Multimorbidity patterns and association with mortality in 0.5 million Chinese adults

Comorbidity progression analysis: patient stratification and comorbidity prediction using temporal comorbidity network

Objective

The study aims to identify distinct population-specific comorbidity progression patterns, timely detect potential comorbidities, and gain better understanding of the progression of comorbid conditions among patients.

Methods

This work presents a comorbidity progression analysis framework that utilizes temporal comorbidity networks (TCN) for patient stratification and comorbidity prediction. We propose a TCN construction approach that utilizes longitudinal, temporal diagnosis data of patients to construct their TCN. Subsequently, we employ the TCN for patient stratification by conducting preliminary analysis, and typical prescription analysis to uncover potential comorbidity progression patterns in different patient groups. Finally, we propose an innovative comorbidity prediction method by utilizing the distance-matched temporal comorbidity network (TCN-DM). This method identifies similar patients with disease prevalence and disease transition patterns and combines their diagnosis information with that of the current patient to predict potential comorbidity at the patient's next visit.

Results

This study validated the capability of the framework using a real-world dataset MIMIC-III, with heart failure (HF) as interested disease to investigate comorbidity progression in HF patients. With TCN, this study can identify four significant distinctive HF subgroups, revealing the progression of comorbidities in patients. Furthermore, compared to other methods, TCN-DM demonstrated better predictive performance with F1-Score values ranging from 0.454 to 0.612, showcasing its superiority.

Conclusions

This study can identify comorbidity patterns for individuals and population, and offer promising prediction for future comorbidity developments in patients.

Association between single and multiple cardiometabolic diseases and all-cause mortality among Chinese older adults: A prospective, nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) are leading causes of death and disability, but little is known about the additive mortality effects of multiple CMDs. This study aimed to examine the association between single and multiple CMDs and all-cause mortality among older Chinese population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) database, we analyzed data from 2008 to 2018 to assess the relationship between CMDs and mortality. Cox regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for single and multiple CMDs. At baseline, 11,351 participants (56.9% female) aged 60 years or older were included. 11.91% of participants had a single CMD, 1.51% had two CMDs, and 0.22% had three CMDs. Over a decade follow-up, 8992 deaths (79.2%) were recorded. A dose-response relationship was observed, with the mortality risk increasing by 17% for each additional disease. The fully-adjusted HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.16, 1.36, and 2.03 for one, two, and three CMDs, respectively. Larger effects of single and multiple CMDs were observed in the male group (P = 0.015) and the younger senior group (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This large-scale study found that CMDs multiply mortality risks, especially in younger seniors and males. The risk is highest when heart disease and stroke coexist, and diabetes further increases it. Public health efforts should prioritize evidence-based management and prevention of CMDs.

Effects of socioeconomic status and regional inequality on the association between PM2.5 and its components and cardiometabolic multimorbidity: A multicenter population-based survey in eastern China

BACKGROUND

Despite evidence linking fine particulate matter (PM2.5) to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), the impact of its components remains unclear. Socioeconomic status (SES) and regional disparities may confound their association. We aim to evaluate the associations between PM2.5 components and CMM and explore how socioeconomic status and regional disparities affect these relationships.

METHODS

We recruited 108,941 participants aged 35-76 years from ten cities in eastern China. Individual exposure was assessed using Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP) data, including PM2.5 and five components: ammonium (NH4+), black carbon (BC), nitrates (NO3-), organic matter (OM), and sulfates (SO42-). Generalized linear models and quantile g-computation models were employed to quantify the effects of PM2.5 components on CMM and to identify key components. Stratified analyses were performed to investigate the modifying effect of SES and regional disparities.

RESULTS

For each increase in interquartile range (IQR), BC (odds ratio [OR] 1.37, 95 % CI 1.29-1.47), OM (1.38, 1.29-1.48), NH4+ (1.31, 1.21-1.40), NO3- (1.34, 1.25-1.44), and SO42- (1.28, 1.20-1.38) were positively associated with CMM. Joint exposure to five components was significantly positively associated with CMM (OR: 1.27, 95 % CI: 1.21-1.33), with SO42- having the highest estimated weight, followed by NO3- and BC. These associations were stronger for participants from low socio-economic status and poor regions.

CONCLUSION

In summary, we found a stronger hazard effect of PM2.5 and its components on CMM, compared to those suffering from CMDs, particularly among participants with low socioeconomic status and in poor regions. SO42- may be a primary contributor to the association between PM2.5 components and CMM. These findings underscore the importance of prioritizing CMM and targeting SO42-related pollution sources in health policies, particularly amid China's aging population, reducing environmental health inequalities is critical.

2024 Chinese Expert Consensus Guidelines on the Diagnosis and Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly, Endorsed by Geriatric Society of Chinese Medical Association (Cardiovascular Group) and Chinese Society of Geriatric Health Medicine (Cardiovascular Branch): Executive Summary

The consensus guidelines of the Geriatric Society of Chinese Medical Association on the management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the elderly was first published in 2011 and updated in 2016, with endorsement by Chinese Society of Geriatric Health Medicine. Since then, many important studies regarding the screening and treatment in the elderly population have been reported, necessitating this updated expert consensus guideline. The writing committee members comprehensively reviewed updated evidence pertaining to elderly patients with AF, and formulated this 2024 update. The highlighted issues focused on the following: screening for AF, geriatric comprehensive assessment, use of the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway for the elderly patients, and special clinical settings related to elderly patients with AF. New recommendations addressing smart technology facilitated AF screening, ABC pathway based management, and optimal anticoagulation were developed, with a focus on the elderly.

Age and sex differences in the impact of common comorbidities on stroke and myocardial infarction: results from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to evaluate the age- and sex-specific associations of comorbidities with stroke and MI and further calculate the population-attributable fractions (PAFs) of five comorbid diseases for stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) by age and sex.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a prospective cohort study.

METHODS

This study leveraged data from a sub-cohort of the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events (PEACE) Million Persons Project. Participants aged 35-75 years without a prevalent stroke and MI were enrolled from January 2016 to December 2020, with follow-up through December 2021. Five common comorbidities were collected at baseline, and the study outcome was hospitalization for stroke and MI identified from the Inpatients Registry.

RESULTS

Of 100,873 participants, the mean age was 54.2 (±10.2) years, 34.2% were ≥60 years old, and 60.8% were women. After a median follow-up of 3.52 years, 4156 participants had stroke/MI. The strengths of the associations between hypertension, diabetes, and obesity with stroke/MI were higher in younger individuals than in seniors, and obesity had a more hazardous impact on stroke/MI in men than in women. The five comorbidities collectively explained a higher population attributable fraction (PAF) for stroke/MI in the young group (51.5[46.9, 55.7] %) than in the senior group (41.3[37.0, 45.4] %), in men (45.6[40.9, 49.9] %) than in women (41.1[36.1, 45.7] %).

CONCLUSIONS

Most of the common comorbidities were significantly associated with stroke and MI. Several age and sex differences in the impacts of comorbidities on stroke/MI were observed, highlighting the importance of age- and sex-specific preventive strategies to reduce premature stroke and MI.

Association between polypharmacy and 2-year outcomes among Chinese older inpatients: a multi-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

The escalating global prevalence of polypharmacy presents a growing challenge to public health. In light of this issue, the primary objective of our study was to investigate the status of polypharmacy and its association with clinical outcomes in a large sample of hospitalized older patients aged 65 years and over.

METHODS

A two-year prospective cohort study was carried out at six tertiary-level hospitals in China. Polypharmacy was defined as the prescription of 5 or more different medications daily, including over-the-counter and non-prescription medications. Baseline polypharmacy, multimorbidity, and other variables were collected when at admission, and 2-year outcomes were recorded by telephone follow-up. We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to examine the associations between polypharmacy and 2-year outcomes.

RESULTS

The overall response rate was 87.2% and 8713 participants were included in the final analysis. The mean age was 72.40 years (SD = 5.72), and women accounted for 42.2%. The prevalence of polypharmacy among older Chinese inpatients is 23.6%. After adjusting for age, sex, education, marriage status, body mass index, baseline frailty, handgrip strength, cognitive impairment, and the Charlson comorbidity index, polypharmacy is significantly associated with frailty aggravation (OR 1.432, 95% CI 1.258-1.631) and mortality (OR 1.365, 95% CI 1.174-1.592), while inversely associated with readmission (OR 0.870, 95% CI 0.764-0.989). Polypharmacy was associated with a 35.6% increase in the risk of falls (1.356, 95%CI 1.064-1.716). This association weakened after adjustment for multimorbidity to 27.3% (OR 1.273, 95%CI 0.992-1.622).

CONCLUSIONS

Polypharmacy was prevalent among older inpatients and was a risk factor for 2-year frailty aggravation and mortality. These results highlight the importance of optimizing medication use in older adults to minimize the risks associated with polypharmacy. Further research and implementing strategies are warranted to enhance the quality of care and safety for older individuals exposed to polypharmacy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR1800017682, registered 09/08/2018.

Sarcopenic obesity is associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity in Chinese middle-aged and older adults: a cross-sectional and longitudinal study

OBJECTIVES

Sarcopenic obesity (SO) has been found to increase the risk of metabolic disorders, however, its relationship with cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) remains unexplored. This study aims to investigate the potential association between SO and CMM in the middle-aged and older population.

METHODS

Our study subjects were from CHARLS. SO was defined as the combination of impaired grip strength (grip strength <28 kg for men and <18 kg for women) and increased body mass index (BMI ≥25 kg/m2). CMM was defined as having two or more cardiometabolic diseases, including diabetes mellitus, stroke, and heart disease. The participants were divided into four groups according to their sarcopenia and obesity status, and logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between SO and CMM.

RESULTS

A total of 15,252 study subjects were included in the cross-sectional study, with an average age of 60.6 years and a male proportion of 47.4%. In the cross-sectional analysis conducted in 2015, the prevalence of CMM was highest in the SO group (9.1%), followed by the obesity (3.7%) and sarcopenia (3.5%) group. After adjustment for confounding factors, SO [OR (95%CI): 2.453 (1.742-3.455)], sarcopenia [OR (95% CI): 1.601 (1.157-2.217)], obesity [OR (95% CI): 1.446 (1.107-1.888)] were all observed to be associated with CMM, with the strongest association in the SO group. Furthermore, in the longitudinal analysis, only the SO group demonstrated a significant risk for developing CMM [OR (95% CI): 2.302 (1.239-4.228)].

CONCLUSIONS

SO was independently and positively associated with CMM in middle-aged and older population.

