.95), with no apparent subgroup interaction according to diabetes status (p-int=0.93).

CONCLUSIONS

In COMMANDER-HF a diagnosis of diabetes conferred higher rates of cardiovascular events that, with exception of ischaemic stroke, was not substantially reduced by rivaroxaban. Rivaroxaban was associated with reduced risk of ischaemic stroke for patients with and without diabetes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01877915; Post-results.

Current perspectives on the clinical management of cryptogenic stroke

INTRODUCTION

Cryptogenic stroke is a heterogeneous entity defined as an ischemic stroke for which no probable cause is identified despite thorough diagnostic evaluation. Since about a quarter of all ischemic strokes are classified as cryptogenic, it is a commonly encountered problem for providers as secondary stroke prevention is guided by stroke etiology.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, the authors provide an overview of stroke subtype classification schemes and diagnostic evaluation in cryptogenic stroke. They then detail putative cryptogenic stroke mechanisms, their therapeutic implications, and ongoing research. This review synthesizes the available evidence on PubMed up to December 2022.

EXPERT OPINION

Cryptogenic stroke is an evolving concept that changes with ongoing research. Investigations are focused on improving our diagnostic capabilities and solidifying useful constructs within cryptogenic stroke that could become therapeutically targetable subgroups within an otherwise nonspecific entity. Advances in technology may help move specific proposed cryptogenic stroke mechanisms from undetermined to known source of ischemic stroke.

Are Factor Xa Inhibitors Efficacious for Ischemic Stroke Prevention in Patients Without Atrial Fibrillation? Evidence From Randomized Clinical Trials

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials provide conflicting evidence regarding oral factor Xa inhibitors for prevention of ischemic stroke in patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

We performed a critical appraisal of randomized clinical trials that tested oral factor Xa inhibitors in patients without AF that reported ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

Considering the 11 trials that reported > 10 ischemic strokes during follow-up (97,578 participants, 1195 ischemic strokes), 1 tested apixaban (57 strokes), 1 betrixaban (52 strokes), and 9 rivaroxaban (1086 strokes). In 7 trials with placebo comparisons, numerically fewer ischemic strokes occurred among those assigned factor Xa inhibitors in 7 of 8 randomized comparisons (range of hazard ratios [HRs], 0.89-0.51), including statistically significant reductions in 2 trials that compared rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily vs placebo on a background of aspirin in patients with cardiovascular disease, COMPASS (HR, 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38-0.68) and COMMANDER-HF (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.43-0.95). Compared with aspirin in 4 trials, oral factor Xa inhibitors were associated with fewer ischemic strokes in 2, with statistically significant reduction in 1 (rivaroxaban 5 mg twice daily in COMPASS; HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.53-0.90). Major bleeding was increased by oral factor Xa inhibitors in all 7 placebo-controlled trials (HR range, 1.42-4.08), with statistically significant increases reported in 5 trials, and in all 4 aspirin-controlled trials (all statistically significant increases; HR range, 1.52-2.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Aggregate evidence on the basis of placebo comparisons from randomized trials supports the potential for oral factor Xa inhibitors to reduce ischemic stroke in patients without AF, but major bleeding is increased.

Blood Coagulation Disorders in Heart Failure: From Basic Science to Clinical Perspectives

Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome that is divided into 3 subtypes based on the left ventricular ejection fraction. Every subtype has specific clinical characteristics and concomitant diseases, substantially increasing risk of thromboembolic complications, such as stroke, peripheral embolism and pulmonary embolism. Despite the annual prevalence of 1% and devastating clinical consequences, thromboembolic complications are not typically recognized as the leading problem in patients with HF, representing an underappreciated clinical challenge. Although the currently available data do not support routine anticoagulation in patients with HF and sinus rhythm, initial reports suggest that such strategy might be beneficial in a subset of patients at especially high thromboembolic risk. Considering the existing evidence gap, we aimed to review the currently available data regarding coagulation disorders in acute and chronic HF based on the insight from preclinical and clinical studies, to summarize the evidence regarding anticoagulation in HF in special-case scenarios and to outline future research directions so as to establish the optimal patient-tailored strategies for antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy in HF. In summary, we highlight the top 10 pearls in the management of patients with HF and no other specific indications for oral anticoagulation therapy. Further studies are urgently needed to shed light on the pathophysiological role of platelet activation in HF and to evaluate whether antiplatelet or antithrombotic therapy could be beneficial in patients with HF. LAY SUMMARY: Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome divided into 3 subtypes on the basis of the left ventricular systolic function. Every subtype has specific clinical characteristics and concomitant diseases, substantially increasing the risk of thromboembolic complications, such as stroke, peripheral embolism and pulmonary embolism. Despite the annual prevalence of 1% and devastating clinical consequences, thromboembolic complications are not typically recognized as the leading problem in patients with HF, representing an underappreciated clinical challenge. Although the currently available data do not support routine anticoagulation in patients with HF and no atrial arrhythmia, initial reports suggest that such a strategy might be beneficial in a subset of patients at especially high risk of thrombotic complications. Considering the existing evidence gap, we aimed to review the currently available data regarding coagulation problems in stable and unstable patients with HF based on the insight from preclinical and clinical studies, to summarize the evidence regarding anticoagulation in HF in specific patient groups and to outline future research directions to establish the optimal strategies for antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy in HF, tailored to the needs of an individual patient. In summary, we highlight the top 10 pearls in the management of patients with HF and no other specific indications for oral anticoagulation therapy.

Essen Stroke Risk Score Predicts Clinical Outcomes in Heart Failure Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction: Evidence from the TOPCAT trial

BACKGROUND

 Heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is associated with increased risks of stroke and other adverse outcomes.

AIMS

 This study sought to determine whether the Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) could predict the risks of adjudicated clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial.

