Immediate Bacille Calmette-Guérin vaccination to neonates requiring perinatal treatment at the maternity ward in Guinea-Bissau: A randomized controlled trial

Effects of Neonatal BCG-Japan Versus BCG-Russia Vaccination on Overall Mortality and Morbidity: Randomized Controlled Trial From Guinea-Bissau (BCGSTRAIN II)

Background

Vaccination with the Danish strain of bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) has been associated with pronounced reductions in all-cause neonatal mortality and morbidity. Developing a skin reaction postvaccination is associated with markedly reduced mortality risk. It is unknown whether the beneficial nonspecific effects are maintained across different BCG strains.

Methods

This was an open-label randomized controlled trial in Guinea-Bissau, comparing BCG-Japan (n = 8754) versus BCG-Russia (n = 8752) for all-cause hospital admission risk by 6 weeks of age (primary outcome) and 6 months of age. Additional secondary outcomes were in-hospital case-fatality risk (CFR), all-cause mortality, and BCG skin reaction prevalence. Participants were followed through telephone calls at 6 weeks and 6 months, with a subgroup also visited at home. We assessed admission and mortality risk in Cox models providing incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and mortality rate ratios. CFR and skin reactions were assessed by binomial regression providing risk ratios. Analyses were done overall and stratified by sex.

Results

BCG strain was not associated with admission risk, the BCG-Japan/BCG-Russia IRR being 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI], .81-1.05) by 6 weeks and 0.92 (95% CI, .82-1.02) by 6 months. By 6 months of age, there were significantly fewer BCG-Japan infants with no skin reaction (1%) than for BCG-Russia (2%), the risk ratio being 0.36 (95% CI, .16-.81). BCG-Japan skin reactions were also larger.

Conclusions

Both vaccines induced a skin reaction in almost all participants. The BCG strains had comparable effects on morbidity and mortality, but BCG-Japan was associated with more and larger skin reactions that are indicators of lower mortality risk.

Clinical Trials Registration

NCT03400878.

Do vaccines increase or decrease susceptibility to diseases other than those they protect against?

Contrary to the long-held belief that the effects of vaccines are specific for the disease they were created; compelling evidence has demonstrated that vaccines can exert positive or deleterious non-specific effects (NSEs). In this review, we compiled research reports from the last 40 years, which were found based on the PubMed search for the epidemiological and immunological studies on the non-specific effects (NSEs) of the most common human vaccines. Analysis of information showed that live vaccines induce positive NSEs, whereas non-live vaccines induce several negative NSEs, including increased female mortality associated with enhanced susceptibility to other infectious diseases, especially in developing countries. These negative NSEs are determined by the vaccination sequence, the antigen concentration in vaccines, the type of vaccine used (live vs. non-live), and also by repeated vaccination. We do not recommend stopping using non-live vaccines, as they have demonstrated to protect against their target disease, so the suggestion is that their detrimental NSEs can be minimized simply by changing the current vaccination sequence. High IgG4 antibody levels generated in response to repeated inoculation with mRNA COVID-19 vaccines could be associated with a higher mortality rate from unrelated diseases and infections by suppressing the immune system. Since most COVID-19 vaccinated countries are reporting high percentages of excess mortality not directly attributable to deaths from such disease, the NSEs of mRNA vaccines on overall mortality should be studied in depth.

Using real-life data to model the impact of increasing BCG vaccination coverage and scar prevalence on all-cause infant mortality

PURPOSE

Estimating the potential impact on infant mortality of increasing Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination coverage and BCG scar prevalence.

METHODS

Guinea-Bissau Health and Demographic Surveillance System data on BCG vaccination coverage, scar status, and all-cause mortality were used for this study. Mortality risk (MR) by scar status was assessed in Cox models providing adjusted mortality rate ratios (aMRRs). Distributions were fitted for survival, vaccination coverage, and scar prevalence. Models for 12-month mortality were calculated. We utilized World Bank data on birth rates and mortality rates to assess the potential global impact of optimizing BCG vaccination programs.

RESULTS

BCG coverage was 81% and scar prevalence 42% among 2-month-old infants, and the 1- to 12-month scar/no scar aMRR was 0.40 (0.22, 0.76). Modeling 2-month 99% vaccination coverage with 95% developing scars would change the 1- to 12-month MR by -8% (-21%, +12%). Globally, the reduction in the MR between 1- and 12-month would be -14% (-14%, -15%), corresponding to -208,075 (-214,453, -204,023) fewer infant deaths/year.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirmed previous observations: having a BCG scar markedly reduces infant MR. Increasing current global 2-month BCG vaccination coverage from 76% to 99%, and scar prevalence among vaccinated infants from 52% to 95% might reduce global infant mortality by >200,000 deaths/year. Thus, optimizing BCG vaccination programs to focus on increasing early BCG vaccination coverage and the overall scar prevalence would have major public health benefits.

