Treatment Outcomes in Adult Tuberculous Meningitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Comparative evaluation of intensified short course regimen and standard regimen for adults TB meningitis: a protocol for an open label, multi-center, parallel arms, randomized controlled superiority trial (INSHORT trial)

BACKGROUND

Despite several incremental improvements in the management of tuberculous meningitis (TBM), the mortality rates remain high. In spite of national and international guidelines, variation in the choice, dose, and duration of drugs exist between countries and clinicians. We propose to evaluate a shorter and more effective regimen containing agents with augmented intracerebral drug exposure and anti-inflammatory approaches to improve disability-free survival among patients with TBM. Our strategy incorporates the various developments in the field of TBM over the last two decades and only few trials have evaluated a composite of these strategies in the overall outcomes of TBM.

METHODS

An open label, parallel arms, randomized controlled superiority trial will be conducted among 372 participants across 6 sites in India. Eligible participants will be randomly allocated in 1:1:1 ratio into one of the three arms. The intervention arm consists of 2 months of high-dose rifampicin (25 mg/kg), moxifloxacin (400 mg), pyrazinamide, isoniazid, aspirin (150 mg), and steroids followed by rifampicin, isoniazid, and pyrazinamide for 4 months. The second intervention arm includes all the drugs as per the first arm except aspirin and the patients in the control arm will receive treatment according to the National TB Elimination Program guidelines. All participants will be followed up for 1 year after the treatment.  DISCUSSION: Current WHO regimens have agents with poor central nervous system drug exposure and is too long. It does not reflect the accumulating evidence in the field. We propose a comprehensive clinical trial incorporating the emerging evidence accrued over the last two decades to shorten the duration and improve the treatment outcomes. This multi-centric trial may generate crucial evidence with policy and practice implications in the treatment of TBM.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinical Trial Registry India CTRI/2023/05/053314. Registered on 31 May 2023 ( https://ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pmaindet2.php?EncHid=ODYzMzg=&Enc=&userName=CTRI/2023/05/053314 ).

CLINICALTRIALS

gov NCT05917340. Registered on 6 August 2023 ( https://classic.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov/ct2/show/NCT05917340 ).

PROTOCOL VERSION

Version 1.3 dated 12 July 2023.

Mortality and sequelae of tuberculous meningitis in a high-resource setting: A cohort study, 1990-2017

INTRODUCTION

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM), the most serious form of tuberculosis, results in high mortality and long-term disability in low-resource countries. We investigated temporal trends in mortality and sequelae in a high-resource low-incidence country.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of all adult patients with TBM at two third-level teaching hospitals in Barcelona (Spain), between January 1990 and December 2017, assessing temporal trends in mortality and sequelae after 12 months over four consecutive 7-year time windows. Rates observed across the four periods were adjusted for covariates.

RESULTS

Of the 135 cases included, all but one started tuberculosis (TB) treatment and 120 (89.6%) received rifampicin, isoniazid, and pyrazinamide, with or without ethambutol. The probability of being alive at month 12 was 81.8%, with no differences among the four periods: in comparison with the 1990-1996 period, the adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were 2.55 (0.71-9.25), 0.70 (0.13-3.85), and 1.29 (0.28-5.91) for the 1997-2003, 2004-2010, and 2011-2017 periods respectively. Sequelae were present in 28.3% at month 12, with no differences across the four periods in the adjusted analysis: in comparison with the 1990-1996 period, the odds ratios and 95% CIs were 0.80 (0.09-7.22); 1.94 (0.21-17.96), and 2.42 (0.25-23.07) for the 1997-2003, 2004-2010, and 2011-2017 periods respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that TBM still causes high mortality and disability even in a high-resource low-incidence TB setting and without improvement over time.