METHODS

 We evaluated associations of baseline ESRS with clinical outcomes by using the Cox proportional hazard model with competing risk regression. The diagnostic accuracy of the ESRS was assessed using the C-index and calibration data.

RESULTS

 Of 3,441 HFpEF patients with a mean follow-up of 3.3 years, the risk of stroke ranged from 0.32% per year at an ESRS of 1 to 2 points to 1.71% per year at a score of ≥6 points. Each point increase in ESRS was associated with increased risks of primary composite outcome (hazard ratios [HRs] = 1.31; 95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 1.23-1.40; C-index = 0.68), stroke (HR = 1.33 [95% CI: 1.16-1.53]; C-index = 0.68), myocardial infarction (HR = 1.60 [95% CI: 1.40-1.83]; C-index = 0.75), HF hospitalization (HR = 1.30 [95% CI: 1.20-1.41]; C-index = 0.71), any hospitalization (HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.15-1.26; C-index = 0.68), cardiovascular death (HR = 1.32 [95% CI: 1.20-1.44]; C-index = 0.68), and all-cause death (HR = 1.37, [95% CI: 1.28-1.48]; C-index = 0.68). The calibration curves showed that the ESRS had a better agreement between predicted and observed stroke risks compared with the R2CHADS2, CHADS2, or CHA2DS2-VASC stroke scores.

CONCLUSION

 The ESRS had modest discriminatory abilities for predicting stroke as well as other adverse outcomes including myocardial infarction, hospitalization, and death in HFpEF patients. ESRS might have better calibration performance than R2CHADS2, CHADS2, or CHA2DS2-VASC in HFpEF at high risk for stroke.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

 URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00094302.

Association of intravenous heparin administration with in-hospital clinical outcomes among hospitalized patients with acute heart failure

BACKGROUNDS

Patients with acute heart failure (AHF) possess a high risk for thromboembolism, and thromboembolism prophylaxis using heparin has been recommended by the guidelines.

METHODS

Among 4056 patients enrolled in the KCHF Registry, the current study population consisted of 2525 patients after excluding patients with acute coronary syndrome and oral anticoagulants on admission and those with mechanical circulatory supports. There were 789 patients (31%) with heparin administration within 24 h after admission, and 1736 patients (69%) without.

RESULTS

The baseline characteristics included mean age: 78 ± 13 years, New York Heart Association class IV: 51%, ischemic etiology: 30%, atrial fibrillation: 31% and mean left ventricular ejection fraction: 45%. During median hospitalization length of 16 days, 161 patients had all-cause death, 34 patients developed ischemic stroke, and 48 patients developed major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression analyses demonstrated that heparin administration compared with no heparin administration was not associated with a lower risk for all-cause death (OR: 1.39, 95%CI: 0.90-2.15; P = 0.14), nor for ischemic stroke (OR: 1.14, 95%CI: 0.53-2.43; P = 0.74), but was associated with a higher risk for major bleeding (OR: 2.88, 95%CI: 1.54-5.41; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AHF, heparin administration within 24 h after admission was not associated with a lower risk of all-cause death and ischemic stroke, but was associated with a higher risk of major bleeding during hospitalization. Our study raises questions about the routine use of heparin for thromboembolism prophylaxis in hospitalized patients with AHF. Further studies are warranted to address the utility of anticoagulant therapy in these patients.

Outcomes associated with antithrombotic strategies in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction and sinus rhythm following acute ischemic stroke

Purpose

Insufficient data exist regarding the benefit of long-term antiplatelet vs. anticoagulant therapy in the prevention of recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with ischemic stroke and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Therefore, this study aimed to compare longitudinal outcomes associated with antiplatelet vs. anticoagulant use in a cohort of patients with stroke and with an ejection fraction of ≤40%.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed single-center registry data (2015-2021) of patients with ischemic stroke, HFrEF, and sinus rhythm. Time to the primary outcome of recurrent ischemic stroke, major bleeding, or death was assessed using the adjusted Cox proportional hazards model and was compared between patients treated using anticoagulation (±antiplatelet) vs. antiplatelet therapy alone after propensity score matching using an intention-to-treat (ITT) approach, with adjustment for residual measurable confounders. Sensitivity analyses included the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model using ITT and as-treated approaches without propensity score matching.

Results

Of 2,974 screened patients, 217 were included in the secondary analyses, with 130 patients matched according to the propensity score for receiving anticoagulation treatment for the primary analysis, spanning 143 patient-years of follow-up. After propensity score matching, there was no significant association between anticoagulation and the primary outcome [hazard ratio (HR) 1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56-2.17]. Non-White race (HR 2.26, 95% CI: 1.16-4.41) and the presence of intracranial occlusion (HR 2.86, 95% CI: 1.40-5.83) were independently associated with the primary outcome, while hypertension was inversely associated (HR 0.42, 95% CI: 0.21-0.84). There remained no significant association between anticoagulation and the primary outcome in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

In HFrEF patients with an acute stroke, there was no difference in outcomes of antithrombotic strategies. While this study was limited by non-randomized treatment allocation, the results support future trials of stroke patients with HFrEF which may randomize patients to anticoagulation or antiplatelet.

CHA2DS2-VASc score for in-hospital recurrence risk stratification in patients with myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Using the CHA2DS2-VASc score to recognize the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation has been well-established. However, few studies have assessed whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score has a similar predictive value in recurrence after myocardial infarction (MI).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of adult inpatients with MI. The CHA2DS2-VASc and modified CHA2DS2-VASc (MCHA2DS2-VASc) scores of all patients were calculated. The associations of both scores with recurrent MI were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 6,700 patients with MI (60.0 ± 11.1 years, 77.2% men) were enrolled, and 759 (11.3%) presented a definite recurrence during hospitalization. After multivariable adjustment by logistic regression in patients with MI, the CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores were independently associated with recurrence. The MCHA2DS2-VASc score showed a better predictive value for risk of recurrence than that of CHA2DS2-VASc in overall [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.757 vs. 0.676] or male patients (AUC 0.759 vs. 0.708). MCHA2DS2-VASc was superior to CHA2DS2-VASc for identifying "truly high-risk" patients with MI, regardless of overall patients or sex-specific subgroups. The two scores had a similar focus on the identification of "low-risk" patients in overall or women, but not in men.