Association between Dietary Patterns and Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity among Chinese Rural Older Adults

BACKGROUND

The global population is aging rapidly, leading to an increase in the prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM). This study aims to investigate the association between dietary patterns and CMM among Chinese rural older adults.

METHODS

The sample was selected using a multi-stage cluster random sampling method and a total of 3331 rural older adults were ultimately included. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between the latent dietary patterns and CMM.

RESULTS

The prevalence of CMM among rural older adults was 44.64%. This study identified four potential categories: "Low Consumption of All Foods Dietary Pattern (C1)", "High Dairy, Egg, and Red Meat Consumption, Low Vegetable and High-Salt Consumption Dietary Pattern (C2)", "High Egg, Vegetable, and Grain Consumption, Low Dairy and White Meat Consumption Dietary Pattern (C3)" and "High Meat and Fish Consumption, Low Dairy and High-Salt Consumption Dietary Pattern (C4)". Individuals with a C3 dietary pattern (OR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.66-0.98; p = 0.028) and a C4 dietary pattern (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.97; p = 0.034) significantly reduced the prevalence of CMM compared with the C1 dietary pattern.

CONCLUSIONS

Rural older adults have diverse dietary patterns, and healthy dietary patterns may reduce the risk of CMM.

Association of coffee consumption with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: A prospective cohort study in the UK biobank

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Previous observational studies have investigated the association between coffee consumption and single cardiometabolic disease. Yet, the extent to which coffee might confer health advantages to individuals with a singular cardiometabolic disease remains unclear. This study aimed to further investigate the association of coffee consumption and the onset and progression from single cardiometabolic disease to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This prospective cohort study included 185,112 participants from the UK Biobank who were enrolled between 2006 and 2010 and followed up until 2020. Coffee consumption was collected using a 24-h dietary questionnaire. CMM was defined as the coexistence of at least two cardiometabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes (T2D), coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Cox proportional hazards and multi-state models estimated the associations between coffee consumption and CMM. During a median follow-up of 11.4 years, 1585 participants developed CMM. Compared with nonconsumers, coffee consumers had lower risks for the transitions from baseline to single cardiometabolic disease, with the respective lowest hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the transitions from baseline to T2D, CHD and stroke after multivariable adjustment being 0.79 (CI, 0.72-0.87), 0.91 (CI, 0.86-0.97) and 0.87 (CI, 0.78-0.96). Coffee consumption resulted in a significant reduction in the risk of the transitions from CHD and stroke to CMM, with the lowest estimates were 0.56 (CI, 0.43-0.73) and 0.60 (CI, 0.43-0.83). Similar associations were observed in unsweetened coffee. Sugar-sweetened coffee was associated with some transitions at low levels of consumption. The associations between artificially sweetened coffee and CMM were less consistent.

CONCLUSIONS

Coffee consumption was associated with lower risk for almost all transition phases of CMM development and consistent findings were observed with unsweetened coffee.

Changes in patterns of multimorbidity and associated with medical costs among Chinese middle-aged and older adults from 2013 to 2023: an analysis of repeated cross-sectional surveys in Xiangyang, China

Background

Multimorbidity has become a major public health problem among Chinese middle-aged and older adults, and the most costly to the health care system. However, most previous population-based studies of multimorbidity have focused on a limited number of chronic diseases, and diagnosis was based on participants' self-report, which may oversimplify the problem. At the same time, there were few reports on the relationship between multimorbidity patterns and health care costs. This study analyzed the multimorbidity patterns and changes among middle-aged and older people in China over the past decade, and their association with medical costs, based on representative hospital electronic medical record data.

Methods

Two cross-sectional surveys based on representative hospital data were used to obtain adults aged 45 years and older in Xiangyang in 2013 (n = 20,218) and 2023 (n = 63,517). Latent Class Analysis was used to analyze changes in the patterns of multimorbidity, gray correlation analysis and ordered logistics model were used to assess the association of multimorbidity patterns with medical expenses. The diagnosis and classification of chronic diseases were based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes (ICD-10).

Results

The detection rate of chronic disease multimorbidity has increased (70.74 vs. 76.63%, p < 0.001), and multimorbidity patterns have increased from 6 to 9 (2013: Malignant tumors pattern, non-specific multimorbidity pattern, ischemic heart disease + hypertension pattern, cerebral infarction + hypertension pattern, kidney disease + hypertension pattern, lens disease + hypertension pattern; new in 2023: Nutritional metabolism disorders + hypertension pattern, chronic lower respiratory diseases + malignant tumors pattern, and gastrointestinal diseases pattern) in China. The medical cost of all multimorbidity patients have been reduced between 2013 and 2023 (RMB: 8216.74 vs. 7247.96, IQR: 5802.28-15,737 vs. 5014.63-15434.06). The top three specific multimorbidity patterns in both surveys were malignancy tumor pattern, ischemic heart disease + hypertension pattern, and cerebral infarction + hypertension pattern. Hypertension and type 2 diabetes are important components of multimorbidity patterns. Compared with patients with a single disease, only lens disorders + hypertension pattern were at risk of higher medical costs in 2013 (aOR:1.23, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.47), whereas all multimorbidity patterns were significantly associated with increased medical costs in 2023, except for lens disorders + hypertension (aOR:0.35, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.39). Moreover, the odds of higher medical costs were not consistent across multimorbidity patterns. Among them, ischemic heart disease + hypertension pattern [adjusted odds ratio (aOR):4.66, 95%CI: 4.31, 5.05] and cerebral infarction + hypertension pattern (aOR: 3.63, 95% CI: 3.35, 3.92) were the two patterns with the highest risk. Meanwhile, men (aOR:1.12, 95CI:1.09, 1.16), no spouse (aOR:1.09, 95CI: 1.03, 1.16) had a positive effect on medical costs, while patients with total self-pay (aOR: 0.45, 95CI: 0.29, 0.70), no surgery (aOR: 0.05, 95CI: 0.05, 0.05), rural residence (aOR: 0.92, 95CI: 0.89, 0.95), hospitalization days 1-5 (aOR: 0.04, 95CI: 0.04, 0.04), and hospitalization days 6-9 (aOR: 0.15, 95CI: 0.15, 0.16) had a negative impact on medical costs.

Conclusion

Multimorbidity patterns among middle-aged and older adults in China have diversified over the past decade and are associated with rising health care costs in China. Smart, decisive and comprehensive policy and care interventions are needed to effectively manage NCDS and their risk factors and to reduce the economic burden of multimorbidity on patients and the country.

Remnant cholesterol is more positively related to diabetes, prediabetes, and insulin resistance than conventional lipid parameters and lipid ratios: A multicenter, large sample survey

BACKGROUND

Not many large-sample investigations are available that compare the potency of the relationship of remnant cholesterol (RC) and other lipid parameters with diabetes and prediabetes. The goals of our study are to discover the relationship between RC and prediabetes, diabetes, and insulin resistance (IR) and to investigate RC, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides (TG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), TC/HDL-C, LDL-C/HDL-C, and TG/HDL-C, which are the lipid parameters that are most positively related to diabetes, prediabetes, and IR.

METHODS

This research enrolled 36 684 subjects from China's eight provinces. We employed multiple logistic regression analysis for testing the relationship between lipid parameters and diabetes, prediabetes, and IR.

RESULTS

After adjusting for potential confounders, and comparing the results with other lipid parameters, the positive relationship between RC and diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 1.417, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.345-1.492), prediabetes (OR 1.555, 95% CI: 1.438-1.628), and IR (OR 1.488, 95% CI: 1.404-1.577) was highest. RC was still related to diabetes, prediabetes, and IR even when TG <2.3 mmol/L (diabetes: OR 1.256, 95% CI: 1.135-1.390; prediabetes: OR 1.503, 95% CI: 1.342-1.684; and IR: OR 1.278, 95% CI: 1.140-1.433), LDL-C <2.6 mmol/L (diabetes: OR 1.306, 95% CI: 1.203-1.418; prediabetes: OR 1.597, 95% CI: 1.418-1.798; and IR: OR 1.552, 95% CI: 1.416-1.701), or HDL-C ≥1 mmol/L (diabetes: OR 1.456, 95% CI: 1.366-1.550; prediabetes: OR 1.553, 95% CI: 1.421-1.697; and IR: OR 1.490, 95% CI: 1.389-1.598).

CONCLUSION

RC is more positively related to diabetes, prediabetes, and IR than conventional lipids and lipid ratios in the general population, the relationships between RC and diabetes, prediabetes, and IR are stable, even if HDL-C, LDL-C, or TG are at appropriate levels.

Association between muscle strength and cardiometabolic multimorbidity risk among middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CM) is emerging as a global health challenge. This study investigated the potential impact of muscle strength on the risk of CM in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

METHODS

In total, 7610 participants were identified from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Muscle strength was measured by absolute, relative grip strength (normalized for body mass index) and chair-rising time which were classified into three categories according to tertiles stratified by gender. Cox proportional hazards models were adopted to evaluate the effect of muscle strength on CM.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 235(3.76%) participants from none cardiometabolic diseases (CMD), 140 (19.23%) from diabetes, 119 (21.17%) from heart disease, and 22 (30.56%) from stroke progressed to CM. In participants who had low relative grip strength, CM was more likely to occur in individuals with heart disease at baseline (HR: 1.89, 95%CIs: 1.10 to 3.23). Those with high chair-rising time had a higher risk of CM than those with low chair-rising time in the individuals with diabetes (HR: 1.85, 95%CIs:1.20 to 2.86) and with heart disease (HR: 1.67, 95%CIs:1.04 to 2.70). However, we did not observe an association between muscle strength and CM in participants without CMD or with stroke at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

In Chinese middle-aged and older adults, low relative grip strength was associated with a higher risk of CM in individuals with heart disease, while high chair-rising time was associated with a higher risk of CM in individuals with diabetes or heart disease.

Prevalence and pattern of multimorbidity in China: a cross-sectional study of 224,142 adults over 60 years old

Aim

To examine the prevalence and potential risk factors of multimorbidity among older adult in China. In addition, we investigated the pattern of multimorbidity.

Methods

This study is based on data from the fourth Sample Survey of the Aged Population in Urban and Rural China (SSAPUR) in 2015, a comprehensive survey of individuals aged 60 years or older in China. We calculated baseline data and prevalence rates for comorbidities, stratified by household registration, age, sex, education, exercise, and health insurance. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify potential risk factors for comorbidities. Furthermore, we determined the prevalence rates for the three most frequent disease combinations.