Systemic and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers for tuberculous meningitis identification and treatment monitoring

IMPORTANCE

Tuberculous meningitis is a life-threatening infection with high mortality and disability rates. Current diagnostic methods using cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples have limited sensitivity and lack predictive biomarkers for evaluating prognosis. This study's findings reveal excessive activation of the immune response during tuberculous meningitis (TBM) infection. Notably, a strong negative correlation was observed between CSF levels of monokine induced by interferon-γ (MIG) and the CSF/blood glucose ratio in TBM patients. MIG also exhibited the highest area under the curve with high sensitivity and specificity. This study suggests that MIG may serve as a novel biomarker for differentiating TBM infection in CSF or serum, potentially leading to improved diagnostic accuracy and better patient outcomes.

Surgery for Central Nervous System Tuberculosis in Children

Tuberculosis (TB) is the second most common cause of death due to a single infectious agent worldwide after COVID-19. Central nervous system tuberculosis is widely prevalent in the world, especially in the developing countries and continues to be a socioeconomic problem. It is highly devastating form of tuberculosis leading to unacceptable levels of morbidity and mortality despite appropriate antitubercular therapy. The clinical symptoms are varied and nonspecific. They can be easily overlooked. Tuberculous meningitis is the most common presentation and its sequelae viz. vasculitis, infarction and hydrocephalus can be devastating. The ensuing cognitive, intellectual, and endocrinological outcome can be a significant source of morbidity and mortality, especially in resource constrained countries. Early diagnosis and treatment of tuberculous meningitis and institution of treatment is helpful in limiting the course of disease process. The diagnosis of CNS tuberculosis remains a formidable diagnostic challenge. The microbiological methods alone cannot be relied upon. CSF diversion procedures need to be performed at the appropriate time in order to achieve good outcomes. Tuberculous pachymeningitis and arachnoiditis are morbid sequelae of tuberculous meningitis. Tuberculomas present as mass lesions in the craniospinal axis. Tuberculous abscess can mimic pyogenic abscess and requires high index of suspicion. Calvarial tuberculosis is seen in children and responds well to antituberculous chemotherapy. Tuberculosis of the spinal cord is seen similar to intracranial tuberculosis in pathogenesis but with its own unique clinical manifestations and management. Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis is a formidable problem, and alternate chemotherapy should be promptly instituted. The pathogenesis, clinical features, diagnosis, and management of central nervous system tuberculosis in children are summarized. Heightened clinical suspicion is paramount to ensure prompt investigation. Early diagnosis and treatment are essential to a gratifying outcome and prevent complications.

Advancing Diagnosis and Treatment in People Living with HIV and Tuberculosis Meningitis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the most severe form of tuberculosis. Inadequate diagnostic testing and treatment regimens adapted from pulmonary tuberculosis without consideration of the unique nature of TBM are among the potential drivers. This review focuses on the progress being made in relation to both diagnosis and treatment of TBM, emphasizing promising future directions.

RECENT FINDINGS

The molecular assay GeneXpert MTB/Rif Ultra has improved sensitivity but has inadequate negative predictive value to "rule-out" TBM. Evaluations of tests focused on the host response and bacterial components are ongoing. Clinical trials are in progress to explore the roles of rifampin, fluoroquinolones, linezolid, and adjunctive aspirin. Though diagnosis has improved, novel modalities are being explored to improve the rapid diagnosis of TBM. Multiple ongoing clinical trials may change current therapies for TBM in the near future.

Clinical characteristics of tuberculous meningitis in older patients compared with younger and middle-aged patients: a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Few studies have analyzed the clinical characteristics and adverse factors affecting prognosis in older patients with tuberculous meningitis (TBM). This study aimed to compare the clinical characteristics of TBM in older patients with those in younger and middle-aged patients.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective study extracted data on the clinical features, cerebrospinal fluid changes, laboratory results, imaging features, and outcomes of patients with TBM from patient medical records and compared the findings in older patients (aged 60 years and older) with those of younger and middle-aged patients (aged 18-59 years).