CONCLUSION

The CHA2DS2-VASc and MCHA2DS2-VASc scores for predicting recurrence are validated in patients with MI. However, MCHA2DS2-VASc could be more helpful to secondary prevention than CHA2DS2-VASc after MI, especially in men. The superiority of MCHA2DS2-VASc compared with CHA2DS2-VASc in women is just more discriminatory for "truly high-risk" patients.

Predicting stroke in heart failure and reduced ejection fraction without atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are at significant risk of stroke. Anticoagulation reduces this risk in patients with and without atrial fibrillation (AF), but the risk-to-benefit balance in the latter group, overall, is not favourable. Identification of patients with HFrEF, without AF, at the highest risk of stroke may allow targeted and safer use of prophylactic anticoagulant therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a pooled patient-level cohort of the PARADIGM-HF, ATMOSPHERE, and DAPA-HF trials, a previously derived simple risk model for stroke, consisting of three variables (history of prior stroke, insulin-treated diabetes, and plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level), was validated. Of the 20 159 patients included, 12 751 patients did not have AF at baseline. Among patients without AF, 346 (2.7%) experienced a stroke over a median follow up of 2.0 years (rate 11.7 per 1000 patient-years). The risk for stroke increased with increasing risk score: fourth quintile hazard ratio (HR) 2.35 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60-3.45]; fifth quintile HR 3.73 (95% CI 2.58-5.38), with the first quintile as reference. For patients in the top quintile, the rate of stroke was 21.2 per 1000 patient-years, similar to participants with AF not receiving anticoagulation (20.1 per 1000 patient-years). Model discrimination was good with a C-index of 0.84 (0.75-0.91).

CONCLUSION

It is possible to identify a subset of HFrEF patients without AF with a stroke-risk equivalent to that of patients with AF who are not anticoagulated. In these patients, the risk-to-benefit balance might justify the use of prophylactic anticoagulation, but this hypothesis needs to be tested prospectively.

Thirty-six months recurrence after acute ischemic stroke among patients with comorbid type 2 diabetes: A nested case-control study

Background

Stroke patients have to face a high risk of recurrence, especially for those with comorbid T2DM, which usually lead to much more serious neurologic damage and an increased likelihood of death. This study aimed to explore determinants of stroke relapse among patients with comorbid T2DM.

Materials and methods

We conducted this case-control study nested a prospective cohort of ischemic stroke (IS) with comorbid T2DM. During 36-month follow-up, the second stroke occurred in 84 diabetic IS patients who were allocated into the case group, while 613 patients without recurrence were the controls. We collected the demographic data, behaviors and habits, therapies, and family history at baseline, and measured the variables during follow-up. LASSO and Logistic regression analyses were carried out to develop a prediction model of stroke recurrence. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the performance of the prediction model.

Results

Compared to participants without recurrence, the higher levels of pulse rate (78.29 ± 12.79 vs. 74.88 ± 10.93) and hypertension (72.6 vs. 61.2%) were recorded at baseline. Moreover, a lower level of physical activity (77.4 vs. 90.4%), as well as a higher proportion of hypoglycemic therapy (36.9 vs. 23.3%) was also observed during 36-month follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that higher pulse rate at admission (OR = 1.027, 95 %CI = 1.005–1.049), lacking physical activity (OR = 2.838, 95% CI = 1.418–5.620) and not receiving hypoglycemic therapy (OR = 1.697, 95% CI = 1.013–2.843) during follow-up increased the risk of stroke recurrence. We developed a prediction model using baseline pulse rate, hypoglycemic therapy, and physical activity, which produced an area under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.689.

Conclusion

Physical activity and hypoglycemic therapy play a protective role for IS patients with comorbid diabetes. In addition to targeted therapeutics, the improvement of daily-life habit contributes to slowing the progress of the IS.

Prevalence and incidence of stroke, white matter hyperintensities, and silent brain infarcts in patients with chronic heart failure: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression

Introduction

Heart failure (HF) is associated with ischemic stroke (IS). However, there are limited studies on the prevalence of IS, white matter hyperintensities (WMHs), and silent brain infarcts (SBIs). Furthermore, interaction with ejection fraction (EF) is unclear.

Methods

We searched three databases (viz., PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane) for studies reporting the incidence or prevalence of IS, WMHs, and SBIs in HF. A total of two authors independently selected included studies. We used random-effects models, and heterogeneity was evaluated with I2 statistic. Meta-regression was used for subgroup analysis.

Results

In total, 41 articles involving 870,002 patients were retrieved from 15,267 records. Among patients with HF, the pooled proportion of IS was 4.06% (95% CI: 2.94–5.59), and that of WMHs and SBIs was higher at 15.67% (95% CI: 4.11–44.63) and 23.45% (95% CI: 14.53–35.58), respectively. Subgroup analysis of HFpEF and HFrEF revealed a pooled prevalence of 2.97% (95% CI: 2.01–4.39) and 3.69% (95% CI: 2.34–5.77), respectively. Subgroup analysis of WMH Fazekas scores 1, 2, and 3 revealed a decreasing trend from 60.57 % (95% CI: 35.13–81.33) to 11.57% (95% CI: 10.40–12.85) to 3.07% (95% CI: 0.95–9.47). The relative risk and hazard ratio of patients with HF developing IS were 2.29 (95% CI: 1.43–3.68) and 1.63 (95% CI: 1.22–2.18), respectively. Meta-regression showed IS prevalence was positively correlated with decreasing anticoagulant usage.

