Glasgow Coma Scale in the prediction of outcome after early aneurysm surgery

Validation of the accuracy of the modified World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies subarachnoid hemorrhage grading scale for predicting the outcomes of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Evaluating the prognosis of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) who may be at risk of poor outcomes using grading systems is one way to make a better decision on treatment for these patients. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of the modified World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS), WFNS, and Hunt and Hess (H&H) Grading Scales in predicting the outcomes of patients with aSAH.

METHODS

From August 2019 to June 2021, we conducted a multicenter prospective cohort study on adult patients with aSAH in three central hospitals in Hanoi, Vietnam. The primary outcome was the 90-day poor outcome, measured by a score of 4 (moderately severe disability) to 6 (death) on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). We calculated the areas under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve (AUROCs) to determine how well the grading scales could predict patient prognosis upon admission. We also used ROC curve analysis to find the best cut-off value for each scale. We compared AUROCs using Z-statistics and compared 90-day mean mRS scores among intergrades using the pairwise multiple-comparison test. Finally, we used logistic regression to identify factors associated with the 90-day poor outcome.

RESULTS

Of 415 patients, 32% had a 90-day poor outcome. The modified WFNS (AUROC: 0.839 [95% confidence interval, CI: 0.795-0.883]; cut-off value≥2.50; PAUROC<0.001), WFNS (AUROC: 0.837 [95% CI: 0.793-0.881]; cut-off value≥3.5; PAUROC<0.001), and H&H scales (AUROC: 0.836 [95% CI: 0.791-0.881]; cut-off value≥3.5; PAUROC<0.001) were all good at predicting patient prognosis on day 90th after ictus. However, there were no significant differences between the AUROCs of these scales. Only grades IV and V of the modified WFNS (3.75 [standard deviation, SD: 2.46] vs 5.24 [SD: 1.68], p = 0.026, respectively), WFNS (3.75 [SD: 2.46] vs 5.24 [SD: 1.68], p = 0.026, respectively), and H&H scales (2.96 [SD: 2.60] vs 4.97 [SD: 1.87], p<0.001, respectively) showed a significant difference in the 90-day mean mRS scores. In multivariable models, with the same set of confounding variables, the modified WFNS grade of III to V (adjusted odds ratio, AOR: 9.090; 95% CI: 3.494-23.648; P<0.001) was more strongly associated with the increased risk of the 90-day poor outcome compared to the WFNS grade of IV to V (AOR: 6.383; 95% CI: 2.661-15.310; P<0.001) or the H&H grade of IV to V (AOR: 6.146; 95% CI: 2.584-14.620; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the modified WFNS, WFNS, and H&H scales all had good discriminatory abilities for the prognosis of patients with aSAH. Because of the better effect size in predicting poor outcomes, the modified WFNS scale seems preferable to the WFNS and H&H scales.

Pre- and Post-Operative Online Prediction of Outcome in Patients Undergoing Endovascular Coiling after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Visual and Dynamic Nomograms

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) causes long-term functional dependence and death. Early prediction of functional outcomes in aSAH patients with appropriate intervention strategies could lower the risk of poor prognosis. Therefore, we aimed to develop pre- and post-operative dynamic visualization nomograms to predict the 1-year functional outcomes of aSAH patients undergoing coil embolization.

METHODS

Data were obtained from 400 aSAH patients undergoing endovascular coiling admitted to the People's Hospital of Hunan Province in China (2015-2019). The key indicator was the modified Rankin Score (mRS), with 3-6 representing poor functional outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression (MLR)-based visual nomograms were developed to analyze baseline characteristics and post-operative complications. The evaluation of nomogram performance included discrimination (measured by C statistic), calibration (measured by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves), and clinical usefulness (measured by decision curve analysis).

RESULTS

Fifty-nine aSAH patients (14.8%) had poor outcomes. Both nomograms showed good discrimination, and the post-operative nomogram demonstrated superior discrimination to the pre-operative nomogram with a C statistic of 0.895 (95% CI: 0.844-0.945) vs. 0.801 (95% CI: 0.733-0.870). Each was well calibrated with a Hosmer-Lemeshow p-value of 0.498 vs. 0.276. Moreover, decision curve analysis showed that both nomograms were clinically useful, and the post-operative nomogram generated more net benefit than the pre-operative nomogram. Web-based online calculators have been developed to greatly improve the efficiency of clinical applications.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre- and post-operative dynamic nomograms could support pre-operative treatment decisions and post-operative management in aSAH patients, respectively. Moreover, this study indicates that integrating post-operative variables into the nomogram enhanced prediction accuracy for the poor outcome of aSAH patients.

Significance of Pupillary Findings in Decision Making and Outcomes of World Federation of Neurological Societies Grade V Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

There is considerable debate regarding the definition of grade V subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Recently, the Glasgow Coma Scale-Pupil (GCS-P) score was advocated for assessing traumatic brain injury.

OBJECTIVE

To study the significance of pupillary findings and GCS-P in the management and outcomes of the World Federation of Neurological Societies (WFNS) grade V SAH.

METHODS

We analyzed data obtained from a Japanese nationwide prospective registration study on the modified WFNS SAH grading system. Bilateral pupillary dilatation without reactivity was defined as pupil score 2, unilateral pupil dilation without reactivity as score 1, and no pupil dilatation with reactivity as score 0. The GCS-P score was calculated by subtracting the pupil score from the total GCS score. The characteristics and pupillary findings were examined in patients with each GCS score in WFNS grade V.

RESULTS

Among 1638 patients, 472 (men/women = 161/311, age 67.0 ± 14.0 years) had a GCS score of ≤6 after initial resuscitation on arrival. Overall, lower GCS scores were associated with poorer neurological outcomes and higher mortality. Aneurysms were treated in 20.5%, 53.9%, and 67.5% of patients with pupil scores of 2, 1, and 0, respectively. Favorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale 0-2) at 3 months occurred in 4.5%, 10.8%, and 21.4% in patients with pupil scores 2, 1, and 0, respectively ( P < .0001), and in 0%, 0%, 13.6%, 28.6%, 16.7%, and 18.8% of patients with GCS-P scores 1 to 6 ( P < .0001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirmed the significance of pupillary findings in decision making and outcomes of WFNS grade V SAH.

The Association Between Illness Severity Scores and In-hospital Mortality After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to examine the association with in-hospital mortality of 8 illness severity scores in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort study, we investigated the association with in-hospital mortality of admission Hunt and Hess (HH) score, Fisher grade, severity of illness and risk of mortality scores, and serial Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score in patients with aSAH. We also explored the changes in GCS between admission and discharge using a multivariate model adjusting for age, clinical vasospasm, and external ventricular drain status.

RESULTS

Data from 480 patients with aSAH, of which 383 (79.8%) aneurysms were in the anterior circulation, were included in analysis. Patients were female (n=340, 70.8%) with a median age of 56 (interquartile range: 48 to 66) years. The majority (n=332, 69.2%) had admission HH score 3 to 5, Fisher grade 3 to 4 (n=437, 91%), median severity of illness 3 (range: 1 to 4), median risk of mortality 3 (range: 1 to 4), and median admission GCS of 13 (interquartile range: 7 to 15). Overall, 406 (84.6%) patients received an external ventricular drain, 469 (97.7%) underwent aneurysm repair, and 60 died (12.5%). Compared with admission HH score, GCS 24 hours after admission (area under the curve: 0.84, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.79-0.88) and 24 hours after aneurysm repair (area under the curve: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.82-0.90) were more likely to be associated with in-hospital mortality. Among those who died, the greatest decline in GCS was noted between 24 hours after aneurysm repair and discharge (-3.38 points, 95% CI: -4.17, -2.58).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with admission HH score, GCS 24 hours after admission (or 24 h after aneurysm repair) is more likely to be associated with in-hospital mortality after aSAH.