RESULTS

The study included 197 patients with TBM, comprising 21 older patients aged 60-76 years at onset, and 176 younger and middle-aged patients aged 18-59 years at onset. Fever was common in both older (81%) and younger and middle-aged patients (79%). Compared with younger and middle-aged patients, older patients were more likely to have changes in awareness levels (67% vs. 40%), peripheral nerve dysfunction (57% vs. 29%), changes in cognitive function (48% vs. 20%), and focal seizures (33% vs. 6%), and less likely to have headache (71% vs. 93%), neck stiffness on meningeal stimulation (38% vs. 62%), and vomiting (47% vs. 68%). The Medical Research Council staging on admission of older patients was stage II (52%) and stage III (38%), whereas most younger and middle-aged patients had stage I (33%) and stage II (55%) disease. Neurological function evaluated on the 28th day of hospitalization was more likely to show poor prognosis in older patients than in younger and middle-aged patients (76% vs. 25%). Older patients had significantly higher red blood cell counts and blood glucose levels, and significantly lower serum albumin and sodium levels than those in younger and middle-aged patients. The cerebrospinal fluid protein levels, nucleated cell counts, glucose levels, and chloride levels did not differ significantly by age.

CONCLUSION

In patients with TBM, older patients have more severe clinical manifestations, a higher incidence of hydrocephalus and cerebral infarction, and longer hospital stays than younger and middle-aged patients. Older patients thus require special clinical attention.

Liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry analysis of delamanid and its metabolite in human cerebrospinal fluid using protein precipitation and on-line solid-phase extraction

The penetration of the antituberculosis drug delamanid into the central nervous system is not established. The distribution of delamanid and its major metabolite, DM-6705, into the cerebrospinal fluid requires investigation. A liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry method for the quantification of delamanid and DM-6705 in human cerebrospinal fluid was developed and validated. The calibration range for both analytes was 0.300 - 30.0 ng/mL. The deuterium-labelled analogue of delamanid (delamanid-d4) and OPC-14714 were used as internal standards for delamanid and DM-6705, respectively. Samples were processed by protein precipitation followed by on-line solid-phase extraction and high-performance liquid chromatography on an Agilent 1260 HPLC system. A Phenomenex Gemini-NX C18 (5.0 µm, 50 mm × 2.0 mm) analytical column was used for on-line solid-phase extraction, and a Waters Xterra MS C18 (5.0 µm, 100 mm × 2.1 mm) analytical column for chromatographic separation using gradient elution, at a flow rate of 300 µL/min. The total run time was 7.5 min. Analytes were detected by multiple reaction monitoring on an AB Sciex 5500 triple quadrupole mass spectrometer at unit mass resolution, with electrospray ionization in the positive mode. Accuracy and precision were assessed over three independent validation batches. Extraction recoveries were more than 98% and were consistent across the analytical range. Both analytes in CSF exhibited non-specific adsorption to polypropylene tubes. The method was used to analyse cerebrospinal fluid samples from patients with pulmonary tuberculosis in an exploratory pharmacokinetic study.

Post-TB health and wellbeing

TB affects around 10.6 million people each year and there are now around 155 million TB survivors. TB and its treatments can lead to permanently impaired health and wellbeing. In 2019, representatives of TB affected communities attending the '1st International Post-Tuberculosis Symposium´ called for the development of clinical guidance on these issues. This clinical statement on post-TB health and wellbeing responds to this call and builds on the work of the symposium, which brought together TB survivors, healthcare professionals and researchers. Our document offers expert opinion and, where possible, evidence-based guidance to aid clinicians in the diagnosis and management of post-TB conditions and research in this field. It covers all aspects of post-TB, including economic, social and psychological wellbeing, post TB lung disease (PTLD), cardiovascular and pericardial disease, neurological disability, effects in adolescents and children, and future research needs.

