Endpoints in Adjuvant Treatment Trials: A Systematic Review of the Literature in Colon Cancer and Proposed Definitions for Future Trials

The prognostic effect of tumor-associated macrophages in stage I-III colorectal cancer depends on T cell infiltration

BACKGROUND

Tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) are associated with unfavorable patient prognosis in many cancer types. However, TAMs are a heterogeneous cell population and subsets have been shown to activate tumor-infiltrating T cells and confer a good patient prognosis. Data on the prognostic value of TAMs in colorectal cancer are conflicting. We investigated the prognostic effect of TAMs in relation to tumor-infiltrating T cells in colorectal cancers.

METHODS

The TAM markers CD68 and CD163 were analyzed by multiplex fluorescence immunohistochemistry and digital image analysis on tissue microarrays of 1720 primary colorectal cancers. TAM density in the tumor stroma was scored in relation to T cell density (stromal CD3+ and epithelial CD8+ cells) and analyzed in Cox proportional hazards models of 5-year relapse-free survival. Multivariable survival models included clinicopathological factors, MSI status and BRAFV600E mutation status.

RESULTS

High TAM density was associated with a favorable 5-year relapse-free survival in a multivariable model of patients with stage I-III tumors (p = 0.004, hazard ratio 0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.90-0.98). However, the prognostic effect was dependent on tumoral T-cell density. High TAM density was associated with a good prognosis in patients who also had high T-cell levels in their tumors, while high TAM density was associated with poorer prognosis in patients with low T-cell levels (pinteraction = 0.0006). This prognostic heterogeneity was found for microsatellite stable tumors separately.

CONCLUSIONS

This study supported a phenotypic heterogeneity of TAMs in colorectal cancer, and showed that combined tumor immunophenotyping of multiple immune cell types improved the prediction of patient prognosis.

Deep learning for automated scoring of immunohistochemically stained tumour tissue sections - Validation across tumour types based on patient outcomes

We aimed to develop deep learning (DL) models to detect protein expression in immunohistochemically (IHC) stained tissue-sections, and to compare their accuracy and performance with manually scored clinically relevant proteins in common cancer types. Five cancer patient cohorts (colon, two prostate, breast, and endometrial) were included. We developed separate DL models for scoring IHC-stained tissue-sections with nuclear, cytoplasmic, and membranous staining patterns. For training, we used images with annotations of cells with positive and negative staining from the colon cohort stained for Ki-67 and PMS2 (nuclear model), the prostate cohort 1 stained for PTEN (cytoplasmic model) and β-catenin (membranous model). The nuclear DL model was validated for MSH6 in the colon, MSH6 and PMS2 in the endometrium, Ki-67 and CyclinB1 in prostate, and oestrogen and progesterone receptors in the breast cancer cohorts. The cytoplasmic DL model was validated for PTEN and Mapre2, and the membranous DL model for CD44 and Flotillin1, all in prostate cohorts. When comparing the results of manual and DL scores in the validation sets, using manual scores as the ground truth, we observed an average correct classification rate of 91.5 % (76.9-98.5 %) for the nuclear model, 85.6 % (73.3-96.6 %) for the cytoplasmic model, and 78.4 % (75.5-84.3 %) for the membranous model. In survival analyses, manual and DL scores showed similar prognostic impact, with similar hazard ratios and p-values for all DL models. Our findings demonstrate that DL models offer a promising alternative to manual IHC scoring, providing efficiency and reproducibility across various data sources and markers.

Immunohistochemical analysis of tumor budding in stage II colon cancer: exploring zero budding as a prognostic marker

Tumor budding, a biomarker traditionally evaluated using hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) staining, has gained recognition as a prognostic biomarker for stage II colon cancer. Nevertheless, while H&E staining offers valuable insights, its limitations prompt the utilization of pan-cytokeratin immunohistochemistry (IHC). Consequently, this study seeks to evaluate the prognostic significance of tumor budding using IHC in a contemporary cohort of stage II colon cancer patients, aiming to deepen our understanding of this critical facet in cancer prognosis. We conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study including 493 patients with stage II colon cancer and evaluated tumor budding using IHC, following the H&E-based guidelines proposed by the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference Group. Correlation between H&E-based and IHC-based tumor budding was assessed using a four-tiered scoring system that included a zero budding (Bd0) category. Survival analyses explored the prognostic significance of tumor budding assessed by IHC and H&E. As expected, IHC-based tumor budding evaluation yielded significantly higher bud counts compared to H&E (p < 0.01). Interestingly, 21 patients were identified with no tumor budding using IHC. This was associated with significantly improved recurrence-free survival (HR = 5.19, p = 0.02) and overall survival (HR = 4.47, p = 0.04) in a multivariate analysis when compared to tumors with budding. The Bd0 category demonstrated a 100% predictive value for the absence of recurrence. In conclusion, IHC-based tumor budding evaluation in stage II colon cancer provides additional prognostic information. The absence of tumor budding is associated with a favorable prognosis and may serve as a potential marker for identifying patients with no risk of recurrence.

Total neoadjuvant therapy with mFOLFIRINOX versus preoperative chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer: long-term results of the UNICANCER-PRODIGE 23 trial

BACKGROUND

The standard of care for the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) results in an excellent local disease control but the metastasis rates remain high. PRODIGE 23 demonstrated improved disease-free survival (DFS) and metastasis-free survival (MFS) with total neoadjuvant therapy versus standard of care in this population. Long-term analysis of overall survival (OS) is reported here.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study design, participants, and primary endpoint DFS have been reported for this multicenter, randomized, open-label, phase III trial investigating the neoadjuvant chemotherapy with mFOLFIRINOX (6 cycles) followed by chemoradiotherapy, surgery, and adjuvant chemotherapy (6 cycles), versus chemoradiotherapy, surgery, and adjuvant chemotherapy (12 cycles) in patients with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma under peritoneal reflection on magnetic resonance imaging, and staged cT3/T4. Key secondary endpoints included OS, MFS, and local and metastatic recurrence rate.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 82.2 months, the 7-year DFS was 67.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 60.7% to 73.9%] and 62.5% (95% CI 55.6% to 68.6%) [restricted mean survival time (RMST) difference 5.73 months, 95% CI 0.05-11.41 months, P = 0.048] in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy and the standard-of-care groups, respectively. The 7-year MFS was 79.2% (95% CI 73.0% to 84.4%) in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy group and 72.3% (95% CI 65.8% to 77.8%) in the standard-of-care group (RMST difference 6.1 months, 95% CI 0.93-11.37 months, P = 0.021). The 7-year OS was 81.9% (95% CI 75.8% to 86.6%) in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy group and 76.1% (95% CI 69.7% to 81.2%) in the standard-of-care group (RMST difference 4.37 months, 95% CI 0.35-8.38 months, P = 0.033). The safety profile remained unchanged since the previous analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with mFOLFIRINOX followed by chemoradiotherapy improved OS, confirmed long-term DFS and MFS benefits in LARC patients, and should be considered as one of the best options of care for these patients.

Assessment of endpoint definitions in recurrent and metastatic mucosal head and neck squamous cell carcinoma trials: Head and Neck Cancer International Group consensus recommendations

Transparent and precise endpoint definitions are a crucial aspect of clinical trial conduct and reporting, and are used to communicate the benefit of an intervention. Previous studies have identified inconsistencies in endpoint definitions across oncological clinical trials. Here, the Head and Neck Cancer International Group assessed endpoint definitions from phase 3 trials or trials considered practice-changing for patients with recurrent or metastatic mucosal head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, published between 2008 and 2021. We identify considerable and global heterogeneity in endpoint definitions, which undermines the interpretation of results and development of future studies. We show how fundamental components of even incontrovertible endpoints such as overall survival vary widely, highlighting an urgent need for increased rigour in reporting and harmonisation of endpoints.

Oxaliplatin-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Older Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer: An ACCENT/IDEA Pooled Analysis of 12 Trials

PURPOSE

A number of studies suggest that older patients may have reduced or no benefit from the addition of oxaliplatin to fluoropyrimidines as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer (CC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We studied the prognostic impact of age, as well as treatment adherence/toxicity patterns according to age, in patients with stage III CC who received 3 or 6 months of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin/capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) on the basis of data collected from trials from the ACCENT and IDEA databases. Associations between age and time to recurrence (TTR), disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), survival after recurrence (SAR), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed by a Cox model or a competing risk model, stratified by studies and adjusted for sex, performance status, T and N stage, and year of enrollment.