Conclusion

We obtained estimates for the prevalence of IS, WMH, and SBI in HF from systematic review of the literature.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=255126, PROSPERO [CRD42021255126].

The effect of anticoagulants on clinical outcomes of mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, and major bleeding for patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm

One to two percent of the population in developed countries are affected by chronic heart failure and this increases to greater than 10% in those over 70 years old. Heart failure (HF) predisposes patients to thromboembolic events. Anticoagulants are often used to prevent thromboembolic events in specific patient populations, such as those with atrial fibrillation. Currently, no guidance exists on the long-term use of anticoagulants for patients with HF in sinus rhythm. This article critically appraises a systematic review which assesses whether the long-term use of oral anticoagulants reduces total mortality and stroke in patients with HF in sinus rhythm.

Mendelian Randomization Study of Heart Failure and Stroke Subtypes

Background

Whether heart failure (HF) is an independent risk factor of ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke remains controversial. We employed a multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) to further investigate the causal effects of HF on the risk of stroke and stroke subtypes.

Methods

Genetically predicted HF was selected as an instrumental variable (IV) from published genome-wide association studies (GWAS) meta-analyses. Stroke data with different etiologies were extracted as outcome variables from another two GWAS meta-analyses. The random-effects inverse variance-weighted (IVW) model was applied as the main method, along with sensitivity analysis. Atrial fibrillation (AF), coronary heart disease (CHD), and systolic blood pressure (SBP) were controlled for mediating effects in multivariable MR.

Results

Genetically predicted HF was significantly associated with any IS [odds ratio (OR), 1.39; 95% CI, 1.12–1.74; p = 0.03], large artery stroke (LAS; OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.27–2.65; p = 0.001), and cardioembolic stroke (CES; OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.21–2.47; p = 0.003), but without small vessel stroke (SVS; OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.80–1.52; p = 0.56) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH; OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.41–1.83; p = 0.699) in univariable MR. However, these significant associations were attenuated to the null after adjusting for confounding factor in multivariable MR.

Conclusion

There was no direct causal association between HF and stroke in our study. The association between HF and IS can be driven by AF, CHD, and SBP.

2021 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure: Developed by the Task Force for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). With the special contribution of the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the ESC

Document Reviewers: Rudolf A. de Boer (CPG Review Coordinator) (Netherlands), P. Christian Schulze (CPG Review Coordinator) (Germany), Magdy Abdelhamid (Egypt), Victor Aboyans (France), Stamatis Adamopoulos (Greece), Stefan D. Anker (Germany), Elena Arbelo (Spain), Riccardo Asteggiano (Italy), Johann Bauersachs (Germany), Antoni Bayes-Genis (Spain), Michael A. Borger (Germany), Werner Budts (Belgium), Maja Cikes (Croatia), Kevin Damman (Netherlands), Victoria Delgado (Netherlands), Paul Dendale (Belgium), Polychronis Dilaveris (Greece), Heinz Drexel (Austria), Justin Ezekowitz (Canada), Volkmar Falk (Germany), Laurent Fauchier (France), Gerasimos Filippatos (Greece), Alan Fraser (United Kingdom), Norbert Frey (Germany), Chris P. Gale (United Kingdom), Finn Gustafsson (Denmark), Julie Harris (United Kingdom), Bernard Iung (France), Stefan Janssens (Belgium), Mariell Jessup (United States of America), Aleksandra Konradi (Russia), Dipak Kotecha (United Kingdom), Ekaterini Lambrinou (Cyprus), Patrizio Lancellotti (Belgium), Ulf Landmesser (Germany), Christophe Leclercq (France), Basil S. Lewis (Israel), Francisco Leyva (United Kingdom), AleVs Linhart (Czech Republic), Maja-Lisa Løchen (Norway), Lars H. Lund (Sweden), Donna Mancini (United States of America), Josep Masip (Spain), Davor Milicic (Croatia), Christian Mueller (Switzerland), Holger Nef (Germany), Jens-Cosedis Nielsen (Denmark), Lis Neubeck (United Kingdom), Michel Noutsias (Germany), Steffen E. Petersen (United Kingdom), Anna Sonia Petronio (Italy), Piotr Ponikowski (Poland), Eva Prescott (Denmark), Amina Rakisheva (Kazakhstan), Dimitrios J. Richter (Greece), Evgeny Schlyakhto (Russia), Petar Seferovic (Serbia), Michele Senni (Italy), Marta Sitges (Spain), Miguel Sousa-Uva (Portugal), Carlo G. Tocchetti (Italy), Rhian M. Touyz (United Kingdom), Carsten Tschoepe (Germany), Johannes Waltenberger (Germany/Switzerland) All experts involved in the development of these guidelines have submitted declarations of interest. These have been compiled in a report and published in a supplementary document simultaneously to the guidelines. The report is also available on the ESC website www.escardio.org/guidelines For the Supplementary Data which include background information and detailed discussion of the data that have provided the basis for the guidelines see European Heart Journal online.

Stroke and Thromboembolism in Patients with Heart Failure and Sinus Rhythm: A Matter of Risk Stratification?

Patients with heart failure (HF) in sinus rhythm (SR) experience an increased incidence of thromboembolic events including stroke. Among patients with HF, high-quality evidence supports the use of oral anticoagulation when atrial fibrillation (AF) is present, but the benefit of anticoagulation in SR in absence of other known indications for anticoagulation is unclear. In four randomized controlled trials (RCTs), warfarin did not improve a composite of clinical outcomes compared with aspirin or placebo in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and SR. A recent RCT assessed the efficacy of the direct oral anticoagulant rivaroxaban versus placebo in patients with HFrEF (including mildly reduced ejection fraction), SR and coronary artery disease. While rivaroxaban had a neutral effect on the primary composite outcome of MI, stroke, or all-cause mortality, exploratory analyses revealed a significant reduction in strokes. It is thus possible that a subgroup of patients with HFrEF who are at high risk of stroke may benefit from anticoagulation. The challenge is to adequately identify this subgroup and to balance the potential benefit of anticoagulation with the risk of major bleeding. There is also an unmet need for evidence around anticoagulation in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and SR. This review explores the current evidence around anticoagulation in patients with HF and SR, identifies challenges regarding outcome definitions and patient selection, and offers suggestions for future research.