Results

A total of 215,040 participants were included in our analysis. The prevalence of multimorbidity was 50.5% among the older adult in China. The prevalence rate was slightly higher in rural areas than in urban areas, with rates of 51.5 and 49.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). Moreover, the prevalence rate was higher in females than in males, with rates of 55.2 and 45.3%, respectively (p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that individuals aged 70-79 years (OR:1.40, 95% CI: 1.38-1.43, p < 0.001) and over 80 years (OR:1.41, 95% CI: 1.38-1.45, p < 0.001) had a higher prevalence of multimorbidity than those aged 60-69 years. The most prevalent pair of comorbidities was hypertension and osteoarthropathy, with 19.6% of the participants having these two conditions, accounting for 5.4% of the total participants.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate a high prevalence of multimorbidity among the older adult in China. Increased expenditure on preventive health care, popularization of general medicine and popular medical education may be adopted by the Government to cope with the high prevalence of multimorbidity.

Study on the Impact of Dietary Patterns on Cardiovascular Metabolic Comorbidities among Adults

Background

The prevalence of cardiovascular metabolic comorbidities (CMM) among adults is relatively high, imposing a heavy burden on individuals, families, and society. Dietary patterns play a significant role in the occurrence and development of CMM. This study aimed to identify the combined types of CMM in adult populations and investigate the impact of dietary patterns on CMM.

Methods

Participants in this study were from the sixth wave of the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Dietary intake was assessed using a three-day 24-hour dietary recall method among 4,963 participants. Latent profile analysis was used to determine dietary pattern types. Two-step cluster analysis was performed to identify the combined types of CMM based on the participants' conditions of hyperuricemia, dyslipidemia, diabetes, renal dysfunction, hypertension, and stroke. Logistic regression analysis with robust standard errors was used to determine the impact of dietary patterns on CMM.

Results

Participants were clustered into three dietary patterns (Pattern 1 to 3) and five CMM types (Class I to V). Class I combined six diseases, with a low proportion of diabetes. Class II also combined six diseases but with a high proportion of diabetes. Class III combined four diseases, with a high proportion of hypertension. Class IV combined three diseases, with the highest proportions of hyperuricemia, diabetes, and renal dysfunction. Class V combined two diseases, with high proportions of dyslipidemia and renal dysfunction. Patients with Class III CMM had a significantly higher average age than the other four classes (P ≤ 0.05). Compared to those with isolated dyslipidemia, individuals with a low-grain, high-fruit, milk, and egg (LCHFM) dietary pattern had a higher risk of developing dyslipidemia combined with renal dysfunction (Class V CMM) with an odds ratio of 2.001 (95% CI 1.011-3.960, P≤ 0.05).

Conclusion

For individuals with isolated dyslipidemia, avoiding a low-grain, high-fruit, milk, and egg (LCHFM) dietary pattern may help reduce the risk of developing dyslipidemia combined with renal dysfunction (Class V CMM).

Association of lifestyles and multimorbidity with mortality among individuals aged 60 years or older: Two prospective cohort studies

Lifestyles are associated with all-cause mortality, yet limited research has explored the association in the elderly population with multimorbidity. We aim to investigate the impact of adopting a healthy lifestyle on reducing the risk of all-cause mortality in older individuals with or without multimorbidity in both China and UK. This prospective study included 29,451 and 173,503 older adults aged 60 and over from Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) and UK Biobank. Lifestyles and multimorbidity were categorized into three groups, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the Hazard Ratios (HRs), 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), and dose-response for all-cause mortality in relation to lifestyles and multimorbidity, as well as the combination of both factors. During a mean follow-up period of 4.7 years in CLHLS and 12.14 years in UK Biobank, we observed 21,540 and 20,720 deaths, respectively. For participants with two or more conditions, compared to those with an unhealthy lifestyle, adopting a healthy lifestyle was associated with a 27%-41% and 22%-42% reduction in mortality risk in the CLHLS and UK Biobank, respectively; Similarly, for individuals without multimorbidity, this reduction ranged from 18% to 41%. Among participants with multimorbidity, individuals with an unhealthy lifestyle had a higher mortality risk compared to those maintaining a healthy lifestyle, with HRs of 1.15 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.32) and 1.27 (95% CI: 1.16, 1.39) for two conditions, and 1.24 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.45) and 1.73 (95% CI: 1.56, 1.91) for three or more conditions in CLHLS and UK Biobank, respectively. Adherence to a healthy lifestyle can yield comparable mortality benefits for older individuals, regardless of their multimorbidity status. Furthermore, maintaining a healthy lifestyle can alleviate the mortality risks linked to a higher number of diseases.

Factors associated with depressive symptoms among cancer patients: a nationwide cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

Research on factors contributing to depressive symptoms in cancer patients at a national level, encompassing a comprehensive set of variables was limited. This study aimed to address this gap by identifying the factors associated with depressive symptoms among cancer patients through a nationwide cross-sectional analysis.

METHODS

Various factors, including demographic, socioeconomic, behavioral patterns, general and self-rated health status, chronic conditions, dietary habits, and cancer-related factors, were examined. Data was from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify associated factors. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the performance of the logistic model.

RESULTS

The findings showed that five sociodemographic factors, two behavioral styles, self-rated health status, comorbid arthritis, two dietary factors and two cancer-related factors were strongly associated with depressive symptoms. Compared with those aged 20-39 years, cancer individuals aged 40-59 years (OR = 0.48, P < 0.05) and those 60 years or older (OR = 0.18, P < 0.05) had lower odds of depression. Positive factors included being never married (OR = 1.98, P < 0.05), widowed, divorced or separated (OR = 1.75, P < 0.05), unemployment (OR = 1.87, P < 0.05), current smoking (OR = 1.84, P < 0.05), inadequate sleep (OR = 1.96, P < 0.05), comorbid arthritis (OR = 1.79, P < 0.05), and poor self-rated health status (OR = 3.53, P < 0.05). No significant association was identified between the Healthy Eating Index 2015 and the Dietary Inflammatory Index with depression (P > 0.05). Shorter cancer diagnosis duration was associated with reduced odds of depression (P < 0.05). The logistic model had an area under the curve of 0.870 (95% CI: 0.846-0.894, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer patients should receive enhanced family and social support while cultivating a healthy lifestyle and diet. Incorporating plenty of fruits, greens, and beans is highly recommended, along with establishing a comprehensive health management framework.

Correlation of cardiometabolic index and sarcopenia with cardiometabolic multimorbidity in middle-aged and older adult: a prospective study

Background

Research has demonstrated that sarcopenia and visceral obesity are significant risk factors for chronic disease in middle-aged and older adults. However, the relationship between sarcopenia, the cardiac metabolic index (CMI), a novel measure of visceral obesity, and cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) remains unclear. In this study, data from the China Longitudinal Study of Health and Retirement (CHARLS) were analyzed to investigate the association between sarcopenia and CMI with CMM in the middle-aged and older adult population.

Methods

The study included 4,959 participants aged 45 and over. Sarcopenia was defined using the criteria of the Asian Sarcopenia Working Group 2019. CMM is defined as having two or more of the following conditions: physician-diagnosed heart disease, diabetes, stroke, and/or hypertension. CMI was calculated using the formula: CMI = (TG/HDL-C) × WHtR. To explore the association between CMI and sarcopenia and CMM, cox proportional risk regression models were used.

Results

The median age of all participants was 57 years, with 47.1% being male. Over the 8-year follow-up, 1,362 individuals developed CMM. The incidence of CMM was 8.7/1,000 person-years in the group without sarcopenia or high CMI, 17.37/1,000 person-years in those with high CMI, 14.22/1,000 person-years in the sarcopenia group, and 22.34/1,000 person-years in the group with both conditions. After adjusting for covariates, the group with both sarcopenia and high CMI had a significantly increased risk of CMM (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.12-5.51) and heart disease (HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.05-3.98). Among those over 65 years, sarcopenia was discovered to be associated with an increased risk of CMM [HR (95% CI: 4.83 (1.22, 19.06)]. The risk of CMM was further increased to 7.31-fold (95% CI:1.72, 31.15) when combined with high CMI.

Conclusions

The combination of sarcopenia and high CMI is associated with an increased risk of developing CMM. Early identification and intervention of sarcopenia and CMI not only enable the development of targeted therapeutic strategies but also provide potential opportunities to reduce the morbidity and mortality of CMM.

Genetic effects and causal association analyses of 14 common conditions/diseases in multimorbidity patterns

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity has become an important health challenge in the aging population. Accumulated evidence has shown that multimorbidity has complex association patterns, but the further mechanisms underlying the association patterns are largely unknown.

METHODS

Summary statistics of 14 conditions/diseases were available from the genome-wide association study (GWAS). Linkage disequilibrium score regression analysis (LDSC) was applied to estimate the genetic correlations. Pleiotropic SNPs between two genetically correlated traits were detected using pleiotropic analysis under the composite null hypothesis (PLACO). PLACO-identified SNPs were mapped to genes by Functional Mapping and Annotation of Genome-Wide Association Studies (FUMA), and gene set enrichment analysis and tissue differential expression were performed for the pleiotropic genes. Two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses assessed the bidirectional causality between conditions/diseases.

RESULTS

LDSC analyses revealed the genetic correlations for 20 pairs based on different two-disease combinations of 14 conditions/diseases, and genetic correlations for 10 pairs were significant after Bonferroni adjustment (P<0.05/91 = 5.49E-04). Significant pleiotropic SNPs were detected for 11 pairs of correlated conditions/diseases. The corresponding pleiotropic genes were differentially expressed in the brain, nerves, heart, and blood vessels and enriched in gluconeogenesis and drug metabolism, biotransformation, and neurons. Comprehensive causal analyses showed strong causality between hypertension, stroke, and high cholesterol, which drive the development of multiple diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlighted the complex mechanisms underlying the association patterns that include the shared genetic components and causal effects among the 14 conditions/diseases. These findings have important implications for guiding the early diagnosis, management, and treatment of comorbidities.

Identifying coronary artery bypass grafting patients at high risk for adverse long-term prognosis using serial health-related quality of life assessments

BACKGROUND

Patients who undergo coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) are known to be at a significant risk of experiencing long-term adverse events, emphasizing the importance of regular assessments. Evaluating health-related quality of life (HRQoL) serves as a direct method to gauge prognosis. Our objective is to ascertain the prognostic significance of consecutive HRQoL assessments using the Physical Component Summary (PCS) and Mental Component Summary (MCS) derived from the Short-Form 36 (SF-36) health survey in CABG patients.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 433 patients who underwent isolated elective CABG at Fuwai Hospital between 2012 and 2013. SF-36 assessments were conducted during both the hospitalization period and follow-up. The primary endpoint of the study was all-cause mortality, while the secondary outcome was a composite measure including death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and repeat revascularization. We assessed the relationships between the PCS and MCS at baseline, as well as their changes during the first 6 months after the surgery (referred to as ΔPCS and ΔMCS, respectively), and the observed outcomes.