RESULTS

A total of 17,909 patients were included; 24% of patients were age older than 70 years (n = 4,340). Patients age ≥70 years had higher rates of early treatment discontinuation. Rates of grade ≥3 adverse events were similar between those older and younger than 70 years, except for diarrhea and neutropenia that were more frequent in older patients treated with CAPOX (14.2% v 11.2%; P = .01 and 12.1% v 9.6%; P = .04, respectively). In multivariable analysis, TTR was not significantly different between patients <70 years and those ≥70 years, but DFS, OS, SAR, and CSS were significantly shorter in those patients ≥70 years.

CONCLUSION

In patients ≥70 years with stage III CC fit enough to be enrolled in clinical trials, oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy was well tolerated and led to similar TTR compared with younger patients, suggesting similar efficacy. TTR may be a more appropriate end point for efficacy in this patient population.

Assessment of endpoint definitions in curative-intent trials for mucosal head and neck squamous cell carcinomas: Head and Neck Cancer International Group consensus recommendations

Robust time-to-event endpoint definitions are crucial for the assessment of treatment effect and the clinical value of trial interventions. Here, the Head and Neck Cancer International Group investigated endpoint use in phase 3 trials and trials considered potentially practice-changing published between 2008 and 2021 in the curative-intent setting for patients with mucosal head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. Of the 92 trials reviewed, we show that all core components of endpoint reporting were heterogeneous, including definitions of common terms, such as overall survival and progression-free survival. Our report highlights the urgent need for harmonisation of fundamental components of clinical trial endpoints and the engagement of all stakeholders to ensure the transparent reporting of endpoint details.

End points in clinical trials in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: time for more dialogue?

We observed lack of clarity and consistency in end point definitions of large randomized clinical trials in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. These inconsistencies are such that trials might, in fact, address different clinical questions. They complicate interpretation of results, including comparisons across studies. Problems arise from different ways to account for events occurring after randomization including absence of improvement in disease status, treatment discontinuation or the initiation of new therapy. We call for more dialogue between stakeholders to define with clarity the questions of interest and corresponding end points. We illustrate that assessing different end point rules across a range of plausible patient journeys can be a powerful tool to facilitate such a discussion and contribute to better understanding of patient-relevant end points.

Clinical Utility of a CT-based AI Prognostic Model for Segmentectomy in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Background Currently, no tool exists for risk stratification in patients undergoing segmentectomy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Purpose To develop and validate a deep learning (DL) prognostic model using preoperative CT scans and clinical and radiologic information for risk stratification in patients with clinical stage IA NSCLC undergoing segmentectomy. Materials and Methods In this single-center retrospective study, transfer learning of a pretrained model was performed for survival prediction in patients with clinical stage IA NSCLC who underwent lobectomy from January 2008 to March 2017. The internal set was divided into training, validation, and testing sets based on the assignments from the pretraining set. The model was tested on an independent test set of patients with clinical stage IA NSCLC who underwent segmentectomy from January 2010 to December 2017. Its prognostic performance was analyzed using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity for freedom from recurrence (FFR) at 2 and 4 years and lung cancer-specific survival and overall survival at 4 and 6 years. The model sensitivity and specificity were compared with those of the Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) eligibility criteria for sublobar resection. Results The pretraining set included 1756 patients. Transfer learning was performed in an internal set of 730 patients (median age, 63 years [IQR, 56-70 years]; 366 male), and the segmentectomy test set included 222 patients (median age, 65 years [IQR, 58-71 years]; 114 male). The model performance for 2-year FFR was as follows: AUC, 0.86 (95% CI: 0.76, 0.96); sensitivity, 87.4% (7.17 of 8.21 patients; 95% CI: 59.4, 100); and specificity, 66.7% (136 of 204 patients; 95% CI: 60.2, 72.8). The model showed higher sensitivity for FFR than the JCOG criteria (87.4% vs 37.6% [3.08 of 8.21 patients], P = .02), with similar specificity. Conclusion The CT-based DL model identified patients at high risk among those with clinical stage IA NSCLC who underwent segmentectomy, outperforming the JCOG criteria. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.

The prognostic value of tumor budding in a thoroughly characterized stage II colon cancer population in the context of a national screening program

Tumor budding as a prognostic marker in colorectal cancer has not previously been investigated in a cohort of screened stage II colon cancer patients. We assessed the prognostic significance of tumor budding in a thoroughly characterized stage II colon cancer population comprising surgically resected patients in the Region of Southern Denmark from 2014 to 2016. Tumors were re-staged according to the 8th edition of UICC TNM Classification, undergoing detailed histopathological evaluation and tumor budding assessment following guidelines from the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference. Prognostic evaluation utilized Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazard models for time to recurrence (TTR), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Out of 497 patients, 20% were diagnosed through the national colorectal cancer screening program. High-grade tumor budding (Bd3) was found in 19% of tumors and was associated with glandular subtype, perineural invasion, mismatch repair proficient tumors, and tumor recurrence (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, p = 0.045, and p = 0.007 respectively). In multivariable Cox regression, high-grade budding was a significant prognostic factor for TTR compared to low-grade (Bd3 HR 2.617; p = 0.007). An association between tumor budding groups and RFS was observed, and the difference was significant in univariable analysis for high-grade compared to low-grade tumor budding (Bd3 HR 1.461; p = 0.041). No significant differences were observed between tumor budding groups and OS. High-grade tumor budding is a predictor of recurrence in a screened population of patients with stage II colon cancer and should be considered a high-risk factor in a shared decision-making process when stratifying patients to adjuvant chemotherapy.

Impact of molecular profile on prognosis and relapse pattern in low and intermediate risk endometrial cancer

INTRODUCTION

The role of molecular classification in patients with low/intermediate risk endometrial cancer (EC) is uncertain. Higher precision in diagnostics will inform the unsettled debate on optimal adjuvant treatment. We aimed to determine the association of molecular profiling with patterns of relapse and survival.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients referred to The Norwegian Radium Hospital, Oslo University Hospital from 2006-2017. Patients with low/intermediate risk EC were molecularly classified as pathogenic polymerase epsilon (POLE)-mutated, mismatch repair deficient (MMRd), p53 abnormal, or no specific molecular profile (NSMP). The main outcomes were time to recurrence (TTR) and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

Of 626 patients, 610 could be molecularly classified. Fifty-seven patients (9%) had POLE-mutated tumors, 202 (33%) had MMRd tumors, 34 (6%) had p53 abnormal tumors and 317 (52%) had NSMP tumors. After median follow-up time of 8.9 years, there was a statistically significant difference in TTR and CSS by molecular groups. Patients with p53 abnormal tumors had poor prognosis, with 10 of the 12 patients with relapse presenting with para-aortic/distant metastases. Patients with POLE mutations had excellent prognosis. In the NSMP group, L1CAM expression was associated with shorter CSS but not TTR.

CONCLUSIONS

The differences in outcome by molecular groups are driven by differences in relapse frequency and -patterns and demand a higher precision in diagnostics, also in patients with low/intermediate risk EC. Tailored adjuvant treatment strategies need to consider systemic treatment for patients with p53 abnormal tumors and de-escalated treatment for patients with POLE mutated tumors.

Prognostic value of CT-defined ground-glass opacity in early-stage lung adenocarcinomas: a single-center study and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The prognostic value of ground-glass opacity at preoperative chest CT scans in early-stage lung adenocarcinomas is a matter of debate. We aimed to clarify the existing evidence through a single-center, retrospective cohort study and to quantitatively summarize the body of literature by conducting a meta-analysis.

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort study, patients with clinical stage I lung adenocarcinoma were identified, and the prognostic value of ground-glass opacity was analyzed using multivariable Cox regression. Commercial artificial intelligence software was adopted as the second reader for the presence of ground-glass opacity. The primary end points were freedom from recurrence (FFR) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS). In a meta-analysis, we systematically searched Embase and OVID-MEDLINE up to December 30, 2021, for the studies based on the eighth-edition staging system. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) of solid nodules (i.e., absence of ground-glass opacity) for various end points were calculated with a multi-level random effects model.

RESULTS

In a cohort of 612 patients, solid nodules were associated with worse outcomes for FFR (adjusted HR, 1.98; 95% CI: 1.17-3.51; p = 0.01) and LCSS (adjusted HR, 1.937; 95% CI: 1.002-4.065; p = 0.049). The artificial intelligence assessment and multiple sensitivity analyses revealed consistent results. The meta-analysis included 13 studies with 12,080 patients. The pooled HR of solid nodules was 2.13 (95% CI: 1.69-2.67; I2 = 30.4%) for overall survival, 2.45 (95% CI: 1.52-3.95; I2 = 0.0%) for FFR, and 2.50 (95% CI: 1.28-4.91; I2 = 30.6%) for recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of ground-glass opacity in early-stage lung adenocarcinomas is associated with worse postoperative survival.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Early-stage lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as solid nodules at preoperative chest CT, which indicates the absence of ground-glass opacity, were associated with poor postoperative survival. There is room for improvement of the clinical T categorization in the next edition staging system.