Predictive validity of the prognosis on admission aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage scale for the outcome of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage

This multicentre prospective cohort study aimed to compare the accuracy of the PAASH, WFNS, and Hunt and Hess (H&H) scales in predicting the outcomes of adult patients with aneurysmal SAH presented to three central hospitals in Hanoi, Vietnam, from August 2019 to June 2021. Of 415 eligible patients, 32.0% had a 90-day poor outcome, defined as an mRS score of 4 (moderately severe disability) to 6 (death). The PAASH, WFNS and H&H scales all have good discriminatory abilities for predicting the 90-day poor outcome. There were significant differences in the 90-day mean mRS scores between grades I and II (p = 0.001) and grades II and III (p = 0.001) of the PAASH scale, between grades IV and V (p = 0.026) of the WFNS scale, and between grades IV and V (p < 0.001) of the H&H scale. In contrast to a WFNS grade of IV-V and an H&H grade of IV-V, a PAASH grade of III-V was an independent predictor of the 90-day poor outcome. Because of the more clearly significant difference between the outcomes of the adjacent grades and the more strong effect size for predicting poor outcomes, the PAASH scale was preferable to the WFNS and H&H scales.

Brain Oxygen-Directed Management of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage. Temporal Patterns of Cerebral Ischemia During Acute Brain Attack, Early Brain Injury, and Territorial Sonographic Vasospasm

BACKGROUND

Neurocritical management of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage focuses on delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after aneurysm repair.

METHODS

This study conceptualizes the pathophysiology of cerebral ischemia and its management using a brain oxygen-directed protocol (intracranial pressure [ICP] control, eubaric hyperoxia, hemodynamic therapy, arterial vasodilation, and neuroprotection) in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage, undergoing aneurysm clipping (n = 40).

RESULTS

The brain oxygen-directed protocol reduced Lbo₂ (Pbto₂ [partial pressure of brain tissue oxygen] <20 mm Hg) from 67% to 15% during acute brain attack (<24 hours of ictus), by increasing Pbto₂ from 11.31 ± 9.34 to 27.85 ± 6.76 (P < 0.0001) and then to 29.09 ± 17.88 within 72 hours. Day-after-bleed, Fio₂ change, ICP, hemoglobin, and oxygen saturation were predictors for Pbto₂ during early brain injury. Transcranial Doppler ultrasonography velocities (>20 cm/second) increased at day 2. During DCI caused by territorial sonographic vasospasm (TSV), middle cerebral artery mean velocity (V_m) increased from 45.00 ± 15.12 to 80.37 ± 38.33/second by day 4 with concomitant Pbto₂ reduction from 29.09 ± 17.88 to 22.66 ± 8.19. Peak TSV (days 7-12) coincided with decline in Pbto₂. Nicardipine mitigated Lbo₂ during peak TSV, in contrast to nimodipine, with survival benefit (P < 0.01). Intravenous and cisternal nicardipine combination had survival benefit (Cramer Φ = 0.43 and 0.327; G² = 28.32; P < 0.001). This study identifies 4 zones of Lbo₂ during survival benefit (Cramer Φ = 0.43 and 0.3) TSV, uncompensated; global cerebral ischemia, compensated, and normal Pbto₂. Admission Glasgow Coma Scale score (not increased ICP) was predictive of low Pbto₂ (β = 0.812, R² = 0.661, F_1,30 = 58.41; P < 0.0001) during early brain injury. Coma was the only credible predictor for mortality (odds ratio, 7.33/>4.8∗; χ² = 7.556; confidence interval, 1.70-31.54; P < 0.01) followed by basilar aneurysm, poor grade, high ICP and Lbo₂ during TSV. Global cerebral ischemia occurs immediately after the ictus, persisting in 30% of patients despite the high therapeutic intensity level, superimposed by DCI during TSV.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose implications for clinical practice and patient management to minimize cerebral ischemia.

Short- and long-term mortality of subarachnoid hemorrhage according to hospital volume and severity using a nationwide multicenter registry study

Introduction

Recent improvements in treatment for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) have decreased the mortality rates; however, the outcomes of SAH management are dependent on many other factors. In this study, we used nationwide, large-scale, observational data to investigate short- and long-term mortality rates after SAH treatment and the influence of patient severity and hospital volume.

Patients and methods

We selected patients with SAH treated with clipping and coiling from the South Korean Acute Stroke Assessment Registry. High- and low-volume hospitals performed ≥20 clipping and coiling procedures and <20 clipping and coiling procedures per year, respectively. Short- and long-term mortality were tracked using data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service.

Results

Among 2,634 patients treated using clipping and coiling, 1,544 (58.6%) and 1,090 (41.4%) were hospitalized in high- and low-volume hospitals, respectively, and 910 (34.5%) and 1,724 (65.5%) were treated with clipping and coiling, respectively. Mortality rates were 13.5, 14.4, 15.2, and 16.1% at 3 months, 1, 2, and 4 years, respectively. High-volume hospitals had a significantly lower 3-month mortality rate. Patients with mild clinical status had a significantly lower 3-month mortality rate in high-volume hospitals than in low-volume hospitals. Patients with severe clinical status had significantly lower 1- and 2-year mortality rates in high-volume hospitals than in low-volume hospitals.

Conclusion

Short- and long-term mortality in patients with SAH differed according to hospital volume. In the modern endovascular era, clipping and coiling can lead to better outcomes in facilities with high stroke-care capabilities.

Clinical Outcomes of Primary Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: An Exploratory Cohort Study from Sudan

Background

Although Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (SAH) is an emergency condition, its epidemiology and prognosis remain poorly understood in Africa. We aim to explore the clinical presentations, outcomes, and potential mortality predictors of primary SAH patients within 3 weeks of hospitalization in a tertiary hospital in Sudan.

Methods

We prospectively studied 40 SAH patients over 5 months, with 3 weeks of follow-up for the symptomatology, signs, Glasgow coma scale (GCS), CT scan findings, and outcomes. The fatal outcome group was defined as dying within 3 weeks.

Results

The mean age was 53.5 years (SD, 6.9; range, 41–65), and 62.5% were women. One-third (30.0%) were smokers, 37.5% were hypertensive, two-thirds (62.5%) had elevated blood pressure on admission, 37.5% had >24 hours delayed presentation, and 15% had missed SAH diagnosis. The most common presenting symptoms were headache and neck pain/stiffness, while seizures were reported in 12.5%. Approximately one-quarter of patients (22.5%) had large-sized Computed Tomography scan hemorrhage, and 40.0% had moderate size. In-hospital mortality rate was 40.0% (16/40); and 87.5% of them passed away within the first week. Compared to survivors, fatal outcome patients had significantly higher rates of smoking (50.0%), hypertension (68.8%), elevated presenting blood pressure (93.8%), delayed diagnosis (56.2%), large hemorrhage (56.2%), lower GCS scores at presentation, and cerebral rebleeding ( P < 0.05 for each). The primary causes of death were the direct effect of the primary hemorrhage (43.8%), rebleeding (31.3%), and delayed cerebral infarction (12.5%).

Conclusions

SAH is associated with a high in-hospital mortality rate in this cohort of Sudanese SAH patients due to modifiable factors such as delayed diagnosis, hypertension, and smoking. Strategies toward minimizing these factors are recommended.

Short and Long-term Outcomes of Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Treatment according to Hospital Volume in Korea: a Nationwide Multicenter Registry

BACKGROUND

Subarachnoid hemorrhage is a potentially devastating cerebrovascular attack with a high proportion of poor outcomes and mortality. Recent studies have reported decreased mortality with the improvement in devices and techniques for treating ruptured aneurysms and neurocritical care. This study investigated the relationship between hospital volume and short- and long-term mortality in patients treated with subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

We selected subarachnoid hemorrhage patients treated with clipping and coiling from March-May 2013 to June-August 2014 using data from Acute Stroke Registry, and the selected subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients were tracked in connection with data of Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service to evaluate the short-term and long-term mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 625 subarachnoid hemorrhage patients were admitted to high-volume hospitals (n = 355, 57%) and low-volume hospitals (n = 270, 43%) for six months. The mortality of SAH patients treated with clipping and coiling was 12.3%, 20.2%, 21.4%, and 24.3% at 14 days, three months, one year, and five years, respectively. The short-term and long-term mortality in high-volume hospitals was significantly lower than that in low-volume hospitals. On Cox regression analysis of death in patients with severe clinical status, low-volume hospitals had significantly higher mortality than high-volume hospitals during short-term follow-up. On Cox regression analysis in the mild clinical status group, there was no statistical difference between high-volume hospitals and low-volume hospitals.

CONCLUSION

In subarachnoid hemorrhage patients treated with clipping and coiling, low-volume hospitals had higher short-term mortality than high-volume hospitals. These results from a nationwide database imply that acute SAH should be treated by a skilled neurosurgeon with adequate facilities in a high-volume hospital.

Sequence Variation in the DDAH1 Gene Predisposes for Delayed Cerebral Ischemia in Subarachnoidal Hemorrhage

Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) often causes poor long-term neurological outcome after subarachnoidal hemorrhage (SAH). Asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) inhibits nitric oxide synthase (NOS) and is associated with DCI after SAH. We studied single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the NOS3, DDAH1, DDAH2, PRMT1, and AGXT2 genes that are part of the L-arginine–ADMA–NO pathway, and their association with DCI. We measured L-arginine, ADMA and symmetric dimethylarginine (SDMA) in plasma and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of 51 SAH patients at admission; follow-up was until 30 days post-discharge. The primary outcome was the incidence of DCI, defined as new infarctions on cranial computed tomography, which occurred in 18 of 51 patients. Clinical scores did not significantly differ in patients with or without DCI. However, DCI patients had higher plasma ADMA and SDMA levels and higher CSF SDMA levels at admission. DDAH1 SNPs were associated with plasma ADMA, whilst AGXT2 SNPs were associated with plasma SDMA. Carriers of the minor allele of DDAH1 rs233112 had a significantly increased relative risk of DCI (Relative Risk = 2.61 (1.25–5.43), p = 0.002). We conclude that the DDAH1 gene is associated with ADMA concentration and the incidence of DCI in SAH patients, suggesting a pathophysiological link between gene, biomarker, and clinical outcome in patients with SAH.

Gap Analysis Regarding Prognostication in Neurocritical Care: A Joint Statement from the German Neurocritical Care Society and the Neurocritical Care Society

Background/Objective

Prognostication is a routine part of the delivery of neurocritical care for most patients with acute neurocritical illnesses. Numerous prognostic models exist for many different conditions. However, there are concerns about significant gaps in knowledge regarding optimal methods of prognostication.

Methods

As part of the Arbeitstagung NeuroIntensivMedizin meeting in February 2018 in Würzburg, Germany, a joint session on prognostication was held between the German NeuroIntensive Care Society and the Neurocritical Care Society. The purpose of this session was to provide presentations and open discussion regarding existing prognostic models for eight common neurocritical care conditions (aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage, acute ischemic stroke, traumatic brain injury, traumatic spinal cord injury, status epilepticus, Guillain–Barré Syndrome, and global cerebral ischemia from cardiac arrest). The goal was to develop a qualitative gap analysis regarding prognostication that could help inform a future framework for clinical studies and guidelines.

Results

Prognostic models exist for all of the conditions presented. However, there are significant gaps in prognostication in each condition. Furthermore, several themes emerged that crossed across several or all diseases presented. Specifically, the self-fulfilling prophecy, lack of accounting for medical comorbidities, and absence of integration of in-hospital care parameters were identified as major gaps in most prognostic models.

Conclusions

Prognostication in neurocritical care is important, and current prognostic models are limited. This gap analysis provides a summary assessment of issues that could be addressed in future studies and evidence-based guidelines in order to improve the process of prognostication.

Initial pupil status is a strong predictor for in-hospital mortality after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Prognosis of patients with high-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is only insufficiently displayed by current standard prognostic scores. This study aims to evaluate the role of pupil status for mortality prediction and provide improved prognostic models. Anonymized data of 477 aSAH patients admitted to our medical center from November 2010 to August 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Identification of variables independently predicting in-hospital mortality was performed by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Final regression models included Hunt & Hess scale (H&H), pupil status and age or in a simplified variation only H&H and pupil status, leading to the design of novel H&H-Pupil-Age score (HHPA) and simplified H&H-Pupil score (sHHP), respectively. In an external validation cohort of 402 patients, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) of HHPA (0.841) and sHHP (0.821) were significantly higher than areas of H&H (0.794; p < 0.001) or World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scale (0.775; p < 0.01). Accordingly, including information about pupil status improves the predictive performance of prognostic scores for in-hospital mortality in patients with aSAH. HHPA and sHHP allow simple, early and detailed prognosis assessment while predictive performance remained strong in an external validation cohort suggesting adequate generalizability and low interrater variability.

Common Data Element for Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm and Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Recommendations from Assessments and Clinical Examination Workgroup/Subcommittee

BACKGROUND

Clinical studies of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and unruptured cerebral aneurysms lack uniformity in terms of variables used for assessments and clinical examination of patients which has led to difficulty in comparing studies and performing meta-analyses. The overall goal of the National Institute of Health/National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (UIA) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) Common Data Elements (CDE) Project was to provide common definitions and terminology for future unruptured intracranial aneurysm and SAH research.

METHODS

This paper summarizes the recommendations of the subcommittee on SAH Assessments and Clinical Examination. The subcommittee consisted of an international and multidisciplinary panel of experts in UIA and SAH. Consensus recommendations were developed by reviewing previously published CDEs for other neurological diseases including traumatic brain injury, epilepsy and stroke, and the SAH literature. Recommendations for CDEs were classified by priority into "core," "supplemental-highly recommended," "supplemental" and "exploratory."

RESULTS

We identified 248 variables for Assessments and Clinical Examination. Only the World Federation of Neurological Societies grading scale was classified as "Core." The Glasgow Coma Scale was classified as "Supplemental-Highly Recommended." All other Assessments and Clinical Examination variables were categorized as "Supplemental."

CONCLUSION

The recommended Assessments and Clinical Examination variables have been collated from a large number of potentially useful scales, history, clinical presentation, laboratory, and other tests. We hope that adherence to these recommendations will facilitate the comparison of results across studies and meta-analyses of individual patient data.

Serum SUR1 and TRPM4 in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage

Neuroinflammation plays an important role in neuronal injury after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Sulfonylurea receptor 1 (SUR1) and transient receptor potential cation channel subfamily M member 4 (TRPM4) receptors play an important role in the pathogenesis of several neural injuries, such as neural edema, spinal cord damage, stroke, and neuronal damage in aSAH. This study aimed to investigate the relationship of serum SUR1 and TRPM4 levels with the neurological status within the first 15 days after aSAH. In this prospective study, blood samples were collected from 44 consecutive patients on the 1st, 4th, and 14th days after aSAH. Serum SUR1 and TRPM4 levels were measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit. Glasgow coma scale and World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scores upon presentation and Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) score on the 14th day were recorded. Serum SUR1 and TRPM4 levels on the 1st, 4th, and 14th days were significantly higher in patients with aSAH than in normal individuals. This increase in the levels varied among the 1st, 4th, and 14th days. On the first day, a correlation was observed between serum SUR1, but not TRPM4, levels and the WFNS score. Moreover, on the 14th day, an association of serum SUR1 and TRPM4 levels with the GOS score was noted. Serum SUR1 and TRPM4 levels were significantly upregulated in the peripheral blood samples. Further study is warranted to establish the utility of SUR1 and TRPM4 as biomarkers in patients with aSAH.

Bispectral index in hypercapnic encephalopathy associated with COPD exacerbation: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Hypercapnic encephalopathy is relatively frequent in severe exacerbations of COPD (ECOPDs), with its intensity usually being evaluated through clinical scales. Bispectral index (BIS) is a relatively new technique, based on the analysis of the electroencephalographic signal, which provides a good approximation to the level of consciousness, having already been validated in anesthesia.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to evaluate the utility of BIS in the assessment of the intensity of hypercapnic encephalopathy in ECOPD patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of ten ECOPD patients were included, and the level of brain activity was assessed using BIS and different scales: Glasgow Coma Scale, Ramsay Sedation Scale (RSS), and Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale. The evaluation was performed both in the acute phase and 3 months after discharge.

RESULTS

BIS was recorded for a total of about 600 minutes. During ECOPD, BIS values ranged from 58.8 (95% CI: 48.6-69) for RSS score of 4 to 92.2 (95% CI: 90.1-94.3) for RSS score of 2. A significant correlation was observed between values obtained with BIS and those from the three scales, although the best fit was for RSS, followed by Glasgow and Richmond (r=-0.757, r=0.701, and r=0.615, respectively; P<0.001 for all). In the stable phase after discharge, BIS showed values considered as normal for a wake state (94.6; 95% CI: 91.7-97.9).

CONCLUSION

BIS may be useful for the objective early detection and automatic monitoring of the intensity of hypercapnic encephalopathy in ECOPD, facilitating the early detection and follow-up of this condition, which may avoid management problems in these patients.

Development and external validation of new nomograms by adding ECG changes (ST depression or tall T wave) and age to conventional scoring systems to improve the predictive capacity in patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage: a retrospective, observational study in Korea

OBJECTIVES

To develop new nomograms by adding ECG changes (ST depression or tall T wave) and age to three conventional scoring systems, namely, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scale, Hunt and Hess (HH) system and Fisher scale, that can predict prognosis in patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) using our preliminary research results and to perform external validation of the three new nomograms.

DESIGN

Retrospective, observational study SETTING: Emergency departments (ED) of two university-affiliated tertiary hospital between January 2009 and March 2015.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients with SAH were enrolled. Exclusion criteria were age <19 years, no baseline ECG, cardiac arrest on arrival, traumatic SAH, referral from other hospital and referral to other hospitals from the ED.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The 6 month prognosis was assessed using the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). We defined a poor outcome as a GOS score of 1, 2 or 3.

RESULTS

A total of 202 patients were included for analysis. From the preliminary study, age, ECG changes (ST depression or tall T wave), and three conventional scoring systems were selected to predict prognosis in patients with SAH using multi-variable logistic regression. We developed simplified nomograms using these variables. Discrimination of the developed nomograms including WFNS scale, HH system and Fisher scale was superior to those of WFNS scale, HH system and Fisher scale (0.912 vs 0.813; p<0.001, 0.913 vs 0.826; p<0.001, and 0.885 vs 0.746; p<0.001, respectively). The calibration plots showed excellent agreement. In the external validation, the discrimination of the newly developed nomograms incorporating the three scoring systems was also good, with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve value of 0.809, 0.812 and 0.772, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and externally validated new nomograms using only three independent variables. Our new nomograms were superior to the WFNS scale, HH systems, and Fisher scale in predicting prognosis and are readily available.

Outcomes Following Possible Undiagnosed Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Contemporary Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Existing literature suggests that patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and "sentinel" aSAH symptoms prompting healthcare evaluations prior to aSAH diagnosis are at increased risk of unfavorable neurologic outcomes and death. Accordingly, these encounters have been presumed to be unrecognized opportunities to diagnose aSAH and the worse outcomes representative of the added risks of delayed diagnoses. We sought to reinvestigate this paradigm among a contemporary cohort of patients with aSAH.

METHODS

A case-control cohort was retrospectively assembled among patients diagnosed with aSAH between January 1, 2007 and June 30, 2013 within an integrated healthcare delivery system. Patients with a discrete clinical evaluation for headache or neck pain within 14 days prior to formal aSAH diagnosis were identified as cases, and the remaining patients served as controls. Modified Rankin Scale scores at 90 days and 1 year were determined by structured chart review. Multivariable logistic regression controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, presence of intracerebral or intraventricular hemorrhage at diagnosis, and aneurysm size was used to compare adjusted outcomes. Sensitivity analyses were performed using varying definitions of favorable neurologic outcomes, a restricted control subgroup of patients with normal mental status at hospital admission, inclusion of additional cases that were diagnosed outside of the integrated health system, and exclusion of patients without evidence of subarachnoid blood on initial noncontrast cranial computed tomography (CT) at the diagnostic encounter (i.e. "CT-negative" SAH).

RESULTS

A total of 450 patients with aSAH were identified, 46 (10%) of whom had clinical evaluations for possible aSAH-related symptoms in the 14 days preceding formal diagnosis (cases). In contrast to prior reports, no differences were observed among cases compared to control patients in adjusted odds of death or unfavorable neurologic status at 90 days (0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.11-1.15; 0.59, 95% CI = 0.22-1.60, respectively) or at 1 year (0.58, 95% CI = 0.19-1.73; 0.52, 95% CI = 0.18-1.51, respectively). Likewise, neither restricting the analysis to a control subgroup of patients with normal mental status at hospital admission, varying the dichotomous definition of unfavorable neurologic outcome, inclusion of cases diagnosed outside the integrated health system, or exclusion of patients with CT-negative SAH resulted in significant adjusted outcome differences.

CONCLUSION

In a contemporary cohort of patients with aSAH, we observed no statistically significant increase in the adjusted odds of death or unfavorable neurologic outcomes among patients with clinical evaluations for possible aSAH-related symptoms in the 14 days preceding formal diagnosis of aSAH. While these findings cannot exclude a smaller risk difference than previously reported, they can help refine decision analyses and testing threshold determinations for patients with possible aSAH.

Prognostication of long-term outcomes after subarachnoid hemorrhage: The FRESH score

OBJECTIVE

To create a multidimensional tool to prognosticate long-term functional, cognitive, and quality of life outcomes after spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) using data up to 48 hours after admission.

METHODS

Data were prospectively collected for 1,619 consecutive patients enrolled in the SAH outcome project July 1996 to March 2014. Linear models (LMs) were applied to identify factors associated with outcome in 1,526 patients with complete data. Twelve-month functional, cognitive, and quality of life outcomes were measured using the modified Rankin scale (mRS), Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status, and Sickness Impact Profile. Based on the LM residuals, we constructed the FRESH score (Functional Recovery Expected after Subarachnoid Hemorrhage). Score performance, discrimination, and internal validity were tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Nagelkerke and Cox/Snell R(2) , and bootstrapping. For external validation, we used a control population of SAH patients from the CONSCIOUS-1 study (n = 413).

RESULTS

The FRESH score was composed of Hunt & Hess and APACHE-II physiologic scores on admission, age, and aneurysmal rebleed within 48 hours. Separate scores to prognosticate 1-year cognition (FRESH-cog) and quality of life (FRESH-quol) were developed controlling for education and premorbid disability. Poor functional outcome (mRS = 4-6) for score levels 1 through 9 respectively was present in 3, 6, 12, 38, 61, 83, 92, 98, and 100% at 1-year follow-up. Performance of FRESH (AUC = 0.90), FRESH-cog (AUC = 0.80), and FRESH-quol (AUC = 0.78) was high. External validation of our cohort using mRS as endpoint showed satisfactory results (AUC = 0.77). To allow for convenient score calculation, we built a smartphone app available for free download.

INTERPRETATION

FRESH is the first clinical tool to prognosticate long-term outcome after spontaneous SAH in a multidimensional manner. Ann Neurol 2016;80:46-58.

Prognostic Assessment of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Patients with WFNS Grade V by CT Perfusion on Arrival

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) depends on their condition on arrival at the hospital. However, a small number of patients recover from an initially poor condition. We investigated the correlation between quantitative measures of computed tomography (CT) perfusion (CTP) on arrival and the outcomes of patients with World Federation of Neurosurgical Society (WFNS) grade V aSAH.

METHODS

We performed plain CT, CTP, and CT angiography (CTA) in all patients with aSAH on arrival. Aneurysms were surgically obliterated in patients with stable vital signs and the presence of a brain stem response. We measured the average mean transit time (aMTT) and compared it with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 1 month. Regions of interest were identified as 24 areas in the bilateral anterior, middle, and posterior cerebral artery territories and 2 areas in the basal ganglia.

RESULTS

A total of 57 patients were treated between 2007 and 2014. None of the 21 patients with aMTT >6.385 seconds achieved a favorable outcome, whereas 8 of the 36 patients with aMTT <6.385 seconds did achieve a favorable outcome (P = 0.015). Furthermore, comparing the number of areas showing a mean transit time (MTT) >7.0 seconds among the aforementioned 8 areas and mRS, favorable outcomes were not seen in 24 patients with more than 2 such areas (P = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

We cannot expect a favorable outcome for patients with WFNS grade V aSAH with aMTT >6.385 seconds or more than 2 of 8 areas with MTT >7.0 seconds.

Polyuria and cerebral vasospasm after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background

Natriuresis with polyuria is common after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Previous studies have shown an increased risk of symptomatic cerebral vasospasm or delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) in patients with hyponatremia and/or the cerebral salt wasting syndrome (CSW). However, natriuresis may occur in the absence of hyponatremia or hypovolemia and it is not known whether the increase in DCI in patients with CSW is secondary to a concomitant hypovolemia or because the physiology that predisposes to natriuretic peptide release also predisposes to cerebral vasospasm. Therefore, we investigated whether polyuria per se was associated with vasospasm and whether a temporal relationship existed.

Methods

A retrospective review of patients with aSAH was performed. Exclusion criteria were admission more than 48 h after aneurysmal rupture, death within 5 days, and the development of diabetes insipidus or acute renal failure. Polyuria was defined as >6 liters of urine in a 24 h period. Vasospasm was defined as a mean velocity > 120 m/s on Transcranial Doppler Ultrasonography (TCDs) or by evidence of vasospasm on computerized tomography (CT) or catheter angiography. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the relationship between polyuria and vasospasm.

Results

95 patients were included in the study. 51 had cerebral vasospasm and 63 met the definition of polyuria. Patients with polyuria were significantly more likely to have vasospasm (OR 4.301, 95 % CI 1.378–13.419) in multivariate analysis. Polyuria was more common in younger patients (52 vs 68, p <.001) but did not impact mortality after controlling for age and disease severity. The timing of the development of polyuria was clustered around the diagnosis of vasospasm and patients with polyuria developed vasospasm faster than those without polyuria.

Conclusions

Polyuria is common after aSAH and is significantly associated with cerebral vasospasm. The development of polyuria may be temporally related to the development of vasospasm. An increase in urine volume may be a useful clinical predictor of patients at risk for vasospasm.

Modified World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies subarachnoid hemorrhage grading system

OBJECT

A modified World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies scale (m-WFNS scale) for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) recently has been proposed, in which patients with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores of 14 are assigned to grade II and those with GCS scores of 13 are assigned to grade III regardless of the presence of neurologic deficits. The study objective was to evaluate outcome predictability of the m-WFNS scale in a large cohort.

METHODS

This was a multicenter prospective observational study conducted in Japan. A total of 1656 patients with SAH were registered during the 2.5-year study period, and the outcome predictability, using the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores at discharge and at 90 days after onset, was evaluated by comparing the m-WFNS with the original WFNS scale. We focused on whether significant differences in these scores were present between the neighboring grades.

RESULTS

In the m-WFNS scale, significant difference between any neighboring grades was observed both in the mean GOS and mRS scores at 90 days except between grades III/IV. However, differences were not significant between grades II/III and between grades III/IV in the original WFNS scale.

CONCLUSIONS

SAH-induced brain injury may be substantially severer in patients with GCS 13 than those with GCS 14, which may explain why grade III patients faired significantly worse than grade II patients by the modified WFNS scale. Although further validation is necessary, the m-WFNS scale has a potential of providing neurosurgeons with simpler and more reliable prognostication of patients with SAH.

The SAH Score: a comprehensive communication tool

BACKGROUND

The Hunt and Hess grade and World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) scale are commonly used to predict mortality after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Our objective was to improve the accuracy of mortality prediction compared with the aforementioned scales by creating the "SAH score."

METHODS

The aSAH database at our institution was analyzed for factors affecting in-hospital mortality using multiple logistic regression analysis. Scores were weighted based on relative risk of mortality after stratification of each of these variables. Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) was subdivided into groups of 3-4 (score = 1), 5-8 (score = 2), 9-13 (score = 3), and 14-15 (score = 4). Age was categorized into 4 subgroups: 18-49 (score = 1), 50-69 (score = 2), 70-79 (score = 3), and 80 years or more (score = 4). Medical comorbidities were subdivided into none (score = 1), 1 (score = 2), or 2 or more (score = 3).

RESULTS

In total, 1134 patients were included; all-cause SAH hospital mortality was 18.3%. Admission GCS, age, and medical comorbidities significantly affected mortality after multivariate analysis (P < .05). Summated scores ranged from 0 to 8 with escalating mortality at higher scores (0 = 2%, 1 = 6%, 2 = 8%, 3 = 15%, 4 = 30%, 5 = 58%, 6 = 79%, 7 = 87%, and 8 = 100%). Positive predictive value (PPV) for scores in the range 7-8 was 88.5%, whereas 6-8 was 83%. Negative predictive value (NPV) was 94% for range 0-2 and 92% for 0-3. The area under the curve (AUC) for the SAH score was .821 (good accuracy), compared with the WFNS scale (AUC .777, fair accuracy) and the Hunt and Hess grade (AUC .771, fair accuracy).

CONCLUSIONS

The SAH score was found to be more accurate in predicting aSAH mortality compared with the Hunt and Hess grade and WFNS scale.

International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial - ISAT part II: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

The International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) demonstrated improved one-year clinical outcomes for patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms treated with endovascular coiling compared to surgical clipping. Patients included in ISAT were mostly good grade subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients with small anterior circulation aneurysms. The purported superiority of coiling is commonly extrapolated to patients not studied in the original trial or to those treated using new devices not available at the time. Conversely, many patients are treated by clipping despite ISAT, because they are thought either to be better candidates for surgery, or to offer more durable protection from aneurysm recurrences. These practices have never been formally validated. Thus, for many ruptured aneurysm patients the question of which treatment modality leads to a superior clinical outcome remains unclear. METHODS/TRIAL DESIGN: ISAT II is a pragmatic, multicenter, randomized trial comparing clinical outcomes for non-ISAT patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage allocated to coiling or clipping. Inclusion criteria are broad. The primary end-point is the incidence of poor clinical outcome (defined as mRS >2) at one year, just as in ISAT. Secondary end-points include measures of treatment safety for a number of pre-specified subgroups, with efficacy end-points including the presence of a major recurrence at one year; 1,896 patients (862 each arm plus 10% losses) are required to demonstrate a significant difference between coiling and clipping, hypothesizing 23% and 30% poor clinical outcome rates, for coiling and clipping, respectively. The trial should involve at least 50 international centers, and will take approximately 12 years to complete. Analysis will be by intention-to-treat.

Timing of clinical grade assessment and poor outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Object

Timing of clinical grading has not been fully studied in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The primary objective of this study was to identify at which time point clinical assessment using the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grading scale and the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) is most predictive of poor functional outcome.

Methods

This study is a retrospective cohort study on the association between poor outcome and clinical grading determined at presentation, nadir, and postresuscitation. Poor functional outcome was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 1–3 at 6 months after SAH.

Results

The authors identified 186 consecutive patients admitted to a teaching hospital between January 2002 and June 2008. The patients' mean age (± SD) was 56.9 ± 13.7 years, and 63% were women. Twenty-four percent had poor functional outcome (the mortality rate was 17%). On univariable logistic regression analyses, GCS score determined at presentation (OR 0.80, p < 0.0001), nadir (OR 0.73, p < 0.0001), and postresuscitation (OR 0.53, p < 0.0001); modified Fisher scale (OR 2.21, p = 0.0013); WFNS grade assessed at presentation (OR 1.92, p < 0.0001), nadir (OR 3.51, < 0.0001), and postresuscitation (OR 3.91, p < 0.0001); intracerebral hematoma on initial CT (OR 4.55, p < 0.0002); acute hydrocephalus (OR 2.29, p = 0.0375); and cerebral infarction (OR 4.84, p < 0.0001) were associated with poor outcome. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, only cerebral infarction (OR 5.80, p = 0.0013) and WFNS grade postresuscitation (OR 3.43, p < 0.0001) were associated with poor outcome. Receiver operating characteristic/area under the curve (AUC) analysis demonstrated that WFNS grade determined postresuscitation had a stronger association with poor outcome (AUC 0.90) than WFNS grade assessed upon admission or at nadir.

Conclusions

Timing of WFNS grade assessment affects its prognostic value. Outcome after aneurysmal SAH is best predicted by assessing WFNS grade after neurological resuscitation.

Comparison of the Full Outline of UnResponsiveness and Glasgow Liege Scale/Glasgow Coma Scale in an intensive care unit population

BACKGROUND

The Full Outline of UnResponsiveness (FOUR) has been proposed as an alternative for the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)/Glasgow Liège Scale (GLS) in the evaluation of consciousness in severely brain-damaged patients. We compared the FOUR and GLS/GCS in intensive care unit patients who were admitted in a comatose state.

METHODS

FOUR and GLS evaluations were performed in randomized order in 176 acutely (<1 month) brain-damaged patients. GLS scores were transformed in GCS scores by removing the GLS brainstem component. Inter-rater agreement was assessed in 20% of the studied population (N = 35). A logistic regression analysis adjusted for age, and etiology was performed to assess the link between the studied scores and the outcome 3 months after injury (N = 136).

RESULTS

GLS/GCS verbal component was scored 1 in 146 patients, among these 131 were intubated. We found that the inter-rater reliability was good for the FOUR score, the GLS/GCS. FOUR, GLS/GCS total scores predicted functional outcome with and without adjustment for age and etiology. 71 patients were considered as being in a vegetative/unresponsive state based on the GLS/GCS. The FOUR score identified 8 of these 71 patients as being minimally conscious given that these patients showed visual pursuit.

CONCLUSIONS

The FOUR score is a valid tool with good inter-rater reliability that is comparable to the GLS/GCS in predicting outcome. It offers the advantage to be performable in intubated patients and to identify non-verbal signs of consciousness by assessing visual pursuit, and hence minimal signs of consciousness (11% in this study), not assessed by GLS/GCS scales.

An Admission Bioclinical Score to Predict 1-Year Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Aneurysm Coiling

Background and Purpose—

A number of scores were developed to predict outcomes after clipping for subarachnoid hemorrhages, yet there is no score for patients undergoing endovascular treatment. Our goal was to develop, compare, and validate a predictive score for 1-year outcomes in patients with coiled subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Methods—

We studied 526 patients for 1 year after intensive care unit discharge. We developed an admission bioclinical score (ABC score), which integrated biomarkers such as troponin I and S100β, with the Glasgow Coma Scale. Using the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI), the ABC score was compared with the Glasgow Coma Scale, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies score, and Fisher score in the derivation cohort and further validated in an independent cohort.

Results—

In the derivation cohort (from 2003–2007, n=368), multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that only Glasgow Coma Scale ( P <0.001), high S100β ( P <0.001), and high troponin ( P <0.02) were independently associated with 1-year mortality. Troponin, S100β, and Glasgow Coma Scale were thus integrated to derive the ABC score. In the derivation cohort, the ABC score reached an receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.82 (0.77–0.88, P <0.001) and was significantly greater than the receiver operating characteristic curves of the Glasgow Coma Scale, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies, and Fisher scores for predicting 1-year mortality. In the validation cohort (from 2008–2009, n=158), the ABC score's receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76 (0.67–0.86, P <0.001) remained superior to the 3 other scores for predicting 1-year mortality.

Conclusions—

The ABC score improves 1-year outcome prediction at admission for patients with coiled subarachnoid hemorrhage. Our study provides large cohort-based evidence supporting integration of individual biomarkers and clinical characteristics to predict outcomes.

Clinical Trial Registration—

URL: www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01357057.

Endorsement of the FOUR score for consciousness assessment in neurosurgical patients

The Full Outline of UnResponsiveness (FOUR) score was previously developed for neurological assessment, but has not been validated in neurosurgical patients, so was compared to the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) in practice. Four groups of raters, expert clinicians, novice clinicians, experienced nurses, and inexperienced nurses, assessed 64 patients in awake, drowsy, stuporous, and comatose conditions to investigate rater reliability. Then, 36 patients were evaluated by 1 expert clinician and 1 from the other groups randomly to test the difference. Spearman's correlation was used to find the correlation between both scores from 68 patients. The estimation of FOUR score cut points was validated by weighted kappa compared with the GCS to establish the risk prognosis. Score feasibility was analyzed by nonparametric test. Intraclass correlation in each group was over 0.9, with no difference between expert and inexperienced raters (p > 0.05). The correlation was 0.78. Low, intermediate, and high risk prognosis were associated with 0-7, 8-14, and 15-16 FOUR scores with kappa of 0.92. The feasibility of the FOUR score was lower than that of the GCS (p < 0.01). The FOUR score is reliable and valid for consciousness evaluation with some consequences for practicability. Extensive implementation would increase familiarity.

Comparisons of risk-adjusted clinical outcomes for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage across eight teaching hospitals in Japan

OBJECTIVES

To assess predictive value of patient characteristics and severity of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) patients for clinical outcomes, and thereby estimate risk-adjusted clinical outcomes and compare the outcomes across hospitals.

METHODS

We selected 256 aneurysmal SAH patients from eight teaching hospitals in Japan. The clinical outcomes of patients at the time of discharge were assessed by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). A multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors for the GOS status at the time of discharge. The risk-adjusted proportion of patients with a favourable GOS outcome was then estimated for each facility and compared across hospitals.

RESULTS

The logistic regression analysis revealed that younger age (P < 0.001), patients with good World Federations of Neurological Surgeons grade at admission (P < 0.001) and absence of chronic renal failure or ischaemic heart disease as a comorbid condition (P < 0.001) were identified as significant predictors for favourable GOS outcome at the time of discharge among aneurysmal SAH patients (C statistic = 0.88). We found that one hospital had significantly better outcomes than the others.

CONCLUSION

After comparison of risk-adjusted values across hospitals, the clinical management methods of the hospital that showed the best performance were examined and shared among providers.

Variability and fractal analysis of middle cerebral artery blood flow velocity and arterial blood pressure in subarachnoid hemorrhage

Higher biologic systems operate far from equilibrium resulting in order, complexity, fluctuation of inherent parameters, and dissipation of energy. According to the decomplexification theory, disease is characterized by a loss of system complexity. We analyzed such complexity in patients after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), by applying the standard technique of variability analysis and the novel method of fractal analysis to middle cerebral artery blood flow velocity (FV) and arterial blood pressure (ABP). In 31 SAH -patients, FV (using transcranial Doppler sonography) and direct ABP were measured. The standard deviations (s.d.) and coefficients of variation (CV=relative s.d.) for FV and ABP time series of length 2(10) secs were calculated as measures of variability. The spectral index beta(low) and the Hurst coefficient H(bdSWV) were analyzed as fractal measures. Outcome was assessed 1 year after SAH according to the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). Both FV (beta(low)=2.2+/-0.4, mean+/-s.d.) and ABP (beta(low)=2.3+/-0.4) were classified as nonstationary (fractal Brownian motion) signals. FV showed significantly (P<0.05) higher variability (CV=7.2+/-2.5%) and Hurst coefficient (H(bdSWV)=0.26+/-0.13) as compared with ABP (CV=5.5+/-2.7%, H(bdSWV)=0.19+/-0.11). Better outcome (GOS) correlated significantly (P<0.05) with higher s.d. of FV (Spearman's r(s)=0.51, r(s)(2)=0.26) and ABP (r(s)=0.57, r(s)(2)=0.32), as well as with a higher Hurst coefficient of ABP (r(s)=0.46, r(s)(2)=0.21). Cerebral vasospasm reduced CV of FV, but left H(bdSWV) unchanged. FV and ABP fluctuated markedly despite homeostatic control. A reduced variability of FV and ABP might indicate a loss of complexity and was associated with a less favorable outcome. Therefore, the decomplexification theory of illness may apply to SAH.

Predictive value of initial clinical status, intracranial pressure and transcranial Doppler pulsatility after subarachnoid haemorrhage

BACKGROUND

We examined the predictive value of initial clinical status, mean arterial blood pressure (MABP), intracranial pressure (ICP) and transcranial Doppler (TCD)-derived pulsatility and resistance indices for outcome and quality of life one year following aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH).

METHOD

Neuromonitoring was performed in 29 patients following clipping or coiling of an aneurysm. Mean arterial blood pressure was measured in the radial artery and intracranial pressure was assessed via a closed external ventricular drainage. Based on transcranial Doppler-recordings of the middle cerebral artery, Gosling's pulsatility (PI) and Pourcelot's resistance (RI) index were calculated. Glasgow outcome score (GOS) and short form-36 (SF-36) scores were determined one year after SAH.

FINDINGS

An unfavourable outcome (GOS 1-3) was observed in 34% of patients and correlated significantly (p < 0.05) with a poor initial clinical status, as determined by Glasgow Coma Scale (r = 0.55), Hunt and Hess (r = -0.62), World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) (r = -0.48) and Fisher (r = -0.58) score. Poor outcome was significantly associated with high mean arterial blood pressure (r = -0.44) and intracranial pressure (r = -0.48) as well as increased pulsatility (r = -0.46) and resistance (r = -0.43) indices. Hunt and Hess grade > or = 4 (OR 12.4, 5-95% CI: 1.9-82.3), mean arterial blood pressure > 95 mmHg (19.5, 2.9-132.3), Gosling's pulsatility >0.8 (6.5, 1.6-27.1) and Pourcelot's resistance >0.57 (15.4, 2.3-103.4) were predictive for unfavourable outcome in logistic regression, however TCD-diagnosed vasospasm was not. Except for mental health, significantly reduced scores were observed in all short form-36 domains. Initial clinical status correlated significantly with the physical functioning, role physical, bodily pain, social functioning and physical component summary of short form-36.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality and morbidity following SAH remains high, especially in poor-grade patients. Outcome is mainly correlated with initial clinical status, mean arterial blood pressure, intracranial pressure, pulsatility and resistance indices. Those factors seem to be stronger than the influence of vasospasm.

Assessment of three different mortality prediction models in four well-defined critical care patient groups at two points in time: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Mortality prediction systems have been calculated and validated from large mixed ICU populations. However, in daily practice it is often more important to know how a model performs in a patient subgroup at a specific ICU. Thus, we assessed the performance of three mortality prediction models in four well-defined patient groups in one centre.

METHODS

A total of 960 consecutive adult patients with either severe head injury (n = 299), multiple injuries (n = 208), abdominal aortic aneurysm (n = 267) or spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage (n = 186) were included. Calibration, discrimination and standardized mortality ratios were determined for Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, Mortality Probability Model II (at 0 and 24 h) and Injury Severity Score. Effective mortality was assessed at hospital discharge and after 1 yr.

RESULTS

Eight hundred and fifty-five (89%) patients survived until hospital discharge. Over all four patient groups, Mortality Probability Model II (24 h) had the best predictive accuracy (standardized mortality ratio 0.62) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.9), but Simplified Acute Physiology Score II performed well for patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage. Overall calibration was poor for all models (Hosmer-Lemeshow Type C-values between 20 and 26). Injury Severity Score had the worst discrimination in trauma patients. All models over-estimated hospital mortality in all four patient groups, and these estimates were more like the mortality after 1 yr.

CONCLUSIONS

In our surgical ICU, Mortality Probability Model II (24 h) performed slightly better than Simplified Acute Physiology Score II in terms of overall mortality prediction and discrimination; Injury Severity Score was the worst model for mortality prediction in trauma patients.

Outcomes studies in cerebrovascular neurosurgery

✓Successfully measuring cerebrovascular neurosurgery outcomes requires an appreciation of the current state-of-the-art epidemiological instruments, their specific relevance to surgical treatments and the underlying pathological entity, and ultimately the right set of questions for the next generation of studies. In this paper the authors address these questions with specific attention to measurement targets, individual modeling scales, and types of studies, all within a conceptual framework for specific disease models in their current state of outcomes modeling in cerebrovascular neurosurgery.

Petite histoire et quelques réflexions à propos des échelles de grades des hémorragies sous-arachnoïdiennes d’origine anévrismale et des échelles de suivi

A brief history of the most current scales of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and follow-up is presented. Advantages and inaccuracies of these scales are discussed. The World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) classification is recommended as the most objective and reliable although some critics exist about its use in particular conditions. The grading of the follow-up is also analyzed. Here, the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) is the most common employed and promoted in a first approach in spite of its briefness. Secondary functional and neuropsychological examination at 6 or 12 months is to be recommended to enable a more accurate evaluation. In conclusion, the WFNS scales for subarachnoid hemorrhage and follow-up is proposed as the best way to allow comparison between work of different centers.

Improvement after treatment of hydrocephalus in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: implications for grading and prognosis

Two patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and hydrocephalus are presented. On admission they scored E1M4V1 and E1M3Vtube on the Glasgow Coma Scale. The first patient recovered to E3M5Vtube after treatment of hydrocpehalus by extraventricular drainage. The second recovered to E2M5Vtube and later E4M6V4 after treatment of hydrocephalus with lumbar drainage. Based on the literature it is argued that these cases are no exception as to the improvement after treatment of hydrocephalus. The prognosis of patients with hydrocephalus after a subarachnoid haemorrhage, improves in parallel with the Glasgow Coma Scale after treatment of hydrocephalus. Therefore decision making on whether or not to treat a patient with a subarachnoid haemorrhage should be postponed until after treatment of hydrocephalus, if present.

Cerebrospinal fluid orexin in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage – a pilot study

The hypothalamus, a vital regulator of multiple physiologic functions, is the principal source of the neuropeptide orexin, which is thought to regulate the sleep-wake cycle. As hypothalamic damage may result from aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) and be associated with a depressed conscious level, we sought to investigate whether orexin levels reflected the severity of the ictus and were of any prognostic value in SAH. CSF orexin levels from 15 patients with aneurysmal SAH were analysed for up to 14 days. The correlation between orexin and GCS, WFNS grade, Fisher grade, GOS at 6 months and hydrocephalus were ascertained. Orexin levels in 5 patients with normal pressure hydrocephalus were used as controls. Patients with GCS less than 8 on admission had undetectable orexin whilst those with a GCS of 8 or greater had measurable orexin (p < 0.05). CSF orexin levels appear to correlate with conscious level and might be a valid indicator of hypothalamic injury. As some adverse sequelae of SAH are due to hypothalamic damage, pharmacological manipulation of orexinergic neuronal pathways could lead to exciting therapeutic options in the future.

Cerebral Venous Flow Velocity Predicts Poor Outcome in Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose— Predictors of clinical outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) vary in reliability. Measurement of cerebral venous hemodynamics by transcranial color-coded duplexsonography (TCCS) has become of increasing interest lately, and correlation with intracranial pressure (ICP) seems to be high. The aim of the presented study was to assess changes of cerebral venous hemodynamics in SAH and evaluate its relationship with clinical outcome.

Methods— We performed sequential TCCS of venous peak flow velocities (vp-FVs) in the transversal sinus in 28 consecutive patients with aneurysmal SAH (Hunt and Hess scale 1 to 5). Measurement was initiated at onset of arterial vasospasm up to 5 days after SAH. All patients had a continuous ICP monitoring. Clinical outcome was evaluated with the modified ranking scale (MRS) 30 days after SAH. Patients were divided according to outcome: group I good recovery (MRS 0-III) and group II poor outcome (death or MRS IV-V). Maximum vp-FV, time-averaged vp-FV (mv-FV), and ICP were compared between groups.

Results— Vp-FV and mv-FV as well as ICP of group II exceeded values of group I ( P <0.001 for all 3 parameters). Vp-FV showed a positive correlation with ICP ( r =0.63; P <0.001). A vp-FV exceeding 35.4 cm/s (sensitivity 100%; specificity 90.9%), an mv-FV exceeding 27.3 cm/s (sensitivity 94.1%; specificity 81.8%), and an ICP exceeding 24 mm Hg (sensitivity 87.5%; specificity 81.8%) predicted poor outcome (receiver operating characteristic analysis).

Conclusions— Increased ICP values correlate with increased venous flow velocities. In SAH, increased ICP and increased venous flow velocities are associated with poor outcome. Flow velocity of the transversal sinus is a highly sensitive, reliable, and early predictor of outcome in SAH.

Poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: relationship of cerebral metabolism to outcome

OBJECT

The majority of patients with poor-grade subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), that is, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) Grades IV and V, have high morbidity and mortality rates. The objective of this study was to investigate cerebral metabolism in patients with low- compared with high-grade SAH by using bedside microdialysis and to evaluate whether microdialysis parameters are of prognostic value for outcome in SAH.

METHODS

A prospective investigation was conducted in 149 patients with SAH (mean age 50.9 +/- 12.9 years); these patients were studied for 162 +/- 84 hours (mean +/- standard deviation). Lesions were classified as low-grade SAH (WFNS Grades I-III, 89 patients) and high-grade SAH (WFNS Grade IV or V, 60 patients). After approval by the local ethics committee and consent from the patient or next of kin, a microdialysis catheter was inserted into the vascular territory of the aneurysm after clip placement. The microdialysates were analyzed hourly for extracellular glucose, lactate, lactate/pyruvate (L/P) ratio, glutamate, and glycerol. The 6- and 12-month outcomes according to the Glasgow Outcome Scale and functional disability according to the modified Rankin Scale were assessed. In patients with high-grade SAH, cerebral metabolism was severely deranged compared with those who suffered low-grade SAH, with high levels (p < 0.05) of lactate, a high L/P ratio, high levels of glycerol, and, although not significant, of glutamate. Univariate analysis revealed a relationship among hyperglycemia on admission, Fisher grade, and 12-month outcome (p < 0.005). In a multivariate regression analysis performed in 131 patients, the authors identified four independent predictors of poor outcome at 12 months, in the following order of significance: WFNS grade, patient age, L/P ratio, and glutamate (p < 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Microdialysis parameters reflected the severity of SAH. The L/P ratio was the best metabolic independent prognostic marker of 12-month outcome. A better understanding of the causes of deranged cerebral metabolism may allow the discovery of therapeutic options to improve the prognosis, especially in patients with high-grade SAH, in the future.