RESULTS

The patients were followed for an average of 6.28 years, during which 35 individuals (35/433, 8.1%) died. After adjusting for clinical variables, it was observed that baseline MCS scores (hazard ratio [HR] for a 1-standard deviation [SD] decrease, 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-2.30) and ΔMCS (HR for a 1-SD decrease, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.09-2.56) were associated with all-cause mortality. However, baseline PCS scores and ΔPCS did not exhibit a significant relationship with all-cause mortality. Notably, there was a dose-response relationship observed between ΔMCS and the likelihood of all-cause mortality (HRs for the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quartiles compared to the 1st quartile, 0.33, 0.45 and 0.11, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline MCS and changes in MCS were independent predictors for long-term mortality of CABG. Better mental health status and recovery indicated better prognosis.

Multimorbidity patterns and health-related quality of life among community-dwelling older adults: evidence from a rural town in Suzhou, China

PURPOSE

The high prevalence of multimorbidity in aging societies has posed tremendous challenges to the healthcare system. The aim of our study was to comprehensively assess the association of multimorbidity patterns and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among rural Chinese older adults.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study. Data from 4,579 community-dwelling older adults aged 60 years and above was collected by the clinical examination and questionnaire survey. Information on 10 chronic conditions was collected and the 3-Level EQ-5D (EQ-5D-3L) was adopted to measure the HRQOL of older adults. An exploratory factor analysis was performed to determine multimorbidity patterns. Regression models were fitted to explore the associations of multimorbidity patterns with specific health dimensions and overall HRQOL.

RESULTS

A total of 2,503 (54.7%) participants suffered from multimorbidity, and they reported lower HRQOL compared to those without multimorbidity. Three kinds of multimorbidity patterns were identified including cardiovascular-metabolic diseases, psycho-cognitive diseases and organic diseases. The associations between psycho-cognitive diseases/organic diseases and overall HRQOL assessed by EQ-5D-3L index score were found to be significant (β = - 0.097, 95% CI - 0.110, - 0.084; β = - 0.030, 95% CI - 0.038, - 0.021, respectively), and psycho-cognitive diseases affected more health dimensions. The impact of cardiovascular-metabolic diseases on HRQOL was largely non-significant.

CONCLUSION

Multimorbidity was negatively associated with HRQOL among older adults from rural China. The presence of the psycho-cognitive diseases pattern or the organic diseases pattern contributed to worse HRQOL. The remarkable negative impact of psycho-cognitive diseases on HRQOL necessiates more attention and relevant medical assistance to older rural adults.

Quantifying depressive symptoms on incidence of common chronic diseases and multimorbidity patterns in middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms are highly prevalent and increase risks of various morbidities. However, the extent to which depressive symptoms could account for incidence of these chronic conditions, in particular multimorbidity patterns, remains to be examined and quantified.

METHODS

For this cohort analysis, we included 9024-14,093 participants aged 45 years and older from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the longitudinal associations between depressive symptoms and 13 common chronic diseases and 4 multimorbidity patterns. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) combining the information on both exposure prevalence and risk association were estimated to quantify the magnitude of the burden of these conditions attributable to depressive symptoms.

RESULTS

Depressive symptoms were associated with increased risks of liver disease, stroke, heart problem, asthma, diabetes, arthritis, kidney disease, chronic lung disease, digestive disease, dyslipidemia, and memory-related disease, and the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) and PAFs (95% CIs) ranged from 1.15 (1.05-1.26) to 1.64 (1.38-1.96) and 5% (0-10%) to 17% (6-28%), respectively. In addition, individuals with depressive symptoms had elevated risks of the cardiometabolic-cancer pattern, the cerebrovascular-memory pattern, the articular-visceral organ pattern, and the respiratory pattern, with respective HRs (95% CIs) of 1.26 (1.11-1.42), 1.34 (1.07-1.69), 1.45 (1.29-1.63), and 2.01 (1.36-2.96), and respective PAFs (95% CIs) of 5% (0-10%), 8% (-4-21%), 12% (7-17%), and 20% (5-35%).

CONCLUSION

Depressive symptoms contribute substantially to the burden across a broad range of chronic diseases as well as different multimorbidity patterns in middle-aged and older Chinese.

The regional disparities in liver disease comorbidity among elderly Chinese based on a health ecological model: the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for liver disease comorbidity among older adults in eastern, central, and western China, and explored binary, ternary and quaternary co-morbid co-causal patterns of liver disease within a health ecological model.

METHOD

Basic information from 9,763 older adults was analyzed using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). LASSO regression was employed to identify significant predictors in eastern, central, and western China. Patterns of liver disease comorbidity were studied using association rules, and spatial distribution was analyzed using a geographic information system. Furthermore, binary, ternary, and quaternary network diagrams were constructed to illustrate the relationships between liver disease comorbidity and co-causes.

RESULTS

Among the 9,763 elderly adults studied, 536 were found to have liver disease comorbidity, with binary or ternary comorbidity being the most prevalent. Provinces with a high prevalence of liver disease comorbidity were primarily concentrated in Inner Mongolia, Sichuan, and Henan. The most common comorbidity patterns identified were "liver-heart-metabolic", "liver-kidney", "liver-lung", and "liver-stomach-arthritic". In the eastern region, important combination patterns included "liver disease-metabolic disease", "liver disease-stomach disease", and "liver disease-arthritis", with the main influencing factors being sleep duration of less than 6 h, frequent drinking, female, and daily activity capability. In the central region, common combination patterns included "liver disease-heart disease", "liver disease-metabolic disease", and "liver disease-kidney disease", with the main influencing factors being an education level of primary school or below, marriage, having medical insurance, exercise, and no disabilities. In the western region, the main comorbidity patterns were "liver disease-chronic lung disease", "liver disease-stomach disease", "liver disease-heart disease", and "liver disease-arthritis", with the main influencing factors being general or poor health satisfaction, general or poor health condition, severe pain, and no disabilities.

CONCLUSION

The comorbidities associated with liver disease exhibit specific clustering patterns at both the overall and local levels. By analyzing the comorbidity patterns of liver diseases in different regions and establishing co-morbid co-causal patterns, this study offers a new perspective and scientific basis for the prevention and treatment of liver diseases.

Correlational analysis of sarcopenia and multimorbidity among older inpatients

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia and multimorbidity are common in older adults, and most of the available clinical studies have focused on the relationship between specialist disorders and sarcopenia, whereas fewer studies have been conducted on the relationship between sarcopenia and multimorbidity. We therefore wished to explore the relationship between the two.

METHODS

The study subjects were older patients (aged ≥ 65 years) who were hospitalized at the Department of Geriatrics of the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University between March 2016 and September 2021. Their medical records were collected. Based on the diagnostic criteria of the Asian Sarcopenia Working Group in 2019, the relationship between sarcopenia and multimorbidity was elucidated.

RESULTS

1.A total of 651 older patients aged 65 years and above with 2 or more chronic diseases were investigated in this study, 46.4% were suffering from sarcopenia. 2. Analysis of the relationship between the number of chronic diseases and sarcopenia yielded that the risk of sarcopenia with 4-5 chronic diseases was 1.80 times higher than the risk of 2-3 chronic diseases (OR 1.80, 95%CI 0.29-2.50), and the risk of sarcopenia with ≥ 6 chronic diseases was 5.11 times higher than the risk of 2-3 chronic diseases (OR 5.11, 95% CI 2.97-9.08), which remained statistically significant, after adjusting for relevant factors. 3. The Charlson comorbidity index was associated with skeletal muscle mass index, handgrip strength, and 6-meter walking speed, with scores reaching 5 and above suggesting the possibility of sarcopenia. 4. After adjusting for some covariates among 14 common chronic diseases in older adults, diabetes (OR 3.20, 95% CI 2.01-5.09), cerebrovascular diseases (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.33-3.22), bone and joint diseases (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.32-3.14), and malignant tumors (OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.17-6.55) were among those that still a risk factor for the development of sarcopenia.

CONCLUSION

In the hospitalized older adults, the more chronic diseases they have, the higher the prevalence of sarcopenia. When the CCI is 5, attention needs to be paid to the occurrence of sarcopenia in hospitalized older adults.

Bidirectional association between falls and multimorbidity in middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults: a national longitudinal study

This study explores the bidirectional association between multimorbidity and falls in Chinese middle-aged and elderly adults. Participants aged 45 and above from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included. Binary logistic regression assessed the impact of chronic conditions on fall incidence (stage I), while multinomial logistic regression examined the relationship between baseline falls and multimorbidity (stage II). The fully adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for one, two, or three or more chronic conditions were 1.34, 1.65, and 2.02, respectively. Among participants without baseline falls, 28.61% developed two or more chronic conditions during follow-up, compared to 37.4% of those with a history of falls. Fully adjusted ORs for one, two, or three or more chronic conditions in those with a history of falls were 1.21, 1.38 and 1.70, respectively. The bidirectional relationship held in sensitivity and subgroup analyses. A bidirectional relationship exists between multimorbidity and falls in Chinese middle-aged and elderly adults. Strengthening chronic condition screening and treatment in primary healthcare may reduce falls risk, and prioritizing fall prevention and intervention in daily life is recommended.

Temporal change in multimorbidity prevalence, clustering patterns, and the association with mortality: findings from the China Kadoorie Biobank study in Jiangsu Province

Objectives

The characteristics of multimorbidity in the Chinese population are currently unclear. We aimed to determine the temporal change in multimorbidity prevalence, clustering patterns, and the association of multimorbidity with mortality from all causes and four major chronic diseases.

Methods

This study analyzed data from the China Kadoorie Biobank study performed in Wuzhong District, Jiangsu Province. A total of 53,269 participants aged 30-79 years were recruited between 2004 and 2008. New diagnoses of 15 chronic diseases and death events were collected during the mean follow-up of 10.9 years. Yule's Q cluster analysis method was used to determine the clustering patterns of multimorbidity. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the associations of multimorbidity with mortalities.