KEY POINTS

• In a retrospective study of 612 patients with stage I lung adenocarcinoma, solid nodules were associated with shorter freedom from recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.98; p = 0.01) and lung cancer-specific survival (adjusted HR, 1.937; p = 0.049). • Artificial intelligence-assessed solid nodules also showed worse prognosis (adjusted HR for freedom from recurrence, 1.94 [p = 0.01]; adjusted HR for lung cancer-specific survival, 1.93 [p = 0.04]). • In meta-analyses, the solid nodules were associated with shorter freedom from recurrence (HR, 2.45) and shorter overall survival (HR, 2.13).

Predicting resection margin status of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors on CT: performance of NCCN resectability criteria

OBJECTIVE

To test the performance of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) CT resectability criteria for predicting the surgical margin status of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (PNET) and to identify factors associated with margin-positive resection.

METHODS

Eighty patients with pre-operative CT and upfront surgery were retrospectively enrolled. Two radiologists assessed the CT resectability (resectable [R], borderline resectable [BR], unresectable [UR]) of the PNET according to NCCN criteria. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with resection margin status. κ statistics were used to evaluate interreader agreements. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was used to estimate and compare recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

Forty-five patients (56.2%) received R0 resection and 35 (43.8%) received R1 or R2 resection. R0 resection rates were 63.6-64.2%, 20.0-33.3%, and 0% for R, BR, and UR diseases, respectively (all p ≤ 0.002), with a good interreader agreement (κ, 0.74). Tumor size (<2 cm, 2-4 cm, and >4 cm; odds ratio (OR), 9.042-18.110; all p ≤ 0.007) and NCCN BR/UR diseases (OR, 5.918; p = 0.032) were predictors for R1 or R2 resection. The R0 resection rate was 91.7% for R disease <2 cm and decreased for larger R disease. R0 resection and smaller tumor size in R disease improved RFS.

CONCLUSION

NCCN resectability criteria can stratify patients with PNET into distinct groups of R0 resectability. Adding tumor size to R disease substantially improves the prediction of R0 resection, especially for PNETs <2 cm.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

Tumor size and radiologic resectability independently predicted margin status of PNETs.

Large Duct Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Morphological Variant of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma With Distinct CT and MRI Characteristics

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the imaging characteristics of large duct pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (LD-PDAC) on computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-five patients with LD-PDAC (63.2 ± 9.7 years) were retrospectively evaluated. Tumor morphology on CT and MRI (predominantly solid mass vs. solid mass with prominent cysts vs. predominantly cystic mass) was evaluated. Additionally, the visibility, quantity, shape (oval vs. branching vs. irregular), and MRI signal intensity of neoplastic cysts within the LD-PDAC were investigated. The radiological diagnoses rendered for LD-PDAC in radiology reports were reviewed.

RESULTS

LD-PDAC was more commonly observed as a solid mass with prominent cysts (45.7% [16/35] on CT and 37.1% [13/35] on MRI) or a predominantly cystic mass (20.0% [7/35] on CT and 40.0% [14/35] on MRI) and less commonly as a predominantly solid mass on CT (34.3% [12/35]) and MRI (22.9% [8/35]). The tumor morphology on imaging was significantly associated with the size of the cancer gland on histopathological examination (P = 0.020 [CT] and 0.013 [MRI]). Neoplastic cysts were visible in 88.6% (31/35) and 91.4% (32/35) of the LD-PDAC cases on CT and MRI, respectively. The cysts appeared as branching (51.6% [16/35] on CT and 59.4% [19/35] on MRI) or oval shapes (45.2% [14/35] on CT and 31.2% [10/35] on MRI) with fluid-like MRI signal intensity. In the radiology reports, 10 LD-PDAC cases (28.6%) were misinterpreted as diseases other than typical PDAC, particularly intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.

CONCLUSION

LD-PDAC frequently appears as a solid mass with prominent cysts or as a predominantly cystic mass on CT and MRI. Radiologists should be familiar with the imaging features of LD-PDAC to avoid misdiagnosis.

Drug-Eluting Bead Transarterial Chemoembolization Versus Radiofrequency Ablation as an Initial Treatment of Single Small (≤ 3 cm) Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In this study, we aimed to compare the long-term therapeutic outcomes of drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) with those of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for the initial treatment of a single small (≤ 3 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

From January 2010 to December 2021, 259 consecutive patients who underwent DEB-TACE (67 patients) or RFA (192 patients) as a first-line treatment for a single small HCC were enrolled in this retrospective study. The therapeutic outcomes, including cumulative intrahepatic local tumor progression (LTP), progression-free survival (PFS), and long-term overall survival (OS) rates, were compared between the two groups before and after propensity score (PS) matching. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the prognostic factors and differences in OS and PFS between the two groups for all 92 patients after PS matching.

RESULTS

After PS matching, the 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year LTP rates were lower in the RFA group than those in the DEB-TACE group (P < 0.001), and the 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year PFS rates in the RFA group were higher than those in the DEB-TACE group (P = 0.007). However, the 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were not significantly different between the RFA and DEB-TACE groups (P = 0.584). Moreover, the OS was not significantly different between the RFA and DEB-TACE groups in the univariate and multivariate analyses, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.81. The PFS was significantly higher in the RFA group than that in the DEB-TACE group in the univariate analyses, with a HR of 0.44 (P = 0.009). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that albumin (P = 0.019) was an independent prognostic factor for OS. Additionally, the major complication rates were not significantly different between the DEB-TACE and RFA groups (P = 1.000).

CONCLUSION

The LTP and PFS rates of RFA were superior to those of DEB-TACE in the initial treatment of single small HCC after PS matching. However, the OS rates were not significantly different between RFA and DEB-TACE. Therefore, DEB-TACE may be considered an efficient substitute for RFA in some patients with a single small HCC who are ineligible for RFA.

Sublobar resection in non-small cell lung cancer: patient selection criteria and risk factors for recurrence

OBJECTIVE

To validate selection criteria for sublobar resection in patients with lung cancer with respect to recurrence, and to investigate predictors for recurrence in patients for whom the criteria are not suitable.

METHODS

Patients who underwent sublobar resection for lung cancer between July 2010 and December 2018 were retrospectively included. The criteria for curative sublobar resection were consolidation-to-tumor ratio ≤0.50 and size ≤3.0 cm in tumors with a ground-glass opacity (GGO) component (GGO group), and size of ≤2.0 cm and volume doubling time ≥400 days in solid tumors (solid group). Cox regression was used to identify predictors for time-to-recurrence (TTR) in tumors outside of these criteria (non-curative group).

RESULTS

Out of 530 patients, 353 were classified into the GGO group and 177 into the solid group. In the GGO group, the 2-year recurrence rates in curative and non-curative groups were 2.1 and 7.7%, respectively (p = 0.054). In the solid group, the 2-year recurrence rates in curative and non-curative groups were 0.0 and 28.6%, respectively (p = 0.03). Predictors of 2-year TTR after non-curative sublobar resection were pathological nodal metastasis (hazard ratio [HR], 6.63; p = 0.02) and lymphovascular invasion (LVI; HR, 3.28; p = 0.03) in the GGO group, and LVI (HR, 4.37; p < 0.001) and fibrosis (HR, 3.18; p = 0.006) in the solid group.

CONCLUSION

The current patient selection criteria for sublobar resection are satisfactory. LVI was a predictor for recurrence after non-curative resection.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

This result supports selection criteria of patients for sublobar resection. LVI may help predict recurrence after non-curative sublobar resection.

The impact of time to surgery on oncological outcomes in stage I-III dMMR colon cancer - A nationwide cohort study

INTRODUCTION

One of the considerations when investigating neoadjuvant interventions is the prolonging of time from diagnosis to curative surgery (i.e. the treatment interval [TI]). The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the length of TI and overall survival and disease-free survival in patients with deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) colon cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective propensity score-adjusted study included all patients of ≥18 years of age undergoing elective curative surgery for stage I-III, dMMR colon cancer. Data were extracted from four Danish patient databases. Outcomes were investigated in groups with TIs of ≤14 days versus >14 days. Propensity scores were computed using all demographics, diagnoses and measurements. Matching was done in a 1:1 ratio.

RESULTS

A total of 4130 patients were included in the study with a mean age of 73.8 years and a median follow-up time of 43.9 months. After matching, 2794 patients were included in the analysis of overall survival. No significant difference in overall survival was seen between patients with TIs of ≤14 days versus >14 days (hazard ratio [HR], 0.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-1.17; p = 0.78). In the analysis of disease-free survival, 1798 patients were included after matching. This showed no significant difference between patients with TIs of ≤14 days versus >14 days (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.69-1.06; p = 0.14).