Grading of Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Modification of the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies Scale on the Basis of Data for a Large Series of Patients

OBJECTIVE

The goals of this study were to use a large, prospectively collected, multicenter database for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) who were treated between 1991 and 1997 to determine the prognostic significance of clinical and radiological factors for outcomes and to use those factors to develop a grading scale to predict outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 3567 patients with SAH who were entered into four randomized clinical trials of tirilazad were studied. Outcomes were assessed 3 months after SAH, with the Glasgow Outcome Scale. Twenty clinical and radiological factors were entered into univariate and multivariate analyses, to determine factors prognostic for outcomes. Grading scales based on the most powerful prognostic parameters were statistically derived and validated and were compared with the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grading scale.

RESULTS

Factors predictive of outcomes included age, WFNS grade, history of hypertension, systolic blood pressure at admission, ruptured aneurysm location and size, blood clot thickness on computed tomographic scans, and angiographic vasospasm at admission. A grading scale using these factors could be derived; it predicted outcomes more accurately than did the WFNS scale, although it would be more complex to use.

CONCLUSION

Outcome prediction after SAH can be improved by adding additional clinical and radiological factors to the WFNS scale, albeit with added complexity.

Acute focal neurological deficits in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: relation of clinical course, CT findings, and metabolite abnormalities monitored with bedside microdialysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We sought (1) to identify early metabolic markers for the development of (ir)reversible neurological deficits and cerebral infarction in subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients by using the microdialysis technique and (2) to evaluate the influence of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) on microdialysis parameters.

METHODS

We performed a prospective study of 44 SAH patients with acute focal neurological deficits (AFND) occurring acutely with SAH (due to ICH) or directly after surgery (due to clip stenosis, thromboembolism, or early edema). Fifty-one nonischemic SAH patients served as a control group. A microdialysis catheter was inserted into the vascular territory of the aneurysm after clipping. The microdialysates were analyzed hourly for extracellular glucose, lactate, lactate/pyruvate ratio, glutamate, and glycerol with a bedside analyzer. Microdialysis-related CT findings were evaluated for the presence of ICH and cerebral infarction. Reversibility of neurological symptoms after 4 weeks and 6- and 12-month outcomes were assessed.

RESULTS

In patients with AFND, cerebral metabolism was severely disturbed when microdialysis started compared with controls (P<0.005). Infarction on CT was associated with pathological microdialysis parameters (P<0.002) and development of a fixed deficit (P<0.003), while the presence of ICH alone was not. A secondary neurological deterioration of AFND patients (n=11) was reflected by preceding (0 to 20 hours) changes of microdialysate concentrations.

CONCLUSIONS

In the presence of ICH, pathological microdialysis values may indicate reversible tissue damage. Extreme microdialysis values and pathological microdialysis concentrations that further deteriorate 2-fold are highly indicative of the development of cerebral infarction and permanent neurological deficits. Therefore, the analysis of relative changes of microdialysis parameters is crucial for the detection of ischemia in SAH patients.

Management of intracranial aneurysms: factors that influence clinical grade and surgical outcome

BACKGROUND

We report the experience in managing intracranial aneurysms at our medical center.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 297 intracranial aneurysms managed during a 6-year period. Risk factors were analyzed with respect to their influence on outcome after surgery as measured by Glasgow Outcome Scale score.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight patients had multiple aneurysms. Of all aneurysms, 83% were in the anterior circulation, 37% were unruptured, and 59% were larger than 10 mm in size. Good outcomewas achieved in 75% of patients, and another 16% had fair outcomes. The mortality rate was 4%, and significant morbidity occurred in 5% of patients. Significant indicators of poor outcome were worsened clinical grade, posterior aneurysm location, and large aneurysm size.

CONCLUSION

Hypertensive patients, older patients, and patients with posterior circulation aneurysms had poorer neurologic status, which significantly influenced outcome. Larger aneurysms and vertebrobasilar aneurysms were associated with poor outcomes.

The relation between cerebral blood flow velocities as measured by TCD and the incidence of delayed ischemic deficits. A prospective study after subarachnoid hemorrhage

Patients (n = 127) with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) were examined by transcranial Doppler ultrasonography (TCD) in a prospective study to follow the time course of the posthemorrhagic blood flow velocity in both the middle cerebral artery (MCA) and in the anterior cerebral artery (ACA). Results were analysed to reveal their relationship and predictive use with respect to the occurrence of delayed ischemic deficits. Mean flow velocities (MFV) higher than 120 cm sec(-1) in MCA and 90 cm sec(-1) in ACA were interpreted as indicative for significant vasospasm. In 20 of our 127 patients (16%) a delayed ischemic deficit (DID) was subsequently diagnosed clinically (DID+ group). Patients in the DID+ group can be characterized as those individuals who presented early during the observation period post-SAH with highest values of MFV, a faster increase and longer persistence of pathologically elevated MFV-values (exceeding 120 cm sec(-1) in MCA and 90 cm sec(-1) in ACA). They also show a greater difference in MFV-values if one compares the operated to the nonoperated side. Differences in MFV-values obtained in MCA or ACA were statistically significant (p < 0.05) for DID+ and DID- patients. The daily maximal increase of MFV was found between days 9 and 11 after SAH. In the DID+ group, the maximal MFV was 181 +/- 26 cm sec(-1) in MCA and 119 +/- 14 cm sec(-1) in ACA. In contrast to this, patients in the DID- group were found to present with MFV of 138 +/- 11 cm sec(-1) in MCA and 100 +/- 7 cm sec(-1) in ACA respectively. Delayed ischemic deficits appeared three times more often in DID+ patients than in patients with MFV < 120 cm sec(-1), if they showed a MFV > 120 cm sec(-1) in MCA. If pathological values were obtained in ACA, this ratio increases to about four times, if DID + patients presented with MFV > 90 cm sec(-1) versus patients with MFV < 90 cm sec(-1). Daily monitoring of vasospasm using TCD examination is thus helpful to identify patients at high risk for delayed ischemic deficits. This should allow us to implement further preventive treatment regimens.

Impact of Guglielmi detachable coils on outcomes of patients with intracranial aneurysms treated by a multidisciplinary team at a single institution

OBJECT

The goal of this study was to investigate the impact of the introduction of the Guglielmi detachable coil (GDC) therapeutic option on the overall management outcome of intracranial aneurysms. The authors accomplished this by assessing patient morbidity and mortality, inflation-adjusted hospital charges, lengths of stay in the hospital and the intensive care unit (ICU), and treatment efficacy.

METHODS

The authors conducted a retrospective analysis of consecutive cases of intracranial intradural aneurysms managed by a single multidisciplinary neurovascular team at a tertiary care, academic referral center during the 24 months preceding the introduction of the GDC procedure (Group I or pre-GDC era, 77 patients) and during the first 24 months after its introduction (Group II or GDC era, 99 patients). Treatment with GDCs was considered for cases of higher clinical grade or poor surgical risk, or in response to patient preference (27 [27%] of 99 patients in Group II). Host and lesion parameters in our cohort were validated against outcome parameters by using univariate and multivariate analyses. The pre-GDC and GDC subgroups of patients were comparable for major disease severity parameters (patient age, lesion location, clinical grade, and hemorrhage severity). There was no significant difference in clinical outcome at 6 months, infarcts on computerized tomography scanning, or aneurysm obliteration rates before and after introduction of GDC treatment. Decreasing trends in duration of hospital and ICU stay and in inflation-adjusted hospital charges occurred well before and thus were unrelated to the introduction of the GDC therapeutic option.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study do not demonstrate any significant impact of integration of the GDC modality on clinical outcome, mortality, morbidity, or effectiveness of treatment. Ongoing improvements in hospital charges and length of hospital stay appeared unrelated to the introduction of the GDC option.