Results

The overall multimorbidity prevalence rate was 21.1% at baseline and 27.7% at the end of follow-up. Multimorbidity increased more rapidly during the follow-up in individuals who had a higher risk at baseline. Three main multimorbidity patterns were identified: (i) cardiometabolic multimorbidity (diabetes, coronary heart disease, stroke, and hypertension), (ii) respiratory multimorbidity (tuberculosis, asthma, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), and (iii) mental, kidney and arthritis multimorbidity (neurasthenia, psychiatric disorders, chronic kidney disease, and rheumatoid arthritis). There were 3,433 deaths during the follow-up. The mortality risk increased by 24% with each additional disease [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.20-1.29]. Compared with those without multimorbidity at baseline, both cardiometabolic multimorbidity and respiratory multimorbidity were associated with increased mortality from all causes and four major chronic diseases. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was additionally associated with mortality from cardiovascular diseases and diabetes, with HRs of 2.64 (95% CI = 2.19-3.19) and 28.19 (95% CI = 14.85-53.51), respectively. Respiratory multimorbidity was associated with respiratory disease mortality, with an HR of 9.76 (95% CI = 6.22-15.31).

Conclusion

The prevalence of multimorbidity has increased substantially over the past decade. This study has revealed that cardiometabolic multimorbidity and respiratory multimorbidity have significantly increased mortality rates. These findings indicate the need to consider high-risk populations and to provide local evidence for intervention strategies and health management in economically developed regions.

The association between Chinese visceral adiposity index and cardiometabolic multimorbidity among Chinese middle-aged and older adults: a national cohort study

Objective

This study aimed to explore the association between the Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and cardiometabolic multimorbidity in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

Methods

The data used in this study were obtained from a national cohort, the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS, 2011-2018 wave). The CVAI was measured using previously validated biomarker estimation formulas, which included sex, age, body mass index, waist circumference, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. The presence of two or more of these cardiometabolic diseases (diabetes, heart disease, and stroke) is considered as cardiometabolic multimorbidity. We used Cox proportional hazard regression models to examine the association between CVAI and cardiometabolic multimorbidity, adjusting for a set of covariates. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to show the strength of the associations. We also conducted a subgroup analysis between age and sex, as well as two sensitivity analyses. Receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC) were used to test the predictive capabilities and cutoff value of the CVAI for cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

Results

A total of 9028 participants were included in the final analysis, with a mean age of 59.3 years (standard deviation: 9.3) and women accounting for 53.7% of the sample population. In the fully-adjusted model, compared with participants in the Q1 of CVAI, the Q3 (HR = 2.203, 95% CI = 1.039 - 3.774) and Q4 of CVAI (HR = 3.547, 95% CI = 2.100 - 5.992) were associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity. There was no evidence of an interaction between the CVAI quartiles and sex or age in association with cardiometabolic multimorbidity (P >0.05). The results of both sensitivity analyses suggested that the association between CVAI and cardiometabolic multimorbidity was robust. In addition, the area under ROC and ideal cutoff value for CVAI prediction of cardiometabolic multimorbidity were 0.685 (95% CI = 0.649-0.722) and 121.388.

Conclusion

The CVAI is a valid biomarker with good predictive capability for cardiometabolic multimorbidity and can be used by primary healthcare organizations in the future for early warning, prevention, and intervention with regard to cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

Association of adiposity indicators with cardiometabolic multimorbidity risk in hypertensive patients: a large cross-sectional study

Background

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) has emerged as a prominent public health concern. Hypertensive patients are prone to develop comorbidities. Moreover, the accumulation of visceral adipose tissue is the main cause for the development of cardiometabolic diseases. The cardiometabolic index (CMI), lipid accumulation product (LAP), visceral adiposity index (VAI), and Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) not only assess adipose tissue mass but also reflect adipose tissue dysfunction. So far, no study has been reported to evaluate the association of CMI, LAP, VAI, and CVAI with CMM risk in hypertensive patients. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the association between these adiposity indicators and the risk of CMM among Chinese hypertensive patients.

Methods

In this cross-sectional study, a total of 229,287 hypertensive patients aged 35 years and older were included from the National Basic Public Health Service Project. All participants underwent a face-to-face questionnaire survey, physical examination, and the collection of fasting venous blood samples. Multivariable logistic regression models were performed to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Receiver operating characteristic curve was utilized to evaluate the identification ability for CMM.

Results

After adjusting for confounders, each 1-standard deviation increase in CMI, LAP, VAI, and CVAI was associated with a 14%, 8%, 12%, and 54% increased risk of CMM, respectively. When comparing the highest quartile of these indicators with the lowest quartile, individuals in the highest quartile of CMM, LAP, VAI, and CVAI had a 1.39-fold (95% CI 1.30, 1.48), 1.28-fold (95% CI 1.19, 1.37), 1.37-fold (95% CI 1.29, 1.46), and 2.56-fold (95% CI 2.34, 2.79) increased risk of CMM after adjusting for potential confounders. Notably, a nonlinear association was observed for CMI, LAP, and VAI with the risk of CMM (all P nonlinearity < 0.001). CVAI exhibited the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) among all the included adiposity indices in this analysis.

Conclusion

This study indicated the significant positive association of CMI, LAP, VAI, and CVAI with the risk of CMM in hypertensive patients. Among these indicators, CVAI demonstrated the most robust performance in predicting CMM risk and may serve as a valuable tool for identifying CMM risk in Chinese hypertensive patients.

Associations between cardiometabolic multimorbidity and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease pathology in cognitively intact adults: the CABLE study

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity is associated with an increased risk of dementia, but the pathogenic mechanisms linking them remain largely undefined. We aimed to assess the associations of cardiometabolic multimorbidity with cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology to enhance our understanding of the underlying mechanisms linking cardiometabolic multimorbidity and AD.

METHODS

This study included 1464 cognitively intact participants from the Chinese Alzheimer's Biomarker and LifestylE (CABLE) database. Cardiometabolic diseases (CMD) are a group of interrelated disorders such as hypertension, diabetes, heart diseases (HD), and stroke. Based on the CMD status, participants were categorized as CMD-free, single CMD, or CMD multimorbidity. CMD multimorbidity is defined as the coexistence of two or more CMDs. The associations of cardiometabolic multimorbidity and CSF biomarkers were examined using multivariable linear regression models with demographic characteristics, the APOE ε4 allele, and lifestyle factors as covariates. Subgroup analyses stratified by age, sex, and APOE ε4 status were also performed.

RESULTS

A total of 1464 individuals (mean age, 61.80 years; age range, 40-89 years) were included. The markers of phosphorylated tau-related processes (CSF P-tau181: β = 0.165, P = 0.037) and neuronal injury (CSF T-tau: β = 0.065, P = 0.033) were significantly increased in subjects with CMD multimorbidity (versus CMD-free), but not in those with single CMD. The association between CMD multimorbidity with CSF T-tau levels remained significant after controlling for Aβ42 levels. Additionally, significantly elevated tau-related biomarkers were observed in patients with specific CMD combinations (i.e., hypertension and diabetes, hypertension and HD), especially in long disease courses.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity was associated with tau phosphorylation and neuronal injury in cognitively normal populations. CMD multimorbidity might be a potential independent target to alleviate tau-related pathologies that can cause cognitive impairment.

Trajectories of quality of life and cognition in different multimorbidity patterns: Evidence from SHARE

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to observe the trajectory of quality of life (QoL) and cognition, and to a analyze the bidirectional association between cognition and QoL for diverse multimorbidity patterns.

METHODS

In total, 16,153 older participants age ≥50 years were included from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). We used latent class analysis (LCA) to identify multimorbidity patterns in the baseline population. We used linear mixed models (LMM) to examine the trajectory of cognition and QoL in different multimorbidity patterns. A cross-lagged model was employed to analyze the bidirectional association between cognition and QoL in diverse multimorbidity patterns.

RESULTS

Latent class analysis identified four multimorbidity patterns: high and low comorbidity burden (HC and LC), cardiometabolic (CA), and osteoarthrosis (OS). The HC group had the poorest cognitive function and QoL (p for trend < 0.001). Delayed and immediate episodic memory in the OS group declined at a highest rate (p for trend < 0.001). Additionally, a bidirectional association between cognition and QoL was observed. The effect of cognitive function on QoL was relatively stronger than the reverse in the CA and LC groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of decline in cognition and QoL over the time differs in diverse multimorbidity patterns, and patients with four or more chronic diseases should be specially considered. Notably, early monitoring of cognitive function and can help break the vicious cycle between cognitive deterioration and poor QoL in patients with OS or CA diseases.

Relationship between the health poverty vulnerability and multimorbidity patterns identified with latent class analysis aged 45 years or more adults in Northwestern China: A cross-section study

This study aims to identify multimorbidity patterns and examine whether health poverty vulnerability (HPV) varies among adults aged 45 years or more. Data from 4338 participants were extracted from a Chinese cross-sectional study. Latent class analysis was used to identify multimorbidity patterns based on 11 self-reported chronic diseases. A 3-stage feasible generalized least-squares method was used to measure the HPV. The associations and influencing factors were analyzed using the Tobit model. The mean HPV values were 0.105 ± 0.225 and 0.329 ± 0.357, based on extreme poverty and those of low- and middle-income countries' poverty line, respectively. Four latent multimorbidity patterns were identified, comprising hypertension (57.33%), cardiovascular diseases (19.94%), the musculoskeletal system (13.09%), and spine (9.64%). The HPV value from hypertension (coefficient [Coef] =0.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.00-0.05) was significantly higher than that of the musculoskeletal system based on extreme poverty. In addition, the HPV values for hypertension (Coef =0.08, 95% CI = 0.05-0.11), spine (Coef =0.06, 95% CI = 0.02-0.11), and cardiovascular diseases (Coef =0.07, 95% CI = 0.03-0.11) were significantly high based on low- and middle-income countries' poverty line. Age ≥75 years, registered poor households, catastrophic medical expenditure, and toilet style were major risk factors. Although the multimorbidity pattern-induced HPV has been significant improved on extreme poverty, it still poses a very serious challenge with regard to low- to middle-income countries' poverty line. The sensitivity analysis proved the robustness of the results. Policymakers should focus on adults with 3 multimorbidity patterns, namely, registered poor households, age ≥75 years, and catastrophic health expenditure, to adopt targeted interventions to prevent and eliminate HPV.

Lifestyle and clinical factors as predictive indicators of cardiometabolic multimorbidity in Chinese adults: Baseline findings of the Beijing Health Management Cohort (BHMC) study

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is increasing globally as a result of lifestyle changes and the aging population. Even though previous studies have examined risk factors associated with CMM, there is a shortage of prediction models that can accurately identify high-risk individuals for early prevention.

