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Tokash-Peters AG, Niyonzima JD, Kayirangwa M, Muhayimana S, Tokash IW, Jabon JD, Lopez SG, Kearns PJ, Woodhams DC. Mosquito Microbiomes of Rwanda: Characterizing Mosquito Host and Microbial Communities in the Land of a Thousand Hills. MICROBIAL ECOLOGY 2024; 87:64. [PMID: 38691215 PMCID: PMC11062966 DOI: 10.1007/s00248-024-02382-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 04/18/2024] [Indexed: 05/03/2024]
Abstract
Mosquitoes are a complex nuisance around the world and tropical countries bear the brunt of the burden of mosquito-borne diseases. Rwanda has had success in reducing malaria and some arboviral diseases over the last few years, but still faces challenges to elimination. By building our understanding of in situ mosquito communities in Rwanda at a disturbed, human-occupied site and at a natural, preserved site, we can build our understanding of natural mosquito microbiomes toward the goal of implementing novel microbial control methods. Here, we examined the composition of collected mosquitoes and their microbiomes at two diverse sites using Cytochrome c Oxidase I sequencing and 16S V4 high-throughput sequencing. The majority (36 of 40 species) of mosquitoes captured and characterized in this study are the first-known record of their species for Rwanda but have been characterized in other nations in East Africa. We found significant differences among mosquito genera and among species, but not between mosquito sexes or catch method. Bacteria of interest for arbovirus control, Asaia, Serratia, and Wolbachia, were found in abundance at both sites and varied greatly by species.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amanda G Tokash-Peters
- College of Science and Mathematics, University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA
- Center of Excellence in Biodiversity, University of Rwanda, Huye, Rwanda
| | | | | | - Simon Muhayimana
- Center of Excellence in Biodiversity, University of Rwanda, Huye, Rwanda
| | - Ivan W Tokash
- College of Science and Mathematics, University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jaimy D Jabon
- College of Science and Mathematics, University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sergio G Lopez
- College of Science and Mathematics, University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Patrick J Kearns
- College of Science and Mathematics, University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Douglas C Woodhams
- College of Science and Mathematics, University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA.
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2
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Davis EL, Hollingsworth TD, Keeling MJ. An analytically tractable, age-structured model of the impact of vector control on mosquito-transmitted infections. PLoS Comput Biol 2024; 20:e1011440. [PMID: 38484022 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011440] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2023] [Revised: 03/26/2024] [Accepted: 02/09/2024] [Indexed: 03/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Vector control is a vital tool utilised by malaria control and elimination programmes worldwide, and as such it is important that we can accurately quantify the expected public health impact of these methods. There are very few previous models that consider vector-control-induced changes in the age-structure of the vector population and the resulting impact on transmission. We analytically derive the steady-state solution of a novel age-structured deterministic compartmental model describing the mosquito feeding cycle, with mosquito age represented discretely by parity-the number of cycles (or successful bloodmeals) completed. Our key model output comprises an explicit, analytically tractable solution that can be used to directly quantify key transmission statistics, such as the effective reproductive ratio under control, Rc, and investigate the age-structured impact of vector control. Application of this model reinforces current knowledge that adult-acting interventions, such as indoor residual spraying of insecticides (IRS) or long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs), can be highly effective at reducing transmission, due to the dual effects of repelling and killing mosquitoes. We also demonstrate how larval measures can be implemented in addition to adult-acting measures to reduce Rc and mitigate the impact of waning insecticidal efficacy, as well as how mid-ranges of LLIN coverage are likely to experience the largest effect of reduced net integrity on transmission. We conclude that whilst well-maintained adult-acting vector control measures are substantially more effective than larval-based interventions, incorporating larval control in existing LLIN or IRS programmes could substantially reduce transmission and help mitigate any waning effects of adult-acting measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emma L Davis
- Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
- Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
| | | | - Matt J Keeling
- Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom
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3
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Wu SL, Henry JM, Citron DT, Mbabazi Ssebuliba D, Nakakawa Nsumba J, Sánchez C. HM, Brady OJ, Guerra CA, García GA, Carter AR, Ferguson HM, Afolabi BE, Hay SI, Reiner RC, Kiware S, Smith DL. Spatial dynamics of malaria transmission. PLoS Comput Biol 2023; 19:e1010684. [PMID: 37307282 PMCID: PMC10289676 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010684] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2022] [Revised: 06/23/2023] [Accepted: 05/15/2023] [Indexed: 06/14/2023] Open
Abstract
The Ross-Macdonald model has exerted enormous influence over the study of malaria transmission dynamics and control, but it lacked features to describe parasite dispersal, travel, and other important aspects of heterogeneous transmission. Here, we present a patch-based differential equation modeling framework that extends the Ross-Macdonald model with sufficient skill and complexity to support planning, monitoring and evaluation for Plasmodium falciparum malaria control. We designed a generic interface for building structured, spatial models of malaria transmission based on a new algorithm for mosquito blood feeding. We developed new algorithms to simulate adult mosquito demography, dispersal, and egg laying in response to resource availability. The core dynamical components describing mosquito ecology and malaria transmission were decomposed, redesigned and reassembled into a modular framework. Structural elements in the framework-human population strata, patches, and aquatic habitats-interact through a flexible design that facilitates construction of ensembles of models with scalable complexity to support robust analytics for malaria policy and adaptive malaria control. We propose updated definitions for the human biting rate and entomological inoculation rates. We present new formulas to describe parasite dispersal and spatial dynamics under steady state conditions, including the human biting rates, parasite dispersal, the "vectorial capacity matrix," a human transmitting capacity distribution matrix, and threshold conditions. An [Formula: see text] package that implements the framework, solves the differential equations, and computes spatial metrics for models developed in this framework has been developed. Development of the model and metrics have focused on malaria, but since the framework is modular, the same ideas and software can be applied to other mosquito-borne pathogen systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sean L. Wu
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - John M. Henry
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
- Quantitative Ecology and Resource Management, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Daniel T. Citron
- Department of Population Health, Grossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, New York, United States of America
| | | | - Juliet Nakakawa Nsumba
- Department of Mathematics, Makerere University Department of Mathematics, School of Physical Sciences, College of Natural Science, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Héctor M. Sánchez C.
- Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Oliver J. Brady
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Carlos A. Guerra
- MCD Global Health, Silver Spring, Maryland, United States of America
| | | | - Austin R. Carter
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Heather M. Ferguson
- Faculty of Biomedical and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom
| | - Bakare Emmanuel Afolabi
- International Centre for Applied Mathematical Modelling and Data Analytics, Federal University Oye Ekiti, Ekiti State, Nigeria
- Department of Mathematics, Federal University Oye Ekiti, Ekiti State, Nigeria
| | - Simon I. Hay
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
- Department of Health Metrics Science, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Robert C. Reiner
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
- Department of Health Metrics Science, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Samson Kiware
- Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
- Pan-African Mosquito Control Association (PAMCA), Nairobi, Kenya
| | - David L. Smith
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
- Department of Health Metrics Science, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
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Christofferson RC, Wearing HJ, Turner EA, Walsh CS, Salje H, Tran-Kiem C, Cauchemez S. How do i bite thee? let me count the ways: Exploring the implications of individual biting habits of Aedes aegypti for dengue transmission. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2022; 16:e0010818. [PMID: 36194617 PMCID: PMC9565401 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010818] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2021] [Revised: 10/14/2022] [Accepted: 09/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
In models of mosquito-borne transmission, the mosquito biting rate is an influential parameter, and understanding the heterogeneity of the process of biting is important, as biting is usually assumed to be relatively homogeneous across individuals, with time-between-bites described by an exponentially distributed process. However, these assumptions have not been addressed through laboratory experimentation. We experimentally investigated the daily biting habits of Ae. aegypti at three temperatures (24°C, 28°C, and 32°C) and determined that there was individual heterogeneity in biting habits (number of bites, timing of bites, etc.). We further explored the consequences of biting heterogeneity using an individual-based model designed to examine whether a particular biting profile determines whether a mosquito is more or less likely to 1) become exposed given a single index case of dengue (DENV) and 2) transmit to a susceptible human individual. Our experimental results indicate that there is heterogeneity among individuals and among temperature treatments. We further show that this results in altered probabilities of transmission of DENV to and from individual mosquitoes based on biting profiles. While current model representation of biting may work under some conditions, it might not uniformly be the best fit for this process. Our data also confirm that biting is a non-monotonic process with temperatures around 28°C being optimum.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rebecca C. Christofferson
- Department of Pathobiological Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, United States of America
- Center for Computation and Technology, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Helen J. Wearing
- Department of Biology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States of America
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States of America
| | - Erik A. Turner
- Department of Pathobiological Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Christine S. Walsh
- Department of Pathobiological Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Henrik Salje
- Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
- Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, CNRS UMR 2000, Paris, France
| | - Cécile Tran-Kiem
- Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, CNRS UMR 2000, Paris, France
- Collège Doctoral, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Simon Cauchemez
- Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, CNRS UMR 2000, Paris, France
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Ukawuba I, Shaman J. Inference and dynamic simulation of malaria using a simple climate-driven entomological model of malaria transmission. PLoS Comput Biol 2022; 18:e1010161. [PMID: 35679241 PMCID: PMC9182318 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2021] [Accepted: 05/02/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Given the crucial role of climate in malaria transmission, many mechanistic models of malaria represent vector biology and the parasite lifecycle as functions of climate variables in order to accurately capture malaria transmission dynamics. Lower dimension mechanistic models that utilize implicit vector dynamics have relied on indirect climate modulation of transmission processes, which compromises investigation of the ecological role played by climate in malaria transmission. In this study, we develop an implicit process-based malaria model with direct climate-mediated modulation of transmission pressure borne through the Entomological Inoculation Rate (EIR). The EIR, a measure of the number of infectious bites per person per unit time, includes the effects of vector dynamics, resulting from mosquito development, survivorship, feeding activity and parasite development, all of which are moderated by climate. We combine this EIR-model framework, which is driven by rainfall and temperature, with Bayesian inference methods, and evaluate the model’s ability to simulate local transmission across 42 regions in Rwanda over four years. Our findings indicate that the biologically-motivated, EIR-model framework is capable of accurately simulating seasonal malaria dynamics and capturing of some of the inter-annual variation in malaria incidence. However, the model unsurprisingly failed to reproduce large declines in malaria transmission during 2018 and 2019 due to elevated anti-malaria measures, which were not accounted for in the model structure. The climate-driven transmission model also captured regional variation in malaria incidence across Rwanda’s diverse climate, while identifying key entomological and epidemiological parameters important to seasonal malaria dynamics. In general, this new model construct advances the capabilities of implicitly-forced lower dimension dynamical malaria models by leveraging climate drivers of malaria ecology and transmission. Climate plays a fundamental and complex role in malaria transmission, by acting on multiple aspects of mosquito ecology and parasite transmissibility. However, to express malaria transmission pressure, malaria models with implicit vector dynamics have relied on indirect predictors of vector ecology, such as temporal seasonality or interpolations of rainfall/temperature, instead of entomological processes directly informed by ambient conditions. This approach obscures the specific influence of environmental conditions on relevant vector and parasite ecology, as well as meaningful interpretation of climate variability within these models. Here, we demonstrate that both interpretability and ecological effect from climate can be instantiated in lower dimension dynamical models through representation of transmission pressures via a climate-driven Entomological Inoculation Rate (EIR). This process-based model framework is driven by local rainfall and temperature, which regulate multiple aspects of the EIR, namely mosquito density, host-seeking activity, and parasite infectivity. Our results indicate that the climate-driven model construct is able to reproduce regional and local malaria transmission at seasonal and inter-annual time scales, while enabling identification of key entomological determinants of transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Israel Ukawuba
- Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Jeffrey Shaman
- Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States of America
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6
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Hamid-Adiamoh M, Nwakanma D, Sraku I, Amambua-Ngwa A, A. Afrane Y. Is outdoor-resting behaviour in malaria vectors consistent? Short report from northern Ghana. AAS Open Res 2022. [DOI: 10.12688/aasopenres.13317.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Recent studies have observed vectors resting predominantly outdoors in settings where anti-vector tools are extensively deployed, attributed to selection pressure from use of control tools. This present study examined if the outdoor resting behaviour in the vector population is random or indicative of a consistent preference of one resting site over the other. Methods: Mark-release-recapture experiments were conducted with outdoor-resting Anopheles gambiae and An. funestus mosquitoes collected from two villages in northern Ghana during rainy and dry seasons. Mosquitoes were marked with fluorescent dyes and released indoors. The experiments were controlled with indoor-resting mosquitoes, which were marked and released outdoors. Species of all recaptured mosquitoes were identified and assessed for consistency in their resting behaviour. Results: A total of 4,460 outdoor-resting mosquitoes comprising An. gambiae sensu lato (s.l.) (2,636, 59%) and An. funestus complex (1,824, 41%) were marked and released. Overall, 31 (0.7%) mosquitoes were recaptured mostly from outdoor location comprising 25 (81%) An. gambiae s.l. and 6 (19%) An. funestus complex. Only 3 (10%) of the recaptured mosquitoes were found resting indoors where they were released. The majority of the outdoor-recaptured mosquitoes were An. arabiensis (11, 39%), followed by An. coluzzii (7, 25%); whereas all indoor-recaptured mosquitoes were An. coluzzii. For the control experiment, 324 indoor-resting mosquitoes constituting 313 (97%) An. gambiae s.l. and 11 (3%) An. funestus complex were marked and released. However, none of these was recaptured neither indoors nor outdoors. More mosquitoes were captured and recaptured during rainy season, but this was not statistically significant (Z=0.79, P=0.21). Conclusions: These results suggested the tendency for the mosquitoes to retain their outdoor-resting behaviour. Further investigations are required to ascertain if emerging preference for outdoor resting behaviour in malaria vector populations is consistent or a random occurrence.
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7
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Hamid-Adiamoh M, Nwakanma D, Sraku I, Amambua-Ngwa A, A. Afrane Y. Is outdoor-resting behaviour in malaria vectors consistent? Short report from northern Ghana. AAS Open Res 2021. [DOI: 10.12688/aasopenres.13317.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Recent studies have observed vectors resting predominantly outdoors in settings where anti-vector tools are extensively deployed, attributed to selection pressure from use of control tools. This present study examined if the outdoor resting behaviour in the vector population is random or indicative of a consistent preference of one resting site over the other. Methods: Mark-release-recapture experiments were conducted with outdoor-resting Anopheles gambiae and An. funestus mosquitoes collected from two villages in northern Ghana during rainy and dry seasons. Mosquitoes were marked with fluorescent dyes and released indoors. The experiments were controlled with indoor-resting mosquitoes, which were marked and released outdoors. Species of all recaptured mosquitoes were identified and assessed for consistency in their resting behaviour. Results: A total of 4,460 outdoor-resting mosquitoes comprising An. gambiae sensu lato (s.l.) (2,636, 59%) and An. funestus complex (1,824, 41%) were marked and released. Overall, 31 (0.7%) mosquitoes were recaptured mostly from outdoor location comprising 25 (81%) An. gambiae s.l. and 6 (19%) An. funestus complex. Only 3 (10%) of the recaptured mosquitoes were found resting indoors where they were released. The majority of the outdoor-recaptured mosquitoes were An. arabiensis (11, 39%), followed by An. coluzzii (7, 25%); whereas all indoor-recaptured mosquitoes were An. coluzzii. For the control experiment, 324 indoor-resting mosquitoes constituting 313 (97%) An. gambiae s.l. and 11 (3%) An. funestus complex were marked and released. However, none of these was recaptured neither indoors nor outdoors. More mosquitoes were captured and recaptured during rainy season, but this was not statistically significant (Z=0.79, P=0.21). Conclusions: These results suggested the tendency for the mosquitoes to retain their outdoor-resting behaviour. Further investigations are required to ascertain if emerging preference for outdoor resting behaviour in malaria vector populations is consistent or a random occurrence.
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Rigby LM, Johnson BJ, Peatey CL, Beebe NW, Devine GJ. The impact of sublethal permethrin exposure on susceptible and resistant genotypes of the urban disease vector Aedes aegypti. PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE 2021; 77:3450-3457. [PMID: 33818874 PMCID: PMC8252650 DOI: 10.1002/ps.6398] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2020] [Revised: 03/13/2021] [Accepted: 04/05/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In urban environments, some of the most common control tools used against the mosquito disease vector Aedes aegypti are pyrethroid insecticides applied as aerosols, fogs or residual sprays. Their efficacy is compromised by patchy deployment, aging residues, and the evolution and invasion of pyrethroid-resistant mosquitoes. A large proportion of mosquitoes in a given environment will therefore receive sublethal doses of insecticide. The potential impact of this sublethal exposure on the behaviour and biology of Ae. aegypti carrying commonly reported resistance alleles is poorly documented. RESULTS In susceptible insects, sublethal exposure to permethrin resulted in reductions in egg viability (13.9%), blood avidity (16.7%) and male mating success (28.3%). It caused a 70% decrease in the lifespan of exposed susceptible females and a 66% decrease in the insecticide-resistant females from the parental strain. Exposure to the same dose of insecticide in the presence of the isolated kdr genotype resulted in a smaller impact on female longevity (a 58% decrease) but a 26% increase in eggs per female and a 37% increase in male mating success. Sublethal permethrin exposure reduced host-location success by 20-30% in all strains. CONCLUSION The detrimental effects of exposure on susceptible insects were expected, but resistant insects demonstrated a less predictable range of responses, including negative effects on longevity and host-location but increases in fecundity and mating competitiveness. Overall, sublethal insecticide exposure is expected to increase the competitiveness of resistant phenotypes, acting as a selection pressure for the evolution of permethrin resistance. © 2021 The Authors. Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lisa M Rigby
- Australian Defence Force Malaria and Infectious Disease InstituteGallipoli Barracks, EnoggeraQLDAustralia
- Mosquito Control LaboratoryQIMR Berghofer Medical Research InstituteHerstonQLDAustralia
- School of MedicineUniversity of QueenslandBrisbaneQLDAustralia
| | - Brian J Johnson
- Mosquito Control LaboratoryQIMR Berghofer Medical Research InstituteHerstonQLDAustralia
| | - Christopher L Peatey
- Australian Defence Force Malaria and Infectious Disease InstituteGallipoli Barracks, EnoggeraQLDAustralia
| | - Nigel W Beebe
- School of Biological SciencesUniversity of QueenslandBrisbaneQLDAustralia
- CSIROBrisbaneQLDAustralia
| | - Gregor J Devine
- Mosquito Control LaboratoryQIMR Berghofer Medical Research InstituteHerstonQLDAustralia
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9
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A New Test of a Theory about Old Mosquitoes. Trends Parasitol 2020; 37:185-194. [PMID: 33250441 DOI: 10.1016/j.pt.2020.10.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2020] [Revised: 10/26/2020] [Accepted: 10/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
In vector control, it is widely accepted that killing adult mosquitoes would sharply reduce the proportion of old mosquitoes and cause the greatest changes to malaria transmission. The principle is based on a mathematical model of the sporozoite rate (the proportion of infective mosquitoes) that emphasized changes in mosquito age. Killing adult mosquitoes also reduces mosquito population densities, which are directly proportional to human biting rates (the number of bites, per person, per day). Eect sizes of vector control can be compared using sporozoite rates and human biting rates, which are commonly measured. We argue that human biting rates convey more use- ful information for planning, monitoring and evaluating vector control, and operational research should focus on understanding mosquito ecology.
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Carter R, Karunaweera ND. The role of improved housing and living environments in malaria control and elimination. Malar J 2020; 19:385. [PMID: 33129327 PMCID: PMC7603669 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-020-03450-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2020] [Accepted: 10/16/2020] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Malaria risk and endemicity is often associated with the nature of human habitation and living environment. The disappearance of malaria from regions where it had been endemic for centuries, such as coastal areas of southern England, has been attributed, at least in part, to improvement in the quality of housing. Moreover, indigenous malaria transmission ceased throughout England without the necessity to eliminate the vector mosquitoes. The principles of malaria transmission, as formulated following the thinking of the pioneers of malaria epidemiology, Ronald Ross and George Macdonald, show how this may happen. Malaria ceases to be sustainable where its reproduction number, R0, the number of new cases generated on average for each existing case of malaria, falls below 1. In the terms of a Ross/Macdonald analysis the reduced contact between humans and blood-feeding mosquitoes that is achieved through housing that is secure against mosquito entry can have a powerful effect in reducing malaria R0. The island of Sri Lanka, where malaria had been endemic probably for centuries previously, has reported no indigenous cases of malaria since 2012. The disappearance of malaria from Sri Lanka followed an effective attack upon malaria transmission by the Sri Lanka Anti Malaria Campaign. The targeted and enhanced efforts of this campaign launched in 1999, drove the malaria R0 below 1 for most of the period up to 2012, leading to a nearly continuous decline in malaria cases until their extinction. The decades leading up to the launch of these efforts were ones of general improvement of living environment and notably in the quality of housing stock. Studies in the late 1980s had shown that quality of housing in a highly malarious district of Sri Lanka was a strong determinant of malaria risk. Through its effects on malaria R0, improved housing is likely to have facilitated the malaria control and cessation of indigenous malaria transmission in Sri Lanka and that it will help reduce the risk of the re-introduction of malaria to the island.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard Carter
- School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nadira D Karunaweera
- Department of Parasitology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Colombo, Colombo, Sri Lanka.
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11
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McMillan JR, Armstrong PM, Andreadis TG. Patterns of mosquito and arbovirus community composition and ecological indexes of arboviral risk in the northeast United States. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14:e0008066. [PMID: 32092063 PMCID: PMC7058363 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008066] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2019] [Revised: 03/05/2020] [Accepted: 01/15/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the northeast United States (U.S.), mosquitoes transmit a number of arboviruses, including eastern equine encephalitis, Jamestown Canyon, and West Nile that pose an annual threat to human and animal health. Local transmission of each arbovirus may be driven by the involvement of multiple mosquito species; however, the specificity of these vector-virus associations has not been fully quantified. METHODOLOGY We used long-term surveillance data consistently collected over 18 years to evaluate mosquito and arbovirus community composition in the State of Connecticut (CT) based on land cover classifications and mosquito species-specific natural histories using community ecology approaches available in the R package VEGAN. We then used binomial-error generalized linear mixed effects models to quantify species-specific trends in arbovirus detections. PRIMARY RESULTS The composition of mosquito communities throughout CT varied more among sites than among years, with variation in mosquito community composition among sites explained mostly by a forested-to-developed-land-cover gradient. Arboviral communities varied equally among sites and years, and only developed and forested wetland land cover classifications were associated with the composition of arbovirus detections among sites. Overall, the avian host arboviruses, mainly West Nile and eastern equine encephalitis, displayed the most specific associations among mosquito species and sites, while in contrast, the mammalian host arboviruses (including Cache Valley, Jamestown Canyon, and Potosi) associated with a more diverse mix of mosquito species and were widely distributed throughout CT. CONCLUSIONS We find that avian arboviruses act as vector specialists infecting a few key mosquito species that associate with discrete habitats, while mammalian arboviruses are largely vector generalists infecting a wide diversity of mosquito species and habitats in the region. These distinctions have important implications for the design and implementation of mosquito and arbovirus surveillance programs as well as mosquito control efforts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joseph R. McMillan
- Environmental Sciences, Center for Vector Biology & Zoonotic Diseases, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Philip M. Armstrong
- Environmental Sciences, Center for Vector Biology & Zoonotic Diseases, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Theodore G. Andreadis
- Environmental Sciences, Center for Vector Biology & Zoonotic Diseases, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
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12
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McCormack CP, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM. Fine-scale modelling finds that breeding site fragmentation can reduce mosquito population persistence. Commun Biol 2019; 2:273. [PMID: 31372512 PMCID: PMC6658551 DOI: 10.1038/s42003-019-0525-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2019] [Accepted: 06/27/2019] [Indexed: 02/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Fine-scale geographic variation in the transmission intensity of mosquito-borne diseases is primarily caused by variation in the density of female adult mosquitoes. Therefore, an understanding of fine-scale mosquito population dynamics is critical to understanding spatial heterogeneity in disease transmission and persistence at those scales. However, mathematical models of dengue and malaria transmission, which consider the dynamics of mosquito larvae, generally do not account for the fragmented structure of larval breeding sites. Here, we develop a stochastic metapopulation model of mosquito population dynamics and explore the impact of accounting for breeding site fragmentation when modelling fine-scale mosquito population dynamics. We find that, when mosquito population densities are low, fragmentation can lead to a reduction in population size, with population persistence dependent on mosquito dispersal and features of the underlying landscape. We conclude that using non-spatial models to represent fine-scale mosquito population dynamics may substantially underestimate the stochastic volatility of those populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Clare P. McCormack
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK
| | - Azra C. Ghani
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK
| | - Neil M. Ferguson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK
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13
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Sallum MAM, Conn JE, Bergo ES, Laporta GZ, Chaves LSM, Bickersmith SA, de Oliveira TMP, Figueira EAG, Moresco G, Olívêr L, Struchiner CJ, Yakob L, Massad E. Vector competence, vectorial capacity of Nyssorhynchus darlingi and the basic reproduction number of Plasmodium vivax in agricultural settlements in the Amazonian Region of Brazil. Malar J 2019; 18:117. [PMID: 30947726 PMCID: PMC6449965 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-019-2753-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2018] [Accepted: 03/28/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Brazilian malaria control programmes successfully reduced the incidence and mortality rates from 2005 to 2016. Since 2017, increased malaria has been reported across the Amazon. Few field studies focus on the primary malaria vector in high to moderate endemic areas, Nyssorhynchus darlingi, as the key entomological component of malaria risk, and on the metrics of Plasmodium vivax propagation in Amazonian rural communities. Methods Human landing catch collections were carried out in 36 houses of 26 communities in five municipalities in the Brazilian states of Acre, Amazonas and Rondônia states, with API (> 30). In addition, data on the number of locally acquired symptomatic infections were employed in mathematical modelling analyses carried out to determine Ny. darlingi vector competence and vectorial capacity to P. vivax; and to calculate the basic reproduction number for P. vivax. Results Entomological indices and malaria metrics ranged among localities: prevalence of P. vivax infection in Ny. darlingi, from 0.243% in Mâncio Lima, Acre to 3.96% in Machadinho D’Oeste, Rondônia; daily human-biting rate per person from 23 ± 1.18 in Cruzeiro do Sul, Acre, to 66 ± 2.41 in Lábrea, Amazonas; vector competence from 0.00456 in São Gabriel da Cachoeira, Amazonas to 0.04764 in Mâncio Lima, Acre; vectorial capacity from 0.0836 in Mâncio Lima, to 1.5 in Machadinho D’Oeste. The estimated R0 for P. vivax (PvR0) was 3.3 in Mâncio Lima, 7.0 in Lábrea, 16.8 in Cruzeiro do Sul, 55.5 in São Gabriel da Cachoeira, and 58.7 in Machadinho D’Oeste. Correlation between P. vivax prevalence in Ny. darlingi and vector competence was non-linear whereas association between prevalence of P. vivax in mosquitoes, vectorial capacity and R0 was linear and positive. Conclusions In spite of low vector competence of Ny. darlingi to P. vivax, parasite propagation in the human population is enhanced by the high human-biting rate, and relatively high vectorial capacity. The high PvR0 values suggest hyperendemicity in Machadinho D’Oeste and São Gabriel da Cachoeira at levels similar to those found for P. falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa regions. Mass screening for parasite reservoirs, effective anti-malarial drugs and vector control interventions will be necessary to shrinking transmission in Amazonian rural communities, Brazil. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s12936-019-2753-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Anice M Sallum
- Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
| | - Jan E Conn
- Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Albany, NY, USA.,Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Public Health, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA
| | - Eduardo S Bergo
- Superintendência de Controle de Endemias, Secretaria de Estado da Saúde de São Paulo, Araraquara, SP, Brazil
| | - Gabriel Z Laporta
- Setor de Pós-graduação, Pesquisa e Inovação, Faculdade de Medicina do ABC, Santo André, SP, Brazil
| | - Leonardo S M Chaves
- Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | | | - Tatiane M P de Oliveira
- Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | | | - Gilberto Moresco
- Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde, Departamento de Vigilância das Doenças Transmissíveis, Ministério da Saúde, Brasília, DF, Brazil
| | - Lêuda Olívêr
- Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Claudio J Struchiner
- Departamento de Doenças Endêmicas Samuel Pessoa, Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
| | - Laith Yakob
- Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Eduardo Massad
- Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.,Escola de Matemática Aplicada, Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
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14
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Ng'habi K, Viana M, Matthiopoulos J, Lyimo I, Killeen G, Ferguson HM. Mesocosm experiments reveal the impact of mosquito control measures on malaria vector life history and population dynamics. Sci Rep 2018; 8:13949. [PMID: 30224714 PMCID: PMC6141522 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-31805-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2018] [Accepted: 08/24/2018] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
The impact of control measures on mosquito vector fitness and demography is usually estimated from bioassays or indirect variables in the field. Whilst indicative, neither approach is sufficient to quantify the potentially complex response of mosquito populations to combined interventions. Here, large replicated mesocosms were used to measure the population-level response of the malaria vector Anopheles arabiensis to long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) when used in isolation, or combined with insecticidal eave louvers (EL), or treatment of cattle with the endectocide Ivermectin (IM). State-space models (SSM) were fit to these experimental data, revealing that LLIN introduction reduced adult mosquito survival by 91% but allowed population persistence. ELs provided no additional benefit, but IM reduced mosquito fecundity by 59% and nearly eliminated all populations when combined with LLINs. This highlights the value of IM for integrated vector control, and mesocosm population experiments combined with SSM for identifying optimal combinations for vector population elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kija Ng'habi
- Ifakara Health Institute, Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences, Ifakara, United Republic of Tanzania
- School of Health Sciences, University of Dar es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Mafalda Viana
- Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, United Kingdom
| | - Jason Matthiopoulos
- Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, United Kingdom
| | - Issa Lyimo
- Ifakara Health Institute, Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences, Ifakara, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Gerry Killeen
- Ifakara Health Institute, Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences, Ifakara, United Republic of Tanzania
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Department of Vector Biology, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Heather M Ferguson
- Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, United Kingdom.
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15
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Tesla B, Demakovsky LR, Mordecai EA, Ryan SJ, Bonds MH, Ngonghala CN, Brindley MA, Murdock CC. Temperature drives Zika virus transmission: evidence from empirical and mathematical models. Proc Biol Sci 2018; 285:20180795. [PMID: 30111605 PMCID: PMC6111177 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2018.0795] [Citation(s) in RCA: 97] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2018] [Accepted: 07/23/2018] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Temperature is a strong driver of vector-borne disease transmission. Yet, for emerging arboviruses we lack fundamental knowledge on the relationship between transmission and temperature. Current models rely on the untested assumption that Zika virus responds similarly to dengue virus, potentially limiting our ability to accurately predict the spread of Zika. We conducted experiments to estimate the thermal performance of Zika virus (ZIKV) in field-derived Aedes aegypti across eight constant temperatures. We observed strong, unimodal effects of temperature on vector competence, extrinsic incubation period and mosquito survival. We used thermal responses of these traits to update an existing temperature-dependent model to infer temperature effects on ZIKV transmission. ZIKV transmission was optimized at 29°C, and had a thermal range of 22.7°C-34.7°C. Thus, as temperatures move towards the predicted thermal optimum (29°C) owing to climate change, urbanization or seasonality, Zika could expand north and into longer seasons. By contrast, areas that are near the thermal optimum were predicted to experience a decrease in overall environmental suitability. We also demonstrate that the predicted thermal minimum for Zika transmission is 5°C warmer than that of dengue, and current global estimates on the environmental suitability for Zika are greatly over-predicting its possible range.
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Affiliation(s)
- Blanka Tesla
- Department of Infectious Diseases, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Center for Tropical and Emerging Global Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
| | - Leah R Demakovsky
- Department of Infectious Diseases, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
| | | | - Sadie J Ryan
- Quantitative Disease Ecology and Conservation Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
- College of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Matthew H Bonds
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | | | - Melinda A Brindley
- Department of Infectious Diseases, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Department of Population Health, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Center for Vaccines and Immunology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
| | - Courtney C Murdock
- Department of Infectious Diseases, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Center for Tropical and Emerging Global Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Center for Vaccines and Immunology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- Center of Ecology of Infectious Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
- River Basin Center, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
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16
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Abstract
This paper summarises key advances and priorities since the 2011 presentation of the Malaria Eradication Research Agenda (malERA), with a focus on the combinations of intervention tools and strategies for elimination and their evaluation using modelling approaches. With an increasing number of countries embarking on malaria elimination programmes, national and local decisions to select combinations of tools and deployment strategies directed at malaria elimination must address rapidly changing transmission patterns across diverse geographic areas. However, not all of these approaches can be systematically evaluated in the field. Thus, there is potential for modelling to investigate appropriate 'packages' of combined interventions that include various forms of vector control, case management, surveillance, and population-based approaches for different settings, particularly at lower transmission levels. Modelling can help prioritise which intervention packages should be tested in field studies, suggest which intervention package should be used at a particular level or stratum of transmission intensity, estimate the risk of resurgence when scaling down specific interventions after local transmission is interrupted, and evaluate the risk and impact of parasite drug resistance and vector insecticide resistance. However, modelling intervention package deployment against a heterogeneous transmission background is a challenge. Further validation of malaria models should be pursued through an iterative process, whereby field data collected with the deployment of intervention packages is used to refine models and make them progressively more relevant for assessing and predicting elimination outcomes.
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17
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Soma DD, Maïga H, Mamai W, Bimbile-Somda NS, Venter N, Ali AB, Yamada H, Diabaté A, Fournet F, Ouédraogo GA, Lees RS, Dabiré RK, Gilles JRL. Does mosquito mass-rearing produce an inferior mosquito? Malar J 2017; 16:357. [PMID: 28882146 PMCID: PMC5590130 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-017-2012-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2017] [Accepted: 09/04/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The success of the sterile insect technique depends, among other things, on continuous releases of sexually competitive sterile males within the target area. Several factors (including high rearing density and physical manipulation, such as larvae and pupae separation) can influence the quality of males produced in mass-rearing facilities. The different steps in mass production in the laboratory may modify the behaviour of mosquitoes, directly or through loss of natural characters as a result of adaptation to lab rearing, and lead to the competitiveness of sterile male being reduced. In the present study, the objective was to evaluate the effect of mass-rearing conditions on sterile male sexual competitiveness in semi-field cages compared to routine small scale laboratory rearing methods. METHODS Anopheles arabiensis immature stages were reared both on a large scale using a rack and tray system developed by the FAO/IAEA (MRS), and on a small scale using standard laboratory rearing trays (SRS). Mosquito life history traits such as pupation rate, emergence rate, adult size as well as the effect of irradiation on adult longevity were evaluated. Moreover, 5-6 day old mosquitoes were released into field cages and left for two nights to mate and the mating competitiveness between sterile mass-reared males and fertile males reared on a small scale when competing for small scale reared virgin females was investigated. Resulting fertility in a treatment ratio of 1:1:1 (100 irradiated males: 100 non-irradiated males: 100 virgin females) was compared to control cages with 0:100:100 (non-irradiated control) and 100:0:100 (irradiated control). RESULTS No significant differences in life history parameters were observed between rearing methods. The competitiveness index of mass reared males (0.58) was similar to males reared on a small scale (0.59). A residual fertility rate of 20% was observed in the irradiated control (100:0:100), measured as the percentage of eggs collected from the cages which developed to adulthood. No significant difference was observed (t = 0.2896, df = 4, P = 0.7865) between the rearing treatments (MRS and SRS) in the fertility rate, a measure of mating competitiveness. CONCLUSIONS The results showed that the FAO/IAEA mass-rearing process did not affect mosquito life history parameters or the mating competitiveness of males.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dieudonné D Soma
- Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé/Centre Muraz, BP 545, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso. .,Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria. .,Université Nazi Boni, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.
| | - Hamidou Maïga
- Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé/Centre Muraz, BP 545, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.,Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria
| | - Wadaka Mamai
- Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria.,Institut de Recherche Agricole pour le Développement (IRAD), Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Nanwintoun S Bimbile-Somda
- Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé/Centre Muraz, BP 545, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.,Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria
| | - Nelius Venter
- Vector Control Reference Laboratory, Centre for Opportunistic, Tropical & Hospital Infections, National Institute for Communicable Diseases / Wits Research Institute for Malaria, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Adel B Ali
- Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria
| | - Hanano Yamada
- Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria
| | - Abdoulaye Diabaté
- Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé/Centre Muraz, BP 545, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
| | - Florence Fournet
- Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), MIVEGEC, BP 64501, 34394, Montpellier Cedex 5, France
| | | | - Rosemary S Lees
- Liverpool Insect Testing Establishment (LITE), Vector Biology Department, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, UK
| | - Roch K Dabiré
- Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé/Centre Muraz, BP 545, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
| | - Jeremie R L Gilles
- Insect Pest Control Laboratory, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Vienna, Austria.
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18
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Villela DAM, Garcia GDA, Maciel-de-Freitas R. Novel inference models for estimation of abundance, survivorship and recruitment in mosquito populations using mark-release-recapture data. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2017. [PMID: 28650962 PMCID: PMC5501687 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Experiments involving mosquito mark-release-recapture (MRR) design are helpful to determine abundance, survival and even recruitment of mosquito populations in the field. Obstacles in mosquito MRR protocols include marking limitations due to small individual size, short lifespan, low efficiency in capturing devices such as traps, and individual removal upon capture. These limitations usually make MRR analysis restricted to only abundance estimation or a combination of abundance and survivorship, and often generate a great degree of uncertainty about the estimations. Methodology/Principal findings We present a set of Bayesian biodemographic models designed to fit data from most common mosquito recapture experiments. Using both field data and simulations, we consider model features such as capture efficiency, survival rates, removal of individuals due to capturing, and collection of pupae. These models permit estimation of abundance, survivorship of both marked and unmarked mosquitoes, if different, and recruitment rate. We analyze the accuracy of estimates by varying the number of released individuals, abundance, survivorship, and capture efficiency in multiple simulations. These methods can stand capture efficiencies as low as usually reported but their accuracy depends on the number of released mosquitoes, abundance and survivorship. We also show that gathering pupal counts allows estimating differences in survivorship between released mosquitoes and the unmarked population. Conclusion/Significance These models are important both to reduce uncertainty in evaluating MMR experiments and also to help planning future MRR studies. Mosquito-borne diseases such as dengue and malaria impose a global burden with recurrent outbreaks. Recently, emergence of arboviral diseases caused by Zika and chikungunya viruses has also become a global concern. Knowledge about the ecology of mosquito populations under natural conditions may provide significant aid to help designing more effective vector control strategies. Quantitative metrics such as the abundance of mosquito populations are difficult to be measured in the field without resorting to experiments with markers. There are, however, limitations to these kinds of experiments such as short mosquito lifespan, marking limitations due to small body size, low efficiency in capturing devices such as traps, and once-only individual capture. Due to these limitations most methods estimate either only abundance or a combination of abundance and survivorship. In this work, we present statistical methods designed to estimate abundance, survivorship and recruitment using inference models and information such as counts of pupae. Results indicate that having low capture efficiencies as often observed in field assays still permits good estimation. Also, low number of released mosquitoes compromise density and survival estimations. We expect these methods to be helpful to people collecting mosquito field data and for health analysts to evaluate possible outcomes of control interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Gabriela de Azambuja Garcia
- Laboratório de Transmissão de Hematozoários, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Rafael Maciel-de-Freitas
- Laboratório de Transmissão de Hematozoários, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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19
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Reza M, Ilmiawati C, Matsuoka H. Application of copper-based ovitraps in local houses in West Sumatra, Indonesia: a field test of a simple and affordable larvicide for mosquito control. Trop Med Health 2016; 44:11. [PMID: 27433130 PMCID: PMC4940706 DOI: 10.1186/s41182-016-0007-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2015] [Accepted: 02/04/2016] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The application of oviposition traps (ovitraps) is one of the currently available rational methods used in mosquito control campaigns because it eliminates the larval stage. However, the use of current larvicides is hampered by their cost and applicability. Therefore, a more economical and practical alternative is urgently needed. We previously reported that copper in liquid form is a promising candidate due to its potent larvicide properties in a laboratory setting, affordability, and availability. Methods In the present study, a field test was performed by randomly placing copper-filled plastic pots with a concentration of 10 ppm in 21 local houses in Painan City, West Sumatra, Indonesia. Three of these pots including a control were placed inside, while another two were placed outside each of the houses. Results After 14 days, a large number of dead first and second instar larvae of Aedes spp. were observed in the copper-filled pots. Larvae in the control pots were all viable and thriving. Unhatched eggs and pupae were detected in several pots in the copper-treated group but were excluded from the analysis. Conclusions Our field data confirmed that copper is a potential larvicide for ovitraps, particularly in under-resourced areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohamad Reza
- Department of Biology, Faculty of Medicine, Andalas University, West Sumatra, Indonesia
| | - Cimi Ilmiawati
- Department of Pharmacology, Faculty of Medicine, Andalas University, West Sumatra, Indonesia
| | - Hiroyuki Matsuoka
- Division of Medical Zoology, Jichi Medical University, 1311-1 Yakushiji, Shimotsuke-shi, 329-0498 Japan
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20
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Massey NC, Garrod G, Wiebe A, Henry AJ, Huang Z, Moyes CL, Sinka ME. A global bionomic database for the dominant vectors of human malaria. Sci Data 2016; 3:160014. [PMID: 26927852 PMCID: PMC4772652 DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2016.14] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2015] [Accepted: 01/26/2016] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Anopheles mosquitoes were first recognised as the transmitters of human malaria in the late 19th Century and have been subject to a huge amount of research ever since. Yet there is still much that is unknown regarding the ecology, behaviour (collectively 'bionomics') and sometimes even the identity of many of the world's most prominent disease vectors, much less the within-species variation in their bionomics. Whilst malaria elimination remains an ambitious goal, it is becoming increasingly clear that knowledge of vector behaviour is needed to effectively target control measures. A database of bionomics data for the dominant vector species of malaria worldwide has been compiled from published peer-reviewed literature. The data identification and collation processes are described, together with the geo-positioning and quality control methods. This is the only such dataset in existence and provides a valuable resource to researchers and policy makers in this field.
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Affiliation(s)
- N Claire Massey
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7BN, UK
| | - Gala Garrod
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7BN, UK
| | - Antoinette Wiebe
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7BN, UK
| | - Andrew J Henry
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3PS, UK
| | - Zhi Huang
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3PS, UK
| | - Catherine L Moyes
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7BN, UK
| | - Marianne E Sinka
- Spatial Ecology &Epidemiology Group, Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7BN, UK
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21
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Brady OJ, Godfray HCJ, Tatem AJ, Gething PW, Cohen JM, McKenzie FE, Perkins TA, Reiner RC, Tusting LS, Sinka ME, Moyes CL, Eckhoff PA, Scott TW, Lindsay SW, Hay SI, Smith DL. Vectorial capacity and vector control: reconsidering sensitivity to parameters for malaria elimination. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 2016; 110:107-17. [PMID: 26822603 PMCID: PMC4731004 DOI: 10.1093/trstmh/trv113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 109] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Major gains have been made in reducing malaria transmission in many parts of the world, principally by scaling-up coverage with long-lasting insecticidal nets and indoor residual spraying. Historically, choice of vector control intervention has been largely guided by a parameter sensitivity analysis of George Macdonald's theory of vectorial capacity that suggested prioritizing methods that kill adult mosquitoes. While this advice has been highly successful for transmission suppression, there is a need to revisit these arguments as policymakers in certain areas consider which combinations of interventions are required to eliminate malaria. METHODS AND RESULTS Using analytical solutions to updated equations for vectorial capacity we build on previous work to show that, while adult killing methods can be highly effective under many circumstances, other vector control methods are frequently required to fill effective coverage gaps. These can arise due to pre-existing or developing mosquito physiological and behavioral refractoriness but also due to additive changes in the relative importance of different vector species for transmission. Furthermore, the optimal combination of interventions will depend on the operational constraints and costs associated with reaching high coverage levels with each intervention. CONCLUSIONS Reaching specific policy goals, such as elimination, in defined contexts requires increasingly non-generic advice from modelling. Our results emphasize the importance of measuring baseline epidemiology, intervention coverage, vector ecology and program operational constraints in predicting expected outcomes with different combinations of interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oliver J Brady
- The Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Andrew J Tatem
- Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Flowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Peter W Gething
- Spatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, Department of Zoology, Oxford University, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | - T Alex Perkins
- Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Department of Biological Sciences & Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA
| | - Robert C Reiner
- Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA
| | - Lucy S Tusting
- Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Marianne E Sinka
- The Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Catherine L Moyes
- The Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Thomas W Scott
- Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Department of Entomology and Nematology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA
| | - Steven W Lindsay
- School of Biological & Biomedical Sciences, Durham University, Durham, UK
| | - Simon I Hay
- The Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - David L Smith
- Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA Sanaria Institute for Global Health and Tropical Medicine, Rockville, MD, USA
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22
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St Laurent B, Cooke M, Krishnankutty SM, Asih P, Mueller JD, Kahindi S, Ayoma E, Oriango RM, Thumloup J, Drakeley C, Cox J, Collins FH, Lobo NF, Stevenson JC. Molecular Characterization Reveals Diverse and Unknown Malaria Vectors in the Western Kenyan Highlands. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2016; 94:327-35. [PMID: 26787150 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0562] [Citation(s) in RCA: 54] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2015] [Accepted: 11/03/2015] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