Rivaroxaban Once-Daily vs. Dose-Adjusted Vitamin K Antagonist on Biomarkers in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation (ROAD HF-AF): Rationale and Design of an Investigator-Initiated Multicenter Randomized Prospective Open-Labeled Pilot Clinical Study

Background: Clinical trials of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with chronic heart failure and atrial fibrillation (AF) have demonstrated reduced risks of stroke and bleeding compared with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). Here, we aim to assess the clinical efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban, a NOAC, compared with warfarin, a VKA, and the effects of rivaroxaban on cardiovascular biomarkers in patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) with reduced ejection fraction (≤40%) and AF. Methods: Rivaroxaban Once-daily vs. dose-adjusted vitamin K antagonist on biomarkers in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation (ROAD HF-AF) is a randomized, open-labeled, controlled, prospective, multicenter pilot study designed to assess cardiovascular biomarkers and the safety of rivaroxaban (20 or 15 mg in patients with creatinine clearance 30-49 mL/min per day) compared with VKA (target international normalized range: 2-3) in 150 patients hospitalized with ADHF and AF. The primary endpoint is the change in circulating high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hsTn) during hospitalization. The secondary endpoints are bleeding, hospital stay duration, in-hospital mortality, and changes in cardiovascular, renal, and thrombosis biomarkers. Patients will be followed for 180 days. Conclusion: We hypothesize that rivaroxaban will reduce myocardial injury and hemodynamic stress, as reflected by the biomarker status, within 72 h in patients with ADHF and AF, compared with VKA. We hope to facilitate future biomarker-based, large-scale outcome trials using NOACs in patients with ADHF and AF, based on the results of this multicenter, randomized, controlled study.

Heart-Brain Relationship in Stroke

The patient presenting with stroke often has cardiac-related risk factors which may be involved in the mechanism of the stroke. The diagnostic assessment is predicated on recognition of this potential relationship. Naturally, an accurate history is of utmost importance in discerning a possible cause and effect relationship. The EKG is obviously an important clue as well as it allows immediate assessment for possible cardiac arrhythmia, such as atrial fibrillation, for possible acute ischemic changes reflective of myocardial ischemia, or there may be indirect factors such as the presence of left ventricular hypertrophy, typically seen with longstanding hypertension, which could be indicative of a hypertensive mechanism for a patient presenting with intracerebral hemorrhage. For all presentations in the emergency room, the vital signs are important. An elevated body temperature in a patient presenting with acute stroke raises concern about possible infective endocarditis. An irregular-irregular pulse is an indicator of atrial fibrillation. A markedly elevated blood pressure is not uncommon in both the acute ischemic and acute hemorrhagic stroke setting. One tends to focus on possible cardioembolic stroke if there is the sudden onset of maximum neurological deficit versus the stepwise progression more characteristic of thrombotic stroke. Because of the more sudden loss of vascular supply with embolic occlusion, seizure or syncope at onset tends to be supportive of this mechanism. Different vascular territory involvement on neuroimaging is also a potential indicator of cardioembolic stroke. Identification of a cardiogenic source of embolus in such a setting certainly elevates this mechanism in the differential. There have been major advances in management of acute cerebrovascular disease in recent decades, such as thrombolytic therapy and endovascular thrombectomy, which have somewhat paralleled the advances made in cardiovascular disease. Unfortunately, the successful limitation of myocardial damage in acute coronary syndrome, with intervention, does not necessarily mirror a similar salutary effect on functional outcome with cerebral infarction. The heart can also affect the brain from a cerebral perfusion standpoint. Transient arrhythmias can result in syncope, while cardiac arrest can result in hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. Cardiogenic dementia has been identified as a mechanism of cognitive impairment associated with severe cardiac failure. Structural cardiac abnormalities can also play a role in brain insult, and this can include tumors, such as atrial myxoma, patent foramen ovale, with the potential for paradoxical cerebral embolism, and cardiomyopathies, such as Takotsubo, can be associated with precipitous cardioembolic events.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants Combined with Antiplatelet Therapy in the Treatment of Coronary Heart Disease: An Updated Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) combined with antiplatelet therapy for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) may reduce ischemic events, but there is no consensus on bleeding risk. Moreover, the effect of DOACs on stable coronary artery disease (CAD) needs to be elucidated. We conducted a meta-analysis to summarize the efficacy and safety of DOACs combined with antiplatelet therapy in the treatment of stable CAD and ACS.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, then performed a systematic review of all 17 randomized controlled trials.

RESULTS

For patients with stable CAD, DOACs combined with antiplatelet therapy significantly reduced the rate of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (risk ratio; 95% confidence interval: 0.88; 0.81-0.95) and ischemic stroke (0.62; 0.50-0.77), with a relatively low risk of major bleeding (1.72; 1.42-2.07). For patients with ACS, the combination of DOACs reduced the risk of MACE (0.91; 0.85-0.97), myocardial infarction (MI) (0.90; 0.83-0.98), and ischemic stroke (0.75; 0.58-0.97), accompanied by increased non-fatal bleeding events and intracranial hemorrhage (3.42; 1.76-6.65). Results were similar when restricting the analysis to phase III studies except for the rate of stroke in patients with ACS.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination therapy reduced the incidence of MI in ACS patients, but the risk of bleeding from intracranial hemorrhaging outweighs the benefit of MACE driven by MI. That is due to combination therapy having no positive impact on mortality; thus, the benefit-risk balance may be more favorable  in patients with stable CAD.