CONCLUSION

No associations were found between TI and overall survival and disease-free survival in patients with stage I-III, dMMR colon cancer undergoing elective curative surgery.

Pelvic exenteration for vulvar cancer: Postoperative morbidity and oncologic outcome - A single center retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Pelvic exenteration may be the only curative treatment for some patients with primary advanced or recurrent vulvar cancer but is associated with high morbidity. This study evaluated the clinical outcome of patients treated at a centralized service in Norway.

METHODOLOGY

This retrospective study included patients treated with pelvic exenteration for primary locally advanced or recurrent vulvar cancer between 1996 and 2019 at Oslo University Hospital, Norway. Complications were coded according to the contracted Accordion classification. Relapse free survival (RFS), cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated with the Kaplan Meier method.

RESULTS

The 30 patients were followed for a median of 4.94 years (95%CI: 3.37-NR). Exenteration due to primary vulvar cancer was carried out in 16 (53%) patients, 14 (47%) had recurrent vulvar cancer. Free histopathological margins were achieved in 28 (93%) patients. The 90 days morbidity for grade 3 complications was 63%, predominantly wound/surgical flap infections, 7% had no complications. 90 days mortality was 3%. Five-year RFS was 26% (95% CI 8-48%), OS was 50% (95%CI: 29-69%) and CSS was 64% (95% CI 43-79%). There was no significant difference in survival between patients with primary vs recurrent disease. The 3-year CSS for patients with negative lymph nodes and positive lymph nodes was 70% (95% CI 47-84%) and 30% (95% CI 1-72%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Acceptable oncologic outcomes after pelvic exenteration for primary and recurrent vulvar cancer can be achieved if surgery is centralized. Careful patient selection is imperative due to significant postoperative morbidity and considerable risk of relapse.

Risk-Adapted Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Rectal Cancer: Final Report of the OCUM Study

PURPOSE

We investigated whether neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with rectal cancer can be restricted to those at high risk of locoregional recurrence (LR) without compromising oncological outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In a prospective multicenter interventional study, patients with rectal cancer (cT2-4, any cN, cM0) were classified according to the minimal distance between the tumor, suspicious lymph nodes or tumor deposits, and mesorectal fascia (mrMRF). Patients with a distance >1 mm underwent up-front total mesorectal excision (TME; low-risk group), whereas those with a distance ≤1 mm and/or cT4 and cT3 tumors in the lower rectal third received nCRT followed by TME surgery (high-risk group). The primary end point was 5-year LR rate.

RESULTS

Of the 1,099 patients included, 884 (80.4%) were treated according to the protocol. A total of 530 patients (60%) underwent up-front surgery, and 354 (40%) had nCRT followed by surgery. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed 5-year LR rates of 4.1% (95% CI, 2.7 to 5.5) for patients treated per protocol, 2.9% (95% CI, 1.3 to 4.5) after up-front surgery, and 5.7% (95% CI, 3.2 to 8.2) after nCRT followed by surgery. The 5-year rate of distant metastases was 15.9% (95% CI, 12.6 to 19.2) and 30.5% (95% CI, 25.4 to 35.6), respectively. In a subgroup analysis of 570 patients with lower and middle rectal third cII and cIII tumors, 257 (45.1%) were at low-risk. The 5-year LR rate in this group was 3.8% (95% CI, 1.4 to 6.2) after up-front surgery. In 271 high-risk patients (involved mrMRF and/or cT4), the 5-year rate of LR was 5.9% (95% CI, 3.0 to 8.8) and of metastases 34.5% (95% CI, 28.6 to 40.4); disease-free survival and overall survival were the worst.

CONCLUSION

The findings support the avoidance of nCRT in low-risk patients and suggest that in high-risk patients, neoadjuvant therapy should be intensified to improve prognosis.

Staging Chest CT in Patients With Early-Stage Colon Cancer: Analysis of Impact on Survival Using Inverse Probability Weighting and Causal Diagram

BACKGROUND. Staging chest CT has been shown to have negligible diagnostic yield for detecting lung metastases in patients with early-stage colon cancer. Nonetheless, staging chest CT may have potential survival benefits, including opportunistic screening of comorbidity and provision of a baseline examination for future comparisons. Evidence is lacking regarding the impact of staging chest CT on survival in patients with early-stage colon cancer. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the performance of staging chest CT affects survival in patients with early-stage colon cancer. METHODS. This retrospective study included patients with early-stage colon cancer (defined as clinical stage 0 or I on staging abdominal CT) at a single tertiary hospital between January 2009 and December 2015. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence of a staging chest CT examination. To ensure comparability between the two groups, inverse probability weighting was applied to adjust for the confounders derived from a causal diagram. The between-group differences in adjusted restricted mean survival time at 5 years were measured for overall survival, relapse-free survival, and thoracic metastasis-free survival. Sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS. A total of 991 patients (618 men and 373 women; median age, 64 years [IQR, 55-71 years]) were included: 606 patients (61.2%) had staging chest CT. For overall survival, the difference between groups in restricted mean survival time at 5 years was not significant (0.4 months [95% CI, -0.8 to 2.1 months]). The differences between groups in restricted mean survival at 5 years were also not significant for relapse-free survival (0.4 months [95% CI, -1.1 to 2.3 months]) and for thoracic metastasis-free survival (0.6 months [95% CI, -0.8 to 2.4 months]). Similar results were observed in sensitivity analyses that tested 3- and 10-year RMST differences, excluded patients who underwent FDG PET/CT during staging workup, and added treatment decision (surgery vs no surgery) to the causal diagram. CONCLUSION. The use of staging chest CT did not affect survival in patients with early-stage colon cancer. CLINICAL IMPACT. Staging chest CT may be omitted from the staging workup for patients with colon cancer of clinical stage 0 or I.

Prognostic Implications of Synchronous Subsolid Nodules in Patients with Resected Subsolid Lung Adenocarcinoma

Background For multiple subsolid nodules (SSNs) observed at lung CT, current management focuses on removal of the dominant (≥6 mm) nodule and monitoring of remaining SSNs. Whether the presence of these synchronous SSNs is related to postoperative patient outcomes has not been well established. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic value of single versus multiple synchronous SSNs at preoperative CT in patients with resected subsolid lung adenocarcinoma nodules. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included patients who underwent lobectomy or sublobar resection for lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as an SSN and clinical stage IA from January 2010 to December 2017. The radiologic features of the resected SSN (dominant nodule) and synchronous SSNs were assessed on preoperative CT scans. The effects of synchronous SSNs on time to secondary intervention, time to recurrence (TTR), and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using Cox regression analysis. Results Of the 684 included patients (mean age, 60.9 years ± 9.5 [SD]; 389 female), 515 (75.3%) had a single SSN and 169 (24.7%) had multiple SSNs on preoperative CT scans. During follow-up (median, 71.8 months), 38 secondary interventions were performed, primarily due to growth of synchronous SSNs (21 of 38) or metachronous nodules (14 of 38). As the number of synchronous SSNs greater than or equal to 6 mm in size increased, the time to secondary intervention decreased (P < .001). No association was observed between synchronous SSNs and TTR (P = .53) or OS (P = .65), but these measures were associated with features of the resected nodule, specifically solid portion size for TTR (P = .01) and histologic subtype for TTR and OS (P < .001 for both). Conclusion In patients with subsolid lung adenocarcinoma, the presence of synchronous SSNs on preoperative CT scans was not associated with TTR or OS, but the presence of synchronous SSNs greater than or equal to 6 mm in size was associated with an increased likelihood of secondary intervention. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article.

The use of adjuvant chemotherapy is not associated with recurrence or cancer-specific death following curative resection for stage III rectal cancer: a competing risks analysis

BACKGROUND

The role of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in stage III rectal cancer (RC) has been argued based on evidence from its use in colon cancer. Previous trials have analysed disease-free and overall survivals as endpoints, rather than disease recurrence. This study compares the competing risks incidences of recurrence and cancer-specific death between patients who did and did not receive AC for stage III RC.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent a potentially curative resection for stage III RC (1995-2019) at Concord Hospital, Sydney, Australia, were studied. AC was considered following multidisciplinary discussion. Primary outcome measures were the competing risks incidences of disease recurrence and cancer-specific death. Associations between these outcomes and use of AC (and other variables) were tested by regression modelling.