METHODS

In the baseline survey of the Beijing Health Management Cohort, a total of 77,752 adults aged 18 years or older were recruited from 2020 to 2021. Data on lifestyle factors, clinical profiles, and diagnoses of diabetes, coronary heart disease, and stroke were collected. Logistic regression models were used to identify risk factors for CMM. Nomograms were developed to estimate an individual's probability of CMM based on the identified risk factors. The performance of the model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

In men, the top three risk factors for CMM were hypertension (OR: 3.52, 95 % CI: 2.97-4.18), eating very fast (3.43, 2.27-5.16), and dyslipidemia (2.59, 2.20-3.06). In women, hypertension showed the strongest association with CMM (3.62, 2.90-4.52), followed by night sleep duration less than 5 h per day (2.41, 1.67-3.50) and dyslipidemia (1.91, 1.58-2.32). The ORs for holding passive and depressed psychological traits were 1.49 (95%CI: 1.08-2.06) in men and 1.58 (1.03-2.43) in women. Prediction models incorporating these factors demonstrated good discrimination in the test set, with AUC 0.84 (0.83-0.86) for men and 0.90 (0.89-0.91) for women. The sex-specific nomograms were established based on selected predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

Modifiable lifestyle factors, metabolic health and psychological trait are associated with the risk of CMM. The developed prediction models and nomograms could facilitate early identification of individuals at high-risk of CMM.

A scoping review finds a growing trend in studies validating multimorbidity patterns and identifies five broad types of validation methods

OBJECTIVES

Multimorbidity, the presence of two or more long-term conditions, is a growing public health concern. Many studies use analytical methods to discover multimorbidity patterns from data. We aimed to review approaches used in published literature to validate these patterns.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We systematically searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies published between July 2017 and July 2023 that used analytical methods to discover multimorbidity patterns.

RESULTS

Out of 31,617 studies returned by the searches, 172 were included. Of these, 111 studies (64%) conducted validation, the number of studies with validation increased from 53.13% (17 out of 32 studies) to 71.25% (57 out of 80 studies) in 2017-2019 to 2022-2023, respectively. Five types of validation were identified: assessing the association of multimorbidity patterns with clinical outcomes (n = 79), stability across subsamples (n = 26), clinical plausibility (n = 22), stability across methods (n = 7) and exploring common determinants (n = 2). Some studies used multiple types of validation.

CONCLUSION

The number of studies conducting a validation of multimorbidity patterns is clearly increasing. The most popular validation approach is assessing the association of multimorbidity patterns with clinical outcomes. Methodological guidance on the validation of multimorbidity patterns is needed.

Latent class analyses of multimorbidity and all-cause mortality: A prospective study in Chilean adults

Multimorbidity patterns can lead to differential risks for all-cause mortality. Within the Chilean context, research on morbidity and mortality predominantly emphasizes individual diseases or combinations thereof, rather than specific disease clusters. This study aimed to identify multimorbidity patterns, along with their associations with mortality, within a representative sample of the Chilean population. 3,701 participants aged ≥18 from the Chilean National Health Survey 2009-2010 were included in this prospective study. Multimorbidity patterns were identified from 16 chronic conditions and then classified using latent class analyses. All-cause mortality data were extracted from the Chilean Civil Registry. The association of classes with all-cause mortality was carried out using Cox proportional regression models, adjusting by sociodemographic and lifestyle variables. Three classes were identified: a) Class 1, the healthiest (72.1%); b) Class 2, the depression/cardiovascular disease/cancer class (17.5%); and c) Class 3, hypertension/chronic kidney disease class (10.4%). Classes 2 and 3 showed higher mortality risk than the healthiest class. After adjusting, Class 2 showed 45% higher mortality risk, and Class 3 98% higher mortality risk, compared with the healthiest class. Hypertension appeared to be a critical underlying factor of all-cause morbidity. Particular combinations of chronic diseases have a higher excess risk of mortality than others.

Long-term influence of air pollutants on morbidity and all-cause mortality of cardiometabolic multi-morbidity: A cohort analysis of the UK Biobank participants

BACKGROUND

The effects of air pollutants on cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) have been widely explored, whereas their influences on cardiometabolic multi-morbidity (CMM) were not clear.

METHODS

We employed the UK Biobank cohort (N = 317,160) to study the association between six air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, PM2.5-10, PM2.5abs, NO2, and NOx) and four CMDs including type II diabetes (T2D), coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke and hypertension. CMM was defined as occurrence of two or more of the four diseases. Multi-state Cox models were performed to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (95%CI).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.8 years, 52,211 participants developed only one CMD, 15,446 further developed CMM, and 16,861 ultimately died. It was demonstrated that per interquartile range increase (IQR) increases in PM2.5, PM10, PM2.5-10, PM2.5abs, NO2, and NOx would increase 12% (9%-15%), 4% (1%-7%), 3% (1%-6%), 7% (4%-10%), 11% (8%-15%) and 10% (7%-13%) higher risk of developing one CMD from health baseline; 7% (2%-12%), 8% (3%-13%), 6% (2%-11%), 10% (5%-15%), 13% (7%-18%) and 10% (5%-15%) greater risk of occurring CMM from one CMD baseline; and 11% (-2%∼26%), 22% (7%-38%), 17% (3%-32%), 31% (16%-49%), 33% (17%-51%) and 32% (17%-50%) larger risk of causing death from CMM baseline, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We revealed that people living in areas with high air pollution suffered from higher hazard of CMD, CMM and all-cause mortality; our findings implied keeping clean air was an effective approach to prevent or mitigate initiation, progression, and death from healthy to CMDs and from CMDs to CMM.

Influence of social deprivation on morbidity and all-cause mortality of cardiometabolic multi-morbidity: a cohort analysis of the UK Biobank cohort

BACKGROUND

The relation of social deprivation with single cardiometabolic disease (CMD) was widely investigated, whereas the association with cardiometabolic multi-morbidity (CMM), defined as experiencing more than two CMDs during the lifetime, is poorly understood.

METHODS

We analyzed 345,417 UK Biobank participants without any CMDs at recruitment to study the relation between social deprivation and four CMDs including type II diabetes (T2D), coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke and hypertension. Social deprivation was measured by Townsend deprivation index (TDI), and CMM was defined as occurrence of two or more of the above four diseases. Multivariable Cox models were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) per one standard deviation (SD) change and in quartile (Q1-Q4, with Q1 as reference), as well as 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

RESULTS

During the follow up, 68,338 participants developed at least one CMD (median follow up of 13.2 years), 16,225 further developed CMM (median follow up of 13.4 years), and 18,876 ultimately died from all causes (median follow up of 13.4 years). Compared to Q1 of TDI (lowest deprivation), the multivariable adjusted HR (95%CIs) of Q4 (highest deprivation) among participants free of any CMDs was 1.23 (1.20 ~ 1.26) for developing one CMD, 1.42 (1.35 ~ 1.48) for developing CMM, and 1.34 (1.27 ~ 1.41) for all-cause mortality. Among participants with one CMD, the adjusted HR (95%CIs) of Q4 was 1.30 (1.27 ~ 1.33) for developing CMM and 1.34 (1.27 ~ 1.41) for all-cause mortality, with HR (95%CIs) = 1.11 (1.06 ~ 1.16) for T2D patients, 1.07 (1.03 ~ 1.11) for CAD patients, 1.07 (1.00 ~ 1.15) for stroke patients, and 1.24 (1.21 ~ 1.28) for hypertension patients. Among participants with CMM, TDI was also related to the risk of all-cause mortality (HR of Q4 = 1.35, 95%CIs 1.28 ~ 1.43).

CONCLUSIONS

We revealed that people living with high deprived conditions would suffer from higher hazard of CMD, CMM and all-cause mortality.

Association of adiposity indices with cardiometabolic multimorbidity among 101,973 chinese adults: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and obesity represent two major health problems. The relationship between adiposity indices and CMM, however, remains understudied. This study aimed to investigate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), and conicity index (CI) with CMM among Chinese adults.

METHODS

Data of 101,973 participants were collected from a population-based screening project in Southern China. CMM was defined as having two or more of the following diseases: coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, and diabetes. The relationship between the six adiposity indices and CMM was investigated by multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic splines. Receiver operator characteristic curve, C-statistic and net reclassification index were used to estimate the discriminative and incremental values of adiposity indices on CMM.

RESULTS

Logistic regression models showed the six adiposity indices were all significantly associated with the odds of CMM with non-linear relationships. For per SD increment, WC (Odds ratio [OR]: 1.66; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.62-1.70) and WHtR (OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.58-1.65) were more significantly associated with a higher prevalence of CMM than BMI (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.52-1.58) (all P < 0.05). In addition, WC, WHtR, and BRI displayed significantly better performance in detecting CMM compared with BMI (all P < 0.05). Their respective area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.675 (95% CI: 0.670-0.680), 0.679 (95% CI: 0.675-0.684), and 0.679 (95% CI: 0.675-0.684), while BMI yielded an AUC of 0.637 (95% CI: 0.632-0.643). These findings hold true across all subgroups based on sex and age. When Adding WC, WHtR, or BRI to a base model, they all provided larger incremental values for the discrimination of CMM compared with BMI (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Adiposity indices were closely associated with the odds of CMM, with WC and WHtR demonstrating stronger associations than BMI. WC, WHtR, and BRI were superior to BMI in discriminative ability for CMM. Avoidance of obesity (especially abdominal obesity) may be the preferred primary prevention strategy for CMM while controlling for other major CMM risk factors.

Association between hemoglobin glycation index and 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events: the REACTION cohort study

BACKGROUND

The hemoglobin glycation index (HGI) was developed to quantify glucose metabolism and individual differences and proved to be a robust measure of individual glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) bias. Here, we aimed to explore the relationship between different HGIs and the risk of 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) by performing a large multicenter cohort study in China.

METHODS

A total of 9791 subjects from the Risk Evaluation of Cancers in Chinese Diabetic Individuals: a Longitudinal Study (the REACTION study) were divided into five subgroups (Q1-Q5) with the HGI quantiles (≤5th, >5th and ≤33.3th, >33.3th and ≤66.7th, >66.7th and ≤95th, and >95th percentile). A multivariate logistic regression model constructed by the restricted cubic spline method was used to evaluate the relationship between the HGI and the 5-year MACE risk. Subgroup analysis between the HGI and covariates were explored to detect differences among the five subgroups.