Does Early Childhood BCG Vaccination Improve Survival to Midlife in a Population With a Low Tuberculosis Prevalence? Quasi-experimental Evidence on Nonspecific Effects From 32 Swedish Birth Cohorts

The Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine for tuberculosis (TB) is widely used globally. Many high-income countries discontinued nationwide vaccination policies starting in the 1980s as the TB prevalence decreased. However, there is continued scientific interest in whether the general childhood immunity boost conferred by the BCG vaccination impacts adult health and mortality in low-TB contexts (known as nonspecific effects). While recent studies have found evidence of an association between BCG vaccination and survival to ages 34-45, it is unclear whether these associations are causal or driven by the unobserved characteristics of those who chose to voluntarily vaccinate. We use the abrupt discontinuation of mandatory BCG vaccination in Sweden in 1975 as a natural experiment to estimate the causal nonspecific effect of the BCG vaccine on cohort survival to midlife. Applying two complementary study designs, we find no evidence that survival to age 40 was affected by the discontinuation of childhood BCG vaccination. The results are consistent among both males and females and are robust to several sensitivity tests. Overall, despite prior correlational studies suggesting large nonspecific effects, we do not find any population-level evidence for a nonspecific effect of the BCG vaccine discontinuation on survival to age 40 in Sweden.

Implications of Non-Specific Effects for Testing, Approving, and Regulating Vaccines

The current framework for testing and regulating vaccines was established before the realization that vaccines, in addition to their effect against the vaccine-specific disease, may also have "non-specific effects" affecting the risk of unrelated diseases. Accumulating evidence from epidemiological studies shows that vaccines in some situations can affect all-cause mortality and morbidity in ways that are not explained by the prevention of the vaccine-targeted disease. Live attenuated vaccines have sometimes been associated with decreases in mortality and morbidity that are greater than anticipated. In contrast, some non-live vaccines have in certain contexts been associated with increases in all-cause mortality and morbidity. The non-specific effects are often greater for female than male individuals. Immunological studies have provided several mechanisms that explain how vaccines might modulate the immune response to unrelated pathogens, such as through trained innate immunity, emergency granulopoiesis, and heterologous T-cell immunity. These insights suggest that the framework for the testing, approving, and regulating vaccines needs to be updated to accommodate non-specific effects. Currently, non-specific effects are not routinely captured in phase I-III clinical trials or in the post-licensure safety surveillance. For instance, an infection with Streptococcus pneumoniae occurring months after a diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis vaccination would not be considered an effect of the vaccination, although evidence indicates it might well be for female individuals. Here, as a starting point for discussion, we propose a new framework that considers the non-specific effects of vaccines in both phase III trials and post-licensure.

Non-Specific Effects of Bacillus Calmette-Guérin: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

BACKGROUND

Vaccines induce antigen-specific immunity, which provides long-lived protection from the target pathogen. Trials from areas with high incidence rates for infectious diseases indicated that the tuberculosis vaccine Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) induces in addition non-specific immunity against various pathogens and thereby reduces overall mortality more than would have been expected by just protecting from tuberculosis. Although recent trials produced conflicting results, it was suggested that BCG might protect from non-tuberculosis respiratory infections and could be used to bridge the time until a specific vaccine against novel respiratory diseases like COVID-19 is available.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published between 2011 and December 9^th, 2022, providing evidence about non-specific effects after BCG vaccination, assessed their potential for bias, and meta-analyzed relevant clinical outcomes. We excluded RCTs investigating vaccination with an additional vaccine unless outcomes from a follow-up period before the second vaccination were reported.

RESULTS

Our search identified 16 RCTs including 34,197 participants. Vaccination with BCG caused an estimated 44% decrease in risk for respiratory infections (hazard ratio (HR) 0.56, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.39-0.82) with substantial heterogeneity between trials (I² = 77%). There was evidence for a protective effect on all-cause mortality of 21% if follow-up was restricted to one year (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.99). We did not find evidence for an effect when we considered longer follow-up (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.75-1.03). Infection-related mortality after BCG vaccination was reduced by 33% (HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.46-0.99), mortality for sepsis by 38% (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.41-0.93). There was no evidence for a protective effect of BCG vaccination on infections of any origin (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.71-1.00), COVID-19 (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.68-1.14), sepsis (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.55-1.10) or hospitalization (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.91-1.11).

CONCLUSIONS

According to these results, depending on the setting, vaccination with BCG provides time-limited partial protection against non-tuberculosis respiratory infections and may reduce mortality. These findings underline BCG's potential (1) in pandemic preparedness against novel pathogens especially in developing countries with established BCG vaccination programs but limited access to specific vaccines; (2) in reducing microbial infections, antimicrobial prescriptions and thus the development of antimicrobial resistance. There is a need for additional RCTs to clarify the circumstances under which BCG's non-specific protective effects are mediated.