Microbiological diagnosis and mortality of tuberculosis meningitis: Systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) which is caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis poses a significant public health global treat. Tuberculosis meningitis (TBM) accounts for approximately 1% of all active TB cases. The diagnosis of Tuberculosis meningitis is notably difficult due to its rapid onset, nonspecific symptoms, and the difficulty of detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). In 2019, 78,200 adults died of TB meningitis. This study aimed to assess the microbiological diagnosis TB meningitis using CSF and estimated the risk of death from TBM.

METHODS

Relevant electronic databases and gray literature sources were searched for studies that reported presumed TBM patients. The quality of included studies was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal tools designed for prevalence studies. Data were summarized using Microsoft excel ver 16. The proportion of culture confirmed TBM, prevalence of drug resistance and risk of death were calculated using the random-effect model. Stata version 16.0 was used perform the statistical analysis. Moreover, subgroup analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

After systematic searching and quality assessment, 31 studies were included in the final analysis. Ninety percent of the included studies were retrospective studies in design. The overall pooled estimates of CSF culture positive TBM was 29.72% (95% CI; 21.42-38.02). The pooled prevalence of MDR-TB among culture positive TBM cases was 5.19% (95% CI; 3.12-7.25). While, the proportion of INH mono-resistance was 9.37% (95% CI; 7.03-11.71). The pooled estimate of case fatality rate among confirmed TBM cases was 20.42% (95%CI; 14.81-26.03). Based on sub group analysis, the pooled case fatality rate among HIV positive and HIV negative TBM individuals was 53.39% (95%CI; 40.55-66.24) and 21.65% (95%CI;4.27-39.03) respectively.

CONCLUSION

Definite diagnosis of TBM still remains global treat. Microbiological confirmation of TBM is not always achievable. Early microbiological confirmation of TBM has great importance to reduce mortality. There was high rate of MDR-TB among confirmed TBM patients. All TB meningitis isolates should be cultured and drug susceptibility tested using standard techniques.

Pregnancy-Related Tuberculous Meningitis and Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome: A Case Series and Systematic Review

Background

Tuberculosis is a leading cause of death among women of reproductive age. However, tuberculous meningitis, the most severe form of extrapulmonary tuberculosis, is rarely discussed in pregnancy despite this being a unique period of immune modulation that may predispose women to active disease.

Methods

We identified and described cases of tuberculous meningitis among pregnant or postpartum women screened during meningitis clinical trials in Uganda from 2018 to 2022. We conducted a systematic literature review via PubMed/Medline and Embase for all English-language publications from 1970 to 10 July 2022, to identify additional cases.

Results

We identified 8 cases of pregnancy-related tuberculous meningitis in Ugandan women living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and 40 additional cases via systematic literature review (none HIV-positive). Of all combined cases, 50% (24/48) were diagnosed postpartum; 50% (24/48) had initial onset during pregnancy, of which 38% (9/24) had worsening of symptoms or disease relapse following pregnancy cessation. Diagnosis was missed or delayed in 33% (16/48) of cases. For those with known outcomes, maternal mortality was 23% (11/48) and fetal/neonatal mortality was 30% (13/44). Of maternal survivors, 30% (11/37) had residual neurologic deficits.

Conclusions

The true incidence of tuberculous meningitis in pregnancy or the postpartum period is unclear but likely underappreciated. To date, nearly all published cases have occurred in HIV-negative or otherwise immunocompetent women. Given the well-described physiological immunosuppression during pregnancy and subsequent reconstitution postpartum, physicians must be aware of tuberculous meningitis and pregnancy-related immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome, especially in countries with a high burden of tuberculosis and in women living with HIV.