Ischemic Stroke in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: From the KCHF Registry

Background Heart failure (HF) is a known risk factor for ischemic stroke, but data regarding ischemic stroke during hospitalization for acute decompensated HF (ADHF) are limited. Methods and Results We analyzed the data from a multicenter registry (Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure [KCHF] Registry) that enrolled 4056 consecutive patients with ADHF in Japan (mean age, 78 years; men, 2238 patients [55%]; acute coronary syndrome [ACS], 239 patients [5.9%]). We investigated the incidence and predictors of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for ADHF. During the hospitalization, 63 patients (1.6%) developed ischemic stroke. The median interval from admission to the onset of ischemic stroke was 7 [interquartile range: 2-14] days, and the most common underlying cause was cardioembolism (64%). Men (OR, 1.87; 95%CI, 1.11-3.24), ACS (OR, 2.31; 95%CI, 1.01-4.93), absence of prior HF hospitalization (OR, 2.21; 95%CI, 1.24-4.21), and high B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)/N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP) levels (above the median) at admission (OR, 3.15; 95%CI, 1.84-5.60) were independently associated with ischemic stroke. In patients without ACS, the independent risk factors for ischemic stroke were fully consistent with those in the main analysis. Higher quartiles of BNP/NT-proBNP levels were significantly associated with higher incidence of ischemic stroke (P for trend, <0.001). Patients with ischemic stroke showed higher in-hospital mortality, longer length of hospital stay, and poorer functional status at discharge. Conclusions During hospitalization for ADHF, 1.6% of the patients developed ischemic stroke. Men, ACS, absence of prior HF hospitalization, and high BNP/NT-proBNP levels at admission were independently associated with ischemic stroke.

Association of Oral Anticoagulation With Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation or Heart Failure: A Comparative Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose

Atrial fibrillation and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are common sources of cardioembolism. While oral anticoagulation is strongly recommended for atrial fibrillation, there are marked variations in guideline recommendations for HFrEF due to uncertainty about net clinical benefit. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluates the comparative association of oral anticoagulation with stroke and other cardiovascular risk in populations with atrial fibrillation or HFrEF in sinus rhythm and identify factors mediating different estimates of net clinical benefit.

Methods

PubMed and Embase were searched from database inception to November 20, 2019 for randomized clinical trials comparing oral anticoagulation to control. A random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate a pooled treatment-effect overall and within atrial fibrillation and HFrEF trials. Differences in treatment effect were assessed by estimating I2 among all trials and testing the between-trial-population P-interaction. The primary outcome measure was all stroke. Secondary outcome measures were ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, mortality, myocardial infarction, and major hemorrhage.

Results

Twenty-one trials were eligible for inclusion, 15 (n=19 332) in atrial fibrillation (mean follow-up: 23.1 months), and 6 (n=9866) in HFrEF (mean follow-up: 23.9 months). There were differences in primary outcomes between trial populations, with all-cause mortality included for 95.2% of HFrEF trial population versus 0.38% for atrial fibrillation. Mortality was higher in controls groups of HFrEF populations (19.0% versus 9.6%) but rates of stroke lower (3.1% versus 7.0%) compared with atrial fibrillation. The association of oral anticoagulation with all stroke was consistent for atrial fibrillation (odds ratio, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.42–0.63]) and HFrEF (odds ratio, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.47–0.79]; I2=12.4%; P interaction=0.31). There were no statistically significant differences in the association of oral anticoagulation with cardiovascular events, mortality or bleeding between populations.

Conclusions

The relative association of oral anticoagulation with stroke risk, and other cardiovascular outcomes, is similar for patients with atrial fibrillation and HFrEF. Differences in the primary outcomes employed by trials in HFrEF, compared with atrial fibrillation, may have contributed to differing conclusions of the relative efficacy of oral anticoagulation.

Anticoagulants for stroke prevention in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Impaired left-ventricular ejection-fraction (LV-EF) is a known risk factor for ischemic stroke and systemic embolism in patients with heart failure (HF) even in the absence of atrial fibrillation. While stroke risk is inversely correlated with LV-EF in HF patients with sinus rhythm, strategies using anticoagulation with Vitamin-K antagonists (VKA) were futile as the increase in major bleedings outweighed the potential benefit in stroke reduction. Non-Vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) proved to be an effective and in general safer approach for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation and may also have a favourable risk–benefit profile in HF patients. In HF patients with sinus rhythm, the COMPASS trial suggested a potential benefit for rivaroxaban, whereas the more dedicated COMMANDER-HF trial remained neutral on overall ischemic benefit owed to a higher mortality which was not influenced by anticoagulation. More recent data from subgroups in the COMMANDER-HF trial, however, suggest that there might be a benefit of rivaroxaban regarding stroke prevention under certain circumstances. In this article, we review the existing evidence for NOACs in HF patients with atrial fibrillation, elaborate the rationale for stroke prevention in HF patients with sinus rhythm, summarise the available data from anticoagulation trials in HF with sinus rhythm, and describe the patient who might eventually profit from an individualised strategy aiming to reduce stroke risk.

New-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with worsening heart failure and coronary artery disease: an analysis from the COMMANDER-HF trial

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) in the presence of heart failure (HF) is associated with poor outcomes including a high-risk of stroke and other thromboembolic events. Identifying patients without AF who are at high-risk of developing this arrhythmia has important clinical implications.

AIMS

To develop a risk score to identify HF patients at high risk of developing AF.