Can BCG vaccination at first health-facility contact reduce early infant mortality? Study protocol for a cluster-randomised trial (CS-BCG)

INTRODUCTION

Increasing evidence suggests that the BCG vaccine has non-specific effects, altering the susceptibility to non-tuberculous infections. Thus, early BCG vaccination may reduce mortality. BCG is recommended at birth but is often delayed. Vaccination opportunities are missed due to multidose vials not being opened for a few children. We will assess the effect of making BCG available at the first health-facility contact on early infant mortality and morbidity in a rural setting in Guinea-Bissau.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

In a cluster-randomised crossover trial, we randomise 23 health centres to two different treatment groups. In half of the health centres, BCG is provided as per current practice; in the remaining health centres, we make BCG available everyday to allow opening a vial of BCG if there is just one eligible child present. The randomisation of centres will be crossed over after 12 months and enrolment will continue for another 12 months.We will use logistic regression models with adjustment for village to assess the effect of making BCG available at the first health-facility contact. The main outcome is non-accidental mortality between day 1 and day 42 after birth. We will adjust for sex, health centre, period (before/after crossover) and level of surveillance (level 1 or level 2). Further analyses include assessment of the effect on hospital admission and a cost-effectiveness evaluation.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

If BCG vaccination reduces early infant mortality, missed opportunities and delays of vaccinations expose infants in several low-income countries to unnecessary excess mortality risk. The present trial will provide information on the effect of implementing a feasible intervention, where all children receive BCG at their first health-facility contact. Consent is obtained from all pregnant women registered as part of the trial. The results of the study will be published and communicated to the National Institute of Public Health in Guinea-Bissau.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04658680; Clinicaltrials.gov.

Non-specific effects of BCG and DTP vaccination on infant mortality: An analysis of birth cohorts in Ghana and Tanzania

BACKGROUND

Vaccines may induce non-specific effects on survival and health outcomes, in addition to protection against targeted pathogens or disease. Observational evidence suggests that infant Baccillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination may provide non-specific survival benefits, while diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) vaccination may increase the risk of mortality. Non-specific vaccine effects have been hypothesized to modify the effect of neonatal vitamin A supplementation (NVAS) on mortality.

METHODS

22,955 newborns in Ghana and 31,999 newborns in Tanzania were enrolled in two parallel, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials of neonatal vitamin A supplementation from 2010 to 2014 and followed until 1-year of age. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate associations of BCG and DTP vaccination with infant survival.

RESULTS

BCG vaccination was associated with a decreased risk of infant mortality after controlling for confounders in both countries (Ghana adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.51, 95% CI: 0.38-0.68; Tanzania aHR: 0.08, 95% CI: 0.07-0.10). Receiving a DTP vaccination was associated with a decreased risk of death (Ghana aHR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.26-0.59; Tanzania aHR: 0.19, 95% CI: 0.16-0.22). There was no evidence of interaction between BCG or DTP vaccination status and infant sex or NVAS.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated that BCG and DTP vaccination were associated with decreased risk of infant mortality in Ghana and Tanzania with no evidence of interaction between DTP or BCG vaccination, NVAS, and infant sex. Our study supports global recommendations on BCG and DTP vaccination and programmatic efforts to ensure all children have access to timely vaccination.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

Ghana (Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR): ACTRN12610000582055) and Tanzania (ANZCTR: ACTRN12610000636055).

Mortality risk among frail neonates might be associated with maternal BCG scar status: Observational study from Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Maternal priming with Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) has been associated with reduced offspring mortality. We investigated this association in a cohort of frail neonates.

METHODS

We performed an observational study within a randomized BCG trial conducted at the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) in Guinea-Bissau from 2015-2017. At NICU admission and following informed consent, the maternal scar status was evaluated by visual inspection before neonates were randomized 1:1 to receive BCG + Oral Polio Vaccine (OPV) immediately versus BCG + OPV at hospital discharge. Stratified by maternal scar status, we assessed overall in-hospital and post-discharge mortality up to 42 days of age in Cox Proportional Hazards models providing adjusted Mortality Rate Ratios (aMRRs).

RESULTS

62% (903/1451) of mothers had a BCG scar. During NICU admission, the mortality risk was 1.7% (15/903) for neonates born to mothers with a scar vs 3.3% (18/548) for those born to mothers with no scar, the maternal scar/no scar aMRR = 0.53 (0.26-1.05); the aMRR was 0.39 (0.13-1.05) for unvaccinated neonates and 0.70 (0.26-1.87) for vaccinated neonates.

CONCLUSION

This small study indicates that maternal BCG might be associated with reduced all-cause NICU mortality. If confirmed elsewhere, this finding would have substantial ramifications for global health.