Cerebrospinal fluid AFB smear in adults with tuberculous meningitis: A systematic review and diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) Ziehl-Neelsen acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear is a rapid, cheap, widely available test for tuberculous meningitis (TBM). Yet, reported test sensitivity is highly variable. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis for CSF AFB smear vs. other mycobacterial tests to diagnose TBM.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase for studies reporting sensitivity and specificity of AFB smear against mycobacterial tests (reference standard) in adults (≥15 years) with suspected TBM. We used the QUADAS-2 tool to assess risk of bias. We estimated pooled sensitivity and specificity of AFB smear versus the reference standard using random-effects bivariate modeling. We used the I² statistic to assess heterogeneity between studies.

RESULTS

Of 981 articles identified, 11 were eligible for inclusion with a total of 1713 participants. Seven studies were from high-TB burden settings and 4 from low-TB burden settings. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of CSF AFB smear were 8% (95%CI 3-21) and 100% (95%CI 90-100), with substantial heterogeneity in diagnostic performance (I² >95% for both) and reference standards.

CONCLUSION

CSF AFB smear has poor sensitivity in most settings. If other more sensitive tests are available, those should be used preferentially rather than CSF AFB smear.

Long term outcomes of patients with tuberculous meningitis: The impact of drug resistance

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the impact of drug-resistance on clinical outcomes among patients with tuberculosis meningitis (TBM).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study among patients treated for TBM in Tbilisi, Georgia. We performed medical chart abstraction to collect patient data. Long-term vital status was assessed using the Georgia National Death Registry. We utilized a Cox proportional-hazards model to evaluate the association of drug-resistance and mortality.

RESULTS

Among 343 TBM suspects, 237 had a presentation consistent with TBM. Drug resistance was suspected (n = 5) or confirmed (n = 31) in 36 patients including 30 with multidrug- or rifampin-resistance and 6 with isoniazid-resistance. Thirty-four patients had HIV. The median follow-up time was 1331 days (IQR, 852-1767). Overall, 73 of 237 (30%) people died with 50 deaths occurring during and 23 after treatment. The proportion of death was higher among patients with drug-resistant vs. drug-susceptible disease (67% vs. 24%, p<0.001) and with HIV versus no HIV (59% vs 27%, p<0.001). Mortality was significantly higher in patients with drug-resistant TBM after 90 days of treatment (aHR = 7.2, CI95% [3.6-14.3], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality was high among patients with drug-resistant TBM with many deaths occurring post treatment. More effective treatment options are urgently needed for drug-resistant TBM.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Cerebrospinal Fluid Lactate and Glucose in HIV-Associated Tuberculosis Meningitis

The role of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) lactate in tuberculosis meningitis (TBM) diagnosis and prognosis is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of CSF lactate alone and in combination with CSF glucose in predicting a diagnosis of TBM and 14-day survival. HIV-positive Ugandan adults were investigated for suspected meningitis. The baseline CSF tests included smear microscopy; Gram stain; cell count; protein; and point-of-care glucose, lactate, and cryptococcal antigen (CrAg) assays. Where CrAg was negative or there was suspicion of TBM, a CSF Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert Ultra) test was performed. We recorded baseline demographic and clinical data and 2-week outcomes. Of 667 patients, 25% (n = 166) had TBM, and of these, 49 had definite, 47 probable, and 70 possible TBM. CSF lactate was higher in patients with definite TBM (8.0 mmol/L; interquartile ratio [IQR], 6.1 to 9.8 mmol/L) than in those with probable TBM (3.4 [IQR, 2.5 to 7.0] mmol/L), possible TBM (2.6 [IQR 2.1 to 3.8] mmol/L), and non-TBM disease (3.5 [IQR 2.5 to 5.0] mmol/L). A 2-fold increase in CSF lactate was associated with 8-fold increased odds of definite TBM (odds ratio, 8.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6 to 19.1; P < 0.01) and 2-fold increased odds of definite/probable TBM (odds ratio, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.7; P < 0.001). At a cut point of >5.5 mmol/L, CSF lactate could be used to diagnose definite TBM with a sensitivity of 87.7%, specificity of 80.7%, and a negative predictive value of 98.8%. CSF lactate was not predictive of 2-week mortality.