METHODS

The COMMANDER-HF trial enrolled 5022 patients with HF and a LVEF ≤ 40%, history of coronary artery disease, and absence of AF at baseline (confirmed with an electrocardiogram). Patients were randomized to either rivaroxaban (2.5 mg bid) or placebo. New-onset AF was confirmed by the investigator at study visits.

RESULTS

241 (4.8%) patients developed AF during the follow-up (median 21 months). Older age (≥ 65 years), LVEF < 35%, history of PCI or CABG, White race, SBP < 110 mmHg, and higher BMI (≥ 25 kg/m²) were independently associated with risk of new-onset AF, whereas the use of DAPT was associated with a lower risk of new-onset AF. We then built a risk score from these variables (with good accuracy C-index = 0.71) and calibration across observed and predicted tertiles of risk. New-onset AF events rates increased steeply by increasing tertiles of the risk-score. Compared to tertile 1, the risk of new-onset AF was 2.5-fold higher in tertile 2, and 6.3-fold higher in tertile 3. Rivaroxaban had no effect in reducing new-onset AF. In time-updated models, new-onset AF was associated with a higher risk of subsequent all-cause death: HR (95%CI) 1.38 (1.11-1.73).

CONCLUSIONS

A well-calibrated risk-score identified patients at risk of new-onset AF in the COMMANDER-HF trial. Patients who developed AF had a higher risk of subsequent death. Risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with HFrEF and coronary artery disease.

Anticoagulation versus placebo for heart failure in sinus rhythm

BACKGROUND

People with chronic heart failure (HF) are at risk of thromboembolic events, including stroke, pulmonary embolism, and peripheral arterial embolism; coronary ischaemic events also contribute to the progression of HF. The use of long-term oral anticoagulation is established in certain populations, including people with HF and atrial fibrillation (AF), but there is wide variation in the indications and use of oral anticoagulation in the broader HF population.

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether long-term oral anticoagulation reduces total deaths and stroke in people with heart failure in sinus rhythm.

SEARCH METHODS

We updated the searches in CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and Embase in March 2020. We screened reference lists of papers and abstracts from national and international cardiovascular meetings to identify unpublished studies. We contacted relevant authors to obtain further data. We did not apply any language restrictions.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials (RCT) comparing oral anticoagulants with placebo or no treatment in adults with HF, with treatment duration of at least one month. We made inclusion decisions in duplicate, and resolved any disagreements between review authors by discussion, or a third party.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently assessed trials for inclusion, and assessed the risks and benefits of antithrombotic therapy by calculating odds ratio (OR), accompanied by the 95% confidence intervals (CI).

MAIN RESULTS

We identified three RCTs (5498 participants). One RCT compared warfarin, aspirin, and no antithrombotic therapy, the second compared warfarin with placebo in participants with idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy, and the third compared rivaroxaban with placebo in participants with HF and coronary artery disease. We pooled data from the studies that compared warfarin with a placebo or no treatment. We are uncertain if there is an effect on all-cause death (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.36 to 1.18; 2 studies, 324 participants; low-certainty evidence); warfarin may increase the risk of major bleeding events (OR 5.98, 95% CI 1.71 to 20.93, NNTH 17). 2 studies, 324 participants; low-certainty evidence). None of the studies reported stroke as an individual outcome. Rivaroxaban makes little to no difference to all-cause death compared with placebo (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.13; 1 study, 5022 participants; high-certainty evidence). Rivaroxaban probably reduces the risk of stroke compared to placebo (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.95; NNTB 101; 1 study, 5022 participants; moderate-certainty evidence), and probably increases the risk of major bleeding events (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.17 to 2.33; NNTH 79; 1 study, 5008 participants; moderate-certainty evidence).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Based on the three RCTs, there is no evidence that oral anticoagulant therapy modifies mortality in people with HF in sinus rhythm. The evidence is uncertain if warfarin has any effect on all-cause death compared to placebo or no treatment, but it may increase the risk of major bleeding events. There is no evidence of a difference in the effect of rivaroxaban on all-cause death compared to placebo. It probably reduces the risk of stroke, but probably increases the risk of major bleedings. The available evidence does not support the routine use of anticoagulation in people with HF who remain in sinus rhythm.

Effects of Dapagliflozin on Cardiovascular Events, Death, and Safety Outcomes in Patients with Heart Failure: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Several clinical trials of dapagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) at elevated cardiovascular risk have observed reduced hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Several studies have also suggested cardiovascular benefits for patients with HF regardless of whether or not they have T2DM.

OBJECTIVE

This meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the therapeutic effects of dapagliflozin in patients with HF.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched from database inception to 15 February 2020. Clinical studies of dapagliflozin use in patients with HF were included. Data on HHF, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), systolic blood pressure, body weight, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and adverse events were collected for analysis.

RESULTS

Four randomized controlled trials involving 6738 patients with HF were included in this meta-analysis. Patients receiving dapagliflozin showed a significantly lower incidence of HHF [risk ratio (RR) 0.72; P < 0.00001], all-cause mortality (RR 0.83; P = 0.004), cardiovascular death (RR 0.86; P = 0.03), and MACE (RR 0.88; P = 0.03). Moreover, patients receiving dapagliflozin also showed significant improvements in systolic blood pressure and body weight. However, no statistical difference was observed in HbA1c. In addition, hypoglycemia, volume depletion, and renal impairment was not more frequent with dapagliflozin than with placebo.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis suggests that dapagliflozin could be a therapeutic strategy for patients with HF regardless of the presence or absence of T2DM.