RESULTS

The total 5-year MACE rate in the nationwide cohort was 6.87% (673/9791). Restricted cubic spline analysis suggested a U-shaped correlation between the HGI values and MACE risk after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors ( χ2 = 29.5, P <0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, subjects with HGIs ≤-0.75 or >0.82 showed odds ratios (ORs) for MACE of 1.471 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.027-2.069) and 2.222 (95% CI, 1.641-3.026) compared to subjects with HGIs of >-0.75 and ≤-0.20. In the subgroup with non-coronary heart disease, the risk of MACE was significantly higher in subjects with HGIs ≤-0.75 (OR, 1.540 [1.039-2.234]; P = 0.027) and >0.82 (OR, 2.022 [1.392-2.890]; P <0.001) compared to those with HGIs of ≤-0.75 or >0.82 after adjustment for potential confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a U-shaped correlation between the HGI values and the risk of 5-year MACE. Both low and high HGIs were associated with an increased risk of MACE. Therefore, the HGI may predict the 5-year MACE risk.

Exploring factors related to heart attack complicated with hypertension using a Bayesian network model: a study based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

Objectives

While Bayesian networks (BNs) represents a good approach to discussing factors related to many diseases, little attention has been poured into heart attack combined with hypertension (HAH) using BNs. This study aimed to explore the complex network relationships between HAH and its related factors, and to achieve the Bayesian reasoning for HAH, thereby, offering a scientific reference for the prevention and treatment of HAH.

Methods

The data was downloaded from the Online Open Database of CHARLS 2018, a population-based longitudinal survey. In this study, we included 16 variables from data on demographic background, health status and functioning, and lifestyle. First, Elastic Net was first used to make a feature selection for highly-related variables for HAH, which were then included into BN model construction. The structural learning of BNs was achieved using Tabu algorithm and the parameter learning was conducted using maximum likelihood estimation.

Results

Among 19,752 individuals (9,313 men and 10,439 women) aged 64.73 ± 10.32 years, Among 19,752 individuals (9,313 men and 10,439 women), there are 8,370 ones without HAH (42.4%) and 11,382 ones with HAH (57.6%). What's more, after feature selection using Elastic Net, Physical activity, Residence, Internet access, Asset, Marital status, Sleep duration, Social activity, Educational levels, Alcohol consumption, Nap, BADL, IADL, Self report on health, and age were included into BN model establishment. BNs were constructed with 15 nodes and 25 directed edges. The results showed that age, sleep duration, physical activity and self-report on health are directly associated with HAH. Besides, educational levels and IADL could indirectly connect to HAH through physical activity; IADL and BADL could indirectly connect to HAH through Self report on health.

Conclusion

BNs could graphically reveal the complex network relationship between HAH and its related factors. Besides, BNs allows for risk reasoning for HAH through Bayesian reasoning, which is more consistent with clinical practice and thus holds some application prospects.

Multimorbidity Patterns in the Urban Population in Poland

A number of studies have been conducted on multimorbidity; however, there are different patterns in various countries, ethnicities and social groups. The aim of this study is to estimate the prevalence of multimorbidity (physical diseases) in the urban population in Poland. In this population-based study, we examined multimorbidity stratified by sex, age, educational attainment and professional activity. Sixty-seven conditions were identified based on self-reported history (known conditions) and completed examinations (unknown conditions). Among the overall individuals aged 20-80 years, 1422 (88.2%) of the total 1612 individuals, 787 (88.9%) of 885 women and 635 (87.3%) of 727 men were diagnosed with at least two chronic conditions. On average, 5.25 ± 3.5 conditions occurred in the study population. The number of diagnosed conditions per individual increased with age and decreased with higher educational levels, with differing pathways in women and men. Women showed a higher number of conditions than men in the same age groups and educational levels. Only among students, the level of multimorbidity was lower in women than in men. In the other occupational activity categories, it was already higher in women. The level of multimorbidity in employed and unemployed individuals in a particular sex cluster was similar. We identified a high prevalence of multimorbidity in the urban population in Poland varying by age, sex, education attainment and professional activity. Our work may help in the selection of appropriate screening tests based on age, sex and educational attainment in order to recognise multimorbidity based on both known and unknown conditions. Ultimately, it may impact clinical practice, service delivery and study design.

Long-term effect of a large dose of iodinated contrast in patients with mild thyroid dysfunction: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

More than 75 million procedures with intravascular iodine-based contrast media (ICM) are performed worldwide every year, and some patients undergoing these procedures do not have normal thyroid function. The long-term effects of ICM in patients with mild thyroid dysfunction (TD) are unclear.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was conducted in China. Patients with stable angina pectoris with total triiodothyronine (TT3) reduction, normal thyroid-stimulating hormone, and reverse triiodothyronine (rT3) were enrolled and divided into high-dose (≥100 mL ICM) and low-dose groups (<100 mL ICM). We dynamically investigated the trends in thyroid function, rT3, and thyroid antibodies one year after ICM exposure.

RESULTS

A total of 154 patients completed 6 months of follow-up and 149 completed 1 year of follow-up. Thyroglobulin antibody (TGAB) levels were elevated in 41 (26.6%) patients before ICM exposure, 11 (7.1%) of whom also had elevated thyroid peroxidase antibody levels. Transient subclinical TD occurred 6 months after ICM exposure; 75.5% (34/45) of post-operative TD occurred in the high-dose group. One patient developed severe hypothyroidism with myxedema, requiring drug intervention 1 year after ICM exposure. The level of rT3 showed no statistically significant changes during post-operative follow-up ( P  = 0.848). The TGAB level decreased at 6th month ( P  < 0.001), but increased at 1 year after ICM exposure ( P  = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with T3 reduction are at a risk of transient subclinical TD and hypothyroidism after a single large dose of ICM. Follow-up of this population at 9-12 months after ICM exposure is warranted.

Low handgrip strength with or without asymmetry is associated with elevated all-cause mortality risk in older Chinese males

AIM

This study aimed to examine the link between handgrip strength (HGS) asymmetry and mortality risk among older Chinese adults.

METHODS

These analyses were conducted using data from adults aged 60 years and older from the 2011-2013 waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, using baseline participant data collected in 2011. Proxy-reported information was used to assess the mortality outcomes of the participants over a 2-year follow-up. The highest recorded HGS values for each hand were used to compute the HGS asymmetry ratio (non-dominant HGS/dominant HGS) and HGS weakness (Male<26 kg, Female<16 kg). Covariate-adjusted Cox models were employed to gauge the relationship between abnormal HGS and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Overall, 5083 adults were enrolled in this study, of whom 50.15% (2549/5083) were male. The proportions of low HGS alone, HGS asymmetry alone, and asymmetric and low HGS were 6.43%, 30.95%, and 9.22%, respectively, in males, and 4.81%, 35.87%, and 9.55%, respectively, in females. A total of 96 and 78 deaths were recorded for male (3.77%) and female (3.08%) participants, respectively, over the 2-year follow-up period. Significant differences in mortality were observed between the different HGS groups for both sexes. An adjusted Cox regression analysis model confirmed that only low HGS (P = 0.047, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.949, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.008-3.768) and low HGS with asymmetry (P = 0.007, HR = 2.152, 95% CI: 1.231-3.764) were significantly associated with mortality risk in older males.

CONCLUSIONS

The results revealed that low HGS with or without asymmetry was associated with a higher risk of death over a 2-year follow-up interval in older Chinese males. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2023; 23: 692-699.

Multimorbidity Patterns and Associations with Gait, Balance and Lower Extremity Muscle Function in the Elderly: A Cross-Sectional Study in Northwest China

Purpose

Fall is a common geriatric syndrome leading to various adverse outcomes in the elderly. Gait and balance disorders and decreased lower extremity muscle function are the major intrinsic risk factors of falls, and studies suggested that they were closely related to the underlying chronic conditions. This study aimed to explore the patterns of multimorbidity and determine the associations of these multimorbidity patterns with gait, balance and lower extremity muscle function.

Patients and Methods

A cross-sectional survey of 4803 participants aged ≥60 years in Shaanxi Province, China was conducted and the self-reported chronic conditions were investigated. The 6-m walk test, timed-up-and-go test (TUG) and 5-sit-to-stand test (5-STS) were conducted to evaluate gait, balance, and lower extremity muscle function respectively. Latent class analysis was used to explore patterns of multimorbidity, and multivariate regression analysis was used to determine the associations of multimorbidity patterns with gait, balance, and lower extremity muscle function.

Results

Five multimorbidity patterns were identified: Degenerative Disease Class, Cardio-metabolic Class, Stroke-Respiratory-Depression Class, Gastrointestinal Class, and Very sick Class, and they were differently associated with gait and balance disorders and decreased lower extremity muscle function. In particular, the multimorbidity patterns of Degenerative Disease Class and Stroke-Respiratory-Depression Class were closely associated with all the three risk factors of falls.

Conclusion

There are significant differences in the impact of different multimorbidity patterns on the major intrinsic risk factors of falls in the elderly population, and appropriate multimorbidity patterns are closely related to the prediction of falls and can help to develop fall prevention strategies in the elderly.

Cross-cultural adaptation and psychometric evaluation of the Thai version of Self-Care of Chronic Illness Inventory Version 4.c

Objectives

To translate and validate the Thai Self-Care of Chronic Illness Inventory version 4.c (Thai SC-CII v4.c) in individuals with chronic illnesses.

Methods

A scale translation and cross-sectional validation study was conducted. The English version was translated for Thai involved nine steps: preparation, forward translation, reconciliation, back-translation, back-translation review, harmonization, cognitive debriefing, review of cognitive debriefing and finalization, and proofreading. A cross-sectional study was conducted from July to November 2022 at 16 primary care centers in southern Thailand, involving 410 participants with at least one chronic condition. Validity assessments included structural, convergent, and discriminant validity. Concurrent validity examined correlations between SC-CII v4.c with the Self-Care Self-Efficacy Scale (SCSES) and self-perceived health. Internal coherence reliability was calculated using Cronbach's α coefficient, item-total correlation coefficients, and the composite reliability (CR) index.