IMPORTANCE Tuberculosis meningitis (TBM) is the most severe form of tuberculosis, and its fatality is largely due to delays in diagnosis. The role of CSF lactate has not been evaluated in patients with HIV presenting with signs and symptoms of meningitis. In this study, using a point-of-care handheld lactate machine in patients with HIV-associated meningitis, we showed that high baseline CSF lactate (>5.5 mmol) may be used to rapidly identify patients with TBM and shorten the time to initiate treatment with a similar performance to the Xpert Ultra assay for definite TBM. Elevated CSF lactate levels, however, were not associated with increased 2-week mortality in patients with HIV-associated TBM. Due to moderate specificity, other etiologies of meningitis should be investigated.

Improving Technology to Diagnose Tuberculous Meningitis: Are We There Yet?

Diagnosis of tuberculous meningitis (TBM) remains challenging due to a paucity of high-performance diagnostics. Even those that have reasonable sensitivity are not adequate to 'rule out' TBM. Therefore, a combination of clinical factors alongside microbiological, molecular, and radiological investigations are utilized, depending on availability. A low threshold for starting empiric therapy in the appropriate clinical scenario remains crucial for good outcomes in many cases. Herein, we review the current TBM diagnostics landscape with a focus on limitations frequently encountered, such as diagnostic test performance, cost, laboratory infrastructure, and clinical expertise. Though molecular technologies, particularly GeneXpert MTB/Rif Ultra, have been a step forward, diagnosis of TBM remains difficult. We also provide an overview of promising technologies, such as cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) lactate, a new lipoarabinomannan test (FujiLAM), metagenomic next-generation sequencing, and transcriptomics that may further improve our TBM diagnostic capacity and lead to better outcomes.

Neurocognitive outcomes of tuberculous meningitis in a primarily HIV-positive Ugandan cohort

Background: The toll of tuberculous meningitis (TBM) in both mortality and disability is considerable, but advancements in rehabilitation have the potential to improve the functional abilities and the quality of survivors' lives. However, the typical phenotype of neurocognitive impairment in TBM survivors remains unstudied in HIV-predominant populations in sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: We tested 36 survivors of TBM in Uganda with a comprehensive battery of neurocognitive assessments at 8 and 24 weeks after diagnosis, and compared results to a representative cohort of HIV-uninfected Ugandans. Results: While participants had a broad range of impairments at eight weeks, there was marked improvement by 24 weeks, when a phenotype of impairment including deficits in motor functioning, verbal learning and memory, processing speed, and executive function emerged. These deficits were present despite good clinician-rated functional status. The majority (23/27, 85%) had evidence of moderate to severe depression at week 8, and at week 24 (18/24, 75%). Conclusion: These findings highlight the need for more comprehensive neurocognitive assessment in the survivors of TBM, and further investment in and study of rehabilitation, including management of depression, to improve long-term outcomes in this population.

Neurocognitive outcomes of HIV-associated tuberculous meningitis

Background: The toll of tuberculous meningitis (TBM) in both mortality and disability is considerable, but advancements in rehabilitation have the potential to improve the functional abilities and the quality of survivors' lives. However, the typical phenotype of neurocognitive impairment in TBM survivors remains unstudied in HIV-predominant populations in sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: We tested 36 survivors of TBM in Uganda with a comprehensive battery of neurocognitive assessments at 8 and 24 weeks after diagnosis, and compared results to a representative cohort of HIV-uninfected Ugandans. Results: While participants had a broad range of impairments at eight weeks, there was marked improvement by 24 weeks, when a phenotype of impairment including deficits in motor functioning, verbal learning and memory, processing speed, and executive function emerged. These deficits were present despite good clinician-rated functional status. The majority (23/27, 85%) had evidence of moderate to severe depression at week 8, and at week 24 (18/24, 75%). Conclusion: These findings highlight the need for more comprehensive neurocognitive assessment in the survivors of TBM, and further investment in and study of rehabilitation, including management of depression, to improve long-term outcomes in this population.

Prognostic factors of adult tuberculous meningitis in intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study in East China

BACKGROUND

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the most lethal form of tuberculosis worldwide. Data on critically ill TBM patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) of China are lacking. We tried to identify prognostic factors of adult TBM patients admitted to ICU in China.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study on adult TBM in ICU between January 2008 and April 2018. Factors associated with unfavorable outcomes at 28 days were identified by logistic regression. Factors associated with 1-year mortality were studied by Cox proportional hazards modeling.

RESULTS

Eighty adult patients diagnosed with TBM (age 38.5 (18-79) years, 45 (56 %) males) were included in the study. An unfavorable outcome was observed in 39 (49 %) patients and were independently associated with Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II > 23 (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 5.57, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.55-19.97), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) > 8 (aOR 9.74, 95 % CI 1.46-64.88), and mechanical ventilation (aOR 18.33, 95 % CI 3.15-106.80). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified two factors associated with 1-year mortality: APACHE II > 23 (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 4.83; 95 % CI 2.21-10.55), and mechanical ventilation (aHR 9.71; 95 % CI 2.31-40.87).

CONCLUSIONS

For the most severe adult TBM patients of Medical Research Council (MRC) stage III, common clinical factors aren't effective enough to predict outcomes. Our study demonstrates that the widely used APACHE II and SOFA scores on admission can be used to predict short-term outcomes, while APACHE II could also be used to predict long-term outcomes of adult patients with TBM in ICU.

Elevated cerebrospinal fluid cytokine levels in tuberculous meningitis predict survival in response to dexamethasone

Adjunctive treatment with antiinflammatory corticosteroids like dexamethasone increases survival in tuberculosis meningitis. Dexamethasone responsiveness associates with a C/T variant in Leukotriene A4 Hydrolase (LTA4H), which regulates expression of the proinflammatory mediator leukotriene B4 (LTB4). TT homozygotes, with increased expression of LTA4H, have the highest survival when treated with dexamethasone and the lowest survival without. While the T allele is present in only a minority of the world's population, corticosteroids confer modest survival benefit worldwide. Using Bayesian methods, we examined how pretreatment levels of cerebrospinal fluid proinflammatory cytokines affect survival in dexamethasone-treated tuberculous meningitis. LTA4H TT homozygosity was associated with global cytokine increases, including tumor necrosis factor. Association between higher cytokine levels and survival extended to non-TT patients, suggesting that other genetic variants may also induce dexamethasone-responsive pathological inflammation. These findings warrant studies that tailor dexamethasone therapy to pretreatment cerebrospinal fluid cytokine concentrations, while searching for additional genetic loci shaping the inflammatory milieu.

A Bayesian analysis of the association between Leukotriene A4 Hydrolase genotype and survival in tuberculous meningitis

Tuberculous meningitis has high mortality, linked to excessive inflammation. However, adjunctive anti-inflammatory corticosteroids reduce mortality by only 30%, suggesting that inflammatory pathophysiology causes only a subset of deaths. In Vietnam, the survival benefit of anti-inflammatory corticosteroids was most pronounced in patients with a C/T promoter variant in the leukotriene A₄ hydrolase (LTA4H) gene encoding an enzyme that regulates inflammatory eicosanoids. LTA4H TT patients with increased expression had increased survival, consistent with corticosteroids benefiting individuals with hyper-inflammatory responses. However, an Indonesia study did not find an LTA4H TT genotype survival benefit. Here using Bayesian methods to analyse both studies, we find that LTA4H TT genotype confers survival benefit that begins early and continues long-term in both populations. This benefit is nullified in the most severe cases with high early mortality. LTA4H genotyping together with disease severity assessment may target glucocorticoid therapy to patients most likely to benefit from it.

Tuberculous meningitis is a serious infection of the lining of the brain, which affects over 100,000 people a year. Without treatment, it is always fatal: even with proper antibiotics, about a quarter of patients do not survive and many will have permanent brain damage. Overactive inflammation is thought to contribute to this process. Corticosteroid drugs, which dampen the inflammatory process, are therefore often used during treatment. However, they merely reduce mortality by 30%, suggesting that only some people benefit from them.

Two recent studies have linked the genetic makeup of individuals who have tuberculous meningitis to how they respond to corticosteroids. There were, in particular, differences in the LTA4H gene that codes for an inflammation-causing protein. According to these results, only individuals carrying high-inflammation versions of the LTA4H gene would benefit from the treatment. Yet a third study did not find any effect of the genetic background of patients.

All three papers used frequentist statistics to draw their conclusions, only examining the percentage of people who survived in each group. Yet, this type of analysis can miss important details. It also does not work well when the number of patients is small, or when the effectiveness of a drug varies during the course of an illness.

Another method, called Bayesian statistics, can perform better under these limitations. In particular, it takes into account the probability of an event based on prior knowledge – for instance, that the risk of dying varies smoothly with time.

Here, Whitworth et al. used Bayesian statistics to reanalyse the data from these studies, demonstrating that death rates were correlated with the type of LTA4H gene carried by patients. In particular, corticosteroid treatment worked best for people with the high inflammation versions of the gene. However, regardless of genetic background, corticosteroids were not effective if patients were extremely sick before being treated.

The work by Whitworth et al. demonstrates the importance of using Bayesian statistics to examine the effectiveness of medical treatments. It could help to design better protocols for tuberculous meningitis treatment, tailored to the genetic makeup of patients.

The global burden of tuberculous meningitis in adults: A modelling study

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the most lethal form of tuberculosis. The incidence and mortality of TBM is unknown due to diagnostic challenges and limited disaggregated reporting of treated TBM by existing surveillance systems. We aimed to estimate the incidence and mortality of TBM in adults (15+ years) globally. Using national surveillance data from Brazil, South Africa, the United Kingdom, the United States of America, and Vietnam, we estimated the fraction of reported tuberculosis that is TBM, and the case fatality ratios for treated TBM in each of these countries. We adjusted these estimates according to findings from a systematic review and meta-analysis and applied them to World Health Organization tuberculosis notifications and estimates to model the global TBM incidence and mortality. Assuming the case detection ratio (CDR) for TBM was the same as all TB, we estimated that in 2019, 164,000 (95% UI; 129,000-199,000) adults developed TBM globally; 23% were among people living with HIV. Almost 60% of incident TBM occurred in males and 20% were in adults 25-34 years old. 70% of global TBM incidence occurred in Southeast Asia and Africa. We estimated that 78,200 (95% UI; 52,300-104,000) adults died of TBM in 2019, representing 48% of incident TBM. TBM case fatality in those treated was on average 27%. Sensitivity analysis assuming improved detection of TBM compared to other forms of TB (CDR odds ratio of 2) reduced estimated global mortality to 54,900 (95% UI; 32,200-77,700); assuming instead worse detection for TBM (CDR odds ratio of 0.5) increased estimated mortality to 125,000 (95% UI; 88,800-161,000). Our results highlight the need for improved routine TBM monitoring, especially in high burden countries. Reducing TBM incidence and mortality will be necessary to achieve the End TB Strategy targets.

Disseminated Mycobacterium bovis Infection Complicated by Meningitis and Stroke: A Case Report

We describe a case of a 19-year-old female presenting with Mycobacterium bovis meningitis, a rarely encountered infection. We discuss the use of pyrosequencing to aid in prompt diagnosis of M. bovis infection, as well as treatment strategies and challenges given the organism’s intrinsic resistance to pyrazinamide.