Prevalence, Mechanisms, and Management of Ischemic Stroke in Heart Failure Patients

Heart failure (HF) and stroke, two of the major causes of death worldwide, are closely associated. Although atrial fibrillation (AF), which occurs in more than half of patients with HF, is a major risk factor for stroke, there is a great deal of evidence that HF itself increases the risk of stroke independent of AF. The main mechanism of stroke appears to be thromboembolism. However, previous studies have failed to demonstrate the benefit of warfarin in patients with HF without AF, as the benefit of stroke prevention was counteracted by the increased incidence of major bleeding. Recently, researchers have identified patients with HF at a particularly high risk for stroke who may benefit from anticoagulation therapy. Based on stroke-risk prediction models, it may be possible to make better stroke prevention decisions for patients with HF. Moreover, non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants have emerged as anticoagulants with a more favorable risk-benefit profile than warfarin. Future studies on selecting high-risk patients and using more appropriate antithrombotics will lead to improved management of patients with HF.

Thromboembolism in Heart Failure Patients in Sinus Rhythm: Epidemiology, Pathophysiology, Clinical Trials, and Future Direction

Despite advances in medical and device therapy, patients with heart failure remain at high risk for morbidity and mortality. Experimental and clinical studies have shown an association between heart failure and a hypercoagulable state, and that patients with heart failure experience an increased incidence of stroke and other thromboembolic events, regardless of whether they are in atrial fibrillation. Although oral anticoagulation is recommended when atrial fibrillation is present, the benefits of this therapy in patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm are uncertain. Older randomized controlled trials comparing warfarin with antiplatelet therapy were, for the most part, underpowered and failed to show convincing benefits of warfarin therapy in this population. Several recent studies that assessed the effects of low-dose direct-acting oral anticoagulant therapy in patients with coronary artery disease in sinus rhythm either included or specifically targeted patients with heart failure. Post hoc analysis of their results showed that this treatment strategy was associated with improved outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome or stable coronary artery disease and also a significant reduction in thromboembolic events, including ischemic stroke. This review presents the rationale for anticoagulant therapy in patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm, discusses gaps in our knowledge base, offers suggestions for when anticoagulation might be considered, and identifies potential directions for future research.

Heart failure re-hospitalizations and subsequent fatal events in coronary artery disease: insights from COMMANDER-HF, EPHESUS, and EXAMINE

BACKGROUND

Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) are at increased risk of developing and being hospitalised for heart failure (HFH). However, the risk of HFH versus ischemic events may vary among patients with CAD, depending on whether acute myocardial infarction (MI), left ventricular dysfunction or decompensated HF is present at baseline.

AIMS

We aim to explore the risk of non-fatal events (HFH, MI, stroke) and subsequent death in 3 landmark trials, COMMANDER-HF, EPHESUS and EXAMINE that, together, included patients with CAD with and without reduced ejection fraction and acute MI.

METHODS

Events, person-time metrics and time-updated Cox models.

RESULTS

In COMMANDER-HF the event-rate for the composite of AMI, stroke or all-cause death was 13.5 (12.8-14.3) events/100 py. Rates for AMI and stroke were much lower (2.2 [2.0-2.6] and 1.3 [1.1-1.6] events/100 py, respectively) than the rate of HFH (16.9 [16.1-17.9] events/100 py). In EPHESUS, the rates of MI and stroke were also lower than the rate of HFH: 7.2 (6.7-7.8), 1.9 (1.7-2.3), and 10.6 (9.9-11.3) events/100 py, but this was not true for EXAMINE with 4.4 (4.0-4.9), 0.7 (0.6-0.9), and 2.4 (2.0-2.7) events/100 py, respectively. In all 3 trials, a non-fatal event (HFH, MI or stroke) during follow-up doubled the risk of subsequent mortality. This most commonly followed a HFH.

CONCLUSIONS

A first or recurrent HFH is common in patients with CAD and AMI or HFrEF and indicates a poor prognosis. Preventing the development of heart failure after AMI and control of congestion in patients with CAD and HFrEF are key unmet needs and therapeutic targets.

REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01877915. URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01877915 .

Ischemic Stroke and Heart Failure: Facts and Numbers. An Update

Heart failure (HF) is a severe clinical syndrome accompanied by a number of comorbidities. Ischemic stroke occurs frequently in patients with HF as a complication of the disease. In the present review, we aimed to summarize the current state of research on the role of cardio–cerebral interactions in the prevalence, etiology, and prognosis of both diseases. The main pathophysiological mechanisms underlying the development of stroke in HF and vice versa are discussed. In addition, we reviewed the results of recent clinical trials investigating the prevalence and prevention of stroke in patients with HF.

Risks of Ischemic Stroke/Transient Ischemic Attack Based on CHA2DS2-VASc Scores in Non-Atrial Fibrillation Chinese Patients with Sinus Rhythm

This study aims to evaluate the incidence of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) based on CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores in non-AF Chinese patients with sinus rhythm.We used health check-up data of 101,510 participants from the Kailuan Cohort Study. Participants' risk levels were defined by their CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (range 0-3): Men with scores of 0, 1, or ≥ 2 and women with scores of 1, 2, or ≥ 3 were considered at low, intermediate, or high risk, respectively. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the association between the CHA₂DS₂-VASc-determined risk and the incidence of ischemic stroke/TIA.The mean 7.5 year follow-up examination revealed 2968 ischemic strokes/TIA events. The incidence rates for ischemic stroke/TIA events in men and women were 3.8% and 1.5%, respectively. The incidence of ischemic stroke/TIA increased with elevated predicted risks based on CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores in men: 2.2% for low-risk, 4.1% for intermediate-risk, and 7.8% for high-risk groups (P < 0.001 for trend). The incidences of ischemic stroke/TIA also increased with elevated predicted risks in women: 0.8% for low-risk, 2.1% for intermediate-risk, and 5.0% for high-risk groups (P < 0.001 for trend). Compared with low-risk group, the crude hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of ischemic stroke/TIA for men in moderate- and high-risk groups were 1.96 (1.79-2.14; P < 0.001) and 4.18 (3.81-4.57; P < 0.001). Similar findings were observed in women.Risks of ischemic stroke/TIA events was high, particularly among those with high CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores.