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Yang AW, Leng M, Arbanas JC, Tseng CH, Fendrick AM, Sarkisian C, Damberg CL, Harawa NT, Mafi JN. Trends in antipsychotic prescribing among community-dwelling older adults with dementia, 2010-2018. HEALTH AFFAIRS SCHOLAR 2025; 3:qxaf021. [PMID: 40040648 PMCID: PMC11878382 DOI: 10.1093/haschl/qxaf021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2024] [Revised: 01/21/2025] [Accepted: 02/08/2025] [Indexed: 03/06/2025]
Abstract
Due to an FDA "black box" warning for heightened risk of death, Choosing Wisely (CW) recommends avoiding antipsychotic prescription drugs as first-line treatment for dementia-related agitation. Yet, post-CW trends among community-dwelling patients with dementia remain unknown. In this retrospective cohort study, we used nationally representative Health and Retirement Study survey data linked to Medicare fee-for-service claims (January 1, 2010-December 31, 2018) to analyze prescribing trends during the pre-publication (2010-2012), publication (2013-2015), and post-publication (2016-2018) periods of CW recommendations. We included community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years with dementia. We utilized multivariable mixed regression models to determine the percentage of patients prescribed any, potentially low-value, and potentially indicated antipsychotics. Among an estimated 2.4-2.7 million patients with dementia, any antipsychotic prescribing increased from 9.4% (95% CI, 6.4%-12.3%) during the pre-publication period (2010-2012) to 15.8% (95% CI, 12.8%-18.8%) (P < 0.001) during the publication period (2013-2015). Potentially low-value and potentially indicated prescriptions also increased. Post-publication period (2016-2018) prescribing of 16.0% (95% CI, 13.0%-19.1%) (P < 0.001) remained higher than pre-publication. Among older Americans with dementia, antipsychotic prescriptions increased after the publication of CW recommendations and held steady in the subsequent post-publication period. Stronger interventions, such as electronic clinical decision support tools and financial incentives, are needed to curb low-value antipsychotic prescribing for this vulnerable population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Annie W Yang
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
| | - Mei Leng
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
| | - Julia Cave Arbanas
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
| | - Chi-Hong Tseng
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
| | - A Mark Fendrick
- Internal Medicine, Health Management and Policy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
| | - Catherine Sarkisian
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
- Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System Geriatrics Research Education and Clinical Center (GRECC), Los Angeles, CA 90073, USA
| | | | - Nina T Harawa
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
| | - John N Mafi
- Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA
- RAND Health, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA
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Erickson CM, Largent EA, O'Brien KS. Paving the way for Alzheimer's disease blood-based biomarkers in primary care. Alzheimers Dement 2025; 21:e14203. [PMID: 39740121 PMCID: PMC11772723 DOI: 10.1002/alz.14203] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2024] [Revised: 06/18/2024] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 01/02/2025]
Abstract
Blood-based biomarkers (BBBMs) for Alzheimer's disease (AD) have the potential to revolutionize the detection and management of cognitive impairment. AD BBBMs are not currently recommended for use in primary care but may soon be as research demonstrates their clinical utility for differential diagnosis and patient management. To prepare for the incorporation of AD BBBMs into primary care, several practical challenges must be addressed. Here, we describe four immediate challenges: (1) preparing primary care providers to order and disclose AD BBBMs, (2) expanding the dementia-capable workforce, (3) ensuring equitable uptake of AD BBBM testing, and (4) securing access to AD treatment. We conclude by discussing future directions and challenges for use of AD BBBMs in primary care, including screening for preclinical AD and dementia detection algorithms. HIGHLIGHTS: Alzheimer's disease (AD) blood-based biomarkers (BBBMs) may be well suited for primary care. Many changes are needed to prepare the workforce and ensure patient access. Paving the way for AD BBBMs in primary care will require a multi-pronged approach.
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Affiliation(s)
- Claire M. Erickson
- Department of Medical Ethics and Health PolicyUniversity of Pennsylvania Perelman School of MedicinePhiladelphiaPennsylvaniaUSA
| | - Emily A. Largent
- Department of Medical Ethics and Health PolicyUniversity of Pennsylvania Perelman School of MedicinePhiladelphiaPennsylvaniaUSA
| | - Kyra S. O'Brien
- Department of NeurologyUniversity of Pennsylvania Perelman School of MedicinePhiladelphiaPennsylvaniaUSA
- Leonard Davis Institute of Health EconomicsUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPennsylvaniaUSA
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Kashyap B, Crouse B, Fields B, Aguirre A, Ali T, Hays R, Li X, Shapiro LN, Tao MH, Vaughn IA, Hanson LR. How Do Researchers Identify and Recruit Dementia Caregivers? A Scoping Review. THE GERONTOLOGIST 2024; 65:gnae189. [PMID: 39693374 PMCID: PMC11795194 DOI: 10.1093/geront/gnae189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2024] [Indexed: 12/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Studies involving dementia caregivers are essential to transform care and inform new policies. However, identifying and recruiting this population for research is an ongoing challenge. This scoping review aimed to capture the current methodology for identifying and recruiting dementia caregivers in clinical studies. A focus was placed on methods for underrepresented populations and pragmatic trials to guide pragmatic and equitable clinical studies. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Researchers conducted a literature search using PubMed, PsycINFO, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases. Studies conducted in the US that enrolled at least 10 caregivers and were published within the last 10 years (2013-2023) were included. RESULTS Overall, 148 articles were included in the review. The most common method for identification was community outreach, and paper advertisements for recruitment. Caregivers were most often approached in community settings, formal organizations, and/or dementia research centers. Most enrolled caregivers were female, White, and spouses of persons living with dementia. Race and ethnicity were underreported, as were the target recruitment goals. Limited studies were self-reported as pragmatic. Additionally, limited studies reported adaptations for methods of identification and recruitment in underrepresented populations. DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS We identified gaps in current practices for the identification and recruitment of dementia caregivers. Future identification and recruitment methodologies should be tailored to the intervention's intent, health care setting, and the research questions that need to be answered, while balancing available resources. Additionally, transparent reporting of identification and recruitment procedures, target recruitment goals, and comprehensive demographic data is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Beth Fields
- Department of Kinesiology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Alyssa Aguirre
- Department of Neurology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
- Steve Hicks School of Social Work, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
| | - Talha Ali
- Department of Community Health, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Rachel Hays
- Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Xiaojuan Li
- Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School & Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Lily N Shapiro
- Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Meng-Hua Tao
- Henry Ford Health + Michigan State University Health Sciences, Detroit, Michigan, USA
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Henry Ford Health, Detroit, Michigan, USA
| | - Ivana A Vaughn
- Henry Ford Health + Michigan State University Health Sciences, Detroit, Michigan, USA
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Henry Ford Health, Detroit, Michigan, USA
| | - Leah R Hanson
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, USA
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Tsai H, Yang TW, Ou KH, Su TH, Lin C, Chou CF. Multimodal Attention Network for Dementia Prediction. IEEE J Biomed Health Inform 2024; 28:6918-6930. [PMID: 39106146 DOI: 10.1109/jbhi.2024.3438885] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/09/2024]
Abstract
The early identification of an individual's dementia risk is crucial for disease prevention and the design of insurance products in an aging society. This study aims to accurately predict the future incidence risk of dementia in individuals by leveraging the advantages of neural networks. This is, however, complicated by the high dimensionality and sparsity of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes when utilizing data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance, which includes individual profiles and medical records. Inspired by the click-through rate (CTR) problem in recommendation systems, where future user behavior is predicted based on their past consumption records, we address these challenges with a multimodal attention network for dementia (MAND), which incorporates an ICD code embedding layer and multihead self-attention to encode ICD codes and capture interactions among diseases. Additionally, we investigate the applicability of several CTR methods to the dementia prediction problem. MAND achieves an AUC of 0.9010, surpassing traditional CTR models and demonstrating its effectiveness. The highly flexible pipelined design allows for module replacement to meet specific requirements. Furthermore, the analysis of attention scores reveals diseases highly correlated with dementia, aligning with prior research and emphasizing the interpretability of the model. This research deepens our understanding of the diseases associated with dementia, and the accurate prediction provided can serve as an early warning for dementia occurrence, aiding in its prevention.
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Vassilaki M, George RJ, Kumar R, Lovering E, Achenbach SJ, Bielinski SJ, Sauver JS, Davis JM, Crowson CS, Myasoedova E. Validation of Different Dementia Code-Based Definitions in a Population-Based Study of Rheumatoid Arthritis. J Rheumatol 2024; 51:978-984. [PMID: 38950951 PMCID: PMC11444897 DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.2024-0299] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/18/2024] [Indexed: 07/03/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has been associated with an elevated dementia risk. This study aimed to examine how different diagnostic dementia definitions perform in patients with RA compared to individuals without RA. METHODS The study population included 2050 individuals (1025 with RA) from a retrospective, population-based cohort in southern Minnesota and compared the performance of 3 code-based dementia diagnostic algorithms with medical record review diagnosis of dementia. For the overall comparison, each patient's complete medical history was used, with no time frames. Sensitivity analyses were performed using 1-, 2-, and 5-year windows around the date that dementia was identified in the medical record (reference standard). RESULTS Algorithms performed very similarly in persons with and without RA. The algorithms generally had high specificity, negative predictive values, and accuracy, regardless of the time window studied (> 88%). Sensitivity and positive predictive values varied depending on the algorithm and the time window. Sensitivity values ranged 56.5-95.9%, and positive predictive values ranged 55.2-83.1%. Performance measures declined with more restrictive time windows. CONCLUSION Routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data were used to define code-based dementia diagnostic algorithms with good performance (vs diagnosis by medical record review). These results can inform future studies that use retrospective databases, especially in the same or a similar EHR infrastructure, to identify dementia in individuals with RA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Vassilaki
- M. Vassilaki, MD, PhD, S.J. Bielinski, PhD, MEd, J. St. Sauver, PhD, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic;
| | - Roslin Jose George
- R.J. George, MBBS, MPH, R. Kumar, MBBS, MD, E. Lovering, MBChB, J.M. Davis III, MD, MS, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic
| | - Rakesh Kumar
- R.J. George, MBBS, MPH, R. Kumar, MBBS, MD, E. Lovering, MBChB, J.M. Davis III, MD, MS, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic
| | - Edward Lovering
- R.J. George, MBBS, MPH, R. Kumar, MBBS, MD, E. Lovering, MBChB, J.M. Davis III, MD, MS, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic
| | - Sara J Achenbach
- S.J. Achenbach, MS, Division of Clinical Trials and Biostatistics, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic
| | - Suzette J Bielinski
- M. Vassilaki, MD, PhD, S.J. Bielinski, PhD, MEd, J. St. Sauver, PhD, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic
| | - Jennifer St Sauver
- M. Vassilaki, MD, PhD, S.J. Bielinski, PhD, MEd, J. St. Sauver, PhD, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic
| | - John M Davis
- R.J. George, MBBS, MPH, R. Kumar, MBBS, MD, E. Lovering, MBChB, J.M. Davis III, MD, MS, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic
| | - Cynthia S Crowson
- C.S. Crowson, PhD, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, and Division of Clinical Trials and Biostatistics, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic
| | - Elena Myasoedova
- E. Myasoedova, MD, PhD, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, and Division of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Sharma S, Liu J, Abramowitz AC, Geary CR, Johnston KC, Manning C, Van Horn JD, Zhou A, Anzalone AJ, Loomba J, Pfaff E, Brown D. Leveraging multi-site electronic health data for characterization of subtypes: a pilot study of dementia in the N3C Clinical Tenant. JAMIA Open 2024; 7:ooae076. [PMID: 39132679 PMCID: PMC11316614 DOI: 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooae076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2024] [Revised: 07/19/2024] [Accepted: 08/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives To provide a foundational methodology for differentiating comorbidity patterns in subphenotypes through investigation of a multi-site dementia patient dataset. Materials and Methods Employing the National Clinical Cohort Collaborative Tenant Pilot (N3C Clinical) dataset, our approach integrates machine learning algorithms-logistic regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)-with a diagnostic hierarchical model for nuanced classification of dementia subtypes based on comorbidities and gender. The methodology is enhanced by multi-site EHR data, implementing a hybrid sampling strategy combining 65% Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE), 35% Random Under-Sampling (RUS), and Tomek Links for class imbalance. The hierarchical model further refines the analysis, allowing for layered understanding of disease patterns. Results The study identified significant comorbidity patterns associated with diagnosis of Alzheimer's, Vascular, and Lewy Body dementia subtypes. The classification models achieved accuracies up to 69% for Alzheimer's/Vascular dementia and highlighted challenges in distinguishing Dementia with Lewy Bodies. The hierarchical model elucidates the complexity of diagnosing Dementia with Lewy Bodies and reveals the potential impact of regional clinical practices on dementia classification. Conclusion Our methodology underscores the importance of leveraging multi-site datasets and tailored sampling techniques for dementia research. This framework holds promise for extending to other disease subtypes, offering a pathway to more nuanced and generalizable insights into dementia and its complex interplay with comorbid conditions. Discussion This study underscores the critical role of multi-site data analyzes in understanding the relationship between comorbidities and disease subtypes. By utilizing diverse healthcare data, we emphasize the need to consider site-specific differences in clinical practices and patient demographics. Despite challenges like class imbalance and variability in EHR data, our findings highlight the essential contribution of multi-site data to developing accurate and generalizable models for disease classification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suchetha Sharma
- School of Data Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
| | - Jiebei Liu
- Department of Systems Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, United States
| | - Amy Caroline Abramowitz
- Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27514, United States
| | - Carol Reynolds Geary
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE 68198-5900, United States
| | - Karen C Johnston
- Department of Neurology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
| | - Carol Manning
- Department of Neurology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
| | - John Darrell Van Horn
- School of Data Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
| | - Andrea Zhou
- School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
| | - Alfred J Anzalone
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE 68198, United States
| | - Johanna Loomba
- School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
| | - Emily Pfaff
- Department of Medicine, North Carolina Translational and Clinical Sciences Institute, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States
| | - Don Brown
- School of Data Science, Co-Director integrated Translational Health Research Institute of Virginia (iTHRIV), University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States
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Pool J, Indulska M, Sadiq S. Large language models and generative AI in telehealth: a responsible use lens. J Am Med Inform Assoc 2024; 31:2125-2136. [PMID: 38441296 PMCID: PMC11339524 DOI: 10.1093/jamia/ocae035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2023] [Revised: 02/05/2024] [Accepted: 02/14/2024] [Indexed: 08/23/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This scoping review aims to assess the current research landscape of the application and use of large language models (LLMs) and generative Artificial Intelligence (AI), through tools such as ChatGPT in telehealth. Additionally, the review seeks to identify key areas for future research, with a particular focus on AI ethics considerations for responsible use and ensuring trustworthy AI. MATERIALS AND METHODS Following the scoping review methodological framework, a search strategy was conducted across 6 databases. To structure our review, we employed AI ethics guidelines and principles, constructing a concept matrix for investigating the responsible use of AI in telehealth. Using the concept matrix in our review enabled the identification of gaps in the literature and informed future research directions. RESULTS Twenty studies were included in the review. Among the included studies, 5 were empirical, and 15 were reviews and perspectives focusing on different telehealth applications and healthcare contexts. Benefit and reliability concepts were frequently discussed in these studies. Privacy, security, and accountability were peripheral themes, with transparency, explainability, human agency, and contestability lacking conceptual or empirical exploration. CONCLUSION The findings emphasized the potential of LLMs, especially ChatGPT, in telehealth. They provide insights into understanding the use of LLMs, enhancing telehealth services, and taking ethical considerations into account. By proposing three future research directions with a focus on responsible use, this review further contributes to the advancement of this emerging phenomenon of healthcare AI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Javad Pool
- ARC Industrial Transformation Training Centre for Information Resilience (CIRES), The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia
- School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia
| | - Marta Indulska
- ARC Industrial Transformation Training Centre for Information Resilience (CIRES), The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia
- Business School, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia
| | - Shazia Sadiq
- ARC Industrial Transformation Training Centre for Information Resilience (CIRES), The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia
- School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia
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Mutlay F, Cam Mahser A, Soylemez BA, Ates Bulut E, Petek K, Ontan MS, Kaya D, Guney S, Isik AT. Validity and reliability of the Turkish version of the Australian National University-Alzheimer's Disease Risk Index (ANU-ADRI). APPLIED NEUROPSYCHOLOGY. ADULT 2024:1-6. [PMID: 38917223 DOI: 10.1080/23279095.2024.2369657] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/27/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There is still a requirement for concise, practical scales that can be readily incorporated into everyday schedules and predict the likelihood of dementia onset in individuals without dementia. This study aimed to assess the reliability of the ANU-ADRI (Australian National University Alzheimer's Disease Risk Index)-Short Form in Turkish geriatric patients. METHODS This methodological study involved 339 elderly patients attending the geriatric outpatient clinic for various reasons. The known-group validity and divergent validity were assessed. The ANU-ADRI was administered during the baseline test and again within one week for retest purposes. Alongside the ANU-ADRI, all participants underwent a comprehensive geriatric assessment, including Activities of Daily Living (ADL), mobility assessment (Performance-Oriented Mobility Assessment (POMA) and Timed Up and Go Test), nutritional assessment (Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA)), and global cognition evaluation (Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE)). RESULTS The scale demonstrated satisfactory linguistic validity. A correlation was observed between the mean scores of the ANU-ADRI test and retest (r = 0.997, p < 0.001). Additionally, there existed a moderate negative linear association between the ANU-ADRI and MMSE scores (r = -0.310, p < 0.001), POMA (r = -0.406, p < 0.001), Basic ADL (r = -0.359, p < 0.001), and Instrumental ADL (r = -0.294, p < 0.001). Moreover, a moderate positive linear association was found between the ANU-ADRI and the Timed Up and Go Test duration (r = 0.538, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION The ANU-ADRI-Short Form was proved as a valuable tool for clinical practice, facilitating the assessment of Alzheimer's disease risk within the Turkish geriatric population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feyza Mutlay