The success of mosquito-based malaria control is dependent upon susceptible bionomic traits in local malaria vectors. It is crucial to have accurate and reliable methods to determine mosquito species composition in areas subject to malaria. An unexpectedly diverse set of Anopheles species was collected in the western Kenyan highlands, including unidentified and potentially new species carrying the malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum. This study identified 2,340 anopheline specimens using both ribosomal DNA internal transcribed spacer region 2 and mitochondrial DNA cytochrome oxidase subunit 1 loci. Seventeen distinct sequence groups were identified. Of these, only eight could be molecularly identified through comparison to published and voucher sequences. Of the unidentified species, four were found to carry P. falciparum by circumsporozoite enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and polymerase chain reaction, the most abundant of which had infection rates comparable to a primary vector in the area, Anopheles funestus. High-quality adult specimens of these unidentified species could not be matched to museum voucher specimens or conclusively identified using multiple keys, suggesting that they may have not been previously described. These unidentified vectors were captured outdoors. Diverse and unknown species have been incriminated in malaria transmission in the western Kenya highlands using molecular identification of unusual morphological variants of field specimens. This study demonstrates the value of using molecular methods to compliment vector identifications and highlights the need for accurate characterization of mosquito species and their associated behaviors for effective malaria control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brandyce St Laurent
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Mary Cooke
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Sindhu M Krishnankutty
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Puji Asih
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - John D Mueller
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Samuel Kahindi
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Elizabeth Ayoma
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Robin M Oriango
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Julie Thumloup
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Chris Drakeley
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Jonathan Cox
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Frank H Collins
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Neil F Lobo
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Jennifer C Stevenson
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana; Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya; Western Triangle Research Center, Montana State University, Conrad, Montana; Johns Hopkins Malaria Research Institute, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
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23
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Andrew J Tatem
- Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda MD, USA Flowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden
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24
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Eckhoff PA, Bever CA, Gerardin J, Wenger EA, Smith DL. From puddles to planet: modeling approaches to vector-borne diseases at varying resolution and scale. CURRENT OPINION IN INSECT SCIENCE 2015; 10:118-123. [PMID: 29587999 DOI: 10.1016/j.cois.2015.05.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2015] [Revised: 04/27/2015] [Accepted: 05/04/2015] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
Since the original Ross-Macdonald formulations of vector-borne disease transmission, there has been a broad proliferation of mathematical models of vector-borne disease, but many of these models retain most to all of the simplifying assumptions of the original formulations. Recently, there has been a new expansion of mathematical frameworks that contain explicit representations of the vector life cycle including aquatic stages, multiple vector species, host heterogeneity in biting rate, realistic vector feeding behavior, and spatial heterogeneity. In particular, there are now multiple frameworks for spatially explicit dynamics with movements of vector, host, or both. These frameworks are flexible and powerful, but require additional data to take advantage of these features. For a given question posed, utilizing a range of models with varying complexity and assumptions can provide a deeper understanding of the answers derived from models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Philip A Eckhoff
- Institute for Disease Modeling, 1555 132nd Ave NE, Bellevue, WA 98005, USA.
| | - Caitlin A Bever
- Institute for Disease Modeling, 1555 132nd Ave NE, Bellevue, WA 98005, USA
| | - Jaline Gerardin
- Institute for Disease Modeling, 1555 132nd Ave NE, Bellevue, WA 98005, USA
| | - Edward A Wenger
- Institute for Disease Modeling, 1555 132nd Ave NE, Bellevue, WA 98005, USA
| | - David L Smith
- Spatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK; Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA
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25
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Kiware SS, Corliss G, Merrill S, Lwetoijera DW, Devine G, Majambere S, Killeen GF. Predicting Scenarios for Successful Autodissemination of Pyriproxyfen by Malaria Vectors from Their Resting Sites to Aquatic Habitats; Description and Simulation Analysis of a Field-Parameterizable Model. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0131835. [PMID: 26186730 PMCID: PMC4505906 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0131835] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2014] [Accepted: 06/07/2015] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Large-cage experiments indicate pyriproxifen (PPF) can be transferred from resting sites to aquatic habitats by Anopheles arabiensis--malaria vector mosquitoes to inhibit emergence of their own offspring. PPF coverage is amplified twice: (1) partial coverage of resting sites with PPF contamination results in far higher contamination coverage of adult mosquitoes because they are mobile and use numerous resting sites per gonotrophic cycle, and (2) even greater contamination coverage of aquatic habitats results from accumulation of PPF from multiple oviposition events. METHODS AND FINDINGS Deterministic mathematical models are described that use only field-measurable input parameters and capture the biological processes that mediate PPF autodissemination. Recent successes in large cages can be rationalized, and the plausibility of success under full field conditions can be evaluated a priori. The model also defines measurable properties of PPF delivery prototypes that may be optimized under controlled experimental conditions to maximize chances of success in full field trials. The most obvious flaw in this model is the endogenous relationship that inevitably occurs between the larval habitat coverage and the measured rate of oviposition into those habitats if the target mosquito species is used to mediate PPF transfer. However, this inconsistency also illustrates the potential advantages of using a different, non-target mosquito species for contamination at selected resting sites that shares the same aquatic habitats as the primary target. For autodissemination interventions to eliminate malaria transmission or vector populations during the dry season window of opportunity will require comprehensive contamination of the most challenging subset of aquatic habitats [Formula: see text] that persist or retain PPF activity (Ux) for only one week [Formula: see text], where Ux = 7 days). To achieve >99% contamination coverage of these habitats will necessitate values for the product of the proportional coverage of the ovipositing mosquito population with PPF contamination (CM) by the ovitrap-detectable rates of oviposition by wild mosquitoes into this subset of habitats [Formula: see text], divided by the titre of contaminated mosquitoes required to render them unproductive [Formula: see text], that approximately approach unity [Formula: see text]. CONCLUSIONS The simple multiplicative relationship between CM and [Formula: see text], and the simple exponential decay effect they have upon uncontaminated aquatic habitats, allows application of this model by theoreticians and field biologists alike.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samson S. Kiware
- Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences Thematic Group, Ifakara |Health Institute, P.O. Box 53, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI, 53201–1881, United States of America
| | - George Corliss
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI, 53201–1881, United States of America
| | - Stephen Merrill
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI, 53201–1881, United States of America
| | - Dickson W. Lwetoijera
- Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences Thematic Group, Ifakara |Health Institute, P.O. Box 53, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Vector Biology Department, Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, United Kingdom
| | - Gregor Devine
- QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Silas Majambere
- Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences Thematic Group, Ifakara |Health Institute, P.O. Box 53, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Vector Biology Department, Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, United Kingdom
| | - Gerry F. Killeen
- Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences Thematic Group, Ifakara |Health Institute, P.O. Box 53, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Vector Biology Department, Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, United Kingdom
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