RESULTS

Some 338 patients (213 male, mean age 64.4 years [SD12.7]) were included. Of these, 208 received AC. The use of AC was associated with resection year (adjusted OR [aOR] 1.74, 95%CI 1.27-2.38); age ≥75 years (aOR0.04, 95%CI 0.02-0.12); peripheral vascular disease (aOR0.08, 95%CI 0.01-0.74); and postoperative abdomino-pelvic abscess (aOR0.23, 95%CI 0.07-0.81). One hundred fifty-seven patients (46.5%) were diagnosed with recurrence; death due to RC occurred in 119 (35.2%). After adjustment for the competing risk of non-cancer death, neither recurrence nor RC-specific death was associated with AC (HR0.97, 95%CI 0.70-1.33 and HR0.72, 95%CI 0.50-1.03, respectively).

CONCLUSION

This study found no significant difference in either recurrence or cancer-specific death between patients who did and did not receive AC following curative resection for stage III RC.

Prognostic value of tumor-to-parenchymal contrast enhancement ratio on portal venous-phase CT in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of tumor-to-parenchymal contrast enhancement ratio on portal venous-phase CT (CER on PVP) and compare its prognostic performance to prevailing grading and staging systems in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs).

METHODS

In this retrospective study, data on 465 patients (development cohort) who underwent upfront curative-intent resection for PanNEN were used to assess the performance of CER on PVP and tumor size measured by CT (CT-Size) in predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) using Harrell's C-index and to determine their optimal cutoffs to stratify RFS using a multi-way partitioning algorithm. External data on 184 patients (test cohort) were used to validate the performance of CER on PVP in predicting RFS and overall survival (OS) and compare its predictive performance with those of CT-Size, 2019 World Health Organization classification system (WHO), and the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system (AJCC).

RESULTS

In the test cohort, CER on PVP showed C-indexes of 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.91) and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.73-0.95) for predicting RFS and OS, respectively, which were higher than those for the WHO (C-index: 0.73 for RFS [p = .002] and 0.72 for OS [p = .004]) and AJCC (C-index, 0.67 for RFS [p = .002] and 0.58 for OS [p = .002]). CT-Size obtained C-indexes of 0.71 for RFS and 0.61 for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

CER on PVP showed superior predictive performance on postoperative survival in PanNEN than current grading and staging systems, indicating its potential as a noninvasive preoperative prognostic tool.

KEY POINTS

• In pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms, the tumor-to-parenchymal enhancement ratio on portal venous-phase CT (CER on PVP) showed acceptable predictive performance of postoperative outcomes. • CER on PVP showed superior predictive performance of postoperative survival over the current WHO classification and AJCC staging system.

Targetoid Primary Liver Malignancy in Chronic Liver Disease: Prediction of Postoperative Survival Using Preoperative MRI Findings and Clinical Factors

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess and validate the radiologic and clinical factors that were associated with recurrence and survival after curative surgery for heterogeneous targetoid primary liver malignancies in patients with chronic liver disease and to develop scoring systems for risk stratification.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included 197 consecutive patients with chronic liver disease who had a single targetoid primary liver malignancy (142 hepatocellular carcinomas, 37 cholangiocarcinomas, 17 combined hepatocellular carcinoma-cholangiocarcinomas, and one neuroendocrine carcinoma) identified on preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI and subsequently surgically removed between 2010 and 2017. Of these, 120 patients constituted the development cohort, and 77 patients from separate institution served as an external validation cohort. Factors associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were identified using a Cox proportional hazards analysis, and risk scores were developed. The discriminatory power of the risk scores in the external validation cohort was evaluated using the Harrell C-index. The Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate RFS and OS for the different risk-score groups.

RESULTS

In RFS model 1, which eliminated features exclusively accessible on the hepatobiliary phase (HBP), tumor size of 2-5 cm or > 5 cm, and thin-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) were included. In RFS model 2, tumors with a size of > 5 cm, tumor in vein (TIV), and HBP hypointense nodules without APHE were included. The OS model included a tumor size of > 5 cm, thin-rim APHE, TIV, and tumor vascular involvement other than TIV. The risk scores of the models showed good discriminatory performance in the external validation set (C-index, 0.62-0.76). The scoring system categorized the patients into three risk groups: favorable, intermediate, and poor, each with a distinct survival outcome (all log-rank p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Risk scores based on rim arterial enhancement pattern, tumor size, HBP findings, and radiologic vascular invasion status may help predict postoperative RFS and OS in patients with targetoid primary liver malignancies.

Mixed Hepatocellular Cholangiocarcinoma: A Comparison of Survival between Mixed Tumors, Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma and Hepatocellular Carcinoma from a Single Center

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent primary liver malignancy, followed by intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). In addition, there is a mixed form for which only limited data are available. The aim of this study was to compare recurrence and survival of the mixed form within the cohorts of patients with HCC and ICC from a single center.

METHODS

Between January 2008 and December 2020, all patients who underwent surgical exploration for ICC, HCC, or mixed hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (mHC-CC) were included in this retrospective analysis. The data were analyzed, focusing on preoperative and operative details, histological outcome, and tumor recurrence, as well as overall and recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

A total of 673 surgical explorations were performed, resulting in 202 resections for ICC, 344 for HCC (225 non-cirrhotic HCC, ncHCC; 119 cirrhotic HCC, cHCC), and 14 for mHC-CC. In addition, six patients underwent orthotopic liver transplant (OLT) in the belief of dealing with HCC. In 107 patients, tumors were irresectable (resection rate of 84%). Except for the cHCC group, major or even extended liver resections were required. Vascular or visceral extensions were performed regularly. Overall survival (OS) was highly variable, with a median OS of 17.6 months for ICC, 26 months for mHC-CC, 31.8 months for cHCC, and 37.2 months for ncHCC. Tumor recurrence was common, with a rate of 45% for mHC-CC, 48.9% for ncHCC, 60.4% for ICC, and 67.2% for cHCC. The median recurrence-free survival was 7.3 months for ICC, 14.4 months for cHCC, 16 months for mHC-CC, and 17 months for ncHCC. The patients who underwent OLT for mHC-CC showed a median OS of 57.5 and RFS of 56.5 months.

CONCLUSIONS

mHC-CC has a comparable course and outcome to ICC. The cholangiocarcinoma component seems to be the dominant one and, therefore, may be responsible for the prognosis. 'Accidental' liver transplant for mHC-CC within the Milan criteria offers a good long-term outcome. This might be an option in countries with no or minor organ shortage.

Prognostic Factors for Survival in Multiple Primary Lung Adenocarcinomas: A Retrospective Analysis of 283 Patients

Purpose: In recent years, a rising number of multiple primary lung cancers have been detected with the advancement of imaging technology. No detailed study has assessed the prognosis of multiple primary lung adenocarcinomas based on computed tomography characteristics. The present study aimed to analyze outcomes and determine valuable factors for predicting the prognosis of multiple primary lung adenocarcinoma. Methods: This single-center retrospective study was performed from January 2013 to October 2021. All patients were divided into 3 groups based on tumor density as follows: multi-pure ground-glass nodules, at least one part-solid nodule without solid nodules, and at least one solid nodule. Clinicopathologic features, computed tomography signs, and survival outcomes were compared between these groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify independent predictors for recurrence-free survival and overall survival. Results: The sample included 283 patients with 623 lesions who met the inclusion criteria for multiple primary lung adenocarcinoma. Of these patients, 71 (25.1%) presented with multi-pure ground-glass nodules, 100 (35.3%) with at least one part-solid nodule without solid nodule, and 112 (39.6%) with at least one solid nodule. The 3 groups had distinguished clinicopathologic and radiological features of age, adjuvant therapy, types of tumor resection, TNM stage, pathological subtypes, pleural indentation, spicule, and vacuole (all P < .001). Multivariate analysis found that lesion number was an independent predictor for both recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio 2.41; 95% confidence interval 1.12-5.19; P = .025) and overall survival (hazard ratio 4.78; 95% confidence interval 1.88-12.18; P = .001), and the at least one solid nodule was an independent predictor for overall survival (hazard ratio 5.307; 95% confidence interval 1.16-24.31; P = .032). Stage III (hazard ratio 5.71; 95% confidence interval 1.94-16.81; P = .002) and adjuvant therapy (hazard ratio 2.52; 95% confidence interval 1.24-5.13; P = .011) influenced the recurrence-free survival. Conclusions: Survival of multiple primary lung adenocarcinoma patients is strongly correlated with the lesion number and the at least one solid nodule tumors in radiological. This information may be useful for predicting survival and making clinical decisions in future studies.