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Van Research and Training Hospital, Van, Turkey
| | - Alev Cam Mahser
- Unit for Aging Brain and Dementia, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Burcu Akpinar Soylemez
- Department of Internal Medicine Nursing, Faculty of Nursing, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Esra Ates Bulut
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Adana City Research and Training Hospital, Adana, Turkey
| | - Kadriye Petek
- Unit for Aging Brain and Dementia, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Mehmet Selman Ontan
- Unit for Aging Brain and Dementia, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Derya Kaya
- Unit for Aging Brain and Dementia, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Seda Guney
- Faculty of Nursing, Koç University, Health Sciences Campus, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Ahmet Turan Isik
- Unit for Aging Brain and Dementia, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
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Tang AS, Rankin KP, Cerono G, Miramontes S, Mills H, Roger J, Zeng B, Nelson C, Soman K, Woldemariam S, Li Y, Lee A, Bove R, Glymour M, Aghaeepour N, Oskotsky TT, Miller Z, Allen IE, Sanders SJ, Baranzini S, Sirota M. Leveraging electronic health records and knowledge networks for Alzheimer's disease prediction and sex-specific biological insights. NATURE AGING 2024; 4:379-395. [PMID: 38383858 PMCID: PMC10950787 DOI: 10.1038/s43587-024-00573-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2023] [Accepted: 01/19/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
Identification of Alzheimer's disease (AD) onset risk can facilitate interventions before irreversible disease progression. We demonstrate that electronic health records from the University of California, San Francisco, followed by knowledge networks (for example, SPOKE) allow for (1) prediction of AD onset and (2) prioritization of biological hypotheses, and (3) contextualization of sex dimorphism. We trained random forest models and predicted AD onset on a cohort of 749 individuals with AD and 250,545 controls with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.72 (7 years prior) to 0.81 (1 day prior). We further harnessed matched cohort models to identify conditions with predictive power before AD onset. Knowledge networks highlight shared genes between multiple top predictors and AD (for example, APOE, ACTB, IL6 and INS). Genetic colocalization analysis supports AD association with hyperlipidemia at the APOE locus, as well as a stronger female AD association with osteoporosis at a locus near MS4A6A. We therefore show how clinical data can be utilized for early AD prediction and identification of personalized biological hypotheses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alice S Tang
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
- Graduate Program in Bioengineering, University of California, San Francisco and University of California, Berkeley, San Francisco and Berkeley, CA, USA.
| | - Katherine P Rankin
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Memory and Aging Center, Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Gabriel Cerono
- Weill Institute for Neuroscience. Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Silvia Miramontes
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Hunter Mills
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Jacquelyn Roger
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Billy Zeng
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Charlotte Nelson
- Weill Institute for Neuroscience. Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Karthik Soman
- Weill Institute for Neuroscience. Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Sarah Woldemariam
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Yaqiao Li
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Albert Lee
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Riley Bove
- Weill Institute for Neuroscience. Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Maria Glymour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Pain, and Perioperative Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Pain, and Perioperative Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Tomiko T Oskotsky
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Zachary Miller
- Memory and Aging Center, Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Isabel E Allen
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Stephan J Sanders
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Institute of Developmental and Regenerative Medicine, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Sergio Baranzini
- Weill Institute for Neuroscience. Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Marina Sirota
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