Results

Thai SC-CII v4.c demonstrated excellent translational validity (κ = 0.99). The specified Self-Care Maintenance model fit well, with minor differences in health promoting behavior and illness-related behavior items compared to the original model. The original Self-Care Monitoring, and Self-Care Management models fit well with Thai data. Simultaneous confirmatory factor analysis confirmed a satisfactory fit of the full SC-CII v4.c. Convergent validity had partial support (average variance extracted = 0.23-0.51), and discriminant validity was established (heterotrait-monotrait ratios = 0.37-0.88). Concurrent validity was supported by positive correlations between each scale and overall SC-CII v.4c with SCSES (r = 0.25-0.65) and self-perceived health (r = 0.09-0.35). The Cronbach's α coefficient were adequate for all scales except the Self-Care Maintenance scale (Cronbach's α = 0.68), but the CR estimate improved the reliability of all three scales (ranging 0.80-0.82). All items had satisfactory item-total correlation coefficients (ranging 0.34-0.71), except the one pertaining to sleep.

Conclusions

The Thai SC-CII v4.c is valid and reliable for assessing self-care in various chronic illnesses. Further testing is recommended for patients with specific diseases.

Social inequalities in all-cause mortality among adults with multimorbidity: a 10-year prospective study of 0.5 million Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Chinese individuals face an increase in multimorbidity, but little is known about the mortality gradients of multimorbid people in different socio-economic groups. This study measures relative and absolute socio-economic inequality in mortality among multimorbid Chinese.

METHODS

For this study, the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) enrolled 512 712 participants ages 30-79 y from 10 areas of China between 25 June 2004 and 15 July 2008. All-cause mortality was accessed with a mean follow-up period of 10 y (to 31 December 2016). Associations between multimorbidity and mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models, with the relative index of inequality (RII) and slope index of inequality (SII) in mortality calculated to measure disparities.

RESULTS

Mortality risk was highest for those who had not attended formal school and with four or more long-term conditions (LTCs) (hazard ratio 3.11 [95% confidence interval {CI} 2.75 to 3.51]). Relative educational inequality was lower in participants with four or more LTCs (RII 1.92 [95% CI 1.60 to 2.30]), especially in rural areas. Absolute disparities were greater in adults with more LTCs (SII 0.18 [95% CI 0.14 to 0.21] for rural participants with three LTCs).

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas the relative inequality in all-cause mortality was lower among multimorbid people, absolute inequality was greater among multimorbid men, especially in rural areas.

Prevalence of common chronic disease and multimorbidity patterns in Guangdong province with three typical cultures: analysis of data from the Diverse Life-Course Cohort study

Background

Variations in the prevalence and pattern of multimorbidity might be attributable to lifestyle and environmental factors. This study was performed to determine the prevalence of common chronic diseases and to reveal multimorbidity patterns among adults in Guangdong province with Chaoshan, Hakka, and island cultures.

Methods

We used data collected at the baseline survey (April-May 2021) of the Diverse Life-Course Cohort study and included 5,655 participants aged ≥20 years. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more of the 14 chronic diseases collected by self-reports, physical examinations, and blood tests. Multimorbidity patterns were explored by association rule mining (ARM).

Results

Overall, 40.69% of participants had multimorbidity, and the prevalence among coastland (42.37%) and mountain residents (40.36%) was higher than that among island residents (37.97%). The prevalence of multimorbidity increased rapidly with higher age groups and showed an inflection point at 50 years, beyond which >50% of the middle-aged and older adults had multimorbidity. The proportion of people with two chronic diseases accounted for most cases of multimorbidity, and the strongest association was found between hyperuricemia and gout (lift of 3.26). The most prevalent multimorbidity pattern was dyslipidemia and hyperuricemia in the coastland areas and dyslipidemia combined with hypertension in the mountain and island areas. Furthermore, the most common triad combination consisted of cardiovascular diseases, gout, and hyperuricemia, which was verified in the mountain and coastal areas.

Conclusion

These observations of multimorbidity patterns, including the most frequent multimorbidity and associations, will help healthcare providers develop healthcare plans that improve the effectiveness of multimorbidity management.

Association of the gut microbiota with coronary artery disease and myocardial infarction: A Mendelian randomization study

Background: Previous studies have indicated that the gut microbiota (GM) is associated with coronary artery disease (CAD), but the causality of these associations remains unestablished due to confounding factors and reverse causality. We conducted Mendelian randomization study (MR) to determine the causal effect of the specific bacterial taxa on CAD/myocardial infarction (MI) and identify the mediating factors involved. Methods: Two-sample MR, multivariable MR (MVMR) and mediation analysis were performed. Inverse-variance weighting (IVW) was the main method used to analyze causality, and sensitivity analysis was used to verify the reliability of the study. Causal estimates from CARDIoGRAMplusC4D and FinnGen databases were combined using the meta-analysis method, and repeated validation was conducted based on the UK Biobank (UKB) database. Confounders that may affect the causal estimates were corrected by MVMP and the potential mediation effects were investigated by using mediation analysis. Results: The study suggested that increased abundance of the RuminococcusUCG010 genus leads to a lower risk of CAD (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.78, 1.00; p = 2.88 × 10^-2) and MI (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79, 0.97; p = 1.08 × 10^-2), with consistent results in both meta-analysis (CAD: OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.78, 0.96; p = 4.71 × 10^-3; MI: OR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.73, 0.92; p = 8.25 × 10^-4) and repeated analysis of the UKB dataset (CAD: OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.99, 1.00, p = 2.53 × 10^-4; MI: OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.99, 1.00, p = 1.85 × 10-11). Based on multiple databases, T2DM was proved as a mediating factor in the causal effect of RuminococcusUCG010 and CAD/MI, with an average mediation effect proportion of 20% on CAD and 17% on MI, respectively. Conclusion: This MR study provided suggestive genetic evidence that the higher the RuminococcusUCG010 abundance is, the lower the risk of CAD and MI, with T2DM playing a mediating effect. This genus may become a novel target in strategies for treating and preventing CAD and MI.

Hypoxic preconditioned aged BMSCs accelerates MI injury repair by modulating inflammation, oxidative stress and apoptosis

The benefits of autologous cell therapy for cardiac repair are diminished in aged individuals due to the limited quality and poor tolerance of aged stem cells in the ischemic micro-environment. The safe and efficient methods to improve the therapeutic effect of aged stem cells are needed to treat the increasing number of aged patients with cardiac diseases. In the present study, we aimed to determine whether hypoxic preconditioning can improve the therapeutic effect of aged stem cells even if the responsiveness of aged MSCs is poor, and to seek the underlying mechanism. Using a murine model of MI, our results showed that hypoxic preconditioning promoted the therapeutic effect of aged BMSCs, which was expressed in improved cardiac function, decreased scar size and alleviated cardiac remodeling in vivo. This in vivo effect of hypoxic preconditioned aged BMSCs was associated with alleviated inflammation, oxidative stress and apoptosis in infarcted heart. In vitro studies confirmed that hypoxic preconditioned aged BMSCs exert cytoprotective impacts on H9C2 cells against lethal hypoxia injury via attenuating oxidative stress and apoptosis. Our data support the promise of hypoxic preconditioning as a potential strategy to improve autologous stem cell therapy for ischemic heart injury in aged individuals.

Sex-specific association between coffee consumption and incident chronic kidney disease: a population-based analysis of 359,906 participants from the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

The risk for chronic kidney disease (CKD) is influenced by genetic predisposition, sex, and lifestyle. Previous research indicates that coffee is a potentially protective factor in CKD. The current study aims to investigate whether sex disparity exists in the coffee-CKD association, and whether genetic risk of CKD or genetic polymorphisms of caffeine metabolism affect this association.

METHODS

A total of 359,906 participants from the UK Biobank who were enrolled between 2006 and 2010 were included in this prospective cohort study, which aimed to estimate the hazard ratios for coffee intake and incident CKD using a Cox proportional hazard model. Allele scores of CKD and caffeine metabolism were additionally adjusted for in a subsample with qualified genetic data ( n = 255,343). Analyses stratified by genetic predisposition, comorbidities, and sex hormones were performed. Tests based on Bayesian model averaging were conducted to ascertain the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Coffee was inversely associated with CKD in a dose-dependent manner. The effects of coffee did not differ across different strata of genetic risk for CKD, but were more evident among slower genetically predicted caffeine metabolizers. Significant sex disparity was observed ( P value for interaction = 0.013), in that coffee drinking was only associated with the risk reduction of CKD in females. Subgroup analysis revealed that testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), but not estradiol, modified the coffee-CKD association.

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to the overall inverse coffee-CKD association that was observed in the general population, we could also establish that a sex disparity existed, in that females were more likely to experience the benefit of the association. Testosterone and SHBG may partly account for the sex disparity.

Correlation between the triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and other unconventional lipid parameters with the risk of prediabetes and Type 2 diabetes in patients with coronary heart disease: a RCSCD-TCM study in China

Objective

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is often accompanied by undiagnosed dyslipidemia. Research on the association of unconventional lipid markers with prediabetes (pre-DM) and T2DM simultaneously is limited in coronary heart disease (CHD) patients.

Methods

This study included 28,476 patients diagnosed with CHD. Their lipid levels, including triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), were measured, and non-traditional lipid parameters were calculated. The patients were divided into three groups based on the diabetic status including normoglycemic (NG), pre-DM, and T2DM. Multiple logistic regression was used to compare the association of TG/HDL-C and other non-traditional lipid parameters with pre-DM and T2DM. The tertiles of TG/HDL-C included T1 (TG/HDL-C < 1.10), T2 (1.10 ≤ TG/HDL-C ≤ 1.89) and T3 (TG/HDL-C > 1.89). Low and high TG/HDL-C was defined with sex-specific cutoff points.

Results

Multiple logistic regression results showed that the non-traditional lipid parameters, including non-HDL-C, LDL-C/HDL-C, TC/HDL-C, non-HDL-C/HDL-C and TG/HDL-C, were all correlated with the risk of pre-DM and T2DM. Meanwhile TG/HDL-C showed the strongest correlation (odds ratio [OR]: 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16–1.23), (OR: 1.36; 95% CI 1.33–1.39). When dividing TG/HDL-C into tertiles, using T1 as a reference, T3 was observed to have the highest association with both pre-DM and T2DM (OR: 1.60; 95% CI 1.48–1.74), (OR: 2.79; 95% CI 2.60–3.00). High TG/HDL-C was significantly associated with pre-DM and T2DM (OR: 1.69; 95% CI 1.52–1.88), (OR: 2.85; 95% CI 2.60–3.12). The association of TG/HDL-C with T2DM and pre-DM existed across different sex, age, smoking, and drinking statuses.

Conclusion

Elevated non-traditional lipid parameters were significantly associated with pre-DM and T2DM in CHD patients, especially TG/HDL-C. High TG/HDL-C was the risk factor with a strong correlation with the risk of pre-DM and T2DM.