Survival Prediction after Curative Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma by Imaging-Based Intratumoral Necrosis

We aimed to determine the histopathological characteristics and prognosis of curatively resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) showing intratumoral necrosis on preoperative CT or MRI. This study consecutively included 102 patients who underwent upfront surgery with margin-negative resection from 2012 to 2020. All patients underwent both pancreatic CT and MRI within 1 month before surgery. Two radiologists independently assessed CT/MRI findings, including the presence of CT- and MRI-detected necrosis. Histopathological characteristics of PDACs according to CT or MRI detection of necrosis were evaluated. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by the Kaplan−Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model. Among the 102 PDAC patients, 14 patients (13.7%) had CT-detected necrosis, and 16 patients (15.7%) had MRI-detected necrosis, of which 9 showed both CT- and MRI-detected necrosis. PDACs with CT- or MRI-detected necrosis demonstrated a significantly higher degree of histopathological necrosis than those without (p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that tumor size (hazard ratio [HR], 1.19; p = 0.040), tumor location (HR, 0.46; p = 0.009), and MRI-detected necrosis (HR, 2.64; p = 0.002) had independent associations with DFS. Only MRI-detected necrosis was significantly associated with OS (HR, 2.59; p = 0.004). Therefore, MRI-detected necrosis might be a potential imaging predictor of poor survival after curative resection of PDAC.

The lung microbiome, peripheral gene expression, and recurrence-free survival after resection of stage II non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Cancer recurrence after tumor resection in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is common, yet difficult to predict. The lung microbiota and systemic immunity may be important modulators of risk for lung cancer recurrence, yet biomarkers from the lung microbiome and peripheral immune environment are understudied. Such markers may hold promise for prediction as well as improved etiologic understanding of lung cancer recurrence.

METHODS

In tumor and distant normal lung samples from 46 stage II NSCLC patients with curative resection (39 tumor samples, 41 normal lung samples), we conducted 16S rRNA gene sequencing. We also measured peripheral blood immune gene expression with nanoString®. We examined associations of lung microbiota and peripheral gene expression with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using 500 × 10-fold cross-validated elastic-net penalized Cox regression, and examined predictive accuracy using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

Over a median of 4.8 years of follow-up (range 0.2-12.2 years), 43% of patients experienced a recurrence, and 50% died. In normal lung tissue, a higher abundance of classes Bacteroidia and Clostridia, and orders Bacteroidales and Clostridiales, were associated with worse RFS, while a higher abundance of classes Alphaproteobacteria and Betaproteobacteria, and orders Burkholderiales and Neisseriales, were associated with better RFS. In tumor tissue, a higher abundance of orders Actinomycetales and Pseudomonadales were associated with worse DFS. Among these taxa, normal lung Clostridiales and Bacteroidales were also related to worse survival in a previous small pilot study and an additional independent validation cohort. In peripheral blood, higher expression of genes TAP1, TAPBP, CSF2RB, and IFITM2 were associated with better DFS. Analysis of ROC curves revealed that lung microbiome and peripheral gene expression biomarkers provided significant additional recurrence risk discrimination over standard demographic and clinical covariates, with microbiome biomarkers contributing more to short-term (1-year) prediction and gene biomarkers contributing to longer-term (2-5-year) prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified compelling biomarkers in under-explored data types, the lung microbiome, and peripheral blood gene expression, which may improve risk prediction of recurrence in early-stage NSCLC patients. These findings will require validation in a larger cohort.

A Retrospective Analysis of the De Ritis Ratio in Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer, with Focus on Tumor Response and Long-Term Survival in Patients Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and in Chemo Naïve Cystectomy Patients-A Study of a Clinical Multicentre Database

Background: A high pre-treatment De Ritis ratio, the aspartate transaminase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, has been suggested to be of prognostic value for mortality in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). Our purpose was to evaluate if a high ratio was associated with mortality and downstaging. Methods: A total of 347 Swedish patients with clinically staged T2-T4aN0M0, with administered neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) or eligible for NAC and undergoing radical cystectomy (RC) 2009−2021, were retrospectively evaluated with a low ratio < 1.3 vs. high ratio > 1.3, by Log Rank test, Cox regression and Mann−Whitney U-test (MWU), SPSS 27. Results: Patients with a high ratio had a decrease of up to 3 years in disease-free survival (DFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) (p = 0.009, p = 0.004 and p = 0.009) and 5 years in CSS and OS (p = 0.019 and p = 0.046). A high ratio was associated with increased risk of mortality, highest in DFS (HR, 1.909; 95% CI, 1.265−2.880; p = 0.002). No significant relationship between downstaging and a high ratio existed (p = 0.564 MWU). Conclusion: A high pre-treatment De Ritis ratio is on a population level, associated with increased mortality post-RC in endpoints DFS, CSS and OS. Associations decrease over time and require further investigations to determine how strong the associations are as meaningful prognostic markers for long-term mortality in MIBC. The ratio is not suitable for downstaging-prediction.

Association between vessels that encapsulate tumour clusters vascular pattern and hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters (VETC) is a novel vascular pattern seen on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) histology which has been shown to independently predict tumor recurrence and survival after liver resection. Its prognostic value in HCC patients receiving liver transplantation (LT) is unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied consecutive adults who underwent deceased-donor LT with active HCC found on explant between 2010-2019. Tumor tissue was stained for CD34 and quantified for VETC. Primary and secondary endpoints were time to recurrence (TTR) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

During the study period, 158 patients received LT where HCC was present on explant. VETC pattern was seen in 76.5% of explants. Patients with VETC-positive tumors spent longer on the waitlist (6.4 vs. 4.1 months, P=0.048), had higher median tumor numbers (2 vs. 1, P=0.001) and larger tumor sizes (20mm vs. 13mm, P<0.001) on explant pathology compared to those with VETC-negative tumors. Correspondingly, VETC-positive patients were more likely to be outside of accepted LT criteria for HCC. After 56.4 months median follow-up, 8.2% of patients developed HCC recurrence post-LT. On multivariable Cox regression, presence of VETC pattern did not predict TTR or RFS. However, the number of VETC-positive tumors on explant was an independent predictor of TTR (hazard ratio [HR] 1.411, P=0.001) and RFS (HR 1.267, P=0.014) after adjusting for other significant variables.

CONCLUSION

VETC pattern is commonly observed in HCC patients undergoing LT. The number of VETC-positive tumors, but not its presence, is an independent risk factor for TTR and RFS post-LT.

Outcome after Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Noncirrhotic Liver-A Single Centre Study

Liver cirrhosis is the most common risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, 10 to 15% of all HCC arise in a non-cirrhotic liver. Few reliable data exist on outcome after liver resection in a non-cirrhotic liver. The aim of this single-centre study was to evaluate the outcome of resection for HCC in non-cirrhotic liver (NC-HCC) and to determine prognostic factors for overall (OS) and intrahepatic recurrence-free (RFS) survival. From 2008 to 2020, a total of 249 patients were enrolled in this retrospective study. Primary outcome was OS and RFS. Radiological and pathological findings, such as tumour size, number of nodules, Tumour-, Nodes-, Metastases- (TNM) classification and vascular invasion as well as extent of surgical resection and laboratory liver function were collected. Here, 249 patients underwent liver resection for NC-HCC. In this case, 50% of patients underwent major liver resection, perioperative mortality was 6.4%. Median OS was 35.4 months (range 1-151 months), median RFS was 10.5 months (range 1-128 moths). Tumour diameter greater than three centimetres, multifocal tumour disease, vascular invasion, preoperative low albumin and increased alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) values were associated with significantly worse OS. Our study shows that resection for NC-HCC is an acceptable treatment approach with comparatively good outcome even in extensive tumours.

Efficacy and safety of extended duration to perioperative thromboprophylaxis with low molecular weight heparin on disease-free survival after surgical resection of colorectal cancer (PERIOP-01): multicentre, open label, randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine the efficacy and safety of extended duration perioperative thromboprophylaxis by low molecular weight heparin when assessing disease-free survival in patients undergoing resection for colorectal cancer.

DESIGN

Multicentre, open label, randomised controlled trial.

SETTINGS

12 hospitals in Quebec and Ontario, Canada, between 25 October 2011 and 31 December 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

614 adults (age ≥18 years) were eligible with pathologically confirmed invasive adenocarcinoma of the colon or rectum, no evidence of metastatic disease, a haemoglobin concentration of ≥8 g/dL, and were scheduled to undergo surgical resection.

INTERVENTIONS

Random assignment to extended duration thromboprophylaxis using daily subcutaneous tinzaparin at 4500 IU, beginning at decision to operate and continuing for 56 days postoperatively, compared with in-patient postoperative thromboprophylaxis only.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome was disease-free survival at three years, defined as survival without locoregional recurrence, distant metastases, second primary (same cancer), second primary (other cancer), or death. Secondary outcomes included venous thromboembolism, postoperative major bleeding complications, and five year overall survival. Analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population.