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Wei YJJ, Shrestha N, Chiang C, DeKosky ST. Prevalence and trend of central nervous system-active medication polypharmacy among US commercially insured adults with vs without early-onset dementia: a multi-year cross-sectional study. Alzheimers Res Ther 2024; 16:30. [PMID: 38326897 PMCID: PMC10851564 DOI: 10.1186/s13195-024-01405-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/09/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Limited data exist on the prevalence and trend of central nervous system (CNS)-active medication polypharmacy among adults with early-onset dementia (EOD) and whether these estimates differ for adults without EOD but with chronic pain, depression, or epilepsy, conditions managed by CNS-active medications. METHODS A multi-year, cross-sectional study using 2012-2021 MarketScan Commercial Claims data was conducted among adults aged 30 to 64 years with EOD and those without EOD but having a diagnosis of chronic pain, depression, or epilepsy as comparison groups. For each disease cohort, the primary outcome was CNS-active medication polypharmacy defined as concurrent use of ≥ 3 CNS-active medications on the US Beers Criteria list that overlapped for > 30 consecutive days during 12 months following a randomly selected medical encounter with the disease diagnosis. A separate multivariate modified Poisson regression model was used to estimate time trends in CNS polypharmacy in each disease cohort. Differences in trend estimates between EOD and non-EOD disease cohorts were examined by an interaction between EOD status and yearly time. RESULTS From 2013 to 2020, the annual crude prevalence of CNS polypharmacy was higher among adults with EOD (21.2%-25.0%) than adults with chronic pain (5.1%-5.9%), depression (14.8%-21.7%), or epilepsy (20.0%-22.3%). The adjusted annual prevalence of CNS polypharmacy among patients with EOD did not significantly change between 2013 and 2020 (adjusted prevalence rate ratio [aPRR], 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88-1.01), whereas a significant decreasing trend was observed among non-EOD cohorts with chronic pain (aPRR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.63-0.69), depression (aPRR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.77-0.85), and epilepsy (aPRR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83-0.89). The interaction analysis indicated that patients with epilepsy and depression (vs with EOD) had a decreasing probability of CNS-active medication polypharmacy over time (aPRR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.98-0.99]; P < .001 for interaction for both conditions). CONCLUSIONS The prevalence of CNS polypharmacy among US commercially insured adults with EOD (vs without) was higher and remained unchanged from 2013 to 2021. Medication reviews of adults with EOD and CNS polypharmacy are needed to ensure that benefits outweigh risks associated with combined use of these treatments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu-Jung Jenny Wei
- Division of Outcomes and Translational Sciences, College of Pharmacy, The Ohio State University, 500 West 12Th Avenue, Columbus, OH, 43210-1291, USA.
| | - Nistha Shrestha
- Division of Outcomes and Translational Sciences, College of Pharmacy, The Ohio State University, 500 West 12Th Avenue, Columbus, OH, 43210-1291, USA
| | - ChienWei Chiang
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, College of Medicine and Wexner Medical Center, The Ohio State University, Ohio, 43210, USA
| | - Steven T DeKosky
- Department of Neurology and McKnight Brain Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA
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Felix C, Johnston JD, Owen K, Shirima E, Hinds SR, Mandl KD, Milinovich A, Alberts JL. Explainable machine learning for predicting conversion to neurological disease: Results from 52,939 medical records. Digit Health 2024; 10:20552076241249286. [PMID: 38686337 PMCID: PMC11057348 DOI: 10.1177/20552076241249286] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2023] [Accepted: 04/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective This study assesses the application of interpretable machine learning modeling using electronic medical record data for the prediction of conversion to neurological disease. Methods A retrospective dataset of Cleveland Clinic patients diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, multiple sclerosis, or Parkinson's disease, and matched controls based on age, sex, race, and ethnicity was compiled. Individualized risk prediction models were created using eXtreme Gradient Boosting for each neurological disease at four timepoints in patient history. The prediction models were assessed for transparency and fairness. Results At timepoints 0-months, 12-months, 24-months, and 60-months prior to diagnosis, Alzheimer's disease models achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve on a holdout test dataset of 0.794, 0.742, 0.709, and 0.645; amyotrophic lateral sclerosis of 0.883, 0.710, 0.658, and 0.620; multiple sclerosis of 0.922, 0.877, 0.849, and 0.781; and Parkinson's disease of 0.809, 0.738, 0.700, and 0.651, respectively. Conclusions The results demonstrate that electronic medical records contain latent information that can be used for risk stratification for neurological disorders. In particular, patient-reported outcomes, sleep assessments, falls data, additional disease diagnoses, and longitudinal changes in patient health, such as weight change, are important predictors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christina Felix
- Neurological Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Joshua D Johnston
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Kelsey Owen
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Emil Shirima
- Neurological Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Sidney R Hinds
- Department of Neurology, Uniformed Services University, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Kenneth D Mandl
- Computational Health Informatics Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Alex Milinovich
- Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Jay L Alberts
- Neurological Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
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