RESULTS

The trial stopped recruitment prematurely after the interim analysis for futility. The primary outcome occurred in 235 (77%) of 307 patients in the extended duration group and in 243 (79%) of 307 patients in the in-hospital thromboprophylaxis group (hazard ratio 1.1, 95% confidence interval 0.90 to 1.33; P=0.4). Postoperative venous thromboembolism occurred in five patients (2%) in the extended duration group and in four patients (1%) in the in-hospital thromboprophylaxis group (P=0.8). Major surgery related bleeding in the first postoperative week was reported in one person (<1%) in the extended duration and in six people (2%) in the in-hospital thromboprophylaxis group (P=0.1). No difference was noted for overall survival at five years in 272 (89%) patients in the extended duration group and 280 (91%) patients in the in-hospital thromboprophylaxis group (hazard ratio 1.12; 95% confidence interval 0.72 to 1.76; P=0.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Extended duration to perioperative anticoagulation with tinzaparin did not improve disease-free survival or overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer undergoing surgical resection compared with in-patient postoperative thromboprophylaxis alone. The incidences of venous thromboembolism and postoperative major bleeding were low and similar between groups.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01455831.

A clinical decision support system optimising adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal cancers by integrating deep learning and pathological staging markers: a development and validation study

BACKGROUND

The DoMore-v1-CRC marker was recently developed using deep learning and conventional haematoxylin and eosin-stained tissue sections, and was observed to outperform established molecular and morphological markers of patient outcome after primary colorectal cancer resection. The aim of the present study was to develop a clinical decision support system based on DoMore-v1-CRC and pathological staging markers to facilitate individualised selection of adjuvant treatment.

METHODS

We estimated cancer-specific survival in subgroups formed by pathological tumour stage (pT<4 or pT4), pathological nodal stage (pN0, pN1, or pN2), number of lymph nodes sampled (≤12 or >12) if not pN2, and DoMore-v1-CRC classification (good, uncertain, or poor prognosis) in 997 patients with stage II or III colorectal cancer considered to have no residual tumour (R0) from two community-based cohorts in Norway and the UK, and used these data to define three risk groups. An external cohort of 1075 patients with stage II or III R0 colorectal cancer from the QUASAR 2 trial was used for validation; these patients were treated with single-agent capecitabine. The proposed risk stratification system was evaluated using Cox regression analysis. We similarly evaluated a risk stratification system intended to reflect current guidelines and clinical practice. The primary outcome was cancer-specific survival.

FINDINGS

The new risk stratification system provided a hazard ratio of 10·71 (95% CI 6·39-17·93; p<0·0001) for high-risk versus low-risk patients and 3·06 (1·73-5·42; p=0·0001) for intermediate versus low risk in the primary analysis of the validation cohort. Estimated 3-year cancer-specific survival was 97·2% (95% CI 95·1-98·4; n=445 [41%]) for the low-risk group, 94·8% (91·7-96·7; n=339 [32%]) for the intermediate-risk group, and 77·6% (72·1-82·1; n=291 [27%]) for the high-risk group. The guideline-based risk grouping was observed to be less prognostic and informative (the low-risk group comprised only 142 [13%] of the 1075 patients).

INTERPRETATION

Integrating DoMore-v1-CRC and pathological staging markers provided a clinical decision support system that risk stratifies more accurately than its constituent elements, and identifies substantially more patients with stage II and III colorectal cancer with similarly good prognosis as the low-risk group in current guidelines. Avoiding adjuvant chemotherapy in these patients might be safe, and could reduce morbidity, mortality, and treatment costs.

FUNDING

The Research Council of Norway.

Preoperative data-based deep learning model for predicting postoperative survival in pancreatic cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a poor prognosis even after curative resection. A deep learning-based stratification of postoperative survival in the preoperative setting may aid the treatment decisions for improving prognosis. This study was aimed to develop a deep learning model based on preoperative data for predicting postoperative survival.

METHODS

The patients who underwent surgery for PDAC between January 2014 and May 2015. Clinical data-based machine learning models and computed tomography (CT) data-based deep learning models were developed separately, and ensemble learning was utilized to combine two models. The primary outcomes were the prediction of 2-year overall survival (OS) and 1-year recurrence-free survival (RFS). The model's performance was measured by area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and was compared with that of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th stage.

RESULTS

The median OS and RFS were 23 and 10 months in training dataset (n = 229), and 22 and 11 months in test dataset (n = 53), respectively. The AUC of the ensemble model for predicting 2-year OS and 1-year RFS in the test dataset was 0.76 and 0.74, respectively. The performance of the ensemble model was comparable to that of the AJCC in predicting 2-year OS (AUC, 0.67; P = 0.35) and superior to the AJCC in predicting 1-year RFS (AUC, 0.54; P = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

and relevance: Our ensemble model based on routine preoperative variables showed good performance for predicting prognosis for PDAC patients after surgery.

The Effect of Metabolic Syndrome on Colorectal Cancer Prognosis after Primary Surgery

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to explore whether metabolic syndrome (MetS) affects the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients after primary surgery and to analyze the effect of the specific components of MetS on CRC prognosis.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were searched from inception to July 29, 2021. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared between the MetS group and the non-MetS group.

RESULTS

The studies included in the meta-analysis included 4773 patients. All seven studies compared OS between the two groups, and after pooling all hazard ratios (HRs), no significant difference was found between the MetS group and the non-MetS group (HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.91 to 1.49, P = 0.21). Four studies compared DFS between the MetS group and the non-MetS group after pooling all the HRs, and there was no difference between the MetS group and the non-MetS group (HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.74 to 1.49, P = 0.21). Among the specific components of MetS, high fasting plasma glucose levels (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.58, P = 0.05) had a marginally significant association with poor OS.

CONCLUSION

MetS may not affect the prognosis of CRC after primary surgery. However, high fasting plasma glucose levels might contribute to poor OS.

Low-dose aspirin use and colorectal cancer survival in 32,195 patients-A national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Results from previous studies indicate that use of aspirin may improve colorectal cancer (CRC) survival. The aim of this study was to assess whether use of aspirin influences overall survival or CRC-specific survival in an unselected cohort of patients diagnosed with CRC.

METHODS

The study was performed using the Colorectal Cancer Data Base Sweden (CRCBaSe), a mega-linkage originating from the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Register, with additional linkages to other national health care registers. All patients diagnosed with primary CRC stage I-III treated with curative surgery, aged 18-85 years at diagnosis, from 2007 through 2016 were identified. Information on low-dose aspirin use was extracted from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. Exposure was defined as dispensed prescription for at least 6 months. Aspirin exposure was analyzed at the time of surgery (yes/no) and as a time-varying exposure during follow-up. Follow-up was restricted to a maximum 6 years, to model 5-year survival. Cox regression models were fitted to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Adjustments were performed for sex, age, year of diagnosis, Charlson comorbidity index, hypertension, and ASA score as potential confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 32,195 patients diagnosed with CRC were included. 6764 (21%) were exposed to aspirin at the time of CRC surgery. The median time of follow-up was 4.2 years. Aspirin use at the time of surgery was not associated with all-cause (adjusted HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.97-1.08) nor CRC-specific mortality (adjusted HR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.91-1.07). Aspirin use during follow-up was associated with increased all-cause (adjusted HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.04-1.15) but not CRC-specific mortality (adjusted HR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.91-1.06). A CRC-specific effect associated with aspirin was noted from approximately 3 years following surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large nation-wide cohort study there was no convincing association between aspirin use after CRC and OS or CRC-specific survival.

Factors affecting outcome in resected EGFR-mutated lung cancer

INTRODUCTION

Long-term data on disease trajectory of EGFR-mutated early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is still limited. This is relevant in the context of the recently approved introduction of adjuvant EGFR-targeting therapy, specifically osimertinib in resected stage II-III EGFR-mutated NSCLC.

METHODS

Long-term data on patients with resected adenocarcinoma of the lung and known EGFR-status were analysed with focus on site of relapse and detailed cause of death. Patients resected in the period 2006 to 2018 were included.

RESULTS

Of 503 patients (286 (57%) females, median age 67.3 years), 62 (12%) harboured an EGFR-mutation, 286 (57%) were in stage I. After a median follow-up of 8.0 years, 241 (48%) patients relapsed. Recurrence occurred in 30% and 53% of EGFR-positive stage IA and IB patients, respectively. Median overall survival was longer in EGFR-mutated versus non-mutated patients (128 versus 88 months). The recurrence rate, time to recurrence and rate of brain metastases was not different between EGFR-mutated and non-mutated groups. Median time from recurrence to death was longer in EGFR-mutated patients (31 months) compared with non-mutated patients (15 months). More patients without EGFR-mutation succumbed to non-cancer related death (18%) compared to patients with EGFR-mutations (8%).

CONCLUSIONS

The recurrence pattern in EGFR-mutated and non-mutated NSCLC-patients is similar and the rate is high in early stages. Time from recurrence to death and overall survival is longer in the EGFR-mutated group, due to lower risk of non-lung cancer deaths, and efficient treatment upon relapse.

Weighted Gene Coexpression Network Analysis Identifies TBC1D10C as a New Prognostic Biomarker for Breast Cancer

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitors are a promising therapeutic strategy for breast cancer (BRCA) patients. The tumor microenvironment (TME) can downregulate the immune response to cancer therapy. Our study is aimed at finding a TME-related biomarker to identify patients who might respond to immunotherapy.

Method

We downloaded raw data from several databases including TCGA and MDACC to identify TME hub genes associated with overall survival (OS) and the progression-free interval (PFI) by WGCNA. Correlations between hub genes and either tumor-infiltrating immune cells or immune checkpoints were conducted by ssGSEA.

Result

TME-related green and black modules were selected by WGCNA to further screen hub genes. Random forest and univariate and multivariate Cox regressions were applied to screen hub genes (MYO1G, TBC1D10C, SELPLG, and LRRC15) and construct a nomogram to predict the survival of BRCA patients. The C-index for the nomogram was 0.713. A DCA of the predictive model revealed that the net benefit of the nomogram was significantly higher than others and the calibration curve demonstrated a good performance by the nomogram. Only TBC1D10C was correlated with both OS and the PFI (both p values < 0.05). TBC1D10C also had a high positive association with tumor-infiltrating immune cells and common immune checkpoints (PD-1, CTLA-4, and TIGIT).

Conclusion

We constructed a TME-related gene signature model to predict the survival probability of BRCA patients. We also identified a hub gene, TBC1D10C, which was correlated with both OS and the PFI and had a high positive association with tumor-infiltrating immune cells and common immune checkpoints. TBC1D10C may be a new biomarker to select patients who may benefit from immunotherapy.

PD-1 and PD-L1 expression predict regression and prognosis following neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy of oesophageal adenocarcinoma

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Focus on pretherapeutic biopsies of patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

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PD-1 and PDL-1 expression predict response to RCT and prognosis.

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PD-1 expression seems to be a better prognostic marker than PDL-1 expression.

Background and purpose

PD-1 and PD-L1 are involved in anticancer immunosurveillance, and their expression may be predictive for therapeutic effectiveness of specific antibodies. Their influence on response to neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (RCT) and prognosis in patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) remains to be defined.

Materials and methods

Between 10/2004 and 06/2018, complete pre-RCT biopsy-specimens were available from 76 patients with locally advanced, non-metastatic OAC scheduled for trimodality therapy. We evaluated intra- and peritumoural expression of CD8, PD-1 and PD-L1 in pre-treatment specimens to determine their influence on tumour regression grade and survival. PD-1 and PD-L1 expression were considered positive (+) if ≥1% of all cells were stained positive, otherwise negative (-); densities of CD8+ cells were categorized as being high (Hi) or low (Lo) according to the median.

Results

A negative PD-L1 expression in peritumoural cells predicted a poor tumour regression (RD 0.24 [95% CI 0.03–0.44], p = 0.023). A positive PD-1 expression in intra- as well as peritumoural cells was identified as an unfavourable prognostic factor (HR 0.52 [95% CI 0.29–0.93], p = 0.028; HR 0.50 [0.25–0.99], p = 0.047, respectively). With respect to CD8+ infiltration, positive PD-1 and PD-L1 expressions attenuated its favourable prognostic effect in intratumoural area (LoCD8/PD1 + vs. HiCD8/PD1-: HR 0.25 [0.09–0.69], p = 0.007; LoCD8/PDL1+ vs. HiCD8/PDL1-: HR 0.32 [0.12–0.89], p = 0.028) and were associated with negative outcome when seen in peritumoural area (HiCD8/PD1+ vs. LoCD8/PD1-: HR 0.29 [0.11–0.74], p = 0.010); HiCD8/PDL1+ vs. LoCD8/PDL1-: HR 0.33 [0.12–0.90], p = 0.031).

Conclusions

PD-1 and PD-L1 expression were identified to be of predictive and prognostic value in patients with OAC, particularly when considering CD8+ infiltration. Further validation by a large size dataset is required.

Long-Term Outcome in a Phase II Study of Regional Hyperthermia Added to Preoperative Radiochemotherapy in Locally Advanced and Recurrent Rectal Adenocarcinomas

Hyperthermia was added to standard preoperative chemoradiation for rectal adenocarcinomas in a phase II study. Patients with T3-4 N0-2 M0 rectal cancer or local recurrences were included. Radiation dose was 54 Gy combined with capecitabine 825 mg/m2 × 2 daily and once weekly oxaliplatin 55 mg/m2. Regional hyperthermia aimed at 41.5–42.5 °C for 60 min combined with oxaliplatin infusion. Radical surgery with total or extended TME technique, was scheduled at 6–8 weeks after radiation. From April 2003 to April 2008, a total of 49 eligible patients were recruited. Median number of hyperthermia sessions were 5.4. A total of 47 out of 49 patients (96%) had the scheduled surgery, which was clinically radical in 44 patients. Complete tumour regression occurred in 29.8% of the patients who also exhibited statistically significantly better RFS and CSS. Rate of local recurrence alone at 10 years was 9.1%, distant metastases alone occurred in 25.6%, including local recurrences 40.4%. RFS for all patients was 54.8% after 5 years and CSS was 73.5%. Patients with T50 temperatures in tumours above median 39.9 °C had better RFS, 66.7% vs. 31.3%, p = 0.047, indicating a role of hyperthermia. Toxicity was acceptable.

Effectiveness of oral fluoropyrimidine monotherapy as adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer

Purpose

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Spatial analysis and CD25-expression identify regulatory T cells as predictors of a poor prognosis in colorectal cancer

Regulatory T cells (Tregs) are a heterogeneous cell population that can either suppress or stimulate immune responses. Tumor-infiltrating Tregs are associated with an adverse outcome from most cancer types, but have generally been found to be associated with a good prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). We investigated the prognostic heterogeneity of Tregs in CRC by co-expression patterns and spatial analyses with diverse T cell markers, using multiplex fluorescence immunohistochemistry and digital image analysis in two consecutive series of primary CRCs (total n = 1720). Treg infiltration in tumors, scored as FOXP3⁺ or CD4⁺/CD25⁺/FOXP3⁺ (triple-positive) cells, was strongly correlated to the overall amount of CD3⁺ and CD8⁺ T cells, and consequently associated with a favorable 5-year relapse-free survival rate among patients with stage I-III CRC who underwent complete tumor resection. However, high relative expression of the activation marker CD25 in triple-positive Tregs was independently associated with an adverse outcome in a multivariable model incorporating clinicopathological and known molecular prognostic markers (hazard ratio = 1.35, p = 0.028). Furthermore, spatial marker analysis based on Voronoi diagrams and permutation testing of cellular neighborhoods revealed a statistically significant proximity between Tregs and CD8⁺-cells in 18% of patients, and this was independently associated with a poor survival (multivariable hazard ratio = 1.36, p = 0.017). These results show prognostic heterogeneity of different Treg populations in primary CRC, and highlight the importance of multi-marker and spatial analyses for accurate immunophenotyping of tumors in relation to patient outcome.

Multiple Survival Outcome Prediction of Glioblastoma Patients Based on Multiparametric MRI

PURPOSE

Construction of radiomics models for the individualized estimation of multiple survival stratification in glioblastoma (GBM) patients using the multiregional information extracted from multiparametric MRI that could facilitate clinical decision-making for GBM patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 134 eligible GBM patients were selected from The Cancer Genome Atlas. These patients were separated into the long-term and short-term survival groups according to the median of individual survival indicators: overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and disease-specific survival (DSS). Then, the patients were divided into a training set and a validation set in a ratio of 2:1. Radiomics features (n = 5,152) were extracted from multiple regions of the GBM using multiparametric MRI. Then, radiomics signatures that are related to the three survival indicators were respectively constructed using the analysis of variance (ANOVA) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression for each patient in the training set. Based on a Cox proportional hazards model, the radiomics model was further constructed by combining the signature and clinical risk factors.

RESULTS

The constructed radiomics model showed a promising discrimination ability to differentiate in the training set and validation set of GBM patients with survival indicators of OS, PFS, and DSS. Both the four MRI modalities and five tumor subregions have different effects on the three survival indicators of GBM. The favorable calibration and decision curve analysis indicated the clinical decision value of the radiomics model. The performance of models of the three survival indicators was different but excellent; the best model achieved C indexes of 0.725, 0.677, and 0.724, respectively, in the validation set.

CONCLUSION

Our results show that the proposed radiomics models have favorable predictive accuracy on three survival indicators and can provide individualized probabilities of survival stratification for GBM patients by using multiparametric and multiregional MRI features.